Monday, December 31, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

Sat. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (7.20) 4th pick 2nd (3.00) 2nd pick 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (13.10). Race 2- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (7.00) top pick 2nd (2.20) boxed- Ex (4.60) 3rd pick 3rd (2.80). Race 3- Top Pick Won (10.80) 3rd pick 2nd (17.60) 4th pick 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (56.20). Race 4- Top Pick Won (4.20) Daily Double (33.40) 3rd pick 2nd (4.00) 4th pick 3rd (3.60) top pick keyed- Ex (8.10) trifecta (33.00). Race 5- 2nd pick won (11.80) top pick 2nd (5.00) boxed- Ex (29.20) 4th pick "tied" 3rd (4.20) picks boxed- trifecta (141.20). Race 6- 2nd pick 2nd (9.40) top pick 3rd (2.40) 2nd 1st timer 4th. Race 7- 3rd pick won (12.40) top pick 2nd (3.60) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (20.20). Race 9- Top Pick Won (6.60) 4th pick 2nd (4.20) 2nd pick 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (11.70). Race 10- 4th pick won (8.80) 3rd pick 2nd (8.40) 2nd 1st timer 3rd (7.40) picks plus 1st timer boxed- Ex (40.20) trifecta (605.20).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-WATCH ME WIN 77.2
5-LOCKITUP 74.3
6-HOTITUDE 70.3
3-FEEL RIDGE 65.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
4-CHAMPAGNE EYES 74.3
1-DISTINCTIVE DIXIE 69.9
3-SKYLIGHTER 68.1
5-IAINTNOBUNNYRABBIT 56.5

RACE 3
1-STORMY TUESDAY 72.6
5-LADY DISDAIN 69.8
3-BEAU GENI 68.1
8-ZEE TOPPER 67.5

RACE 4
8-WAR SCANDAL 92.6
7-GHOST ACTOR 87.5
3-IMITATION 82.0
1-BELTLINE JACK 80.8

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-MR. EXCESSIVE 62.2
2-DISTINCTIVE AFLEET 60.1
10-GOLDEN GORILLA 59.6
6-THE ROYALS COURT 51.6
5-SKIMMING ON ICE 46.9
9-ZOOMIN ZABEL 46.5

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-LET'S EAT OUT 79.6
3-ONEFUNSONOFAGUN 77.2
9-CLEVER LADY 72.6
2-ELSIE JO 69.8
8-QUEEN HOLLY 69.8

RACE 7
8-QUIETLY MINE 103.8
2-BONFANTE 102.5
4-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 102.5
5-NIGHT CHAPTER 100.4

RACE 8
7-CHEROKEE TEAR 95.2
3-L. A. PHIL 92.6
6-SOUTH COAST 90.7
8-SONIC COMIC 90.0

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Friday, December 28, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-AMERICA'S FRIEND 69.8
8-AVA G 67.5
9-DINE AT NINE 67.0
5-FLASHY NOTORIOUS 61.6

1st time starters - 7, 11

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-GAYEGO 95.8
3-BELAFONTE 91.9
1-RIVERGRADE BOY 79.0
6-GONE GRAND 70.9

RACE 3
3-SHE'S SO VAIN 74.9
8-YOUR QUOTE 68.6
9-BROMOS LEAD CHANGE 63.8
7-TOPANGA CANYON 62.2
10-APOLLA 62.2

RACE 4
10-SMOOCH 69.2
4-SCHAGHTICOKE HILL 63.8
6-FLY BY 62.2
9-HAPPYHOUR ATHEBRIG 60.1

1st time starters - 1, 11, 3

RACE 5
5-HAJJI'S HONOR 93.9
6-ANZIYANS SONG 92.6
1-COURTNALL 88.1
2-FERNDALE SAL 87.5
8-RAISE THE HEAT 86.9

RACE 6
8-AUSTIE 75.5
2-LIZ'S PIRATE 73.7
5-MOUNTAINS OF GREEN 72.0
10-THE IVAN SHOW 72.0

1st time starters - 12, 11

RACE 7
6-LEAD STEALER 97.1
11-POCOSIN'S GAME BOY 94.5
1-TRIBAL CHIEF 92.6
3-ONE ON THE HOUSE 86.9
9-CHARACTERISTIC 86.9

RACE 8
11-LOST PARADISE 83.9
7-ROYAL VISION 82.2
10-APOPLECTIC 79.0
4-TOTE'S HUMDINGER 78.4
2-WARREN'S SCOOTER 77.6

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Thursday, December 27, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTONS ANSWERED

Wed. recap- A very good day at the track.- Race 1- 2nd pick won (5.80) top pick 2nd (2.20) boxed- Ex (4.80) top 1st timer 3rd (3.20) trifecta (14.30) 4th pick 4th, superfecta (46.80). Race 2- Top Pick Won (6.20) 3rd pick 2nd (7.80) 4th pick 3rd (5.00) 2nd pick 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (29.40) trifecta (138.00) Superfecta (446.90). Race 3- Top Pick Won (5.80) Daily Double (17.20) 2nd pick 2nd (3.80) Ex (8.80) 1st timer 3rd (4.60) 3rd 1st timer 4th, superfecta (222.90). Race 4- Top Pick Won (11.60) Pick 3 (54.70) daily double (33.20) 4th pick"tied 2nd (5.40) 4th pick 3rd (3.20) top pick keyed- Ex (33.00) trifecta (133.40). Race 5- 4th pick won (8.40) top pick 2nd (4.00) picks boxed- Ex (16.30). Race 6- 4th pick won (7.60) top pick 4th. Race 7- Top Pick Won (24.00). Race 8- 4th pick won (12.80) 3rd pick 2nd (11.20) top pick 3rd (3.80) picks boxed- Ex (75.30) trifecta (423.10). Race 9- 4th pick won (9.00) 2nd pick 3rd (5.80).

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened five times that I know of in over 815 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Wednesday, December 26, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-LUCKY MAMA 72.6
6-SWEET AUGUST MOON 61.1
3-BOOWOOGEEMALIA 42.0
4-VAN BRIT 37.4

1st time starters - 1A, 8, 5, 2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
6-BOB BLACK JACK 83.8
2-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 80.2
5-DIRTY DISH MITCH 76.4
7-RED HOT FLAME 74.9

RACE 3
10-HOODS UP 85.0
5-LIBERTY WATCH 73.1
7-FRIENDLY HALF 52.1

1st time starters - 4, 2, 1, 8, 3, 6, 9

RACE 4
3-SPRING AT LAST 118.6
4-TOASTED 103.1
8-DECADO 101.8
7-EPIC POWER 100.5
2-HEROI DO BAFRA 99.8

RACE 5
9-FOREST PHANTOM 95.8
8-TURNBOLDT 91.3
4-WEEKEND TIGER 90.0
1-GRAY BLACK N WHITE 86.9
7-INDIAN WEAVER 86.9

RACE 6
9-BEYOND LOADED 100.5
12-FORESTRY'S FIRE 95.2
11-THEIR HE GOES 93.9
10-BUCK 93.2

RACE 7
5-JOHNNY EVES 108.0
2-LES GRANDS TROIS 103.8
4-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 102.5
1-DESERT CODE 101.8
9-GREAT HUNTER 101.1

RACE 8
13-TWILIGHT METEOR 102.5
9-WHATSTHESCRIPT 101.4
8-MR NAPPER TANDY 99.8
6-MONTERY JAZZ 97.1

RACE 9
2-ROAD TO THE THRONE 70.6
6-PRESS RELEASE 68.1
11-BIG RIVER RULER 68.1
8-HOME OF THE BOLD 65.4

1st time starters - 9, 3

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Sunday, December 23, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA UNTIL WED. DECEMBER 26TH. WE WILL BE BACK THEN.

MERRY CHRISTMAS

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Saturday, December 22, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-MINISTER BLAIR 94.5
3-PERFECT CASTING 92.6
5-TALKIN TO MOM ROO 91.9
4-EL GREGO 91.9

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-CROWN OF DIAMONDS 68.1
8-MASTERFUL MISS 65.6
10-FABULOSO 62.2
1A-SHE'S THE LAW 56.5

1st time starters - 9, 4, 6, 3, 2, 7

RACE 3
8-GOLD TRIM 90.7
4-I SWEAR 83.8
6-PRINCE OF GOLD 83.2
7-GENERAL BUENO 80.2
3-I BEAT THE FIRE 79.6

RACE 4
3-GREG'S GOLD 105.9
1-UNUSUAL SUSPECTS 99.3 (entry)
1A-ADD HEAT 92.6 (entry)
4-BIG BAD LEROYBROWN 91.9

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 on turf)
9-CHOP HOUSE GEORGE 79.3
11-RHETORICALLY 70.9
2-CHEVIN 66.4
5-MEETINGWITHDESTINY 64.8

1st time starters - 4, 6

RACE 6
4-DAKOTA PADRE 97.8
2-WILD DIPLOMAT 97.8
8-UKIAH 91.4
1-CAYAMBE 89.4

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-ZETTERBERG 80.2
4-SANGAREE 77.8
7-PROCESSOR'S TURF 62.2

1st time starters - 2, 8, 3, 1, 10, 11, 6, 9, 12

RACE 8
1-JOY'S COMET 100.5
11-INFORMED 93.2
4-WISE ONE 90.0
9-SOLEMN PROMISE 90.0

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
2-MASSIVE DRAMA 96.5
10-MONBA 93.9
1-SIERRA SUNSET 92.6
8-COLONEL JOHN 90.0
12-INTO MISCHIEF 89.4

RACE 10
7-QUINTONS SHOCKER 94.5
11-MEISQUE PARTY 90.0
8-SALAH WHO 89.4
3-WITNESS THIS 88.1

RACE 11
7-POLITICAL HIGH 79.0
3-UNUSUAL JAIL 78.4
1-FORSETI'S QUESTION 77.8
16-BOUND TO GET EVEN 77.8
5-DR. SINATRA 77.2
9-CADDYMASTER 76.6

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Friday, December 21, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-INSTANT ACTION 92.6
7-BAND OF THUNDER 79.6
10-WINESHINE 70.9
3-RIVER REBEL70.9

RACE 2
11-SANTA TERESITA 88.1
1-FIRST TAKE 85.8
8-PINK POLKADOTS 82.6
3-FOREIGN 82.0

1st time starters - 4, 9

RACE 3
1A-RISING RATE 95.2
6-RABBI 90.7
5-CHARMVICTOR 89.4
4-CIGAR PAL 76.8

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
1-FINAL FLING 80.2
4-KAMI D B C 69.8
3-GAMBLER'S JUSTICE 61.1
2-SMOOTH PERFORMER 57.5 (off slow)
8-ALE'S PRIDE 57.0

1st time starters - 6, 10

RACE 5
3-TURKUS QUERCUS 67.0
8-JUST LIKE HER 67.0
5-GOLDEN VENTURE 66.5
4-MISSING TREASURE 64.8

RACE 6
9-STYLIN CAT 103.1
1-SACRED LIGHT 86.3
8-MANANAN MCLIR 85.6
2-WE ALL LOVE ALEYNA 85.0
12-BEHIND THE SCREEN 84.4

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-NIKKI'SGOLDENSTEED 85.0
15-DR ZAENTZ 76.6
6-MR. ELROY 64.8
13-YOUAREFUN 64.8

1st time starters - 1, 3, 7, 11, 4, 14, 12, 5

RACE 8
6-FOREST DANZ 96.5
8-SEMI LOST 93.2
5-CAPTAIN SACTO 89.4
4-SWING YOUR PARTNER 81.4

RACE 9
2-CURIOUSLY SWEET 94.5
8-D PIRATES MARKER 88.7
3-FUN LOGIC 88.7
6-SWISS DIVA 85.6

RACE 10
11-PT'S GREY EAGLE 86.3
1-SMOKIN FOREST 81.4
3-GUNSLICK 75.5
14-EVANSTON 75.5
12-VITALI 74.9
8-THREEATONCE 74.9

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Wednesday, December 19, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY AND THURSDAY. HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS WILL BE POSTED FOR FRIDAY.

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Tuesday, December 18, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, December 17, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened five times that I know of in over 815 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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