Saturday, December 30, 2006
SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.
Fri. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (5.00) 3rd pick 2nd (4.80) top pick 3rd (2.10) 4th pick 4th, top 3 picks boxed- Ex (13.60) trifecta (26.10) no superfecta. Race 2- Top Pick Won (6.40) 2nd pick 2nd (2.80) Ex (7.90) 4th pick 3rd (no trifecta). Race 3- 2 picks scratched, only 1st timer 2nd (22.60) 2nd pick 4th. Race 4-2nd 1st timer won (39.40) 3rd pick 3rd (4.60) top pick 4th. Race 5-3rd pick 4th. Race 6- 2nd pick won (6.00) 3rd pick 3rd (3.20 - dead heat). Race 7- Top Pick Won (7.00) 3rd pick 4th. Race 8- Top Pick Won (7.80) 4th pick 2nd (16.20) Top pick keyed- Ex (140.20).
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
7-UP THE LIMIT 70.9
5-KERN 70.3
6-RUN WITH THE MONEY 67.5
13-TURN TO SKY 64.8
RACE 2
2-KEY LIME PIE 67.5
10-FLOWER HILL 66.4
8-PRIVATE HALL 65.3
1-ELLA ELLA 59.3
RACE 3
6-BUTCH 95.2
4-TALKIN TO MOM ROO 92.6
8-MASTER CAT 76.6
3-COOL COMMANDER 67.0
1st time starters - 2, 5
RACE 4
3-BIG JON 99.5
11-PHAR TO WIN 91.9
9-FERNDALE SAL 86.9
10-GEM PROOF 84.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
4-LEVEL RED 81.4
1-SUTHERNMOSTPOINT 81.4
10-FORWARD COMMITMENTS 74.3
11-SILVER LIGHT 74.0
1st time starters - 7
RACE 6
1-HELLO FAME 99.1
2-LIKE NEW MONEY 95.2
5-POWER SHIFT 89.4
7-INDIAN CHANT 86.9
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf )
2-OPTARI 87.3
7-FREESGOOD 80.2
6-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 79.6
4-KOLO 77.2
1-SEVENGOLDMISSLES 76.6
RACE 8
6-SQUALLACIOUS 105.9
4-WIN MCCOOL 99.1
5-LES RY LEIGH 99.1
8-FOXYSOX 93.9
10-DOWNTHEDUSTYROAD 93.2
RACE 9
8-GRAFTON 100.4
9-ULTIMATO 97.8
2-SEEKING ANSWERS 97.1
10-TIME TO HONOR 93.9
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
7-UP THE LIMIT 70.9
5-KERN 70.3
6-RUN WITH THE MONEY 67.5
13-TURN TO SKY 64.8
RACE 2
2-KEY LIME PIE 67.5
10-FLOWER HILL 66.4
8-PRIVATE HALL 65.3
1-ELLA ELLA 59.3
RACE 3
6-BUTCH 95.2
4-TALKIN TO MOM ROO 92.6
8-MASTER CAT 76.6
3-COOL COMMANDER 67.0
1st time starters - 2, 5
RACE 4
3-BIG JON 99.5
11-PHAR TO WIN 91.9
9-FERNDALE SAL 86.9
10-GEM PROOF 84.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
4-LEVEL RED 81.4
1-SUTHERNMOSTPOINT 81.4
10-FORWARD COMMITMENTS 74.3
11-SILVER LIGHT 74.0
1st time starters - 7
RACE 6
1-HELLO FAME 99.1
2-LIKE NEW MONEY 95.2
5-POWER SHIFT 89.4
7-INDIAN CHANT 86.9
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf )
2-OPTARI 87.3
7-FREESGOOD 80.2
6-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 79.6
4-KOLO 77.2
1-SEVENGOLDMISSLES 76.6
RACE 8
6-SQUALLACIOUS 105.9
4-WIN MCCOOL 99.1
5-LES RY LEIGH 99.1
8-FOXYSOX 93.9
10-DOWNTHEDUSTYROAD 93.2
RACE 9
8-GRAFTON 100.4
9-ULTIMATO 97.8
2-SEEKING ANSWERS 97.1
10-TIME TO HONOR 93.9
Thursday, December 28, 2006
SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-FREE BIRD FLY 81.4
2-COM EASY 76.0
6-JUMP ON IN 74.9
3-ROAR'S ROCKETTE 68.1
RACE 2
2-ROUND HEELS 97.8
1-MAXXI ARTE 94.5
4-ETERNAL MELODY 94.5
3-MOVIE STAR 92.6
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
8-EL FALCON 66.5
3-ANOTHER BROTHER 50.2
4-EVIDENT 44.2
9-TOMCAT ROW 41.2
1st time starters - 6, 1, 2, 7, 5
RACE 4
8-BALLADO'S GOLD 89.4
5-WORLD ASUNDER 88.1
1-STARTALE 79.6
4-GRAND POINT 76.0
1st time starters - 2
RACE 5
11-LITE MAN 77.2
7-ICE LEMON AND RUM 71.4
2-ALIE'S DIN DIN 71.4
1-BLACKJACK GAMBLER 69.2
RACE 6
1-AMERICAN ALL STAR 97.1
3-YES MASTER 95.2
5-ROYAL PLACE 91.9
7-MARGARITALOSFLORES 90.0
RACE 7
3-SOMETHINABOUTLAURA 107.3
2-RUNNING BOBCATS 102.5
1-RIVER SAVAGE 94.5
6-MAZELLA 90.0
RACE 8
4-WAR GAEL 70.3
10-HOOT 65.5
1-SLEWS THE BELIEVER 62.2
14-ZIG TOWN 61.1
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-FREE BIRD FLY 81.4
2-COM EASY 76.0
6-JUMP ON IN 74.9
3-ROAR'S ROCKETTE 68.1
RACE 2
2-ROUND HEELS 97.8
1-MAXXI ARTE 94.5
4-ETERNAL MELODY 94.5
3-MOVIE STAR 92.6
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
8-EL FALCON 66.5
3-ANOTHER BROTHER 50.2
4-EVIDENT 44.2
9-TOMCAT ROW 41.2
1st time starters - 6, 1, 2, 7, 5
RACE 4
8-BALLADO'S GOLD 89.4
5-WORLD ASUNDER 88.1
1-STARTALE 79.6
4-GRAND POINT 76.0
1st time starters - 2
RACE 5
11-LITE MAN 77.2
7-ICE LEMON AND RUM 71.4
2-ALIE'S DIN DIN 71.4
1-BLACKJACK GAMBLER 69.2
RACE 6
1-AMERICAN ALL STAR 97.1
3-YES MASTER 95.2
5-ROYAL PLACE 91.9
7-MARGARITALOSFLORES 90.0
RACE 7
3-SOMETHINABOUTLAURA 107.3
2-RUNNING BOBCATS 102.5
1-RIVER SAVAGE 94.5
6-MAZELLA 90.0
RACE 8
4-WAR GAEL 70.3
10-HOOT 65.5
1-SLEWS THE BELIEVER 62.2
14-ZIG TOWN 61.1
Wednesday, December 27, 2006
SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
Tues. recap- Race 1- Top pick 2nd (2.80) 3rd pick 4th. Race 2- note 7 horses were within 4 points of each other) 6th pick 2nd (6.00). Race 3- 2nd pick won (3.60) top pick 2nd (3.80) boxed- Ex (8.00) only 1st timer 3rd (3.40) Trifecta (34.20). Race 4- 4th pick 2nd (5.20) 3rd pick 4th. Race 5- Top Pick Won (4.40) 1st timer 2nd (8.20) top 1st timer 3rd (5.20) 2nd pick 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (16.90) Trifecta (76.00) Superfecta (343.30). Race 6-1 pick scratched, 4th pick won (6.00). Race 7- (note: other than top pick 5 horses were witin 1 point of each other) 4th pick 2nd (17.40) 5th pick 3rd (5.80). Race 8- 3rd pick won (13.40). Race 9- Top Pick Won (11.60) 4th pick 2nd (6.20) top pick keyed- Ex (32.40).
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Tuesday, December 26, 2006
SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR TUES.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-VIDCLIP 67.0
1-SIDEPOCKET CAT 52.6
7-GET THEE HENCE 46.9
9-UNUSUAL MEN 39.9
1st time starters - 8, 10, 6
RACE 2
7-MIRACLE HILL 89.4
4-RUSH RUSH 89.4
1-BUCK TUDDY BUCK 88.7
3-UNREQUITED 88.1
5, 9, 12 = 87.5
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
5-CARMAN 88.8
2-TENFOLD 80.2
3-AMAZIN BLUE 79.0
1-BULLYA 64.3 (off slow)
1st time starters - 8
RACE 4
7-NUMBER JUAN 101.1 (off Jan. 06)
10-CITY LIGHTS 85.6
1-SMOKIN FOREST 80.8
9-CAT OF FIFTY SEVEN 80.2
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-COCO BELLE 86.3
11-INTO REALITY 75.5
12-A P CHARLIE 70.3
9-REDNESS 56.0
1st time starters - 2, 11, 4, 10, 14, 5, 3
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
7-INDIAN ASHTON 86.3
10-SUPER IMAGE 83.8
1-RIVER ECHO 80.2 (entry)
9-SOMETHING SONIC 80.2
3-PIRATES DEPUTY 80.0
RACE 7
1-IN SUMMATION 110.0
2-CRESTED 101.8
14-GET FUNKY 101.8
5-AWESOME GEM 101.5
12-ZANN 100.5
11-PORTO SANTO 100.5
RACE 8
2-ARSON SQUAD 117.2
6-SAILORS SUNSET 114.3
12-LATENT HEAT 113.6
5-BROTHER DEREK 112.3
RACE 9
4-SILK KERCHIEF 91.9
12-MOHAWK 87.5
9-TUFF MUFFIN 85.6
6-FUN LOGIC 83.8
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-VIDCLIP 67.0
1-SIDEPOCKET CAT 52.6
7-GET THEE HENCE 46.9
9-UNUSUAL MEN 39.9
1st time starters - 8, 10, 6
RACE 2
7-MIRACLE HILL 89.4
4-RUSH RUSH 89.4
1-BUCK TUDDY BUCK 88.7
3-UNREQUITED 88.1
5, 9, 12 = 87.5
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
5-CARMAN 88.8
2-TENFOLD 80.2
3-AMAZIN BLUE 79.0
1-BULLYA 64.3 (off slow)
1st time starters - 8
RACE 4
7-NUMBER JUAN 101.1 (off Jan. 06)
10-CITY LIGHTS 85.6
1-SMOKIN FOREST 80.8
9-CAT OF FIFTY SEVEN 80.2
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-COCO BELLE 86.3
11-INTO REALITY 75.5
12-A P CHARLIE 70.3
9-REDNESS 56.0
1st time starters - 2, 11, 4, 10, 14, 5, 3
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
7-INDIAN ASHTON 86.3
10-SUPER IMAGE 83.8
1-RIVER ECHO 80.2 (entry)
9-SOMETHING SONIC 80.2
3-PIRATES DEPUTY 80.0
RACE 7
1-IN SUMMATION 110.0
2-CRESTED 101.8
14-GET FUNKY 101.8
5-AWESOME GEM 101.5
12-ZANN 100.5
11-PORTO SANTO 100.5
RACE 8
2-ARSON SQUAD 117.2
6-SAILORS SUNSET 114.3
12-LATENT HEAT 113.6
5-BROTHER DEREK 112.3
RACE 9
4-SILK KERCHIEF 91.9
12-MOHAWK 87.5
9-TUFF MUFFIN 85.6
6-FUN LOGIC 83.8
Thursday, December 21, 2006
SANTA ANITA - OPENING DAY DEC. 26
MERRY CHRISTMAS
WE WILL RETURN ON DEC. 26 FOR OPENING DAY AT SANTA ANITA
ENJOY THE HOLIDAY SEASON
Wednesday, December 20, 2006
SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Tuesday, December 19, 2006
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only.
Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened three times that I know of in over 470 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only.
Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened three times that I know of in over 470 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Monday, December 18, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MON.
No recap for Sun. due to my late posting. We did have a good day.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-LANGANDWINDINGROAD 79.6
3-ARE YOU POSITIVE 75.4
5-HOT ROD 69.8
1-YES TALK TO ME 62.2
RACE 2
2-SILVERS SURPRISE 79.9
7-BADOUTOO 76.0
10-NO LULLABY 74.6
3-SITAR 72.6
1st time starters - 11
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
6-INDY'S WINDY 70.9
1-SARACINA 67.0
5-SCARLET LOVE 62.5
2-BARTOK'S BLING 56.1
RACE 4
4-SABALUCIOUS 75.4
10-MYSTERIOUS CAT 75.4
1-VICTIM OF LOVE 69.8
12-KEG TOP 69.8
5-SOLID REACH 69.2
RACE 5
1-COUSIN JOE 97.8
2-SACRED LIGHT 94.4
3-SOUPY 93.2
6-REFUSAL 92.6
RACE 6
8-ABNEGATE 82.0
10-MORNING WATCH 81.3
11-TAKE A CHANCE 75.4
4-LITTLEBITOFZIP 74.9
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
9-EXACTLY 69.2
6-SARAND STAR 58.5
5-DENNYBUCK 47.4
7-BARTOK'S BUSTA 43.8
1st time starters - 4, 2, 1
RACE 8
3-LIMITED CREOLE 100.0
7-SEVEN NATION ARMY 97.8
6-CROSSCUT 95.8
1-SUNDAY TIMES 94.5
RACE 9
2-NAISSANCE ROYALE 110.0
7-DREAM'S 103.8
8-CHARM THE GIANT 101.1
11-SINGALONG 95.8
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-GO RAY RAY 86.9
2-SHORT SENTANCE 72.0
9-NINE FIGURES 65.9
10-LA MANDONNA 63.8
6-SLEW O'PLATINUM 63.8
RACE 11 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-TWODOLLERSTOWIN 62.7
11-TOPPER'S SMILING 54.5
12-BEYOND THE MARK 44.6
13-LADY BEATRICE 44.2
1st time starters - 3, 5, 15, 4, 10, 1
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-LANGANDWINDINGROAD 79.6
3-ARE YOU POSITIVE 75.4
5-HOT ROD 69.8
1-YES TALK TO ME 62.2
RACE 2
2-SILVERS SURPRISE 79.9
7-BADOUTOO 76.0
10-NO LULLABY 74.6
3-SITAR 72.6
1st time starters - 11
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
6-INDY'S WINDY 70.9
1-SARACINA 67.0
5-SCARLET LOVE 62.5
2-BARTOK'S BLING 56.1
RACE 4
4-SABALUCIOUS 75.4
10-MYSTERIOUS CAT 75.4
1-VICTIM OF LOVE 69.8
12-KEG TOP 69.8
5-SOLID REACH 69.2
RACE 5
1-COUSIN JOE 97.8
2-SACRED LIGHT 94.4
3-SOUPY 93.2
6-REFUSAL 92.6
RACE 6
8-ABNEGATE 82.0
10-MORNING WATCH 81.3
11-TAKE A CHANCE 75.4
4-LITTLEBITOFZIP 74.9
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
9-EXACTLY 69.2
6-SARAND STAR 58.5
5-DENNYBUCK 47.4
7-BARTOK'S BUSTA 43.8
1st time starters - 4, 2, 1
RACE 8
3-LIMITED CREOLE 100.0
7-SEVEN NATION ARMY 97.8
6-CROSSCUT 95.8
1-SUNDAY TIMES 94.5
RACE 9
2-NAISSANCE ROYALE 110.0
7-DREAM'S 103.8
8-CHARM THE GIANT 101.1
11-SINGALONG 95.8
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-GO RAY RAY 86.9
2-SHORT SENTANCE 72.0
9-NINE FIGURES 65.9
10-LA MANDONNA 63.8
6-SLEW O'PLATINUM 63.8
RACE 11 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-TWODOLLERSTOWIN 62.7
11-TOPPER'S SMILING 54.5
12-BEYOND THE MARK 44.6
13-LADY BEATRICE 44.2
1st time starters - 3, 5, 15, 4, 10, 1
Sunday, December 17, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.
Sat. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (7.40) 2nd pick2nd (5.80) Ex (16.80) Q (17.20) 4th pick 4th. Race 2- 3rd pick won (9.60) 2nd pick 2nd (3.20) 4th pick "tied" 3rd (4.60) 4th pick "tied" 4th, picks boxed- Ex (12.30) Q (10.00) Trifecta (98.30) Superfecta (381.90). Race 3- 3rd pick won (7.40) top pick 2nd "dead heat" (2.10) 4th pick 2nd "dead heat" (2.60) 2nd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (4.20) & (12.90) Q (3.80) & (12.50) trifectas (12.90) & (27.20) no superfecta. Race 4- Top Pick Won (3.60) 3rd pick 2nd (7.60) top 1st timer 4th, top 3 picks boxed- Ex (14.30) Q (26.00). Race 5- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (3.40) 3rd pick 3rd (2.20). Race 6- 2nd pick 2nd (6.20) 4th pick 3rd (10.40) 3rd pick 4th. Race 7- Top Pick Won (7.40) top 1st timer 2nd (7.00) 2nd 1st timer 3rd (3.40) top pick keyed with 3 top 1st timers- Ex (31.00) Q (30.80) Ttrifecta (144.40) Superfecta (446.30). Race 8- 4th pick 2nd (6.40) top pick 3rd (3.20). Race 9-4th pick won (8.80) 2nd pick 4th. Race 10-3rd pick 2nd (4.60) 2nd pick 4th. Race 11- top pick 2nd (4.60) 3rd pick 3rd (3.40).
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER OF $175,371 FOR SUNDAY AT HOLLYWOOD PARK.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
4-COLONEL CHICK 81.3
2-BOUTROUS 80.8
6-BLACK HILLS 78.2
3-DEE RAIN 73.7
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-BRICKLAND 78.2
10-ROOSEVELT 64.2
1st time starters - 8, 2, 1, 5, 7, 6, 9, 3
RACE 3
4-FORWARD MOVE 102.5
7-DEALER CHOICE 97.8
1-OCEAN GRAND 93.9
6-MR. KATZ 93.9
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-IDAHO JOE 64.8
9-LUCKY WILL 42.4
4-SAINTLY SON 31.1
8-FARMSTONE 24.8 (off slow)
1st time starters - 2, 3, 6, 1, 7
RACE 5
10-ONLY ONE WAY 97.0
7-TRICKY DAY 93.8
9-FIDDLERS CAT 89.4
3-FRESADO 84.5
RACE 6
11-WICKERSHAM 80.2
7-BETTERSWEETMOMENT 79.0
5-KEY LIME PIE 74.3
9-DIXIE COURAGE 71.4
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-HURRY HOME WARREN 72.0
8-DESERT CODE 70.9
3-MANHASSET INDIAN 66.4
5-LADAY TALE 59.6
1st time starters - 2, 4, 9, 7
RACE 8
2-PUBLICATION 103.8
4-SWING YOUR PARTNERS 99.1
3-PADDY MURPHY 98.4
1-RAMSGATE 98.4
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
12-MISTICAL PLAN 99.8
1-BARONESS THATCHER 84.4
6-QUICK LITTLE MISS 84.4
11-RUNWAY ROSIE 78.4
13-MYSTIC SOUL 78.2
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-REMEMBER MAGGIE 70.9
9-REALLY BIG TIME 62.7
3-CHOCOLATE HEAVEN 51.6
16-LIL MIS M. T. C. 51.6
1st time starters - 7, 6, 14, 12
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER OF $175,371 FOR SUNDAY AT HOLLYWOOD PARK.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
4-COLONEL CHICK 81.3
2-BOUTROUS 80.8
6-BLACK HILLS 78.2
3-DEE RAIN 73.7
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-BRICKLAND 78.2
10-ROOSEVELT 64.2
1st time starters - 8, 2, 1, 5, 7, 6, 9, 3
RACE 3
4-FORWARD MOVE 102.5
7-DEALER CHOICE 97.8
1-OCEAN GRAND 93.9
6-MR. KATZ 93.9
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-IDAHO JOE 64.8
9-LUCKY WILL 42.4
4-SAINTLY SON 31.1
8-FARMSTONE 24.8 (off slow)
1st time starters - 2, 3, 6, 1, 7
RACE 5
10-ONLY ONE WAY 97.0
7-TRICKY DAY 93.8
9-FIDDLERS CAT 89.4
3-FRESADO 84.5
RACE 6
11-WICKERSHAM 80.2
7-BETTERSWEETMOMENT 79.0
5-KEY LIME PIE 74.3
9-DIXIE COURAGE 71.4
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-HURRY HOME WARREN 72.0
8-DESERT CODE 70.9
3-MANHASSET INDIAN 66.4
5-LADAY TALE 59.6
1st time starters - 2, 4, 9, 7
RACE 8
2-PUBLICATION 103.8
4-SWING YOUR PARTNERS 99.1
3-PADDY MURPHY 98.4
1-RAMSGATE 98.4
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
12-MISTICAL PLAN 99.8
1-BARONESS THATCHER 84.4
6-QUICK LITTLE MISS 84.4
11-RUNWAY ROSIE 78.4
13-MYSTIC SOUL 78.2
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-REMEMBER MAGGIE 70.9
9-REALLY BIG TIME 62.7
3-CHOCOLATE HEAVEN 51.6
16-LIL MIS M. T. C. 51.6
1st time starters - 7, 6, 14, 12
Saturday, December 16, 2006
HOLLYWOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.
Fri. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (3.00) 2nd pick 2nd (3.40) Ex (7.10) Q (10.80) 3rd pick 3rd (2.80) trifecta in order (27.50). Race 2- 3rd pick 3rd (6.00) 2nd pick 4th , winner paid 162.60. Race 3- 2nd pick won (9.00) 3rd pick 2nd (4.60) top pick 3rd (2.10) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (17.90) Q (18.60) no trifecta. Race 4- 3rd pick won (8.80) 3rd 1st timer 2nd (12.60) 2nd 1st timer 3rd (4.40) 2nd pick 4th, top 3 picks with 1st timers- Ex (67.80) Q (91.40) Trifecta (581.20) Superfecta (1,901.40). Race 5- 4th pick won (27.40) 2nd pick 2nd (8.00) 3rd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (82.50) Q (76.80). Race 6- 2nd pick 2nd (3.20). Race 7- 3rd pick won (5.80) only 1st timer 2nd (2.80) top pick 3rd (3.40) 4th pick 4th, picks boxed with 1st timer- Ex (46.60) Q (72.20) Trifecta (175.60) Superfecta (2,133.50). Race 8- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (4.40) 2nd pick 2nd (2.80) top pick 3rd (no Show) Ex (4.60) Q (5.40). Race 9- top 1st timer won (36.60) 3rd pick 2nd (12.40) top pick 3rd (2.60) 4th pick 4th, Top 1st timer keyed with picks- Ex (164.50) Q (142.40) Trifecta (622.80) Superfecta (3,658.70).
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-OPIMAN 76.0
3-HOT OFF THE BENCH 73.1
10-THE MISSLE CAME 69.8
7-FORGIVEABLE BOB 69.2
RACE 2
7-EAGLE RIDGE 87.5
6-BANGLED SONG 85.6
5-BRONZINO 78.4
1-JAMES THE THIRD 76.0
9-BARTOK OF SIAM 76.0
RACE 3
6-BARBADOS 105.2
1-MOM IS READY 98.4
4-JACK'S KID 93.9
2-SAVE 92.6
RACE 4
5-BEYONDCOMPREHNSION 72.0
10-GRAN TENOR 52.6
9-SETH LOW HIGH 47.4
11-SOTA DE OROS 46.0
1st time starters - 1, 6, 7, 3
RACE 5
1-RAZEN HAZEN 105.9
7-LITE MAN 86.3
4-REEL 'EM IN 84.4
8-STALKING TIGER 82.0
RACE 6
9-TERROPLANE 105.9
3-EL DON 103.1
2-BUCKLAND MANOR 102.5
1-CLIPPERDOWN 100.4
7-TERIFFIC STORM 100.4
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-HERE COMES RAY 65.9
8-YELLOW FLAG 53.5
1A- REBECCA'S BABY 15.8 (off slow)
1st time starters - 6, 9, 10, 7, 3, 4, 5
RACE 8
5-RACKETEER 103.1
3-ACCRUE 98.4
10-POLITICAL MANEUVER 95.8
8-TIZ AFIRE 95.2
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
8-PRINCIPLE SECRET 105.9
10-BELGRAVIA 100.9
2-NOTIONAL 100.2
4-STORMELLO 96.5
RACE 10
5-TOTALLY PLATINUM 99.1
2-DEPUTY LAD 96.5
1-SLEEPLESS JOY 91.9
8-ROY JONES 91.9
9-DENIED 91.3
RACE 11
11-VIA RODEO 76.6
8-MARIA'S BLUES 72.0
10-BROADWAY PLAYER 70.9
1-GOLDEN SMOKE 69.2
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-OPIMAN 76.0
3-HOT OFF THE BENCH 73.1
10-THE MISSLE CAME 69.8
7-FORGIVEABLE BOB 69.2
RACE 2
7-EAGLE RIDGE 87.5
6-BANGLED SONG 85.6
5-BRONZINO 78.4
1-JAMES THE THIRD 76.0
9-BARTOK OF SIAM 76.0
RACE 3
6-BARBADOS 105.2
1-MOM IS READY 98.4
4-JACK'S KID 93.9
2-SAVE 92.6
RACE 4
5-BEYONDCOMPREHNSION 72.0
10-GRAN TENOR 52.6
9-SETH LOW HIGH 47.4
11-SOTA DE OROS 46.0
1st time starters - 1, 6, 7, 3
RACE 5
1-RAZEN HAZEN 105.9
7-LITE MAN 86.3
4-REEL 'EM IN 84.4
8-STALKING TIGER 82.0
RACE 6
9-TERROPLANE 105.9
3-EL DON 103.1
2-BUCKLAND MANOR 102.5
1-CLIPPERDOWN 100.4
7-TERIFFIC STORM 100.4
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-HERE COMES RAY 65.9
8-YELLOW FLAG 53.5
1A- REBECCA'S BABY 15.8 (off slow)
1st time starters - 6, 9, 10, 7, 3, 4, 5
RACE 8
5-RACKETEER 103.1
3-ACCRUE 98.4
10-POLITICAL MANEUVER 95.8
8-TIZ AFIRE 95.2
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
8-PRINCIPLE SECRET 105.9
10-BELGRAVIA 100.9
2-NOTIONAL 100.2
4-STORMELLO 96.5
RACE 10
5-TOTALLY PLATINUM 99.1
2-DEPUTY LAD 96.5
1-SLEEPLESS JOY 91.9
8-ROY JONES 91.9
9-DENIED 91.3
RACE 11
11-VIA RODEO 76.6
8-MARIA'S BLUES 72.0
10-BROADWAY PLAYER 70.9
1-GOLDEN SMOKE 69.2
Friday, December 15, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.
Thur. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (12.20) 3rd pick 2nd (8.40) top 1st timer 3rd (4.20) top pick 4th, 3 picks with top 1st timer boxed- Ex (27.80) Q (24.00) Trifecta (135.00). Race 2- Top Pick Won (4.40) 2nd pick 2nd (5.20) Ex (9.40) Q (11.40). Race 3 Top Pick Won (12.40) Daily Double (33.00) 3rd pick 2nd (5.20) 2nd pick 3rd (2.60) top 1st timer 4th, top 3 picks boxed- Ex (28.90) Q (25.40) Trifecta (94.70). add top 1st timer- Superfecta (193.10). Race 4- Top Pick Won (7.20) Pick-3 (74.30) Daily Double (67.80) 3rd pick 3rd (3.20). Race 5- 4th pick won (4.60) top pick 2nd (2.80) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40) picks boxed- Ex (28.40) Q (31.60). Race 6- 2nd pick won (9.20) top pick 2nd (4.60) 3rd pick 3rd (2.80) 3 picks boxed- Ex (28.40) Q (31.60). Race 7- 3rd pick won (9.20) 2nd pick 2nd (4.60) 4th pick 3rd (2.80) 4 picks boxed- Ex (20.90) Q (18.60) Trifecta (65.10). Race 8- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (32.60) 3rd pick 2nd (10.60) 3 picks boxed- Ex (80.00) Q (80.20) add 3rd 1st timer 3rd (6.60) Trifecta (614.80).
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
3-SORTA GOLD 68.6
8-BELKNAP 65.4
7-LORD ELIJAH 58.5
1-AGREED AFFAIR 57.5
RACE 2
2-MELODIOUS 85.6
7-KEY ROSE 77.8
5-PEACE AND LOVE 73.7
4-PRINCESS MCLEAN 72.0
RACE 3
5-UNCHANGED MELODY 82.0
3-KALAMATA 79.6
2-O BEE NAKI 74.9
4-HONKY TONK BABY 67.0
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-LAS VEGAS LUCKY 52.6
1-KICKIN BACK 50.6
2-WARRENSGILDEDTIME 48.8 (off slow)
9-DEVIL RED 25.4
1st time starters - 3, 4, 10, 8, 7, 11, 6
RACE 5
4-KEEPMEINYOURHEART 82.0
5-HIDDEN BEAUTY 69.2
8-IN MY LIFE 68.6
9-GHOSTLY GIRL 61.6
RACE 6
3-RIDINGWITHTHEKING 90.0
9-FRENCH SOUVENIR 90.0
6-VICTORY STYLE 76.6
1-DIAMOND MINER 75.4
RACE 7
6-KALOOKAN DANCER 70.6
8-MICHELLE'S MARQUIS 66.4
10-EXCESSIVE B AND B 62.7
3-MISS BERTRANDO 62.7
1st time starters - 4
RACE 8
2-SABRE BABY 99.8
3-LIKE A TIGER 97.8
6-VICTORY SIGN 96.5
5-ONE OFF 91.3
RACE 9
7-LEAD STEALER 83.8
12-INAHURRY 75.4
8-TONY MONTANA 73.7
3-THROW DOWN BOY 69.8
1st time starters - 6, 13
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
3-SORTA GOLD 68.6
8-BELKNAP 65.4
7-LORD ELIJAH 58.5
1-AGREED AFFAIR 57.5
RACE 2
2-MELODIOUS 85.6
7-KEY ROSE 77.8
5-PEACE AND LOVE 73.7
4-PRINCESS MCLEAN 72.0
RACE 3
5-UNCHANGED MELODY 82.0
3-KALAMATA 79.6
2-O BEE NAKI 74.9
4-HONKY TONK BABY 67.0
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-LAS VEGAS LUCKY 52.6
1-KICKIN BACK 50.6
2-WARRENSGILDEDTIME 48.8 (off slow)
9-DEVIL RED 25.4
1st time starters - 3, 4, 10, 8, 7, 11, 6
RACE 5
4-KEEPMEINYOURHEART 82.0
5-HIDDEN BEAUTY 69.2
8-IN MY LIFE 68.6
9-GHOSTLY GIRL 61.6
RACE 6
3-RIDINGWITHTHEKING 90.0
9-FRENCH SOUVENIR 90.0
6-VICTORY STYLE 76.6
1-DIAMOND MINER 75.4
RACE 7
6-KALOOKAN DANCER 70.6
8-MICHELLE'S MARQUIS 66.4
10-EXCESSIVE B AND B 62.7
3-MISS BERTRANDO 62.7
1st time starters - 4
RACE 8
2-SABRE BABY 99.8
3-LIKE A TIGER 97.8
6-VICTORY SIGN 96.5
5-ONE OFF 91.3
RACE 9
7-LEAD STEALER 83.8
12-INAHURRY 75.4
8-TONY MONTANA 73.7
3-THROW DOWN BOY 69.8
1st time starters - 6, 13
Wednesday, December 13, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-BULLISH YIELD 75.9
4-AWAY DOWN SOUTH 65.5
1-SCOTCH TALK 63.2
3-HANDSOME MICHAEL 57.5
RACE 2
2-ZEE TOPPER 76.0
6-QUIET FLYER 70.9
5-SKIP ANDA WINK 70.9
3-RICH SENSE 65.9
RACE 3
7-MANDALAY TRICK 74.3
3-SEXY OPERATOR 67.0
1-BRANDI'S STARLITE 66.0
6-ELLA ELLA 64.8
RACE 4
7-A CONTROLLED CRASH 78.4
5-PLAN FOR FUN 76.0
3-EL SALVADOR 72.6
4-TYMAKER 69.2
RACE 5
6-RAPID ROMANCE 77.8
4-MARK SET GO 76.8
3-SMOOTH SIS 73.1
1-JAK SIE MACZ 72.6
RACE 6
8-TOTALLY PHAT 85.0
5-UNBRIDLED TROUBLE 78.7
3-MIGHTY CLEVER 73.4
6-SARI JO 69.2
1st time starters - 2
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 f. on turf)
3-SEKIRA 90.0
4-SHES GOT SKILLS 87.5
6-COMPANY SECRET 81.5
2-MISS MELISSA 62.6
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-CATHRINE'S HOPE 72.6
4-TRIBAL PRINCESS 65.4
1-POKOMOKE 61.6
9-SHANGHI TANG 54.5
1st time starters - 3, 2, 5, 6
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-BULLISH YIELD 75.9
4-AWAY DOWN SOUTH 65.5
1-SCOTCH TALK 63.2
3-HANDSOME MICHAEL 57.5
RACE 2
2-ZEE TOPPER 76.0
6-QUIET FLYER 70.9
5-SKIP ANDA WINK 70.9
3-RICH SENSE 65.9
RACE 3
7-MANDALAY TRICK 74.3
3-SEXY OPERATOR 67.0
1-BRANDI'S STARLITE 66.0
6-ELLA ELLA 64.8
RACE 4
7-A CONTROLLED CRASH 78.4
5-PLAN FOR FUN 76.0
3-EL SALVADOR 72.6
4-TYMAKER 69.2
RACE 5
6-RAPID ROMANCE 77.8
4-MARK SET GO 76.8
3-SMOOTH SIS 73.1
1-JAK SIE MACZ 72.6
RACE 6
8-TOTALLY PHAT 85.0
5-UNBRIDLED TROUBLE 78.7
3-MIGHTY CLEVER 73.4
6-SARI JO 69.2
1st time starters - 2
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 f. on turf)
3-SEKIRA 90.0
4-SHES GOT SKILLS 87.5
6-COMPANY SECRET 81.5
2-MISS MELISSA 62.6
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-CATHRINE'S HOPE 72.6
4-TRIBAL PRINCESS 65.4
1-POKOMOKE 61.6
9-SHANGHI TANG 54.5
1st time starters - 3, 2, 5, 6
Tuesday, December 12, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK- SOME INFORMATION ABOUT MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Sunday, December 10, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.
Sat. recap- Race 1- 4th pik won (18.00) top pick 2nd (7.00) 3rd pick 3rd (16.40) picks boxed- Ex (39.60) Q (66.60) Trifecta (982.20). Race 2- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (6.00) 2nd pick 4th. Race 3- 3rd pick won (10.20) top pick 3rd (5.00). Race 4-4th pick 2nd (4.00) top pick 3rd (3.00) 2nd pick was Dq'd and place 6th. Race 5- 4th pick won (31.00) 2nd 1st timer 2nd (4.20) 3rd 1st timer 3rd (5.40) top 1st timer 4th, 3 top 1st timers boxed with 4th pick(marked off slow from only race) Ex (64.60) Q (58.00) Trifecta (709.00) uperfecta (6.111.80). Race 6- Top Pick Won (11.60) 4th pick 2nd (3.80) 3rd pick 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (14.60) Q (12.40). Race 7- 4th pick won (13.80) top pick 2nd (3.60) 3rd pick 3rd (3.60) 4 picks boxed- Ex (2310) Q (19.20) Trifecta (113.90). Race 8- 1 pick scratched, 1st timer won (21.00) 1st timer 2nd (10.60)top pick 3rd (3.60)2nd pick 4th, only 2 picks with 1st timers boxed- Ex (78.20) Q (100.60) Trifecta (412.40) Superfecta (5,789.80). Race 9- 2nd pick in dead heat for 3rd (2.80). Race 10- Top Pick Won (5.80) 1st timer 2nd (37.00) 2nd pick 4th.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-JACK'S WILD 99.8
2-FOREST PHANTOM 99.8
1-SECRET RIDGE 92.6 (entry)
4-IRISH TY 91.9
RACE 2
8-PRIZESSIN 66.4
7-FLOWER HILL 64.8
3-ELIGANT WAGER 60.6
11-TRICKY TRUCE 60.6
RACE 3
2-PETER PAUL'N TANGO 80.2
5-MILLTOWN ROAD 80.2
6-SIR TOASTY 78.4
1-HOT GRIP 77.2
RACE 4
1-FETE 100.4
7-FORTUNATE PROPHET 88.8
4-JOHN HENNESSY 85.6
5-QUIETLY GO 83.8
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
3-LERICI 66.4
9-PARASKEVOULLA 63.8
1-ANGELETTA 59.6 (entry)
5-FABULOUS SUN 57.5
1st time starters - 10, 7
RACE 6
5-DELIVERING SPEED 94.5
4-BLIND HARRY 85.0
10-JAMIE 80.2
7-SUNSET PLACE 79.6
RACE 7
9-POCOSIN'S GAME BOY 92.6
12-AWESOME GRAF 82.6
13-FATHER SKY 72.6
1-BRETTSTER 59.6
1st time starters - 8, 4, 6, 11
RACE 8
8-LADY GAMER 87.5
3-VALID'S VALID 85.0
4-BRANCA COMO NEVE 85.0
10-TRUE XENA 83.2
RACE 9
5-FLAMETHROWINTEXAN 108.6
3-BALL FOUR 105.2
7-SPELLBINDER 98.4
4-MOLENGAO 98.1
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
9-PEAK IN A HURRY 53.5
6-PHONE AN R. N. 45.1
8-NIKKI'S STAR 43.3
12-TOPPERS MOMENT 43.3
1st time starters - 1
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-JACK'S WILD 99.8
2-FOREST PHANTOM 99.8
1-SECRET RIDGE 92.6 (entry)
4-IRISH TY 91.9
RACE 2
8-PRIZESSIN 66.4
7-FLOWER HILL 64.8
3-ELIGANT WAGER 60.6
11-TRICKY TRUCE 60.6
RACE 3
2-PETER PAUL'N TANGO 80.2
5-MILLTOWN ROAD 80.2
6-SIR TOASTY 78.4
1-HOT GRIP 77.2
RACE 4
1-FETE 100.4
7-FORTUNATE PROPHET 88.8
4-JOHN HENNESSY 85.6
5-QUIETLY GO 83.8
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
3-LERICI 66.4
9-PARASKEVOULLA 63.8
1-ANGELETTA 59.6 (entry)
5-FABULOUS SUN 57.5
1st time starters - 10, 7
RACE 6
5-DELIVERING SPEED 94.5
4-BLIND HARRY 85.0
10-JAMIE 80.2
7-SUNSET PLACE 79.6
RACE 7
9-POCOSIN'S GAME BOY 92.6
12-AWESOME GRAF 82.6
13-FATHER SKY 72.6
1-BRETTSTER 59.6
1st time starters - 8, 4, 6, 11
RACE 8
8-LADY GAMER 87.5
3-VALID'S VALID 85.0
4-BRANCA COMO NEVE 85.0
10-TRUE XENA 83.2
RACE 9
5-FLAMETHROWINTEXAN 108.6
3-BALL FOUR 105.2
7-SPELLBINDER 98.4
4-MOLENGAO 98.1
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
9-PEAK IN A HURRY 53.5
6-PHONE AN R. N. 45.1
8-NIKKI'S STAR 43.3
12-TOPPERS MOMENT 43.3
1st time starters - 1
Saturday, December 09, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.
Fri. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (30.40) top 1st timer 2nd (2.80) top pick 3rd (2.20) top 2 picks boxed with top 1st timer- Ex (45.30) Q (25.80) Trifecta (114.00). Race 2- 3rd pick won (10.60) 4th pick 2nd (7.40) picks boxed- Ex (38.80) Q (44.80). Race 3- Top Pick Won (5.60) 3rd pick 3rd (4.20) 4th pick 4th. Race 4- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick 2nd (5.40) 2nd pick 4th. Race 5- 3rd pick 4th. Race 6- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (5.00) 2nd pick 2nd (3.40) top pick 3rd (2.20) 3 picks boxed- Ex (7.40) Q (8.60) Trifecta (15.10). Race 7- 2nd pick won (18.80) 3rd pick 3rd (6.20). Race 8- 2nd 1st timer won (18.20) top 1st timer 3rd (6.20) top pick 4th.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER OF $72,349 FOR SATURDAY.
RACE 1
4-EWARTON 76.0
3-PIGGYBANKPROSPECT 60.6
5-RIVERA 59.6
2-TUMBAGA 58.0
1st time starters - 8
RACE 2
1-MYTHICAL FLYER 78.4 (entry)
3-MANHATTAN EXPRESS 77.2
7-SIR GEORGE PRIZE 76.6
4-RILEY'S LIFE 75.4
RACE 3
9-BOSSET 95.5
2-VIAPERVITA 93.5
6-CAPTIVE MELODY 91.3
4-YOURS TRULY 88.8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-BITTER BILL 89.4
1-SUNSHINE RIDGE 88.8
3-MARKED WARRIOR 87.5
4-HURRY UP AUSTIN 75.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-NEWSWORTHY 65.9
10-ASTERI 53.0
11-KASYNO 50.2
5-TAXI FLEET 25.4 (off slow)
1st time starters - 1, 12, 6, 2, 8, 4, 3, 9
RACE 6
6-NEVER EVER 99.0
2-FLETCHERS COVE 95.7
3-SWEET AMBITION 93.2
4-ARNPRIOR 89.4
5-FOREST CODE 89.4
RACE 7
5-POINTE BIRDS 80.2
2-SLOW N EASY 75.4
9-FINAL FINALE 69.2
11-HOTEL HALL 68.6
10-TALEGA CREEK 68.1
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-QUICKANDQUIETQUEENS 56.0
10-SHESALITTLEPISTOL 38.2
7-CORAGE 13.0
1st time starters - 11, 12, 13, 2, 8, 3, 9, 6
RACE 9
5-T. H. APPROVAL 121.5
2-METEOR STORM 115.0
4-SYMPHONY SID 112.9
3-COSMONAUT 112.2
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-NOBLE COURT 85.0
7-PARTY FOUL 82.0
9-POINTING STAR 58.5
1-BEYOND BOUNDRIES 53.0
1st time starters - 3, 12, 8, 5, 11, 6, 13
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER OF $72,349 FOR SATURDAY.
RACE 1
4-EWARTON 76.0
3-PIGGYBANKPROSPECT 60.6
5-RIVERA 59.6
2-TUMBAGA 58.0
1st time starters - 8
RACE 2
1-MYTHICAL FLYER 78.4 (entry)
3-MANHATTAN EXPRESS 77.2
7-SIR GEORGE PRIZE 76.6
4-RILEY'S LIFE 75.4
RACE 3
9-BOSSET 95.5
2-VIAPERVITA 93.5
6-CAPTIVE MELODY 91.3
4-YOURS TRULY 88.8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-BITTER BILL 89.4
1-SUNSHINE RIDGE 88.8
3-MARKED WARRIOR 87.5
4-HURRY UP AUSTIN 75.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-NEWSWORTHY 65.9
10-ASTERI 53.0
11-KASYNO 50.2
5-TAXI FLEET 25.4 (off slow)
1st time starters - 1, 12, 6, 2, 8, 4, 3, 9
RACE 6
6-NEVER EVER 99.0
2-FLETCHERS COVE 95.7
3-SWEET AMBITION 93.2
4-ARNPRIOR 89.4
5-FOREST CODE 89.4
RACE 7
5-POINTE BIRDS 80.2
2-SLOW N EASY 75.4
9-FINAL FINALE 69.2
11-HOTEL HALL 68.6
10-TALEGA CREEK 68.1
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-QUICKANDQUIETQUEENS 56.0
10-SHESALITTLEPISTOL 38.2
7-CORAGE 13.0
1st time starters - 11, 12, 13, 2, 8, 3, 9, 6
RACE 9
5-T. H. APPROVAL 121.5
2-METEOR STORM 115.0
4-SYMPHONY SID 112.9
3-COSMONAUT 112.2
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-NOBLE COURT 85.0
7-PARTY FOUL 82.0
9-POINTING STAR 58.5
1-BEYOND BOUNDRIES 53.0
1st time starters - 3, 12, 8, 5, 11, 6, 13
Wednesday, December 06, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-GEM PROOF 86.3
6-SEASTATE 84.4
3-QUESTO MACCHINA 77.8
4-TAVROS 68.1
1st time starters - 1, 2
RACE 2
2-CANTABRIA 98.3
4-VELVET MOONLITE 86.3
5-TIZZY'S TUNE 83.2
7-PLATA QUEMADA 82.6
RACE 3
7-GEE HONEY 72.0
10-TINA BALLERINA 69.2
5-KREEKER 68.1
4-GOTTA GO GAL 68.1
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-BERNINA BEAUTY 48.8
5-LAINEY LU 46.0
13-UNUSUAL WINNER 22.8
1st time starters - 7, 12, 9, 3, 2, 11, 10, 8, 1A
RACE 5
9-WEE JINKY 85.6
1-PAST TENDER 84.4
4-REQUEST GIVEN 83.8
6-OUTLAW JONES 83.2
RACE 6
9-BRITE RED STATE 73.7
4-DALAT 62.2
8-QUIET GENIUS 61.6
1-POPSICLE GAL 61.6
RACE 7
4-SOHGOL 97.1
2-BEND A LITTLE 92.6
1-AUBONNE 92.6
8-BEND 90.7
1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
7-LADY IN LOVE 62.2
1-TRULY MADERA 47.4
10-MIZZY TOPPER 47.1
8-CLASSY DISH 45.1
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-GEM PROOF 86.3
6-SEASTATE 84.4
3-QUESTO MACCHINA 77.8
4-TAVROS 68.1
1st time starters - 1, 2
RACE 2
2-CANTABRIA 98.3
4-VELVET MOONLITE 86.3
5-TIZZY'S TUNE 83.2
7-PLATA QUEMADA 82.6
RACE 3
7-GEE HONEY 72.0
10-TINA BALLERINA 69.2
5-KREEKER 68.1
4-GOTTA GO GAL 68.1
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-BERNINA BEAUTY 48.8
5-LAINEY LU 46.0
13-UNUSUAL WINNER 22.8
1st time starters - 7, 12, 9, 3, 2, 11, 10, 8, 1A
RACE 5
9-WEE JINKY 85.6
1-PAST TENDER 84.4
4-REQUEST GIVEN 83.8
6-OUTLAW JONES 83.2
RACE 6
9-BRITE RED STATE 73.7
4-DALAT 62.2
8-QUIET GENIUS 61.6
1-POPSICLE GAL 61.6
RACE 7
4-SOHGOL 97.1
2-BEND A LITTLE 92.6
1-AUBONNE 92.6
8-BEND 90.7
1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
7-LADY IN LOVE 62.2
1-TRULY MADERA 47.4
10-MIZZY TOPPER 47.1
8-CLASSY DISH 45.1
Tuesday, December 05, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFOMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Monday, December 04, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only.
Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened three times that I know of in over 455 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only.
Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened three times that I know of in over 455 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Saturday, December 02, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.
Fri. recap - We had 5 top picks win Friday 2 were 2nd out of 8 races. Race 1-Top Pick Won (5.40) 3rd pick 2nd ((5.20) 4th pick 3rd (4.60) 2nd pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (11.90) Q (15.00) Trifecta (33.10). Race 2- 4th pick won (15.00) top pick 2nd (2.20) 2nd pick 3rd (2.10) top 4 picks boxed- Ex (13.10) Q (6.60) Trifecta (55.30). Race 3- Top Pick Won (4.20) 3rd pick 2nd (2.40) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40) top pick keyed to next 2 picks- Ex (9.80) Q (13.00) Trifecta (28.60). Race 4- Top Pick Won (3.40) Daily Double (7.80) 3rd pick 2nd (3.20) 4th pick 3rd (3.20) top pick keyed- Ex (5.30) Q (7.00) Trifecta (21.50). Race 5- Top Pick Won (7.60) Pick-3 (30.40) Daily Double (17.20) Ex (17.20) Q (18.40) Trifecta (207.00). Race 6- 4th pick won (6.40). Race 7- top pick 2nd (3.20) 3rd pick 4th. Race 8- Top Pick Won (9.00) 4th pick 2nd (4.40) 2nd 1st timer 3rd (5.20) Top pick keyed- Ex (19.90) Q (19.60) if you used the 2nd 1st timer also- Trifecta (146.30).
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-THE BIG ONE 82.6
5-SAINT SPOT 79.6
6-BLUE RIDER 78.4
3-LEMON 74.3
RACE 2
4-MANDALAY TRICK 76.6
7-KEY LIME PIE 71.4
2-ELLA ELLA 67.5
5-I'M CONVINCED 63.8
RACE 3
4-CANTBEATWHATUCANTC 84.4
3-EXCHANGE OFFER 76.6
7-HOT OFF THE BENCH 76.0
6-TUG O' WAR 67.0
2-MY FIRST BIG KISS 67.0
RACE 4
7-BULLET TRAIN 85.0
2-REFINERY 84.4
5-FULL IN 75.9
6-STEVIE D 75.4
RACE 5
1-LIMITED CREOLE 99.8
9-DOUBLE GALORE 95.8
3-PLAGIARIST 90.6
2-RATEAU 89.9
RACE 6
1A-TINQUILCO 93.2
4-NORWAY HOUSE 90.0
12-SPRIGGZEE 89.4
6-WALTER RINGER 87.5
RACE 7
5-DEL MAR TICKET 93.2
8-BACHELORETTE ONE 88.1
4-SQUEEZE ME TIGHT 87.5
3-DARKNESS NIGHT 85.0
1st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
6-SIREN LURE 129.0
2-DECLAN'S MOON 107.3
3-ZANZIBAR 107.3
1-SAILORS SUNSET 106.6
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
13-MANHASSET INDIAN 62.7
7-SURF ACADEMY 60.1
2-SPANISH INFLUENCE 47.8
4-MIND THE MINISTER 34.6
1st time starters - 12, 11, 8, 9, 10
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-THE BIG ONE 82.6
5-SAINT SPOT 79.6
6-BLUE RIDER 78.4
3-LEMON 74.3
RACE 2
4-MANDALAY TRICK 76.6
7-KEY LIME PIE 71.4
2-ELLA ELLA 67.5
5-I'M CONVINCED 63.8
RACE 3
4-CANTBEATWHATUCANTC 84.4
3-EXCHANGE OFFER 76.6
7-HOT OFF THE BENCH 76.0
6-TUG O' WAR 67.0
2-MY FIRST BIG KISS 67.0
RACE 4
7-BULLET TRAIN 85.0
2-REFINERY 84.4
5-FULL IN 75.9
6-STEVIE D 75.4
RACE 5
1-LIMITED CREOLE 99.8
9-DOUBLE GALORE 95.8
3-PLAGIARIST 90.6
2-RATEAU 89.9
RACE 6
1A-TINQUILCO 93.2
4-NORWAY HOUSE 90.0
12-SPRIGGZEE 89.4
6-WALTER RINGER 87.5
RACE 7
5-DEL MAR TICKET 93.2
8-BACHELORETTE ONE 88.1
4-SQUEEZE ME TIGHT 87.5
3-DARKNESS NIGHT 85.0
1st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
6-SIREN LURE 129.0
2-DECLAN'S MOON 107.3
3-ZANZIBAR 107.3
1-SAILORS SUNSET 106.6
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
13-MANHASSET INDIAN 62.7
7-SURF ACADEMY 60.1
2-SPANISH INFLUENCE 47.8
4-MIND THE MINISTER 34.6
1st time starters - 12, 11, 8, 9, 10
