Thursday, March 31, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-FULL DEPUTY 65.4
4-BRITE DREAMER 62.7

1st time starters - 1, 2, 5, 6, 7

RACE 2
3-JOB BOSS 88.8
1-WARRENS SUMMERGOLD 82.6
5-TIME FOR ATONEMENT 77.6
4-TAMBORIM 74.3
2-CAPE TRUTH 72.2

RACE 3
8-SECRET COVE 84.4
4- LILLY'S PERFECT 80.4 (off Dec. 10)
5-RUBY LANE 73.1
2-SECRET OATH 67.7 (off Oct. 10)
6-ANCIENT HOLIDAY 65.9

RACE 4
3-BELLA PALOOZA 82.0
1-EMILY PEARL 74.3
2-BROWN IS BEIGE 69.8
4-TAPTAP I'MGONE 59.6
6-MAGIC MAMA 59.6 (off slow)

RACE 5
4-REALITY RIDE 85.6
5-UZZIAH 76.0
3-MAGIC BEAM 66.4
7-T. K. FORTYSIX 65.1
2-RIGHTFUL IMAGE 61.1

RACE 6
5-LEGAL SEPARATION 88.1
7-DANNY Q 79.0 (off Aug. 09)
3-MARK BENCH 77.2
1-KLASSY SAINT 76.6
4-SIERRA SPIRIT 74.9

RACE 7
3-LINDA LOU 93.9
4-GUMPTION 85.0
2-LUNAR MIST 84.4
7-HOLY FLAPPER 79.0
5-BAB AT THE BOWSTER 77.2

RACE 8
7-TUESDAYS WITH P 76.0
2-PINK BLANKET 68.6
8-SATIN BOUQUET 58.1
6-BROOKLYN ROSE 48.3
3-ALPINE ECHO 37.8

1st time starters - 5

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Wednesday, March 30, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people. My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, March 28, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-

I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes. Program number does not match horse's name- This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1933 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, March 27, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $101,743.

RACE 1
7-EXCUSEMECOMINGTHRU 69.8
3-BRAYDEN BUDDY 67.0 (off March 10)
1-GIFTED STUDENT 64.8
2-EL GRAN MATADOR 48.8
6-DERBY FLYER 25.4

RACE 2
3-BANANA CREAM PIE 66.4
1-METER ME GONE 62.7 (entry)
5-INTENTIONAL 59.9
4-ROULETTE IT ROLL 46.9
1A-SOCIAL EVENT 45.5 (entry)

RACE 3
1-BRYAN DANIEL 69.8
7-POPULAR CAUSE 64.3
5-TITIAN 60.1
3-STAR NAVIGATOR 52.6
8-EYEASBLAZIN 49.7

RACE 4
8-CHEROKEE HEAVEN 99.8
4-SASSOU 99.1
7-DAPPER GENE 98.4
6-DETAILS R SKETCHY 95.2
9-BURJ DUBAI 91.9

RACE 5
7-BRIECAT 102.5
6-ASH ZEE 93.9
2-BURG BERG 93.2
3-CHURCH CAMP 81.3
4-JAX EL 78.4

RACE 6
2-DERIVE 94.5 (off Aug. 10)
10-EXCLAMATION 91.3
12-TEMERITY 90.6
9-GET FUNKY 90.0
7-ATTICUS JACK 88.1

RACE 7
5-RUMOR 88.1
10-RACHEL JONES 82.6
6-TOP DEBUTANTE 82.0
7-MAGGIE MCGOWAN 77.2
1-HAILEY D'ORO 68.6 (off Nov. 10)

1st time starters - 9 (in U.S.A. - off Nov. 10)

RACE 8
6-STREAKIN' MOHICAN 105.6
2-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 96.5
7-NORVSKY 91.8 (off April 10)
4-BUYERS REMORSE 89.4
8-FEISTY SUANCES 88.8
5-CAMP VICTORY 88.8

RACE 9
9-B'S LUCKY STRIKE 78.4
6-ESPIRITO SANTO 78.4
11-RIBALD 74.9
7-CLUE ME IN 69.8
2-LOOKING FOR CANDY 69.8

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Saturday, March 26, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-ONE NATION 79.6
3-CAUSEITHERTZ 76.6
5-GAME A. P. 75.4
6-RACHELLS MOON 74.9
2-SQUAD 74.9

RACE 2
2-TOKUBETSU 98.4
3-DOMINUS 77.2 (off Sept. 10)
5-SMUG 74.9
4-BRANNIGAN 60.1
1-DELUXE BUS 30.4 (off Sept. 10 - off slow)

RACE 3
4-LED ADVANTAGE 69.2
2-KAHLUA MIST 68.1
5-IMPERATRIZ 68.1
6-MORNING FROST 63.2
3-WARREN'S ROCK ART 55.5

RACE 4
1-VAUNDELL 100.4 (off Feb. 10)
13-LEAVING NEW YORK 100.3 (off Aug. 10)
5-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 93.2
11-DISTANT SKY 86.3
10-BACK AT YOU 83.2

RACE 5
3-LORDGIVEMEALIFT 91.9
7-AFLEET DEAL 90.1
8-BRENTHURST 88.1
6-MENSA HEAT 80.2
5-YES IT'S A CAT 76.6

RACE 6
2-OUR NAUTIQUE 102.5
5-ASPERITY 88.1
3-LEASE OF LIFE 86.3
6-CALIFORNIA SOLDIER 86.3
4-GALLETA MONSTRUO 77.0

RACE 7
6-SPURRIER 103.8
1-HONOUR THE DEPUTY 103.8
4-SOUL CANDY 98.4
3-RENDEZVOUS 88.8
2-WORTH REPEATING 88.8

RACE 8
3-VAN BRIT 86.3
4-SAMBA SCHOOL 85.0
7-LADY ALEX 82.6
1-WAKE ME NOW 80.8
6-RAINBOW LUCK 79.4

RACE 9
2-QUEENOFCALIFORNIA 52.1
11-MEAN SARA JEAN 48.3
4-CHA DA BOOM 42.0
7-KATELYN N' JENNA 41.1
6-SHE'S ALL YOURS 37.6

1st time starters - 1, 3, 9

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Friday, March 25, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-TASHZARA 80.6
7-CUTE N SASSY 75.6
3-MUTUALLY BENEFIT 75.2
1-CANDACE GOLD 71.7
5-GREAT PASSION 64.7

1st time starters - 4, 6

RACE 2
2-SUNNY PEACE 64.8 (off Dec. 10)
3-TWODOLLARSTOWIN 56.0
4-SKY BRITE MISS 51.6
1-TOO PINK 49.2
6-IDA OF MARCH 46.1

RACE 3
1-WINNING DESIRE 62.7
6-MAZARRON 59.0
3-AMERICAN WILDCAT 58.0
4-MINUTESANDTOUCHES 55.0
5-DANCING AT DARK 54.0

RACE 4
1-BALBOA BAY 69.8
4-PREFERRED BEHAVIOR 61.1
7-BAY RUSH 57.2
2-WARREN'S MAGIC MAN 55.5
3-AFLEET COWBOY 46.6

RACE 5
4-PROUD HILLBILLY 82.6 (off March 10)
1-CHAMPAGNE TOPPER 80.8
7-REQUISITION 78.4
3-DIME 78.4
5-FIRST STRIKE 68.1

RACE 6
6-ZEES CHRIS 52.6
2-TOSCANOVA 52.6
1A-WARREN'S PEACOCK 50.5 (entry)
7-REAL ROCKPORT 47.4
1-WARREN'S JAZZ 44.6 (entry)

RACE 7
5-DANI REESE 91.3
10-LADY SWEETNESS 88.1
8-RIVER GLOW 82.6
1-SO NICE 80.2
7-INITIAL IMPRESSION 78.8

RACE 8
2-WARREN'S TIGER 76.0
3-MR. SIERRA 62.2 (off Oct. 10)
10-JACK REACHER 59.0
4-LIBERAL ARTS 53.5
9-ON MY HONOR 52.6
7-COLD BAY 52.1 (off Sept. 10)

1st time starters - 6, 11

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Thursday, March 24, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
All 1st time starters - No selections.

RACE 2
2-STAND TALL 69.8
1-FULL ON 69.2
5-PURSE LUVA 67.5
3-A CAT NAMED SNIPE 67.5
6-LEMON 67.5

RACE 3
5-LAST STING 72.0
9-NANA BEACH 64.8
6-NOVERRE'S VISION 59.6
10-LEMON DROP RIDGE 59.0
1-ONE BAD ROMANCE 57.0

RACE 4
6-MEADOW LAKE QUEEN 69.8
4-JUDGE JOAN 65.4
1-ROMAN CHARITY 64.8
3-MILLIONDOLLARBILL 63.8
5-KISS MY SWISS 55.0

RACE 5
5-HOUSTON HARBOR 91.9 (off Dec. 10)
11-COOK INLET 82.6 (off Dec. 10)
4-UNEX DALI 74.9
2-ROBBIE'S WAR 72.2
7-VALUATION 71.4

RACE 6
2-ONEFUNSONOFAGUN 83.8 (off Aug. 10)
6-ALL THE LOVE 79.6
1-SHESHIMAINTENANCE 74.3
5-MISS PEANUT 70.3
3-MIDNIGHT RAGE 68.9 (off Aug. 10)

RACE 7
3-CALLE VISTA 96.5
1-SHE'S CHEEKY 93.9
6-STARTJUMPIN MARNIE 92.6
2-TALKTOOMUCH 90.7
5-SUMMERS PEACE 86.3

RACE 8
1-ANNIE LOU 57.5
4-JUST CALL'ER 48.8
6-NIP OF GOLD 45.1
8-RAGS FOR BEN 42.0
7-JUANA GALLOS 37.8

1st time starters - 3, 2, 5

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Wednesday, March 23, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-DEE DEE'S FLIGHT 49.2
2-WARREN'S HOPEFUL 46.9
4-NO BETTAH 45.2
6-FELONY 35.0
5-SU SU SUSHI 30.8

RACE 2
1-ROYAL MANGO 72.6
3-JUST HEAT 69.8
4-ISLAND SUNSET 59.6
6-FLEMINGSTOUCHOGOLD 59.6
5-ALABAMA BOY 57.0

RACE 3
2-BRITT'S BROTHER 97.0
4-CELTIC CHARMER 85.0 (off May 10)
3-CRAGMONT 79.7
1X-BELLINGHAM 79.6 (off Dec 10)
10-TAKE A YARD 70.3

1st time starters - 1A, 9

RACE 4
7-EASY ON THE EYE 77.8
5-NITRO ACTIVE 72.0
6-CANDY FOR PASEANA 68.6
4-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 66.4
3-EGYPT 65.4

RACE 5
5-LUKIMBI 95.2
6-MAGNIFICENT BLEND 90.7
4-POSITION A 88.8
3-EL SCORPIO 88.1
1-BRADIUM 83.8

RACE 6
3-PRESHOW 59.6
9-BILA SHAKA 58.8
4-COOKINTHISORTHAT 56.5
5-BURTON'S ANGEL 54.5
6-TRIBAL CHARM 52.0
7-TEAM BUILDER 52.0

RACE 7
4-JAX EL 82.0
7-MISS ADDY KISS 80.4
2-SHE'SFITFORAKING 76.6
5-CHURCH AVENUE 69.8
8-STREAMLINE BABY 68.1

RACE 8
6-AQUA FEVER 70.9
5-FINE AND RARE 64.8
3-PREFERRED MANDATE 62.7
9-RINO SONG 39.9
4-HIGH VALLEY GUY 39.9
7-DEPTH 38.6

1st time starters - 2, 1

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Tuesday, March 22, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.

Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, March 21, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1926 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, March 20, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-STORMIN PROUD PAPA 65.4
5-CAT IN THE FOREST 61.6
2-COURTSIDE 58.0
3-TRIBAL WISH 55.5
4-TIGER TRYSTS 49.2

RACE 2
6-FORWARD COMMITMENT 64.8
9-CLOCKER MOMENT 64.8
8-BRACE FOR IMPACT 59.0
7-WARRENS WILD THING 58.0
2-QUIETLY WAITING 57.5

RACE 3
3-MIDNIGHT INTERLUDE 90.7
5-BIG BUSINESS 72.0
4-GRIP HANDS 59.3
1-SOUTHERN SCULPTOR 59.0
2-BROCK 24.7 (off Aug. 10)

RACE 4
1-HAIMISH HY 96.5
4-IMPONENTE PURSE 91.9
8-DAHOUD 91.3
3-FALCON ROCK 88.1
6-RESTLESS SOUL 87.5 (off Oct. 10)

RACE 5
6-CAPITAL ACCOUNT 114.3 (off July 10)
4-IRREFUTABLE 105.2
7-SANGER SILVER 100.4
8-SEA RASCAL 99.8
1-STACY'S HOPE 97.8

RACE 6
8-RIVER'S MAMBO 69.2
5-SHE'SWONTONTOMATO 54.0
2-WHISKERS AND RYE 51.6
1-SWEET CONSOLIDATOR 51.6
7-BOURREE 46.4

RACE 7
4-VERY FAIR 84.4
10-FOG ALERT 83.8
5-TIME FOR ATONEMENT 82.6
6-STATE GATHERING 78.7 (off Sept. 10)
9-BRADY BLUE EYES 78.4
2-MICHAEL THE MAN 78.4

RACE 8
8-MILDLY OFFENSIVE 97.1
4-CALIFORNIA NECTAR 91.3
6-JUSTENUFAPPEAL 83.8
7-TOP DEBUTANTE 82.0
5-HOUT BAY 80.8

RACE 9
6-MATAMOR 63.9
4-BAY RUSH 54.6
7-WARRENS TEMPTATION 54.5
8-LITTLE TRAVIS 51.1 (off Sept. 10)
3-GO GO OLMO 51.0 (off Dec. 10)

1st time starters - 1

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Saturday, March 19, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-VIA VERDE 99.8
3-TORO TRIPPI 91.3
6-MARK OF A WARRIOR 83.8
2-BERTRAN HILL 79.6
5-PEACOCK ALLIANCE 76.0

RACE 2
7-LOST PROPHET 81.4
2-OUR BELLINI BIKINI 74.9
1-AKEELA 64.3
3-LED ADVANTAGE 59.0
4-COSTANTA 57.0

RACE 3
9-REALLY UPTOWN 91.3
1-RED SCARE 88.1
6-WARREN'S TONY R. 87.1
5-HE'S A DANCE STAR 83.8
7-ITSSULTRYINTHECAPES 80.8 (off May 10)

RACE 4
4-ASCOT'S HIGHFLYER 71.4
2-TIZ O' GOLD 59.0
1-ELLIE L. 57.2
6-MYSTERY BIRD 57.0
3-SIMPLY PUT 54.0

RACE 5
7-QUISISANA 90.0
6-SAANNEEN 86.3
2-LOGICAL SINGLE 85.6
8-LA NEZ 83.8
4-PARK TIME LUCK 83.8

RACE 6
6-HAVENS LAKE 68.6
9-ANN'S SEVEN 65.4
2-POETIC RICHES 62.7
8-DOS VEINTE 62.2
7-SWEET AND JAZZY 60.6

RACE 7
5-WASHINGTON BRIDGE 100.8
7-ECLAIR DE LUNE 93.2
1-MALIBU PIER 91.9
3-TURNING TOP 91.9
8-LILLY FA POOTZ 90.7

RACE 8
3-MEADOW ROAD 3-91.3
4-CHERRYZAPPER 59.6
8-COMPETENT 50.6 (off Aug. 10)

1st time starters -9, 5, 6, 2, 1, 7

RACE 9
5-SAINT ISABELLE 95.2 (off Sept. 10)
1-CRISIS OF SPIRIT 82.6
4-PINCELADA 76.6
2-EXCELLENT NEWS 70.9
7-STOCKINGS 70.3

RACE 10
1-SUITABLE ATTIRE 61.1
4-MAKE SOMEONE HAPPY 60.6 (off Nov. 10)
2-SEXY MELODY 59.6
10-JORDANELLE 55.0
8-WICKED TRIP 53.0

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Friday, March 18, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: THURSDAY MY TOP PICKS WON RACES 1 THRU 4, TWO TOP 1ST TIMERS WON RACES 5 AND 8.

RACE 1
3-ROYAL IMPORT 82.0
4-LUCKY FITZ 78.4
1-GILLIGAN 74.3
5-COURTSIDE ACTION 71.4
2-TIS 63.6 (off June 10 )

RACE 2
1-DEXTERA 77.8
3-ZIPPIN E 67.0
6-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 63.8
2-LIVING OUR DREAM 61.6
7-POWEROFVOODOO 59.3

RACE 3
2-BLUE GRASS MUSIC 59.0
3-CANDYS GIRL 51.8 (off Oct. 10)
4-SUWAALIF 35.4
7-LINDZ WINZ 28.2

1st time starters - 1A, 1, 6

RACE 4
2-SYLLABUS 91.9
6-LORD AVALON 90.0
8-BELO PURSE 83.2
4-DON ELIAS M. 74.9
5-SETH THE CANDYMAN 73.7

RACE 5
5-REGALLY READY 112.2
7-BLUE CHAGALL 104.5
1-GALLANT SON 97.1
2-DAYTONA 95.8 (off Oct. 08)
3-KELLY LEAK 92.6
8-NOBLE COURT 92.6

RACE 6
7-NO AFILLYATION 74.9
6-CLUBHOUSE RULES 72.0
4-DIAMOND JOURNEY 68.1
3-MILLIE N MARIE 67.0
10-ROULETTE IT ROLL 62.2

RACE 7
9-HOLLYWOOD HEIST 93.2
4-DRINK AT BUSTER'S 86.9
2-TEN DEVILS 83.8
8-AKKADIAN 82.6
5-DR GREEN 82.5

1st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A.)

RACE 8
6-ANSWER TO ABBY 67.5
1-BELL BLITZ 50.2
7-DA MARSHALL 47.8
2-OUR SENIOR MOMENT 46.0
4-ONELASTTIME 44.2
8-ISTHMUS 42.9

1st time starters - 10, 5

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Thursday, March 17, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-DONATO 91.9
2-GOLDEN AUGUSTO 77.2
1-PLEASANT EARTH 72.8
4-TURBULENCE 67.0
5-LEYVA MAN 60.9

RACE 2
4-FARLEY STAR 86.3
1-DIAMOND DUCHESS 82.5
7-HARD WAY TEN 81.4
3-PARTY WITH BRANDO 77.6
1A-GRANITE GIRL 74.9

RACE 3
2-TIZ TRUE 79.6
5-THE HUNT IS ON 79.6
6-CASTASTAIRE 79.0 (off Dec. 09)
1-JOHN ELI 74.8
4-OBSESS 70.9

RACE 4
6-INTUITIVE NATURE 83.2
13-VISUAL INTENSITY76.4
3-RELENTLESS HEAT 72.0
1-TRIBAL NATION 83.2 (off July 10)
2-MINISTER D'ORO 65.0 (off Oct. 10)

1st time starters - 10, 8, 4

RACE 5
8-EXCUSEMECOMINGTHRU 74.9
2-MAGIC SPIRIT 63.2
1-ME SALTY 54.5
5-WARRENS TIGER 48.3
3-BARON VON RED 24.8

1st time starters - 7, 4, 6

RACE 6
8-GLORY PRIDE 80.8
7-LISA LULU 72.6
1-FAIRWAY ROAD 72.1
4-MILLIONDOLLARBILL 69.2
2-NOTHING TO FEAR 63.8

RACE 7
3-LUCKY TIMING 77.8
6-SUBPOENA THE DRESS 77.8
7-JAX EL 75.9
5-TRIBALICIOUS 68.4 (off Aug. 10)
1-MILES RULES 65.9 (off Sept. 10)

RACE 8
2-EXPONENTIAL 47.4
4-OHDALIZ 43.8
1-WOODMAN'S LASS 41.1
9-LOUISA L. K. 25.8
10-A CESSIVE LOVE 22.5

1st time starters - 5, 7, 6, 8, 3

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Wednesday, March 16, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.

Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, March 14, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1926 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, March 13, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $134,092.

RACE 1
5-SKELLYTOWN 84.4
1-MY MAN SUMO 83.8
6-CAPTURE THE CALL 81.4
3-STREETS OF HEAVEN 77.2
4-WARRENS SUMMERGOLD 73.1

RACE 2
5-JUSTINCREDIBLE 68.4 (off Jan. 10)
6-KAHLUA MIST 67.0
7-CATO MAJOR 65.9
2-LAUREN C 63.9
1-YOU CAN DREAM 62.7

RACE 3
5-LUCKARACK 84.4
2-NAHEM 82.0
4-GAB POWER 79.0
6-BURNS 78.4
1-WOODMANS LUCK 76.4

RACE 4
5-O SHE SO 61.6
7-STORMY LINDA 59.0 (off Nov. 10)
2-GIVEME ONEREASON 51.1
4-RAGS FOR BEN 41.1

1st time starters - 1

RACE 5
2-EMILY PEARL 77.9
5-RUBY LANE 76.0
7-FORTY PACES 71.7
8-THE GREAT ATLANTIC 68.6
6-SEACHI 67.3

RACE 6
6-TRUENO 74.3
2-CRISPY COREY 69.9
5-CANTONA 68.6
1-A MOMENT IN TIME 65.9 (off June 10)
7-QUEEN'S RITE 57.2

1st time starters - 3

RACE 7
10-COO CACHOO 94.5
2-HOT DAMON 94.1
6-ROYAL F J 84.4
8-CARDIFF GIANT 84.4
5-TEMP 81.4
3-TAMBORIM 81.4

RACE 8
3-SINGAPORE LILLY 94.6 (off Oct. 10)
2-CAMBINA 92.8
5-CATHY'S CRUNCHES 82.5
4-WALLSTREETER 75.8
1-RECIPIENT 74.9

RACE 9
8-BRACE FOR IMPACT 63.8
5-WARRENS EXTRABONUS 61.6 (off Oct. 10)
2-THE FULL LAVINO 59.6
7-NISUS 58.0
1-GUADALUPE LUPE 57.5

1st time starters - 9, 4

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Saturday, March 12, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-HOME SWEET ASPEN 83.2
6-PINK BLANKET 77.2
2-TUESDAYS WITH P 76.0
4-SHOO GEE 73.7

1st time starters - 7, 5, 1

RACE 2
1-BRACE YOURSELVES 94.5
4-KEVLAR KID 91.9
3-LUNADA BAY 86.9 (off July 10)
6-DOMONATION 77.8
2-DETROIT DONNIE 77.1

RACE 3
11-TITIAN 65.4
7-CABO SAN LUCAS 52.1
5-SEA AND SAGE 40.3
2-RUN CANDY RUN 30.4 (off Oct. 10)
9- FREE BET ? (had 2f. race)

1st time starters - 4, 1, 8, 10, 3

RACE 4
1-LUCKY FITZ 77.8
9-HIATUS 75.2
3-ATTICUS POMPONIUS 73.7
11-RALPHIE' OLE' 72.6
4-ANGA 67.0

RACE 5
4-FIRST BLUE ANGEL 70.6
10-RINO SONG 69.2
9-ERIC THE RAM 68.2
1-GIFTED PRINCE 42.4

1st time starters - 3, 8, 5, 6, 7

RACE 6
4-SWITCH 109.3
3-ST TRINIANS 105.9
5-VISION IN GOLD 97.8
2-ALWAYS A PRINCESS 95.8
7-HEMERA 87.6

RACE 7
5-BELLA ROJA 86.3
2-RULE THE STORM 73.4
10-QUEEN MARILES 77.2
9-VIKKILEE 75.4
8-APPEALING AFARE 74.9

RACE 8
5-COMMA TO THE TOP 107.8
2-RUNFLATOUT 102.9
4-AWESOME PATRIOT 95.8 (off Dec 10)
6-PREMIER PEGASUS 94.8
1-ALBERGATTI 91.5

RACE 9
2-ANDINA 90.7
6-GRIPSHOLM CASTLE 87.5
5-MEGASPIEL 86.3
4-PRYTANIA 85.6
9-CATCHY TUNE 84.4

RACE 10
9-GALLATIN'S RUN 101.1
11-SWEEPEMUP 98.4 (off June 08)
8-LICHTENSTEIN 91.3
5-SCORED 77.8 (off Oct. 10)
4-TWENTY HAWKS 75.4

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Friday, March 11, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $81,875.

RACE 1
1-FIRE IN THE WIND 76.6
2-FLASHY GREEN 71.4
3-MY JOHNNY CASH 69.8
6-PURSE LUVA 61.6
4-JOHNY BONITA 61.6

RACE 2
3-ALALA 67.5
1-NANA BEACH 65.9
5-MULTIPLYINGTHEHEAT 57.0 (off May 10)
7-SCENT OF CHRISM 50.6
6-TRIBAL BEAUTY 45.4

1st time starters - 8

RACE 3
2-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 80.8
1-FLASHMANS PAPERS 77.2
8-HIGH PERCH 73.1
7-A CAT NAMED SNIPE 69.8
5-BRINSON 64.8

RACE 4
6-BIG SHOT SYD 96.5
5-MOBILIZED 95.2
1-RYEHILL DREAMER 93.9
4-RENDEZVOUS 90.7
3-RED EYE EXPRESS 82.8

RACE 5
7-FINISH RICH IN NYC 64.3
1-MO BETTAH 57.1
8-EXCESSIVELY TRICK 55.5
3-BRAVE JOURNEY 47.4
9-MY JOYCIE 46.9 (off July 09)

1st time starters - 5

RACE 6
2-ASPERITY 93.9
6-YODELEN DAN 90.0
1-STONESIDE 88.9
5-ACHAK 88.1
7-KRIS SILVER 87.5

RACE 7
1-SKY CAPE 102.5
2-UH OH BANGO 98.4
6-STERLING OUTLOOK 95.8
4-YANKEE STATION 92.1
7-EL MARTILLO 86.9
3-LUCKY PRIMO 85.6

RACE 8
6-RANDOM LUCK 53.0
10-LINE ONE 53.0 (off Aug. 10)
7-ZEES CHRIS 50.6
2-BENICIA BEAUTY 45.5
9-DRAMATIC REWARD 40.3

1st time starters - 11, 1A, 1

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Thursday, March 10, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-WARRENS ATTACK CAT 71.4
3-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 69.8
1-ROYAL MANGO 68.1
2-CAPT. SPARROW 66.4
5-OH HOW NICE 64.8

RACE 2
2-AROUND THE TWIG 83.2
6-LOVE THEWAY YOUARE 76.0
4-WORKING AT NIGHT 62.0
1-SEEKITANA 59.0
3-TIZZA TRICK 51.1

RACE 3
3-POLISHED NICKEL 87.5
5-GOT MILCH 80.8
1A-MONTELLANO 79.6
1-RUNAWAY WILDCAT 72.6
2-CALL ME LATER 68.1

RACE 4
2-WARREN'S TOMMY TOO 58.5
6-K. JEMS 53.5
8-JAKEY BOY 42.4
1-HIGH HILL STAR 33.8

1st time starters - 3, 7

RACE 5
1-UNIVERSAL PEACE 97.1
7-BOGIE 95.2
8-DUBAI YOU X Y Z 93.2
4-AVEROO 90.0
6-ACE OF ACES 84.4

RACE 6
2-GO SOPHIA 54.5
8-LAKE OSCEOLA 51.1
3-QUEENOFCALIFORNIA 50.6
9-SWISSBUDDY 28.2 (slow start)
4-SHE'S ALL YOURS 19.7

1st time starters - 5, 7, 6, 1

RACE 7
10-DIAMOND GEEZAH 95.8
8-SPEED BIAS 88.1
7-D'PENDABLE 84.4 (off July 10)
6-SIERRA SPIRIT 83.3
1-CELESTIC NIGHT 82.0

RACE 8
4-HOMEWORK 42.4
9-NO APOLOGY 39.0
7-LA TALIA 37.4
1-KATELYN N' JENNA 19.4
3-TOGETHER WEBETTER 19.4

1st time starters - 2, 5, 8, 6

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Wednesday, March 09, 2011

 

INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.

Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, March 07, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1909 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, March 06, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SATURDAY MY TOP PICK WON SIX OF THE RACES.

RACE 1
4-BELLA PALOOZA 78.4
3-MISS SANDRA SUE 68.1
5-DESPERATE MEASURES 65.9
6-RACHEL JONES 62.9
1-BROWN IS BEIGE 60.1
2-LIFE'S A THRILL 60.1

RACE 2
4-SUBTLE GREEK 66.1
2-BALLERINA ANGEL 55.5 (off Dec. 09)
5-GREAT BERNARDINE 53.5
6-JUST CALL'ER 49.2

RACE 3
4-ITALIAN RULES 101.1
1-HARD BILL 96.5
2-SILVER STETSON MAN 94.5
5-NIKKI'SGOLDENSTEED 87.5
3-HIDDEN BLESSING 82.0

RACE 4
3-T. K. FORTYSIX 61.6
1-ALL DE VICTORS 60.1
6-STAR NAVIGATOR 47.4
7-QUITE AN HONOUR 39.4
4-ALEX T 38.3

RACE 5
9-DIAMOND JOURNEY 62.2
6-HANAKKUH 61.6
2-BANANA CREAM PIE 60.6
1-GHOST N YOUR HEARTS 57.0
8-PORTLAND 47.8

RACE 6
7-AROUND THE TWIG 91.9
13-BEAUTIFUL SUNDAY 77.2
4-WORKING AT NIGHT 75.4
10-HARD TO RESIST 74.3
9-ANNIVERSARY GIRL 71.4

1st time starters - 1, 8

RACE 7
8-MISREMEMBERED 112.9 (off March 10)
4-MATTO MONDO 106.6
6-INDIAN FIREWATER 97.8
2-CIGAR MAN 96.5
1-ACCLAMATION 96.1

RACE 8
1-GRANITE GIRL 87.5
3-CRY HALLELUJAH 86.9
2-CHARLIE'S PRINCESS 82.0
7-WARREN'S GOT GAME 81.4
9-SIBERIAN HEART 81.4

RACE 9
9-B'S LUCKY STRIKE 81.8
2-KIM'S LEADING MAN 76.6
4-BELL ZONE 74.9
11-SOUTHERN VICTORY 73.7
1-FREE LUNCH 71.4
7-QUINTONS FLASH 70.3

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Saturday, March 05, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: FRIDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 4 RACES, THE 3RD (11.40), 4TH (3.60), 5TH (4.20), 6TH (10.60).

RACE 1
5-DAVE'S PACEMAKER 93.9
6-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 89.4
3-SEVEN SECRETS 84.9
4-DANA DYNAMO 84.4
2-HIGH STANDARDS 83.8

RACE 2
2-CHICO D'ORO 94.5
1-PURELY AWESOME 69.8
3-ROCK SO HARD 58.1

1st time starters - 6, 7, 4, 5

RACE 3
1-CLASSY LION 61.1
7-ROCKIN HARBOR 59.6
12-P R'S ORPHAN 59.6
10-DIAMOND TOUCH 55.0
8-HONOR AMONG US 54.5

1st time starters - 11

RACE 4
3-TURBULENT DESCENT 99.8
2-ZAZU 92.6
4-KILOGRAEME 91.9
1-MAY DAY ROSE 85.6
5-A Z WARRIOR 85.0 (off Nov. 10)

RACE 5
8-UNZIP ME 110.0
7-REBA IS TOPS 97.8
5-ASH ZEE 97.1 (off Oct. 10)
9-BROKEN DREAMS 95.8
4-LINDA LOU 90.7

RACE 6
12-LUTESS 71.4
11-IMPERATRIZ 69.2 (off Nov. 10)
9-MO CHEESE 65.9
8-MORNING FROST 58.5 (off July 08)
3-PIVOTAL QUEEN 58.5
2-BILLSSECONDCHANCE 58.5 (off June 10)

RACE 7
3-EXCLAMATION 88.8
7-LEANDROS 88.8 (off Oct. 10)
11-PACK YOUR BAGS 86.9
8-FANDINO 85.0
10-GALLETA MONSTRUO 84.4

RACE 8
7-KINGPIN RYNO 71.4
13-SPUD SPIVENS 68.1
6-TIZ A BUDMAN 66.4
3-LIBERAL ARTS 58.5 (off Aug. 10)
9-ME SALTY 57.5

1st time starters - 4, 8, 14, 11, 12, 10

RACE 9
4-CARACORTADO 110.7
9-JERANIMO 106.6
2-FLUKE 105.9
3-ACCLAMATION 103.1 (off July 10)
1-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 101.1

RACE 10
5-TWIRLING CANDY 116.4
10-AGGIE ENGINEER 110.7
3-GLADDING 105.2
1-SOUL CANDY 103.8
2-SPURRIER 101.8

RACE 11
3-DONTMESROUNDWITJIM 95.0
13-KALOOKAN STORM 88.1
5-EXCELLING 87.5
11-KINGMAN KID 86.4
10-LODI RED 83.8

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Friday, March 04, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: THURSDAY MY TOP PICKS WON THE 5TH (8.20), 6TH (11.40), 7TH (7.20), AND TOP 1ST TIMER IN THE 8TH (9.60). A $1 PICK-4 TICKET PAID $759.00.

RACE 1
1-LUNCH TIME DIVA 79.0
7-TEDDY'S PROMISE 77.2
8-SUGARINTHEMORNING 74.9
4-TERODA 72.3
3-SCANTILY CLAD 70.9

RACE 2
2-CANDY FOR PASEANA 72.0
5-EASY ON THE EYE 70.4
6-NITRO ACTIVE 67.6
1-FILM FORTUNE 53.5

RACE 3
6-RESPLENDENTLY 78.4
5-GREGOR 76.6
10-UNUSUAL ENCOUNTER 76.0
9-CAPTAIN BEAU 74.2
3-JEFFREY'S GROOVE 69.3

RACE 4
6-GALLANT GENT 76.0
5-MR. SATURDAYNIGHT 67.5
4-MANOFGOLD 67.0
1-WILD HOMBRE 65.9
2-WARREN'S CONCEPT 65.3

RACE 5
2-KAJIWARA 103.6
4-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR94.5
7-BLUE JAY ATTACK 94.5
11-TAMARACK SMARTY 86.9
6-KING RED 79.0

RACE 6
5-EL VINO 85.0
9-REALITY RIDE 76.6
6-FRISCO KID 76.0
3-TWOATTEN TENATTWO 68.1
4-BAY RUSH 62.2

1st time starters - 2, 8

RACE 7
6-SEPARATE FOREST 92.6
9-MAGIC LAUNCH 92.6
11-SAANNEEN 90.7
4-CHARLIE'S PRINCESS 86.9
7-HOPEFUL UNION 81.5
10-GOOD VIBRATION 81.4

RACE 8
8-OFFICERWASISPEEDIN 56.5
10-MCDUFFIE 48.8
2-WARREN'S JAZZ WALK 45.5
5-LILY AMORE 43.3
11-MAGICAL ECLIPSE 42.9
4-LIMERICK LANE 42.0

1st time starters - 3

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Thursday, March 03, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $126,306.

RACE 1
7-JAX EL 80.8
3-FREQUENT FAME 78.5
6-MONEY LOVER 76.6
1-WEST RULER 75.6 (off Dec. 09)
5-FULLBRIDLED'S SIS 74.9

RACE 2
6-GAELIC GLORY 69.2
5-OUR LAST MONTE 62.2
2-SANTA'S LOVE 59.6
1-NISUS 52.1 (off March 10)

1st time starters 7, 8

RACE 3
5-FALCON ROCK 94.5 (off Oct. 10)
7-ROMP 91.9
3-ACHAK 90.0
2-CELTIC NEW YEAR 89.4
6-WORTH REPEATING 85.0

RACE 4
4-RANCHERO 91.3
7-HE'S SO STYLISH 82.6
6-OFF THE WALL 82.0(off March 10)
3-SCREAMING DESTINY 77.8
1-GREEN CAT 28.2 (bumped at start - off Dec. 08)

1st time starters - 5, 2, 8

RACE 5
9-BEAUTIFUL AMERICAN 82.6
10-HAMEILDAEME 82.6
7-RULE THE STORM 79.6
5-PATSY'S LIL BUDDY 76.6
8-ROLLERSKATES 75.5

RACE 6
6-TONZATROUBLE 74.3
3-OMINOUS THOMAS 67.0
2-STU'S GONE WILD 67.0
7-EDGEWICK ROAD 64.8
5-AMERICAN WILDCAT 64.8

RACE 7
9-DAHOUD 89.4
5-BIG WAGS 87.0
8-ALLEY HONDRO 86.9
6-RAUSCHENBERG 86.3
2-HUGHESY 85.0
4-HOLLEMANS 84.4

RACE 8
6-AQUA FEVER 74.9
2-TITIAN 65.9
8-BRYAN DANIEL 65.4
3-SHELTER COVE 60.6

1st time starters - 5, 7, 4, 1

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Wednesday, March 02, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.

Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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