Friday, May 17, 2019
PIMLICO - THE PREAKNESS STAKES - GRADE 1
PLIMLICO SAT. 5/18/2019
RACE 13 - THE PREAKNESS STAKES
4-IMPROBABLE 108.6
12-ANOTHERTWISTAFATE 106.6
3-WARRIOR'S CHARGE 105.7
7-ALWAYSMINING 105.2
1-WAR OF WILL 103.8
5-OWENDALE 103.8
2-BOURBON WAR 101.1
11-LAUGHING FOX 99.1
9-BODEXPRESS 97.8
8-SIGNALMAN 94.5
13-WIN WIN WIN 93.2
6-MARKET KING 89.4
10-EVERFAST 76.6
Labels: bets, betting, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, May 18, 2018
BLACK-EYED SUSAN, RACE 11 - PIMLICO
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
PIMLICO
RACE 11 - BLACK-EYED SUSAN - GRADE II
9-SARA STREET 95.8
7-GOODONEHONEY 91.9
3-COACH ROCKS 81.4
4-RED RUBY 79.0
2-MIDNIGHT DISGUISE 77.2
8-INDY UNION 74.3
1-TELL YOUR MAMA 71.4
10-STAKES ON A PLANE 70.3
6-C.S. INCHARGE 63.2
5-MIHRAB 63.2
Labels: bets, betting, free, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, May 20, 2017
THE PREAKNESS STAKES
THE PREAKNESS STAKES
PIMLICO
RACE 13
4-ALWAYS DREAMING 115.7
5-CLASSIC EMPIRE 113.6
1-MULTIPLIER 107.3
9-LOOKIN AT LEE 105.2
2-CLOUD COMPUTING 103.8
6-GUNNEVERA 103.8
10-CONQUEST MO MONEY 101.2
8-SENIOR INVESTMENT
3-HENCE 97.1
7-TERM OF ART 93.9
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, May 21, 2016
SANTA ANITA & PIMLICO PREAKNESS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
8-ALL THAT HEAT 46.9
3-HIJIKI 46.0 (off slow, off Sept. 15)
6-WARM ENDOWMENT 45.5
5-GOLIATH'S GIRL 42.9
7-PACIFIC SWELL 29.7 (off Sept. 15)
1st time starters - 2, 1
RACE 2
3-BOOMPA 75.4
1-LADIES MAN 72.0
2-SWISS SILVER 70.3
8-GO FIRST 68.1 (off Aug. 15)
7-FEYNMAN 64.8
RACE 3
5-NAVY HYMN 83.2
3-CLASSICO 76.6
6-LOYALIST 70.9
4-WEIRDHAICUT SETH 67.0
7-BASINCA 65.9
RACE 4
6-REBARULES AGAIN 63.8
3-UNUSUALLY TALENTED 61.0
7-GOLDEN LIGHT 60.0
2-PRINCESS ASHLYN 39.4
1-PRESIDENTIAL AIR 22.8
1st time starters - 8, 4, 5
RACE 5
1-MISS STAR MAKER 82.6
6-DESERT MADAM 82.0
3-MINISTER'SADVENTURE 72.6
5-QUINNETTE 72.6
7-SHE HUMS 69.9
RACE 6
6-RADIO SILENT 86.9
8-DIRT IN YOUR FACE 85.6
5-BRONZINO 82.5
9-PIONEEROF THE WEST 80.8
1-FAR OUT KAILEE 73.1
RACE 7
9-CARDIAC 96.5
5-MALKO 82.5
7-PRETENTIOUS 82.0
3-SEVE'S ROAD 76.6
2-COWBOY 76.6
RACE 8
5-RUTILE 86.3 (5 wide, steadied, off March 15)
4-COPPA 85.6 (off slow, off Nov. 15)
1-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 85.6
11-WONDERFUL LIE 83.8
9-WEST MID 80.8
RACE 9
7-SUBTLE INDIAN 110.7
1-WILD DUDE 105.2
4-COASTLINE 103.1
3-CAUTIOUS GIANT 101.8
6-DREAM SATURDAY 101.8 (off Aug. 15)
RACE 10
8-HOME JOURNEY 109.3 (off Nov. 15)
3-VELVET MESQUITE 103.1
6-MINKS APRISE 96.4
2-SO SWEETITIZ 94.5
9-AVENGE 94.5 (off June 15)
RACE 11
4-SPIRIT WORLD 72.6
3-WAREN MY BOY 52.1
7-DEFIANT ONE 46.4
11-AJAC 42.4
9-HOOSIER ROAD 42.0
1st time starters - 10, 2, 8 (clipped heels, lost jock)
PIMLICO
RACE 13 - PREAKNESS
3-NYQUIST 119.3
5-EXAGGERATOR 117.9
11-STRADIVARI 116.4
2-UNCLE LINO 102.5
7-COLLECTED 102.5
9-ABIDING STAR 98.4
1-CHERRY WINE 94.5
10-FELLOWSHIP 93.2
8-LAOBAN 91.3
4-AWESOME SPEED 90.7
6-LANI 83.2
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, May 16, 2015
SANTA ANITA - PIMLICO "PREAKNESS" - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
PIMLICO
RACE 13 - "THE PREAKNESS"
2-DORTMUND 123.8
1-AMERICAN PHAROAH 123.8
8-FIRING LINE 120.8
7-DIVINING ROD 107.9
4-DANZIG MOON 100.4
6-BODHISATTVA 95.8
3-MR. Z 94.5
5-TALE OF VERVE 77.8
SANTA ANITA
RACE 1
6-ERTE 52.1
1-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 52.0
5-WORTHY GRAPES 51.6
3-SUMMER VEIL 50.6
2-ILL TELL YOU WHAT 43.8
RACE 2
2-TARA'S 98.4
6-BEN'S DUCHESS 89.44
5-FANTASTIC STYLE 88.1
4-MOONS OVER ME 69.8
3-SUVA HARBOR 64.3
RACE 3
1-SYNNIN 88.8
8-ATTA BOY PETE 87.5
7-KNOW PLANS 86.9
2-BRAVE ACT 86.9
6-EL TOVAR 86.3
RACE 4
5-MARYCASEY 83.2
1-SKY MEGA 82.6
3-GRACIE RAGAZZA 77.2
6-D'YA KNOWWHATIMEAN 69.2
2-BLUSHING ANGEL 68.1
RACE 5
2-INK WELL 64.8
6-LUTE IT UP 56.5
11-STEPSUN 44.6
4-ILLYBILLY BOY 40.7
7-GEMMABETO 39.4
1st time starters - 5
RACE 6
5-PEPPY BOLLY 72.6
8-TWELVE FOLDS 70.3
4-LUCKY STUDENT 67.5
7-SUGAR SPICE 67.5
1-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 65.4
RACE 7
4-CHARMING STARLET 71.4
9-SCUTI DE PUTUTI 62.7
6-SILVER SPECTACLE 62.1
11-REDO IT 58.0
12-BIG MOVE 52.6
1st time starters - 1, 3, 8
RACE 8
3-CUDDLE ALERT 61.1
13-CHERISH 55.0 (off May 14)
12-FORBIDDEN COMMAND 46.9 (3 wide)
11-TICABOO 29.7
4-S'MORE FUNNY FEVER 24.1
1st time starters - 9, 2, 7, 6, 10
RACE 9
8-SHAPELY 85.6 (off Jun. 14)
7-BELLE OF THE FLEET 79.6
11-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 78.4
2-BIG BREAK 77.2
3-IMWITHTHEBLONDE 77.2
RACE 10
13-FANCY SHOES 85.8
2-I'LL WRAP IT UP 83.2
9-SIR MACHO 83.2
3-SMALL TOWN COP 79.6
14-FORT CADY 78.1
RACE 11
4-WILD CAROLINE 63.4 (off Nov. 14)
5-TURN ON 59.0
11-TRIBAL YODLER 59.0
10-GRAMMY TIMES SIX 59.0
14-SAY'S WHO 51.1
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, August 25, 2014
DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,993 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, May 17, 2014
PIMLICO - PIMLICO PREAKNESS - G1 PURSE $1,500,000.
RACE 12 - PREAKNESS
3-CALIFORNIA CHROME 127.5
8-SOCIAL INCLUSION 120.8
2-GENERAL A ROD 112.2
5-BAYERN 109.3
1-DYNAMIC IMPACT 108.6
10-RIDE ON CURLIN 107.3
7-KID CRUZ 101.8
4-RING WEEKEND 98.4
9-PABLO DEL MONTE 95.2
6-RIA ANTONIA 84.4
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, February 27, 2014
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $198,609.
RACE 1
6-SILK IN SILVER 55.6
2-BELONGING 54.0
1-PERFECT TANGO 52.5
4-GIN JAN LIZZIE 43.3
5-SHEZA EYEOPENER 42.9
RACE 2
3-WELL MEASURED 82.0
2-PRAY HARD 76.6
1-OH DADDY OH 70.3
4-PATRIOTS RULE 67.0
5-IMAGE OF JOPLIN 57.5
RACE 3
3-ZACKOS MY MAN 65.4
2-ARTIC CODE 63.2
1-THIS CATS'S AWESOME 63.2
4-PYROTECHNICS 60.1
6-SUDDEN RUMOR 51.0
RACE 4
6-ANABAA PREMIUM 78.4
7-CHANGE OF PLAN 77.6
1-TUCKERS POINT 76.6
2-LONDINIUM 76.6
5-NEWFOUND GOLD 74.9
RACE 5
8-LOVE TALE 83.2
6-LILLY'S PERFECT 75.4
9-BORN LUCKY 72.0
5-READYFORHERCLOSEUP 71.4
10-HARD BUNS 71.4
RACE 6
5-THISONESFORRICKY 74.9
6-SHEZA DISH 74.9
1-DREAMY BLUES 73.7
4-ONNA BUGEISHA 63.6
2-MISS E U 49.0
RACE 7
3-STONEY FLEECE 94.5
4-EL COMMODORE 92.6
9-VIBRATO JAZZ 88.1
6-BATTI MAN 86.9
1-COUNTRY LINEMAN 86.9
RACE 8
5-DIVINE WAY 70.6
8-NEW NATURE 45.5
3-MAJESTIC GEM 36.6
1-WILDY EXCESSIVE 32.3
2-VERY THANKFUL 26.5
1st time starters - 6, 7
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, June 05, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, pick six, picks, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, May 18, 2013
PIMLICO - THE PREAKNESS STAKES 2013
PIMLICO
RACE 12 - THE PREAKNESS STAKES
2-GOLDENCENTS 116.4
9-ITSMYLUCKYDAY 113.6
1-ORB 112.2
4-DEPARTING 109.3
8-GOVENOR CHARLIE 108.6
5-MYLUTE 104.5
6-OXBOW 102.5
7-WILL TAKE CHARGE 99.8
3-TITLETOWN FIVE 89.4
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, picks, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-AWESOME PROMISE 70.9 (off Oct. 12)
6-FAR ROCKAWAY 52.6
3-BROTHER GREG 47.0
5-HARD PLAY 24.8 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 4, 2
RACE 2
3-NOBLE EXCHANGE 86.3
4-DERRINGER 80.8
5-ERIC THE RAM 70.3
2-ITSALWAYSSOMETHING 67.0
6-CENTENARIO DE ORO 66.4 (off Nov. 12)
RACE 3
7-WEDENSDAY 86.9
4-MY CINSATION 81.4
1-CORLETT DRIVE 80.9
8-DARLING DODIE 77.8
5-WILD IN THE SADDLE 69.8
RACE 4
4-SALT TEQUILLA LIME 83.2 (off Jan 12)
3-RIDINGWITHTHEDEVIL 75.4
1-GIFTING 62.2 (off slow)
5-TIZHARDTOGET 56.5 (squeezed start)
2-TRECA 52.6
RACE 5
1-TOP KISSER 93.2
4-BENCH GLORY 88.8
7-BUTTERFLY BEACH 87.5 (off Aug. 11)
5-CHOKECHERYMARY 82.6
6-DANCINGTOTHESTARS 79.4
RACE 6
2-SALTY FORECAST 60.6
5-SELLERIA 60.2
4-SPRING GAL 58.0
3-SECRET OF SUCCESS 55.5
1-ROCK U UP 54.5
RACE 7
1-YES IT'S SNOWING 96.4
2-MR. BOSSY PANTS 90.7
8-FREE TIME 83.2
9-DUNMORE EAST 81.3 (off Sept. 12)
5-BLUE JAY ATTACK 80.8
RACE 8
5-SPORTS REPORT 64.8
1-INSTINCTIVELY BOLD 64.6 (awkward start)
7-STORM CASTLE 53.0 (off slow)
9-REGALLY SOUL 51.6
11-DRAMATIC ALLAN 43.8
1st time starters - 3, 4
RACE 9
10-SWIFT EAGLE 98.4
2-SCORPION WARRIOR 98.4
6-HE BE FIRE N ICE 94.5
5-GREAT RISING STAR 90.8
8-MOTOWN MEN 90.7
RACE 10
4-LADY OF FIFTY 95.2
5-SISTER KATE 90.0
7-MAKER OR BREAKER 87.5
2-I DAZZLE 86.3
1-LADY ASPEN 83.2
RACE 11
12-SPEEDY VIXEN 57.0
3-GOODTOBEWILD 55.0
9-ONLY JOSIE KNOWS 47.8 (off Sept. 12)
6-MADDOG MADDIE 47.7
4-TEASING MOMENT 34.6 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 11
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, May 19, 2012
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK & PIMLICO PREAKNESS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
PIMLICO PREAKNESS
RACE 12
7-BODEMEISTER 120.1
9-I'LL HAVE ANOTHER 114.3
6-CREATIVE CAUSE 112.2
5-WENT THE DAY WELL 110.0
2-TEETH OF THE DOG 102.5
8-DADDY NOSE BEST 99.1
4-ZETTERHOLM 94.5
11-COZZETTI 93.9
1-TIGER WALK 92.6
10-OPTIMIZER 86.3
3-PRETENSION 83.2
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK
RACE 1
4-JUNIPER PASS 100.4
3-FIRE WITH FIRE 97.1
1-MAKE MUSIC FOR ME 89.4
2-HAIMISH HY 86.9
5-BEER MEISTER 75.3
RACE 2
7-FRANCONI 69.8
1-ERIC THE RAM 57.5
6-PARTIOTIC LION 46.4
8-VERY UNUSUAL 44.2
2-HELLO FRANKIE 42.0
1st time starters - 4
RACE 3
1-SISTER MOON 93.2
3-KILLER GRACES 82.6
5-DIJARVO 82.0
2-LADY FAIRBANKS 73.5
4-VIA VILLAGGIO 67.0
RACE 4
1-LIFT OUR LUCK 77.2 (off July 11)
6-KALK BAY 63.2 (off July 11)
2-SUNSHINE HIGH 62.2
4-LORENBRAY 57.5
7-GAME CHARMER 54.0
RACE 5
4-EUROGLIDE 95.8
5-SMOKEY LONESOME 95.8
6-RED DEFENSE 86.9
2-SARATOGA YANKEE 86.9
3-HURRICANE LAKE 86.3
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
4-BODAWAY 44.6 (steadied)
10-DECENT DUDE 42.4
9-RUN TO GROUND 40.3
2-PLAYFUL COUNCIL 28.9 (off slow)
1st time starters - 3, 8, 5, 6, 1, 7
RACE 7
7-BET ON VICTOR 106.6
3-SAHARA SKY 103.8
2-KORBAN 98.4 (off Aug. 11)
1-HOORAYFORHOLLYWOOD 92.6
4-SHRUG 90.7
RACE 8
6-MARINDA 77.2
2-GIVE MY REGARDS 72.0 (off slow)
7-LUCKYVIC 70.3
4-REVERED 64.8 (off Feb. 11 - bumped)
9-CANDY TROPHY 38.2
1st time starters - 3, 5, 1, 8
RACE 9
6-SMUG 94.5
3-MASSONE 94.5
5-TEMPLE'S DOOR 89.4 (off July 11)
7-CAT TALK 88.8
9-AKKADIAN 84.4
8-MAJOR ART 84.4
1st time starters - 4 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 10
6-ZAZU 105.9 (off Oct. 11)
1-INCLUDE ME OUT 102.5
7-ELLAFITZ 97.1
2-CAELIS 89.4
3-LOVE THEWAY YOUARE 84.4
RACE 11
9-TIZ BRITE MISS 56.0
12-SWISS CHARM 53.5
15-JENREN FITZ ME 49.2
14-QUEEN MERCURY 48.8
10-CHIMI DEE 46.9
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, May 18, 2012
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: SATURDAY I WILL POST THE ENTIRE BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK CARD AS WELL AS THE "PREAKNESS" RACE FROM PIMLICO RACE COURSE.
RACE 1
2-BEV N BUD 66.4
5-AMERICA RISING 61.1
6-NIGHT WIND 59.0
4-BERTRANDO FALLS 35.8 (off slow)
1st time starters - 1, 3
RACE 2
2-LOVE MY WAY 82.6
5-HOUT BAY 76.0
1-CANDY AND THUNDER 72.0
4-SO SHE DANCES 70.3
6-BELLOMA 65.9
RACE 3
4-TAP IT IN 75.4
7-ROCKET TRAIN 62.2
2-SOI PHET 60.6
6-GREAT RISING STAR 56.0
3-ROHERYN STRIDER 49.7
RACE 4
1-PURE STORM 81.4
3-ARRIVEDERCI CARO 80.2
2-DIAMOND DUCHESS 76.0
4-ENTABENI 72.6
5-BELLE GALLANTEY 70.3
RACE 5
6-ON HOLY GROUND 53.5
9-FIRST BLUE ANGEL 52.1
1-MR. NEWTON 51.1
3-DR. EVIL 50.6
5-MASTER RUDY 49.2
RACE 6
4-BARON VON RED 80.8
2-LEAD BLOCKER 80.2
8-FULL EFFECT 74.3
3-EASY GOING BOYKIE 73.1
7-CALL ME JONES 70.9
RACE 7
2-WOODMANS LUCK 84.4
3-CORNER OFFICE 78.4
1-REAL CONUNDRUM 73.7
4-ACCELERANT 73.4
5-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 68.1
RACE 8
2-KINTLA JOURNEY 63.8
7-WINTER BLOSSOM 61.6
10-MY LITTLE MORGAN 61.6
3-MOON STONE MADNESS 58.0
6-INDY BEAUTY 57.5
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, May 01, 2012
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: Betfair, bets, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, February 03, 2012
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-SUMMER MOVIE 90.0
6-EL MARTILLO 83.2
5-KELLY LEAK 83.2
7-COO CACHOO 76.6
2-SPECIAL KID 69.3
RACE 2
3-TWEEBSTER 100.4
2-INDIAN FIREWATER 97.1
4-CANONIZE 87.5
5-DREAMINOFTHEWIN 85.6
1-SUPREME SUMMIT 85.0
RACE 3
6-MY YAMMY HEAT 47.8
8-POOL OF FIRE 37.4
4-MOBILE QUEEN 11.6
1st time starters - 2, 5, 7, 1, 3
RACE 4
8-CANDY'S GIRL 52.6
5-WARREN'S JAZZ WALK 46.0
1-OUR NEW DANCER 44.6
3-BABENEAU 39.9
4-MY JOYCIE 36.6
RACE 5
3-LODI RED 85.0
9-TRICKY MANDATE 74.3
7-WARREN'S WILD THING 73.1
4-GENIALITY 71.4
8-VALUATION 71.4
RACE 6
8-IZZY RULES 95.8
5-SALTY SARAH 93.2
4-TOP DEBUTANTE 88.8
2-KINDLE 85.6
7-LUNCH TIME DIVA 82.0
RACE 7
1-LA SOMBRE 99.8
2-SARASOTA SUNSHINE 91.9
9-GELILA 80.0
5-PRINCESS SUANCES 77.8
10-LOFTY AMBITION 77.2
RACE 8
1-DUNSCOMBE 79.6
4-WAY TOO MUCH 76.6
10-PICKAPOCKET 76.0
2-KING COLA 73.1
6-KWIK 72.6
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, January 12, 2012
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-SUBTLE GREEK 62.2
6-HEY I'M SOBAA 61.6
7-TO THE TOP 51.1
3-GOLDENTOUCH OF GIN 48.3
1-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 48.1
1st time starters - 4
RACE 2
5-SPIRIT RULES 96.1
4-SKY KINGDOM 89.4
1-SMART ELLIS 75.2
2-SIR ALLISON 74.0
3-ES LUNA 49.0
RACE 3
3-JAREDELLA 86.9
8-SHOO GEE 74.3
4-STORMY SLEW 72.6
5-ELUSIVE COOKIES 68.1
7-MADRE LUNA 61.6
1st time starters - 6
RACE 4
5-SUNSHINE HIGH 51.1
8-LARA ANTIPOVA 50.6
6-CRESTON CUTIE 46.9
1-OFFLEE CUTE 42.4
7-SHIMMERING STAR 39.9
RACE 5
4-HIS BOY ELROY 82.0
1-SYNCOBEAT 80.8
5-DOC CAN DANCE 73.7
6-WHAT A RUSH 73.7
2-PERSONALITARY 71.4
RACE 6
3-MEGASTAR 90.7
6-SMART SPENDING 86.3
1-TIZ ARGENT 81.9
5-THIRTYFIRSTSTREET 80.2
2-BELIEVE IN HOPE 79.0
RACE 7
4-ADMISSION 91.3
5-ADRIATIC MOON 90.6
1-ANTIDOTE 86.9
3-TIZ GIANNI 82.0
2-RENEGADE STORM 81.4
RACE 8
8-GIBSON HOME RUN 86.3
3-LT. HOPEFUL 85.6
7-MARK OF A WARRIOR 82.6
2-BRUNO'S WAGER 81.4
1-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 80.8
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, December 27, 2011
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2182 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, December 10, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-SHE'S VERY RARE 72.6
3-INDIARA 69.8
5-DISH THE DIRT 68.1
4-BALLISTIC BLONDE 67.8
1-PERFECT FINISH 65.4
RACE 2
1-LADY LOHR 69.2 (off Nov. 10)
8-MY BRITE CAROLINE 62.2
2-SEAN S 61.6
3-L'ENCHANTERESSE 60.6
6-LILY AMORE 60.1
RACE 3
3-DAYLIGHT STORM 100.4 (off Oct. 10)
6-CARDIFF GIANT 95.2
5-SLAM SLEW 90.7
4-SQUARE DEAL 88.8
1-USURP 87.5
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-J MAN 69.6
5-BLING CHA BLING 67.0
7-AMERICAN ACT 60.6 (in tight)
6-SMOKING G 55.0
8-MON COEUR 54.0 (off slow)
1st time starters - 4, 2, 3, 1
RACE 5
2-OBSESS 95.8
5-BAILMEOUTBUGSY 87.5 (off Nov. 09)
9-SUN'S OUT 86.9
8-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 86.9
1-IT'S NOT UNUSUAL 85.0 (off Dec. 10)
RACE 6
4-JOE CARL 86.3
8-MAN CHESTER MAN 83.2
7-GUIDING HAND 82.6
2-JOYFUL SUCCESS 75.4
6-TIME FOR ATONEMENT 74.9
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
4-FLEET EAGLE 68.1
9-OUT OF BOUNDS 64.3
7-TUMMEL 63.8
5-BRANNAMAN 62.2
2-WHERE'S HENRY 60.6
1st time starters - 3, 1, 8
RACE 8
6-HOLLADAY ROAD 100.4
9-SURPLUS 96.5
3-GAB POWER 91.3
12-ROMEO ROYALE 88.1
8-BAILOUTTHEMMINISTER 86.3
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
2-CHARM THE MAKER 85.0
1-WEEMISSFRANKIE 82.6
4-KILLER GRACES 73.1
3-LADY PECAN 70.9
6-SELF PRESERVATION 68.1
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
9-FEAR THE BEARD 54.0
5-CAPTAIN MAGIC 49.2
3-SWISS GAME 48.3
8-AT LAST A WILDCAT 48.3
11-WAR POLITICS 47.6
1st time starters - 10, 4, 6
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, July 17, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
7-VERY FAIR 85.0
3-SENATOR BOB 84.5
4-GAB POWER 81.4
6-KIM'S LEADING MAN 80.8
5-TRIBAL DESERT 80.2
2-A MOMENT IN TIME 80.2
RACE 2
5-QUEENOFCALIFORNIA 52.6
10-GOLD IN EXCESS 39.9
4-COASTAL CATHY 33.8
11-LILY'S TIZ 30.4
1A-SHIMMERING STAR 23.5 (entry)
1st time starters - 6, 8, 7, 9
RACE 3
8-ADVICE 82.0
6-BALLESTERO 82.0
2-LEASE OF LIFE 74.9
7-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 69.8
10-POINT OF ORIGIN 63.8
RACE 4
3-CHECKMARK 82.6
10-MINISTER D'ORO 82.0
8-WARREN'S CLOSER 73.4
4-BESAME SUANCES 73.1
1-TURN ON THE PUMPS 70.3
1st time starters - 5
RACE 5
1-SHAWKLIT SUNDAE 85.0
5-GUILDED REWARD 61.6
3-MEADOW LAKE QUEEN 58.6
4-GOTHAM SPIRIT 57.5
10-HAVENS LAKE 56.0
RACE 6
3-GOLDEN MEXICO 93.2
6-STERLING OUTLOOK 91.3
11-WILLYCONKER 82.6
8-KILKENNY 82.0
9-TART N SMART 79.0
7-BOOTED 79.0
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-MAJESTIC CITY 91.9
5-NIGHT TIDE 77.8
1-BRIGAND 68.6
7-PEND OREILLE 65.4
6-HE'S A BANDIT 48.3
1st time starters - 3 (had 2f. races)
RACE 8
6-CELTIC NEW YEAR 96.5
7-ATTICUS JACK 93.2
2-RESTLESS SOUL 89.4
1-IMPONENTE PURSE 86.3
1st time starters - 9 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-MOLLY'S ALL HEART 46.9
2-TOO SHARP 41.6
5-BEST PRESENT EVER 36.6
7-GYPSY FRIDAY 11.4 (steadied)
1st time starters - 9, 1, 4, 3, 6, 10, 11
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, picks, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, July 05, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 2018 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred