Wednesday, October 31, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-COMPANY SECRET 71.4
5-STRESS FREE 71.4
2-IRISH EXPRESS 64.3
4-HOW SWEET IT IS 53.5

RACE 2
5-LUIS'S ESPECIAL 97.8
2-REDMAN 85.0
3-STEAMY STORY 83.2
6-WARRENSGILDEDTIME 79.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
6-PISTOL PETE AFLEET 64.2
2-CALL TRANSFER 63.8
1-CEE'S THE ANSWER 54.0
7-STALEMATE 50.5

RACE 4
1-PINDARIC 91.3
2-LOGAN AVENUE LINDA 86.2
3-VICTORY SPY 85.6 (off Nov. 06)
7-LIGHTMYFIREBABY 82.6

RACE 5
2-CHARISMA MATTERS 79.6
1-BRIDLED HONEY 75.5
4-ZEE TOPPER 75.5
6-SMOOTH SIS 69.2

RACE 6
6-JUST JULIAN 83.2
8-MONTE BAJO 80.2
11-RATHER BE LUCKY 77.6
3-ROYAL VISION 73.7

1st time starters - 5

RACE 7
1-SI CHIMI 92.6
3-SIR BELL 90.0
7-MORE ORE 86.9
5-RIVER ISLAND 76.6

RACE 8
9-SLEWS THE BELIEVER 73.7
5-SET FOR COMBAT 70.9
2-STERN WHEELER 60.6
8-WARSIDE ATTRACTION 60.1

1st time starters - 7, 4

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, October 30, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, October 29, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened four times that I know of in over 780 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, October 28, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

SORRY FOR LATE POST - TROUBLE WITH WEBSITE TODAY DROPPING INFORMATION.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-FUJI 74.3
1-DUNMORE 72.6
3-HIDDEN POINT 70.9
2-DENNYBUCK 61.6

RACE 2
3-MADONNA MIA 67.0
12-BENCH WENCH 67.0
5-WARREN'S MYSTERY 57.5
1-DOWNTOWN LOVER 52.1
2-TINKERBELLSWINGS 52.1

1st time starters - 10, 6

RACE 3
2-LA SWING 89.4
4-CATEGORIZE 79.6
3-LIGHT FINGERS 68.1
1-LOVE YA 67.2

RACE 4
2-EXCEEDING 105.2
3-GHOSTTRAPPER 94.5
6-WHEATON HALL 90.7
5-WATCH OVER ME 89.4

RACE 5
7-MORGAN LANE 90.0
3-SONG CAT 84.4
8-SANTA TERESITA 77.8
6-AWESOME FEAT 73.7

RACE 6
8-RUN RIGHT THRU 78.4
6-STEELIN' 75.5
9-THEMIS VALENTINE 69.2
5-FOXY GAMES 68.3

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
12-MORNING FROST 74.29
8-PATRICIA'S GEM 71.4
10-SEATTLE SMOOTH 51.6
9-COURTLY COUTURE 50.2
6-SPINNING YARNS 30.8

1st time starters - 7, 3, 5, 11, 2, 1 (entry) 1A, 5,

RACE 8
10-ISIPINGO 107.2
2-RUNAWAY DANCER 101.8
1-SPRING HOUSE 101.8
3-PORFIDO 101.1
8-ATLANDO 101.1

RACE 9
2-MILEHIGHKISSES 71.4
6-ROMANCED-71.4
8-TOPANGA CANYON 69.2
4-TURKUS QUERCUS 67.5

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
11-MR. EXCESSIVE 51.1
9-BIG HIT 49.7
5-SHADOW JUSTICE 48.3
7-SHAKALAKA 47.8
1-POET OF CLOTH 51.1

1st time starters - 14

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, October 27, 2007

 

BREEDER'S CUP @ MONMOUTH PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
4-INDIAN BLESSING 100.5
5-IRISH SMOKE 96.5
1-PHANTOM INCOME 96.5
10-PROUD SPELL 95.2
7-BACKSEAT RHYTHM 88.2

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
2-WAR PASS 117.9
7-PYRO 111.5
8-GLOBALIZATION 109.3
1-Z HUMOR 105.2
3-KODIAK KNOWBOY 101.6

RACE 6
3-NASHOBA'S KEY 119.3
5-WAIT A WHILE 116.4
12-PRECIOUS KITTEN 115.7
2-HONEY RYDER 114.3
6-LAHUDOOD 112.9

RACE 7
2-MIDNIGHT LUTE 133.6
8-BENNY THE BULL 133.6
1-SMOKEY STOVER 132.1
10-GREG'S GOLD 124.5
4-TALENT SEARCH 123.8
7-IDIOT PROOF 123.0

RACE 8
13-EXCELLENT ART 133.7
3-AFTER MARKET 121.5
7-COSMONAUT 117.9
6-TRIPPI'S STORM 117.9
10-MY TYPHOON 117.1

RACE 9
11-UNBRIDLED BELLE 119.3
12-HYSTERICALADY 113.6
4-GINGER PUNCH 112.9
6-BEAR NOW 110.7
5-LADY JOANNE 109.3
7-LEAR'S PRINCESS 109.3

RACE 10
7-DYLAN THOMAS 143.6
2-RED ROCKS 125.7
6-ENGLISH CHANNEL 123.0
3-BETTER TALK NOW 123.0
5-GRAND COUTURIER 119.3

RACE 11
1-LAWYER RON 140.7
3-ANY GIVEN SATURDAY 132.1
5-GEORGE WASHINGTON 128.0
4-CURLIN 127.5
8-HARD SPUN 123.8
2-STREET SENSE 123.0

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, October 25, 2007

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

Wed. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (16.20) top pick 4th. Race 2- 3rd pick won (12.40) top pick 2nd (4.00) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (28.20). Race 3- Top Pick Won (6.00) 2nd pick 2nd (3.60) Ex (9.60) 4th pick 3rd- top pick keyed- trifecta (41.30). Race 4- 2nd pick won (7.80) top pick 2nd (3.00) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (13.00) trifecta (49.30). Race 5- 4th pick won (10.00) top pick 2nd (2.40) 3rd pick 4th. Race 6- Top Pick Won (5.20) 4th pick 2nd (3.20) 3rd pick 3rd (4.00) 2nd pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (8.00) trifecta (39.70) Superfecta (109.20). Race 7- 4th pick "tied" won (8.40) 2nd pick 2nd (3.60) 3rd pick 3rd (2.20) 4th pick "tied" 4th, picks boxed- Ex (14.40) trifecta (32.70). Race 8- 4th pick won (13.00) 2nd pick 2nd (5.60) 3rd pick 3rd (4.00) picks boxed- Ex (23.70) trifecta (143.20).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SATURDAY I WILL BE HANDICAPPING THE BREEDER'S CUP RACES FROM MONMOUTH PARK. OAK TREE WILL NOT BE POSTED FOR SATURDAY.

RACE 1
1-WILD DIPLOMAT 85.0
5-LEMON 81.4
2-ORIENTATION HALL 74.9
7-FIERY TRIPPI 74.9

1st time starters - 6

RACE 2
3-FOREVER IRISH 70.3
7-TOY'S TOY 64.3
5-SYLVANA 58.1
2-STARTIN FRESH 47.8

1st time starters - 4, 1

RACE 3
5-I'MAGAMBLER 84.4
3-QUILLOTA 83.7
7-ZAYED 72.0
1A-I LOVE RACING 72.0 (entry)

RACE 4
1-MARQZ MELODY 78.7
2-LATIN CIRCUIT 72.0
4-WARREN'S ADVENTURE 71.4
7-MOSCOW RISING 69.2

RACE 5
4-ROAD TO THE THRONE 76.2
5-NATIVE SUCCESS 73.7
7-EXACTLY 63.2
1-EARLY POLLY 62.2

1st time starters - 3, 9

RACE 6
2-SMOKEY ROUTE 83.8
1-HENNESSY ROSE 83.2
6-SPORTIE'S SQUEEZE 79.0
5-VEILS DE FLEUR 71.4
8-FAMOUS SECRET 71.4

RACE 7
3-WISE ONE 102.5
4-STORMY GRANT 91.9
1-COTTON KING 90.0
5-SMOOTH AND SAVVY 87.5

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-SMOKIN WHILE FLYIN 63.2
13-LATIN OFFICER 44.5
12-FROG SAUCE 41.6
2-BIG BOY COLE 37.0

1st time starters - 5, 3, 6, 9, 10

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, October 24, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER $142,777 TODAY

RACE 1
6-HIGH SPEED GOLDIE 72.6
8-ZEE TOPPER 69.8
3-GUEST 61.1
9-CHARLENESUPERBLEND 59.8

RACE 2
1-FIGHTING CITY HALL 84.4
7-PLANFOR FUN 83.8
4-GOLD TRIM 72.0
5-NORWAY HOUSE 68.1

RACE 3
4-SEEKING ANSWERS 99.8
1-MINISTER BLAIR 95.8
3-IMITATION 95.8
5-OCEAN GRAND 94.5

RACE 4
2-REGAL REDEMPTION 74.9
10-WILDCAT GIRL 60.6
3-FUNKY CHANTEAL 60.1
4-BACKYARD PARTY 51.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-BOSTON CAT 75.4
2-BEL AIR SIZZLE 67.2
6-FIRE N' BRIMSTONE 67.0
8-AQUA 54.0

RACE 6
6-GENERAL BUENO 75.3
1-T. H. PRAISE 74.3
3-DIXIE MUSIC ROLL 71.4
4-MORE DAYLIGHT 70.3

RACE 7
2-YO JOAN 81.5
1-SHORT SENTENCE 80.2
6-EXCESSIVE B AND B 67.5
5-MISS TOPPER 62.2
4-LIGHTMYFIREBABY 61.6

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
9-TEACHER'S RULE 60.6
1-WARREN'S SILLYCAT 58.5
10-TOP IT OFF 58.0
5-GETINTHEREONETIME 55.0

1st time starters - 4, 13

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, October 23, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Monday, October 22, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened four times that I know of in over 770 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, October 20, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

Fri. recap- Race 1- 3rd pick won (14.20) 2nd pick 2nd (4.40) 4th pick 3rd (4.60) top pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (25.30) trifecta (168.20). Race 2- 2nd pick won (2.80) top pick 2nd (2.60) boxed- Ex (2.60) 3rd pick 3rd (2.40). Race 3- 3rd pick 2nd (7.80) 4th pick 4th. Race 4-Top Pick Won (3.60) 4th pick "tied" 2nd (4.00) 2nd pick 3rd (2.60) top pick keyed- Ex (7.20) trifecta (18.90). Race 5- Top Pick Won (13.20) Daily Double (33.40) 1st timer 2nd (8.60) top 1st timer 3rd (3.00) 2nd 1st timer 4th, Top pick keyed to 1st timers- Ex (65.40) trifecta (218.30) Superfecta (1,559.50). Race 6- 4th pick "tied" 2nd (10.60) and 3rd (8.00) top pick 4th. Race 7- 4th pick won (9.80) 3rd pick 4th. Race 8- 3rd pick won (15.20) top pick 2nd (2.60) 4th pick 3rd (6.00) 2nd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (17.20) trifecta (93.40) superfecta (677.20).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER $103,624 TODAY.

RACE 1
2-ORIENTATE SLEW 92.6
4-INFORMED 84.4
3-ANY KIND OF STORM 80.2
5-CLASSIC ATTIRE 76.0

RACE 2
1-HELLO BOLLY 77.2
7-MEAN HEAT 72.6
5-JUNGLE GIRL 71.4
6-JUSTICE IS BRIEF 70.0

RACE 3
7-CRIMSON COWBOY 70.9
11-WARRENS INSTIGATOR 63.6
6-OAKLAND AVENUE 59.0
8-JINETE 58.0

1st time starters - 1, 9, 10, 5

RACE 4
5-SELVATICA 107.3
2-THEVEYTHOUGHTOF U 105.2
7-DOWNTHEDUSTYROAD 105.2 (off Dec. 06)
4-ASHLEY'S KITTY 94.5

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
4-MASTERFUL MISS 75.1
1-PRIMED AND POISED 66.4
11-EXQUISITE TIMING 62.1
9-MY MALOOF ROCKER 57.5

1st time starters - 8, 6, 3, 2

RACE 6
8-GONE CALIFORNIAN 64.3
7-SUM MISTAKE 54.5
4-TRIBAL PRINCESS 54.0
1-WARREN'S KITTEN 52.1

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-FANTASY FREE 67.5
2-WARREN'S ATTACK CAT 55.0
11-DEWEY'S SPECIAL 51.6
9-TOPPLER 50.2

1st time starters - 3, 1, 10, 6, 4, 12, 8, 7

RACE 8
1-FORESTRY'S FIRE 99.1
7-MR. CHING 91.9
5-BUCK 88.8 (off Sept. 05)
2-PRESIDENTIAL CAUSE 86.9
8-STORMS OF LIFE 86.9

1st time starters - 9 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
8-SPRING AWAKENING 84.4
5-GOLDEN DOC A 78.4
3-FOXY DANSEUR 74.9
2-CZECHERS 74.9

1st time starters - 4

RACE 10
8-DRIVEN BY EXCESS 88.1
6-PRINCE OF GOLD 87.0
7-I SWEAR 87.0
3-SPRIGGZEE 83.4

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, October 18, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

Wed. recap- Race 1- 3rd pick won (9.20) top pick 2nd (3.60) 2nd pick 3rd (3.80) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (13.60) trifecta (70.90) 4th pick 4th. Race 2- 2nd pick won (71.60) 3rd pick "entry" 2nd (4.00) and 3rd (4.20) top pick 4th for trifecta , 3 picks boxed- Ex (114.60) trifecta (239.80). Race 3- 3rd and 4th picks dead heat for win (6.20) and (4.60) Ex (10.20) and (12.10) 2nd pick 3rd (3.40) trifectas (46.00) and (56.00) top pick 4th. Race 4- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick win (5.60). Race 5- 4th pick won (42.00). Race 6- 2nd pick won (14.40). Race 7- 2nd pick won (10.00) 2nd pick 2nd (3.20) 4th pick 3rd (3.00) picks boxed- Ex (15.50) trifecta (58.10). Race 8- Top Pick Won (8.80) 4th pick "tied" 2nd (8.20) top pick keyed- Ex (29.20).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-REMEMBER SEATTLE 66.4
8-FLYING HOME 56.0
7-AURORA SKYE 41.6

1st time starters - 6, 3, 2, 1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
7-ONEFUNSONOFAGUN 62.7
2-TOUCH OF IRELAND 60.1
6-SWISS MARCI 59.6
9-APPLAUD DUBAI 58.0

RACE 3
8-DART RIVER 80.9
2-CALL ONTHESLY 80.9
5-RUN FOREST RUN 80.5
4-GLIMMERING PETE 77.2

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
5-PROUD GARRISON 63.8
2-ICE LADY 59.3
8-BLUE FOOTED BOOBY 56.1
9-SALT CASTLE 55.8
6-MIGHTY FINE WINE 55.5

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going going 1 mile)
2-FOLLOWS NONE 63.2
8-WILD AND READY 58.5
3-SPORTSBOOKJUNKEE 51.5
5-MOSEL 50.5

1st time starters - 4

RACE 6
1-MACADAMIA 88.1
6-INGRID THE GAMBLER 82.0
9-BACK IN THE SHADE 76.8
10-PETITE CHERIE 70.6

RACE 7
2-MI ARCOBALENO 99.5
4-ADD HEAT 93.8
5-SOUND BARRIER 77.8
7-LEGATE 77.8

RACE 8
3-MUDLAFF CHARLIE 72.0
10-MOMMY JEAN 65.4
6-KISSED BY CLASS 60.1
7-A SONG AT TWILIGHT 59.6

1st time starters - 9, 12

Labels: , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, October 17, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER $617,007 TODAY.

RACE 1
6-EXTREME NOTICE 94.5
3-BESTDRESSED 86.2
5-IDIDN'TDOANYTHING 82.0
4-CAYAMBE 78.4

RACE 2
4-POWEROFVOODOO 73.7
6-NO TIP FOR YOU 69.3
1A-JUNE MY LOVE 67.5
1-SOLID BRASS CAT 66.4

1st time starters - 5, 3

RACE 3
2-KEY MAKER 91.9
7-DR. EINSTEIN 90.0
4-SMOOCHER 88.1
5-OCEANUS 86.3

RACE 4
9-CASPIANO 77.2
3-CATCH THAT THIEF 73.7
5-VISAYAS 72.0
4-SHOOTIST 69.2
2-READY SAY GO 68.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-DR ZAENTZ 76.4
8-GUTS 68.6
3-LEFT UNSAID 62.7
4-REEL PRIME 59.6

1st time starters - 7, 2

RACE 6
12-ZAYED 82.6
7-CURRENCY TRADER 78.4
2-SMOKIN FOREST 75.5
3-WILL 75.5

RACE 7
7-GOTHIC BEAUTY 101.0
4-BIG BERTHA 88.1
8-CATHRINE'S HOPE 88.1
3-UDRIGA 86.3
1-DELICATE CAT 85.6

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
11-SEATTLE AVENUE 46.9
6-DANCES WITH TIGERS 44.2
3-WARREN'S PLAYER 41.6
8-QUAINT LASS 39.5
10-NAMIRAH 39.0
1-FOXY LADY 38.3
7-QUEEN OF THE I. E. 38.2

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, October 16, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER OF $617,007 FOR WED.

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Monday, October 15, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

THERE WILL BE A PICK-6 CARRYOVER OF $617,007 WED. (10/17 07)

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horses name-This has happened four times that I know of in over 770 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, October 14, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

No Sat. recap due to late post.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER $132,412 FOR SUNDAY.

RACE 1
6-HOME ALONA 72.0
2-IN MY LIFE 68.1
5-GHOSTLY GIRL 67.5
8-PEACE PLEDGE 60.6
9-MEGAN'S MIA 60.1 (off Sept. 06)

RACE 2
1-EASY OBSESSION 86.9
3-TOPPER'S GOLD 85.0
5-MARATHON MOM 76.6
7-RED NECK GAL 75.3
2-SMOOTH SIS 74.8

RACE 3
2-PRIVATE WIND 60.1
8-TAFFY BOY 55.1
10-RYDELL 54.6
1-JUDGE GALLIVAN 50.6

RACE 4
10-CLUED IN 82.6
5-MONTE BAJO 80.8
3-THEIR HE GOES 79.1
8-MOTEADO 78.0

1st time starter - 6

RACE 5
9-SEMI LOST 91.1
8-TOP ONE 94.5
10-INDIAN WEAVER 82.6
7-WILD NEKIA 82.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-ELLIE'S BUDDHA 60.1
7-GAMES WE PLAY 55.5
12-TROPICAL BID 48.3
5-QUEENS BOULEVARD 4.2

1st time starters - 11, 6

RACE 7
9-MELLOW CAMMIE 85.0
2-COCHA BAMBA 81.4 (off Oct. 06)
12-SHAKIN N DANCIN 80.8
11-OWEN ROE O'NEILL 78.4
1-SIX AGAIN 78.4

RACE 8
6-FLEET CAROLINE 93.2
4-SILKY SMOOTH 90.0
5-PASSIFIED 88.8
8-SPENDITALLBABY 86.9
10-MISSVINSKI 85.6

RACE 9
2-STREET BOSS 105.2
5-MAJOR PLEASURE 100.4
1-CONGO KING 94.5
7-HURRY UP AUSTIN 93.9
6-SIX PACK ABS 92.6

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-LOWER THE RATE 61.1
8-MANGYAN MODEL 53.0
10-NO CREAM OR SUGAR 39.9
1-PERFECT STAR 27.9

1st time starters - 5, 9, 4, 12, 7, 11

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, October 12, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thurs. recap- Race 1- 3rd pick 2nd (3.00) top pick 3rd (3.20) 4th pick 4th. Race 2- Top Pick Won (4.60) 4th pick 2nd (7.60) 3rd pick 3rd (2.60) 2nd pick 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (13.70). Race 3- 2nd pick 2nd (3.40) 4th pick 3rd (2.60) 3rd pick 4th. Race 4- 4th pick 3rd (4.00). Race 5- Top Pick Won (4.80) 2nd pick 3rd (2.80). Race 6- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick 2nd (3.80) top pick 3rd (2.80). Race 7- Top Pick Won (8.40) 2nd pick 2nd (6.60) Ex (29.70) 3rd pick 3rd (2.80) trifecta in order (119.90). Race 8- 3rd pick won (7.80) top pick 2nd (2.60) 4th pick 3rd (6.20) 2nd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (7.50) trifecta (53.40) Superfecta (263.40).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER $72,317 FOR FRIDAY

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-ROYAL HUMOR 59.8
6-UNSPOKEN FUR 57.0
5-SWEET AUGUST MOON 50.6
2-TIZ BALLADO 40.5

RACE 2
1-RUN RIGHT THRU 81.4
2-KISSIN PARTY 73.7
3-HERE COMES RAY RAY 71.4
6-MISSING TREASURE 65.4

RACE 3
4-EXCESSIVE TALE 65.4
6-SUISSE MOVEMENT 61.1
3-WARREN'S ALOHAMOON 57.2
2-T'S ICECOLDBEER 49.0

RACE 4
3-HILOGOLD 86.9
5-MINIMITE 79.1
8-STOP THE HUMOR 78.5
7-SYLVANA 72.8 (off April 06)

1st time starters - 2, 1, 4

RACE 5
7-CONCLAVE 83.8
3-SKIMTHEEXCESS 79.6
2-STRENGTH 70.3
5-RIVER REBEL 67.5

RACE 6
8-SIR BELL 82.6
3-TIZMET 78.4
6-FANTASTIC MEETING 72.6
1-JEHOVAH JIREH 72.0

RACE 7
7-MORE ORE 98.4 (off Jan. 06)
4-IRON DUKE 84.6
10-MASTER HEAT 83.2
1-LIL MITCH 82.2
9-SURF TOWN 82.0

RACE 8
4-MAGIC LABEL 65.4
5-HAPPYHOUR ATHEBRIG 56.5
9-SODA POP SYD 55.5
3-LARUE 54.0

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, October 10, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-R CHARLIE'S ANGEL 66.5
4-QUEEN HOLLY 59.0
1-ELSIE JO 57.5
3-CLEVER LADY 56.5
2-ELECTRIC DAZE 56.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-RUUD BOY 48.0
5-DEANOGUSKA 37.0
6-HUNTER CREEK 36.1
9-STORMIN STORY 35.7

1st time starters - 3

RACE 3
3-YOUHADYOURCHANCE 88.8
8-PLAN FOR FUN 84.4
6-COMMON TRUST 74.9
9-MAD ADAM 74.3

RACE 4
2-APALACHEE TIGER 101.8 (off Oct. 06)
3-KEWEN 92.5
4-HAJJI'S HONOR 92.5 (off June 06)
1-FERNDALE SAL 86.9

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-LUCKY HONEY 55.0
6-RAINGEAR 54.0
1-MARKET EXCHANGE 53.0
9-CAT REPORT 46.5

1st time starters - 2, 3, 7

RACE 6
7-SUGAR DOLL 89.4
4-YOUR QUOTE 83.2
3-CARRIE'S A JEWEL 83.2
5-DEE'S A LEGEND 73.1

RACE 7
3-KAPALUA BAY 105.2
6-EL MANUEL 97.1
4-ARTIST'S TALE 93.8
1-YARIO 91.9

RACE 8
9-GOLDIE'SLASTSCORE 56.0
8-SIMULCAST 44.6
7-SHADOW JUSTICE 33.0
5-IRONSINTHEFIRE 11.7

1st time starters - 6, 3, 2, 1,4

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, October 09, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, October 08, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS FOR MON.

No Sun. recap due to late posting.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-NEWPORT TOPPER 84.4
3-CATEGORIZE 79.0
5-LA SWING 77.4
4-ROANAWAY BRIDE 77.4

RACE 2
2-MAHALO LANI 51.6
4-BLAZEITGIRL 50.0
5-MANGO FRAPPE 46.0
7-WRIT 46.0

RACE 3
6-A P CHARLIE 80.2
1-BARTOK'S BLING 77.8
8-FLOWER FUSION 75.4
2-PHOEBE'S SONG 75.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-CAVANAUGH 64.8
4-COASTAL EDDY 60.1
1-CEE'S THE ANSWER 60.1
5-BOND 57.0

1st time starters - 7, 6, 8

RACE 5
5-PUBLICATION 103.8
7-FLY DORCEGO 97.1
2-DOUBLE GALORE 93.8
4-HEATSEEKER 92.5

RACE 6
5-POWEROFVOODOO 81.4
1A-ISLAND HOP 72.6
2-ASTURIAS 70.9
9-RUSHEN HEAT 69.8

1st time starters - 4

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
3-TOPPER SHOPPER 85.6
8-NEVADA WORRIER 73.1
7-COMISSIONER GORDON 67.5
4-SUIT YOURSELF 66.4

RACE 8
3-DOUBLE TROUBLE 95.2
10-TRICK'S PIC 95.2
1-SWEET BELLE 94.5
4-DREAM'S 93.9

RACE 9
8-CHARLENESUPERBLEND 82.0
11-EDEN SIMONE 76.0
9-HOME ALONA 73.1
10-KREEKER 71.4

Labels: , , , , , , ,


Sunday, October 07, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER $133,077 FOR SUNDAY

RACE 1
14-INSTANT ACTION 82.0
10-SLEWS THE BELIEVER 67.0
9-LAST GAMBLE 57.0
2-A TRIPLE A 49.1

1st time starters - 11, 1, 4, 8, 12

RACE 2
3-MINISTER BLAIR 102.5
5-SEEKING ANSWERS 98.4
6-STYLIN CAT 96.5
2-BLUE TORPEDO 91.3

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
4-COLONEL JOHN 76.6
9-USURP 61.1
1-HUSS THE KING 46.9 (entry)
10-COME ALMIGHTY 33.0

1st time starters - 3, 7, 5

RACE 4
14-WARREN'S SCOOTER 80.8
7-MIDNIGHT EXCESS 76.0
13-GOBBLER'SKNOB 76.0
3-MONASTERY SCANDAL 72.6

1st time starters - 11, 2, 10, 4

RACE 5
4-HYSTERICALADY 122.3
1-BAI AND BAI 105.2
3-FUN LOGIC 103.1
5-TOUGH TIZ'S SIS 100.4

RACE 6
2-LAVA MAN 117.9
1-SURF CAT 113.6
3-OUT OF CONTROL 110.0
5-GET FUNKY 106.4

RACE 7
3-GREG'S GOLD 123.8
5-BARBECUE EDDIE 103.1
1-BORDONARO 102.5
2-BAD BOY 99.8

RACE 8
11-ITSALLGREEKTOU 90.7
3-PAT THE COOL CAT 90.7
1-PLACID LAKE 88.8
10-TIME TOSAY GOODBYE 88.1
9-DEL MAR TICKET 87.5

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
13-POCOSIN'S GAME BOY 92.6
7-LEAD STEALER 88.1
14-FLIP THE PENNY 85.6
3-BESTDRESSED 85.0
4-ANGUS 85.0

RACE 10
1-MILEHIGHKISSES 80.8
9-GOLDEN VENTURE 75.4
5-SPORTIE'S SQUEEZE 72.6
2-SWINGER DOLL 70.9

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, October 06, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

Fri. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (11.40) 4th pick 2nd (7.40) top pick 3rd (2.10) picks boxed- Ex (32.60) trifecta (74.20). Race 2- 2nd pick won (15.80) 3rd pick 2nd (4.60) top pick 3rd (2.20) picks boxed- Ex (32.30) trifecta (105.50). Race 3- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (5.20) 2nd pick 2nd (2.40) Ex (6.60). Race 4- Top Pick Won (5.40) Daily Double (11.80) 4th pick 2nd (16.80) 3rd pick 3rd (3.40) 2nd pick 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (41.60) trifecta (175.80) superfecta (740.00). Race 5- Top Pick Won (8.80) Daily Double (26.00) Pick-3 (42.10) 4th pick "tied" 4th. Race 6- 3rd pick 2nd (7.60) 4th pick 3rd (13.20) 2nd pick 4th. Race 7- 4th pick "tied" won (12.20) top pick 2nd (3.00) boxed- Ex (19.10). Race 8- Top 1st timer won (29.40) 2nd pick 3rd (4.80) 4th pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
5-OVEREXTENDED 76.6
4-GUTS 74.3
3-ENGADIN 64.3
7-DR ZAENTZ 62.2

RACE 2
1-SEVEN NATION ARMY 89.4
4-I'MAGAMBLER 86.3
9-KAIANAGANDAIA 85.6
7-KINGDOM COME 83.8

RACE 3
3-ZOEMEG 86.9
2-ROYAL PRANA 84.4
6-MEZUZAH 83.2
5-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 83.2

RACE 4
7-OUTLAW JONES 90.7
3-WHEATON HALL 88.8
6-JITTERBUG BALL 88.1
2-JAMIE 82.6

RACE 5
9-QUEEN'S IMAGE 92.0
1-PT'S GREY EAGLE 85.0
4-PRIMERICA 80.8
8-GOLDEN ROYAL 74.9

RACE 6
2-JAMES THE THIRD 86.4
4-INCLUSIVE 81.6
8-KAISHU 80.2
6-BERKELEY CASTLE 79.6

RACE 7
1-COMPANY SECRET 74.9
7-TOPPERS MOMENT 70.3
6-ROMANCED 69.8
11-BACK DOOR GIRL 69.0

RACE 8
9-MARY ELLISE 95.2
5-KALOOKAN YEAR 88.8
3-QUEEN OF THE DERBY 76.6
6-LIGHTMYFIREBABY 76.0

RACE 9
3-THE TIN MAN 117.2
6-RUNAWAY DANCER 110.7
1-ISIPINGO 109.3
2-REPUBLICAN HAWK 107.9
8-SPRING HOUSE 107.9

RACE 10
5-JET PROPELLED 72.0 (off Oct. 06)
14-FUNKY CHANTEAL 65.4
2-BESTATIT 59.0
10-TINKERBELLSWINGS 50.6
13-STRAND'S CAT 50.6

1st time starters - 12

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, October 05, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

No Thurs. recap due to early post - data not available.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
5-NORTH RODEO 67.5
3-UNUSUALLY HOT 61.6
1-TEACHER'S RULE 60.6
2-SHES A REAL KEEPER 47.8

1st time starter - 4

RACE 2
2-SWEET DEE'S 83.8
6-KARLEE'S KITTEN 81.4
5-FORMAL RUSH 77.2
1-PINDARIC 70.9

RACE 3
8-HENNESSY ROSE 77.8
7-JEN'S NEW CHAPTER 76.6
1-CENTORBI 64.3
2-A SONG AT TWILIGHT 58.0

1st time starters - 3, 9

RACE 4
5-TRAIL MIX 86.9
6-HEMET THOUGHT 80.2
3-DARK PAST 76.6
1-MUD LIGHT 67.1

RACE 5
5-ASTERI 86.3
10-WARREN'S RULER 83.2
7-MO'S POCOLINO 76.0
3-A TOAST TO TANNER 73.7
4-HOLY LARK 73.1

RACE 6
2-NIAGARA CAUSEWAY 97.8
6-BLACK JACK ATTACK 96.5
7-OPTIMER 95.8
3-ANZIYAN'S SONG 94.4

RACE 7
3-LUCKY J. H. 110.4
8-CHEROOT 105.9
2-RUSH WITH THUNDER 103.8
6-BRO LO 98.4
5-BIG BAD LEROYBROWN 97.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-INTIMATE TALES 58.0
5-WARREN'S SILLYCAT 58.0
10-QUEEN OF THE I. E. 54.5
4-ONE HOT GAL 53.5

1st time starters - 9, 13, 3, 2

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, October 03, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER OF $121,405 TODAY.

RACE 1
5-TOY'S TOY 77.2
3-AMERICA'S FRIEND 62.7
8-AUNT PINK 51.6
7-REGAL REDEMPTION 47.4

1st time starters - 4, 2

RACE 2
2-CHARMING LEGACY 95.8
3-ANGEL CRAFT 93.2
5-ANDREA 91.3
4-SURE SPEED 90.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
10-D. DOUBLE YOU 79.6
1-HARLANS FORTUNE 76.6
2-SCOTT'S POPPY 70.0
11-ROADSIDE REST 66.5

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-ELLIE'S BUDDHA 68.1
10-MYSTIC GEISHA 59.0
8-PRINCESS TRACI 59.0
9-CHICA UNA 53.0

1st time starters - 5, 3, 7

RACE 5
4-TOOTALLNOCALL 73.7
12-HOTITUDE 67.5
7-YO JOAN 66.5
8-TORIKINS 62.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-CHANJO 83.8
6-SPORTSBOOKJUNKEE 63.8
8-SOUTHWEST 60.1
4-STALEMATE 58.5

1st time starters - 3, 7, 9

RACE 7
1-G. I. BETTY 92.6
3-CAMELITA 77.2
7-SILBER 76.6
2-BEYOND THE MARK 74.3
6-CHARISMA MATTERS 73.7

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-HIGHLAND TORREE 61.6
3-STITCHIT 59.6
4-AMYBELLE 50.2
6-JUDGED 46.5

1st time starters - 5, 9, 10



Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, October 02, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, October 01, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horses name-This has happened four times that I know of in over 760 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?