Wednesday, May 31, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKSAND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-THREE POINTS 89.4
4-MR. KATZ 82.6
1-SHORE PATROL 76.4
3-CITY STORMER 69.9

RACE 2
5-BERTRANDOSTREASURE 79.6
2-BELONG TO PARFAIT 61.1
4-DIXIE COURAGE 57.5
3-MUST BE A TOPPER 51.0

RACE 3
4-LIVE LIFE 97.8
5-DALICIA 97.8
1-NEW REGINA 93.9
3-CISSY 90.0

RACE 4
5-MISS NORTHERN DAWN 69.8
1-EMOTION 58.5
8-NASTY MOOD 54.5
3-HAPPY CELYNA 35.8

1st time starters - 4, 2, 7, 6

RACE 5
3-BLUE CAY 80.2
7-RICH SENSE 79.6
6-RIVER ELLA 77.8
5-EARLY RONAN 75.5

RACE 6
8-CLASSIC QUALITY 85.0
2-NEWYEARRESOLUTION 77.8
1-ADANCE 77.8
5-KOURI JILL 76.0

RACE 7
2-SQUALLACIOUS 93.9
1-TRUE XENA 86.3
4-CATCH A STAR 81.8
5-GLAMOUR CAT 79.5

RACE 8
5-SI CHIMI-75.5
8-COUSIN JOE 75.5
10-ECHEZEAUX 70.9
9-SNODEN 69.2

Sunday, May 28, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

Sat. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (4.00) top pick 2nd (3.00) boxed- Ex (4.90) Q (5.00) 4th pick 3rd (4.20) Trifecta (35.70). Race 2- 3rd pick 2nd (6.40) 2nd pick 3rd (3.00). Race 3- 1st timer won (29.20) 3rd pick 2nd (11.00) top pick 3rd (3.60) 1st timer boxed or keyed with top 3 picks- Ex (102.20) Q (149.60) Trifecta (353.90). Race 4- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (6.80)3rd pick 2nd (6.20) 3 picks boxed- Ex (17.00) Q (22.40). Race 5- top pick 2nd (2.40) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40). Race 6- 2nd pick won (9.00) 4th pick 4th. Race 7- 4th pick won (15.40) 3rd pick 3rd (3.40). Race 8- 1 pick scratched, top 1st timer won (5.40) 3rd pick 2nd (12.80) 2nd pick 3rd (7.00) top 1st timer keyed or boxed with 3 picks- Ex (53.40) Q (61.20) Trifecta (448.30). Race 9- Top pick won (4.40) 3rd pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-SWEETSMELLOFSUCCESS 85.0
2-LUCID 71.4
7-GO BYE BYE 68.6
3-PROUD SUZETT 68.1

RACE 2
6-INSIDE CHANCE 99.8
5-SPY ALY 89.4
4-UGOTADOWHATUGATADO 87.5
1-SIMPLY BECAUSE 81.4 (off Dec. 05)

1st time starters - 2 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 3
6-LADY KAMALA 84.4
7-LESLIE LILL 76.0
1-SNEAKY DIP 76.0
3-RUN GOLDIE RUN 68.1

RACE 4
12-SILVER AGAIN 76.6
1-FOLLOW YOUR BLISS 75.4
4-BELVEDERE BELLE 70.4
6-DECISIVE BLOW 68.1

1st time starters - 10

RACE 5
5-BOOCFUSS 86.9
6-MOONLIT HABIT 86.3
1-TOUCHDOWN U S C 85.6
3-FIGHTING CITY HALL 80.2

RACE 6
3-APPEALING SWEETS 97.1
2-POLITICAL WEB 85.0
7-WAKANDA 69.2
5-YANKEE MILLION 62.7

1st time starters - 9, 1, 4, 6

RACE 7
3-SOHGOL 95.8
5-STORMIN LUCY 88.8
6-THANKS 85.0
4-PAPILLON ROUGE 82.6

RACE 8
3-MY MISS STORM CAT 109.3
5-MARYFIELD 105.2
2-DA SVENDONYA 94.5
1-ALLSWELLTHATNSWELL 93.2

RACE 9
10-SWEETWISE 52.6
13-WYNN'S FINAL OFFER 51.6
3-TWISTER ALLEY 47.4
4-BRAVE CATERINA 39.0

1st time starters - 6, 9, 2

Saturday, May 27, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

No Fri. recap due to late night racing.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-MARQUIS FORM 76.0
2-RED STATE 72.0
1-T TOWN FAME 53.5
6-MADE IN CALIFORNIA 50.6

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
4-SENDERO 100.5
1-ZAYED 99.1
6-PRECISE ALLOY 87.5
7-ROBS COIN 85.0

RACE 3
6-STELLA'S POSADA 68.1
5-LORD MYSTERIO 59.0
2-GRAN TENOR 49.7
3-SEQUOIA KING 41.6

1st time starters - 1, 4 (both have had races at 2f.)

RACE 4
6-PARADISE COVE 74.3
10-BRANSFIELD 73.7
4-CAMISADO 73.1
5-WILDFANG 73.1

1st time starters - 11, 1

RACE 5
7-QUARTERLY REPORT 82.6
5-SUNDAY DRESS 77.2
6-SILENT KINGDOM 74.9
1-BLOWING BARTOK 72.0

RACE 6
8-BLUE STELLER 91.3
4-NOLIMOSFORYOU 90.7
9-SUBLET 88.8
3-MASTER HEAT 87.5

1st time starters - 1 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7
1-BONANZA TWO 107.3
2-R J'S WAY 105.2
4-CHAUNCEY 101.1
3-SWISS ADDRESS 95.2

RACE 8
6-MARIA'S QUEST 77.2
2-HELLO IRISH 67.0
8-LOST ON CHAMPAGNE 62.7
3-SHAROANA 53.5

1st time starters - 4, 10, 7 (all have had races of 2f. or 4 1/2 f.)

RACE 9
1-I'MAGAMBLER 80.8
5-LOWER SHORE 77.8
2-PARKER VALLEY 73.7
9-FREEDOM'S KEY 66.5

Friday, May 26, 2006

 

HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

WE ARE BACK - WE WERE UNABLE TO POST THUR. SELECTIONS AS MY OPERATING SYSTEM CRASHED ON MY COMPUTER. IT HAS TAKEN 2 DAYS TO GET IT BACK IN WORKING CONDITION.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-MERCEDES DANCER 74.4
1-PHINADANZ 58.0
6-STONECUTTER 58.0
5-PLAYFUL BLINT 50.2

RACE 2
1-SWEET SID 50.6
3-NEON PRINCESS 50.0
5-OBASSABA 49.1
6-PITHY GAL 48.8

RACE 3
5-WING KAI 108.6
2-SEATTLE BUDDY 104.5
4-BUSHWACKER 102.5
3-TOP MONEY 93.9

RACE 4
4-FALLFREE 85.0
3-CHIEF TRADER 83.2
6-SABALUCIOUS 82.0
12-REALLY SUSPECT 76.0

RACE 5
6-CAMBIOCORSA 107.9
7-DREAM LADY 101.1
3-CANDY FACTORY 88.1
2-ROUND HEELS 87.5

RACE 6
1-STRATAGEM 99.1
3-GOLD BANKERS GOLD 91.3
8-SONIC TIGER 85.0
6-ENTRY POINT 78.4
2-EMPEROROFTHERACES 78.4

RACE 7
1-UKIAH 100.3
10-HELLO FAME 99.6
4-MEXICO EXCESS 94.5
9-LEONETTI 93.2

1st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
8-DIAMOND HONDO 82.6
12-HIGHLY GALLANT 63.8
2-MUSCLE 60.1
3-HAMPTON WAY 55.0

1st time starters - 1

Wednesday, May 24, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-LITTLE SIERRA 62.2
5-LOLLAPALOOZA 62.0
4-ELIGANT WAGER 58.5
3-PRIVATE HALL 50.2

RACE 2
2-EXCESSIVELY N LOVE 58.8
6-UNDERHILL 55.5
4-RIBOMOON 50.2
3-DE STRIGHT MAN 43.3

1st time starters - 5

RACE 3
5-PATHBREAKING 92.6
3-BLIND HARRY 90.0
1-CASUAL THUNDER 84.4
4-WHERE'S MY HALO 80.3

RACE 4
9-PURPLE SLURPLE 55.0
2-MY FIRST BIG KISS 52.1
6-POPULARCOFFEE 48.3
4-SWISS ARROW 64.5

1st time starters - 1, 7, 3

RACE 5
9-RATEAU 67.9
6-SEASTATE 67.0
4-BLUE SILENCE 63.2
2-SOUND AND VISION 59.6
5-SHOW HOST 59.6

1st time starters - 7, 3, 11

RACE 6
2-HONOR SPIRIT 70.9
6-STRICTLY LEGIT 68.1
1-HATNA 62.5
3-ONE FLEW OVER 61.6

RACE 7
4-FLOWER HILL 72.5
2-ANDOVER THE CASH 68.1
5-LATE DATE 68.1
8-WATCH ME WIN 64.8

RACE 8 (2yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
7-RAGING 61.1
4-MAKING HASTE 42.4
5-QUEEN CLYTEMNESTRA 42.0
1-ROCKELLA 41.6
2-SWISS ROSE 41.6

1st time starters - 3, 6, 8

Tuesday, May 23, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.

Monday, May 22, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Sun. recap- Race 1-4th pick won (5.60) 2nd pick 2nd (3.20) 3rd pick 3rd (2.80) picks boxed- Ex (8.80) Q (8.60) Trifecta (28.80). Race 2- 2nd pick won (9.60) top 1st timer 2nd (5.20) top pick 3rd (2.10) 4th pick 4th, picks and top 1st timer- Ex (20.00) Q (18.90) Trifecta (174.50). Race 3- Top pick won (4.80) 4th pick 2nd (6.80) 3rd pick 3rd (2.80) top pick keyed to other 3 picks- Ex (14.70) Q (24.00) Trifecta (48.60). Race 4- Top pick 2nd (4.60) 3rd pick 2nd (4.60). Race 5- 4th pick 2nd (5.00) 3rd pick 4th. Race 6- Top pick won (8.60) 4th pick 3rd (3.00) 2nd pick 4th. Race 7- 2nd pick won (9.60) top pick 3rd (2.40) 4th pick 4th. Race 8- 4th pick 2nd (5.00) top pick 3rd (5.60) 3rd pick 4th. Race 9- Top pick won (10.80).

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at the racebook I go to as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout, and I receive the highest of the two.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. How you bet the picks is the key. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened twice that I know of in over 265 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have? GOOD LUCK.

Saturday, May 20, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK & PREAKNESS - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PREAKNESS - PIMLICO - RACE 12

6-BARBARO 132.8
5-BROTHER DEREK 128.3
7-SWEETNORTHERNSAINT 124.5
8-BERNARDINI 122.3
1-LIKE NEW 117.2
4-GREELEY'S LEGACY 107.9
9-DIABOLICAL 90.7
2-PLATINUM 84.4
3-HEMINGWAY'S KEY 82.6


HOLLYWOOD PARK

RACE 1
6-MS. PURR 73.1
2-QUINTARA 73.1
4-EMERALD SUNRISE 68.6
5-SPLASHOF PANACHE 65.4

RACE 2
9-WISELY 52.6
2-LOLIS BEAU GENIUS 48.8
5-EL JACAL 47.4
1-PRINCE MORADO 39.5

1st time starters - 7

RACE 3
4-PUBLICATION 117.9
3-TRAFFIC UPDATE 103.1
2-BROOKER 103.1
5-MODERN ERA 77.0

RACE 4
5-COMMANDER GARY 73.1
4-GO AMERICA 68.6
11-LITE NELLY 55.5
7-TANKS IN ADVANCE 55.0

1st time starters - 2, 3

RACE 5
1-FOURTY NINERS SON 117.9
6-TOASTED 114.3
3-HENDRIX 103.8
2-JUST WONDER 103.1

RACE 6
12-TRONARE 99.8
11-HATIF 97.8
2-DARK SORCERER 95.8
10-THINK TANK 93.9

RACE 7
9-INDY WEEKEND 93.2
1-JUDGMENT DAY 91.9
4-EAGLE RIDGE 84.4
12-POLISH QUEST 83.2

1st time starters - 8, 2, 3, 7, 11, 5

RACE 8
2-PINDARIC 94.5
9-HICKORY 90.7
4-MARIMBA RHYTHM 80.8
5-TUFF MUFFIN 79.6

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
8-ARSON SQUAD 105.9
2-QUIETLY GO 103.8
6-NORTHERN SOLDIER 95.2
4-GHAZWAN 87.5
5-GET FUNKY 87.5

RACE 10
11-GASIN THE TURBO 72.0
5-MASHIKO 65.9
2-EMPIRE'S GHODHA 65.6
10-HOUR OUTLAW 64.3

Thursday, May 18, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. recap- Race 1-Top pick won and was Dq'd and placed 3rd, 4th pick 2nd (9.60) top pick 3rd (3.80). Race 2- 2nd 1st timer won (26.00) 4th pick 2nd (10.00) Ex (118.00) Q (62.60) top 1st timer 3rd (4.80) Trifecta (1071.90). Race 3- top pick broke down, 3rd pick won (10.00) 2nd pick 3rd (4.60). Race 4- 4th pick 2nd (3.60) 3rd pick 3rd (3.60). Race 5- 2nd pick won (9.00) top pick 2nd (2.40) boxed- Ex (10.70) Q 7.40) 4th pick 3rd (3.20) Trifecta (46.70). Race 6- Top pick won (8.40) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40). Race 7- 3rd pick won (4.20) 2nd pick 2nd (3.00) top 3 boxed- Ex (8.00) Q (8.80). Race 8- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick 3rd (5.80).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-AQUAMARINE 70.3
5-JAY AY 43.0
1-MY PERFECT PATTI 35.4
4-DAKOTA LASS 28.6

1st time starters - 2, 3

RACE 2
1-ZAP 103.8
4-TOTALLY PLATINUM 100.4
3-CARANO 99.8
5-IN EXCELSIS 87.5

RACE 3
1-NATURAL PHENOMENON 86.9
4-MYSTO'S 82.0
6-INTELLIGENT MALE 76.0
5-SOUVENIR ZONE 76.0

RACE 4
1-CARINI 101.8
3-CHARM THE GIANT 98.4
4-REVEALED 97.1
2-RED TOP 93.2

RACE 5 (All 2yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
5-FUTURE SEARCH 46.0
2-LUIS'S ESPECIAL 38.6

1st timers - 3, 6, 7, 1, 4

RACE 6
7-RED OPAL 91.3
6-CHARMING AFLEET 86.9
2-KOURI JILL 82.7
5-COTORRA 80.2

RACE 7
3-EVER SO NICE 91.9
4-OFF THE RICHTER 89.4
5-YESSIREMYCHICKADEE 86.9
2-METRO GIRL 86.9 (off Sept. 05)

RACE 8 (All 2yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
2-CUTTING FORCE 36.6
3-PERSIAN REVENGE 20.0

1st time starters - 6, 4, 1A/1, 7, 8. 9, 5

Wednesday, May 17, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-EXCESS SUMMER 93.9
8-HAVANA 90.0
7-CHASEUR 81.4
5-MODERN VIEWPOINT 78.4

RACE 2
7-SIXTH STREET JOE 72.6
4-POLITICAL MANEUVER 68.1
8-RAPID SILVER 63.2
3-POP ICON 50.6

1st time starters - 5, 2

RACE 3
7-SPIN A SILVER WEB 73.7
1-GETNHOTNHERE 63.8
8-MOLLY'S WATCH 61.6
5-BID OF GENIUS 57.5

RACE 4
2-SUGAR DEPUTY 58.0
7-HI TOPS 55.0
9-WHATZZUP BABY 53.5
4.RUSHIN CONDUCTOR 52.6

RACE 5
3-LIGHTNING HIT 80.8
1-ZANN 80.8
6-JOHN HENNESSY 78.0
2-ICY RIDGE 77.2

RACE 6
2-GETBACK TIME 85.6
1-LUCKY STAB 76.6
8-PROUD DAY 69.2
5-BELONG TO PARFAIT 67.0

RACE 7
3-WEE JINKY 86.9
2-FULL IN 86.9
7-THE FIVE J'S 84.4
1-HIT IT SKIP 80.8

RACE 8
6-ANATOLIAN STAR 72.0
4-KOBAYASHI 63.2
1-OLYMPIC STRIDE 59.0
2-CHIEF CONSTABLE 56.0

Saturday, May 13, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

No Fri. recap due to late night racing.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-WATCH OVER ME 92.6
3-FALLFREE 91.9
2-SMILE N WILDCAT 83.8
4-VALID AGAIN 72.0

RACE 2 (all 2yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
5-MAKING HASTE 46.9
1-VIEWMEFLYN 34.2

OTHERS - 9, 4, 2, 7, 8, 3, 6

RACE 3
1-SURF CAT 118.8
2-SPELLBINDER 108.6
5-DIXIE MEISTER 105.9
6-GALLARDO 97.1

RACE 4
2-THUNDERFOG 93.9
6-PAO COM OVO 92.6
3-WHAT'S THAT SOUND 88.1
8-MARGARITALOSFLORES 86.3

RACE5
1-KAT KALD KALAMAZOO 82.0
5-GARFIELD PARK 79.0
4-ARTISTIC MOMENT 66.5
12-GLOBAL HEAT 60.1
1st time starters - 6, 3, 2, 10, 11, 8

RACE 6
3-GREY SWALLOW 108.6
5-ONE OFF 103.1
6-RUNAWAY DANCER 97.8
4-GOLDEN RAHY 94.5

RACE 7
7-SMOOTH SIS 72.0
1-MYSTICAL CAPER 67.4
5-HATNA 66.5
6-LITTLE SIERRA 63.2

RACE 8
2-ALL AGLOW 95.8
1-LA TORMENTA 95.2
11-CANDY JO 91.3
5-THINK 89.5

1st time starters - (in U.S.A. fgn.) 8, 3

RACE 9
8-THUNDER TOUCH 109.3
1-PURE AS GOLD 107.5
4-SIREN LURE 105.5
3-CIGAR PAL 103.8

RACE 10
13-EVANSTON 65.9
2-BARTOKS BRAVEHEART 65.4
9-MR. THATCHER 57.0
7-A CONTROLLED CRASH 55.5

1st time starters - 12, 3, 1

Friday, May 12, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thur. recap- Race 1- 3rd pick won (8.00) top pick 2nd (4.60) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (15.60) Q (15.00) Trifecta (27.90) 4th pick 4th. Race 2-1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (6.40)3rd pick 2nd (2.60) top pick 4th, 3 picks boxed- Ex (6.40) Q (5.80). Race 3- All 2yo. going 4 1/2 f.- 1 pick scratched, 4th pick 2nd (6.00). Race 4- Top pick won (5.00) 3rd pick 2nd (4.00) 2nd pick 3rd, top pick keyed to next 2 picks- Ex (10.00) Q (14.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 5- Top pick won (8.20) 2nd pick 2nd (3.80) Ex (15.70) Q (14.60) 3rd pick (entry) 3rd (2.60) trifecta in order (36.80). Race 6- 2nd pick won (7.80) top pick 2nd (7.40) boxed- Ex (32.10) Q (38.60). Race 7- 4th pick won (6.80) Top pick 3rd (2.40). Race 8- all 2yo going 4 1/2 f.- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (7.20) 2nd pick 2nd (6.80) top pick 3rd (2.40) Picks boxed- Ex (20.00) Q (29.60) Trifecta (66.60).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-IZA RECKLESS 68.1
6-KREEKER 61.1
3-HALO MS. LION 52.1
2-MIADUEBELLE 48.8
7-PLAYFUL BLINT 48.8

RACE 2
6-DRINA'S THUNDER 67.0
3-LAKE MARINA 63.2
1-CRYTO'S WILD 62.5
5-DIVINE AFTERNOON 62.0

RACE 3
3-TOP MONEY 95.8
2-MY DREAM 95.2
5-OCEAN GRAND 94.5
8-HEAD OF THE HOUSE 91.9

RACE 4
6-REBELLIOUS 58.5
7-MOLLY'S PRIDE 54.5
1-LEMAIRE 47.8
9-APOLLO'S MELODY 47.8

1st time starters - 5

RACE 5
2-BREGO 98.4
1-MASTER HEAT 93.2
5-CABO'S DAWN 91.3
3-DER ALI 72.6

RACE 6
5-IZA GENERAL 103.1
3-SEND ME A COPY 96.5
4-CROWNED DANCER 89.4
1-VICTIM OF LOVE 85.6

RACE 7
3-SANDRA'S ROSE 95.8
4-FORTUNATELY 93.2
1-POLYFIRST 93.2
2-ALLSWELLTHATNSWELL 88.1

RACE 8
2-SUNNY BENCH 69.2
11-RIBOMOON 66.4
8-FANATICAL 63.8
7-BOSTON DIRECT 62.7

1st time starters - 5

Thursday, May 11, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. recap- We had a very good day Wed. - 6 of our top picks won out of 8 races. The highest paying $21.40. We had 2 pick 3's, 4 daily doubles with just our top picks. If you also took the favorite in the 5th race you had the pick-6 and the pick 4. Race 1-4th pick won (10.40) 3rd pick 2nd (5.00) top pick 3rd (2.40) picks boxed- Ex (24.30) Q (27.60) Trifecta (69.30). Race 2- Top pick won (4.20) 4th pick"tied" 2nd (3.00) 4th pick "tied" 3rd (3.20) 3rd pick 4th. Top pick keyed- Ex (5.00) Q (6.60) Trifecta (25.40). Race 3- Top pick won (4.80) Daily Double (9.40)3rd pick 2nd (5.80) 4th pick 4th. Top pick keyed- Ex (13.70) Q (16.00). Race 4- Top pick won (4.20) Pick 3 (11.20) Daily Double (11.60) 3rd pick 2nd (2.80) 2nd Pick 3rd (2.60) Top pick keyed- Ex (4.80) Q (4.20) 4th pick 4th. Race 5- 4th pick won (4.80) top pick 3rd (3.80). Race 6- Top pick won (6.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 7- Top pick won (3.40) Daily Double (13.60) 4th pick 2nd (4.80) Top pick keyed- Ex (10.00) Q (14.20) 2nd pick 4th. Race 8 Top pick won (21.60) Pick 3 (54.10) Daily Double (25.60) 2nd pick 3rd (7.40) 3rd pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-CONCEPTUAL 86.3
4-ZAPPA 79.0
6-PIETY 72.6
5-FORGIVABLE BOB 64.3

RACE 2
1-FLETCHERS COVE 80.2
3-MALLEY GIRL 79.0 (off Nov. 05)
2-BRUISEN SUSAN 65.9
5-MELODIOUS 65.4

RACE 3 (all 2yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
6,5,2,8,7,3,1,4

RACE 4
1-DA SVEDONYA 96.5
4-SCARLETT MEMORIES 85.6
5-SHE SINGS 76.6
3-ROYAL B 62.7

RACE 5
7-VELVETY SMOOTH 78.4
4-WALKONKAYDEEAVENUE 74.3
1A-BRITNEY HEAT 67.0 (entry)
3-CICHETARI MISS 64.3

RACE 6
6-TWINFUL 71.4
8-HOT CONTEST 70.9
1-WITH IRIS 68.6
5-I SWEAR 67.5

RACE 7
8-SWEET GAZELLE 86.3
6-SUNDAY DRESS 84.0
9-HAPPY HONEY 80.8
5-CHELCEE'S HOPE 79.0

RACE 8 (all 2yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
4, 8, 7, 9, 5, 6, 1, 3, 10, 2

Wednesday, May 10, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-SENIOR DISCOUNT 70.5
4-WALKING SOLO 70.3
3-CHOBIGMOE 69.3
5-ONIEDA COUNTY 52.0

RACE 2
2-DRAMATIC CHANCE 81.4
4-ADANCE 79.0
1-IN HIGH FORM 65.9
6-POWERFUL SISTER 61.4
3-SILENT KINGDOM 61.4

RACE 3
4-CUT TRAIL 78.4
7-T TOWN FAME 74.2
8-COUSIN JOE 71.4
1A-SNODEN 69.8 (entry)

1st time starters - 6

RACE 4
5-PRIMERICA 98.5
2-HESABULLY 95.8
3-COUNTY 90.7
4-DEVIL'S BAY 89.4

RACE 5
4-SKIPPADOO 85.2
8-BARDY WOMAN 83.8
1-SO HAPPY TOGETHER 83.2
7-GLASSY 81.4

RACE 6
1-BERTRANDOSTREASURE 70.9
3-LOTSA LEMONS 62.2
8-ELIGANT WAGER 60.1
2-LOOKING FORWARD 57.5

RACE 7
4-ATTIMA 88.1
8-ZOEMEG 83.2
7-THREADNEEDLE 76.0
10-PROXENIA 75.5
1-MAXXI ARTE 75.5

RACE 8
4-DALAT 60.1
13-CAN YOU IMAGINE 57.0
6-TRICKY VIVIANA 55.0
1-SPRINGSTREETBALLET 54.0

1st time starters - 3, 8, 9

Tuesday, May 09, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

There is no racing today at Hollywood Park.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors. A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way.A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

I wish you the most important factor of all GOOD LUCK.

Monday, May 08, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Sun. recap- Race 1- 4th pick won (8.80) top pick 2nd (3.20) 2nd pick 3rd "entry" (2.20) boxed- Ex (8.10) Q (9.20) Trifecta (21.80). Race 2-2nd pick won (8.80) top pick 2nd (2.20) top 1st timer 3rd (3.00) top 2 picks with 1st timer boxed- Ex (9.80) Q 6.00) Trifecta (84.80). Race 3- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (5.20) top pick 3rd (2.10)3rd pick 4th. Race 4- 4th pick won (8.00) top pick 3rd (3.00) 3rd pick 4th. Race 5- 2nd pick won (8.40) 4th pick 2nd (24.20) top pick 3rd (3.00) picks boxed- Ex (122.40) Q (144.40) trifecta (366.90). Race 6- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (6.40) top 1st timer 4th. Race 7- 2nd pick won (4.40) 3rd pick 2nd (7.80) 4th pick 3rd (3.80) top pick 4th, Picks boxed- Ex (19.90) Q (22.60) Trifecta (106.10) Superfecta (106.10). Race 8- 2nd pick won (5.00) 4th pick 3rd (3.00) top pick 4th. Race 9- Top pick won (7.80) 4th pick 3rd.

There is no racing at Hollywood Park today.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at the racebook I go to as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout, and I receive the highest of the two.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. How you bet the picks is the key. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Program number does not match horses name.This has happened twice that I know of in over 260 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have? GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, May 07, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

Derby day recap- We had a good day at Churchill Downs Sat. Recap will be brief as we are back to Hollywood Park today. Using just our four picks boxed we had- 3 Superfectas, 4 Trifectas, 7 Exactas. If you also took our 2nd 1st timer in the last race you would have had a 4th Superfecta.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-GOOD GOLD 95.2
1-NORWAY HOUSE 87.5 (entry)
6-ENTRY POINT 86.9
2-PARAQUEDISTA 82.6

RACE 2
4-APPEALING SWEETS 99.1
1-TOLERANCE 75.9
7-HOT STUFF HONEY 52.6
2-AM I TAN 35.8 (broke slow)

1st time starters - 8, 6, 5

RACE 3
6-HEALTHY ADDICTION 105.9
2-STAR PARADE 99.8
5-FREAKIN STREAKIN 96.6
4-NEW REGINA 85.7

RACE 4
8-STRICTLY LEGIT 79.6
5-EASY OBSESSION 74.3
7-BROMOS LEAD CHANGE 70.9
10-NEWYEARRESOLUTION 70.9

RACE 5
6-KONG 117.0 (off Sept. 05)
2-MR. SPLASH 103.1
7-TENASH 102.5
3-MIGHTY MYSTERIOUS 92.5

RACE 6
6-FUSEOUT 80.2
10-TONY MONTANA 80.1
1-WEEKEND TIGER 76.6
7-GHAZWAN 69.2

1st time starters - 4, 9

RACE 7
6-KINGDOM COME 96.5
1-MIRACLE MAKER 93.2
8-GRANDISER 87.5
4-WIND WATER 87.5

RACE 8
4-PRECISE ALLOY 99.8
2-BUSHWACKER 91.9
7-ICE LEMON AND RUM 91.3
1-RUSH COUNTRY 81.9

RACE 9
1-THANKS 80.8
9-FOLLOW YOUR BLISS 75.5
3-FAIRE LA BISE 70.3
10-ALICE PORTLOCK 68.1

1st time starters - 7

Saturday, May 06, 2006

 

CHURCHILL DOWNS - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.- DERBY DAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (All 2yo going 5 f.) Note: A good race to watch
4, 3, 9, 2, 8, 7, 6, 1, 5,

RACE 2
1-MEGAPUNCH 94.5
3-SAALB 94.5
9-BUMP BAILEY 91.9
8-FRONTIER EXPRESS 84.4

RACE 3
1-TEXAS BEST 105.2
10-NOLAN'S CAT 100.5
6-SACRED LIGHT 97.1
2-EIGHT BALL 93.9

RACE 4
2-EVERYTHING TO GAIN 108.0
8-ASCERTAIN 101.8
3-RUSH BAY 97.1
1-GALLO DEL BAR 95.8

RACE 5
7-THUNDER MISSION 103.1
3-CHARGING INDIAN 102.5
2-SAINTLY LOOK 98.5
11-LEVEL PLAYINGFIELD 98.5

RACE 6
2-ADIEU 87.5
4-JOINT EFFORT 86.9
1-MORNER 85.6
3-SMART N PRETTY 83.2

RACE 7
2-WEND 112.9
3-MORE THAN PROMISED 103.1
8-MIRABILIS 101.8
1-LOCK AND KEY 100.2

RACE 8
7-BEHAVING BADLY 117.9
8-PUSSYCAT DOLL 115.7
5-SPLENDED BLENDED 108.6
3-LEAVE ME ALONE 101.1

RACE 9
4-MILK IT MICK 120.8
9-ENGLISH CHANNEL 120.1
7-SILVER TREE 117.9
3-CACIQUE 117.2

RACE 10
18-BROTHER DEREK 128.3 (tough post)
11-SWEETNORTHERNSAINT 126.0
8-BARBARO 120.8
4-SINISTER MINISTER 120.0
9-SHARP HUMOR 117.2

RACE 11
5-LIKELY 125.3
7-LIFESTYLE 110.7
8-YES YES YES 105.2
3-BRITISH ATTITUDE 99.1

RACE 12
7-SILVER MAGNUM 81.4
3-MOO MAN 77.8
9-COALITION PARTNER 74.9
5-FINANCE MINISTER 72.0

1st time starters - 4, 1, 10

Friday, May 05, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thur. recap- Race 1 All 2yo going 4 1/2 f. - Top pick 2nd (4.00) 2nd pick 3rd (2.80). Race 2- 3rd pick won (7.00) top pick 3rd (5.00) 4th pick 4th. Race 3- 3rd pick won (6.00) top pick 2nd (3.00). top 3 picks boxed- Ex (10.30) Q (10.20). Race 4- Top pick 2nd (3.80) 4th pick 4th. Race 5- 3rd pick won (14.20) 1st timer 3rd (7.20). Race 6- 2nd pick won (12.20) top pick 3rd (2.60). Race 7- Top pick won (5.60) 2nd pick 2nd (3.20) Ex (5.90) Q (4.80). Race 8- All 2yo going 4 1/2 f. - 4th pick 2nd (9.80) 3rd pick 3rd (4.20).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTICE: I WILL POST THE CHURCHILL DOWNS CARD FOR SATURDAY IN PLACE OF THE HOLLYWOOD PARK CARD.

HOLLYWOOD PARK POST TIME FRIDAY 7:00 P.M. ( I will not post a recap of Friday night's racing due to the late hour of the last race and the early start of Churchill Downs on Saturday.)

RACE 1 (All 2yo going 4 1/2 f.)
4, 3, 7, 5, 2, 9,1, 8, 6

RACE 2
3-LE COPAIN 105.3
5-ICE COLE 104.5
4-COURTNALL 102.5
2-THAT'S AN OUTRAGE 83.8

RACE 3 (All 2yo going 4 1/2 f.)
5, 8, 9, 3, 6, 4, 2, 1, 7

RACE 4
4-SOLID FUEL 97.1
1-WILD SHAMAN 95.8
9-EXCESS TEMPTATIONS 95.2
6-WHITE PINE 94.5

1st time starters - 10 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 5
2-SPEEDY CAJUN 80.8
5-MIGHTY CLEVER 65.6
8-FIRST GLORY 64.3
6-BRENDOLYN 61.6

1st time starters - 3

RACE 6
6-PATHBREAKING 97.8
9-HE'S A ROCKET 86.3
3-SMART CROATION 85.0
5-WHERE'S MY HALO 74.9

RACE 7
2-CREPT OUT 94.4
10-TOP AUTHORITY 82.2
3-PLAN FOR FUN 75.9
7-THIRD OFFENSE 72.0

RACE 8
9-CRYSTAL HOUSE 76.0
8-LA CHOLA 73.1
6- GREENHILL HAIL 69.2
1-SANDY SNEAKERS 69.2

Thursday, May 04, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. recap- Race 1-4th pick 3rd (4.60) 3rd pick 4th. Race 2- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (55.20) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40) top pick 4th. Race 3- Top pick won (4.40) 4th pick 3rd (6.00)3rd pick 4th. Race 4- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (7.60) top pick 3rd (2.40). Race 5- 2nd 1st timer won (8.40) 2nd pick 2nd (3.60) 3rd 1st timer 3rd (9.00) top pick 4th, top 2 picks with top 3 1st timers- Ex (12.90) Q (12.20) Trifecta (183.20) superfecta (670.70). Race 6- Top pick won (7.00) 3rd pick 2nd (5.20) top pick keyed, boxed with nest 2 picks- Ex (16.70) Q (20.80). Race 7- 3rd pick won (3.60) top pick 2nd (2.80) 4th pick 3rd (2.10) Ex (3.60) Q (4.80). Race 8- Top pick won (2.40) 2nd pick 3rd (3.00).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 ( all 2yo going 4 1/2 f.)
1, 5, 8, 7, 9, 2, 4, 6, 3

RACE 2
1-SMART KITTEN 67.5 (off july 05)
4-LOVE ME MORE 64.3
5-SWISS TIZZY 59.0
6-ELEGANT GRACE 55.5

RACE 3
9-DISCRETE 51.1
7-PEY THE PRIZE 43.3
2-DUMAANIFROMHEAVEN 37.4
8-MISS WESTCHESTER 35.8

1st time starters - 3

RACE 4
3-ULTIMATE SUMMER 101.8
1-COURT SEEKER 85.1
4-JEWELS OF BAGDAD 81.5
7-EARLY RONAN 80.8

1st time starters - 8 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 5
8-BEE A LION 47.8
10-THUNDER RANSOM 45.5
11-PRIZESSIN 43.8
4-THE CAT DID IT 43.8

1st time starters - 9, 1, 7

RACE 6
4-MEMO LADY 74.3
10-KRISSY C. 67.5
3-HEIRLOOM ROSE 65.9
2-LATIN HEART 65.4

RACE 7
2-COSTUME DESIGNER 91.3
1-UGOTADOWHATUGOTADO 88.8
6-FIRE BOLT 87.5
3-DYNALOOK 81.4

RACE 8 (all 2yo going 4 1/2 f.)
2, 3, 9, 7, 4, 1, 6, 5, 8, 10

Wednesday, May 03, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-NORTH AMERICA 74.9
6-CARMEL ROAD 68.6
7-BIG JOE HILL 66.5
2-REMEMBER ME 65.9

RACE 2
5-PLAYFUL BLINT 59.6
7-PAINT IT BLACK 58.0
3-LITTLE CAROLINE 55.5
6-ZEE TOPPER 53.0

RACE 3
1-SUMMER SURVIVOR 79.6
5-SI CHIMI 75.5
11-RED STATE 70.9
3-ECHEZEAUX 67.0

1st time starters - 8, 10, 2

RACE 4
5-CHIEF TRADER 92.6
6-MAX POWER 84.4
2-GOLD BANKERS GOLD 82.0
4-SLOW N EASY 76.6
7-CIELO BLINCOE 76.6

RACE 5
2-SILK QUEEN 72.3
4-THREE KNOTS 59.0
10-POLAR KID 57.5 (off slow)
8-UNUSUAL FUN 43.8

1st time starters - 9, 6, 5, 12, 7, 1, 3, 11

RACE 6
8-ATTACK ALERT 101.1 (off Aug. 04)
4-BOURBON N BLUES 96.5
6-HAVANA 90.7
5-SHI'AHS DEVIL 88.8

RACE 7
3-LIVE LIFE 94.5
4-SWEET DEE'S 91.9
5-DALICIA 90.0
2-EXCLUSIVE DANIELLE 88.1

RACE 8 (All 2yo going 4 1/2 f.)
6, 2, 7, 1, 9, 11, 8, 4, 10, 3,

Tuesday, May 02, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

There is no racing today.

THIS WEEKEND WE WILL BE HANDICAPPING CHURCHILL DOWNS AND THE KENTUCKY DERBY AND POSTING ON THIS WEBSITE. I WILL NOT BE POSTING HOLLYWOOD PARK ON THE SAME DAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors. A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

I wish you the most important factor of all GOOD LUCK.

Monday, May 01, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Sun. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (2.80) top pick 2nd (2.20) boxed Ex (2.90) Q (4.00)3rd pick 3rd (2.10) Trifecta (6.10). Race 2- 3rd pick won (51.20) top pick 4th. Race 3- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick 2nd (3.80) top pick 3rd (2.10). Race 4- 2nd pick won (20.60) 1st timer 2nd (7.40) top pick 3rd (4.40) top 2 picks with 1st timer boxed- Ex (82.90) Q (65.20) Trifecta (487.70). Race 5- 2nd pick won (4.80) top pick 2nd (3.40) boxed- Ex (7.80) Q (6.60)4th pick 4th. Race 6- top pick 2nd (4.00) 3rd pick 3rd (2.20) 4th pick "tied" 4th. Race 7- 3rd pick 4th. Race 8-Top pick won (3.40) 4th pick 2nd (5.80) 3rd pick 3rd (2.20) 4th pick "tied"4th, picks boxed Ex (11.50) Q (15.80) Trifecta (38.60) Superfecta (169.70). Race 9- Top pick won (5.00) Daily Double (10.40) 4th pick 2nd (5.80) 3rd pick 3rd (5.80) picks boxed- Ex (20.30) Q (23.00) Trifecta (123.10). Race 10- 3rd pick won (18.20) 2nd pick 2nd (5.60) boxed- Ex (51.10) Q (40.80).

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at the racebook I go to as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout, and I receive the highest of the two.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. How you bet the picks is the key. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened twice that I know of in over 260 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have? GOOD LUCK.

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