Tuesday, March 31, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,166 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,166 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, March 29, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-TIMELESS INDY 85.6
4-TRAWEEK 70.9
6-INDUSTRY LEADER 68.1
7-SCORPION WARRIOR 61.1 (off July 14)
3-ZIPPINGAROUNDTOWN 58.0
RACE 2
2-SIR BARCLAY 76.0
5-SUDDEN RUMOR 73.1
4-PAPA'S PAISLEY 70.3
3-DYNAMO DIXIE 64.8
6-COOLINGTON 61.1
RACE 3
3-DERBY GLASS 79.6
7-LARRY BIRDSTONE 78.4
5-BULA BULA 73.1
1-BENTLEY'S GONE 66.4
4-INK WELL 41.4
RACE 4
6-LUCKY VIEWS 84.4
3-NORTHERN IOWA 82.0
1-SAINT DERMOT 79.6
5-SILENT RULER 79.0
4-BRAVE ACT 72.6
RACE 5
6-Q' VIVA 72.0
2-KANTINA KOWGIRL 69.2
1-CINDYS SECRET 60.6
5-JAN'S SPIRIT 59.0
3-SIDEPOCKET RUN 57.5
4-MANGO REWARD 57.5
RACE 6
3-DIXIE DAME 53.0
2-SWEET SILVER 43.8
7-POWERFUL GIRL 42.0
8-RED CARRERA 34.5
4-SPARKLING PEG 30.0 (off slow)
1-BRAZILIAN BARBEQUE 30.0 (off Aug.14)
1st time starters - 9, 6
RACE 7
11-MANGITA 78.4
4-SORENSTAM 76.0 (off Jan. 14)
10-FABLE 75.4
3-NICKLES WILD 69.9
8-THEWANDAOFU 68.1
1st time starters - 2 (in U.S.A.- fgn.), 7
RACE 8
2-MAJESTIC CITY 98.4
3-BLUE TONE 96.5
9-ROUSING SERMON 95.2
7-YOU KNOW I KNOW 93.9
1-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 88.1
1st time starters - 6 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 9
10-YOUNG AND HUNGRY 88.8
8-BEST TWO MINUTES 77.2
2-TIZZING 75.4
9-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 74.3 (steadied)
4-FOREVERLY 70.9
7-TOP FLOOR 64.3 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 6, 3
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-TIMELESS INDY 85.6
4-TRAWEEK 70.9
6-INDUSTRY LEADER 68.1
7-SCORPION WARRIOR 61.1 (off July 14)
3-ZIPPINGAROUNDTOWN 58.0
RACE 2
2-SIR BARCLAY 76.0
5-SUDDEN RUMOR 73.1
4-PAPA'S PAISLEY 70.3
3-DYNAMO DIXIE 64.8
6-COOLINGTON 61.1
RACE 3
3-DERBY GLASS 79.6
7-LARRY BIRDSTONE 78.4
5-BULA BULA 73.1
1-BENTLEY'S GONE 66.4
4-INK WELL 41.4
RACE 4
6-LUCKY VIEWS 84.4
3-NORTHERN IOWA 82.0
1-SAINT DERMOT 79.6
5-SILENT RULER 79.0
4-BRAVE ACT 72.6
RACE 5
6-Q' VIVA 72.0
2-KANTINA KOWGIRL 69.2
1-CINDYS SECRET 60.6
5-JAN'S SPIRIT 59.0
3-SIDEPOCKET RUN 57.5
4-MANGO REWARD 57.5
RACE 6
3-DIXIE DAME 53.0
2-SWEET SILVER 43.8
7-POWERFUL GIRL 42.0
8-RED CARRERA 34.5
4-SPARKLING PEG 30.0 (off slow)
1-BRAZILIAN BARBEQUE 30.0 (off Aug.14)
1st time starters - 9, 6
RACE 7
11-MANGITA 78.4
4-SORENSTAM 76.0 (off Jan. 14)
10-FABLE 75.4
3-NICKLES WILD 69.9
8-THEWANDAOFU 68.1
1st time starters - 2 (in U.S.A.- fgn.), 7
RACE 8
2-MAJESTIC CITY 98.4
3-BLUE TONE 96.5
9-ROUSING SERMON 95.2
7-YOU KNOW I KNOW 93.9
1-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 88.1
1st time starters - 6 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 9
10-YOUNG AND HUNGRY 88.8
8-BEST TWO MINUTES 77.2
2-TIZZING 75.4
9-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 74.3 (steadied)
4-FOREVERLY 70.9
7-TOP FLOOR 64.3 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 6, 3
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, March 28, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-SEE THROUGH 61.4
7-KRISTINITE 55.1
2-CHRISTIANAS MIRAGE 49.0
6-BEVISIONED 48.8
5-TWINKLE TOES 42.4
RACE 2
3-ABETS ABET 51.1
6-RACING FOR CHASEN 48.3
2-TAKE BACK SPRING 41.0
4-WON'T BE SHAKEN 38.6
1-CRUSINGTHEHARBOR 37.0
RACE 3
7-STERLING WAGER 57.0
8-COACH JOHN 56.0
6-GRANDSON AT LAST 54.5
3-DOMINGO CAT 51.6
9-PLAYERS CHARM 48.8 (off Aug. 14)
1st time starters - 2, 4
RACE 4
8-AMELIATHEAVIATOR 81.4
1-ANNIVERSARY KITTY 81.4
6-SAYES SO 79.1
3-FANTASTIC MIZZ 77.2
4-SPELLING AGAIN 76.6
RACE 5
8-CODACIOUS 70.3
7-JEAN EDWARD 62.2
2-WEST MID 55.5 (3 wide)
10-STIPEND 41.1
11-TWENTYFIVE TO LIFE 39.0
1st time starters - 6, 9, 5, 3, 1
RACE 6
7-FRENSHAM 99.1
2-I B MIKE 88.8
1-CHASINTHEACES 87.5
6-KILL SHOT 87.5
12-KAFISTER 86.9
1st time starters - 11 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 7
8-GRANDIOSE TACTICS 90.0
4-HANDFULL 83.8
2-JADE WITH ENVY 78.4
3-TOPPERS SUNSHINE 77.8
5-LOVE BLIND 73.1
RACE 8
4-BRONZO 110.2
5-ARLINGTON HOUSE 99.5
2-DECISIVE EDGE 92.6
1-HELM 89.4
8-SKY KINGDOM 86.9
RACE 9
11-SOLOMON NORTHUP 72.6
13-PAYTHEBANK 68.1
4-CHANITO 67.0
2-NAKAMOTO 67.0
3-ROCKIN ROBIN 65.4
1st time starters - 1
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-SEE THROUGH 61.4
7-KRISTINITE 55.1
2-CHRISTIANAS MIRAGE 49.0
6-BEVISIONED 48.8
5-TWINKLE TOES 42.4
RACE 2
3-ABETS ABET 51.1
6-RACING FOR CHASEN 48.3
2-TAKE BACK SPRING 41.0
4-WON'T BE SHAKEN 38.6
1-CRUSINGTHEHARBOR 37.0
RACE 3
7-STERLING WAGER 57.0
8-COACH JOHN 56.0
6-GRANDSON AT LAST 54.5
3-DOMINGO CAT 51.6
9-PLAYERS CHARM 48.8 (off Aug. 14)
1st time starters - 2, 4
RACE 4
8-AMELIATHEAVIATOR 81.4
1-ANNIVERSARY KITTY 81.4
6-SAYES SO 79.1
3-FANTASTIC MIZZ 77.2
4-SPELLING AGAIN 76.6
RACE 5
8-CODACIOUS 70.3
7-JEAN EDWARD 62.2
2-WEST MID 55.5 (3 wide)
10-STIPEND 41.1
11-TWENTYFIVE TO LIFE 39.0
1st time starters - 6, 9, 5, 3, 1
RACE 6
7-FRENSHAM 99.1
2-I B MIKE 88.8
1-CHASINTHEACES 87.5
6-KILL SHOT 87.5
12-KAFISTER 86.9
1st time starters - 11 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 7
8-GRANDIOSE TACTICS 90.0
4-HANDFULL 83.8
2-JADE WITH ENVY 78.4
3-TOPPERS SUNSHINE 77.8
5-LOVE BLIND 73.1
RACE 8
4-BRONZO 110.2
5-ARLINGTON HOUSE 99.5
2-DECISIVE EDGE 92.6
1-HELM 89.4
8-SKY KINGDOM 86.9
RACE 9
11-SOLOMON NORTHUP 72.6
13-PAYTHEBANK 68.1
4-CHANITO 67.0
2-NAKAMOTO 67.0
3-ROCKIN ROBIN 65.4
1st time starters - 1
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, March 27, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-LUST FOR LIFE 73.1
4-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 70.9
6-SWEETEST SECRET 59.0
5-KOHALA 46.4
2-TRIBAL PEACE 46.0
RACE 2
2-L X SUNRISE 58.0
5-PREVARICATOR 49.7
7-BERNIER 47.4
1-MIDNIGHT LIEN 33.8 (off slow, 3 wide)
6-SWEET TABOO 31.5
1st time starters - 3
RACE 3
8-BOOK THIRTY FOUR 75.4
1-HOWDY 71.0
3-PROHIBITION REPEAL 71.0
4-AIR NASHOBA 61.4
6-AJAC 54.0
RACE 4
5-TIGAH 96.5
4-DR ACTION 85.0
3-SIZZLIN' JOE 84.4
7-JOMELO 79.0
8-MR LEXIS 76.0
RACE 5
7-SHOPPING SAVANNAH 75.4
3-LA CASADORA 68.1
2-PROUD VIXEN 62.7
1-SHY ROSA 61.1
8-ARTICULATE 61.1
RACE 6
7-LUCKY J LANE 97.8
9-OPSEC 95.8
5-ABBEY VALE 95.2 (off April 14)
1-AWESOME RETURN 94.5
4-JULES JOURNEY 87.5
RACE 7
4-HEAD SOUTH 91.3
6-OFF THE DEEP END 90.7 (off Aug. 14)
2-BRANDO THE BIRDMAN 80.2
1-MYTHICAL STORM 73.1 (off July 14)
3-MAUZZIE 68.1
RACE 8
6-CURRENCY EXCHANGE 69.8
11-UPTOWN RYTHEM 69.2
2-VICIOUS 63.6
9-DORTHRAKI 62.2
3-BIG HAT CHARLIE 54.0
8-UNDERWRITE 53.0 (lunged start)
1st time starters - 4, 1
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-LUST FOR LIFE 73.1
4-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 70.9
6-SWEETEST SECRET 59.0
5-KOHALA 46.4
2-TRIBAL PEACE 46.0
RACE 2
2-L X SUNRISE 58.0
5-PREVARICATOR 49.7
7-BERNIER 47.4
1-MIDNIGHT LIEN 33.8 (off slow, 3 wide)
6-SWEET TABOO 31.5
1st time starters - 3
RACE 3
8-BOOK THIRTY FOUR 75.4
1-HOWDY 71.0
3-PROHIBITION REPEAL 71.0
4-AIR NASHOBA 61.4
6-AJAC 54.0
RACE 4
5-TIGAH 96.5
4-DR ACTION 85.0
3-SIZZLIN' JOE 84.4
7-JOMELO 79.0
8-MR LEXIS 76.0
RACE 5
7-SHOPPING SAVANNAH 75.4
3-LA CASADORA 68.1
2-PROUD VIXEN 62.7
1-SHY ROSA 61.1
8-ARTICULATE 61.1
RACE 6
7-LUCKY J LANE 97.8
9-OPSEC 95.8
5-ABBEY VALE 95.2 (off April 14)
1-AWESOME RETURN 94.5
4-JULES JOURNEY 87.5
RACE 7
4-HEAD SOUTH 91.3
6-OFF THE DEEP END 90.7 (off Aug. 14)
2-BRANDO THE BIRDMAN 80.2
1-MYTHICAL STORM 73.1 (off July 14)
3-MAUZZIE 68.1
RACE 8
6-CURRENCY EXCHANGE 69.8
11-UPTOWN RYTHEM 69.2
2-VICIOUS 63.6
9-DORTHRAKI 62.2
3-BIG HAT CHARLIE 54.0
8-UNDERWRITE 53.0 (lunged start)
1st time starters - 4, 1
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, March 25, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-I'M POPEYE 64.3
2-ENGLISH ART 57.5
1-GREAT LOU 53.5
6-BELIEVE TOO 51.6
4-OUTHINK'EM 49.2
3-TOP ESTATE 49.2
RACE 2
4-FORT CADY 63.1
1-LUTE IT UP 48.5
3-COWBOYS DON'T CRY 45.2
6-VODKA TEXTED YOU 45.1
5-RANGER SCHOOL 43.3
RACE 3
4-NEXT RIGHT 72.6
7-RARE PUNCH 62.7
8-HONEY FEVER 60.1 (off June 13, slow start)
6-RAHY'S SHADOW 47.4
3-ALFIERO 45.5
1st time starters - 5
RACE 4
2-QUEEN OF THE HILL 67.0 (off July 14)
5-NOTHING TO HIDE 56.5
4-MONSTRO NESS 52.1
3-MAHALO PRINCESS 51.1
7-ZEES CHRIS 51.1
RACE 5
5-GOLD CHASER 84.4
4-BROTHER SOLDIER 77.8
3-SURFING ANGEL 73.1
6-ROCKET HEAT 72.6
7-MR. ITKINS 69.8
RACE 6
4-FIVE PALMS 105.9 (off Dec. 13)
5-RAISED A SECRET 105.9 (off Aug. 14)
1-PULLING G'S 95.8
2-SOLID WAGER 95.2
7-AIRFOIL 81.4
1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 7
2-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 79.6
4-LITTLE BUT LUCKY 76.2 (off June 14)
7-GOUYEN 75.4
8-IT'S AINE 70.0
6-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 69.2
RACE 8
3-DULCEMIA 54.0
8-REALLY A PRINCESS 45.5
4-RACING HOPE 38.2
6-SATURDAY YODELER 34.6
2-TICABOO 29.7 (3 wide, off Aug. 14)
1st time starters - 7, 5
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-I'M POPEYE 64.3
2-ENGLISH ART 57.5
1-GREAT LOU 53.5
6-BELIEVE TOO 51.6
4-OUTHINK'EM 49.2
3-TOP ESTATE 49.2
RACE 2
4-FORT CADY 63.1
1-LUTE IT UP 48.5
3-COWBOYS DON'T CRY 45.2
6-VODKA TEXTED YOU 45.1
5-RANGER SCHOOL 43.3
RACE 3
4-NEXT RIGHT 72.6
7-RARE PUNCH 62.7
8-HONEY FEVER 60.1 (off June 13, slow start)
6-RAHY'S SHADOW 47.4
3-ALFIERO 45.5
1st time starters - 5
RACE 4
2-QUEEN OF THE HILL 67.0 (off July 14)
5-NOTHING TO HIDE 56.5
4-MONSTRO NESS 52.1
3-MAHALO PRINCESS 51.1
7-ZEES CHRIS 51.1
RACE 5
5-GOLD CHASER 84.4
4-BROTHER SOLDIER 77.8
3-SURFING ANGEL 73.1
6-ROCKET HEAT 72.6
7-MR. ITKINS 69.8
RACE 6
4-FIVE PALMS 105.9 (off Dec. 13)
5-RAISED A SECRET 105.9 (off Aug. 14)
1-PULLING G'S 95.8
2-SOLID WAGER 95.2
7-AIRFOIL 81.4
1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 7
2-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 79.6
4-LITTLE BUT LUCKY 76.2 (off June 14)
7-GOUYEN 75.4
8-IT'S AINE 70.0
6-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 69.2
RACE 8
3-DULCEMIA 54.0
8-REALLY A PRINCESS 45.5
4-RACING HOPE 38.2
6-SATURDAY YODELER 34.6
2-TICABOO 29.7 (3 wide, off Aug. 14)
1st time starters - 7, 5
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, March 23, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,160 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,160 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, thoroughbred
Sunday, March 22, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $92,697.
RACE 1
5-LADY NOW 68.6
1-KATERRIFIC 61.1
3-HEARITFORTHEGIRLS 53.5 (off March 14)
2-AMINA PERFECT 47.8
6-ROCK N BUNNY 46.9
RACE 2
2-ATTA BOY PETE 84.4
3-HOPE'N PRAY 78.4
5-PEACENIK 77.2
1-CHANGING KARMA 65.9
4-MOSSO 65.9
RACE 3
1-THE MAN 88.1
6-KETOS 72.0 (off slow)
5-SMOOVEN SQUARE 56.0
1st time starters - 3, 4, 2
RACE 4
2-SEEDSANDSTEMSAGAIN 80.2
1-HAZARDOUS DREAMS 75.4
11-THE CUSTODIAN 73.1
8-HYE I'M JACK 71.4
12-FREDDIES DREAM 67.5
1st time starters - 9, 4
RACE 5
5-SENOR PEGASUS 59.6
8-WIN WISH 56.5
2-SPECTACULARJOURNEY 50.2
3-SLEWPY AGAIN 48.8
7-MR. PETE GOT EVEN 43.8
RACE 6
6-KERRILYN 77.8
1-NERO'S PLEASURE 75.4
2-CRAZY ABOUT HIM 71.7
7-NAZARETH 70.9
3-FAST MOKA TOO 67.9
RACE 7
5-WILD IN THE SADDLE 90.0
4-SWEET MARINI 81.4
2-SUDDEN SUNDAY 69.9
1-ANNIVERSARY KITTY 69.8
6-GRAZENETTE 69.2
3-MELANISTIC 69.2
RACE 8
5-INDECISE 96.5
1-BIRDLOVER 95.4
9-HIJARA 84.4
2-CUSTOMER BASE 83.2 (off Sept. 14)
6-INDUSTRIAL POLICY 80.2
RACE 9
7-JUST BOOKIN 44.2
5-CODED MESSAGE 43.3
3-GOLD LOCKET 40.3
6-GOLD JOURNEY 39.9
4-GAVIOTA 26.8
8-MISERABLE BLUE 23.1 (3 wide)
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $92,697.
RACE 1
5-LADY NOW 68.6
1-KATERRIFIC 61.1
3-HEARITFORTHEGIRLS 53.5 (off March 14)
2-AMINA PERFECT 47.8
6-ROCK N BUNNY 46.9
RACE 2
2-ATTA BOY PETE 84.4
3-HOPE'N PRAY 78.4
5-PEACENIK 77.2
1-CHANGING KARMA 65.9
4-MOSSO 65.9
RACE 3
1-THE MAN 88.1
6-KETOS 72.0 (off slow)
5-SMOOVEN SQUARE 56.0
1st time starters - 3, 4, 2
RACE 4
2-SEEDSANDSTEMSAGAIN 80.2
1-HAZARDOUS DREAMS 75.4
11-THE CUSTODIAN 73.1
8-HYE I'M JACK 71.4
12-FREDDIES DREAM 67.5
1st time starters - 9, 4
RACE 5
5-SENOR PEGASUS 59.6
8-WIN WISH 56.5
2-SPECTACULARJOURNEY 50.2
3-SLEWPY AGAIN 48.8
7-MR. PETE GOT EVEN 43.8
RACE 6
6-KERRILYN 77.8
1-NERO'S PLEASURE 75.4
2-CRAZY ABOUT HIM 71.7
7-NAZARETH 70.9
3-FAST MOKA TOO 67.9
RACE 7
5-WILD IN THE SADDLE 90.0
4-SWEET MARINI 81.4
2-SUDDEN SUNDAY 69.9
1-ANNIVERSARY KITTY 69.8
6-GRAZENETTE 69.2
3-MELANISTIC 69.2
RACE 8
5-INDECISE 96.5
1-BIRDLOVER 95.4
9-HIJARA 84.4
2-CUSTOMER BASE 83.2 (off Sept. 14)
6-INDUSTRIAL POLICY 80.2
RACE 9
7-JUST BOOKIN 44.2
5-CODED MESSAGE 43.3
3-GOLD LOCKET 40.3
6-GOLD JOURNEY 39.9
4-GAVIOTA 26.8
8-MISERABLE BLUE 23.1 (3 wide)
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system
Saturday, March 21, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-THESHEETSGUY 93.9
5-CARLOT COWBOY 88.1
2-GLADDING 83.1 (off Aug. 14)
1-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 76.6
6-BIG KICK 75.8
RACE 2
7-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 102.5
2-SACRED OVATION 99.1
1-MEMPHIS 86.3
4-SENOR RAIN 79.6
5-BUFFALO 70.1
RACE 3
3-SO ELITE 77.2
6-TIMELESS INDY 68.1
2-TRUCIAL STATE 67.5
1-SMART ELLIS 63.8
9-JUSTIFICATION 63.1
RACE 4
1-BENCH WARRENT 87.5
8-STAND AND SALUTE 83.4
4-PAPACOOLPAPACOOL 83.2
2-DADDY D T 81.4
7-SOUL DRIVER 80.3
RACE 5
7-EXPLICABLE 76.6
10-VIVACIOUS BEAUTY 72.6
4-HARD NIGHT'S DAY 70.3
3-MAHEE 61.6 (3 wide)
5-LADYSGOTGAME 58.1 (off July 14)
1st time starters - 9, 1, 6, 11
RACE 6
8-VOW ME OVER 61.6
1-STELLA MOON 57.5
2-IVANA BEAT YABAD 54.0
7-PRINCESS ASHLYN 53.1
13-MIZ PENELOPE 49.7
1st time starters - 3, 12, 5, 4, 10, 14
RACE 7
2-COURAGEOUS CALL 86.9
9-CRUSHED VELVET 84.4 (off Jan. 14)
10-WALK WITH AN ANGEL 79.0 (off slow)
4-MASTER THE BLUES 77.2
7-IMWITHTHEBLONDE 77.2 (off July 13)
1st time starters - 5 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
8-FINNEGANS WAKE 115.7
4-POWER FOOT 99.1
9-ASHLEYLUVSSUGAR 98.4
6-JOES BLAZING AARON 97.8
3-DIAMOND BACHELOR 91.3
RACE 9
14-CAPTAIN CARCHY 63.8
1-SOUTHEAST ASIA 58.5
9-CAPTAIN G 48.2
12-BANDIDO TOO 47.4
11-HE'S DREAMY 46.9
3-YOKED 40.7
1st time starters - 10
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-THESHEETSGUY 93.9
5-CARLOT COWBOY 88.1
2-GLADDING 83.1 (off Aug. 14)
1-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 76.6
6-BIG KICK 75.8
RACE 2
7-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 102.5
2-SACRED OVATION 99.1
1-MEMPHIS 86.3
4-SENOR RAIN 79.6
5-BUFFALO 70.1
RACE 3
3-SO ELITE 77.2
6-TIMELESS INDY 68.1
2-TRUCIAL STATE 67.5
1-SMART ELLIS 63.8
9-JUSTIFICATION 63.1
RACE 4
1-BENCH WARRENT 87.5
8-STAND AND SALUTE 83.4
4-PAPACOOLPAPACOOL 83.2
2-DADDY D T 81.4
7-SOUL DRIVER 80.3
RACE 5
7-EXPLICABLE 76.6
10-VIVACIOUS BEAUTY 72.6
4-HARD NIGHT'S DAY 70.3
3-MAHEE 61.6 (3 wide)
5-LADYSGOTGAME 58.1 (off July 14)
1st time starters - 9, 1, 6, 11
RACE 6
8-VOW ME OVER 61.6
1-STELLA MOON 57.5
2-IVANA BEAT YABAD 54.0
7-PRINCESS ASHLYN 53.1
13-MIZ PENELOPE 49.7
1st time starters - 3, 12, 5, 4, 10, 14
RACE 7
2-COURAGEOUS CALL 86.9
9-CRUSHED VELVET 84.4 (off Jan. 14)
10-WALK WITH AN ANGEL 79.0 (off slow)
4-MASTER THE BLUES 77.2
7-IMWITHTHEBLONDE 77.2 (off July 13)
1st time starters - 5 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
8-FINNEGANS WAKE 115.7
4-POWER FOOT 99.1
9-ASHLEYLUVSSUGAR 98.4
6-JOES BLAZING AARON 97.8
3-DIAMOND BACHELOR 91.3
RACE 9
14-CAPTAIN CARCHY 63.8
1-SOUTHEAST ASIA 58.5
9-CAPTAIN G 48.2
12-BANDIDO TOO 47.4
11-HE'S DREAMY 46.9
3-YOKED 40.7
1st time starters - 10
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, March 20, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $43,225.
RACE 1
6-VALENTINE'S REWARD 55.0
7-I HEART YOU 50.2
4-SCATTERCASH 48.8
1-ZIPPINAROUNDTOWN 46.0
3-BLIND DREAMS 44.7
RACE 2
1-RENO REBEL 101.1
4-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 90.0
3-MUCHOS BESOS 89.4
6-ROCKED TWICE 81.4
2-MY SECRET AFFAIR 80.2
RACE 3
5-MUM'S TRUCKEE 75.4
4-TOOMANYTOMATOES 69.2
3-ROSEWHITENBLUE 69.2
2-TWELVE FOLDS 65.4
7-SHE'S FLUSH 62.2
RACE 4
6-SUCCESS RATE 86.9
1-SINFULLY 84.0
8-AIN'T NO OTHER 83.2
3-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 82.6
4-BIG JOHNNY D 76.3
RACE 5
5-ONNA BUGEISHA 93.9
2-BACKINTHEACADEMY 86.9
3-GRANDOISE TACTICS 86.3
1-INTOXICATING MOVE 83.8
6-TASTE LIKE CANDY 83.8
RACE 6
10-PURE 74.3
2-META MU 73.7
11-DANETTE 70.9
4-ENCHANTED FORTUNE 65.4
7-CARADINI 64.8
RACE 7
4-OLIVER'S TALE 99.8 (off June 14)
5-WEEWINNIN 96.5
1-PEPNIC 93.9
2-FOREVER JUANITO 93.9
10-GUGGENHEIM 90.7
RACE 8
9-DIVINE TALE 60.6
8-SECRET APPEAL 60.1
11-DULCEMIA 53.5
6-EUROCLYDON 48.3
3-RUBY N DIAMONDS 47.8
10-MUDGE 47.8
1st time starters - 1
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $43,225.
RACE 1
6-VALENTINE'S REWARD 55.0
7-I HEART YOU 50.2
4-SCATTERCASH 48.8
1-ZIPPINAROUNDTOWN 46.0
3-BLIND DREAMS 44.7
RACE 2
1-RENO REBEL 101.1
4-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 90.0
3-MUCHOS BESOS 89.4
6-ROCKED TWICE 81.4
2-MY SECRET AFFAIR 80.2
RACE 3
5-MUM'S TRUCKEE 75.4
4-TOOMANYTOMATOES 69.2
3-ROSEWHITENBLUE 69.2
2-TWELVE FOLDS 65.4
7-SHE'S FLUSH 62.2
RACE 4
6-SUCCESS RATE 86.9
1-SINFULLY 84.0
8-AIN'T NO OTHER 83.2
3-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 82.6
4-BIG JOHNNY D 76.3
RACE 5
5-ONNA BUGEISHA 93.9
2-BACKINTHEACADEMY 86.9
3-GRANDOISE TACTICS 86.3
1-INTOXICATING MOVE 83.8
6-TASTE LIKE CANDY 83.8
RACE 6
10-PURE 74.3
2-META MU 73.7
11-DANETTE 70.9
4-ENCHANTED FORTUNE 65.4
7-CARADINI 64.8
RACE 7
4-OLIVER'S TALE 99.8 (off June 14)
5-WEEWINNIN 96.5
1-PEPNIC 93.9
2-FOREVER JUANITO 93.9
10-GUGGENHEIM 90.7
RACE 8
9-DIVINE TALE 60.6
8-SECRET APPEAL 60.1
11-DULCEMIA 53.5
6-EUROCLYDON 48.3
3-RUBY N DIAMONDS 47.8
10-MUDGE 47.8
1st time starters - 1
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, March 19, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-MIDNIGHT LADY 76.6
7-ACUTE 62.7
3-SILK IN SILVER 60.1
1-CHOCOLATE DELIGHT 60.1
2-AWE'SOME KITTEN 57.5
RACE 2
3-COMMUTE 91.9
5-ONE LUCKY DANE 90.0
2-HARMONIC 74.9
1-A COLT FOLLOWING 72.6
4-PAPA KADE 60.1
RACE 3
6-MAJESTIC PRESENCE 86.9
1-LONG HOT SUMMER 75.6 (off Aug. 14)
3-DESERT STEEL 74.9 (off July 14)
5-MINKS APRISE 72.0
4-SEA MONA 68.6
RACE 4
7-FABBER 61.1
8-CAL MCLISH 59.0
5-GRANDSON AT LAST 52.6
3-TIZ ALL THAT 49.7
6-FORTYATE HI POINTS 39.4
1st time starters - 1
RACE 5
10-TIGAH 97.1
4-EZIO 95.2
7-EMPTY HEADED 89.4
5-DELTA RANGER 88.8
2-WICKED HEAT 87.5
RACE 6
7-WOLF MAN ROCKET 81.3
2-SMART TRANSITION 81.3
8-MOE CANDY 79.6
5-GHOST OF NAVIGATOR 68.1
4-JUST KIDDING 64.8
1st time starters - 3, 1
RACE 7
5-CHATI'S ON TOP 88.1
6-TALE OF PAPA NICK 81.9
8-TANGELO 79.6
7-HEAT THE ROCKS 75.4
4-SUSAN B GOOD 72.9
RACE 8
6-BLAME IT ON TEKELA 64.3
2-JOSHIE HIT A HOMER 52.5
1-DESERT GEM 52.5
7-MY CHARLIE BOY 49.6
4-RESERVOIR POINT 49.2
9-EMPIRE CAT 47.4
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-MIDNIGHT LADY 76.6
7-ACUTE 62.7
3-SILK IN SILVER 60.1
1-CHOCOLATE DELIGHT 60.1
2-AWE'SOME KITTEN 57.5
RACE 2
3-COMMUTE 91.9
5-ONE LUCKY DANE 90.0
2-HARMONIC 74.9
1-A COLT FOLLOWING 72.6
4-PAPA KADE 60.1
RACE 3
6-MAJESTIC PRESENCE 86.9
1-LONG HOT SUMMER 75.6 (off Aug. 14)
3-DESERT STEEL 74.9 (off July 14)
5-MINKS APRISE 72.0
4-SEA MONA 68.6
RACE 4
7-FABBER 61.1
8-CAL MCLISH 59.0
5-GRANDSON AT LAST 52.6
3-TIZ ALL THAT 49.7
6-FORTYATE HI POINTS 39.4
1st time starters - 1
RACE 5
10-TIGAH 97.1
4-EZIO 95.2
7-EMPTY HEADED 89.4
5-DELTA RANGER 88.8
2-WICKED HEAT 87.5
RACE 6
7-WOLF MAN ROCKET 81.3
2-SMART TRANSITION 81.3
8-MOE CANDY 79.6
5-GHOST OF NAVIGATOR 68.1
4-JUST KIDDING 64.8
1st time starters - 3, 1
RACE 7
5-CHATI'S ON TOP 88.1
6-TALE OF PAPA NICK 81.9
8-TANGELO 79.6
7-HEAT THE ROCKS 75.4
4-SUSAN B GOOD 72.9
RACE 8
6-BLAME IT ON TEKELA 64.3
2-JOSHIE HIT A HOMER 52.5
1-DESERT GEM 52.5
7-MY CHARLIE BOY 49.6
4-RESERVOIR POINT 49.2
9-EMPIRE CAT 47.4
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, March 18, 2015
SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, system, thoroughbred
Monday, March 16, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,149 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,149 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, March 15, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: SATURDAY MY TOP PICKS HAD SIX WINNERS ($4.20, 10.00, 8.80, 4.80, 4.40, 5.00) AND TWO SECONDS ($4.40, 4.60) OUT OF THE NINE RACES.
RACE 1
8-RUSTY ROAD 65.9
7-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 65.3
4-OH BROTHER GO 62.0
2-LOLO EL CANONERO 60.9
1-RARE PUNCH 59.3
RACE 2
5-CONGRATS SEATTLE 72.0
3-TWO SIX WINS 65.9
4-TIZ JOLIE 62.7
7-BLUEGRASS SIGHT 56.0
1-HOT LIGHTNING 53.5
RACE 3
4-BACKSTREET LISA 62.5
5-CHIA LOVE 55.5
7-HERECOMESKAT 54.5
1-RACING FOR CHASEN 48.5
2-WON'T BE SHAKEN 47.8
RACE 4
1-NEXT RIGHT 74.3
5-WILLY BE WILD 66.4
3-UPTOWN RYTHEM 63.2
7-PREORDAINED 57.0
2-RAHY'S SHADOW 49.2
1st time starters - 8, 9
RACE 5
7-BILGER'S SAPPHIRE 71.4
5-THERALENA 63.8
4-SEATTLE SALT 62.6
14-LIRICA HEAT 54.0
1-CHAULK O LATTY 48.0
9-SCUTI DE PATUTI 48.0
1st time starters - 6
RACE 6
3-ABETS ABET 56.0
8-ERTE 52.1
9-TITZY TAGS 50.6
5-DESERT THIEF 50.6
10-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 47.4
RACE 7
4-DIVERSY HARBOR 99.8
5-QUEEN OF THE SAND 95.8
8-ROSALIND 93.9
9-INDECISE 93.2
7-RUSTY SLIPPER 91.3
10-THREE HEARTS 91.3
RACE 8
4-MARYCASEY 85.0 (5 wide)
3-INTERJECT 82.6
7-HONEY RIDE 80.8
5-SKY MEGA 76.0
1-GRACIE RAGAZZA 74.9
RACE 9
5-REDHEADS RULE 74.9
1-BOAT DRINKS 73.1
10-THIS IS WAR 70.0 (4 wide)
3-AVENGE 65.4
9-BETH'S BLING 63.1
4-DANCING LUCY 62.2 (off slow)
1st time starters 2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: SATURDAY MY TOP PICKS HAD SIX WINNERS ($4.20, 10.00, 8.80, 4.80, 4.40, 5.00) AND TWO SECONDS ($4.40, 4.60) OUT OF THE NINE RACES.
RACE 1
8-RUSTY ROAD 65.9
7-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 65.3
4-OH BROTHER GO 62.0
2-LOLO EL CANONERO 60.9
1-RARE PUNCH 59.3
RACE 2
5-CONGRATS SEATTLE 72.0
3-TWO SIX WINS 65.9
4-TIZ JOLIE 62.7
7-BLUEGRASS SIGHT 56.0
1-HOT LIGHTNING 53.5
RACE 3
4-BACKSTREET LISA 62.5
5-CHIA LOVE 55.5
7-HERECOMESKAT 54.5
1-RACING FOR CHASEN 48.5
2-WON'T BE SHAKEN 47.8
RACE 4
1-NEXT RIGHT 74.3
5-WILLY BE WILD 66.4
3-UPTOWN RYTHEM 63.2
7-PREORDAINED 57.0
2-RAHY'S SHADOW 49.2
1st time starters - 8, 9
RACE 5
7-BILGER'S SAPPHIRE 71.4
5-THERALENA 63.8
4-SEATTLE SALT 62.6
14-LIRICA HEAT 54.0
1-CHAULK O LATTY 48.0
9-SCUTI DE PATUTI 48.0
1st time starters - 6
RACE 6
3-ABETS ABET 56.0
8-ERTE 52.1
9-TITZY TAGS 50.6
5-DESERT THIEF 50.6
10-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 47.4
RACE 7
4-DIVERSY HARBOR 99.8
5-QUEEN OF THE SAND 95.8
8-ROSALIND 93.9
9-INDECISE 93.2
7-RUSTY SLIPPER 91.3
10-THREE HEARTS 91.3
RACE 8
4-MARYCASEY 85.0 (5 wide)
3-INTERJECT 82.6
7-HONEY RIDE 80.8
5-SKY MEGA 76.0
1-GRACIE RAGAZZA 74.9
RACE 9
5-REDHEADS RULE 74.9
1-BOAT DRINKS 73.1
10-THIS IS WAR 70.0 (4 wide)
3-AVENGE 65.4
9-BETH'S BLING 63.1
4-DANCING LUCY 62.2 (off slow)
1st time starters 2
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, March 14, 2015
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-PERFECT SET 80.2
3-FAST MAST 74.9
4-TAKE A RISK 72.6
8-FONZ 71.4
1-DESTINO 71.0
RACE 2
6-BERT'S BABY 52.1
5-SATIN CINNAMON 47.6
1-FAB FOR EVER 33.8
2-MONTERY LEGACY 33.4 (4 wide)
9-BIG WAVE BETTY 26.8
1st time starters - 3
RACE 3
8-JEDI MIND TRICK 85.0
4-MAGNA WARRIOR 83.2
2-SIR BARCLAY 82.6
5-SUDDEN RUMOR 78.4
3-HARBAUGH 74.1
RACE 4
4-BIG BREAK 73.1
7-VOCALIST 71.4
3-SPY GIRL 67.0
1-KISS AT MIDNIGHT 62.7
6-SO GOLDEN 53.5 (off slow, 4 wide)
RACE 5
4-GO WEST MARIE 105.2
6-VELVET MESQUITE 92.6
3-WARREN'S GUSSIE 85.0
7-STAR FIELD 79.6
1-BERT'S MELODY 78.9
RACE 6
1-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 65.4
2-COOLINGTON 64.8
8-TAKEM BY SUPRISE 64.3
7-INDIAN MONKEY 63.2
12-KNOW MORE 58.5
13-SALT POWER 58.5
RACE 7
1-FOREST CHATTER 99.8
10-BACK TO BAKO 95.8
6-FIGHTER SQUADRON 92.6
3-SKYLANDER 91.9
9-CORINTHIAN'S SONG 89.4
RACE 8
7-WARREN'S VENEDA 102.5
2-CASSATT 100.4
4-THEGIRLINTHATSONG 95.2
3-DAME DOROTHY 94.5
5-TIZ MIDNIGHT 93.2
RACE 9
12-PAULINA'S LOVE 71.4
5-MADAM AAMOURA 70.6
4-COOL MOVES 66.3
6-SHOW STEALER 65.4
3-BAYONET 63.8
1st time starters - 9
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-PERFECT SET 80.2
3-FAST MAST 74.9
4-TAKE A RISK 72.6
8-FONZ 71.4
1-DESTINO 71.0
RACE 2
6-BERT'S BABY 52.1
5-SATIN CINNAMON 47.6
1-FAB FOR EVER 33.8
2-MONTERY LEGACY 33.4 (4 wide)
9-BIG WAVE BETTY 26.8
1st time starters - 3
RACE 3
8-JEDI MIND TRICK 85.0
4-MAGNA WARRIOR 83.2
2-SIR BARCLAY 82.6
5-SUDDEN RUMOR 78.4
3-HARBAUGH 74.1
RACE 4
4-BIG BREAK 73.1
7-VOCALIST 71.4
3-SPY GIRL 67.0
1-KISS AT MIDNIGHT 62.7
6-SO GOLDEN 53.5 (off slow, 4 wide)
RACE 5
4-GO WEST MARIE 105.2
6-VELVET MESQUITE 92.6
3-WARREN'S GUSSIE 85.0
7-STAR FIELD 79.6
1-BERT'S MELODY 78.9
RACE 6
1-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 65.4
2-COOLINGTON 64.8
8-TAKEM BY SUPRISE 64.3
7-INDIAN MONKEY 63.2
12-KNOW MORE 58.5
13-SALT POWER 58.5
RACE 7
1-FOREST CHATTER 99.8
10-BACK TO BAKO 95.8
6-FIGHTER SQUADRON 92.6
3-SKYLANDER 91.9
9-CORINTHIAN'S SONG 89.4
RACE 8
7-WARREN'S VENEDA 102.5
2-CASSATT 100.4
4-THEGIRLINTHATSONG 95.2
3-DAME DOROTHY 94.5
5-TIZ MIDNIGHT 93.2
RACE 9
12-PAULINA'S LOVE 71.4
5-MADAM AAMOURA 70.6
4-COOL MOVES 66.3
6-SHOW STEALER 65.4
3-BAYONET 63.8
1st time starters - 9
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, March 13, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-MY OLE BUD 53.0
1-DOMINGO CAT 51.1 (lost whip, off Aug. 14)
7-LAMBO LUXX 48.8
3-HESCOMINONSTRONG 15.8
4-CONCERT HERO 8.3
1st time starters - 5, 6
RACE 2
4-PAT THE BEAR 87.5
2-RICHARD'S BOY 83.5
6-DIAMOND MAJESTY 79.6
1-STORMY LIBERAL 74.3
8-NEVERADOUBT 64.1
RACE 3
8-UNDERHILL DRIVE 78.4
5-COMIN'OFFTHEBENCH 67.0
6-LYLA DELLA 65.9
1-KOHALA 63.8
3-QUICK NAVIGATOR 56.5
RACE 4
2-OSCILLATOR 80.8
1-TEMPE 74.3
8-PATRIOTIC BROTHER 72.0
9-J AND S EXPRESS 68.1
5-SALSITA 65.4
RACE 5
3-TRIBAL CHATTER 79.6
6-LOVE BLIND 72.0
2-ALWAYS A CHANCE 69.8
10-PROUD VIXEN 67.7
4-SORESCA 65.4
RACE 6
7-SHORT HEAT WAVE 97.8
8-STORM COMIN THRU 96.5
3-BLACKFORD 90.7
6-UNUSUALLY GREEN 83.2
5-SYNNIN 80.0
RACE 7
6-U S CITIZEN 104.5
4-SPRING UP 99.8 (off July 14)
5-SWEET SWAP 99.1
8-COUNTY LINEMAN 95.2 (off June 14)
2-CUMMINGS ROAD 93.2
RACE 8
1-D'CHURCH 83.8
10-K THIRTY EIGHT 82.0 (off April 14)
7-SEEDSANDSTEMSAGAIN 79.0
2-AJAC 63.8
8-NARDO 60.1 (off May 14)
11-SAM SLICK 56.0
1st time starters - 4, 5, 3
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-MY OLE BUD 53.0
1-DOMINGO CAT 51.1 (lost whip, off Aug. 14)
7-LAMBO LUXX 48.8
3-HESCOMINONSTRONG 15.8
4-CONCERT HERO 8.3
1st time starters - 5, 6
RACE 2
4-PAT THE BEAR 87.5
2-RICHARD'S BOY 83.5
6-DIAMOND MAJESTY 79.6
1-STORMY LIBERAL 74.3
8-NEVERADOUBT 64.1
RACE 3
8-UNDERHILL DRIVE 78.4
5-COMIN'OFFTHEBENCH 67.0
6-LYLA DELLA 65.9
1-KOHALA 63.8
3-QUICK NAVIGATOR 56.5
RACE 4
2-OSCILLATOR 80.8
1-TEMPE 74.3
8-PATRIOTIC BROTHER 72.0
9-J AND S EXPRESS 68.1
5-SALSITA 65.4
RACE 5
3-TRIBAL CHATTER 79.6
6-LOVE BLIND 72.0
2-ALWAYS A CHANCE 69.8
10-PROUD VIXEN 67.7
4-SORESCA 65.4
RACE 6
7-SHORT HEAT WAVE 97.8
8-STORM COMIN THRU 96.5
3-BLACKFORD 90.7
6-UNUSUALLY GREEN 83.2
5-SYNNIN 80.0
RACE 7
6-U S CITIZEN 104.5
4-SPRING UP 99.8 (off July 14)
5-SWEET SWAP 99.1
8-COUNTY LINEMAN 95.2 (off June 14)
2-CUMMINGS ROAD 93.2
RACE 8
1-D'CHURCH 83.8
10-K THIRTY EIGHT 82.0 (off April 14)
7-SEEDSANDSTEMSAGAIN 79.0
2-AJAC 63.8
8-NARDO 60.1 (off May 14)
11-SAM SLICK 56.0
1st time starters - 4, 5, 3
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, March 12, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-TITLED NOBILITY 82.6
1-DRESS CODE 79.6
5-KINGPIN RYNO 72.0
4-WHEN WE MET 64.9
2-TANCRED 57.5
RACE 2
5-TWINKLE TOES 47.1
2-PRETTYPRECIOUSHEIR 46.9
6-QUEEN CACTUS 45.2
4-HIGHLY ELUSIVE 27.6
1-GRACIE JEAN 23.5 (off Sept.14)
1st time starters - 3
RACE 3
3-ALPHA DOLL 51.1 (off June 13)
4-KEEZHEEKONI 50.6
5-APARRI 45.5
1st time starters - 1, 6, 2
RACE 4
3-BROADWAY NIKA 91.3
4-MY JEALOUS 90.7
6-BLUEGRASS REWARD 85.6
1-HALF STRIKE 83.2
5-RAINBOW NORTH 72.0
RACE 5
7-KRIS THE GREAT 84.0
4-WICKED FINANCE 82.6
6-NATIVE RIDE 78.4
8-WINNING CAUSEWAY 72.6
3-TO THE BAR 70.9
RACE 6
7-SEEKING SHAMROCKS 76.6
6-ZUZU'S PETALS 76.0
2-CAUSE UR MY BABE 71.4
3-IT'S AINE 70.9
9-LETS GET FRISKY 68.1
RACE 7
6-BOOZER 101.8
8-HOME SCHOOL 95.8
4-TALCO 91.9
5-CALM PACIFIC 91.3
7-JULES JOURNEY 85.6
1st time starters - 1 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
9-MAJESTIC CHARLIE 70.3
5-STARZILLA 68.6
8-SETTHEBIGBOYSFREE 63.2
4-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 60.6
2-SWING FOR DEFENCE 60.1
7-SALT OF THE EARTH 59.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-TITLED NOBILITY 82.6
1-DRESS CODE 79.6
5-KINGPIN RYNO 72.0
4-WHEN WE MET 64.9
2-TANCRED 57.5
RACE 2
5-TWINKLE TOES 47.1
2-PRETTYPRECIOUSHEIR 46.9
6-QUEEN CACTUS 45.2
4-HIGHLY ELUSIVE 27.6
1-GRACIE JEAN 23.5 (off Sept.14)
1st time starters - 3
RACE 3
3-ALPHA DOLL 51.1 (off June 13)
4-KEEZHEEKONI 50.6
5-APARRI 45.5
1st time starters - 1, 6, 2
RACE 4
3-BROADWAY NIKA 91.3
4-MY JEALOUS 90.7
6-BLUEGRASS REWARD 85.6
1-HALF STRIKE 83.2
5-RAINBOW NORTH 72.0
RACE 5
7-KRIS THE GREAT 84.0
4-WICKED FINANCE 82.6
6-NATIVE RIDE 78.4
8-WINNING CAUSEWAY 72.6
3-TO THE BAR 70.9
RACE 6
7-SEEKING SHAMROCKS 76.6
6-ZUZU'S PETALS 76.0
2-CAUSE UR MY BABE 71.4
3-IT'S AINE 70.9
9-LETS GET FRISKY 68.1
RACE 7
6-BOOZER 101.8
8-HOME SCHOOL 95.8
4-TALCO 91.9
5-CALM PACIFIC 91.3
7-JULES JOURNEY 85.6
1st time starters - 1 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
9-MAJESTIC CHARLIE 70.3
5-STARZILLA 68.6
8-SETTHEBIGBOYSFREE 63.2
4-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 60.6
2-SWING FOR DEFENCE 60.1
7-SALT OF THE EARTH 59.6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, March 11, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, March 10, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,149 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,149 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, March 08, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-MARLA HOOCH 65.9
1-CHOCOLATE DELIGHT 65.4
6-ACUTE 62.2
4-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 54.0
3-GIANIS 45.5
RACE 2
6-WOLF MAN ROCKET 87.5 (3 wide)
5-WIN THE SPACE 78.4 (off slow, 4 wide)
4-FAME AND POWER 68.6
1-MAGIC TASTE 48.3
1st time starters - 2, 3
RACE 3
3-POWERFUL GIRL 47.4
2-SWEET SILVER 45.5
4-OLEANDERPOLARBEAR 45.1
1-GOLD JOURNEY 33.8
7-KATSFASHION 26.5
1st time starters - 6
RACE 4
8-CITY CHAPEL 80.8
6-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 80.2
5-ATASCADERAN 79.6
1-TIMELESS INDY 79.0
4-TRULEE SCRAPPIN 77.8
RACE 5
8-PRESS BARON 97.1
9-UTOPIAN 94.5
6-MOTOWN MEN 91.3
2-OPSEC 90.7
5-DECISIVE EDGE 89.4
RACE 6
1-STORMIN TRICK 61.1
5-LONDEN LEGACY 60.1 (off July 14)
9-MR. COUNT ON ME 43.8 (off July 14)
4-ROCKO'S WHEEL 39.0 (off Sept. 14)
8-PAY THE FINE 37.0
1st time starters - 7, 6, 3 (stumbled start lost rider)
RACE 7
13-SILENT RULER 89.4
5-BABY BLAKE 81.9
6-CRUCERO 81.5
3-DEPUTY HEAT 80.2
11-BRAVE ACT 78.1
7-BROTHER SOLDIER 77.8
RACE 8
4-MEINERTZHAGENI 94.5
3-GLOBAL HOTTIE 92.6
2-SAGEBRUSH QUEEN 88.1 (off July 14)
1-HARLINGTON'S ROSE 83.2
7-TRIBAL GAL 80.8
RACE 9
8-UNUSUALLY BIG 64.0
5-GO TRUMPY GO 63.6
6-VICIOUS 63.5
7-BIG HAT CHARLIE 57.0
2-PERFECT TEMPTATION 56.1
1st time starters - 4, 3
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-MARLA HOOCH 65.9
1-CHOCOLATE DELIGHT 65.4
6-ACUTE 62.2
4-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 54.0
3-GIANIS 45.5
RACE 2
6-WOLF MAN ROCKET 87.5 (3 wide)
5-WIN THE SPACE 78.4 (off slow, 4 wide)
4-FAME AND POWER 68.6
1-MAGIC TASTE 48.3
1st time starters - 2, 3
RACE 3
3-POWERFUL GIRL 47.4
2-SWEET SILVER 45.5
4-OLEANDERPOLARBEAR 45.1
1-GOLD JOURNEY 33.8
7-KATSFASHION 26.5
1st time starters - 6
RACE 4
8-CITY CHAPEL 80.8
6-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 80.2
5-ATASCADERAN 79.6
1-TIMELESS INDY 79.0
4-TRULEE SCRAPPIN 77.8
RACE 5
8-PRESS BARON 97.1
9-UTOPIAN 94.5
6-MOTOWN MEN 91.3
2-OPSEC 90.7
5-DECISIVE EDGE 89.4
RACE 6
1-STORMIN TRICK 61.1
5-LONDEN LEGACY 60.1 (off July 14)
9-MR. COUNT ON ME 43.8 (off July 14)
4-ROCKO'S WHEEL 39.0 (off Sept. 14)
8-PAY THE FINE 37.0
1st time starters - 7, 6, 3 (stumbled start lost rider)
RACE 7
13-SILENT RULER 89.4
5-BABY BLAKE 81.9
6-CRUCERO 81.5
3-DEPUTY HEAT 80.2
11-BRAVE ACT 78.1
7-BROTHER SOLDIER 77.8
RACE 8
4-MEINERTZHAGENI 94.5
3-GLOBAL HOTTIE 92.6
2-SAGEBRUSH QUEEN 88.1 (off July 14)
1-HARLINGTON'S ROSE 83.2
7-TRIBAL GAL 80.8
RACE 9
8-UNUSUALLY BIG 64.0
5-GO TRUMPY GO 63.6
6-VICIOUS 63.5
7-BIG HAT CHARLIE 57.0
2-PERFECT TEMPTATION 56.1
1st time starters - 4, 3
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, March 07, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $52,665.
RACE 1
2-AMERICAN ACT 82.4
9-SHEER TALENT 80.2
4-TAKE A RISK 70.6
8-MOSSO 69.8
3-TRIUNFO 66.4
RACE 2
10-TIZAPALOOZA 61.3
2-MATTY'S TRIBAL 48.3
9-ROPER 46.4
1-MOMMA TRIED 44.6
3-DOG DAY 37.4
1st time starters - 6, 11, 8, 4
RACE 3
4-EMYVALE COURT 79.0
9-REVENUE VIRGINIUS 71.4
7-DAD'S PRINCESS 68.9
10-SCREEMING SKYLAR 65.4
11-SCATTAGIRL 63.8
1st time starters - 3, 1, 6, 14
RACE 4
5-NEVER ENDS 88.8
2-CAFETIERE 66.4 (squeezed at start)
9-MISS CENTERFOLD 60.1
8-MISS BLISS 55.0 (off slow)
4-STUNNING TASTE 46.0
1st time starters - 7, 1, 3, 6
RACE 5
10-PULLING G'S 104.5
4-BIG TIRE 91.9 (off Aug. 14)
6-CAUTIOUS GIANT 88.8
9-I B MIKE 88.1
7-KILL SHOT 87.5
RACE 6
5-DAKOTA KID 82.6
7-ZANBO 81.4
13-FANTASTIC MIZZ 79.6
12-FRESH FELINE 79.0
6-MARGOT MACHANCE 79.0
1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.,off Dec. 13)
RACE 7
3-DORTMUND 110.7
2-OCHO OCHO OCHO 98.4
6-PROSPECT PARK 90.0
8-PULMARACK 88.8
9-SIR SAMSON 88.2
RACE 8
4-MAYBELLENE 90.6
5-CURLIN'S FOX 85.2 (6 wide)
6-LUTINE BELLE 82.0
3-SINGING KITTY 79.0
11-LOOKIN FOR MONEY 78.4
RACE 9
4-CONQUEST TWO STEP 115.0
1-CHITU 105.2
7-WILD DUDE 104.5
3-MAJESTIC CITY 101.1 (off May 14)
2-OUTSIDE NASHVILLE 94.5
5-KOBE'S BACK 94.5 (off July 14)
RACE 10
8-SUMMER FRONT 110.7
10-RING WEEKEND 107.3
11-ZA APPROVAL 102.5
2-HAY DUDE 101.1
3-WINNING PRIZE 100.4 (off Aug. 14)
RACE 11
5-SHARED BELIEF 123.8
6-MORENO 113.6
3-SR. QUISQUEYANO 104.5
13-HARD ACES 103.8
4-DYNAMIC SKY 102.5
12-CATCH A FLIGHT 101.1
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $52,665.
RACE 1
2-AMERICAN ACT 82.4
9-SHEER TALENT 80.2
4-TAKE A RISK 70.6
8-MOSSO 69.8
3-TRIUNFO 66.4
RACE 2
10-TIZAPALOOZA 61.3
2-MATTY'S TRIBAL 48.3
9-ROPER 46.4
1-MOMMA TRIED 44.6
3-DOG DAY 37.4
1st time starters - 6, 11, 8, 4
RACE 3
4-EMYVALE COURT 79.0
9-REVENUE VIRGINIUS 71.4
7-DAD'S PRINCESS 68.9
10-SCREEMING SKYLAR 65.4
11-SCATTAGIRL 63.8
1st time starters - 3, 1, 6, 14
RACE 4
5-NEVER ENDS 88.8
2-CAFETIERE 66.4 (squeezed at start)
9-MISS CENTERFOLD 60.1
8-MISS BLISS 55.0 (off slow)
4-STUNNING TASTE 46.0
1st time starters - 7, 1, 3, 6
RACE 5
10-PULLING G'S 104.5
4-BIG TIRE 91.9 (off Aug. 14)
6-CAUTIOUS GIANT 88.8
9-I B MIKE 88.1
7-KILL SHOT 87.5
RACE 6
5-DAKOTA KID 82.6
7-ZANBO 81.4
13-FANTASTIC MIZZ 79.6
12-FRESH FELINE 79.0
6-MARGOT MACHANCE 79.0
1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.,off Dec. 13)
RACE 7
3-DORTMUND 110.7
2-OCHO OCHO OCHO 98.4
6-PROSPECT PARK 90.0
8-PULMARACK 88.8
9-SIR SAMSON 88.2
RACE 8
4-MAYBELLENE 90.6
5-CURLIN'S FOX 85.2 (6 wide)
6-LUTINE BELLE 82.0
3-SINGING KITTY 79.0
11-LOOKIN FOR MONEY 78.4
RACE 9
4-CONQUEST TWO STEP 115.0
1-CHITU 105.2
7-WILD DUDE 104.5
3-MAJESTIC CITY 101.1 (off May 14)
2-OUTSIDE NASHVILLE 94.5
5-KOBE'S BACK 94.5 (off July 14)
RACE 10
8-SUMMER FRONT 110.7
10-RING WEEKEND 107.3
11-ZA APPROVAL 102.5
2-HAY DUDE 101.1
3-WINNING PRIZE 100.4 (off Aug. 14)
RACE 11
5-SHARED BELIEF 123.8
6-MORENO 113.6
3-SR. QUISQUEYANO 104.5
13-HARD ACES 103.8
4-DYNAMIC SKY 102.5
12-CATCH A FLIGHT 101.1
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, March 06, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-ZIPPINAROUNDTOWN 43.3
6-SUMMER VEIL 36.6
5-SAINT NATA 36.6
2-OPEN DAY LIGHT 35.4
1-SCATAJAWEA 35.4
RACE 2
2-QUAY FACTOR 71.4
3-KATERRIFIC 65.9
4-DIAMANTE MOBILE 57.0
1-AMINA PERFECT 55.5
8-SMOOTH TALKER 54.0
6-ALICE ROADTRAIN 54.0
RACE 3
6-SIDEPOCKET RUN 69.8
2-MISS BOOM BOOM 67.5
5-MANGO REWARD 64.0
8-WARREN'S DIXI BELL 63.2
4-CARRICK BAY 62.7
RACE 4
5-FROM HERE TO THERE 75.4
2-THE GREAT CAPER 73.7
10-RED N BLACK ATTACK 72.0
8-TRAWEEK 69.2
4-JUSTA GUSTA 68.6
RACE 5
4-TWENTYTWENTYVISION 99.1
6-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 95.8
5-LUCKBOX SAM 95.2
1-LOGAN'S MOON 93.4
7-DAY OF FURY 91.3
RACE 6
6-YOUNG AND HUNGRY 82.6 (3 wide)
3-ANYTIME ANYPLACE 79.6
8-CURRENCY EXCHANGE 73.1
1-HAULER 62.7
9-BEST TWO MINUTES 58.5 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 4, 5, 2, 10, 7
RACE 7
11-LOST BUS 79.6
8-EASTER FEVER 73.7
9-HEAT THE ROCKS 72.0
7-SHEER PLEASURE 71.4
6-ALWAZABRIDESMAID 69.2
RACE 8
1-ZIMMER 94.5 (off Aug. 14)
8-FIGHTING ON 84.4
2-ROYAL F J 82.0
6-JOMELO 81.4
3-SMOKEY LONESOME 80.8
7-THIS ONE'S FOR ME 80.8
RACE 9
11-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 58.5
2-COMEALONGWITHME 57.7
5-CHICAGO ANGEL 57.5 (off March 14)
10-DULCEMIA 55.0
1-L X SUNRISE 54.5
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-ZIPPINAROUNDTOWN 43.3
6-SUMMER VEIL 36.6
5-SAINT NATA 36.6
2-OPEN DAY LIGHT 35.4
1-SCATAJAWEA 35.4
RACE 2
2-QUAY FACTOR 71.4
3-KATERRIFIC 65.9
4-DIAMANTE MOBILE 57.0
1-AMINA PERFECT 55.5
8-SMOOTH TALKER 54.0
6-ALICE ROADTRAIN 54.0
RACE 3
6-SIDEPOCKET RUN 69.8
2-MISS BOOM BOOM 67.5
5-MANGO REWARD 64.0
8-WARREN'S DIXI BELL 63.2
4-CARRICK BAY 62.7
RACE 4
5-FROM HERE TO THERE 75.4
2-THE GREAT CAPER 73.7
10-RED N BLACK ATTACK 72.0
8-TRAWEEK 69.2
4-JUSTA GUSTA 68.6
RACE 5
4-TWENTYTWENTYVISION 99.1
6-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 95.8
5-LUCKBOX SAM 95.2
1-LOGAN'S MOON 93.4
7-DAY OF FURY 91.3
RACE 6
6-YOUNG AND HUNGRY 82.6 (3 wide)
3-ANYTIME ANYPLACE 79.6
8-CURRENCY EXCHANGE 73.1
1-HAULER 62.7
9-BEST TWO MINUTES 58.5 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 4, 5, 2, 10, 7
RACE 7
11-LOST BUS 79.6
8-EASTER FEVER 73.7
9-HEAT THE ROCKS 72.0
7-SHEER PLEASURE 71.4
6-ALWAZABRIDESMAID 69.2
RACE 8
1-ZIMMER 94.5 (off Aug. 14)
8-FIGHTING ON 84.4
2-ROYAL F J 82.0
6-JOMELO 81.4
3-SMOKEY LONESOME 80.8
7-THIS ONE'S FOR ME 80.8
RACE 9
11-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 58.5
2-COMEALONGWITHME 57.7
5-CHICAGO ANGEL 57.5 (off March 14)
10-DULCEMIA 55.0
1-L X SUNRISE 54.5
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, March 05, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-LARY BIRDSTONE 69.8
1-SAINT DERMOT 69.2
6-DERBY GLASS 67.0
3-BULA BULA 63.2
7-VILLAGE KITTEN 58.2 (off April 14)
RACE 2
2-OUBLIC POLICY 80.8
1-CINEMATIC CAT 79.0
5-FLAT GONE 77.8
4-WATCH IT BUSTER 76.0
6-CELTIC MOON 75.4
RACE 3
1-CHARMING STARLET 69.2
3-HIGH INTENSITY 57.6
2-LIRICA HEAT 54.0
7-CHRISTIANAS MIRAGE 52.6
5-THERMODYNAMICS 52.1
1st time starters - 6
RACE 4
8-EL MONTEREY 64.3
10-VISIBILITY 63.8 (3 wide)
5-PREORDAINED 58.0
11-LUTE IT UP 55.0
9-MOONLIGHT MEETING 49.7
1st time starters - 3
RACE 5
5-WARREN'S PURRFECT 64.0
4-CEE'S TIZZY BELLE 63.2
3-JEAN EDWARD 58.5
6-DORIS JOHNSON 49.0
9-SWISS JET 38.2
1st time starters - 7
RACE 6
6-GRAZEN SKY 99.1
2-GUY CODE 76.0
8-KLUSZEWSKI 71.4
1-RUN LIKE A MILLION 69.8
5-COMANCHE RULER 64.3
RACE 7
4-HEAVENS STAIRWAY 97.1
3-KOOL KAT 86.9
7-MAGIC LILY 86.9
2-GRAZENETTE 86.3
5-AMNESIA 85.0
1st time starters - 9 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
5-KERRILYN 74.7 (off May 14)
12-ACATEGORYFIVESTORM 65.9
7-LUCKY STUDENT 65.2
4-TIME FOR ANGIE 64.8 (off June 14)
1-TWELVE FOLDS 64.3
6-IN DAD'S HONOR 62.7 (off May 14)
11-NORASTONE 61.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-LARY BIRDSTONE 69.8
1-SAINT DERMOT 69.2
6-DERBY GLASS 67.0
3-BULA BULA 63.2
7-VILLAGE KITTEN 58.2 (off April 14)
RACE 2
2-OUBLIC POLICY 80.8
1-CINEMATIC CAT 79.0
5-FLAT GONE 77.8
4-WATCH IT BUSTER 76.0
6-CELTIC MOON 75.4
RACE 3
1-CHARMING STARLET 69.2
3-HIGH INTENSITY 57.6
2-LIRICA HEAT 54.0
7-CHRISTIANAS MIRAGE 52.6
5-THERMODYNAMICS 52.1
1st time starters - 6
RACE 4
8-EL MONTEREY 64.3
10-VISIBILITY 63.8 (3 wide)
5-PREORDAINED 58.0
11-LUTE IT UP 55.0
9-MOONLIGHT MEETING 49.7
1st time starters - 3
RACE 5
5-WARREN'S PURRFECT 64.0
4-CEE'S TIZZY BELLE 63.2
3-JEAN EDWARD 58.5
6-DORIS JOHNSON 49.0
9-SWISS JET 38.2
1st time starters - 7
RACE 6
6-GRAZEN SKY 99.1
2-GUY CODE 76.0
8-KLUSZEWSKI 71.4
1-RUN LIKE A MILLION 69.8
5-COMANCHE RULER 64.3
RACE 7
4-HEAVENS STAIRWAY 97.1
3-KOOL KAT 86.9
7-MAGIC LILY 86.9
2-GRAZENETTE 86.3
5-AMNESIA 85.0
1st time starters - 9 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
5-KERRILYN 74.7 (off May 14)
12-ACATEGORYFIVESTORM 65.9
7-LUCKY STUDENT 65.2
4-TIME FOR ANGIE 64.8 (off June 14)
1-TWELVE FOLDS 64.3
6-IN DAD'S HONOR 62.7 (off May 14)
11-NORASTONE 61.6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, March 04, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, March 02, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,143 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,143 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, March 01, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
7-SMOKEY'S LEGACY 90.0
1-HOT MARKET 86.3
6-GANGNAM GUY 85.6
10-BOBBY Z MAN 85.6
5-SIR BARCLAY 83.9
RACE 2
4-CITY STATE 70.3
2-LUCKY VIEWS 68.6
5-DIVINE VISION 68.1
1-KNOCK EM FLAT 67.0
3-WARREN'S CASPER 63.8
RACE 3
8-MIDNIGHT LADY 77.6
1-MARLA HOOCH 74.2
3-WINNINGINFASHION 69.2
2-FRANDONTJUDGE 65.4
6-SUMMERS DIGNITY 64.0
RACE 4
1-MEDICINE BUTTE 65.4
10-CODACIOUS 55.5 (3 wide)
6-AUTUMN TWLIGHT 47.8
9-PRINCESS ASHLYN 23.1 (off slow)
1st time starters - 3, 2, 4, 8, 7, 5
RACE 5
1-WHISKEY WILD 76.6
5-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 70.3
7-BOURNE HOT 69.2
4-MR. JAY D 68.1
3-ENGLICH ART 57.5
RACE 6
11-FAITH PROOF 74.3
3-ADDENDUM 60.1 (off May 14)
7-TRIBAL PEACE 59.0
4-NOTHING TO HIDE 53.0
10-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 48.2
RACE 7
6-DANETTE 84.0
10-META MU 82.8
13-PAULINA'S LOVE 70.3
11-SCREAMING SKYLAR 59.3
12-OUI BEAR 55.0
1st time starters - 9 - (in U.S.A. - fgn.), 8
RACE 8
3-HEADB SOUTH 91.9
6-MEMPHIS 91.3
1-FIELD REPORT 88.8 (off Nov. 13)
5-FRENSHAM 87.5
7-MISSING GROOM 78.4
RACE 9
3-GNARLY HARLY 57.5
7-SKY HEART 57.0
1-ZIRONDELLE 54.0
8-DESERT GEM 50.2
11-WOODY'S FOLLY 47.4
2-BANDIDO TOO 42.9
9-SACRIFICIAL ACTION 41.1
1st time starters - 4
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
7-SMOKEY'S LEGACY 90.0
1-HOT MARKET 86.3
6-GANGNAM GUY 85.6
10-BOBBY Z MAN 85.6
5-SIR BARCLAY 83.9
RACE 2
4-CITY STATE 70.3
2-LUCKY VIEWS 68.6
5-DIVINE VISION 68.1
1-KNOCK EM FLAT 67.0
3-WARREN'S CASPER 63.8
RACE 3
8-MIDNIGHT LADY 77.6
1-MARLA HOOCH 74.2
3-WINNINGINFASHION 69.2
2-FRANDONTJUDGE 65.4
6-SUMMERS DIGNITY 64.0
RACE 4
1-MEDICINE BUTTE 65.4
10-CODACIOUS 55.5 (3 wide)
6-AUTUMN TWLIGHT 47.8
9-PRINCESS ASHLYN 23.1 (off slow)
1st time starters - 3, 2, 4, 8, 7, 5
RACE 5
1-WHISKEY WILD 76.6
5-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 70.3
7-BOURNE HOT 69.2
4-MR. JAY D 68.1
3-ENGLICH ART 57.5
RACE 6
11-FAITH PROOF 74.3
3-ADDENDUM 60.1 (off May 14)
7-TRIBAL PEACE 59.0
4-NOTHING TO HIDE 53.0
10-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 48.2
RACE 7
6-DANETTE 84.0
10-META MU 82.8
13-PAULINA'S LOVE 70.3
11-SCREAMING SKYLAR 59.3
12-OUI BEAR 55.0
1st time starters - 9 - (in U.S.A. - fgn.), 8
RACE 8
3-HEADB SOUTH 91.9
6-MEMPHIS 91.3
1-FIELD REPORT 88.8 (off Nov. 13)
5-FRENSHAM 87.5
7-MISSING GROOM 78.4
RACE 9
3-GNARLY HARLY 57.5
7-SKY HEART 57.0
1-ZIRONDELLE 54.0
8-DESERT GEM 50.2
11-WOODY'S FOLLY 47.4
2-BANDIDO TOO 42.9
9-SACRIFICIAL ACTION 41.1
1st time starters - 4
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
