Sunday, June 29, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







NOTE: ON SATURDAY 5 OF MY TOP PICKS WON - $11.20, 12.40, 6.20, 6.60, 5.20

RACE 1
5-OFF THE DEEP END 96.5
11-EL TOVAR 93.2
8-WILL TRUE UP 77.2
6-ROMAR SUCCESS 74.3
2-SECRET WISHES 74.3

RACE 2
5-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 63.2
1-WINNINGFASHION 62.2
3-LUST FOR LIFE 53.0
4-HERO'S MARINE 43.8
2-SECRET OF SUCCESS 39.9

RACE 3
4-GRAZENETTE 76.4
8-PEGGY SUE'S LOOSE 73.1
10-THREE BLONDES 69.2
12-EUROCLYDON 66.4
5-CEE'S TIZZY BELLE 66.4

RACE 4
7-STORM POWER 79.0 (off Aug. 13)
4-KINGS ADVENTURE 75.4
3-COGNOSCENTE 60.1
1-MR. ITKINS 24.7

1st time starters - 5, 6, 2

RACE 5
8-HANNA NO SIR 76.0
5-MOM'S WINNER 59.6
7-MOONLIGHT STROLL 47.4
4-CHAIN LIGHTNING 40.3
3-FAIR PRAISE 37.4

1st time starters - 2, 9, 10 (lost jock)

RACE 6
2-MANGITA 88.8
6-SHAPELY 88.8
7-BARUTA 86.3
3-MOM NANA PETRIE 86.3
1-KADESHA 85.0

RACE 7
9-VAVOOM 68.1
4-GOSPEL MUSIC 59.6
12-SALT OF THE EARTH 59.0
6-PLAY MAKER 54.0
10-THE GOLD MONKEY 42.9 (off slow)

1st time starters - 13, 7

RACE 8
8-QUICK CASABLANCA 100.4
7-BLACK SPIRIT 99.1
1-BAILOUTBOBBY 91.9
5-BIG KICK 88.8
3-IRISH SURF 86.3
6-AMERICAN ACT 86.3

1st time starters - 1 (in U.S.A.-fgn.

RACE 9
9-FLY TO FREEDOM 77.8
5-QUAY FACTOR 75.4
1-RUFF PROOF 71.4
4-LA CASADORA 68.6
3-POINT ENDURANCE 64.3

RACE 10
5-POLYTECHNICIEN 100.4
2-BIG JOHN B 95.2
9-BENCH LIGHT 95.2
6-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 93.9
4-SIZZLIN' JOE 88.1
11-ICE CREAM TRUCK 85.6



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Saturday, June 28, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $64,570.

RACE 1
2-BOLD FANTASY 74.9
3-TRIBAL DUDE 74.9
4-TABLE TWENTYONE 71.7
10-TRIBALIST 64.3 (off Aug. 13)
5-BADASMYWIFELETSMEB 59.6

1st time starters - 9, 1

RACE 2
2-SHINING SON 77.8
1-DEHERE IS GONE 74.9
9-WARREN'S WESLEY 69.8 (off May 13)
5-HOPE 'N PRAY 67.5
3-THIS CAT'S AWESOME 62.2

RACE 3
1-WOODYS WHARF 63.2
2-COMEALONGWITHME 61.4
3-ANN'S GOLD 60.6
7-UP THE ALLEY 60.5
5-PRINCESSKATIEBELLA 59.6

RACE 4
5-MISS SUPER QUICK 70.6
3-SOUTHERN SUNSHINE 61.6
4-REDHEADED MUSE 45.1

1st time starters - 1, 2, 8, 6, 9, 7

RACE 5
10-PARRANDA 101.8
1-STORMY LUCY 99.8
6-MOONE'S MY NAME 99.1
9-KATHLEEN ROSE 97.1
3-WISHING GATE 95.2

1st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A.-fgn.), 8 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 6
1-DECLASSIFY 114.3
4-SAHARA SKY 98.4
6-CYCLOMETER 97.1
7-WINE POLICE 95.8
3-GLADDING 89.4

RACE 7
9-ROVENNA 91.9
4-MORNING FIX 83.8
7-FAMOUS ALICE 80.8
10-LEMON DE ORO 80.2
5-BURNING ARCH 80.2

RACE 8
1-GAME ON DUDE 129.8
2-FURY KAPCORI 115.7
3-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 110.0
4-IMPERATIVE 104.5
6-MAJESTIC HARBOR 103.1

1st time starters - 5 (in U.S.A.-fgn.), 7 in U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 9
2-CHICSDIGTHESHARK 104.1
10-PRODIGIOUS 93.2
9-SNAPS 90.0
6-BACK TO BAKO 88.9
8-HEAT FLASH 88.8

1st time starters - 1 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 10
1-AMERICAN PRIDE 106.6
6-PARLIAMENTARIAN 91.9
5-ENDLESS CRUISE 90.0 (off Sept. 12)
10-CELEBRITY STATUS 88.8
2-WHINE FOR WINE 85.0
7-FINAL STEP 84.4 (off Oct. 13)


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Friday, June 27, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
4-TIZ MIDNIGHT 77.8
2-ICONIC SPIRIT 77.2
1-DENOTATION 46.6
3-VERDULA 44.1
5-LITTLE MISS S 39.2

RACE 2
7-HE'S A DANCE STAR 94.5
5-THUNDER RODE 89.4
2-STORMIN LUTE 88.8
1-MONUMENT 86.3
6-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 82.7

RACE 3
3-SWEETRAYOFSUNSHINE 93.2
2-BUCKINGHAM BULL 88.8
5-MELANISTIC 81.4
4-PROUD VIXEN 79.0
1-SILVER HUSTLER 64.2

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-SKY PREACHER 62.2
3-C'MON SISTER 42.4
8-P CLUB 30.4 (3 wide)
1-GOYO 27.9 (off slow)
9-KENJI'S THUNDER 24.4 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 4, 5, 6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
9-LONDON LEGACY 41.1 (ducked out)
10-TRIBAL ECHO 40.3
4-LUCKY LOGAN 39.0
6-BERN 32.3
5-NAOMI'S GIFT 24.1

1st time starters - 3, 1, 2, 8, 7

RACE 6
7-WILD BELLA 83.2
9-HIGHLY RATED 77.8
8-MARKET QUOTE 77.2 (off Aug. 13)
3-SWEETEST SECRET 73.1
6-KUKALUKA 70.9
4-VAN DIEN AVENUE 70.9

RACE 7
6-TIME FOR ANGIE 71.4
5-DOCTOR GLYNIS 63.8
1-LAROCCO 61.1
3-PARADA 61.1
2-SENSATIONAL NIKKI 60.6 (off Sept. 13)

RACE 8
8-J SERINO 98.2
9-UNUSUALLY GREEN 83.2
1-WICKED FINANCE 77.8
3-STORM THE CHANNEL 74.9
10-PANTERA ROJO 74.3
2-GRACHUS THE HUNTER 73.7


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Thursday, June 26, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
5-DR WILLAMS 86.9
1-COOK INLET 76.6
3-TWO IS TO MANY 73.1
4-MEL'S GAME 69.8
6-HARLINGTON NIGHT 67.0

RACE 2
1-YARD LINE 99.8
3-WRIGHTWOOD 88.2
5-MISSING GROOM 83.8
2-SING WITH BLING 75.8
4-GOLD CHASER 70.4

1st time starters - 6

RACE 3
6-CUSTOMER BASE 95.2
3-CHANGETHECHANNEL 83.8
2-CHARLIE EM 77.8
5-PHONYBOOKSNRECORDS 77.2
7-PLAYFUL HUMOR 73.7

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
10-SWEET MZ. POPPET 35.4
6-DIXIE TWEET 27.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 8, 9, 2, 5, 7, 3, 4

RACE 5
3-SURFER MOON 79.9
6-DICKERY DO 73.1
8-PYROTECHNICS 62.7
7-STOLEN PROPERTY 60.6
1-CERNOBBIO 53.5

RACE 6
4-SUNDAY RULES 92.6 (off Aug. 13)
5-CLASSY AVA 88.8
3-MAJESTIC JEWEL 82.0 (off Feb. 13)
2-CAMILLE 79.0
11-COURAGEOUS CALL 76.9

RACE 7
7-HAPPYBIRTHDAYBABY 85.6
3-HEAT DU JOUR 83.8
5-THERMAL NERMAL 78.4
8-MISSDANG SALLY 77.4
4-TOPPERS SUNSHINE 76.6

RACE 8
12-CHATTERING CLASS 61.6
6-DARK TIMBERS 58.5
9-TASHA'S COURAGE 53.5
3-ALSACE 52.6
13-TRIUNFRO 46.0
4-PATRIOTIC LION 45.5 (off Sept. 13)
10-JUANSAGAIN 45.5

1st time starters - 1, 2, 5, 7


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Wednesday, June 25, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, June 24, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,933 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, June 22, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $103,974.

RACE 1
3-COUSIN RICKY 73.7
1-STAND BY YOUR MAN 64.8
6-W. GILES 55.5
4-DIAMONDDUSTED 52.1 (off Oct. 13, drifted out)
5-TAKEM BY SUPRISE 51.6

RACE 2
4-MY JEALOUS 88.1
1-XUANG FENG 87.5
6-SENATOR BOB 77.2
5-TRULEE SCRAPPIN 68.6
3-HAMILTONIAN 67.5

RACE 3
5-SUNSET SKIES 75.4
4-UNDERHILL DRIVE 75.4
2-LAKOTA ROAD 74.9
3-GELITA 67.5
1-NEW NATURE 61.5

RACE 4
1-REGIFT 42.0
5-NIKKI ALLYN 41.6
2-LADY VRONSKY 35.4
3-SPIRIT OF TEN 32.6 (off Nov. 13)
6-GIDDY UP COWGIRL 19.7 (off May 13)

1st time starters - 4

RACE 5
5-HEAT TRAP 90.7
4-OSCAR PARTY 85.0
2-CHARLIE EM 83.8
6-LADY ASANO 83.2
3-BEE BRAVE 79.0

RACE 6
6-ITALIAN HARMONY 48.3
4-HOLLYWOOD PRODUCER 44.2
3-SECRET SORORITY 24.1
2-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 20.3
5-GETAWAY KEYS 15.0

1st time starters - 1, 7

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-HOLIDAY CAMP 83.2
7-HENRY'S HOLIDAY 82.0
3-STORY TO TELL 79.6
2-KRISTI'S COPILOT 79.6
5-WAKE UP NICK 77.2

1st time starters - 6

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-SEDUIRE 89.4
9-ENCHANTING LADY 79.0
3-MY FIONA 60.6
7-SEA MONA 52.6
8-ROBO GIRL 50.6

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 9
5-UNUSUAL TASTE 83.2
2-J KAT 70.9
1-ROBERT E. LEE 66.4
4-PLAY HARD TO GET 62.7 (4 wide)
8-WILLY BE WILD 59.0
7-YES YES YES 59.0 (off Oct. 13)

1st time starters - 3






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Saturday, June 21, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA- FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
6-BONUS SPIN 78.4 (bumped start)
2-SIXY EDDIE 38.6

1st time starters - 1, 5, 3, 4

RACE 2
5-SPRING UP 97.3
2-TONES 90.7
3-CANDY'S SUNRISE 87.5
6-MIND THE MASTER 87.5
4-KOAST 79.0

RACE 3
3-SOUTHERN SUNRISE 89.4
1-REGALLY SOUL 74.9 (off Nov. 13)
4-BENCH PRESS 73.1
6-DEWRAG 72.0
2-INNOCENT MAN 71.4 (off Aug. 13)

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
4-LADY DASH 27.5
2-GLOBAL HART 16.1
7-DON'TMESSWITHNESS 14.3

1st time starters - 3, 1, 5, 6

RACE 5
4-HOME RUN KITTEN 94.5
6-FOREVER JUANITO 91.9
8-HOME SCHOOL 91.3
1-SAWYER'S HILL 88.1
2-TOOWINDYTOHAULROX 85.0

RACE 6
4-MAVERICKS GUN 86.3
1-PRESIDING JUSTICE 83.8
9-NO EZ MONEY 81.4
5-GRAND HUMOR 80.8
10-FIGHT THE POWER 79.0

RACE 7
1-APPEALING TALE 117.2
4-UNBRIDLED COMMAND 109.3 (off Feb. 13)
2-HORIZONTALYSPEAKIN 101.1
5-COUNTY LINEMAN 99.8
7-TREND 93.9

RACE 8
4-DELTA FLOWER 80.6
2-LIVE FOR NOW 77.2
6-FRONT RANGE 76.6
3-ARETHUSA 76.0
5-LA MEJOR FIESTA 74.9

RACE 9
3-POUNCEROUNDACLOCK 73.1 (3 wide)
7-LINDY HOPPIN 65.6
2-VENETIAN 62.6
6-SPY GIRL 62.1
10-WILD CAROLINE 59.0 (off Aug. 13)
12-GARNISHED WAGES 54.0

1st time starters - 8, 4, 1, 11

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Friday, June 20, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $54,775.


RACE 1
1-BENBA 88.8
6-POSHSKY 86.9
5-KESSABTSI 80.2
2-DERAPTOR 78.4
3-BOBBY Z. MAN 76.6

RACE 2
1-COURTSIDE 85.6
6-MUCHOS BESOS 79.6
5-PURE SOVEREIGNTY 76.6
3-CLOSE TO THE EDGE 76.0
2-PEPPER SWEET 74.9

RACE 3
8-HEAVENELEVEN 56.0
4-STAUFFENBERG 55.0
3-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 53.0
5-YODELING HONEY 51.1
2-NO BARNEYS 48.0

1st time starters - 1

RACE 4
3-GLORIOUS LUCK 98.3 (off Aug. 13)
2-VELVET MESQUITE 90.0
1-TIZMETIZYOU 85.0
4-MACAABRA 83.2
5-GO WEST MARIE 79.0

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
4-TIZ JOLIE 38.2

1st time starters - 2, 7, 6, 5, 8, 3, 1, 9

RACE 6
3-RANGI 97.8
6-ROYAL F J 95.2
5-GIANT EGO 92.6
2-DEN'S LEGACY 87.5
1-STORMBERG 87.5

RACE 7
3-GOYAN 76.6
7-MERINGUE PIE 67.0
2-WARREN'S CASPER 66.4
8-TENKILLER KID 65.9
4-TIZ FUTURITY 65.4

RACE 8
6-LINDANTE 75.4 (3 wide)
3-CHATTERING GAMBLER 72.6
2-SMART JOURNEY 72.2
7-RANGER SCHOOL 61.6 (came out)
4-ITSGETTINHOTINHERE 61.6
9-PYROTECHNICS 61.1

1st time starters - 1


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Thursday, June 19, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
3-YES SHE'S A DANCER 52.6

1st time starters - 4, 2, 5, 1

RACE 2
5-SUDDEN RUMOR 66.4
3-JULIET'S TIZZY 61.6
4-ANTINANCO 58.5
2-ELEVEN ZIP 56.0
6-JACK DIZ 39.4 (steadied, 3 wide)

RACE 3
5-ANOTHER SKY 81.4
2-REMARKABLE MOON 79.6
4-WARREN'S TOSEBUD 77.8
6-SCOOTER BIRD 76.6
1-PERFECTA 68.1

RACE 4
5-MAGIC MARK 102.5
4-HONDURAN 99.1
2-TIZ DYNAMIC 95.2
1-BIG CAZANOVA 93.9
3-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 92.6

RACE 5
4-SUPERBOOT 73.1
2-WARRIOR'S RIDGE 69.2
6-AERIAL DANCER 64.3
1-SUN SPOTS 52.1
8-SONGFORJOHNMICHAEL 49.4 (off Nov. 13)

1st time starters - 7

RACE 6
6-QUEEN OF THE HILL 86.3
3-FLY TO FREEDOM 77.8
5-PAY THE DEBT 73.1
1-SAY'S WHO 70.9
2-LITTLE BUT LUCKY 70.3

RACE 7
7-DANCER HUMOR 79.6
6-WARREN'S CLIFF S. 79.6
4-GLITER OF SILVER 79.6
1-PUBLIC INTEREST 78.4
3-MAXX THE GIANT 77.2

RACE 8
3-NONNA REESE 56.0
6-POINT ENDURANCE 43.3
8-RUN ROSIE RUN 39.0
5-THAMES VALLEY 30.0
2-TROPICAL MOON 27.5
1-WARRENS GOLDNUGGET 22.8

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Wednesday, June 18, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, June 17, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,928 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, June 15, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
4-RYDERROO 63.8
1-WARREN'S TRICIA R. 52.1
7-SWISS PERFECTION 49.7
3-GREY GIRL GONE 40.7 (came out)
2-INA MINA 37.4

RACE 2
6-LOAN SAVANT 77.2
4-UNUSUAL STYLE 72.6
2-MARIA HOOCH 67.5
3-HUGH KNEW 62.0
5-LAROCCO 59.6

RACE 3
3-SAGEBRUSH QUEEN 90.0
2-CLEARLY CONFUSED 89.4
4-MY SWEET ADDICTION 89.4
1-WARREN'S VENEDA 83.8
5-DOINGHARDTIMEAGAIN 74.3 (off Aug. 13)

RACE 4
4-VALLEY CAT 108.6
1-I DON'T CARE WHO 95.8
2-AMERICAN BLEND 95.2
3-DRY SUMMER 93.2
5-TRIBAL JEWEL 86.3

RACE 5
3-BODIE GIRL 75.4 (off Jan. 13)
1-J LOUIE 62.2
5-SURELYLU'S ANDANTE 60.6
2-TRIBAL YODELER 53.5
6-IT'S AINE 48.3

RACE 6
3-SALT OF THE EARTH 59.0
4-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 36.6 (3 wide)
2-SHOP FOREVER 36.6
8-CELESTIAL IMAGE 33.8
6-NEWPORT RED 32.3

1st time starters - 1, 5

RACE 7
9-ZANBO 89.7
3-SMART N DREAMY 85.7
7-PROVENANCE 85.0
8-NOISE OF THE CROWD 83.8
6-BLAKE'S MUSIC 80.8

RACE 8
3-KATE'S EVENT 103.1
6-AIRFOIL 101.1
2-TIZ DYNAMIC 95.2
5-CAMINETTO 94.5 (off Oct. 12)
4-HOLY LUTE 86.3

RACE 9
12-KOOL KAT 80.4
1-SERENE MELODY 78.4
9-TWISTED PURPOSE 73.1 (off July 13)
10-FABLE 72.0
7-SWEET AS A ROSE 69.2

1st time starters - 3


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Saturday, June 14, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
4-TOUGH BUSINESS 63.2
6-LA QUILLOTANA 58.5
2-PUTTYBADSHARK 57.0
1-ADRIATIC SKYE 56.8
5-CORINTHIAN MELODY 56.5

RACE 2
9-SWISS HEART 55.5
6-LADY NOW 53.0 (off March 13)
3-IPOLITA 42.0
7-CHARGER GIRL 35.8
2-HER LUCKY SPIRIT 35.7

1st time starters - 4

RACE 3
7-COULD BE TROUBLE 84.4
3-LADY'S PLAN 83.2
8-FLASHY DAME 79.6
2-BOILER BOMB 79.0
1-PLAZA DE INDIAS 76.6

RACE 4
2-MIDNIGHT STORM 77.2
8-SOUL CRUSHER 72.0
1-CANDY'S SHOES 70.9 (off Sept. 13)
9-HALL OF FAME 70.3 (3 wide)
7-CRUX 69.8

1st time starters - 3, 5

RACE 5
11-LIL BIT O'FUN 97.1 (off Oct. 13)
5-HEAT FLASH 96.5
4-BETTYS BAMBINO 92.6
6-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 90.0
7-LOS BAMBINOS 86.9

RACE 6
5-WICKED CITY WOMAN 69.2
1-CITIZEN JANE 61.6
8-BRANDON'S PRINCESS 59.6
7-NUEVA FORTUNA 57.5
2-CLASSIC JOURNEY 53.0

RACE 7
4-WINNING PRIZE 122.3
1-OBVIOUSLY 115.7
3-TOM'S TRIBUTE 110.0
5-SUMMER FRONT 110.0
2-JACK MILTON 108.6

RACE 8
4-LET FAITH ARISE 111.4
1-IOTAPA 107.3
6-YAHILWA 101.1
3-GRACE HALL 99.8
5-SCHERZINGER 91.5

RACE 9
3-EUROCLYDON 76.0
11-Q'VIVA 73.7
4-TANGELO 72.0
8-CRAVIN' THE HEAT 70.9 (off Nov. 13)
5-SHYSHEISNOT 67.9 (off Dec. 13)
9-JENNY'S V. 61.5

1st time starters - 1, 10, 2

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Friday, June 13, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $61,937.

RACE 1
4-TIMELESS INDY 94.4
2-BIG KICK 85.0
3-DEEP PLAY 80.2
5-STREET MAVEN 79.6
1-APOSTLE PAUL 78.4

RACE 2
3-IMAGE OF JOPLIN 79.6
1-RUNAWAY QUE 67.0
5-MIDNIGHT MAYHEM 61.6
2-BARANOF 45.6
6-NEW ORDER 36.6

RACE 3
2-LOVEINTHESHADOWS 77.8
7-LINDZ WINZ 75.4
6-SILK IN SILVER 64.8
1-COOKIELAMOUR 51.1
4-ACUTE 50.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
2-TRIBAL ECHO 36.2
6-FULL BIRD COLONEL 32.6 (off slow)

1st time starters - 7, 1, 8, 4, 5, 3

RACE 5
3-HANSERELLA 81.4
7-BACKINTHEACADEMY 76.0
5-CLEARLY ANOINTED 63.2
1-CONTESSA B. 55.5
4-BOUND FOR EDEN 53.5 (off Oct. 13)

RACE 6
2-YA WANNA HUG 69.8
5-CHIPPETTE 69.8
1-ELTONINADRESS 67.5
4-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 57.5
3-MARY CONTRARY 55.0

RACE 7
3-QUOTIENT 91.3
4-I'LL WRAP IT UP 82.6
6-LIFE'S JOURNEY 81.4
2-BROTHER SOLDIER 81.4
5-TEXAS RYANO 80.8

RACE 8
2-COCONUT CREAM PIE 69.8
4-L X SUNRISE 60.6
6-QUEEN MAD 48.8
3-STEPINMOON 36.6
5-EDITOR'S CUT 36.5

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Thursday, June 12, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
3-GOLDEN CHALICE 77.8
2-MISSING GROOM 76.6
4-PROSPECTOR ALLEY 73.7
5-WICKED HEAT 65.9
6-CINEMATIC CAT 60.4

RACE 2
4-MENSA HEAT 89.4
5-DEKKO 74.3
1-ANCIENT STONE 61.6
6-ELECTROLYTE 59.8
3-TRUCIAL STATE 58.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
1-SLEW'S CHARM 49.2
4-LINE LEADER 47.4
6-DESERT THIEF 43.3
7-AMERICAN CHARM 22.5

1st time starters - 8, 2, 5, 3

RACE 4
1-OLIVER'S TALE 97.5
2-JULES JOURNEY 93.2
5-BOYETT 93.2
6-AVARE 90.0
4-SUPER ABILITY 88.1 (off July 13)

RACE 5
8- OMAR LITTLE 65.4 (CORRECTION)
3-GOSPEL MUSIC 63.7
9-CHATTERING CLASS 54.4
10-TRIUNFO 46.4
6-CACHE WANTED 45.1
2-WARREN'S SUNNY BOY 35.8

1st time starters -4, 1, 5

RACE 6
3-LA PEQUENA GIGI 61.6
4-BIRD IN LOVE 60.6
6-BOW TIE BELLE 58.0
5-NIKKI ALLYN 54.5
2-MANGO REWARD 40.7

1st time starters - 8, 1

RACE 7
7-LET'S GET CRACKIN 99.8
3-TOO FAST TO PASS 91.3
2-GAL HAS TO LIKE IT 88.8
4-SENOR RAIN 86.3 (off Nov. 13)
5-CARLOT COWBOY 79.6

RACE 8
5-PRESSURE TIME 94.5
2-BOOZER 93.9
1-KESSABTSI 82.6
3-MAL VERDE 81.4
6-VALENTINE BOY 80.2
8-LOVE RULES ALL 77.2

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Wednesday, June 11, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, June 10, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,922 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, June 08, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $109,125.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
8-MYRNA LOU 30.8
2-LADY DASH 27.5 (bumped)
3-WACKY MISS 24.4
6-WACKETT 23.8
4-NO MAYBE BABY 23.5

1st time starters - 1, 5

RACE 2
3-ELEGANT 82.6
4-TRIBAL CHATTER 81.4
1-LOVE TALE 80.2
5-ENGLISH RHYTHM 73.7
6-MAGIC NUMBER 73.1

RACE 3
7-MAGNA WARRIOR 73.1
4-JULIET'S TIZZY 72.6
5-ALEANDER 65.9 (off June 13)
1-CATCANSCAT 55.0 (off June 13)
6-DISTINCT ASSET 26.8

1st time starters - 2, 3

RACE 4
3-JADE WITH ENVY 87.5
4-NATALIE PAIGE 79.0
5-VEGAS RULES 75.4
6-PAY THE DEBT 75.4
1-SUNSET SKIES 74.9

RACE 5
1-IT IS LIVING WATER 78.3
4-NEXT BOOK 74.9
2-DIABLO CABALLERO 70.1
7-OTTO'S ECHO 67.0

1st time starters - 3, 5, 6, 8

RACE 6
2-SOI PHET 97.8
5-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 93.2
4-TOLEDO EDDIE 91.9
1-TWIN SIX 78.4
6-MR. CANDY BAR 78.4

RACE 7
7-COUSIN RICKY 72.6
4-HAPPY IDEA 69.8
8-PAPA'S PAISLEY 67.5
2-RED N BLACK ATTACK 66.4
6-PRINCE OF PARIS 64.3

RACE 8
1-ROUSING SERMON 110.9
9-CHINA PRINCE 104.1
8-ETHNIC DANCE 100.4 (off Sept. 13)
3-STONEY FLEECE 95.2
6-MEGA HEAT 94.5
7-HEAT FLASH 94.5

RACE 9
8 NOTHING TO HIDE 53.5
6-MERRY MOON 52.0 (off Aug. 13)
5-MOM'S WINNER 41.6
9-GALWAY BAY 38.6
3-SPLENDED OUTCAST 35.0

1st time starters - 4

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Saturday, June 07, 2014

 

BELMONT PARK - THE BELMONT STAKES - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS FOR SATURDAY

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.












RACE 11 - BELMONT STAKES (1 1/4 miles)

2-CALIFORNIA CHROME 125.3
5-RIDE ON CURLIN 114.3
11-TONALIST 112.2
9-WICKED STRONG 107.3
10-GENERAL A ROD 103.8
7-SAMRAAT 103.8
8-COMMISSIONER 103.1
4-COMMANDING CURVE 102.5
1-MEDAL COUNT 99.1
3-MATTERHORN 95.8
6-MATUSZAK 90.0

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SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
6-ITSABEAUTIFULDAY 54.0
2-MADAME FORBES 49.7
3-MOONLIGHT STROLL 44.6
4-I'MSOULFLATTERING 40.1
1-STRACCIATELLA 38.8

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-PLAYER'S CHARM 68.6
3-SKY PREACHER 66.4

1st time starters - 8, 2, 1, 4, 7, 5

RACE 3
6-SEEKING THE WEST 95.8
7-R S WATSON 93.2 (off Aug. 13)
4-KOCHEES 87.5
2-GOT EVEN 85.6
3-CHICSDIGTHESHARK 82.6

RACE 4
1-MISDEED 76.0
3-STOLEN PROPERTY 65.9
6-KNOW PLANS 62.7
8-OSO SMART 60.6
7-HOLD EVERYTHING 52.8

RACE 5
7-NEWFOUND GOLD 83.2
6-HALF DOME DUDE 82.6
2-TWO IS TO MANY 72.0
4-SPACE RUNNER 70.9
1-SHOER HUGH 61.6

RACE 6
7-SMART JOURNEY 81.4
5-TROY STORY 79.6
3-EL TOVAR 71.4
9-TRIBAL DUDE 68.1
8-LITTLE PROFESSOR 65.3 (steadied, off June 13)

1st time starters - 11, 2, 1

RACE 7
6-EXCLUDE 94.5
7-BRAVE ACT 82.0
1-WONDERFUL UNION 81.4
3-ROMAN TIZZY 73.1
2-MYFUNDSARELO 72.6

RACE 8
4-ALPHA BULLET 87.5
3-REDISTRIBUTE 83.8
12-ROMAR SUCCESS 82.7
10-MAXX THE GIANT 82.0
2-WILL TRUE UP 79.0

RACE 9
2-BIG TIRE 92.6
6-FRIENDS WITH K MILL 89.4
3-FRENSHAM 86.9
1-ARKENSTONE 85.0
5-REBRANDED 82.0

RACE 10
3-TRELAWNY 90.0
6-DYSPROSIUM 88.8
10-ACCELERANT 83.2
5-DEPRECIABLE 82.6
8-PROUD BOSS 81.4

RACE 11
12-OLD PUEBLO 76.0
4-BOSQUE ANGEL 73.1
7-SOUTHERN SUNRISE 70.3
11-W. GILES 67.0
6-BRIGHT OCEAN 65.4

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Friday, June 06, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-KID ROLLINS 60.6
3-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 55.5
5-PARADA 53.5
2-SILC'S VALLEY 39.9
4-SHANDY 38.2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
5-G Q GRACE 35.4
6-HIGHWAY BOSS 33.0

1st time starters - 4, 3, 2, 7, 1

RACE 3
4-PEGGY SUE'S LOOSE 70.9
5-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 68.1
6-CEE'S TIZZY BELLE 64.8
2-MINDFULLY 64.8 (5 wide)
1-PAPA'S DANCING 57.7

RACE 4
3-SEEKING THE SHERIF 113.6
5-CASTAWAY 103.1 (off July 13)
4-SUPER NINTY NINE 97.1 (off April 13)
1-ROCK ME BABY 92.7 (off Nov. 13)
2-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 91.9

RACE 5
3-JENNYWAY U WANT IT 62.2
5-SUSAN B GOOD 61.6
2-THREE BLONDES 60.6 (off Dec. 12)
6-WARREN'S CRACKER 60.1
8-DESERT MADAM 55.5

1st time starters - 4

RACE 6
4-DARK TIMBERS 58.5
1-DESTINO 57.5
5-VOLUNTARY 48.8
8-VITE TRIBAL REIGN 33.4
9-GREY IS BEST 28.9

1st time starters - 6

RACE 7
4-FIGHTING ON 81.9
5-VIBRATO JAZZ 80.2
2-WARREN'S CLIFF S. 78.4
1-INDYGO ANDY 76.0
7-SHINING SON 74.9

RACE 8
10-PLAY MAKER 61.1
9-ANTINANCO 55.0 (3 wide)
2-ELEVEN ZIP 55.0 (off Sept. 13)
7-ONEBADSHENANIGAN 42.0 (off Aug. 13)
1-SAMATT 20.3 (steadied)

1st time starters - 3, 4, 8, 6, 5






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Thursday, June 05, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $129,366.

RACE 1
5-SOAR HOME 55.5
2-ALWAYS AN ANGEL 50.2
3-SUPER DEFENCE 46.6 (off April 13)
1-INHERIT THE THRONE 44.2
6-WILDY EXCESSIVE 40.7

RACE 2
3-THERMAL NERMAL 86.3
6-BURNS TURN 82.0
1-LE FASCINATOR 75.4
2-JOEANDBETTY'SBABY 69.8
5-MAHALO PRINCESS 68.9

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
3-SOUL CRUSADER 46.9

1st time starters - 8, 2, 1, 6, 5, 7

RACE 4
2-THEATRE STAR 94.5
1-KATHLEEN ROSE 90.7
6-UNUSUAL HOTTIE 89.4
4-SPRING BLOOM 86.9
3-REDRESSTHEBALANCE 85.0

1st time starters - 5 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 5
2-WINE COUNTRY WANDA 62.2
8-NONNA REESE 56.0
3-LUST FOR LIFE 50.0
4-ITALIAN HARMONY 42.0
6-MON PETITE 27.2
1-GEORGIA'S NIECE 27.2

1st time starters - 5

RACE 6
3-WONDERFUL LIE 88.2
5-MY MONET 83.4
4-MISS WELL MOLDED 83.2
6-HIGHLY RATED 82.6
2-TIZ A KISS 78.4

RACE 7
2-FIT TO RULE 95.8
3-COOK INLET 91.3
5-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 89.4
4-WHEN WE MET 85.6
6-MACIAS 62.0

RACE 8
3-HOBBITS HERO 80.2
7-NUMBER FIVE 75.4
5-PHOTOGRAPHY 73.1
4-GREE TAG 72.8
1-AL BAZ 70.3
8-SIR MACHO 69.2

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Wednesday, June 04, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, June 03, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,916 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, June 01, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
4-AMERICAN PRIDE 66.4
1-WRIGHTWOOD 59.0 (off Nov. 13)

1st time starters - 6, 3, 2, 5

RACE 2
5-COO CACHOO 85.0
4-TUCKERS POINT 76.0
1-DR WILLIAMS 75.9
2-TRUCIAL STATE 63.8
6-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 53.0

RACE 3
4-L T RECKLESS 79.0
6-TIME FOR ANGIE 71.4
5-SENSATIONAL NIKKI 61.8 (off Sept. 13)
2-MOSCATO GIRL 60.6
1-SHE'S FLUSH 54.5

RACE 4
1-WASTED AT MIDNIGHT 80.2
6-SPY GIRL 59.0
4-SOUTHERN SUNSHINE 53.0
8-DENOTATION 50.6
5-POINT ENDURANCE 44.2 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 3, 2, 7

RACE 5
1-ARTEST 102.5
5-ZIMMER 101.1
4-COUNTY LINEMAN 98.4
6-SHIPS ALL IN 97.1
3-PURE TACTICS 94.5

RACE 6
8-FLY TO FREEDOM 77.8
5-MORE STORMYWEATHER 76.0
9-GOODBYE ROSELINA 73.7
7-ON GOLDEN PAWN 68.6 (off July 13)
6-YODEL UP A STORM 64.8 (off Aug. 13)

RACE 7
5-WICKED FINANCE 88.8 (off Dec. 13)
9-A RED TIE DAY 86.9
7-STORM THE CHANNEL 73.1 (off Oct. 13)
6-J KAT 70.9
4-SUNNY KAT 63.2

1st time starters - 3

RACE 8
3-CHASINTHEACES 103.1
2-PEACENIK 103.1
5-RAISED A SECRET 99.1
6-PARLIAMENTARIAN 98.4
1-CELEBRITY STATUS 93.9

RACE 9
4-TASHA'S COURAGE 67.0
3-REAL DEAL APPEAL 64.3 (off June 13)
2-AFTERMARKETSLAM 61.1
5-WISTFULLEE MINE 59.6
7-SUPER REGAN 58.0 (off Nov. 13)
6-TRIUNFO 54.0
8-ALSACE 54.0


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