Monday, April 30, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at Betfair Hollywood Park today

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2284 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, April 29, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
3-RUFFLED FEATHERS 79.0
7-SUNBURN 77.2
6-UNUSUAL HOTTIE 76.6
4-LONG LEGGED LOVELY 74.9
5-DONNER WASSER 70.9

RACE 3
7-J J'S JAGUAR 79.6
2-NEW HIRE 71.4
4-TRAWEEK 67.8
5-GOOD LIFE 63.2
1-RUN FOR MILES 58.5

RACE 4
5-BALLADRY 101.1
6-ANTHONY'S CROSS 97.1
4-TWICE THE APPEAL 90.7
3-TWEEBSTER 87.5
1-MCKENZIES WAY 81.3

RACE 5
9-SEQUOIA WARRIOR 107.3
2-FLEET EAGLE 75.4
3-CORINTHIAN'S SONG 70.3
10-HIS ROYAL HIGHNESS 64.8
4-HEDGER 57.5

1st time starters -1, 11, 7, 12 (lost jock), 8

RACE 6
2-MISSDEALORNODEAL 90.7
3-TALKTOOMUCH 86.3
7-LINDA LOU 84.4
5-NICE MEIDEL 81.4
4-MISS REDITORE 77.2

RACE 7
9-IMPERIAL PRIDE 85.6
1-DANCING AT DARK 85.6
6-WOODLAND FLOOD 83.8 (off June 11)
10-MY MAN SUMO 81.4
3-ADAM SUANCES 81.4

RACE 8
3-NEREID 99.8 (off Oct. 11)
7-UP IN TIME 93.9
8-GO FORTH NORTH 91.9
5-WILD MIA 90.7
1-BRIECAT 87.5

RACE 9
7-LILY'S TIZ 51.6
2-RUNNING ISABELLA 46.4 (off Aug. 11)
6-SECRET GENIUS 45.5
5-NIFTY DREAM 44.6
8-MY MARISKA 34.6

1st time starters - 3, 4

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Saturday, April 28, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




TODAYS PICK SIX CARRYOVER IS $65,323.

RACE 1
4-WARREN'S MO MONEY 56.0
6-NATALIE'S ACADEMY 55.5
2-BUD AND BRANDY 55.5
1-STING N STELLA 51.6 (off Oct. 10)
7-SWISS CHARM 49.2

RACE 2
3-YOU CAN DREAM 80.8
5-SWEET NECTAR 73.1
4-RIVER KISS 68.6
2-CARRIE ROSE 66.4
9-A NATURAL 62.2

RACE 3
5-SISTER KATE 91.9
8-A JEALOUS WOMAN 89.8
3-BENCH GLORY 89.4
7-HALO DOLLY 86.8
6-MISS BECCA 82.6

RACE 4
2-LUCKYVIC 71.4
1-SEA JOHN'S SPIRIT 69.2
10-WARREN'S INTERNET 54.5
7-BRITEYEDNBUSHYTAIL 51.1
5-MAIDEN LANE 48.0

1st time starters - 9, 4, 3, 8, 6

RACE 5
3-CAFFEINE HIGH 98.4
12-WOODMANS LUCK 91.9
10-HE'S VERY VERY RARE 91.2
9-RELENTLESS HEAT 90.7
2-PLANET SUNSHINE 88.8

RACE 6
4-WILLA B AWESOME 97.1
5-STARLIGHT MAGIC 82.0
2-STARRY SKIES 75.7
1-WARREN'S AMBER 73.4
7-ANNA YOU'RE UP 66.4

RACE 7
1-BERTRAN HILL 94.5 (off Sept. 11)
7-INUIT FISHER 93.2
6-BLUE JAY ATTACK 87.5
2-MY SUMMER SLEW 86.3
3-STREAKIN' MOHICAN 82.0

RACE 8
7-BENCH LIGHT 77.2
8-DYLAN DONNELLY 76.6
6-OH RIGHTY 75.8
10-STONEY FLEECE 74.6
5-REAL CNUNDRUM 72.8

RACE 9
5-ITALIAN RULES 110.0
7-JOY BOY 95.8
8-LEAVING NEW YORK 93.2
6-M ONE RIFLE 91.9
1-MOBILIZED 90.1


RACE 10
14-ENDURING PROMISE 75.4
2-SWIFT EAGLE 74.1
3-VALENTINE BOY 70.3 (off July 11)
6-NIGHT WIND 54.5
9-GOODBYE CHARLIE 49.7
13-RAYA ROJA 46.9 (off July 11)

1st time starters - 16, 1, 5, 7, 4, 15, 10, 11, 8, 12

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Friday, April 27, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY EVE.

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
2-PERSONALITARY 71.4
1-COLOURSOFTHEGLEN 70.9
3-ORBACH 69.8
6-MAKER 62.7
5-FORWARD COMMITMENT 57.0

RACE 2
6-MALIBU LOVE 66.4
8-PEPPY RAFAELA 60.4
1-MISSIE KY I YOU 51.6
4-SWIFT ANTICIPATION 33.4
3-TRULY A MIST 32.6

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3
4-ACCLAMATION 121.5 (off Oct. 11)
5-HOLLADAY ROAD 99.0
2-UTOPIAN 88.1
1-HAIMISH HY 82.0
3-SMUG 80.8

RACE 4
7-WARRENS SUMMERGOLD 72.0
5-LANA'S SMILE 70.9
6-PEACENIK 65.9
1-USURP 63.2
3-ALL MY CHIPS 53.0

RACE 5
4-TAKE A YARD 97.1 (off July 11)
1-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 93.9
2-GAB POWER 93.2
6-RENEGADE STORM 88.1
5-EMPIRE WAY 86.9

RACE 6
2-WITH A MIRACLE 91.3
1-FLASHY DAME 76.6
5-DIME PIECE 67.0
7-MUSIC THUNDER 65.9
9-BOUND FOR EDEN 60.1

1st time starters - 3, 8, 6

RACE 7
11-WARREN'S JAZZ WALK 64.3
9-TO THE TOP 58.0
5-WOODMAN'S LASS 55.2
2-LORENBRAY 51.1
8-MY JOYCIE 48.8

RACE 8
3-TIGAH 101.8
2-MAKE MUSIC FOR ME 93.2
1-DUBAI YOU X Y Z 93.2 (off March 11)
4-MAJOR ART 84.4 (off April 11)
5-SARATOGA YANKEE 80.8

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
5-SMART HOMBRE 61.1
2-HIDDEN QUEST 59.6
8-TRIBUNAL BLUES 51.6 (off July 11)
6-NOBYJO 48.8
3-IRON JOE T 47.8

1st time starters - 1

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Thursday, April 26, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
4-LASER POINT 77.8
5-CAPTURE THE CALL 74.9
6-BRONSTER 71.0
3-IT'S SUPERMAN 56.5
1-LIFE IS A ROCK 52.5

RACE 2
1-SING A TALE 43.3
9-ALL SIX SISTERS 33.8 (off Aug. 11)
7-CELAYA'S PRIZE 25.8
8-KISSIN IN THE DARK 20.6 (off Sept. 11)

1st time starters - 5, 4, 6, 2, 3

RACE 3
3-CAN'T TOPPER 67.5
9-LA HIJO MAESTRIA 62.7
2-SI MAR'S DEAR 59.0
8-STUDIO CITY 54.5
7-FOLK DANCER 54.0

RACE 4
1-RANCHERO 93.2
5-TAP IT IN 73.7 (off March 11)
7-CAST A DOUBT 70.3
2-BEAU ROYALE 64.8
6-GUNGA GALUNGA 62.6

RACE 5
6-GELIA 88.1
7-CAELIS 83.2
5-LAST STING 80.8
9-TRIVENI 77.8
3-BYRONY 77.7 (off May 11)

RACE 6
9-TIZ A BRITE MISS 70.6 (off June 11)
7-RALPHY GIRL 46.4
6-FRONT PAGE DANCER 45.1
10-SILVER LUNA 44.2
4-TORRE ITALIANA 44.2

1st time starters - 2, 8

RACE 7
8-KOAST 97.1
6-AMERICAN ACT 95.2
5-CONSULADO 91.3
4-DIAMOND OF BLUE 88.1
3-CHICKIE CHARMS 85.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS (10 1st timers)

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Wednesday, April 25, 2012

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Tuesday, April 24, 2012

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2284 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, April 22, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
5-LADY TEN 74.9
4-DIXIE IN PINK 66.4
3-CHESTNUT MOON 61.6
2-ASKRA 61.6
1-MISS PIPPA 57.2

1st time starters - 6

RACE 2
2-LET'S GET CRACKIN 93.2
4-GUN BOAT 92.6
1-INNOCENT MAN 80.8
3-HODGE 76.0
5-NIGHT TIDE 71.4 (off Aug. 11)

RACE 3
4-DEITY 91.3
8-SCHIAPARELLI 85.0 (off Jun. 11)
2-TIZALWAYSOMETHING 79.6 (off Nov. 11)
5-HAKUCHI 77.2
7-MRS. ROSA 75.4

RACE 4
2-MEADOW ROAD 76.0
1-STORMING KENTUCKY 74.3
6-NISUS 70.9
5-AFLEET COWBOY 62.7
3-HOLLYWOOD MOGAL 61.1

RACE 5
4-PURE STORM 78.7
8-VAN BRIT 78.4
6-ENTABENI 77.8
1-HALFAPONDAROSA 76.6
3-TAXI RIDE 74.9 (off Dec. 11)

RACE 6
7-TURN ON THE PUMPS 65.9
5-ON HOLY GROUND 62.2
2-SIDEPOCKET KID 58.5
1-SWISS EMPEROR 57.5
3-OUTTA SPLASH 54.0

RACE 7
4-FIRE WITH FIRE 98.4
1-BARNEY REBEL 96.5
6-MEGASTAR 96.4
2-TIPPETY TAP TAP 92.6
8-TAMARACK SMARTY 89.4

RACE 8
6-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 70.9
5-SOI PHET 56.0
3-CATQUEST 54.5 (off slow)
8-BRINGON THE WAIN 54.0
4-I FEEL FREE 52.1

1st time starters - 7, 1

RACE 9
1-DHAAMER 103.4
2-BOURBON BAY 103.1
5-BONFIRE KNIGHT 97.6
3-HOG'S HOLLOW 95.2
4-EAGLE POISE 92.6
6-HARRODS CREEK 92.6

RACE 10
9-MIDNIGHT CON 58.5
2-MR. PADRE 55.0
8-SHERIFF RYAN 54.5
12-VERY UNUSUAL 50.6
1-JEFFERY'S PRIDE 50.2
4-DREAM CAUGHT 49.2

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Saturday, April 21, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





RACE 1
4-GALLANT GENT 86.9
1-DEADLY CATCH 86.3
5-CIRCLE DRIVE 82.6
6-FORMAT V. 78.4
3-STRIKING SPIRIT 76.0

RACE 2
5-ULTIMATE DECISION 91.9
3-ARCODORO 77.2
1-SPECIAL KID 76.6
4-ROCK THIS WAY 76.6
2-VICTOR'S MAGIC 66.4

RACE 3
1-LAKE MARACAIBO 78.4
3-SWINGAWAY 75.4
4-COMIN EASY 67.5
7-SMOOTH AS USUAL 57.5
2-MAGIC FIRE 53.6

1st time starters - 6, 5, 9, 8

RACE 4
1-BARON VON RED 82.6
3-PUT IT THERE 70.9
7-FULL EFFECT 68.1
5-TOY 65.2 (off Feb. 11)
6-SECRET SPY 59.6

RACE 5
5-COMPARI 98.4
6-CALIFORNIA FLAG 97.8 (off Nov. 11)
7-IRISH ART 97.1
8-AIN'T NO OTHER 95.2
1-SUPREME SUMMIT 90.0
3-VICTORY PETE 90.0

RACE 6
7-DESIGNER 82.0

1st time starters - 4, 1, 2, 3, 6, 5, 9, 8

RACE 7
11-DRESS CODE 91.9
5-JAIRZIHNO 88.8
4-LAMM 86.3
1-VICTORIAN PRINCE 86.3
6-JP JAMMER 82.0

RACE 8
6-FLIGHTOFALIFETIME 102.5 (off May 11)
1-OBSESS 101.8
7-CYCLOMETER 101.8
9-BET ON VICTOR 99.1
4-CLOSE TO THE EDGE 97.1

RACE 9
5-VAMO A GALUPIAR 97.8
1-HARD SEVEN 90.0
7-CAMELIA ROSE 89.4
2-CAMBINA 89.4
4-CAPITAL PLAN 88.8

RACE 10
8-SALTY ROBBIN 68.6
9-EMERALD ASSETS 63.2 (off Dec. 10)
1-SI ES VERDAD 55.0
11-FATHER PABST 52.1
10-OCEAN APPEAL 49.7

1st time starters - 3, 5, 7

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Friday, April 20, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
1-WORLD RENOWNED 93.2
5-BLU JON 82.4
6-DEATH STAR 69.3
3-DYNAMIZE 64.2
2-THIRTEEN BLACK 54.6

RACE 2
5-LOVE MY WAY 77.1
2-HENNESSY RIVER 68.6
4-LASSO FROM EL PASO 68.6
1-TREATHERLIKEALADY 60.6

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 3
4-REACH A DECISION 93.2
7-AQUA FEVER 82.6
2-WINSOME CHARM 80.8
5-BEST VERSE 79.6
6-TRIBAL NATION 72.6

RACE 4
1-GAME CHARMER 50.6
4-ITSPHUN 47.8
5-OUR NEW DANCER 44.2
3-MIRACLE MERGER 42.9
7-DEPISTRY 42.4

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
3-ANTIDOTE 92.6
1-FALCON ROCK 91.3
8-DANDEREK 87.5
2-ERBEIA 84.4
6-KESSABTSI 72.6

RACE 6
1-FINAL JOURNEY 84.4
3-CARDIFF GIANT 79.6
5-CLEAR TO CANADA 77.2
8-BRADY BLUE EYES 73.7
2-CHOP HOUSE GEORGE 63.8

RACE 7
2-BLINGO 88.8
1-BUFFALO BILLY 79.6
5-VIBRATO JAZZ 77.8
3-TIZ POINT 77.8
4-CAPTAIN OBVIOUS 72.6

RACE 8
6-WARREN'S ASSASSIN 62.3
3-CHIMI DEE 52.1
8-DEMONSTEROUS 49.2
2-QUEEN MERCURY 44.9
9-HEARTLESS HONEY 44.6

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Thursday, April 19, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS - ALL 1ST TIMERS

RACE 2
2-MAUI MARK 100.3
3-STORMBERG 93.2
5-WARREN'S DR. YANG 90.7
4-KUMIVA 87.5
6-ALIZA'S DREAM 83.8

RACE 3
1-OUTPERFORM 58.0
6-DUTCH COURAGE 37.0
2-CHICAGO HERO 32.6 (steadied)
5-PLAYIN THE ODDS 30.8
3-BRAWLER 30.4 (off slow)

RACE 4
8-GOTHICS PEAK 83.8
3-WARRENS WILD THING 76.0
1-CLEARANCE CLARENCE 73.1
6-MINISTER D'ORO 70.9
5-QUAIL HILL 65.9
7-WARREN'S KONG 65.9

RACE 5
7-H. J.'S KITTY 65.9
3-ARINYES LOVE 52.1
1-CHEESE DANISH 39.0
6-BULLETGIRL 37.0
5-ROYAL LAC DU 25.1

1st time starters - 2, 8

RACE 6
3-MORGANUSKA 73.1
1-DEVILS AFLEET 72.6
6-MAKER 67.5
2-TITAN 67.0
4-BELO PURSE 65.4

RACE 7
2-DERIVE 111.4
3-SADDLERANCH 105.9
7-COURTSIDE 99.1
4-OFF THE WALL 95.2 (off May 11)
6-HOORAYFORHOLLYWOOD 94.5

RACE 8
2-CAVALLETTA 68.1
4-LIGHT OF LIFE 65.9
6-SABOULI 60.6
3-SELLERIA 60.1
7-POPPY FIELD 55.5
1-ROYALE LEGACY 55.0

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Tuesday, April 17, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, April 16, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2278 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, April 15, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
6-MO CHEESE 67.0
4-QUEENIE MARINI 64.3
3-AKEELA 63.8
2-MEMO TO KATHY 61.1
1-INDY BEAUTY 60.1

RACE 2
2-BLUE SAMURAI 73.7
3-LAURA'S PLEASURE 72.0
5-CALIFORNIA HEAT 69.8
1-CANDY AND THUNDER 68.1
6-WARREN'S GOLDIE 61.1

RACE 3
3-PALIO PRINCE 86.3
2-E Z LEAD 83.2 (off Dec. 11)
4-FIRST STRIKE 76.6
1-SIR HAMILTON 70.3
5-MILES LONG GONE 66.4

RACE 4
1-RICSPRETENTIOUSGAL 49.7
6-CALL ME LUCY 47.4
3-FRECKLES GALORE 45.1
2-SINGMEASONG 42.9
4-THE DOLL ROOM 32.6

RACE 5
5-VALERIA 66.4
7-SO SHE DANCES 65.9
8-TARNISHA 65.4 (off Dec. 10)
1-DYNAMIC DIVA 59.5
2-FAST MOKA TOO 56.5

1st time starters - 6, 4

RACE 6
7-CONKATE 65.9
3-GHOST OF A CHANCE 63.8
6-MAGICAL BAND 60.1
4-MEL'S RULES 51.1

1st time starters - 1, 2, 5

RACE 7
6-LUCKARACK 99.0
4-OBVIOUSLY 98.4
5-ROMEO ROYALE 88.8
2-METROPOLITAN MAN 88.8
3-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 85.6

RACE 8
3-CONTESTED 93.9 (off Oct. 11)
4-TIZ THE TIDE 84.4
5-DYPSY 72.4
1-HIDDEN PASSION 70.9
2-HELEONOR RUGBY 67.0

RACE 9
6-JONNY'S CHOICE 80.4
3-THE UNUSUAL ONE 80.2 (off Feb. 11)
4-LETHAL INTENT 74.9
8-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 74.3
1-ALL DE VICTORS 73.7

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Saturday, April 14, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
5-FIST PUMP 78.4
1-DANGER RANGER 70.0
3-SHOWMETHEMONEYJIM 67.5
2-CALL ME JONES 65.9
6-CONGRATS SKI 61.1

RACE 2
1-TOUGH 'N DANGEROUS 54.5
4-FIRST BLUE ANGEL 53.0
2-CLOCKER MOMENT 47.8
3-AHUALULCO 39.0
6-DESTINED JOURNEY 38.2

RACE 3
2-PRIVATE BOUNTY 73.1
4-ONEBADBOY 66.4
3-BREAKMARK 61.1
5-TRUENO 60.6 (off Oct. 11)
1-RUN CANDY RUN 59.0

RACE 4
1-BLAKE 75.4
6-WEGNER 73.1
3-GO TO THE PULPIT 60.1
5-VICTORIASUGRDADDY 58.5
2-THE BIEN'S GIFT 56.5

RACE 5
6-EATON HALL 80.8
3-SEAL THE DEAL 75.4
7-HIS ROYAL HIGHNESS 72.0
2-CALLED TO SERVE 71.4
1-STRATIFY 70.3

RACE 6
3-CANULETMEDOWNEASY 87.5
1-CHICKIE CHARMS 83.8
11-FABLE HAVEN 83.2
5-FLEET EAGLE 78.4
7-SEA TO SKY 74.3

1st time starters - 8, 2

RACE 7
2-PINK LOLLIPOPS 93.2
5-MY BRITE CAROLINE 81.4
6-MELISSA ROSE 81.4
1-PRINCELADA 74.3
3-FOREVER NEDA 68.6

RACE 8
5-MIZDIRECTION 107.3
1-UNZIP ME 101.8
2-TERODA 98.4
6-LA NEZ 95.2 (off April 11)
4-BROKEN DREAMS 88.8

RACE 9
5-COURAGEOUSANDBOLD 39.9 (off Oct. 11)
12-CHEESE DANISH 39.9
2-SWEET JUJU 36.2
11-VEGAS RULES 34.6
3-LOVE MY GIRL 33.0 (off Aug. 11)

1st time starters - 4, 1, 6, 9, 14

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Friday, April 13, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




NOTE: THURSDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 5 RACES (RACES 3 THRU 7) TO GIVE YOU 5 OUT OF 6 ON THE PICK SIX. MY 3RD PICK WON RACE 8 GIVING YOU THE PICK SIX FOR THE DAY.

RACE 1
5-KE KUKUI 84.4
1-JARDELLA 74.0
3-ROCK AND GLORY 60.4
4-LOVE AND FAITH 59.6
2-JOLLY DAYS 58.2

RACE 2
2-R VICARIOUS GIRL 62.7
3-MUSICAL GRACE 58.5
1-BURLEYS LEAP 51.6
5-SEXY MELODY 37.4
4-WARREN'S MYSTERY 35.4

RACE 3
1-SWEET NECTAR 74.3
2-MY DIANE 65.4
3-ONE BAD TEXTER 63.8
7-CANDY AND THUNDER 63.2
5-LEMON HERO 57.5

RACE 4
3-JACK O LYN 70.9
5-TRIBAL DREAMS 67.5
2-POP THE CORK 67.0
1-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 65.4
4-SUPER CANDY 46.4

RACE 5
4-SHEWHOMUSTBEOBEYED 68.1
5-THE GRANS 68.1
1-WILDAKCELERATION 66.1
9-CEE'S THE YEAR 61.5
3-WARREN'S MY QUEEN 58.0

RACE 6
2-BLAZING MARINO 65.4
7-DREAM CAUGHT 57.5
3-KING'S RED JOURNEY 50.0
1-NOBLE KENT 48.0
5-FAR TO REACH 42.0 (off Nov. 11)

RACE 7
1-MY SELECTION 85.6
4-BOBINA 85.6
5-GITTEL 82.8
6-DIJARVO 82.6
3-STARSHIP FLARE 74.9

RACE 8
4-WARREN'S PERFORMER 46.0
5-METAXA 40.7 (off Oct. 10)
2-LILY'S TIZ 38.6
1-FLAMING FIESTA 16.9
3-PRISSY MISS 12.0 (off May 10)

1st time starters - 8, 6, 9, 7

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Thursday, April 12, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
2-ROYAL MERIDIAN 83.5
1-OCTANE 70.3
6-MOROCCAN SKY 68.1
4-SEQUOIA WARRIOR 64.8 (off March 11)
5-BEV N BUD 60.6 (off Jan 11)

1st time starters - 3

RACE 2
4-VALKYRIE MISSILE 90.0
5-POSITION A 82.0
1-ITSSULTRYINTHECAPE 79.0
3-TWOATTEN 75.4 (off June 11)
2-DRIFT KING 61.1

RACE 3
6-PLATINUM MINE 68.1
1-HUNTINGTON HARBOUR 68.1
2-ELUSIVE SPIRIT 68.1
7-THREE CUTIES 67.0
3-WARREN'S HOPEFUL 63.2

RACE 4
5-BACKWOODS BELLE 65.9
3-I SENSE YOUR LUCK 64.8
1-WARREN'S MORGAN 64.3
6-SILENT SUE 48.3 (off July 11)
2-FOOTNOTEDISCLOSURE 46.4

RACE 5
7-LATE NIGHT SKY 73.7
8-BI FLASH 64.6
1-CRAQUI 62.7
3-ANIMAUX DEL VIENTO 61.6
5-BIG MAN IN BLACK 56.5

RACE 6
6-BIG TSIMMIS 81.4
1-SI MAR'S DEAR 63.8
2-COPARCENARY 60.6
4-FILLY POWER 57.0
7-ASHABU 52.6

RACE 7
2-ACHILLES 89.4
6-RANSOM CANYON 80.2
1-TRUCIAL STATE 74.9
4-WAR POLITICS 69.8
3-PRESS BARON 66.0

RACE 8
2-MR. NEWTON 60.1
7-ALWORTH 59.6
6-RUN FOR MILES 47.8
1-CHIBITA 43.8
3-CHAPITO 43.8
9-EL GUAPO 17.7 (off slow)

1st time starters - 4, 5, 8

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Wednesday, April 11, 2012

 

SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, April 09, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2271 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, April 08, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




NOTE: SATURDAY MY TOP PICK WON 7 OF THE RACES, 1ST TIME STARTER WON 1 RACE AND MY 2ND PICKS WON 2 RACES.

RACE 1
5-FOREST SOUVENIR 79.0
6-RINO U 54.5
2-WISE GUISE 53.5 (off Jun. 11)
4-SUPER CANDY 49.7
1-SUNNY SUPERSTITION 45.1 (off Aug. 11)

RACE 2
3-FLOATING FEATHER 87.5
2-STORMIN PROUD PAPA 80.2
4-CUT FASTBALL 74.9
6-BRYAN DANIEL 73.7
1-ORBACH 70.9

RACE 3
5-COOK INLET 82.7
4-BABY BLAKE 74.9
3-MAKE US PROUD 74.9
7-CONFUCIUS JUNIOR 72.6
6-KESSABTSI 70.9

RACE 4
3-LOW GEAR POWER 75.4
1-PERSONALITARY 72.0
6-NO STADIUM 71.4
5-FORMULA GOLD 69.2
2-SPICY BEAU 69.2

RACE 5
7-ROMAN CHIC 77.2
6-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 75.4
8-MO CHEESE 65.9
5-VKKILEE 62.7
2-QUIET ADVICE 59.6

RACE 6
3-WARRENS VENEDALUCY 55.5
5-WILD BELLA 51.6
10-CHIMI DEE 43.3
8-RALPHY GIRL 37.8
1-UNUSUAL JEWEL 31.5

1st time starters - 2, 7, 4

RACE 7
4-SUANCES FLOWER 81.4
2-STARRY SKIES 80.8
5-SHEZABIGBROAD 74.1
3-DARLING DODIE 73.7
1-CACTUS FLYER 72.0

RACE 8
11-SI ES VERDAD 53.5
4-IRON JOE T 48.8
10-CUT N' DEAL 47.8
3-SKULLY GULLY 41.6
7-RESPECT LIFE 36.6

1st time starters - 9

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Saturday, April 07, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
3-LIBERAL ARTS 96.5
2-HE'S VERY RARE 88.1
4-VALLEY CAT 80.0
6-LODI RED 79.0
1-CORNER OFFICE 65.9

RACE 2
3-SOLAR ROCKET 105.2
8-DAVE'S PACEMAKER 83.8
2-QUIETLY MINE 80.2
4-HASTY TREND 79.0
1-COO CACHOO 77.2

RACE 3
2-RELENTLESS HEAT 86.9
6-MINT HUMOR 83.8
5-STONE HOT 73.1
7-LINCECUM 67.3
4-EAST SKY 60.1

RACE 4
3-TREACHEROUS 85.6
6-FALCON'S THRONE 45.1 (off Aug. 11)
4-MY BEST BROTHER 37.4 (off Aug. 11)

1st time starters - 8, 7, 2, 1, 5

RACE 5
8-RISKY REWARD 83.4
4-CURRAHEE 74.0
5-QATAR'S PEARL 74.0
2-LANGFURS LIGHTNING 72.0
6-MONTEGO BAY 62.7

1st time starters - 1

RACE 6
4-I'LL HAVE ANOTHER 107.9
1-CREATIVE CAUSE 107.3
8-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 105.2
5-LONGVIEW DRIVE 105.2
2-LIAISON 99.8

RACE 7
6-PATRIOT'S VOYAGE 95.8
7-FIDDLERS AFLEET 95.2
1-OILISBLACKGOLD 92.6
8-ULTIMATE DECISION 90.0
3-THUNDER CANYON 89.5

RACE 8
1-LADY OF SHAMROCK 93.2
3-KILLER GRACES 90.6
7-INDIGO RIVER 86.9
4-BYRAMA 83.8
5-CHARM THE MAKER 81.6

RACE 9
2-AMAZOMBIE 120.8
5-ROMAN THREAT 119.3
1-SWAY AWAY 113.6
6-CAMP VICTORY 111.4 (off Nov. 11)
7-COURTSIDE 110.0

RACE 10
4-BELLE ROYALE 116.8
2-CALLE VISTA 93.2 (off April 11)
9-GO FORTH NORTH 90.7 (off Sept. 11)
5-IMPERIALISTIC DIVA 89.4
8-GEM OF SOUL 88.1

RACE 11
1-MIDNIGHT CON 68.1
6-RON BURGUNDY 59.0
10-TALE BE TOLD 52.1
5-SWISS GAME 52.1
4-BESPOKE SUIT 50.2

1st time starters - 9, 7, 12

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Friday, April 06, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
1-ALL ON THE TABLE 76.6
4-MISS REDITORE 74.3 (off July 11)
5-MOONSTRUCK MAYA 67.0
2-MAYAKOBA MESA 64.8
3-SHE'LL HEIR 54.0

RACE 2
2-LISA LULU 76.0
3-HIGH RESOLVE 75.4
6-SHE'S VERY RARE 74.3
5-KIDS TABLE 73.7
7-WINTER BLOSSOM 67.0

RACE 3
6-CHARM THE CROWD 91.9
4-GOING FOR A SPIN 82.0
7-BELLINI BLISS 79.0
2-LAST STING 77.8
3-WARREN'S GOT GAME 76.6

RACE 4
4-BLUE EYES INCLUDED 48.3
1-DANI'S SIS 47.1
5-SWISS CHARM 42.8
3-MISSIE KY I YOU 42.0
7-RANDOM LUCK 39.2

RACE 5
4-EL VINO 99.1
1-MR. BOSSY PANTS 97.1
2-HE'S A DANCE STAR 95.2 (off Aug. 11)
8-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 85.6
6-GOLDEN BOUNTY 85.0
3-MOMENT OF WEAKNESS 85.0

RACE 6
6-AFTER LATER 63.2
8-GIRLS LACROSSE 60.6
4-ZIVA 57.0
9-RED FLAGS FLYING 56.5 (off Aug. 11)
2-CAPALATTE 54.5

RACE 7
8-CIRCLE THE MOON 94.5
4-CAT TALK 87.5
7-TWIN SIX 86.3
2-SLAMMER TIME 80.8
5-DON PERICO 78.2

RACE 8
7-WARREN'S MO MONEY 58.0
3-ALWAYS A CHANCE 51.1
6-NATALIE'S ACADEMY 50.6 (off Sept. 11)
8-PATTY'S PULPIT 50.2
9-RED INTRIGUE 35.0 (off slow)

1st time starters - 5, 2, 4

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Thursday, April 05, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
5-SHRUG 91.9
2-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 90.0
4-VIA VERDE 86.9
3-DOMONATION 85.6
1-HONOUR FAMILY 83.2 (off June 11)

RACE 2
5-WARREN'S JAZZ WALK 57.5
6-WARRENS CHINA DOLL 37.8
7-OUR NEW DANCER 36.2
1-PRIDE HUNTER 35.4
3-LILY'S TIZ 34.2

1st time starters - 4

RACE 3
1-HIDINGINPLAINSIGHT 84.4
2-STARRY SKIES 83.2
5-VEGAS BABE 79.6
7-BELLE PASSE 77.8
9-LOVESTEALER 74.4

RACE 4
7-SPLENDID FORTUNE 84.4
4-INSTANT ROYALTY 69.2
3-PERPETUA 55.5

1st time starters - 5, 2, 1, 6, 8, 9

RACE 5
5-GOLDENTOUCH OF GIN 66.4
8-UNBRIDLED AMBITION 62.7
6-GYPSY FRIDAY 58.5
3-STUPENDOUS PRINCESS 54.8
2-BIG MAMA'S DRIVE'N 46.4 (off Oct. 11)

1st time starters - 10

RACE 6
1-AMERICAN LADY 99.1 (off Aug. 11)
8-CHUKCHI SUNRISE 90.0
6-MILDLY OFFENSIVE 87.5 (off Oct. 11)
7-JUSTENUFAPPEAL 80.2 (off July 11)
2-MISS RADIANCE 77.8

RACE 7
7-HEIDI MARIA 87.0
2-MELTARIB 81.4
5-LET'S GO CHEYENNE 80.8
6-CAELIS 80.8
3-BORN LUCKY 80.2

RACE 8
6-HAMMURABI 72.8
12-FORMULA GOLD 71.4
10-ALL MY CHIPS 71.4
11-MAKER 70.9
5-MAN CHESTER MAN 70.3
7-WILD REVENGE 69.8

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Wednesday, April 04, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, April 03, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2266 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, April 01, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $256,115.

RACE 1
2-BROKEN GLASS 58.0
1-ONEINAMILLIONYOU 54.5
6-TIZ VICTORIOUS 47.8
4-STONEWALL JACKSON 43.8
5-OUTTA SPLASH 38.3

RACE 2
1-BROWN IS BEIGE 88.4
3-MS. G. I. JANE 82.0
4-SARASOTA SUNSHINE 80.8
2-FAST EYDIE 78.4
5-PICTURE PERFECT 74.3

RACE 3
5-TUMMEL 68.6
6-CAST A DOUBT 68.1
2-PUT IT THERE 62.2
1-ATTICLUDE 60.1
7-HELLO FRANKIE 42.9 (off Sept.11)

1st time starters - 3

RACE 4
1-KOAST 103.8
8-BOAT TRIP 89.4
2-CONGRATS SKI 82.7
4-IMMACULATE 79.6
7-LA MANO NERA 78.5

RACE 5
4-MONA STORM 82.6
1-TRAPPER'S BOUNTY 76.0
2-ABELLA 74.7
3-YOU CAN DREAM 74.3
7-LINE ONE 73.1

RACE 6
7-UNUSUAL HOTTIE 80.2
4-LONG LEGGED LOVELY 78.4
6-SHEZABIGBROAD 74.9
3-BODIE GIRL 73.7
2-SHE'SFITFORAKING 71.4

RACE 7
4-UZZIAH 73.1
5-JIM'S DECISION 68.6
7-MILES LONG GONE 68.1
1-ROCK THIS WAY 65.9
2-ST. JOEL 61.6

RACE 8
4-DONATO 97.1
5-CALIMONCO 94.5
2-DEWEY'S SPECIAL 92.6
6-HAIMISH HY 86.9
1-DANCING IN SILKS 85.7

RACE 9
11-ENDURING PROMISE 78.4
6-MY SLEW 76.6
2-GOODBYE CHARLIE 59.7
1-BRINGON THE WAIN 49.7
12-GIFTED MONARCH 42.9

1st time starters - 8, 10, 3, 5, 9

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