Tuesday, October 30, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, October 29, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at Santa Anita today.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,453 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, October 28, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $68,950.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
3-BAS 64.3
5-MAJESTIC MINISTER 63.8
1-SHAND 62.5
2-FIFTYSHADESOFHAY 60.9
6-SILKY LACE 38.6

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
4-CYCLOMETER 96.5
5-BATTI MAN 95.2
2-DON TITO 92.6
3-SO BRILLIANT 89.4
1-OCTANE 62.5

RACE 3
6-TIZ LIBERTY 88.8
3-ACHAK 81.4
5-COLUDA 80.8
4-MEGARIDE 71.4
1-GOLD MEDALLION 67.5

RACE 4
3-LAMM 94.4
2-HURRICANE LAKE 91.3
5-MAYBE TUESDAY 90.7
8-ARRAIGNMENT 89.4
4-WHY NOT BE PERFECT 88.8

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-MISS SWEET AFLEET 53.0
2-KIPTIDDY DO 44.6
4-BIG VARIETY 38.6
6-PRINCESA CORREDORA 37.4
3-MAGIC TIZ 36.2

1st time starters - 8

RACE 6
3-JULES JOURNEY 90.0
6-JOLLY JOSEPH 78.5
2-ASHLEY'S BAMBINO 76.0
8-TROY STORY 72.0
7-HOTRADAMUS 68.1

RACE 7
2-GLOWING SPIRIT 80.2
3-COSSET 77.8
1-GOLDEN PRODUCTION 77.6
6-MAKER OR BREAKER 74.9
5-BWANA BABE 74.3

RACE 8
2-RYEHILL DREAMER 115.0 (off May 11)
1-RED SUN 99.1
5-TEMPLE'S DOOR 96.5
4-BRUSHBURN 93.9
3-BUD I CRUSHED IT 83.2

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-GENERALLY OURS 50.6
8-TAYLOR'S JOURNEY 48.8
7-FLEW FLICKER 48.3
4-DOWNTOWN JOE 37.0
13-ONE FOR NOTHING 33.0

1st time starters - 11, 6

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Saturday, October 27, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
2-PLAYFUL HUMOR 70.9
5-ROXANNE O 70.6
4-REMARKABLE MOON 69.2
3-READYFORTHECLOSEUP 60.1
1-MENDING WALL 53.5

1st time starters - 6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-SHAKIN IT UP 86.3
4-CABALLO DEL CIELO 67.0
1-MANANDO 59.6

1st time starters - 2, 3

RACE 3
1-ARABIAN STORM 80.8
3-HIDDEN BLESSING 76.6
2-STREET CAR 76.0
4-SUPERCABRAS 68.1
9-AFLEET DEAL 64.3

RACE 4
7-MISSDEALORNODEAL 93.9
3-HOPEFUL UNION 92.6
4-JET BLUE GIRL 91.9
6-UNUSUAL HOTTIE 89.4
2-CARIBAYA QUEEN 85.6

RACE 5
2-AXLE 65.9
5-BULL TIME 65.4
9-JOHN BULLY'S BOB 63.8
7-WHERE'S HENRY 63.2
8-STREET CONSENSUS 47.8

RACE 6
3-BABY BLAKE 76.6
7-GOYATHIA 76.0
1-IN HIGH REGARDS 74.6
2-CAPTAIN BEAU 73.7 (off March 11)
4-WINDS OF DUBAI 72.0

RACE 7
2-TIP YOUR HAT 65.9
5-SWIFT STORM 64.3
13-CUPID'S BLING 62.7
1-TIZ A BRITE MISS 62.2
8-QUICK WAMPUM 61.6

RACE 8
6-LADY TEN 90.7
9-BEST PRESENT EVER 90.7
1-VIONNET 88.8
10-OPEN WATER 87.5
2-VIVA CARINA 85.0

RACE 9
1-TURN ON THE BRITES 70.3
6-IAMTHEGANSTER 53.5
3-CATCANSCAT 46.0
11-MR. CAPPUCCINO 35.4
7-WILD FOR LADIES 33.8

1st time starters - 5

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Friday, October 26, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $44,909.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
3-CODE WEST 89.4
6-THE WHOLE DEAL 57.0
4-PRINCE TELEMACHUS 55.5
2-MONEY CANNON 49.0
1-DR. SPIN 23.1 (off slow)

1st time starters - 5

RACE 2
1-FILLY POWER 82.6
2-ROMAN CHARITY 73.1
5-REAL HOUSEWIFE 70.9
6-SINGLE N LOVIN IT 65.4
3-ROSSI RESERVE 59.6

RACE 3
4-DRIFT KING 87.5
6-OFF THE WALL 83.8
1-MR. CANDY BAR 83.1
3-CHEROKEE HEAVEN 77.2
5-ROYAL ENCOUNTER 72.6

RACE 4
4-PUT IT THERE 90.0
6-HAMMER THE BAY 77.8
3-MR. WHY WHY 69.8
1-HEY YUP 68.1
2-MR SAMBUCA 64.8

RACE 5
10-EILEEN'S DREAM 80.2
9-MARCYJANE 73.1
11-NANA BEACH 72.0
12-MAGIC MAYA 66.4 (off slow)
8-KIND OF NAUGHTY 53.6

1st time starters - 4, 1

RACE 6
7-LIBERTY CAP 99.8
4-PLANET SUNSHINE 97.1
2-TWEEBSTER 85.6
1-TIZPAT 82.0
3-GROOVIN' SOLO 77.8

RACE 7
10-CHRISTMAS CANDY 78.0
6-PURIM'S DANCER 76.0
9-OSCILLATOR 75.1
7-MISS LADY ELLEN 71.7
2-GRANNY CALLING 71.7

RACE 8
2-MISS COMMUNICATION 73.7
6-LADY SHAZZAM 58.0
1-MISS BOLD TOPPER 56.5
3-TRULY A MIST 51.1
11-CALIFORNIA POLL 50.5
7-TIZ LOVELY 50.2

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Thursday, October 25, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
4-STANWYCK 79.6
1-CHESTNUT MOON 53.5
2-REVERED 53.5
3-MY BASHERT 52.5
6-MISS MALIBU 46.6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-OLD MAN LAKE 68.6
5-ROMAR SUCCESS 64.3
2-ZOOM BAG 60.6 (bad start)
4-MAJOR TRUTH 47.4
1-JUSTA GUSTA 41.6

RACE 3
6-TIZNOW OR THEN 81.0
5-MONEY TALKER 80.8
7-UNUSUAL BEAM 76.6
4-MR T BIRD 73.7
1-MIND THE MASTER 22.8

1st time starters - 2, 3, 8

RACE 4
3-DYLAN DONNELLY 85.6
9-STARS AND MOONS 68.1
6-BIPARTISAN 65.4
2-LITE THAT BABY UP 63.8
1-RYE WHISKEY 63.6

RACE 5
8-MOON STONE MADNESS 59.0
5-MEMO TO KATHY 57.5
6-WARREN'S PASSION 57.0
7-EBO'S LOVE 56.0
10-ARINYES LOVE 50.2

RACE 6
9-SWISS EMPEROR 77.2
6-SURELY SWIFT 73.7
1-JAY'S FIRETRUCK 64.3
3-GOOD LUCK REDD 63.8
4-AWESOME YEAR 58.2

1st time starters - 11

RACE 7
5-SMOKEY LONESOME 101.8
6-SWEET SWAP 100.4
4-ROYAL F J 94.5
1-STREAMSIDE 94.4
7-RED DEFENSE 93.2

RACE 8
4-R DOUBLEDAY 64.3
7-MY MOMENT TOO 49.7
12-INDIAN MAGIQUE 48.1
10-YA WANNA HUG 47.4
11-SHIMMERING STAR 39.9

1st time starters - 8, 1

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Wednesday, October 24, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, October 22, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at Santa Anita today.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,446 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, October 21, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




TODAYS PICK SIX CARRYOVER IS $60,928.

RACE 1
3-MAX COOPER 84.4
5-VAUNDELL 76.6
1-COO CACHOO 76.0
6-SWISS TART 69.8
4-COURTSIDE 66.4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-BOLLER BOMB 54.0
4-RESISTING ARREST 49.2
7-A LITTLE LUCKIER 47.8
2-CLEVERLY BEVERLY 47.8
3-LADY DELANEY 39.0

RACE 3
2-JAYCITO 97.1
3-COMMA TO THE TOP 96.8
1-TRES BORRACHOS 95.8
4-SHAUN WASHINGTON 95.2
5-RIVETING REASON 75.4

RACE 4
1-MEGASTAR 97.1
7-GREEN SECRET 93.9
5-SKY CAPE 88.8
8-SCORPION TIME 87.5
4-MR. MAKE BELIEVE 82.0

RACE 5
2-CEE'S THE YEAR 63.2
4-SOMENCHANTD EVENIN 62.2
5-SWEETRAYOFSUNSHINE 62.0
6-DYNAVIXEN 61.1
7-COMICAL KITTY 59.0

RACE 6
7-EULA B. 76.6
11-BWANADADA 75.1
1-URANIA 74.3
13-MARCYJANE 73.1
9-POGONIP 65.7

1st time starters - 10, 8, 3

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
10-IMWITHTHEBLONDE 80.8
7-SURELYLU'S ANDANTE 52.1
9-HAVING ABIG MIDDLE 42.4
2-DAWN'S CHARM 25.4

1st time starters - 4, 6, 11, 1, 5, 8, 3,

RACE 8
6-NO SILENT 94.5
1-STARSPANGLED HEAT 88.8
7-ACCELERANT 87.5
4-ROBIE THE CAT 85.0 (off April 11)
2-LA MANO NERA 83.2

RACE 9
8-CORANTO 65.4
6-STAR OF AMERICA 64.3
14-AWKWARD MONDAYS 62.7
9-VALEN 60.6
12-ON HOLY GROUND 58.0

1st time starters - 4, 5

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Saturday, October 20, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
2-DISTRACTING 94.5
4-PINK LOLLIPOPS 85.0
3-BWANA BABE 83.8
5-CANDY AND THUNDER 80.2
1-COUP DE COUER 65.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-CATRAGEOUS 65.1
4-SARACH 60.1
3-WITTGENSTEIN 58.0
8-SPELLBOUND 54.2
5-IRISH PRESENCE 53.0

1st time starters - 2, 6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS - (all 1st time starters)

RACE 4
11-TRUE EXPECTATIONS 81.5
2-SHEZABIGBROAD 79.7
10-LANIDA 73.7
9-SEAN S 70.9
5-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 68.8

RACE 5
6-IDONTROLLONSHABBOS 84.4
1-RICH KID 75.4
8-PRIDDIS WILDCAT 73.7
5-JUAN'S TWIN 72.3
2-TUMMEL 71.4

RACE 6
1-RELENTLESS HEAT 89.4
5-BLUE JAY ATTACK 87.5
10-CANDY'S SUNRISE 87.5
2-MINT HUMOR 86.3
4-CLASSIC BOBBY 83.3

RACE 7
2-HIDDEN BLESSING 74.9
6-MACK'S GOLD BULLET 74.9
11-DAVE'S PACEMAKER 73.1
5-SOUTHERN STYLE 71.4
4-LUCKY FITZ 71.4
8-SEA RASCAL 71.4

RACE 8
1-MISSDEALORNODEAL 92.6
6-BYRAMA 89.4
9-KINDLE 84.5
7-BRIECAT 84.4
4-NINTH INFANTRY 83.2

RACE 9
3-GIVIMAWAY 70.3
4-WON WON OH FIVE 65.4
1-MARV 55.1
11-LETHAL INTENT 55.1
7-I FEEL FREE 55.0


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Friday, October 19, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RAICING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
3-FIELD REPORT 85.6
7-MY SLEW 80.8
5-BABY BLAKE 79.0
4-CURRAHEE 73.7
2-BOLD AGRESSOR 72.0

RACE 2
4-STONESIDE 91.3
2-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 89.4
3-LUCKARACK 89.4
6-SOLAR ROCKET 89.4
5-NEWFOUND GOLD 80.8

RACE 3
2-ACORODORO 87.6
10-YANKEE DAN 83.8
6-WARRENS WILD THING 82.0
8-STREET ROCKET 79.6
11-ALL DE VICTORS 79.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-BOJOUR 60.1
9-SENSE OF A WOMAN 50.6
1-AMY'S CASHIN IN 39.4
8-CLOCKERSCORNERROSY 30.4
12-FUNNY GAL 30.0 (off slow)

1st time starters - 4, 10

RACE 5
1-ONLY THE GOLD 76.6
4-SPIT BALL 74.9
11-EXULTANT 71.4
6-GUEST STAR 68.6
5-OUR LUCKY SON 65.4

1st time starters - 3, 7

RACE 6
9-COOK INLET 90.0
1-LOW GEAR POWER 80.2
7-HONOUR FAMILY 80.2
6-STREETS OF HEAVEN 78.4
3-DEPUTIFORMER 78.4

RACE 7
3-HARD TO RESIST 91.3
4-CAMELIA ROSE 90.7
1-LITTLE EMILY 88.1
2-ROMANTIC WISH 82.6
7-I DAZZLE 81.4

RACE 8
10-HANSERELLA 68.1
4-QUIET SUNSHINE 56.5
12-COURAGEOUSANDBOLD 56.0
6-BULL RUSH 55.0
7-TORRE ITALIANA 53.0

1st time starters - 5, 11

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Thursday, October 18, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $66,088.

RACE 1
4-DISTORT THIS 84.4
2-BUFFALO BILLY 83.8
6-TRUCIAL STATE 82.6
3-MCALLISTER BOYS 80.2
5-SHEER TALENT 75.4

RACE 2
4-BLUEGRASS REWARD 76.0
1-TRIBAL JEWEL 76.0
5-AFFRETTANDO 69.3
2-EXCESSIVE ASSAULT 68.7
3-MOTOWN MEN 59.8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-LAST EQUITY 51.3
8-JONES DESTINY 42.4
5-THERE GOES DONNIE 42.4
6-PICK SIX JOE 37.4
3-DEREKSON 34.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-HYENA 57.0
3-CAT'SDOUBLEDAYGIRL 55.5
5-SWISS BLISS 48.3
2-ELLA BEA AWESOME 44.6
7-WELLINGTON BEAUTY 43.8

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-DOUBLEDEESONTHETEE 47.4
6-PRIMED AND READY 47.4
3-VALLEY SPIRIT 36.6
5-ONE FOR NOTHING 29.7
1-CRAZY LORENZO 28.9

1st time starters - 7, 8

RACE 6
4-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 84.4
8-STRIKING SPIRIT 77.8
9-GOLD MEDALLION 69.8
7-APPLY 69.2
2-BIG BAD JIM 68.6

RACE 7
7-PRIMAL DESIRE 84.0
4-ALWAYS A CHANCE 72.6
9-CHIMI DEE 70.9
5-TWITCH 68.6
6-SUANCES VIXEN 67.5

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-DISARM 61.1
1-GREELEY AWESOME 53.5
3-BEAU DIABLO 53.0
5-TRICE UP 43.3
4-MINE FEVER 33.0

1st time starters - 6, 9

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Wednesday, October 17, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, October 16, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at Santa Anita today.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,440 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, October 14, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
1-PASSIONVILLE 77.2
6-NANA BEACH 76.4
4-BITT A HEAT 72.0
5-SPRING BLOOM 69.3
3-NORTHERN FLIGHT 65.4

RACE 2
5-BUDS PAL 81.4
1-CANDY WALTZ 79.6
6-HOMBRE HUGHES 76.6
2-MUCHOS BESOS 75.4
4-TIZ TOP 65.9

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-HAZARDOUS 62.7
4-BUBBA FIZZ 61.1
2-TRUE AGAIN 60.6
3-TRICKSAREFORKIDS 59.0
6-K COURT 58.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
11-ONE FIRM CAT 57.5
9-POWER PED 56.0
3-ZIPPINGAROUNDTOWN 52.6 (5 wide)
6-ANYTIME 48.8
10-AERIAL ARTIST 48.0

1st time starters - 1, 4, 2, 12, 8

RACE 5
4-CHLOE W 63.8
10-CHRISTMASCANDY 63.8
8-MISS BOLD TOPPER 58.0
6-PRETTYPRICEYGIRL 57.0
2-MIRROR BALL 55.5

1st time starters - 11, 5

RACE 6
2-DANCINGTOTHESTARS 90.7
9-MINDS EYES 86.9
8-LEMON HERO 80.2
6-DEITY 80.2
5-KILTED TILT 79.6

RACE 7
4-WILLIE BROWN 72.0
10-ZOMBYSLAYERMRDARCY 65.9
2-SPARKLE JOEL 62.7
8-FRENZO 61.6
11-HIDDEN QUEST 60.1

RACE 8
1-SHADOW RUNNER 91.9
8-FUNNY HOW 89.4
7-A TOAST TO YOU 86.9
4-HUNTSVILLE 85.6
9-SEGWAY 82.0

RACE 9
10-SILVER LUNA 56.5
12-SHE CAN ROAR 52.6
8-JM'S GOLDEN LEGACY 49.2
6-HAROS JACKPOT 43.8
9-KALOOKAN DESERT 40.7
13-ENGLISH PUDDIN 40.4

1st time starters - 1, 5, 4

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Saturday, October 13, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
2-ROSES FOR JONI 76.6
6-MISS WELL MOLDED 75.4
9-STORMIN CEE'S 73.7
10-MARY CONTRARY 72.6
3-DISTANT IMAGE 72.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-BACK TO BAKO 65.4 (a slow start)
3-HE'S NOT TO SHABY 59.0
9-LITTLE JACK 57.5
7-GALLANT CHARM 54.0
11-TORREYS K T M 52.1

1st time starters - 5, 4, 10

RACE 3
6-CAT MEETING 83.3
5-BUD I CHRUSHED IT 82.6
7-EXCESSIVE ASSAULT 79.0
3-OUR BOY BENJAMIN 79.0
8-AFFRETTANDO 79.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-SOPHIE'S SECRET 63.2
1-HOT AND PLEASING 56.0
6-BOLLER BOMB 54.5
7-GLOBAL WARMING 50.6
9-MADDOG MADDIE 48.8

1st time starters - 2, 5, 4, 11

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
4-MONUMENT 72.2
3-THE HUMANCOMPLAINT 70.4
6-BALLARD RULER 68.6
2-STRONG WIND 68.1
10-LOVMEISTER 68.1

RACE 6
1-TIZ FLIRTATIOUS 92.5
9-BLEACH BLONDE 91.3
3-TEDDY'S PROMISE 88.8
11-UNUSUAL HOTTIE 88.2
2-TASTY TREAT 88.2

RACE 7
8-SHUDACUDAWUDYA 110.0
7-AIN'T NO OTHER 101.8
1-MAUI MARK 95.8
3-MENSA HEAT 93.9
9-DERBY GOLD 88.1

RACE 8
5-SPARKLING STYLE 95.1
9-MISSDEALORNODEAL 94.5
1-BELLA VIAGGIA 93.2
10-SUGARINTHEMORNING 90.0
7-WILA B AWESOME 89.3

RACE 9
7-JOHN SCOTT 112.2
1-HOLLADAY ROAD 106.6
4-WOODMANS LUCK 94.5
3-ROUSING SERMON 91.9
5-LUCKY PRIMO 91.5

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
3-COTTON'S POINT 66.4
10-GRADUATOR 66.4
4-BERT'S ALTARCATION 63.1
7-SACRED DELIGHT 63.1
5-AKISS FORAROSE 60.9
9-TIDE 60.9

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Friday, October 12, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $37,823.

RACE 1
3-CARRIE ROSE 80.8
4-INNER GROOVE 75.9
5-INCLUDE THE CAT 73.1
1-ZEES CHRIS 64.3
2-DON'TGETMADALEXIS 61.1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-SACRED OVATION 77.8
3-EL JEFE GRANDE 64.3
6-STAR DESTINY 58.5
5-DENZEL 41.6

1st time starters - 2, 1

RACE 3
1-CANDY TROPHY 82.0
4-TORNADO ALLIE 77.2
7-MIA ISABEL 76.0
3-RISKY ART 73.7
8-SPICED LATTE 70.3

RACE 4
9-DR. NIP 57.0
4-TURN ON THE BRITES 53.5
6-PRINCE BANDINI 52.1
2-GREEN TEAM 50.2
8-CHICSDIGTHESHARK 43.3

1st time starters - 7, 1

RACE 5
3-DRIFT KING 92.6
9-SKY CAPE 90.7
6-CLASSIC BOBBY 83.8
4-SCORPION TIME 82.5
8-CHEROKEE HEAVEN 74.0

RACE 6
6-A TOE BY THREE 84.4
8-SIR ALLISON 82.6
1-PLENNY OF HENNY 79.6
2-BLING CHA BLING 79.5
9-VALENTINE BOY 76.0

RACE 7
1-GAB POWER 97.1
6-SEATTLE RULER 95.8
2-CAUSEITHERTZ 95.2
3-SILENTIO 93.9
8-MASSONE 91.9
9-MAYBE TUESDAY 91.9

RACE 8
6-GENERATIONS 73.7
2-CATCANSCAT 57.5
1-IAMTHEGANSTER 56.5
5-GREEN DOLPHIN 56.0
10-MINISTER OF TRADE 55.0

1st time starters - 4, 8, 9

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Thursday, October 11, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
4-COLUDA 87.5
5-POWER SERIES 87.5
6-JOE CARL 82.6
2-ROCK THIS WAY 82.6
1-MEGARIDE 77.8

RACE 2
2-CAMINETTO 88.8
1-UNTIL YOU 88.1
3-THINKING OF GIRLS 77.8
5-GUIDOPANZINI 77.2
6-CLINTON 76.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-LONDINIUM 49.5
7-R S WATSON 49.0
6-HARINGTON NIGHT 38.8
4-LICO 35.3
2-DUKE STREET KING 34.4
8-CALCULATED CHAOS 34.4

1st time starters - 5

RACE 4
2-SIDEPOCKET KID 72.6
9-RIDE ALONG 71.4
5-JUST TRIPPING 65.3
1-CHEEZY BREEZY 64.8
3-ABOVE PAR 63.2

RACE 5
4-TRIBE 83.9
1-IN A WINE TIZZY 83.9
5-BIG BANE THEORY 80.7
6-BESAME SUANCES 79.6
7-HOTRADAMUS 70.3

1st time starters - 8, 9

RACE 6
9-MY FRIEND GAIL 76.6
3-BONITA STAR 74.3
6-LIVING OUR DREAM 72.0
5-VEE 68.6
2-SARAH GOT EVEN 67.5

RACE 7
10-ACENDA 88.8
11-VIONNET 88.1
7-DEMONSTEROUS 86.9
8-RICSPRENTENTIOUSGAL 85.0
5-HIGHLY RATED 82.6
1-WILD TRUFFLES 82.6

RACE 8
10-LANIDA 74.9
9-DELILAH JONES 70.9
3-LADY PECAN 69.5
1-QUICK WAMPUM 65.4
2-ALLURA 63.2




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Wednesday, October 10, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, October 08, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $86,200.

RACE 1
7-HANSERELLA 67.5
1-HELLO STORMY 60.6
2-TIZ A DAISY 60.1
6-MISSDANG SALLY 55.0
8-YA WANNA HUG 54.0

1st time starters - 4, 3

RACE 2
5-WARRENS VENEDALUCY 64.3
2-HEART OF A MADAM 56.5
6-MELANISTIC 55.5
4-WARREN'S MORGAN 54.5
8-TIP YOUR HAT 52.1
1-REAL DREAM 52.1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
2-GERVINHO 78.4 (4 wide)
6-I'M WIDE AWAKE 74.3
3-BUCKLEBERRY GREY 73.7
4-DEN'S LEGACY 69.8
1-DANCIN UPSIDE DOWN 60.6

RACE 4
6-MISS LADY ELLEN 75.4
5-OSCILLATOR 74.3
2-METAXA 66.1
4-CONKATE 65.9
7-TOLUCA 59.0

RACE 5
6-BUDIDINHA 76.0
5-DAZZLETOWN 70.4
4-PUMKIN PIE 67.5
2-WARREN'S MO MONEY 64.8
7-SILIC'S VALLEY 62.6

RACE 6
8-DYLAN DONNELLY 91.9
10-CANDY'S JEWEL 85.0 (off Dec. 11)
3-TEMBERLITE 77.2
13-TIZNOW OR THEN 76.0
1-FIT TO RULE 75.2

1st time starters - 2

RACE 7
2-AMBITIONESS 84.4
9-ELEGANT 82.0
4-MALUSITA 79.6
7-COLLATING LADY 78.4
1-DYNAMIC DIVA 73.6

RACE 8
5-ZIVA THE DIVA 87.5
2-FIRST CLASS FLYER 83.8
4-ATTACK THE JACK 81.4
3-LOOKIN FOR JONESY 80.2 (off Aug. 11)
10-QUIZZICAL 78.4

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
5-BARES TRIPPER 86.3
6-FLASHY WAYS 68.1
3-UPBEAT MOOD 63.2
7-TRULY MARIE 61.6
1-SOMETHINGABOUTHER 58.5

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
3-KIPTIDDY DO 44.2
6-PRINCESSA CORREDORA 39.4
5-HY ROZ 32.3
4-GOING TO REHAB 27.2
2-GOGO JOHNNY GO 20.6

1st time starters - 1, 10, 7, 11, 9

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Sunday, October 07, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
1-QUITEASACAT 73.7 (off slow)
2-WILD DUDE 73.1 (off slow)
3-MONEY CANNON 60.1
4-RIVER STYX 41.1
5-BRO DEREK 38.6

1st time starters - 6, 8

RACE 2
11-CONTROLLED CHAOS 82.7
2-EXCHANGE STUDENT 71.1
3-TRAVESURA 65.2
6-JERRY'SHONEYCAROL 57.5
7-SUNCADIA 56.5

1st time starters - 1, 10

RACE 3
2-WINDING WAY 107.3
1-RUMOR 89.4
3-GREAT HOT 81.4
4-LADY OF FIFTY 74.3

RACE 4
6-MISS OOPS 85.6
4-NAUGHTY MARIANA 76.6
1-ROMAN CHARITY 71.4
3-FIFTH COMMANDMENT 70.9
2-REAL HOUSEWIFE 64.8

RACE 5
5-MEGASTAR 97.1
1-DONATO 95.2
6-EUROGLIDE 93.2
7-HURRICANE LAKE 92.6
8-KILLER BEAR 91.9

RACE 6
5-ALMOST A LADY 77.2
7-D'PRINCESS 67.0
1-QUEEN MERCURY 66.4
8-LADY ROCHELLE 60.1
3-BACKWOODS BELLE 59.6

RACE 7
7-SECRET MOTIVE 79.1
5-CITIZENSHIP 62.7
9-LADY KATFISH 56.5
11-SOLAR ECLIPSE 52.1
10-MOULIN DE MOUGIN 43.8

1st time starters - 6, 2, 1

RACE 8
3-MASTER CHEF 93.2
4-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 91.9
8-PRIVILAGED 88.8
6-BRUNO'S WAGER 81.4
2-DANCE WITH GABLE 80.2

RACE 9
4-ROMP 91.3
1-WHY NOT BE PERFECT 88.1
7-TE RAPA 87.5
2-PORTFIDO 84.4
6-LET'S DO IT 82.6

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
12-OUR TROOPER 57.0
13-JONES DESTINY 47.8
4-FLEW FLICKER 44.6
7-GENERALLY OURS 43.8
10-HARLAN'S HALO 42.0

1st time starters - 8, 1, 5, 3, 11, 9

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Saturday, October 06, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $36,436.

RACE 1
1-SEQUOIA WARRIOR 93.9
6-KATE'S EVENT 91.9 (off Oct. 11)
2-LIVE SUNDAYS 91.9
5-SO BRILLIANT 87.5 (off Nov. 11)
3-DON TITO 86.3

RACE 2
2-CONGREGATIONALIST 85.6
6-ONE WORLD 74.9
8-BOBBY FLAY 68.1
9-BRANNAMAN 64.3
3-JUST FISHIN 41.6 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 1, 5, 7, 4

RACE 3
3-OBVIOUSLY 119.3
2-TRAILBLAZER 116.0
4-KETTLE CORN 110.2
1-MR. COMMONS 110.0
5-MIDNIGHT INTERLUDE 97.1

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-SOUTH FLOYD 83.2
7-MERIT MAN 80.8
6-SCHERER MAGIC 79.0
3-I'M WIDE AWAKE 74.3
2-ZEEWAT 72.6

RACE 5
3-IRISH SURF 80.4
5-GREELEY AWESOME 67.2
1-AVARE 65.4
9-LAWYER GABE 63.8
13-TIZ A MINISTER 60.1

1st time starters - 8, 7

RACE 6
10-SHESKEY 62.2
9-SECRET GENIUS 61.6
3-NATALIE'S ACADEMY 60.1
6-SOMENCHANTED EVENIN 60.1
8-A NATURAL 59.0

RACE 7
9-ROCK OFF 84.4
8-BEV N BUD 83.3
11-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 76.2
12-HAMMER THE BAY 76.0
14-VERY UNUSUAL 75.3

RACE 8
2-AMAZOMBIE 120.8
4-CAMP VICTORY 118.6
5-CAPITAL ACCOUNT 116.4
3-COIL 107.9
6-JIMMY CREED 107.9

RACE 9
4-PRIVATE AFFAIR 94.5 (off Oct. 11)
9-CATHY'S CRUNCHES 91.3
2-BYRONY 90.0
10-LADY TEN 90.0
1-A JEALOUS WOMAN 86.3

RACE 10
12-MIDNIGHT RAVEN 59.6
13-STAR OF AMERICA 56.0
5-HE'S A SURE CALL 51.6
6-INGORDO 46.4
4-UNUSUAL MYSTERY 44.4

1st time starters - 10, 7

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Friday, October 05, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
7-FILLY POWER 60.1
3-MEMO TO KATHY 55.5
2-DESPERATE MEASURES 55.5
4-AKEELA 55.5
6-SUNSHINE HIGH 53.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-SECRET MEMO 63.2
4-MISS SWEET AFLEET 55.5
13-SHE'S A GO GIRL 54.5
10-MAGESTIC STINGER 52.1
3-GLO'S SPIRIT 48.8

1st time starters - 8, 6, 5

RACE 3
11-JET BLUE GIRL 89.4
1-CARIBAYA QUEEN 88.8
3-SEAN S 86.3
4-HOPEFUL UNION 85.6 (off Sept. 11)
6-GRASER 84.4
9-HEART OF MY LIFE 84.4

RACE 4
2-IDONTROLLONSHABBOS 83.8
11-BEAU ROYALE 81.4
1-WHAT'S FOR DINNER 79.0
9-BWANA BE GONE 76.6
4-MR. WHY WHY 74.9

RACE 5
13-SPECIAL CHARM 85.8
6-DIME PIECE 85.2
9-BROMELIA 76.6
7-GHOST OF A CHANCE 76.0
2-EILEEN'S DREAM 74.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-BLACK OAK 59.6
2-ECONOMY OF MOTION 58.5
7-JESSE'S GIACOMO 58.5
8-AWE' SOME KITTEN 58.0
4-ADELTA 57.5

RACE 7
9-CHANGETHECHANNEL 89.4
3-IN THE STARS 86.9
10-ELANA MAR 82.6
8-FOUR BETTER 76.0
7-LAST STING 74.9
11-MIA ISABEL 74.9

RACE 8
6-MEDIO CIEGO 50.6
8-ACT SWEET 49.2
13-RACY ROSA 46.4
1-CRYSTAL COAST 45.5
7-GINGER'S VALENTINE 41.6

1st time starters - 5

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Thursday, October 04, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
3-TIZ LOVELY 59.6
6-YODELIN' ANGEL 58.0
4-LADY SHAZZAM 53.5
8-GRAND CORREDORA 45.1
1-DEPISTRY 40.3

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-WEDNESDAY 70.4
1-ONDINE 68.1
6-VIXEN 67.0
3-BAS 64.3
2-CATRAGEOUS 62.7

RACE 3
5-AVEROO 95.8 (off July 11)
2-BIG SON OF A GUN 94.5
12-GREEN SECRET 88.8
10-ARCODORO 86.4
1-SCORPION TIME 85.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-BEHOLDER 92.6
5-MECHAYA 89.4
3-SERIOUS 70.3
1-LOVELY DAUGHTER 67.0
7-MIDNIGHT BALLET 64.8

RACE 5
12-MONEY TALKER 81.4
6-GREAT RISING STAR 77.8
3-SUMERIAN 76.0 (off slow)
10-EXULTANT 74.0
7-RAYA ROJA 71.4

1st time starters - 11, 2

RACE 6
8-FLOATING FEATHER 94.5
4-MORNING FOG 91.3
6-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 89.3
2-VADERTORE 87.5
3-MEMPHIS 82.0

RACE 7
3-WEST RULER 95.1
2-CAYANNA 88.8
11-SO TEMPTED 85.7
10-MS. G. I. JANE 80.2
8-DILLY'S DANCER 75.1

RACE 8
2-COOK INLET 90.0
9-ROYAL ENCOUNTER 78.4
1-DEPUTIFORMER 77.2
8-TIZ LIBERTY 77.2
3-MORGANOUSKA 73.7

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Wednesday, October 03, 2012

 
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, October 01, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at Santa Anita today.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,424 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.



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