Wednesday, August 31, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $341,252.

RACE 1
1-CAVALLETTA 52.1

1st time starters - 3, 4, 6, 2, 5

RACE 2
5-UNCLE GREG 76.8
3-JOKER FACE 74.5
6-TE RAPA 70.9
4-FULL EFFECT 68.9
1-VALLEY FOG 68.1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
12-SHEZA GREAT FRIEND 47.4
9-ANSEDE 46.4
14-BOLD REMARK 43.3
13-JIMINI CHRISTMAS 39.9
3-ALL I WANT 36.6

1st time starters - 11, 10, 7, 6, 2, 8, 5, 1

RACE 4
12-CERTIFIED DIAMOND 77.8
3-THRICE THE VICE 75.4
1-PROUD CARDENAL 75.4
11-COLOURSOFTHEGLEN 72.0
9-RAINGEAR 68.6

RACE 5
5-PICK AND PRAY 79.6
10-FULLBRIDLED'S SIS 74.3
4-SUBPOENA THE DRESS 71.4
9-INDIARA 68.1
7-MOTEL STROLL 67.0

RACE 6
4-ALASKA MISS 96.4
7-NICE MEIDEL 93.9
8-LINDA LOU 92.6
6-WEST RULER 83.8
5-CAME WEST 76.2

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-POWER OF NINE 81.4
1-HELENOR RUGBY 72.6
8-RIVER KISS 71.4
9-BACKWOODS BELLE 71.4
5-LOOKIN FOR JONESY 70.3 (off slow)

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-TRUCO LATINO 58.0
4-JEFFERY'S PRIDE 39.9
12-JERSEY JOE 34.2
11-TAYLOR MARINI 33.0
1-SWISS GUARD 30.4

1st time starters - 5, 10, 2

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, August 30, 2011

 

DEL MAR - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, August 29, 2011

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2078 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, August 28, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


RACE 1
3-WINSOME CHARM 90.7
7-CAYAMBE 89.4
6-GOTHIC SAMURAI 88.8
4-INTERPATATION 80.8
5-DEPUTIFORMER 80.8

RACE 2
5-ADRIATIC MOON 90.7
1-MEMPHIS 87.5
6-ROSEMOUNT LAD 80.8
4-BIG BURLY BOY 80.2
2-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 79.0

RACE 3
3-BOURBON BAY 102.5
5-SOUL CANDY 102.1
6-IMPONENTE PURSE 97.1
4-CELTIC NEW YEAR 96.5
1-MAKE MUSIC FOR ME 95.2

RACE 4
9-DELUXE BUS 89.4
1-FREE TIME 78.4
2-HALF DOME DUDE 78.4
6-OFFLEE WILD BOYS 76.6
8-GIBSON HOME RUN 74.3

RACE 5
5-SMILING TIGER 123.0
3-CAMP VICTORY 117.2
4-THE FACTOR 115.0
6-CROWN OF THORNS 93.2
1-DON TITO 91.3

RACE 6
4-BORN LUCKY 79.0
3-CORRESPONDENT 73.7
7-FLAWLESS JEWEL 69.2
1-THISISMYSTAGE 68.1
9-SKY FLYING EILEEN 66.1

RACE 7
12-AEROMON 80.8
1-ARMENIAN STAR 76.0
13-HOTSTEPPER 69.2
6-GAHNZO BOB 68.6
9-SHANE DANIEL 67.0
10-WARREN'S DR. YANG 67.0

RACE 8
3-TAMARACK SMARTY 98.4
1-ALLEY HONDRO 98.4
11-MATTO MONDO 97.1
2-PLEASURE TO RIDE 96.5
10-FERNELEY 96.5

RACE 9
9-GAME ON DUDE 117.9
10-TWIRLING CANDY 117.2
5-ACCLAMATION 113.6
6-SETSUKO 111.4
1-DON CAVALLO 108.6

RACE 10
3-GILLLIGAN 89.4
12-JOE CARL 89.4
1-ROYAL IMPORT 77.8
8-SIR BELL 77.2
5-KINGSVILLE 76.0

RACE 11
1-MAKE MINE REMY 67.0
12-CANDYS GIRL 55.5
9-DUDA TEN 52.6
10-MUM'S JOKE 51.6
3-PAT'S DREAM 45.5

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, August 27, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $110,856.

RACE 1
6-LORD VRONSKY 85.2
5-STARSPANGLED HEAT 82.6
4-UNUSUAL BEAM 78.4
1-CRANKY JACK 75.4
7-AMORACCHIUS 70.9

RACE 2
7-CLUE ME IN 82.0
1-MR. SATURDAYNIGHT 79.6
6-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 76.6
3-TEQUILA GOLD 73.7
4-BLAME THE JOCKEY 63.8

RACE 3
2-PHANTOM LOVER 91.3
7-ROCK THIS WAY 83.8
4-ULTIMATE DECISION 65.9
6-TED 47.8
5-HEY KILLER 31.5

1st time starters - 3, 1

RACE 4
7-RED ALERT DAY 95.8
4-STONESIDE 92.6
1-ERBEIA 91.9
5-SPORTING ART 88.8
2-HUDSON LANDING 87.5

RACE 5
7-HOLLADAY ROAD 90.0
1-HE BE FIRE N ICE 86.9
8-BLUEGRASS REWARD 83.2
4-ROMEO ROYALE 80.6
10-KILLER BEAR 80.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-HEART'S MEMORY 61.6
1-VICKI VICTORIA 58.5
6-WAR EXCESS 57.5
5-WARREN'S MO MONEY 55.5
2-TOLUCA 55.0

1st time starters - 3, 4, 10

RACE 7
2-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 108.6
1-KORBAN 101.8
7-SINAI 97.1
6-CHOSEN MIRACLE 96.5
4-DETAILS R SKETCHY 95.8

RACE 8
1-CHAMP PRGASUS 108.6
2-CARACORTADO 106.6
5-OUR NAUTIQUE 106.6
4-CALIMONCO 99.8
6-VICTORY PETE 97.8

RACE 9
8-TIZ GOLDEN 80.8
5-MAGIC BEAM 70.3
10-COMPETENT 69.2
7-VALUATION 67.6
9-FOREBODING 66.1

1st time starters 1

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, August 26, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-FORTY DATES 78.4
1-SHE'S VERY RARE 73.1
7-DISH THE DIRT 67.5
8-APPEALING RESUME 66.4
6-CAPALETTE 58.5

RACE 2
7-QUIETLY MINE 92.6
1-YANKEE GONE SOUTH 91.9
2-QUICK ENOUGH 89.4
8-PALIO PRINCE 82.1
5-JOYFUL SUCCESS 69.4

RACE 3
6-FIELD REPORT 83.8
5-MINT HUMOR 76.6
2-MADEOFTHERIGHTSTUF 74.9
7-HOTRADAMUS 63.8
3-CRISPY COREY 58.5

1st time starters - 4, 1

RACE 4
9-SPIRIT TO WIN 102.3
1-L.A. WEEKEND 89.4
5-GET FUNKY 88.1
6-EL ADELANTADO 87.5
8-CONNAGHER 82.0

RACE 5
9-BEE EFF EFF 66.4 (off Dec. 10)
3-EVASIVE CHARMER 65.9
1-SPARKLE NATION 52.1
6-OUR BONITA 51.1
4-LITTLE UNUSUAL 43.8

1st time starters - 2, 10, 7, 8, 5, 11

RACE 6
9-FARLEY STAR 91.9
1-FIRST SETTLER 91.3
3-MUTUALLY BENEFIT 85.6
7-LILLY FA POOTZ 83.8
4-SUZETTES FRIEND 83.2

1st time starters - 8 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 7
4-RED DWARF 67.5
6-DEPTH 64.3
3-MY T QUICK 62.7
9-SPICY BEAU 58.0
7-SANIBEL SID 42.9

1st time starters - 12, 8

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, August 25, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


RACE 1
1-MASSONE 99.8
3-PRICE 97.8
4-HYADES 84.4
5-DO IT ALL 79.0
2-SUMMER MOVIE 77.2

RACE 2
5-TEDDY'S PROMISE 94.5
9-MY UNTAMED HEART 92.6
8-DAZZLING DISPLAY 90.0
6-BROWN IS BEIGE 86.3
1-BALLISTIC SUE 83.9

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-A TOE BY THREE 75.4
5-J MAN 67.5
3-TUMMEL 63.8
1-FEAR THE BEARD 60.1
8-SUPER CANDY 43.8

1st time starters - 4, 2

RACE 4
5-INITIAL IMPRESSION 82.0
6-EL NADIA 82.0
2-WAKE ME NOW 81.5
8-HAMEILDAME 80.8
1-GUMPTION 77.2

RACE 5
3-EDGEWICK ROAD 67.5
4-CLASSY LION 67.0
8-FULED BY KAFFINE 57.5
5-PURE DISTINCTION 57.0
7-SIR ED 55.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-POINTS OFFTHEBENCH 71.4
4-ALREADY THERE 60.6
2-GOT EVEN 59.0
8-MR SPROLES 42.9
6-TROY STORY 42.0

1st time starters - 7

RACE 7
9-SCORPION TIME 97.8
8-ISLE OF PRADO 93.9
2-DYNAMIC HOST 92.0
5-VICTORIAN PRINCE 91.3
1-VERY FAIR 84.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
13-SHEZA GREAT FRIEND 45.1
12-KVELL 38.6
4-LADY ARAGORN 28.6
14-EVELYN TROUBLE 20.6
10-TONY'S PINGUINI'S 18.3

1st time starters - 5, 8, 1, 7, 6, 9, 2

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, August 24, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


RACE 1
7-ADMISSION 100.4
3-STREET ROCKET 81.4
5-WAR ELEMENT 70.4
6-ROCK OFF 70.3
1-HY HAND POKER 69.8

RACE 2
2-POWEROFVOODOO 76.6
5-LISA LULU 67.5
3-NO KA OI 64.3
7-HOT CITIZEN 62.2
1-PRYTANIA 54.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo.going 5f.)
6-WILD DATE 56.0
5-PUNCH DRUNK 51.6
3-BEHAVIORAL 41.1 (steadied)
4-BIG GIRL 41.1
7-ASK ME LATER 40.7
8-SILVER STREET 40.7

1st time starters - 2

RACE 4
4-KISS MY SWISS 78.4
8-ROXY 77.2
6-CHOKECHERYMARY 76.2
5-FRIGID BRIDGET 75.3
2-JET SET GIRL 74.9

RACE 5
5-TUESDAYS WITH P 76.6
3-WINTER BLOSSOM 72.6
1-ROULETTE IT ROLL 69.2
4-CHK CHK BOOM 57.5
8-GOOD ACKTRESS 57.0

RACE 6
9-LEAVIN IN A LIMO 58.2
6-VOLACIOUS 54.0
8-EXPENSIVE PENS 47.1
1-WARRENS TEMPTATION 46.7
7-RED MOUNTAIN 44.2

RACE 7
8-RED SUN 107.3
5-NORVSKY 105.9
4-JOHN JOHNY JAK 102.5
2-SOUL CANDY 101.1
3-LEROY'S DYNAMEAUX 101.1

RACE 8
10-VICTORIOUSLY 72.6
6-SEE N WIN 69.8
11-LADY LAZER 67.0
7-ABOVETHEINFLUENCE 65.9
4-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 62.7

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, August 23, 2011

 

DEL MAR - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, August 22, 2011

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2071 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, August 21, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-LADY FAIRBANKS 76.6
4-CANDY AND THUNDER 64.3
3-MOLLY'S ALL HEART 47.8
5-BULLETGIRL 46.9

1st time starters - 1, 2

RACE 2
5-LIBERAL ARTS 95.2
8-POLLY'S DANCER 80.8
3-BLINGGBOY 79.0
7-CAT IN THE FOREST 73.7
6-MACK'S GOLD BULLET 72.0

RACE 3
5-IRISH GYPSY 101.1
7-JET BLUE GIRL 96.5
6-TANDA 95.8
2-SHE'S CHEEKY 89.7
4-MILDLY OFFENSIVE 89.4

RACE 4
1-BUTTERFLY BEACH 89.4
6-SCREAMING REGAL 87.6
9-WALLSTREETER 83.8
4-ROSEHILL DEW 81.4
7-ANNIVERSARY GIRL 80.2

1st time starters - 5 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 5
9-DAVE'S PACEMAKER 97.8
3-AFLEET DEAL 97.1
6-PATRIOTIC SOLDIER 81.4
5-GALLATIN'S RUN 80.2
4-MOSSAD 74.3 (off Oct. 10)

RACE 6
1-HALO DOLLY 93.9
5-CAITIE'S SECRET 83.2
6-WARREN'S JITTERBUG 81.4
3-CHALULA ONE 80.8
2-ALWAYS IN STYLE 79.6 (off Aug. 10)

RACE 7
9-L'ENCHANTERESSE 64.8
5-LIMERICK LANE 63.2
7-GOTHAM SPIRIT 60.6
11-MAGICALLYTOWN 60.6
10-DANCE LITTLE ANGEL 57.0

RACE 8
7-OILISBLACKGOLD 104.1
5-THEY CALL HIM EL 95.2
1-RENEGADE STORM 93.9
9-ANTIDOTE 91.9
2-DONATO 88.8

RACE 9
5-BOOMTOWN 64.8
7-WARREN'S WILD THING 58.5
9-PUSHBACKJACK 58.0
14-CHI CHA CHA 54.5
13-YOU LITTLE DEVIL 52.6

1st time starters - 4 (vanned off 1st race), 12

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, August 20, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


RACE 1
3-BLAZING ALONG 72.6
1-RIGHTEOUS RENEE 70.3
2-HONEY'S PRIZE 56.0
4-IRISH CHIMES 54.0
5-INCLUDE ME OUT 33.0 (off Aug. 10)

1st time starters - 6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-HOT RIDE 69.8
2-INQUISITIVE SON 61.6
7-RESPUESTA SOLIDA 58.5
4-NICOS MEMORY 58.0
5-SUNNY SUPERSTITION 57.5

RACE 3
2-MISS MITTAGONG 92.6
4-TALKTOOMUCH 89.4
1-BERG BAHN 87.5
5-SMART STRIKING 80.2
3-MADERA CASTANA 79.0

RACE 4
7-THE HUNT IS ON 79.0
1-EXUMA 70.9
2-LE'HEAT 63.2
6-BRASS PLATE 63.2
5-MONEY INCLUDED 57.0
3-BELL BLITZ 57.0

RACE 5
7-MISS RESPLENDERE 72.6
3-SO TEMPTED 70.9
6-SENTIMENTAL BALLAD 70.9
2-LAKE OSCEOLA 64.8
4-SANTABARBARABENDITA 63.8

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS (9 horses - all 1st time starters)

RACE 7
3-VALKYRIE MISSLE 99.1
7-MAYBE YES 97.8
8-MASTER CHEF 95.8
4-VIA VERDE 95.8
11-PRINCE INTENT 91.9

RACE 8
3-SUMMER SOIREE 112.2
11-HALO DOLLY 102.5
4-BIZZY CAROLINE 99.8
9-NEREID 98.4
2-STAR BILLING 97.8

RACE 9
6-THOR'S BULLET 85.6
1-SKY THRILL 84.4
5-CAFE CON LECHE 83.8
2-RUMMYSECRET WAR 76.0
10-RIBALD 76.0

RACE 10
1-MISS MYSTIC 60.1
10-WARREN'S LADY 54.5
7-BENECIA 44.6
12-JADE'S SONG 41.6
2-JUNES BLUE MOON 40.3

1st time starters - 4, 9

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, August 19, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $79,933.

RACE 1
8-WADE COUNTY 55.0

1st time starters - 2, 3, 5, 1, 4, 7, 6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-REAL DREAM 55.0
7-STAYCLASSYSANDIEGO 54.5
2-SAVY SMILES 54.5
6-WARREN'S FANCY 53.5
1-OUTRAGEOUS BELLE 51.6

RACE 3
4-CACTUS FLYER 77.8
8-REBECCA 76.0
6-MAGIC SCHOOL 74.9
1-TRIBALICIOUS 69.8
7-SUGAR SPIKE 68.6

RACE 4
1-FULL FASHIONED 63.8
5-MY BRITE CAROLINE 53.5
3-GENIALITY 43.3
7-TIZ HEARTLESS 39.9
2-DANCIN HOOVES 39.4

1st time starters - 4

RACE 5
2-MIZDIRECTION 93.2
7-BAUBLE QUEEN 88.8
8-DOS LUNAS 86.9
4-ELVIES LANE 84.6
11-DYNAMO 79.0

RACE 6
6-LEASE OF LIFE 82.0
5-CAPT. SPARROW 79.6
1-SIR BELL 74.9
9-LUV DRAGON 74.9
3-MAN CHESTER MAN 73.7

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-UNUSUAL HEATWAVE 75.4
1-BIG BAD BARRY 62.7
10-RUNSTEVIERUN 53.0
4-RON BURGANDY 52.1
5-OUR BOY BENJAMIN 46.0

1st time starters - 9, 7

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, August 18, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
4-MUNY 101.8
5-GOLDEN MEXICO 99.8
1-MATTO MONDO 93.2
2-FARLEY STAR 86.9
3-YANKEE BRAVO 74.3

RACE 2
3-MAMMA JANKA 65.9
8-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 62.7
1-NANA BEACH 57.5
2-HOLLYWOOD AFFAIR 50.2
5-FIESTA EXPRESS 36.2

1st time starters - 7, 6

RACE 3
1-PORTIFOLIO 55.0
3-SILVER LUNA 54.5
7-JANE PICKLES 54.0 (off June 10)
8-ZEES CHRIS 53.5
5-LADY'S TASTE 50.2

RACE 4
2-DUKE OF ASPEN 85.0
1-FOOLISH COMMENT 78.2
5-DANCING JOY 77.2
4-ONE NATION 74.3
7-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 68.1
3-DR. HUDSON 68.1

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-MIA ISABEL 73.1
6-MADE TO LOVE HER 59.6
7-DUALITY 59.0
2-CASCINA 57.5
3-SMOKE TRAIN 43.8

1st time starters - 10

RACE 6
6-PRIVATE BOUNTY 80.8
5-MANDATED BLISS 77.1
1-SWISS TART 76.0
3-FIRST STRIKE 75.8
4-GREGOR 75.4

RACE 7
11-DANCE WITH GABLE 95.2
10-VAUNDELL 93.2
12-LORDGIVEMEALIFT 93.2
7-ARRESTING OFFICER 87.5
3-POP'SHANDS ARE HOT 85.0
5-NOFTY 84.4

RACE 8
6-DETECTIVE POIROT 74.3
10-COAL REGION KID 67.8
7-CRESTON COWBOY 60.6
5-QUIETLY WAITING 59.6
1-ONEBADBOY 53.0

1st time starters - 13, 8, 11

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, August 17, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
4-FULL EFFECT 59.8
1-NEARLY WAS MINE 58.8
6-DONTSHOOTTHEDEPUTY 53.5
5-TAPFORTEXAS 50.5
3-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 50.0

RACE 2
1-ZIPPEN E 65.4
4-FIRST QUEEN 58.5
5-HOT TICKET 56.6
3-ANGEL OF MYSTERY 56.5
2-WARREN'S ROSE 52.6

RACE 3
7-EX LOVER 88.8
8-HARD SON 85.0
4-WARREN'S GOT GAME 83.8
3-KICKEN OFF 81.4 (off Nov. 10)
6-LAST STING 80.2

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-RIDE CAPTAIN 48.8
5-TEASING BERNIE 44.6
3-RARE SONG 30.0
6-BIG HANDS AL 21.9
8-TABOOSE 15.5

1st time starters - 1, 4, 2

RACE 5
4-CALIFORNIA HEAT 69.8
1-ALALA 67.5
10-PLATINUM MINE 63.1
7-AMELIA ROSE 62.7
6-BODIE GIRL 62.5

RACE 6
9-INDY RIDE 88.8
11-PROUD CARDENAL 83.7
4-U. C. MERCED TWO 78.4
7-FLEET CONTINENTAL 73.7
13-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 72.0

RACE 7
2-VENTANA 107.3
5-KINSALE KING 105.6
6-GALLANT SON 100.4
4-STREAKIN' MOHICAN 99.1
7-LT. HOPEFUL 92.6

RACE 8
4-JEOPARDY LADY 65.4
9-LOVELY SOPHIA 50.2
7-WARREN'S GENIUS 45.1
1-SOMENCHANTED EVENIN 38.8
10-BAYONA 37.0


Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, August 16, 2011

 

DEL MAR - INFORMATION ABOUT MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, August 15, 2011

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2064 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, August 14, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $142,756.

RACE 1
3-CACTUS HOUSE 69.2
6-THE GREAT ATLANTIC 64.7
4-MONA STORM 63.8
2-MARCH MARY 62.2
5-MAGIC MAMA 61.6

RACE 2
5-MAESTRO 96.9
6-CAT TALK 90.7
9-BIG BUSINESS 90.6
7-LEMOU 86.9
8-EXTENSIVE 85.6

RACE 3
1-VALEN 69.5
3-SENTRY DUTY 68.6
6-THUNDER'S HEAT 56.0
5-STARDUST DANCER 52.6
8-STORDDIM 51.6

1st time starters - 4

RACE 4
1-CATO MAJOR 79.0
2-JUDGE JOAN 74.9
3-MISSPEANUT 72.0
7-SUBPOENA THE DRESS 71.2
9-INDIARA 69.8

RACE 5
1-WHIPSTOCK 97.8
4-TIZ GIANNI 90.7
9-GUEST STAR 82.0
2-IVANHO 75.3
3-HY HAND POKER 74.8

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-LOVE MY WAY 74.9
12-SWEET NOTHINGS 72.0
1-SILENT SAGA 62.7
9-A RACING DELIGHT 56.5

1st time starters - 2, 4, 5, 11, 10, 6, 3, 8

RACE 7
10-GAB POWER 86.9
1-MINISTER D'ORO 86.9
7-VISUAL INTENSITY 83.8
5-ROMEO ROYALE 82.0
12-GREEN CARD JAMES 81.0

RACE 8
10-GLAMORISTA 107.9
9-HALFAPONDAROSA 91.3
2-EVITA'S SISTER 88.8
1-GOOD VIBRATION 82.5
4-PINK LENINADE 80.2

RACE 9
7-CELTIC PRINCESS 107.9
8-MEDAGLIA D'AMOUR 105.9 (off May 10)
4-MALIBU PIER 101.8
3-WASTED TEARS 101.1
2-COZI ROSIE 99.1

RACE 10
3-DEL MAR DUDE 67.5
14-DETECTIVE POIROT 63.8
8-SPURR ROAD 57.0
11-YOU LITTLE DEVIL 54.5
2-BROTHER ERNIE 54.0

1st time starters - 4

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, August 13, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
3-GILLIGAN 87.5
5-RACKETEER 83.2
7-FOG ALERT 82.0
1-DIXIE TROUPER 74.6
8-KEEN BIDDER 72.8

RACE 2
5-RECIPIENT 77.8
4-SECRET COVE 73.1
7-LEMON DROP RIDGE 71.4
9-IRENES JACKPOT 69.8
3-CACTUS JANE 69.8

RACE 3
4-JUST IMAGINE 83.8
3-TUXEDO BLUES 71.4
2-NIJINSKY'S SONG 65.9 (off Aug. 10)
6-SEAL ROCK 47.8 (start)
7-DEATH STAR 46.0

1st time starters - 1, 5, 8

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-FIT TO RULE 82.0
5-GROOVIN SOLO 66.4
2-SEAL THE DEAL 57.0
4-FALCON'S THRONE 52.1
6-SPIT BALL 51.6 (start)

1st time starters - 3, 7

RACE 5
5-PHOTO SHOPPED 83.8
6-KINGSFORD DRIVE 82.6
8-FIFTH DIMENSION 79.6
1-MOMENT OF WEAKNESS 79.0
4-NAHEM 77.8

RACE 6
6-FORTUNATE APPEAL 82.6
9-GOLD STAR 69.2
1-ME SALTY 68.6
5-NATURALISTE 67.5
7-DANZING TRIBAL 66.4

RACE 7
1A-EYE ON JACOB 96.5 (entry)
6-CENTRALINTELIGENCE 96.1
3-ACHAK 95.8
1-JAYCITO 91.3
2-BALLADRY 86.3

RACE 8
7-MIDNIGHT INTERLUDE 94.5
4-BURNS 90.7
2-THIRTYFIRSTSTREET 86.9
1-TEMPLES DOOR 86.9
3-SURREY STAR 86.3

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-WAR EXCESS 43.8
5-NATALIE'S ACADEMY 35.8
7-TOO SHARP 34.2
11-WARREN'S ASSASSIN 18.0

1st time starters - 4, 8, 1, 10, 3, 2, 9

RACE 10
2-EL NADIA 86.3
10-BELLA ROJA 80.2
3-R VICARIOUS GIRL 73.1
1-ENTABENI 72.0
9-ALTAR OF ROSIE 71.4


Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, August 12, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
6-PRAISE FOR DUBAI 55.55
4-SURPLUS 44.6
1-HOTRADAMUS 42.9
3-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 42.0

1st time starters - 5, 2

RACE 2
6-CHINESE PRAISE 76.0
4-DEVOUR 69.8
8-FUELED BY KAFFINE 65.9
7-LOS BOMBEROS 63.2
2-STU'S GONE WILD 56.0

RACE 3
2-LA SOMBRE 82.6
8-DOT'S MARK 58.0
9-LITTLE UNUSUAL 56.5
5-CLEAN BREAK 52.5
4-WARREN'S PERFORMER 48.8

1st time starters - 1, 6

RACE 4
8-GUTSHOT STRIGHT 86.9
1-TRIPLE ACTION 69.9
2-WELCOME HOME RYAN 69.8
4-IWANNAIWANNAIWANNA 67.5
3-QUITE AN HONOUR 65.9

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-JESSAKAR 39.0
7-FRIENDLY MARY 38.2
4-PUMKIN PIE 31.1
2-BACKWOOD'S BELLE 30.4
5-LADY'S PLAN 29.7

1st time starters - 1, 8

RACE 6
7-THREE FOR MARINO 79.6
4-BENCH GLORY 76.0
2-U TURN ME CRAZY 75.4
5-SWEET BAGUETTE 74.9
1A-QUEENIE MARINI 74.3 (entry)

RACE 7
1-UNZIP ME 107.3
3-GIVINE 105.9
4-BROKEN DREAMS 105.2
6-SEPARATE FOREST 99.1
7-WAVELINE 92.6

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
9-FEAR THE BEARD 60.1
12-TRAWEEK 56.0
11-DANGER RANGER 55.0
10-NAVY SEAL SIX 39.4
6-YANKEE DAN 37.8
3-FOREST SOUVENIR 36.6

1st time starters - 5, 2

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, August 11, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
7-COMPETENT 69.8
5-FRENZO 68.6
2-BLUE ROCK 56.0 (off Nov. 10)
8-FORT WILLIAM 52.6
3-CRESTATORRE 46.9

1st time starters - 4, 6

RACE 2
2-MERRYTAGIO 69.5
5-STUNNINGLY 67.0
3-CRAZYFORLOVINGYOU 59.6
4-TIA TIA 57.0
1-SHAME ON LILY 50.6

RACE 3
1-VOLACIOUS 59.0
3-IGNITED 56.6
8-ALEX T 51.6
9-JAKEY BOY 50.5
10-PERSONALITARY 45.1

RACE 4
4-REMUS 98.4
1-GALLETA MONSTRUO 94.5
5-BRADY BLUE EYES 87.5
6-SUMMERS AT DELMAR 86.9
2-DOMONATION 83.8

RACE 5 (all 2yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-CANDY AND NUTS 50.6
8-COURTNEY'S PRIZE 41.6
3-BOLD REMARK 39.9
9-ALL I WANT 33.4
5-FREE ITCH 22.8

1st time starters - 10, 4, 1, 2

RACE 6
5-DIAMOND JOURNEY 81.9
6-SECRET OATH 76.0
3-CARRIE ROSE 74.9
1-PRINCESS BEAU K 74.0
8-MELBISHA 68.6

RACE 7
2-SALTY SARAH 95.7
5-LINDA LOU 92.6
4-CALIFORNIA NECTAR 89.4
6-WEST RULER 84.4
7-PRINCELADA 84.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-WARREN'S DIGGERS 41.1
8-TAYLOR MARINI 38.2
4-RINO U 30.8
6-SWISS GUARD 28.2
10-CHANGE ORDER 27.2

1st time starters - 7, 1

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, August 10, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
1-SPORTING ART 98.4
2-WALTZING WITH BLUE 90.0
5-CALIFORNIA SOLDIER 86.9
6-HUDSON LANDING 86.9
4-FIRE BREAK 86.3

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-CHILLING COMMAND 46.9
1-SHEZA GREAT FRIEND 45.1
4-SILVER STREET 40.7
7-EVELYN TROUBLE 24.8
5-WARRENS MORGAN 11.6

1st time starters - 3, 6

RACE 3
1-CHURCH AVENUE 86.9
2-PICK AND PRAY 77.2
5-SAVAN' BRIANNE 77.2 (off Oct. 10)
3-SOUL CUSTODY 74.9
4-JUDGE JOAN 70.3

RACE 4
4-SQUARE DEAL 100.4 (off Dec. 10)
7-WESTERN SMOKE 99.0
2-LT. HOPEFUL 98.4
6-KATE'S EVENT 90.7
1-CHEROKEE HEAVEN 88.8

RACE 5
7-DEARLY CONCERNED 84.4
5-BIG TSIMMIS 82.0
1-TUESDAYS WITH P 81.4
8-PEACEFUL TOWN 74.3
4-RACHEL JONES 71.4

RACE 6
8-BORN LUCKY 79.0
5-IZSHELEGAL 71.4
6-VALERIA 70.3
7-FLAWLESS JEWEL 68.1
1-BLUE GRASS MUSIC 64.3

1st time starters - 4

RACE 7
3-BENCH POINTS 103.1
4-CHILOQUIN 102.5
6-LUCKY MR K 101.1
5-WARREN'S KNOCKOUT 100.4
1-SPUD SPIVENS 91.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-A TOE BY THREE 73.7
9-TALE BE TOLD 57.5
4-OBSERVANCE 56.0
7-HE'S A BANDIT 50.6
1-GOOD MOJO 39.4

1st time starters - 5, 8, 10, 3


Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, August 09, 2011

 

DEL MAR - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, August 08, 2011

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2056 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, August 07, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $145,934.

RACE 1
2-CHOSEN MIRACLE 107.9
5-WALL STREET WONDER 106.6
3-MENSA HEAT 103.3
1-LEGAL SEPARATION 96.5
4-KELLY LEAK 85.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-FRISKY MOMENT 46.4
6-CRIMSON GIANT 25.8

1st time starters - 3, 4, 5, 2, 1, 8

RACE 3
7-VOTE OF APPROVAL 77.2
5-UNCLE GREG 76.0
4-MY BOY LUKE 75.4
1-ARAGORN SWORD 74.3
2-FULL DEPUTY 73.1

RACE 4
2-PARABLE 66.4
3-TAPFORTEXAS 62.2
1-JOKER FACE 55.1

RACE 5
6-ABOVETHEINFLUENCE 68.1
5- FREE RANGE 64.3
7-L'ENCHANTERESSE 64.3
8-ASHABU 61.6
1A-WARREN'S GLITTER 61.1

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-CHA CHA LATTE 71.4
8-BLUEGRASS STORY 65.4
12-CAVALLETTA 64.2
6-SMOKE TRAIN 54.0
7-TAP IT TWICE 51.6

1st time starters - 5, 2, 10, 4, 11

RACE 7
9-WAKE ME KNOW 85.0
4-AROUND THE TWIG 83.8
8-HAKUCHI 83.8
1-HOPEFUL UNION 81.4
5-AMBITONESSE 77.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-CREATIVE CAUSE 108.6
1-I'LL HAVE ANOTHER 88.8
7-BRIGAND 86.9
4-NIGHT TIDE 81.4
5-GALEX 77.2

RACE 9
8-JUSTICE REIGNS 79.0
5-MR. SATURDAY NIGHT 78.2
6-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 74.9
2-FORWARD COMMITMENT 74.4
1-CERTIFIED DIAMOND 72.6

RACE 10
11-ROULETTE IT ROLL 62.7
6-MAGIC MAMA 62.2
9-SOCIAL EVENT 62.2
3-TAKETHEMONEYANDRUN 58.5
10-BELLA GIORNATTA 58.0

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, August 06, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
2-HURRICANE LAKE 90.0
3-MACHO DORADO 88.1
6-OFFLEE WILD BOYS 80.8
5-RED SNAP HUMOR 76.2
4-CAT IN THE FOREST 72.6

RACE 2
3-FORTY DATES 73.7
5-GOTHAM SPIRIT 62.2
4-MEADOW LAKE QUEEN 55.5
8-HIDDEN ROMANCE 50.2
1A-WARREN'S SWAP FOX 48.3

RACE 3
6-WINSOME CHARM 92.6
8-GOTHIC SAMURAI 88.8
4-MR. KATZ 88.8
5-BOLINAS 86.3 (off March 10)
2-PORFIDO 82.0

RACE 4
4-KHENDUM 72.6
5-BLAZING ALONG 57.5
3-IRISH CHIMES 54.5

1st time starters - 6, 8, 7, 1, 2

RACE 5
4-MASTER CHEF 107.3
6-HE'S A DANCE STAR 104.5
3-QUICK ENOUGH 100.4
10-REAGAN REPUBLICAN 97.7
1-CAUGHT A FLYER 94.5

1st time starters - 8 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-BLING CHA BLING 85.0
11-BASMATI 76.0
2-TRUCO LATINO 64.3

1st time starters - 3, 6, 4, 9, 1, 5, 8, 10

RACE 7
3-CAYAMBE 90.7
4-SKYRUSH 88.8
2-JAIRZIHNO 88.1
6-ARCODORO 87.0
7-WILLYCONKER 85.0

RACE 8
4-SWITCH 112.2
1-FREEDOM STAR 110.0
5-ULTRA BLEND 105.9
6-ST TRINIANS 101.8
7-ELLAFITZ 101.1

RACE 9
9-GET MY FIX 79.0
3-PREFERRED MANDATE 71.4
10-MAGICAL INSTINCT 71.4
5-FLEET CONTINENTAL 71.4
13-LOOKING FOR CANDY 69.8

RACE 10
5-LEAVIN IN A LIMO 70.9
12-LINK SUANCES 64.3
8-WARREN'S TIGER 60.1
11-ALEX T 55.5
3-CLOCKER MOMENT 52.1
9-AWESOME BRADY 52.1

1st time starters - 6

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, August 05, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
1-BRAVE JOURNEY 55.7 (entry)
7-KISSES FOR KATE 51.6
4-SEAN S 51.1 (off Nov. 10)
2-RUNNING ISABELLA 48.3
5-GAME CHARMER 46.4

1st time starters - 1A (entry), 3, 6

RACE 2
1-SOLAR ROCKET 101.8
6-AEROMAN 70.3
5-ARMENIAN STAR 69.2
4-MEGA HEAT 68.6 (off Nov. 10)
3-SILENCIO GATO 67.5

RACE 3
3-CHECKMARK 85.0
8-STARSPANGLED HEAT 73.4
7-UNUSUAL BEAM 69.8
4-FULL EFFECT 66.4
5-SUN'S OUT 61.6

RACE 4
7-DELUXE BUS 96.5
5-TART N SMART 79.0
2-FREE TIME 76.0
1-SUPERCARLS REMEDY 69.2
6-RIBAT 65.9

RACE 5
6-LEASE OF LIFE 82.0
9-ADVICE 79.6
4-MAN CHESTER MAN 72.6
5-RIVERGRADE BOY 70.3
8-JUST HEAT 69.8

RACE 6
3-ADVANTAGE PLAYER 92.5
7-MY UNTAMED HEART 92.5
8-COALBANKS LANDING 91.3
2-HOT AFFAIR 91.3
12-SLEEP TIGHT 86.3

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-KILLER GRACES 72.6
8-HELEONOR RUGBY 70.9
6-MIGHTY CAROLINE 68.1
3-WILA B AWESOME 65.9
2-MADE TO LOVE HER 64.8

RACE 8
10-MAKE MINE REMY 58.5
5-IMPERIAL SUITE 57.0 (off slow)
9-GIRLS LACROSSE 56.5
1-BROOKLYN ROSE 56.0
12-RAGS FOR BEN 54.5

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, August 04, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
5-SO TEMPTED 68.6
1-NANA BEACH 62.7
7-STARY LIGHT 60.1
2-LUNAR LOVEGAL 35.8
3-FLAME TREES 32.9

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
2-BALLESTERO 85.6
4-LOW GEAR POWER 78.4
6-ROYAL IMPORT 77.8
5-KINGSVILLE 77.2
3-PICO PICO 76.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-MIA ISABEL 65.4
5-WILD TRUFFLES 52.1
4-LASSO FROM EL PASO 45.5
2-SCREAM QUEEN 37.8

1st time starters - 7, 3, 6

RACE 4
4-SKY THRILL 84.4
14-LORDGIVEMEALIFT 79.0
3-CHIEF'S LAKE 74.3
1-DON ELIAS M. 73.1
6-FOREST PRINCE 72.6 (off Dec. 10)

RACE 5
1-IT'S CANDY TIME 65.9
7-HEIDI MARIA 64.3
5-THISISMYSTAGE 60.9
4-SKY FLYING EILEEN 60.6
6-JEOPARDY LADY 54.0

RACE 6
5-COURTSIDE 101.1
10-MAGNIFICENT BLEND 99.1
4-BERTRAN HILL 91.9
3-BERT'S LAW 86.3 (off Oct. 09)
8-MEMPHIS 85.6

RACE 7
3-CATCHY TUNE 88.9
1-PURE CLASS 88.8
5-AWESOMEMUNDO 86.9
4-TORO BONITO 86.9
6-ELVIES LANE 82.6

RACE 8
2-RED DWARF 69.8
13-BLIND MAGIC 65.4
4-DANCING YODELER 56.5
8-BRYAN DANIEL 56.5
12-MELO LASER 53.5

1st time starters - 7

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, August 03, 2011

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
3-IMPERIAL PRIDE 76.6
2-TIZ GOLDEN 73.1
1-INDIAN KNIGHT 66.4
5-SENTRY DUTY 49.7

1st time starters - 6, 4

RACE 2
4-MONTERY JAZZ 101.8 (off April 10)
2-INDIAN FIREWATER 101.1
1-PREAMBLE 100.5
3-EL MARTILLO 99.1
5-COFFEE BOY 76.0

RACE 3
12-THREE FOR MARINO 82.6
1-MISS GEORGIE GIRL 72.0
11-WINTER BLOSSOM 69.2
6-DESPERATE MEASURES 65.9
7-CACTUS FLYER 65.4

RACE 4
3-VEILLIT 73.7
1-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 70.9
7-REALLY ELEGANT 68.1
4-SHEEZA BEAST 61.4
2-FIRST QUEEN 60.1

RACE 5
11-LORENBRAY 58.0
4-WARREN'S LADY 50.6
1-RANDOM LUCK 44.6
10-GOLDEN TRANQUILITY 38.6
6-UNBRIDLED THOUGHTS 37.0

1st time starters - 3, 9

RACE 6
10-KETTLE CORN 95.7
7-BIG WAGS 94.5
8-BOULDER CREEK 94.4
5-HIATUS 93.1
4-WHIRLING THUNDER 89.6

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-SHERMAN BARTLEBORT 85.0
5-UNHITCHTHETRAILOR 71.4
3-INQUISITIVE SON 64.8
7-PEND OREILLE 63.8
9-RULER OF DUBAI 59.0

1st time starters - 8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-SUPER CANDY 46.0
4-JERSEY JOE 36.2
5-SUNNY SUPERSTATION 32.3
10-RUN FOR MILES 26.5
11-LEGAL VICTORY 25.1

1st time starters - 1, 7, 2, 14, 6, 8

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, August 02, 2011

 

DEL MAR - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, August 01, 2011

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2050 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?