Tuesday, September 30, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,025 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, September 28, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-ITZ A SAINT 76.0
4-J AND S EXPRESS 76.0
7-NUEVA FORTUNA 76.0
3-QUINNETTE 65.9
6-SULTRY SEASON 65.4 (off Dec. 13)

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
9-MIDNIGHT CANDY 51.5
8-YES YES BARONESS 27.6 (off slow)
4-CORA ELIZABETH 26.9
7-GEM OF A GAL 26.9
2-GRACIE JEAN 84.8

RACE 3
7-BACK OFF BUDDY 92.6
3-CHERUBIM 88.1
6-KRISTO 83.2
5-STORM POWER 83.2
4-CHIEF LION 81.4

RACE 4
4-SILVER TORCH 94.4
9-NATIVE RIDE 75.9
14-WICKED FINANCE 74.9
8-MR. EXCAVATOR 71.4
12-MONSIEUR POWER 68.6
10-DISTINCTIVE B 68.6

RACE 5
4-ZIPPINGAROUNDTOWN 75.4
7-AWESOME INDY 73.7
8-TETON COUNTY 71.4
1-ROMAN TIZZY 71.4
3-CUZAN 68.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-DADDY'S DUO 55.5
10-BEACH PREMIER 45.5
9-SISTER HUBERT 42 9 (steadied)
8-DANA'S SISTER 39.4
7-ZIPPINAROUND TOWN 33.O

RACE 7
1-BIG JOHN B 109.3
9-IRISH SURF 107.9
7-BIG KICK 103.8
2-BENCH LIGHT 96.5
10-FINNEGANS WAKE 95.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-MEGYNS GOLD 68.6
6-REVENUE VIRGINIUS 64.8
8-MOON OVER ME 61.6
10-SHOW STEALER 47.8

1st time starters - 4, 5, 12, 1, 3, 2, 7, 11

RACE 9
13-GRAZENETTE 82.6
11-TANGELO 82.6
14-TIME AND TIDES 78.4
5-MARGOT MACHANCE 75.4
3-CHILDA 74.9
9-DISREGARDED 73.1
12-COLONEL JOAN 71.4
10-GUINEVERE'S FINALE 71.4

1st time starters - 6 in U.S.A. - fgn.)

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Friday, September 26, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-CONDITION 42.2
8-WESTWARD 36.6
3-WOORAM 35.4 (4 wide)
1-BETTER LUCK 30.8
9-LANNISTER 20.6 (bumped, 3 wide)

1st time starters - 5, 6, 4

RACE 2
9-HIDDEN ZENSATION 76.0
1-RED N BLACK 70.9
3-SIR BARCLAY 67.5
8-MOSSO 65.9
4-SUDDEN RUMOR 64.8

RACE 3
5-CONQUEST TWO STEP 96.4
4-HEAT FLASH 93.2
7-BETTYS BAMBINO 90.0
6-QUALITY PLAN 83.2
8-BOURNE HOT 81.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-KANTUNE 82.6
9-FAME AND POWER 73.1
11-MADIBA 72.0
8-PRETENTIOUS 62.7 (off slow, 3 wide)
3-SMUGGLER UNION 61.1 (5 wide)

1st time starters - 13, 7, 4, 12

RACE 5
4-BEHOLDER 117.2
2-IOTAPA 115.7
1-TIZ MIDNIGHT 104.5
3-YAHILWA 97.1
6-TIZ THE KEY 80.7

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
7-AMERICAN PHAROAH 110.0
10-CALCULATOR 92.8
1-TEXAS RED 84.4
4-DADDY D T 79.4
2-LORD NELSON 77.2

RACE 7
13-MISS SERENDIPITY 110.0
9-IRISH MISSION 102.5
14-QUEEN OF THE SAND 100.4
8-PARRANDA 99.8
1-COZZE UP LADY 99.1

RACE 8
4-SHARED BELIEF 126.8
6-MAJESTIC HARBOR 117.9
1-FED BIZ 114.3
8-IMPERATIVE 111.4
3-BIRD E HOUSE 103.8

RACE 9
4-ON THE BACKSTREETS 92.6
6-MEINERTZHAGENI 88.1
3-ALEXIS TANGIER 85.6
1-WONDERFULLY 83.2
8-STARS ABOVE ME 81.4

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
4-ANGELA RENEE 84.4
2-CONQUEST ECLIPSE 79.4
11-MAJESTIC PRESENCE 74.9
10-DAD'S PRINCESS 74.0
6-MAYBELLENE 72.6

RACE 11 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-PAPACOOLPAPACOOL 78.4
2-NAKAMOTO 72.8
6-MILTEE 63.0
9-DREAM IT DO IT 60.1
5-PAYTHEBANK 54.2
1-TIZ JOLIE 51.6

1st time starters - 3, 12



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Thursday, September 25, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-MADAM AAMOURA 72.2
5-REDSHIRT 63.2
6-HERE COMES CHLOE 62.2
7-LOOKIN FOR MONEY 47.1
2-PURE 45.1

RACE 2
4-SENATOR BOB 87.5
7-WILDCAT MOON 82.0
1-SACRED OVATION 79.6
2-GAL HAS TO LIKE IT 79.0
5-JOVITA'S TUFFY 64.8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-FLAT FOOTED MAMA 60.1
9-TATUM'S GOLD 50.6
4-DEFINITELYNOT 44.2
8-FILLY ON FIRE 43.3 (off slow)
5-HIGH INTENSITY 38.6

1st time starters - 2, 1, 7, 3

RACE 4
5-MORE COMPLEXITY 88.8
1-ZANBO 86.9
4-INTOXICATING MOVE 82.6
11-TAPPINGINTHERAIN 77.9
7-AS RULERS GO 77.2

RACE 5
1-EXPO AND FIG 74.9
13-GOLDEN CHALICE 61.1
6-MR. LEWIS C. 56.0
11-RARE PUNCH 52.6
7-ROYAL TALE 51.1

1st time starters - 2

RACE 6
7-SWISS HEART 64.3
6-NATAL 61.6
9-BETTY BING BING 58.0
3-MADAME FORBES 57.5
10-BIRD IN LOVE 55.5

RACE 7
11-FIGHTER SQUADRON 93.8
8-JOMELO 90.0
7-SHUN 88.2
9-DYSPROSIUM 81.4
2-RANSOM CANYON 78.4

RACE 8
4-INDIANAPOLIS 105.9
7-MY SLEW 101.1
9-STREET ICON 95.8
5-FREAKIN ROCKET 95.8 (off Aug. 13)
8-BULL DOZER 92.6

RACE 9
8-AMBITIOUS BREW 104.5
6-UNBRIDLED'S NOTE 99.8
2-PURE TACTICS 95.2
3-LIL BIT O'FUN 95.2
5-GALLANT SON 94.6
4-MR. SEXY 93.9

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Wednesday, September 24, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, September 22, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,018 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, September 21, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-EVERY MAY 65.4

1st time starters - 3, 1, 4, 5, 6

RACE 2
10-VALDIRONE 77.8
1-MONASTIC 73.3
3-COUNTRY HERO 72.0
2-FLY HIGH 68.6
8-SINGLE LAUNCH 65.4

RACE 3
2-CELEBRITY STATUS 100.4
5-FULL DANCER 82.5
4-RUSTY ROAD 77.8
1-SONG TO YOU 74.6
3-LOLO EL CANONERO 63.2

RACE 4 all 2 yo. going 6f.
3-SANDY'S SONG 69.8
2-YES SHE'S A DANCER 58.0
1-MOTHERNATURESPELL 55.0
5-SATIN CINNAMON 54.5
6-HOLY ASCENSION 45.5

1st time starters - 7, 8, 9, 10

RACE 5
4-IRISH PRESENCE 90.7
3-LEGACY 88.1
5-MY HAPPY FACE 87.5
1-ZILBER 62.7
2-SPRAGUE RIVER 59.3

RACE 6
3-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 59.6
9-DEER DECARCHY 54.5
5-HEAVENELEVEN 52.6
4-SLICK CAPER 48.3
10-WARRENSBROTHERBILL 41.6
7-GREY IS BEST 41.6

RACE 7
2-WARREN'S COLE 70.3
10-RED MAN RUN 69.8
4-TRIBAL SMOKE 69.2
1-ZOOM BAG 68.1
3-JUST CALL ME AL 67.0
7-W. GILES 67.0

RACE 8
9-MAGIC NUMBER 72.0
1-GELILA 70.3
3-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 64.8
10-CONTESSA B. 58.0
7-TIZ ZOE CEE 55.0

RACE 9
7-AFTERNOON WEDDING 58.5
9-LADY LOIS 34.6
1-SHE'S A GIVEN 34.2
4-PARALYZING EYES 345.2
8-COUNCIL TALK 33.8
10-MISS KIT KAT 33.8

1st time starters - 6

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Saturday, September 20, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







NOTE: FRIDAY 5 OF MY TOP PICKS WON ($5.80, 5.40, 8.60, 6.60, 9.40) AND 2 OF MY TOP 1ST TIME STARTERS WON ($6.60, 6.20). MY TOP PICK RAN 2ND IN THE LAST RACE.


RACE 1
1-HARLINGTON NIGHT 85.0
9-FLY BLUE 81.4
4-COUNTING DAYS 77.2
7-WARREN'S CLIFF S. 73.1
8-COLE COLE 66.4

RACE 2
6-SENOR RAIN 89.4
4-DEWRAG 83.2
1-LOS BAMBINOS 79.6
2-STORMIN LUTE 79.6
7-CITY CHAPEL 79.0

RACE 3
3-WHOODOO PIRATE 68.6
2-RUNNING WITH THE LUTE 63.2
6-NATAL 58.5
4-PAPA'S FLASHY GIRL 57.0
1-SWISSARELLA 53.5

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-WEDDING BLUSH 70.3
2-STEALTH DRONE 64.8
1-SINGING KITTY 61.1
6-DESERT THIEF 57.0
4-DO THE DANSE 51.1

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-ROPER 57.0
3-HOWDY 34.6 (3 wide)
2-SMOOVEN SQUARE 29.3
6-KLUSZEWSKI 14.3
1-TIZ ALL THAT 11.6 (off slow)

1st time starters - 8, 9, 7, 10, 4

RACE 6
3-MELANISTIC 80.8
1-ROOM FOR ME 78.4
4-TANQUERRAY 74.6
2-SWEET TESS 73.5
6-PRETTYPRICEYGIRL 70.4

RACE 7
2-HOME JOURNEY 86.9 (off June 13)
6-MY SWEET ADDICTION 83.8
3-POPALICIOUS 81.4
7-NOT TOO SHINY 78.3
4-SUDDEN SUNDAY 77.8
8-SENZA FINA 77.2

RACE 8
6-SEEKING THE SHERIF 100.4
5-DISTINCTIV PASSION 94.5 (off Dec. 13(
4-DRILL 86.3
1-REGALLY SOUL 91.9
3-SPIRIT RULES 91.3

RACE 9
9-RAINBOW NORTH 58.5
4-HEATED PRISM 47.4 (off Dec 11)
10-TRIBAL NOTE 37.8
7-CADDY CAIN 36.2
3-VICTORY PARADE 34.2
5-OUR NEW FLASH 33.4 (off Dec. 13)

1st time starters - 2, 8

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Friday, September 19, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-CLOUDY RIVER 37.4
3-SLAPSHOT MAN 35.0
6-PAPA KADE 30.0
7-TIZUNANIMOUS 26.8

1st time starters - 2, 8, 1, 4

RACE 2
2-SWISS FONDUE 62.7
3-MONEY TREE 59.0
4-DEAD EASY 56.0
7-MILIITANT 54.0
6-BOOM BOYS 51.6

1st time starters - 1, 8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-HOLIDAY MAGIC 58.5
5-MYRNA LOU 56.5
1-WACKETT 52.6
2-URGRACEISENOUGH 37.8
3-OH DEANN 37.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-SOUTH TEXAS 46.0
2-TRIBAL EXPRESS 28.6
1-CARLY P. 26.8
4-MOONIE 25.4 (off slow)
8-SIMPLY IN AWE 14.5

1st time starters - 5, 7, 6

RACE 5
2-WARREN'S JEFF G. 65.4
3-BENCH PRESS 60.6
1-YOUONLYLIVEONCE 60.1
4-LATE NIGHT SKY 49.2
6-PRIDE OF WILSHIRE 48.8

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-LADY DASH 32.6
12-MISTY WARRIOR 28.6
2-IMPERIAL BADGER 25.4
3-CHARMSTEALER 23.5
8-DON'T TELL ABBEY 18.9

1st time starters - 10, 11

RACE 7
3-ROSEWHITENBLUE 80.8
2-PRETTYHOTPRINCESS 74.3
1-TIM'S GO GIRL 69.8
6-DOCTOR GLYNIS 64.8
5-APPEALING RESUME 63.2

RACE 8
10-SUNDAY STROLL 55.5
4-SWISS PERFECTION 46.9
7-CADILLAC DESERT 42.4
6-COCABELLA MYST 40.3
8-ALISSA R N 37.0
9-MARK OF THE AFFAIR 36.6

1st time starters - 11

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Thursday, September 18, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-RICH IN TRADITION 60.6
6-GOLDEN CELESTIAL 60.1
4-HOLLYWOOD PRODUCER 58.5
2-JETBIRD 58.0
7-YODEL UP A STORM 55.0

RACE 2
4-FORMAT V. 98.4
1-STREET SERENADE 86.3
2-ATASCADERAN 84.4
6-PERSUASIVE PAUL 77.2
7-TWO IS TO MANY 73.1

RACE 3
4-CLOSE TO THE EDGE 76.6
3-SPARKLE JOEL 76.6
5-FIRE IN THE WIND 70.3
8-PEPPER SWEET 59.6
10-TRUCO LATINO 58.5

RACE 4
5-CHAIN LIGHTNING 55.5
7-QUEEN MAD 49.7
8-SIXY EDDIE 49.4
9-JENNAKINS 46.9
3-SILIC OUI 42.1

1st time starters - 2

RACE 5
1-OSCILLATOR 74.3
7-IT'S AINE 69.8
5-SYDNEY'S DARLING 69.8
10-ONE MAGICAL GIRL 69.2
6-SUICIDE CURVES 56.5

RACE 6
8-GLOBAL HOTTIE 86.3 (off Nov. 13)
9-SMOOVE IT 74.7
4-VEGAS RULES 72.0
6-SPIRIT OF TEN 69.2
5-MOVING DESERT 65.9

RACE 7
7-HANSERELLA 73.1
4-BACKINTHEACADEMY 67.6
8-CRAVIN' THE HEAT 65.9
5-SMOOTH TALKER 63.6
1-NEW NATURE 61.6

RACE 8
2-AERIAL DANCER 65.4
1-PLAY MAKER 59.0
6-PUERTO WILLIAMS 57.5
8-WARREN'S SUNNY BOY 56.0
9-ZIM N THE MAILMAN 49.7
11-ARGENTINE 46.9

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Wednesday, September 17, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Tuesday, September 16, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,012 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, September 14, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
2-TIZ FUTURITY 76.0
3-CARAMURU 76.0
1-MY LAST TYCOON 64.8
4-WARREN'S CASPER 60.1
7-LUCKY COTTON 55.6

RACE 2
8-GISELE AT FONZ'S 46.0
10-INDIAN PROOF 45.1
4-HERE COMES BOBBIE 36.6
2-NO ICE CASTLES 22.5
3-LIL REEF 8.8
11-REACHINTHELIMIT 8.8

1st time starters - 6, 7, 9, 5, 1

RACE 3
3-OMAR LITTLE 65.9
2-OWN IT 63.8
7-DEHERE IS GONE 63.2
5-PATRIOTIC LION 53.0
4-BABY BLAKE 53.0

RACE 4
11-A B C ME AWESOME 50.2
6-THEATRICAL CAST 46.9
8-GEORGIA'S NIECE 31.5
5-TIZ BLISS 29.3
4-GOLD ORE 26.1

1st time starters - 10

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-RITZY TAGS 61.1
1-MISS GREEN POND 52.1 (slow start)
2-DON'T BLAME ME 49.7
6-MORNING COFFEE 45.5
4-FATEER 44.6 (slow start)

RACE 6
4-HE'S A BLING 88.1
10-DAY OF FURY 80.6
7-VEGAS STRIP 78.4
2-APERFECTDAYTOFLY 70.9
5-SHANIEL 70.3

1st time starters - 3, 6, 8

RACE 7
4-SACRED OVATION 75.4
8-HALF DOME DUDE 73.7
1-HAMILTONIAN 70.9
6-MEMPHIS 66.4
7-TRAWEEK 63.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-WAKE UP NICK 78.4
2-ROWDY DYLAN 73.7
5-ZENDAI 65.4
6-PERADVENTURE 58.5
8-COLORADO STRONG 53.0

RACE 9
6-CONCERT MAN 68.1
4-COTTON VALLEY 64.3
8-STAUFFENBERG 59.6
5-HIGHER MANDATE 59.6
9-BERLUSCONI 55.0

1st time starters - 2

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Saturday, September 13, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $59,132.

RACE 1
2-FAST MAGOO 66.4
5-SILVER SAILS 65.9
7-BENCH RULING 55.0
1-STREAMLINER 49.2
6-MARGIE'S MINUTE 33.8

1st time starters - 3

RACE 2
5-PLAZARITA 59.6
6-KID ROLLINS 49.2
2-MY B F F 44.6
3-SILIC'S VALLEY 44.2
4-LEONA PEGASUS 30.0

RACE 3
1-ICONIC SPIRIT 78.4
6-HOME MAID BROWNIE 73.7
2-CEE'S TIZZY BELLE 60.9
4-ART OF WAR 56.6
3-HIDDEN REALITY 49.5

RACE 4
3-SUMMEROFSIXTYTHREE 64.3
4-SPY GIRL 56.5
2-HERE'S BELLA 50.2

1st time starters - 5, 8, 6, 1, 7

RACE 5
4-L X SUNRISE 51.6
5-MADAME HEAT 50.2
3-FULL OF SPICE 49.7
1-YODELMESOMEMAGIC 42.4
8-AFLEET ECHO 38.6

RACE 6
4-MACHO SOX 75.8
3-TORTOLA 73.7
6-JACKSON SUNDOWN 73.7
5-PRINCE OF PARIS 70.9
2-CIMMARS DANCE 69.8

RACE 7
1-SIR KIP 77.8
4-OMAR 76.6
6-TRIBAL DESERT 76.0
5-RELENTLESS HEAT 73.1
2-TIME TO GO ROBO 71.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-INTO OBLIVION 79.6 (3 wide)
3-SHARLA RAE 58.0
9-SLEW'S CHARM 52.6
6-GLOBAL HART 38.2
8-AQUACITA 30.8 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 7, 1

RACE 9
11-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 84.4
12-G'NIGHT 77.8
7-KOCHEES 74.7
9-INDUSTRY LEADER 72.0
1-ROMAN TIZZY 72.0
3-POINT HAPPY 67.0 (off Sept. 13)

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Friday, September 12, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $19,857.

RACE 1
1-NINNAVEE 59.0
6-LIZZY TAILER 51.6 (3 wide)
3-PUTTYBADSHARK 51.1
4-HUGGER OF TREES 47.8
7-BIG G SECRET CRAB 45.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-ARIGATO 55.0 (3 wide)
2-TRUE IMAGE 37.8 (broke out)

1st time starters - 5, 4, 6, 1

RACE 3
5-SALT POWER 54.5
3-WARRENSBROTHERBILL 44.2
6-TRIBAL MYSTERY MAN 41.6
4-CHANGING GAME 35.8 (off slow)
2-EXPONENTIALLY 33.4

1st time starters - 1

RACE 4
2-BRANDON'S PRINCESS 58.5
7-SURELYLU'S ANDANTE 56.5
4-AMOUNTED 45.1
1-CRAZY ABOUT HIM 42.0
3-ROYALY DUNN 41.6

RACE 5
2-IT'S AINE 65.9
3-ZIVA THE DIVA 63.2
5-SPRING BREEZE 61.6
4-MISS AMERICAN PIE 54.0
6-GLORIOUS REBECCA 46.9

RACE 6
12-DON'TMESSWITHNESS 42.0
10-ABETS ABET 40.3
1-LIBBY 35.8
11-CLEVERLY TUNED 32.6
7-DON'T NEEDA REASON 31.5

1st time starters - 3, 5

RACE 7
7-NATAL 64.8
3-EDDIES CURL 60.1
4-BIRD IN LOVE 57.5
2-SWISS HEART 55.0
1-SHARED IMAGE 52.6

RACE 8
3-MAHALO ARTURO 62.7
10-RON'S BOY 57.0
7-SLICK CAPER 49.2
8-SHOP FOREVER 43.8
6-HALO RED 37.4
1-STORM HOLLOW 33.8

1st time starters - 2, 9

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Thursday, September 11, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-OUTTHINK'EM 38.2
1-WESTWARD 35.0
2-CARLY P. 15.8
5-BETTER LUCK 10.9

1st time starters - 4, 3

RACE 2
3-COUNTRY HERO 77.8
2-FASTER CAT 73.7
7-BIGBARI 68.1
4-CAPTAIN SHAWN D 67.0
8-RONDO HONDO 43.3

RACE 3
2-EL VAGURO 74.3
4-POWER CRAZED 67.0
5-DEPUTY STRIKER 64.2 (off July 13)
1-CANDY'S SHOES 60.4
6-PREORDAINED 40.3 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3

RACE 4
4-MI AGAVE 80.2
5-MARY HELEN'S STORM 71.4
6-MASON B 71.4
2-WARREN'S JEFF G. 63.2
3-HOME RUN PRIZE 53.3

RACE 5
6-SPECTACULAR PROOF 69.2
3-CHRISTMAS MIRAGE 61.6
2-FLYIN FOR A LIVIN 61.1
8-MIA LUCCIA 47.8
1-WARREN'S SUPER CAT 46.6

1st time starters - 7, 4

RACE 6
3-SENJEN 67.0
7-NEW HAVEN LINE 64.3
2-KEYED TO ROCK 61.1
5-COURAGEOUSANDBOLD 49.2
8-GIANIS 46.4

RACE 7
9-HARLINGTON'S ROSE 85.0
6-LUCKY S. J. 84.4
7-ON GOLDEN PAWN 82.0
1-BACKWOODS BELLE 79.0
3-BRILLIANT MELODY 77.8

RACE 8
9-BLAME IT ON TEKELA 52.1
5-BADASMYWIFELETSMEBE 46.0
7-RENEGADE COWBOY 45.1
6-RARE PUNCH 42.9
8-VOLUNTARY 39.4
3-A P PHANTOM 33.0 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 2

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Wednesday, September 10, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, September 09, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,005 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, September 07, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
3-HARLINGTON NIGHT 67.0
2-TIZ FUTURITY 64.3
6-INDYGO ANDY 56.6
4-MONASTIC 56.0
5-ANGEL CHARGE 47.6

RACE 2
7-ITALIAN HARMONY 61.1
3-WILDLY EXCESSIVE 43.3
8-WARREN'S FANTASY 40.7
5-SWISS PERFECTION 37.0
1-CASTLEDONOVAN LASS 34.2

RACE 3
4-THIS CAT'S AWESOME 57.0
1-WARREN'S COLE 57.0
3-AERIAL ARTIST 57.0
5-WHOLLY HUGHES 53.5
6-I'VE HAD ENOUGH 45.5

RACE 4
1-ROSA DIVINA 58.0
8-AVA'S BALLET 49.2
2-GALEHORN 46.3 (off Oct. 13)
5-LUSTROUS SUANCES 46.0
7-LITTLE LINDA 42.4

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-SOUTHERN ECHO 36.6
1-ZIPPINAROUNDTOWN 33.0
9-CORA ELIZABETH 31.5
3-FEISTY SWISS 20.9
2-FORTUNE'S DAUGHTER 19.7

1st time starters - 8, 10, 12, 11

RACE 6
2-FIGHTING ON 88.8
7-GREAT FRIENDS RULE 86.9
4-DEWRAG 82.6
6-RED N BLACK ATTACK 69.2
3-LUCA 68.1

RACE 7
8-VALLEY CAT 82.6
1-DEMONIC 82.6
9-LIFE'S JOURNEY 77.2
4-DERRINGER 74.0
6-JUST FISHIN 72.8

RACE 8
2-DOINGHARDTIMEAGAIN 96.4
6-TRES BELLE 87.5
3-MAKER OR BREAKER 83.2
4-TASTY TREAT 83.1
1-TRIBAL GAL 79.0

RACE 9
6-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 51.1
4-NO BACHI 46.9
11-END OF TIME 40.3
8-COYOTERO 39.9
10-EL DESPERADO 37.0
5-WARREN'S SUNNY BOY 35.8
3-EL REY MISTERIO 35.4

1st time starters - 7

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Saturday, September 06, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 71.4
4-PUTAHEXONHER 65.4
7-PARADA 61.1
3-MADAME FORBES 59.0
6-GELILA 58.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-ZINVOR 48.3
7-PRICE OF GLORY 30.0 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 7 horses, no selections

RACE 3
6-NICKELS WILD 83.1
5-PAPASLILPRINCESS 80.8
4-MELANISTIC 79.0
3-FRONT RANGE 77.2
2-TACIT APPROVAL 74.9

RACE 4
5-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 55.0
10-AVA'S BALLET 49.2
8-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 39.4
7-SUNDAY STROLL 37.4
1-JO'S APPROVAL 36.2

1st time starters - 4

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-PARTYIN 62.7
11-SO YOU SAY 46.9
5-YES SHE'S A DANCER 42.4
8-SHERRY CAGAN 29.3
7-SHEZA LUCKY STRIKE 28.9

1st time starters - 1, 10, 6, 9, 3

RACE 6
2-DELTA FLOWER 87.5
4-UZZIEL 85.6
1-SENZA FINA 79.0
7-CLASSY AVA 76.6
3-MISS SUPER QUICK 73.1

RACE 7
9-WHEN WE MET 97.8
5-NEWFOUND GOLD 88.8
8-GAL HAS TO LIKE IT 82.0
4-PREACHER'S BLUFF 81.4
6-GERMANY BAY 80.8

RACE 8
1-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 110.7
6-SOI PHET 107.3
2-MASOCHISTIC 102.9
8-SKY KINGDOM 101.1
5-ROCK ME BABY 100.4

RACE 9
12-CONCERT MAN 68.1
7-FAST MAST 54.0
2-ROYAL TALE 50.6
10-MONEY FAN 46.4
9-INTOCLASSYMISCHIEF 45.1
8-BAMUEL TOI 44.7

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Friday, September 05, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
3-SINGLE LAUNCH 66.4
7-YOUONLYLIVEONCE 61.1
6-TWOATTEN TENATTWO 55.0
4-LATE NIGHT SKY 50.6
8-PRIVATE BOUNTY 49.7

RACE 2
4-TASHA'S COURAGE 59.6
7-JULIET'S TIZZY 56.5
10-ENLISTED MAN 54.5
8-TRIBAL NOTE 51.1
5-ELEVEN ZIP 48.8

1st time starters - 1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-ONE MORE ROLL 43.8
4-MCSWISS 42.0
1-LIGETY 34.4
2-PAPA G 19.7
3-PAPA KADE 18.6 (bumped)

1st time starters - 7, 6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-DREAM POLICE 52.6
6-NORTH OF OSWEGO 35.8 (5 wide)
7-KINSALE SAILOR 27.2 (off slow)

1st time starters - 8, 2, 5, 1, 4

RACE 5
3-TATUM'S GOLD 48.3
6-CITY RIDE 46.9
7-REALLY A PRINCESS 43.3
9-SOUTH TEXAS 30.8 (4 wide)
5-TRIBAL EXPRESS 21.9

1st time starters - 4, 8

RACE 6
4-BRANNAMAN 98.4
3-REGALLY SOUL 90.0
1-INCLINE VILLAGE 89.4
2-CHERUBIM 82.0
7-CHIEF LION 76.0

RACE 7
1-PATRIOTS RULE 95.8
4-BETTER BET 82.6
5-SOLID WAGER 77.2
7-WHAT A VIEW 66.4 (3 wide)
6-ARTIC CODE 60.1

RACE 8
12-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 54.0
5-TRIUNFO 53.5
6-RADIANT DANCER 51.6 (3 wide)
11-PERSISTING 44.2
10-SEVENINTHESEVENTH 37.4
9-DEER DECARCHY 35.8

1st time starters - 8

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Thursday, September 04, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS -SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,000 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Wednesday, September 03, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING FOR WEDNESDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR TODAY. THE PICKS WILL RETURN ON FRIDAY FOR THE LOS ALAMITOS MEET.

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Monday, September 01, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
10-RYDERROO 78.4
7-FAITH HOPE LOVE 73.7
5-BEST IN CLASS 58.5
4-SMART TYPICAL 54.5
8-CHAIN LIGHTNING 51.1

RACE 2
3-SUPER REAGAN 76.0
8-CONTRIBUTOR 68.7
1-UPTOWN BIG BROWN 68.1
5-GO BLACK TIE 61.6
4-JIMMY'S DATE 60.4

RACE 3
10-WICKED FINANCE 83.8
2-YES YES YES 78.4
7-WANSTEAD GARDENS 72.0 (broke slow)
6-DISTINCTIVE B 68.6
5-COGNOSCENTE 64.8

1st time starters - 4, 8 (in U.S.A.-fgn.), 12, 9

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-WAKE UP NICK 79.6
2-TRUELY QUICK 62.7
1-CARDIAC 59.6
8-GLOBAL MAGICIAN 56.0
4-COMANCHE RULER 55.5

RACE 5
5-LADY ASANO 93.9
4-TIZ MIDNIGHT 92.6
8-IRISH PRESENCE 91.3
6-PROUD VIXEN 87.5
7-MY HAPPY FACE 86.3

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
5-SHE'S COMPLETE 72.0
3-HEART OF PARADISE 71.4
2-DIVA EXPRESS 67.5
1-ACHIEVER'S LEGACY 63.6
9-MADAM AAMOURA 60.1

RACE 7
6-PULLA TRAIN 95.9
3-NEXT SPEAKER 88.8
4-TEST RIDE 85.6
9-FINAL STEP 83.1
11-GIANT EGO 80.8

RACE 8
3-PRIME ISSUE 94.5
6-SEEKING THE WEST 93.2
8-PEPNIC 92.6
5-SWEET SUNSHINE 91.3
2-GOT EVEN 90.7

RACE 9
7-PARRANDA 99.1
6-WISHING GATE 98.4
9-MISS SERENDIPITY 97.8
5-COZZE UP LADY 95.8
1-STORMY LUCY 91.3
4-HEAT DU JOUR 91.3

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
13-MATTY'S TRIBAL 36.6
3-LUCKY LOGAN 17.4
14-BETTER LUCK 10.5

1st time starters - (10 horses - no selections)

RACE 11
1-NO EZ MONEY 72.6
4-DEHERE IS GONE 72.6
9-TRIBAL DUDE 69.2
5-STORM THE HEAVENS 66.4
10-RED MAN RUN 63.8
12-CHATTERING CLASS 60.6


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