Sunday, June 30, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-GIANNONATTI 66.4
3-JESSE'S GIACOMO 58.5
4-SAY SAY 53.0
5-PAIRODICE RIDGE 51.1
1-WELLINGTON BEAUTY 43.8
RACE 2
7-FRANNIE'SSPIRITTOO 47.4
9-COCO DE CARCHY 46.4
3-THAMES VALLEY 43.8
2-CHARLSIE'S SONG 41.1
1-CAROL'S MELODY 38.6
1st time starters - 5
RACE 3
5-JUSTA GUSTA 77.2
4-TRICKY SHANE 75.4
6-AERIAL ARTIST 69.8
3-MERINGUE PIE 67.0
1-CARDIO ROYALE 66.4
RACE 4
5-MAGNUM FORCE 87.5
2-SOLID SOUTH 82.0
3-AWESOME ADDRESS 77.2
6-PENNY MAKER 74.3
8-SOI PHET 73.1
RACE 5
2-STAR ROCKER 74.5 (off Dec. 12)
4-TROY STORY 68.6
8-ART OFFICIAL 68.1
1-MR. CAPPUCCINO 58.0
5-HEAT FLASH 55.5
1st time starters - 7, 6
RACE 6
6-FLASHY DAME 90.7
2-BROOKLYN ROSE 83.2
1-MISS RADIANCE 83.2
3-UBELONGTOMEMISSY 79.6
4-BRANDING 72.0
RACE 7
2-PINK BLOSSOM 76.6
5-GELILA 72.6
4-BONITA SONADOR 65.4
1-TWITCH 63.8
8-AMULAY 61.7
RACE 8
6-GLADDING 99.8
3-DOYOUSEEMECOMING 96.5
2-HIGH TEST 90.7
4-BANK THE EIGHT 88.1
5-SO BRILLIANT 86.3 (off Oct. 12)
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
3-GANGNAM GUY 56.0
4-CHARISMA CODE 53.0
8-BETTER BET 48.8
6-SALT POWER 39.9
9-TRIBAL MYSTIC 28.2
1st time starters - 2, 5, 11, 10, 12
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-GIANNONATTI 66.4
3-JESSE'S GIACOMO 58.5
4-SAY SAY 53.0
5-PAIRODICE RIDGE 51.1
1-WELLINGTON BEAUTY 43.8
RACE 2
7-FRANNIE'SSPIRITTOO 47.4
9-COCO DE CARCHY 46.4
3-THAMES VALLEY 43.8
2-CHARLSIE'S SONG 41.1
1-CAROL'S MELODY 38.6
1st time starters - 5
RACE 3
5-JUSTA GUSTA 77.2
4-TRICKY SHANE 75.4
6-AERIAL ARTIST 69.8
3-MERINGUE PIE 67.0
1-CARDIO ROYALE 66.4
RACE 4
5-MAGNUM FORCE 87.5
2-SOLID SOUTH 82.0
3-AWESOME ADDRESS 77.2
6-PENNY MAKER 74.3
8-SOI PHET 73.1
RACE 5
2-STAR ROCKER 74.5 (off Dec. 12)
4-TROY STORY 68.6
8-ART OFFICIAL 68.1
1-MR. CAPPUCCINO 58.0
5-HEAT FLASH 55.5
1st time starters - 7, 6
RACE 6
6-FLASHY DAME 90.7
2-BROOKLYN ROSE 83.2
1-MISS RADIANCE 83.2
3-UBELONGTOMEMISSY 79.6
4-BRANDING 72.0
RACE 7
2-PINK BLOSSOM 76.6
5-GELILA 72.6
4-BONITA SONADOR 65.4
1-TWITCH 63.8
8-AMULAY 61.7
RACE 8
6-GLADDING 99.8
3-DOYOUSEEMECOMING 96.5
2-HIGH TEST 90.7
4-BANK THE EIGHT 88.1
5-SO BRILLIANT 86.3 (off Oct. 12)
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
3-GANGNAM GUY 56.0
4-CHARISMA CODE 53.0
8-BETTER BET 48.8
6-SALT POWER 39.9
9-TRIBAL MYSTIC 28.2
1st time starters - 2, 5, 11, 10, 12
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, June 28, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-GENIUS 93.2
4-GROOVIN' SOLO 88.1
5-SOUL CANDY 86.3
1-ANYTHINGSCOOKIN 84.4
2-TOP DRIVE 80.0
RACE 2
2-PINCELADA 69.2
4-ATTRACTA 67.5
7-QUEST FOR SUCCESS 62.2
1-MEADOW LAKE QUEEN 59.0
8-MICHAILASHEARTLITE 58.5
RACE 3
5-OBVIOUSLY 120.8
4-LUCAYAN 114.3 (off slow)
2-ZA APPROVAL 106.6
3-WILKINSON 100.4
1-JERANIMO 94.5
RACE 4
1-MY SWEET ADDICTION 86.3
6-NOT MY TAP 76.6 (off Aug 12)
4-NICKELS WILD 68.1
3-HERE'S TO ROSE 66.4
5-VAN DIEN AVENUE 59.1 (off Dec. 12)
RACE 5
1-MR T BIRD 91.9
6-DIAMONDSDIPLOMAT 90.0
3-SO ELITE 88.1
2-VIBRATO JAZZ 86.9
4-STONEY FLEECE 85.0
7-SKIP TONY 85.0
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-SWISSARELLA 53.5
3-MOVING DESERT 47.4
5-WIRED FOR FUN 46.4
1-SMOOVE IT 39.0 (steadied)
2-SKY FOREVER 36.2 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 10, 8, 9
RACE 7
6-CAMRYN KATE 85.6
1-SWEET LULU 85.0 (slow start)
4-TRES BELLE 80.8
7-TWELVE FOLDS 75.4
5-PONTCHATRAIN 70.9
3-OSTOURAH 70.3
RACE 8
1-OAK KYE WHY 90.0
10-UNUSUAL JAZZ 86.3
11-ACHILLES 85.0
8-FEAR THE BEARD 82.6
3-GOLDEN MEXICO 82.0
RACE 9
4-COMMA TO THE TOP 119.3
2-JIMMY CREED 117.2
3-RAIL TRIP 103.2 (off Nov. 12)
7-CENTRALINTELIGENCE 101.1 (off Nov. 12)
1-MORNING LINE 100.5 (off June 12)
RACE 10
11-SPECTACULARJOURNEY 70.9
9-BROWN BOSS 60.6
3-SMART 'N FAIR 59.6
4-AFFIRMED ARCH 59.0
7-MILK MAN RAY 58.3
8-BUDDING AFFAIR 55.5
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-GENIUS 93.2
4-GROOVIN' SOLO 88.1
5-SOUL CANDY 86.3
1-ANYTHINGSCOOKIN 84.4
2-TOP DRIVE 80.0
RACE 2
2-PINCELADA 69.2
4-ATTRACTA 67.5
7-QUEST FOR SUCCESS 62.2
1-MEADOW LAKE QUEEN 59.0
8-MICHAILASHEARTLITE 58.5
RACE 3
5-OBVIOUSLY 120.8
4-LUCAYAN 114.3 (off slow)
2-ZA APPROVAL 106.6
3-WILKINSON 100.4
1-JERANIMO 94.5
RACE 4
1-MY SWEET ADDICTION 86.3
6-NOT MY TAP 76.6 (off Aug 12)
4-NICKELS WILD 68.1
3-HERE'S TO ROSE 66.4
5-VAN DIEN AVENUE 59.1 (off Dec. 12)
RACE 5
1-MR T BIRD 91.9
6-DIAMONDSDIPLOMAT 90.0
3-SO ELITE 88.1
2-VIBRATO JAZZ 86.9
4-STONEY FLEECE 85.0
7-SKIP TONY 85.0
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-SWISSARELLA 53.5
3-MOVING DESERT 47.4
5-WIRED FOR FUN 46.4
1-SMOOVE IT 39.0 (steadied)
2-SKY FOREVER 36.2 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 10, 8, 9
RACE 7
6-CAMRYN KATE 85.6
1-SWEET LULU 85.0 (slow start)
4-TRES BELLE 80.8
7-TWELVE FOLDS 75.4
5-PONTCHATRAIN 70.9
3-OSTOURAH 70.3
RACE 8
1-OAK KYE WHY 90.0
10-UNUSUAL JAZZ 86.3
11-ACHILLES 85.0
8-FEAR THE BEARD 82.6
3-GOLDEN MEXICO 82.0
RACE 9
4-COMMA TO THE TOP 119.3
2-JIMMY CREED 117.2
3-RAIL TRIP 103.2 (off Nov. 12)
7-CENTRALINTELIGENCE 101.1 (off Nov. 12)
1-MORNING LINE 100.5 (off June 12)
RACE 10
11-SPECTACULARJOURNEY 70.9
9-BROWN BOSS 60.6
3-SMART 'N FAIR 59.6
4-AFFIRMED ARCH 59.0
7-MILK MAN RAY 58.3
8-BUDDING AFFAIR 55.5
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-TOP KNOT 59.6
5-DISCO LEMONADE 55.6
6-SPOILEDANDENTITLED 45.6
3-PARIS AFFAIR 41.0
4-ANGEL BE QUICK 38.2
RACE 2
6-LA POMME D'AMOUR 63.8
2-BLAZEN ALL STAR 56.5
1-WARREN'S LOVER 52.1
5-CAVALLA 50.1
3-WARREN'S LORIE S. 49.2
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-DIVINE WAY 44.2
4-TIME FOR A MEMORY 35.0
2-YODELMESOMEMAGIC 30.0
8-SHE'S FLUSH 28.6
1st time starters - 7, 3, 1, 5
RACE 4
6-FOLLINI 82.0
3-BROADWAY NIKA 81.5
7-TOLEDO EDDIE 80.8
5-LUCKY COTTON 76.6
1-RED MAN RUN 75.4
RACE 5
6-MAGIC BEAM 86.3
2-DOMONATION 86.3
3-SIR ALLISON 81.4
1-ROYAL DREAM 81.4
5-CHICKSDIGTHESHARK 78.4
RACE 6
6-FIELD REPORT 91.9
7-HE'S NOT TOO SHABY 91.3
1-MR. ORNERY 85.0
4-EXOTIC SLEW 80.9
8-VICTORY CUP 80.8 (off March 12)
RACE 7
4-BELVIN 99.8
5-R S WATSON 97.8
2-CURLY TOP 95.2
1-SAY OW 88.8
3-SCHERER MAGIC 81.9
RACE 8
1-COCONUT CREAM PIE 65.9
4-L L COOL JO 63.2
10-SIDEPOCKET RUN 60.1
9-KYLEE'S STAR 59.0
7-TIZ A CLASSY LASS 50.6 (off slow)
5-PEGGY SUE'S LOOSE 50.6
1st time starters - 2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-TOP KNOT 59.6
5-DISCO LEMONADE 55.6
6-SPOILEDANDENTITLED 45.6
3-PARIS AFFAIR 41.0
4-ANGEL BE QUICK 38.2
RACE 2
6-LA POMME D'AMOUR 63.8
2-BLAZEN ALL STAR 56.5
1-WARREN'S LOVER 52.1
5-CAVALLA 50.1
3-WARREN'S LORIE S. 49.2
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-DIVINE WAY 44.2
4-TIME FOR A MEMORY 35.0
2-YODELMESOMEMAGIC 30.0
8-SHE'S FLUSH 28.6
1st time starters - 7, 3, 1, 5
RACE 4
6-FOLLINI 82.0
3-BROADWAY NIKA 81.5
7-TOLEDO EDDIE 80.8
5-LUCKY COTTON 76.6
1-RED MAN RUN 75.4
RACE 5
6-MAGIC BEAM 86.3
2-DOMONATION 86.3
3-SIR ALLISON 81.4
1-ROYAL DREAM 81.4
5-CHICKSDIGTHESHARK 78.4
RACE 6
6-FIELD REPORT 91.9
7-HE'S NOT TOO SHABY 91.3
1-MR. ORNERY 85.0
4-EXOTIC SLEW 80.9
8-VICTORY CUP 80.8 (off March 12)
RACE 7
4-BELVIN 99.8
5-R S WATSON 97.8
2-CURLY TOP 95.2
1-SAY OW 88.8
3-SCHERER MAGIC 81.9
RACE 8
1-COCONUT CREAM PIE 65.9
4-L L COOL JO 63.2
10-SIDEPOCKET RUN 60.1
9-KYLEE'S STAR 59.0
7-TIZ A CLASSY LASS 50.6 (off slow)
5-PEGGY SUE'S LOOSE 50.6
1st time starters - 2
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, June 27, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $94,863.
RACE 1
5-SATURDAY NITE WISH 76.5 (off Aug. 12)
3-METAXA 65.4
1-ITALIAN BABA 57.5
2-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 51.6
4-MIZ WOUNDED KNEE 48.3
RACE 2
2-SINGLE LAUNCH 64.3
5-CONGREGATIONALIST 62.7
1-TUX 48.3
3-ALKARAY 48.0
6-TIZ FUTURITY 30.0
RACE 3
4-FULL'S FIGUREHEAD 65.4
7-BRITENESS 62.7
6-LIGHT OF LIFE 54.5
2-GLORYANDPRAYER 54.5
3-IT'S AINE 42.9
RACE 4
1-MAJOR AFFAIR 77.8
5-CACAU 75.4
7-MONEY MACHINE 60.1
8-DI CONTI 49.7 (off Oct. 12)
2-POWER PED 49.2 (off Dec. 12)
1st time starters - 4, 3, 6
RACE 5
6-BIG WAGS 93.2
7-ARRAIGNMENT 80.8
5-TRUCIAL STATE 79.6
1-ROCK THIS WAY 77.2
2-LATE NIGHT SKY 77.0
RACE 6
5-NIHILIST 84.4
8-WOEBEGON 84.4
4-DISTANT IMAGE 77.1
3-VICTORIOUSLY JEWEL 76.0
7-APPEALING RESUME 74.3
RACE 7
1-UNBRIDLED GIANT 88.1
5-LITTLE JERRY 87.5
3-HORIZON SKY 83.8
4-JOVIT'S TUFFY 83.8
6-UNO DOS ADIOS 77.2
RACE 8
9-DESTINO 55.5
4-J MAN 54.5
1-POINT HAPPY 54.0
8-WISE BOSS 51.1
2-BUCK'S TORNADO 39.0
1st time starters - 7
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $94,863.
RACE 1
5-SATURDAY NITE WISH 76.5 (off Aug. 12)
3-METAXA 65.4
1-ITALIAN BABA 57.5
2-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 51.6
4-MIZ WOUNDED KNEE 48.3
RACE 2
2-SINGLE LAUNCH 64.3
5-CONGREGATIONALIST 62.7
1-TUX 48.3
3-ALKARAY 48.0
6-TIZ FUTURITY 30.0
RACE 3
4-FULL'S FIGUREHEAD 65.4
7-BRITENESS 62.7
6-LIGHT OF LIFE 54.5
2-GLORYANDPRAYER 54.5
3-IT'S AINE 42.9
RACE 4
1-MAJOR AFFAIR 77.8
5-CACAU 75.4
7-MONEY MACHINE 60.1
8-DI CONTI 49.7 (off Oct. 12)
2-POWER PED 49.2 (off Dec. 12)
1st time starters - 4, 3, 6
RACE 5
6-BIG WAGS 93.2
7-ARRAIGNMENT 80.8
5-TRUCIAL STATE 79.6
1-ROCK THIS WAY 77.2
2-LATE NIGHT SKY 77.0
RACE 6
5-NIHILIST 84.4
8-WOEBEGON 84.4
4-DISTANT IMAGE 77.1
3-VICTORIOUSLY JEWEL 76.0
7-APPEALING RESUME 74.3
RACE 7
1-UNBRIDLED GIANT 88.1
5-LITTLE JERRY 87.5
3-HORIZON SKY 83.8
4-JOVIT'S TUFFY 83.8
6-UNO DOS ADIOS 77.2
RACE 8
9-DESTINO 55.5
4-J MAN 54.5
1-POINT HAPPY 54.0
8-WISE BOSS 51.1
2-BUCK'S TORNADO 39.0
1st time starters - 7
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, June 26, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, June 25, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOO PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,645 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,645 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, June 23, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: SATURDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 7 OF THE NINE RACES. FIVE WERE IN THE PICK SIX WITH MY 2ND PICK WINNING THE OTHER RACE.
RACE 1
3-SACRED OVATION 95.2
5-U S CITIZEN 95.2
2-INDUSTRY LEADER 90.6
4-RISKY REWARD 86.9 (off April 12)
1-FAST N FURIUS CAT 82.0
RACE 2
3-ZUZU'S PETALS 88.8
4-LETS GET FRISKY 80.2
7-PSALM SIXTEEN 72.6
6-TRIBAL SPY 72.0
1-ONLY JOSIE KNOWS 59.0
RACE 3
5-ROSENGOLD 90.7
3-PURE LOYALTY 90.0
4-SHOW SOME MAGIC 87.5
6-GABRIEL CHARLES 85.7 (off Dec. 12)
1-OLYMPIC BLUE 78.4
RACE 4
1-AMBITIOUS BREW 74.3 (off slow)
8-GENTLEMEN PETE 65.9
3-E K RULER 63.2 (4 wide)
6-TRIAL SPIN 61.1
5-BUFFALO HILLS 51.6
1st time starters - 4, 2
RACE 5
6-CAPTAIN BEAU 86.9
10-ARCODORO 80.8
5-SIMPLY SHARP 80.6
1-GO TO THE PULPIT 79.0
9-DEAL'EM 75.4
RACE 6
3-TAYRONA 74.5
12-GYPSY FRIDAY 67.5 (off June 12)
7-SHAND 64.7 (off Oct. 12)
8-BLAKE'S MAGIC 63.8
10-SHE'S A MINX 62.7 (off Dec. 11)
1st time starters - 9, 6, 1, 4
RACE 7
5-GRANNY CALLING 74.3
1-SUANCES FLOWER 67.9
10-J AND S EXPRESS 67.5
6-QUINNETTE 67.5
4-MAGIC MAMA 65.4
8-GHOST N YOUR HEART 64.3
RACE 8
7-PEPPY BOLLY 88.8
5-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 80.7
4-SECRET GENIUS 74.9
3-BRILLIANT MELODY 69.8 (off Nov. 12)
2-WILD IN THE SADDLE 68.1
RACE 9
9-GOODTOBEWILD 61.1
6-DEVIOUS CHIC 53.0
3-MADDOG MADDIE 50.6
14-HUERA BONITA 45.1
1-SPEEDY VIXEN 43.3
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: SATURDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 7 OF THE NINE RACES. FIVE WERE IN THE PICK SIX WITH MY 2ND PICK WINNING THE OTHER RACE.
RACE 1
3-SACRED OVATION 95.2
5-U S CITIZEN 95.2
2-INDUSTRY LEADER 90.6
4-RISKY REWARD 86.9 (off April 12)
1-FAST N FURIUS CAT 82.0
RACE 2
3-ZUZU'S PETALS 88.8
4-LETS GET FRISKY 80.2
7-PSALM SIXTEEN 72.6
6-TRIBAL SPY 72.0
1-ONLY JOSIE KNOWS 59.0
RACE 3
5-ROSENGOLD 90.7
3-PURE LOYALTY 90.0
4-SHOW SOME MAGIC 87.5
6-GABRIEL CHARLES 85.7 (off Dec. 12)
1-OLYMPIC BLUE 78.4
RACE 4
1-AMBITIOUS BREW 74.3 (off slow)
8-GENTLEMEN PETE 65.9
3-E K RULER 63.2 (4 wide)
6-TRIAL SPIN 61.1
5-BUFFALO HILLS 51.6
1st time starters - 4, 2
RACE 5
6-CAPTAIN BEAU 86.9
10-ARCODORO 80.8
5-SIMPLY SHARP 80.6
1-GO TO THE PULPIT 79.0
9-DEAL'EM 75.4
RACE 6
3-TAYRONA 74.5
12-GYPSY FRIDAY 67.5 (off June 12)
7-SHAND 64.7 (off Oct. 12)
8-BLAKE'S MAGIC 63.8
10-SHE'S A MINX 62.7 (off Dec. 11)
1st time starters - 9, 6, 1, 4
RACE 7
5-GRANNY CALLING 74.3
1-SUANCES FLOWER 67.9
10-J AND S EXPRESS 67.5
6-QUINNETTE 67.5
4-MAGIC MAMA 65.4
8-GHOST N YOUR HEART 64.3
RACE 8
7-PEPPY BOLLY 88.8
5-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 80.7
4-SECRET GENIUS 74.9
3-BRILLIANT MELODY 69.8 (off Nov. 12)
2-WILD IN THE SADDLE 68.1
RACE 9
9-GOODTOBEWILD 61.1
6-DEVIOUS CHIC 53.0
3-MADDOG MADDIE 50.6
14-HUERA BONITA 45.1
1-SPEEDY VIXEN 43.3
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, June 22, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $47,494.
RACE 1
3-EVERTON 115.0
5-REAL CONUNDRUM 99.8
6-MUCHOS BESOS 91.9
4-CELEBRITY STATUS 88.8
2-GREAT RISING STAR 79.6
RACE 2
7-LANIDA 82.5
5-EBONY N ICE 71.4
4-WARRENS VENEDALUCY 59.0
6-RAISIN' CAIN 57.0
2-DUBAI PERFECTO 46.0
RACE 3
1-DOINGHARDTIMEAGAIN 102.5
3-IOTAPA 90.7
5-ONDINE 80.2
4-UNBRIDLED WEE 78.4
2-CIAO BELLA LUNA 76.5
RACE 4
6-BROTHER PETE 80.8
1-KIN 76.0
3-CAST A VISION 76.0
7-CITRON KID 67.5
4-OUR LUCKY SON 67.0
RACE 5
2-INSIDEONDOUTSIDE 83.8
3-BABY BLAKE 75.3
7-HURRY HOME CLOVER 73.1
4-BOB CONSULTATION 71.4
5-PORCHETTO 67.5
RACE 6
3-MIDNIGHT CROONER 91.3
1-SURREY STAR 86.9
7-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 81.0
2-ROBBIE'S WAR 80.2
4-DUNMORE EAST 80.2
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
9-ALPINE LUCK 58.5
7-NEVADA CITY 33.4
1st time starters - 1, 5, 3, 4, 2, 6, 8
RACE 8
5-HE BE FIRE N ICE 93.2
1-CIRCLE THE MOON 93.2
2-IVANHO 92.6
6-KID EDWARD 92.6 (off July 11)
4-EXTENSIVE 82.0
RACE 9
1-HUSTLIN NU 71.4 (off Oct. 11)
6-THE GATE KEEPER 56.0
14-FIGHTING ON 51.1
4-DRAMATIC ALLAN 48.8
2-RONDO HONDO 42.4
1st time starters - 5, 3, 11`
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $47,494.
RACE 1
3-EVERTON 115.0
5-REAL CONUNDRUM 99.8
6-MUCHOS BESOS 91.9
4-CELEBRITY STATUS 88.8
2-GREAT RISING STAR 79.6
RACE 2
7-LANIDA 82.5
5-EBONY N ICE 71.4
4-WARRENS VENEDALUCY 59.0
6-RAISIN' CAIN 57.0
2-DUBAI PERFECTO 46.0
RACE 3
1-DOINGHARDTIMEAGAIN 102.5
3-IOTAPA 90.7
5-ONDINE 80.2
4-UNBRIDLED WEE 78.4
2-CIAO BELLA LUNA 76.5
RACE 4
6-BROTHER PETE 80.8
1-KIN 76.0
3-CAST A VISION 76.0
7-CITRON KID 67.5
4-OUR LUCKY SON 67.0
RACE 5
2-INSIDEONDOUTSIDE 83.8
3-BABY BLAKE 75.3
7-HURRY HOME CLOVER 73.1
4-BOB CONSULTATION 71.4
5-PORCHETTO 67.5
RACE 6
3-MIDNIGHT CROONER 91.3
1-SURREY STAR 86.9
7-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 81.0
2-ROBBIE'S WAR 80.2
4-DUNMORE EAST 80.2
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
9-ALPINE LUCK 58.5
7-NEVADA CITY 33.4
1st time starters - 1, 5, 3, 4, 2, 6, 8
RACE 8
5-HE BE FIRE N ICE 93.2
1-CIRCLE THE MOON 93.2
2-IVANHO 92.6
6-KID EDWARD 92.6 (off July 11)
4-EXTENSIVE 82.0
RACE 9
1-HUSTLIN NU 71.4 (off Oct. 11)
6-THE GATE KEEPER 56.0
14-FIGHTING ON 51.1
4-DRAMATIC ALLAN 48.8
2-RONDO HONDO 42.4
1st time starters - 5, 3, 11`
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, June 21, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-MIA LADY 80.2
6-LAKESIDE BRIDE 66.4
1-SUANCES PRIDE 50.2
2-TRIBAL SYN 49.6
1st time starters - 5, 3
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2f.)
2-WESTERN SHOWDOWN 44.6
1-RAISE THE HOOF 42.9
5-ANYTHINGTOGETEVEN 30.4
1st time starters - 3, 8, 4, 7, 6
RACE 3
6-LAUGH AT LIFE 80.2
1-TOO FAST TO PASS 75.4
2-JUDGE CARR 72.6
5-OLD MAN LAKE 60.6
3-MAQUINA 60.1 (off Oct. 12)
RACE 4
1-ELEGANT IN SILK 61.1
6-TOP KNOT 58.5
4-VISIONS OF CANDY 55.0
2-BRANDON'S PRINCESS 52.1
3-SMART N DREAMY 52.1
RACE 5
2-BELLA VIAGGIA 95.8 (off Oct. 12)
1-BENCH GLORY 91.3
3-ISMENE 89.4
5-BELLE DE LUNE 86.3
4-QUIZZICAL 80.9
RACE 6
8-RAISED A SECRET 80.8
3-APOLLO TEN 79.6
1-MEMPHIS 76.0
4-SIZZLIN' JOE 75.2
5-WARRENS WILD THING 72.4
RACE 7
3-CHOSEN MIRACLE 97.8
1-COACH BOB 97.1
6-SUMMER EXCLUSIVE 95.8
7-CHILOQUIN 91.3
5-KINSALE KING 87.5 (off Sept. 11)
2-BOAT TRIP 86.3
RACE 8
8-HIDDEN PASSION 67.5
2-RUNNING FOR JAKOB 67.0
3-PEARLOFTHEORIENT 65.9
6-FIESTA EXPRESS 62.7
5-KATY'S KITTY 62.2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-MIA LADY 80.2
6-LAKESIDE BRIDE 66.4
1-SUANCES PRIDE 50.2
2-TRIBAL SYN 49.6
1st time starters - 5, 3
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2f.)
2-WESTERN SHOWDOWN 44.6
1-RAISE THE HOOF 42.9
5-ANYTHINGTOGETEVEN 30.4
1st time starters - 3, 8, 4, 7, 6
RACE 3
6-LAUGH AT LIFE 80.2
1-TOO FAST TO PASS 75.4
2-JUDGE CARR 72.6
5-OLD MAN LAKE 60.6
3-MAQUINA 60.1 (off Oct. 12)
RACE 4
1-ELEGANT IN SILK 61.1
6-TOP KNOT 58.5
4-VISIONS OF CANDY 55.0
2-BRANDON'S PRINCESS 52.1
3-SMART N DREAMY 52.1
RACE 5
2-BELLA VIAGGIA 95.8 (off Oct. 12)
1-BENCH GLORY 91.3
3-ISMENE 89.4
5-BELLE DE LUNE 86.3
4-QUIZZICAL 80.9
RACE 6
8-RAISED A SECRET 80.8
3-APOLLO TEN 79.6
1-MEMPHIS 76.0
4-SIZZLIN' JOE 75.2
5-WARRENS WILD THING 72.4
RACE 7
3-CHOSEN MIRACLE 97.8
1-COACH BOB 97.1
6-SUMMER EXCLUSIVE 95.8
7-CHILOQUIN 91.3
5-KINSALE KING 87.5 (off Sept. 11)
2-BOAT TRIP 86.3
RACE 8
8-HIDDEN PASSION 67.5
2-RUNNING FOR JAKOB 67.0
3-PEARLOFTHEORIENT 65.9
6-FIESTA EXPRESS 62.7
5-KATY'S KITTY 62.2
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, June 20, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-CATRAGEOUS 67.5
3-WINK AND WISH 57.0
4-JESSE'S GIACOMO 56.5
1-FIRENDESIRE 56.0
6-EGYPTIAN FEMME 54.5
2-TRIBAL CUSTOM 54.5
RACE 2
3-PUBLIC DEFENDER 63.2
7-ANCIENT STONE 53.0
1-CHANGE OF PLAN 50.2
2-WARREN'S CLIFF S. 39.0
4-PHILLY SLEW 34.4 (off Oct. 12)
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2f.)
9-NINNAVEE 39.0
3-SPRING DREAM 35.8
5-RAJA'S ROSE 31.9
8-VEGAS BOUND 19.4
10-TIME TO BE A HERO 15.5
1st time starters - 2, 4, 7
RACE 4
6-HEAT TRAP 86.9 (3 wide)
1-SIZZLING GOLD 76.6
4-ATTA GIRL ALMA 75.4
5-TRIBAL CHATTER 73.1
7-LUXURIANCE 67.5
RACE 5
6-INDIAN WINTER 75.4 (off Nov. 12)
5-CORNER OFFICE 74.3
3-BARON VON RED 72.0
4-WORLD RENOWNED 67.5
7-CRAGMONT 67.0
RACE 6
1-RELENTLESS HEAT 88.8
5-ROMEO ROYALE 87.5 (off Sept. 12)
8-CARBONITE 84.4
7-MAJOR MAGIC 82.6
9-WINSOME CHARM 76.0
RACE 7
6-FREAKIN ROCKET 95.2
3-DERRINGER 91.3
4-TIZAPLAYER 87.5
5-WINE STOCK 80.2
1-STRONG WIND 75.4 (off Dec. 12)
RACE 8
7-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 74.9
4-MEYDAN MAGIC 73.1
10-DREAMNOFATTICUS 71.6
5-VOLKONSKY 69.8
1-BRAVE ACT 64.8
2-WARREN'S TYLAR S. 63.2
1st time starters - 8, 3
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-CATRAGEOUS 67.5
3-WINK AND WISH 57.0
4-JESSE'S GIACOMO 56.5
1-FIRENDESIRE 56.0
6-EGYPTIAN FEMME 54.5
2-TRIBAL CUSTOM 54.5
RACE 2
3-PUBLIC DEFENDER 63.2
7-ANCIENT STONE 53.0
1-CHANGE OF PLAN 50.2
2-WARREN'S CLIFF S. 39.0
4-PHILLY SLEW 34.4 (off Oct. 12)
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2f.)
9-NINNAVEE 39.0
3-SPRING DREAM 35.8
5-RAJA'S ROSE 31.9
8-VEGAS BOUND 19.4
10-TIME TO BE A HERO 15.5
1st time starters - 2, 4, 7
RACE 4
6-HEAT TRAP 86.9 (3 wide)
1-SIZZLING GOLD 76.6
4-ATTA GIRL ALMA 75.4
5-TRIBAL CHATTER 73.1
7-LUXURIANCE 67.5
RACE 5
6-INDIAN WINTER 75.4 (off Nov. 12)
5-CORNER OFFICE 74.3
3-BARON VON RED 72.0
4-WORLD RENOWNED 67.5
7-CRAGMONT 67.0
RACE 6
1-RELENTLESS HEAT 88.8
5-ROMEO ROYALE 87.5 (off Sept. 12)
8-CARBONITE 84.4
7-MAJOR MAGIC 82.6
9-WINSOME CHARM 76.0
RACE 7
6-FREAKIN ROCKET 95.2
3-DERRINGER 91.3
4-TIZAPLAYER 87.5
5-WINE STOCK 80.2
1-STRONG WIND 75.4 (off Dec. 12)
RACE 8
7-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 74.9
4-MEYDAN MAGIC 73.1
10-DREAMNOFATTICUS 71.6
5-VOLKONSKY 69.8
1-BRAVE ACT 64.8
2-WARREN'S TYLAR S. 63.2
1st time starters - 8, 3
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, June 19, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: Betfair, bets, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, June 18, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOO PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,639 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,639 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, June 16, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $130,526.
RACE 1
5-RANULF 82.0 (steadied)
1-MIDNITE VIEW 36.6
1st time starters - 3, 2, 4
RACE 2
3-CORINTHIAN MELODY 70.9
1-SALT TEQUILA LIME 69.2
4-ROSIES RASCAL 53.5
7-LIL CHEYENNE 51.6
5-HARLAN'S TRICK 42.9
1st time starters - 9
RACE 3
1-BIO PRO 84.4
5-NOME 71.4
8-EYESABLAZIN 70.9
7-BIPARTISAN 69.8
3-WARREN'S JEFF G. 67.5
RACE 4
4-STONESIDE 80.8
8-BIG NOTE 76.6
6-AFLEET COWBOY 73.1
2-ERNIE OWL 73.1
5-GUIDOPANZINI 68.1
RACE 5
2-AIRFOIL 79.6
9-QUALITY PLAN 70.3
1-ALEANDER 65.9
5-A RED TIE DAY 64.8
7-DEPUTY STRIKER 60.1
1st time starters - 8
RACE 6
5-CHAPMAN'S PEAK 93.2
8-GUTSHOT STRIGHT 92.6
3-LUCKARACK 88.1
4-BENCH POINTS 85.6
2-TRUELEE SCRAPPIN 82.6 (off Dec. 11)
6-NORTHERN FORCE 82.6
RACE 7
7-PULPIT'S EXPRESS 88.1
6-TURN ON THE PUMPS 87.5
3-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 79.6
1-WARREN'S BIG CAT 78.4
4-ON THE FENCE 74.3
RACE 8
3-TEDDY'S PROMISE 111.4
8-INCLUDE ME OUT 106.6 (off Nov. 12)
7-WINDING WAY 96.5 (off Oct. 12)
2-CONKATE 90.7
9-SHUMOOS 85.0
RACE 9
10-WHIPSTOCK 80.2
11-CRESTATORRE 74.3
7-JUST IRISH 70.9
3-BEAST OF BOURBON 69.8
4-MAGIC CASTLE 59.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $130,526.
RACE 1
5-RANULF 82.0 (steadied)
1-MIDNITE VIEW 36.6
1st time starters - 3, 2, 4
RACE 2
3-CORINTHIAN MELODY 70.9
1-SALT TEQUILA LIME 69.2
4-ROSIES RASCAL 53.5
7-LIL CHEYENNE 51.6
5-HARLAN'S TRICK 42.9
1st time starters - 9
RACE 3
1-BIO PRO 84.4
5-NOME 71.4
8-EYESABLAZIN 70.9
7-BIPARTISAN 69.8
3-WARREN'S JEFF G. 67.5
RACE 4
4-STONESIDE 80.8
8-BIG NOTE 76.6
6-AFLEET COWBOY 73.1
2-ERNIE OWL 73.1
5-GUIDOPANZINI 68.1
RACE 5
2-AIRFOIL 79.6
9-QUALITY PLAN 70.3
1-ALEANDER 65.9
5-A RED TIE DAY 64.8
7-DEPUTY STRIKER 60.1
1st time starters - 8
RACE 6
5-CHAPMAN'S PEAK 93.2
8-GUTSHOT STRIGHT 92.6
3-LUCKARACK 88.1
4-BENCH POINTS 85.6
2-TRUELEE SCRAPPIN 82.6 (off Dec. 11)
6-NORTHERN FORCE 82.6
RACE 7
7-PULPIT'S EXPRESS 88.1
6-TURN ON THE PUMPS 87.5
3-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 79.6
1-WARREN'S BIG CAT 78.4
4-ON THE FENCE 74.3
RACE 8
3-TEDDY'S PROMISE 111.4
8-INCLUDE ME OUT 106.6 (off Nov. 12)
7-WINDING WAY 96.5 (off Oct. 12)
2-CONKATE 90.7
9-SHUMOOS 85.0
RACE 9
10-WHIPSTOCK 80.2
11-CRESTATORRE 74.3
7-JUST IRISH 70.9
3-BEAST OF BOURBON 69.8
4-MAGIC CASTLE 59.6
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, June 15, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-CHERRY ON THE CAKE 72.6
3-CHRISTMAS CANDY 72.0
4-DILLY'S DANCER 68.4
2-PRINCELADA 65.4
1-SANTABARBRABENDITA 59.6
RACE 2
7-FLY HIGH 70.3
8-YACHT HARBOR 58.5
1-DASHING ASH 54.0
3-DARK TIMBERS 51.6
4-PANAYIOTIS 49.2
1st time starters - 2
RACE 3
2-TOOMANYTOMATOES 86.9
3-BLINGISMYTHING 85.6
6-MELTARIB 83.2
5-VILLLENEUVE 82.6
4-FOXY BOSS 82.0
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
2-ON THE BACKSTREETS 65.9 (3 wide)
7-SPROUTS 62.7
1-PLEASANT MISS 58.0
5-TIME FOR ANGIE 55.5
4-SENSATIONAL NIKKI 50.6 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 6
RACE 5
1-MR. BOSSY PANTS 87.5
6-LORD VRONSKY 86.3
4-YES IT'S SNOWING 85.0
3-SKIMASCO 84.5
9-CHICSDIGTHESHARK 82.7
RACE 6
2-URBAN HUNTER 93.2
7-NIGHT BADGER 85.0
6-SPIRIT RULES 85.0 (off Feb. 12)
3-FOLLINI 82.0
1-INDIAN CLASSIC 80.8
RACE 7
4-HARPER RAE 73.1 (3 wide)
11-ANGEL'S MOON 70.9 (off Dec. 12)
7-COTTON'S POINT 65.9 (off Oct. 12)
12-LUCKY STUDENT 60.1
2-KELDY 59.6
1st time starters - 3, 6, 14
RACE 8(all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
6-WILLIE B AWESOME 71.4
5-GO FIRST 67.0
7-CALIFORNIA CHROME 65.4
1-TIME FOR A HUG 63.8
8-STREET ICON 59.6 (drifted in)
1st time starters - 2, 3
RACE 9
1-MORE CHOCOLATE 101.1
3-ESENTEPE 96.5
6-LADY OF FIFTY 93.2
5-OPEN WATER 91.9
4-ROYAL TIGER 87.5
RACE 10
8-SECRET MEMO 47.8 (off Nov. 12)
14-ROCKIN'HARD GALS 47.4
10-ROYAL WEEKEND 36.6
9-GOLDILOCKS PLANET 30.8 (steadied)
2-SHIMMERING STAR 30.4
1st time starters - 12, 1, 5
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-CHERRY ON THE CAKE 72.6
3-CHRISTMAS CANDY 72.0
4-DILLY'S DANCER 68.4
2-PRINCELADA 65.4
1-SANTABARBRABENDITA 59.6
RACE 2
7-FLY HIGH 70.3
8-YACHT HARBOR 58.5
1-DASHING ASH 54.0
3-DARK TIMBERS 51.6
4-PANAYIOTIS 49.2
1st time starters - 2
RACE 3
2-TOOMANYTOMATOES 86.9
3-BLINGISMYTHING 85.6
6-MELTARIB 83.2
5-VILLLENEUVE 82.6
4-FOXY BOSS 82.0
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
2-ON THE BACKSTREETS 65.9 (3 wide)
7-SPROUTS 62.7
1-PLEASANT MISS 58.0
5-TIME FOR ANGIE 55.5
4-SENSATIONAL NIKKI 50.6 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 6
RACE 5
1-MR. BOSSY PANTS 87.5
6-LORD VRONSKY 86.3
4-YES IT'S SNOWING 85.0
3-SKIMASCO 84.5
9-CHICSDIGTHESHARK 82.7
RACE 6
2-URBAN HUNTER 93.2
7-NIGHT BADGER 85.0
6-SPIRIT RULES 85.0 (off Feb. 12)
3-FOLLINI 82.0
1-INDIAN CLASSIC 80.8
RACE 7
4-HARPER RAE 73.1 (3 wide)
11-ANGEL'S MOON 70.9 (off Dec. 12)
7-COTTON'S POINT 65.9 (off Oct. 12)
12-LUCKY STUDENT 60.1
2-KELDY 59.6
1st time starters - 3, 6, 14
RACE 8(all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
6-WILLIE B AWESOME 71.4
5-GO FIRST 67.0
7-CALIFORNIA CHROME 65.4
1-TIME FOR A HUG 63.8
8-STREET ICON 59.6 (drifted in)
1st time starters - 2, 3
RACE 9
1-MORE CHOCOLATE 101.1
3-ESENTEPE 96.5
6-LADY OF FIFTY 93.2
5-OPEN WATER 91.9
4-ROYAL TIGER 87.5
RACE 10
8-SECRET MEMO 47.8 (off Nov. 12)
14-ROCKIN'HARD GALS 47.4
10-ROYAL WEEKEND 36.6
9-GOLDILOCKS PLANET 30.8 (steadied)
2-SHIMMERING STAR 30.4
1st time starters - 12, 1, 5
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, June 14, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-BODAWAY 90.7
6-JUSTA GUSTA 79.6
3-ITSALWAYSSOMETHING 74.9
2-MYSTICAL MARK 64.8
4-D J MANLOVE 63.2
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
4-KRISTINITE 46.0
1-COLONEL JOAN 43.8 (slow start)
6-CAUSE UR MY BABE 42.9(4 wide)
7-HUGH KNEW 37.4
1st time starters - 3, 2, 5
RACE 3
1-STREETS OF HEAVEN 72.0
6-MARINE FOG 70.9
9-LONE JUSTICE 65.4
7-MR. PADRE 62.2
5-FULL EFFECT 59.6
RACE 4
5-LADY KATFISH 79.7
6-JOEANDBETTY'SBABY 76.6
3-MYNTZ CONNECTION 72.0
2-MISS ROBYN 71.1
1-BARES TRIPPER 63.2
RACE 5
3-SUPER DICE 74.3
4-SAINT LEO 70.9
8-PUERTO WILLIAMS 60.6
7-ROCKY BARBOA 59.0
1-EL TOVAR 56.5
1st time starters - 2, 6, 5
RACE 6
8-TOP KISSER 95.8
1-RICSPRETENTIOUSGAL 87.5
5-BYRONY 84.4
7-JOLLY DAYS 83.8
6-CHOCKECHERYMARY 80.8
RACE 7
2-PAYNTER 121.8 (off July 12)
6-KATE'S EVENT 105.2
8-FLY LEXIS FLY 95.8
5-MAJESTIC CITY 88.8
1-ASHTAR 76.0
1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
8-SMART STRIKING 79.6
1-ROMANTIC WISH 77.2
10-MIA ISABEL 75.4
5-LOVE TALE 73.1
9-LILLY'S PERFECT 70.3
4-CANDY TROPHY 69.2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-BODAWAY 90.7
6-JUSTA GUSTA 79.6
3-ITSALWAYSSOMETHING 74.9
2-MYSTICAL MARK 64.8
4-D J MANLOVE 63.2
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
4-KRISTINITE 46.0
1-COLONEL JOAN 43.8 (slow start)
6-CAUSE UR MY BABE 42.9(4 wide)
7-HUGH KNEW 37.4
1st time starters - 3, 2, 5
RACE 3
1-STREETS OF HEAVEN 72.0
6-MARINE FOG 70.9
9-LONE JUSTICE 65.4
7-MR. PADRE 62.2
5-FULL EFFECT 59.6
RACE 4
5-LADY KATFISH 79.7
6-JOEANDBETTY'SBABY 76.6
3-MYNTZ CONNECTION 72.0
2-MISS ROBYN 71.1
1-BARES TRIPPER 63.2
RACE 5
3-SUPER DICE 74.3
4-SAINT LEO 70.9
8-PUERTO WILLIAMS 60.6
7-ROCKY BARBOA 59.0
1-EL TOVAR 56.5
1st time starters - 2, 6, 5
RACE 6
8-TOP KISSER 95.8
1-RICSPRETENTIOUSGAL 87.5
5-BYRONY 84.4
7-JOLLY DAYS 83.8
6-CHOCKECHERYMARY 80.8
RACE 7
2-PAYNTER 121.8 (off July 12)
6-KATE'S EVENT 105.2
8-FLY LEXIS FLY 95.8
5-MAJESTIC CITY 88.8
1-ASHTAR 76.0
1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
8-SMART STRIKING 79.6
1-ROMANTIC WISH 77.2
10-MIA ISABEL 75.4
5-LOVE TALE 73.1
9-LILLY'S PERFECT 70.3
4-CANDY TROPHY 69.2
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, June 13, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-CAST A DOUBT 91.9
5-BROKER BRETT 73.1
1-AFFLICATION 71.4
6-HARD PLAY 64.3
1st time starters - 3, 2
RACE 2
3-OUR BOY BENJAMIN 85.0
6-JAY'S FIRETRUCK 80.8
2-SANIBEL SID 71.4
4-SPORTS REPORT 64.8
7-TWIN SIX 54.6
RACE 3
7-INDYGO F M A 71.4
3-TOPIC 69.2
5-INTOXICATING MOVE 66.4
4-ESPRIT DE CORPS 60.1
6-WOODYS WHARF 59.6
RACE 4
1-CAVEMAN KENO 59.6
3-CATATONIC CAT 56.0
5-POINT HAPPY 54.0
2-STAUFFENBURG 43.8
7-SLIGHT EDGE 11.6 (off Feb. 11)
1st time starters - 6, 8, 4
RACE 5
6-ENGLISH CROSSING 65.9
2-ROLANDA 63.8
7-LA POMME D'AMOUR 63.8
1-CAVELLETTA 63.2
3-BLUEGRASS ELLIE 62.7
RACE 6
3-CONGENIAL 101.8
5-ROUSING SERMON 99.8
7-HALF STRIKE 92.6
8-SAINT LOUP 90.8
9-MAJESTIC MOMENT 88.1
RACE 7
7-BLACK WITCH 82.8
8-LILBOURNE ELIZA 82.4
2-BOLLER BOMB 80.8
1-COULD BE TROUBLE 80.0
6-SWEET RED CAT 75.4
RACE 8
11-SALTY FORECAST 61.1
5-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 61.1
10-SUANCE'S LUCK 58.0
4-GLORYANDPRAYER 56.5
9-WARREN'S MO MONEY 54.0 (off Dec. 12)
3-GLORIOUS MEMORIES 53.0
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-CAST A DOUBT 91.9
5-BROKER BRETT 73.1
1-AFFLICATION 71.4
6-HARD PLAY 64.3
1st time starters - 3, 2
RACE 2
3-OUR BOY BENJAMIN 85.0
6-JAY'S FIRETRUCK 80.8
2-SANIBEL SID 71.4
4-SPORTS REPORT 64.8
7-TWIN SIX 54.6
RACE 3
7-INDYGO F M A 71.4
3-TOPIC 69.2
5-INTOXICATING MOVE 66.4
4-ESPRIT DE CORPS 60.1
6-WOODYS WHARF 59.6
RACE 4
1-CAVEMAN KENO 59.6
3-CATATONIC CAT 56.0
5-POINT HAPPY 54.0
2-STAUFFENBURG 43.8
7-SLIGHT EDGE 11.6 (off Feb. 11)
1st time starters - 6, 8, 4
RACE 5
6-ENGLISH CROSSING 65.9
2-ROLANDA 63.8
7-LA POMME D'AMOUR 63.8
1-CAVELLETTA 63.2
3-BLUEGRASS ELLIE 62.7
RACE 6
3-CONGENIAL 101.8
5-ROUSING SERMON 99.8
7-HALF STRIKE 92.6
8-SAINT LOUP 90.8
9-MAJESTIC MOMENT 88.1
RACE 7
7-BLACK WITCH 82.8
8-LILBOURNE ELIZA 82.4
2-BOLLER BOMB 80.8
1-COULD BE TROUBLE 80.0
6-SWEET RED CAT 75.4
RACE 8
11-SALTY FORECAST 61.1
5-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 61.1
10-SUANCE'S LUCK 58.0
4-GLORYANDPRAYER 56.5
9-WARREN'S MO MONEY 54.0 (off Dec. 12)
3-GLORIOUS MEMORIES 53.0
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, June 12, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, June 11, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOO PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,632 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,632 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, June 09, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-HOME JOURNEY 80.8
1-LEMON HERO 80.2
5-MADRE LUNA 77.2
2-OSTOURAH 73.1
3-SERIOUS 51.3
RACE 2
4-BACKINTHEACADEMY 58.5
7-FRANNIE'SSPIRITTOO 53.5
6-ALL ABOUT AVERY 47.6
5-AMULAY 46.6
8-THAMES VALLEY 39.6
RACE 3
1-GREELEY AWESOME 81.5
6-ONE FIRM CAT 75.1
5-MERINGUE PIE 67.0
7-TEBOWING 65.9
2-AS GOOD AS GOLD 63.8
RACE 4
2-RIDINGWITHTHEDEVIL 80.2
3-BURNS TURN 68.1
5-ITSALLINTHEFAMILY 67.5
7-CAMRYN KATE 66.1
6-CARIBE D'ORO 46.0 (off slow)
1st time starters - 4, 1
RACE 5
3-ERNIE OWL 80.2
8-PRIVILAGED 77.8
6-GALLANT GENT 74.9
5-CRAGMONT 70.9
4-SABOR AMARGO 69.8
RACE 6
2-ROCK ME BABY 94.5
4-SWIFT EAGLE 85.6
3-WAITWAITDONTTELLME 85.0
6-MAMBO MAN 84.4
5-FAST TRACK 83.2
1-MIND THE MASTER 83.2
RACE 7
7-COURTSIDE 92.6
8-NOW AND ZEN 91.3
5-GNARLY DUDE 88.8
4-DIAMOND OF BLUE 88.8
1-D'PENDABLE 77.7
3-DRESS CODE 77.0
RACE 8
5-UNUSUAL HOTTIE 97.8
9-APPEALING 95.2
6-LA ZUBIA 92.6
8-SUGARINTHE MORNING 90.7
12-MOROCCO MOON 90.2 (off Oct. 12)
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
11-CHARISMA CODE 53.0
2-GANGNAM GUY 52.6
7-NATURAL STRIDE 49.7
1-BETTER BET 45.1
6-SLEWPY AGAIN 37.0 (off slow)
1st time starters - 4, 8, 3, 10, 5
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-HOME JOURNEY 80.8
1-LEMON HERO 80.2
5-MADRE LUNA 77.2
2-OSTOURAH 73.1
3-SERIOUS 51.3
RACE 2
4-BACKINTHEACADEMY 58.5
7-FRANNIE'SSPIRITTOO 53.5
6-ALL ABOUT AVERY 47.6
5-AMULAY 46.6
8-THAMES VALLEY 39.6
RACE 3
1-GREELEY AWESOME 81.5
6-ONE FIRM CAT 75.1
5-MERINGUE PIE 67.0
7-TEBOWING 65.9
2-AS GOOD AS GOLD 63.8
RACE 4
2-RIDINGWITHTHEDEVIL 80.2
3-BURNS TURN 68.1
5-ITSALLINTHEFAMILY 67.5
7-CAMRYN KATE 66.1
6-CARIBE D'ORO 46.0 (off slow)
1st time starters - 4, 1
RACE 5
3-ERNIE OWL 80.2
8-PRIVILAGED 77.8
6-GALLANT GENT 74.9
5-CRAGMONT 70.9
4-SABOR AMARGO 69.8
RACE 6
2-ROCK ME BABY 94.5
4-SWIFT EAGLE 85.6
3-WAITWAITDONTTELLME 85.0
6-MAMBO MAN 84.4
5-FAST TRACK 83.2
1-MIND THE MASTER 83.2
RACE 7
7-COURTSIDE 92.6
8-NOW AND ZEN 91.3
5-GNARLY DUDE 88.8
4-DIAMOND OF BLUE 88.8
1-D'PENDABLE 77.7
3-DRESS CODE 77.0
RACE 8
5-UNUSUAL HOTTIE 97.8
9-APPEALING 95.2
6-LA ZUBIA 92.6
8-SUGARINTHE MORNING 90.7
12-MOROCCO MOON 90.2 (off Oct. 12)
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
11-CHARISMA CODE 53.0
2-GANGNAM GUY 52.6
7-NATURAL STRIDE 49.7
1-BETTER BET 45.1
6-SLEWPY AGAIN 37.0 (off slow)
1st time starters - 4, 8, 3, 10, 5
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, June 08, 2013
BELMONT PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THE BELMONT STAKES SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
BELMONT PARK
RACE 11 - THE BELMONT STAKES
5-ORB 115.0
9-REVOLUTIONARY 113.6
14-GOLDEN SOUL 112.9
7-OXBOW 107.3
13-UNLIMITED BUDGET 105.2
2-FREEDOM CHILD 102.5
11-VYJACK 102.5
6-INCOGNITO 94.5
8-MIDNIGHT TABOO 93.9
10-WILL TAKE CHARGE 91.3
12-PALACE MALICE 88.8
4-GIANT FINISH 88.8
3-OVERANALYZE 88.1
1-FRAC DADDY 75.4
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
BELMONT PARK
RACE 11 - THE BELMONT STAKES
5-ORB 115.0
9-REVOLUTIONARY 113.6
14-GOLDEN SOUL 112.9
7-OXBOW 107.3
13-UNLIMITED BUDGET 105.2
2-FREEDOM CHILD 102.5
11-VYJACK 102.5
6-INCOGNITO 94.5
8-MIDNIGHT TABOO 93.9
10-WILL TAKE CHARGE 91.3
12-PALACE MALICE 88.8
4-GIANT FINISH 88.8
3-OVERANALYZE 88.1
1-FRAC DADDY 75.4
Labels: Belmont, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $58,498.
RACE 1
2-MEL'S GAME 105.2
4-YOMYBATO 105.2
5-CASTAWAY 104.5
1-BANK THE EUGHT 83.2
3-SCHERER MAGIC 82.6
RACE 2
8-BAS 55.5
9-SPEEDY VIXEN 46.4
3-MAGIC MAYA 43.3
1-CHANTAL'S GIRL 41.6
4-MEZZANOTTE 39.9
1st time starters - 5
RACE 3
5-PROVEN WARRIOR 103.1
6-MI HIJO 85.0
2-PATRIOTIC LION 70.3
4-PALM ISLAND 36.1
1st time starters - 1, 3
RACE 4
1-LUCKY PRIMO 103.8
2-ALL SQUARED AWAY 101.1
5-SLIM SHADEY 99.8
7-LIME RICKEY 91.3
6-NIAGARA FALLS 91.3
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
4-HARLINGTON'S ROSE 36.2
6-TRIBALISTA 35.4
1-YODELMESOMEMAGIC 31.9
3-GISELE AT FONZ'S 22.5 (off slow)
1st time starters - 5, 2, 8, 9, 10, 7
RACE 6
5-COOK INLET 94.4
9-MR. MAKE BELIEVE 92.0
1-DANDEREK 91.3
7-SO ELITE 86.3
3-MR. CANDY BAR 76.0
RACE 7
5-DECLASSIFY 112.9
3-GONNA FLY NOW 99.8
6-SCORPION WARRIOR 94.5
4-WILD MEDIA 93.9
7-U S CITIZEN 92.0
RACE 8
8-JUDY IN DISGUISE 96.5
4-TIZMETIZYOU 93.9
3-DISKO DASKO 85.6
2-UPBEAT MOOD 84.4
6-LADY ROSAMOND 83.9
RACE 9
6-CUNNING RIDE 76.6
3-SMOKING G 74.5
10-DERBY GOLD 72.6
9-PRETTY DARN QUICK 69.2
7-PRIME NUMBER 64.3
RACE 10
5-SCARLET STRIKE 91.9
9-CHARLIE EM 91.3
6-BECKY LOU 83.8
3-BLINGISMYTHING 83.2
11-KYRIAKI 82.0
RACE 11
11-SINFULLY 68.6
5-SPECTACULARJOURNEY 64.3
2-DESTINO 57.5
7-FERNANDO SUANCINI 54.5
9-TRIPLE FEATURE 50.3
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $58,498.
RACE 1
2-MEL'S GAME 105.2
4-YOMYBATO 105.2
5-CASTAWAY 104.5
1-BANK THE EUGHT 83.2
3-SCHERER MAGIC 82.6
RACE 2
8-BAS 55.5
9-SPEEDY VIXEN 46.4
3-MAGIC MAYA 43.3
1-CHANTAL'S GIRL 41.6
4-MEZZANOTTE 39.9
1st time starters - 5
RACE 3
5-PROVEN WARRIOR 103.1
6-MI HIJO 85.0
2-PATRIOTIC LION 70.3
4-PALM ISLAND 36.1
1st time starters - 1, 3
RACE 4
1-LUCKY PRIMO 103.8
2-ALL SQUARED AWAY 101.1
5-SLIM SHADEY 99.8
7-LIME RICKEY 91.3
6-NIAGARA FALLS 91.3
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
4-HARLINGTON'S ROSE 36.2
6-TRIBALISTA 35.4
1-YODELMESOMEMAGIC 31.9
3-GISELE AT FONZ'S 22.5 (off slow)
1st time starters - 5, 2, 8, 9, 10, 7
RACE 6
5-COOK INLET 94.4
9-MR. MAKE BELIEVE 92.0
1-DANDEREK 91.3
7-SO ELITE 86.3
3-MR. CANDY BAR 76.0
RACE 7
5-DECLASSIFY 112.9
3-GONNA FLY NOW 99.8
6-SCORPION WARRIOR 94.5
4-WILD MEDIA 93.9
7-U S CITIZEN 92.0
RACE 8
8-JUDY IN DISGUISE 96.5
4-TIZMETIZYOU 93.9
3-DISKO DASKO 85.6
2-UPBEAT MOOD 84.4
6-LADY ROSAMOND 83.9
RACE 9
6-CUNNING RIDE 76.6
3-SMOKING G 74.5
10-DERBY GOLD 72.6
9-PRETTY DARN QUICK 69.2
7-PRIME NUMBER 64.3
RACE 10
5-SCARLET STRIKE 91.9
9-CHARLIE EM 91.3
6-BECKY LOU 83.8
3-BLINGISMYTHING 83.2
11-KYRIAKI 82.0
RACE 11
11-SINFULLY 68.6
5-SPECTACULARJOURNEY 64.3
2-DESTINO 57.5
7-FERNANDO SUANCINI 54.5
9-TRIPLE FEATURE 50.3
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, June 07, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-BUSHWACKED 38.2
5-DIVINE WAY 35.8
3-TENACITY 20.6
2-GET EVEN GIRL 19.7
1st time starters - 1, 4
RACE 2
2-LANIDA 74.0
6-CEE'S THE YEAR 72.6
3-PEARLOFTHEORIENT 67.5
4-RUNNING FOR JAKOB 67.0
5-BONITA STAR 60.1
RACE 3
7-NOBLE EXCHANGE 90.0
3-BABY BLAKE 79.6
2-LANGFURS LIGHTNING 78.4
5-BEV'S FINALE 77.4
4-LICO 65.9
RACE 4
4-BACKWOODS BELLE 80.8
6-R DOUBLEDAY 66.4
2-HALFAPONDROSA 61.6
7-MARIA LAKE 58.5
1-MEADOW LAKE QUEEN 58.0 (off Aug. 11)
RACE 5
4-WARREN'S FLASHER 86.9
2-ZANBO 86.3
3-MARKET QUOTE 84.4
5-AKISS FORAROSE 69.8
7-GIA IS A BELLA 69.2
RACE 6
3-BLUE CHEROKEE 58.0
2-ROCABAR 56.0
8-PROMISSORYEXCHANGE 54.5 (came out)
6-EDDIE BETTER 46.0
1st time starters - 1, 5, 4, 7
RACE 7
1-SIROCCO STRIKE 99.1
4-SHOWME YOURFRIENDS 94.5
7-ROYAL F J 90.7
5-GAB POWER 87.5
6-KINGPIN RYNO 86.3 (off Aug. 12)
RACE 8
10-TENKILLER KID 72.6
1-AWESOME ADDRESS 72.0
11-STAYO 63.1
6-RIO HONDO 62.7
5-CRUEL SPIRITS 62.7
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-BUSHWACKED 38.2
5-DIVINE WAY 35.8
3-TENACITY 20.6
2-GET EVEN GIRL 19.7
1st time starters - 1, 4
RACE 2
2-LANIDA 74.0
6-CEE'S THE YEAR 72.6
3-PEARLOFTHEORIENT 67.5
4-RUNNING FOR JAKOB 67.0
5-BONITA STAR 60.1
RACE 3
7-NOBLE EXCHANGE 90.0
3-BABY BLAKE 79.6
2-LANGFURS LIGHTNING 78.4
5-BEV'S FINALE 77.4
4-LICO 65.9
RACE 4
4-BACKWOODS BELLE 80.8
6-R DOUBLEDAY 66.4
2-HALFAPONDROSA 61.6
7-MARIA LAKE 58.5
1-MEADOW LAKE QUEEN 58.0 (off Aug. 11)
RACE 5
4-WARREN'S FLASHER 86.9
2-ZANBO 86.3
3-MARKET QUOTE 84.4
5-AKISS FORAROSE 69.8
7-GIA IS A BELLA 69.2
RACE 6
3-BLUE CHEROKEE 58.0
2-ROCABAR 56.0
8-PROMISSORYEXCHANGE 54.5 (came out)
6-EDDIE BETTER 46.0
1st time starters - 1, 5, 4, 7
RACE 7
1-SIROCCO STRIKE 99.1
4-SHOWME YOURFRIENDS 94.5
7-ROYAL F J 90.7
5-GAB POWER 87.5
6-KINGPIN RYNO 86.3 (off Aug. 12)
RACE 8
10-TENKILLER KID 72.6
1-AWESOME ADDRESS 72.0
11-STAYO 63.1
6-RIO HONDO 62.7
5-CRUEL SPIRITS 62.7
Labels: Betfair, bets, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, June 06, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-BLUEGRASS REWARD 93.9
1-BIG WAGS 93.9
2-BLAKE 73.5
6-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 70.9
4-ALLEY HONDRO 67.6
RACE 2
1-CORSA DI CAVALLI 72.0 (off Sept. 11)
3-ERIC THE RAM 62.7
2-TURN ON THE BRITES 62.2 (off Oct. 12)
4-LOVMEISTER 60.1
5-OLD MAN LAKE 60.1
RACE 3
3-THISISMYSTAGE 95.7
1-MISS PIPPA 91.9
5-THE ONLY KEY 87.5
4-NOBILIS 82.0
2-SHOWGIRL FORM 68.1
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
3-SHE'S FLUSH 29.7 (off slow)
5-CABBAGE 27.2 (steadied)
1-GREAT SELECTION 18.6
8-TOM KHA 9.2
1st time starters - 9, 7, 6, 2, 4
RACE 5
2-POWER OF NINE 82.7
8-LIVE THE FORTH 82.6
10-DISTANT IMAGE 76.0
7-QUEEN MERCURY 73.1
3-FOUR BETTER 70.6
RACE 6
2-MAGNUM FORCE 80.2
6-TUCKERS POINT 76.6
8-GENTLEMEN PETE 63.6
3-DONTEXTNDRIVE 62.0
1-PROUD BOSS 55.6
1st time starters - 7
RACE 7
2-GIFTING 91.9
6-BIORHYTHM 89.4
5-WEDNESDAY 86.3
3-CORLETT DRIVE 82.0
1-ON GOLDEN PAWN 80.2
RACE 8
6-BEAUTIFUL SPIRIT 46.9
2-HELLO STORMY 41.6
15-RICH IN TRADITION 41.6
4-PLAY MISTY FOR US 33.8
11-FABULOUS FASHION 32.1
1st time starters - 14, 7, 9
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-BLUEGRASS REWARD 93.9
1-BIG WAGS 93.9
2-BLAKE 73.5
6-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 70.9
4-ALLEY HONDRO 67.6
RACE 2
1-CORSA DI CAVALLI 72.0 (off Sept. 11)
3-ERIC THE RAM 62.7
2-TURN ON THE BRITES 62.2 (off Oct. 12)
4-LOVMEISTER 60.1
5-OLD MAN LAKE 60.1
RACE 3
3-THISISMYSTAGE 95.7
1-MISS PIPPA 91.9
5-THE ONLY KEY 87.5
4-NOBILIS 82.0
2-SHOWGIRL FORM 68.1
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
3-SHE'S FLUSH 29.7 (off slow)
5-CABBAGE 27.2 (steadied)
1-GREAT SELECTION 18.6
8-TOM KHA 9.2
1st time starters - 9, 7, 6, 2, 4
RACE 5
2-POWER OF NINE 82.7
8-LIVE THE FORTH 82.6
10-DISTANT IMAGE 76.0
7-QUEEN MERCURY 73.1
3-FOUR BETTER 70.6
RACE 6
2-MAGNUM FORCE 80.2
6-TUCKERS POINT 76.6
8-GENTLEMEN PETE 63.6
3-DONTEXTNDRIVE 62.0
1-PROUD BOSS 55.6
1st time starters - 7
RACE 7
2-GIFTING 91.9
6-BIORHYTHM 89.4
5-WEDNESDAY 86.3
3-CORLETT DRIVE 82.0
1-ON GOLDEN PAWN 80.2
RACE 8
6-BEAUTIFUL SPIRIT 46.9
2-HELLO STORMY 41.6
15-RICH IN TRADITION 41.6
4-PLAY MISTY FOR US 33.8
11-FABULOUS FASHION 32.1
1st time starters - 14, 7, 9
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, June 05, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, pick six, picks, Pimlico, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, June 04, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOO PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,625 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,625 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, June 02, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-SWINGAWAY 75.4
1-LIGHT OF LIFE 63.1
2-CAVALLA 50.3
5-BEAUTIFUL STRIKE 49.7
3-SPRING GAL 46.4
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
1-SPRING DREAM 39.9
2-WIRED FOR FUN 28.9 (off slow)
3-DEBT FREE ABBY 14.3
1st time starters - 6, 4, 5
RACE 3
4-SO SHE DANCES 79.6
5-I'M TOPS 77.8
3-SIZZLING GOLD 76.0
2-SYDNEY'S DARLING 68.6
1-SLEEP TIGHT 65.9
RACE 4
3-SALT TEQUILA LIME 83.2
8-TRIBAL SPY 63.2
2-TIZ ANNA 59.6
7-U R MY CANDY GIRL 56.0
5-GEORGIA'S NIECE 46.4
1st time starters - 6
RACE 5
1-APOSTLE PAUL 76.0
3-INCENTIVZE 70.9
5-SCATMAN BLUES 60.6
4-CAST A VISION 59.0
6-ANGEL CHARGE 49.7
RACE 6
5-INCLUDE THE CAT 103.1
1-UBELONGTOMEMISSY 91.3
6-NIGHT DANCE 90.7
3-ROYAL TIGER 90.0
2-FLASHY DAME 74.9 (off Sept. 12)
RACE 7
4-SECRET COVE 80.2
2-FUNNY BELLE 76.0
1-ELEGANT 74.9
6-UNKEPT RENDEZ VOUS 72.6
5-TANQUERRAY 72.6
RACE 8
8-MANANDO 108.6
1-BROADWAY EMPIRE 105.9
5-DEN'S LEGACY 97.1
7-DICE FLAVOR 83.2
3-JUST WIN BABY 82.0
RACE 9
5-FIGHTING ON 65.5
4-REAL DEAL APPEAL 55.5
7-INDIAN SPIRIT 43.3
2-SUMMER PAD 42.9 (angled in)
1-FULL FARE 42.9
1st time starters - 6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-SWINGAWAY 75.4
1-LIGHT OF LIFE 63.1
2-CAVALLA 50.3
5-BEAUTIFUL STRIKE 49.7
3-SPRING GAL 46.4
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
1-SPRING DREAM 39.9
2-WIRED FOR FUN 28.9 (off slow)
3-DEBT FREE ABBY 14.3
1st time starters - 6, 4, 5
RACE 3
4-SO SHE DANCES 79.6
5-I'M TOPS 77.8
3-SIZZLING GOLD 76.0
2-SYDNEY'S DARLING 68.6
1-SLEEP TIGHT 65.9
RACE 4
3-SALT TEQUILA LIME 83.2
8-TRIBAL SPY 63.2
2-TIZ ANNA 59.6
7-U R MY CANDY GIRL 56.0
5-GEORGIA'S NIECE 46.4
1st time starters - 6
RACE 5
1-APOSTLE PAUL 76.0
3-INCENTIVZE 70.9
5-SCATMAN BLUES 60.6
4-CAST A VISION 59.0
6-ANGEL CHARGE 49.7
RACE 6
5-INCLUDE THE CAT 103.1
1-UBELONGTOMEMISSY 91.3
6-NIGHT DANCE 90.7
3-ROYAL TIGER 90.0
2-FLASHY DAME 74.9 (off Sept. 12)
RACE 7
4-SECRET COVE 80.2
2-FUNNY BELLE 76.0
1-ELEGANT 74.9
6-UNKEPT RENDEZ VOUS 72.6
5-TANQUERRAY 72.6
RACE 8
8-MANANDO 108.6
1-BROADWAY EMPIRE 105.9
5-DEN'S LEGACY 97.1
7-DICE FLAVOR 83.2
3-JUST WIN BABY 82.0
RACE 9
5-FIGHTING ON 65.5
4-REAL DEAL APPEAL 55.5
7-INDIAN SPIRIT 43.3
2-SUMMER PAD 42.9 (angled in)
1-FULL FARE 42.9
1st time starters - 6
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, June 01, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: FRIDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 5 RACES.
RACE 1
5-KILAT 97.1
1-EL MIRAGE KING 97.1 (off Feb. 12)
6-ET TU WALKER 95.2
3-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 89.4
4-LEGAL SEPARATION 86.3
RACE 2
3-BEER MEISTER 78.4
6-ULTIMATE DECISION 74.3
5-CORNER OFFICE 71.0
4-SKYSPY 63.6
1-DEAL'EM 53.5
RACE 3
7-BLUEGRASS ELLIE 68.9
5-FULL'S FIGUREHEAD 65.7
4-ITALIAN BABA 65.2
2-SAMURAI JESS 64.8
1-WILLETTA 62.6
RACE 4
7-WISE BOSS 73.1
4-YACHT HARBOR 60.6 (off slow)
2-DARK TIMBERS 59.6
5-COLOSSIANS 55.5
8-BUCK'S TORNADO 27.2
1st time starters - 1
RACE 5
8-WOEBEGON 87.5
5-GRANNY CALLING 82.6
9-ADDENDUM 79.0
7-SISTER ESPERANZA 73.7
4-JOYCE AND ME 73.1
RACE 6
8-KEYBOARD COURAGE 99.1
3-BLACK N BEAUTY 97.1
1-YOU KNOW I KNOW 93.2
4-ANYTHINGSCOOKIN 90.7
2-PLANET SUNSHINE 90.0
RACE 7
3-PRINCESS OF PEARL 76.6
7-HOT AND PLEASING 65.9 (off Oct. 12)
5-MILLE LUNA 62.2
6-KANOTWAIT 56.6
8-LEGACY 53.5
RACE 8
5-LIAISON 120.8
1-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 113.6
3-KETTLE CORN 112.9
7-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 111.4
6-OILISBLACKGOLD 107.3
RACE 9
5-LUCKY COTTON 77.8
9-DREAMNOFATTICUS 76.6
8-TRIBAL DUDE 74.3
7-CATCANSCAT 57.5
3-MR. CAPPUCCINO 48.9
1st time starters - 1, 2, 4
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: FRIDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 5 RACES.
RACE 1
5-KILAT 97.1
1-EL MIRAGE KING 97.1 (off Feb. 12)
6-ET TU WALKER 95.2
3-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 89.4
4-LEGAL SEPARATION 86.3
RACE 2
3-BEER MEISTER 78.4
6-ULTIMATE DECISION 74.3
5-CORNER OFFICE 71.0
4-SKYSPY 63.6
1-DEAL'EM 53.5
RACE 3
7-BLUEGRASS ELLIE 68.9
5-FULL'S FIGUREHEAD 65.7
4-ITALIAN BABA 65.2
2-SAMURAI JESS 64.8
1-WILLETTA 62.6
RACE 4
7-WISE BOSS 73.1
4-YACHT HARBOR 60.6 (off slow)
2-DARK TIMBERS 59.6
5-COLOSSIANS 55.5
8-BUCK'S TORNADO 27.2
1st time starters - 1
RACE 5
8-WOEBEGON 87.5
5-GRANNY CALLING 82.6
9-ADDENDUM 79.0
7-SISTER ESPERANZA 73.7
4-JOYCE AND ME 73.1
RACE 6
8-KEYBOARD COURAGE 99.1
3-BLACK N BEAUTY 97.1
1-YOU KNOW I KNOW 93.2
4-ANYTHINGSCOOKIN 90.7
2-PLANET SUNSHINE 90.0
RACE 7
3-PRINCESS OF PEARL 76.6
7-HOT AND PLEASING 65.9 (off Oct. 12)
5-MILLE LUNA 62.2
6-KANOTWAIT 56.6
8-LEGACY 53.5
RACE 8
5-LIAISON 120.8
1-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 113.6
3-KETTLE CORN 112.9
7-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 111.4
6-OILISBLACKGOLD 107.3
RACE 9
5-LUCKY COTTON 77.8
9-DREAMNOFATTICUS 76.6
8-TRIBAL DUDE 74.3
7-CATCANSCAT 57.5
3-MR. CAPPUCCINO 48.9
1st time starters - 1, 2, 4
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