Saturday, April 30, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-LED ADVANTAGE 74.3
4-VERY VINTAGE 60.6 (off Aug. 10)
5-BALLERINA ANGEL 59.0
1-STORMY LINDA 58.5
1A-KISS MY SWISS 57.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 3
7-BAY RUSH 77.8
1-MAGIC SPIRIT 67.0
4-INCISIVE 36.6
6-PARTY RULER 36.2 (off Aug. 10)

1st time starters - 5, 2, 3

RACE 4
2-FARLEY STAR 90.7
4-LADY ALEX 86.9
1-MY MALOOF ROCKER 86.3 (off Aug. 10)
7-RAINBOW LUCK 82.6
3-INITIAL IMPRESSION 79.0

RACE 5
3-KILLER BEAR 94.5
4-ALLEY HONDRO 93.9
8-ATTICUS JACK 91.9
9-RAUSCHENBERG 89.4
6-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 89.4

RACE 6
3-DESPERATE MEASURES 73.7
2-CLOSER TO LOVE 72.6
5-BROWN IS BEIGE 70.9
1-ADVANTAGE PLAYER 70.3
7-NICE MEIDEL 70.3

RACE 7
5-CELTIC CHARMER 81.4
1-SCREAMING DESTINY 70.3
2-JUST IMAGINE 60.6 (off Oct. 10)
7-SARBONNE 57.5
6-R U EXPERIENCED 50.5

1st time starters - 4, 3, 8

RACE 8
6-WELL MONIED 99.8 (off May 10)
2-BLUE MAIDEN 91.3
11-TALKTOOMUCH 91.3
1-BURG BERG 91.3
4-LILLY FA POOTZ 90.7

1st time starters - 9 (in U.S.A. - fgn)

RACE 9
6-A LIL DUMAANI 83.8
9-MY MAN SUMO 76.6
3-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 72.0
5-FLASHMANS PAPERS 71.2
10-BEYOND LOADED 70.9

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Friday, April 29, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-EL GAUCHO 79.0
2-EDGEWICK ROAD 74.3
3-TONZATROUBLE 72.6
1-GOLDEN JET 64.8
5-CAT IN THE FOREST 63.2

RACE 2
7-BOULDER CREEK 73.1
1-MATAMOR 70.9
6-COLOURSOFTHEGLEN 70.3
3-ANGA 67.5
5-FREE BEER 65.4

RACE 3
5-GAME A. P. 64.8
3-DANCING JOY 59.0
8-T. K. FORTYSIX 58.5
7-CHERRYZAPPER 53.5
4-ALEX T 50.6

RACE 4
3-DON TITO 98.4
2-EL MARTILLO 94.5
1-INFORMED 92.6 (off Oct. 10)
4-KELLY LEAK 91.4
5- BET ON VICTOR 88.1

RACE 5
2-A MOMENT IN TIME 80.8
6-CAT TALK 77.2
3-CHECKMARK 76.6
9-MAKING PAPA PROUD 68.6
1-JADE RIVER 68.6

RACE 6
7-CHOCOLATE CALIENTE 68.1
4-SPARROW 63.8
3-ALASKA MISS 63.8 (off Sept. 10)
2-MAGIC MAMA 62.2
5-HAPPYHOOFERTOO 60.6

RACE 7
10-DONTMESROUNDWITJIM 88.8
5-KIM'S LEADING MAN 83.8
3-LUCKY FITZ 83.4
9-DANCE WITH GABLE 82.5
1-TRIBAL NATION 81.4

RACE 8
4-J AND S EXPRESS 47.4
5-QUEENOFCALIFORNIA 41.6
9-JUANA GALLOS 38.6
2-CHK CHK BOOM 37.8 (off July 10)
1-LOVE THAT LIONESS 35.4

1st time starters - 7, 8, 14, 11

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Thursday, April 28, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-MONICA C C 74.9
1-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 70.3
3-POWEROFVOODOO 57.0
4-FEED A FEVER 56.0
2-JANA GAIL 50.6

RACE 2
6-STREAMLINE BABY 82.8
2-CAITIE'S SECRET 74.3 (off Aug. 10)
4-DONNER WASSER 74.3 (off Aug. 10)
5-DISTANT GLOW 70.3
3-UNKNOWN HEAT 68.1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 4
1-LILLY'S PERFECT 72.6
4-WARREN'S PEACOCK 65.4
5-GOOD ACKTRESS 64.3
2-LEMON DROP RIDGE 63.2
6-SECRET OATH 61.6

RACE 5
9-BRITT'S BROTHER 83.1
4-COOK INLET 74.6 (off Dec. 10)
3-SMUG 69.2
10-SPUD SPIVENS 66.4
8-FOREBODING 65.9
6-GREAT RISING STAR 65.9

1st time starters - 1

RACE 6
3-TWO VIOLINS 87.5
2-TORO TRIPPI 82.0
1-JOYFUL SUCCESS 77.8
5-RIBALD 77.8
7-ALIZA'S DREAM 73.7

RACE 7
6-SAHARA SKY 90.7
3-SPECIAL KID 87.0
1-GREAT WARRIOR 85.0
5-CLOUD MAN 79.4
2-PALIO PRINCE 77.0

RACE 8
8-WARREN'S CITY ART 69.2
12-BILA SHAKA 60.9
11-DRAMATIC REWARD 53.5
6-NAPOTE 51.5
1-LUCKYVIC 46.0

1st time starters - 13, 9, 7

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Tuesday, April 26, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people. My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, April 25, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1939 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, April 24, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
2-MILLIE N MARIE 68.6
6-CLUBHOUSE RULES 64.3
5-METER ME GONE 60.6
1-ROULETTE IT ROLL 60.1
7-MISSILETTE 56.0

RACE 3
3-STEVE'S BLUE SKY 68.1
8-SILVER LUNA 55.0
4-MISS RESPLENDERE 46.3
2-WARREN'S RUHLARA 39.9
1-JUNES BLUE MOON (off Sept. 10)

1st time starters - 6, 7

RACE 4
2-CRAGMONT 79.0
5-BRITE DREAMER 63.8
1-CADILLAC COACH 59.0

1st time starters - 4, 7, 6, 3, 8

RACE 5
10-JAX EL 94.4
4-WAKE ME KNOW 87.5
8-WARREN'S GOT GAME 87.5
5-LAURA BEASLEY 84.4 (off Oct. 10)
6-HARD WAY TEN 80.2

RACE 6
9-OBSESS 77.2
1-BRAYDEN BUDDY 75.4
6-PAPA TERRY 74.3
2-NUGGETS PLEASE 72.0 (off Sept. 10)
5-GOLDEN HORIZON 70.9 (off March 10)

RACE 7
5-THE USUAL Q. T. 112.2
6-JERANIMO 107.9
2-HONOUR THE DEPUTY 104.8
1-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 98.4
3-RYEHILL DREAMER 97.8

RACE 8
5-HOUT BAY 95.2
9-ENGLISH ROYAL 94.5
2-DAZZLING DISPLAY 92.6
3-PEDALTOTHEMEDAL 91.3 (off July 10)
4-SPECTACULAR SKY 90.0

RACE 9
8-VIKKILEE 81.4
3-MEADOW LAKE QUEEN 80.9
4-SLEEP TIGHT 80.9
7-QUEEN MARILES 80.2
6-ENTABENI 74.9

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Saturday, April 23, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-KRIS SILVER 107.3
1-AVEROO 104.5
5-J P JAMMER 102.5
2-NO STADIUM 102.1
4-RED ALERT DAY 101.8

RACE 2
5-ULTRA BLEND 93.9
4-LADY RAILRIDER 92.5
7-DANI REESE 87.5
3-EXCELLENT NEWS 86.9
2-WEST RULER 86.3

RACE 3
2-ON MY HONOR 90.7
9-WHAT A RUSH 76.0
10-FULL EFFECT 70.9 (off Aug. 10)
8-MR. SIERRA 62.7
3-MAGICAL INSTINCT 62.2

1st time starters - 5, 1, 6

RACE 4
9-AMAZOMBIE 117.9
2-QUICK ENOUGH 107.3
5-LEAVING NEW YORK 103.8
3-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 102.5
11-VADERTORE 100.4

RACE 5
9-MASTER CHEF 100.4
10-LIBERAL ARTS 91.9
3-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 88.1 (off Aug. 10)
8-WARREN'S KNOCKOUT 83.2
2-RED SCARE 82.6

RACE 6
5-SUBPOENA THE DRESS 82.0
2-GOING FOR A SPIN 69.8
8-MELBISHA 67.8
4-SAFE WORD 66.1
7-QUEENIE MARINI 65.9
6-CARRIE ROSE 65.9

RACE 7
3-HE'S SO STYLISH 83.8
6-NOFTY 78.9
9-CRISPY COREY 72.0
7-CRESTATORRE 67.5 (off Sept. 10)
4-AWESOME INDY 67.0

1st time starters - 2

RACE 8
8-MILES RULES 81.9
3-WARREN'S FLYER 74.4
9-HALO DOLLY 73.1
1-IRENES JACKPOT 68.7
2-FRIGID BRIDGET 68.1

RACE 9
2-CHILOQUIN 88.8
6-OFFLEE WILD BOYS 85.0
3-THIRTYFIRSTSTREET 85.0
1-DRINK AT BUSTER'S 81.9
5-BURNS 78.2

RACE 10
7-CALIFORNIA HEAT 65.9 (off May 10)
2-ALALA 62.0
10-MY BRITE CAROLINE 61.1
4-DOT'S MARK 60.6
1-RUNNING ISABELLA 56.5 (entry)
1A-BEAUTIFUL YEAR 54.0 (entry)

1st time starters - 6, 5, 12, 3

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Friday, April 22, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: THURSDAY OUT OF THE 7 RACES I HANDICAPPED MY TOP PICKS WON 5 OF THE RACES ($7.00, 6.00, 3.80, 3.60, 13.60)

RACE 1
3-QUITE AN HONOUR 67.5
1-MONEY INCLUDED 65.4
5-WARREN'S WAREHOUSE 64.3
2-STAR NAVIGATOR 61.6
4-BRASS PLATE 57.0

RACE 2
4-DANGEROUS ANGEL 63.8
3-NOT TO NOTTY 53.5
6-SLANE CASTLE 50.6 (off Oct. 10)
2-MY JOYCIE 41.6
7-WARREN'S EXTRASILK 41.6

1st time starters - 5, 1

RACE 3
1-AMERICAN STORY 95.2
5-LEA THE PUNISHER 89.4
2-MAKOMA 85.6
3-CRISIS OF SPIRIT 83.8
4-GUMPTION 82.6

RACE 4
6-EASY ON THE EYE 77.8
2-SEVEN SECRETS 77.8
3-JUST HEAT 74.9
5-JACK O'LANTERN 72.6
4-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 69.8

RACE 5
1-STUNNINGLY 82.6 (off Dec. 09)
9-RUSSIAN RIVER 76.5
3-MILLIONDOLLARBILL 70.9
2-ROMAN CHARITY 66.4
5-SEACHI 61.1
8-JACOBITA 61.1

RACE 6
1-CAUSEITHERTZ 82.6
8-LEMOU 80.2
4-SQUAD 79.0
6-EXTRA FIFTY 78.4
11-JOKER FACE 75.2

1st time starters - 7

RACE 7
5-S C SONG GIRL 83.2
3-BAR ROCK OMAMA 83.1
6-SAMBA SCHOOL 80.6
4-LOVE THEWAY YOUARE 80.2
2-TORO BONITO 73.1

RACE 8
6-BLIND MAGIC 71.4
8-TUBA MAN 64.3 (off Sept. 10)
5-ME SALTY 57.0
1-KESSABTSI 56.5
2-BOBBY'S N PARADISE 55.0

1st time starters - 4, 11

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Thursday, April 21, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-REAL ROCKPORT 53.0
5-ZEES CHRIS 48.1
3-WARREN'S HOPEFUL 44.2
6-TRUE BEAUTY 40.5
2-MEAN SARA JEAN 36.6

RACE 2
7-VALKYRIE MISSLE 77.8 (off June 10)
5-B'S LUCKY STRIKE 73.1
3-OMINOUS THOMAS 68.6
1-BULLYBULLYBULLY 65.9 (off May 10)
2-BRONSTAR 62.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 4
1-CANTHAVEHIM 98.4
2-HOT DAMON 91.9
5-DONATO 88.8
6-KATE'S EVENT 87.5
3-KORBAN 84.4

RACE 5
4-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 99.8
3-BUYER'S REMORSE 91.3
2-STACY'S HOPE 90.0
6-STERLING OUTLOOK 88.8
7-ACE OF ACES 88.1

RACE 6
7-MARGARITA SHOT 85.0
1-JUSTICE REIGNS 76.6
6-PURSE LUVA 68.6
4-DON ELIAS M. 66.4
8-BLAME THE JOCKEY 63.2

RACE 7
7-AIN'T NO OTHER 104.3
2-GIG HARBOR 95.7
4-DIAMOND GEEZAH 93.9
3-SINAI 85.6
1-ROBIE THE CAT 80.2

RACE 8
13-DANCING YODELER 64.3
9-CLEARLYALUCKYGUY 59.0
11-THUNDER OF ZION 56.5
5-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 55.0
2-YOU BETTOR BEWARE 51.1

1st time starters - 7, 3, 12, 10, 8, 4

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Wednesday, April 20, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1939 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, April 17, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-EXCLAMATION 90.7
1-LEASE OF LIFE 89.4
4-ACHAK 88.0
5-GALLETA 83.8
3-GALLANT GENT 81.4

RACE 2
3-BELLA ROJA 89.4
2-VAN BRIT 85.0
5-HAMEILDAEME 79.0
6-PRYTANIA 74.9
1-ROLLERSKATES 74.9

RACE 3
4-TOKUBETSU 88.1
5-MEADOW ROAD 88.1
2-JACK REACHER 79.0
3-DUBBER 70.3

1st time starters - 1, 7, 6

RACE 4
4-CAFFINE HIGH 85.1
6-REQUISITION 80.3
7-UNCLE GREG 75.8 (off Nov. 10)
3-BIG BAD BOO 74.9
1-JEFFREY'S GROOVE 71.4

RACE 5
7-NISUS 65.4
8-GIFTED STUDENT 61.6
9-CABO SAN LUCAS 59.6
1-FLAMMABLE BOOM 58.5
5-GREENSPAN 55.5 (off Sept. 10)

1st time starters - 4

RACE 6
6-REALITY RIDE 83.8
5-MAGIC BEAM 76.0
3-ONE NATION 72.6
1-RIGHTFUL IMAGE 70.9
8-PARABLE 66.4

RACE 7
6-FINE AND RARE 70.9
5-NUCLEAR MISSLE 65.4
10-FAITHFUL SECRET 56.0 (off Sept. 10)
8-RINO SONG 35.8
3-HURRICANE HARBOR 27.5 (off Sept. 10)

1st time starters -4, 7, 9, 1, 2

RACE 8
6-SENSATIONAL NEWS 99.0
13-BRACE YOURSELVES 97.0
7-VAUNDELL 95.8
3-EL VINO 94.4
5-PATRIOTIC SOLDIER 89.4 (off Aug. 10)

RACE 9
8-CONCERTO'S THUNDER 83.2
5-MARK OF A WARRIOR 79.6
1-BELO PURSE 79.6
7-STREETS OF HEAVEN 78.4
9-BRADY BLUE EYES 77.0

RACE 10
1-QUINDICI MAN 104.1
3-DAHOUD 97.8
2-HAIMISH HY 97.8
10-JUNIPER PASS 93.2
6-IMPONENTE 90.7
8-CELTIC NEW YEAR 89.4

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Saturday, April 16, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $63,809

RACE 1
4-CHEROKEE HEAVEN 99.8
1-EL SCORPIO 98.3
7-MUNY 96.5 (off Nov. 10)
5-DANCE WITH GABLE 90.7
2-QUIETLY MINE 88.1

RACE 2
1-STRAY CAT 69.8
3-SMOKENOMORE 67.0 (off Sept. 10)
2-IT'S SUPERMAN 64.3
6-CLUE ME IN 62.7
4-STU'S GONE WILD 59.0

RACE 3
3-REGALLY READY 111.4
1-SUPREME SUMMIT 107.0
2-CAMP VICTORY 102.4
5-VICTORY PETE 97.1 (off June 10)
4-GALLANT SON 93.9

RACE 4
1-FREE RANGE 68.1 (off Dec. 10)
2-ARTUYA 55.5

1st time starters - 3, 7, 4, 5, 6

RACE 5
4-MARRYMEONE MORETIME 85.1
3-FREQUENT FAME 77.8
5-SIBERIAN HEART 72.6
2-HOT CITIZEN 71.4
9-LISA LULU 65.9

RACE 6
9-WHOOPSIE 58.5
5-SHE'S ALL YOURS 55.0
10-A GOLDEN JET 41.6
3-GO SOPHIA 37.8
4-LUCKYVIC 37.8

1st time starters - 1, 6, 8, 2

RACE 7
8-CALIFORNIA SOLDIER 96.5
7-VIA VERDE 95.8
3-CARDIFF GIANT 88.8
2-VERY FAIR 84.4
1-BIG WAGS 82.0

RACE 8
1-KAJIWARA 99.1
5-EUROGLIDE 96.5 (off April 10)
2-LUNADA BAY 95.2
3-ITALIAN RULES 95.2
6-BOOTED 87.5

RACE 9
1-COZI ROSIE 103.8
2-MALIBU PIER 98.4
3-CALLE VISTA 93.2
6-TURNING TOP 92.6
4-ANDIANA 90.7

RACE 10
10-EASY ON MY HEART 50.2
7-BENICIA BEAUTY 49.2
6-SWEET CONSOLIDATOR 44.2
2-JADE'S SONG 37.8 (off Oct. 10)
8-SWISSBUDDY 24.1

1st time starters - 1, 3, 9, 4

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Friday, April 15, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-MONTELLANO 82.0
4-CHINESE PRAISE 80.8
2-LUCKARACK 75.4
3-FIRST STRIKE 73.1
1-LIME ROCK REVENGE 56.5

RACE 2
5-SEXY MELODY 63.2
4-WICKED TRIP 55.0
3-DANCING TIGER 51.1
2-BORN TO BREED 30.8
7-GIVEITUPFORTHELADY 27.5

RACE 3
1-TASHZARA 86.9
4-MUTUALLY BENEFIT 80.8
3-LAST STING 72.0
5-SO SHE DANCES 64.8
2-GREAT PASSION 64.3

RACE 4
6-RIVER GLOW 75.4
1-FLASHY TRAVELER 72.6
4-YOU CAN DREAM 72.6
3-FAIRWAY ROAD 70.9
5-CHURCH AVENUE 69.8

RACE 5
8-ONE BAD ROMANCE 62.2
2-TEAM BUILDER 58.5
3-SHE'SAWONTONTOMATO 52.1
1-BLUE GRASS MUSIC 52.0
5-NOVERRE'S VISION 51.6

RACE 6
6-DAVE'S PACEMAKER 92.6
1-MENSA HEAT 91.9
4-WESTERN SMOKE 83.2
3-MAYOR MARV 74.3 (off May 09)
2-NO GRANDE 71.4

RACE 7
1-RUMOR 91.9
3-FORTY PACES 77.8
4-ROSEHILL DEW 76.1 (off Oct 10)
6-UP IN TIME 76.0
5-TERODA 76.0

RACE 8
2-COASTAL CATHY 57.0
3-NIP OF GOLD 56.0
8-GREAT BERNARDINE 52.6
1-WILD CAT LORE 49.7
5-LOUISA L. K. 25.8

1st time starters - 7, 6

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Thursday, April 14, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SUNDAY MY TOP PICKS HAD 5 WINNERS ($6.00, 5.40, 6.20, 7.00, 4.00) AND 1 TOP 1ST TIMER (15.80) OUT OF THE NINE RACES.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
ALL 1ST TIME STARTERS - NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
5-PARK TIME LUCK 86.3
4-ALL THE LOVE 86.3
1-ONEFUNSONOFAGUN 82.6
2-ULTA AWESOME 76.6
3-MIDNIGHT RAGE 62.7

RACE 3
6-MANOFGOLD 76.6
5-MR. SATURDAYNIGHT 73.7
4-ROCK SOLID KING 71.4
3-SKY THRILL 64.3
1-GOLDEN AUGUSTO 61.1

RACE 4
1-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 91.3
6-GET FUNKY 85.0
5-LEANDROS 82.6
2-MAJESTIC DIAMOND 79.6
4-YES IT'S A CAT 75.6

RACE 5
6-DEPTH 65.4
1-DELUXE BUS 62.7
3-FREE FROM MY EX 54.5
4-TRASTEVERE 54.0
5-WON'T STOP DANCIN' 49.2

RACE 6
4-SWIFT BEAUTY 73.9 (off Aug. 10)
10-RINGMISTRESS 67.0
5-CANDYS GIRL 65.4
3-HIGHLY COMPOSED 60.1
8-DUDA TEN 59.0

1st time starters - 11

RACE 7
4-PREAMBLE 99.1
3-UH OH BANGO 96.5
5-ADVICE 93.2
1-LUCKY PRIMO 89.4
2-YANKEE STATION 86.3

RACE 8
7-IMPERATRIZ 63.1
4-MYSTERY BIRD 59.6
3-TIZ O' GOLD 59.6
6-DERBY MEMO 57.0
8-SOCIAL EVENT 42.8

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Wednesday, April 13, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people. My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, April 12, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1939 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, April 10, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-CHAMPAGNE TOPPER 72.6
3-LEYVA MAN 68.6
6-WARREN'S WAREHOUSE 68.6
2-ORBACH 56.1
1-REGAL FEVER 53.0

RACE 2
3-FREE TIME 59.0
5-GUTSHOT STRAIGHT 53.0 (off May 10)
6-CAPTAIN SHAWN D 39.0

1st time starters - 4, 2, 1

RACE 3
5-KAHULA MIST 76.0
1-DEXTERA 70.9
3-OUR BELLINI BIKINI 70.9
6-JUST CALL'ER 58.0

RACE 4
1-THE HUNT IS ON 88.8
3-STATE GATHERING 79.3
7-B'S LUCKY STRIKE 72.6
6-FORWARD COMMITMENT 69.2
4-BOULDER CREEK 68.8

RACE 5
6-TRUENO 75.6
8-FULL STRENGTH 73.1 (off May 10)
7-AFLEET COWBOY 63.2
3-SOPHOMORIC VENTURE 57.5
10-GO GO OLMO 52.1

RACE 6
1-HE'S A DANCE STAR 85.0
8-WARRENS SUMMERGOLD 78.4
5-LE' HEAT 74.3
4-TRIBAL WARRIOR 74.3
2-ITSSULTRYINTHECAPE 72.6

RACE 7
8-WHOLELOTACONGRATS 71.4
1-BRERETON PARK 61.6
4-STU'S GONE WILD 60.6
2-BLINGBOY 57.0 (off Sept. 10)
5-CLASSY LION 51.6

RACE 8
5-QUAIL HILL 85.8
6-MAJOR ART 80.8
2-SURREY STAR 76.8
7-INSCRUTABLE 74.9
1-JAKESAM 73.7

RACE 9
9-TWOATTEN TENATTWO 72.6
8-WARRENS WILD THING 70.9
10-GAELIC GLORY 64.8
7-CUT N' DEAL 59.0
1-EL GRAN MATADOR 56.5

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Saturday, April 09, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $58,125.

RACE 1
5-EL MERITO 93.9 (off Dec. 10)
3-TIZ TRUE 90.6
8-MR. KATZ 88.8
6-JOB BOSS 85.6
2-TIZ WEST 83.8

RACE 2
6-FLIGHTOFALIFETIME 103.8
5-COMPETENT 80.2

1st time starters - 1, 4, 3, 2

RACE 3
3-UNZIP ME 110.7
2-TANDA 110.4
4-IT TIZ 90.7
8-SEPARATE FOREST 90.0
5-SAANNEEN 88.8

RACE 4
6-SETH THE CANDEYMAN 74.3
1A-SEVEN SECRETS 72.6
4-DON ELIAS M. 71.4
3-A CAT NAMED SNIPE 71.4
2-LEMON 70.9

RACE 5
4-CRAGMONT 86.3
8-CELTIC CHARMER 86.3
1-BELLINGHAM 80.8 (off Dec. 10)(entry)
7-JUST METEOR 74.3

1st time starters - 6, 2, 5, 9, 10

RACE 6
1-POSITION A 98.4
8-BLAKE 96.5 (off Feb. 10)
4-OFF THE WALL 95.8
6-GALLATIN'S RUN 93.2
2-NIKKISGOLDENSTEED 86.3

RACE 7
3-NORVSKY 117.8 (off April 10)
6-JERANIMO 112.9
1-CARACORTADO 111.4
7-RUN IT 101.6 (off July 10)
4-BLUE CHAGALL 93.9

RACE 8
4-HOT DAMON 93.9
6-COO CACHOO 93.2
5-FIRST DUDE 91.3
2-ROYAL F J 90.7
8-KEVLAR KID 89.4

RACE 9
7-CAMBINA 99.8
2-WITHGREATPLEASURE 93.1
5-WHISPER LOUISE 87.8
8-WALLSTREETER 86.9
1-BONITA STAR 85.6

RACE 10
4-SILVER MEDALLION 104.5
5-COMMA TO THE TOP 99.1
3-MR. COMMONS 98.4
1-OFFLEE WILD BOYS 95.8
9-ANTHONY'S CROSS 93.2

RACE 11
13-HEY MARIA 60.9
2-SILVER LUNA 58.5
3-RANDOM LUCK 55.0
6-LIMERICK LANE 46.0
14-LILY AMORE 44.2

1st time starters - 9, 10, 4

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Friday, April 08, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-GREEN DOLPHIN 52.6
4-TSUNAMI WARNING 51.6
1-VALOR DA VIDA 39.0 (off May 10)
6-HIGH HILL STAR 28.6
3-HIGH ON THE DERBY 27.2

RACE 2
3-GRIPSHOLM CASTLE 88.8
5-BLUE MAIDEN 87.5
4-SMART STRIKING 86.9
6-MEGASPIEL 86.3
1-FIRST SETTLER 78.4

RACE 3
6-STAIR DANCE M D 64.8
7-KEMPER COUNTY 59.6
4-EVERY EGO 31.9
3-FORWARD APPEAL 27.9

1st time starters - 5, 2, 1

RACE 4
2-LISA COZZENE 79.0
3-THE GREAT ATLANTIC 70.9
8-GOOD FRIDAY GAL 68.2
6-CLUBHOUSE RULES 64.8
5-ELLIE L. 63.8

RACE 5
8-O SHE SO 57.5
2-SHE CAN ROAR 42.9
6-TRUE BEAUTY 39.0
7-AGIRLNAMEDDEVIN 33.0
3-YOUVEGOTTHATRIGHT 21.6

1st time starters - 1, 5

RACE 6
10-ROMEO ROYALE 81.4 (off Aug. 10)
3-CHECKMARK 74.9 (off Dec. 09)
12-TRUENO 74.3
11-RELENTLESS HEAT 73.7
8-FLAMMABLE BOOM 61.6

1st time starters - 5

RACE 7
4-POWER SERIES 99.8 (off Sept. 10)
7-YODELEN DAN 90.7
6-RENEGADE STORM 86.3
3-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 86.3
1-TEAFATILLER 70.3

RACE 8
5-POPULAR CAUSE 61.6
3-DANCING JOY 58.5
7-MEGARIDE 58.0
8-ALL DE VICTORS 56.5
4-ALEX T 47.4
2-BELL BLITZ 47.4

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Thursday, April 07, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
3-CHOCOLATE CALIENTE 69.2
1-LINE ONE 60.6
4-QUEENIE MARINI 60.1
5-LAKE OSCEOLA 55.0
2-SPARROW 47.8

RACE 3
7-SKYRUSH 102.5
2-STONSIDE 96.5
1-UNIVERSALPEACE 95.8
5-ATTICUS JACK 88.1
4-WALTZING WITH BLUE 85.0

RACE 4
7-HONOR AMONG US 73.7
3-MAGIC SPIRIT 67.0
4-PREFERRED MANDATE 65.4
1-DIAMOND TOUCH 48.8
8-REGGIANO 39.9

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
3-TIMES GONE BY 100.4
6-SEBASTIAN FLYTE 97.8
2-IMPONENTE PURSE 94.5
7-ITSNOTJUSTAGAME 93.2 (off Oct. 09)
4-BOGIE 91.9
1-DO IT ALL 91.9

RACE 6
4-HAVENS LAKE 73.7
1-ANN'S SEVEN 68.1
5-APPEALING AFARE 66.7
2-DUBAI MACAU GIRL 61.1
7-MOON STONE MADNESS 60.6

RACE 7
5-BOEHLE 84.4
3-PLEASING SUNRISE 79.7 (off Oct. 10)
4-FULLBRIDLED'S SIS 79.6
7-DESPERATE MEASURES 74.5
1-TIZ A BUD GIRL 69.2

RACE 8
7-BILA SHAKA 67.9
5-DISTANT GLOW 65.9 (off Nov. 10)
8-NANA BEACH 65.4
2-RUNNING ISABELLA 59.5
3-COOKINTHISORTHAT 58.5

1st time starters - 4

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Wednesday, April 06, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people. My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, April 04, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1939 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, April 03, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $115,584.

RACE 1
4-SUBTLE GREEK 61.1
2-NIP OF GOLD 48.8
5-WARREN'S HOPEFUL 48.8
3-DRESSEDTOTHENINES 29.7

1st time starters - 6, 1

RACE 2
3-SKELLYTOWN 87.5
4-GALLANT GENT 79.0
5-KIM'S LEADING MAN 79.0
1-ROYAL IMPORT 77.0
2-BIG WAGS 74.9

RACE 3
6-SCORED 78.4
4-WARREN'S CONCEPT 73.7
1-OBSESS 72.6
3-CARNIVORE 69.2
7-PAPA TERRY 68.1

RACE 4
1-LADY ALEX 83.2
4-ASCOT'S HIGHFLYER 77.0
6-DIVINE LEGACY 76.0
3-BELLINI BLISS 72.6
7-DAVE'S REVENGE 70.3

RACE 5
3-DANCING AT DARK 81.4
7-RUNAWAY WILDCAT 80.2
2-EL GAUCHO 79.6
5-TONZATROUBLE 73.1
8-CALL ME LATER 72.6

RACE 6
5-SCREAMING REGAL 67.0
8-WARREN'S LADY 63.8
9-MY BRITE CAROLINE 63.2
14-SWISS CHARM 62.7

1st time starters - 2, 10, 3, 13, 6, 4

RACE 7
3-WILBURN 94.8
8-CHILOQUIN 93.2
6-GREAT WARRIOR 86.3
4-RED SHARP HUMOR 83.8
1-UNCLE SAM 83.2

RACE 8
7-CROWN OF THORNS 117.2 (off Oct. 10)
5-CAPTAIN CHEROKEE 109.3
2-AMAZOMBIE 107.9
9-VENTANA 99.1
6-M ONE RIFLE 97.8 (off July 10)

RACE 9
6-WHISKERS AND RYE 63.2
4-SILVER LUNA 59.6
2-A GOLDEN JET 59.6
11-BELLA GIORNATTA 46.9 (off Oct. 10)
7-WARREN'S SALLY 41.1

1st time starters - 5

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Saturday, April 02, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-CATO MAJOR 75.4
4-SHE'S VERY RARE 72.6
1-TRIPPED THE LIMIT 67.0
6-ZIPPEN E 62.7
7-TOO PINK 56.5

RACE 2
4-DAZZLING DISPLAY 84.4 (off July 10)
3-JAREDELLA 71.4
6-TIME COUNTS 58.5

1st time starters - 1, 5, 2

RACE 3
3-DONTMESROUNDWITJIM 87.5
1-ABSOLUTLYPOSITIVLY 83.8
2-BURNS 72.6
7-EXCELLING 65.9
4-GOLDEN AUGUSTO 64.6

RACE 4
1-BROKEN DREAMS 98.6
5-GILDED GEM 92.6
3-MOTHER RUTH 90.7
4-SUBSIDIZED 86.9
6-SILVER SWALLOW 85.0

RACE 5
9-VISUAL INTENSITY 77.8
7-A MOMENT IN TIME 70.9
1A-TRIBAL NATION 69.8
6-CANTONA 68.1
10-CAT TALK 63.8

RACE 6
1-TORO TRIPPI 93.2
4-FIVE STAR FOTUNE 90.0
7-FLASHY GREEN 80.2
5-JOYFUL SUCCESS 73.7 (off Aug. 10)
3-MY JOHNNY CASH 66.4

RACE 7
4-BELLA ROJA 85.0
9-DISH THE DIRT 80.8 (off Dec. 10)
11-YOU CAN DREAM 76.8
10-QUEEN MARILES 75.4
3-ANGEL'S SHARE 73.7

RACE 8
3-HIATUS 79.6
2-ANGA 68.1
6-SKIMMING SKIPPER 68.1
5-PEN AND SWORD 67.0 (off Jan. 10)
4-ZULU KING 60.1
7-FREE BEER 60.1

RACE 9
8-PICTURE PERFECT 97.1
7-SNEAK PREVIEW 92.5
6-SEPARATE FOREST 88.8
4-WEST RULER 88.8
3-GOOD VIBRATION 82.6

RACE 10
2-CABO SAN LUCAS 64.8
4-DANCING YODLER 62.2
7-ME SALTY 60.1
6-ROCKIN HARBOR 56.5
1-DA MARSHALL 64.8

1st time starters - 9, 5, 3

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Friday, April 01, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $73,940.

RACE 1
1-BEAUTIFUL SUNDAY 77.2
3-SO SHE DANCES 74.9
4-CHATTEL HOUSE 65.8 (off Aug. 10)
2-WHISPERS OF WAR 60.9
6-GRIBBLE'S GAMBLE 55.5

1st time starters - 7

RACE 2
1-HEIDI MARIA 77.8
2-WORKING AT NIGHT 75.6
3-SEEKITANA 71.4
4-LOVE THEWAY YOUARE 70.9
6-TIZZA TRICK 70.9

RACE 3
8-KING LEDLEY 73.1
2-COLOURSOFTHEGLEN 72.6
1-FANDINO 72.0
7-WILLYCONKER 71.4
6-JEFFREY'S GROOVE 70.9

RACE 4
6-GO SOPHIA 55.5
3-JUDY'S MY ANGEL 52.1
4-WARREN'S CITY ART 51.6
7-DRAMATIC REWARD 48.8
5-TRIBAL MISTRESS 39.9

1st time starters - 1, 2

RACE 5
3-RIDGE DANCE 92.6
5-BOOYAH 91.9
2-RED ALERT DAY 90.0
7-CONTROL SEEKER 88.1
8-LEASE OF LIFE 88.1
4-INTERPATATION 88.1

RACE 6
10-EQUIPARADO 91.3 (off Dec. 10)
2-SELF INSURED 90.0
8-CAPT. SPARROW 85.0
3-CAPTURE THE CALL 80.2
9-SARAVAS WILD AGAIN 78.4
RACE 7
5-DUBAWI HEIGHTS 87.5
6-WARREN'S GOT GAME 85.6
4-PARTY WITH BRANDO 82.6
1-COME TOUCH THE SUN 74.6
3-SUMMER GAMES 74.3

RACE 8
10-CLOCKER MOMENT 68.6
11-LEAD BLOCKER 68.1
4-THE FULL LAVINO 66.4
6-TSUNAMI WARNING 58.5
7-LITTLE TRAVIS 51.1

1st time starters - 3

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