Thursday, July 31, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



NOTE: NO FREEPICKS OR HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS TODAY. PICKS AND SELECTIONS WILL BE BACK UP FRIDAY.

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Wednesday, July 30, 2014

 
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
7-BIG JOHN B 98.4
4-TIGAH 93.9
3-AMERICAN ACT 86.9
5-STONEY FLEECE 86.3
2-THIRTYFIRSTSTREET 81.0 (off May 13)

RACE 2
6-LIVE FOR NOW 85.6
5-ICONIC SPIRIT 77.8
3-CAPRAIA 62.7 (off slow)
4-SOUTHERN SUNSHINE 61.4
8-REVEERCHON 52.6

1st time starters - 1

RACE 3
9-ROMAR SUCCESS 91.3
6-MAXX THE GIANT 82.6
4-NUMBER FIVE 78.4
5-WARRENS CLIFF S. 76.0
1-HARNESS MENTALITY 70.3

RACE 4
4-ROCKED TWICE 78.4
2-PUPPY MANNERS 72.0
5-CRUX 68.1
6-RED N BLACK ATTACK 67.5
3-TOSHEEN 58.5

RACE 5
5-SHEZA DISH 68.6
12-LAMAZONE 62.0
1-L X SUNRISE 57.2
2-ANN'S GOLD 56.5
7-UP THE ALLEY 56.0
11-YUR TEASING ME 56.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
2-SEVE'S ROAD 47.8 (3 wide)
5-P CLUB 45.1
4-NAKAMOTO 35.4 (broke in)
8-VISITATION 14.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 10, 9, 6, 3, 1, 11

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-WAKE UP NICK 82.0
6-PERADVENTURE 78.4
1-ATTA' BOY WOODY 64.8
3-LONDON LEGACY 60.1
2-COLORADO STRONG 58.5

RACE 8
6-RON'S BOY 55.5
1-ELEVEN ZIP 52.1
8-TRIUNFO 51.1
5-COYOTERO 50.6
10-NO BACHI 47.4
13-STORM THE HEAVENS 44.6

1st time starters - 3, 2

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Tuesday, July 29, 2014

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, July 28, 2014

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,965 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, July 27, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






NOTE: DUE TO THE HIGH NUMBER OF ACCIDENTS ON THE NEW TURF COURSE ALL TURF RACES HAVE BEEN TAKEN OFF THE TURF COURSE TODAY.


RACE 1
11-TRIBALIST 69.1
9-BADASMYWIFELETSMEB 61.1
1-STEPPINGOOD 55.0 (off Dec. 13)
8-SICILIAN SALUTE 47.8 (off slow)
12-FORT CADY 34.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3, 2, 10, 6, 7, 5, 4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
9-SOUL FLYER 46.4
2-PRINCESS BERTRANDO 44.2
1-DESERT STEEL 42.4
7-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 37.8 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3, 4, 5, 8, 6

RACE 3
3-FRIENDLY BANTER 83.1
7-TENKILLER KID 81.4
2-WELCOME HOME RYAN 72.0
9-USBEK THUNDER 69.2
6-WOODSMANS LUCK 67.6
5-MALIBU WAY 67.5

RACE 4
7-CHATI'S ON TOP 80.6
3-PASSIONVILLE 75.4
6-SUNSET SKIES 74.4
2-I'M NO PATSY 74.3
1-TIZ A KISS 74.0

RACE 5
12-ETHNIC DANCE 99.1
10-MEGA HEAT 97.1
1-ROCK ME BABY 96.5
3-SOI PHET 95.8
8-UNUSUAL HEATWAVE 94.5

RACE 6
12-NOTHING BUT AIR 62.2
7-TIM'S GO GIRL 60.6
3-BETTY BING BING 60.1
9-PUTTYBADSHARK 59.0
14-LEONA PEGASUS 58.5

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-STARLET O'HARA 56.0 (off slow)
7-MIDNIGHT CANDY 54.0
9-MAKE THE SUN SHINE 50.2
5-MORNING COFFEE 44.6
10-MISS MANDATE 34.2

1st time starters - 4, 6, 3, 2, 8

RACE 8
2-GOLDENCENTS 123.0
3-DECLASSIFY 112.2
6-BIG MACHER 111.4
5-SEEKING THE SHERIF 111.4
1-INDEXICAL 91.9

RACE 9
4-PERSONAL DIARY 86.9
2-SISTAS STROLL 86.9
12-KOOL KAT 80.8
5-DISREGARDED 80.2
9-KUKALUKA 79.6

RACE 10
11-Q'VIVA 69.8
14-EXCLUSIVE GIRL 68.6
13-RYDERROO 63.8
3-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 57.5
6-PRIVATE MARINA 54.5
7-DESERT MADAM 54.5

1st time starters - 4, 10, 12



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Saturday, July 26, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $77,661.

RACE 1
4-OFF THE DEEP END 91.9
7-MAGNA WARRIOR 85.6
6-PRESIDING JUSTICE 85.0
1-GRAND HUMOR 82.6
2-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 65.9

RACE 2
10-INCLINE VILLAGE 94.5
4-CHERUBIM 93.2
5-BETTYS BAMBINO 92.6
12-REMIND MEE 91.3
13-DERRINGER 90.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
4-TATUM'S GOLD 49.2
7-SWEET MZ. POPPET 42.0
3-TIME FOR ACTION 10.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 2, 6, 5, 9, 8, 10

RACE 4
2-SUNDAY RULES 96.5
4-ROVENNA 93.9
8-GO WEST MARIE 85.6
3-BONUS SPIN 83.8
7-WONDERFUL LIE 72.6

RACE 5
2-BARUTA 86.3
12-ANOTHER SKY 84.4
6-WINNING RHYTHM 83.2
1-ZANBO 82.5
8-TOPPERS SUNSHINE 80.8
13-LIL SWISS ECHO 80.8

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-HOMER MATT 69.2 (3 wide)
1-TEXAS RED 48.3 (hopped at start)
5-RED BUTTON 44.6 (off slow)

1st time starters - 7, 3, 9, 6, 8, 2, 11

RACE 7
2-BIG CAZANOVA 107.3
9-R S WATSON 97.1
3-SEEKING THE WEST 95.8
8-TOLEDO EDDIE 94.5
7-BIG TIRE 88.1

RACE 8
2-IMPERATIVE 107.3
3-FRAC DADDY 101.1
7-HONDURAN 99.8
8-SUMMER HIT 98.4
9-HANDSOME MIKE 97.8

RACE 9
1-NOWALKING 90.6 (off slow, 3 wide)
12-GRACHUS THE HUNTER 77.8
11-BAYVIEW DRIVE 75.4
14-SPRING ACTION 74.3
2-YES YES YES 68.1

1st time starters - 13

RACE 10
8-MALIBU COLONY 85.6
14-PRESSURE TIME 83.1
3-THE TOM SQUAD 76.6
9-DEHERE IS GONE 76.0
6-COPPER BAY 70.8
10-CLUBHOUSE ROCK 70.3

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Friday, July 25, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-WILD HEART RUN 41.6
6-CORA ELIZABETH 40.7
8-LADY DASH 36.2
1-DELANEY'S JOY 30.8 (squeezed at start)
9-BULLET CHASER 15.3 (off slow)

1st time starters - 4, 3, 2

RACE 2
10-GAL HAS TO LIKE IT 94.5
8-HALF DOME DUDE 93.2
5-NEWFOUND GOLD 87.5
2-KOAST 86.9
1-MY JEALOUS 83.8

RACE 3
10-HOBBITS HERO 91.3
5-CLEVER ROYAL 84.4
1-CONTRIBUTOR 75.4
2-HARBAUGH 75.4
9-LOCAL ONE THIRTY 74.9
3-NEWPORT RED 74.9

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-WESTWARD 50.2
10-MIKES LION 46.0
8-ONE MORE ROLL 44.6
7-AARON'S THUNDER 39.0
6-KALIMBA 22.5

1st time starters - 3, 2, 4, 5

RACE 5
3-IRISH PRESENCE 90.7
7-MASTER THE BLUES 88.9
4-HEAT DU JOUR 86.9
5-MELANISTIC 81.4
8-LADY ASANO 80.8

RACE 6
11-UPBEAT MOOD 91.3
10-NATALIE PAIGE 86.9
8-INTOXICATING MOVE 85.0
7-TARN 84.4 (off July 13)
14-BAND OF AMBER 84.4

RACE 7
8-SKY KINGDOM 105.2
4-OLD TIME HOCKEY 100.4
2-LONGVIEW DRIVE 97.8
1-LIDERIS 91.9
7-BAILOUTBOBBY 91.9

RACE 8
5-EVERLOVIN WOMAN 80.2
11-MISS SUPER QUICK 70.9
9-SUMMEROFSIXTYTHREE 61.6 (off slow)
4-DOODETTA 56.0
12-MARGIE'S MINUTE 32.6

1st time starters - 2, 3, 10, 8, 6, 7, 13

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Thursday, July 24, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: NO FREEPICKS OR HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS TODAY. PICKS AND SELECTIONS WILL BE BACK UP FRIDAY.

Wednesday, July 23, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-NICOLE MICHELLE 43.3
6-DANETTE 29.7 (5 wide)

1st time starters - 7, 2, 1, 3, 4

RACE 2
9-SUSAN B GOOD 77.8
1-EUROCLYDON 67.0
7-THREE BLONDES 67.0
10-JENNY'S V. 64.8
11-HOT AND PLEASING 60.1

1st time starters - 6

RACE 3
7-GIA IS A BELLA 67.0
5-WINNINGINFASHION 67.0
3-WARRENS LIL MARGIE 64.3
1-POINT ENDURANCE 54.6
2-BOBBYLOUIE 46.9

RACE 4
3-TRIBAL PEACE 81.4
9-MIZZILLI 78.4
1-FANNY BRICE 77.2
4-WOEBEGON 76.6
5-ROSEWHITENBLUE 72.6

RACE 5
7-MAL VERDE 98.5
2-GANGAM GUY 91.3
12-THREE VASES 87.5
10-CAT MEETING 84.4 (off Nov. 12
9-UNUSUAL TASTE 82.6

RACE 6
5-NEW NATURE 69.3
1-CHILCOTIN 64.3
7-MARLA HOOCH 62.6
3-I'MSOULFLATTERING 61.6
6-SWISSARELLA 58.5

RACE 7
3-RAISED A SECRET 99.8
2-MY SLEW 98.4
8-KATES EVENT 97.8
12-PRODIGIOUS 95.8
11-QUALITY PLAN 94.5 (off July 13)

RACE 8
7-BAROCCI 105.2 (off Oct. 13)
6-SAFETY BELT 100.4
1-BOYETT 97.1
9-RANGI 95.8
5-NO JET LAG 93.2

RACE 9
9-MENSA HEAT 88.1
1-FORMAT V. 80.2
12-CARBONITE 79.0
5-WHEN WE MET 72.6
10-MASTER CHEF 72.0
8-SHINING SON 69.2

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Tuesday, July 22, 2014

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ABOUT MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, July 21, 2014

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,956 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, July 20, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-L T RECKLESS 82.0
2-WHEN I'M CALLING U 76.6
3-AMONG THE STARS 67.0
6-SHE'S FLUSH 59.0
5-SCREAMIN EARLIENNE 56.0

RACE 2
5-TIGAH 99.8
1-ZIMMER 90.2
2-TONES 90.0
3-PULPIT'S EXPRESS 90.0
8-MR T BIRD 88.1

RACE 3
5-JOEANDBETTY'SBABY 77.8
4-THERMAL NERMAL 76.0
8-SAPPHIRE BREEZE 75.4
9-ITZ A SAINT 73.7
3-LADY VIVIEN 69.2

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-DADDY'S DUO 61.1

1st time starters - NO SELECTIONS, 9 HORSES

RACE 5
2-SUMMER FRONT 112.2
6-TOM'S TRIBUTE 110.1
1-SPRING UP 95.8
5-UNBRIDLED COMMAND 89.4
3-COGITO 86.3(off July 13)

RACE 6
5-SHYSHEISNOT 69.8
9-DUTCH CHOCOLATE 56.5
3-JENNAKINS 53.0
4-BILGER'S SAPPHIRE 34.5

1st time starters - 7, 1, 2, 6, 8

RACE 7
9-VALLEY CAT 102.8
7-POSHSKY 93.2
4-SNAPS 92.6
3-HEAT FLASH 89.4
6-PRESS BARON 84.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
3-CONQUEST ARCHANGEL 51.1
7-LANIE BRITT 35.0

1st time starters - NO SELECTIONS, 8 HORSES

RACE 9
11-SWEET PROFIT 93.2
9-PROVENANCE 89.4
12-D'YA KNOWWHATTIMEAN 87.5
10-SENZA FINA 80.2
6-TWELVE FOLDS 79.6

RACE 10
9-REDRESSTHEBALANCE 85.6
3-NOISE OF THE CROWD 83.8
1-ELEGANT 80.2
10-PLAZA DE INDIAS 76.6
4-WARREN'S GUSSIE 73.7 (off April 13)

RACE 11
9-PLAY MAKER 65.4
4-JULIET'S TIZZY 62.7
7-LUCKY JACK 56.5
1-BURNING 48.8
3-SECRET COMMAND 45.1
6-BAMUEL TOI 44.2

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Saturday, July 19, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
NO SELECTIONS - ALL 1ST TIME STARTERS

RACE 2
1-MORE STORMYWEATHER 77.8
6-ADELLUSION 74.3
8-PAY THE DEBT 74.3
4-TWO STEP FLOR 73.1
2-MOSCATO GIRL 67.5

RACE 3
9-YARD LINE 106.6
4-AWESOME RETURN 93.9
8-DYNAMIC DECISION 90.7
2-SAWYER'S HILL 83.2
11-FOOTSTEPSINBRONZE 82.5

RACE 4
2-MAVERICKS GUN 89.4
11-WILL TRUE UP 77.7
10-REDISTRIBUTE 75.9
9-JUSTIFICATION 72.6
7-RUN HIDE 70.9 (off Sept. 13)

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
4-SOCIAL REQUEST 10.5 (off slow, 4 wide)
5-BOLD BID 9.9

1st time starters - NO SELECTIONS - 8 HORSES

RACE 6
2-YAHILWA 102.1
6-MOONE'S MY NAME 99.1
13-PEARLSIDE 98.3 (off Aug. 13)
5-BEATRICE 96.2 (off Sept. 13)
10-COZZE UP LADY 95.8

RACE 7
5-GOLD CHASER 86.3
9-SOUTHERN FREEDOM 72.6 (off Aug. 13)
8-HE'S A BLING 67.5
6-MR. ITKINS 62.2
10-RELATIVE TIME 61.3

1st time starters - 7, 2, 12

RACE 8
2-CAMINETTO 94.5 (off Oct. 12)
5-HOLY LUTE 91.3
4-ROYAL F J 90.1
7-TREE OF LIFE 88.1 (off Nov. 13)
1-GIANT EGO 87.5

RACE 9
7-SANDIVA 96.9
10-SHEZA SMOKE SHOW 88.1
12-MY CONQUESTADORY 88.1
4-DIVERSY HARBOR 83.8
8-ISTANFORD 83.8

RACE 10
12-CANDY FOR DEBBIE 77.2
6-ACCELERANT 74.0
5-USBEK THUNDER 72.0
3-DRESS CODE 70.9
9-MIND THE MASTER 65.9

RACE 11
3-BURNING ARCH 80.8
9-SWEET AS A ROSE 77.8
12-STAR ACT 74.3
14-LOUFOQUE 73.7 (off Oct. 13)
11-ART OF WAR 65.9
10-BIJOUX 64.2 (off Oct. 13)

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Friday, July 18, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $106,931.

RACE 1
2-YES SHE'S A DANCER 42.9
4-LAMIST 24.8 (slow start)
6-MOTOR'N MONA 21.6
3-CHAMPION RISK 16.9 (crowded start)

1st time starters - 7, 1, 5

RACE 2
6-GOSPEL MUSIC 68.1
2-CONCERT MAN 60.6 (off July 13)
5-SLICK CAPER 49.2
4-FOREST ROMANCE 46.0 (off slow)
3-VITE TRIBAL REIGN 34.6

1st time starters - 1, 8, 7

RACE 3
7-SHORT HEAT WAVE 102.5
12-VOLKONSKY 90.7
4-BOOZER 89.5
5-BENBA 88.8
11-GLITTER OF SILVER 88.8

RACE 4
4-DISTINCT ASSET 79.6
5-SUPERBOOT 69.2
8-PIONEER CHARLIE 65.4 (off Dec. 13)
1-TRIBAL DUDE 65.0
9-VAVOOM 63.2

RACE 5
6-ONE MAGICAL GIRL 70.3
3-GOLDILOCKS PLANET 69.8
7-SIEMPRE ESPERANZA 65.9 (off Oct. 13)
5-ELTONINADRESS 65.4
1-RUN SOPHIA RUN 57.5

RACE 6
5-CARACORTADO 103.8 (off Sept. 13)
1-PURE TACTICS 99.1
3-WINE POLICE 97.8
8-ROSENGOLD 93.9
6-ARTEST 93.9

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-LOST BUS 71.4
3-SINGING KITTY 61.6
6-MY FIONA 55.5
4-DESERT THIEF 54.5
1-REALLY A PRINCESS 50.6

RACE 8
12-MISSING GROOM 95.8
4-SMART JOURNEY 82.6
3-UNUSUALLY GREEN 82.0
8-TROY STORY 79.6
13-DICKERY DO 72.6

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Thursday, July 17, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: NO HANDICAPPING PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR TODAY. THEY WILL BE BACK UP STARTING FRIDAY.

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Wednesday, July 16, 2014

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, July 15, 2014

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,951 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, July 13, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-BRANDON'S PRINCESS 58.5
4-WICKED CITY WOMAN 58.5
2-NIKKI ALLYN 47.8
3-SKYROSE 43.3
5-PENNIES FROM DENNY 35.8

RACE 2
1-GETAWAY KEYS 52.6
7-SWISS HEART 48.3
3-MY WISH COME TRUE 42.9
2-AFLEET ECHO 35.0
4-OINKUS 25.4

1st time starters - 6

RACE 3
2-WAKE UP NICK 81.4
1-BAD READ SANCHEZ 80.2
6-PERADVENTURE 80.2
4-STORY TO TELL 77.2
3-HENRY'S HOLIDAY 68.1

1st time starters - 5

RACE 4
5-TRIUNFO 50.2
3-YODELING HONEY 49.2
1-BEST RANSOM 45.5
6-WARRENSBROTHERBILL 41.1
4-JUWAN 38.6

1st time starters - 2

RACE 5
5-MELANISTIC 82.0
1-HALO LA 75.2
4-FLEET OF GOLD 73.7
3-SWEET TESS 71.0
2-WOODYS WHARF 61.4

RACE 6
4-PRINCESSKATIEBELLA 48.8
1-STEPINMOON 38.2
7-SWISS INTRIGUE 35.0 (off slow)
6-LANA CAPRINA 23.1 (off Nov. 13)
2-PINK LACES 13.3 (off slow)

1st time starters 3, 5

RACE 7
2-SO YOU SAY 43.3
3-CITY RIDE 43.3
1-CHARMSTEALER 20.0 (steadied, 4 wide)
4-ELUSIVE MISTRESS 14.0

1st time starters - 5, 6, 7

RACE 8
2-HEART OF PARADISE 87.5
3-LA GRANGE 75.4 (3 wide)
4-SHH SHE'S OURS 63.2
6-SLEW'S CHARM 47.4
5-ABETS ABET 43.3

RACE 9
2-PATRIOTIC LION 46.4
8-ASTUTELY 37.8
4-MR. CAPPUCCINO 34.6
7-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 33.8
1-NOW YOU'RE IT 29.7 (off Sept. 13)
6-YO HO MARIO GO 26.1 (off slow)

1st time starters - 5, 9

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Saturday, July 12, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-HAMILTONIAN 77.2
4-SACRED OVATION 73.1 (off Nov. 13)
5-RUNAWAY WILDCAT 63.8
3-SMOKIN BOMB 45.1

RACE 2
4-NEXT BOOK 77.2
1-BADASMYWIFELETSMEB 62.9
2-LUCKY GOT EVEN 28.6
6-SMOGCUTTER 20.0 (off Oct. 13)

1st time starters - 3, 5

RACE 3
1-WINE COUNTRY WANDA 52.6
6-STRACCIATELLA 51.1
4-BROADWAY BELLA 45.6
5-WARREN'S FANTASY 37.9
3-AWESOME GIFT 35.0

RACE 4
1-LOS BAMBINOS 82.0
7-TIMELESS INDY 79.0
3-DEWRAG 75.4
4-DYNAMO DIXIE 74.3
6-SENOR RAIN 70.9

RACE 5
3-ROWDY DYLAN 70.9 (off slow)
2-POPSRACER 42.4
5-SADDLE SOAR 28.9

1st time starters - 6, 7, 8, 1, 4

RACE 6
3-GHOST N YOUR HEART 68.1
7-SIZZLING LASSIE 63.8
1-METAXA 59.6
5-FIESTA EXPRESS 55.0
2-IGOTNOSIXES 45.1

RACE 7
6-SAGEBRUSH QUEEN 91.9
3-CLEARLY CONFUSED 90.7
4-HEIR KITTY 88.8
1-TRES BELLE 85.6
5-AMARANTH 82.0

RACE 8
4-DOUBLEDEESONTHETEE 70.9
1-RELATIVELY CORRECT 59.6
2-FRIENDLY HAYS 41.4
5-BRIGHT OCEAN 39.9
3-JEFFERY'S PRIDE 34.6
7-IT'S SUPERMAN 31.9

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Friday, July 11, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $167,021.

RACE 1
2-ROSKO 70.9
1-AFTERNOON SUN 70.3 (off Nov. 13)
3-ELECTROLYTE 69.2
5-TIME TO GO ROBO 63.8
4-AERIAL ARTIST 63.8

RACE 2
2-VALENTINE BOY 78.4
5-VALDIRONE 74.3
3-NIGHT BADGER 70.3
1-BOB CONSULTATION 62.2
4-JUST CALL ME AL 61.1

RACE 3
5-TEN IN EXCESS 66.4
4-TODAI SING 62.2 (off July 13)
2-SAINT LEMONE 55.5
11-TRAVEL FREE 33.8
1-AFLEET ECHO 32.6

1st time starters - 6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
6-G Q GRACE 31.1
1-NAOMI'S GIFT 25.4
7-YAHOOTEE 19.7
4-KEEGERS 11.4 (steadied at start)
5-NOTEMPTEDBYEVIL 10.1

1st time starters - 2, 3

RACE 5
5-IT'S AINE 62.2
8-TRICKY LIZ 61.6
1-PUTTYBADSHARK 57.0
2-RICH IN TRADITION 52.1
6-CLASSIC JOURNEY 46.9

RACE 6
6-OLD PUEBLO 72.0
2-OMAR LITTLE 71.4
3-I BUY GOLD 71.4
7-TRIBAL DESERT 69.0 (off Oct. 12)
4-MIDNIGHT MAYHEM 58.0

RACE 7
2-HANSERELLA 68.1
3-ALWAYS AN ANGEL 66.4
4-GELILA 65.0
1-SHEZA EYEOPENER 62.2
5-TACIT APPROVAL 61.1

RACE 8
5-RUN ROSIE RUN 41.6
4-HER LUCKY SPIRIT 39.5
6-RAJA'S ROSE 30.8
7-BELLISIME 25.8
8-AWESOME REQUEST 15.8

1st time starters - 1, 3, 2, 11, 12


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Thursday, July 10, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $42,460.

RACE 1
5-WARREN'S TRICIA R. 58.5
3-INHERIT THE THRONE 44.4
2-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 44.2
1-JEAN EDWARD 42.0 (bumped)

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
4-ELTONINADRESS 69.8
2-LADY VIXEN 65.9
3-YA WANNA HUG 65.9
1-ASTUZIA 55.1
5-SUICIDE CURVES 54.4

RACE 3
3-MARV 69.2 (off Dec. 13)
9-FAST MAST 60.6
2-DARK TIMBERS 59.6
10-ANGEL CHARGE 45.5
1-ELEVEN ZIP 43.3

RACE 4
4-PAPA'S DANCING 61.9
3-SWISS PERFECTION 50.2
6-DARK CLOUD LADY 28.2
1-DIAMONDS DENA 25.8 (off July 13, off slow)
7-BOLD DECISION 21.9 (off Sept. 13)

1st time starters - 2, 5

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-DON'TMESSWITHNESS 22.2
3-WACKY MISS 21.9
8-WACKETT 21.6
5-DON'T TELL ABBEY 18.6
1-HAPPY DEISY 10.3

1st time starters - 2, 4, 9

RACE 6
7-MUSICAL ARTS 76.6
1-VERSYE 65.4
8-TRIBAL YODELER 55.0
3-RICH IN TRADITION 48.8
5-BODIE GIRL 42.9
2-MISS AMERICAN PIE 42.9

RACE 7
6-DR. SPIN 81.4
2-TENKILLER KID 75.4
3-GOYAN 75.4
4-CRUSHER 72.6
9-CHINA GIRL LOVER 68.7

RACE 8
4-OCTANE 90.7
10-SENATOR BOB 83.8
2-YOUONLYLIVEONCE 83.8
7-ELECTROLYTE 68.6
6-TRULEE SCRAPPIN 65.9
11-AERIAL ARTIST 65.4

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Wednesday, July 09, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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LOS ALAMITOS - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,939 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, July 06, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
6-WRIGHTWOOD 96.5
4-NO DISHONOR 59.5
3-TRU VISIONARY 59.5
1-AERIAL DANCER 59.5
5-RUSTY ROAD 52.6 (4 wide)

RACE 2
5-I LIKE KATHY 78.4
1-HOLLYWOOD PRODUCER 72.6
4-NOTHING TO HIDE 61.6
3-EDDIES CURL 59.6 (off Nov. 13)
2-LADY NOW 57.0

RACE 3
4-LOOP CURRENT EDDIE 57.0
7-TRIUNFO 42.4
5-MONEY TREE 37.4
1-BILLY MAC 36.2

1st time starters - 6, 3, 2

RACE 4
6-HAPPY IDEA 70.3
4-DALLON'S GOLD 70.3
5-BUSHWACKED 67.0
2-W. GILES 65.9
3-NOBLE METAL 53.0

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
4-DELANY'S JOY 29.7 (squeezed at start)
5-TWO SIX WINS 21.9

1st time starters - 7, 2, 1, 6, 3

RACE 6
2-RON'S BOY 58.0 (off Nov. 13)
6-THEY CALL ME MR. P 51.6 (off June 12)
3-WATCH IT BUSTER 37.8
7-PRIDE SEEKER 34.6
1-SYUNCHROTRON 25.1 (off Oct. 13)

1st time starters - 4, 5

RACE 7
4-STARRY SKIES 86.9
2-CLOUDY MOON 78.4 (off March 13)
1-CIDDY'S SONG 77.8 (4 wide)
3-WILD IN THE SADDLE 75.4 (off Nov. 13)
7-LINDZ WINZ 69.2

RACE 8
5-ONNA BUGEISHA 91.9
4-LEGACY 86.3
1-IRISH PRESENCE 82.0
2-MISS RADIANCE 80.2
3-MAKER OR BREAKER 72.0

RACE 9
4-CUNEO 70.4
3-FOREVER FREEDOM 61.6
8-SOUTHERN DIGS 55.6
6-IT'S SUPERMAN 52.6
5-ATASCADERAN 51.0

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Saturday, July 05, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
5-SUPER DEFENCE 67.5
3-LINDY HOPPIN 62.0
4-OEIGHTER 57.7
6-CRAVIN THE HEAT 54.0
1-DESERT MADAM 49.5

1st time starters - 7

RACE 2
9-QUEEN OF THE HILL 72.0
1-HOLLANITA 61.5
5-METAXA 59.6
6-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 58.5
2-WARREN'S ASSASSIN 57.0

RACE 3
3-GOT EVEN 99.8
1-I DON'T CARE 91.3
2-ALPHA BULLET 83.1
5-TRES BORRACHOS 81.4
4-ARKENSTONE 81.4

RACE 4
7-GRAND HUMOR 82.6
5-STORM BID 82.6
4-NO EZ MONEY 75.4
1-SOONER BORN 73.1
6-JOHNS JOURNEY 66.4

RACE 5
3-TAKE A RISK 77.8
1-MYSTERIOUS PROMISE 77.8
2-TIZNOW OR THEN 74.3
7-GO BLACK TIE 67.0
5-SUDDEN RUMOR 66.4

RACE 6
7-CRUX 68.1

1st time starters - 9, 3, 2, 8, 5, 4, 1, 6

RACE 7
7-APPEALING RESUME 82.0
1-SYDNEY'S DARLING 75.4 (off Oct. 13)
5-CREDITCARDROULETTE 74.1
2-RHODIUM 73.1
4-TOUGH BUSINESS 63.5

RACE 8
5-SHARED BELIEF 117.2
7-CANDY BOY 103.1
4-FRIENDSWITH K MILL 93.2
3-CAN THE MAN 91.9
6-TOP FORTITUDE 91.5

RACE 9
2-INFLAMED 49.7 (off Aug. 12)
5-SIXY EDDIE 48.6
9-GRACE VICTORIA 37.0
8-YODELMESOMEMAGIC 33.8 (off June 13)

1st time starters 3, 7, 4, 1, 6

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Friday, July 04, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $28,881

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
1-ROPER 52.1 (broke in)
3-AARON'S THUNDER 25.4 (came out)

1st time starters - 5, 4, 7, 2, 6

RACE 2
7-WICKED HEAT 55.5
2-END OF TIME 48.3
5-UNCLE LUCK 47.8
3-KAEPERNICK 41.9
4-POLISHED SILVER 40.7

RACE 3
3-GAL HAS TO LIKE IT 96.5
1-HALF DOME DUDE 90.0
5-NEWFOUND GOLD 90.0
4-COURTSIDE 86.9
6-MUCHOS BESOS 80.8

RACE 4
7-SLICK CAPER 36.6
4-THREE POINT LUKE 34.6 (bobbled, off Nov. 13)
8-VITE TRIBAL REIGN 32.3
1-ASTUTELY 31.5 (off Sept. 13)
10-DEPOSITION 27.9

1st time starters - 5, 3, 6, 9

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
5-MIDNIGHT CANDY 62.7 (slow start)
8-SOUL CRUSADER 39.9
7-WILD HEART RUN 28.6 (off slow, bumped)
2-LA MEXICANA 14.5

1st time starters - 1, 6, 9, 3, 4

RACE 6
5-PEACENIK 91.3
6-MY SLEW 86.3
3-THE CLEANERS 85.0
4-BRANNAMAN 80.8 (off Aug. 13)
2-INDUSTRY LEADER 70.9 (off Aug. 13)

RACE 7
3-WAR ACADEMY 110.2
5-MAGIC MARK 109.3
6-SKY KINGDOM 104.5
1-OLD TIME HOCKEY 103.6
2-HANDSOME MIKE 99.8

RACE 8
11-MAYIE 52.1
3-SWISS HEART 51.1
7-AMINA PERFECT 42.9
9-MERRY MOON 40.7
4-CHARGER GIRL 35.0
10-AMOUNTED 32.3

1st time starters - 1



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Thursday, July 03, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
3-IM NO PATSY 80.8
4-BODIE GIRL 79.0
2-KID ROLLINS 58.0
1-BROUGHT TO JUSTICE 57.7
5-FIESTA EXPRESS 57.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
8-SWEET MZ. POPPET 46.0
9-DESERT THIEF 42.4
2-FORTUNE'S DAUGHTER 23.8
1-TAKE BACK SPRING 23.1
7-CITY RIDE 16.1

1st time starters - 4, 6, 3, 5

RACE 3
1-CITIZENSHIP 64.8 (off Nov. 12)

1st time starters - 3, 6, 2, 5, 4

RACE 4
7-GAL HAS TO LIKE IT 96.5
11-TOO FAST TO PASS 89.4
8-DERRINGER 88.1
2-STAR ROCKER 82.5
5-SERIOUS 77.8

RACE 5
5-CHATTERING CLASS 61.6
4-CATCANSCAT 55.5
1-VOLUNTARY 48.3
9-ANGEL CHARGE 39.4
6-STORM THE HEAVENS 33.8 (off Nov. 13)

1st time starters - 12, 2

RACE 6
8-BACKSTREET BOSS 75.4
9-SHINING SON 73.1
11-ROSKO 70.9
2-JOHNNY REB 65.4
1-JUSTAMITCH 64.8

RACE 7
9-STORM FIGHTER 112.9
5-FULL DANCER 103.8
7-TRIBAL JEWEL 102.5
3-ROUSING SERMON 99.8
1-SPIRIT RULES 90.2

RACE 8
2-SHEZA EYEOPENER 52.1
9-KATY'S PLUM 40.5
10-ITSHERPREROGATIVE 31.6
6-BEA'S BENCH 30.4
3-WARRENS GOLDNUGGET 28.2
5-SWEET SILICA 25.8

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Wednesday, July 02, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, July 01, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,939 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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