Friday, October 31, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $53,949.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
6-HYPE 87.5
4-REGAL COYOTE 60.2
2-LIFELINE 55.5
5-SMOKEY DEHERE 52.6
3-EMPEROR STONE 52.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
6-UNCLE JEEP 68.1
2-RISE ABOVE 63.4
8-SCOREWITHCATER 59.0
4-AFRICAN DIAMOND 54.0
7-CAPT. PIKE 53.5

1st time starters - 3, 1

RACE 3
3-JUNGLE GIRL 75.4
7-RED NECK GAL 73.7
8-COLOMINAS 72.6
4-LADY DISDAIN 64.8

RACE 4
5-LUNCH TIME 88.1
1-SODA POP KID 81.4
7-GENERAL DAN 77.8
6-HIGH STAKES SILVER 77.2

RACE 5
2-SOUPY 95.8
6-NEW EXPORT 95.2
3-THE BIG ONE 93.9
5-LOCKFORD 88.8

RACE 6
7-KAPTAIN KORDOUGH 86.3
4-TIZ BODACIOUS 78.4 (off slow)
6-CAPTAIN QUICK 75.4
5-NO PRODIGAL 70.3

1st time starters - 1, 8

RACE 7
5-WESTERLY MAGIC 97.1
4-ROMP 93.2
6-SOUTH COAST 90.6
1-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 88.8

RACE 8
4-STITCHIT 56.5
9-PADDLIN MUD 56.0
3-EXAGGERATED RUNNER 46.9
10-HALF WIT 44.1

1st time starters - 12, 7

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Thursday, October 30, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-MISS ANZIAYAN 80.2
2-GREY LASSIE 76.6
1-BELLA DANCER 76.0
3-WARREN'S R READY 74.3

RACE 2
6-SHEM TOV 75.4
5-KING OF THE GREEN 70.3
1-GOOCH'S DREAM 69.2
3-OH HOW NICE 57.1

RACE 3
2-PROUD GARRISON 83.2
5-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 76.0
3-WARREN'S DREAMING 74.3
7-AFLEET'S LOVE SONG 72.6

RACE 4
7-MR. INN ZONE 78.4
3-CHIMI'S NUGGET 69.8
1-GENERAL BUFFET 62.2
6-SIDEPOCKET LOU 60.6
8-CUBS MOLINA 60.1

RACE 5
4-DOUBLE DIP 86.9
8-KELADORA 86.3
6-STREET MATCH 80.8
1-ECLATANTE 80.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
1-CRAZY TRICIA 54.6 (entry)
2-PLATINUM STILETTO 49.2
6-MONICA C C 48.3
3-SWEETWATERWIND 46.4
8-OCTOBERFEST 45.5

RACE 7
3-TIMES GONE BY 95.2
2-VICTOR'S CRY 93.9
1-WINK AT THE GIRLS 93.8
6-CEE BARGARA 89.4

RACE 8
6-FIVE STAR CHARM 81.4
5-SI SE PUEDE 80.8
2-PLIP THE PENNY 76.6
7-I'LL PREY FOR YOU 72.6

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Wednesday, October 29, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-ELUSIVE PLEASURE 71.4
8-SOLO PERFORMANCE 68.6
3-STANDING POSSE 68.1
5-NOBLE COURAGE 64.3

1st time starters - 4, 7

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
7-SPANISH ICE 70.3
2-GRACE GRYDER 65.9
4-FORTY DATES 61.1
1-CHILLIWACK 56.5 (entry)

RACE 3
3-UNUSUAL HEATHER 91.9
5-UNUSUALLY HOT 89.4
6-QUID NON 85.6
2-KAYD KODAUN 76.6
7-EXCITEMENT 76.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
5-I WANT REVENGE 89.4
7-MASSONE 64.2
2-POKER DAVE 59.0
6-HURLEY'S WAY 58.0

1st time starters - 3

RACE 5
5-TRIMARAN 99.1
4-FERNELEY 94.5
6-SARTORIAL 94.5
2-RESTLESS YOUTH 91.3
3-BLACK ASTOR 90.7

RACE 6
6-STUTTGART 72.6
8-L' AZIZA 70.9
3-BLACK EYED LADY 68.1
1-HARD EIGHT 65.9

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 7
2-QUEEN OFTHE CATSLE 105.2
1-AMERICA'S FRIEND 97.1
4-THAT'S HOT 89.4
3-ELETRO NUCLEAR 85.6

RACE 8
1-GREEDY WAY 76.6
9-T J'S DIXIE 76.6
3-CASE STUDY 73.1
7-SAMWISE 73.1
8-PROUD HERITAGE 73.1

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Tuesday, October 28, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, October 27, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1115 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, October 26, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SATURDAY IN THE BREEDERS CUP "CLASSIC" WE HAD THE WINNER RAVEN'S PASS AS OUR TOP HORSE ($29.00 WIN, $15.80 PLACE). TODAYS PICK-6 PAYOUT IS MANDATORY WITH A CARRYOVER OF $66,214.

RACE 1
6-MS TOOMSUBA 84.4
7-MOSCOW RISING 79.6
8-PERFECT HOSTESS 78.0
10-CONTINENTAL DANCER 66.3

RACE 2
5-ORIENTATION HALL 76.0
6-WEEVESCENT 73.7
1-WINNING YIELD 70.3
7-ARABIAN STORM 69.2

1st time starters - 3, 11

RACE 3
1-NATURAL TOUCH 92.6 (entry)
4-TOUR DA BRONX 91.9
5-FADO 91.3
6-DRIVEN BY EXCESS 86.9
3-OUTRAGEOUS LIMIT 86.3

RACE 4
11-VITAL FORCE 74.9
3-NO THINKIN ALLOWED 69.8
8-ELLEPTHEROS 67.5
4-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 62.2

RACE 5
12-TOMMYS LUCK 94.4
14-PACK YOUR BAGS 92.6
4-STORM BRAVE 88.1
6-HONOURAMONGFRIENDS 85.7
3-LUCKY HONEY 85.1

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-THE WHAMMER 80.8
12-FIERY REBEL 73.7
8-DREAM OF KAYLEE 69.2
10-PRINCEANDREW 68.1

1st time starters - 9, 3, 7, 4, 14, 13, 2, 1, 11

RACE 7
4-RHODINE'S KID 91.3
9-MOONLIT HABIT 86.3
2-SURE THING EVA 84.4
13-BRINSON 77.2
10-VICTORY JOE 77.2

RACE 8
5-HIGHLAND TORREE 104.5
6-DAWN BEFORE DAWN 96.5
2-QUISISANA 95.2
9-HIGH RESOLVE 95.2

RACE 9
3-BRIGHT MOON 83.6
4-MISSOOLA 81.4
9-SHEBANG 80.9
8-SONG AND A WAGER 80.3
5-NO KA OI 79.6
12-MS. WONDER WOMAN 79.6

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Saturday, October 25, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-SIXTIES ICON 125.2
7-BIG BOOSTER 110.7
6-ZAPPA 109.3
8-CEDAR MOUNTAIN 109.3

RACE 2
14-MR. NIGHTLINGER 123.8
3-TRUE TO TRADITION 121.5
10-CALIFORNIA FLAG 113.6
5-SALUTE THE COUNT 113.6
2-FLEETING SPIRIT 112.0

RACE 3
8-WELL ARMED 122.3
4-MAST TRACK 115.7
7-ALBERTUS MAXIMUS 114.3
2-SURF CAT 112.9
12-LORD ADMIRAL 112.9

RACE 4
4-GOLDIKOVA 129.3
2-KIP DEVILLE 129.0
5-DAYTONA 123.0
11-WHATSTHESCRIPT 122.3

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
12-BUSHRANGER 122.9
1-MUNNINGS 96.5
4-SQUARE EDDIE 95.8
2-GALLANT SUN 94.5
13-WEST SIDE BERNIE 93.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
12-GRAND ADVENTURE 105.2
10-SKIPADATE 103.8
3-WESTPHALIA 101.0
11-BITTEL ROAD 89.4
7-CORONET OF A BARON 88.8

RACE 7
3-FABULOUS STRIKE 132.1
1-COST OF FREEDOM 131.3
2-STREET BOSS 128.3
4-MIDNIGHT LUTE 128.3

RACE 8
4-SOLDIER OF FORTUNE 137.5
11-EAGLE MOUNTAIN 128.5
10-OUT OF CONTROL 126.8
3-GRAND COUTURIER 126.8
2-RED ROCKS 126.8

RACE 9
8-RAVEN'S PASS 137.4
4-DUKE OF MARMALADE 135.0
9-CURLIN 132.8
5-HENRYTHENAVIGATOR 131.7
10-FAIRBANKS 123.8

RACE 10
12-GEORGIE BOY 114.3
1-DANCING IN SILKS 107.3
11-KOOL COMIC 105.2
6-INTO MISCHIEF 103.1
13-LEONIDES 102.5

RACE 11
3-TRES BORRACHOS 112.9
6-MADEO 102.5
2-MUNY 100.4
10-NOWNOWNOW 94.5
5-MORAL COMPASS 94.5
4-GALLON 94.4
1-DIXIE CHATTER 93.9
11-BLUE EXIT 93.8

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Friday, October 24, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
14-GUNS ON THE TABLE 93.9
3-FIVE STAR THIEF 90.0
10-CAT BRULAY 88.1
12-DARK NOSE 86.9

RACE 2
7-CARRIE WITH A C 89.4
4-SHE'S CHEEKY 86.3
8-LA MANDONNA 85.6
6-SILK THUNDER 83.8

1st time starters - 2 (in U.S.A. fgn.)

RACE 3
5-INDIAN BLESSING 123.8
6-ZAFTIG 123.0
12-VENTURA 117.9
2-INDYANNE 117.9

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-SUGAR MOM 93.8
1-APRIL PRIDE 92.5
10-BEYOND OUR REACH 91.1
12-HEART SHAPED 90.4

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
11-PURSUIT OF GLORY 100.7
10-STARDOM BOUND 95.2
4-SKY DIVA 93.2
8-C. S. SILK 91.9
13-DOREMIFASOLLATIDO 90.2

RACE 6
8-HALFWAY TO HEAVEN 122.4
7-MAURALAKANA 119.3
3-FOREVER TOGETHER 118.6
9-FOLK OPERA 118.6

RACE 7
1-ZENYATTA 126.0
2-HYSTERICALADY 120.1
5-CARRIAGE TRAIL 119.3
6-GINGER PUNCH 119.3

RACE 8
1-BLACK MAMBA 108.6
11-ROSHANI 104.5
8-PASSIFIED 103.1
14-AMERICA'S FRIEND 101.8
13-GOTTA HAVE HER 100.4

RACE 9
6-SIX PACK ABS 101.8
4-HURRY UP AUSTIN 99.1
3-TIME TO GET EVEN 97.8
12-HEWITTS 97.8

1st time starters - 9 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 10
9-CHEROKEE ARTIST 88.8
12-VULCAN 88.1
8-MEDJOOL 88.1
1-ESPORTE DOS REIS 87.5
5-EXUMA 87.5
7-HEADACHE 87.5

1st time starters - 14

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Thursday, October 23, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA -FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-VINTAGE DAVE 65.9
4-KAROLLY 58.5
2-MATCHING WHITES 53.0
3-EL DIABLITO 52.6

1st time starters - 5, 6, 7, 10

RACE 2
4-WHITE ANGEL 64.3
7-AVA D 63.2
1-ZANDA BLUE 62.7
8-UNBRIDLED PENNY 62.2

1st time starters - 9

RACE 3
2-VICE ADMIRAL 94.5
8-VORACIOUS 85.0
6-SATELLITE 80.2
1-MONARCHO POLO 77.0

RACE 4
9-MICHAEL'S NOTES 91.9
5-GOLD STAR STATUS 86.3
11-FRIENDLY HALF 83.2
8-GOT FREE 77.2
1-COMPLEXITY 76.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-MOONTUNE MISSY 57.0 (off slow)
3-POSSE'S PRINCESS 12.3

1st time starters - 10, 8, 2, 1, 6, 5, 9, 7

RACE 6
1-RACE CALLER LUKE 68.1
9-CATALINA FOG 68.1
2-FEISTY SUANCES 65.9
8-IT'S GOTTA BE US 62.2

RACE 7
2-UNUSUAL JANE 86.3
6-SHE FLOATS 82.6
4-SHEZA MANEATER 77.2
5-INSPIRATION WITHIN 76.0

RACE 8
3-WINNINGDANCER 72.0
13-NO WONDER 57.0
5-LU BATON 51.1
14-LOVELY LOLLY 47.4

1st time starters - 9, 4

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Wednesday, October 22, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $99,305.

RACE 1
2-STEPPIN OUT ROSE 88.8
1-MAMA LULA 77.8
6-FLOWER FUSION 76.6
5-NICOLE'S IMAGE 76.0
4-SANGAY 75.2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-SORRY BABY 68.1
7-RUNWAY STARLET 62.7
6-HEY FEATHERS 57.0
3-SLEW OF CANDY 40.7

1st time starters - 2, 4, 1, 8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-CLUE ME IN 57.5 (entry)
7-JUST GO GUSTO 46.9
4-EL TAJIN 42.4
2-ICE BALLET 32.6


1st time starters - 6

RACE 4
7-YOU LIFT ME UP 90.0
5-PALOMA'S FLIGHT 81.4
9-LULLABYTIME 80.8
8-LAUREN C 79.0
1-SOVINE 78.7

RACE 5
9-SIENA GOLD 82.0
4-CONCETTINA 73.7
11-SOORAHGUSKA 73.4
12-SNOW ON CHRISTMAS 68.6
1-ABSOLUTELY SMITTEN 68.1

RACE 6
1-SCIBELLI 96.5
4-CONCERTO'S THUNDER 85.6
9-FIERY TRIPPI 83.2
7-CAJUN GENT 81.4
5-STAR TIME 80.8

1st time starters - 6, 3

RACE 7
9-COMBACK QUEEN 85.0
7-CHRISTIANA'S HEAT 82.6
5-MEAN HEAT 81.4
3-POWEROFVOODOO 79.0

RACE 8
6-QUITE THE MAN 71.6
4-CAUSE 70.3
1-LA MINSTRAL 67.5
3-GO ALL IN 60.6
2-WARREN'S CAT TIME 59.6

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Tuesday, October 21, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, October 20, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1,085 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.


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Sunday, October 19, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-BURNA DETTE 72.0
4-WEAREHAVING FUNYET 66.4
6-FLEW FIRST CLASS 65.4
7-SISTER LUCY 52.1

1st time starters - 2, 8, 5

RACE 2
1-ROADSIDE REST 85.6
4-BIGUM 84.4
5-SAXOPHONE 84.4
6-TWIN TURBO 74.9

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
5-MARK S THE COOLER 84.4
1-EMPIRE HOUSE 79.0
3-WHEN WE MET 63.2 (off slow)

1st time starters - 2, 4, 6

RACE 4
4-SPOILS OF EXCESS 73.7
7-ASCARI 72.3
9-PROTECTOROFALLEVIL 69.8
2- BLACK TUX 65.9

RACE 5
7-CLARENCE BEEKS 88.8
11-SMOOCHER 84.4
6-CEE MISTER B 77.8
12-BRAVE SUN 77.8

RACE 6
6-POCOSIN'S GAME BOY 95.7
5-RECOIL 93.2
7-SWISS SKI 91.9
3-SAVVY AND SMOOTH 89.4
4-SASSOU 89.3

RACE 7
5-ALEX'S WISH 79.0
8-TIME TOSAY GOODBYE 77.8
1-MISS LYDIA 75.4
9-FRANGIPANNI 74.3

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-ALPHA KITTEN 91.3
4-TORO BONITO 83.8
5-TURTLE CREEK BABE 82.0
2-CASINO GOLD 76.6
1-MI CHIAMANO MIMI 76.0

RACE 9
9-SO BEHOLD 64.8
12-SAILBOAT SAM 63.8
4-LAKOTA GOLD 61.6
5-EL SENOR HALO 60.1
2-RICARDO 53.5

1st time starters - 11, 10

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Saturday, October 18, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: FRIDAY OUT OF THE EIGHT RACES 5 TOP HORSES , 2 SECOND HORSES AND 1 THIRD PICK WON. IN THE PICK-6 - 4 TOP HORSES WON, 2 SECOND HORSES WON FOR $1,054.20

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-MA BARKER 54.0
7-PLAZA QUEEN 52.1
8-DIXIE HAWKS 51.6
4-O FIREFLY 51.1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-KISS THE CAT 82.0
2-TRASH MASTER 69.2
4-GRACE GRYDER 59.0
1-MERGE 58.5 (entry)

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-SPANISH BUNNY 53.0
4-I CATHERINE 50.6
1-LUNCH MONEY 37.4
6-ASKQUESTIONSLATER 37.0

1st time starters - 2, 7, 3, 8

RACE 4 (LIVING LEGENDS)
2-TRIBAL CHIEF 105.9
12-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 99.1
1-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 95.8
11-STEADY DEMAND 95.2
6-WAFFI 94.5

RACE 5
4-GRAY BLACK N WHITE 90.0
6-OUTLAW JONES 87.4
5-BALLISTIC HEAT 75.4
1-DEVOTED MAGIC 74.3

RACE 6
1-HOIST THE SAIL 95.2
4-GO FLAGS BRO 90.0
8-INSTANT ACTION 86.9
9-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 84.4
6-TAXI FLEET 83.2

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
5-LOVE APPLE 74.5
1-OCEAN STYLE 68.9
7-G'S HEAVENLY UNION 61.5
3-CORACAO BEIJO 44.4

1st time starters - 9, 4, 6, 10, 8

RACE 8
5-NORTH RODEO 91.9
12-CRIMRA STAR 86.3
14-ONEBADKITTY 80.2 (off Dec. 07)
9-HAVENS LAKE 80.2

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-BACKBACKBACKGONE 91.3
1-DETAILS R SKETCHY 86.3
6-VENTANA 83.8
5-CHARLIE'S MOMENT 81.4

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
11-TOM QUINN 68.6
9-TUDOR BLUE 68.1
5-TEAMWORK 67.5
2-BEAUTEOUS MAXIMUS 57.0

1st time starters - 6, 10, 8, 7, 1

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Friday, October 17, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
6-AQUICKSTING 61.1
4-TIFFANYSPRINGSROAD 56.5
5-MICKEY ROCKS 41.0
3-WALKER RD. 39.2 (off slow)

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-THE USUAL Q. T. 75.4
1-RISE ABOVE 63.2
4-ALL SAINT 60.4
5-ZEPHANIAH 57.7

1st time starters - 3

RACE 3
9-RED NECK GAL 80.8
3-BOLD CLEO 78.4
6-HARMONY CREATOR 74.9
8-JUNGLE GIRL 74.3
7-SWEET SPOT 74.3

RACE 4
4-FEEL FREE TO FLEE 79.0
6-POWEROFVOODOO 72.0
2-WILD FLEECE 70.9
3-SWEET OCTOBER 64.8

RACE 5
5-PEPPERMINT LOUNGE 102.5
1-SYNNIN AND GRINNIN 93.2
4-ZILLA 88.8
2-OVERLY TEMPTING 86.3

RACE 6
4-WARREN'S R READY 68.1
6-RENEES BEAUTY 61.6
1-SAINT'S CROWN 54.5
2-SOLDIER BETTY 54.0

1st time starters - 8

RACE 7
4-FRANKELSTEIN 99.5
2-ANTIQUE AVENUE 94.5
5-DRAFT CHOICE 88.1
3-GINOBILI 86.9

RACE 8
8-A SASSY FUSAICHI 63.8
7-MISS CAPER 50.6
5-PADDLIN MUD 49.7
10-ROCKINANROLLIN 47.4
6-SILENT SMOKE 46.4 (slow start)

1st time starters - 1

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Thursday, October 16, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $73,212

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-SARAH'S MELODY 43.8
6-ARGENTA 43.3
2-DOLLABEERATCOACHES 39.4
3-AQUICKGALE 35.7

RACE 2
2-WARREN'S SCOOTER 91.3
3-PRIME RULER 88.1
1-COMMON TRUST 82.6
5-WINNING TACTICS 77.2

RACE 3
4-KIELBASA 92.5
7-BALLESTERO 84.9
1-HERE COMES BUSTER 81.4
5-OMERTA 80.8

RACE 4
9-KINGDOM COME 92.6
8-MT. ORIENT 91.3
14-GRAY BLACK N WHITE 90.7
1-MASTERLY 89.4
3-SHADOW OF ILLINOIS 88.8

RACE 5
1-RAZOR CUT 57.0
4-OLYMPIC STRIPES 55.0
6-TRUE FREEDOM 50.6
7-KAUAI 42.0

1st time starters - 3, 2

RACE 6
8-LIGHTEN UP RULE 86.9
7-MARQZ MELODY 86.9
2-ITSCHELSEAGIRL 79.6
5-FOREST MISS 74.3

RACE 7
5-SIMPLY RUN 93.2
2-TANZANITE 90.6
9-BRENDOLYN 88.1
6-MINI DO 88.1

RACE 8
2-IN THE DAY 69.2
8-MOTORBOAT 68.6
1-DON'T FORGET MUQ 64.8
5-HEYWHATCHULOOKINGAT 58.0
4-SOMETHING STELLAR 54.5

1st time starters - 3

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Wednesday, October 15, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-BODACAT 76.0
4-COURAGEOUS CAPTAIN 71.4
6-GREATEST 66.5
3-FOLIO 62.5

RACE 2
3-YOU GOT ME ROCKING 101.1
4-PRINCE REXY 99.8
1-VICTORIAN PRINCE 93.9
5-LIGHTINING HIT 83.8

RACE 3
7-GOBBLER'S KNOB 79.6
1-STREET ROYALE 77.4
3-UWANNAPIECEOFTHIS 77.0
2-HIDDEN TRAIL 73.1

RACE 4
7-KSAR GHILANE 92.5
4-EISENHEIM 86.3
3-TENSION MOUNTS 71.6
1-SHEM TOV 71.0

1st time starters - 5

RACE 5
3-BAD BIG AL 91.3
1-AFLEET'S DESIGN 87.5
6-STORMY GAME 84.4
5-INDIANSKI 71.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-MAD FOR CANDY 51.1
9-BEENCAUGHTCHEATING 49.7
6-THELMA ROSE 48.3
3-FLOATING ON AIR 43.8

1st time starters - 13, 8, 12

RACE 7
2-KEWEN 96.5
5-ONE ON THE HOUSE 95.8
7-HEADACHE 91.3
1-FAST AND FURIOUS 86.9
4-MACDUFF 86.3
3-TENT 85.6

RACE 8
10-ORENIATION HALL 80.2
3-FORTUNATE VICTORY 71.7
11-MIDNIGHT CORREDOR 70.3
9-LEGEND OF MY OWN 67.0

1st time starters - 12

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Tuesday, October 14, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - sOME QUESIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1,085 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, October 13, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-RIO ROMEO 39.4
6-HAJA BOY 31.9
9-JUST FOR US 24.4
7- SIDANDFRANK 24.1

1st time starters - 5, 2, 3, 8

RACE 2
4-HUMIDITY 71.0
5-IMPROVISING GAL 66.4
3-KIAMIKA 62.7
6-SHANGHI TANG 62.7

RACE 3
4-IMA OFFENDED 83.8
7-BELLA CASTAGNA 57.0
3-EXAGGERATED RUNNER 53.6
8-DIXIE DOT CHANCE 48.3

RACE 4
2-LADDIES POKER 101.1
4-PARC DES PRINCES 95.2
8-STEVEN'S BEING 87.5
7-PEARL FISHER 86.4

RACE 5
4-CAPT. JOE BLOW 100.4
3-MAKE MINE VODKA 97.1
7-WHEATON HALL 96.5
8-SUNSHINE RIDGE 90.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
8-FIL'S REGENT 62.2
2-ONE VOTE 48.8
3-ECHO WEST 47.0
6-WARREN'S KENZO 36.2

1st time starters - 4, 5, 1

RACE 7
2-SHEZA MANEATER 76.0
8-MORGAN LANE 72.0
3-WARREN'S APPEAL 68.6
6-LOVELY OLIVIA 64.2
1-LATIN CIRCUIT 63.2

RACE 8
6-DELTA STORM 107.3
5-KROGER PARK 101.1
3-HURRY UP AUSTIN 100.3
1-RAILROAD 88.2

RACE 9
8-RICHER GEAR 77.8
3-BEST MUD 74.9
1-BAYNGEN BARTOK 74.3
10-VANALDI 73.7
13-UXMAL 73.7

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Sunday, October 12, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-SODA POP KID 72.8
1-SANDITA 70.5
4-CABLE DANCER 69.2
5-NORCO PAL 59.3

RACE 2
6-NEW EXPORT 99.1
2-THE BIG ONE 94.5
1-BOULE D'OR 93.9
5-WESTERLY MAGIC 93.2

RACE 3
5-MINNOW 65.4
1-CARBELLA 62.2
2-SPELLBINDING 57.0
3-JUDY RULES 55.5

RACE 4
7-WARREN'S DREAMING 72.0
10-IF NOT FOR YOU 72.0
2-HALO'S CLEAN SHEETS 71.4
11-AVA D 66.5

1st time starters -9

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-TURBO CALL 63.8
8-C. C.'S SECRET 62.2
4-JOY DIVISION 61.1
7-BRANQUINO 60.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-WILMA RULES 61.1
3-MARK UP TINY 42.9

1st time starters - 6, 4, 5, 2, 8, 7

RACE 7
4-GLOBAL HUNTER 105.2
10-REBELLION 101.8
2-MR NAPPER TANDY 98.2
1-LANG FIELD 89.4

1st time starters - 8 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
2-CASINO DRIVE 112.2
6-SENSATIONAL SCORE 99.8
5-INFORMED 98.5
4-BY SPOT 90.0

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-BLACKESTOFBEAUTIES 53.1
14-MAD FOR CANDY 51.1
3-JAKES LADY LUCK 50.6

8-SOUTH OF FRANCE 47.4
13-FLOATING ON AIR 42.4

1st time starters - 12, 4, 6, 10

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Saturday, October 11, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR TODAY $62,234.

RACE 1
3-TOUR DA BRONX 85.0
1-GARY'S GOT RHYTHM 82.0
5-THE SUPPLY PROGRAM 76.0
4-BERTIE BOY 73.1

RACE 2
3-ARMSTRONG WON 82.0
2-CHARMVICTOR 79.6
4-JAMIE 76.0
5-SATELLITE 73.7

RACE 3
7-MATTY'S G FORCE 88.8
1-MOONLIT HABIT 87.5
4-MAJ. TROUBLE 80.8
6-ASCARI 75.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
7-LAUNCH THE BULL 70.9
1-HOG'S HOLLOW 45.5
3-DOGGIE BEAR 39.9
1A-BREAKINTHEWEATHER 33.4

1st time starters - 6, 5, 9, 4, 8, 2,

RACE 5
4-NENE 88.1
5-HONORAMONGFRIENDS 80.8
1-ZETTERBERG 77.8
3-HIGH STAKES SILVER 77.2

RACE 6
6-ASHTON GIRL 85.6
1-MEAN HEAT 81.2
8-COOL HALEIGH 80.8
5-ROYAL TAAT 80.2

RACE 7
1-TOO PHAR 75.4
9-PIRATE'S CHARM 65.9
6-REBEL CREEK 64.3
8-HARD WOMAN 63.8

RACE 8
6-TASHA'S MIRACLE 97.8
1-SWEETER STILL 95.2
2-DAWN BEFORE DAWN 93.2
7-MISS SINGHSIX 91.9
5-SOLAR MISS 90.7

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
10-IT'S IN THE FRIDGE 60.1
11-THEGREATCROSBY 58.2
2-JUST GO GUSTO 47.8
3-CACH D FISH 46.4

1st time starters - 4, 5, 12, 8

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Friday, October 10, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
4-WEAR BLUSH 69.2
1-VIKKILEE 60.4
2-POMONA BALL 59.0
3-SINGITA 52.1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-DEB'S MOJO 58.0
1-ALEX B. GOOD 57.5
4-LIZ'S BROOM 47.4
2-JOAN KARDOO 45.1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-GREY CHATELAINE 67.5
7-MONICA C C 57.5

1st time starters - 2, 4, 5, 3, 6,

RACE 4
1-KIZZY'S CHAOS 75.4
5-GO ALL IN 69.2
4-EL SPANIARD 64.8
7-SHELTER ISLAND 55.5
8-LARRYLARRYLARRY 55.1

RACE 5
3-GINOBILI 86.9
5-HIATUS 82.0
2-QUARTER MOON 81.4
4-RIVERGRADE BOY 80.2
6-WILD AND READY 79.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-BOWIE AT SARATOGA 75.4
1-UNCLE JEEP 60.6
4-NASCAR JOHNNY 53.0
5-VINTAGE DAVE 48.2

1st time starters - 8, 9, 7

RACE 7
2-LAVENDER SKY 91.9
3-CHRISTMAS SHIP 90.0
5-OPAL HAZE 88.8
1-ELLE PICKLE 87.5
4-FOREST MELODY 83.8

RACE 8
1-HAPPY PRAYER 69.2
5-MARK OF A PIRATE 60.6
9-BIG WATER 58.0
10-HOLY MYSTERY 55.0

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Thursday, October 09, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: WEDNESDAY WE HAD 5 TOP HORSES WIN OUT OF THE 8 RACES.

RACE 1
6-THREAT 79.6
3-JUDY PATOOTIE 70.3
5-HOLLADAY DIXIE 65.9
4-THANKFULLY 64.8

1st time starters - 1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-DASHWOOD 71.4
3-BRAVE JUSTICE 62.7
1-TAHOE KID 59.6
5-DINNER AT JAKE'S 59.6

RACE 3
7-DITTO THIS 67.0
3-WHITE ANGEL 59.6
6-ELLIE L. 55.5
2-TRUFFLESFROMHEAVEN 51.7

RACE 4
8-ALEX'S WISH 80.8
5-FOUND IN DARK 69.2
6-OUR ANASTACIA 68.6
3-ELLA ENCHANTED 61.1

RACE 5
4-DREWTHEGENTLEMAN 74.3
6-SUMMER SHOOT 67.0
1-CALL TRANSFER 61.1
7-YOUNIQUE CAT 58.5

RACE 6
8-PRIMED AND POISED 70.3
6-QUEEN HOLLY 68.1
9-DANCES WITH TIGERS 67.5
7-TEACHER'S RULE 60.6

RACE 7
5-WIREDFORTWOTWENTY 104.5
3-STORMIN AWAY 99.6 (off Oct. 07)
6-CARRILERO 93.9
4-EASY ON THE EYE 88.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
11-SARAH'S MELODY 56.5
10-SWEETWATERWIND 49.7
4-COCO M 48.3
7-MOON MOMENT 46.4
9-NUSCHKA'S DREAM 41.6

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Wednesday, October 08, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-KILMARTIN HALL 79.0
2-MRS. ROCHA 74.3
4-UDRIGA 68.1
6-BELLY BUTTON DAWN 66.5

RACE 2
4-WILD BUDDY 90.0
6-AUSTIE 89.4
5-CASE STUDY 88.8
1-SEVEN SECRETS 82.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
11-RACE CALLER LUKE 44.6
10-OVERTIME VICTORY 44.1
4-WARREN'S HOTROD 39.6
5-GREYLING EAGLE 35.4
7-TIFFANYSPRINGSROAD35.3

1st time starters - 8

RACE 4
6-OUR ROAD SCHOLAR 75.5
4-TUSCAN PRINCESS 74.9
7-SNOW ON CHRISTMAS 74.3
5-PERFECT CAST 62.2

RACE 5
4-CAJUN CORREDOR 73.1
10-SQUIRE TRELAWNY 68.6
5-BABY GOTHAM 58.5
6-CANONBALL CHARLIE 51.6
8-PRINCE MUMTAZ 51.1

1st time starters - 2

RACE 6
8-UNUSUALLY HOT 93.2
3-SCHILL 83.2
11-DIZZY UP THE GIRL 81.5
1-RARE RIBBON 79.1

RACE 7
3-MEN ONLY 95.2
2-GENTLE ROMEO 94.5 (off Nov. 07)
5-IDAHO JOE 80.8
1A-ALL MAN 78.8

RACE 8
11-BURNT 70.9
8-SECRET O LOVE 70.3
4-RONNE'S DREAM 61.1
5-SCHAGHTICOKE HILL 54.5

1st time starters - 3, 1

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Tuesday, October 07, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1,085 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, October 06, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, October 05, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-CRASH LANDING 84.4
4-KAPTAIN KORDOUGH 78.4
3-MR. INN ZONE 77.8
8-CAPTAIN QUICK 62.2

1st time starters - 5, 6, 2

RACE 2
3-LOCKFORD 87.5
7-CARONA TIME 80.2
6-TIZMET 75.9
1-PEACHY CANYON 73.1

RACE 3
5-BAI AND BAI 84.4
3-SPENDITALLBABY 77.8
1-FAMOUS RUBY 72.0
6-BARBARA'S LOVE 70.9

RACE 4
4-RUSHEN HEAT 88.1
6-DISTANT VICTORY 87.5
3-SPORTS EDITION 69.8
5-CHATEAU SUISSE 66.5
2-WARRENS HIGHROLLER 65.9

RACE 5
9-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 110.0
2-EXCEEDING 103.1
8-VALIANT EFFORT 101.8
10-KOOL COMIC 90.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/6 mile)
6-TEN CHURROS 78.4
9-SAUCEY EVENING 76.0
4-TAMMY'S LUCK 72.0
7-TRASH MASTER 69.2

RACE 7
3-BOLD CHIEFTAIN 118.6
5-PASS THE HEAT 112.2
4-COMOROS 106.6
8-EPIC POWER 104.5

RACE 8
5-TRIBESMAN 101.8
6-TOPPER SHOPPER 100.5
2-LIT'SGOODLOOKNGRAY 99.8
3-HIGH STANDARDS 96.5
7-BRO LO 95.8

RACE 9
11-AMERICA'S FRIEND 102.5
3-LIGHTMYFIREBABY 101.8
13-TUTTA BELLA 89.4
7-BACHELORETTE ONE 87.5

RACE 10
1-ADD HEAT 96.5
5-ROMANCE IS DIANE 94.5
4-MR. CHAIRMAN 89.4
6-TOP EMBLEM 85.0

RACE 11 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
9-STAR REDEEMER 80.8
13-J P JAMMER 80.6
7-TRIUMPHANT FLIGHT 79.6
3-BABS MOOSSA 77.6
10-CONTROL SEEKER 76.4

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Saturday, October 04, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-VICTORY JOE 80.8
3-RICARDO 58.0
6-POET OF CLOTH 57.0
5-CHIMI'S NUGGET 46.4
8-SIDEPOCKET LOU 46.4

1st time starters - 9, 4, 10, 2

RACE 2
5-TALKIN TO MOM ROO 101.8
3-HEWITTS 101.1
1-WITHIN REASON 100.0
4-NOBLE COURT 92.6 (off Aug. 07)

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
5-MASSONE 76.6
9-BLAZING SPIRIT 72.6
6-CHOCOLATE CANDY 70.9
2-VINTAGE DAVE 65.9

RACE 4
5-STORYBOOK 99.8 (off Oct. 07)
4-MOUJANE 97.1
3-RENAGADE RUBY 93.2
1-RANSOM CAPTIVE 90.7

RACE 5
2-SMOOCHER 83.8
7-BRAVE SON 81.4
10-GREEDY WAY 80.2
5-CEE MISTER B 77.8

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
8-PRINCEANDREW 87.5
3-FITZMO 81.4
12-FIREY REBEL 77.2
13-DUBAI RAINBOW 76.6

1st time starters - 1, 4, 7, 5, 14

RACE 7
1-KELADORA 94.5
10-TIZFIZ 89.4
7-MARQZ MELODY 86.9
9-NO KA OI 86.3

RACE 8
9-TENFOLD 93.9
8-RHODINE'S KID 91.3
14-SPOILS OF EXCESS 79.6
6-HIGH INVESTMENT 77.8

RACE 9
8-SILKY SMOOTH 102.3
11-LIGHTMYFIREBABY 99.8
9-ELETRO NUCLEAR 96.5
4-QUEEN OF THE CATSLE 96.5

RACE 10
6-NO THINKIN ALLOWED 72.6
5-UTAHN 72.0
8-ARABIAN STORM 69.2
7-TIGER JOHNNY 67.0

1st time starters - 14, 1

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Friday, October 03, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELCTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER IS $62,119 FOR TODAY

RACE 1
2-HARMONY CREATOR 85.6
6-JUNGLE GIRL 81.4
4-RED NECK GAL 80.8
1-MOOD WINNER 77.2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-SORRY BABY 65.9
1-TRIXANNA 62.7 (entry)
1A-NO WONDER 59.6
5-LU BATON 58.0

1st time starters - 10, 7

RACE 3
10-ICANMAKEITRAIN 97.1
2-CADDYMASTER 90.7
3-BEWITCHING BARTOK 89.4
6-REFINERY 82.6

RACE 4
6-GENTLEMEN'S CROWN 68.1
10-ZANDA BLUE 67.0
5-MYSTIC SEAPORT 59.6
1-OUR STORM 57.5

RACE 5
5-MAROON 102.5
4-RUSH RUSH 93.2
1-HEROI DO BAFRA 92.6
2-UFFIZI 90.0
8-TENT 90.0
7-POINTING STAR 90.0

RACE 6
9-KAFFEINATOR 83.8
3-LAKE MEZA 82.6
4-GAME A. P. 78.4
10-GANDOLF 74.9
7-SOLO PERFORMANCE 74.9

1st time starters - 8

RACE 7
3-EXQUISITE 90.7
4-RESTLESS SOUL 88.1
6-MY LITTLE MARGIE 88.1 (off Aug. 07)
1-FIRE N' BRIMSTONE 87.5

RACE 8
12-PERFECT VINTAGE 72.0
4-UNBRIDLED PENNY 65.4
9-SAINT'S CROWN 60.1
2-STITCHIT 59.0
11-UNUSUALLY BRITE 58.5

1st time starters - 8, 7

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Thursday, October 02, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
8-ONE MORE WEEK 57.2
5-SKIM SCAM 57.0
2-KAROLLY 56.1
9-POKER DAVE 53.0

RACE 2
1-SURPRISES WELCOMED 88.1
6-JOINT AGREEMENT 73.7
3-LOVE TO SIPHON 70.1
2-TUNER 67.3

RACE 3
7-LEMON 86.9
13-ARMY OFFICER 86.9
10-ACE HIGH HAND 84.4
12-GOLD STAR STATUS 83.8

RACE 4
7-WINNING YIELD 72.0
11-TORN TO THE KING 64.3
12-MASSIVE ATTACK 64.0
6-NASTY GENT 63.2

RACE 5
5-MS TOOMSUBA 84.4
10-BELLA DANCER 84.4
1-TIKOLINO 80.2
8-FLASHING FORWARD 78.4

RACE 6
5-UNUSUAL JANE 88.8
7-DOUBLE DIP 85.0
2-INSPIRED STORM 83.8
6-VIXANA 82.6

RACE 7
5-UNUSUAL HEATHER 81.4
2-MEAN HEAT 77.8
3-SONG AND A WAGER 76.6
7-SPINNING YARNS 76.0
12-VEILS DE FLEUR 76.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-GRACE GRYDER 62.7
1-FASTCAR TO FREEDOM 61.6
5-DIXIE HAWKS 49.2
2-PLAZA QUEEN 48.8

1st time starters - 9, 12, 14, 3

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Wednesday, October 01, 2008

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS OR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER IS $138,410 FOR TODAY

RACE 1
2-SOUTH BAY SCOTY 88.8
3-POLISH PETE 88.1
4-STORM BRAVE 83.8
6-YANKEE VISIONARY 80.2

RACE 2
8-SHE'S CHEEKY 87.5
4-L' AZIZA 87.5 (off May 07)
9-STUTTGART 72.6
2-KENYA SKYE 68.1

1st time starters 6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-MAKASI 67.5
13-GOTHAM GLORY 64.8
7-FORTY DATES 59.0
10-STEAM IRON 58.5
9-BY FAR 58.0

RACE 4
11-BILLIE BOB 78.3
1-MISS LYDIA 73.7
13-SIERRA NOSTRA 73.1
5-A SONG AT TWLIGHT 69.2

RACE 5
1-SIMPLY RON 90.7
4-CARRIE WITH A C 90.7
6-TIME TOSAY GOODBYE 82.6
11-NO KA OI 82.0

RACE 6
3-QUISISANA 90.0
1-SHE FLOATS 85.6
2-INSPIRATION WITHIN 85.6
7-SNOW ON CHRISTMAS 80.8

RACE 7
1-NOWNOWNOW 97.8
2-MORAL COMPASS 97.1
5-BAD GUY 95.8
6-GLOBAL HEAT 93.2
10-GABRIEL'S HILL 93.2 (off Sept 07)
12-KRIS SILVER 92.6

RACE 8
1-MIDNIGHT CORREDOR 72.6
6-STANDING POSSE 69.2
3-IN SESSION 67.0
4-ARABIAN CHEETAH 65.4

1st time starters - 2

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