Wednesday, September 30, 2009

 

OAKTREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
8-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 101.1
5-RUSSIAN LIQUOR 89.4
7-BARODA COURT 87.5
2-CRAIG'S STORM 86.3

RACE 2
8-HEADACHE 99.6
5-GANDOLF 99.6
3-SMOOTH AND SAVY 97.8
1-SASSOU 95.8
4-SILVER SWORD 95.7

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn. off Nov. 08)

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-GOLDEN BOY MARK 70.3
3-KILLER BEAR 64.7
4-FULL EFFECT 54.0
8-LANGFUHRIOUS 30.8

1st time starters - 5, 6, 1

RACE 4
3-ICEMANCOMETH 90.7
1-ON FIRE 90.0
7-BLAZING SPIRIT 88.8
6-PALLADIAN 88.8
4-INDY RIDE 88.2

RACE 5
4-DIXIE PASSION 82.6
7-EL ADELANTADO 72.0
2-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 71.4
6-DEPUTY FLYER 71.4
5-ANDREW'S COURAGE 71.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile turf)
7-ERBEIA 75.3
4-WORTH A PUNT 67.5
12-ROYAL F J 61.1
10-IRONMAN 60.0
5-RAPID HEAT 59.6

1st time starters - 9

RACE 7
3-TAMAR 88.1
5-NORTH RODEO 86.9
1-DOUBLE DIP 85.0
8-ANDALACIA 82.0
9-GLISTEN 81.9
4-DISH THE DIRT 81.4

RACE 8
3-CALIFORNIA FLAG 117.9
2-PERFECT OFFICER 99.8
4-STONESIDE 99.1
8-TENGA CAT 98.4
1-CHEROKEE HEAVEN 97.8

RACE 9
3-RED DOOR DRIVE 75.2 (off Sept. 08)
13-BOO TOO 74.9
2-PANDA 63.8
8-GOOD NEWSMAN 61.6
11-DE BRIEF ME 61.6

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, September 29, 2009

 

OAKTREE @ SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, September 28, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SUNDAY SEVEN OF MY TOP PICKS WON AGAIN INCLUDING A $43.20 WINNER.

RACE 1
3-EDDIE THE HAT 63.2
7-RINCEWIND 57.5
5-LYON'S GROWL 48.8
2-RAPPIN YODELER 42.9

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
5-BYE NOW 64.3
6-IDABETABUCK 63.2
2-THUNDERFRMDOWNUNDR 60.1
7-SWISS LAD 55.5

RACE 3
3-PEACE ROLL 61.6
7-WADA FALLS 56.5
4-BAGELS N BONES 54.5
2-APACHE ANNIE 54.0
6-BOMBING TWO 53.5

RACE 4
3-SHEZA MANEATER 79.0
1-DANCES WITH TIGERS 68.6
6-BRIGHT MOON 67.5
2-PRINCESS SUSAN M 67.0

RACE 5
1-ELUSIVE PLEASURE 79.0
2-FRI GUY 76.6
10-JACK FLASH 64.8
5-CEE MISTER B 61.6
9-ALIE'S DIN DIN 61.1

RACE 6
5-SELF INSURED 103.5
1-BAD BOY 91.9
6-STORM BRAVE 88.1
4-JACK HES TOPS 86.3

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
9-AMORE DI ALEYNA 45.5
6-EASY MOMENT 43.3
4-PERFECTO CAT 39.9
3-TAPITY TAP 28.2

1st time starters - 10

RACE 8
2-LION PRINCESS 64.3
6-TRUFFLESFROMHEAVEN 50.2
1-GIFT TO BOB 48.8
3-LADY BRADBURY 44.2

RACE 9
4-JOSHUA'S DREAM 99.1
3-STYLIN CAT 90.7
5-SPECIAL GREY GHOST 86.3
2-WILLOW O WISP 85.6
8-SOUVENIR SLEW 84.4

RACE 10
10-SHEZA SCREAMER 50.6
2-MARK OF A STAR 40.3
8-DARLIN NATALIA 37.0
6-MISSTRAILCITYZONE 36.6
1-PATSY'S LIL BUDDY 34.6

1st time starters - 9

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, September 26, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SATURDAY SEVEN OF MY TOP PICKS WON.

RACE 1
2-WARREN'S HIGH YIELD 68.6
1-WARREN'S GRANDSLAM 56.0
6-JACKY'S SKIPPING 53.5
3-NEW CITIZEN 53.0

1st time starters - 7

RACE 2
2-ESPORTE DOS REIS 90.7
4-ATA BENCHMARK 75.2
6-EXCEEDING 71.6
1-JAMES PRIOR 70.3

RACE 3
5-TWENTY HAWKS 54.5
2-FORTHREEFOREUCLID 50.2
1-FIRE IN THE WIND 47.8
3-DEL MAR TRUCKEE 46.0

1st time starters - 7

RACE 4
1-BROTHER MAN 83.8
4-REDORWHITE 80.2
8-LEGEND OF MY OWN 79.0
5-SOMETHING SONIC 72.0

RACE 5
3-BE REALISTIC 85.6
8-SI CHIMI 77.2
6-ARCHON STAR 65.4
9-HIGH INVESTMENT 64.3

RACE 6
1-ELEGANT CAD 74.9
4-SCOOPS EXPRESS 74.3
2-BRAVE JUSTICE 72.0
5-QUIET LIGHTNING 70.3

RACE 7
4-CHIEF'S LAKE 71.4
6-SCOTT'S SPIRIT 64.8
8-MOM IS READY 64.3
9-CHADLINGTON 63.2
10-JONA'S PROSPECTOR 62.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-SMOKIN BOMB 51.6
8-SHOW THE FLAG 43.8
4-VERY SHARP 38.2
1-SCUFFLING SUMMER 36.6

1st time starters - 7, 9, 2

RACE 9
3-RED ALARM 64.8
6-SMOKINJOMOKO 63.2
5-TO HOT FOR YOU 63.2
9-UPPER MANHATTAN 62.2

RACE 10
1-SAGAPONACK 81.4
8-OSCAR THE MAYOR 78.4
9-STRONG BELIEF 72.6
5-TAP TAP I WIN 65.9

RACE 11
8-CIGAR MAN 98.4
7-QUARTER MOON 90.2
1-ACCLAMATION 86.9
5-RACKETEER 85.0
3-OVERBID 84.4

RACE 12
8-STAYONIT 72.6
1-LEMONBIRD 72.0
4-BLAZE OF EMINENCE 62.2
7-ROAD TO THE THRONE 51.6
11-SILVERADO GOLD 48.8

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, September 25, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
4-CHATTY LULA 45.1
3-ORGANIC 42.4
5-SHINE'N TIME 41.6
1-WARREN'S ROCK ART 33.8 (bad start)
8-URA STAR 33.8

RACE 2
6-SURE TIZ 70.9
4-DANIELLA ROTH 61.1
9-MOON OVER MALIBU 59.6
10-YOUKNOWWHATILIKE 57.5

1st time starters - 8

RACE 3
6-DINE AT NINE 76.6
4-OURTEQUILASUNRISE 68.1 (off Dec. 08)
3-KENTUCKY WALTZ 63.2
2-CATCH CANDY 57.6
7-SARARAH JR. 57.5

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-RIGHT TO WORK 47.8
3-WHYPRINCESSWHY 45.5
2-MISS EDYTA 43.3 (off slow)
9-DON'T REITERATE 42.9

1st time starters - 10, 8

RACE 5
4-BARBARA'S LOVE 86.9 (off Oct. 08)
6-JUDY PATOOTIE 81.4
3-GRACE ANATOMY 76.0
2-LADY IN LOVE 75.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-SERIOUSLY 61.1
2-BACK NINE DOC 60.0
1-GAMBLING POKERFACE 51.1
3-LANA'S LOVELY 42.4

1st time starters - 5, 9, 4

RACE 7
5-ORIENTATION HALL 81.4
3-JUSTINPLACE 77.2
1-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 69.8
6-FILM FORTUNE 69.8

RACE 8
6-SALLY SAYS NO 57.0
7-CAPTIVATING LYRICS 54.0
1-WARREN'S PLAYER 49.7
2-BEAUDACIOUS LADY 42.4

RACE 9
4-ASHLEY'S KITTY 96.5
2-CHRISTMAS SHIP 88.1
7-MADE FOR MAGIC 86.3
3-MAGICAL VICTORY 84.4

RACE 10
1-PRACTICAL MAGIC 87.5
7-MAJOR SMOKE 83.8
5-MORTON OWEN 82.0
10-RECKLESS CAPOTE 75.4

RACE 11
6-FARADAY 82.6
4-SINGER ISLAND 80.2
2-ALL SAINT 78.2
7-QUINDICI MAN 77.2

RACE 12
12-OL'DOGTOWN 74.9
5-AL N CON 68.6
6-BIG JAY 66.4
9-HAWK STAR 44.6
2-TOP GOLD PROSPECT 44.6

1st time starters - 4

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , ,


 

FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (mule race)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 f.)
5-MELBISHA 48.3
8-UNBRIDLED BREW 42.9
10-ORGANIC 42.4
11-ACTION GAL 42.4

1st time starters - 1, 6

RACE 3
3-JEN'S NEW CHAPTER 79.6
7-TALLAHSOCEAN 77.8
1-HEAVENLY N' FREE 70.9
4-SWISS BLEND 68.6

RACE 4
1-BRILLIANT RESPONSE 66.4
9-ALOTTA WILD 45.1
4-MS HONKYTONK WOMAN 25.1
12-LOST INTHE BOONIES 19.7

1st time starters - 10, 3, 11, 6, 7, 5, 8,

RACE 5
4-POINTED HOME 69.2
7-MR SMOOTH OPERATOR 69.2
6-MR. INN ZONE 62.2
1-PO'MANSHOSS 58.5
9-SUSHIWOOD 58.0

RACE 6
10-GREAT RAID 61.6
6-BET ON THE NOSE 51.1
8-HIGH CLASS CAT 48.8
7-ONERY DOLLARS 41.1

RACE 7
2-FLATTER ME AGAIN 55.0
6-MANDATE HABIT 45.5
7-SI SE PUEDE 44.2
9-EXITONEONINE 41.6

RACE 8
8-BACKSTROKE 70.3
1-RECESS 65.9
2-TAHITIAN BLUFF 61.1
3-FOREST MISS 54.0


RACE 9
12-FOR CONTRAST 74.9
7-WARRENS FLYIN HIGH 65.4
10-SO BEWARNED 61.1
1-CITY LIGHTS 60.6
6-D' WILDCHARM 59.6

RACE 10
3-LOVE TO FISH KONA 74.9
6-CLASSY ATTRACTION 74.3
5-AUNTGRACE 67.0
1-DREAMS AFLEET 65.4

RACE 11
3-SUMMERS PEACE 89.4
6-JEHAN 84.4
9-KAWEAH PRINCESS 81.4
1A-MALUSITA 72.6 (entry)

RACE 12
6-MORAL HAZARD 72.6
5-AFLEET HOPETOWN 67.0
3-JOKING SAM 64.8
2-OBJECTIFIED 64.8
11-NUMBER ONE EDITION 63.8

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, September 24, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (mule race)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 2 (mule race)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 f.)
9-GORKY'S SECRET 17.4
6-TONKA T. 15.5
3-SOFIE S 12.1

1st time starters - 1, 2, 4, 7, 8

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 4 f.)
2-ALPINE WARRIOR 55.5
4-FERRANDERO 51.1 (slow start)
5-LUCKS MINE 37.0
10-QUILLOTANO 32.3

1st time starters - 3, 9, 8, 12

RACE 5
1-SATELLITE 86.9
4-DELIVERING SPEED 86.9 (off Dec. 06)
3-BALLISTIC HEAT 85.0
5-DON ELIAS M. 84.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-CAT CALLOWAY 55.5
4-DIPLO 32.3
6-EASY MOMENT 30.8
1-SENOR CRAFTY 30.0
3-HAPPY M. B. A. 29.3

1st time starters - 8, 2

RACE 7
2-NORTHROP N DOWN 73.1 (off June 08)
4-FIGO 67.0
6-THUNDERFRMDOWNUNDR 61.6
1-PRINCE B 61.1

RACE 8
9-GOTHAM LIGHTS 54.0
1-RAJA 48.8
6-ASAY CREEK 48.3
8-SECRET LURE 47.8
4-GIVEITAGOMATE 46.9

1st time starters - 5, 3, 10

RACE 9
12-OUT OF SEATTLE 59.6
3-LIPS LIKE SUGAR 56.0
9-WENDOFFER 48.8
7-ANEARLYFIL 48.8

RACE 10
4-POWEROFVOODOO 87.5
1-WARREN'S APPEAL 80.2
2-THERE GOES GEE GEE 79.0
5-JUNE MY LOVE 72.0

RACE 11
4-BUBSY 73.1
7-COUNTRY HERO 61.6
1-DOWNTOWN BANKER 43.8
5-LIDO DECK 42.9
6-PEMBA AT U. T. K. 39.0

1st time starters - 2

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, September 23, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (mule race)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 2 (mule race )
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 3
5-RY'S NOT SHY 67.5
6-HOTSIE 66.4
11-SELF DEFENSE 55.0
4-JOYS LAST ONE 33.0

1st time starters - 8

RACE 4
3-TRICKY SPEED 71.4
6-WADA FALLS 59.0
2-MARY THE PRINCESS 57.5
4-WARREN'S CAT WOMAN 46.0

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 4 f.)
2-HURRICANE DAWN 51.6
12-TONKA T. 15.5
5-DE CAR CHIC 9.4

1st time starters - 8, 7, 9, 6, 3, 1, 4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-ZAGORA'S PRIDE 46.9
8-LEGAL SEPARATION 44.2
4-UR TURN DUBAI 42.9
1-HE'S A REBEL 41.6

RACE 7
7-LION PRINCESS 67.0
5-WINKY 59.6
2-TWO TOO MANY 54.0
10-STORMY INFERNO 49.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
1-WARRENS TEMPTATION 47.1 (entry)
5-ONE LUCKY GUY 45.6
4-ZEES ECHO 34.4
1A-WARREN'S KONG 32.4 (entry)
6-SUITCASE SIMPSON 29.6

RACE 9
11-BIG JAY 66.4
7-ATTABOYKENNFREDNJR 63.8 (off slow)
5-FORTUNATE VICTORY 58.6
4-CLASSICAL BARTOK 56.5
1-FORZA DEL DESTINO 55.5

RACE 10
7-KING CITY KITTY 89.4
6-INSPIRATION WITHIN 86.3
10-LAUREN C 85.6 (off Oct. 08)
5-WIDE EYED VIEW 72.6

RACE 11
5-USURP 100.4
7-PAUL'S HOPE 99.1
2-BIG BAD LEROYBROWN 98.4
8-DANCE WITH GABLE 95.8
6-A LIL DUMAANI 94.6

RACE 12
2-PROPHETISE 67.0
8-BLACK MAGIC MAMA 63.8
10-FEED A FEVER 57.7
5-RUBY SLIPPERS 56.0
1-LATEGO LIGHT 54.0
11-BONITA BIRDIE 54.0

Labels: , , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, September 22, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT FAIRPLEX PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, September 21, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT FAIRPLEX PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money.I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1419 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, September 20, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $37, 432.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 f.)
10-ALPINE WARRIOR 55.5
2-CATCH MY TALE 35.0
3-CHARMING JIG 27.5
6-UNUSUAL D J 19.7
4-THREE SPOOLS 19.7

1st time starters - 1, 5 (2 f. races), 7, 8

RACE 2
1-JUSTDONTCALLMEJERI 87.5
2-SILENT TRICK 68.6
5-FORM A POSSE 67.5
6-JOHN G C 65.9

RACE 3
7-TERRIFY 63.8
5-STORM'N MARISA 47.4
4-MELANCHOLY LADY 45.5
11-STORM DE ORO 42.4

1st time starters - 6, 9

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-SEEUAT STICKNSTEIN 67.0
3-WAKING UP 65.4
5-ETERNALLY FAST 54.5
2-TOWSER 51.6

RACE 5
6-STORM MACHINE 84.4
11-TANGO MANGO 83.8
3-GOING FORWARD 77.2
5-MY FRIEND LUIS 74.3

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 4 f.)
7-MONA STORM 55.5
1-CALCUTTA ROSE 25.8

1st time starters - 8, 10, 12, 6, 2, 4, 3, 5

RACE 7
4-KISS THE COOKE 73.1
1-SPELLBINDING 73.1 (entry)
6-HARD WOMAN 67.5
2-MOOD WINNER 58.5
3-AISLEBEBARBIE 56.0

RACE 8
10-HOLLAND CREEK 69.2
11-DANIELLA ROTH 61.1
9-GOAL GIRL MICHELE 59.0
1-DEE DEE'S FLIGHT 56.5

RACE 9
4-DODGEN BULLETS 89.4
3-LEGEND OF MY OWN 79.0
5-RUMMYSECRET WAR 70.9
8-MAKACK 68.1

RACE 10
3-FRANKELSTEIN 87.5
8-BOB BENOIT 79.0
4-RAISE THE HEAT 74.9
1A-T J'S DIXIE 67.0 (entry)
1-TOLL FREE 66.4 (entry)

RACE 11 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-MAGIC MAX 77.2
5-THE SKINNY MAN 74.9
2-WINGS OF SOUND 72.0
9-SEATTLE RULER 67.5

RACE 12- (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
10-VIVACIOUS ANNA 50.2
3-SHESKEY 49.2
1-SLEEPY TIME GAL 47.8
7-SIBERIAN HEART 37.0
4-OBVIOUS CHOICE 33.0

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, September 19, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: FRIDAY 6 OF MY TOP PICKS WON OUT OF THE 10 RACES I HANDICAPPED.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 f.)
7-WINTER CAMP 33.0
2-FOREST NATIONAL 23.5
8-PERFECTO CAT 9.4
1-SMOKIN BOMB 8.3

1st time starters - 3, 4, 5, 6

RACE 2
9-DEGREKO 83.2
2-ELEGANT CAD 74.3
8-TURNAGAIN TAYLOR 67.5
6-IM PURE COUNTRY 67.0
7-FRIENDLY HALF 65.9

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-SAM'S SPECIAL 70.3
6-A SOFT BREEZE 67.5
4-LOVER'S HOUSE 63.8
2-U TURN ME CRAZY 61.1

RACE 4
2-IDABETABUCK 70.9
9-GO ON TILT 64.3
5-PATRIATE 62.7
1-CAPTAIN CRUNK 58.0

RACE 5
5-FLEET ROYALE 69.4
6-SHESAPERFECTDOLL 68.6
3-STORM THE CHURCH 63.8
2-JOINT ADVENTURE 56.0

RACE 6
8-ABSTRACT FACT 48.8
7-EXAGGERATED RUNNER 46.4 (off Nov. 08)
5-BOUNCER 42.4
2-I'M A LADY 15.0

1st time starters - 4, 6, 12, 3

RACE 7
1-FUNNY JUSTICE 89.4
6-SOUVENIR SLEW 87.5
4-ON FIRE 86.3
5-DYNAMALT 83.2
3-NIGER RIVER 82.6

RACE 8
9-HARLENE 63.4
5-I'M BULLETPROOF 62.7
4-MAGICAL BULL 60.6
2-CAJUN CORREDOR 57.6

RACE 9
9-LAUNCH THE BULL 88.8
6-MEGILLAH 77.2
2-ADEBAYOR 75.4
4-WHIZER 58.5

1st time starters - 8

RACE 10
6-WARREN'S PEPE 83.8
1-PREMIERE FLYER 83.2
5-DESERT COWBOY 81.2
7-SIDEPOCKET LOU 78.4
4-LOW GEAR POWER 78.4

RACE 11 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-WELL DESERVED 91.3
2-REPO 84.4
5-KALOULA 70.3
6-ROMAN CHARITY 69.2

RACE 12
6-FALL FOREST 59.6
5-SWEET ALLIE MARIE 50.2
2-PARADISE ISLE 34.2 (off Sept. 08)
7-I. B. STORMIN 31.1
3-DOLLABEERATATCOACHES 27.9

1st time starters - 1, 4, 8, 10



Labels: , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, September 18, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (mule race)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 f.)
3-ACTION CALL 36.6
1-EL CHAPO 18.6
9-SCUFFLING SUMMER 17.2
7-QUILLOTANO 8.8

1st time starters - 6, 8, 2, 4

RACE 3
5-UKIAH 89.4
3-SOLEMN PROMISE 85.0
6-CAMISADO 73.7
2-CLASSIC TROUBLE 72.6

RACE 4
3-SIX PACK MAN 72.6
8-LOUIE TRE 64.8 (off April 08)
9-WARRENS SKY WRITER 40.7
5-POINTE DU HOC 38.2

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
5-IN DADDY'S HONOR 76.0
1-SARARAH JR. 67.5 (off Aug. 08)
3-PROUD BLUE RIDGE 49.7
7-FABULOUS MOOLAH 46.0
2-CLASHOFTHESWORDS 46.0

RACE 6
12-TRICKY SPEED 69.2
2-JULIA M 68.6
11-MARY THE PRINCESS 59.0
10-SOUTH WITH A ROAR 58.0

RACE 7
7-SAX 80.8
3-DEFENSE KING 70.0
1-UBETIMFAST 67.0
5-ECHO WEST 64.3

RACE 8
3-TREVOR'S CLEVER 75.8
6-SAGAPONACK 72.0
1-BEAU SMOKE 72.0
2-SCOTT'S SPIRIT 70.9

RACE 9
3-STYLIN CAT 79.6
7-ROMEO PLUS 75.4
6-FRI GUY 70.3
1-CADEAUX DU MONDE 65.9

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
1-UNBRIDLED MEETING 64.3
2-FAIRWAY ROAD 63.2
6-HIGH FIVE GAL 62.2
5-TAKE A PEAK 59.0

RACE 11
6-FIVE STAR WILDCAT 71.4 (off May 07)
2-PRACTICAL MAGIC 69.2
9-OL'DOGTOWN 64.3
7-HEYWATCHULOOKINGAT 63.2
3-BONKERSFORBINKERS 53.0

1st time starters - 1

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, September 17, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: WEDNESDAY ALL SIX OF THE PICK SIX WINNERS WERE MY TOP PICKS.
YOU COULD HAVE WON THE PICK SIX WITH A $2.00 TICKET.

RACE 1 (mule race)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 2 (mule race)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 3
8-SELF DEFENSE 55.0
5-VELIKAYA 47.8
3-ARROGANT CARSON 47.4
1-MEMO'S DISPARO 34.2

1st time starters - 6, 7

RACE 4
1-TO HOT FOR YOU 65.4
6-VILLAGE LADY 63.2
4-ZAINA 56.0
7-MY REALITY 50.6

RACE 5
4-SHEZA MANEATER 83.2
2-ALPINE YODEL 82.0
5-LULLABYTIME 80.8
6-HOT 'N LACEY 80.8
1-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 79.6

RACE 6
4-FAVORITE MEETING 88.8
1-BROTHER MAN 79.6
7-COLD PRINCE 79.0
8-BULLYA 74.9

RACE 7
4-PEACE ROLL 62.7
6-BROKEN HABIT 62.7
2-SMOKINJOMOKO 58.0
1-ROLL MODEL 56.5

RACE 8
10-DINNR WITH NIKKI C 55.0
4-EXPERT PRINCESS 44.6
9-URA STAR 33.0
6-WHISPER ME THIS 20.9

1st time starters - 2, 7, 8

RACE 9
3-STANFORD DOLLY 67.0
8-LA SWING 65.9
7-CATCH CANDY 64.8
1-RECESS 62.2

RACE 10
4-MY SUMMER SLEW 96.5
5-STEADY DEMAND 90.7
1A-RIVER ECHO 88.8 (entry)
6-LASER POINT 83.8
2-LUCKY HONEY 82.6

RACE 11
2-STRONG BELIEF 61.6
3-BIG MIKIE M. 50.2
1-STORM J. P. 47.8
13-MEDIA MAKER 42.9
9-OCEANOR 39.4

1st time starters - 10, 11

Labels: , , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, September 16, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $44,782.

RACE 1 (Mules)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 2
6-MARK OF A STAR 47.8 (off Nov. 08)
9-I. B. STORMIN 42.9
5-SISTER LUCY 40.3
3-SWISS SPIRIT)37.8

1st time starters - 10, 8, 2

RACE 3
6-DINE AT NINE 73.1
11-MARY THE PRINCESS 59.0
5-JADED ILLUSION 47.4
4-SKIMS CHIME 45.1

RACE 4
2-SKY ACCOUNT 59.6
7-ARRESTED SILVER 52.1
8-GIRL OF MINE 52.1
6-CEE'S HARMONY 48.3

RACE 5
6-SATELLITE 93.2
5-NORTHERN SOLDIER 86.9
2-A ROYAL TIZZY 84.4
3-TRIP THE GENERAL 76.0
4-DELUXE CAT 75.4

RACE 6
6-KAY S 58.5
10-WARREN'S GRANDSLAM 54.5
9-GONNA SEE WEST 47.8
5-JACKY'S SKIPPING 37.0

1st time starters - 1

RACE 7
2-LEGEND OF MY OWN 78.4
4-MR. INN ZONE 69.8
7-POINTED HOME 69.2
3-DAY WITH DESI 57.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-L'IL CHARLIE ROSE 24.1
7-EASY MOMENT 21.9
8-WARREN'S KONG 19.2

1st time starters - 3, 5, 2, 4, 1, 9

RACE 9
1-GREEN CARD JAMES 80.2
7-JUST HEAT 73.7
3-PACIFIC HALO 73.0
4-BLING STAR DREAMS 70.9
2-A BIG TO'DO 69.2

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
7-GALLANT GENT 80.2
3-COLOR OF COURAGE 77.8
2-GRACE UPON GRACE 74.3
4-ISHMAEL 70.9

RACE 11 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-VICTORY DASH 48.8
8-RIGHT TO WORK 40.7
3-CLEAR IMAGINE 34.6
9-MY SECRET WEAPON 32.6
10-G W FIN'S 32.6

1st time starters - 2, 1, 6

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, September 15, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT FAIRPLEX PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.

Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, September 14, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT FAIRPLEX PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money.I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1411 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, September 13, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 f.)
11-MONA STORM 55.5
7-ACTION GAL 47.4
4-UNBRIDLED BREW 39.0
6-ORGANIC 31.1

1st time starters - 3, 8, 12

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 f.)
9-ACTION CALL 36.6
3-ALPINE WARRIOR 34.2
8-EL RANCHERO 25.4
7-TAPITY TAP 20.9

1st time starters - 6 (2 f. race), 4, 2, 1, 12, 11

RACE 3
3-DIXIE MAGIC 75.4
5-EXECUTIVE SWEET 70.9
4-HAVENS LAKE 70.3
2-KNEELING'S PRIDE 67.5

RACE 4
5-MOM IS READY 76.6
3-MONARCHO POLO 76.0
6-KBELLO 71.4
4-ZYPHR COVE 63.2

RACE 5
6-FLASH DANCE 61.6
5-WARRENS HIGH YIELD 57.0
2-ANGEL OF MYSTERY 54.5
1-YOUKNOWWHATILIKE 51.1

RACE 6
2-CONGO KING 94.0 (off July 08)
4-LEGENDARY MUD 79.0 (off June 08)
3-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 77.2
6-SOMETHING SONIC 76.0
7-FEAR NO EVIL 74.9

RACE 7
5-ACTION IN MAY 69.8
1-MORAL HAZARD 67.5
8-NUMBER ONE EDITION 60.1
9-ROAD TO THE THRONE 55.0

1st time starters - 6

RACE 8
2-CONCLAVE 99.1
6-JACK HES TOPS 91.3
5-SIX PACK ABS 90.0
3-STORM BRAVE 86.9
4-TIME TO GET EVEN 86.3

RACE 9
9-CHRISTY'S BULLET 58.5
7-SALLY SAYS SO 56.5
4-DANIELLA ROTH 54.5
3-FLASHY TRAVELER 53.0

1st time starters - 6

RACE 10
4-BE REALISTIC 83.2
6-STORM MACHINE 77.2
2-SI CHIMI 67.5
5-ARCHON STAR 57.6

RACE 11
3-COCO BELLE 100.4
2-ASHLEY'S KITTY 88.8
4-KALOOKAN DANCER 81.4
5-PURE AND SIMPLE 77.2
1-CHERIE'S DREAM 62.2

RACE 12
6-MENDOTA BAY 68.1
5-NO PUN INTENDED 64.3
1A-WARREN'S ALLSTAR 57.5 (entry)
1-WARREN'S JUAN 52.1 (entry)
8-WHAT'S IMPORTANT 49.5
3-TRULY A DELIGHT 41.6

Labels: , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, September 12, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 f.)
9-MONA STORM 55.5
6-OBVIOUS CHOICE 32.3
8-FAIR KISSES 31.9
3-MISS DUBAI 29.3

1st time starters - 2 (2 f. race), 7, 5, 4

RACE 2
7-JACK FLASH 60.6
4-SANDITA 59.0
6-SMOOTH IN PUBLIC 53.5
2-TRIBAL DEAL 50.6
8-UAREDNECK 50.6 (off Nov. 08)

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-HYPERLINK 38.2

1st time starters - 6, 2, 3, 1, 4

RACE 4
6-MAYAPPLE COURT 73.7
2-RINCEWIND 57.0
5-JOYS LAST ONE 57.0
9-SELF DEFENSE 55.0

1st time starters - 8, 3, 1, 7

RACE 5
8-REDORWHITE 68.1
1-ROCKIN THE CITY 57.5
7-TREADWELL 55.0
2-FLATTER ME AGAIN 54.0
3-SQUEEZE NOW 53.0

RACE 6
1-BORN TO CUS 61.6
2-SWINGIN JIM 56.5
7-CLEARLY QUIET 51.6
8-BET ON THE NOSE 51.1

1st time starters - 6, 11

RACE 7
1-CITIZENS BRIGADE 70.3
3-SI SE PUEDE 51.1
9-KELEN SCORES 46.0
8-LOOKINFORAJACKPOT 45.1
7-DOGGIE BEAR 45.1

RACE 8
6-FOXY BAILEY 77.2
5-TOPPER'S SMILING 73.7
3-LADY IN LOVE 71.4
1-PROFITABILITY 68.1

RACE 9
4-WHIZER 67.0
6-BONKERSFORBINKERS 51.1
5-ICE BALLET 45.5 (off Oct. 08)
10-RIVER DANCE JOY 44.6

1st time starters - 8, 11

RACE 10
12-KISS THE COOKE 73.1
1-STATELY APPEAL 64.3
6-NO CREAM OR SUGAR 52.6
4-LIPS LIKE SUGAR 50.6
7-TRUFFLESFROMHEAVEN 50.2
2-ANEARLYFIL 50.2

RACE 11
6-GAMBLER'S JUSTICE 92.6
4-SMOOTH PERFORMER 83.2
1-TIDAL DANCE 82.6
3-SPINNING YARNS 76.6

RACE 12
12-SIX PACK MAN 72.6
4-FIERY REBEL 68.1
1-BLAZE OF EMINENCE 61.6
3-BUBSY 57.5
8-DOLLAR FACTOR 53.5

1st time starters - 6, 7

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, September 11, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $22,715.

RACE 1
3-SECRET POTION 52.1
5-ECLIPSE SYRAH 47.8
12-EXAGGERATED RUNNER 46.4 (off Nov. 08)
4-CANTABILE 43.8

1st time starters -1, 8, 2

RACE 2
4-BELLA BUBBLES 57.7
8-DEE DEE'S FLIGHT 56.5
7-RUBY SLIPPERS 56.0
1-MY SPANISH FLING 51.1 (off slow)

RACE 3
6-STEAM IRON 68.6
5-BETTYBOOMBOOM 65.9
3-RED ALARM 62.7
1-APACHE ANNIE 60.6

RACE 4
8-OL'DOGTOWN 63.2
2-EDDIE THE HAT 59.6
12-DOWNTOWN BANKER 44.2
5-NO CAPS NO FLOORS 38.2

1st time starters - 7, 6, 1, 10

RACE 5
7-CRIMSON STAR 80.2
8-FOR CONTRAST 74.9
4-SOCK IT TO 'EM 62.2
1-SEMPAI 60.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-SENOR CRAFTY 40.3
5-CHARMING JIG 33.0
8-LUCERO NEGRO 27.2
11-SIERRA SEVEN 22.8

1st time starters - 6, 7, 2, 9

RACE 7
8-LIL LEGAL LINDA 65.9
3-WINKY 61.1
2-LION PRINCESS 57.5
7-RAISE AGAIN 56.5

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-FIRE IN THE WIND 52.1
2-DEL MAR TRUCKEE 46.4
4-BOLDNREGENT 29.3

1st time starters -6, 5, 7, 3

RACE 9
6-MR. MONKEY JONES 93.9
1-J P JAMMER 86.9
5-TUDOR BLUE 86.3
4-INDY RIDE 84.4

RACE 10
3-QUE SERA SERA 65.4
12-DANIELLA ROTH 54.5
4-BOMBING TWO 53.0
7-DIXIE DOT CHANCE 52.0
13-NEW CITIZEN 51.6
8-WARREN'S PLAYER 50.6 (off March 08)

Labels: , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, September 10, 2009

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-KELLYS KITCHEN 59.0 (off Dec. 08)
5-SHEZA SCREAMER 56.0
8-L' AZIZA 51.1
3-CROSS OF DIAMONDS 38.6 (off slow - off April 08)

1st time starters - 4, 12, 7

RACE 2
5-ASHLEY'S CUTIE 71.4
7-PINSTRIPE KID 71.4
6-RENTED COP 68.6
9-SMOOTH DOLLARS 50.2

1st time starters - 1, 3

RACE 3
6-JUSTINPLACE 77.2
7-T J'S DIXIE 76.6
4-CHADLINGTON 65.9
9-CEE MISTER B 62.2

RACE 4
3-NORTON OWEN 72.6
12-WHIZER 66.4
8-LEMONBIRD 65.4
10-HEISMAN U 53.5 (off June 08)
4-STIMULUS PACKAGE 53.5

RACE 5
6-CANT CATCH JUDY 70.9
8-COMPANY SECRET 68.6
1-KENTUCKY WALTZ 66.4
3-FLOWER FUSION 60.1

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-WORD ASSOCIATION 56.5
7-GAMBLING POKERFACE 50.2
3-WARREN'S SWAP FOX 44.6
6-SAANNEEN 44.6
2-SIBERIAN HEART 44.6

1st time starters - 9, 1, 4

RACE 7
9-WHY KNOT US 84.4
6-DARK MATTER 78.4
10-ORIENTATION HALL 75.4
4-WATCH OVER ME 74.9

RACE 8
2-DANCING ERIN 90.7
7-BONIFACIO 89.4
6-FASTONGRASS 86.3
1-RIDE ME FAST 71.4

RACE 9
12-DINNR WITH NIKKI C 55.5
2-SHEZA FOXY JACKPOT 49.7
8-VIVACIOUS ANNA 46.9
10-CHATTY LULA 40.7
1-DON'T REITERATE 39.4
5-ROYALLY LARGE 39.0

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, September 09, 2009

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-CHERRYBLOSSOMMISS 78.4
4-PINK DIAMOND 77.5 (off Dec. 08)
3-BROKEN SILENCE 69.3
5-MOON RACER 64.2
1-SWEET THOUGHTS 63.2 (off slow)

RACE 2
1-SAINT CHOCOLATE 82.6
7-MAJ. TROUBLE 77.6 (off Dec. 08)
2-HOLD THIS 76.0
10-DON'T FORGET MUQ 73.1

RACE 3
1-COST OF FREEDOM 127.5 (off Sept. 08)
4-DANCING IN SILKS 96.5
2-CANDY PULL 88.8
3-POLONIUS 88.2
5-TANGLED TANGO 85.5

RACE 4
1-GREAT RAID 65.9
14-TOM BOMBADIL 60.6 (off slow)
9-ZOHAN 56.2
8-LITTLE HEATER 55.5

1st time starters - 5, 4

RACE 5
5-RACKETEER 103.1
6-VICTORY PETE 101.1
8-GET FUNKY 97.1
10-TIMES GONE BY 95.2
2-EL GATO MALO 94.4

RACE 6
8-BALLET RIBBONS 81.4
9-I SWEAR 80.2
3-JOINT AGREEMENT 80.2
1-BUBBLEY BLONDE 70.3
7-MORGAN LANE 69.8

RACE 7
3-HALO NAJIB 108.6
2-M ONE RIFLE 108.6
6-SUPREME SUMMIT 105.2
1-CROWN OF THORNS 102.5 (off Feb. 08)

RACE 8
3-WILD PROMISES 110.7
10-CARRIBEAN SUNSET 109.3
6-GOTTA HAVE HER 103.1
4-ALLICANSAYIS WOW 99.8
2-LETHAL HEAT 99.1

RACE 9
10-SKIPPY DUE 94.5
9-SELF INSURED 94.1
8-FLIRTING FOR LOVE 91.9
7-FANTASY FREE 84.4

RACE 10
2-SOVEREIGN LORD 86.9
8-ANDWHATELSE 85.6
7-THRILLAH 82.6
10-COLLATO 75.4
9-AXEL FOLEY 72.6
4-ROYAL VISION 72.0

Labels: , , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, September 08, 2009

 

DEL MAR - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win.Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.

Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, September 07, 2009

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $427,333.

RACE 1
5-JUNE MY LOVE 73.1
1-SOLDIER BETTY 69.2
4-IMADETHECASHCALL 69.2
2-LOVELY LOLLY 65.4
7-MOSCOW RISING 64.2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
5-DIXIE'S SANDALS 69.2
3-SERIOUSLY 68.1
7-STAR OF SAPHIRE 53.0
6-SAINT ISABELLE 52.0

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3
4-VICTORINA 103.8
2-HOT N' DUSTY 98.1
6-RAINBOW'S SONG 91.9
7-BRIECAT 90.7

RACE 4
7-JOSHUA'S DREAM 91.9
5-YANKEE VISIONARY 90.8
4-FARADAY 86.9
3-CHESTNUT TOUCH 81.3

RACE 5
10-RAISE THE RIVER 93.9
9-DEVIL ON THE ROOF 83.8
2-EXILE 82.6 (hopped at start)
6-MONOLINGUAL 75.4

1st time starters - 3, 1, 5, 4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-WOLF TAIL 81.4
7-GRACE UPON GRACE 74.9
1-JOHN SCOTT 67.0
2-TRIBAL FACE 65.4

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-INDIAN FIREWATER 85.0
5-SUMMERS AT DELMAR 60.6

1st time starters - 2, 9, 1, 8, 10, 7, 6, 4

RACE 8
1-LOOKIN AT LUCKY 93.2
6-WHO'S UP 90.0
4-SMILING TIGER 89.4
7-STERLING OUTLOOK 85.6
5-MAKE MUSIC FOR ME 85.0

RACE 9
5-GOING FORWARD 86.3
9-ALL MONEY NO LOVE 83.8
3-DRAFT CHOICE 83.2
2-BALLISTIC HEAT 82.0

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
4-CAT CALLOWAY 57.5
6-CARDIFF GIANT 52.6
5-GILLIGAN 47.4
2-KALOOKAN COMMANDO 46.4
8-ZEES ECHO 46.0

1st time starters - 1

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, September 06, 2009

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: Saturday - top picks, 5 wins with 3 seconds.

RACE 1
6-GUMPTION 88.1
3-YOU CAN DREAM 64.3 (off Oct. 08)
9-SHESAPERFECTDOLL 59.6
7-GLORY FOREVER 54.5

1st time starters - 8, 2

RACE 2
4-THIRD MAN 89.4
1-CHALULA ONE 85.0
6-JEHAN 83.2
2-FREEDOM STAR 80.2
3-MUSIC MAGIC 79.0
5-MALIBU WIN 79.0

RACE 3
5-PLEASURE TO RIDE 89.4
10-STRUCTURAL 89.4
7-CORNET OF A BARON 88.1
8-CASPIAN 85.0

RACE 4
1-ZENSATIONAL 123.0
6-TALKIN TO MOM ROO 115.0
4-NOBLE COURT 110.7
2-NIKKI'SGOLDENSTEED 105.9
3-BIG BAD LEROYBROWN 103.1

RACE 5
8-BET ON VICTOR 97.8
6-PLASMA BEAM 95.2
1-BESTDRESSED 92.6
9-CANYON DRIVE 92.6
4-KORBAN 91.3

RACE 6
8-PAPA CLEM 108.1
6-AFLEET EAGLE 106.3
4-BATTLE OF HASTINGS 98.4
2-MIDNIGHT MISCHIEF 97.1

RACE 7
6-DEPUTY MAX 79.0
12-ICEY TEMPER 49.2
10-LIGHTNIN' UP 44.6

1st time starters - 3, 1, 8, 5, 2, 7, 9, 11, 4

RACE 8
2-QUARTER MOON 97.1
6-DANGEROUS DEVIL 97.1
10-SARTORIAL 94.5
3-BERT'S LAW 91.3
8-ON FIRE 91.3

1st time starters - 9 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
3-RAIL TRIP 125.3
9-TRES BORRACHOS 122.3
6-COLONEL JOHN 117.2
1-INFORMED 112.9
11-PARADING 112.2

RACE 10
11-STREAKIN EXCESS 95.2
12-EARSTOYOU 84.4
7-DOMINADORA 84.4
6-SHE'S VERY RARE 83.2

RACE 11
7-NEVER 86.4
4-AMAZOMBIE 85.0
8-ABSOLUTLYPOSITIVLY 76.6
5-STERKEL 72.8
1-CEDROS 72.0

1st time starters - 6

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, September 05, 2009

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $418,745.

RACE 1
1-FRANKELSTEIN 86.3
3-TWIN TURBO 84.4
9-HIGH INVESTMENT 78.4
12-DORIPRIZE 77.8

RACE 2
4-MONZANTE 110.0 (off Aug. 08)
3-STAR NICHOLAS 103.8
2-DAKOTA PHONE 99.1
6-LIMESTONE EDGE 98.4

RACE 3
3-SINDYFROMSANTACRUZ 69.2
7-TEN'S SALTY SALLY 63.8
8-TORREY CLIFFS 62.2
2-GOAL GIRL MICHELE 60.1

1st time starters - 6

RACE 4
2-GRAZEN 114.3
4-CHOCOLATE CANDY 97.8
3-POSITION A 94.1
6-QUINDICI MAN 88.1

RACE 5
4-WICKED MISCHIEF 89.4
9-BLACK KETTLE 86.9
2-BOX OFFICE STAR 86.9
3-PARTY MANDATE 85.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
9-PULSION 70.4
11-SUMMERS AT DELMAR 55.6
6-SIX EIGHTEEN 52.1 (off slow)
8-CAME ABROAD 52.0
4-SLEW THE MAN 52.0

1st time starters - 2

RACE 7
9-MOHAKA 90.0
3-GOOD TIME SALLY 87.5
10-FIRE N' BRIMSTONE 83.8
8-BIRDIE BIRDIE 83.2
4-CORNISH ROSE 83.2
2-VICTORIA REEL 82.6

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
6-MI SUENO 91.9
4-NECESSARY EVIL 90.0
8-REPO 88.1
3-BLIND LUCK 86.9

Race 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-STOCKINGS 63.8

1st time starters - (no selections - 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10)

RACE 10
12-YODELEN DAN 95.8
1-YES IT'S A CAT 95.2
3-SOUVENIR SLEW 93.8
7-SMOOTH AND SAVVY 91.9
6-SOUPY 91.9
5-TENT 90.0

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, September 04, 2009

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $91,515.

RACE 1
11-SVEN DIESEL 79.6
10-AL N CON 71.4
7-LEARN THE SPORT 68.1
5-BRIAN THE BRAVE 62.7

1st time starters - 1, 6

RACE 2
1-HARLENE 76.0
6-DIRTY DISH MITCH 74.3
2-ROYAL VISION 73.1
4-CITIZENS BRIGADE 72.6

RACE 3
8-SURE TIZ 75.4
6-ANCILLARY 68.6
5-BIT OF A LADY 64.8
4-COPYBREAK 64.3

RACE 4
9-SHADOW OF ILLINOIS 99.8
7-A LIL DUMAANI 95.8
1-SASSOU 93.9
5-WINE ON THE PORCH 93.2
8-SLAM SLEW 91.9

RACE 5
8-JEN'S NEW CHAPTER 79.0
6-DINE AT NINE 74.9
5-KNEELING'S PRIDE 71.4
4-ORNAMENTAL TORCH 67.5

RACE 6
1-DREAMS AFLEET 62.7 (off July 08)
4-FALL FOREST 58.5
8-BREWHA BABY 57.0 (off Aug. 08)
11-WARRENS SWEETHEART 52.6

1st time starters - 12, 9, 2, 7, 3

RACE 7
9-YASINISI 83.2
8-WELKEN 82.6
2-KICKEN VIXEN 79.0
6-CARNIVAL QUEEN 77.8
3-POKOMOKE 77.2

RACE 8
8-CARLSBAD 100.4
2-EVITA ARGENTINA 97.8
4-LADY LUMBERJACK 96.5
5-MOON DE FRENCH 93.2

RACE 9
5-SMOKENOMORE 67.0
10-MORTON OWEN 65.4
6-DE BRIEF ME 63.2
3-OBJECTIFIED 61.6
7-CAFE CON LECHE 56.0

1st time starters - 9

Labels: , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, September 03, 2009

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
9-DEPUTY JUDY R N 53.5
1-MIREYA DIAZ 44.2
4-MUSICAL GRACE 43.3
8-JANA GAIL 30.8

1st time starters - 3, 7, 2, 10

RACE 2
6-ANGEL BEFORE US 72.0
3-WORTH THE FIGHT 69.2
5-ULTRA AWESOME 67.5
4-BEAU CHANT 64.8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-SHESKEY 46.4
5-GOLDENEH MEDINA 41.1
10-ORGANIC 39.0
2-PRIVATE VALENTINE 37.8

1st time starters - 4, 8

RACE 4
5-WICKEDNWACKYINGRID 90.0
6-HEATHERSDADDYSBABY 89.4
2-GULA GOLD 84.4
3-CHELCEE'S HOPE 83.2
4-BURNA DETTE 82.0

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-PICO PICO 72.6
6-MINISTERFROMMIAMI 58.5
3-ON HOLY GROUND 42.9
9-SAARFACE 39.4

1st time starters - 8, 2, 7, 1

RACE 6
6-POINT ATTENDED 91.3
5-DEEP POCKETS 80.2
8-PICK TO CLICK 78.4
3-WAAFI 75.4
9-MAJOR SMOKE 74.3

RACE 7
2-REBA IS TOPS 104.5
4-QUEEN OFTHE CATSLE 103.8
3-ROYAL TAAT 95.8
1-CAPE OF BRADFORD 90.0

RACE 8
9-JUICE COMMITTEE 67.0
12-AFLEET HOPETOWN 64.8
5-CEE'S CLOSING TIME 62.7
4-PANDA 62.7
11-MARCADE 61.1
7-FORZA DEL DESTINO 60.6

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, September 02, 2009

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: ON SUNDAY'S CARD 5 TOP PICKS WON ( $2.60, 4.40, 4.40, 6.00, 7.60) one 2nd pick won ($5.40).

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $168,634.

RACE 1
4-LULLABYTIME 77.8
6-DANCES WITH TIGERS 70.3
3-SUNNY PEACE 68.7
1-DONA AMELIA 67.6

RACE 2
2-QUISISANA 98.3 (off Oct. 08)
5-ANNIHILATION 91.3
8-SILENT STALK 88.1
6-SLEEP TIGHT 86.3

RACE 3
1-NICCOLO DREAM 82.6
2-RAISE THE HEAT 80.2
4-HUNTER CREEK 74.3
6-FIGHT ON 72.0

RACE 4
4-LAUNCH THE BULL 95.2
1-THE WHAMMER 88.8
3-GAME A. P. 77.2 (off Dec. 08)
10-RINGOLEVIO 73.4

1st time starters - 5, 8, 7, 2, 9

RACE 5
10-CASSABLANCA 73.7
7-ALEX B. GOOD 70.3
6-MOON O'ER CASHEL 68.6
3-CINNAMON DOVE 68.1

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
12-BUYER'S REMORSE 66.4
13-GILLIGAN 46.9
7-UR TURN DUBAI 45.5
2-RANGER HEARTLEY 41.1

1st time starters - 8, 11, 9, 3, 5

RACE 7
4-THE USUAL Q. T. 93.2
1-PREMIERE FLYER 86.9
6-ADAM SUANCES 86.3
11-BARBAROSSO 83.2
5-STORMY GAME 82.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-UNBRIDLED MEETING 80.2
3-LA NEZ 73.7
4-MAGIC YODELER 72.6
1-CAMILLE C 64.3
2-HIGH FIVE GAL 64.3

RACE 9
9-NO PUN INTENDED 71.4
5-CLEARLY QUIET 67.5 (off Nov. 08)
3-JAMIESON 66.4
10-EISENHEIM 64.8
11-DONTHAVEATIZZY 61.6.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, September 01, 2009

 

DEL MAR - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-
1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win.Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.

Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , ,


This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?