Wednesday, August 31, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-CALIFORNIA SUMMER 53.0
5-FEEL FREELY 47.4
1-PATTIN FOR A DANCE 36.6
6-IT'SNOT SO EASY 35.8
4-LADY SOPHIA 30.0
RACE 2
2-AIRFOIL 83.8
1-BASMATI 82.6
6-JUSTONEMORETHING 81.4
4-DADTAUGHTMEWELL 80.2
3-MADELYN'S WILD MAX 77.8
RACE 3
10-DIXIE DAME 55.5
5-PRAGMATICAL 53.5
4-JEOFFIE 48.8
2-STYLISTIC 47.8
3-PATIENCE LADY 46.4
1st time starters - 7, 8
RACE 4
8-HEAT ME 79.6
1-PLANE LUCKY 74.3
2-EASTER FEVER 69.8
5-CHAO CHOM 69.2
7-QUEENOFTHECASTLE 67.5
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-CALIFORNIA CLONE 67.5
5-CLOSING TIME 53.0 (4 wide)
2-DRINKS AT SUNSET 50.6
1-WE GO NOW 50.6
12-AMODEI 50.2
1st time starters - 3, 13
RACE 6
12-BOTTLE ROCKET 104.5
6-CALCULATOR 102.9
9-SECRETO PRIMERO 101.1
11-CHIPS ALL IN 97.8
8-MC HEAT 97.1
RACE 7
3-VALE DORI 99.1
6-MAKENA 85.6
8-SCATTAGIRL 81.9
1-JOLENE 79.6
5-MOYO HONEY 79.0
RACE 8
11-Q'VIVA 69.2
12-ALTAIRA 65.9
2-PAPASLILPRINCESS 64.3
5-SPARKLING PEG 63.2
10-TOOLUCKYSUPERMOON 63.2
7-L. A. MAGIC 62.2
4-SENZA FINA 60.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-CALIFORNIA SUMMER 53.0
5-FEEL FREELY 47.4
1-PATTIN FOR A DANCE 36.6
6-IT'SNOT SO EASY 35.8
4-LADY SOPHIA 30.0
RACE 2
2-AIRFOIL 83.8
1-BASMATI 82.6
6-JUSTONEMORETHING 81.4
4-DADTAUGHTMEWELL 80.2
3-MADELYN'S WILD MAX 77.8
RACE 3
10-DIXIE DAME 55.5
5-PRAGMATICAL 53.5
4-JEOFFIE 48.8
2-STYLISTIC 47.8
3-PATIENCE LADY 46.4
1st time starters - 7, 8
RACE 4
8-HEAT ME 79.6
1-PLANE LUCKY 74.3
2-EASTER FEVER 69.8
5-CHAO CHOM 69.2
7-QUEENOFTHECASTLE 67.5
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-CALIFORNIA CLONE 67.5
5-CLOSING TIME 53.0 (4 wide)
2-DRINKS AT SUNSET 50.6
1-WE GO NOW 50.6
12-AMODEI 50.2
1st time starters - 3, 13
RACE 6
12-BOTTLE ROCKET 104.5
6-CALCULATOR 102.9
9-SECRETO PRIMERO 101.1
11-CHIPS ALL IN 97.8
8-MC HEAT 97.1
RACE 7
3-VALE DORI 99.1
6-MAKENA 85.6
8-SCATTAGIRL 81.9
1-JOLENE 79.6
5-MOYO HONEY 79.0
RACE 8
11-Q'VIVA 69.2
12-ALTAIRA 65.9
2-PAPASLILPRINCESS 64.3
5-SPARKLING PEG 63.2
10-TOOLUCKYSUPERMOON 63.2
7-L. A. MAGIC 62.2
4-SENZA FINA 60.6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, August 30, 2016
DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR RACE TRACK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, August 29, 2016
DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,608 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,608 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, August 28, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: SATURDAY IF YOU ONLY PLAYED MY TOP PICK IN EACH RACE YOU HAD NINE WINNERS IN A ROW. RACES 1 THRU 9. THE ONLY RACE WHERE THE TOP PICK DID NOT WIN WAS THE TENTH AND FINAL RACE.
RACE 1
2-LUCKY VIEWS 82.0
8-ROMAN TIZZY 81.4
6-JONNY'S CHOICE 80.8
7-TIZ JOLIE 75.5
5-MR. CARTAGENA 72.6
RACE 2
1-TWO SIX WINS 76.6
6-LOOK TWICE 72.0
4-LOUDEN'S GRAY 68.1
2-NUECES 67.5
7-STORMIN TRICK 56.0
RACE 3
3-SALSITA 93.9
7-ZIP N BAYOU 83.8
5-LUNAR EMPRESS 83.2
2-SHAZARA 82.0
4-FRIULIAN 74.3
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1st time starters - ALL 10 HORSES ARE 1ST TIMERS - NO SELECTIONS
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-PRINCESS ROI 57.0
9-DREAMY GAL 52.1 (off slow, steadied)
12-TIZ SEEKING A WIN 50.2 (squeezed, steadied at start)
7-R SUNDAY SURPRISE 49.7
11-BISSOU BISSOU 40.7
1st time starters - 10, 3, 8, 2, 6, 5
RACE 6
5-INFINITE MAGIC 88.1
8-FREDDIES DREAM 87.5
3-WHICH MARKET 83.2
4-INDYGO BO 83.2
9-RYE PATCH 82.0
7-BIRD E HOUSE 82.0
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
3-JEWELED 56.0 (off slow, bumped)
7-DEMIGODDESS 53.5
6-MY ALCHEMIST 43.8
1st time starters - 1, 4, 10, 8, 11, 5, 2
RACE 8
1-ENOLA GRAY 106.6
7-BELLAMENTARY 93.9
3-KAY KAY 85.0
4-NINE POINT NINE 84.4
5-SHE'S A WARRIOR 83.8
RACE 9
4-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 94.8
9-STORM COMIN THRU 91.9
6-PREACHER ROE 89.4
3-PRIME ISSUE 89.4
8-LADIES MAN 86.3
7-ACCELERANT 86.3
RACE 10
6-TINDERELLA 71.4
3-COMPLIMENTARY 70.9
2-LOOKINFORADANGER 69.2
5-TIZ ADORE 66.4
7-SASSY ASHLEY 64.8
9-PYSCHO SISTER 60.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: SATURDAY IF YOU ONLY PLAYED MY TOP PICK IN EACH RACE YOU HAD NINE WINNERS IN A ROW. RACES 1 THRU 9. THE ONLY RACE WHERE THE TOP PICK DID NOT WIN WAS THE TENTH AND FINAL RACE.
RACE 1
2-LUCKY VIEWS 82.0
8-ROMAN TIZZY 81.4
6-JONNY'S CHOICE 80.8
7-TIZ JOLIE 75.5
5-MR. CARTAGENA 72.6
RACE 2
1-TWO SIX WINS 76.6
6-LOOK TWICE 72.0
4-LOUDEN'S GRAY 68.1
2-NUECES 67.5
7-STORMIN TRICK 56.0
RACE 3
3-SALSITA 93.9
7-ZIP N BAYOU 83.8
5-LUNAR EMPRESS 83.2
2-SHAZARA 82.0
4-FRIULIAN 74.3
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1st time starters - ALL 10 HORSES ARE 1ST TIMERS - NO SELECTIONS
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-PRINCESS ROI 57.0
9-DREAMY GAL 52.1 (off slow, steadied)
12-TIZ SEEKING A WIN 50.2 (squeezed, steadied at start)
7-R SUNDAY SURPRISE 49.7
11-BISSOU BISSOU 40.7
1st time starters - 10, 3, 8, 2, 6, 5
RACE 6
5-INFINITE MAGIC 88.1
8-FREDDIES DREAM 87.5
3-WHICH MARKET 83.2
4-INDYGO BO 83.2
9-RYE PATCH 82.0
7-BIRD E HOUSE 82.0
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
3-JEWELED 56.0 (off slow, bumped)
7-DEMIGODDESS 53.5
6-MY ALCHEMIST 43.8
1st time starters - 1, 4, 10, 8, 11, 5, 2
RACE 8
1-ENOLA GRAY 106.6
7-BELLAMENTARY 93.9
3-KAY KAY 85.0
4-NINE POINT NINE 84.4
5-SHE'S A WARRIOR 83.8
RACE 9
4-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 94.8
9-STORM COMIN THRU 91.9
6-PREACHER ROE 89.4
3-PRIME ISSUE 89.4
8-LADIES MAN 86.3
7-ACCELERANT 86.3
RACE 10
6-TINDERELLA 71.4
3-COMPLIMENTARY 70.9
2-LOOKINFORADANGER 69.2
5-TIZ ADORE 66.4
7-SASSY ASHLEY 64.8
9-PYSCHO SISTER 60.6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, August 27, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $84,078.
RACE 1
5-TOMASINO 72.6
1-BOOMPA 68.6
6-EXEMPLER 65.9
8-FANS ON THE RUN 62.2
3-WHERE'S BUBBA 62.2
RACE 2
1-ABOVE BOARD 68.6
12-MONEY MAKIN MIKE 63.2
11-WOODIE B AWESOME 62.2
7-HE'S A KNOCKOUT 61.1
6-LATEST CRAZE 59.6
RACE 3
5-MASOCHISTIC 119.3
1-OUTSIDE NASHVILLE 101.2
4-INDEXICAL 99.8
3-VYJACK 98.1
2-CAUTIOUS GIANT 94.5
RACE 4
3-THUNDER BASIN 73.1
1-DREAM IT DO IT 70.3
5-CONCORSO 68.1
6-VARTAN 65.4
8-REDNECK CRAZY 61.6
RACE 5
8-LEVELER 88.8
6-C. C. ZIPP 81.4
9-EXUBERANTE 76.6
10-ONZAWAY 74.3
1-VICTORIA FALLS 66.4
1st time starters - 4, 3, 2
RACE 6
8-SKYE DIAMONDS 75.4
7-PICO CHICK 73.7
2-AMBER LOUISE 73.5
3-KRISTIE'S HEART 68.1
9-PASSIONATE EMOTION 68.1
RACE 7
3-NODIAC 86.9
8-DO THE DANCE 86.9
13-OK DOLL 85.6
6-SUTTON'S SMILE 85.0
12-CRIMSON AND GOLD 83.8
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-MISS SUNSET 71.4
2-YOU'RE LATE 63.8
1-DIXIE CHICK ROCKS 61.6
6-ROCKETANN 42.0
4-I'LL BE AROUND 39.9
1st time starters - 5
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1-LOVELY LINDA 55.5
7-PRINCESS NICOLE 45.1
1st time starters - 8 FIRST TIMERS - NO SELECTIONS
RACE 10
8-MATRICULATE 90.0
11-LINDANTE 87.5
2-TURN ON THE PUMPS 82.6 (off June 15)
7-AMERICAN ARISTOCAT 81.4
6-LORD OF CHAOS 80.8
5-ANATOLIAN HEAT 80.8
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $84,078.
RACE 1
5-TOMASINO 72.6
1-BOOMPA 68.6
6-EXEMPLER 65.9
8-FANS ON THE RUN 62.2
3-WHERE'S BUBBA 62.2
RACE 2
1-ABOVE BOARD 68.6
12-MONEY MAKIN MIKE 63.2
11-WOODIE B AWESOME 62.2
7-HE'S A KNOCKOUT 61.1
6-LATEST CRAZE 59.6
RACE 3
5-MASOCHISTIC 119.3
1-OUTSIDE NASHVILLE 101.2
4-INDEXICAL 99.8
3-VYJACK 98.1
2-CAUTIOUS GIANT 94.5
RACE 4
3-THUNDER BASIN 73.1
1-DREAM IT DO IT 70.3
5-CONCORSO 68.1
6-VARTAN 65.4
8-REDNECK CRAZY 61.6
RACE 5
8-LEVELER 88.8
6-C. C. ZIPP 81.4
9-EXUBERANTE 76.6
10-ONZAWAY 74.3
1-VICTORIA FALLS 66.4
1st time starters - 4, 3, 2
RACE 6
8-SKYE DIAMONDS 75.4
7-PICO CHICK 73.7
2-AMBER LOUISE 73.5
3-KRISTIE'S HEART 68.1
9-PASSIONATE EMOTION 68.1
RACE 7
3-NODIAC 86.9
8-DO THE DANCE 86.9
13-OK DOLL 85.6
6-SUTTON'S SMILE 85.0
12-CRIMSON AND GOLD 83.8
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-MISS SUNSET 71.4
2-YOU'RE LATE 63.8
1-DIXIE CHICK ROCKS 61.6
6-ROCKETANN 42.0
4-I'LL BE AROUND 39.9
1st time starters - 5
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1-LOVELY LINDA 55.5
7-PRINCESS NICOLE 45.1
1st time starters - 8 FIRST TIMERS - NO SELECTIONS
RACE 10
8-MATRICULATE 90.0
11-LINDANTE 87.5
2-TURN ON THE PUMPS 82.6 (off June 15)
7-AMERICAN ARISTOCAT 81.4
6-LORD OF CHAOS 80.8
5-ANATOLIAN HEAT 80.8
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, August 26, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
3-RIM DITCH 60.1
8-WESTMONT 50.2
5-CAAN ME 35.4 (steadied)
4-PACIFIC SONG 35.0
1-MIKEYS GLORY 34.6 (3 WIDE)
1st time starters - 6
RACE 2
4-FOREVER JUANITO 97.8
1-PAPACOOLPAPACOOL 95.8
5-PLAY HARD TO GET 92.6
2-A RED TIE DAY 87.5
3-POSHSKY 86.9
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-WHAT'SONTHEAGENA 68.6
1st time starters - 7, 2, 1, 4, 3, 5
RACE 4
1-SWISS MINISTER 89.4
5-EL KOREANO 82.0
6-NUSRET 78.4
4-PETE'S PLAYCALL 75.4
3-JES JAA 74.3
RACE 5
3-UNTOUCHABLE U 81.4
2-DAMA FINA 67.5
7-YELLOW BONNET 58.0 (3 wide)
8-BREATHE 55.5
5-ESCAPEE 36.2
1st time starters - 1, 4, 6
RACE 6
9-WILDFIRE KID 97.8
3-RANGI 93.9
4-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 93.2
1-JAZZY JOSH 86.3
6-ZURI CHOP 83.8
RACE 7
9-WHO'S OUT 101.6
10-ACCELERATE 101.1
4-SPANISH HOMBRE 88.2
2-TAMAN GUARD 88.1
11-MISHEGAS 86.9
RACE 8
10-BUZZER BEATER 62.7
5-YAVRIG 60.6
6-IF YOU BELIEVE 56.0
8-TANGER 49.7
1-SUNDAR CREEK 45.5 (4 wide)
4-PAM'S JOY 44.2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
3-RIM DITCH 60.1
8-WESTMONT 50.2
5-CAAN ME 35.4 (steadied)
4-PACIFIC SONG 35.0
1-MIKEYS GLORY 34.6 (3 WIDE)
1st time starters - 6
RACE 2
4-FOREVER JUANITO 97.8
1-PAPACOOLPAPACOOL 95.8
5-PLAY HARD TO GET 92.6
2-A RED TIE DAY 87.5
3-POSHSKY 86.9
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-WHAT'SONTHEAGENA 68.6
1st time starters - 7, 2, 1, 4, 3, 5
RACE 4
1-SWISS MINISTER 89.4
5-EL KOREANO 82.0
6-NUSRET 78.4
4-PETE'S PLAYCALL 75.4
3-JES JAA 74.3
RACE 5
3-UNTOUCHABLE U 81.4
2-DAMA FINA 67.5
7-YELLOW BONNET 58.0 (3 wide)
8-BREATHE 55.5
5-ESCAPEE 36.2
1st time starters - 1, 4, 6
RACE 6
9-WILDFIRE KID 97.8
3-RANGI 93.9
4-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 93.2
1-JAZZY JOSH 86.3
6-ZURI CHOP 83.8
RACE 7
9-WHO'S OUT 101.6
10-ACCELERATE 101.1
4-SPANISH HOMBRE 88.2
2-TAMAN GUARD 88.1
11-MISHEGAS 86.9
RACE 8
10-BUZZER BEATER 62.7
5-YAVRIG 60.6
6-IF YOU BELIEVE 56.0
8-TANGER 49.7
1-SUNDAR CREEK 45.5 (4 wide)
4-PAM'S JOY 44.2
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, August 25, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $59,871.
RACE 1
3-PEARL DE VERE 88.8
5-LONGSTOCKING 87.5
2-TRYST 86.3
1-AIR OF ROYALTY 86.3 (off Jan. 15)
8-STURDY ONE 83.2
RACE 2
6-CARLOS DANGEROUS 78.4
4-HANDSOME HANK 74.3
1-LAST ONE STANDING 69.8
2-SUAVEMENTE 60.9
3-PROUD ZONING 49.7
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
4-LIL MISS SAPHIRE 54.5
6-GOSEECAL 32.3
1st time starters - 5, 1, 7, 2, 3
RACE 4
5-SILENT MOVIES 77.2
10-WHAT'S UP GUS 76.6
4-OSO 74.8
8-STORM THE SHORE 70.9
12-MAGIK PEPPER 60.6
1st time starters - 7
RACE 5
6-ENDURING ERIN 86.3
1-MRS. NORRIS 85.0
3-LIGHT STRIKER 83.2
2-GRACIE RAGAZZA 82.6
4-SAVANNAH SKY 80.2
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-TERM OF ART 53.5 (3 wide)
6-YODELERS WAY 49.5
5-DUDE'S DUDE 41.4
1-PLUM DANDY 39.4
7-THIRTY PEPPERONIS 36.6
1st time starters - 2, 4
RACE 7
8-EASY GRADER 83.2
1-WHISK 82.0
2-COVER SONG 78.4
6-MADAME MOUSSE 78.4
7-MISS LOUJEAN 72.6
RACE 8
8-TOUGH EMBLEM 69.8
6-BIG DISCOVERY 69.2
7-LAMU 65.4
9-MOTORING AROUND 63.8
1-CLAUDE 63.8
10-STEEL PLANK 61.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $59,871.
RACE 1
3-PEARL DE VERE 88.8
5-LONGSTOCKING 87.5
2-TRYST 86.3
1-AIR OF ROYALTY 86.3 (off Jan. 15)
8-STURDY ONE 83.2
RACE 2
6-CARLOS DANGEROUS 78.4
4-HANDSOME HANK 74.3
1-LAST ONE STANDING 69.8
2-SUAVEMENTE 60.9
3-PROUD ZONING 49.7
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
4-LIL MISS SAPHIRE 54.5
6-GOSEECAL 32.3
1st time starters - 5, 1, 7, 2, 3
RACE 4
5-SILENT MOVIES 77.2
10-WHAT'S UP GUS 76.6
4-OSO 74.8
8-STORM THE SHORE 70.9
12-MAGIK PEPPER 60.6
1st time starters - 7
RACE 5
6-ENDURING ERIN 86.3
1-MRS. NORRIS 85.0
3-LIGHT STRIKER 83.2
2-GRACIE RAGAZZA 82.6
4-SAVANNAH SKY 80.2
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-TERM OF ART 53.5 (3 wide)
6-YODELERS WAY 49.5
5-DUDE'S DUDE 41.4
1-PLUM DANDY 39.4
7-THIRTY PEPPERONIS 36.6
1st time starters - 2, 4
RACE 7
8-EASY GRADER 83.2
1-WHISK 82.0
2-COVER SONG 78.4
6-MADAME MOUSSE 78.4
7-MISS LOUJEAN 72.6
RACE 8
8-TOUGH EMBLEM 69.8
6-BIG DISCOVERY 69.2
7-LAMU 65.4
9-MOTORING AROUND 63.8
1-CLAUDE 63.8
10-STEEL PLANK 61.6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, August 24, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-DESERT MADAM 91.9
2-FRUITY 85.6
3-MARGIE'S MINUTE 85.0
1-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 84.4
4-PLASTERED 76.6
RACE 2
1-MAGIC TASTE 75.4
7-SILVER CHROME 53.5
3-RUNBRORUN 47.8 (off May 15)
4-SPLENDID CAUSE 40.7
6-FOOTLOOS INDY LANE 37.4
1st time starters - 8, 2, 5
RACE 3
6-NEVER SAY TRY 91.9 (4 wide)
7-EDDIE'S TURN 91.9 (off Nov. 14)
5-EIGHT SPOKES 86.9
2-SIGNATURE CAT 79.6
1-FAMILY CODE 79.6
RACE 4(all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
6-MOONLIGHT BLUE 32.0
1-UCANTHANKMELATER 30.0
5-TREADWELL 27.6 (3 wide)
4-CASE THE MONEY 25.8
2-ICEBERG SLIM 23.2
RACE 5
5-SOI PHET 115.0
1-KRISTO 105.2
2-GRAZEN SKY 98.4
6-FIRING LINE 98.4
7-THE GOMPER 90.8
RACE 6
4-LORI'S ATTITUDE 77.8
8-VIVACIOUS BEAUTY 65.2
11-MRS. GUTY 59.0
9-BELLA SIERRA 52.7
3-PREVAILING 47.8
1st time starters - 2, 7, 5, 1, 6
RACE 7
8-AVANTI BELLO 111.4
6-LIEUTENANT COLONEL 108.6
1-CONQUEST COBRA 107.3
2-MAGIC MARK 96.5
5-SMART TRANSITION 93.2
RACE 8
2-SIDEPOCKET RUN 82.6
9-REVENUE VIRGINIUS 77.2
7-TIM'S GO GIRL 77.2
8-AUDRA 76.6
4-HENNYTHELOVEPENNY 74.9
10-DESERT THIEF 70.9
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-DESERT MADAM 91.9
2-FRUITY 85.6
3-MARGIE'S MINUTE 85.0
1-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 84.4
4-PLASTERED 76.6
RACE 2
1-MAGIC TASTE 75.4
7-SILVER CHROME 53.5
3-RUNBRORUN 47.8 (off May 15)
4-SPLENDID CAUSE 40.7
6-FOOTLOOS INDY LANE 37.4
1st time starters - 8, 2, 5
RACE 3
6-NEVER SAY TRY 91.9 (4 wide)
7-EDDIE'S TURN 91.9 (off Nov. 14)
5-EIGHT SPOKES 86.9
2-SIGNATURE CAT 79.6
1-FAMILY CODE 79.6
RACE 4(all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
6-MOONLIGHT BLUE 32.0
1-UCANTHANKMELATER 30.0
5-TREADWELL 27.6 (3 wide)
4-CASE THE MONEY 25.8
2-ICEBERG SLIM 23.2
RACE 5
5-SOI PHET 115.0
1-KRISTO 105.2
2-GRAZEN SKY 98.4
6-FIRING LINE 98.4
7-THE GOMPER 90.8
RACE 6
4-LORI'S ATTITUDE 77.8
8-VIVACIOUS BEAUTY 65.2
11-MRS. GUTY 59.0
9-BELLA SIERRA 52.7
3-PREVAILING 47.8
1st time starters - 2, 7, 5, 1, 6
RACE 7
8-AVANTI BELLO 111.4
6-LIEUTENANT COLONEL 108.6
1-CONQUEST COBRA 107.3
2-MAGIC MARK 96.5
5-SMART TRANSITION 93.2
RACE 8
2-SIDEPOCKET RUN 82.6
9-REVENUE VIRGINIUS 77.2
7-TIM'S GO GIRL 77.2
8-AUDRA 76.6
4-HENNYTHELOVEPENNY 74.9
10-DESERT THIEF 70.9
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, August 23, 2016
DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR RACE TRACK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, August 22, 2016
DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,601 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,601 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, August 21, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: THERE WILL BE NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY'S CARD. I WILL BE BACK WEDNESDAY.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: THERE WILL BE NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY'S CARD. I WILL BE BACK WEDNESDAY.
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, August 20, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $66,437.
RACE 1
7-BOONE DOCKS 96.5
2-DAY IN THE SUN 88.8
8-PAPA TURF 82.0
4-GLACKEN TOO 80.8
3-FAIR ADVANTAGE 79.0
RACE 2
10-JOHANN'S COMMAND 59.0
5-RIVER HOSS 56.5
8-SIR MATADOR 56.0
6-ATOMIC ACTION 53.5
9-LUCKY TERODA 51.6
1st time starters - 7, 3
RACE 3
3-DREAM TEAM 108.1
7-ITSINTHEPOST 102.5
1-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 98.4
2-BOOZER 95.2
5-WILLING TO TRAVEL 86.9
RACE 4
8-PRAY HARD 95.8
7-FOXTROT ROMEO 95.8
5-FOREST BLUE 95.2
4-VICTORY CALL 92.6
6-SOUPER KNIGHT 91.3
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-BLISSFUL LADY 35.0 (bobbled start)
1st time starters - 10 horses, NO SELECTIONS
RACE 6
5-BARLEYSUGAR 101.1
3-MOKAT 99.1
8-CHEEKABOO 94.5
2-DECKED OUT 92.6
7-HARMONIZE 92.6
RACE 7
2-MOE CANDY 99.1 (off March 15)
10-KETOS 82.6
8-MINER'S LIGHT 81.4 (off Nov. 15)
9-HOOK 'EM KURT 76.0 (off June 15)
4-TWIRLING 68.1
1st time starters - 3, 7, 1
RACE 8
7-FLAMBOYANT 118.6
8-ASHLEYLUVSSUGAR 112.9
11-PATENTAR 105.2
9-FINNEGANS WAKE 101.8
2-QUICK CASABLANCA 99.1
1st time starters - 6 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 9
1-CALIFORNIA CHROME 125.3
8-DORTMUND 120.1
2-HOPPERTUNITY 119.3
4-HARD ACES 118.6
5-WIN THE SPACE 116.4
RACE 10
9-FLAMINGO LANE 89.4
8-B ROCKETT 87.5
6-CASTELLANI 87.5
5-MINISTER'SADVENTURE 86.4
4-LA BERMA 84.4
1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 11
6-ALEX ROSSI 89.4
8-MISSING GROOM 88.1
7-SPUD SPIVENS 86.9
2-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 86.3
10-GUNSLINGER 81.4
5-ARLINGTON HOUSE 81.4
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $66,437.
RACE 1
7-BOONE DOCKS 96.5
2-DAY IN THE SUN 88.8
8-PAPA TURF 82.0
4-GLACKEN TOO 80.8
3-FAIR ADVANTAGE 79.0
RACE 2
10-JOHANN'S COMMAND 59.0
5-RIVER HOSS 56.5
8-SIR MATADOR 56.0
6-ATOMIC ACTION 53.5
9-LUCKY TERODA 51.6
1st time starters - 7, 3
RACE 3
3-DREAM TEAM 108.1
7-ITSINTHEPOST 102.5
1-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 98.4
2-BOOZER 95.2
5-WILLING TO TRAVEL 86.9
RACE 4
8-PRAY HARD 95.8
7-FOXTROT ROMEO 95.8
5-FOREST BLUE 95.2
4-VICTORY CALL 92.6
6-SOUPER KNIGHT 91.3
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-BLISSFUL LADY 35.0 (bobbled start)
1st time starters - 10 horses, NO SELECTIONS
RACE 6
5-BARLEYSUGAR 101.1
3-MOKAT 99.1
8-CHEEKABOO 94.5
2-DECKED OUT 92.6
7-HARMONIZE 92.6
RACE 7
2-MOE CANDY 99.1 (off March 15)
10-KETOS 82.6
8-MINER'S LIGHT 81.4 (off Nov. 15)
9-HOOK 'EM KURT 76.0 (off June 15)
4-TWIRLING 68.1
1st time starters - 3, 7, 1
RACE 8
7-FLAMBOYANT 118.6
8-ASHLEYLUVSSUGAR 112.9
11-PATENTAR 105.2
9-FINNEGANS WAKE 101.8
2-QUICK CASABLANCA 99.1
1st time starters - 6 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 9
1-CALIFORNIA CHROME 125.3
8-DORTMUND 120.1
2-HOPPERTUNITY 119.3
4-HARD ACES 118.6
5-WIN THE SPACE 116.4
RACE 10
9-FLAMINGO LANE 89.4
8-B ROCKETT 87.5
6-CASTELLANI 87.5
5-MINISTER'SADVENTURE 86.4
4-LA BERMA 84.4
1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 11
6-ALEX ROSSI 89.4
8-MISSING GROOM 88.1
7-SPUD SPIVENS 86.9
2-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 86.3
10-GUNSLINGER 81.4
5-ARLINGTON HOUSE 81.4
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, August 19, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY EVE.
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-CURLIN ROAD 80.8
6-BOLLYWOOD 76.0
4-MAGICAL MYSTERY 75.4
2-TOP OF THE GAME 67.5
3-K P WEST 54.0
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1-NINETY NINE PROOF 62.7
3-TCHULA SUNSET 57.5
5-CIOPPINO PASADINO 49.7
7-SIZZLIN SQUARE 48.3
6-DUTT BART 46.4
RACE 3
4-MOLLY'S HONOUR 86.9
6-SWISS SKIMMER 80.8
2-SO GOOD TO GO 79.0
1-FRENCH ALPS 77.8
3-WITH A TWIST 76.0
RACE 4
7-AREWEHAVINGFUNYET 70.9
9-VOW ME OVER 68.6
6-SHESWILDNFREE 65.4
4-MINT JULEP TAFFY 65.2
3-NAZARETH 63.2
RACE 5
4-WOODY'S FOLLY 76.6
7-ROYALIST 74.9
9-BROKEN UP 74.3
3-NAT'S NATION 71.6
1-FIN DE SEMAINE 70.9
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
5-BROKEN MARRIAGE 35.4
1-FURIOUS FIRE 21.9 (steadied)
10-HELLACIOUS HADLEE (steadied)
9-PERFECT COCKTAIL 10.9 (off slow)
1st time starters - 2, 8, 4, 11, 7, 3, 6
RACE 7
6-FANTICOLA 101.1
3-ANNULMENT 92.6
5-FRENZIFIED 90.7
4-DRESSED TO A T 88.8
1-GENEROSIDADE 86.9
RACE 8
3-THESHEETSGUY 77.8
10-VALENTINE BOY 72.6
7-BLACK TIE 70.9
4-ALLTHELEAVESRBROWN 69.8
6-MINISTER VIVENDI 69.2
9-MR. CARTAGENA 67.5
8-TRIBAL AGAIN 67.0
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-CURLIN ROAD 80.8
6-BOLLYWOOD 76.0
4-MAGICAL MYSTERY 75.4
2-TOP OF THE GAME 67.5
3-K P WEST 54.0
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1-NINETY NINE PROOF 62.7
3-TCHULA SUNSET 57.5
5-CIOPPINO PASADINO 49.7
7-SIZZLIN SQUARE 48.3
6-DUTT BART 46.4
RACE 3
4-MOLLY'S HONOUR 86.9
6-SWISS SKIMMER 80.8
2-SO GOOD TO GO 79.0
1-FRENCH ALPS 77.8
3-WITH A TWIST 76.0
RACE 4
7-AREWEHAVINGFUNYET 70.9
9-VOW ME OVER 68.6
6-SHESWILDNFREE 65.4
4-MINT JULEP TAFFY 65.2
3-NAZARETH 63.2
RACE 5
4-WOODY'S FOLLY 76.6
7-ROYALIST 74.9
9-BROKEN UP 74.3
3-NAT'S NATION 71.6
1-FIN DE SEMAINE 70.9
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
5-BROKEN MARRIAGE 35.4
1-FURIOUS FIRE 21.9 (steadied)
10-HELLACIOUS HADLEE (steadied)
9-PERFECT COCKTAIL 10.9 (off slow)
1st time starters - 2, 8, 4, 11, 7, 3, 6
RACE 7
6-FANTICOLA 101.1
3-ANNULMENT 92.6
5-FRENZIFIED 90.7
4-DRESSED TO A T 88.8
1-GENEROSIDADE 86.9
RACE 8
3-THESHEETSGUY 77.8
10-VALENTINE BOY 72.6
7-BLACK TIE 70.9
4-ALLTHELEAVESRBROWN 69.8
6-MINISTER VIVENDI 69.2
9-MR. CARTAGENA 67.5
8-TRIBAL AGAIN 67.0
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, August 18, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $66,808.
RACE 1
4-IDEAL 86.3
7-CLIFTON BEACH 68.6
5-PAPA GULF 49.5 (off Nov. 15)
2-NUKE LALOOSH 36.2 (off July 15)
1st time starters - 3, 1, 6
RACE 2
2-COMPEL 68.1
4-DAME STREET 67.5
1-TEQUILA MARY 67.5
7-JOAN OF ARCH 66.4
5-OPTIMISM AND HOPE 64.3
RACE 3
7-LOOK ME IN THE EYE 78.4
5-TRIBAL ROAR 71.4
1-CEE THE PREACHER 67.5
3-RIDEO 65.4
4-REDNECK CRAZY 63.8
RACE 4
6-ZEALOUS TALE 68.1
3-BERNARDJFORTUNATO 67.0
8-SAINT IGNATIUS 65.4
7-MARVELOUS MAX 64.8
1-WILD MISCHIEF 62.7
RACE 5
9-DO THE DANCE 81.4
10-MIDNIGHT SWINGER 81.4
2-CONQUEST SO TRUE 81.0
7-WATCH THIS CAT 74.3
1-MARRIEDTIAMINISTER 68.1
RACE 6
1-LOB CITY 72.0
5-WARREN'S PURRFECT 68.6
3-OLLATTA SHAKEN 62.7
9-KATY DRAMA 62.7
6-TERINITYS TURN 61.6
RACE 7
8-DANAS BEST 99.1
10-TERRYS TOM CAT 91.3
1-PRETENTIOUS 86.9
7-BRONZINO 77.8
5-BANZE NO OESTE 77.2
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-HOTFLICKARUE 36.6
9-VICTORY SEEKER 36.6
5-STARR OF QUALITY 35.0
7-IT'S NOT SO EASY 34.6
8-YOU'RE THE REASON 34.2
1st time starters - 3
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $66,808.
RACE 1
4-IDEAL 86.3
7-CLIFTON BEACH 68.6
5-PAPA GULF 49.5 (off Nov. 15)
2-NUKE LALOOSH 36.2 (off July 15)
1st time starters - 3, 1, 6
RACE 2
2-COMPEL 68.1
4-DAME STREET 67.5
1-TEQUILA MARY 67.5
7-JOAN OF ARCH 66.4
5-OPTIMISM AND HOPE 64.3
RACE 3
7-LOOK ME IN THE EYE 78.4
5-TRIBAL ROAR 71.4
1-CEE THE PREACHER 67.5
3-RIDEO 65.4
4-REDNECK CRAZY 63.8
RACE 4
6-ZEALOUS TALE 68.1
3-BERNARDJFORTUNATO 67.0
8-SAINT IGNATIUS 65.4
7-MARVELOUS MAX 64.8
1-WILD MISCHIEF 62.7
RACE 5
9-DO THE DANCE 81.4
10-MIDNIGHT SWINGER 81.4
2-CONQUEST SO TRUE 81.0
7-WATCH THIS CAT 74.3
1-MARRIEDTIAMINISTER 68.1
RACE 6
1-LOB CITY 72.0
5-WARREN'S PURRFECT 68.6
3-OLLATTA SHAKEN 62.7
9-KATY DRAMA 62.7
6-TERINITYS TURN 61.6
RACE 7
8-DANAS BEST 99.1
10-TERRYS TOM CAT 91.3
1-PRETENTIOUS 86.9
7-BRONZINO 77.8
5-BANZE NO OESTE 77.2
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-HOTFLICKARUE 36.6
9-VICTORY SEEKER 36.6
5-STARR OF QUALITY 35.0
7-IT'S NOT SO EASY 34.6
8-YOU'RE THE REASON 34.2
1st time starters - 3
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, August 17, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-STREET GODDESS 69.2
2-ADIOS PRINCESS 59.6
3-SONG FOR JADE 57.0
6-YOU SLEEP ON THAT 47.4
4-KHALAYA 40.7
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
3-BEANTOEN BOYS 42.9
4-BALANDEEN 24.4
1-GHOST OF WAR 22.2
1st time starters - 2, 5, 6, 7
RACE 3
3-SNOW CLOUD 78.4
2-EVERQUEEN 74.3
6-B C Z MIDDLETON 73.7
5-CODACIOUS 73.1
1st time starters - 4 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 4
2-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 80.2
3-STOLE A KISS 68.7
4-CUDDLE ALERT 68.6
5-CHEROKEE IN ME 68.6
1-SUMMER VEIL 67.0
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-HOWDY KINGKOWBOY 46.9
5-MITCH AND JOHN E 39.0 (4 wide)
4-SUPREME GIANT 35.8
9-AMAZING LOVE 30.4
7-BIC MITCHEM 28.6
1st time starters - 2, 8, 3, 6
RACE 6
2-KENNEDIE SKY 86.9
5-SUMMER LADY 82.6
3-OUT OFTHE ORDINARY 78.4
4-JENNYWAY U WANT IT 77.8
9-ALMOST REALITY 77.2
RACE 7
3-SENSITIVELY 107.9
2-TARA'S TANGO 105.2
1-LOST BUS 99.1
4-ENCHANTING LADY 91.3
5-PRETTY N COOL 86.9
RACE 8
3-MONTERY SHALE 83.8
1-HE COULD 83.2
10-WARD'N JERRY 72.6
2-BURNIE'S ON BOARD 72.6
8-MINTENIZED 72.5 (4 wide)
6-THE BIG TRAIN 70.3
1st time starters - 4
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-STREET GODDESS 69.2
2-ADIOS PRINCESS 59.6
3-SONG FOR JADE 57.0
6-YOU SLEEP ON THAT 47.4
4-KHALAYA 40.7
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
3-BEANTOEN BOYS 42.9
4-BALANDEEN 24.4
1-GHOST OF WAR 22.2
1st time starters - 2, 5, 6, 7
RACE 3
3-SNOW CLOUD 78.4
2-EVERQUEEN 74.3
6-B C Z MIDDLETON 73.7
5-CODACIOUS 73.1
1st time starters - 4 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 4
2-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 80.2
3-STOLE A KISS 68.7
4-CUDDLE ALERT 68.6
5-CHEROKEE IN ME 68.6
1-SUMMER VEIL 67.0
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-HOWDY KINGKOWBOY 46.9
5-MITCH AND JOHN E 39.0 (4 wide)
4-SUPREME GIANT 35.8
9-AMAZING LOVE 30.4
7-BIC MITCHEM 28.6
1st time starters - 2, 8, 3, 6
RACE 6
2-KENNEDIE SKY 86.9
5-SUMMER LADY 82.6
3-OUT OFTHE ORDINARY 78.4
4-JENNYWAY U WANT IT 77.8
9-ALMOST REALITY 77.2
RACE 7
3-SENSITIVELY 107.9
2-TARA'S TANGO 105.2
1-LOST BUS 99.1
4-ENCHANTING LADY 91.3
5-PRETTY N COOL 86.9
RACE 8
3-MONTERY SHALE 83.8
1-HE COULD 83.2
10-WARD'N JERRY 72.6
2-BURNIE'S ON BOARD 72.6
8-MINTENIZED 72.5 (4 wide)
6-THE BIG TRAIN 70.3
1st time starters - 4
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, August 16, 2016
DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL RACE TRACK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, August 15, 2016
DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,595 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,595 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, August 14, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-SPINDLE 71.4
7-LADY CLOUD 69.2
5-REALLY A GEM 63.2
1-ATLANTIC SLEW 59.6
3-SPACE CADET 52.6
RACE 2
5-MIDNIGHT RAMBLER 82.6
6-LUCKARACK 77.4
7-SENATOR ROBERT 72.6
4-TRUST UR INTUITION 70.3
1-SMOKEY'S LEGACY 66.4
RACE 3
5-OVERCOMER 87.5
1-COYOTE FLY 86.9
7-STORMIN TRICK 85.0
4-IB MIKE 83.8
6-PRINCE VALIANT 81.4
RACE 4
13-DEFIANTLY 84.4
11-BEDEVILED 82.6
9-FELDINI 79.0
1-BLUE NAVY BLUE 74.6
10-RAL RUE 73.1
1st time starters - 8 (in U.S.A.-fgn.), 4
RACE 5
4-ALLSQUARE 91.9
6-MISS STAR MAKER 81.4
3-THE SPIRAL JETTER 79.6
7-GLAMSQUAD 73.1
1-MELANISTIC 73.1
RACE 6
7-ZINVOR 107.3
5-HOBBITS HERO 101.8
12-RARE CANDY 98.2
4-TUCO 97.1
10-REFLECTED STAR 95.2
11-SHORTSTORMING 95.2
RACE 7(all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1-GRAND PRIX 56.5 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 10 Horses - NO SELECTIONS
RACE 8
11-MAJESTIC HEAT 95.2
3-SINGING KITTY 93.9
1-MANGITA 89.4
6-LILY KAI 86.3
5-BARBARA BEATRICE 85.6
10-THERMODYNAMICS 85.6
RACE 9
8-RESISTANCEISFUTILE 62.7
3-LEGITIMATE 59.6
11-AWESOME IMAGE 57.5
5-STAR EXPRESS 51.1
10-OLIMPIO'S SCAT CAT 49.2
2-DRYLIGHTNING 43.3
1st time starters - 4
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-SPINDLE 71.4
7-LADY CLOUD 69.2
5-REALLY A GEM 63.2
1-ATLANTIC SLEW 59.6
3-SPACE CADET 52.6
RACE 2
5-MIDNIGHT RAMBLER 82.6
6-LUCKARACK 77.4
7-SENATOR ROBERT 72.6
4-TRUST UR INTUITION 70.3
1-SMOKEY'S LEGACY 66.4
RACE 3
5-OVERCOMER 87.5
1-COYOTE FLY 86.9
7-STORMIN TRICK 85.0
4-IB MIKE 83.8
6-PRINCE VALIANT 81.4
RACE 4
13-DEFIANTLY 84.4
11-BEDEVILED 82.6
9-FELDINI 79.0
1-BLUE NAVY BLUE 74.6
10-RAL RUE 73.1
1st time starters - 8 (in U.S.A.-fgn.), 4
RACE 5
4-ALLSQUARE 91.9
6-MISS STAR MAKER 81.4
3-THE SPIRAL JETTER 79.6
7-GLAMSQUAD 73.1
1-MELANISTIC 73.1
RACE 6
7-ZINVOR 107.3
5-HOBBITS HERO 101.8
12-RARE CANDY 98.2
4-TUCO 97.1
10-REFLECTED STAR 95.2
11-SHORTSTORMING 95.2
RACE 7(all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1-GRAND PRIX 56.5 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 10 Horses - NO SELECTIONS
RACE 8
11-MAJESTIC HEAT 95.2
3-SINGING KITTY 93.9
1-MANGITA 89.4
6-LILY KAI 86.3
5-BARBARA BEATRICE 85.6
10-THERMODYNAMICS 85.6
RACE 9
8-RESISTANCEISFUTILE 62.7
3-LEGITIMATE 59.6
11-AWESOME IMAGE 57.5
5-STAR EXPRESS 51.1
10-OLIMPIO'S SCAT CAT 49.2
2-DRYLIGHTNING 43.3
1st time starters - 4
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, August 13, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $93,656.
RACE 1
2-YES YES YES 89.4
6-COUNTY LINEMAN 89.4
4-MALKO 83.8
3-TATTENHAM 82.6
1-MR T BIRD 82.6
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1-SPRING HEAT 23.5
7-LOFTY CAUSE 20.6
2-DIXIE CHICK ROCKS 19.2
1st time starters - 5, 4, 6, 3
RACE 3
6-BRAVE ACT 96.5
1-TE RAPA 91.9
3-BUYMEABOND 83.8
7-UNUSUAL TASTE 81.4
8-LUCKY J LANE 80.2
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
8-JET SKI 53.0
2-INFORMED SPIRIT 52.1
6-GALLANT HEAT 46.0
3-AMODEI 42.9
1st time starters - 5, 4, 1, 7
RACE 5
4-LIFE'S JOURNEY 100.4
5-BOURBON SOUL 95.8
6-SEVE'S ROAD 93.2
7-CROWN THE KITTEN 90.7
2-LITTLE SCOTTY 90.0
RACE 6
4-CURLY ROAD 68.6
11-WARREN'S T. BAZE 67.5
12-IT'S JUST BOB 65.9
14-REDNECK CRAZY 64.8
7-WEIRDHAIRCUT SETH 64.3
10-DREAM IT DO IT 64.3
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1st time starters - 11 horses - NO SELECTIONS
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f.)
6-BIG LEAGUE 78.4
5-KLIMT 77.8
4-THIRSTFORLIFE 68.1
1-SECRET HOUSE 67.5
2-RINSE AND REPEAT 63.2
1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 9
6-MYSTERIOUS MIRACLE 87.5
5-FANTASY OF LUCK 84.4
4-BRAINSPIN 83.2
9-CALL TO CONGRATS 79.0
2-BE A LADY 76.6
RACE 10
1-EXUBERANTE 80.2
10-SPECIAL GAL 74.9
3-ONZAWAY 74.9
8-GEORGIA BLUE 74.3
2-KIHEI SUNSET 70.9
5-X S HEAT 68.1
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $93,656.
RACE 1
2-YES YES YES 89.4
6-COUNTY LINEMAN 89.4
4-MALKO 83.8
3-TATTENHAM 82.6
1-MR T BIRD 82.6
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1-SPRING HEAT 23.5
7-LOFTY CAUSE 20.6
2-DIXIE CHICK ROCKS 19.2
1st time starters - 5, 4, 6, 3
RACE 3
6-BRAVE ACT 96.5
1-TE RAPA 91.9
3-BUYMEABOND 83.8
7-UNUSUAL TASTE 81.4
8-LUCKY J LANE 80.2
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
8-JET SKI 53.0
2-INFORMED SPIRIT 52.1
6-GALLANT HEAT 46.0
3-AMODEI 42.9
1st time starters - 5, 4, 1, 7
RACE 5
4-LIFE'S JOURNEY 100.4
5-BOURBON SOUL 95.8
6-SEVE'S ROAD 93.2
7-CROWN THE KITTEN 90.7
2-LITTLE SCOTTY 90.0
RACE 6
4-CURLY ROAD 68.6
11-WARREN'S T. BAZE 67.5
12-IT'S JUST BOB 65.9
14-REDNECK CRAZY 64.8
7-WEIRDHAIRCUT SETH 64.3
10-DREAM IT DO IT 64.3
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1st time starters - 11 horses - NO SELECTIONS
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f.)
6-BIG LEAGUE 78.4
5-KLIMT 77.8
4-THIRSTFORLIFE 68.1
1-SECRET HOUSE 67.5
2-RINSE AND REPEAT 63.2
1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 9
6-MYSTERIOUS MIRACLE 87.5
5-FANTASY OF LUCK 84.4
4-BRAINSPIN 83.2
9-CALL TO CONGRATS 79.0
2-BE A LADY 76.6
RACE 10
1-EXUBERANTE 80.2
10-SPECIAL GAL 74.9
3-ONZAWAY 74.9
8-GEORGIA BLUE 74.3
2-KIHEI SUNSET 70.9
5-X S HEAT 68.1
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, August 12, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY EVE.
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-CORRELATION 62.2
4-YAVRIG 56.5
3-JOURNEYTOTHESTARS 56.0
7-SHAKTI 52.1
2-TINIAN 46.0
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
4-CIAO BELLA ROSA 58.5
1-ADFORABLE 53.0
3-SIMMY'S TEMPLE 49.7
7-CRIME BOSS 45.5
6-GO BABY RUN 35.4 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 5, 2
RACE 3
8-BROADWAY NIKA 85.0
1-DIVE DOWN 82.6
7-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 82.0
3-IANCOL 80.8
5-ACE DUCE 80.2
RACE 4
10-ALEXITA 71.4
1-SHAKEITUPBETTY 70.9
4-SPARKLING PEG 70.3
8-PAPASLILPRINCESS 60.6
5-AMBERELLA 60.1
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-GIO'S LADY 48.3 (off slow, 3 wide)
2-WILD CAUSE 39.9
4-TAMMY'S WINDOW 37.8
1-LADY SOPHIA 30.4
8-JAMI RACER 20.0
1st time starters - 6, 3, 5
RACE 6
7-RADIO SILENT 82.6
2-SPITFIRE 82.0
3-DIRT IN YOUR FACE 81.4
4-LAMAAN 74.9
5-TOUCHING RAINBOWS 73.7
RACE 7
1-HUNT 110.0
3-WHY TWO 101.8
6-RICHARD'S BOY 100.4
2-NO SILENT 99.8
7-ROCKET HEAT 95.8
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
4-ACCOUNTABILITY 46.9
9-CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT 42.9 (3 wide)
5-OPUS DEI 21.9
1st time starters - 7 horses - no selections
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-CORRELATION 62.2
4-YAVRIG 56.5
3-JOURNEYTOTHESTARS 56.0
7-SHAKTI 52.1
2-TINIAN 46.0
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
4-CIAO BELLA ROSA 58.5
1-ADFORABLE 53.0
3-SIMMY'S TEMPLE 49.7
7-CRIME BOSS 45.5
6-GO BABY RUN 35.4 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 5, 2
RACE 3
8-BROADWAY NIKA 85.0
1-DIVE DOWN 82.6
7-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 82.0
3-IANCOL 80.8
5-ACE DUCE 80.2
RACE 4
10-ALEXITA 71.4
1-SHAKEITUPBETTY 70.9
4-SPARKLING PEG 70.3
8-PAPASLILPRINCESS 60.6
5-AMBERELLA 60.1
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-GIO'S LADY 48.3 (off slow, 3 wide)
2-WILD CAUSE 39.9
4-TAMMY'S WINDOW 37.8
1-LADY SOPHIA 30.4
8-JAMI RACER 20.0
1st time starters - 6, 3, 5
RACE 6
7-RADIO SILENT 82.6
2-SPITFIRE 82.0
3-DIRT IN YOUR FACE 81.4
4-LAMAAN 74.9
5-TOUCHING RAINBOWS 73.7
RACE 7
1-HUNT 110.0
3-WHY TWO 101.8
6-RICHARD'S BOY 100.4
2-NO SILENT 99.8
7-ROCKET HEAT 95.8
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
4-ACCOUNTABILITY 46.9
9-CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT 42.9 (3 wide)
5-OPUS DEI 21.9
1st time starters - 7 horses - no selections
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, August 11, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-AGRONOMY 70.9
4-SUPER TOUCH 70.9
6-ELEGANT STREET 65.9
1-GAVIN STREETSENSE 64.8
7-ROYAL REBEL 43.8 (off Oct. 15)
1st time starters - 3, 2
RACE 2
6-THIRD BRIGADE 76.0
4-FAR OUT KAILEE 74.9
5-WRIGHTWOOD 67.0
3-QUALITY BOY 65.4
7-ARMORED CAR 64.8
RACE 3
6-SPIN FORTY 93.8
8-IT BEHOOVES ME 90.0
7-LAST ONE STANDING 88.2
5-MARGIE'S MINUTE 87.6
4-JONNY'S CHOICE 85.6
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
3-WESTMONT 35.8 (steadied)
6-EICHEL 35.6
4-ENTER THE CODE 30.0
1st time starters - 1, 5, 8, 7, 2
RACE 5
4-THANKSGIVING DAY 99.5
1-ATASCADERAN 91.3
8-BACK TO BAKE 90.7
5-OUT OF PATIENCE 87.5
7-CHRIS AND DAVE 86.9
RACE 6
10-WHAT A STORKAT 56.5
6-REBARULES AGAIN 51.6
9-BELLA SIERRA 49.7
1st time starters - 8 horses, no selection
RACE 7
4-MOONIE 81.4
2-MATTER OF LUCK 80.3
8-STAR OF MUNSTER 76.8
9-TRUST UR INTUITION 76.6
1-SILVER MOJAVE 74.3
RACE 8
4-CLICKJAB 74.9
5-ADIR 57.0
10-MONEY MAKIN MIKE 54.0
7-SPECIMEN 50.6
1-COLTONSGRACE 49.0
2-BUNDESLIGA 47.8
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-AGRONOMY 70.9
4-SUPER TOUCH 70.9
6-ELEGANT STREET 65.9
1-GAVIN STREETSENSE 64.8
7-ROYAL REBEL 43.8 (off Oct. 15)
1st time starters - 3, 2
RACE 2
6-THIRD BRIGADE 76.0
4-FAR OUT KAILEE 74.9
5-WRIGHTWOOD 67.0
3-QUALITY BOY 65.4
7-ARMORED CAR 64.8
RACE 3
6-SPIN FORTY 93.8
8-IT BEHOOVES ME 90.0
7-LAST ONE STANDING 88.2
5-MARGIE'S MINUTE 87.6
4-JONNY'S CHOICE 85.6
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
3-WESTMONT 35.8 (steadied)
6-EICHEL 35.6
4-ENTER THE CODE 30.0
1st time starters - 1, 5, 8, 7, 2
RACE 5
4-THANKSGIVING DAY 99.5
1-ATASCADERAN 91.3
8-BACK TO BAKE 90.7
5-OUT OF PATIENCE 87.5
7-CHRIS AND DAVE 86.9
RACE 6
10-WHAT A STORKAT 56.5
6-REBARULES AGAIN 51.6
9-BELLA SIERRA 49.7
1st time starters - 8 horses, no selection
RACE 7
4-MOONIE 81.4
2-MATTER OF LUCK 80.3
8-STAR OF MUNSTER 76.8
9-TRUST UR INTUITION 76.6
1-SILVER MOJAVE 74.3
RACE 8
4-CLICKJAB 74.9
5-ADIR 57.0
10-MONEY MAKIN MIKE 54.0
7-SPECIMEN 50.6
1-COLTONSGRACE 49.0
2-BUNDESLIGA 47.8
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, August 10, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-CHIPS ALL IN 100.4
5-BOTTLE ROCKET 99.1
1-RANGI 88.8
4-PAY THE FINE 71.4
2-BLUEGRASS BRONCO 69.8
RACE 2
6-PONDER LEA 76.6
4-TIME AND CHANCE 70.3
5-BASIE BOOTS 69.2
1-THE CAT'S LEAVIN 68.6
3-RECKLESS CHARM 60.6
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-ICEBERG SLIM 38.6
5-UCANTHANKMELATER 28.6
6-LUCKY BODE 28.2
4-KY. COLONEL 24.8
3-FARLEY 23.1
1st time starters - 2, 7, 9, 1
RACE 4
6-PAPA PAPA PAPA 95.8
4-BASINCA 88.1
7-CANDY PROMISES 82.6
5-DREAMY MARTINI 79.6
3-GONE WITH IT 73.1
RACE 5
3-ALBEIT 70.3
9-PAM'S JOY 55.0
7-TOO MUCH DRAMA 55.0
10-CAN'T AFFORD IT 46.9
6-STARRING ROLE 39.9
4-DADDY PLEASE 39.9
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
6-CURLY'S WATERFRONT 50.2 (4 wide)
4-THE ALL BUTTON 46.4
1-LUCKY WHALEN 44.6 (off slow)
7-IRISH GOODBYE 27.9 (off slow)
2-UNLIKELY STORY 25.1
1st time starters - 8, 9, 3, 10
RACE 7
1-CLEVER ROYAL 103.1
3-HEIR OF STORM 103.1
5-ANYTIME ANYPLACE 97.1
4-SONGFORJOHNMICHAEL 94.5
6-KAFISTER 92.9
RACE 8
10-GOLDEN LIGHT 82.6
7-LA PREMIERE ETOILE 74.3
2-STARLITE STYLE 71.4
11-STYLISTIC 68.6
4-LETHAL LEGACY 62.7
5-HOTSY DOTSY 60.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-CHIPS ALL IN 100.4
5-BOTTLE ROCKET 99.1
1-RANGI 88.8
4-PAY THE FINE 71.4
2-BLUEGRASS BRONCO 69.8
RACE 2
6-PONDER LEA 76.6
4-TIME AND CHANCE 70.3
5-BASIE BOOTS 69.2
1-THE CAT'S LEAVIN 68.6
3-RECKLESS CHARM 60.6
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-ICEBERG SLIM 38.6
5-UCANTHANKMELATER 28.6
6-LUCKY BODE 28.2
4-KY. COLONEL 24.8
3-FARLEY 23.1
1st time starters - 2, 7, 9, 1
RACE 4
6-PAPA PAPA PAPA 95.8
4-BASINCA 88.1
7-CANDY PROMISES 82.6
5-DREAMY MARTINI 79.6
3-GONE WITH IT 73.1
RACE 5
3-ALBEIT 70.3
9-PAM'S JOY 55.0
7-TOO MUCH DRAMA 55.0
10-CAN'T AFFORD IT 46.9
6-STARRING ROLE 39.9
4-DADDY PLEASE 39.9
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
6-CURLY'S WATERFRONT 50.2 (4 wide)
4-THE ALL BUTTON 46.4
1-LUCKY WHALEN 44.6 (off slow)
7-IRISH GOODBYE 27.9 (off slow)
2-UNLIKELY STORY 25.1
1st time starters - 8, 9, 3, 10
RACE 7
1-CLEVER ROYAL 103.1
3-HEIR OF STORM 103.1
5-ANYTIME ANYPLACE 97.1
4-SONGFORJOHNMICHAEL 94.5
6-KAFISTER 92.9
RACE 8
10-GOLDEN LIGHT 82.6
7-LA PREMIERE ETOILE 74.3
2-STARLITE STYLE 71.4
11-STYLISTIC 68.6
4-LETHAL LEGACY 62.7
5-HOTSY DOTSY 60.6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, August 09, 2016
DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL RACE TRACK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,585 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,585 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, August 07, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-FRUITY 72.6
4-AUDRA 68.6
1-COMEALONGWITHME 67.5
5-TOOLUCKYSUPERMOON 65.4
3-AVICII 63.8
RACE 2
6-DOODETTA 89.4
4-MAGICAL TOUCH 82.7
3-PEARL DE VERE 80.2
1-WHISK 77.2
5-DESERT THIEF 72.6
2-COMPEL 72.6
RACE 3
1-ALWAYS DANGEROUS 63.2
3-BUZZER BEATER 56.5
4-IF YOU BELIEVE 53.0
6-SPREAD THE JOY 46.0
2-HILDA 44.6
RACE 4
2-NAHEM 75.4
1-MR. CARTAGENA 75.4
7-OH BROTHER GO 69.2
3-LUCKY SHOES TO WIN 68.1
6-BLACKFORD 65.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-NOTED AND QUOTED 62.2
3-LA VITESSE 46.0 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 7, 4, 2, 1, 6
RACE 6
4-TRIBAL JEWEL 96.5
3-FOXTROT ROMEO 95.8
6-SAINT DERMOT 95.2
1-ULTIMATE LUCK 86.9
7-SILVER SPIRIT 86.9
RACE 7
8-ENTRECHAT 103.8
7-HAVANNA BELLE 101.8
3-ELEKTRUM 99.8
6-MY YEAR IS A DAY 93.9
1-JUNO 91.3
1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 8
1-CHAO CHOM 90.0
6-SURFING THE MENU 74.8
8-DIS SMART CAT 73.1
5-Q'VIVA 70.3
4-EASTER FEVER 69.8
RACE 9
9-MIDNIGHT SWINGER 75.4
6-TINDERELLA 74.3
8-VICTORIA FALLS 65.9
2-CARNIVAL LIGHTS 65.4
5-LOOKINFORDANGER 64.3
3-ANGEL ON POINT 63.2
1st time starters - 1
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-FRUITY 72.6
4-AUDRA 68.6
1-COMEALONGWITHME 67.5
5-TOOLUCKYSUPERMOON 65.4
3-AVICII 63.8
RACE 2
6-DOODETTA 89.4
4-MAGICAL TOUCH 82.7
3-PEARL DE VERE 80.2
1-WHISK 77.2
5-DESERT THIEF 72.6
2-COMPEL 72.6
RACE 3
1-ALWAYS DANGEROUS 63.2
3-BUZZER BEATER 56.5
4-IF YOU BELIEVE 53.0
6-SPREAD THE JOY 46.0
2-HILDA 44.6
RACE 4
2-NAHEM 75.4
1-MR. CARTAGENA 75.4
7-OH BROTHER GO 69.2
3-LUCKY SHOES TO WIN 68.1
6-BLACKFORD 65.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-NOTED AND QUOTED 62.2
3-LA VITESSE 46.0 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 7, 4, 2, 1, 6
RACE 6
4-TRIBAL JEWEL 96.5
3-FOXTROT ROMEO 95.8
6-SAINT DERMOT 95.2
1-ULTIMATE LUCK 86.9
7-SILVER SPIRIT 86.9
RACE 7
8-ENTRECHAT 103.8
7-HAVANNA BELLE 101.8
3-ELEKTRUM 99.8
6-MY YEAR IS A DAY 93.9
1-JUNO 91.3
1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 8
1-CHAO CHOM 90.0
6-SURFING THE MENU 74.8
8-DIS SMART CAT 73.1
5-Q'VIVA 70.3
4-EASTER FEVER 69.8
RACE 9
9-MIDNIGHT SWINGER 75.4
6-TINDERELLA 74.3
8-VICTORIA FALLS 65.9
2-CARNIVAL LIGHTS 65.4
5-LOOKINFORDANGER 64.3
3-ANGEL ON POINT 63.2
1st time starters - 1
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, August 06, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-BASMATI 76.0
3-JUSTONEMORETHING 74.3
2-CHANGING KARMA 73.7
5-LUCKARACK 73.1
1-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 57.5
RACE 2
4-HAY DUDE 99.8
6-BIG TIRE 91.3
5-ROYAL BANKER 82.6
2-INDYGO BO 79.0
3-ALL CALL 78.4
RACE 3
6-ANGEL LANE 64.8
5-MIA'S STORM 61.6
4-TRULY PONTI 50.6
2-HOLIDAYINCAMBODIA 45.1
7-ESMERALDA BELLE 44.2
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f.)
6-CHAMPAGNE ROOM 69.8
2-MISS SOUTHERN MISS 68.6
5-AUNTJENN 65.9
1-UNFORGIVABLE U 55.5
4-CIAO BELLA ROSA 51.5
RACE 5
6-SAVANNAH SKY 90.6
4-ARETHUSA 84.4
3-LA BOHEME 84.4
7-ZIP N BAYOU 83.8
1-SCATTAGIRL 83.2
RACE 6
7-TRYST 86.9
5-VIVACIOUS BEAUTY 82.6
1-DASHIN ASHEN 80.2
4-BREATHE 71.4
6-PRAGMATICAL 56.0 (off Jan. 14, 3 wide)
1st time starters - 2, 8
RACE 7
1-SPANISH HOMBRE 94.5
12-ARCATURE 91.3
3-ALASKAN SON 89.4
5-TRISTAN'S TRILOGY 88.8
2-BOMBARD 86.9
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f.)
7-STRIGHT FIRE 92.6
2-REBEL WAR 64.8
4-EXCAVATION 60.6 (3 wide)
5-SORRY ERIK 48.8 (slow start)
1st time starters - 6, 9, 8, 3, 1
RACE 9
8-MONSTER BEA 97.1
9-EBADAN 93.9
6-LUCKY BRYAN 93.2
3-MOONLIGHT DRIVE 93.2
2-LIAM THE CHARMER 90.0
1st time starters - 7 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 10
9-ALASKAN CRUISE 66.4
10-GAVINATION 61.6
8-RIDEO 55.5
4-LITTLE MUSTARD 54.5
7-WOODSTOCK MEMORY 51.1
5-YET ANOTHER NATE 44.2
1st time starters 2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-BASMATI 76.0
3-JUSTONEMORETHING 74.3
2-CHANGING KARMA 73.7
5-LUCKARACK 73.1
1-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 57.5
RACE 2
4-HAY DUDE 99.8
6-BIG TIRE 91.3
5-ROYAL BANKER 82.6
2-INDYGO BO 79.0
3-ALL CALL 78.4
RACE 3
6-ANGEL LANE 64.8
5-MIA'S STORM 61.6
4-TRULY PONTI 50.6
2-HOLIDAYINCAMBODIA 45.1
7-ESMERALDA BELLE 44.2
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f.)
6-CHAMPAGNE ROOM 69.8
2-MISS SOUTHERN MISS 68.6
5-AUNTJENN 65.9
1-UNFORGIVABLE U 55.5
4-CIAO BELLA ROSA 51.5
RACE 5
6-SAVANNAH SKY 90.6
4-ARETHUSA 84.4
3-LA BOHEME 84.4
7-ZIP N BAYOU 83.8
1-SCATTAGIRL 83.2
RACE 6
7-TRYST 86.9
5-VIVACIOUS BEAUTY 82.6
1-DASHIN ASHEN 80.2
4-BREATHE 71.4
6-PRAGMATICAL 56.0 (off Jan. 14, 3 wide)
1st time starters - 2, 8
RACE 7
1-SPANISH HOMBRE 94.5
12-ARCATURE 91.3
3-ALASKAN SON 89.4
5-TRISTAN'S TRILOGY 88.8
2-BOMBARD 86.9
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f.)
7-STRIGHT FIRE 92.6
2-REBEL WAR 64.8
4-EXCAVATION 60.6 (3 wide)
5-SORRY ERIK 48.8 (slow start)
1st time starters - 6, 9, 8, 3, 1
RACE 9
8-MONSTER BEA 97.1
9-EBADAN 93.9
6-LUCKY BRYAN 93.2
3-MOONLIGHT DRIVE 93.2
2-LIAM THE CHARMER 90.0
1st time starters - 7 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 10
9-ALASKAN CRUISE 66.4
10-GAVINATION 61.6
8-RIDEO 55.5
4-LITTLE MUSTARD 54.5
7-WOODSTOCK MEMORY 51.1
5-YET ANOTHER NATE 44.2
1st time starters 2
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, August 05, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1-RED APPLE 42.9 (off slow)
5-REWARD OF ROSES 38.2
2-FEEL FREELY 33.4
4-ALLAN'S BABY 18.3 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 7, 6, 3
RACE 2
1-BOONE DOCKS 84.4
5-PROFOUND VISIONARY 76.6
3-EMMETT PARK 75.4
7-NUECES 68.6
2-MAJESTIC KITTEN 66.7
RACE 3
3-CHRIS AND DAVE 88.8
7-BEAUMARCHAIS 87.6
8-AFLEET DOMINATION 80.3
9-START A RUNNIN 79.0
6-CARLOS DANGEROUS 78.4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
7-CAMMY'S MUSIC 43.3 (slow start, 4 wide)
6-THIRTY PEPPERONIS 38.6
1-DUDE'S DUDE 35.4 (off slow, 3 wide)
1st time starters - 2, 3, 5, 4
RACE 5
9-PREACHER ROE 86.3
10-LINDANTE 85.0
5-INFINITE LOOP 83.2
8-GLORY BOUND 81.4
13-AMERICAN ARISTOCRAT 81.4
RACE 6
1-LUCKY VIEWS 83.8
3-AGENT DI NOZZO 80.8
6-BROTHER SOLDIER 75.4
2-JUSTIFICATION 69.8
5-NORTHERN IOWA 64.3
RACE 7
7-LONG HOT SUMMER 99.8
5-CINDYS SECRET 98.4
1-SO SWEETITTIZ 97.8
8-SHRINKING VIOLET 97.1
6-HOME JOURNEY 94.5
RACE 8
1-TURF CLUB QUEEN 54.5
8-PATIENCE LADY 47.8
10-MUM'S FOREST 46.0
11-MADERA JUBILEE 39.4
9-PRECIOUS CAROLINE 33.8 (off June 15)
7-ULTIMATE GAME 21.9
1st time starters - 4, 5, 2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1-RED APPLE 42.9 (off slow)
5-REWARD OF ROSES 38.2
2-FEEL FREELY 33.4
4-ALLAN'S BABY 18.3 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 7, 6, 3
RACE 2
1-BOONE DOCKS 84.4
5-PROFOUND VISIONARY 76.6
3-EMMETT PARK 75.4
7-NUECES 68.6
2-MAJESTIC KITTEN 66.7
RACE 3
3-CHRIS AND DAVE 88.8
7-BEAUMARCHAIS 87.6
8-AFLEET DOMINATION 80.3
9-START A RUNNIN 79.0
6-CARLOS DANGEROUS 78.4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
7-CAMMY'S MUSIC 43.3 (slow start, 4 wide)
6-THIRTY PEPPERONIS 38.6
1-DUDE'S DUDE 35.4 (off slow, 3 wide)
1st time starters - 2, 3, 5, 4
RACE 5
9-PREACHER ROE 86.3
10-LINDANTE 85.0
5-INFINITE LOOP 83.2
8-GLORY BOUND 81.4
13-AMERICAN ARISTOCRAT 81.4
RACE 6
1-LUCKY VIEWS 83.8
3-AGENT DI NOZZO 80.8
6-BROTHER SOLDIER 75.4
2-JUSTIFICATION 69.8
5-NORTHERN IOWA 64.3
RACE 7
7-LONG HOT SUMMER 99.8
5-CINDYS SECRET 98.4
1-SO SWEETITTIZ 97.8
8-SHRINKING VIOLET 97.1
6-HOME JOURNEY 94.5
RACE 8
1-TURF CLUB QUEEN 54.5
8-PATIENCE LADY 47.8
10-MUM'S FOREST 46.0
11-MADERA JUBILEE 39.4
9-PRECIOUS CAROLINE 33.8 (off June 15)
7-ULTIMATE GAME 21.9
1st time starters - 4, 5, 2
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, August 04, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $53,666.
RACE 1
1-CELEBRITY STATUS 73.1
5-AIN'T NO OTHER 73..1
2-RUNAWAY WILDCAT 65.4
7-OUTHINK'EM 60.6
6-SENATOR BOB 59.0
RACE 2
4-ARROGATE 108.6
3-KRISTO 104.5
1-FIVE PALMS 98.4 (off Oct. 15)
5-TENIENTE 93.2
2-MYSTERY TRAIN 73.1
RACE 3
1-HANDSOME HANK 72.6
2-REDNECK CRAZY 64.3
4-MOOSE SKOWRON 59.0
7-CAPTAIN AKERS 56.2
5-PROUD ZONING 53.0
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-HOLY MOSEY 49.7
4-LIL MISS SAPHIRE 24.8 (steadied)
1-PATTIN FOR A DANCE 22.9
1st time starters - 3, 5, 2
RACE 5
2-BIG MOVE 91.9
7-LAMONTAGNE 81.4
5-LONGSTOCKING 73.9
8-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 72.8
4-LITTLE TREASURE 72.6
RACE 6
5-PRIME ISSUE 87.5
3-EIGHT SPOKES 86.3
2-SIGNATURE CAT 82.0
6-ODIN 81.4
1-SPIRIT RULES 73.7
RACE 7
7-THAT'S A LADY 90.0
8-SWEET HALORY 85.0
10-NINE POINT NINE 85.0
4-COVER SONG 80.2
6-HOW UNUSUAL 77.2
RACE 8
2-SOAP BOX 65.9
5-MAGIC TASTE 63.8
7-JIMMY THE JUICE 55.0
6-ACCORDANCE 52.1
4-TRIPLE CLOWN 49.7
8-SQUASH 46.9
1st time starters - 3
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $53,666.
RACE 1
1-CELEBRITY STATUS 73.1
5-AIN'T NO OTHER 73..1
2-RUNAWAY WILDCAT 65.4
7-OUTHINK'EM 60.6
6-SENATOR BOB 59.0
RACE 2
4-ARROGATE 108.6
3-KRISTO 104.5
1-FIVE PALMS 98.4 (off Oct. 15)
5-TENIENTE 93.2
2-MYSTERY TRAIN 73.1
RACE 3
1-HANDSOME HANK 72.6
2-REDNECK CRAZY 64.3
4-MOOSE SKOWRON 59.0
7-CAPTAIN AKERS 56.2
5-PROUD ZONING 53.0
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-HOLY MOSEY 49.7
4-LIL MISS SAPHIRE 24.8 (steadied)
1-PATTIN FOR A DANCE 22.9
1st time starters - 3, 5, 2
RACE 5
2-BIG MOVE 91.9
7-LAMONTAGNE 81.4
5-LONGSTOCKING 73.9
8-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 72.8
4-LITTLE TREASURE 72.6
RACE 6
5-PRIME ISSUE 87.5
3-EIGHT SPOKES 86.3
2-SIGNATURE CAT 82.0
6-ODIN 81.4
1-SPIRIT RULES 73.7
RACE 7
7-THAT'S A LADY 90.0
8-SWEET HALORY 85.0
10-NINE POINT NINE 85.0
4-COVER SONG 80.2
6-HOW UNUSUAL 77.2
RACE 8
2-SOAP BOX 65.9
5-MAGIC TASTE 63.8
7-JIMMY THE JUICE 55.0
6-ACCORDANCE 52.1
4-TRIPLE CLOWN 49.7
8-SQUASH 46.9
1st time starters - 3
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, August 03, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-FLEXIBLE ETHICS 80.2
6-L. A. MAGIC 68.6
1-ALEXITA 65.4
5-RADIANT JOURNEY 63.8
7-HEAT ME 63.2
RACE 2
4-GLORYZAPPER 90.7
2-MINISTER'SADVENTURE 84.4
5-AUTUMN FLOWER 84.4
1-META MU 57.8
1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
5-DERBY MUSIC 44.2 (4 wide)
6-ZEN DEPUTY 44.2
7-VIGOROUSLY JUAN 27.9
1-FOREVER US 25.8
2-ICEBERG SLIM 22.5
1st time starters - 9, 4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
8-START TO FINISH 42.9 (4 wide)
5-CHOCOLATE GODDESS 40.3
1-STORMY ENDEAVOR 34.6
6-COUGAR CREEK 18.6
1st time starters - 7, 10, 4, 9, 2, 3, 11
RACE 5
6-SOUPER KNIGHT 96.4
8-GUTSY RULER 95.7
1-WELL MAYBE 95.2 (off Nov. 15)
10-RANGI 91.3
4-K THIRTY EIGHT 90.7
RACE 6
6-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 89.4
8-SPUD SPIVENS 88.8
4-ACCELERANT 87.5
5-MATRICULATE 85.0
2-STORM COMIN THRU 84.4
7-PLAIN WRAP 84.4
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
3-CALIFORNIA DIAMOND 84.4
7-GREEN WITH EDDIE 77.8
5-MILTON FREEWATER 68.1 (4 wide)
2-TCHULA SUNSET 61.1
6-EXOTIC GHOST 58.5
RACE 8
1-SILENT MOVIES 80.8
5-MY GOLDEN ONE 72.6
9-SAINT IGNATIUS 70.4
3-LATEST CRAZE 68.8
7-AUTUMN KING 58.0
12-JIMMY THE JUICE 55.5
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-FLEXIBLE ETHICS 80.2
6-L. A. MAGIC 68.6
1-ALEXITA 65.4
5-RADIANT JOURNEY 63.8
7-HEAT ME 63.2
RACE 2
4-GLORYZAPPER 90.7
2-MINISTER'SADVENTURE 84.4
5-AUTUMN FLOWER 84.4
1-META MU 57.8
1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
5-DERBY MUSIC 44.2 (4 wide)
6-ZEN DEPUTY 44.2
7-VIGOROUSLY JUAN 27.9
1-FOREVER US 25.8
2-ICEBERG SLIM 22.5
1st time starters - 9, 4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
8-START TO FINISH 42.9 (4 wide)
5-CHOCOLATE GODDESS 40.3
1-STORMY ENDEAVOR 34.6
6-COUGAR CREEK 18.6
1st time starters - 7, 10, 4, 9, 2, 3, 11
RACE 5
6-SOUPER KNIGHT 96.4
8-GUTSY RULER 95.7
1-WELL MAYBE 95.2 (off Nov. 15)
10-RANGI 91.3
4-K THIRTY EIGHT 90.7
RACE 6
6-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 89.4
8-SPUD SPIVENS 88.8
4-ACCELERANT 87.5
5-MATRICULATE 85.0
2-STORM COMIN THRU 84.4
7-PLAIN WRAP 84.4
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
3-CALIFORNIA DIAMOND 84.4
7-GREEN WITH EDDIE 77.8
5-MILTON FREEWATER 68.1 (4 wide)
2-TCHULA SUNSET 61.1
6-EXOTIC GHOST 58.5
RACE 8
1-SILENT MOVIES 80.8
5-MY GOLDEN ONE 72.6
9-SAINT IGNATIUS 70.4
3-LATEST CRAZE 68.8
7-AUTUMN KING 58.0
12-JIMMY THE JUICE 55.5
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, August 02, 2016
DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL RACE TRACK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,579 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,579 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
