Thursday, June 30, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $111,940.

RACE 1
4-CARBONITE 100.4
1-NIKI'SGOLDENSTEED 95.2
2-POSITION A 93.9
5-BUYER'S REMORSE 83.2
3-WINSOME CHARM 78.8

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-WARREN'S DIGGERS 33.8
1-ANCIENT COIN 28.2
2-SAROS SECRET 28.2
4-TROY STORY 12.3
5-UNUSUAL MANEUVER 10.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3, 7, 8

RACE 3
5-WAR PILOT 94.5
1-DIAMOND GEEZAH 87.5
3-LUCKARACK 86.9
4-DANCING AT DARK 83.2
6-LIME ROCK REVENGE 72.0

RACE 4
3-WOODMAN'S LASS 56.2
7-ZEES CHRIS 51.6
4-DYNAHERE 49.7
1-PORTFOLIO 48.3
9-RUNNING ISABELLA 47.8

1st time starters - 5

RACE 5
9-HUGHESY 87.5
11-THE HUNT IS ON 83.4
3-FORWARD COMMITMENT 79.6
1-BULLYBULLYBULLY 77.2
10-BRONSTER 76.6

RACE 6
6-AMERICAN LADY 101.1
1-ZENIDEKKA 86.9
3-HOPEFUL UNION 83.8
5-MOONSTRUCK MAYA 79.6
2-EVITA'S SISTER 72.0

RACE 7
5-MUTUALLY BENEFIT 87.5
3-STREAMLINE BABY 85.6
6-PARTY WITH BRANDO 79.0
4-GRANITE GIRL 78.4
1-TAPIT SO LIGHTLY 73.7

RACE 8
10-JUST IMAGINE 86.9
2-MATLOW 82.6
9-IMPERIAL PRIDE 77.6 (off May 10)
3-QUINTONS DESTINY 69.2
1-PATRIOT'S VOYAGE 68.1

1st time starters - 8, 6, 11

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Wednesday, June 29, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, June 28, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 2018 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, June 26, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-RUMMYSECRET WAR 91.9
2-WOODLAND FLOOD 82.6
4-EXCLAMATION 80.7
5-PATRIOTIC SOLDIER 78.4
3-CONNAGHER 77.7

RACE 2
3-SILENCIO GATO 63.8
4-ASHEN 63.2
7-WARRENS TIGER 62.2
1-SHANE DANIEL 56.3
6-JACK REACHER 54.5

1st time starters - 2, 5

RACE 3
2-SAANNEEN 93.9
5-LINDA LOU 91.3
3-CATCHY TUNE 90.7
4-MADERA CASTANA 85.0
1-WIN FOR M'LOU 79.6

RACE 4
3-LUV DRAGON 75.4
4-RIVERGLADE BOY 72.0
1-JUST HEAT 69.2
2-MANOFGOLD 62.7
10-KINGSVILLE 61.4
6-RINGOLEVIO 61.4

RACE 5
7-SIMPLY CARINA 88.8
11-DYNAMO 85.0 (off slow)
1A-CORRESPONDENT 76.0
2-IT'S CANDY TIME 74.2
5-TOWN BELLE 72.5

RACE 6
1-ROMAN CHARITY 82.0
5-JUDGE JOAN 74.3
4-COOL HALEIGH 73.1 (off Oct. 10)
2-LINE ONE 72.6
6-STORMY LINDA 72.0

RACE 7
7-ACHAK 104.5
1-OILSBLACKGOLD 95.2
4-ROYAL F J 92.6
5-EYE ON JACOB 88.9
2-SHRUG 86.3

RACE 8
4-COZI ROSIE 102.5
1-MALIBU PIER 93.2
5-RESTLESS SOUL 88.1
2-FIRST SETTLER 83.2
3-TIMEZONE 78.4

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
10-BLUEGRASS STORY 65.4
6-VICKI VICTORIA 52.6

1st time starters - 8, 2, 1, 4, 3, 9, 5, 7,

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Saturday, June 25, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-MENSA HEAT 103.8
2-SANQUINE 91.5
5-CAUGHT A FLYER 89.4
1-WALLEYE JOE 54.5

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
9-OUR LADY GAGA 51.1
3-QUEENOFCALIFORNIA 47.4
1-DELIAH JONES 43.3
7-LILY'S TIZ 34.2
2-MORE THAN HAPPY 28.9

1st time starters - 6, 4

RACE 3
3-CACTUS FLYER 77.8
6-ENTABENI 73.7
4-REAL HOUSEWIFE 71.6 (off Sept. 10)
2-THE GREAT ATLANTIC 63.4
5-DISLITLELITEOMINE 59.0

RACE 4
9-JUNES BLUE MOON 44.2
10-UNBRIDLED THOUGHT 42.0
6-RANDOM LUCK 37.4
4-DRESSEDTOTHENINES 33.0
1-JENNY'S TURN 28.2

1st time starters - 8, 2, 5

RACE 5
6-KAHULA MIST 78.4
9-HAVENS LAKE 67.0
7-MOON STONE MADNESS 66.4
4-FREQUENT FAME 64.3
3-HIDDEN ROMANCE 60.1

RACE 6
2-WORKING AT NIGHT 73.1
6-HEIDI MARIA 70.9
8-AWESOMEMUNDO 63.1
1-MRS MAYOR 57.2
7-BLAZING ALONG 57.0 (off Dec. 10)

RACE 7
5-BURNS 88.1
7-CLOUD MAN 87.5
4-WARREN'S KNOCKOUT 84.0
2-OFFLEE WILD BOYS 84.0
1-GREAT WARRIOR 82.0

RACE 8
3-PLUM PRETTY 108.6
5-BIG TIZ 93.2
4-ZAZU 91.3
2-WALLSTREETER 83.8
1-LOVE THEWAY YOUARE 82.6

RACE 9
12-KINGPIN RYNO 82.6
7-CHECKMARK 80.8
9-MINISTER D'ORO 80.2
13-WARREN'S CLOSER 73.4
1-DONTSHOOTTHEDEPUTY 70.9
8-SUN'S OUT 67.5

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Friday, June 24, 2011

 

HOLLOYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TONIGHT IS $64,989.

RACE 1
5-MAYOR MARV 95.2
2-VALKYRIE MISSLE 92.6
4-REMUS 86.3
1-SUMMERS AT DELMAR 85.0
3-CARDIFF GIANT 75.6

RACE 2
4-DOWNHILL DIVA 92.6
2-EXCELLENT NEWS 91.3
1-LADY SWEETNESS 90.7
3-FASHION TREND 84.4
5-ANCIENT HOLIDAY 70.9

RACE 3
5-FULLBRIDLED'S SIS 74.1
2-LADY LAZER 64.8
1-CACTUS JANE 64.8 (off Sept. 10)
6-AFLEET SARA 62.7
7-KATY'S KITTY 53.5

RACE 4
5-SMOKIN BOMB 56.0
10-CABO SAN LUCAS 55.5
3-FREE FROM MY EX 54.0
7-PERSONALITARY 52.1
9-BEST LOGIC 47.4

RACE 5
9-SLYLY 68.9
4-SPARKLE NATION 68.4
2-PLATINUM MINE 56.5
10-LITTLE RED DRESS 55.8
3-BADGE OF EDEN 46.4

1st time starters - 1A, 11

RACE 6
1-CATO MAJOR 74.3
3-LUTESS 74.3
6-SEE N WIN 69.8
4-MEADOW LAKE QUEEN 65.9
5-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 63.8

RACE 7
3-VERY FAIR 88.8
7-VISUAL INTENSITY 82.6
1-CAT TALK 82.0
2-A MOMENT IN TIME 81.4
5-RED SCARE 80.8

RACE 8
4-NATURALISTE 60.1
8-THINKING OF GIRLS 56.0
10-EXPENSIVE PENS 53.5
1-YOU LITTLE DEVIL 53.5
9-JAKEY BOY 50.6

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Thursday, June 23, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: ON SUNDAY'S CARD - I HAD 5 TOP PICKS WIN FOR THE 2ND DAY IN A ROW.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-ROAR BABY ROAR 58.0
5-MOLLY'S ALL HEART 49.2

1st time starters - 2, 4, 3, 1

RACE 2
3-TUESDAYS WITH P 74.9
5-METER ME GONE 73.1
2-NO AFILLYATION 72.6
6-HEY MARIA 66.4
1-FORTY PACES 65.6

RACE 3
3-SUPER CANDY 43.3
2-BIG BLAZE 31.9
6-WISE GUISE 30.4
7-SWISS GAME 21.9
1-ARETHEREANYCOOKIES 9.0

1st time starters - 4, 8, 9, 5 (had 2f. race)

RACE 4
8-IRISH CORAL 66.4
4-DA MARSHALL 63.8
3-BOLD TYPE 57.5
1-POLLY'S DANCER 53.5 (off Dec. 10)
5-BEAU MAVERICK 43.8

RACE 5
7-ULTRA AWESOME 97.1
3-QUEEN MARILES 91.3
4-TENACIOUS TINA 88.8
1-MILES RULES 86.3
8-ENGLISH ROYAL 79.6

RACE 6
5-DEVOTED MAGIC 103.1 (off Oct. 09)
4-WESTERN SMOKE 87.5
6-AFLEET DEAL 86.3
9-RIBALD 79.0
2-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 71.4

RACE 7
1-NORVSKY 108.6
6-BATON ROO 100.4
4-LOGICAL SINGLE 94.5
3-LUCKY PRIMO 93.9
2-RENEGADE STORM 86.3

RACE 8
7-NIP OF GOLD 55.5
12-RAGS FOR BEN 54.5
11-FAVORABLE 53.0
5-WICKED TRIP 51.6
6-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 43.8

1st time starters - 3, 2, 10

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Wednesday, June 22, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK -SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, June 21, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 2012 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, June 19, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-MR. SATURDAYNIGHT 79.0
1A-PURSE LUVA 78.4
5-TIZ TRUE 77.2
6-CALL FOR JUSTICE 65.9
4-LOOKING FOR CANDY 64.8

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
9-PEDLARS WAY 42.4

1st time starters - 8, 6, 1, 3, 4, 7, 5, 2

RACE 3
6-WILD ROSE 101.1 (off Oct. 10)
5-TORO BONITO 85.0
4-GUMPTION 84.4
1-PINK LENINADE 82.6
3-WARREN'S GOT GAME 78.8

RACE 4
8-SHESKEY 64.8
3-TEAM BUILDER 56.5
2-DRAMATIC REWARD 49.2
9-KEY ALLEGRO 36.6
1-DEE DEE'S FLIGHT 35.3

RACE 5
1-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 98.3
5-FORTUNATE APPEAL 87.5
2-REQUISITION 79.6
3-KLASSY SAINT 75.4
11-MANDATED BLISS 72.0

RACE 6
3-SAHARA SKY 100.4
5-DA RULER 97.8
2-BIG WAGS 93.2
1-PRICE 90.0
4-SWAY AWAY 84.9

RACE 7
4-DELUXE BUS 87.5
7-KINGSFORD DRIVE 81.4
6-SIR ED 80.8
9-HURRICANE LAKE 80.2
3-STAR DANCE M D 79.6

RACE 8
5-IRISH GYPSY 97.1
1-FUND RAISER 95.2 (off Oct. 10)
2-WASHINGTON BRIDGE 93.9
3-WARREN'S BLOSSOM 91.3
6-U R ALL THAT I AM 85.6

RACE 9
2-CANDY'S GIRL 61.1
4-NO MISTRESS 60.1
6-DANI STRIKES 59.0 (off March 10)
3-AMY'S OUTBURST 47.4
7-MISS LAKE 39.9

1st time starters - 5, 10, 9, 8

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Saturday, June 18, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: FRIDAY NIGHT MY TOP PICKS WON 5 OF THE FIRST SIX RACES WITH ONE SECOND IN A PHOTO.($10.80, 3.40, 14.60, 4.60, 8.80, PLACE HORSE PAID 4.40.

RACE 1
5-TWOATTEN TENATTWO 93.2
6-SENATOR BOB 75.8
3-WOODMANS LUCK 73.1
7-CAHILL COUNTRY 69.2
2-QUILOTANO 67.8

RACE 2
1-IGNITED 63.2
7-WARREN'S DR. YANG 58.5
6-COMIC BABY 58.5
4-TAPFORTEXAS 55.5
8-LINK SUANCES 43.3

1st time starters - 2, 3, 5

RACE 3
1-CARBONITE 102.9
6-CHEROKEE HEAVEN 101.8
3-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 100.4
5-EL VINO 97.7
4-KELLY LEAK 93.9

RACE 4
6-SKELLYTOWN 88.1
5-LEASE OF LIFE 85.6
8-RACKETEER 83.2
1-RIVERGRADE BOY 82.6
7-HUNTER CREEK 80.2

RACE 5
5-LORO 72.0 (off July 10)
6-ROCK OFF 61.6
3-GAHNZO BOB 52.7 (off Sept. 10)
7-ON HOLY GROUND 44.6 (off Aug. 09)
11-HUEGA 33.6

1st time starters - 10, 9, 8, 4, 2

RACE 6
7-MARRYMEONEMORETIME 75.9
8-ABOVETHEINFLUENCE 65.4
6-MONA STORM 63.2
1-J AND S EXPRESS 62.7
9-LILY AMORE 57.5

RACE 7
4-MILDLY OFFENSIVE 108.4
3-MIZDIRECTION 99.1
7-PEDALTOTHEMEDAL 97.0
5-FIFTH AVE 95.2
1-SUGARINTHEMORNING 83.8

RACE 8
4-SWITCH 115.7
6-BLIND LUCK 107.9
2-ST TRINIANS 103.1
3-AMERICAN STORY 97.1
1-MISS MATCH 97.1
5-SHE'S CHEEKY 93.9

RACE 9
1-BIG BUSINESS 80.2
7-ULTIMATE EAGLE 77.6
9-IVANHO 75.2
10-STREET ROCKET 74.3
3-BALLADRY 74.3OTE

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Friday, June 17, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-KEVLAR KID 94.5
4-WARNING SONG 88.9
5-CIGAR MAN 86.9
1-DO IT ALL 82.5
3-RED EYE EXPRESS 80.8

RACE 2
1-GILLIGAN 85.6
5-ASPERITY 80.2
4-GREEN CARD JAMES 74.0
3-COURTSIDE ACTION 71.4
2-ROYAL IMPORT 69.8

RACE 3
7-VEILLIT' 73.4
4-PYRTANIA 71.0
2-STUNNINGLY 69.2
3-PARK TIME LUCK 66.4
8-LED ADVANTAGE 66.4

RACE 4
10-COAL REGION KID 66.4
4-SLEWS DARK NIGHT 63.8
3-MY BOY LUKE 58.8
5-MALAGA COVE 56.5
8-POINT MUGU 56.0

RACE 5
11-BIG WAGS 98.9
2-TAMARACK SMARTY 91.9
5-GALLETA MONSTRUO 91.9
4-TRIBAL NATION 91.9
8-HONOUR FAMILY 91.3

RACE 6
1-DUBBER 69.2
5-INDIAN KNIGHT 64.3
8-CHANNEL SURF 59.0 (off Sept. 10)
6-TUXEDO BLUES 53.5
3-AUSPICIOUS STAR 45.1

1st time starters - 2, 7, 4

RACE 7
5-TEMPLE'S DOOR 93.9
2-WAR PILOT 88.9
4-SURREY STAR 85.0
6-MIDNIGHT INTERLUDE 85.0
7-EXTENSIVE 83.8

RACE 8
12-CRISPY COREY 69.8
8-QUIETLY WAITING 68.6
9-CLOCKER MOMENT 62.7
11-THE FULL LAVINO 61.1
5-BRYAN DANIEL 60.6

1st time starters - 1, 10

Thursday, June 16, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
4-CHRIS'S CONTENDER 39.9
1-KVELL 35.0
6-CALI GAL 26.8
2-FRIENDLY MARY 24.4
3-CROSS THE RIVER 20.9

1st time starters - 5

RACE 2
2-WARRENS SUMMERGOLD 81.9
1-SILVER STETSON MAN 78.4
4-JUSTICE REIGNS 72.0
3-POINT OF ORIGIN 67.3
6-BLAME THE JOCKEY 58.5

RACE 3
1-TIZ GOLDEN 79.0 (off May 10)
5-MEADOW ROAD 74.3
2-COMPETENT 70.9
1A-TART N SMART 27.9 (off Aug. 10)

1st time starters - 3, 4, 6

RACE 4
2-SECRET OATH 75.4
1-MELTARIB 75.2
5-SCREAMING REGAL 73.7
3-SAFE WORD 59.3
4-SCENT OF CHRISM 54.0

RACE 5
3-THE HUNT IS ON 79.6
1-ATTICUS POMPONIUS 70.9
10-EXUMA 67.5 (off Oct. 10)
4-BRASS PLATE 65.4
6-ABSOLUTE COURAGE 64.3 (off Nov. 09)

RACE 6
5-DAVE'S REVENGE 72.3
6-CHURCH AVENUE 70.9
2-INDIARA 70.3
1-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 69.4
3-AMERICAS DREAMING 67.8

RACE 7
5-BERTRAN HILL 99.1
6-LIBERAL ARTS 93.9
1-SPIRIT TO WIN 90.0
4-BIG BAD LEROYBROWN 83.8
3-L. A. WEEKEND 82.0

RACE 8
2-WARREN'S TODAY 71.4
10-TIZ ZOE 64.8
7-BRAVE JOURNEY 63.2
5-ON YOUR MARK 62.7
8-CALIFORNIA HEAT 61.1

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Wednesday, June 15, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

Tuesday, June 14, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 2005 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, June 12, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-MAJESTIC CITY 93.2
6-TRUCO LATINO 52.6
3-JOYZEY BILLY 47.8

1st time starters - 5, 4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
1-BEAUTIFUL STRIKE 47.4
2-TOO SHARP 46.9

1st time starters - 4, 3, 5, 7, 6

RACE 3
5-ROULETTE IT ROLL 69.2
3-MAGICALLYTOWN 67.5
1-MILLIE N MARIE 65.4
2-JUDICIOUS 61.6
4-JACOBITA 58.0

RACE 4
3-BAYONA 55.0
10-SWEET CONSOLIDATOR 45.5
4-OHDALIZ 41.6
8-CHK CHK BOOM 41.1
5-WARREN'S EXTRASILK 39.4

1st time starters - 11

RACE 5
8-INDY RIDE 79.6 (off Aug. 10)
10-GET MY FIX 79.0
12-KING LEDLEY 76.0
11-B'S LUCKY STRIKE 72.0
7-LOOKING FOR CANDY 70.3

RACE 6
1-DAPPER GENE 97.1 (entry)
2-STONESIDE 95.8
3-QUIETLY MINE 88.1
7-BRADY BLUE EYES 87.5
1A-BUYER'S REMORSE 85.6 (entry)

RACE 7
7-BORN LUCKY 71.4
1-LULA TALULLAH 60.6
4-BAUBLE QUEEN 60.6
5-IRISH CHIMES 35.0
6-EPONIA 21.6 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3, 2

RACE 8
7-HONDO'S WAY 84.4
8-LAURA BEASLEY 84.4
3-PARTY WITH BRANDO 83.2
6-CAMILLE C 82.6
9-BOEHLE 80.2

RACE 9
12-PRIVATE BOUNTY 77.8
7-DEPTH 69.8
2-DOUGHBOY 59.6
8-PERSONALITARY 59.6
9-ROYAL DREAM 56.6 (off July 10)

1st time starters - 3, 11, 5, 4, 6, 10

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Saturday, June 11, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK & "BELMONT STAKES" - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

BELMONT PARK

RACE 11 (THE BELMMONT STAKES)

9-ANIMAL KINGDOM 120.1
12-SHACKLEFORD 114.3
6-NEHRO 112.2
10-MUCHO MACHO MAN 104.5
5-BRILLANT SPEED 102.5
1-MASTER OF HOUNDS 101.1
8-PRIME CUT 99.1
4-SANTIVA 97.1
3-RULER ON ICE 93.2
7-MONZON 91.3
2-STAY THIRSTY 86.3
11-ISN'T HE PERFECT 86.3

HOLLYWOOD PARK

RACE 1
1-HE'S SO STYLISH 83.8
7-CIRCLE THE MOON 82.0
2-FULL EFFECT 73.1
3-LORD VRONSKY 65.4
6-GOODBYE CHARLIE 62.7

1st time starters - 5

RACE 2
4-ITALIAN RULES 107.3
1-HUNCH 100.4
2-CAYAMBE 100.4
6-DETAILS R SKETCHY 97.8
3-KORBAN 91.9

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-SILENT SUE 69.2
3-KILLER GRACES 65.9
4-GOGI 65.4
1-WILLA B AWESOME 58.5

1st time starters - 6, 7, 8

RACE 4
6-BOURBON BAY 108.6
1-ACCLAMATION 103.1
3-CELTIC NEW YEAR 93.9
2-RED ALERT DAY 89.4
4-FALCON ROCK 86.9

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-GETTING LUCKY 61.6
5-TALE BE TOLD 50.6
2-JEFFERY'S PRIDE 20.6

1st time starters - 7, 8, 1, 3, 4

RACE 6
3-SIMPLY CARINA 90.7
4-ANTIDOTE 82.6
1-CAUSEITHERTZ 76.6
5-DYNAMIZE 74.8
6-EXTRA FIFTY 73.1

RACE 7
1-COIL 112.9
6-AWESOME PATRIOT 100.4
2-RUNFLATOUT 98.8
5-SPUD SPIVENS 90.7
3-AKKADIAN 75.2

RACE 8
8-PLEASURE TO RIDE 97.8 (off Aug. 10)
2-AVEROO 95.8
4-YODELEN DAN 93.9
6-WALTZING WITH BLUE 85.0
7-J P JAMMER 84.4

RACE 9
7-YOU CAN DREAM 88.1
10-ZENIDEKKA 87.5
2-SUGAR SPIKE 79.6 (off Sept. 10)
1-PLEASING SUNRISE 79.0
5-CACTUS FLYER 77.1 (off Aug. 10)

RACE 10
9-CAMBINA 101.8
4-WHISPER LOUISE 96.5 (steadied)
3-STAR BILLING 95.8
1-SARAH'S SECRET 85.0
2-ENTRUSTMENT 85.0

RACE 11
5-CACTUS HOUSE 66.4
1-DYNAHERE 45.1 (off Oct. 10)
2-SHE CAN ROAR 43.3
8-FILLY POWER 42.9
12-DIXIE ANN 37.0

1st time starters - 6, 7, 10, 4


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Friday, June 10, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SATURDAY I WILL HANDICAP RACE 11 "THE BELMONT STAKES" FROM BELMONT PARK AS WELL AS THE ENTIRE HOLLYWOOD PARK CARD.

RACE 1
1-ROLLERSKATES 81.4
4-TWODOLLARSTOWIN 76.0
6-ZIPPEN E 64.3
3-SHEEZA BEAST 62.0
5-FIRST QUEEN 60.6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
3-STRAWBERRY ROUTE 39.9
5-EYES FOR CACTUS 10.3

1st time starters - 1, 6, 8, 4, 2, 7

RACE 3
5-TORRE ITALIANA 51.6
3-FULL FASHIONED 50.6
1-WARRENS UPTOWNGIRL 42.0
2-BENICIA BEAUTY 42.0
4-ASHABU 35.4

1st time starters - 6

RACE 4
4-STU'S GONE WILD 74.3
6-CLASSY LION 66.4
3-REGROUP 63.8
2-WINNING DESIRE 63.2
5-KALYRA CAT 62.7

RACE 5
2-RUMMYSECRET WAR 95.7
9-CONNAGHER 93.9
8-GET FUNKY 91.9
1-VIA VERDE 91.3
4-EXCLAMATION 86.3

RACE 6
6-COLOR OF COURAGE 112.2
4-SUPREME SUMMIT 106.6
7-GOLDEN ITIZ 96.4 (off Aug. 10)
2-RED DOOR DRIVE 95.2
3-SLEW THE MAN 94.5
8-COFFEE BOY 94.5

RACE 7
1-PREFERRED BEHAVIOR 77.2
5-LEWDAWS N PARADISE 73.9
7-UNCLE GREG 73.7
6-FULL DEPUTY 72.5
8-QUILLOTANO 70.4
2-WARREN'S WAREHOUSE 69.2

RACE 8
8-NEGRA TOMASA 46.4
1-WARREN'S HOPEFUL 46.0
4-MEAN SARA JEAN 43.5
2-GREAT BERNARDINE 42.9
7-ROYAL PEARL 40.1

1st time starters - 9

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Thursday, June 09, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $117,269.

NOTE: TODAYS POSTING IS NUMBER 2002 OF TIMS WHIMS PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TRACKS. THIS GOES BACK TO AUGUST OF 2005.


RACE 1
3-SLEEP TIGHT 83.8
2 ROMAN CHARITY 81.4
5-JAWS N' PAWS 79.6
1-ENTABENI 78.4
4-LAKE OSCEOLA 65.9

RACE 2
6-MASTER CHEF 107.9
1-LEGAL SEPARATION 102.5
3-SADDLERANCH 100.4
2-SINAI 88.8
5-CHILOQUIN 86.8

RACE 3
6-TRIPLE ACTION 89.4
4-DANCING AT DARK 85.6
1-BIG SON OF A GUN 84.0
2-AQUA FEVER 74.3
5-SPECIAL KID 69.8

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
5-ALL SQUARED AWAY 46.9
2-RULER OF DUBAI 31.1
7-DEL SIETE LEGUAS 27.2 (bumped at start)

1st time starters - 4, 3, 6, 1, 8

RACE 5
5-LIVING OUR DREAM 85.6
1-EL NADIA 84.4
4-RED HOT CHARLOTTE 82.6
8-MALUSITA 81.0
3-HAMEILDAEME 80.2

RACE 6
2-DUKE OF ASPEN 90.0
8-GUTSHOT STRAIGHT 83.8
3-BULLYBULLYBULLY 79.6
6-CLASSIC BOBBY 70.3
4-EL GRAN MATADOR 68.6

RACE 7
5-TAKE A YARD 102.5
3-TIZ A KNIGHT 88.2
4-VICTORIAN PRINCE 88.1
7-KIM'S LEADING MAN 83.8
1-DR GREEN 74.3

RACE 8
8-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 84.4
2-FIRE GLOW 81.4
1-ADRIATIC MOON 76.6
3-ETERNALLY FAST 72.0
13-THRICE THE VICE 70.9
9-FIRE IN THE WIND 70.3

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Wednesday, June 08, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, June 07, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1986 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, June 05, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-ACHAK 95.8
4-THEY CALL HIM EL 79.6
5-JOB BOSS 79.0
2-COO CACHOO 71.4
1-MONEY INCLUDED 58.0

RACE 2
4-RED TESLA 72.0
3-DANCING YODELER 63.2
7-SOPHOMORIC VENTURE 57.0
2-ARMENIAN STAR 55.5
1-BEST LOGIC 51.6

1st time starters - 6

RACE 3
3-NINTH INFANTRY 93.2
4-JET BLUE GIRL 86.9
5-BELLA SWAN 86.9
6-BERG BAHN 81.4 (off Oct. 10)
1-WARREN'S JITTERBUG 80.2

RACE 4
2-CRUZ'N KITTY 68.1
3-FORTY DATES 67.5
5-KISS MY SWISS 61.6
9-SIPNZIN 61.6
7-ATTICUS WILDCAT 60.6

RACE 5
2-BAY RUSH 70.9
6-DETECTIVE POIROT 69.8
4-HOTSTEPPER 58.0
3-YOU LITTLE DEVIL 55.0
5-BIG MAN IN TOWN 47.8

RACE 6
5-BELLINGHAM 82.0
6-LEMOU 80.2
4-UZZIAH 80.2
2-ROMEO ROYALE 77.8
7-JAZZMAN'S DANCE 76.6

RACE 7
3-KAHLUA MIST 78.4
5-SHAWKLIT SUNDAE 76.6
8-MISS PEANUT 73.1
2-HAVENS LAKE 71.4
1-DUBAI MACAU GIRL 69.8

RACE 8
6-TANDA 97.6
4-TALKTOOMUCH 93.9
1-MISS PLEASANT 92.6
7-ANDINA 91.9
5-WILD MIA 91.9

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
3-DUTCH LAKE 44.2
8-HUNTSVILLE 32.5
10-SWISS GUARD 30.0
1-WISE GUISE 26.8
9-NOLARUNINFOR JAYCI 24.4

1st time starters - 4, 6, 7, 2, 5

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Saturday, June 04, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK -FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $312,479.

RACE 1
5-SILVER LUNA 59.6
2-FREE RANGE 59.0
7-MAKE MINE REMY 51.6
6-ZEES CHRIS 51.5
3-JUNES BLUE MOON 45.5

RACE 2
6-BESTDRESSED 92.6
5-TWOATTEN TENATTWO 91.9
2-STAR NICHOLAS 88.1
4-CONCERTO'S THUNDER 86.9
3-WOODLAND FLOOD 85.0

RACE 3
5-MENSA HEAT 106.6
1-HE'S A DANCE STAR 98.4
4-ROYAL F J 95.2
6-BRUTALLY HANDSOME 82.0
2-HANDSOME JOHN 64.3 (off Jan. 10)

RACE 4
7-BIRTHDAY TIME 59.6 (off Dec. 09)
6-DENALI MOON 59.0
15-PET ME PET ME 59.0
16-NIP OF GOLD 55.5
3-OUR LADY GAGA 50.6

1st time starters - 1, 14, 12

RACE 5
6-DONATO 92.0
3-EL MERITO 88.8
8-MR. KATZ 86.9
1-HUGHESY 85.0
5-WARRENS SUMMERGOLD 83.2

RACE 6
3-MAGIC SCHOOL 72.0
9-HEY I'M SOBA 64.8
7-PLATINUM MINE 62.7
4-MY BRITE CAROLINE 52.1
1-WARREN'S CREAMPUFF 49.2

1st time starters - 6, 5, 2

RACE 7
4-NORVSKY 103.1
7-HYADES 102.5
6-ATTICUS JACK 98.4
2-EUROGLIDE 96.5
8-FACE AND AN ACE 95.2

RACE 8
1-TWIRLING CANDY 115.7
2-GLADDING 109.3
8-HONOUR THE DEPUTY 103.1
4-AGGIE ENGINEER 103.1
5-SPURRIER 101.8

RACE 9
5-QUEENOFCALIFORNIA 51.1
10-RUNNING ISABELLA 49.2
7-SHE'S ALL YOURS 48.3
4-WARREN'S RUHLARA 45.5
16-NAPOTE 37.4

1st time starters - 8, 12, 2

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Friday, June 03, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TONIGHT IS $62,690.

RACE 1
8-PREFERRED MANDATE 67.5
2-AEROMON 67.5 (off Aug. 10)
4-ALEX T 55.5
1-I'M A HUMMER 49.2
7-PARTY RULER 47.4

1st time starters - 3

RACE 2
3-CANDY'S PLEASURE 85.6
2-GOING FOR A SPIN 83.2
4-GLORIFIED 76.1 (off July 10)
5-ALIENATION 74.9 (off Oct. 10)
1-PARTY WITH BRANDO 71.1

RACE 3
4-BALLESTERO 83.2
2-JUST HEAT 80.8
1-COASTAL SOUVENIR 77.2
8-MANOFGOLD 68.6
3-CASA O 64.8

RACE 4
1-NOFTY 81.4
8-SHANE DANIEL 56.5 (off Nov. 10)
3-MR. SIERRA 52.1
4-WARREN'S CLOSER 40.3

1st time starters - 2, 7, 5, 6

RACE 5
6-GALLETA MONSTRUO 97.8
4-EYE ON JACOB 93.2
5-DOMONATION 83.2
9-FOG ALERT 83.2
2-ERBEIA 81.8

RACE 6
3-HOT TICKET 59.0
7-MYSTERY BIRD 57.5
9-J AND S EXPRESS 56.6
8-SEXY MELODY 54.5
2-TIA TIA 54.0

RACE 7
2-SMOKEY LONESOME 99.8
6-ACE OF ACES 98.4
3-BLUE CHAGALL 96.5
1-CALIMONCO 95.2
5-INFORMED 90.0

RACE 8
6-BLIND MAGIC 71.4
2-SMOKIN BOMB 59.6
5-TUBA MAN 57.5
3-CRESTON COWBOY 49.2
7-JOHNNIE GOLD 46.0

1st time starters - 4, 1

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Thursday, June 02, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-THE WHAMMER 97.1
5-JOYFUL SUCCESS 92.6
3-EL SCORPIO 90.0
2-ALIZA'S DREAM 86.8
4-RIGHT AGAIN 55.5

RACE 2
5-LILY'S PERFECT 75.4
1-LEMON DROP RIDGE 71.4
2-LIFT OUR LUCK 62.8
3-SCENT OF CHRISM 59.0
4-WARREN'S PEACOCK 59.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
5-HELEONOR RUGBY 54.5
2-VICKI VICTORIA 50.2
6-JESSAKAR 48.8
8-BULLETGIRL 48.3
4-MOLLY'S ALL HEART 25.4

1st time starters - 1, 3 (had 2 f. race), 7

RACE 4
4-ULTIMATE EAGLE 81.4
6-JUST IMAGINE 70.9
3-THINKING OF GIRLS 56.5

1st time starters - 5, 1, 2

RACE 5
5-NEREID 95.2
4-SO BELLE 93.2
1-WAVE OF APPLAUSE 84.4
7-WALLSTREETER 83.2
2-WARREN'S FLYER 79.3

RACE 6
3-QUEENIE MARINI 70.9
4-CHOCOLATE CALIENTE 70.9
1-MISS RESPLENDERE 69.8
2-ROXY 69.6
6-BELLA GIORNATTA 63.8

RACE 7
4-ELLAFITZ 93.2 (off Dec. 10)
6-GRIPSHOLM CASTLE 89.4
3-KAX EL 88.9
7-MEGASPIEL 87.6
2-MAKOMA 86.9

RACE 8
8-BRYAN DANIEL 67.5
10-CABO SAN LUCAS 58.0
9-FREE TIME 56.0
5-HUSKY GLORY 51.6
6-FREE FROM MY EX 51.1

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Wednesday, June 01, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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