Saturday, June 30, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

NO RECAP FOR FRI. DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-EPIC POWER 101.1
5-JACK'S WILD 99.8
2-EXCEEDING 98.5
1-NOW VICTORY 95.2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
13-SLAM SLEW 80.2
10-BANANA BOAT JOE 72.6
2-FOLLOWS NONE 66.5
5-LAKE MEZA 64.8

1st time starters - 4, 7, 12, 11, 9, 1, 6,

RACE 3
7-HEATSEEKER 107.5
3-CANTEEN 99.1
8-KEWEN 99.1
2-GEM PROOF 98.5

RACE 4
2-TIME TOSAY GOODBYE 94.5
4-EXCESSIVEOBSESSION 93.2 (off Aug. 06)
7-KALAMATA 90.7
5-MEETMEINTHEWOODS 83.8
3-THREADNEEDLE 83.2

RACE 5
3-THE TIN MAN 119.3
4-WILLOW O WISP 104.5
5-RIGHT SPECIAL 104.5
1-BECRUX 103.1

RACE 6
8-SMART HIT 92.6
9-ARROYO TRABUCO 88.1
4-CONSIGNER 88.1
5-GOLDEN ROYAL 82.6

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-ELOCUTION 92.6
3-TREADMILL 79.6
1-BILLIE BOB 77.2
9-SET PLAY 74.9

RACE 8
13-INCREDIBLE 75.4
4-JUST KNOCK 74.9
1A-TEE OFF 72.6 (entry)
5-MISS YANKEE LASS 69.2

RACE 9
7-ONLY IN RENO 107.3
3-KAPALUA BAY 99.1
10-MEDZENDEEKRON 98.4
5-ABSOLUTE GLORY 95.8
9-BLOWOUT 95.2

RACE 10
5-MOLENGAO 123.0
8-LAVA MAN 121.5
7-A. P. ARROW 106.6
2-A. P. XCELLENT 103.8

RACE 11
7-MADONNA MIA 91.3
11-JEN'S NEW CHAPTER 87.5
9-AWESOME FEAT 86.3
4-ANCIENT TALE 82.0

1st time starters - 6, 13, 8, 3

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Wednesday, June 27, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-FLEETHEART 98.5
2-FUN LOGIC 93.9
3-I CAN SEE 81.3
4-TREMENDOUS ONE 80.8

RACE 2
6-STRIP IN WAGER 70.0
2-ONE FLEW OVER 63.2
1-GOLDEN VIA 62.0
7-SHAPERELLI 60.9

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-WARRENS A P STRIKE 62.7
7-TOPPER SHOPPER 61.1
5-MIX 45.5

1st time starters - 4, 3, 2. 1, 6, 9

RACE 4
2-CARRIE'S A JEWEL 91.3
6-STEPPIN OUT ROSE 86.3
5-YODELADYTOO 80.2
7-SNEAKY JACK 76.6

RACE 5
3-GRITS 86.9
4-ROYAL 'N FABULOUS 65.7
10-ANY KIND OF STORM 63.2
2-TRADITION 57.7

1st time starters - 8, 9, 5, 7, 6,

RACE 6
3-GADDINGABOUT 96.5
5-BELTLINE JACK 93.9
2-ZAPPA 93.9
4-LAZIO 92.6

RACE 7
1-ASTERI 90.7
6-VARSITY BLUES 88.8
4-KONA WIND 79.6
3-MR. NEGOTIATOR 74.9

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-ONE ONLY 52.1
5-HIGH TOK 49.2
1-WEEVESCENT 43.8
3-FROTE MI PANZA 40.7

1st time starters - 2, 6, 9

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Tuesday, June 26, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, June 25, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened four times that I know of in over 665 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Saturday, June 23, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

NO FRIDAY RECAP DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-EXPECT VALKYR 70.9
1-HI LILY HI LO 51.6
6-SPONTANEOUS ANA 49.7
2-TEACHER'S RULE 45.6

1st time starters - 5, 7 (2f. races)

RACE 2
4-KALOOKAN DANCER 95.8
3-LADY MATILDA 87.5
5-TOPPISME 85.1
2-LUCKY STAB 79.0

RACE 3
7-I'M ALL OUT 94.5
3-WHY YOU ASK 88.1
1-SMOOTH AND SAVVY 70.3
5-KINSALER 57.0 (off slow)

1st time starters - 4, 6

RACE 4
1-TOPPER'S SMILING 78.4
3-ASIAN EYES 76.0
8-ARMED N DANGEROUS 72.0
4-WICKET WAGER 70.3
5-INSPIRATION WITHIN 70.3

RACE 5
2-BULLISH YIELD 96.9
3-LIKE RUNNING WATER 90.7
7-AUSTIN BARBER 90.0
5-KARN 88.1

RACE 6
4-TUMBAGA 93.2
8-DEPUTY LAD 90.1
9-FIGHTING CITY HALL 89.4
5-THE FIVE J'S 86.3

RACE 7
5-AWESOME GEM 112.2
2-C'MON TIGER 110.7
4-HE'S THE RAGE 100.6
1-SINNERS N SAINTS 94.5

RACE 8
4-GOLDEN BALLS 112.9
3-WORLDLY 98.4
5-LEVEL RED 87.6
7-MR EDDIE BOY 86.9

RACE 9
10-WARREN'S ADVENTURE 74.3
4-KENTUCKY WALTZ 71.4
1-ZOOM ZIP ZOOM 68.1
3-QUEEN CEE 63.8

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Thursday, June 21, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

Wed. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (6.40) 2nd pick 2nd (2.20)Ex (5.50) Q (3.80) 3rd pick 3rd (2.20) 4th pick 4th, no trifecta. Race 2- Top 1st timer won (4.40) 4th pick 2nd (5.20) Ex (16.30) Q (31.60). Race 3- Top Pick Won (6.80) Daily Double (11.60) 3rd pick 2nd (2.80) top pick keyed to next 2 picks- Ex (9.90) Q (8.40). Race 4- 3rd pick won (11.60) 2nd pick 2nd (2.60) top pick 4th, top 3 picks boxed- Ex (14.10) Q (10.00). Race 5- 2nd pick won (4.60) 3rd pick 2nd (4.20) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (7.80) Q (9.20) 4th pick 4th. Race 6- Top Pick Won (9.40) 3rd pick 2nd (5.40) top pick keyed- Ex (25.70) Q (29.60). Race 7- Top Pick Won (8.40) Daily Double (36.40) 4th pick 2nd (3.20) top pick keyed- Ex (14.30) Q (13.00) only 1st timer 3rd (2.20) trifecta (36.10). Race 8- 2nd pick won (8.40) 4th pick 2nd (4.80) top pick 3rd (2.60) 3rd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (19.80) Q (17.20) trifecta (55.10) superfecta (218.10).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-BOND 42.0
3-HOLLOMAN 36.2

1st time starters - 4, 1, 2, 5

RACE 2
2-MEDITATION MISS 63.8
1-LIKE JOSIE WELLS 60.6
5-LARUE 57.7
6-JORDAN SHELBY 56.6

RACE 3
6-UNUSUAL JANE 73.7
2-CES'T MARK 67.0
1-ANGEL EYED 67.0
3-CHESTNUT CHIPS 61.6
4-SALTY WONDER 61.1

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-WARREN'S YEAR 42.4
7-FILLED WITH HOPE 32.3
1-QUIET LEADER 31.9
2-STITCHIT 27.5

1st time starters - 6, 4, 5

RACE 5
3-BEYOND THE MARK 84.6
1-BLACK HILLS GOLDIE 82.0
7-MISS JOSIEY WALES 80.2
4-MIZZY TOPPER 72.0

RACE 6
3-SWEDISH RADAR 92.6
10-MCNASTY 90.0
6-LONE PRAIRIE 83.2
8-CELTIC SWORD 80.7

RACE 7
7-ONLY ONE WAY 113.9
4-BEDFORD FALLS 109.3
6-CIGAR PAL 105.6
5-HURRY HOME WARREN 103.8

RACE 8
6-NICCOLO DREAM 66.4
9-UNBRIDLED HARMONY 65.9
5-THUNDERING RHYTHM 63.8
13-PEACEFUL FLIGHT 61.1
12-ZIELONKO 61.1

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Tuesday, June 19, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-COLOMINAS 88.8
4-LADY LE BELLLE 88.1
1-HOLD THE GAME 74.3
3-LADY DISDAIN 69.2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-MARKET EXCHANGE 55.5
9-ZOOMIN ZABEL 54.0
6-NEWTON'S MEMORY 48.3
3-BLACK MALLOU 46.4

1st time starters - 2, 4, 5

RACE 3
1-SOCIAL SATIRE 80.8
5-FIGURES 75.4
9-ALPINE SPORT 73.7
2-JET IRON 69.2

RACE 4
10-SIR BELL 86.4
5-VICE ADMIRAL 83.2
1-TRULYMET'SMYDAD 79.0
2-BLUE MIDNIGHT 70.3

RACE 5
11-HIGH COMMAND 95.8
4-BIG PICTURE 93.2
2-TOWN THIEF 85.3
12-CURRENCY TRADER 77.2

RACE 6
8-CHARISMA MATTERS 74.0
2-EXCESSIVE TALE 73.1
7-PIECES OF PARADISE 73.1
1-GINNY WINNER 73.1

RACE 7
1-DOUBLE MAJOR 91.9
2-QUITE A RUSH 81.5
4-SWISS BLEND 77.4
5-BIG BERTHA 74.9

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
1-OWEN ROE O'NEILL 86.3
4-MELLOW CAMMIE 82.6
7-T.H. PRAISE 67.2
9-DART RIVER 67.0

1st time starters - 8

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HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, June 17, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

Sat. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick 2nd (4.80) top pick 3rd (2.80) 4th pick 4th. Race 2- 1 pick scratched, top pick 2nd (3.00) 2nd pick 3rd (no show) 3rd pick 4th. Race 3- 3rd pick won (6.00) 2nd pick 2nd (2.80) top pick 3rd (2.40) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (7.70) Q (7.60) trifecta (20.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 4- only 2 picks had run before, 1st timer won (41.60) 2nd pick 2nd (6.80) top 1st timer 3rd (2.40) 2nd 1st timer 4th, Ex (141.80) Q (17.80) trifecta (404.90). Race 5- Top Pick Won (6.80) 2nd pick 2nd (8.80) Ex (23.00) Q (27.40) 3rd pick 3rd (6.20) trifecta in order (116.70). Race 6- Top Pick Won (4.00) Daily Double (17.40) 4th pick 3rd (7.00) top pick 4th. Race 7- Top Pick Won (5.20) Pick-3 (32.50) Daily Double (10.80) 3rd pick 3rd (2.60) 4th pick 2nd (4.40) Top pick keyed- Ex (8.70) Q (9.60) trifecta (22.60). Race8- Top Pick Won (8.40) Pick-3 (40.90) Daily Double (24.40) 3rd pick 3rd (2.60) top pick 4th. Race 9- Top pick 3rd (4.40).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-TURNBOLT 113.2
5-NORTHERN SOLDIER 107.7
4-SCOTTSBLUFF 105.9
2-HARVARD AVENUE 101.6

RACE 2
8-AWESOME SHINE 73.2
4-PROTECTOROFALLEVILS 64.8
1-WANTED 63.4
6-TOUR DA BRONX 59.6

1st time starters - 3, 7, 2

RACE 3
4-BOPPA BOB 87.5
5-GOTTA GETCHA 82.6
3-HOT FLAME 78.4
7-YMUSTICHASETHE CAT 77.2

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-MISSION VIEJO HALO 81.4
2-THE GOLDEN NOODLE 68.1
10-YODELFEST 55.5

1st time starters - 7, 6, 11, 3, 4, 8, 1, 5

RACE 5
5-PROMISE OF SPRING 77.2
8-JAY AY 75.3
7-OLDCOURT 65.4
9-IN MY GLORY 63.8

RACE 6
5-TRUE DANCER 98.4
7-QUEST VENTURE 97.8
1-GRAFTON 96.5
3-CHADLINGTON 91.9

RACE 7
8-IDAHO JOE 98.4
10-ABALANCHE 97.1
1-CAYAMBE 96.1
9-PICK VIC 95.8

RACE 8
3-DESERT CODE 107.9
1-TIME TO GET EVEN 104.3
5-COBALT BLUE 103.1
4-AWESOME GAMBLER 100.4

RACE 9
10-INGRID THE GAMBLER 76.6
5-MISS BERTRANDO 70.3
4-MINIMITE 69.8
1-RELENTLESS 69.8

1st time starters - 2, 6

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Saturday, June 16, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THERE IS NOT A FRIDAY RECAP DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING.

RACE 1
6-YODELEN DAN 95.2
2-OPTIMER 91.3
1-BEAUTIFIER 83.8
3-SOAR WITH EAGLES 80.0

RACE 2
5-POINTING STAR 94.5
2-BUC THE SPARTAN 92.6
4-EL GREGO 85.7
1-KNIGHTHOOD 79.0

RACE 3
7-OCEAN GRAND 95.2
5-BUCK TUDDY BUCK 90.0
1-MI REY 86.9
6-BASTIONE 80.8

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-REEL PRIME 63.2
2-GOOD MAN DAN 49.7

1st time starters - 10, 6, 3, 7, 5, 4, 8, 1

RACE 5
2-NORWAY HOUSE 87.5
6-CLARENCE BEEKS 85.0
3-PT'S GREY EAGLE 83.8
7-LORD ALBION 76.6

RACE 6
2-RUN KITTY RUN 69.2
8-STORMIN GLORY 62.7
1-TRUCKEE TRANCE 58.0
10-LADY LEFTENNANT 45.5

1st time starters - 7, 9, 4

RACE 7
4-ENTER ANON 99.1
7-THREESIXTYSECURITY 88.8 (off Jan. 06)
5-ME MY MINE 88.7
2-NERINX 88.1

RACE 8
3-STORMIN AWAY 99.8
2-RUNNING FREE 98.5
7-RUNAWAY DANCER 97.8
9-CHURCH SERVICE 92.6

RACE 9
13-AFLEET'S DESIRE 60.1
11-CANDYGRAM 59.0
10-HAPPYHOUR ATHEBRIG 58.0
9-RUTHIE'S GIRL 58.0

1st time starters - 12

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Friday, June 15, 2007

 

HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thurs. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (3.00) 2nd pick 2nd (3.40) Ex (4.00) Q 95.60) 4th pick "tied" 3rd (3.80) 4th pick "tied" 4th. Race 2- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick 3rd (3.20). Race 3- 3rd pick won (10.40) 4th pick 3rd (7.40). Race 4- Top Pick Won (5.60) top 1st timer 2nd (4.40) 2nd 1st timer 3rd (7.00) 2nd pick 4th, Top pick keyed to top 2 1st timers and next pick- Ex (13.30) Q (12.60) Trifecta (81.80). Race 5- 2 picks scratched, 3rd pick won (5.00). Race 6- 3rd pick won (6.40) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40) top pick 4th. Race 7- 2nd pick won (7.20) top pick 2nd (6.60) boxed- Ex (23.70) Q (28.20). Race 8- 2nd pick won (6.80) top pick 3rd (4.20) 3rd pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THERE WILL NOT BE A FRIDAY RECAP DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING.

RACE 1
5-HOLY LARK 77.8
3-PAPA BRUSCHI 67.0
1-FRONT RUNNER 66.4
7-LAS VEGAS LUCKY 64.8

RACE 2
3-OCEAN MELODY 77.0
4-MAJ. TROUBLE 55.5
11-WARREN'S CHARM 53.5
7-DENNYBUCK 52.1

RACE 3
7-STEVEN'S BEING 88.1
4-ARROYO TRABUCO 87.0
1-LENDELL 85.6
2-BARCLAY DRIVE 79.0

RACE 4
10-HERBIE LOVE 76.0
9-SIBERZAR 68.1
8-ROYAL ROBERT 68.1
5-WARREN'S PEPE 61.1

RACE 5
7-SUNDAY DRESS 88.8
4-CATHERINE'S HOPE 84.4
11-ALPINE JEWEL 83.8
2-STAR VOYAGER 81.4 (off Oct. 06)

RACE 6
6-NATURAL PHENOMENON 93.2
4-RIDINGWITHTHE KING 88.8
8-FIVE STAR CHARM 88.1
7-INDIAN WEAVER 78.4
9-CANTBEATWHATUCANTC 78.4

RACE 7
5-SINISTER MINISTER 96.5
3-VICTORY SIGN 95.2
6-KING PALM 93.9
1-GO GO DANCER 90.7

RACE 8
12-BAND OF THUNDER 75.4
5-HEATHER'S ECHO 71.4
9-RUN FOREST RUN 64.8
10-SIX AGAIN 61.6

1st time starters - 11, 14, 13

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Thursday, June 14, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

Wed. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (3.00) top 1st timer 2nd (5.40) 3rd pick 3rd (2.80) 2nd pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (9.10) Q (12.80) trifecta (31.50). Race 2- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick 3rd (2.40) top pick 4th, 3rd pick broke down. Race 3- 2nd pick won (4.40) 3rd pick 2nd (7.60) 4th pick 4th, picks boxed -Ex (22.60) Q (47.20). Race 4- 4th pick won (18.80) top pick 3rd (2.40) 2nd pick 4th. Race 5-4th pick won (11.60) top pick 3rd (6.80) 3rd pick 4th. Race 6- 2nd pick won (7.80) 3rd pick 3rd (3.40). Race 7- 2nd pick won (9.60) top pick 2nd (2.80) boxed- Ex (12.80) Q (9.80) 3rd pick 3rd (3.40) trifecta (51.60). Race 8- Top 1st timer won (15.20) 2nd pick 3rd (3.40) 1st timer 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-RIVER'S PRAYER 105.9
3-VALID'S VALID 98.4
5-FAN TIME 94.5
1-NO LULLABY 85.0
2-SILLY LITTLE MAMA 85.0 (off July 06)

RACE 2
5-CRYPYTOMITE 78.4
2-EAGLE RIDGE 66.4
1A-AWESOME GRAF 65.9 (entry)
6-WEFT 61.6

RACE 3
6-LYRICAL SOUND 85.6
3-SWEET AMBITION 83.2
7-SWEET DEE'S 82.0
4-GOLD ON GOSSAMER 77.2

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
10-MIGHTY FINE WINE 59.0
8-CLEVER LADY 53.5
4-SOMEWHERE TONIGHT 30.0
5-LA GACELA 22.5

1st time starters - 2, 3, 1, 9, 12, 11, 13

RACE 5
5-ROOSEVELT 85.1
2-HEADCOACH 82.8
1-SAINTLY SON 82.6
9-STEALTH MISSILE 73.7
7-LUBERON 73.1

RACE 6
1-ACE HIGH HAND 94.8 (entry)
4-BATTLE TOO 91.3
9-MR. BIG 90.7
7-TIZTIME 78.4

1st time starters - 3

RACE 7
3-SCANDALOUS 94.5
11-CELTIC DREAMIN 91.3
1-ONE ON THE HOUSE 91.3
9-CATOUTTATHEBAG 91.3

RACE 8
3-GARFIELD PARK 92.6
1-LEAD STEALER 84.4
4-LARGO 77.2
12-WILD UNCLE KURT 69.2

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Wednesday, June 13, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.



ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-MY REDEEMER 68.6
4-SANDITA 62.7
3-LETSGOBYEBYE 46.0
5-SWISS E 37.8

1st time starters - 2, 6

RACE 2
5-EVER SO NICE 76.6
6-SPEEDY CAJUN 68.6
4-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 63.2
1-TINA BALLERINA 63.2

RACE 3
6-POULE D'EAU 73.1
5-RIVOLTELLA 63.4
4-NINAAKINA 63.1
1-PRIDE OF PEGASUS 58.1 (off slow)

RACE 4
1-MACADAMIA 85.6
7-MISS JOSIEY WALES 80.8
4-MARVELOUS MARCIA 80.2
5-NOOTKA ISLAND 69.2

RACE 5
7-BRIDGE TOO FAR 79.6
8-MYSTERIOUS CAT 79.0
11-FORGIVABLE BOB 78.4
9-CAPTAIN SACTO 77.2

RACE 6
6-PINDARIC 95.8
4-CANDY JO 93.2
2-NOSSA CANCAO 91.9
1-DANCING SQUALL 87.5

1st time starters - 3

RACE 7
3-RING OF FRIENDSHIP 97.1
6-ISIPINGO 90.0
2-DADSALITTLEUNUSAL 89.4
7-LIKE A TIGER 87.5

RACE 8
4-CRAFTY RULER 49.2
5-TRANSVAAL SCOTTISH 45.1
10-DUSTY TRAIL 41. 6 (slow start)
8-TOP DIS N DAT 41.1

1st time starters - 7, 9, 1, 6, 2, 12

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Tuesday, June 12, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, June 11, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Sun. recap- Race 1-Only 1 pick had run before, Top 1st timer won (4.20) 2nd 1st timer 2nd (5.60) Ex (12.80) Q (12.00)Top and only pick 3rd (2.60) 3rd 1st timer 4th, trifecta (43.50) superfecta (247.20). Race 2- Top Pick Won (6.40) Daily Double (14.40) 3rd pick 2nd (3.40) 4th pick 3rd (3.20) top pick keyed- Ex (10.80) Q (11.20) trifecta (27.50). Race 3- top pick 3rd (2.60). Race 4- Top Pick Won (4.20) 4th pick 3rd (10.00) 2nd pick 4th. Race 5-4th pick won (4.80) 3rd pick 2nd (5.80) 2nd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (48.70) Q (49.20). Race 6- 4th pick 3rd (4.60) 3rd pick 4th. Race 7- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (7.80) 3rd pick 2nd (15.60) 2nd pick 3rd (3.60) 4th pick 4th, Top Pick Keyed- Ex (60.00) Q (93.00) trifecta (215.00) Superfecta (1,635.00). Race 8- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (6.40) 3rd pick 4th. Race 9- 3rd pick won in dead heat (9.60) place (9.60) 4th pick 4th.

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened four times that I know of in over 645 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, June 10, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
3-PREMIER ISSUE 58.5

1st time starters - 6, 1, 7, 2, 4, 5, 8

RACE 2
2-UNUSUAL JANE 64.8
1-FLIGHT CLEARANCE 57.0
7-MON QUEEN 55.5
5-CANDYGRAM 51.6

1st time starters - 9, 12

RACE 3
3-SILVER LIGHT 82.0
1-SOUTHERN MAN 76.6
6-COOL HAND LUCCA 74.9
8-STEAMBOAT BAY (off Aug. 06)

1st time starters - 5

RACE 4
6-VAUQUELIN 95.2
8-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 89.4
7-ROBBOS COURAGE 86.3
1-HOIST THE SAIL 86.3

RACE 5
6-PRESSTHEPACE 92.6
8-GOLDEN ROYAL 89.4
5-COYOTE FAST 80.8 (off June 06)
4-BLAZE IT 77.2

RACE 6
5-EL MANUEL 116.4
2-YOUR TENT OR MINE 112.2 (off Dec. 05)
8-DEVIL'S BAY 101.1
3-DILEMMA 99.8 (off Nov. 06)

RACE 7
4-MANYOUK 94.4
8-MEDZENDEEKRON 90.0
7-MY MAN MURF 88.8
6-MY CITY BY THE BAY 86.3
2-GLOBAL HEAT 86.3

RACE 8
2-ASHLEY'S KITTY 92.6
3-TOUGH TIZ'S SIS 91.9
1-HUCKING HOT 85.0
4-FOLLOW THE CLUES 85.0

RACE 9
3-FIRE CRACKLE 81.3
1-LITTLE BERTRANDO 78.4
2-SPRIGGZEE 77.2
7-EL SALVADOR 76.6

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Saturday, June 09, 2007

 

BELMONT PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

No Friday recap from Hollywood Park due to late night racing.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-LORD SNOWDON 105.2 (entry)
7-GRAND CHAMPION 98.5
3-OH MY STARS 95.2
5-EXECUTIVE SEARCH 90.0

RACE 2
1-SLEWFOUNDMONEY 79.0 (entry)
9-PROM PARTY 77.2
10-COME FLY AWAY 75.5
8-RISKY AGENDA 73.7

1st time starters - 1A (entry) , 6

RACE 3
4-HESANOLDSALT 119.3
1-A. P. ARROW 112.2
5-NAUGHTY NEW YORKER 110.0
2-EVENING ATTIRE 106.6

RACE 4
9-SMOKY CHIMNEY 93.2
6-WOODMERE 77.8
10-DEFREREOFTHEHEART 77.8
3-BERRY BOUND 76.0

RACE 5
4-A TRUE PUSSYCAT 105.2
7-MERIBEL 98.5
11-FANTASTIC SHIRL 97.8
1-FLOW CHART 94.5

RACE 6
5-BORDONARO 114.3
1A-SUAVE JAZZ 108.0 (entry)
1-DASHBOARD DRUMMER 105.2 (entry)
2-COUNCIL MEMBER 102.5

RACE 7
5-WAIT A WHILE 110.0
2-MY TYPHOON 109.3
4-MAURALAKANA 105.2
1-TAKE THE RIBBON 103.1

RACE 8
2-DEADLY DEALER 110.0
8-STREET MAGICIAN 105.9
5-SPORTS TOWN 104.5
6-MOST DISTINGUISHED 102.5

RACE 9
1-DREAM RUSH 108.6
3-CHRISTMAS KID 91.9
6-BOCA GRANDE 91.9
2-PRINCESS JANIE 90.8

RACE 10
2-ENGLISH CHANNEL 121.5
7-BETTER TALK NOW 120.8
3-SKY CONQUEROR 113.6
6-SHAKIS 113.6

RACE 11 - BELMONT STAKES
3-CURLIN 125.3
6-HARD SPUN 122.3
4-C P WEST 115.7
7-RAGS TO RICHES 112.9
5-SLEW'S TIZZY 110.0

RACE 12
5-QUIET RENDITION 80.8
9-HEAVENLY ANNA 76.0
2-SWEET CORREDOR 76.0
1-HOLD THAT THOUGHT 74.7 (entry)

RACE 13
3-STATELY PEGASUS 77.2
15-DUBLINER 76.6
16-TRIPLE BOGEY BLUES 70.3
12-SEITTAM 68.6
6-THREEANDOH 68.1

1st time starters - 7, 5

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Friday, June 08, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thurs. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (6.40) 3rd pick 2nd (4.00) top pick 3rd (2.20) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (11.40) Q (13.20) trifecta (21.10). Race 2- 2nd pick won (12.60) 4th pick 2nd (4.20) top pick 3rd (2.20) 3rd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (20.00) Q (15.00) trifecta (55.80). Race 3- 3rd pick won (8.60) 4th pick 2nd (8.80) 2nd pick 3rd (3.00) top pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (29.90) Q (29.60). Race 4- 2nd 1st timer won (29.80) top pick 2nd (3.80) Ex (82.40) Q (55.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 5- Top Pick Won- (3.80) 2nd pick 2nd (6.60) Ex (10.00) Q (12.40) 4th pick 3rd (3.20) top pick keyed- trifecta (57.00). Race 6- 2nd pick won (20.20) 3rd pick 4th. Race 7- 4th pick won (9.20) 2nd pick 2nd (6.00) top pick 3rd (2.40) 3rd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (23.00) Q (33.60). Race 8- 3rd 1st timer won (15.00) 5th 1st timer 2nd (7.80) 2nd pick 3rd (11.00) top 1st timer 4th, Ex (65.60) Q (88.20) trifecta (709.50) Superfecta (4,582.80).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THERE WILL NOT BE A RECAP FOR FRI. DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING.

SATURDAY I WILL HANDICAP THE ENTIRE BELMONT RACE CARD IN PLACE OF HOLLYWOOD PARK.

RACE 1
2-MIDNIGHTER 82.6
1-BLAKE'S PASSION 81.4
7-DART RIVER 77.2
4-OUR PAPA JOE 74.3

1st time starters - 8, 3, 6

RACE 2
3-FOREST MELODY 73.1
1-ZAIN LASS 67.5 (entry)
7-QUEEN OF THE DERBY 65.9
2-OUTRA RAFAELA 62.0

RACE 3
1-BRANDI'S STARLITE 73.7
4-WAGER'S TREASURE 67.5 (off Nov. 06)
9-GOTTA GO GAL 67.0
3-LIL NUGGET 64.8

RACE 4
11-MARIN COUNTY 66.4
8-LUCKY WISE GUY 58.0
5-BOSTON DIRECT 57.0
1-LOTTA GAMBLE 57.0

RACE 5
3-SEMI LOST 103.2 (off Oct. 04)
8-IZA GENERAL 95.2
2-BILLS PAID 93.9
7-YES MASTER 89.4

RACE 6
11-NO NAME JUST GAME 81.4 (off Sept. 06)
6-REMEMBER MAGGIE 65.4
7-TORIKINS 63.8
10-RUNAWAY WINNER 63.2

RACE 7
5-QUEEN'S IMAGE 93.9
3-RED STATE 93.2
4-TEN DOWNING STREET 92.6
2-RAPID SILVER 81.4

RACE 8
5-GRECIAN SPUR 78.4
3-SENIOR DISCOUNT 77.8
7-ONE SOCK WONDER 67.5
12-RIVER REBEL 61.6

1st time starters - 8, 10

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Wednesday, June 06, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-D PIRATES MARKER 82.0
1-POKOMOKE 70.9
4-AWESOME BROAD 69.8
2-G. I. BETTY 69.3

RACE 2
6-SUNSHINE RIDGE 90.0
2-KONA WIND 75.1
3-MEAUX POWER 68.1
1-DAYTONA 64.8

RACE 3
3-LA SERENATA 61.6
7-KATALSTA 51.6
5-GOLD DATNOID 51.5
1-C.C.'S DEELITE 50.6

RACE 4
5-LEMON 89.4
8-WINESHINE 71.7
2-BAD BOY 71.1
6-STORMS OF LIFE 58.1

1st time starters - 7, 9

RACE 5
5-BELLE FLEUR 102.5
7-UDRIGA 96.5
6-ARGENTINISIMA 93.9
1-SO LONG SONOMA 93.9 (entry)

RACE 6
3-ISLAND LIGHTNING 64.3
4-CLASSY DISH 48.3
11-PICA FRESA 41.1
6-GERI HEARS AN ECHO 40.7

1st time starters - 9, 5, 10, 8

RACE 7
6-SUMMER EVENT 84.0
7-BEAU GENI 83.2
5-VALLEY STORM 80.8
2-MADERA ROYAL 80.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
9-EL VAGO 59.0
2-WEEVESCENT 34.6
3-LINCOLN CITY 31.9
8-COMMANDER BILL 24.8

1st time starters - 4, 7, 6, 5

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Tuesday, June 05, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, June 03, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

Sat. recap- Race 1-2nd pick won (4.40) 4th pick 2nd (3.20) 3rd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (5.20) Q (6.40). Race 2- 2nd pick won (34.60) 3rd pick 2nd (4.00) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (75.40) Q (65.80). Race 3- 2nd pick won (6.40) top pick 2nd (2.40) 3rd pick 3rd (2.20) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (6.80) Q (6.00) trifecta (15.00). Race 4- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick 2nd (18.20) top pick 4th. Race 5- Top Pick Won (5.40) 4th pick 2nd (4.00) 2nd pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (10.90) Q (14.80). Race 6- 2nd pick won (15.80). Race 7- 2nd pick 2nd (6.20) top pick 3rd (2.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 8- 4th pick 2nd (18.80) 3rd pick 3rd (4.60) top pick 4th. Race 9- 3rd 1st timer won (8.40) top 1st timer 2nd (4.60) boxed- Ex (14.80) Q (15.40) 3rd pick 3rd (4.20) top pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-CORAZONDELCAMPEON 105.9
3-BOLD CHIEFTAIN 96.1 (off Nov. 06)
1-GOTAGHOSTOFACHANCE 88.8
4-DON'TSELLMESHORT 85.0 (off Jan. 05)

RACE 2
5-ROBOT WOMAN 69.8
6-FLOWER FUSION 66.4
8-STELLINA 64.8
2-AFTER CURFEW 59.6

1st time starters - 1, 7

RACE 3
3-HYSTERICALADY 117.9
4-BALANCE 112.2
7-NASHOBA'S KEY 96.8
1-BALLADO'S THUNDER 88.8

RACE 4
7-WICKET WAGER 74.9
1-COMPANY SECRET 70.3
5-ST WAGER 70.3
8-JUMP ROPE GIRL 58.5
6-WARREN'S KITTEN 58.5

RACE 5
3-VICE ADMIRAL 91.9
6-MORE SHINE 83.2
2-WORLD NEWS 76.4
5-FRANK THE BARBER 73.7
10-MONTE BAJO 73.1

RACE 6
5-SNEAKY JACK 95.2
1-SIZZLING SARAH 93.2
6-CARRIE'S A JEWEL 91.9
2-DEE'S A LEGEND 84.4

RACE 7
1-JAKE SKATE 106.1
4-SEEKING ANSWERS 91.9
8-BLUE STELLER 88.8
5-OUR FINALE 85.0
3-TOTALLY PLATINUM 84.4

RACE 8
3-PRIME CATCH 99.8
1-GLORIFIED 98.4
6-BACK IN THE SHADE 80.1
5-PRIMAL CAT 78.4

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
6-CAPTAIN QUICK 68.1
2-TRACTON'S GOLDEN 60.6
5-FOLLOWS NONE 53.0
1-LAKE MEZA 46.9

1st time starters - 9, 10, 7, 8, 4

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Saturday, June 02, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THERE IS NOT A RECAP FOR FRI. DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING.

RACE 1
5-RIVER MELODY 94.8
1-KRIS'S SIS 91.9
4-I CAN SEE 86.9
3-MUSICAL HIGH 82.6

RACE 2
10-SIX AGAIN 64.3
1-ROCKINFAST 59.0
9-RUDEAMEANIE 57.5
13-VIRTUE N VICE 55.5

1st time starters - 5, 6

RACE 3
3-KALOOKAN DANCER 97.1
6-LA TEE 80.2
4-USK POPPY 74.3
5-FEEL THE RUSH 73.7

RACE 4
9-FAMARAPTOR 62.2 (off Sept. 06)
12-HEZA CHARGER 56.5
10-HARD ALEE 56.5 (off June 06)
7-TOPPERS DREAM 54.5

1st time starters - 3, 4, 5, 13, 1

RACE 5
1-SINDY WITH AN S 99.6
2-SWISS DIVA 96.5
5-SPENDITALLBABY 93.2
8-YOU ARE THE ANSWER 91.3

RACE 6
8-VICTORY JOE 85.6
15-JOHNNY EVES 80.2
3-CALIFORNIA FLAG 79.6
12-COMPLEXITY 77.2

1st time starters - 5, 11, 1, 6

RACE 7
7-PRINCE OF GOLD 95.2
3-GHOST ACTOR 91.3
6-ROY JONES 88.1
1-THE RYEMAN 87.5

RACE 8
4-BOBOMAN 112.2
10-KIP DEVILLE 107.2
12-A. P. XCELLENT 106.6
7-SUN BOAT 105.2

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
3-LOVEHI 63.2
5-HI LILY HI LO 56.0
1-THANKFULLY 54.0

1st time starters - 8, 7, 9, 10, 4, 2, 6

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Friday, June 01, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thurs. recap- No recap for Thurs. due to late posting.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THERE WILL NOT BE A RECAP FOR FRI. DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING- 7:05 PM (pdt).

RACE 1
7-MOOD WINNER 76.6
3-THEMIS VALENTINE 68.6
4-SHEZBAD 67.0
6-LIGHTEN UP RULE 65.4

1st time starters - 5

RACE 2
6-TEEMAN 87.5
1A-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 86.9 (entry)
4-BRITE BOBBY 84.4
2-UNUSUAL TREASURE 83.8

RACE 3
5-FRANKLIN'S TOWER 88.8
6-HUDSON BANK 83.2
3-TALEGA CREEK 80.2
2-CLARENCE BEEKS 80.2

RACE 4
6-OCEAN MELODY 76.6
10-UP IN THE GODS 72.0
12-I'M A SHOE IN 69.8
7-AMERICAN INFLUENCES 66.4

RACE 5
8-KELLY CARSON 88.8
3-MISS SILVER IMAGE 83.8
7-HOLLY'S GOLD 83.2
2-CALLMELUCKYLUCY 68.6

RACE 6
6-TRICK A CAT 78.4
1A-MOHAWK 76.6
8-MADAME BLACKFOOT 76.6
4-BUTTERFLY BELLE 73.1

RACE 7
4-THEVERYTHOUGHTOF U 101.8
1-TIME TOSAY GOODBYE 97.8
3-TWO TIMES WON 93.3
11-REY LAKE 86.9

RACE 8
9-NEUTRALITY 60.1
14-AFLEET'S DESIRE 60.1
10-HAPPYHOUR ATHEBRIG 52.1
5-MIZ PARADIS 47.4

1st time starters - 4, 3

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