Wednesday, December 31, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $95,175.

RACE 1
5-NIGHTTIMING 77.2
3-BACKINTHEACADEMY 71.4
6-SHOPPING SAVANNAH 69.8
2-ENDURING ERIN 68.6
7-LETHAL STORY 67.5

RACE 2
7-ELTONINADRESS 73.7
6-IT'S AINE 62.7
8-SMIL'NFROM ABOVE 55.5
1-TRIBAL PEACE 54.5
5-MY DEVILISH DIVA 51.1

RACE 3
14-FARINGDON CIRCLE 83.9
4-SPY GIRL 83.2
3-NICEGIRLSFINISHLAST 73.6
8-TAYLOR LANE 69.2
9-CELIBATAIRE 67.3 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 13

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-NATALIE'S WONDER 62.7
3-HOLIDAY MAKER 56.0
8-TAKE BACK SPRING 55.0
4-AWE GEE 53.5
7-DESERT THIEF 52.6

RACE 5
10-WIN WISH 64.8
3-COOL ROGER 57.5 (off April 13)
6-MAJESTIC CHARLIE 51.1
9-TIZBUDSFORMENLIMO 47.4
11-SURFER MOON 42.9

1st time starters - 13, 1

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-SERBIAN SYCLONE 97.1
3-THE GOMPER 86.9
5-EVERY MAY 72.0
6-TWO SIX WINS 61.1
7-ALL INDIANS 59.0

RACE 7
7-CHATI'S ON TOP 82.0
1-SMOOVE IT 81.3
9-MARKET QUOTE 73.7
2-FRANDONTJUDGE 72.6
12-KUKALUKA 72.6
4-CASEY'S CLEM 72.0

RACE 8
5-BAD BEHAVIOR 77.2
12-GOLD CHASER 71.4
4-SPRING ACTION 69.8
3-ARLINGTON HOUSE 64.8
7-ARTIC CODE 63.8
9-I'LL FLY FOR YOU 60.6

1st time starters - 13, 10

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Sunday, December 28, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








NOTE: ON SATURDAY, FIVE OF MY TOP PICKS WON ($5.00, 10.60, 5.60, 3.00, 7.00)

RACE 1
2-JEDI MIND TRICK 86.3
6-SIR BARCLAY 74.3
3-SUDDEN RUMOR 73.7
4-TWENTY PERCENT 69.8
5-ROSIE'S HURRICANE 65.9

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
6-TOUGH SUNDAY 75.4
2-HOWDY 56.0
3-PRICE OF GLORY 52.1
1-ROPER 42.4
7-E SQUARED 19.7 (off slow)

1st time starters - 4, 5

RACE 3
1-AFLEET ECHO 62.7
8-WARREN'S PURRFECT 52.1
4-SHE'S DISCREET 52.1
9-PRIVATE MARINA 49.2
3-ROSA DIVINA 47.8

1st time starters - 7

RACE 4
5-LADY ASANO 92.6
7-MANGITA 90.7
9-MAGIC SPOT 90.0
11-HIJRA 89.4
12-QIAONA 87.5

RACE 5
5-NOWALKING 86.9
7-LITTLE CURLIN 82.0
2-STARZILLA 77.8
3-SIMON KENTON 71.4
1-J SERINO 67.0

RACE 6
6-LUCKARACK 88.1
7-U S CITIZEN 87.5
2-FIGHTING ON 86.9
8-SOMETHING UNUSUAL 86.3
11-PEPNIC 85.6

RACE 7
1-GLOBAL HOTTIE 88.1
2-AWESOME BABY 84.4
7-MASTER THE BLUES 84.4
8-TRIBAL GAL 80.2
6-LEXINGTON PEARL 77.2

RACE 8
5-INDIANAPOLIS 107.0
1-SWEET SWAP 105.2
6-ANKENY HILL 99.7
9-BETTYS BAMBINO 97.8
11-LIL BIT O'FUN 92.6

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
8-CONGRATS SEATTLE 63.8
5-OH NEWMAN 60.6
4-WHISKEY WILD 53.5
1-CHESTER B 48.8
3-A COLT FOLLOWING 48.0
7-GNARLY HARLY 45.6

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Saturday, December 27, 2014

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $146,352.

RACE 1
5-MAGNA WARRIOR 82.0
7-MAHALO ARTURO 76.0
3-WARREN'S WESLEY 71.4
6-RED MAN RUN 70.3
4-ZNELLE 59.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
11-HOLY ASCENSION 44.6
4-ILL TEL YOU WHAT 37.4
8-POWERFUL GIRL 37.0
5-PRETTY EMMA 35.4
2-WHERE IS MY MIND 34.6

1st time starters - 9

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-BEN'S DUCHESS 64.8 (hopped at start, 4 wide)
8-LONGSTOCKING 62.2 (4 wide)
12-DYNA STAR 58.5
6-SWEET SILVER 43.3

1st time starters - 1, 5, 2, 7, 9, 10, 3, 13, 14, 11

RACE 4
4-TIGAH 92.6
2-JOMELO 90.0
5-LIME RICKEY 89.4
1-TRELAWNY 88.1
7-BUYMEABOND 85.6

RACE 5
6-SECRET CIRCLE 111.4
2-BAHAMIAN SQUALL 98.4
7-DISTINCTIV PASSION 94.5
5-SEEKING THE SHERIF 93.2
1-HEIR OF STORM 90.7

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
11-BOLO 88.1
10-RED BUTTON 82.6
5-STORMY LIBERAL 80.2
3-DADDY D T 79.6
6-PIONEEROF THE WEST 78.5

RACE 7
5-DANCINTHENIGHTAWAY 99.8
8-MUM'S TRUCKEE 84.4
10-SAYES SO 83.2
11-PICA 81.4
3-AS RULERS GO 70.6

RACE 8
11-RUSTY SLIPPER 97.8
7-BLINGISMYTHING 93.2
3-LADY PIMPERNEL 92.6
6-SCOOTER BIRD 91.3
10-WINNING RHYTHM 91.3

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
11-PROSPECT PARK 78.4
5-CYRUS ALEXANDER 74.3
9-KANTUNE 73.1
1-SECOND SUMMER 59.8
7-VICIOUS 59.3

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Friday, December 26, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-HOWDY 59.0
3-GUYFROMTHESKYFIVE 58.0
11-JUSTONEMORETHING 55.0
7-HOT LIGHTNING 51.1
9-JUST LET IT SLIDE 39.4

1st time starters - 2, 8, 4, 10

RACE 2
7-MAY B 82.6
8-VEGAS STREET 80.8
6-APERFECTDAYTOFLY 72.6
1-CRIMSON GIANT 70.9
4-SURFING ANGEL 70.3

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-BOUND FOR HEAVEN 56.0
1-JIMBARAN BAY 55.5
6-CAPTAIN CARCHY 53.0
10-LIFE ON RIVIERA 52.6
14-MANILA CUSTOMER 52.1

1st time starters - 4 (eased 1st race), 12

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-WABEL 79.0 (3 wide)
4-STEAM PLAY 75.4
9-PASSINAFLASH 73.7
6-IANCOL 70.3
11-IDEAL 68.6

1st time starters - 7, 12

RACE 5
3-MAL VERDE 97.8
7-CHRISTOPHER STREET 93.2
9-BENCH LIGHT 88.1
6-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 88.1
8-WANSTEAD GARDENS 86.9
11-MR LEXIS 86.9

RACE 6
1-TARIS 115.7
10-JOJO WARRIOR 95.8
3-THANK YOU MARYLOU 93.9
9-SAM'S SISTER 92.6
6-MORE COMPLEXITY 91.3

RACE 7
7-HEART TO HEART 109.3
2-RED OUTLAW 105.4
6-TONITO M. 103.4
10-LONG ON VALUE 98.4
3-ASHLEYLUVSSUGAR 95.0

RACE 8
8-SHARED BELIEF 112.9
2-CHITU 107.3
3-INDIANAPOLIS 105.2
9-DIAMOND BACHELOR 95.8
5-PIMPERNEL 94.5

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
10-ELLE SUENO 64.8
9-INDIAN PRINCESS 64.8
8-PAULINA'S LOVE 61.6
5-SCATTAGIRL 61.0
7-FOOLISH WAYS 55.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 12, 11

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Wednesday, December 24, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, December 23, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,096 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, December 21, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
3-ARMENSKY 68.6
1-MIKEY T 53.5
4-PREORDAINED 50.5
5-OSO SMART 47.6
2-MOJAVE DESERT 47.4

RACE 2
3-CHANGING KARMA 76.0
6-MARY HELEN'S STORM 73.1
2-CACAU 60.1
4-AERIAL ARTIST 57.0
1-SALT POWER 55.0

RACE 3
6-UP THE ALLEY 71.4
1-PAPASLILPRINCESS 71.4
5-SILK IN SILVER 71.4
4-SHEZA EYEOPENER 70.3
3-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 70.3

RACE 4
6-BURNING 70.9
7-FAST MAST 61.6
9-DICKERY DO 53.5
1-ACE DEUCE 45.1
3-STAUFFENBERG 42.9

RACE 5
1-RADIANT JOURNEY 70.9
7-SEATTLE SALT 62.3
10-APARRI 57.5 (off slow)
3-NO COMPARISON 57.0 (3 wide)
4-BEYOND LUCKY 52.1 (off slow)

1st time starters - 12, 8, 9

RACE 6
9-DRESS CODE 85.0
8-SHUN 84.4
6-GILLIGAN 79.6
7-FLY BLUE 79.0
2-VALENTINE BOY 74.0

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-POCKETBALL 66.4
10-BIG HAT CHARLIE 58.0
1-UPBEAT TEMPO 57.5
7-CLEVER MOVE 49.7
8-BOONE DOCKS 37.4

1st time starters - 5, 3, 9, 4, 2

RACE 8
6-RANULF 94.5
3-CELEBRITY STATUS 93.2
8-SIROCCO STRIKE 90.7 (off Oct. 13)
4-CONSCIENCE 87.5
1-RENO REBEL 82.6

RACE 9
11-FLYIN FOR A LIVIN 59.0
3-BEA'S BENCH 45.1
4-COUNCIL TALK 45.1
12-WINE COUNTRY WANDA 43.3
6-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 38.6

1st time starters - 9

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Saturday, December 20, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
5-ANILLO 71.4
1-ANYTIME MAGIC 68.1
3-GENO'S BAMBINO 66.4
4-DEER DECARCHY 61.1
2-TRUCIAL STATE 57.0

RACE 2
5-CRAVING CARATS 89.4
6-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 87.5
2-RUNAWAY WILDCAT 80.2
7-FROM HERE TO THERE 76.0
1-WARREN'S CASPER 62.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-ZIPPINAROUNDTOWN 39.4
4-SAINT NATA 32.3
2-TIZN'T 30.0
6-IS THIS GEORGIA 29.2
7-SHE'S A HUGGER 24.3

RACE 4
8-ROLO TAMACI 69.2
6-FORT CADY 62.7
7-FRIDAY HARBOR 57.5
1-ANZEAU 51.6
3-ODIN 44.2 (lugged out)

1st time starters - 2

RACE 5
1-AMERICAN PRIDE 96.5
6-PRIME ISSUE 95.8
4-EL NINO TERRIBLE 88.9
3-BIG KICK 86.3
5-BACCELO 85.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-EBONY PRINCESS 43.3
1-I AM GOING GLOBAL 14.5

1st time starters - 8, 5, 3, 4, 2, 6

RACE 7
8-PEARL DE VERE 90.0
5-SWEET MARINI 89.4
1-POPALICIOUS 87.5
4-MAGIC LILY 83.2
7-FREE MONEY 74.3

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
3-DORTMUND 108.6
4-MR. Z 94.5
5-FIRING LINE 89.5
2-NO PROBLEM 76.4
1-BENCH WARRANT 65.5

RACE 9
2-YOUR BERTRANDO 59.6
10-PLAY MAKER 58.5
7-BADASMYWIFELETSMEB 54.5
3-EXPONENTIALLY 50.6
8-AMERICAN STYLE 49.2

1st time starters - 5

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Friday, December 19, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $18,466.

RACE 1
5-KATY'S PLUM 62.7
1-ANN'S GOLD 55.0
2-WARRENS GOLDNUGGET 39.9
3-WARREN'S FANTASY 33.4
4-HONKY TONK DIVA 33.4

RACE 2
2-SALSITA 67.0
1-HOTALING HEART 60.6
3-NORASTONE 55.0
5-SWEET PIZAZZ 51.6
4-SUNDAY STROLL 49.7

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-EMPIRE CAT 42.9
3-VISITATION 33.8
5-SPRING FOR IT 26.1
1-WINGS ANGEL 23.5 (off slow)
6-SOONER THAN LATER 13.0

1st time starters - 2

RACE 4 (all2 yo. going 6f.)
6-PATSY G AND ME 52.6
4-SCUTI DE PATUTI 31.5
2-SHALLOT 30.4 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 1, 3, 5

RACE 5
5-HIGH PROFIT 53.5
4-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 51.5
3-AGUACITA 49.7
1-RACING FOR CHASEN 47.8
6-WATDIFRENZDZITMAKE 44.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-SLEW'S CHARM 56.0
4-STIPEND 54.0
5-SHE GOT AWAY 41.6 (steadied)

1st time starters - 3, 7, 6, 2

RACE 7
5-LUCKBOX SAM 93.2
2-MACHO SOX 82.0
6-WRIGHTWOOD 81.4
4-HELLO FRANKIE 76.0
1-GOODISON PARK 73.1

RACE 8
5-SHARED IMAGE 56.0
4-SUDDEN QUEST 55.0
6-SLEWBIE DOO 48.8
3-EGYPTAIN FEMME 46.9
7-BIRD IN LOVE 46.4
1-GIANIS 45.1


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Thursday, December 18, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
1-ECHO ZULU 69.8
2-PAPA'S PAISLEY 67.5
3-HEYYOUCAN 56.5
5-POSITRON 52.6
4-BRACKENDALE 49.7

RACE 2
1-FAITH PROOF 81.4
4-ROSEWHITENBLUE 75.4
3-HANDFUL OF PEARLS 67.0
5-WARREN'S GUSSIE 62.2
2-AWE'SOME KITTEN 60.1

RACE 3
3-LUCK LASTS 63.8
6-MOSSO 62.7
5-JUST CALL ME AL 61.1
2-NO MA'AM 57.5
4-END OF TIME 47.4

RACE 4
6-FORBIDDEN CITY 64.8
1-IT'S AINE 63.2
5-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 54.0
2-PROMISCUOUSSUSNCES 52.1
3-MY DEVILISH DIVA 48.8

RACE 5
2-ATASCADERAN 80.2
1-ACCELERANT 76.6
4-UNMATCHED FORCE 74.3
5-ODEON 71.4
6-DREAMY KID 68.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-TOUGH SUNDAY 55.5
6-DR. SUER 54.5
1-SWISS SILVER 54.0
2-PRICE OF GLORY 50.6
3-SWISS BREW 34.6

1st time starters - 5, 8, 9, 7

RACE 7
1-ACUTE 62.2
4-GELIA 59.6
2-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 58.0
6-WILDY EXCESSIVE 57.0
3-TIZ BUT A DREAM 52.1

RACE 8
4-DOUBLEDEESONTHETEE 72.0
6-WARREN'S TYLER S. 65.9
5-COLE COLE 59.0
3-GO BLACK TIE 56.5
9-TAMA COUNTY 52.1
8-TIZOUTTASIGHT 47.8


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Wednesday, December 17, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, December 16, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,090 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, December 14, 2014

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-DR. VINCENTSTEIN 58.0
3-ONE MORE ROLL 54.5
5-WILDCAT SAILOR 53.0
1-EDDIE COULD GO 49.2
4-OUTHINK'EM 46.4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-SLAPSHOT MAN 49.2
8-MANILA CUSTOMER 48.3 (came out)
3-DONJI 40.3
6-BERN 33.4
4-TIZ ALL THAT 31.1

1st time starters - 5, 1

RACE 3
5-LASSIE'S REWARD 64.8
4-RUSTY ROAD 64.3
2-FONZ 61.6
3-TAKE A RISK 60.1
1-EBONY GOLD 59.1

RACE 4
8-TRUCO LATINO 68.6
10-CALIENTE CAT 68.1
11-ANILLO 62.7
4-AERIAL ARTIST 62.7
1-NO TEAM SPIRIT 60.6

RACE 5
8-VEGAS BOUND 64.8
1-LUCKYVIC 59.0
5-SIXY EDDIE 55.0
2-GALEHORN 52.1
6-AMINA PERFECT 52.1

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-CORNBREAD RED 71.0
6-DYNAMITE RIDE 65.9
3-GUY CODE 65.3
2-AFLEET IN TIME 54.0
7-WHOYOUGONNACALL 53.5

RACE 7
8-LUCKY S. J. 76.0
2-MAHALO PRINCESS 73.1
5-SWEETEST SECRET 71.4
1-INA MINA 69.2
9-MON PETITE 65.9

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-ACCEPTANCE 77.6
4-MISCHIEF CLEM 74.3
1-KLUSZEWSKI 60.4
6-PULMARACK 57.0
5-P CLUB 55.0

RACE 9
8-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 70.3
4-INDIAN MONKEY 57.0
3-SENOR PEGASUS 42.0
6-HEAVENELEVEN 39.4
9-WHAT WE DOING 35.0

1st time starters - 5

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Saturday, December 13, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
5-WHEN WE MET91.9
6-COURTSIDE 89.4
4-W. GILES 80.2
1-HAZARDOUS 70.9 (off Dec. 13)
3-BOB CONSULTATION 70.3

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-COLLATERAL 41.6
4-CLEM JUICE 36.6
1-SWEET UNION 35.4 (5 wide)
9-CAYMUS KAT 26.1
6-SINGAPORE BID 25.1 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3
2-MON MOUSSE 74.3
5-HOLD EVERYTHING 73.7
7-QATAR'S PEARL 70.4
6-BERLUSCONI 67.5
1-CARAMURU 65.9

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-NATLIE'S WONDER 62.2
5-FROGGY FRESH 47.4
8-HOLY ASCENSION 42.4
3-CHARMSTEALER 26.5
2-FORTUNE'S DAUGHTER 25.4

1st time starters - 9, 6, 4

RACE 5
2-SUICIDE CURVES 58.0
6-GOOD PROOF 54.5
8-EBO'S LOVE 49.7
1-WRINKLE ROOM 48.8
4-ROMANTIC WISH 46.9

RACE 6
8-APOLLO TEN 95.2
7-LUCKBOX SAM 91.3
3-MCKENZIES WAY 80.8
2-FIGHTER SQUADRON 79.4
6-SHEER TALENT 76.6

RACE 7
3-ROMAN TIZZY 80.2
5-NIGHT BADGER 80.2
7-VALDIRONE 79.0
6-JOHNS JOURNEY 76.6
8-URBAN HUNTER 76.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
6-TAKE CHARGE BRANDI 88.1
2-DON'T BLAME ME 83.8
4-FEATHERED 81.4
3-DANETTE 80.2
5-MAJESTIC PRESENCE 79.0

RACE 9
7-SOUTHERN OWAH 41.1
4-BOLD DECISION 34.6
9-IRISH AND LUCKY 24.1
8-TOONZ 21.6

1st time starters - 6, 3, 1, 5, 2, 10, 11


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Friday, December 12, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: NO HORSE RACING PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR TODAY DUE TO STORM ( POWER OUTAGES, HIGH WINDS, CANCELED AIR FLIGHTS). HOPE TO BE BACK SATURDAY.

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Thursday, December 11, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
1-BRANNAMAN 95.2
5-FIGHTING ON 87.5
4-TOO FAST TO PASS 86.3
2-QUALITY PLAN 77.1
6-OLIGARCH 73.7

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
10-JUSTONEMORETHING 57.0
9-SINDYS LUCK 50.6 (5 wide)
8-TOMASINO 45.1
7-JUST LET IT SLIDE 39.4
2-CHAMPS LAW 16.9

1st time starters - 1, 4, 5, 6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-AWE GEE 58.0
3-YES SHE'S A DANCER 56.5
2-TAKE BACK SPRING 55.0
5-DESERT THIEF 54.0
6-SINGING KITTY 53.0

RACE 4
2-BERNSTER 90.0 (off Dec. 11)
8-LOGAN'S MOON 72.6 (off Nov. 12, bumped)
1-MR. ITKINS 70.3
4-BELLAMY CONCERTO 50.6 (off slow)

1st time starters - 6, 3, 5, 7

RACE 5
5-PURSUITOFPARADISE 68.6
4-ADELLUSION 58.0
3-TO B NOITTED 58.0
7-GIANIS 55.0
1-SWISS HEART 55.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-DYNA STAR 61.6
9-COURTING MISCHIEF 39.0
10-PENNY N MITZI 32.3 (3 wide)
5-TATERBUG 19.4 (broke in)

1st time starters - 4, 2, 6, 7, 8, 3

RACE 7
4-UNFORGETTABLE U 94.5
5-SWEET MARINI 92.6
6-MARGIE'S MINUTE 84.4
2-TWELVE FOLDS 72.6
7-ON GOLDEN PAWN 69.2

RACE 8
7-APERFECTDAYTOFLY 67.5
5-CERNOBBIO 60.1
3-BILLY MAC 44.2
2-STAUFFENBERG 43.3
9-SEVENINTHESEVENTH 42.0
8-PREORDAINED 35.4

1st time starters - 4



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Wednesday, December 10, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, December 09, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,084 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, December 07, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $115,759

RACE 1
5-WINE COUNTRY WANDA 50.6
2-HERE'S BELLA 49.7
3-EVERHEART 47.8
6-HOLLYWOOD ROYALTY 39.9
4-PRECIOUS CAROLINE 36.6

RACE 2
6-EL VAGURO 88.1
4-ROMAR SUCCESS 79.0
1-SHACKLEFORD BANKS 74.9
2-RASPBERRY ALA MODE 73.7
3-CAT MEETING 68.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-ZIPPINAROUNDTOWN 42.0
1-KAT'S HURRICANE 38.8
9-DANA'S DELIGHT 37.0
8-MAMA'S TRASHED 36.6
5-BELLA RAQUELLA 35.3

RACE 4
2-ZIP CAT 88.1
5-WARREN'S COLE 76.6
3-MAGOO 72.0
10-MOONSHINE RIDGE 72.0
9-RUNAWAY WILDCAT 64.8

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
6-STEAM PLAY 70.4
4-HERO TEN ALL 68.1 (off slow)
3-SELECTION 64.8
5-ARMORED CAR 42.4 (steadied)
7-CHANITO 39.2

RACE 6
1-SILK IN SILVER 73.7
2-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 63.8
4-GELILA 63.8
3-GABBY'S PURIM 63.2
6-WILDY EXCESSIVE 61.1

RACE 7
5-ALAMO 84.4
4-ROUGH PASSAGE 74.6
8-SIMON KENTON 67.0
2-SILENT RULER 66.4
7-TEN TO SHOW 64.2 (3 wide)

RACE 8
4-MY FIONA 80.0
3-NIASSA 68.1
1-HEAT THE ROCKS 67.0
5-PRINCESS BERTRANDO 59.8
2-EASTER FEVER 56.1

RACE 9
5-COPPER CITY 69.8
7-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 68.6
2-MOSCATO GIRL 66.4
6-BEST IN CLASS 65.4
3-SHE'S FLUSH 63.2
4-NOTHING TO HIDE 58.0

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Saturday, December 06, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $25,194.


RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-LITIGATION ROAD 47.8
4-EMPOWERING FORCE 47.4
9-DESERT EXPRESS 42.8
5-EMPIRE CAT 42.0
8-Z'GUY 35.8 (off slow)

1st time starters - 10

RACE 2
7-FAITH PROOF 78.4
5-MISS AMERICAN PIE 60.6
4-GLORIOUS REBECCA 59.0
1-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 58.5
3-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 48.8

RACE 3
2-W. GILES 77.8
5-ONEANDONLYLOVEMAN 76.0
6-SUDDEN RUMOR 74.9
7-ECHO ZULU 73.7
1-SIR BARCLAY 69.8

RACE 4
1-ARTIC CODE 59.6
6-MISTY'SVIEWTHEGOLD 41.6 (off slow, steadied)
3-FEED THE FIRE 19.1

1st time starters - 2, 5, 4

RACE 5
1-SECOND CITY 80.8
6-BALLARD RULER 72.2
3-DYSPROSIUM 71.0
8-CARDIO ROYALE 65.4
10-WAITWAITDONTTELLME 64.3

RACE 6
7-LIVE FOR NOW 89.4
1-FASCINATING 80.8
3-CEE'S TIZZY BELLE 71.4
6-ART OF WAR 71.4
4-LADY BUGATTI 71.0

RACE 7
1-YAHILWA 98.4
3-TIZ MIDNIGHT 95.8
4-OSCAR PARTY 91.9
5-WARREN'S VENEDA 77.6
6-VALIANT EMILIA 74.9
2-LEGACY 74.9

RACE 8
3-KAFISTER 97.8
8-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 97.1
5-DOOR'S OPEN 92.6
7-PULLA TRAIN 90.1
10-FLY BOY ROY 88.1

RACE 9
9-BEACH FEVER 81.4
1-HEAVENELEVEN 55.0
6-SALT OF THE EARTH 51.1
7-RARE PUNCH 47.8
12-SEVENINTHESEVENTH 44.2
11-BROADCASTER 43.8
8-HEATED PRISM 43.3

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Friday, December 05, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
7-DANCE DEE O DOOR O 54.0
10-SPEEDY TORNADO 50.2
9-SONIC FEVER 42.4
11-AARON'S THUNDER 36.2
4-BOUND FOR HEAVEN 30.0

1st time starters - 3, 1, 8

RACE 2
7-TRAWEEK 80.8
11-TRULEE SCRAPPIN 68.6
9-BIGBARI 65.9
8-WARREN'S JEFF G. 64.3
5-JUST CALL ME AL 63.8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
9-SLEW'S CHARM 61.6
12-STIPEND 52.1
6-BAD JU JU 40.7 (off slow)
8-BULLET CHASER 19.2
2-FOREVER DOROTHY 10.1

1st time starters - 1, 3, 7, 11, 5, 10, 4

RACE 4
3-SWISSARELLA 68.6
5-DESERT MADAM 59.6
7-DIAMONDS DENA 54.0
4-SPOILEDANDENTITLED 51.6
2-AMINA PERFECT 51.1

RACE 5
10-AFLEET ECHO 61.6
9-ANN'S GOLDEN 58.0
3-MANGO REWARD 53.5
2-KATY'S PLUM 53.0
5-SHE'S DISCREET 52.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
7-ZENDAI 74.9
11-BELIEVE TOO 72.0
5-POCKETBALL 66.4
9-DISCREET PRINCE 64.8
1-CIMPL MAN 62.2

1st time starters - 10, 3, 2, 4, 8, 11

RACE 7
7-FLEET OF GOLD 86.3
2-GRACIE RAGAZZA 85.6
1-BEST EFFORTS 77.2
6-SWISS LAKE YODLER 76.0
4-TACIT APPROVAL 74.3

RACE 8
5-UNBRIDLED LOYALTY 68.1
6-WARREN'S SUNNY BOY 57.5
2-MILITANT 55.0
3-TRIUNFO 52.1
4-OUR NEW FLASH 45.1
10-VICTORY PARADE 42.4

1st time starters - 1

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Thursday, December 04, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
10-SWISS HEART 64.3
1-RICH IN TRADITION 57.0
9-SUNDAY STROLL 56.5
7-BIRD IN LOVE 54.5
2-FULL OF SPICE 53.0
6-HOT LIST 53.0

RACE 2
1-SKI'S COPPER PENNY 56.0
4-A B C ME AWESOME 51.6
6-PARALYZING EYES 49.2
2-CINDYS SECRET 43.3
7-SWISS PERFECTION 39.4

1st time starters - 5

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-KLUSZEWSKI 66.4
7-SAM SLICK 61.6 (4 wide)
3-UPBEAT TENPO 57.5
8-MATTY'S TRIBAL 49.2
1-SWISS SILVER 44.2

1st time starters - 9, 6, 2

RACE 4
3-WARREN'S WESLEY 72.6
5-ZNELLE 68.6
1-CANDY ANNIVERSARY 68.1
9-HIDDEN ZENSATION 67.0
7-DESTINO 61.6

RACE 5
6-PERSUASIVE PAUL 99.1
8-STREET SERENADE 98.4
4-MY JEALOUS 91.3
5-CHICSDIGTHESHARK 88.1
3-ATASCADERAN 80.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
8-BLOOMING HANNAH 54.0
2-PRETTYPRECIOUSHEIR 48.3
1-CALLBACK 38.2 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 9

RACE 7
3-TOLEDO EDDIE 94.5
4-DAY OF FURY 93.2
12-COMPARI 87.6
10-GOT EVEN 86.9
9-KNOCK EM FLAT 86.3

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1-VICTORIA FALLS 40.3 (off slow)
6-POWERFUL GIRL 37.0
2-DUE RAE 28.9
11-CHARMSTEALER 26.8
10-FORTUNE'S DAUGHTER 26.1
4-MARISKA NO MORE 24.8

1st time starters - 5, 8

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Wednesday, December 03, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, December 02, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,078 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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