Friday, July 31, 2015

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $53,419.

RACE 1
8-GENERAL ANN 75.4
1-MINSTER'SADVENTURE 72.5
5-BIRTHDAY SONG 66.4
4-AN UNUSUAL 61.1
7-MIA'S STORM 61.1

RACE 2
8-BELLAMY CONCERTO 69.5
5-TRAVEL BOUND 58.0
3-FOOD STAMPS 48.8
6-EXEMPLAR 48.8
1-BOLLYWOOD 44.6

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 3
5-MANGO REWARD 74.9
1-SCUTI PATUTI 70.3
2-BLIND DREAMS 70.3
4-SUMMER VEIL 68.2
6-TRUE HISTORY 67.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-SOME CAAN JOB 49.7
2-ESMERALDA BELLE 44.6
10-I'M A DRAMA QUEEN 43.3

1st time starters - 7, 5, 6, 9, 3, 1, 8

RACE 5
5-EMPTY HEADED 88.1
4-JOMELO 87.5
3-FAST TRACK 87.5
1-NAHEM 82.6
2-AL'S UNCLE 77.8

RACE 6
3-MOTOWN MEN 107.9
7-BATTI MAN 103.8
8-FAME AND POWER 102.5
5-DEESERT DYNAMO 99.8
1-HORIZONTALYSPEAKIN 92.8

1st time starters - 9 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-MY PALMILLA 69.2
2-AIMING STRIGHT 65.4
6-RECKLESS CHARM 64.3
7-OBEY 63.8
1-IBELIVEWEWILLWIN 62.2

RACE 8
3-MY SLEW 81.4
8-FRENSHAM 72.0
4-BIG SUGAR SODA 71.4
2-MAXIMINUS 70.9
5-W. GILES 70.3
10-PARLIAMENTARIAN 69.2

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Thursday, July 30, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-ITZ A SAINT 83.2
6-WILD CAROLINE 77.2
2-LA CASADORA 71.4
3-GRAMMY TIMES SIX 71.4
4-KANA FLAVOR 70.0

RACE 2
4-POWER OF NINE 75.4
3-SHARED IMAGE 74.9
6-SUGAR SPICE 71.4
7-PRIMA GIANNA 62.2
2-RUNNINGWITHTHE LUTE 56.0
5-PRETTYHOTPRINCESS 56.0

RACE 3
6-ZANBO 85.6
2-AUGUSTINA DE ARAGON 82.0
5-VANLOSE STAIRWAY 77.6
11-AWESOME LOOKIN 76.6
10-FOREVER A FAN 76.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-UNBRIDLED ROCKET 39.9
4-INDY'S DYNNAMO 16.3
8-DIXIE WRITER 15.8
3-DANCININDYSPOTLITE 11.6

1st time starters - 2, 1, 7, 5, 9, 10

RACE 5
2-GANGNAM GUY 88.2
3-BENBA 85.6
7-TIZ FUTURITY 80.2
6-ONE NIGHT WONDER 80.2
9-RAINBOW NORTH 77.2

RACE 6
1-SHE'S REDDY 86.3
5-CASSANDRAS CHASE 77.8 (3 wide)
8-GIRL DOWNSTAIRS 67.0
9-BOAT DRINKS 67.0
4-DAD'S PRINCESS 59.8

RACE 7
4-POWER PED 104.5
6-DRAW TWO 99.8 (off June 14)
5-LEWIS VALE 99.1
3-PLAY HARD TO GET 91.3
2-LITTLE JERRY 88.8

1st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
8-EAGLE ROCK 64.8
5-BLACK TIE 63.2
2-NEXT BOOK 63.2
6-GENEROUS DON 59.3
11-BARBARY COAST 57.0
1-PIPPAPPY 57.0

1st time starters - 12




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Wednesday, July 29, 2015

 
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $562,765

RACE 1
7-OIL 93.2
3-HYE I'M JACK 76.0
1-HE WILL 74.3
5-BOOMPA 68.6
2-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 68.6

RACE 2
7-WHERE WAS EDDIE 71.2
4-NOOTEN 64.1
3-WORLDWIDE 57.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 2, 1, 5, 6

RACE 3
2-JIMMY BOUNCER 102.9 (off Oct. 14)
6-HORSE LAUGH 90.7
3-WELL MAYBE 89.4
1-SERBIAN SYCLONE 87.5
4-CLEVER ROYAL 86.9

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
11-WISH I UNDERSTOOD 55.0
9-TUMBLEWEEDPRINCESS 40.3
13-ONE PUTT PAR 39.9
6-RICH GIRL 36.6
7-ONE BYE TWO 30.8

1st time starters - 1, 4, 10, 2, 12

RACE 5 (all 2yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-LAND OVER SEA 58.0
7-WARM ENDOWMENT 55.0
1-SHE'S ON THE LINE 46.9
5-GOOD LOOKING 25.8

1st time starters - 4, 2, 8, 6

RACE 6
1-LUCKY STUDENT 83.2
3-BONUS SPIN 72.6
8-ANITA MARIE 66.4 (off Feb. 14)
7-LETS GET FRISKY 60.1
2-TOUGH ANNIE 58.5

RACE 7
3-KYANKES 71.4
2-SOUND CITY 68.6
9-SHOWCASE WINNER 68.1
10-BACKSTREET LISA 68.1
7-HOUSEMAKER 65.4
1-YES YES BARONESS 65.4

RACE 8
1-SHAKAHARI 74.9
5-SAINT ADALBERT 74.3
4-TEST RIDE 74.1
10-JIMMY'S DATE 73.7
9-NO EZ MONEY 70.9 (off Nov. 14)
2-GEORGES MAIN MAN 70.3

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Tuesday, July 28, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, July 27, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,269 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, July 26, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $104,269.

RACE 1
4-L X SUNRISE 67.0
6-HIDE MY HEART 65.9
5-GOLD JOURNEY 60.6
2-ILL TELL YOU WHAT 58.0
8-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 51.1

RACE 2
4-JAN'S SPIRIT 70.9
3-WILD HEART RUN 69.2
1-PRETTYPRECIOUSHEIR 65.9
2-HAAY SEXY LADY 54.0
5-SHALLOOT 53.5

RACE 3
6-VISIBILITY 77.2
3-L'S CHOICE 64.8
7-WOODY'S FOLLY 57.0
2-SAXON LORD 55.6
4-FAR OUT KAILEE 43.3

1st time starters - 1

RACE 4
10-NEWFOUND GOLD 86.9
4-BRANDO THE BIRDMAN 82.6
6-RUSH IN 80.2
8-I WILL FOLLOW 80.1
9-DASHING ASH 76.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-RARE CANDY 65.9 (4 wide)
14-LETITHAPPEN 47.8 (3 wide)
11-OSCEOLA POND 42.2 (5 wide)
4-PHANTOM HEAT 39.0
5-CLUDE 36.2

1st time starters - 3, 10, 2, 13, 12

RACE 6
5-MASOCHISTIC 122.3
6-APPEALING TALE 111.1
2-DISTINCTIV PASSION 109.3
1-KOBE'S BACK 103.1
4-WILD DUDE 101.8

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-TIZ A TOMMY TOWN 73.1
6-LADY CLOUD 49.7

1st time starters - 1, 3, 8, 4, 2, 5, 11, 10

RACE 8
9-G. G. RYDER 108.8
8-AWESOME RETURN 101.8
3-ROCK ME BABY 97.8
7-PATRIOTS RULE 95.2
2-AMBITIOUS BREW 93.9
11-SURFCUP 93.9

RACE 9
2-ALAMO 87.5
1-J SERINO 84.4
4-SLEEPWALKER 72.0
9-CLICKJAB 69.8
7-COLONIAL POWER 66.4 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 8, 5, 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.), 11

RACE 10
9-SPIRIT OF TEN 83.2
12-WONDERFUL LIFE 80.9
8-TEMEEKU 80.8 (off Nov. 14)
6-Q'VIVA 80.0
10-CHARMING STARLET 78.4
11-I'M NO PATSY 78.1

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Saturday, July 25, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-BRIMSTONED 70.9
1-STORMIN TRICK 63.2
4-LUCKY REALITY 58.5
7-SINDYS LUCK 58.5
5-SHOW AND TELL 58.5

RACE 2
1-BECKER'S GALAXY 89.4
10-FIT TO RULE 84.4
3-WARREN'S JOE T. 76.6
2-HITTHEROADRUNNING 74.0
11-ANTINANCO 73.7

RACE 3
3-SHEER PLEASURE 91.3
6-KISS AT MIDNIGHT 86.9
4-MISSY MOUSE 79.6
2-BIG BOOK 75.4
1-PATSY G AND ME 73.1

RACE 4
7-GREAT LOU 86.9
8-FIGHT THRU 85.0
6-BANDIDO TOO 79.6
4-A COLT FOLLOWING 75.4
1-IKE WALKER 74.9

RACE 5
2-SON OF WAR 93.2
1-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 92.6
11-IT IS LIVING WATER 90.7
4-LUCKBOX SAM 84.4
10-UNUSUAL TASTE 84.4

1st time starters - 9 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-AMERICAN LEAGUE 58.5
9-NUKE LALOOSH 55.5 (3 wide)
7-EXAGGERATOR 49.7
1-PATH OF DAVID 49.2 (bumped foe)

1st time starters - 10, 4, 3, 6, 12, 11

RACE 7
3-CHAULK O LATTEY 91.3
9-SWEET AS A ROSE 90.0
6-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 84.4
11-ZANBO 83.8
14-JOSEPHINE'S MOMENT 82.0

1st time starters - 8, 4 (both horses are fgn. and starting in U.S.A.)

RACE 8
6-CATCH A FLIGHT 116.4
3-HOOPERTUNITY 106.6
7-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 105.9
5-MAJESTIC CITY 104.5
2-APPEALING TALE 103.1

RACE 9
1-UNBLUNTED 91.9
3-TANNERSMYMUSCLE 91.3
5-K THIRTY EIGHT 90.7
7-PAPA TURF 90.7
2-MICKS MIRACLE 90.0

RACE 10
11-PLACE DES VOSGES 74.3
10-SCANDAL 73.7
13-GIRL DOWNSTAIRS 72.0
2-FOOLISH WAYS 67.5
5-CADET RONI 67.0
12-MARGARET REAY 63.4

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Friday, July 24, 2015

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $235,618.

RACE 1
3-BARBS ANGEL 61.3
2-JAZZED 60.1
9-BLONDY'S REWARD 58.5
1-RUSH DAY 51.1 (off Nov. 14)
6-FASHIONED GEM 49.2

1st time starters - 8, 10

RACE 2
3-MISSING GROOM 93.2
2-CHIEF OF STAFF 86.3
6-STORM COMIN THRU 83.2
5-WINGS OF MOJAVE 82.0
4-FORT CADY 74.3

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-CARLOS DANGEROUS 50.6
1-STAR EXPRESS 38.6
4-FAMILY CODE 33.8 (3 wide)
2-OH MERCY ME 33.8 (4 wide)
10-COUNTERPLAY 32.3

1st time starters - 6, 11

RACE 4
4-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 95.8
10-MR T BIRD 90.7 (off July 14)
2-LUCKY VIEWS 89.4
13-ANYTHINGSCOOKIN 89.4
11-FRIENDSWITH K MILL 88.1

RACE 5
1-SURFER MOON 83.8
9-TEN CARAT ROCK 74.3
7-PEFIOLO 73.1
2-SHEMP 66.4
5-WIN QUIETLY 64.8

RACE 6
3-SKY KINGDOM 107.3
5-BIG JOHN B 94.8
4-BAILOUTBOBBY 93.2
2-CAT BURGLAR 89.4
7-SOLID WAGER 87.5

RACE 7
6-WHICH MARKET 93.2
8-WICKED FINANCE 91.9
2-TERRYS TOM CAT 89.4
1-TIZ DYNAMIC 87.5
3-BENCH LIGHT 86.3

RACE 8
2-BELLA BREEZE 61.6
7-LET THE GIRL GO 55.5 (3 WIDE, BUMPED)
14-ELIMINATION ROUND 51.1
5-LADY REGINA 49.2
11-MATTER OF LUCK 39.9
12-STUNNING TASTE 38.6

1st time starters - 10, 6


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Thursday, July 23, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACE PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $52,158.

RACE 1
2-WISH I UNDERSTOOD 39.9
9-DON'T TELL JACKIE 36.6
6-FAST ESCAPE 35.8
3-VRONSKY'S DEVKA 31.1
8-MISS AMADOR 25.4 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 7, 4, 1

RACE 2
8-LEXIE ARLEEN 74.9
6-TWELVE FOLDS 65.4
7-NORASTONE 62.7
4-ROSEWHITENBLUE 60.6
3-GOOD STATS 57.5

RACE 3
7-RULE HE WILL 102.3
2-ROY H 91.9
12-LABOUR 88.8
10-ROCKET HEAT 88.1
5-TOSHEEN 79.0

RACE 4
1-ZARGA STAR 67.5
3-I'M ZONIN 58.5
11-GRAVITY FORCE 57.5
8-CASS IN STONE 53.5 (3 wide)
9-OUT OF MISCHIEF 53.5

RACE 5
10-BILGER'S SAPPHIRE 70.9
1-PEGGY SUE'S LOOSE 69.8 (off June 14)
11-ALMOST REALITY 69.2
8-JUST GOT LUCKY 68.6
5-TICABOO 65.9

RACE 6
8-WAR ACADEMY 95.2
6-OILGARCH 93.9
1-AIN'T NO OTHER 87.5
7-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 83.8
2-I BE MIKE 81.4
5-BARREL KNOT 81.4

RACE 7
9-DIAMOND STILETTOS 88.1
8-TANGELO 86.9
3-HALLJOY 86.3
6-LADY'S PLAN 79.6
2-KADESHA 76.6

RACE 8
10-TEASING MOMENT 62.7
6-I HEART YOU 62.7
3-FLYIN FOR A LIVIN 61.6
8-HOT AND PLEASING 61.6
4-QUICK NAVIGATOR 60.6
1-WEST COAST STORM 60.6

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Wednesday, July 22, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
1-SILVERTRON 65.4
7-CRAZY AL 61.1
3-JUSTONEMORETHING 58.0
6-DOMINGO CAT 56.5
5-ONE MORE ROLL 54.0

RACE 2
3-WHISKEY WILD 79.0
4-KARMA KING 79.0
2-WARREN'S T. BAZE 74.3
8-SIR MACHO 72.6
7-DOYOUKNOWSOMETHING 72.6

RACE 3
5-HOLY LUTE 107.3
6-HEAD SIUTH 106.6
3-FOREST CHATTER 103.8
4-DI GIORGIO 102.5
9-HEIR OF STORM 92.5

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
1-BRIANA JEAN 46.4
3-GRAPE FIZZ 42.0
8-LADY WEDGE 40.7
14-TIZ PLEASANT 38.2
5-SHE'S TOO WILD 33.8

1st time starters - 2, 10, 7, 12

RACE 5
11-DIABLO CABALLERO 80.2
7-OVER PAR 75.4
1-SIR CAL 73.7
5-ACE DEUCE 70.3
10-BOLD PAPA 67.0

RACE 6
6-DIVINA COMEDIA 96.3
7-SKY MEGA 93.1
5-SAVINGS ACCOUNT 87.5
4-ROKSANA 86.3
9-FRONT RANGE 85.8

RACE 7
11-WINNING PRIZE 104.5
2-FOOTSTEPSINBRONZE 101.1
6-PURE TACTICS 100.4
10-WILKINSON 99.8 (off Aug. 13)
4-KULIK LODGE 99.8

1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
7-CHICAGO ANGEL 56.0
2-MUCHO BLESSINGS 52.1
8-LUVURYAN 51.5
10-KATY'S PLUM 51.1
1-DIXIE TWEET 41.0
5-KATSFASHION 41.0

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Tuesday, July 21, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, July 20, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,261 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, July 19, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY. I WILL BE BACK WITH THE PICKS AND SELECTIONS WEDNESDAY.

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Saturday, July 18, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.










RACE 1
4-AFLEET IN TIME 70.3
6-PAPA KADE 68.6
3-TIZ JOLIE 63.2
2-DYNAMITE RIDE 61.1
1-MR. CARTAGENA 60.4

RACE 2
3-I DON'T CARE WHO 90.7
1-MACHO SOX 89.4
6-KNOCK EM FLAT 88.1
5-SINFULLY 86.3
7-LIFE IS A JOY 77.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)

NO SELECTIONS - ALL 1ST TIME STARTERS

RACE 4
3-MIDNIGHT STORM 116.4
7-FINNEGANS WAKE 111.4
4-POWER PED 104.5
2-GABRIEL CHARLES 99.1
1-TWENTYTWENTYVISION 98.4

1st time starters - 6 (in the U.S.A. - fgn. off Dec. 13)

RACE 5
2-QUALITY CHIMES 51.1
6-SAILOR'S CRY 39.0
7-SWEET MZ. POPPET 35.8
8-NOT TONIGHT 35.0
9-PRECIOUS CAROLINE 34.6

1st time starters - 5

RACE 6
7-TRIFECTA 80.2
6-FRAT BOY 75.4
5-HIGHWAY BOSS 75.3
3-ERNEST SHACKLETON 74.9
9-LAMBO LUXX 65.1

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
3-GO LONG 52.1

1st time starters - 5, 6, 1, 2, 4, 7, 8

RACE 8
3-ELEKTRUM 97.8
4-THEATRE STAR 93.2
12-GAS TOTAL 91.9
9-CHATI'S ON TOP 91.9
8-FAMOUS ALICE 91.3

RACE 9
4-PATTITUDE 78.4
8-DR. FAGER'S GAL 78.4
3-STEALTH DRONE 76.0
2-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 76.0
7-YANA 74.3

RACE 10
10-GROUND RULES 96.3
5-ZINVOR 90.7
7-THE GOMPER 88.8
3-SEVE'S ROAD 86.9
8-CARDIAC 83.8
12-NEVERADOUBT 82.6

1st time starters - (in the U.S.A. - fgn., off Sept. 14)

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Friday, July 17, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
2-NAVY HYMN 46.4
4-BENESH 33.4
5-TWISTED EARL 20.6 (steadied)

1st time starters - 3, 7, 8, 6, 1, 9

RACE 2
2-NO CONTINGENCY 79.0
5-PEACENIK 70.9
7-BIG SUGAR SODA 69.2
4-JUSTIFICATION 63.2
6-FRENSHAM 62.2

RACE 3
5-JENS DE VILLE 69.2
8-GHOST ON NAVIGATOR 65.9
4-MAGIC TASTE 64.8
11-PROUD CAPTIVE 62.3
1-LUCKY SHOES TO WIN 59.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
7-CAPTAIN AKERS 54.0
2-GETOFFMYBACK 47.4 (off slow)

1st time starters - 1, 4, 5, 6, 3, 8

RACE 5
11-BEN'S DUCHESS 92.5
10-PICA 91.9
7-XOXO 86.3
2-NOT TOO SHINY 86.3
8-DOODETTA 86.3

RACE 6
5-UZZIEL 92.5
6-BARUTA 88.8
2-WASTED AT MIDNIGHT 88.8
3-BRIGHT TOWN 85.0
4-BIG BREAK 82.6

RACE 7
3-CONQUEST CURLGIRL 93.1
7-ZIPESSA 87.5 (bumped, 3 wide)
2-PURE 82.2
9-MOYO HONEY 82.0
10-CAUSEWAY CAROLYN 79.0

RACE 8
2-URLOVENEVERFAILS 70.9 (3 wide)
6-JEAN EDWARD 65.9
9-MOONIE 53.0 (off Oct. 14)
3-GOLDEN MAMBA 52.6 (3 wide)
8-HEKAWI 49.2 (off Sept. 14, 3 wide)
1-OLYMPIC LADY 48.8

1st time starters - 5, 11, 7, 14

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Thursday, July 16, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
2-JUST GONE 84.4
12-AMERICAN ARISTOCAT 83.8
10-AMERICAN ACT 83.2
9-DRESS CODE 81.4
1-CANDY FOR DEBBIE 78.4

RACE 2
5-ALWAYS A CHANCE 76.6
6-TWO STEP FLOR 74.9
2-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 74.9
3-PEPPY BOLLY 73.7
1-ADRIATIC SKYE 72.4

RACE 3
8-STELLAR ACT 62.3
11-PIPPAPPY 62.2
12-RESTRIKE 59.7
3-VARTAN 58.5
9-CELTIC RAY 48.3

RACE 4
7-JULES JOURNEY 97.8
2-WANSTEAD GARDENS 97.1
3-CYRUS ALEXANDER 94.4
6-TEXAS RYANO 93.2
5-TOOWINDYTOHAULROX 92.6
8-CALM PACIFIC 92.6

1st time starters - 10 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-MILES SISTER 47.8 (4 wide)
10-RECKLESS CHARM (37.0 (3 wide)
7-PRINCESS KENDRA 33.4

1st time starters - 5, 12, 4, 3, 2, 13, 9, 8, 11

RACE 6
10-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 92.6
2-BASMATI 88.1
4-ALPINE LUCK 82.0
3-RANULF 81.4
5-MAGNA WARRIOR 79.6

RACE 7
8-FIGHT THRU 93.9
9-MARKET NOTES 83.2
5-NORTHERN IOWA 80.8
2-DERBY GLASS 79.6
7-GANGNAM GUY 77.6

RACE 8
1-FOREST BLUE 95.7
10-PAPACOOLPAPACOOL 95.2
3-TRIED AND TRUE 95.0
11-SOUL DRIVER 93.9
5-ROYAL ALBERT HALL 84.4

1st time starters - 7 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
7-ILLUMINANT 77.8
2-NEVER ENDS 74.3
9-SWEET PROMISES 68.1
10-MIDNIGHT BELLE 41.6 (off slow, 4 wide)

1st time starters - 6, 11, 4, 1, 3, 5, 12, 8

RACE 10
2-FRITZ JOHANSEN 91.3
7-BENBA 88.8 (off Nov. 14)
9-VOLKONSKY 85.6
12-UNUSUALLY GREEN 84.4
5-DURANGO FLIER 83.8
6-LOS GATOS 80.8


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Wednesday, July 15, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, July 14, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,256 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, July 12, 2015

 

LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $54,161.

RACE 1
5-WILDY EXCESSIVE 66.4
1-DATWATDADDYDO 63.8
3-VEGAS BOUND 57.1
4-WON'T BE SHAKEN 52.5
2-DEMOCRACY RULES 42.4

RACE 2
4-GIANIS 46.4
6-RICH IN TRADITION 42.9
5-FORTY STRIGHT 40.3
3-ROCKET RHEA 28.2
1-WARREN'S PASSION 26.5

RACE 3 (all 2yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-MINT JULEP TAFFY 52.1

1st time starters - 5, 4, 1, 3

RACE 4
8-RELATIVE TIME 56.0
7-COACH JOHN 50.2
11-GRACE AND TRUTH 38.2 (off slow)
2-ZIRONDELLE 36.6
9-COP ALONG CASSIDY 33.4

1st time starters - 3, 12, 5, 1, 6

RACE 5
2-VEGAS STREET 85.0
5-KING BUDRICK 82.6
3-TESTER 77.2
6-RANSOM CANYON 73.1
4-JONNY'S CHOICE 70.4

RACE 6
9-LANA CAPRINA 54.5
4-MY MOMENT TOO 49.7 (off April 14)
8-JACKIE K 46.9
1-WARREN'S TEA PARTY 34.5
2-CAROLINA CARMEN 30.0

1st time starters - 7

RACE 7
5-SAVANNAH SKY 86.3
3-FANTASTIC MIZZ 82.5
7-KYANKES 74.3
4-DISSENSION 69.2
6-EGYPTIAN EMPIRE 65.9

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-RALIS 69.8
2-SWIPE 66.4
3-DUBDUBWATSON 66.4
1-MRAZEK 65.9
4-SWISS MINISTER 49.7

RACE 9
1-ARTIC WARRIOR 61.1
3-OUR TROOPER 57.0
11-RARE PUNCH 53.0
7-DEE FOR DAVE 51.1
4-MASTERS CIRCLE 42.0
6-NEVADA CITY 33.0

1st time starters - 5

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Saturday, July 11, 2015

 

LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
4-KINGSBURY 67.5
2-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 63.8
6-CELTIC MOON 59.0
3-PIONEER CHARLIE 50.0
1-TIZBUSFORMENLIMO 45.1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-ANNIE'S CANDY 96.5
5-PHANTOM HEAT 32.3
2-DR. GO 20.0 (off slow)

1st time starters - 4, 1

RACE 3
3-CALIENTE CAT 72.6
6-SOUL CRUSHER 68.1
5-COUNCILMAN 56.0
4-STORM HOLLOW 55.5
10-COUSIN RICKY 47.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-TUMBLEWEEDPRINCESS 38.2
5-SEASIDE FANTASY 30.8
3-JASE'E AUNTY AIMEE 17.7
4-LIGHTHOUSE LEGEND 17.2
1-AMAZING AMY 11.8

1st time starters - 2, 7

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
3-ONE BYE TWO 22.5
2-TAKE ME TO CHURCH 13.3
7-HOW U BEAN 10.3 (steadied)

1st time starters - 5, 4, 6, 1

RACE 6
2-SMOOTH TALKER 64.8
6-HAAAY SEXY LADY 54.5
4-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 54.0
3-TOUGH ANNIE 49.7
7-LADY DASH 46.0

RACE 7
7-IVANA BEAT YABAD 71.4
5-TRUE HISTORY 63.6
4-ASPARAGUS 63.6
3-ZUZU'S PETALS 60.4
8-WATDIFRENZDZITMAKE 60.1

RACE 8
7-WARREN'S VENEDA 104.3
5-SUNDAY RULES 95.8
6-FANTASTIC STYLE 93.9
2-CLEARLY CONFUSED 89.4
4-LIVING THE LIFE 86.9

RACE 9
4-NOT ENOUGH EDDIE 63.8
7-PAX TECUM 60.1
6-LAND OF THE FREE 57.0
2-ZNELLE 53.0
1-VOLUNTARY 52.1 (off Oct. 14)
9-NO BACHI 49.7

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Friday, July 10, 2015

 

LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $26,722.

RACE 1
2-JACK NO 43.8 (off slow, steadied)
3-VENTURE CAPITALIST 29.7 (bumped at start)

1st time starters - 1, 5, 4

RACE 2
3-MARGIE'S MINUTE 71.0
5-CLEVERLY BECERLY 70.3
2-MAJESTIC MINISTER 69.9
1-MANGO REWARD 69.3
4-I'M NO PATSY 57.7

RACE 3
5-MUDGE 49.7
2-WARRENSPOWEROFLOVE 48.8
1-MISS GREEN POND 42.0
3-VALENTINE'S REWARD 32.3
8-HEAT TO PERFECTION 29.0

1st time starters - 7, 4

RACE 4
3-THESHEETSGUY 91.3
2-BRAVE ACT 88.8
5-DOWNTOWN C. T. 88.1
4-ROCKO'S WHEEL 86.9
1-CELEBRITY STATUS 81.4

RACE 5
6-BENICIA GEM 67.5
10-SENSATIONAL NIKKI 60.1
9-IT'S AINE 58.0
1-BETTER TO BE LUCKY 53.5
11-MISS AMERICAN PIE 52.1

RACE 6
1-MAHEE 76.0
6-HOLOGRAEME 64.8
7-FAVORABLY 62.0
8-BAYONET 57.5
4-QUEEN'S BALLADIER 55.1

RACE 7
9-DIXIELAND BLUES 97.3 (off March 14)
8-GUTSY RULER 97.1
2-SMOKEY'S LEGACY 85.6
7-ODIN 85.0
6-TOUGH SUNDAY 79.0

RACE 8
3-BLAME IT ON TEKELA 70.9
6-PYROTECHNICS 63.9
5-WILD 52.6
2-MR. PETE GOT EVEN 44.2
8-STAUFFENBERG 42.0
4-FORTYATE HI POINTS 37.4
7-LUCKY PIRATE 35.0

1st time starters - 9, 1

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Thursday, July 09, 2015

 

LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
2-DEKKO 77.8
3-PREACHER ROE 70.3
1-JACKSON SUNDOWN 66.4
5-DEEP PLAY 65.9
6-COOK INLET 64.3

RACE 2
2-ALEXITA 82.0
5-MINSTER'SADVENTURE 69.8
4-EXPOSURE 64.3
3-HIGHLY ELUSIVE 63.2
1-QUEENOFTHECASTLE 61.1

RACE 3
4-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 71.4
2-JAN'S SPIRIT 70.9
3-CLEM JUICE 60.2
5-MYRNA LOU 50.6
7-WORTHY GRAPES 49.7

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
5-AWESOME AUGGIE 27.9 (steadied)
2-ARAGORN FLYER 22.5
3-VIVA MEXICO 21.6 (off slow)
9-SLEW TO FRY 18.0 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 1, 6, 7, 8, 4, 10

RACE 5
5-JUST KIDDING 83.8
10-ATTACK 78.4
4-DA JENIUS 60.4 (off Nov. 14)
3-JUNIOR G MAN 58.8
8-FEYNMAN 58.4

1st time starters - 7, 2

RACE 6
2-TEST RIDE 82.0
8-CHANGING KARMA 76.0
9-FINALLYGOTABENTLEY 75.4
1-COOLINGTON 73.1
3-KNOW MORE 61.6

RACE 7
3-NEWFOUND GOLD 88.8
2-MY SLEW 83.8
1-JOVITA'S TUFFY 82.6
6-MAXIMINUS 80.8
5-SHAKAHARI 80.2
8-LUCA 80.2

RACE 8
5-BLACK TIE 58.0
7-THE B G WAY 54.5
4-STENOA 46.0
12-IN DEFIANCE 44.2
3-JACK NO 43.8 (off slow, steadied)
10-MAJESTIC C 37.4
8- THE GRUMBLER 35.8

1st time starters - 1


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Wednesday, July 08, 2015

 

LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, July 07, 2015

 

LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,243 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, July 05, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
5-BUCKLEBERRY GREY 86.9
2-SUCCESS RATE 83.2
1-DERRINGER 73.7
3-MOONLIGHT MEETING 73.7

RACE 2
6-BELLA BREEZE 46.0
2-STORMEYS' BLAZER 21.3

1st time starters - 4, 5, 7, 3

RACE 3
3-WILD CAROLINE 80.2
4-SHOPPING SAVANNAH 74.3
5-LIGHT STRIKER 68.6
1-SHEZA EYEOPENER 65.9
2-WINNINGINFASHION 65.4

RACE 4
1-I HEART YOU 64.8
3-TEASING MOMENT 53.5
6-WARRENS GOLDNUGGET 53.5
2-BIG ROSIE BROWN 53.0
5-FORTY STRIGHT 42.0

RACE 5
3-OIL 91.3
4-DISTINCTIVE B 81.4
5-BANDIDO TOO 79.0
6-CRIMSON GIANT 69.8
1-SECURE DIVDEND 65.9

RACE 6
6-FRENSHAM 62.7
3-SIR BARCLAY 59.0
8-TIME TOGET AHEAD 55.5
7-MAY WEATHER 51.1
5-JUST CALL ME AL 46.4

RACE 7
2-ANTINANCO 77.2
5-FONZ 75.4
7-RAMBLING HOUSE 73.7
6-RANSOM CANYON 73.4
1-ATASCADERAN 58.0

RACE 8
6-SUPER MAJESTY 99.1
7-WINNING VISION 90.0
3-ULTIMATE HOLIDAY 81.4
9-ON GOLDEN PAWN 80.8
5-MAGIC LILY 79.0

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
9-BRIANA JEAN 28.6 (3 wide)
10-GRACEE HUNNY 20.6 (off slow, 4 wide)
8-AWESOME ROMANCE 20.6 (off slow)
6-ACUTE FEVER 18.6
4-SWISS AFFAIR 18.3 (4 wide)
2-RIDE THE SHARK 15.5 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 11, 5, 3, 1

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Saturday, July 04, 2015

 

LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)

ALL ARE 1ST TIME STARTERS - NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
5-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 52.1
1-TEMPETUOUS 50.6
4-PRINCESS VAL 46.9
8-AWE GEE 45.5
6-SWISS HEART - 45.5
3-ANGEL BE QUICK 45.5

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
3-PASSAU 41.7
1-JAMIE SAID NO 36.6 (broke out)

1st time starters - 7, 8, 5, 2, 4, 6

RACE 4
3-AVO 49.1
1-EXPRESS CHECKOUT 40.4
6-WARRIOR THATCHER 38.2
9-CLAUDITA 35.4
2-CAROLINA CARMEN 29.0

1st time starters - 8, 5, 4

RACE 5
1-TURNOVER 93.9 (off Aug 14)
7-KARMA KING 81.4 (off May 14)
4-EDDIE'S FIRST 76.6
5-BETTER BET 71.4
6-CURLY ROAD 67.5

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
4-XINGONTOTHEBONE 62.2
9-RICKLES 42.4
5-BULLY PULPIT 42.0 (broke out, 4 wide)
10-TIZ LOVE 39.9
3-COUNTERPLAY 39.4 (off slow)

1st time starters - 8, 12

RACE 7
3-MUCHO BLESSINGS 59.6
7-DELANEY'S JOY 41.6
9-GOOSE BUMPS 36.6
8-CLASS DIVINE 36.2
5-CLASSY CHICK 34.4

RACE 8
4-KENTUCKIAN 108.6
5-PROSPECT PARK 107.9
2-GIMME DE LUTE 103.1
3-PAIN AND MISERY 87.5
1-FOLLOW ME CREV 78.4

RACE 9
8-LADY NOW 50.2
2-ROCK N BUNNY 50.2
1-HAAAY SEXY LADY 49.7
9-BEYOND LUCKY 49.2
3-YAWANNAGOKID 46.0


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Friday, July 03, 2015

 

LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $25,778.

RACE 1
1-MAYIE 50.2 (off March 14)
8-STUNNING TASTE 40.3
2-GLENDAS GRACE 29.3
9-PARALYZING EYES 21.3
6-NATIVE CITY 11.8 (steadied, squeezed)

1st time starters - 5, 7, 3

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going going 5f.)
6-SOME CANN JOB 42.9
4-TUMBLEWEEDPRINCESS 42.9
5-SHARPEST ONE 41.1
3-SWISS ROSALEE 27.2

1st time starters - 8, 7, 2, 1

RACE 3
8-RICH IN TRADITION 61.6
11-SWISS HEART 58.0
10-YODEL UP A STORM 57.5
5-TRAVEL FREE 54.5
12-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 52.1

RACE 4
2-LANA CAPRINA 54.5
4-JUST BOOKIN 47.8
3-SHALLOT 40.3
8-PALM CANYON 20.3
7-CHATTERLY LADY 19.5

1st time starters - 9, 1, 6, 5

RACE 5
1-VISIBILITY 80.8
3-HEAVENLY HAZE 65.4
8-REAL BIG DEAL 58.0
5-VAL DE METI 28.2 (3 wide, off Oct. 14)

1st time starters - 6, 2, 10, 7, 9, 4

RACE 6
8-PASSINAFLASH 69.2
9-ILLYBILLY BOY 63.2
12-PYROTECHNICS 56.0
1-DEESERT GEM 55.1
6-AARON AGAIN 50.2

1st time starters - 11

RACE 7
1-CRAZY ABOUT HIM 75.4
3-CODACIOUS 74.9
4-MISS LOUJEAN 72.0
8-TATUM'S GOLD 70.3 (off Oct. 14)
5-MARYNETTA 69.8

RACE 8
8-VEGAS STREET 93.2
4-TRIBAL AGAIN 83.8
9-SHAME ON ALEX 83.2
2-AMERICAN BLEND 82.6
3-CANDY FOR DEBBIE 79.6
6-PERFECT SET 79.0




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Thursday, July 02, 2015

 

LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
5-SHY ROSA 73.1
3-IT'S AINE 67.5
2-PRIMA GIANNA 65.4
4-TWELVE FOLDS 63.8
1-ZEES CHRIS 40.7

RACE 2
8-BIG HAT CHARLIE 60.6
5-ARTIC WARRIOR 60.1
1-ZIRONDELLE 48.3
4-COACH JOHN 46.9
9-THOR'S CHAMPION 44.6 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
8-AIMING STRIGHT 48.3
3-ESMERALDA BELLE 46.4
4-SHE'S TOO WILD 22.8
5-PULPIT RULES 18.0
10-I"M A DRAMA MAMA 14.3

1st time starters - 1, 11, 12, 9, 2, 7, 6

RACE 4
5-COWTOWNMARY 59.0
3-WARREN MY BOY 58.5
1-OUR TROOPER 41.1
4-SPIKE THE PUNCH 37.8
7-DEE FOR DAVE 34.6

1st time starters - 2

RACE 5
1-TAKEM BY SURPRISE 68.1
5-KEEGERS 59.0
7-OUTHINK'EM 55.0
6-PRICE OF GLORY 54.0
11-ROCK STEADY EDDIE 53.5

RACE 6
5-LEOTHELION 74.9 (off March 13)
12-CALIENTE CAT 67.0
3-JACKSONS A BOBCAT 62.7
8-COMO MI PADRE 57.5
10-PAX TECUM 56.0

RACE 7
5-OLD MAN LAKE 98.4
10-ALERT BAY 98.1
1-SPIRIT RULES 94.5
8-SOLID WAGER 90.0
2-CHINA PRINCE 89.4

RACE 8
9-WEST MID 61.1
10-TIZ SWEET BLISS 60.6
3-SWEET AVA JANE 55.5 (3 wide, off Oct. 14)
1-ALYESKA 53.5 (off slow)
12-STURDY ONE 53.5
2-NITE DELITE 51.1 (bumped)

1st time starters - 7, 4, 8, 6

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Wednesday, July 01, 2015

 

LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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