Saturday, May 31, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER $356,430 FOR SATURDAY

RACE 1
3-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 69.2
6-CALIFORNIA DEMON 66.5
1-BACKSTROKE 65.4
7-AFTERNOON GOLD 49.5

RACE 2
3-SILENT KITTEN 93.8
2-STARRY PURSUIT 93.2
1-MINI DO 88.1
5-THUNDER AND ICE 77.8

RACE 3
6-SECRET SHUTTLE 101.8
3-WITHIN REASON 99.1
5-TALL TEXAN 98.5
4-TAXI FLEET 94.5 (off July 07)

RACE 4
6-FOREIGN 82.0
10-COURTLY COUTURE 72.6
5-QUICK COMMANDER 68.6
4-SHAKE IT OFF 65.9
2-ASTURIAS 65.9

RACE 5
6-ZENYATTA 112.2
4-ROMANCE IS DIANE 103.8
2-FOXYSOX 99.1
8-SANTA TERESITA 98.5

RACE 6
8-SCOUT ABOUT 77.8
3-SLEEPIN IN 67.8
2-SAINT'S CROWN 58.0 (off Nov. 06)
4-WESTERN ENGAGEMENT 57.5

1st time starters - 6, 5, 7

RACE 7
11-PINDARIC 83.8
7-WHATSITGONNATAKE 82.0 (off Nov. 07)
3-MAMA LULA 81.4
4-DINE AT NINE 80.2

RACE 8
2-TIAGO 124.5
1-HEATSEEKER 123.8
4-SURF CAT 111.5
5-ALBERTUS MAXIMUS 104.5

RAE 9
13-COMMON TRUST 92.6
11-INDIAN WEAVER 88.8
2-FOREST DANZ 88.1
1-GRITS 86.9
3-WORLD WAR 86.3
9-CLARENCE BEEKS 85.0 (off June 07)

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Friday, May 30, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER $69, 835 FOR FRIDAY

RACE 1
8-BEWITCHING BARTOK 82.0
2-CITY STORMER 78.4
1-SI CHIMI 77.2
7-CELTIC SWORD 71.4

RACE 2
2-SQUEEZE ME TIGHT 85.0
5-CHRISTIANA'S HEAT 84.4
3-O'PERFECT ONE 83.2
4-RUNFORTHEMONEYBABY 78.8

RACE 3
5-APPLAUD DUBAI 73.2
1-VEGAS RUNNER 71.6
7-ANGEL'S REWARD 67.0
6-WARREN'S GOLD 65.9
8-CATCH CANDY 65.4

RACE 4
3-TIZ BALLADO 57.5
6-MY SISTER LAUREEN 55.0
12-MSTY ALY 47.4
11-HERE IS DJ'S BUDDY 46.0

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 5
3-COST OF FREEDOM 104.5
4-VALIANT EFFORT 99.8
7-CHEROKEE TEAR 97.8
1-WINK AT THE GIRLS 95.2

RACE 6
8-AWESOME GRAF 76.0
3-STOMP DANCE 65.4
11-DYNAQUAKE 63.8
7-FRIENDLY HALF 59.0

1st time starters - 10, 5

RACE 7
3-PRIZE OF THE CITY 75.4
4-OUTLAW JAMES 74.9
6-TRIBAL MISCHIEF 73.3
1-DE CAR GUY 73.1
2-KBELLO 68.1

RACE 8
9-SPRING CATCH 65.4
5-ABSOLUTELY SMITTEN 64.3
3-CINDERELLA ELLA 61.1
13-PURE REFINEMENT 59.0
6-ALOTTA WILD 56.5

1st time starters - 12, 10, 7, 4

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Thursday, May 29, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-SAINT SPOT 83.1
2-KHUN DAN 72.0
6-SINCITY GLOW 67.5
5-THREE PARK NIGHT 67.0
4-PROBATION PLEASE 66.5

RACE 2
4-SILVER Z 91.9
5-DOWN 85.6
1-ZILLA 85.0
2-P. S. U. GRAD 79.0

RACE 3
7-LARDOG 74.9
8-WARREN'S FLYIN HIGH 71.4
4-BYJOHN 70.9
1-CORONAS AT DELMAR 68.6
3-SANDITA 68.6

RACE 4
7-EARLFROMOKALAHOMA 68.6
4-CARSON'S COPPER 67.0 (off Sept. 07)
9-DUNLAP 60.6
3-RICKY EL CORREDOR 60.1

RACE 5
3-MARK SET GO 83.2
6-BYE BYE LADIES 82.0
9-SWEET DEE'S 76.6
4-ANGELETTA 76.0
7-BOOTLEG ANNIE 76.0

RACE 6
3-RUSSIAN LIQUOR 75.5
4-ADHERE 72.6
2-CARMENS EXCESS 69.8
8-HIGH INVESTMENT 68.6

1st time starters - 9, 7, 6, 5

RACE 7
2-GINGER POP 88.1
8-SNOW DELICIOUS 86.3
9-ACCOPELA CHOIR 85.8
3-KAZAMIRA 82.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
11-MALUSITA 56.0
4-STEAM IRON 54.0
3-YASMIN'S SONGH 34.2
1-ZAINA 29.7 (off slow)
5-CAN CAN GIRL 28.2 (bumped)

1st time starters - 12, 8, 10, 2, 7, 6

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Wednesday, May 28, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

Iwish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, May 27, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened SIX times that I know of in over 965 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, May 26, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
8-SCRUMPY 102.5
5-RUDEAMEANIE 99.1
6-HURRY UP AUSTIN 92.5
2-PUT IT IN WRITING 90.8

RACE 2
5-EXCESS TEMPTATIONS 89.4
7-WILBURS MR. ED 86.3
6-FAMILIAR STRANGER 80.8
4-AGGRESSIVE 80.8

RACE 3
1-DIAMOND DIVA 110.0
3-PRECIOUS KITTEN 105.9
2-LAVENDER SKY 105.9
4-RUTHERIENNE 103.8

RACE 4
6-MOSTACOLLI MORT 95.8
3-LONELY HIGHWAY 90.0
1-SILVER MAN CAN 86.3
5-A GALLANT DISCOVER 85.6

RACE 5
6-CONCERTO'S THUNDER 93.9
1-MORE HUMOR 75.4
9-BLACK WOLF 60.6

1st time starters - 3, 5, 2, 8, 7, 4

RACE 6
5-ALL MONEY NO LOVE 90.0
7-BEAU SMOKE 88.8
15-SEVEN POINT ONE 85.0
2-TRIBAL JUSTICE 84.4
14-WHATWILLBEWILLBE 84.4


RACE 7
1-CAMBRIDGE BLUE 87.6
10-CATASTAIRE 80.8
8-RUMBA ALONG 80.2
7-CAVANAL 76.6
5-LAKE MEZA 76.0

RACE 8
9-TOP EMBLEM 97.8
6-TANGLED TANGO 95.8
7-CHESTNUT TOUCH 92.6
3-STEVEN'S BEING 91.9
10-GREGORIAN BAY 91.3

RACE 9
8-DAYTONA 120.1
3-EVER A FRIEND 115.0
7-HYPERBARIC 112.9
2-MAST TRACK 106.1
6-THOUSAND WORDS 105.9

RACE 10
10-TURKISH VICTORY 82.6
13-ORIENTATION HALL 76.6
6-VICTORIO 71.4
4-ELUSIVE DESTINY 67.0
8-ISLE OF JAPAN 58.0

1st time starters - 3, 2

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Sunday, May 25, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER $117,113 FOR SUNDAY

RACE 1
1-GRANDPA ROY 84.4
2-PLAN FOR FUN 76.0
4-SPRIGGZEE 75.4
8-CEE MISTER B 74.3

RACE 2
6-WILD BUDDY 91.3
1-MINISTER BLAIR 91.3
8-ANGUS 88.2
7-CATECLIPSE 86.9

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-BACKBACKBACKGONE 91.9
6-JACK FLASH 79.0
3-FASSNACHT 61.1

1st time starters or 2 f. races - 2, 4, 1, 1A

RACE 4
9-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 62.7
5-ARTISTRYANDRHYTHM 57.5
10-WENDYTHETHIEF 55.5

1st time starters - 3, 7, 8, 6, 4, 2, 1

RACE 5
7-DEMON INSIDE 95.8
11-LOST PARADISE 88.1
1-ONLY HIM 80.8
10-LARDOG 80.2
6-OLDTOPHATANDTAILS 79.6

RACE 6
9-MAJOR SMOKE 83.2
10-VICTORY JOE 77.8
6-EXPRESS RAIL 70.9
1A-UNUSUAL JUSTIN 69.8 (entry)

1st time starters - 2, 7

RACE 7
5-DANCING IN SILKS 113.6
4-SMART HIT 99.8
9-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 91.9
2-CAPTAIN SACTO 89.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-CALL ALY 83.8
1-ATKA 79.6
5-TRIFECTA KING 76.0
3-UPPER MANHATTAN 73.1

1st time starters or 2 f. races - 8, 2, 4

RACE 9
12-ATHENRY 68.1
3-COLD PRINCE 62.7
4-SODA POP KID 61.1
10-ARABIAN STORM 59.6
13-LOFTY WISHES 59.6

1st time starters - 6, 5

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Saturday, May 24, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-WORKING MAN BLUES 88.2
4-ONE ONLY 86.4
1-CALL TRANSFER 78.9
2-FANTASY FREE 77.0

RACE 2
2-MADEO 101.8
1-EXUMA 95.2
5-BINGHAM 80.2
6-HARLENE 77.2

RACE 3
7-RANSOM CAPTIVE 98.8
4-LEMONETTE 95.2
2-LE CIRQUE 89.4
1-ROLLERSKATES 78.4

RACE 4
13-CADDYMASTER 81.4
12-SETH THE CANDYMAN 78.4
10-MAMMOTH POWER 74.9
7-CANDY'S BRO 69.8

RACE 5
9-VIXANA 88.1
8-SHE'S CHEEKY 80.2
6-INDIAN WAY 78.4
1-FORD GALLOP 71.4

1st time starters - 2, 4, 11, 5

RACE 6
8-SYNNIN AND GRINNIN 89.4
4-THEMIS VALENTINE 79.0
6-CHICKS RULE 73.1
9-DON'T BLINK TWICE 67.5 (off June 07)

RACE 7
10-WAVELAND AVENUE 91.9
1-DAKOTA PHONE 90.7
7-TOTE'S HUMDINGER 88.2
3-KSAR GHILANE 80.2

RACE 8
3-EVA BEAVER 91.9
5-QUEEN OFTHE CATSLE 90.7
6-LOCHINVAR'S GOLD 86.3
1-CHRISTIANA'S HEAT 83.8 (entry)
2-SUPPOSITION 83.0 (off Nov. 07)

RACE 9
4-GROOVY LIGHTNING 81.9
9-DANA SISSTAR 72.6
2-HUMIDITY 69.8
14-BONDI BABE 58.5

1st time starters - 16, 5, 3, 7, 1

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Friday, May 23, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1

1-STRESS FREE 74.3
6-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 66.7
4-HAPPY CELYNA 65.4
2-KENTUCKY WALTZ 62.2

RACE 2
7-MOST DECORATED 66.4
6-CADEAUX DU MONDE 65.4
5-FAMOUS TOUCH 64.8
2-MASSIVE ATTACK 57.5

RACE 3
9-MIKEY BONES 64.3
2-QUEENOFTHEBRAHMS 63.2
7-TOTALLY PHAT 62.7
8-HELMSGOLD 61.6

RACE 4
3-JUST LIKE HEAVEN 72.0
5-PERFECT CAST 64.8
12-PERFECT HONEY 61.1
1-WARREN'S KISS 55.5 (entry)

1st time starters - 1A, 2 (entry), 2B, 11

RACE 5
4-SHERRY'S HIGH 79.6
2-TOO PHAR 76.0
3-AWESOME EMPRESS 75.4
1-FLAMINGO PRINCESS 73.7

RACE 6
6-STAG ON THE RUN 74.3
11-DR. J J 68.1
9-TEMPTING TREASURES 64.8
7-HANDSOME THOMAS 49.2
5-HASTY COURT 49.2

1st time strters - 3, 1, 2,12

RACE 7
4-SOUTH COAST 93.2
8-BRIAN THE BOLD 92.6
2-MR. CHAIRMAN 90.7
6-COMOROS 84.4

RACE 8
7-SCOTTY JONES 74.9
5-BODACAT 70.9
4-MAJ. TROUBLE 62.2
2-PRINCE OF DARKNESS 58.5

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Thursday, May 22, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER $93,577 FOR THURSDAY

RACE 1
6-SIBERZAR 76.6
4-TAFFY BOY 70.9
5-PERFECT LORE 70.9
3-FRONT RUNNER 70.3

RACE 2
3-SHEZA MANEATER 70.9
5-WARREN'S GRANDSLAM 61.1
4-SPEED PASSPORT 58.5 (off slow)
1-DUMAANI CAME HOME 53.5

RACE 3
5-BRIGHT MOON 80.8
2-EXCLUSIVE DANIELLE 80.2
3-SPORTS EDITION 79.6
1-NOOTKA ISLAND 76.6

RACE 4
7-STING'N INTHE RAIN 81.4
8-KILMARTIN HALL 76.0
3-STARSTRUCK KRISTEN 63.2
6-WARREN'SGOLDENGIRL 61.1

RACE 5
7-ORNAMENTAL TORCH 71.4
8-THREAT 65.9
4-MIRROR POND 65.4
6-STYLIN DEPUTY 65.4

1st time starters - 2, 1, 11

RACE 6
7-HE'S THE RAGE 91.3
3-ON OVERDRIVE 85.6
1-HELD UP 82.6
2-COUNT ORANGE 82.6

RACE 7
2-WICKEDNWACKYINGRID 84.4
5-MASTERFUL MISS 80.8
1-REMEMBER SEATTLE 73.4
3-JODY'S INCLUDED 70.9
4-DAJOLIE 53.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
5-SEISMOMETER 79.0
4-TH FINAL ROAR 53.0

1st time starters - 6, 7, 1, 3, 8, 2

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Wednesday, May 21, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
7-LISTISIMO 51.1
5-WARREN'S WILD ONE 42.0
1-SEATTLE SWEETIE 35.0 (entry)
2-YASMIN'S SONGH 27.2

1st time starters - 4, 1A, 6, 3

RACE 2
4-QUEEN HOLLY 72.6
2-DANCES WITH TIGERS 69.2
6-MY CEE VEE 63.2
5-BEULAH LAND 59.7

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
2-SEVEN LUCKY J'S 35.8
6-AQUICKSTING 33.0

1st time starters - 3, 1, 4, 8, 5, 7

RACE 4
2-WARREN'S ADVENTURE 78.4
3-BEYLA 78.4
9-ASIAN EYES 76.6 (off Aug. 07)
4-MISSING TREASURE 73.7

RACE 5
1A-SILVER SWALLOW 90.7 (entry)
7-TWO TIMES WON 90.0
6-ISLAND HOP 79.1
1-SANGAY 78.8 (entry)
8-FIRST TAKE 77.2

RACE 6
5-JUNE MY LOVE 77.8
7-BELLEACTON 64.3
10-ISABELLA'S CROWN 63.8
1-WEAREHAVING FUNYET 58.0
6-ANOINTED 58.0

RACE 7
5-SAILOR'S SISTER 87.5
4-SILK THUNDER 82.6
2-CASINO KAY 79.0
1-PUFF MADDIE 76.0

RACE 8
8-JUDGE GALLIVAN 82.0
4-TOLNAI 79.0
6-NORWAY HOUSE 79.0
10-COURTLY JAZZ 76.0

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Tuesday, May 20, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race
.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

Iwish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, May 19, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horses name-This has happened SIX times that I know of in over 955 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, May 18, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER $135,297 FOR SUNDAY

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
4-GRANITE 62.2
3-FIL'S REGENT 61.6
6-AMBASSY 60.1
5-GOT ALOT GOING 52.6

1st time starters - 2

RACE 2
4-IN DADDY'S HONOR 78.4
8-BEAU CHANT 76.5
7-ALMACITA 74.9
2-SWEET ROSEMAN 60.6
1-CATCH CANDY 60.6

RACE 3
5-MAGNIFICIENCE 125.3 (off April 07)
1-RENAGADE RUBY 101.8
4-LITTLE BOSS CHICK 87.5 (off Nov. 07)
3-COTTON BAY 85.6 (off Aug. 07)
2-STEELIN' 76.6

RACE 4
2-SMOOCH 74.3
8-PERFECT RHYME 70.3
4-O BEE NAKI 70.3
3-SNEAKY JACK 69.8
6-BOLD CLEO 68.6

RACE 5
1-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 93.2
4-MAN TO MAN 89.4
7-CINDER CONE 89.4
2-CADILLAC 86.9 (off slow)
3-PROPAGANDA 86.3

RACE 6
5-STETTLER 64.3
6-TEXAS DOLLY 63.8
11-PURE REFINEMENT 58.3
3-WARM 'N TOASTY 56.5
12-VICKI'S MANDATE 56.0

1st time starters - 2, 4, 8, 9

RACE 7
1-NO KA OI 93.2
5-EXQUISITE BEAUTY 84.4
7-ANN'S PLAN 83.3
3-THE KING'S LASS 82.0

RACE 8
1-TWO STEP SALSA 96.0
4-DIXIE CHATTER 90.7 (off Sept. 07)
6-WIND'S LEGACY 88.8 (off Dec. 07)
3-SALUTE THE SARGE 87.5

RACE 9
3-CASSABLANCA 74.3
8-DIXIELAND CLASSIC 72.6
1A-FOUR PAWS 68.1 (entry)
6-WHITE ANGEL 64.3 (off slow - off Nov. 07)
7-SPLENDID KISS 62.2

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Saturday, May 17, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK & PREAKNESS HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PIMLICO - RACE 12 - THE PREAKNESS STAKES -

7-BIG BROWN 127.51
12-GAYEGO 115.0
11-GIANT MOON 102.5
6-RACECAR RHAPSODY 101.8
2-TRES BORRACHOS 101.1
13-HEY BYRN 101.1
10-RILEY TUCKER 100.5
8-KENTUCKY BEAR 99.1
4-YANKEE BRAVO 97.1
3-ICABAD CRANE 97.1
9-STEVIL 95.8
1-MACHO AGAIN 91.9

HOLLYWOOD PARK - ENTIRE CARD

RACE 1
4-HEMET 98.5
8-CORVINUS 84.4
7-CITY STORMER 80.8
3-GO ON TILT 77.8

RACE 2
2-TIZ WEST 92.6
4-INDIAN SUN 90.0
3-POLONIUS 89.4
1-EZ DREAMER 88.1

RACE 3
9-BIG RED TATE 76.6
13-RINGMASTER 69.2
5-SYNDICATOR 65.4
8-HOLY MYSTERY 59.0

RACE 4
6-SUPAH BLITZ 106.6
4-DIXIE MEISTER 100.5
5-FREESGOOD 99.1
2-SOUL CITY SLEW 97.1

RACE 5
6-DEAREST TRICKSKI 106.6
7-ASHLEY'S KITTY 97.8 (off Dec. 07)
4-OVERLY TEMPTING 91.3
3-SILKY SMOOTH 91.3

RACE 6
12-HOLLADAY DIXIE 70.9
6-ENCHANTING MOMENT 67.9
1-RISK ADDICTION 65.9
4-MISSION VIEJO HALO 64.7 (off June 07)

1st time starters - 8, 10, 9, 5, 11, 3

RACE 7
8-LIT'SGOODLOOKNGRAY 90.0
11-WARREN'S SCOOTER 89.4
1-AUSTIE 88.8
3-PUBLIC IMAGE 87.5
10-QUICK ENOUGH 86.9
Note: Watch # 7-SO BEWARNED 75.5 (off July 07 - very good works)

RACE 8
12-DIAMOND DAVE 93.9
4-IRISH TY 93.9
14-TRAIL MIX 93.2
5-PREACHER BROWN 92.6

RACE 9
5-ACE HIGH HAND 86.9 (off June 07)
3-STREET ROYALE 72.0
7-PHANTOM WILDCAT 67.0
1-QUIET WARRIOR 53.0

1st time starters - 4, 8, 2

RACE 10
10-HAVENS LAKE 79.1
4-CONCETTINA 76.2
11-LOVE HAPPENS 75.5
8-LOVE SPECIAL 71.4

RACE 11
7-RHODINE'S KID 86.9
13-SEA KRIS 69.2
11-THROW DOWN BOY 63.2
6-MCARTHUR 62.7

1st time starters - 1





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Friday, May 16, 2008

 

PIMLICO - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SPECIAL DAILY DOUBLE -

SPECIAL DAILY DOUBLE FROM PIMLICO - FRIDAY - RACE 10 (PIMLICO SPECIAL , GR1) TO SATURDAY RACE 12 (THE PREAKNESS STAKES, GR1)

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

FRIDAY - RACE 10 - PIMLICO SPECIAL

2-GOTTCHA GOLD 118.6
4-A. P. ARROW 117.9
7-GRASSHOPPER 115.0
9-TEMPORARY SAINT 110.0
8-SIR WHIMSEY 108.0
6-WANDERIN BOY 108.0
1-RYAN'S FOR REAL 102.5
3-STUDENT COUNCIL 100.5
5-XCHANGER 92.6

SATURDAY - RACE 12 - THE PREAKNESS STAKES

7-BIG BROWN 127.5
12-GAYEGO 115.0
5-BEHINDATTHEBAR 112.2
11-GIANT MOON 102.5
6-RACECAR RHAPSODY 101.8
2-TRES BORRACHOS 101.1
13-HEY BYRN 101.1
10-RILEY TUCKER 100.5
8-KENTUCKY BEAR 99.1
4-YANKEE BRAVO 97.1
3-ICABAD CRANE 97.1
9-STEVIL 95.8
1-MACHO AGAIN 91.9

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HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-MATTY'S G FORCE 87.5
5-ROUGH IDEA 72.6
1-BUZZIN MON 69.8
6-LEFT UNSAID 69.2

RACE 2
7-QUASIMODO 94.5
2-QUEST VENTURE 93.9
3-WALTZ TIME 86.3
6-ONE ON THE HOUSE 82.0

RACE 3
4-LA MANDONNA 63.2
1-TALKING TO DEVON 62.2
12-DOWNTOWN LOVER 61.6
2-INAHEARTBEAT 59.6
6-TOPPER'S SMILING 59.0

RACE 4
6-INSPIRATION WITHIN 80.2
8-KING CITY KITTY 74.9
3-MALABAR STAR 73.1
7-NO CREAM OR SUGAR 68.1

RACE 5
7-ZONING IN 96.5
5-DON'T YA LOVETT 96.5
6-BESTDRESSED 95.2
2-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 94.5
1-ONE UNION 93.9

RACE 6
2-MASTER CAT 94.5
6-SIR FRANCHISE 70.9 (off Feb. 06)
5-FOUL PLAY 65.9 (off Sept. 07)
4-HAPPY PRAYER 59.6
7-TOPPLER 59.0

1st time starters - 3, 11

RACE 7
3-TO B. DEVON 82.0
2-LIGHTEN UP RULE 80.8
6-MAMA KNOWS BEST 79.6
5-ONE HOT GAL 79.6
4-QUID NON 77.8

RACE 8
8-DUMANNI'S GOLD 61.1
2-TRUE SUGGESTION 57.5
7-STORMING SLEW 55.5
5-DREAMS AFLEET 54.5

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Thursday, May 15, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-PLATA QUEMADA 78.4
5-FORMAL RUSH 76.4
3-FARGO'S LEGACY 75.8
6-LADY ELIZABETH 67.0

RACE 2
4-TEXAS DEVIL 69.2
2-KING KANG 54.0
1-JAMMIE JON 49.7
3-HE'S MY DESSERT 35.4

1st time starters - 5, 6, 7

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 4
1-DONAS MIRACLE LANE 70.3
6-RAISE AGAIN 59.6
10-LITTLE BRENDA 59.0
9-AIN'T NO BABY 45.5

1st time starters - 4, 5, 8, 11, 7

RACE 5
2-DINE AT NINE 83.2
8-PRINCESS INTEGRITY 82.5
4-LOVEHI 78.8
6-POKOMOKE 76.6
9-SHERRY'S HIGH 75.4

RACE 6
4-BRENDOLYN 85.6
1-PETITE CHERIE 84.4
3-LA COCASSE 79.0
2-CATHERINE'S HOPE 74.7
5-POLITICAL WEB 65.3

RACE 7
5-ANZISONG 76.6
4-WELLNESSFAST 72.6
3-HEBESMALLBUTMIGHTY 72.0
8-CABLE DANCER 70.3

RACE 8
1-TIZ BALLADO 54.5
3-WARREN'S COOKIE 51.1
7-SQUARE GENIUS 51.1
10-AVADA KEDAVA 49.2

1st time starters - 4, 5, 8

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Wednesday, May 14, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER $154,139 FOR TODAY

RACE 1
2-GALLARDO 95.8
4-TAP IT LIGHT 93.9
3-SENSATIONAL SCORE 92.6
5-DAWN'S EARLY SKY 86.3

RACE 2
2-TOPPER SHOPPER 93.2
6-RED REDDING 85.6
1-JUNGLE WAVE 83.1
5-DONEITAGAIN 81.4

RACE 3
4-GENTLEMEN'S CROWN 68.1
3-HALO'S CLEEN SHEET 61.6
1-MOLITTA 53.5
7-STREET MATCH 46.1

1st time starters - 8

RACE 4
11-CACTUS LIGHTING 85.0
12-EDDIE MUNSTA 77.8 (off Sept. 07)
3-PEACE ACCORD 76.6
13-FOR THE HOUSE 76.6 (off Jan 06)

RACE 5
2-HIGH INVESTMENT 63.8
8-BENCHMARK KID 59.0
4-MR. COOL 55.5
7-OTISISGOLD 54.5

1st time starters - 12

RACE 6
2-GARY'S GOT RHYTHM 80.6
1-TIZMET 77.8
8-BABU 77.2
5-SELF INSURED 76.6

RACE 7
3-I CAN SEE 95.8
4-PERSIAN EXPRESS 93.2
5-HEATHERSDADDYSBABY 93.2
1-MISTICAL PLAN 86.9
2-WAKE UP MAGGIE 84.4 (off slow)

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
1-CALL ALY 69.8 (entry)
9-MONTE ROSA 52.6
1A-CHATTY LULU 47.4 (entry)
3-TOP ROCKETTE 33.0

1st time starters or 2 f. races - 6, 7, 2, 12, 8, 5, 4, 10

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Tuesday, May 13, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

Iwish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, May 12, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened five times that I know of in over 950 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, May 11, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
8-APPLAUD DUBAI 75.4
1-ALMACITA 73.1
3-SONG OF ILLINOIS 69.2
5-FILLED WITH HOPE 53.0
6-CUPID'S KITTY 52.6

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
8-ARTISTRYANDRHYTHM 57.5
9-HINT OF LAVENDER 56.0
4-AFTERNOON GOLD 51.6
3-ALOTTA WILD 48.8

1st time starters - 2, 1, 5

RACE 3
3-GINGER POP 88.9
7-CYPRUS LADY 87.6
5-TAMERIN 87.5
1-FIRE N' BRIMSTONE 85.0

RACE 4
7-SCRUMMAGE 94.5
9-THE SUPPLY PROGRAM 81.4
2-GLIMMERING PETE 80.2
3-PAWNEE 76.0
8-OMG 75.4

RACE 5
7-GINOBLI 80.2
9-CLASSIC ATTIRE 79.0
13-EL LEGADO 78.4
5-TIZSONG 69.8

1st time starters - 8, 4, 1, 3, 12, 10

RACE 6
5-POWER SHIFT 97.1
2-GRITS 91.9
7-FOREST DANZ 87.5
8-INDIAN WEAVER 86.9
12-SNATCH THE CASH 84.4

RACE 7
2-TOWZEE 99.8
5-MEDZENDEEKRON 95.8
3-BILLY ALLEN 95.8
7-WORLD ASUNDER 91.3

RACE 8
1-SWEET HOPE 105.9
5-LETHAL HEAT 93.2
2-MAGICAL VICTORY 89.4
7-HOMEMADE BREW 88.1

RACE 9
13-ABSTRACT FACT 54.0
8-WEAREHAVING FUNYET 46.4
1-HEAVENLY N' FREE 39.4

1st time starters - 7, 6, 2, 3, 11, 5, 12, 10, 14, 4, 9,

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Saturday, May 10, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-SOUTH BAY SCOTY 77.8
1-VICTORIO 74.3
5-BUZZIN MON 67.8
7-KAFFEINATOR 67.0

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 2
2-STEPPIN OUT ROSE 91.3
4-CROWN OF DIAMONDS 84.4
5-TIME TOSAY GOODBYE 80.8 (off Oct. 07)
3-SARACINA 77.8

RACE 3
2-CHAMPS ELYSEES 115.0
3-CHURCH SERVICE 105.9
1-BOULE D'OR 104.5
5-ON THE ACORN 102.5
4-SUDAN 99.3

RACE 4
3-COMMON TRUST 101.8
11-NERINX 92.6
9-YMUSTICHASETHECAT 90.7
1-WILBURS MR. ED 85.6

RACE 5
1-TYBALT 95.0 (off Aug. 07)
4-RON BOB AND DAVE 94.8
6-ASPERITY 94.5
2-CHEROKEE HEAVEN 94.5

RACE 6
8-MISS COZY CAT 83.8
5-SAYIT 81.4
7-SCOUT ABOUT 78.4
11-INTOUCHABLE 76.5

1st time starters - 3, 9, 6, 2, 4

RACE 7
9-P. S. U. GRAD 93.8
6-SWEETER STILL 91.3
4-BEL AIR SIZZLE 90.0
7-GORGEOUS GOOSE 87.5

RACE 8
6-SMART HIT 99.1
9-SORCERERS SPELL 95.8
10-WHEATON HALL 88.1
7-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 87.5
3-KAMSACK 87.5
5-HE'S A FLYER 87.5

RACE 9
8-BILO 110.0
3-STREET BOSS 109.3
4-BONFANTE 108.0
1-HIGH STANDARDS 100.5

RACE 10
3-BUCK BASOLO 90.7
13-POP'SHANDS ARE HOT 75.5
7-RIDEHIM 64.0
9-GOT FREE 61.1
6-L. A. BOY 58.0 (off March 07)

1st time starters - 12, 11

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Friday, May 09, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-SHEBANG 80.2
5-KILMARTIN HALL 76.0
8-ANGEL'S REWARD 63.2
7-TOTALLY PHAT 61.6

RACE 2
3-BAHAMA MAMA 96.5
2-RED DIADEM 88.8
4-MACADAMIA 83.8
6-HAMMETT STAR 73.1

RACE 3
4-GOLD TRIM 91.3
9-COUNT ORANGE 85.6
2-LIKE NEW MONEY 82.0
3-JAMES THE THIRD 79.6

RACE 4
11-ALL ABOUT LARRY 75.4
5-RINGMASTER 69.2
10-COMEDY IS MAGIC 67.0
14-HEATHER'S ECHO 65.4 (off Aug. 07)

1st time starters - 3, 7, 8

RACE 5
7-NO KA OI 99.4
1-MAMA LULA 87.5
6-FOXY GAMES 83.8
14-STOP THE HUMOR 79.6
8-SPORTIE'S SQUEEZE 78.4

RACE 6
4-DR. SKIMMING 85.6
9-PLUGINTHEJUG 82.0
2-MAGIC MIKE 66.4
10-CAFE LINDO 59.6

1st time starters - 12, 7, 3, 11, 8, 5, 1

RACE 7
4-EXHALE 110.7
5-STREET LIGHTS 94.5
3-MAJOR PLEASURE 93.9 (off Oct. 07)
6-UNUSUAL JAIL 92.6

RACE 8
6-GO CARDINAL GAL 68.1
2-SCHAGHTICOKE HILL 64.3
13-ADOBE HACIENDA 61.6
7-SPRING CATCH 60.6
3-PURE REFINEMENT 59.6

1st time starters - 5, 11

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Thursday, May 08, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 77.2
3-LADY DISDAIN 75.4
1-GOLD DATNOID 71.4
4-REAL LIFT 70.9

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 3
7-BIGUM 73.1
9-WORKING MAN BLUES 65.3
1-J AND J EXPRESS 65.3
8-SUN LIGHTNING 62.3
3-PROBATION PLEASE 62.2

RACE 4
6-DREWTHEGENTLEMAN 76.0
4-RICKY EL CORREDOR 72.6
5-WARRENS FLYIN HIGH 70.9
3-COUNTY TUNE 69.8

RACE 5
3-SASSOU 97.8
9-ERNIE OWL 85.0
5-PISTOL PETE AFLEET 83.8
6-PRIZE OF THE CITY 83.8

RACE 6
4-CONCINNOUS 80.2
8-MAMA LUC 74.6
7-POINT PROVEN 74.3
3-PALOMA'S FLIGHT 69.8

RACE 7
9-MOUJANE 97.6
8-SILVER MOONSHINE 90.0
4-HONORED GOLD 86.9
2-BIG BERTHA 85.6
5-GOOD MOOD 85.6

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

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Wednesday, May 07, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-STAR NICHOLAS 86.3
2-PEACE PROSPECT 65.4
3-ELUSIVE CHIEF 63.4
7-HOLD THIS 59.7

RACE 2
9-ANNIE OAKLEAF 70.9
10-QUEEN OF THE DERBY 67.5
1-ABBEY CAT 64.3
8-HELMSGOLD 61.6

RACE 3
7-TOPAZ MOON 57.7
10-CALIFORNIA DEMON 53.5
5-BACKSTROKE 52.1
1-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 52.0

RACE 4
5-SACRED LIGHT 97.1
4-RAISE THE HEAT 85.6
6-BLUE TORPEDO 82.0
1-POTENTIAL 81.4
2-SAMWISE 81.4

RACE 5
5-TROPIC STORM 112.2
3-SCAT THIEF 99.8
6-ALL MAN 97.1
9-MARVEL WOOD 91.3

RACE 6
6-ADHERE 73.1
7-NEAR SIGHTED 73.1
10-CARMENS EXCESS 67.0 (off Nov.06)
2-IVEMADAHUGEMISTKE66.5

1st time starters - 4, 9, 8

RACE 7
1-SUPER STRUT 96.5
3-CEDAR MOUNTAIN 93.2
2-SOUPY 92.6
8-TWO TRAILS 90.0
5-FARLEIGH HOUSE 89.4

RACE 8
4-BEWITCHING BARTOK 82.0
15-SWING YOUR PARTNER 76.6
12-MAMMOTH POWER 74.9
10-SI CHIMI 74.3
16-WARREN'S SECRET 74.3
7-JEALOUS PROFIT 73.1
6-QUIET PERIOD 73.1

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Tuesday, May 06, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

Iwish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Saturday, May 03, 2008

 

CHURCHILL DOWNS - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-SALE PENDING 100.4
2-BULLET RAIN 98.4
8-CATMANTOO 95.2
4-BIKER BOY 94.1

RACE 2
7-SLY STORM 98.4
2-BELLA ROJA 85.0
9-LENAWEE 85.0
10-LOVING VINDICATION 83.8 (off Oct. 07)

RACE 3
9-FOREST ATTACK 107.9
6-FIRST DEFENCE 106.6 (off Sept. 07)
2-SPIN MASTER 103.8 (off Aug. 07)
4-FORTY GRAMS 98.4

RACE 4
14-CHRIS GOT EVEN 88.1
1-A DIEHL 86.3
4-SCREEN TO SCREEN 85.6
2-BK'S CLEARANCEISLE 81.4

RACE 5
9-SPOTSGONE 112.9
3-NOONMARK 111.4
4-JUNIOR COLLEGE 108.6
2-THOUSAND WORDS 104.5

RACE 6
7-ALINA 105.9
4-GAME FACE 101.1
2-AMERICAN COUNTY 98.4
5-INFORMED DECISION 94.5

RACE 7
9-DREAMING OF ANNA 112.2
8-VENTURA 105.2
2-SHARP SUSAN 101.1
7-BAYOU'S LASSIE 95.2

RACE 8
3-GRAME SIX 110-7
4-MISS MACY SUE 110.0
5-SUGAR SWIRL 109.3
7-MIRACULOUS MISS 108.6

RACE 9
5-EINSTEIN 114.3
3-GOLDEN BALLS 109.3
8-ARTISTE ROYAL 108.0
1-OUT OF CONTROL 105.2
4-THORN SONG 105.2

RACE 10 - KENTUCKY DERBY
20-BIG BROWN 125.3
19-GAYEGO 119.3
6-Z FORTUNE 117.2
18-RECAPTURETHEGLORY 117.2
12-SMOOTH AIR 111.5
5-EIGHT BELLES 109.3
13-BOB BLACK JACK 109.3
9-PYRO 108.6
10-COLONEL JOHN 108.6
1-COOL COAL MAN 105.2
17-COWBOY CAL 104.5
14-MONBA 103.2 +
16-DENIS OF CORK 102.5
11-Z HUMOR 101.8
2-TALE OF EKATI 101.1
15-ADRIANO 101.1
8-VISIONAIRE 100.5
4-COURT VISION 99.8
7-BIG TRUCK 99.1
3-ANAK NAKI 87.5

RACE 11
6-CHIEF GONE WEST 87.5
10-SONOMA CAT 87.5
12-EVADE 84.4
4-ADMIRALITY 83.2
1-SOLEMN PROMISE 82.6

RACE 12
3-PIOUS ASHLEY 72.6
5-TURF CLUB 65.9
12-WIND ME UP 63.8
10-QUIET MOVER 61.1
8-DREAM RIDE 60.1

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CHURCHILL DOWNS - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

NOTE: I HAVE POSTED THE KENTUCKY DERBY RACE EARLY IN ORDER THAT YOU MAY BET THE DAILY DOUBLE FROM THE KENTUCKY OAKS (Fri.) TO THE KENTUCKY DERBY (Sat.)

I WILL POST THE ENTIRE CHURCHILL DOWNS RACES FOR SATURDAY AT A LATER TIME. NO RACES WILL BE POSTED SATURDAY FOR HOLLYWOOD PARK.


RACE 10 - KENTUCKY DERBY
20-BIG BROWN 125.3
19-GAYEGO 119.3
6-Z FORTUNE 117.2
18-RECAPTURETHEGLORY 117.2
12-SMOOTH AIR 111.5
5-EIGHT BELLES 109.3
13-BOB BLACK JACK 109.3
9-PYRO 108.6
10-COLONEL JOHN 108.6
1-COOL COAL MAN 105.2
17-COWBOY CAL 104.5
14-MONBA 103.2 +
16-DENIS OF CORK 102.5
11-Z HUMOR 101.8
2-TALE OF EKATI 101.1
15-ADRIANO 101.1
8-VISIONAIRE 100.5
4-COURT VISION 99.8
7-BIG TRUCK 99.1
3-ANAK NAKI 87.5

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Friday, May 02, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

NOTE: TODAYS POSTING HAS THE CHURCHILL DOWNS KENTUCKY OAKS RACE AS WELL AS THE FULL HOLLYWOOD PARK PICKS AND SELECTIONS.

RACE 10 - KENTUCKY OAKS -CHURCHILL DOWNS
8-PROUD SPELL 107.9
11-PURE CLAN 106.6
3-AWESOME CHIC 100.5
10-BSHARPSONATA 98.5
5-RASIERRA 98.5
1-GOLDEN DOC A 97.8
7-LITTLE BELLE 96.5
6-COUNTRY STAR 91.3
4-ELUSIVE LADY 88.1
2-ABSOLUTELY CINDY 87.5
9-A TO THE CROFT 71.4

HOLLYWOOD PARK
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-QUEEN HOLLY 70.3
4-HOTTODI 69.8
3-DANCES WITH TIGERS 61.1
5-WARREN'S GOLD 60.6

RACE 2
5-MIRROR POND 72.0
6-QUICK COMMANDER 69.2
2-MORGAN LANE 65.9
1A-INDY BLAZE 65.4 (entry)

1st time starters -4, 3, 1 (entry)

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 4
8-TOLNAI 79.6
6-GENERAL CELMAR 76.0
9-LOVING TYPE 72.6
4-A TOAST TO TANNER 70.9
12-TAFFY BOY 70.9

RACE 5
4-KRIS SILVER 103.1
1-DILEMMA 99.8
5-CHARMO 99.8
8-WORCHESTER 96.5

RACE 6
2-INSPIRATION WITHIN 79.6
1-MALABAR STAR 73.1
4-GETINTHEREONETIME 72.0
6-VEILS DE FLEUR 70.9
3-WARREN'S SASSY CAT 70.9

RACE 7
3-RANSOM CAPTIVE 94.5
1-LEMON CHIFFON 90.2
5-LE CIRQUE 90.0
4-WONDROUS EVENT 88.8

RACE 8
4-WHATWILLBEWILLBE 85.0
10-ORIENTATION HALL 62.9
8-BEYOND BOUNDRIES 62.7
2-OSCEOLA PRINCE 59.6

1st time starters - 1

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Thursday, May 01, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-KISS MY CROWN 76.6
5-PAROXYSM 76.0
3-CHANGE YOUR MASK 73.7
1-OUTLAW JAMES 71.0

RACE 2
6-TEXAS DOLLY 65.9
5-FOUR PAWS 64.3
4-ORNAMENTAL TORCH 58.0 (off March 07)
1-QUITE BEAUTIFUL 55.3

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3
5-MOSTACOLLI MORT 93.9
1-LONELY HIGHWAY 88.1
3-FIRE WOOD 86.3
4-CAPITANO 86.3

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 5
7-DONEITAGAIN 88.8
1-TOPPER SHOPPER 85.0
2-PROFESSNL COURTESY 79.6
6-SKYSPY 76.0

RACE 6
1-SMOOCH 74.9
7-NO NAME GAME JUST GAME 63.2
4-TALKING TO DEVON 63.2
3-TRICKY VIVIANA 62.7

RACE 7
2-INGRID THE GAMBLER 94.5
7-SQUEEZE ME TIGHT 85.0
4-EXQUSITE BEAUTY 84.4
1-STARRY PURSUIT 81.4

1st time starters - 8 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
2-MR. TRUMAN 68.6
9-BERTIE BOY 65.9
5-MOST DECORATED 64.8
6-POET OF CLOTH 60.6
8-KIRBY'S GLUE FOOT 60.6

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