Thursday, February 28, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA- FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
1-HIS ROYAL HIGHNESS 69.8
5-I FEEL FREE 59.0
3-COLD BAY 56.0
4-GIFTED PRINCE 37.8 (off Nov. 10)
6-SPIRIT OF LINDY 37.4

1st time starters - 8

RACE 2
2-SPIRITED TOUCH 81.4
5-MASARU 67.6 (off slow)
6-PYTHON 64.3 (3 wide)
7-CAMPEONISIMO 53.0 (bobbled start)
4-JUST WIN BABY 43.8

1st time starters - 1, 3

RACE 3
4-UBELONGTOMEMISSY 85.0 (3 wide)
1-HOLIDAY ROSE 70.9
6-ROYAL TIGER 69.3
3-CAVALLETTA 63.8
7-CAT PIRATE 62.2

RACE 4
10-VAUNDELL 82.0
2-SOLAR ROCKET 79.6
9-HIDDEN BLESSING 78.4
8-MAX COOPER 74.9
7-DANCE WITH GABLE 68.6

RACE 5
1-SARANGANI 82.6
2-ME LIKEY MIKEY 79.9
3-POCKET PRINCE 79.0
10-BABY BLAKE 72.0
7-SANIBEL SID 69.2

RACE 6
6-MACHO DORADO 96.5
5-LUCKARACK 93.9
9-MEL'S GAME 91.3
4-REAL CONUNDRUM 89.4
7-CHICKSDIGTHESHARK 86.9

RACE 7
1-JAYCITO 115.7
7-CAUSEITHERTZ 97.8
3-RUN IT 96.5 (off Aug. 11)
5-WILLYCONKER 91.9
8-TEMPLE'S DOOR 91.3 (
6-TIGAH 91.3 (off May 12)

RACE 8
11-PRIMED AND READY 55.5
7-FLEW FLICKER 55.0
3-TIZ FUTURITY 52.6
2-ZIPPINGAROUNDTOWN 48.3
10-MAJESTIC DESERT 46.0

1st time starters - 5

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Wednesday, February 27, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,536 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?

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Sunday, February 24, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $100,001.

RACE 1
3-MINER'S DAUGHTER 90.8
6-INCLUDE THE CAT 90.7
2-MIA ISABEL 87.5
5-PINK BLOSSOM 79.6
4-TOOMANYTOMATOES 79.0

RACE 2
3-MILES HEIR 73.2
8-MORGANOUSKA 70.9
5-GLOBAL GLOW 68.6
6-COLLEDIMEZZO 59.6
2-SIDEPOCKET KID 57.5

RACE 3
5-GREAT WARRIOR 98.4 (off Aug. 12)
2-SUMMER HIT 95.4
4-BLACK N BEAUTY 95.2 (off June 12)
1-OILISBLACKGOLD 90.7
3-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 85.6

RACE 4
4-ATTA GIRL ALMA 65.2
7-LUCKY STUDENT 61.6
6-MARK OF A GEM 59.0
5-ALISSA G 54.0
2-HEAT DU JOUR 47.8

1st time starters - 9, 8, 1

RACE 5
8-JOE CARL 96.5
5-SCORPION TIME 79.6
3-HONOUR THE DEPUTY 79.6
1-SMOKEN LEGACY 79.6
2-BLUEGRASS REWARD 74.9

RACE 6
8-JADE WITH ENVY 71.7
5-YAWANNAGOKID 65.2 (4 wide)
2-FLAXEN MAIDEN 60.6
6-OF ROYALTY 55.0
7-CAYTON 52.2

1st time starters - 3, 9, 4

RACE 7
5-BRANDING 84.4
3-QIAONA 79.6
1-MOM NANA PETRIE 68.1
6-ROSEWHITNBLUE 65.9
2-SPELLBOUND 63.2

RACE 8
3-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 99.1
2-A TOAST TO YOU 96.5
5-STARSPANGLED HEAT 95.8
8-COACH BOB 95.7
7-CAT TALK 95.2

RACE 9
4-PURE BLUSH 65.4
1-WARREN'S MY QUEEN 51.6
8-MY MOMENT TOO 45.5
6-SHE'S ACTCEPTIONAL 41.0
7-ROCKIN' HARD GALS 39.2
2-MY YAMMY HEAT 38.3

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Saturday, February 23, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





RACE 1
8-ENCHANTED DREAMS 58.5 (off Feb. 12)
7-NIGHT TELLER 50.2
1-PARTY IN EXCESS 48.3
2-LADY COMIC 47.4
6-AS USUAL 42.9

RACE 2
5-STANWYCK 90.0
7-CHOKECHERYMARY 87.5
2-JOLLY DAYS 76.6
1-SYDNEY'S DARLING 76.4
4-ROSEHILL DEW 72.0

RACE 3
4-WARREN'S LORIE S. 53.0
3-PENROSE 46.9
9-NONNA REESE 44.2
8-PAY THE CUTIE 40.7
7-SILENT STREAK 34.0

1st time starters - 5, 1

RACE 4
5-MY PHILLY GIRL 95.2
2-SPLENDID FORTUNE 90.0
4-EGG DROP 85.0
3-CONKATE 76.6
6-WARREN'S INTERNET 71.4

RACE 5
3-UNBRIDLED'S NOTE 107.9
7-IRISH ART 99.1
1-KLISZ 94.5
2-CHIPS ALL IN 93.3
4-TALE OF A CHAMPION 86.3

RACE 6
10-ROCK OFF 77.2
2-SUN'S OUT 70.3
6-PAPA LEV 65.6 (off Feb. 11)
5-FLOWER POWER 62.7
9-NARANJO 54.5

RACE 7
7-SMOKING G 92.6
1-GRUMPY SMALL MOUTH 88.8
6-BUFFALO BILLY 85.0
4-JAKOB'S MAGIC 82.6
3-CHAMPIONS GATE 77.8

RACE 8
7-THE LUMBER GUY 124.5
6-SAHARA SKY 112.2
5-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 109.3
8-DRILL 103.8
2-CAPITAL ACCOUNT 103.1

RACE 9
10-BUCKLEBERRY GREY 78.4
8-WIND OF BOSPHORUS 73.9
6-UNO DOS ADIOS 60.5 (off slow)
5-THUNDER'S ROLLIN' 58.5 (off slow, steadied)
4-BOSS OF ME 56.5

1st time starters - 3, 9, 7, 2, 1

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Friday, February 22, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





RACE 1
3-WILLIE BROWN 74.9
5-IRON JOE T 73.5
2-ET TU WALKER 70.9
7-MR. WHY WHY 65.9
4-MAGIC BEAM 58.0

RACE 2
4-GALLANT FIELDS 100.2
1-TRES BORRACHOS 99.1
5-HOORAYFORHOLLYWOOD 95.8
3-SKY KINGDOM 86.9
2-KEY DECISION 77.6

RACE 3
5-ENGLISH RHYTHM 71.4
3-HIDDEN PASSION 70.3
1-SWEET BAGUETTE 66.4
4-PRETTYPRICEYGIRL 63.2
2-TWITCH 60.6

RACE 4
7-WELLINGTON BEAUTY 72.6
3-FUNNY GAL 62.2
1-SULTRY SEASON 60.6
4-SACRED DELIGHT 59.0
6-DANGEROUS AFFAIR 59.0

RACE 5
2-MISS BECCA 88.1
9-MS. G. I. JANE 82.0
5-CAYANNA 80.2
8-COSSET 79.5
4-DISTANT IMAGE 77.8

RACE 6
4-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 95.8
5-BATTI MAN 80.0
2-MR T BIRD 79.0
3-MAJESTIC MOMENT 79.0
1-CAL ME KELLY 77.8

RACE 7
8-SLAMMER TIME 82.6
4-GOLD MEDALLION 79.0
3-ATTICUS JACK 77.2
2-MR. CANDY BAR 76.6
5-TWIN SIX 76.0

RACE 8
8-THE GRANS 65.9
7-NORTHERN FLIGHT 64.8
4-HIDETHEGOODSTUFF 64.3
5-LIL CHEYENNE 51.1
2-GIRL ON THE LAM 40.3

1st time starters - 3, 1, 6

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Thursday, February 21, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY


REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $113,777.

RACE 1
3-RUSSDICULOUS 67.0
2-ADRENALINE SHOT 38.2 (off Aug. 12)
7-INDIAN SPIRIT 31.1 (came out)
8-MINE FEVER 17.7
1-MARS CURIOUSITY 9.9 (eased)

1st time starters - 4, 5, 6

RACE 2
4-QUIZZICAL 85.6
2-DISTRACTING 85.0
1-CANDY AND THUNDER 79.0
5-BELLOMA 67.0
3-DYPSY 65.6

RACE 3
9-TROY STORY 77.8
7-CELEBRITY STATUS 67.9
8-KILAT 66.3
3-EMPTY HEADED 65.9
4-LETHAL INTENT 59.8

1st time starters - 5, 6

RACE 4
6-TRIBAL SPY 66.4
7-ROCKIN COWGIRL 41.1
3-BIKINI BOTTOM 40.8
8-SUGAR MOUNTAIN 26.9
4-SWEET IRISH LASS 13.3

1st time starters - 2, 1, 5

RACE 5
6-BRIGHT THOUGHT 97.8
1-MCALLISTER BOYS 93.8
3-TORUK MALDO 92.6
7-SEBASTIAN FLYTE 91.3
8-TE RAPA 87.5

RACE 6
1-SPACECOAST 74.9
5-ROYAL TIGER 73.1
3-WARREN'S GUSSIE 63.8
6-PEPPY BOLLY 62.2
2-SCARY RUDE 62.2
7-METAXA 62.2

RACE 7
5-I DON'T CARE WHO 93.2
8-WARREN'S JOE T. 75.3
7-BUGSY LOSTY 65.9
2-DANCIN UPSIDE DOWN 60.6
3-COLLATION 57.0

RACE 8
6-UNMARKED BILLS 60.1
5-GREEN TEAM 53.5
11-THREE BUTTONS DOWN 53.0
8-WARREN'S BUGLER 49.7
9-HI COOCH 46.9
1-MAYAN EYES 46.1
10-KARAISKAKIS 46.0

1st time starters - 3, 2, 13





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Wednesday, February 20, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,529 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, February 18, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY.

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





RACE 1
3-SATURDAY NITE RIDE 83.2
7-ELUSIVE JACKPOT 76.4
4-THISONESFORRICKY 67.0
5-BROADMOOR DE LIGHT 49.5
6-PSALM SIXTEEN 40.1

1st time starters - 1

RACE 2
3-TOP KISSER 79.0
5-ANNALILI 72.6
6-KRAZYPAPAYA 66.4
1-MARCYJANE 63.6
8-PASSIONVILLE 61.1

1st time starters - 4

RACE 3
3-BIG WAGS 86.3
1-QUINDICI MAN 75.8
7-DONATO 69.2
4-POWER SERIES 68.6
6-BEER MIESTER 67.0

RACE 4
7-CHURCH AVENUE 78.4
2-SO TEMPTED 76.6
1-ADDENDUM 76.0
4-HALFAPONDROSA 70.9 (off Sept. 12)
5-WOEBEGON 67.5

RACE 5
6-CAYAMBE 95.2
8-RED DEFENSE 77.8
9-SILVER DRAGON 77.2
3-UNUSUAL BEAM 76.6
1-TRIBE 76.2

RACE 6
8-SAMURAI JESS 61.1
11-AS USUAL 56.0
12-ALLUVIAL GOLD 51.6
6-SPEEDY VIXEN 41.1
1-HIDDEN HOLLOW 35.4

1st time starters - 7, 2

RACE 7
5-ROCK ME BABY 104.3
8-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 85.6
6-RAETODANDTY 85.6
7-D' OBSESSION 84.5 (off May 12)
10-DIXIELAND BLUES 83.8

RACE 8
11-TWIRLYBIRD 68.6
1-LATIN LASHES 64.3
10-MISS LADY ELLEN 63.2
9-BULL RUSH 61.1
6-EULA B. 59.0

RACE 9
2-MIZDIRECTION 102.3
6-A JEALOUS WOMAN 96.5
3-BYRAMA 92.1
8-IN THE STARS 90.0
1-BYRONY 86.9
5-TROIS AUREOLE 86.9

RACE 10
10-CHILA ALI 51.1
3-WARREN'S FANTASY 49.2
1-FIRENDESIRE 45.5
4-WILD EXCESS 43.8
9-COULD BE TROUBLE 42.9

1st time starters - 12, 14, 2, 6

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Sunday, February 17, 2013

 
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
10-MIND THE MASTER 67.0
8-PATRIOTIC LION 60.6
5-HOLD'EM HUSTLER 50.2
9-SAN SAVINO 44.2
3-DEBITS AND CREDITS 43.3

RACE 2
6-SASSY BRUNETTE 60.1
4-SWEET RED CAT 58.9
2-SHARP BELLA 56.5
3-O HAPPY GRAY 52.1
5-SENSE OF A WOMAN 50.6

RACE 3
4-MISDEED 84.4
5-WINE LIST 72.2
1-DEAD EASY 64.8
8-HANDSOME DENNIS 64.8
2-KID DREAMS 57.2

1st time starters - 3

RACE 4
4-MUM'S TRUCKEE 80.2
5-ALWAYS A CHANCE 79.0
3-SASSY SUANCES 77.0 (off July 12)
6-LUXURIANCE 74.6
8-THREE CUTIES 69.8

RACE 5
5-FOOTBRIDGE 90.7
3-SYNDICATED 83.8
1-MAJOR AFFAIR 75.8
4-COLBURN 74.9
8-GOVENOR CHARLIE 73.7

1st time starters - 9

RACE 6
10-NIAGARA FALLS 82.6
3-COPPER BAY 81.4
2-BROKER BRETT 75.8
12-HIS ROYAL HIGHNESS 75.3
4-GREAT RISING STAR 74.3

RACE 7
2-SHAKIN IT UP 101.1
1-BELVIN 96.5
3-WAR ACADEMY 89.4 (3 wide)
5-MUDFLATS 87.5
6-TREASURY BILL 83.2

RACE 8
10-SHAME ON ALEX 77.2
2-BABY BLAKE 74.9
5-LANGFURS LIGHTNING 74.9 (off May 12)
1-JUSTIFICATION 74.5
4-ERIC THE RAM 68.1

RACE 9
14-NATIONAL 83.8
7-AQUA FEVER 78.2
2-FIST PUMP 74.9
10-MR. WHY WHY 72.6
4-SIDEPOCKET KID 72.0
3-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 68.6

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Saturday, February 16, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
2-SWEETRAYOFSUNSHINE 80.2
7-MELANISTIC 80.2
4-BONITA STAR 76.6
1-KATY'S KITTY 67.0
5-MAYA ANGELINA 65.4

RACE 2
1-LAMM 90.7
3-DYNAMIC HOST 89.4
7-ARRAIGNMENT 85.0
4-TIZPAT 77.2
5-SO ELITE 77.2

RACE 3
8-WRINKLE ROOM 67.5
5-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 65.9
4-BURTON'S ANGEL 63.8
2-CEE'S THE YEAR 61.1
6-SHESKEY 57.5

RACE 4
5-LADY OF FIFTY 99.8
2-BOOK REVIEW 96.5
6-SNOW FALL 87.5
3-PRIVATE AFFAIR 85.0
4-GOING FOR A SPIN 83.2

RACE 5
2-SWIMMIN INSUNSHINE 60.6 (off slow)
6-ELEGANT IN SILK 59.3
4-HERO'S MARINE 51.1 (bobbled start)
7-SMOOTH TALKER 39.9

1st time starters - 8, 1, 5, 3

RACE 6
9-CANDY TROPHY 86.9
2-MISS WELL MOLDED 86.3
3-DIME PIECE 77.8
8-MISS PIPPA 76.6 (off April 12)
11-BLACK TUNIC 75.4

RACE 7
8-DEL MAR SUNSET 91.3
7-CAVIAR DREAMS 70.9
4-OKAAD 65.9
6-HIGHER MANDATE 65.5
2-SAINT PRADO 49.7

1st time starters - 9, 5, 3

RACE 8
4-JUDY IN DISGUISE 90.0
2-HEIR KITTY 88.1
8-JUBLIANT GIRL 87.5
7-CLOUDY MOON 82.1
9-DOINGHARDTIMEAGAIN 79.1

RACE 9
5-LADY KATFISH 74.9
4-RUN CAPTIVE RUN 63.2
8-SPRING GAL 62.2
9-FRENCH CURLS 58.5
3-EXCLUSIVE STORY 56.5

RACE 10
1-MISS DEREK 73.6
4-LORD KITRA 73.1
2-EXCHANGE STUDENT 68.9
8-HARD BUNS 61.6
5-UNSEEN VISITOR 56.0

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Friday, February 15, 2013

 
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $55,959.

RACE 1
4-STARS AND MOONS 83.2
6-INDIAN GODS 79.4
2-TIZ SNAZZY 73.7
5-MAVERICKS GUN 66.4
1-WORLD RENOWNED 62.7

RACE 2
2-TALK THE WALK 59.0
6-GREAT FRIENDS RULE 53.5
4-FULL FARE 53.0
1-WIN MACHINE 49.7
3-GALLANT CHARM 47.8

1st time starters - 5

RACE 3
3-A TOAST TO YOU 99.8
6-MCKENZIES WAY 94.4
5-STARSPANGLED HEAT 93.9
7-ROYAL F J 91.9
1-SMOKEY LONESOME 90.0

RACE 4
2-SKY FOX 69.8
3-DECEPTION FREE 61.1
11-I FEEL FREE 59.6
5-MIDNIGHT RAVEN 59.0
1-GAMBLIN ON JACK 45.5

1st time starters - 9, 6

RACE 5
6-VAN BRIT 88.1
2-EYES ON THE PRIZE 80.2
5-GLORIFIED 79.6
8-GEM OF SOUL 77.8
4-SMART STRIKING 74.3

RACE 6
1-BLUSHING ANGEL 83.8
3-SPOOKY LADY 73.7
4-IOTAPA 69.2 (off June 12)
6-MYNTZ CONNECTION 68.1
2-SWITCH TO THE LEAD 64.3

RACE 7
5-SPRING BLOOM 85.6
6-VIVA CARINA 79.6
1-WARREN'S GOT GAME 77.8
9-THE ONLY KEY 74.9
2-MARY FILDES 74.8

RACE 8
10-VALDIRONE 80.2
6-SUPER ABILITY 77.8 (off July 11)
1-RUSSEL'S RUN 77.8
5-VALLEY OF KINGS 69.8
11-AWESOME KITE 12.8 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3, 8, 2, 4, 7, 9, 12,

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Thursday, February 14, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
6-TIME TO DOUBLEDOWN 67.0
2-D J DAVE 65.6
3-HODGE 56.0
1-KEY REVERSAL 55.0
5-VALEN 54.5

RACE 2
3-FOLK DANCER 77.8
2-LILLY'S PERFECT 77.2
6-TOWN BELLE 69.2
1-FLASHY DELIGHT 65.9
4-INNER GROOVE 63.2

RACE 3
6-BROMELIA 76.6
10-SWINGAWAY 76.0 (off April 10)
4-FANTASTIC MIZZ 75.4
3-MARINDA 68.1
2-CORINTHIAN MELODY 67.5

1st time starters - 1, 9, 8

RACE 4
3-INFLAMED SPIRIT 76.4
4-LICO 75.4
7-SHACKBAMALAMA 62.7
2-ON THE FENCE 44.6
8-LORD OF BALLANDRAE 31.8 (off slow)

1st time starters - 1, 9, 6, 5

RACE 5
8-AIN 80.8
7-EAST SKY 73.7
4-LITE THAT BABY UP 73.1
6-ONLY THE GOLD 73.1
1-CLOUD HOPPER 72.6

RACE 6
2-ROSSI RESERVE 70.9
11-DEMOCRATIC SWEEP 69.2
9-MICHAILASHEARTLITE 65.9 (off Dec. 11)
8-J LOUIE 59.0
3-NEGRA TOMASA 56.0

RACE 7
4-BEST PRESENT EVER 94.5
2-MAGICAL BAND 88.8
7-CURVY CAT 86.3
6-MINDS EYES 83.8
1-PLAZA DE INDIAS 82.0

RACE 8
9-TIZ ANNA 55.0
13-NONNA REESE 51.6
2-FRIENDS WITH MACY 49.7
3-MEDUSALINA 46.4
12-OUT OF THIN AIR 45.1

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Wednesday, February 13, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, February 11, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,523 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, February 10, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $97,259.

RACE 1
6-LORD VRONSKY 82.6
4-CABO CHICO 82.0
3-ERNIE OWL 79.6
5-FIRE IN THE WIND 76.6
1-CHASING THE HEAT 69.8


RACE 2
8-ACUTE 36.2
3-SILENT STREAK 25.8
4-VALARTA 20.0

1st time starters - 7, 6, 5, 2, 1

RACE 3
7-POKER DAVE 85.6
1-UNEXPECTED GIFT 79.6
5-GENIUS LEVEL 78.3
6-MILES HEIR 72.6
2-MORGANOUSKA 63.2

RACE 4
9-OCEAN'S ON MONEY 76.0
1-CHARM CATCHER 74.9
5-PERFECTAMENTE 63.8
7-JOEANDBETTY'SBABY 60.4
12-MEZZANOTTE 57.0

1st time starters - 4, 2, 8

RACE 5
1-MAX COOPER 89.4
3-BAY RUSH 79.0
2-AWESOME YEAR 77.8
4-JUST TRIPPING 74.3
5-MUCHOS BESOS 72.8

RACE 6
11-DISTORT THIS 89.4
8-SUMMER HIT 88.1
1-GUEST STAR 86.9
6-KIR 84.4
3-ROBIE THE CAT 82.6

RACE 7
3-ROAR BABY ROAR 79.0
6-BROWN IS BEIGE 78.3
2-CONKATE 74.9
7-APPEALING RESUME 73.7
4-GRANNY CALLING 71.4

RACE 8
1-BYRAMA 98.4
12-DANCINGTOTHESTARS 95.1
10-PURIM'S DANCER 93.2
5-NECHEZ DAWN 91.3
11-SCHIAPARELLI 90.7

RACE 9
2-RACY ROSA 56.0
8-TIZ LOVELY 53.5
7-MY YAMMY HEAT 46.0
5-LOVELY SOPHIA 45.1
10-WARREN'S FLASHER 43.3

1st time starters - 1

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Saturday, February 09, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
4-TROY STORY 73.7
9-WAITWAITDONTTELLME 72.6
11-EMPTY HEADED 69.8
10-IN A WINE TIZZY 69.2
2-POCKET PRINCE 68.1

RACE 2
5-TIZ DYNAMIC 77.2
3-FIRST STRIKE 74.9
1-CHICKSDIGTHESHARK 73.7
2-DANGER RANGER 66.4 (off April 12)
4-CAHILL COUNTRY 63.8

RACE 3
2-HE'S NOT TOO SHABY 76.6
4-I'M NOT GRAY 73.1
5-JUDGE CARR 68.6
6-COLLATION 68.6
1-DERRINGER 58.5

RACE 4
8-SYNDICATED 88.8
6-KINGS GIANT 66.4
3-APOSTLE PAUL 54.2
9-DEMOCRAT DUCK 52.4
2-DONTEXTNDRIVE 50.6 (off slow)

1st time starters - 4, 7

RACE 5
9-KENTUCKY KID 61.1
3-TRICE UP 61.1
2-TIZ FUTURITY 55.5
4-CRUEL SPIRITS 53.0
5-FLEW FLICKER 49.7

1st time starters - 7, 8

RACE 6
11-CHRISTMAS CANDY 88.1
10-HIDINGINPLAINSIGHT 86.3
8-THERE IS NO LIMIT 84.4
2-DARLING DODIE 82.6 (off June 12)
6-BELLE DE LUNE 81.4

RACE 7
1-JOELITO 72.6
3-BENCH PRESS 69.8
7-SALUTOS AMIGOS 68.1

1st time starters - 5, 4, 6, 8, 9, 2

RACE 8
3-PRIDE OF SILVER 77.8
2-QUILLOTANO 72.6
8-LAST MEMORIES 67.0
6-ITHOUGHTIPAIDYOU 64.8
7-SPIT BALL 63.6

RACE 9
5-RICHARD'S KID 105.2
1-INTERACTION 95.2
7-GOLDEN ITIZ 92.6
11-FIRE WITH FIRE 91.9
4-TEMPLE'S DOOR 91.3

RACE 10
10-CAPTAIN HADLEY 63.8
4-DUKE STREET KING 63.8
6-GAUL 62.7
1-HUME 57.0
3-ONE FOR NOTHING 52.1

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Friday, February 08, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $47,834.

RACE 1
8-SPACECOAST 60.6
5-PASTORIA 59.0
3-HELLO STORMY 46.9
6-DAZE 43.3 (off April 12)
2-AS USUAL 32.6 (off slow)

RACE 2
2-CIRCULAR LOGIC 49.2 (4 wide)
5-CHANNEL OF GOLD 46.9
6-U R MY CANDY GIRL 44.2
1-CORLETT DRIVE 33.0
3-SUPER DEFENCE 28.2

1st time starters - 4

RACE 3
2-ENGLISH PUDDIN 77.8
5-GITTEL 75.4
7-DISTANT IMAGE 71.4
4-FUNNY BELLE 69.8
12-ENGLISH RHYTHM 69.2

RACE 4
5-STREETS OF HEAVEN 91.3
4-BET ON VICTOR 80.8
6-CRAGMONT 72.6
7-IDONTROLLONSHABBOS 72.0
3-ARRESTING OFFICER 70.9
8-SILENCIO GATO 70.9

RACE 5
5-FAST N FURIUS CAT 90.0
2-SENOR RAIN 89.4
6-TUMMEL 86.3
4-SIR ALLISON 81.4
3-LOVE THAT ACTION 80.8

RACE 6
7-CATIENUS GOLD 73.7
8-MARY CONTRARY 68.1
9-RAVEN WILD 64.8
4-SUBTLE GREEK 63.8
1-MISSDANG SALLY 61.1

RACE 7
3-HAIL MARY 82.0
1-GOOD PARTY 73.7
4-MAJESTIC JEWEL 63.9
5-SWISS BLISS 63.8
7-FUNNY GIRL 56.5

RACE 8
9-GOODBYE CHARLIE 67.0
7-RULED BY KISSES 65.9
11-SOLID SOUTH 60.6 (off March 12)
10-COLD BAY 53.0
8-RUN CHARLIE RUN 53.0

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Thursday, February 07, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
4-STRANGE LUCK 48.8
6-MAZZY 48.3
2-CAT'SDOUBLEDAYGIRL 46.0
5-GLORY AND PRAYER 45.1
3-TRICKSAREFORKIDS 42.0

RACE 2
3-BODAWAY 86.3
4-SACRED OVATION 62.7
6-JUSTA GUSTA 61.6
2-J J BE CHILLIN 60.6
5-BUBBA FIZZ 60.6

RACE 3
5-WILL TRUE UP 78.4
2-YANKEE REBEL 77.4 (off July 12)
3-THE WHOLE DEAL 74.3
1-PROCUREMENT 66.4
7-THE SIXTIES 56.4

RACE 4
7-R DOUBLEDAY 73.7
5-SUANCES VIXEN 71.4
1-ARINYES LOVE 68.1
9-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 66.4
6-SECRET GENIUS 59.0

RACE 5
6-BACK TO BAKO 74.9
2-GENTLEMEN PETE 67.0
9-ROB'S PAL 65.9
12-BRAVE ACT 62.7
3-REAL HEAT 53.0

1st time starters - 5, 8

RACE 6
9-ROSSI RESERVE 77.2
10-FIESTA EXPRESS 67.0
6-SHESKEY 62.7
5-PLAZARITA 60.1
8-AKEELA 58.5

RACE 7
5-MOWTOWN MEN 83.8
9-RIDE ALONG 82.0
1-UNUSUAL BEAM 82.0
2-AFFRETTANDO 76.6
6-OUR BOY BENJAMIN 76.0

RACE 8
2-SILK INDIAN 60.6
3-REMIND MEE 58.5
8-I'LL RUN THE SHOW 56.0
5-ALSACE 45.1
10-CUT TO THE FRONT 40.3

1st time starters - 4, 7, 6, 1

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Wednesday, February 06, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at SANTA ANITA today.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,516 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, February 03, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
1-DARK DOLORES 77.2
5-MIA ISABEL 76.6
4-LANIDA 75.2
3-LOVE TALE 72.0
2-THERMAL NERMAL 70.9

RACE 2
5-LADY SHAAZZAM 47.8
1-TORRE ITALIANA 44.2
2-PARTY IN EXCESS 41.2
6-PERSIAN KITTEN 35.8
3-CAT PIRATE 34.4

RACE 3
3-SUN KISS 57.0

1st time starters - 2, 6, 5, 1, 4

RACE 4
3-GREEN SECRET 97.8
4-MCALLISTER BOYS 92.6
6-TAMARACK SMARTY 85.6
8-ROCK THIS WAY 85.0
7-SECOND CITY 83.4

RACE 5
6-STONESIDE 87.5
7-URBAN HUNTER 84.4
5-SOLAR ROCKET 82.6
3-HALF DOME DUDE 77.2
4-HONOUR THE DEPUTY 74.3

RACE 6
10-SHADOW RUNNER 89.4
3-DEACON SPEAKIN' 88.8
5-MAYBE TUESDAY 88.1
4-TALE OF A CHAMPION 87.5
1-UNUSUAL JAZZ 85.0

RACE 7
2-GAME ON DUDE 126.8
4-CHOSEN MIRACLE 92.8
1-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 90.2
3-MAKE MUSIC FOR ME 80.2
5-BASMATI 75.2

RACE 8
4-ROUST'EM BERTIE 70.3
2-FLAXEN MAIDEN 57.5
6-MADDOG MADDIE 56.5
5-JOHN'S WAR 47.8 (squeezed)
3-WARREN'S CRACKER 45.1 (off slow)

1st time starters - 1, 8

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Saturday, February 02, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
4-TIZ THE TRUTH 89.5
3-COLBURN 74.9
2-IRISH SURF 72.6
1-MISDEED 56.8
5-SPIRITED TOUCH 50.0

RACE 2
2-MR. BOSSY PANTS 91.9
10-STACY'S HOPE 91.9
4-DRIFT KING 86.9
7-GUTSHOT STRIGHT 80.2
3-MR. MAKE BELIEVE 80.0

RACE 3
10-LETHAL INTENT 59.0
2-RED MAN RUN 54.0
12-EVERYBODY KNOWS 53.5
4-VALEN 51.6
7-MAYAN EYES 51.6

RACE 4
2-FLASHBACK 101.1
3-DEN'S LEGACY 94.5
4-HE'S HAD ENOUGH 77.8
1-LITTLE JERRY 70.9

RACE 5
7-TIXMETIZYOU 83.2
8-TOPIC 72.0
1-MAGNIFICENT SHIRL 70.3
2-SCOOTER BIRD 59.6
3-HEARTLESS 51.4

1st time starters - 9, 10, 4

RACE 6
5-SCORPION WARRIOR 104.5
2-ITALIAN RULES 99.8
12-POINTS OFFTHEBENCH 96.5 (off Feb. 12)
1-LUCKARACK 95.2
13-FLOATING FEATHER 90.7

RACE 7
4-OLIGARCH 98.4
8-TE RAPA 88.8
2-PRESS BARON 88.1
6-POWER FOOT 87.5
1-TIZNOW OR THEN 85.6

RACE 8
4-TRITAP 107.3
2-FED BIZ 103.8
3-GUILT TRIP 100.4
7-STEPHANOATSEE 97.1
6-HANDSOME MIKE 86.3

RACE 9
3-VAGABOND SHOES 103.6
14-STRONG SUIT 102.9
1-KLISZ 101.1
13-SUGGESTIVE BOY 99.8
5-SEBASTIAN FLYTE 98.4

RACE 10
14-ET TU WALKER 70.3
1-TIME TO DOUBLEDOWN 69.8
2-EATON HALL 67.0
7-COYOTE ROAD 65.9
3-HEZA FOX 64.8

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Friday, February 01, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
1-DICE FLAVOR 78.4
5-MICELI 71.0
6-ONE FIRM CAT 70.9
3-PAROSOAN PRINCE 66.4
4-IMPERATIVE 61.5

RACE 2
1-TWIRLYBIRD 65.9
4-SHEZABIGBROAD 65.4
2-R DOUBLEDAY 64.3
3-HOUT BAY 62.7
6-ZEES CHRIS 61.1

RACE 3
5-PATRIOT'S VOYAGE 89.9
3-NICO SUAVE 75.4
2-VALENTINE BOY 75.4
7-THREE VASES 68.6
6-SUN'S OUT 64.8

RACE 4
10-MAX COOPER 82.0
7-VAUNDELL 77.8
6-SECRET JACKPOT 74.3
3-RUMMYSECRET WAR 73.7
2-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 71.4

RACE 5
5-CHESTNUT MOON 85.6
2-BELONGING 80.2
12-MISS MALIBU 73.6
1-SPECIAL CHARM 72.6
11-BROMELIA 69.8

1st time starters - 7, 8, 9

RACE 6
8-MACHO DORADO 95.8
3-MASTER CHEF 92.6
2-CABO CHICO 89.4
6-REAL CONUNDRUM 86.3
5-MEMPHIS 78.4

RACE 7
9-PUSSYCAT LIPS 76.6
1-SARACH 72.6
5-SECRET MOTIVE 71.4
8-PURE INDY 71.4
2-BIRDLOVER 69.8

RACE 8
5-LADY COMIC 53.5
6-NIGHT TELLER 49.2
1-SPEEDY VIXEN 49.2
2-SHE'S ACTEPTIONAL 47.4
4-FIVE TIMES 44.6
10-MY MOMENT TOO 44.6

1st time starters - 9

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