Tuesday, November 27, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS

NOTICE: I WILL NOT BE POSTING MY HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF DECEMBER. I AM TAKING SOME TIME OFF FOR REST AND RELAXATION AFTER 817 POSTINGS.

I WILL TRY AND HANDICAP THE LAST WEEK OF THE HOLLYWOOD MEET BEFORE THE CHRISTMAS BREAK.

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Saturday, November 24, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

Fri. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (3.40) 2nd pick 2nd (3.40) Ex (5.70) Q (7.00) 4th pick 4th. Race 2- 3rd pick 2nd (4.80) 2nd pick 4th. Race 3- 4th pick won (6.20) 2nd pick 2nd (9.80) top pick 3rd (3.60) 3rd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (34.30) Q (54.40) trifecta (116.70) Superfecta (548.30). Race 4- 3rd pick won (16.20) 2nd pick 2nd (4.40) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (34.50) Q (33.40). Race 5- Top[ Pick Won (3.60) 2nd pick 3rd (4.20). Race 6- 3rd pick won (67.40) 4th pick 2nd (4.20) 1st timer DH for 3rd, picks boxed- Ex (150.60) Q (99.60) with 1st timer- trifecta (659.50). Race 7-Top pick 2nd (7.00) 3rd pick 3rd (2.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 8- 2nd pick won (11.80) top pick 2nd (4.40) boxed- Ex (24.40) Q (19.80). Race 9- 4th pick won (39.60) top pick 2nd (4.00) 3rd pick 3rd (3.20) picks boxed- Ex (72.60) Q (65.80) trifecta (294.00). Race 10- Top pick 2nd (3.20).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER $143,896. FOR SATURDAY.

RACE 1
4-SMOOCH 72.0
5-BLAZEITGIRL 62.2
2-SWEET N SHINEY 54.0
8-TRANSYLVANIA 42.0
1-INDIA'S JILL 42.0

1st time starters - 3, 9

RACE 2
1-STEFANI 78.4
3-TIZ NEXT 75.4
7-GHOSTLY GIRL 72.3
4-EXCESSIVE B AND B 72.0

RACE 3
7-FANTASTIC MEETING 83.2
1-AWESOME SHINE 77.2
10-PRESS RELEASE 73.7
2-WICKED SAMURAI 62.5

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
2-CROWN OF DIAMONDS 69.2
7-KAZAMIRA 69.2
6-FINAL FLING 67.5
4-DISTINCTIVE DIXIE 34.2

1st time starters - 3, 1A, 5

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
9-SEA CHANTER 91.3
10-RUNFORTHEMONEYBABY 85.0
1-LA MINA 78.4
8-MACELLYA 77.9

RACE 6
14-KULA GIRL 82.0
8-SMOKEY ROUTE 76.6
10-ROMANCED 70.3
2-OMI'S BACK 68.6
5-PHOEBE'S SONG 68.6

RACE 7
9-TAYLA RENEE 88.8
8-HENNESSY ROSE 88.8
10-QUEEN OFTHE CATSLE 85.6
1A-SWEET TRAVEL 85.0 (entry)

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
6-CURIOUSLY SWEET 88.8
4-SIAMESE CAT 88.8
3-ROYAL HERALDRY 80.2
1-AFLEET'S DESIRE 80.0

RACE 9
10-FAST PARADE 117.2
5-BONFANTE 105.9
2-COUNCIL MEMBER 105.2
4-QUIETLY MINE 104.5
7-DESERT CODE 104.3

RACE 10
7-PT'S GREY EAGLE 86.3
6-NEW RULE 85.0
9-GOLDEN ROYAL 81.4
5-PATRIOTIC FLAME 75.4

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Friday, November 23, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

No Thurs. recap due to holiday and early posting.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
8-SPORTIE'S SQUEEZE 78.4
1-THEMIS VALENTINE 73.7
4-H. E.'S GIRL 73.7
6-WARREN'S MYSTERY 70.3

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
12-WARREN'S SILLYCAT 56.0
10-ALMACITA 53.0
9-KELLI CAT BIRD 42.0
6-POINT REYNA 41.6

1st time starters - 5, 8, 1 (entry), 1A, 2

RACE 3
8-COURTNALL 99.1
5-YODELEN DAN 97.8
1-ARTIST'S TALE 96.5
2-WING FORWARD 96.5

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
5-ZETTERBERG 75.2
6-MEDJOOL 74.3
2-TRES BORRACHOS 72.6
9-RHETORICALLY 70.9

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
9-THE LEOPARD 88.8
10-MEER KT 83.8
5-YES IT'S A CAT 82.0
8-MAKE THEM BREAK 74.3

RACE 6
9-ROCK CREEK PASS 82.6
7-SOUTHERN MAN 77.8
3-THRILLAH 76.6
8-BANNER LODGE 72.6

1st time starters - 11, 2, 6, 10, 13, 4, 5,

RACE 7
8-POCOSIN'S GAME BOY 95.8
7-UNUSUAL JAIL 93.2 (off March 06)
9-LIT'SGOODLOOKNGRAY 86.9
3-MIDNIGHT 84.4
10-CHARACTERISTIC 83.8

RACE 8
3-WHEATON HALL 90.0
1-FOREST PHANTOM 89.4
8-AGGRESSIVE 82.6
9-PUBLICATION 80.2

RACE 9
7-ZANN 104.5
1-PALACE EPISODE 103.8
8-PROUDINSKY 101.1
3-LANG FIELD 97.1

RACE 10
4-MOTEADO 73.7
14-METAPHYSICAL 61.6
5-OUR PAPA JOE 59.6
8-BODACAT 55.5

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Wednesday, November 21, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-ANY KIND OF STORM 88.1
7-GANDOLF 85.0
1-INCLUSIVE 77.2
3-CLASSIC ATTIRE 75.5

RACE 2
3-JUSTINPLACE 85.6
5-LEVEL RED 83.2
2-DEADSHOT KEEN 79.6
1-MEAUX POWER 77.2
4-DAYTONA 76.6

RACE 3
3-FEEL FREE TO FLEE 71.44
7-REGAL REDEMPTION 70.9
10-STORMING SLEW 65.3
1A-PEACE BY PEACE 64.3 (entry)

1st time starters - 1 (entry)

RACE 4
9-RATHER BE LUCKY 88.1
1-BEARING POINT 87.0
5-RELENTLESS PURSUIT 80.2
4-THE GREEN MONKEY 78.4

1st time starters - 2

RACE 5
2-LUCKY RYLIE 83.8
4-LADY IN LOVE 81.3
1-SALSA CALIENTE 76.6
7-SHORT SENTENCE 73.1

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
14-UNBROKEN VOW 61.6
7-TOMMYS LUCK 49.7
3-JOHNNY BE BUENO 48.8
13-ABSOLUTE COURAGE 47.4

1st time starters - 8, 9, 5

RACE 7
7-SOLEMN PROMISE 103.1
9-HIGHWAY PATROL 98.5
6-HURRY UP AUSTIN 93.9
5-COTTON KING 92.6

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
10-SHAKALAKA 71.4
2-BAYNGEN BARTOK 68.1
6-BLACK MALLOU 66.5
9-COUNTY TUNE 65.4

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Tuesday, November 20, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Saturday, November 17, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

No Fri. recap due to late night racing.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-PROFESSNL COURTESY 69.1
3-FOLLOWS NONE 62.2
8-MAEKEN NOISE 49.2
6-MOUNTAIN ROUTE 48.8

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
1-BARTOK'S BLING 87.6
3-AUNT PINK 84.4
5-TOPPERS MOMENT 78.1
7-RUSHEN HEAT 72.6
2-MEAN HEAT 72.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
2-FOXY DANSEUR 77.6
3-ALWAYS IN STYLE 70.3
4-CZECHERS 67.0
1-CHAMPAGNE EYES 66.4

RACE 4
4-CALIFORNIA LAURA 69.2
5-VICTORY'S LADY 65.4
3-GONE CALIFORNIAN 62.2
9-STRESS FREE 57.0

RACE 5
2-HIGHLY QUICK 96.5
1-IVY LEAGUE GENIUS 88.7
6-STEPPIN OUT ROSE 83.8
3-LA CHOLA 80.8

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f. on turf)
8-MASTERFUL MISS 79.0
12-RAIL DANCER 62.1
9-SAUGATUCK RIVER 57.5

1st time starters - 6, 1, 3, 10, 7, 11, 4, 5

RACE 7
7-CALL OR RAISE 80.2
2-SIX AGAIN 79.6
1-CAPI AND MAX 76.6
11-OWEN ROE O'NEILL 75.5

RACE 8
5-STORM MILITARY 104.5
1-MACDUFF 102.5
4-OBRIGADO 101.1
7-TOASTED 99.8

RACE 9
7-JEN'S NEW CHAPTER 76.6
4-FUNKY CHANTEAL 62.7
3-FLY BY 59.0
5-AVA D 52.1

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Thursday, November 15, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

Wed. recap- Race 1- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (5.00) 3rd pick 2nd (7.00) top pick 3rd (2.10) 3 picks boxed- Ex (12.70) Q (15.80) trifecta (34.60). Race 2- 2nd pick won (11.20) 4th pick 2nd (7.60) top pick 3rd (2.10) 3rd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (32.50) Q (28.00) trifecta (63.60). 3- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (4.60) 2nd pick 3rd (3.80). Race 4- 2nd pick won (8.00) top pick 2nd (3.40) 3rd pick 3rd (2.60) 4th pick 4th, top 3 picks boxed- Ex (9.90) Q (9.20) trifecta (23.50). Race 5- 4th pick 2nd (8.60) 2nd pick 3rd (4.20). Race 6- 3rd pick won (8.20) 4th pick 3rd (6.00). Race 7- Top Pick Won (7.00)4th pick 2nd (7.60) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00) top pick keyed- Ex (23.80) Q (27.40). Race 8- top pick 2nd (6.80) 4th pick 3rd (4.60) 3rd pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-DIXIE MUSIC ROLL 74.3
4-DUNMORE 70.9
3-FUJI 68.1
2-TOM WEST 67.0

RACE 2
6-WRIT 61.1
3-MAHALO LANI 53.0
2-LOVELY OLIVIA 48.8
1-MANGO FRAPPE 46.9

1st time starters - 4

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-ONEFUNSONOFAGUN 61.1
3-ELECTRIC DAZE 59.0
5-SWISS MARCI 59.0
1-APPLAUD DUBAI 52.1
6-DANA'S BEAU 51.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
3-QUEEN OF THE I. E. 51.6
5-WARREN'S PLAYER 48.3
4-TRILLUA 47.6
8-LADY APTITUDE 46.0

RACE 5
7-LA TORMENTA 93.9
1-PAT COOL CAT 90.0
4-NO LULLABY 88.8
2-PINDARIC 83.2
5-VICTORY SPY 82.6 (off Nov. 06)

RACE 6
6-YOUR QUOTE 85.6
4-EARLY ANNA 83.6
7-SNEAKY JACK 82.0
8-WHATWEREWETHINKING 77.8

RACE 7
1-GOTHIC BEAUTY 98.4
4-D PIRATES MARKER 92.0
2-ANGEL CRAFT 87.6
5-KALOOKAN YEAR 84.4

RACE 8
2-STOP THE HUMOR 79.0
9-MINIMITE 75.4
4-WHITE ANGEL 64.8
1-PRIDE OF PEGASUS 63.8

1st time starters - 8, 3

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Wednesday, November 14, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER $143,528. FOR TODAY.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
3-CLEVER LADY 77.8
1-QUEEN HOLLY 74.3
5-R CHARLIE'S ANGEL 70.9
4-LOVEHI 63.2

RACE 2
3-LOST PARADISE 88.1
5-TIZMET 75.5
4-ROYAL VISION 75.2
2-GOBBLER'S KNOB 69.2

RACE 3
3-L. A. PHIL 81.4
7-THE IVAN SHOW 71.4
2-SALAH 68.1
8-HENNESSY'S HOPE 67.5

RACE 4
6-MI ARCOBALENO 106.8
3-STYLIN CAT 101.1
2-SOUPY 101.1
1A-LEGATE 91.3

RACE 5
4-TRAIL MIX 86.9
9-SMOKIN FOREST 85.6
11-CURRENCY TRADER 83.8
12-ZAYED 79.0

RACE 6
8-DEALER CHIOICE 98.5
6-SEEKING ANSWERS 96.5
1A-MINISTER BLAIR 94.5
4-BLACK JACK ATTACK 91.9
3-POTENTIAL 91.9

RACE 7
1-MASTERPICE 90.7
3-FLY DORCEGO 89.5
2-MR. KATZ 89.4
4-SOHGOL 74.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile on turf)
8-CHERYL'S SURPRISE 72.6
4-FIRE N' BRIMSTONE 67.5
3-AMYBELLE 66.5
2-ROYAL HUMOR 65.9

1st time starters - 10, 9

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Tuesday, November 13, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THE PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR WED. IS $143,528.

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, November 12, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Sun. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (16.20) top pick 3rd (3.80) 4th pick 4th. Race 2- 4th pick won (27.60) 2nd 1st timer 2nd (26.80) 3rd pick 3rd (6.20) top pick 4th, picks boxed with 1st timer- Ex (281.00) Q (182.40) trifecta (1,841.90) superfecta (8.319.50). Race 3- 2nd pick won (7.40) 3rd pick 2nd (4.20) top pick 4th, top 3 picks boxed- Ex (15.00) Q (16.60). Race 4- 2nd pick 2nd (4.20) 4th pick 3rd (3.60) 3rd pick 4th. Race 5- 2nd pick 2nd (6.80) 3rd pick 3rd (3.40). Race 6- 2nd 1st timer won (11.80) 4th pick 2nd (8.00) top 1st timer 3rd (3.60) top 2 1st timers with 4th pick boxed- Ex (83.20) Q (77.20) trifecta (441.10). Race 7- 4th pick won (17.20) top pick 3rd (3.20) 2nd pick 4th. Race 8- Top Pick Won (5.20) 4th pick 2nd (5.00) 4th pick "tied" 3rd (2.40) 3rd pick 4th, top pick keyed with picks- Ex (11.40) Q (12.00) trifecta (38.70). Race 9-
4th pick 4th, Note: winner paid (108.20).

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened five times that I know of in over 801 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Saturday, November 10, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

No Fri. recap due to late night racing.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-CONCLAVE 83.2
5-THUNDER ONE 76.6
4-RIVER REBEL 56.5
2-HEAVEN'S ROAR 56.0
3-SOMTHINTOMAKIMRUN 55.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-CORONAS AT DELMAR 67.5
3-BYE BYE BUBBA 52.6
2-CONCINNITY 49.2
4-RAZOR CUT 46.0

1st time starters - 7, 8

RACE 3
3-MONTERY JAZZ 94.5
6-BUC THE SPARTAN 90.0
4-SIR LOWRY 88.8
1-PUSH SEND 81.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-DISTORTED PASSION 77.8
8-TWELVE TWENTY TWO 68.1
10-TRUE BELLA 65.6
3-CHICKS RULE 61.6

1st time starters - 9, 7, 5, 1

RACE 5
4-SILVER STETSON MAN 108.0
1-EVER A FRIEND 100.0
2-COOPERATION 99.8 (off Sept. 06)
6-SOUL CITY SLEW 87.5

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
7-ZETTERBERG 79.6
13-WIND'S LEGACY 68.1
6-CHOP HOUSE GEORGE 55.0
3-SIGNATURE MOVE 53.5

RACE 7
3-DESERT SEA 92.0
1-SI CHIMI 89.4
2-AMERICANREVOLUTION 88.8
9-DR. EINSTEIN 87.5

RACE 8
5-BIG BERTHA 89.4
1-TIZFIZ 87.5
3-HUCKING HOT 85.6
6-MODEL 85.6

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
9-CAVANAUGH 68.1
13-CAPITAN SOLIS 51.6
15-SIMULCAST 49.7
3-DE CAR GUY 43.3

1st time starters - 7, 2

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Wednesday, November 07, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-INSTANT ACTION 86.3
6-BAND OF THUNDER 83.8
4-ARE YOU POSITIVE 83.2
8-CRY ME NO RIVER 82.0

RACE 2
4-MILLER'S TURBO 93.2
2-PALLADIAN GENERAL 85.6
3-DAWN'S EARLY SKY 85.0
5-MANDATE TO FLY 85.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-STORM BRAVE 75.5
3-SILVER DUST 42.0
7-CUT 39.0
2-MOTORBOAT 35.4

1st time starters - 4, 8, 6

RACE 4
6-OCEANUS 96.5
7-IMITATION 94.5
5-WESTERLY MAGIC 94.5
1-SMOOCHER 91.9
3-GALLARDO 91.2

RACE 5
8-PLACID LAKE 95.2
6-MIGHTY CLEVER 94.5
5-CARLY EFFECT 88.1
4-LITTLE BOSS CHICK 85.1 (off Aug. 06)

1st time starters - 9 (in U.S.A. - fgn)

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-MY MALOOF ROCKER 69.5
2-JUST N EXCESS 68.6
3-STERLING MISTY 62.9
9-QUID NON 53.5

1st time starters - 1, 6, 4, 5, 7, 10, 11

RACE 7
5-BARBEQUE EDDIE 101.8
2-BAD BOY 94.4
6-EL GREGO 93.9
7-CARRILERO 86.3
3-WARNING ZONE 85.6
1-KARAZI 85.0 (steadied - off slow)

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
14-ZOOMIN ZABEL 46.0
10-LATIN OFFICER 40.3
13-MERGE THE DISTANCE 29.0
7-BLOODY MARY AT T'S 26.8

1st time starters - 2, 6, 5, 16

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Tuesday, November 06, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, November 05, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Oak Tree recap for Sun.- We had five top picks win on Sunday. Race 1-4th pick 2nd (5.60) top pick 3rd (2.10). Rave 2- Top Pick Won (7.60) 3rd pick 2nd (3.40) 2nd pick 4th, top pick keyed to next 2 picks- Ex (10.40). Race 3- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (6.00) Daily Double (20.60) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40). Race 4- 4th pick won (27.60) 2nd pick 2nd (8.80) top pick 4th, four picks boxed- Ex (108.80) Race 5- Top Pick Won (4.20) 1st timer 2nd (13.60) 3rd pick 3rd (4.60) 2nd pick 4th, Top pick keyed with next 2 picks and 1st timer- Ex (26.60) trifecta (754.80) superfecta (946.60). Race 6- Top Pick Won (8.80) Daily Double (18.60) 4th pick 2nd (6.40) top pick keyed - Ex (23.40). Race 7- 4th pick won (17.80) 3rd pick 2nd (5.00) 2nd pick 3rd (5.20) picks boxed- Ex (44.80) trifecta (293.80). Race 8- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (6.20) 2nd pick 2nd (3.00) Ex (7.90) 3rd pick 3rd (3.80) trifecta in order (26.90). Race 9- 2nd pick won (9.40) 4th pick 2nd (5.20) 3rd pick 3rd (5.20) 4 picks boxed- Ex (18.10) trifecta (118.20) Superfecta (509.20). Race 10- 3rd pick 3rd (3.20).

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horses name-This has happened five times that I know of in over 792 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, November 04, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

THERE WILL NOT BE A SAT. RECAP DUE TO LATE POSTING.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THERE IS A MANDATORY PAYOUT ON THE PICK-6 TODAY. PICK-6 CARRYOVER $590,500.

RACE 1
6-SUGAR DOLL 81.4
2-HOLLY'S GOLD 79.6
7-MISS MELISSA 69.2
1-DEE'S A LEGEND 67.0

RACE 2
3-ISLAND HOP 80.2
6-POWEROFVOODOO 76.0
5-FOREIGN 73.1 (off slow)
4-ASTURIAS 73.1

RACE 3
4-HIGHLY QUICK 93.9
3-RARE EXCHANGE 91.9
5-SANGAY 89.4
1-MARY ELLISE 85.6

RACE 4
10-LONELY HIGHWAY 69.8
2-HIGH INVESTMENT 65.9
9-STREET NUMBER 65.9
8-FALLEN LEAF 63.7
5-SKIPTOTHETROPICS 62.7 (off slow)

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-INDIAN SUN 67.5 (off slow)
13-EL LEGADO 62.7
7-SHEM TOV 61.3
5-CULTURED 55.5

1st time starters - 2, 12, 1, 10, 11

RACE 6
3-FRENCH SOUVENIR 97.8
1-JITTERBUG BALL 90.0
4-INDIAN WEAVER 79.6
7-WILD NEKIA 79.0

RACE 7
3-REDUNDANTREDUNDANT 91.3
7-CHEROKEE TEAR 83.2
9-CATCH THAT THIEF 82.0
4-CHARACTERISTIC 81.4
10-CALL ONTHESLY 80.8

RACE 8
4-NAISSANCE ROYALE 103.8
7-BLACK MAMBA 102.5
3-CHARM THE GIANT 99.8
8-MERIBEL 96.5
5-PRIVATE BANKING 95.8

RACE 9
1-STREET BOSS 103.8
7-SIXCESS 96.0
6-FINE FLYER 93.9
8-HURRY UP AUSTIN 91.9
9-BLOWOUT 91.9

RACE 10
11-ARROYO TRABUCO 91.9
4-JUDGE GALLIVAN 85.8
7-BALLESTERO 82.0
2-LIVE FREE 81.6

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Saturday, November 03, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

No Fri. recap due to late posting.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 GUARANTEED SATURDAY FOR $1 MILLION DOLLARS.

RACE 1
2-FLIP THE PENNY 93.2
3-LEAD STEALER 92.6
7-SWITZERLAND 91.9
5-BLAZE IT 90.0

RACE 2
4-YODELEN DAN 96.9
5-MY MAN MURF 84.4
7-IRON DUKE 84.4
6-RAISE THE HEAT 83.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
3-RUNFORTHEMONEYBABY 82.0
8-LOVE YA BYE 79.6
1-CANTINA'S ROSE 76.0
4-ICE LADY 72.6

RACE 4
9-MEMORETTE 99.8
2-IMAGINE 98.4
8-SPECIAL HEATHER 89.4
4-ROCKELLA 86.3

RACE 5
2-SOMETHINABOUTLAURA 108.6
5-FUN LOGIC 100.4
1-BAI AND BAI 97.8
7-SHE'S AN ELEVEN 87.5

RACE 6 - START OF PICK-6
3-LADY GAMER 105.8
8-DANCING EDIE 105.3
6-KALOOKAN DANCER 98.3
9-CATHRINE'S HOPE 93.2

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
4-NEVADA WORRIER 78.8
14-MY REEDEMER 78.5
7-IF IT STAYS FAIR 78.4
5-SIERRA SUNSET 74.0

RACE 8
3-BILO 110.7
6-BOFANTE 106.8
1-JOHNNY EVES 103.8
8-WIND WATER 103.1

RACE 9
2-NOW VICTORY 106.6
1-EPIC POWER 103.8
5-JACK'S WILD 103.8
3-JOY'S COMET 102.8

RACE 10
10-LAVA MAN 107.3
11-BOLD CHIEFTAIN 100.2
5-TIZ AFIRE 99.1
4-CELTIC DREAMIN 97.1

RACE 11
3-WARREN'S SCOOTER 85.1
9-MONASTERY SCANDAL 80.3
14-APOPLECTIC 77.8
11-BRIAN THE BOLD 77.6

1st time starters - 13, 7, 10

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Friday, November 02, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thurs. recap-Five Top Picks won Thurs. - Race 1- Top Pick Won (3.00) 2nd pick 2nd (3.20) Ex (4.20) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00) trifecta in order (12.90) 4th pick 4th. Race 2- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (5.20) 1st timer 2nd (6.20) 2nd pick 3rd (3.00). Race 4- 3rd pick 2nd (6.60) 2nd pick 3rd (14.00) 4th pick dq'd. Race 5- Top Pick Won (5.80) 4th pick 2nd (5.60) top pick keyed- Ex (17.80). Race 6- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (4.80) daily double (15.60)2nd 1st timer 2nd (3.40) top 1st timer 3rd (2.60) top pick keyed- Ex (7.80) trifecta (13.10) superfecta (34.80) 3rd pick 4th. Race 7- 4th pick won (4.60) top pick 3rd (2.60) 2nd pick 4th. Race 8- Top Pick Won (5.00) 3rd pick 2nd (3.20) 2nd pick 3rd (2.80) top pick keyed with next 2 picks- Ex (8.10) trifecta (32.80).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-LOWER THE RATE 73.1
3-CURVEY STAR 65.9
2-SUNSET TIJUANA 65.4
5-CUPID'S KITTY 62.7

RACE 2
5-PRINCE OF GOLD 89.4
1-CHADLINGTON 86.3
4-KURM 84.4
6-CITY STORMER 80.8
3-ECHEZEAUX 80.4

RACE 3
1-HEARTSTRINGS 63.2
4-WRIT 61.6
7-DANCING WITH DAWN 59.0
8-CONCINNOUS 56.5

RACE 4
3-SEVEN NATION ARMY 82.6
14-HIGH COMMAND 77.8
13-DARK PAST 75.4
1-LONE PRAIRIE 71.4

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-RHETORICALLY 76.6
8-MEDJOOL 68.7
10-FOREST ECHOES 67.0
9-LIMESTONE EDGE 63.1

RACE 6
4-ENTER ANON 99.1
1-TRAIL MIX 88.1
6-DOUBLE PARKED 87.5
3-GOLDEN ROYAL 85.6

RACE 7
3-COURTNALL 103.1
10-PROUDINSKY 101.8 (off Nov. 06)
1-ARTIST'S TALE 95.2
5-OPTIMER 95.2
6-BLACK JACK ATTACK 94.5

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
10-HI LILY HI LO 58.0
9-OUR STORM 56.0
3-IN DADDY'S HONOR 46.0
7-OH SO SMOOTH 44.2

1st time starters - 8, 12, 4

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Thursday, November 01, 2007

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

Wed. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (7.00) 3rd pick 2nd (4.00) 4th pick 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (12.90). Race 2- Top Pick Won (4.20) daily double (15.20) 4th pick 4th. Race 3- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (3.80) Pick-3 (15.30) daily double (7.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 4- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (5.60) Pick-4 (65.30) pick-3 (16.00) daily double (11.70) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00). Race 5- 1 pick scratched, top pick 2nd (2.80) 2nd pick 4th. Race 6-3rd pick 2nd (20.80) 4th pick 3rd (4.20). Race 7-4th pick 2nd (7.60) top pick 4th. Race 8- 2nd pick won (6.60) top pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-CURIOUSLY SWEET 88.8
4-CAMELITA 86.9
5-BEYOND THE MARK 83.8
1-OL'RAZZLE DAZZLE 82.6

RACE 2
6-DEBONAIR JOE 95.7
5-FETE 93.9
1-FERNDALE SAL 93.2 (entry)
7-DIRECT CONNECT 92.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
8-SUDOKU BUDDY 61.6
6-FORD ISLAND 50.6
4-UNBROKEN VOW 41.3

1st time starters - 7, 3, 1 & 1a entry, 5, 2

RACE 4
1-THE RYE MAN 85.0
10-PRIMERICA 80.2
9-ROYAL CLASSIC 77.2
4-COMMON TRUST 76.6

RACE 5
3-LIT'SGOODLOOKNGRAY 93.2
7-OUR PARTNER 86.1
6-HONORED IMAGE 83.2
1-STEALTH MISSLE 71.7

RACE 6
4-FREEDOM SUMMIT 67.5
8-ZILLA 62.7
5-CANTABILE 46.9
3-FLASHY NORTORIOUS 45.5

1st time starters - 6, 1, 7, 2

RACE 7
2-YANKEE BAY 91.9
3-KRUGER PARK 90.0
6-EXTREME NOTICE 89.4
9-MR NAPPER TANDY 81.9

RACE 8
4-JAMES THE THIRD 81.4
2-BIGUM 77.2
5-FANTASTIC MEETING 73.1
9-MOTEADO 72.6

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