Sunday, February 28, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-GENERAL DAN 77.8
4-ABSOLUTE GLORY 77.2
2-CANDY ARCHES 75.4
3-GRAFTON 65.9
1-OUTSIDE SHOT 65.9

RACE 2
3-GILDED GEM 93.2
6-SHES A REAL KEEPER 85.0 (off April 09)
7-JEHAN 85.0 (off Sept. 09)
4-MINUTE LIMIT 84.4
1-BARBARA'S LOVE 83.9

RACE 3
1-CAPT. SPARROW 92.6
2-POINT ATTENDED 86.3
4-HIGH INTELLECT 83.2
6-MY MAN MURF 80.2
3-CARDINAL ZIN 79.0

RACE 4
1-HALO'S LAW 88.1
8-MEGASTAR 80.2
5-SWEET MAKER 78.5 (off Feb. 09)
2-STARCATTER 76.0

1st time starters - 3, 4, 6, 7

RACE 5
4-DIPLO 53.5
5-MINISTER D'ORO 46.1
3-FULL EFFECT 46.0
6-SWISS CURRENCY 43.3

1st time starters - 2

RACE 6
1-YOU CAN DREAM 88.8
5-SKY MARNI 82.6
6-SINDYFROMSANTACRUZ 82.0
3-VICTORY DANCER 80.2

RACE 7
2-WOMAN WARRIOR 86.3
5-FUND RAISER 85.6
4-MAGICAL VICTORY 79.0
8-HAKA 77.0
7-FOXY BAILEY 76.0
3-MADEL 75.2

RACE 8
2-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 102.5
1-LIVE SUNDAYS 100.4
5-RED SUN 100.4
6-COMPARI 94.8

RACE 9
11-CAPE FINISTERRE 61.6
13-BORN TO SHOP 50.2
10-CHIMU 45.1
2-GOOGLE ME 36.2 (off Aug. 09)
8-MY SECRET LIFE 29.3

1st time starters - 6, 1, 7, 5, 4

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Saturday, February 27, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: AFTER A VERY GOOD DAY THURSDAY WE HAD A GREAT DAY FRIDAY.
MY TOP PICKS WON 7 OF THE EIGHT RACES FRIDAY WITH ONE SECOND PLACE. THE PICK SIX AND THE LATE PICK FOUR WERE ALL TOP PICKS THAT WON. WE WON RACE 1 AND RACES 3 THRU 8.

RACE 1
6-INITIAL IMPRESSION 63.8
2-WEDDING GIFT 56.0
1-KAHULA MIST 55.5

1st time starters - 3, 5, 4

RACE 2
1-SIMPLY PUT 80.2 (off June 09)
7-HUMBLE MAGGIE GO 53.5
2-HOSTILE REACTION 51.6
4-WARREN'S GRANDSLAM 50.6

RACE 3
2-FENICE 88.1
6-LASER POINT 83.8
1-PAT'S LEGACY 82.6
5-SHELTER ISLAND 80.8

RACE 4
1-ONE MAN'S DELIGHT 85.1
7-ABSOLUTLYPOSITIVLY 79.6
8-DANA DYNAMO 73.7 (off April 09)
4-DONTMESROUNDWITJIM 71.1 (off Feb. 09)

1st time starters - 3, 6

RACE 5
7-MARQUET REBEL 79.0
6-COUNTRY TOUGH 70.9
4-CHOP HOUSE GEORGE 70.3
5-A BIG TO'DO 69.8
2-BIG WATER 69.2

RACE 6
1-PHOENICIAN STAR 76.0
7-NINTH INFANTRY 72.6
3-LANA'S LOVELY 70.3
5-NAUGHTY MARIANA 65.9
8-EURO GAL 65.4

RACE 7
3-CAVANAL 94.5
7-CHANGING 94.4
11-GREY STORM 91.3
5-RUMMYSECRET WAR 85.0
2-MIND THE MINISTER 84.4

RACE 8
2-KETTLE RIVER 97.1
10-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 86.9
1-THE PROGRAM 85.0
5-SETSUKO 84.4
8-EL MIRAGE KING 81.1

RACE 9
10-SENIOR SECURITY 53.0
4-HARMONY'S HOPE 52.6
1-KRAKOW QUEEN 51.1
9-EXCESSIVE CHATTER 44.2

1st time starters - 3, 2, 5, 8

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Friday, February 26, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: THURSDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 5 RACES WITH 2 SECONDS. MY TOP SELECTION ON 1ST TIMERS IN THE 3RD RACE ALSO WON. MY SECOND PICK WON THE 6TH RACE ($17.40). NOT A BAD DAY AT ALL.

RACE 1
3-PARK TIME LUCK 66.4
2-QUADRIGA 60.6
5-RIGHT TO WORK 59.6
1-IMPERATRIZ 58.0
4-YOU KNOW I WANCHA 57.0

RACE 2
6-GET OFF THE SUGAR 84.4
4-SIDEPOCKET LOU 82.6
2-TONY MONTANA 63.8
1-WARRENS FLYIN HIGH 63.8

RACE 3
4-LULLABYTIME 90.0
6-POWEROFVOODOO 79.6
3 GULA GOLD 63.8
2-LE GRAND AMOUR 62.7

RACE 4
4-IVORY FUDGE 79.0
1-TITUS AURELIUS 68.2
5-SAND SEAS 61.6
3-SIROCCO STRIKE 57.0

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
7-KRIS SILVER 100.4
1-OUR PARTNER 95.8
6-SKELLYTOWN 93.9
2-ON THE VIRG 88.8
4-PLEASURE TO RIDE 87.5

RACE 6
8-TOTAL BULL 99.1
2-POKER DAVE 97.1
7-MR. HOT STUFF 90.7
3-NEVER 90.7

RACE 7
4-TEMERITY 94.4
9-REMUS 88.8
7-GREEN CARD JAMES 87.5
5-ONE VOTE 84.4
8-BRUSHBURN 84.4

RACE 8
8-RENZO SEAN 63.8
6-PRINCE NOVETTI 60.6
5-BERNSIE'S BABY 57.5
2-WHIZER 53.0
3-WHO'S YOUR WIDADY 50.6 (off July 09)

1st time starters - 9

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Thursday, February 25, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-RECESS 70.9
2-TWOFORMEONEFORYOU 58.0
1-SPORTS EDITION 56.0
5-STORMY RACER 53.0
3-BONITA BIRDIE 52.1

RACE 2
5-WILLIE THE FOX 70.3
4-REALLY UPTOWN 67.0
2-BIDEN MY TIME 64.3
3-CAT CALLOWAY 59.0
1-TOWSER 55.5

RACE 3
5-MS MARGARITAVILLE 62.7
1-OUR BELLINI BIKINI 61.6
3-MADDYABOUTYOU 47.2

1st time starters - 6, 4, 2

RACE 4
5-LUCKS MINE 69.8
1-CIRCLE DRIVE 66.3
6-TRIBAL FACE 65.7
2-SIBERIAN HEART 64.3

RACE 5
1-RIDE ALONG 77.2
5-PRINCE OF GOTHAM 77.0
2-GOBBLER'S KNOB 70.9
4-PERFECT ENVOY 65.9
3-WARREN'S KONG 64.3

1st time starters - 6

RACE 6
4-INDIARA 69.2
3-PULPIT MAGIC 65.4
9-MISS CELEBRATION 63.8
5-FIRST SETTLER 62.7
7-L'ENCHANTERESSE 62.7

1st time starters - 2, 1

RACE 7
6-BLAME THE WINE 80.8
7-A CLEVER TEN 79.6
5-HEAVENLY N' FREE 76.6
2-BRAN JAMMAS 71.2 (off Aug. 08)
1-BE DRIVEN 70.3

RACE 8
10-DEVIL ON THE ROOF 81.4
8-HOLLADAY ROAD 69.3
5-BIG JAY 63.2
4-SILVERADO GOLD 61.1
1-WARREN'S JUAN 59.6

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Wednesday, February 24, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-WARRENS MATCHMAKER 54.5
2-KISS'EM FOR ME 51.0
1-MISS SEAMLESS 51.0
4-MUSICAL GRACE 40.5

RACE 2
6-SOVEREIGN LORD 80.8
5-TIGER BLITZ 77.2
3-ORIENT EMPEROR 73.9
4-EXILE 68.7

RACE 3
5-SUSAN'S WILDCAT 78.4
3-RICHELLE'S JOY 73.1
1-UNKNOWN HEAT 72.6
9-BROKEN SILENCE 72.3
6-MEILI 71.4

1st time starters - 8

RACE 4
2-UNDERGROUND 85.6
5-TORO BONITO 80.2
6-STEVIE'S AFLEET 80.2
4-REAL FANCY RUNNER 76.5

RACE 5
7-SILENT STALK 78.4
2-ULTRA AWESOME 74.9
3-BOMBING TWO 64.8
10-LOVELY LOLLY 63.8

RACE 6
3-TRIBAL JUSTICE 87.5
2-WOLGAN VALLEY 86.3
7-HIDDEN BLESSING 85.6
8-LUCKIEST MAN 83.2 (off April 09)

RACE 7
1-ALPHA KITTEN 95.8 (off Jan. 09)
2-GLORIFIED 93.9 (off April 09)
5-HEARTLESS VIXEN 88.8 (off Mar. 09)
3-VIA VENETO 81.4

RACE 8
4-BETTINGONTHEFLY 62.7
3-ROOS ON THE LOOSE 61.1
9-FERMELIA 60.6
1-KIM'S LEADING MAN 57.5
7-EDENISE 44.6

1st time starters - 5, 8, 2

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Tuesday, February 23, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, February 22, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?

I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1560 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, February 21, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-IRISH PEPPER 59.0
9-RACING RACHEL 57.0 (off April 09)
3-WARRENSMYSTERYDICES 55.5 (off Dec. 08)
1-COURTLY COUTURE 53.5

1st time starters - 4, 8

RACE 2
6-HOT DAMON 88.8
3-PINSTRIPE KID 85.6
5-NORVSKY 84.4
1-NITRO ACTIVE 83.8
4-TOP FEELING 81.4

RACE 3
7-CALIFORNIA COLONEL 47.6
3-UNUSUAL ENCOUNTER 46.4
8-ANCIENT WISDOM 46.0
5-GUADALUPE LUPE 45.5
4-COOKIE'S JEWEL 43.8

RACE 4
9-SUZIQCUTIE 82.6
4-COMPANY SECRET 67.8
1-HAVENS LAKE 63.8
5-SLEWS COPY 59.6
6-I SWEAR 59.6

RACE 5
2-TIMES GONE BY 103.1
8-UNUSUAL SMOKE 88.8
7-POLONIUS 88.8
4-LEASE OF LIFE 87.5
6-GLOWING PRAISE 86.9

RACE 6
10-DOMINANT CURRENCY 79.6
9-BONNIE BLUE FLAG 77.8
7-COME HOME QUICK 69.8
2-BRAZILIAN CHARM 65.4

1st time starters - 4, 1, 6, 5, 8, 3, 11

RACE 7
1-YODELADY O 81.4
6-SALTY SARAH 75.9
7-STASH 74.3
10-JOINT AGREEMENT 73.7
3-PINK DIAMOND 73.4

RACE 8
1-DYNAMIC RANGE 97.8
8-SUDDEN WAR 96.5
9-PORFIDO 95.2
6-OBRIGADO 92.6

RACE 9
1-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 70.3
8-BOLD TYPE 61.6
14-SKY SEARCHER 60.6
3-WORKING CAPITAL 60.1
5-CENTRIFUGE 59.0

1sttime starters - 6, 4, 10, 12, 13

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Saturday, February 20, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-CACTUS FLYER 70.9
4-TERRIFY 69.8
5-KAZROD 68.6
1-HIT THE BRIX 62.7
6-WARREN'S BECKA 62.2

RACE 2
7-HEROI DO BAFRA 91.9
3-SOUVENIR SLEW 77.8
4-AUTOCUE 77.8
6-CADEAUX DU MONDE 67.5
5-GRAFTON 66.4

RACE 3
6-BRUIN BALLET 56.5
9-MELBISHA 55.5
2-IDA OF MARCH 51.6
3-DONIA 48.3

1st time starters - 5, 7

RACE 4
5-PRECIOUS DUKE 86.9
1-ARKHAM ASYLUM 73.7
6-MINISTERS ALTARBOY 70.9
3-GOOD TURN 69.2

RACE 5
8-FYVIO 85.6
9-LETS GO INDIAN 74.0
6-FACE AND AN ACE 67.5
3-FANDINO 47.8

1st time starters - 1, 4, 5, 7, 10, 11, 2

RACE 6
5-WARREN'S MOON 68.1
3-COSTANTA 66.1
8-SEA EMPRESS 61.1
1-DUBAI MACAU GIRL 55.5

1st time starters - 4, 9, 7, 2

RACE 7
10-ACUTE VELOCITY 68.3
1-MAKIT TILL MIDNITE 64.8
11-SAINT CINDY 62.2
8-MAEVE 60.6
9-AISLEBEBARBIE 59.6
7-ALPHABET CAT 59.0

RACE 8
6-IN THE SLIPS 86.3
4-ANDINA 85.0
8-ORCHESTRATOR 76.0
3-CITY TO CITY 74.3

RACE 9
4-DANCING IN SILKS 112.2
3-BOB BLACK JACK 112.2 (off Dec. 08)
5-BESTDRESSED 99.8
6-VENTANA 99.1

RACE 10
2-OL'DOGTOWN 59.0
3-CHAILEPIS 51.1
4-MAGIC DUST 39.4
6-MAJOR MADAGAN 38.2

1st time starters - 5, 10, 1, 8

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Friday, February 19, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-UNUSUAL JANE 83.2
2-TALLAHSOCEAN 78.4
3-STANFORD DOLLY 78.2
5-CHERIE'S DREAM 75.4

RACE 2
1-CHANGING 89.4
2-CRAIG'S STORM 77.7
4-STAND TALL 75.4
3-RAINGEAR 73.7
5-PROFESSIONAL COURTESY 73.1

RACE 3
7-DAVE'S REVENGE 86.4
9-ANDALACIA 81.4
3-FOREVER MY LOVE 79.0
8-SINDYFROMSANTACRUZ 77.6

RACE 4
7-FAMILIAR SHINE 54.5
3-FAVRE N AWAY 54.5
10-WETASKIWIN 53.0
2-QUILLOTANO 52.1

1st time starters - 11

RACE 5
1-WIN ALLISON WIN 90.0
6- WARREN'S APPEAL 85.6
5-LEXLENOS 84.4
3-PLAYA BONITA 80.8
4-ALPINE YODEL 80.8

RACE 6
7-VICTORY WITH HONOR 83.8
4-CLOSE TO THE EDGE 78.2
3-STEPHEN'S GOT HOPE 75.8
2-SILK STREET 72.6

1st time starters - 6

RACE 7
4-A JEALOUS WOMAN 93.9
6-CHERRYBLOSSOMMISS 93.8
5-WELKEN 90.0
1-DEVINE ACTRESS 89.4
2-DON'T FORGET FAITH 89.4

RACE 8
5-KALOOKAN COMMANDO 69.8
2-BORN TO SHOP 54.0
11-SALTWATER M D 53.5
1A-UNUSUALLY LUCKY 52.6
3-BORN TO SHOP 51.1

1st time starters - 8, 7, 12, 1

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Thursday, February 18, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-BROOKIE GIRL 61.1 (off Aug. 09)
3-FLASHY TRAVELER 57.0
1-TOUCH LUCK 43.3 (off Jan. 09)
2-TRIPPED FUSE 26.5

1st time starters 4, 6

RACE 2
3-ABSOLUTE GLORY 79.6
5-GENERAL DAN 77.2
8-CAMISADO 76.6
1-CANDY ARCHES 76.0

RACE 3
8-TORREY CLIFFS 72.6
1-SPANISH BUNNY 70.9
6-FOXY APPROVAL 61.6
3-WARRENS SWEETHEART 59.0

1st time starters - 4

RACE 4
6-A SASSY FUSAICHI 74.3 (off May 09)
7-BREWHA BABY 73.1
4-FIONA FREUD 70.9
3-OAKHILL GIRL 69.2

RACE 5
1-TAMERIN 92.6
9-SLEEP TIGHT 92.6
4-BIRDIE BIRDIE 90.0
3-CARNIVAL QUEEN 83.3

1 st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 6
4-WITTY 108.6 (off May 09)
2-JOFFE'S RUN 88.1 (off May 09)
3-U R ALL THAT I AM 86.9
5-MADE FOR MAGIC 82.6

RACE 7
3-THE TOWN LADY 84.6
1-ALWAYS IN STYLE 81.4 (entry)
8-POWEROFVOODOO 79.0
9-SAMATHA'S RULE 75.4
10-TIZZY RETSINA 74.3
5-BOEHLE 74.0

RACE 8
9-LED ADVANTAGE 64.8
7-POCATELLO WILD KAT 61.6
1-PRESS THE POINT 52.0
4-THIS TIME BABY 51.0
10-MIMI'S COMMAND 48.3
6-LISA LULU 48.0

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Wednesday, February 17, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, February 16, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1557 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, February 15, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-EXILE 73.7
1-FREE LUNCH 73.1
5-FIGEAC 72.6
2-MENSA HEAT 72.0

RACE 2
4-RUN OVER YOU 83.2
5-A ROYAL TIZZY 80.8
2-BRAVE JUSTICE 77.8
3-DEVIL CAT M D 77.7

RACE 3
6-LOCKSLEY HALL 73.1

1st time starters - 2, 3, 5, 1, 4

RACE 4
2-WICKED MISCHIEF 85.0
5-MIDWESTERNER 77.8
7-SWISS SKI 76.6
6-SIDEPOCKET LOU 73.7

RACE 5
10-VAUNDELL 100.3
9-MARK THE BENCH 90.6
2-HOT DAMON 87.5
8-DE CAR GUY 87.5
1-ITSSULTRYINTHECAPE 86.9
5-INDIANSKI 86.9

RACE 6
7-PAYMENT APPROVED 88.8
9-OFF THE WALL 88.8
1-RAYMORRISON 86.9
6-VALKYRIE MISSLE 86.9
2-KING OF CALIFORNIA 86.3 (off Dec. 08)

RACE 7
7-EL MANUEL 102.5 (off July 08)
1-CADILLAC 95.5
6-HIGH STANDARDS 95.2
10-NOBLETY 95.2

1st time starters - 4 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
5-TINY WOODS 87.5
1-QUIET INVADER 86.9
3-SIDNEY'S CANDY 74.9
7-RUNAWAY BANDIDO 71.4
4-CLASSICAL SLEW 69.8 (off Aug. 9)

RACE 9
5-TUSCAN EVENING 103.1
3-PRETTY UNUSAL 99.1
1-CAT BY THE TALE 98.4
10-DAMANIYAT GIRL 92.5

RACE 10
4-D C TAPIT 70.9
6-RAJA 58.0
10-BERNSIE'S BABY 53.6
5-UNCLE DON 53.5
1-NATHANIEL 52.0

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Sunday, February 14, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $516,485.

RACE 1
1-SUPER SOPHIE 77.2
5-CORACAO BEIJO 76.0
3-WHISPERING DIXIE 69.8
4-FEED A FEVER 67.2
6-ARGENTA 66.4

RACE 2
4-BILO 86.3
6-ORIENTATION HALL 83.8
1-POLISH QUEST 67.5
3-A CAT NAMED SNIPE 67.0

RACE 3
5-RED ALERT DAY 102.5
2-GREAT SIEGE 101.8
3-PRINCE REXY 96.5
4-STAR NICHOLAS 91.3

RACE 4
1A-WARRENS CASINO 69.2
3-LEAVING NEW YORK 63.2
6-TIZ ARGENT 62.2
4-WARREN'S KONG 54.5

1st time starters - 5

RACE 5
7-ESPRESSO SPRINGS 82.0
3-CAME ABROARD 76.6
6-MR. SATURDAYNIGHT 72.6
4-BRADIO STATION 71.4
5-PEACOCK ALLIANCE 71.0

RACE 6
5-MALUSITA 85.0
9-YOU CAN DREAM 80.8
8-SKY MARNI 79.0
7-PAST CURFEW 74.3

RACE 7
4-CAPTAIN KALI 95.2
2-ACHAK 92.6
6-FLASHMANS PAPERS 91.9
5-RAINBOW GOOSE 91.3

RACE 8
1-UNRIVALED BELLE 100.4
14-PRETTY UNUSUAL 99.8
10-MISS SILVER BROOK 98.4
13-FLOATING HEART 95.8
8-STARDOM BOUND 95.2

RACE 9
5-MISS OLIVIA K 59.0
7-MOVIE DUTY 59.0 (off Aug. 09)
2-FAIR KISSES 48.8
4-MISS SEAMLESS 45.5 (off slow)
3-LAUGH TIL I CRY 38.6

1st time starters - 1, 6

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Saturday, February 13, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $87,162.

RACE 1
1-KIM'S LEADING MAN 59.6
3-BLACKMAN BAY 50.2
4-MR. BRAGGADOCIO 50.2
6-ROCKY ICE 47.8

1st time starters - 8, 2, 5

RACE 2
2-BOYOBOY 88.8
5-ONE VOTE 87.5
7-I WANNA GO FAST 85.0
3-CUT THE CHECK 80.8

RACE 3
6-MACIAS 87.5
1-MARCELLO 86.1
7-VIA VERDE 77.2
4-ACE OF ACES 74.0
5-JOYFUL SUCCESS 73.7

RACE 4
1-BLIND LUCK 99.1
4-SWITCH 88.9
2-EVENING JEWEL 82.0
3-CRISP 80.8
5-LA NEZ 79.0

RACE 5
6-PUNCTUAL 78.0
1-SANDY CHEEKS 75.6
5-NO MORE TRAVELLIN' 73.4
4-EURO GAL 70.9

RACE 6
2-TIZ CHROME 100.9
3-AMERICAN LION 86.3
4-CARACORTADO 85.0
1-DAVE IN DIXIE 79.6
5-TANGO TANGO 62.5

RACE 7
4-BECRUX 97.8
12-SQUALLCREEK 95.8
10-BONJOUR 94.5
14-WESTERLY MAGIC 92.6
3-RUMBA ALONG 91.3

RACE 8
8-LIFE IS SWEET 110.0
4-MUSHKA 109.3
3-ST TRINIANS 104.5
5-ZARDANA 103.1

RACE 9
1-MISREMEMBERED 110.7
10-SMART BID 104.5
8-RENDEZVOUS 100.4
2-MASSONE 94.8

RACE 10
11-SAW PERFECTION 86.9
9-MAYBE YES 80.4
7-AD INFINITUM 80.2
2-DUKE OF ASPEN 79.3
3-ROYAL F J 79.0
5-LINE OF DAVID 77.0

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Friday, February 12, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-SOUTHERN DEFENDER 70.3
1-MIKEYMIKE 63.8
4-FERMELIA 54.0

1st time starters - 3, 5

RACE 2
2-ASHTON GIRL 90.7
1-SALTY SARAH 81.4
7-SQUEEZE ME TIGHT 74.3
3-WARREN'S R READY 70.3
8-SHANTIKA'S DREAM 69.5

RACE 3
2-UR TURN DUBAI 67.0
6-SWISS ARROGANT 64.3
3-REALLY UPTOWN 62.7
4-SHOW THE FLAG 60.6

RACE 4
4-SALTENDIPITY 68.1
7-SHE'S NOT LION 61.1
5-TRIBALICIOUS 58.5
2-PORTFOLIO 54.5

1st time starters - 1, 8

RACE 5
7-UFFIZI 93.2
2-KABOB 91.3
4-RUMMYSECRET WAR 91.3
11-UNIVERSAL PEACE 84.4

RACE 6
2-CONCORD POINT 103.8
4-BULLDOGGER 97.1 (off Aug. 09)
5-WINTER CAMP 88.8
8-HIGH SUCCESS 81.4

RACE 7
7-PORTO MARMAY 93.9
2-SKEDEE 90.0
3-EMPRESSIVE LADY 89.4
8-MONA DE MOMMA 89.4

RACE 8
11-HYPER LASS 46.0
2-TONKA T. 45.5
3-MISS WINED UP 44.2
8-INFINITY N' BEYOND 43.3
1-MUSICALGRACE 42.4

1st time starters - 5, 10, 12

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Thursday, February 11, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $77,870.

RACE 1
6-ERMINE SLIPPERS 80.8
1-IRISH TORRENT 80.8
2-PRINCESS WINDSHARP 74.3
3-MOLLY PEACHES 74.3
8-SUSAN'S WILDCAT 73.4

RACE 2
8-JUSTICE REIGNS 60.6
6-TALE THE TRUTH 60.6
7-BRAYDEN BUDDY 57.5
4-BEST PLAN 52.1 (off March 09)

1st time starters - 10, 9

RACE 3
6-T. D. VANCE 103.1
4-BESTDRESSED 99.6
8-MR. BOSSY PANTS 97.8
7-GOTHIC SAMURAI 97.1

RACE 4
3-CANTHAVEHIM 57.0
2-SCREAMING DESTINY 47.4

1st time starters - 6, 8, 5, 7, 1, 4

RACE 5
4-RED DOOR DRIVE 87.0
5-AFLEET HOPETOWN 82.2
3-JOHN ELI 80.8
2-AFLEET MAGIC 75.4

RACE 6
7-BIG MAN HAS A SIGN 85.6
6-IMPERIAL PRIDE 72.6
2-SONGFOYA 62.2

1st time starters - 4, 8, 5, 3, 1

RACE 7
1-SEEKING THE QUEEN 86.9
2-CHURCH CAMP 83.2
6-PINK BLOSSOM 78.4
5-SERIOUSLY 73.1
7-SANDY CHEEKS 72.0

RACE 8
10-RECESS 74.9
1-PALOMA'S FLIGHT 69.2
8-SPORTS EDITION 68.1
11-TWOFORMEONEFORYOU 64.3
3-RED ALARM 61.1

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Wednesday, February 10, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-TRAIL MIX 91.9
4-TO THE PENNY 86.3
1-ACQUIRE THE FIRE 85.6
2-MALIBU CANYON 77.2

RACE 2
5-LUCY GOT LUCKY 69.2
1-ALLIE WOLFF 59.3
3-SINGITNSIGNIT 49.2
6-STORMY ANNA 47.8

RACE 3
13-ALL MAN 102.5 (off Jan. 09)
3-WESTERLY MAGIC 90.6 (off Dec. 08)
7-SPIRIT OF COCHISE 88.8
1-VALID MECKE 88.7 (off Dec. 08)
9-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 86.9

RACE 4
10-INDY RIDE 77.8
8-SMOKENOMORE 77.2
4-ABALANCHE 76.0
5-BOO TOO 72.0
3-MEGILLAH 69.8

RACE 5
3-LIFE BY R R 94.5
5-DASH DOT DASH 86.3
1-KIMMYV 85.6
7-SEE N WIN 80.2

RACE 6
3-IF YOU KNEW SUSIE 61.1
7-LANA'S LOVELY 60.6
4-SENIOR SECURITY 56.0
9-KISS EM FOR ME 53.9
8-LISA LULU 51.1

1st time starters - 6

RACE 7
5-DEAL BREAKER 96.5
8-MYTHICAL POWER 95.8
1-MR. BIG 89.4 (off Aug. 09)
9-CIGAR MAN 89.4
2-EUROGLIDE 88.2

RACE 8
3-SPINNING SOUND 73.7
4-RUNFORTHEROSESDAN 73.7
7-FIGEAC 73.0
10-OBJECTIFIED 71.4
6-ARM CHAIR Q B 69.2

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Tuesday, February 09, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, February 08, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1550 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, February 07, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SATURDAY'S CARD WAS CANCELED DUE TO THE BAD WEATHER. I WILL NOT BE POSTING MY PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY:

IF THERE IS RACING THE FIRST POST TIME IS SCHEDULED FOR 11:00 AM PACIFIC TIME.

ENJOY THE SUPER BOWL GAME TODAY.

Saturday, February 06, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $85,150.

RACE 1
2-RED DOOR DRIVE 87.0
8-AFLEET HOPETOWN 82.2
7-COUNTRY TOUGH 77.6
4-PRICE 70.3

RACE 2
6-SALTENDIPITY 68.1
5-SHE'S NOT LION 61.1
4-TRIBALICIOUS 58.5
2-PORTFOLIO 54.5

1st time starters - 1, 7

RACE 3
3-FLUKE 117.9
4-BATTLE OF HASTINGS 107.9
7-BLUE CHAGALL 102.5
8-GREAT SIEGE 99.8
1-SUDDEN WAR 96.5

RACE 4
2-BLIND LUCK 99.1
4-SWITCH 91.9
6-CRISP 85.6
5-EVENING JEWEL 82.0

RACE 5
10-PORTO MARMAY 93.2
8-SKEDEE 90.0
9-EMPRESSIVE LADY 89.4
2-MONA DE MOMMA 89.4

RACE 6
10-A BIG TO'DO 74.6
1-BERTIE BOY 74.3 (off Dec. 08)
6-BIG WATER 71.4
8-CHOP HOUSE GEORGE 69.8
3-FIGEAC 68.1

RACE 7
1-IMPERIAL PRIDE 72.6
4-ROYCE 69.8
3-SONGFOYA 62.2
5-CRAGMONT 60.1

1st time starters - 10, 9, 6, 7, 11

RACE 8
3-TIZ CHROME 100.9
6-AMERICAN LION 86.3
7-DOMONATION86.3
4-CARACORTADO 85.0

RACE 9
9-MISREMEMBERED 110.7
8-SMART BID 103.8
2-RENDEZVOUS 96.5
10-MASSONE 92.8
4-VISCOUNT 91.9

RACE 10
5-LANA'S LOVELY 59.6
1-KISS'EM FOR ME 54.5
7-MUSICAL GRACE 45.5
3-HYPER LASS 45.1
9-MISS WINED UP44.2
12-INFINITY N' BEYOND 43.8

1st time starters - 4, 11

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Friday, February 05, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-GUERRERO NEGRO 60.1
5-FERMELIA 53.5
2-CHEROKEE SUN 41.1

1st time starters - 3, 6 4 (had 2f. race)

RACE 2
6-SAXOPHONE 82.6
5-A ROYAL TIZZY 80.2
1-LARDOG 72.0
8-LITTLE BRO 70.9

RACE 3
4-LADY ALEX 93.9
1-WIN ALLISON WIN 87.5 (off Aug. 09)
12-THERE GOES GEE GEE 85.0
10-MADEL 82.0

1st time starters - 11 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 4
1-SILVERADO GOLD 65.9
3-LICORICEWHIP 64.8
9-WARREN'S JUAN 61.6
8-AFLEET MAGIC 59.8
7-BIG JAY58.5

RACE 5
7-BILO 86.3
3-COOPERATION 79.0 (off Dec. 08)
1-NO GRANDE 78.4 (off Oct. 09)
5-SWISS SKI 76.6
9-SO BEHOLD 76.0

RACE 6
11-ZIGGY'S STARDUST 92.6
5-BRACE YOURSELVES 77.8
1-LINE OF DAVID 77.8
9-EL GRAN MATADOR 72.6
4-SILK STREET 72.4

1st time starters - 7, 8

RACE 7
8-TOTAL BULL 102.5
3-PATRIOTIC SOLDIER 99.1
6-UNCLE JEEP 95.2
4-TACTFUL 93.9

RACE 8
11-QUICK J FINLY 87.5 (off Sept. 08)
13-DELAGO 65.4
1-TALE THE TRUTH 60.6
12-JUSTICE REIGNS 59.6
5-WHIZER 57.0
3-RAJA 57.0

1st time starters - 6

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Thursday, February 04, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-BAD BOY 99.1
5-SELF INSURED 97.1
3-STREETS OF HEAVEN 85.6
4-NITRO ACTIVE 82.6
1-MY MAN MURF 80.1

RACE 2
3-ELLAFITZ 77.2
2-COZI ROSIE 76.6
5-HARISSA 76.0
1-FAIR CHASE 73.4
4-PALEO 63.1

RACE 3
1-PRINCESS SUANCES 86.3
10-QUID NON 84.4
11-BLAME THE WINE 83.2
2-A CLEVER TEN 82.0
5-HIGH NOTE 81.4

RACE 4
5-GILLIGAN 70.9
1-SHOW THE FLAG 65.4
4-SIETE MACHOS 63.6
2-FRANK AND THE GOAT 61.6

RACE 5
2-TEENAGE DANCER 59.0
6-SARABELLA MIA 51.6
3-ATTA' GIRL 49.7
1A-WARREN'S PLAYER 47.4 (entry)

RACE 6
6-WARREN'S JITTERBUG 85.0
9-NICHOLE H 77.2
10-SMOOTHE AS CANDY 69.8
8-EMPIRE SPRING 65.9
2-PULPIT MAGIC 64.8

1st time starters - 4, 1

RACE 7
2-MR. HOT STUFF 91.9
3-NEVER 90.7
6-TAMBORIM 84.4
8-SNOWMASTER 83.2
RACE 8
5-SONOFABLUR 49.7
2-DANDY DANCER 46.4
6-SKY'SQUICKSCORE 45.5
9-SEEKING ROSES 41.1
1-STARRY STRIVE 40.7

1st time starters - 10, 3

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Wednesday, February 03, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $126,946.

RACE 1
3-SOUTHER DEFENDER 73.7
5-CAPE FINISTERRE 63.2
2-PARADISE FOUND 58.8

1st time starters - 6, 1, 4

RACE 2
8-HEROI DO BAFRA 91.3
7-HOCKEY THE GENERAL 86.9 (off Sept. 08)
4-AUTOCUE 80.2
1-GENERAL DAN 79.6

RACE 3
13-BESTDRESSED 109.8
1-CHEROKEE HEAVEN 108.6
3-GET FUNKY 103.8
5-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 103.8 (off June 09)
8-SHADOW OF ILLINOIS 103.8

RACE 4
2-SKY MARNI 79.0
1-ULTRA AWESOME 70.3
8-APACHE ANNIE 70.3
4-CHURCH AVENUE 64.3
7-SLEWS COPY 64.3

RACE 5
2-ABSOLUTLYPOSITIVLY 77.8 (off Sept. 09)
5-GOBBLER'S KNOB 74.6 (off Dec. 08)
9-JULIANO 66.7
8-ONE MAN'S DELIGHT 65.0

1st time starters - 7, 6, 4

RACE 6
4-ACUTE VELOCITY 72.0
5-SOLDIER BETTY 67.5
7-ANGEL OF MYSTERY 65.4
8-FIRST QUEEN 62.2

RACE 7
4-THE PROGRAM 86.9
5-JAIRZIHNO 78.8 (off Oct. 09)
2-INDIAN FIREWATER 75.8
3-GET A GRIP 74.9 (off Sept. 09)
1-DISTORTED DAVE 73.4

RACE 8
6-VEECU 63.1
2-MY LAST TYCOON 62.2
7-BOSTON BAKED BEAN 49.7
5-QUIETLY WAITING 48.3
8-GUADALUPE LUPE 45.5

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Tuesday, February 02, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, February 01, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1545 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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