Friday, November 30, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-GREELEY AWESOME 57.7
5-BRO DEREK 52.5
4-DEREKSON 41.1
1-BRENDA'S BAR 32.6
2-LOUISTHEFIFTEENTH 29.7

1st time starters - 6

RACE 2
5-DYLAN DONNELLY 90.6
6-UNUSUAL BEAM 78.4
4-ASHLEY'S BAMBINO 74.3
7-MAGNUM FORCE 64.3
2-DECEPTION FREE 58.5

1st time starters - 1

RACE 3
5-WON WON OH FIVE 74.9
7-SIDEPOCKET KID 69.8
3-ANABAA PREMIUM 64.3
1-BIG HANDS AL 63.8
4-WARREN'S TEMPTATION 62.2

RACE 4
2-KENICHI 90.7
5-SENOR RAIN 88.1
4-GRUMPY SMALL MOUTH 87.5
1-DISTORT THIS 85.6
3-SIR ALLISON 82.6
6-BUFFALO BILLY 82.6

RACE 5
8-TE RAPA 88.1
5-DREAMCATCHER 83.8
9-MONEY TALKER 83.2
2-SWIFT EAGLE 82.6
7-GROOVIN' SOLO 77.6

RACE 6
7-QUEEN MERCURY 73.7
6-GRANNY CALLING 71.4
5-TAKING FORM 69.8
1-FABULOUS FIT 69.2
4-ROCK U UP 63.2

RACE 7
7-MISSDEALORNODEAL 91.3
2-JET BLUE GIRL 90.7
6-COUGARSTOWN 88.8
4-GEM OF SOUL 86.3
8-KUNE KUNE 83.2

RACE 8
9-SHESKEY 60.6
3-AKEELA 60.1
7-TRAPPER'S REWARD 57.0
8-WARRENS CHINA DOLL 55.5
5-SINGLE N LOVIN IT 54.0

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Thursday, November 29, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $105,448.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
5-HARD BUNS 50.0
6-SENSE OF A WOMAN 48.3
1-DIAMOND FLUSH 38.8
7-AMY'S CASHIN IN 37.0
3-MAGIC TIZ 29.2

RACE 2
4-GLOWING SPIRIT 88.8
3-QUAINTLY 83.2
2-SALEZ 75.7
6-REMARKABLE MOON 72.6
1-WARREN'S GOT GAME 70.9

RACE 3
6-EL PITUCON 90.0 (off Oct. 10)
1-HALF DOME DUDE 89.4
9-STREETS OF HEAVEN 83.6
5-CAYAMBE 81.4
3-MAX COOPER 77.2

RACE 4
9-KATY'S KITTY 76.6
6-MALUSITA 69.9
2-TWEETIE PIE 68.6
4-DYNAMIC DIVA 67.0
8-VEE 63.2

RACE 5
7-TOLUCA 69.8
8-ENGLISH RHYTHM 69.2
6-WARREN'S MO MONEY 64.3
10-MISS SPEED DATING 63.2
9-FIESTA EXPRESS 62.2

RACE 6
6-CAREER STUDENT 72.0
2-JUST FISHIN 71.4
5-SOUTHERN HEART 67.5
1-THE BRAIN 62.2
7-PRIZED BY BUCK 61.1

1st time starters - 3, 8, 4

RACE 7
4-MAMMA KIMBO 105.9
3-VISION IN GOLD 95.8
2-SISTER MOON 91.3
1-CANDY AND THUNDER 80.2
5-CANDREA 71.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-LADY KATFISH 61.3
7-SHE'S A GO GIRL 58.5
6-IRISH PRESENCE 56.5
1-TRULY BEAUTIFUL 37.0

1st time starters - 5, 4, 2, 9, 3

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Wednesday, November 28, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, November 26, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK today.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,477 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, November 25, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
3-QUITE SUNSHINE 64.8
5-SECRET GENIUS 59.6
6-SIEMPRE ESPERANZA 55.0
1-TWO FEATHERS 53.0
2-VAADKA LOGIC 52.6

RACE 2
7-NATALIE'S ACADEMY 57.5
4-WARREN'S MORGAN 57.0
2-REAL DREAM 53.0
5-SWEETRAYOFSUNSHINE 53.0
1-SEA OF DESIRE 51.1

RACE 3
4-BLUE JAY ATACK 88.8
1-ARRESTING OFFICER 78.0
6-L. A. WEEKEND 76.8
2-DUGAN BILL 71.3
3-CANDY'S SUNRISE 67.3

RACE 4
4-WALL DANCE 97.8
3-CHAPMAN'S PEAK 93.9
7-CONSULADO 86.9
2-MALIBU RUM 86.3
1-FLOATING FEATHER 83.2

RACE 5
2-EMULOUS 108.8
5-DAYATTHESPA 102.5
1-TIZ FLIRTATIOUS 99.5
6-STAR BILLING 98.4
8-FUTURE GENERATION 95.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
11-MANANDO 70.3
5-DISTINCTIV PASSION 62.7

1st time starters - 10, 6, 3, 9, 7, 4, 2, 1, 8

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
5-CINCO DE MARIO 72.0
2-BUCKLEBERRY GREY 69.8
10-PROCUREMENT 69.5
3-WILL TRUE UP 62.0
9-WINE LIST 57.0

1st time starters - 11

RACE 8
1-DEACON SPEAKIN' 93.2
9-NORTHERN IOWA 86.3
8-EMPIRE WAY 79.6
5-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 78.4
10-DYNAMIC HOST 75.4

RACE 9
4-GRANDEUR 111.8
6-GOLDEN TICKET 108.8
8-RJWA 105.1
9-MY BEST BROTHER 103.8
11-SPEAKING OF WHICH 95.2

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
11-MEDUSALINA 36.6
9-SONG OF A WITCH 35.8
10-APALACHEE SONG 35.0
7-WARREN'S FANTASY 23.8
13-TRAUMATIZED 21.6

1st time starters - 6, 2, 12, 14, 8, 3

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Saturday, November 24, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-HYENA 55.0
5-SWISS BLISS 48.8
3-TRIBAL RAIN 44.6
4-WELLINGTON BEAUTY 41.1
1-O HAPPY GRAY 40.3

RACE 2
9-WARREN'S BUGLER 50.6
7-ROARK 44.6 (off Sept. 11)
6-MR. DAY TRIPPER 43.8
2-ON I WIN 42.0
10-QUICK CENIZAS 36.2

1st time starters - 8, 3, 5

RACE 3
1-LANIDA 92.6
2-SO TEMPTED 80.8
5-ALL ON THE TABLE 80.2
3-MISS BECCA 77.8
6-THERE IS NO LIMIT 77.2

RACE 4
6-TORUK MAKTO 92.6
2-BIPARTISAN 76.0
5-MR T BIRD 64.8
3-FIT TO RULE 63.1
4-VANTAGE POINT 57.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 1

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
4-DEN'S LEGACY 79.0
3-RISING LEGEND 78.3
9-SHINING COPPER 74.3
8-CHRISTOPHER STREET 73.7
5-DANCIN UPSIDE DOWN 70.3

RACE 6
4-AXLE 64.8
1-GREEN TEAM 58.5
3-RUN CHARLIE RUN 56.5
2-COLD BAY 56.0 (off Oct. 11)
5-PARTIOTIC LION 50.6

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f. on turf)
6-TAP THE MUSIC 63.2 (steadied)
12-EMMY'S HALL 61.6
11-SECRET MEMO 54.1
7-CLEVERLY BEVERLY 44.6
3-PERFECTAMENTE 43.6 (slow start)

1st time starters - 8, 5, 1, 4, 9, 2, 10

RACE 8
5-MISS OOPS 85.6
1-TIZ THE TIDE 85.6
7-CONKATE 82.0
3-MOOJHA 78.4
2-DANCINGTOTHESTARS 75.4

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
5-PREMIER STEPS 92.9
4-MISS EMPIRE 80.8
9-FLASHY WAYS 79.0
6-BUTTERFLY SOUL 76.6
8-REDRESSTHEBALANCE 75.8

1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 10
13-STONE HOT 72.4
11-HOMBRE HUGHES 68.6
7-SPARKLE JOEL 68.1
6-FREE TIME 59.6
10-RIO GOOD 57.5
2-ITHOUGHTIPAIDYOU 57.0

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Friday, November 23, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




NOTE: ON THURSDAY 6 TOP PICKS WON THEIR RACES. FIVE OF THE TOP PICKS WERE IN THE PICK SIX. THE OTHER WINNER IN THE PICK SIX WAS MY 4TH SELECTION FOR THAT RACE, MY TOP PICK RAN 2ND.


RACE 1
5-CLEAR 80.2 (off Dec. 11)
2-NONREFUNDDABLE 75.4
4-A TOE BY THREE 72.0
3-IMFIXINTOWIN 72.0
6-HODGE 68.6

RACE 2
9-SUGAR SPICE 55.0
1-HELLO WALLS 49.2 (off Sept. 11)
2-TORRE ITALIANA 39.0
3-BARELY BEEN KISSED 38.2
4-TONY'S PINGUINI'S 21.6

1st time starters -5, 7

RACE 3
3-BROKEN DREAMS 101.1
4-KINDLE 97.7
2-SCHIAPARELLI 93.9
6-GIVINE 85.0
1-MADOFFWITHTHEMONEY 66.6

1st time starters - 5 (in the U.S.A.)

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-DISARM 65.4
7-WARREN'S ROCKY 64.3
3-LUZ ATTICUS 61.6
1-JUSTA GUSTA 50.6
4-GENERALLY OURS 48.8

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-O WILD WEST WIND 65.6
4-ALYDIDIT 59.6
3-CITY STATE 58.0
7-GENTLEMEN PETE 56.5
2-REAL HEAT 51.0

1st time starters - 5, 1

RACE 6
6-ALMOST A LADY 74.9
4-WOEBEGON 71.4
3-YUMA THURMAN 68.1
2-ROLL YOUR EYES 67.5
5-HIDDEN PASSION 66.4

RACE 7
3-DIME PIECE 77.8
7-SPECIAL CHARM 72.6
11-INOCULATE 69.2
5-CORINTHIAN MELODY 68.7
2-LEVEL HEADED 68.1

RACE 8
6-GOLDEN PRODUCTION 86.9
3-STANWYCK 83.2
5-PRIMAL DESIRE 76.0
2-INNER GROOVE 74.9
1-CHANGETHECHANNEL 73.1

RACE 9
6-JERANIMO 106.6
3-DATA LINK 103.1
1-ULTIMATE EAGLE 102.5
2-DOUBLES PARTNER 99.1
8-INTERACTION 97.8

RACE 10
6-COURAGEOUSANDBOLD 48.3
8-SHIMMERING STAR 45.1
10-YA WANNA HUG 44.6
3-RAMONA'S RIDE 42.9
2-MY BASHERT 42.0
1-GHOSTLY FEVER 41.7

1st time starters - 7

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Thursday, November 22, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $560,134

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
2-SHAKIN IT UP 90.0
5-SUPER NINETY NINE 89.4
4-REALLY MR GREELY 85.6
3-Z BIG APPLE 76.0
1-HEIR KITTY 70.3

RACE 2
8-MISSDANG SALLY 64.8
3-PARTY IN EXCESS 57.0
7-LADY COMIC 48.8
1-MY YAMMY HEAT 38.6
2-HANSERELLA 38.6

1st time starters - 5, 6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
3-MISS DEREK 67.0
4-FIFTYSHADESOFHAY 62.2
5-EXCHANGE STUDENT 61.4
6-SOLAR ECLIPSE 59.4
2-SCOOTER BIRD 34.4

RACE 4
4-BLUSHING MARTHA 76.0
6-SONG GIRL 76.0
1-TASTY TREAT 74.9
5-CATIENUS GOLD 71.4
2-LOVE TALE 68.1

RACE 5
1-BEAU ROYLE 82.6
5-THE BIEN'S GIFT 65.4
3-IDONTROLLONSHABBOS 64.8
4-MR.WHY WHY 61.1
7-HEY YUP 59.6

RACE 6
1-PRIVATE AFFAIR 94.5 (off Oct. 11)
4-SO BELLE 87.5
3-BYRONY 86.9
6-PLAZA DE INDIAS 85.0
5-HARD TO RESIST 82.0

RACE 7
4-CHURCH AVENUE 83.8
3-ROAR BABY ROAR 75.4
2-MELANISTIC 72.6
8-YOU CAN DREAM 72.6
7-TWELVE FOLDS 71.4

RACE 8
8-A TOAST TO YOU 89.4
9-TIME LORD 86.3
7-YOU KNOW I KNOW 85.0
5-SHADOW RUNNER 84.4
1-CANDY WALTZ 83.8

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-SACRED OVATION 67.0
11-WARRIOR JAMES 65.9
3-TAYLOR'S JOURNEY 46.9
7-FLEW FLICKER 42.4
8-BAY GAMBLER 39.0

1st time starters - 10, 4, 2, 6, 12, 14

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Wednesday, November 21, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK today.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,465 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, November 20, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK today.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,470 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, November 18, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $170,033.

RACE 1
8-CAN'T TOPPER 70.3
7-FIFTH COMMANDMENT 69.2
2-ROSSI RESERVE 65.9
1-MAGIC MAMA 59.7
6-KISS MY SWISS 59.0

RACE 2
6-CANDY'S JEWEL 91.3
2-TIZNOW OR THEN 79.0
4-UNUSUAL BEAM 76.6
7-SONG OF HONOR 70.3 (off slow)
8-SUMERIAN 66.4

RACE 3
3-SPARKLING STYLE 85.6
6-GOING FOR A SPIN 83.0
7-CAYANNA 77.8
2-WILLA B AWESOME 76.0
4-CAMILLE C 74.3

RACE 4
15-STREETS OF HEAVEN 86.9
4-POWER SERIES 86.3
10-LOW GEAR POWER 85.0
13-COLUDA 84.4
11-POKER DAVE 84.3 (off Aug. 10)

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
4-DR. SPIN 87.5
1-INFLAMED SPIRIT 83.2
7-R S WATSON 75.4
2-I'M WIDE AWAKE 73.7
9-FOREST BOY 54.0

1st time starters - 6, 5

RACE 6
5-MEGASTAR 97.8
7-SEATTLE RULER 95.8
4-HURRICANE LAKE 90.0
3-ARRAIGNMENT 88.1
6-MR. CANDY BAR 84.4

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-GREELEY AWESOME 65.4
5-LICO 54.0
12-LIMITED RESPONSE 53.5
6-MONTERY TALE 49.7
7-MONEY MAKIN SAM 47.8

1st time starters - 11, 9, 10

RACE 8
9-CHRISTMAS CANDY 86.3
1-MISS LADY ELLEN 83.2
3-SWEET NECTAR 77.8
4-OSCILLATOR 76.0
2-ZOE B 76.0

RACE 9
5-MARV 62.7
10-UNUSUAL MYSTERY 59.0
15-SUANCESONG 55.5
14-BULL TIME 55.0
4-STORMIN ARVIN 55.0
11-MR SUPERSTITION 55.0

1st time starters - 9, 13, 7, 6

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Saturday, November 17, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $31,286.

RACE 1
2-COO CACHOO 89.4
5-MAGIC BEAM 89.4
6-GUEST STAR 83.8
7-ROBIE THE CAT 82.6
3-LEAD BLOCKER 78.4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-SULTRY SEASON 57.5
1-FUNNY GIRL 57.5
5-JESSE'S GIACOMO 54.0
2-IT'S AINE 51.1
6-RICHIESGIRLGOTSOUL 47.4

RACE 3
2-TRIBAL JEWEL 99.1
5-PHANTOM LOVER 96.5 (off Nov. 11)
6-NO SILENT 91.9
4-SWIFT EAGLE 91.3
1-ACCELERANT 86.3

RACE 4
11-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 72.0
7-DAZZLETOWN 64.3
1-PUMPKIN PIE 59.3
8-BURTON'S ANGEL 59.0
2-BULL RUSH 59.0

RACE 5
13-EULA B. 76.6
9-CORINTHIAN MELODY 74.3
8-DRESS THE PART 71.7
5-STORMY RANDIE 69.2
16-BITT A HEAT 69.2

1st time starters - 10, 12, 1, 15

RACE 6
7-BET ON VICTOR 90.7
4-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 86.9
6-CLASSIC LEGACY 85.6
2-STONESIDE 83.2
1-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 74.9

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
11-CONTROLLED CHAOS 66.4
1-LADY ROSAMOND 63.2
10-FRENCH CURLS 49.2 (steadied)
8-MAZZY 39.9
3-DAWN'S CHARM 25.4

1st time starters - 5, 2, 12, 4, 6, 7, 9

RACE 8
4-RED SUN 98.4
2-MAUI MARK 97.8
1-BUD I CRUSHED IT 86.3
5-MENSA HEAT 85.0
7-MACHO DORADO 84.4

RACE 9
2-VONN NEZ 62.2
7-FLASHY DELIGHT 58.5 (4 wide)
3-INDIAN MAGIQUE 52.1
1-MY MOMENT TOO 51.1
5-NIGHT TELLER 46.9
9-TIZ LOVELY 46.9

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Friday, November 16, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
2-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 105.2
5-WILLYCONKER 105.0
4-AIN'T NO OTHER 97.8
3-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 95.8
1-CANULETMEDOWNEASY 85.6

RACE 2
1-MARK OF A WARRIOR 86.3
3-NATIONAL 82.0
5-PRIVILAGED 76.0
7-INDIAN WINTER 74.3
9-APPLY 69.2

RACE 3
1-PRINCESS SUANCES 68.6
13-CEE'S A TIGER 67.5
9-DEMOCRATIC SWEEP 67.0
7-SINGLE N LOVIN IT 60.1
8-IRENES JACKPOT 58.0

RACE 4
8-PLAYFUL HUMOR 69.8
4-CHESTNUT MOON 68.6
7-URANIA 65.9
5-BELONGING 60.4
1-SPIN THE BLUES 58.0

1st time starters - 3

RACE 5
5-HOMBRE HUGHES 75.4
2-BLING CHA BLING 70.9
3-BOLD AGRESSOR 67.0
1-OMAR 65.9
10-AWKWARD MONDAYS 62.7

RACE 6
6-WHIPSTOCK 95.8 (off Nov. 11)
12-EXULTANT 63.8
3-KENICHI 63.2
1-ATTICLUDE 63.2
2-GOODBYE CHARLIE 63.2

1st time starters - 8, 5, 13

RACE 7
6-CAT MEETING 83.8
9-JULES JOURNEY 82.6
5-MR. OMERY 80.8
8-AWESOME YEAR 80.4
1-UNUSUAL JAZZ 80.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-SWISS IN PARIS 45.5
10-DEFT TOUCH 44.2
9-SASSY BRUNETTE 35.8
16-APALACHEE SONG 35.0
1-MISS DENNY 34.2

1st time starters - 14, 15, 13, 2, 7

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Thursday, November 15, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-BALLARD RULER 68.1
4-LOVMEISTER 68.1
2-FIGHTING HUSSAR 64.3
1-LIFE A RILEY 61.1
5-STRETCH 60.6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-RESISTING ARREST 49.2
6-CLEVERLY BEVERLY 46.0
2-TRIBAL CUSTOM 45.1 (off slow)
4-KIPDIDDY DO 43.8
7-AMY'S CASHIN IN 41.1

1st time starters - 8

RACE 3
5-UNMARKED BILLS 79.6
7-GOYATHIA 76.7
1-PRIME NUMBER 72.6
6-CONGRATIONALIST 70.9
2-CATCANSCAT 45.5

1st time starters - 4, 3, 8

RACE 4
3- GO TO THE PULPIT 73.1
6-WON WON OH FIVE 67.0
2-JUAN'S TWIN 66.4
7-QUIET COMMAND 66.1
5-DEAL' EM 65.4

RACE 5
5-PASSIONVILLE 71.4
4-UNUSUAL DARLING 66.1
7-SPRING BLOOM 63.8
8-ANNALILI 62.7
3-LITTLE UNUSUAL 56.0
2-LETTHEPARTYBEGIN 56.0

1st time starters - 1

RACE 6
7-PRIDDIS WILDCAT 77.8
8-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 75.4
6-CLINTON 70.9
3-TIZ DYNAMIC 68.6
2-LASTMEMORIES 63.9

RACE 7
3-QARAABA 95.6
7-I DAZZLE 87.5
2-PLAZA DE INDIAS 85.0
8-LEFT A MESSAGE 82.0
9-ROMANTIC WISH 80.8

RACE 8
12-SURELY SWIFT 70.9
3-JAY'S FIRETRUCK 67.0
7-LITE THAT BABY UP 63.2
10-RED MAN RUN 62.7
9-SLEW'S FLASH 54.0

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Wednesday, November 14, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK today.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,465 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, November 13, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK today.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,465 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, November 11, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $115,998.

RACE 1
3-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 83.8
6-PINCELADA 79.7
4-NICE MEIDEL 76.0
7-THE GANG AND I 74.5
1-MS. G. I. JANE 69.8

RACE 2
4-BLUEGRASS REWARD 70.9
2-ASSET PLAY 70.6
8-MILES HEIR 70.3
3-LUCKY FITZ 69.2
7-RAINGEAR 68.1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-BACK TO BAKO 69.8
2-STAR ROCKER 68.1
4-TIZ A MINISTER 60.1
6-GENTLEMEN PETE 51.1
8-GALLANT CHARM 48.8

1st time starters - 5

RACE 4
5-PARTY WITH BRANDO 80.8
6-ALWAYS A CHANCE 79.6
1-STORMIN CEE'S 76.0
4-TOOMANYTOMATOES 69.8
2-ROSES FOR JONI 67.0

RACE 5
1-ROCK OFF 82.0
4-KEY REVERSAL 80.8
6-BABY BLAKE 80.8
8-IN HIGH REGARDS 80.2
5-CENTENARIO DE ORO 76.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
5-SHARP BELLA 64.8
1-SECRET MOTIVE 60.4
3-SARACH 58.0
9-HARD BUNS 54.0
4-HAVING ABIG MIDDLE 54.0

RACE 7
4-IDONTROLLONSHABBOS 82.0
7-RUN'N ON RESIDUALS 78.4
6-RICH KID 73.7
2-FIST PUMP 69.8
3-BROADWAY NIKA 69.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
3-RHODIUM 77.2
1-SCARLET STRIKE 73.7
6-TILDE 69.8
4-WITTGENSTEIN 65.9
2-MAGESTIC STINGER 62.0

RACE 9
6-NO MISTRESS 62.2
8-VALERIA 59.0
4-TIZ A DAISY 56.0
9-FIVE TIMES 53.5
5-TORRE ITALIANA 52.6

1st time starters - 1, 11

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Saturday, November 10, 2012

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
4-ROMAN CHARITY 81.4
6-INCLUDE THE BABY 81.4
1-GHOST N YOUR HEART 80.8
5-ADDENDUM 68.6
2-ZEES CHRIS 63.8

RACE 2
1-TRIBE 79.0
5-IN A WINE TIZZY 56.5
6-M TWO FORTY 54.5
4-MAVENOFWINTERSET 47.4
3-MAGNUM FORCE 47.2

1st time starters - 7

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
3-FURY KAPCORI 74.3
5-SIMON EYES 70.4
4-CARVING 70.3
1-GLENCO KID 61.6
7-AVARE 58.2

RACE 4
12-IMPERIAL PRIDE 77.8
3-MADEOFTHERIGHTSTUF 76.6
5-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 74.9
9-ROCKMYSTAR 74.3
11-WARREN'S CONCEPT 70.3

RACE 5
5-DONATO 90.0
1-PORFIDO 90.0
7-SCORPION TIME 86.3
10-EUROGLIDE 85.6
9-MOMENT OF WEAKNESS 84.4

RACE 6
9-BESAME SUANCES 70.1
7-LETHAL INTENT 59.0
14-STAR OF AMERICA 56.5
3-VALEN 54.0
15-MIDNIGHT RAVEN 51.1

1st time starters - 6, 2, 13, 16

RACE 7
6-LIBERTY CAP 102.8
1-SMOKEY LONESOME 102.5
4-CAUSEITHERTZ 95.8
8-ALPHIE'S BET 94.5 (off Aug. 10)
9-SURREY STAR 94.5

RACE 8
6-LIVE SUNDAYS 92.6
3-SHAUN WASHINGTON 90.1
5-CLOSE TO THE EDGE 88.8
4-GOLDEN ITIZ 88.8
2-BANK THE EIGHT 76.6

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f. on turf)
8-NAJRAN BREEZE 68.1
12-DICE FLAVOR 64.8
9-AERIAL ARTIST 62.2
4-REAL HEAT 61.0
6-ANYTIME 59.6

1st time starters - 5, 11, 14, 1, 7, 3

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Friday, November 09, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
2-ROOSTER CITY 101.8 (off Nov. 11)
3-MAKE US PROUD 85.6
1-JOE CARL 83.2
4-ARCODORO 82.6
5-STREETS OF HEAVEN 76.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-RUSSDICULOUS 69.3
4-DENZEL 36.6

1st time starters - 2, 1, 3, 6

RACE 3
1-TIP YOUR HAT 61.1
2-COMICAL KITTY 60.1
3-AROUND THE TWIG 56.8
4-TOTALLY BLONDE 54.0
6-SIEMPRE ESPERANZA 53.5

RACE 4
6-DRIFT KING 93.9
1-STONESIDE 90.6
9-RIBAT 90.0 (off Dec. 11)
3-MAX COOPER 88.8
8-GNARLY DUDE 83.3

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
10-GRADUATOR 66.4
9-QIAONA 63.2
4-DOUNGHARDTIMEAGAIN 60.6
2-HOT AND PLEASING 50.8
7-BLAZING DANCER 16.1

1st time starters - 1, 3, 6, 8, 5

RACE 6
8-GRUMPY SMALL MOUTH 92.6
3-BUDS PAL 85.1
7-LOVE THAT ACTION 85.0
6-DISTORT THIS 80.6
2-CHAMPIONS GATE 77.9

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-HOME JOURNEY 70.3
3-SACRED DELIGHT 66.4
1-AKISS FORAROSE 65.9
7-TRIBAL GAL 60.1
4-WINK AND WISH 58.5

RACE 8
1-CANDY TROPHY 80.8
6-MIA ISABEL 79.6
7-RISKY ART 73.7
8-LADY'S PLAN 70.9
5-SPICED LATTE 69.2

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Thursday, November 08, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
4-ATTACK THE JACK 81.4
5-CUPID'S BLING 64.8
2-NATALIE'S ACADEMY 60.1
6-STUDIO CITY 54.0
3-WARREN'S SAMANTHA 48.8

RACE 2
5-MUSICAL GRACE 67.5
1-VEE 62.2
4-RED MOON CAT 60.1
2-LIVING OUR DREAM 53.0
3-PLAZARITA 51.6
6-SHESKEY 51.6
7-MY FRIEND GAIL 51.6

RACE 3
1-KETTLE CORN 104.5
2-AKKADIAN 102.5
4-THIRTYFIRSTSTREET 96.5
5-OLIGARCH 90.7
3-QUINDICI MAN 80.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-SHE'S A GO GIRL 54.0
5-DIAMOND FLUSH 40.7
1-CAVALLA 35.8
6-KEVIN'S KOOL KAT 33.8
4-JANES SHIP 30.0

1st time starters - 7

RACE 5
6-COLLATING LADY 77.2
3-INCLUDE THE CAT 75.4
9-ELEGANT 73.7
7-RUFFLED FEATHERS 72.6
5-LAST STING 67.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
9-THE WHOLE DEAL 56.0
16-TRICE UP 48.3
4-DOUBLEDEESONTHETEE 39.9
3-VALLEY SPIRIT 36.6
5-SALAH CHAMP 33.8

1st time starters - 10, 7

RACE 7
1-CABO CHICO 94.5
9-MASTER CHEF 91.9
7-MY SLEW 89.4
6-CANDY'S SUNRISE 86.9
10-SUN'S OUT 80.1

RACE 8
6-PEPPY BOLLY 80.2
3-TANQUERRAY 68.1
1-CLASSIC JOURNEY 66.4
8-LITTLE UNUSUAL 58.0
5-LADY NOW 56.0

1st time starters - 4, 9

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Wednesday, November 07, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, November 06, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK today.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,459 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, November 04, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
4-SACRED OVATION 77.8
1-EL JEFE GRANDE 63.2
6-REALLY MR GREELY 62.2 (steadied)
2-STAR DESTINY 58.5
3-CHICO SUERTE 37.0

1st time starters - 5

RACE 2
4-MISS REDITORE 77.2
13-MISS BECCA 75.4
12-BRITENESS 74.5
1-DISTANT IMAGE 73.4
11-MISS WELL MOLDED 72.2

RACE 3
1-TAKING FORM 77.2
6-HOUT BAY 71.4
5-QUEEN MERCURY 68.6
3-ROCK U UP 68.1
4-DELILAH JONES 61.6

RACE 4
6-QUIET SUNSHINE 58.5
3-CALIFORNIA ROLL 56.0
8-SILVER LUNA 55.0
7-MY MOMENT TOO 54.0
1-COUNTRY SOUL 53.0

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-WEDNESDAY 75.4
6-ROSIES READY 69.8
1-ESCAPE ACT 60.6
4-BLUSHING ANGEL 58.0
3-CHRISTMAS SECRET 40.7

1st time starters - 5, 7

RACE 6
4-QUIZZICAL 83.9
11-KUNE KUNE 80.8 (off Nov. 11)
1-BLUSHING MARTHA 80.3
13-LEMON HERO 80.2
8-MARY FILDES 79.6

RACE 7
3-FIT TO RULE 83.2
5-CAREER STUDENT 73.7
6-HOMETOWN HERO 72.6
7-SOUL SAVER 71.8
4-BRANNAMAN 71.4

1st time starters - 9

RACE 8
3-RHYTHM OF LIGHT 106.5
2-LET'S GO CHEYENNE 96.5
5-CITY TO CITY 95.8
6-HARD TO RESIST 90.7
8-A JEALOUS WOMAN 90.7

RACE 9
9-TOOMANYLUCKY'S 76.6
7-SIDEPOCKET KID 70.9
12-CHEEZY BREEZY 69.2
11-JUST TRIPPING 68.1
10-BIG BAD JIM 67.0

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/8 mile on turf)
12-PROCUREMENT 72.5
5-I'M WIDE AWAKE 70.9
4-VISUALIZATION 67.0
10-CINCO DE MARIO 67.0
1-IRISH SURF 64.8

1st time starters - 3, 7, 9

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Saturday, November 03, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR BREEDER'S CUP SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
4-UNUSUAL WAY 76.0
1-BARES TRIPPER 73.1
2-SWITCH TO THE LEAD 65.9
3-TRULY MARIE 64.3
5-SULTRY SEASON 60.6

RACE 2(all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
12-MICO MARGARITA 88.1
2-UPWARD SPIRAL 87.5
10-DEN'S LEGACY 77.7
6-ONE FIRM CAT 77.2
3-SNOW KING 75.3

RACE 3
4-MILE HIGH MAGIC 107.3
5-PRIVATE ZONE 102.5
3-POLITICALLYCORRECT 99.1
2-OUR LUCKY SON 95.9
1-BROTHER FRANCIS 95.2

RACE 4 (all 2yo. going 1 mile on turf)
6-DUNDONNELL 111.8
3-GEORGE VANCOUVER 109.5
2-ARTIGIANO 109.3
5-FANTASTIC MOON 101.7
14-LINES OF BATTLE 99.2

RACE 5
9-GROUPIE DOLL 126.8
3-DUST AND DIAMONDS 112.2
8-MUSICAL ROMANCE 107.9
6-TURBULENT DESCENT 106.6
2-BELLE OF THE HALL 97.8
5-RUMOR 97.8

RACE 6
6-SHAKLEFORD 129.0
7-EMCEE 121.0
3-JERSEY TOWN 119.3
5-FED BIZ 114.3
1-RAIL TRIP 112.9

RACE 7
9-BRIDGETOWN 115.0
8-GREAT ATTACK 112.2
2-CAMP VICTORY 111.8
1-CALIFORNIA FLAG 107.9
5-NEXT QUESTION 107.9
7-RENEESGOTZIP 107.9

RACE 8
4-SHANGHAI BOBBY 105.2
2-SPEAK LOGISTICS 99.8
9-POWER BROKER 97.8
1-TITLE CONTENDER 97.8
6-DYNAMIC SKY 89.4

RACE 9
3-ST NICHOLAS ABBEY 135.3
1-POINT OF ENTRY 123.0
12-TRAILBLAZER 120.1
4-TREASURE BEACH 117.2
5-SHARETA 115.5

RACE 10
11-AMAZOMBIE 122.3
6-FAST BULLET 119.3 (off Nov. 11)
8-CAPITAL ACCOUNT 118.6
13-POSEIDON'S WARRIOR 118.6
9-TRINNIBERG 116.4
5-JUSTIN PHILLIP 116.4

RACE 11
6-EXCELEBRATION 145.3
9-MOONLIGHT CLOUD 135.3
2-WISE DAN 126.8
3-OBVIOUSLY 123.8
1-MR. COMMONS 119.3

RACE 12 - BREEDER'S CUP CLASSIC
5-GAME ON DUDE 129.8
2-FLAT OUT 126.8
11-MUCHO MACHO MAN 123.8
4-FORT LARNED 123.0
9-RICHARD'S KID 117.9
10-RON THE GREEK 117.9

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Friday, November 02, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR BREEDERS CUP RACES FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
11-QUAIL HILL 95.2
8-TE RAPA 92.6
9-SWIFT EAGLE 91.3
6-SAINT LOUP 90.2
12-PARATITO 86.9

RACE 2
7-BIG TIZ 96.5
9-MAGICAL BAND 85.0
10-MISS OOPS 83.8
1-AMY'S OUTBURST 81.4
8-MY BRITE CAROLINE 80.2
2-CONKATE 80.2

RACE 3
1-GOT EVEN 102.5
12-MALIBU RUM 91.9
7-MACHO DORADO 91.3
6-NORTHERN IOWA 88.8
3-PRIDE OF SILVER 87.5

RACE 4 - BREEDER'S CUP JUVENILLE SPRINT
3-MERIT MAN 102.5
2-CEILING KITTY 94.9
5-SUPER NINETY NINE 93.2
4-SOUTH FLOYD 83.8
7-SWEET SHIRLEY MAE 76.6

RACE 5 - BREEDER'S CUP MARATHON
2-FAME AND GLORY 108.8
7-NOT ABROAD 108.6
12-WORTH REPEATING 106.6
10-ELDAAFER 105.9
1-ATIGAN 105.2

1st time starters - (in U.S.A. fgn.) 6, 9

RACE 6 - BREEDER'S CUP JUVENILE FILLIES TURF
3-SKY LANTERN 102.8
4-FLOTILLA 98.4
10-WATERWAY RUN 92.0
5-SPRING VENTURE 90.7
6-WATSDACHANCES88.1

RACE 7 - GREY GOOSE JUVENILE FILLIES
1-BEHOLDER 105.0
8-KAUAI KATIE 100.2
3-SPRING IN THE AIR 92.6
2-EXECUTIVEPRIVILEGE 91.9
5-DREAMING OF JULIA 91.9

RACE 8 - BREEDER'S CUP FILLY & MARE TURF
4-THE FUGUE 124.5
8-NAHRAIN 115.0
2-ZAGORA 114.3
7-UP 111.5
9-MARKETING MIX 110.7

RACE 9 - BREEDER'S CUP LADIE'S CLASSIC
5-AWESOME FEATHER 120.8
6-ROYAL DELTA 120.1
1-GRACE HALL 117.2
8-LOVE AND PRIDE 114.3
4-QUESTING 113.6

RACE 10
2-SPEAKING OF WHICH 118.6
7-GRANDEUR 105.8
8-MY BEST BROTHER 104.5
6-OLD TIME HOCKEY 96.5
1-REGULUS 94.5
5-ALL SQUARED AWAY 90.0

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Thursday, November 01, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY



REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
7-VAN BRIT 89.4
1-AMBITIONESS 82.6
6-FOLK DANCER 82.6
5-TRUE EXPECTATIONS 82.0
2-THERE IS NO LIMIT 78.8

RACE 2
3-AWESOMEMUNDO 100.4
2-BRIECAT 90.7
1-IN THE STARS 82.5
4-MAY DAY ROSE 77.2
5-LADY OF FIFTY 77.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
14-SECRET MEMO 59.6
10-DERBY HAT 40.3
13-TRIBAL RAIN 37.8
1-BLUEJOY 32.6
9-PANFILA 27.5

1st time starters - 5, 3, 7, 11

RACE 4
4-ROLL YOUR EYES 67.5
7-HERE COMES BONNIE 64.8
6-PUMKIN PIE 64.3
8-VEGAS RULES 63.2
3-WILD BELLA 62.2

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
3-CITIZENSHIP 68.6
5-SOLAR ECLIPSE 64.8
10-SUNCADIA 62.7
7-LADY KATFISH 61.6
6-SWEET RED CAT 60.1

1st time starters - 9, 2, 8, 1

RACE 6
11-OMAR 62.7
3-RIO GOOD 62.2
13-SPARKLE JOEL 61.1
9-FREE TIME 60.1
5-NATE DAWG 58.5
4-GEORGIA'S FRIEND 58.5

RACE 7
3-QUAINTLY 85.6
2-ACENDA 85.0
4-ELANA MAR 83.8
1-MORE CHOCOLATE 82.6
5-DEMONSTEROUS 78.4

RACE 8
2-SPIT BALL 72.6
10-GREEN TEAM 58.0
6-ON HOLY GROUND 58.0
5-SUANCESONG 57.5
13-MR. NIGHT FEVER 56.5
9-POPPY PEAK 55.5

1st time starters - 1

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