Saturday, November 30, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-DESIGNER 91.9 (off April 12)
2-CONGREGATIONALIST 73.7
6-PROUD BOSS 73.7
7-WARREN'STYLER S. 66.4
3-TRIBE 64.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
6-PABLO DEL MONTE 97.1
5-AOTEAROA 79.6
4-GLOBAL VIEW 68.7
1-ROYAL BANKER 68.4
2-ONTOLOGY 62.7

RACE 3
1-MONEY CANNON 87.5
5-TOO FAST TO PASS 80.2
2-DERRINGER 78.4
7-TAHOE FLASH 76.0
6-ONE FIRM CAT 73.7

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-CLENOR 81.4
6-FULL RANSOM 77.2
4-LOVE IN THE DESERT 77.2
5-NESSO 76.0
1-SAVINGS ACCOUNT 73.7

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-THIS CAT'S AWESOME 64.3
2-BRANDO THE BIRDMAN 60.1
1-EVEN TO THE MOON 59.0
7-SCAMALOT 43.8
6-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 42.9

1st time starters - 3, 4, 5

RACE 6
8-TURN ON THE PUMPS 85.0
5-BROWN BOSS 80.8
3-VOLKONSKY 78.4
7-SOUL CANDY 77.2
9-APOLLO TEN 77.0

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-PRAY HARD 74.9
1-MAUCO 53.0
4-CINEMATIC CAT 41.6
8-PRINCE OF PARIS 30.8 (5 wide)

1st time starters - 6, 2, 5, 7

RACE 8
5-HE'S A DANCE STAR 95.2
2-BROKERED 90.7
7-WILLYCONKER 86.9
1-U S CITIZEN 86.3
6-INSIDEONDOUTSIDE 85.0

RACE 9
8-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 98.4
4-DANDEREK 95.8
1-COOK INLET 91.9
3-GILLIGAN 83.1
7-SENATOR BOB 77.8

RACE 10
11-GRAND GAMBLER 53.5
3-MARY HELEN'S STORM 51.6
5-AMERICA RISING 51.6
9-MAGIC DADDY 50.6
2-SOUL SAVER 50.6

1st time starters - 13


Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, November 29, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
7-CHARISMA CODE 54.0
1-REGAL RANDY 40.7 (forced in - start)
4-MOSSO 38.2
6-HEAD SOUTH 24.8 (broke stride)
2-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 10.9

1st time starters - 5, 3

RACE 2
4-JUDGE CARR 80.2
6-TURN ON THE BRITES 77.8
7-HOLLYWOOD HEIST 63.2 (off June 12)
5-TRIBAL SMOKE 62.7
2-TALE BE TOLD 62.7

RACE 3
8-MR. BOSSY PANTS 95.2
5-DIXIELAND BLUES 88.8
3-TRELAWNY 86.9
6-KOAST 85.0
1-REGALLY SOUL 79.7

RACE 4
10-KEVIN'S KOOL KAT 52.1
9-GLAD'S GALS 44.7
3-PERFECT TANGO 44.7
2-SPEEDY VIXEN 44.6
6-NEZI O'S GOLD 43.8

RACE 5
9-JOURNEY ON 88.1
8-ZANBO 88.1
5-SENSATIONALIZE 83.2
4-FOXY BOSS 80.8
2-PASSIONATE DIVA 80.2

RACE 6
8-MUCHOS BESOS 90.0
6-TRULEE SCRAPPIN 82.6
4-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 82.6
3-HURRY HOME CLOVER 81.4
5-SANDY'S DIAMOND 78.4

RACE 7
8-WINNING PRIZE 112.9
7-SILENTIO 100.4
2-SUMMER FRONT 100.4
6-BRIGHT THOUGHT 99.1
5-BIO PRO 96.5

RACE 8
5-ATTA BOY PETE 97.8
3-AMERICAN ACT 91.9
2-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 89.4
4-HEIR KITTY 77.8
1-SAY OW 61.6

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles on turf)
5-ELITE EIGHT 69.2
9-GALEHORN 64.3
10-PRACTISING 60.6
8-KAZAM 59.0
2-MADAME HEAT 55.6

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, November 28, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
4-INNER GROOVE 57.5
2-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 51.6
6-LIA JULIANA 51.6
1-SUNLAND VINTAGE 51.6
3-BROWN IS BEIGE 51.1

RACE 2
2-DREAMY BLUES 76.6
3-SEA JOHN'S SPIRIT 65.9 (off April 12)
8-HUMOR ME 53.5
7-SHANDY 52.0
6-LYLA DELLA 39.9

1st time starters - 5, 4, 1

RACE 3
9-ALL ON THE TABLE 82.0
5-TANGERINE TICKLE 77.2
8-WITH A MIRACLE 76.8
2-CREDITCARDROULETTE 71.4
10-BLUSHING MARTHA 71.4

RACE 4
6-COLOR OF COURAGE 102.5 (off July 11)
4-MAJESTIC STRIDE 100.4
5-CHOSEN MIRACLE 89.4
1-ANILLO 82.0
2-HANDSOME MIKE 77.2

RACE 5
1-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 71.4
11-RED GLOBE 69.8
7-THUNDER COLE 68.6
2-HURRYHANK 68.1
4-LITTLE UNUSUAL 64.3
5-GENTLEMEN PETE 64.3

1st time starters - 6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-IN DAD'S HONOR 50.2
1-TOO OBVIOUS 46.0
7-VEGAS BOUND 42.0
2-CURVY KITTEN 23.8

1st time starters - 6, 8, 10, 4, 3, 9

RACE 7
6-FURY KAPCORI 101.5
10-CHINA PRINCE 88.8
9-AVARE 87.5
4-DRY SUMMER 84.4
8-PROCUREMENT 84.4

RACE 8
10-SHAND 65.4
4-PRINCESS OF PEARL 62.8
2-ELUSIVE LUCI 59.1
7-MOON RIDE 58.5
11-PERFECTAMENTE 56.0

1st time starters - 5, 3

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, November 24, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $226,598.

RACE 1
6-DUNMORE EAST 82.0
4-MACIAS 78.4
2-DA RULER 64.3
1-AFLEET COWBOY 55.5
3-MINISTER OF TRADE 47.4

RACE 2
7-ADDENDUM 73.7
5-ROSSI RESERVE 68.6
2-JULIO'S GOLD 67.5
6-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 62.3
1-GRANNY CALLING 60.6

RACE 3
5-NEED YOU NOW 85.6
1-JUDY IN DISGUISE 85.0
3-INCLUDE THE AUSSIE 84.4
4-BECKY LOU 82.0
2-JOEANDBETTY'SBABY 75.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-FRIENDSWITH K MILL 65.4
7-SNUGGLEY BEAR 64.8
5-TEST RIDE 58.6

1st time starters - 2, 3, 4, 6, 9, 8

RACE 5
7-MAGIC NUMBER 52.1
6-WINK AND WISH 52.1
5-SWISS BLISS 51.6
3-LIL CHEYENNE 49.7
1-GABBIANO 49.7

RACE 6 (all 2 yo going 6f. on turf)
12-BOURNE HOT 61.1
15-RELATIVE TIME 58.8
7-ARKENSTONE 57.5
6-MY SECRET AFFAIR 54.5
8-NOOTEN 54.5

1st time starters - 3, 1, 9, 10, 11

RACE 7
6-ROUSING SERMON 106.6
4-CYCLOMETER 100.4
1-STARSPANGLED HEAT 92.7
2-SPIRIT RULES 92.6
8-LUCKARACK 88.1

RACE 8
7-HIDETHGOODSTUFF 76.2
8-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 74.9
6-LUXURIANCE 74.3
2-LUCKYVIC 69.8
3-WARREN'S ROSEBUD 67.0

RACE 9
5-AMANDA 53.5
9-RICH IN TRADITION 47.4
3-DULCEMIA 46.9
7-VALARTA 41.6
6-SECRET MEMO 40.7
8-SHEZA EYEOPENER 40.7

1st time starters - 4

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, November 23, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $40,898.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
3-BEING THERE 50.2
1-LIEUTENANT SEANY O 49.2
4-SHOWMEISTER 42.9
2-ANYTHINGTOGETEVEN 38.2
7-COOLINGTON 36.6

RACE 2
5-FIELD REPORT 92.6
6-BRO'S BRO 84.4
3-JONNY'S CHOICE 77.2
2-MR. ORNERY 76.6
7-OLD MAN LAKE 72.6

RACE 3
7-SPACECOAST 74.9
4-TWO BLUE HENS 68.1
8-REAL BRIGHT BOOTS 67.0
5-ROLANDA 64.3
1-ROUST 'EM BERTIE 55.5

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
10-SHE'S FLUSH 48.8
9-ANOTHER VICTORIA 46.0
8-NANCY WAKE 41.6
3-U R LUCKY 35.8
6-CHICAGO ANGEL 31.9 (steadied)

1st time starters - 4, 2

RACE 5
4-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 87.5
6-MAJORMAJOR MAGIC 80.8
3-MR. CANDY BAR 80.8
9-TAMA COUNTY 80.4
7-DEPRECIABLE 77.8

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
10-A P PEPPER 52.1 (4wide)
7-LA CASADORA 47.4
5-QUICK APPROVAL 44.2
2-GOODHUMORGIRL 44.2
3-PRETTY STORM 43.3

1st time starters - 9, 6, 4

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f. on turf)
4-SALISTA 69.8
3-MISS LOUJEAN 59.6
15-SIERRA ELECTRICA 50.2
13-DIVINE WAY 39.9
9-KEEPNHERINTHEDARK 22.2 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 2, 5, 1, 8, 6, 10

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
7-BETTER BET 79.6
3-GREEN MASK 76.4
6-TAMARANDO 74.9
5-LIFE IS A JOY 74.3
1-KARMA KING 71.0

RACE 9
3-RED SHARP HUMOR 97.8
8-AFFLICATION 87.5
5-MOMENT OF WEAKNESS 82.6
4-BOBBY HANDY 79.0
12-TWIN SIX 79.0


Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, November 22, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
1-CANDY BOY 75.4
6-HOLD EVERYTHING 74.3
3-SONGFORJOHNMICHEL 43.8
5-ROCK HARD CITY 24.1

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 2
5-POSHKY 79.0
4-TOMMY O 72.0
1-QUICK CIELO 66.4
3-EBONY GOLD 62.7
6-HOOSIER DIDDY 59.0

RACE 3
8-SECOND PROPOSAL 76.0
5-BENCH PRESS 70.9
4-STREET CHOIR 69.2
2-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 67.5
6-BURLISTER 64.8 (off June 12)

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
1-CONSECRATE 68.1
4-AFSANA 66.4
2-CAUSE IM A BIGSHOT 57.7
5-FASHION PLATE 52.6 (forced out)
3-BLUNDERSTONE 52.1 (off slow)

1st time starters - 7

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-ACCOMMODATION 82.0 (3 wide)
1-PRAYER BE MINE 68.1 (slow start, 4 wide)
3-HARLINGTON'S ROSE 59.6
8-SMOOVE IT 57.0
5-MEINERTZHAGENI 56.5

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f.)
8-FRANDONTJUDGE 58.5
2-TOOKMEBYSUPRISE 54.5
5-DIAMONDDUSTED 52.6
7-GOLDEN CELESTIAL 47.8
4-LAROCCO 45.1

RACE 7
3-SPRING BREEZE 90.0
6-TAPPINGINTHERAIN 84.4
1-MUM'S TRUCKEE 83.2
4-PEPPY BOLLY 79.0
2-MECHAYA 77.2 (off Nov. 12)

RACE 8
2-ENGLISH PUDDIN 65.9
3-AMULAY 65.4
1-PAWN SHOP 64.3
5-WARRENS CHINA DOLL 62.7
10-PSALM SIXTEEN 62.2
7-TRIBAL RAIN 60.1


Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, November 20, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





THERE WILL NOT BE ANY HORSE RACING PICKS OR HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY DUE TO DRF RACING FORMS DELIVERIES BEING DELAYED INTO RENO, NV.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


 
BETFAIR PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM


THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


 
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,755 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, November 17, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVWR FOR TODAY IS $710,601.

RACE 1
7-HE'SOT BLUFFIN 77.2
3-ONE FIRM CAT 76.6
6-TAHOE FLASH 75.4
4-NO CONTIGENCY 68.6
1-KAFISRER 64.3

RACE 2
5-BOBBY FLAY 79.0
1-BLUE COLLAR BOY 78.4
7-WARREN'S JOE T. 77.2
8-AS GOOD AS GOLD 74.9
2-PUBLIC DEFENDER 70.9

RACE 3
4-QIAONA 95.9
5-SISTER KATE 83.8
1-WARREN'S VENEDA 80.7
3-CIAO BELLA LUNA 77.2
2-CURVY CAT 75.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-RON'S BOY 53.0
3-HEAVENELEVN 39.0
2-PYROTECHNICS 30.0

1st time starters - 6, 8, 5, 1, 7

RACE 5
2-BLU JON 97.8
4-HOLY CANDY 93.2
6-NORTHERN IOWA 87.5
5-ADMISSION 86.3
3-TIS DYNAMIC 83.2
7-CURLY TOP 83.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
9-YANA 73.1
6-PAPA'S DANCING 54.0
5-MIA LUCCIA 49.7
7-MAGIC SPOT 47.8
3-SINGLEINTHELAST 40.7

1st time starters - 1, 4, 8, 2

RACE 7
4-SOMETHING UNUSUAL 90.7
8-EMPTY HEADED 88.8
3-BROTHER PETE 87.5
6-BENCH LIGHT 86.3
1-MY SAMAURAI WARRIOR 83.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
7-GLOBIE HOTTIE75.4
5-MOSCATO GIRL 65.9 (3 wide)
8-BETTY BING BING 63.2
10-EUROCLYDON 43.8
2-CHILDA 39.0 (BUMPED, 3 WIDE)

1st time starters - 1, 3, 9

RACE 9
1-LIVE THE FORTH 79.0
14-SHE'S ALL YOURS 67.5
2-SPLENDIFEROUS MOON 65.4
7-ACUTE 62.7
3-WARREN'S JUDY 57.0
6-UNKEPT RENDEZ VOUS 55.5

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, November 16, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
2-SILVER HUSTLER 81.4
3-CHANGETHECHANNEL 79.0
4-IRISH PRESENCE 75.4
1-ROCK AND GLORY 74.9
5-MS PIANIST 73.7

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-MAXIMINUS 62.7
1-CLOSET E 56.5
3-PAPA'S PAISLEY 54.5
9-KE IN MOTION 45.1
7-SAMURAI ASSAULT 42.9

1st time starters - 8, 2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
2-GEORGIA 77.8
1-BE PROUD 74.3
6-SAINTLY JOAN 70.4
3-ARETHUSA 64.8
4-PLEASANT MISS 62.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
10-LIFE'S JOURNEY 72.6
6-I'LL WRAP IT UP 69.2
1-PANTERA ROJO 59.0
4-BLUEGRASS FOX TROT 56.1
2-EVEN ECHO 52.4

1st time starters -12

RACE 5
8-TIZHARDTOGET 70.3
10-CITIZEN JANE 64.8
5-PUFF PASTRY 60.1
2-MAKE MORE MONEY 59.0
7-SUNLAND VINTAGE 59.0

RACE 6
5-LILLY'S PERFECT 84.4
7-MIA ISABEL 76.6
3-PERFECTA 73.7
2-DISTANT IMAGE 72.6
4-SPICED LATTE 72.0

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-FUZZY LOGIC 64.3
3-BIG MEDICINE MAN 62.7
8-MELATONIN 56.5
1-ANXIOUS TIMES 56.0
5-WRIGHTWOOD 30.4

1st time starters - 2, 11, 6, 14, 10

RACE 8
4-GOLDEN PRODUCTION 90.7
1-PEARL DE VERE 88.1
6-LUCKY STUDENT 85.1
2-ESCAPE ACT 83.2
10-BLUSHING MARTHA 81.4

RACE 9
3-MAGIC NUMBER 53.0
5-SILVER GUN GIRL 48.8
8-KYLEE'S STAR 48.3
10-SOUL SEARCHER 47.4
1-KRAZY FOR KUGEL 45.1 (off slow)
7-CHARGER GIRL 42.4

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, November 15, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
6-SAN ONOFRE 75.4 (off Dec. 12)
3-DREAMOFATTICUS 70.9
2-I'LL FLY FOR YOU 64.3
1-MR LEMON TREE 63.8

1st time starters - 5, 4, 7

RACE 2
4-KEVIN'S KOOL KAT 53.5
8-LETHAL MISS 49.2
2-VISIONS OF CANDY 48.3
1-U R MY CANDY GIRL 41.0
7-RSWEET SERENDIPITY 34.6

RACE 3
1-TREE OF LIFE 93.1
2-THIS ONES FOR MEL 85.6
4-SINFULLY 80.2
6-BOYETT 80.2
5-PERSUASIVE 78.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-INFOSEC 50.6
4-STILL UNBROKEN 46.4
7-TAX ENOUGH 42.4
10-WESTERN SHOWDOWN 30.8
5-DELI DUDE 26.8

1st time starters - 11, 9, 8, 2

RACE 5
5-DOLPHIN SHORTS 62.7
10-TZ ANNA 61.6
8-FLASHY DAME 54.0
6-WILLETA 52.5
3-MISS JUDGED 52.1

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-ABIDE IN ME 69.8
4-RED BARRIS 48.3
2-CACICA DULIMA 48.3

1st time starters - 7, 6, 5, 1, 10, 9, 3

RACE 7
3-GONNA FLY NOW 102.9
7-ET TU WALKER 100.4
5-SILVER DRAGON 97.8
9-ROYAL F J 94.5
8-EL MIRAGE KING 93.9

RACE 8
9-SANDYS DIAMOND 81.4
4-BROADWAY NIKA 67.5
8-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 67.5
5-JUSTA GUSTA 60.1
6-BIGBARI 59.6
12-HEY YUP 59.0

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, November 14, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, November 12, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,750 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, November 11, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
5-JOE CARL 84.4
4-NOBLE KENT 81.4
1-SENATOR BOB 78.4
3-COOK INLET 77.2
2-BANK THE EIGHT 72.6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
6-BLAMEITONTHECAT 49.5
3-RAJA'S ROSE 42.9
2-ELEGANT TRICK 40.7
7-SHOPPING SAVANNAH 36.6
8-IMPECCABLY 35.0 (came in)

RACE 3
5-SOMETHINGABOUTHER 79.0
1-BURNS TURN 79.0
3-MARINA DEL HEAT 75.4
7-BUCKINGHAM BULL 73.7
6-INDYGO F M A 73.1

RACE 4
1-SWEET SUNSHINE 97.1
5-EXPO ANF FIG 89.4
6-WICKED FINANCE 81.4
3-CRUCERO 79.6
2-SEAMARK 75.2

1st time starters - 9

RACE 5
3-CERVARO 82.0
1-AQUA REVELATION 82.0
8-MIKEY T 77.2
5-PROVEN WARRIOR 76.6
4-NAVARRE 72.6

RACE 6
1-MOONLIT METEOR 85.0
6-BROKER BRETT 79.6
8-CONGREGATIONALIST 77.8
2-EIGHT STITCHES 76.0
5-WARREN'S TYLER S. 69.8

RACE 7
1-KRAZYPAPAYA 77.8
5-TIZ A CLASSY LASS 77.2
9-BLAZEN ALL STAR 77.2
6-FLAXEN MAIDEN 74.3
7-AKISS FORAROSE 74.3

RACE 8
13-DECEPTION FREE 65.4
5-WARREN'S CLIFF S. 64.3
12-CORANTO 64.3
6-ANYTIME 63.2
14-WILDCAT CANDY 60.1

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, November 10, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
7-ROSSI RESERVE 73.7
3-SUGER SPICE 72.6
4-YUMA THURMAN 68.1
2-INNER GROOVE 62.7
5-SCARY FAST 62.2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
7-HEYYOYCAN 64.8
3-TAKEM BY SURPRISE 59.0
4-ECHO ZULU 57.5
5-BATTLE JET 47.4
6-HORSE LAUGH 46.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
2-SHARED BELIEF 88.1
1-PAPA TURF 83.8
4-KOBE'S BACK 72.6 (off slow)
3-BROTHER SOLDIER 59.6
5-GOLDEN DYNAMO 41.6

RACE 4
3-RICSPRETENTIOUSGAL 84.4
1-ENGLISH CROSSING 83.2
4-MELTARIB 81.4
2-FANTASTIC MIZZ 76.0
5-HIGH JINKS 73.7

RACE 5
4-TRIBAL PEACE 69.2
2-SAY SAY 64.8
8-TRIBAL DRESS 63.8
5-ANITA MARIE 62.7
9-FIRENDESIRE 58.5

RACE 6
1-SERENE MELODY 74.9
3-LEGACY 70.3
2-NICKLES WILD 69.2
9-MAJESTIC MINISTER 68.6
8-SHIRILANKA 67.5

RACE 7
5-FOREST BOY 85.6
6-CHIEF LION 79.0
7-THE CLEANERS 75.4
2-STREET STATUS 66.4 (3 wide)
4-INTOCLASSYMISCHIEF 65.9

1st time starters - 3, 8

RACE 8
6-LIANDUDNO 91.3
4-SCHERZINGER 90.6
8-BLUES AND SILVERS 85.0
7-ZIPPING MY WAY 82.0
2-MISS LUCKY SEVENS 80.8

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
11-SWISSARELLA 53.5
8-SILVER N SASSY 45.5
10-SPIRIT OF TEN 44.6
6-SWISS SUGAR 37.8
3-PINING PLAY 37.4

1st time starters - 5

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, November 09, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
1-SENIOR RAIN 87.5
5-DRESS CODE 79.1
7-GREAT FRIENDS RULE 76.2
6-AERIAL ARTIST 70.9
2-SCORCHER 63.9

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
1-LEMON DE ORO 72.6
6-FOR EMMA 71.4
5-BAJAN 70.3
3-E EQUALSMCSQUARED 65.4
4-PERCHED 59.0

RACE 3
1-THE MAGIC STONE 73.1
6-ONE TIME ONLY 72.6
2-PERFECTAMENTE 65.5
5-WASTED AT MIDNIGHT 63.1
7-PROVENANCE 61.5

RACE 4
4-KING MAYA 80.2
8-JUDGE CARR 72.0
1-ORANGEYOUACUTIE 62.7
10-HARDLINER 60.1
6-CHICO SUERTE 60.1

RACE 5
6-WOODMAN'S LUCK 97.8
7-KILL SHOT 93.9
1-MEMPHIS 82.6
3-TOPPER'S GHOST 80.8
8-PULLA TRAIN 78.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-PUBLIC POLICY 74.3
6-PRAY HARD 72.0
12-EVEN TO THE MOON 68.1
1-SEEKING ASYLUM 60.6
3-MAUCO 53.0

1st time starters - 7, 2, 13, 11

RACE 7
2-MCKENZIES WAY 85.6
5-CAST A DOUBT 82.6
3-ANABAA PREMIUM 82.0
1-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 80.2
4-RUNAWAY WILDCAT 80.2

RACE 8
2-POWER FOOT 98.4
3-TE RAPA 97.1
4-HUNTSVILLE 93.9
5-AMERICAN ACT 91.3
6-WILLYCONKER 88.8

RACE 9
11-ICE CREAM TRUCK 62.2
10-MARY HELEN'S STORM 61.1
16-BRINGON THE WAIN 59.6
13-WARREN'S T. BAZE 54.0
6-GRAND GAMBLER 52.1
12-TRIAL SPIN 49.7

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, November 08, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $41,691.

RACE 1
2-AUTUMN VIEW 72.9 (off June 12)
3-TEACHER TEACHER 66.4
6-AIR OF ROYALTY 62.2
5-SWISS HEART 53.0
4-CRYSTALLINE INDY 52.6

1st time starters - 1

RACE 2
5-ZIP CAT 83.2
3-DUNMORE EAST 79.6
6-GUIDOPANZINI 76.0
4-PRIVATE BOUNTY 74.9
8-GALLANT GENT 71.4

RACE 3
3-THERE IS NO LIMIT 73.1
6-JOYCE AND ME 72.6
5-TOOMANYTOMATOES 72.3
7-ALWAYS A CHANCE 72.0
4-VICKI VICTORIA 67.0 (off Sept. 12)

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-CHARISMA CODE 51.6
8-JOHNS JOURNEY 51.1
1-SOOO MAJOR 45.5
10-EXPONENTIALLY 44.6
7-COMPULSIVE 36.2

1st time starters - 11, 12, 3

RACE 5
4-JOEANDBETTY'SBABY 75.3
7-UNSEEN VISITOR 74.9
3-SALLYANA 72.0
5-CALAMEERA 67.5
1-MIDNIGHT LADY 65.4

RACE 6
4-CHINA PRINCE 89.4
6-BROWN BOSS 80.2
5-TURN ON THE PUMPS 79.0
7-ASHLEY'S BAMBINO 78.4
9-VERY UNUSUAL 77.8

RACE 7
1-OLIVER'S TALE 107.9
3-IMPERIAL FORTUNE 91.3
7-SPIRIT RULES 90.7
5-APOLLO TEN 88.8
8-WILD MEDIA 87.5

RACE 8
1-ABIDE IN ME 69.8
8-EXOTIC BEHAVIOR 67.0
2-COSTAMAR 64.8
5-LETHAL STORY 59.0
3-SUSHI EMPIRE 54.6

1st time starters - 7

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, November 07, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
6-LONDINIUM 76.0
5-PROUD STEP 67.0
2-FULL CONSENT 66.4
4-COPPER BAY 60.9
1-RANSOM CANYON 60.4

RACE 2
1-HEAR THE GHOST 98.4
2-CYCLOMETER 93.9
3-READY FOR MORE 87.6
4-ATTA BOY PETE 77.8
5-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 70.9

RACE 3
1-THUNDER COLE 77.2
3-PUBLIC INTEREST 76.6
6-TIZ FUTURITY 68.6
4-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 67.0
12-ROB'S PAL 65.9

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-EDDIES CURL 63.8
6-SHE'S FLUSH 51.1
4-MUDGE 50.2
2-TOO OBVIOUS 45.1
1-SWEET LIPS POOH 41.1

1st time starters - 8, 3

RACE 5
1-MADOFFWITHTHEMONEY 87.5
11-KILTED TILT 82.0 (off Oct. 12)
6-ADDENDUM 76.2
3-DEITY 75.4
2-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 74.9

RACE 6
9-TUCKERS POINT 80.2
8-MAJESTIC MOMENT 76.0
2-MOMENT OF WEAKNESS 76.0
7-ROYAL IMPORT 75.4
10-ONLY THE GOLD 75.4

RACE 7
8-MISS WELL MOLDED 83.8
5-ROSIES READY 83.2
7-MARCYJANE 82.6
4-BOLLER BOMB 80.8
3-LEVEL HEADED 77.8

RACE 8
12-KATEY PIE 59.0
10-AMANDA 51.1
6-RENEGADE RIDE 49.7
8-TRULY AWESOME 47.4
7-SECRET MEMO 46.4

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, November 05, 2013

 
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, November 04, 2013

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,745 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, November 03, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSERACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






NOTE: THERE WILL NOT BE ANY HORSE RACING PICKS OR SELECTIONS POSTED TODAY.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, November 02, 2013

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR BREEDERS CUP SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
4-JEDI MIND TRICK 81.5
9-TOOWINDYTOHAULOX 78.4
8-LOVE IN THE DESERT 77.9
7-DOTHRAKI 70.9
5-TEST RIDE 67.3

RACE 2
1-FLASHBACK 101.8
3-ZEEWAT 95.8
4-SHOW SOME MAGIC 83.8
5-ANILLO 74.9
2-TOUR GUIDE 57.0

RACE 3
12-QIAONA 99.8
4-LET FAITH ARISE 97.0
7-ULTRASONIC 94.7
10-UNUSUAL HOTTIE 94.5
3-WINDING WAY 93.2

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
1-ARTEMIS AGROTERA 97.1
9-SWEET REASON 93.9
7-UNTAPABLE 88.1
4-SECRET COMPASS 85.6
8-SCANDALOUS ACT 84.4

RACE 5
1-DANK 125.3
7-LAUGHING 110.0
3-TIZ FLIRTATIOUS 109.3
6-MARKETING MIX 108.6
2-ROMANTICA 107.0

RACE 6
11-GROUPIE DOLL 107.9
9-JUDY THE BEAUTY 107.9
2-BOOK REVIEW 107.3
8-DANCE TO BRISTOL 106.6
5-TEDDY'S PROMISE 103.1

RACE 7
4-RENEESGOTZIP 121.8
7-TIGHTEND TOUCHDOWN 111.4
3-CHIPS ALL IN 110.7
6-BOAT TRIP 110.0
14-UNBRIDLEDS NOTE 110.0
13-DIMENSION 110.0

RACE 8
13-HAVANA 103.8
3-MEXIKOMA 101.2
6-TAP IT RICH 98.4
5-BOND HOLDER 83.8
4- NEW YEARS DAY 83.2

RACE 9
7-THE FUGE 130.3
8-POINT OF ENTRY 126.8
11-MAGICIAN 119.9
9-INDY POINT 116.4
10-BIG BLUE KITTEN 116.4

RACE 10
8-FAST BULLET 126.8
1-JUSTIN PHILIP 126.0
3-GENTLEMEN'S BET 122.3
7-PRIVATE ZONE 120.8
9-SECRET CIRCLE 112.9

RACE 11
5-OLYMPIC GLORY 137.7
8-WISE DAN 129.0
3-SILVER MAX 125.3
1-NO JET LAG 121.5
4-OBVIOUSLY 121.5

RACE 12
5-DECLARATION OF WAR 149.5
9-GAME ON DUDE 136.7
7-FORT LARNED 129.8
6-MUCHO MACHO MAN 123.8
3-PLANTEUR 123.1
12-FLAT OUT 121.5

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, November 01, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR BREEDERS CUP FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
13-MY SLEW 98.4
5-LOVE DE CAR 95.2
11-U S CITIZEN 95.2
3-ANKENY HILL 91.3
6-YANKEE REBEL 90.7

RACE 2
13-WILD DUDE 99.1
2-GOT EVEN 99.1
9-CAT BURGLAR 98.4
3-BASMATI 92.7
10-RAISED A SECRET 90.7

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
7-TAMARANDO 80.8
2-LIFE IS A JOY 77.8
8-CINMARS DANCE 74.3
1-CALIFORNIA CHROME 73.4
3-ELECTRIC EDDIE 61.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-CAL GAL 70.4
9-MOVING DESERT 65.3
8-STOLE A KISS 63.6
7-WHATSALLTHEDRAMA 60.9
4-MEINERTZHAGENI 59.8

RACE 5
7-KID DREAMS 107.9
12-GABRIEL CHARLES 103.8
2-CHARMING KITTEN 93.9
10-GERVINHO 93.9
1-IRISH SURF 92.6
5-ROOKIE SENSATION 92.6

RACE 6
10-WORLDLY 109.3
6-INDIAN JONES 105.2
8-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 103.8
3-COMMANDER 103.8
2-CEASE 101.8

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
2-GIOVANNI BOLDINI 112.3
9-WILSHIRE BOULEVARD 108.5
4-OUTSTRIP 106.3
5-BOBBY'S KITTEN 101.1
12-SHAMSHON 100.4

RACE 8
2-GOLDEN TICKET 120.1
11-PANTS ON FIRE 118.6
1-TAPTOWNE 114.3
12-GOLDENCENTS 112.2
3-HYMN BOOK 112.2

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
6-VORDA 113.8
2-COLONEL JOAN 107.3
8-CHRISELLIAM 101.9
12-TESTA ROSSI 97.1
13-SKY PAINTER 95.2

RACE 10
6-PRINCESS OF SYLMAR 120.1
4-ROYAL DELTA 119.3
2-AUTHENTICITY 115.0
5-BEHOLDER 113.6
3-CLOSE HATCHES 107.9

RACE 11 (Arabians)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS




Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?