Friday, July 31, 2009

 

DEL MAR - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-HEATHERSDADDYSBABY 84.4
5-MI CORREDORA 80.2
2-CARNIVAL QUEEN 78.4
3-ELLE PICKLE 72.0

RACE 2
5-LIMITED WILL 81.3
10-JOURNEYMAN 73.4
9-OCEANOR 69.3 (off slow)
7-UNION SOLDIER 68.1

RACE 3
4-REDORWHITE 83.8 (off Sept. 08)
11-SCIBELLI 74.3
1-DON'T FORGET MUD 71.4
2-I'M BULLETPROOF 69.8

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-EE TO KINZIE 43.8
2-HAYLEY'S HALO 41.1
8-SALTY FRIES 37.0
9-WARREN'S SKATER 32.6

1st time starters - 1, 4, 3,10, 14, 6

RACE 5
1-LUNCH MONEY 75.4
8-VOODOO'S VISION 74.9
12-THERE GOES GEE GEE 72.6
10-EXECUTIVE SWEET 72.6
4-PLAY NINE 71.4

RACE 6
5-MONA DE MOMMA 89.4
1-ELLE A GENT 80.8
10-BROKEN SILENCE 80.2
12-GUMPTION 76.6

1st time starters - 7, 6, 3, 2

RACE 7
1-THIRD DAWN 82.0
3-GRACE ANATOMY 81.4
2-BUSSELL UP 79.6
4-FOREVER MY LOVE 78.4

RACE 8
8-COLONEL JOHN 110.7 (off Dec. 08)
1-AITCHO 108.6
7-FERNELEY 103.1
6-SILENT SOUL 99.5
3-BECRUX 99.1

1st time starters - 5 (in U.S.A. - fgn.) 12 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
1-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 96.5
2-SELF INSURED 90.7
14-CORONEL MOLDES 88.8
4-HARALDO 88.1
9-SMOOTH AND SAVVY 86.9

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Thursday, July 30, 2009

 

DEL MAR - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $102,726

RACE 1
3-SINDYFROMSANTACRUZ 69.2
6-NUBIAN PRINCESS 68.0
2-SUPER SOPHIE 57.0
1-TRUE FRIENDS 55.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-GALLANT GENT 61.6
1-SEEUAT STICKNSTEIN 59.6
4-CHOCOLATE MARINI 58.5
2-RUNNING BEAR 47.4

RACE 3
6-PATRIOTIC SOLDIER 103.8
8-TRAIL MIX 95.2
4-FURIOSO STAR 90.0
1-NOW AND ZEN 82.0

RACE 4
7-KAYLIE'S JOY 72.0
4-BRILLIANT RESPONSE 65.9
1-LADY ALEX 62.2
2-ANGEL OF MYSTERY 58.5

1st time starters - 3, 5, 8, 9

RACE 5
3-COATCHECK GIRL 73.7
1-MARTINI MIXER 72.6
2-WADDUP G 70.9
6-UPPER MANHATTAN 68.6
8-PEACE ROLL 68.1

RACE 6
1-ONCE UPON A GRACE 92.5 (off May 08)
2-UNWORLDLY HEAT 90.0
5-ROCKET KITTY 82.6
3-BONIFACIO 82.0 (off slow)
11-PURE AND SIMPLE 81.4

RACE 7
1-JIGGLY 105.9
4-SILVER STETSON MAN 104.5
6-USURP 103.1
7-PAUL'S HOPE 99.8
8-CANDY PULL 98.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
10-TOWSER 47.8
11-MINISTERFROMMIAMI 33.8
1A-GOOGLE ME 30.4 (entry)
6-EL RANCHERO 27.9
5-WARRENS TEMPTATION 23.8

1st time starters - 8, 12

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Wednesday, July 29, 2009

 

DEL MAR - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-STEVIE'S AFLEET 69.8
7-ANCILLARY 67.5
2-BIT OF A LADY 64.8
3-MISS ANIME 59.0

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
3-TALKTOOMUCH 91.3
4-DON'T FORGET FAITH 88.8
2-STORYBOOK 86.3
1-ALLEY THEATRE 85.0
5-WINE AND DYNE 80.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-BLIND LUCK 84.4
4-RIDEMETOTHEMOON 79.0
5-SUCH FORTUNE 64.8
7-SAM'S SPECIAL 59.6

RACE 4
2-KAPTAIN KORDOUGH 87.5
4-PREMIERE FLYER 74.9
7-JUICE COMMITTEE 68.6
11-FASSNACHT 67.7 (off July 08)

1st time starters - 9, 8

RACE 5
8-LULLABYTIME 82.0
1-MIKEY BONES 81.4
3-CATO MAJOR 81.4
6-WOOD ART 79.0

RACE 6
3-FLEET ROYALE 83.4
6-CHERRYBLOSSOMMISS 82.0
5-MAURESMO 76.0
7-SEKMET 74.6

RACE 7
6-JUSTICE IS BRIEF 88.8
1-NOVATO 82.0
2-POKOMOKE 81.4
8-HUDLER 79.0
4-CATSALOT 79.0
7-PALOMA'S FLIGHT 78.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-GRACE UPON GRACE 72.6
10-ROMAN COUNSEL 72.6
3-BERTRAN HILL 63.8
9-DAYLIGHT STORM 63.2

1st time starters - 7

RACE 9
6-DANCES WITH TIGERS 76.6
7-BACKSTROKE 73.7
4-FOREST MISS 69.2
2-OUR STORM 68.6
8-CATCH CANDY 68.1
11-TWODOLLARSTOWIN 68.1

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Tuesday, July 28, 2009

 

DEL MAR - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, July 27, 2009

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1355 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, July 26, 2009

 

DEL MAR - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-BOX OFFICE STAR 74.3
8-EISENHEIM 72.6
6-ESCAPING THE STORM 70.9
2-GREAT RAID 70.9
4-JUSTICE REIGNS 69.8

RACE 2
5-HIS SISTERS MISTER 89.4
3-JOB BOSS 88.8
7-FACTOTUM79.1
8-PAT'S LEGACY 78.7

RACE 3
2-TRAINSPOTTING 78.4
1-RUN OVER YOU 78.4
10-TOO MUCH HEAT 74.9
5-MY MAN SUMO 73.7

RACE 4
6-SHEHADMEFROMHELLO 82.0
9-FORTY DATES 81.9
8-ASHEE 77.2
3-FOXY BAILEY 72.6
7-MISS DIXIE DANCER 70.9

RACE 5
2-GLORIA GOODBODY 97.1
6-DAWN BEFORE DAWN 95.2
1-YOU LIFT ME UP 94.5
9-ROYAL TAAT 94.1
4-THEODORA 93.8

1st time starters - 11 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
11-WHYPRINCESSWHY 54.5
5-MODALITY 42.0

1st time starters - No picks or selections.

RACE 7
8-UNZIP ME 88.1
4-GOLD GODESS 87.5
6-WOMAN WARRIOR 84.4
1-DATE WITH FATE 77.2

RACE 8
9-BOLD CHIEFTAIN 103.8
2-UNUSUAL SMOKE 97.7
10-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 93.9
8-MR. WOLVERINE 93.9
4-CRAFTY POWER 93.2

RACE 9
5-STREET ROYALE 80.2
7-DIRTY DISH MITCH 77.8
1-WINK AND NOD 70.3
3-ROYAL VISION 69.8

RACE 10
10-POP'SHANDS ARE HOT 85.0
9-KUMIVA 79.6
8-DYNAMIC RANGE 73.7
4-EMPEROR STONE 71.0
7-STRUCTURAL 69.9

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Saturday, July 25, 2009

 

DEL MAR - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $382,172.

RACE 1
5-MR. MONKEY JONES 92.6
2-DIXIE PASSION 85.6
6-THE BAT SIGNAL 83.2
3-PICK TO CLICK 79.6 (off Sept. 08)

RACE 2
9-SKIM MILK 59.6
1-FLASH DANCE 55.0
2-CACTUS FLYER 53.1
12-VERANDA CAFE 51.6

1st time starters - 6, 5, 10

RACE 3
10-XODO 80.8
7-UNBRIDLED STORY 79.6
2-TURBO ENERGY 78.4
9-POKER DAVE 76.0

RACE 4
5-LETHAL HEAT 97.1
2-SO LONG SONOMA 90.0
1-CARMEL COFFEE 89.4
4-ONEBADKITTY 86.3

RACE 5
8-FIERY TRIPPI 101.8
3-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 99.1
10-MAUI MARK 93.9
5-VICTOR'S CRY 90.7 (off Nov. 08)
6-NOBLETY 90.2

RACE 6
6-ULTRA BLEND 97.1
4-DANI REESE 93.9
8-SAUCEY EVENING 88.8
9-EARSTOYOU 88.8

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 8
1-MONTERY JAZZ 117.2
2-DAKOTA PHONE 115.0
4-THORN SONG 107.9
6-ARTISTE ROYAL 105.2
5-AWESOME GEM 103.8

RACE 9
6-BESTDRESSED 97.8
7-POSITION A 95.2
2-BET ON VICTOR 93.2
9-MARGARITA SHOT 90.0

RACE 10
14-BARNEY BASS 69.8
10-QUALITY PLUS 68.1
5-BIG MAHOGANY 61.6
4-BONKERSFORBINKERS 51.6
6-CLASS DISMISSED 50.1

1st time starters - 8 (2f.race), 7, 11, 3, 12, 9

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Friday, July 24, 2009

 

DEL MAR - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $80,885.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-PIERRE BEAR 61.1
2-ROOS ON THE LOOSE 53.5
3-SUMMERS AT DELMAR 52.1
6-FOREST NATIONAL 18.8

1st time starters - 1, 5

RACE 2
9-PATRIOTIC SOLDIER 103.8
1-GOING FORWARD 101.6
2-PARTY MANDATE 84.4
3-DE CAR GUY 84.4
6-TEAMWORK 84.4

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-REPO 95.2
1-UNBRIDLED MEETING 85.6
2-CRUZIN TOPLESS 63.2
7-TARO 62.7

1st time starters - 6

RACE 4
7-ALL THE LOVE 88.1
4-NORTH RODEO 87.5
2-NAUX FAUX PAS 85.6
6-IRISH GYPSY 85.6

RACE 5
1-MYSTERIOUS MARISSA 79.0
4-OCEAN STYLE 78.9
7-DAILIES 73.7
3-CRYSTAL EMPIRE R N 72.6
2-CORACAO BEIJO 72.0

RACE 6
3-ADEBAYOR 85.6
2-KABOB 79.0
8-GREAT HOME 76.0
1-HUTCH 75.4

1st time starters - 9, 10, 6

RACE 7
2-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 90.7
7-MUQTABE 88.1
4-DEEP POCKETS 87.5
8-COMPLEXITY 80.8

RACE 8
6-HAMMURABI 85.6
11-PLEASURE TO RIDE 82.0
8-GRETSKY 82.0
7-DREAM NOW 79.0

RACE 9
1-SWINGIN STORM 77.2
8-IMADETHECASHCALL 56.5
9-ZAINA 56.0
12-RETSINA CODE 53.5

1st time starters - 4, 2

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Thursday, July 23, 2009

 

DEL MAR - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-CAPE OF BRADFORD 91.9
1-FLASHOVER 91.3
4-SCHILL 88.8
3-SOVINE 88.1
2-AIR FAIR 81.4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-WHYPRINCESSWHY 55.5
7-MISS HEATHER LEE 53.0
2-IMPERATRIZ 46.9
4-PRETTY KINZIE 39.9

1st time starters - 1, 6, 3

RACE 3
4-TOP BIKER 88.1
2-ON FIRE 86.3
7-BARODA COURT 85.0
5-SAINT PAUL 78.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-AMORE DI ALEYNA 39.4
5-SAARFACE 35.8
3-GILLIGAN 32.3

1st time starters - 7, 4, 2, 1, 8,

RACE 5
1-CURVEY STAR 76.6
11-BLAME THE WINE 75.4
14-TOPPER'S SMILING 73.7
3-FLOWER FUSION 73.1 (off Oct. 08)
10-JU JU BABY 70.9

RACE 6
10-SILENT TRICK 83.8
8-WHITE LACE JIMMY 78.4
9-DEFENSE KING 74.3
6-ONLY BE CAUSE 73.7

RACE 7
7-LEESIDER 96.5
11-SOUVENIR SLEW 91.9
9-KRIS SILVER 90.0
8-MASTER DANIEL 88.8

RACE 8
5-KICKEN CAPER 72.9
7-PACIFIC HALO 70.3
6-LITTLE HEATER 70.3 (off July 07)
4-DOMESTIC BREW 66.4
10-SHARPSVILLE 66.1
3-WINTERSCORE 65.4

1st time starters - 2

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Wednesday, July 22, 2009

 

DEL MAR - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
9-YODELEN DAN 95.8
1-ONE SHOT 90.7
6-DISTINCTIVE AFLEET 86.9
4-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 86.9

RACE 2
1-VIA ZAVATA 87.5
5-GALLATIN'S RUN 85.0
4-PAYMENT APPROVED 79.0
6-STAYONIT 65.9

1st time starters - 3

RACE 3
7-HONOURAMONGFRIENDS 83.8
6-DRAFT CHOICE 83.2
5-SENOR AFORTUNADO 82.6
10-MI REY 82.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-FAIR KISSES 39.0
8-DON'T REITERATE 33.8
1-BYE BYE HOLLYWOOD 30.8

1st time starters - 2, 4, 7, 5, 3, 9

RACE 5
5-TIJUANA TUESDAY 92.6
6-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 87.5
7-EXCEEDING 86.9
12-TWIN TURBO 83.1

RACE 6
4-SATELLITE 99.1
5-DELUXE CAT 90.0
7-JOHNNY'S TIME 85.0
2-ALL MONEY NO LOVE 79.6
1-SWIFT DEMAND 79.0

RACE 7
5-SEMINOLE NATIVE 91.3
7-J P JAMMER 87.5
8-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 86.9
4-CAPT. SPARROW 86.9

RACE 8
8-AFLEET EAGLE 105.4
11-POSITION A 89.5
9-METEORE 88.8
1-HERR MOZART 86.9
3-RENDEZVOUS 86.9

RACE 9
4-BROUGHT IT 79.0
7-WICKEDNWACKYINGRID 79.0
9-PERFECT HOSTESS 73.1
8-DONA AMELIA 72.6

RACE 10
12-SURE TIZ 68.1
7-NOT UNUSUAL 57.7
5-PROPHETISE 57.2
1-AFLEET'S PICASSO 57.2
4-JET SET LASS 54.6

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Tuesday, July 21, 2009

 

DEL MAR - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, July 20, 2009

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 10 times that I know of in over 1348 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, July 19, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-A LIL DUMANNI 105.6
1-SEA RASCAL 88.1 (0ff Dec. 08 - entry)
6-FU PEG HE RAT 83.2
5-FIRE BREAK 82.7

RACE 2
1-MSTY ALY 63.2
5-CHANGE MY LUCK 62.7
6-PADDLIN MUD 62.7
3-AISLEBEBARBIE 54.0

RACE 3
4-SPRING HOUSE 110.0
1-OBRIGADO 103.8
3-BLACK ASTOR 97.1
2-PORFIDO 92.6

RACE 4
4-FRANKELSTEIN 94.5
7-JUSTINPLACE 76.0
1-STYLIN CAT 75.4
8-PUSH SEND 74.9

RACE 5
5-CATCH MY TALE 90.0
8-BALTIC POINT 52.6
6-SEEUAT STICKNSTEIN 49.7
4-RANGER HEARTLEY 39.9

1st time starters - 3, 1A (entry), 2, 7, 9, 10

RACE 6
5-TRILLIANT 94.5
3-CRIMSON STAR 82.6
4-FILM FORTUNE 73.7
7-COUNTY TUNE 70.9

RACE 7
1-SPEEDIN EXCESS 78.4 (off Sept. 08)(entry)
1A-STREAKIN EXCESS 69.8 (entry)
4-CHURCH AVENUE 68.1
6-MISSTRAILCITYZONE 44.6

1st time starters - 2, 5, 3, 7

RACE 8
4-ENRICHED 92.6
5-DOVER STREET ART 85.6
6-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 81.4
2-MR. BIG 76.0
1-ITSHIM 72.0

RACE 9
2-JOKING SAM 68.6
7-ACTION IN MAY 65.9
8-PERSONALITY KID 65.4
5-JUST HEAT 63.2
1-IZEMINE 60.6

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Saturday, July 18, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $92,015.

RACE 1
3-CONCLAVE 98.4
4-FOREST PHANTOM 95.2
5-STAND TALL 86.9
1-LEMON 83.2

RACE 2
5-RED WHITE AND BREW 72.0
2-BLACK MAGIC MAMA 64.8
1-SCREEN GEM 60.6 (off Nov. 08)
4-STORMY GIGI 46.9

1st time starters - 3, 6

RACE 3
6-CONCERTO'S THUNDER 93.2
5-CAUSE 93.1
1-HARLENE 81.4
3-MY KING 80.8

1st time starters - 4 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-CAMILLE C 59.6
7-GAMBLING POKERFACE 49.2
3-WORD ASSOCIATION 37.4 (off slow)
6-GIVEME ONEREASON 32.6 (start)

1st time starters - 5, 1, 4

RACE 5
1-ROI CHARMANT 99.2
4-YANKEE VISIONARY 93.2
2-TIZTIME 91.3
3-CORNEL MOLDES 87.5

RACE 6
2-COCO BELLE 107.3
6-LADY LUMBERJACK 99.8
4-SILVER SWALLOW 97.1
8-LOVELY ISLE 93.2
1-ASHLEY'S KITTY 92.6

RACE 7
4-TENGA CAT 97.8 (off July 08)
3-NEW BAY 94.5
5-BEYOND LOADED 86.9
2-WINSOME CHARM 84.5

RACE 8
8-GRAZEN 110.7
4-MISREMEMBERED 95.2
6-ADVICE 94.5
7-QUINDICI MAN 88.8
2-MASSONE 87.5

RACE 9
3-STRONG BELIEF 79.0
11-FIERY REBEL 76.0
1-MINNIE'S BOY 69.2
12-RECKLESS CAPOTE 64.8
14-HOLD THIS 64.3

1st time starters - 10, 4, 9

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Friday, July 17, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-UPPER MANHATTAN 77.2
3-APACHE ANNIE 68.6
4-MOST POPULAR 65.9
1-SUANCES DE ESPANA 58.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-SWISS LOVE 55.0
1-CHATTY LULA 46.9
9-URA STAR 32.3
5-ANN'S SEVEN 30.8

1st time starters - 4, 6, 3, 2

RACE 3
2-NORTHERN STATION 82.6
9-DIXIE MAGIC 77.8
10-CAPE DIVER 72.0
8-IRISH EXPRESS 69.8

RACE 4
13-TRIBAL FIRE 60.6
9-ATTA LORA 50.2
4-CHRISTY'S BULLET 48.3
10-DANIELLA ROTH 47.8

1st time starters - 12, 11

RACE 5
1-IT'S TOUCH AND GO 74.9
10-COLLALTO 71.4
3-STORMY GAME 68.6
11-CHOP HOUSE GEORGE 61.1

RACE 6
7-PARTY HARD 87.5
6-COLD EAST WIND 71.4
5-DISCONTENT 60.9
4-FARADAY 60.9
8-SOVEREIGN FUND 60.4

1st time starters - 1

RACE 7
1-DOTSY JEAN 84.4
4-ONEFUNSONOFAGUN 82.0
6-CHAW FIRE 77.2
5-FREEBIEHADTHEMOVES 71.4

RACE 8
10-SURE NICE 62.2
9-YOUKNOWWHATILIKE 60.6
3-KAY S 56.0
11-CELENA 55.0
5-GALAXY WAY 51.1

1st time starters - 8, 2, 6

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Thursday, July 16, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-ALL SET 69.2
2-PISTOIA 59.0
6-OAKHILL GIRL 55.5
1-CHILLIWACK 49.7 (entry)

RACE 2
4-BLACKBRIAR 81.4
6-SAINT CHOCOLATE 63.2
2-CEE'S CLOSING TIME 56.6
8-KAYAKITYAK 52.6

1st time starters - 5, 7

RACE 3
1-DITTO THIS 68.1
6-MALUSITA 66.5
2-VILLAGE LADY 65.4
4-LIL LEGAL LINDA 58.4
3-SAND BRIDLED 58.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-SHESKEY 32.6
2-MIREYA DIAZ 26.8
7-FIFTY K 23.8
5-SECRET HEIRESS 13.3
6-BUSTER'S HURRICANE 13.3

1st time starters - 3

RACE 5
3-PISTOL PETE AFLEET 94.5
6-SURF TOWN 91.3
5-SKIPPY DUE 90.7
2-OLD ED 88.8

RACE 6
3-GLOBAL INSPIRATION 63.8
7-WARREN'S GRANDSLAM 55.5 (off Nov. 08)
1-GOAL GIRL MICHELE 53.0
5-JUICY LUCY 49.2

1ST TIME STARTERS - 8

RACE 7
7-AROMATHERAPY 83.8
6-WIN ALLISON WIN 82.6
5-KICKEN VIXEN 81.4
4-FIRST GRADE 81.4
2-PERICIA FINA 80.8
1-DREAMALONG 80.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
11-CAT CALLOWAY 47.8
8-AWESOME SWISS 42.9
3-ACTION CALL 42.9
10-WARREN'S ANDREW 41.1
6-PHABULOUS PHIL 36.6
1-SHERRY'S TOPPER 36.2

1st time starters - 7

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Wednesday, July 15, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, July 13, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 10 times that I know of in over 1348 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.

I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, July 12, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-PLASAMA BEAM 93.2
5-THE WHAMMER 77.2
4-GRAND CAPTAIN 65.3

1st time starters - 2, 1, 6

RACE 2
3-KILDERRY 98.4
4-MR. KATZ 93.2
6-WILD AND READY 91.3
1-BERT'S LAW 89.4
2-RUMBA ALONG 88.1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-NECESSARY EVIL 97.1
2-CLASSICAL SLEW 82.6
3-GRACE UPON GRACE 72.6
4-ZIP QUIK 64.8

1st time starters - 5

RACE 4
5-MOON O'ER CASHEL 77.2 (off Nov. 07)
4-WARRENSGOODWARRIOR 63.8
1-SAINT'S CROWN 62.7
3-FINE TIME TO LEAVE 62.2
7-LOVELY OLIVIA 62.2

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-WELL DESERVED 91.9
3-REPO 84.4
7-FEELING FANCY 76.6
1-BALLISTIC SUE 76.0
6-CHAMPAGNE D'ORO 75.4

RACE 6
8-ORIENT EMPEROR 73.1
4-BUCKATUNNA 72.6
2-PHILLY SLEW 67.0
5-BORN TO CUS 62.7
3-VALENTINE GIFT 62.2

1st time starters - 6

RACE 7
3-WARREN'S PEPE 92.6
5-TIZ BODACIOUS 90.7 (off Dec. 08)
7-ONE CHIN AGAIN 87.5
6-NO SWEAT 85.6
1-STEADY DEMAND 85.0

RACE 8
3-SURPRISES WELCOMED 80.2
5-MEILI 75.4
4-PRIVALOVA 61.6
6-INCA'S FLIGHT 61.5

1st time starters - 2, 1

RACE 9
5-DEVOTED MAGIC 108.6
2-USURP 108.6
4-SILVER STETSON MAN 97.8 (off Nov. 08)
6-BONFANTE 97.8 (off Aug. 08)

RACE 10
4-NICCOLO DREAM 90.0
9-TREVOR'S CLEVER 80.8
3-BOB BENOIT 79.6
1-RAISE THE HEAT 77.8
10-STYLIN CAT 76.6

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Saturday, July 11, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-TRILLIANT 88.8
4-HIGH STAKES SILVER 88.8
3-CRAIG'S STORM 86.3
2-PLEASURE GROUNDS 81.4

RACE 2
8-RAISE THE RIVER 104.5
6-STAR REEDEMER 82.6
5-ASHLEY'S CUTIE 77.8
9-BOY NAMED SHOE 70.3

1st time starters - 4, 3, 1

RACE 3
4-HIS BOY ELROY 83.2
2-ADAM SUANCES 82.6
8-STEAL 'N HOME 81.4
7-MY MAN SUMO 75.4
3-NIGER RIVER 74.9

RACE 4
1-B'S LUCKY STRIKE 85.6
6-ARCODORO 80.8
3-POP'SHANDS ARE HOT 77.2
8-I. B. OUTTA HERE 71.4

1st time starters - 10, 2

RACE 5
1-HARD BILL 98.4
2-DAVOS 97.8
6-SCREEN TO SCREEN 93.9
3-BIG BAD LEROYBROWN 89.4
4-ITALIAN RULES 88.8

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-STERLING OUTLOOK 58.0
1A-TOWSER 55.0 (entry)
1-SEATTLE RULER 47.4 (entry)
6-SUMMERS AT DEL MAR 46.0

1st time starters - 8, 9, 5, 4, 2

RACE 7
3-ALLICANSAYIS WOW 107.5
1-HOT N' DUSTY 100.3
6-GENERAL CONSENSUS 93.9
7-GINGER POP 89.4

RACE 8
5-PARADING 112.2
8-RAIL TRIP 111.4
10-LIFE IS SWEET 110.0
7-SONG OF NAVARONE 110.0

RACE 9
2-EARSTOYOU 88.8
6-COATCHECK GIRL 83.8
1-ASANTI 82.6
8-LAVENDER TOUCH 82.6
10-GOOD NIGHT GYRENE 81.4

RACE 10
3-TUSCAN EVENING 105.9
6-GOTTA HAVE HER 103.8
7-LEMON CHIFFON 97.8
2-PATRICIA'S GEM 96.5

RACE 11
8-LION PRINCESS 58.5
12-CRAFTY STARLIT 53.0
3-EMBA U. T. K. 52.6
10-ANUNDENIABLYHAPPY 52.1
7-LOVE SONG MELLODY 43.3

1st time starters - 4

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Friday, July 10, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-BEST OF INTENTIONS 75.4
8-FREE HUNCH 62.2
5-TRULY A DELIGHT 59.6
4-PANDA 57.5

1st time starters - 6

RACE 2
8-FOREST DANZ 101.1
6-GREEDY WAY 91.9
7-NO GRANDE 75.4
2-SAXOPHONE 73.7 (off Dec. 08)

RACE 3
7-STEAM IRON 75.4
6-CALL ALY 73.1
5-DIGESTIVO 68.1
8-LADY BRADBURY 66.4
1-THERE GOES GEE GEE 65.7

RACE 4
2-COPA DE PLATA 85.0 (off Jan. 08)
8-BROTHER MAN 73.7
3-WINESHINE 73.1
9-ROGUE SCHOLAR 72.6

RACE 5
9-UNWORLDLY HEAT 97.1
4-ANNIHILATION 90.7
2-LINDA LOU 88.8
8-ROCKET KITTY 85.0

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 6
7-MAGNA CUM LAUDE 78.4
3-ALL MONEY NO LOVE 73.7
10-I'M BULLETPROOF 72.0
4-DIRT DIVER 70.3

RACE 7
7-SMOOTH PERFORMER 83.8
5-GRACE ANATOMY 82.6
4-OPAL HAZE 77.8
1-MUSIC MAGIC 75.8
2-CHELCEE'S HOPE 74.6

RACE 8
7-PACIFIC HALO 74.3
9-MUQTABE 64.3 (off Oct. 08)
11-FOREST SUNRISE 62.7
13-GREAT RAID 60.6
1-TRUENO 60.6

1st time starters - 10, 4

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Thursday, July 09, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-MI SUENO 82.6
4-ROTE 49.7

1st time starters - 3, 2, 5, 1

RACE 2
1-DIVINE LEGACY 88.1
4-CHAMPAGNE EYES 84.4
5-SPINNING YARNS 83.8
2-CENTURY PARK 75.2

RACE 3
7-JUSTICE IS BRIEF 86.9
8-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 85.0
4-HEATHERSDADDYSBABY 82.6
5-MY MALOOF ROCKER 80.2

RACE 4
1A-STASH 85.0 (entry)
6-HOT SUMMER BREEZE 72.0 (off Aug. 08)
3-SHE'S BORRACHO 70.9
4-CHERRYBLOSSOMMISS 67.5 (off Aug. 08)

1st time starters - 2, 1 (entry), 5, 7

RACE 5
8-OVER ANDOVER 79.0
1-STORM THE CHURCH 76.6
4-SUSAN'S WILDCAT 70.9
6-GOOD TIME SALLY 70.6
5-SHIRKSA 70.4

RACE 6
8-DRAKE LAKE 83.2
12-BIG WAVE RIDER 82.0
2-DIRTY DISH MITCH 82.0
4-STREET ROYALE 80.2

RACE 7
4-BAHAMA MAMA 91.9
3-BOOTLEG ANNIE 90.0
1-GOLDEN DOCK A 88.1
2-FOREST MELODY 82.6
5-BITTERBUTSWEET 80.8 (off July 08)

RACE 8
4-ANGEL OF MYSTEY 70.3
1A-BRILLIANT RESPONSE 69.8
8-SHE'S VERY RARE 68.1
7-SKIM MILK 55.0
6-ITSAKISS 52.1

1st time starters - 3

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Wednesday, July 08, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race

.HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY

.I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, July 06, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 10 times that I know of in over 1345 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.

I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, July 05, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-M ONE RIFLE 96.5
7-THE USUAL Q. T. 85.0
2-D C TAPIT 78.4
3-VIA ZAVATA 77.2

1st time starters - 8

RACE 2
7-TRAIL MIX 92.6
2-MY CITY BY THE BAY 91.9
5-CARMAN 89.4
3-CORONEL MOLDES 89.4

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
12-TOWSER 55.0

1st time starters - NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 4
7-LANG FIELD 93.9
5-ON FIRE 86.9
3-QUARTER MOON 82.0 (off Dec. 08)
9-MAROON 79.4
4-LADDIESS POKER 77.8 (off Oct. 08)

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
10-ROMAN COUNSEL 69.2
7-ROOS ON THE LOOSE 59.6

1st time starters - NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 6
6-MAN TO MAN 98.4
4-TEMPLE CITY 97.8
9-VESPUCCI 95.8
5-CAVANAL 94.5

RACE 7
3-BAD BOY 97.8
9-JUSTCRUISE 97.8 (off Oct. 08)
10-GOING FORWARD 95.2 (off Dec. 08)
6-SELF INSURED 88.8

RACE 8
4-APPLE CHARLOTTE 105.2
1-GOZZIP GIRL 103.8
14-MRS KIPLING 102.5
7-ACTING LADY 96.5
11-THE BEST DAY EVER 95.8

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
1-RIVER ECHO 97.8
3-SPIRIT OF COCHISE 95.2
10-SODA POP KID 92.6
2-PHANTOM WILDCAT 90.7

RACE 10
6-NOBLE COURT 109.3
9-ZENSATIONAL 108.6
1-STREET MAGICIAN 105.2
5-REBELLION 102.5
7-MONTERY JAZZ 101.8

RACE 11
7-TRIBAL FIRE 62.2 (off Dec. 07)
2-SURE NICE 62.2
1-SISTER LUCY 58.5
8-BOUNCER 52.1
5-CALI GIRL 50.2

1st time starters - 12, 4, 13

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Saturday, July 04, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-LADY LUMBERJACK 100.4
2-LEMON SUPREME 97.1
4-INSPIRATION WITHIN 86.9
3-RAINBOW'S SONG 85.6 (off June 08)
1-SLEEP TIGHT 82.6

RACE 2
7-SUZIQCUTIE 81.4
2-MAGGIE AND HOPIE 80.8
6-BEAU CHANT 68.6
4-LUCAYAN SECRET 61.1

RACE 3
5-MIKEY BONES 90.6
3-EXCESSIVE BLEND 86.3
1-ALPINE YODEL 85.0
2-HOT 'N LACEY 83.8

RACE 4
2-WARREN'S ALLSTAR 74.3
9-JOKING SAM 64.8
4-PERSONALITY KID 64.8
7-MARCADE 63.8

RACE 5
2-SHADOW OF ILLINOIS 96.5
5-MUTAK GOLD 92.6
3-CAYAMBE 90.7
6-POCOSIN'S GAME BOY 90.0
1-SEARCHFORTHETRUTH 90.0
4-MAJESTIC DIAMOND 90.0

RACE 6
2-TURF AND SKY 69.8 (off Jan. 08)
5-TEMERITY 69.2
7-ROUGH IDEA 68.9
4-WAVES OF HONOUR 64.3

1st time starters - 1, 3

RACE 7
7-FOREST DANZ 99.8
4-PUBLIC IMAGE 91.3
6-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 88.8
8-FRIENDLY HALF 82.6 (off Dec. 08)

RACE 8
5-WHATSTHESCRIPT 107.9
2-STORM MILITARY 103.8
6-ARTISTE ROYAL 102.5
4-MONTERY JAZZ 100.4

RACE 9
9-KICKEN CAPER 75.4
1-SUN LIGHTNING 63.8
5-ACTION IN MAY 62.7
2-COLD RULER 62.7
6-TURBO ENERGY 62.7

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Friday, July 03, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TONIGHT IS $96,527.

RACE 1
6-THE BAT SIGNAL 85.0
3-TRIP TO THE RANCH 83.8
2-LEAVETHEGATEOPEN 80.2
4-POINT ATTENDED 80.2

RACE 2
2-JOE CARL 89.4
6-BELONGS TO GOTHAM 76.0
7-FORM A POSSE 75.3
1-DEFENSE KING 74.9

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-ANCIENT WISDOM 33.4
5-SIETE MACHOS 32.6
9-MR. COLLEN 31.5
11-CATCH MY TALE 30.4

1st time starters - 2, 7, 8, 13

RACE 4
7-DEEP POCKETS 85.0
5-HIS SISTERS MISTER 84.4
2-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 79.6
3-TURKISH VICTORY 72.2
4-SCORPION TIME 72.0

RACE 5
7-DANI REESE 93.2
4-GOLD GODDESS 83.1
6-WOOD ART 78.4
8-WIDE EYED VIEW 75.4

RACE 6
5-ELLIE L. 67.5
1-KRISTEN'S LIL LADY 61.1
10-ZAINA 58.5
9-RUBY SLIPPERS 54.5

RACE 7
7-BURG BERG 91.9
4-STRAWBERRY TART 91.9
2-OILGONEWILE 84.4
3-JEHAN 83.2

RACE 8
1-FIERY REBEL 70.3
9-WHIZER 64.8
11-BARNEY BASS 64.3
8-PANDA 61.1
5-BONKERSFORBINKERS 60.1

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Thursday, July 02, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-CAPE DIVER 79.6
6-SHEZA MANEATER 75.4
5-TWODOLLARSTOWIN 70.3 (off Nov. 08)
1-RECESS 69.9

RACE 2
7-KENTUCKY OUTING 71.4
5-RUNAWAY COZZENE 59.6
4-PADDLIN MUD 59.0
1-STARSTRUCK KRISTEN 56.5

RACE 3
1-ADEBAYOR 88.8
7-DIXIE PASSION 79.6
4-DOHNSTER 79.0
8-ESCAPING THE STORM 78.5 (off Nov. 08)

1st time starters - 3, 5, 9, 10

RACE 4
4-VOODOO'S VISION 69.2
5-RED ALARM 62.2
3-LUNCH MONEY 61.6
7-ARGENTA 61.1

RACE 5
4-SUIT YOURSELF 94.5
3-ACCLAMATION 85.0 (off Dec. 08)
2-SCOTT'S SPIRIT 83.8
7-RAINGEAR 80.8
5-NASHOBA EXPRESS 79.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
5-LAURA'S PLEASURE 64.8

1st time starters - NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 7
9-I'LL SHOW THEM 89.4
6-FORT SUMTER 86.9
10-MARGARITA SHOT 85.0
4-RAINBOW GOOSE 83.8
8-CLEISTHENES 82.5

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-DELTA MAGIC 45.1 (entry)
1-FAIR KISSES 44.6 (entry)
8-DECEPTIVELY 41.6
4-HAYLEY'S HALO 41.6
3-MEETYOUATGROUION'S 40.3

1st time starters - 6, 7, 13, 2B, 12, 14

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Wednesday, July 01, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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