Monday, March 31, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,863 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, March 30, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $92,562.

RACE 1
5-KAFISTER 92.6
1-LIMITED RESPONSE 80.2
3-NO CONTINGENCY 69.2
4-STRETCH 64.8
2-MY BEST BET 57.5

RACE 2
4-SOUTH SOUND 73.7
3-SENZA FINA 70.9
5-EXOTIC BEHAVIOR 66.4
1-SWISSARELLA 61.6
2-PAY THE DEBT 56.5

RACE 3
1-CHANGE OF PLAN 82.0
3-CARBONITE 78.3
2-SHE DIGS ME 77.8
5-NEWFOUND GOLD 70.3
4-OBSESS 53.5

RACE 4
4-TOMMY'S STYLIN 79.0
7-KOZANI 78.4
6-PANTERA ROJO 76.0
3-LIFE'S JOURNEY 72.6
2-SUDDEN RUMOR 69.3

RACE 5
8-TRIBAL DRESS 68.1
5-HOLIDAY N NEWPORT 64.3
6-FUNNY GAL 59.6
7-TIZ VEGAS 52.1
2-FIRENDESIRE 49.2

RACE 6
2-BIG MEDICINE MAN 72.6
4-ROB'S PAL 70.3
5-STREET MAVEN 67.2
3-SECRET WISHES 57.5
6-STAUFFENBERG 57.5

RACE 7
5-FURY KAPCORI 118.6
2-APPEALING TALE 115.0
4-CAT BURGLAR 104.5
7-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 82.6
6-GET HAPPY MISTER 82.6

RACE 8
7-HEAR THE GHOST 104.8
6-POWER PED 97.8
5-SPRING UP 95.2
1-MONASTIC 91.3
3-A TOAST TO YOU 90.0

RACE 9
7-CLEVERLY BEVERLY 59.6
5-ROCKIN COWGIRL 55.0
10-NUEVA FORTUNA 51.6 (broke out)
3-PUTTYBADSHARK 43.8 (off March 13)
9-SWISS PEAK 38.2

1st time starters - 2, 4, 6, 8




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Saturday, March 29, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
ALL 1ST TIME STARTERS - NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
2-SUSHI EMPIRE 80.2
1-LOAN SAVANT 75.4
3-LAROCCO 74.3
5-PILLOW 67.2 (off Sept. 13)
4-BELLE OF THE FLEET 64.1

RACE 3
5-ABIDE IN ME 60.2
3-ZENSATIONAL BEAUTY 59.6

1st time starters - 4, 1, 6, 2

RACE 4
1-CLUBHOUSE ROCK 77.8
3-TRIBAL SMOKE 65.9
4-MARY HELEN'S STORM 63.2
6-LUCKBOX SAM 62.1
2-HOOSIER DADDY 50.2

RACE 5
1-MISS WELL MOLDED 90.7
8-LOVE TALE 82.0
5-HIGHLY RATED 80.2
6-MOM NANA PETRIE 79.6
7-BORN LUCKY 77.2

RACE 6
4-MAGIC MARK 97.8
10-DON'T CARE WHO 93.9
6-SEEKING THE WEST 90.7
1-MIDNITE VIEW 88.1
11-PHANTOM LOVER 87.5

RACE 7
6-FANTICOLA 93.9
4-GOLDEN PRODUCTION 93.9
7-OSCAR PARTY 92.6
5-BEE BRAVE 88.8
1-MOONE'S MY NAME 86.9
8-JOURNEY ON 86.9

RACE 8
8-MAJESTIC HARBOR 94.5
6-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 94.5
4-SEGWAY 90.8
1-TIZ DYNAMIC 90.0
3-AMERICAN BLEND 88.8

RACE 9
12-VAN DIEN AVENUE 74.9
9-SERAPHIC SLEW 70.9
5-WARREN'S CRACKER 67.5
10-LITTLE UNUSUAL 64.8
11-READY FOR LOVE 60.1

1st time starters - 7

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Friday, March 28, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
5-SCARLY CHARLY 91.9
1-MANK 91.3
2-BAD BEHAVIOR 83.8
3-GRAND HUMOR 80.8
4-A RED TIE DAY 72.0

RACE 2
2-JOHNNY REB 64.3
6-REPS AND WARRANTS 57.5
5-IMAGE OF JOPLIN 56.5
4-COUSIN RICKY 55.5
3-STILL UNBROKEN 55.0
1-TAKEM BY SUPRISE 55.0

RACE 3
4-DEPRECIABLE 88.8
1-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 88.8
8-TIMELESS INDY 84.0
7-VALENTINE BOY 79.4
6-BENCH LIGHT 77.2
3-POLYTECHNICIEN 77.2

RACE 4
7-SEEKING ASYLUM 67.5
1-THIS CAT'S AWESOME 64.3
6-CINEMATIC CAT 47.8
5-IN EXCESIVENESS 37.4 (off Aug. 13)
2-GREY IS BEST 11.2 (off July 11)

1st time starters - 4, 3, 8

RACE 5
2-TRELAWNY 91.3
6-MAGIC CHANNEL 89.4
1-BOTCH 89.4
4-SWIFT EAGLE 86.9
7-CAUSEITHERTZ 86.3

RACE 6
2-MALBROS 47.8
8-GELDAUTOMAT 45.1
1-WESTERN SHOWDOWN 42.9
9-SHARK'S CUP 41.1
5-CHATTERING CLASS 41.1

1st time starters - 6

RACE 7
6-PATHWAY TO YES 94.5
2-FORT WAGNER 86.9
5-KARMA KING 84.4
8-NUMBER FIVE 83.2
1-FOREVER JUANITO 75.1

RACE 8
2-MY JEALOUS 86.9
10-TOPPER'S GHOST 82.0
1-JOVITA'S TUFFY 75.4
9-NOME 75.4
8-JUSTA GUSTA 74.9
3-D'OBSESSION 72.0

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Thursday, March 27, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







TODAYS PICK SIX CARRYOVER IS $115,862.

RACE 1
7-RAVEN WILD 63.8
3-UNKEPT RENDEZ VOUS 59.6
4-YA WANNA HUG 59.3
2-FARMERS WIFE 58.5
6-PRIMAL DESIRE 57.0

RACE 2
3-SOAR HOME 58.0
4-PERFECT CURSIVE 55.0 (bobbled start)
6-COMEALONGWITHME 51.0
5-CONSECRATE 49.7
2-QUEEN MAD 41.0

RACE 3
1-DO SOME MAGIC 82.6
2-HEAT FLASH 78.4
3-UNUSUALLY GREEN 77.8
8-TRICKY JOURNEY 58.8
6-SUN SPOTS 47.1

1st time starters - 7, 4, 5

RACE 4
4-TASHA'S CIURAGE 63.8
1-DARK TIMBERS 54.0
5-DEHERE IS GONE 50.6
7-NO EZ MONEY 46.4 (steadied)
8-MR. CAPPUCCINO 31.5

1st time starters - 2

RACE 5
6-PUTAHEXONHER 75.3
7-LORD KITRA 74.9
1-CLEARLY ANOINTED 69.2 (off Aug. 13)
3-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 69.2
4-LUCKYVIC 64.3

RACE 6
6-MASTER CHEF 91.9
1-VALDIRONE 85.0 (off Feb. 13)
8-PARLIAMENTARIAN 83.8 (off Jan. 13)
3-BOBO 82.0
4-JAYLO MARINO 82.0 (off April 12)

RACE 7
8-SIZZLIN' JOE 85.6
2-AWESOME PROSPECT 84.4
6-DERAPTOR 82.2 (off April 13)
1-CHRISTOPHER STREET 82.0
12-PRIME ISSUE 79.6

RACE 8
3-MOSCATO GIRL 61.1
7-EUROCLYDON 55.7
9-NEW NATURE 52.6
1-WILDCAT JANINE 40.7
6-WILD OPTIMISM 37.0

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Wednesday, March 26, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, March 25, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,845 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, March 23, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-RPRETTYBOYFLOYD 94.5
6-PARTY TIME 90.7
3-ARKENSTONE 64.8
4-MATT THE HAMMER 59.6
5-LORD LOCHINVAR 55.5

RACE 2
4-L X SUNRISE 55.5
6-WARRENSPOWEROFLOVE 52.5
2-LOVELY INSTINCT 49.7
12-SNORT'N MATILDA 46.4
8-WINTARA 39.0

RACE 3
5-UNUSUAL WAY 102.5
1-HALO DOLLY 88.8
4-CURVY CAT 87.5
3-COULD BE TROUBLE 85.6
2-WARREN'S ROSEBUD 75.8

RACE 4
3-BARUTA 89.4
7-TIZMETIZYOU 88.1
5-HEAT DU JOUR 85.0
6-BURNS TURN 83.8
2-VELVET MESQUITE 83.2

RACE 5
5-ONNA BUGEISHA 87.5
1-INCLUDE THE CAT 82.0
8-LEGACY 80.8
6-CLEAR PEARL 79.4
3-SMART N DREAMY 77.6

RACE 6
3-SQUARE DANCER 91.9
12-DEPRECIABLE 88.8
8-LUCKY PRIMO 84.4
2-YOMYBATO 83.8
7-SCORCHER 83.2

RACE 7
9-MUSICAL ARTS 63.8
5-BROWN IS BEIGE 62.7
1-ELTONINADRESS 60.6
3-SECOND TIME 57.5
10-SECRET MEMO 57.0

RACE 8
1-FIGHTING ON 87.5
4-RED N BLACK ATTACK 85.7
8-SHEER TALANT 83.8
2-REMIND ME 75.6
7-GUTSY RULER 72.0

RACE 9
3-FAST MOKA TOO 62.7
8-RICH IN TRADITION 51.1
10-DULCEMIA 47.8
9-MY MOMENT TOO 46.0 (off Feb. 13)
11-GEORGIA'S NIECE 45.0

1st time starters - 6

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Saturday, March 22, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
4-PEACENIK 86.3
3-MUCHOS BESOS 83.2
6-SENATOR BOB 80.2
5-COURTSIDE 78.4
2-GAL HAS TO LIKE IT 74.9

RACE 2
4-LA SORELLA 76.0
5-NAZARETH 72.0
6-LA PEQUENA GIGI 72.0
1-SWEET AS A ROSE 65.9
3-VERONICA BAY 43.8

1st time starters - 7

RACE 3
3-STREET MAVEN 69.8
4-WE HAVE LIFT OFF 65.9
1-ROMAN TIZZY 65.4
2-GENTLEMEN PETE 60.6
9-FEARSOME CHARISMA 57.5

RACE 4
1-VAGABOND SHOES 112.2
3-LUCAYAN 104.5
5-TEMERAINE 99.1
2-NIAGARA FALLS 94.5
4-FIRE WITH FIRE 90.0

RACE 5
6-GAMEBOY LUKE 80.8
2-BAYVIEW DRIVE 57.5

1st time starters - 7, 4, 3, 5, 9, 1

RACE 6
5-EL COMMODORE 99.8
2-WILLYCONKER 98.4
6-BATT MAN 98.2
3-MEGA HEAT 96.5
8-STONEY FLEECE 94.5

RACE 7
1-TWIN SIX 85.6
8-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 84.4
11-PASEO ALEGRO 83.2
12-TUCKERS POINT 81.4
7-ANABAA PREMIUM 79.6

RACE 8
1-ENTERPRISING 97.6
4-DIAMOND BACHELOR 90.7
5-QUOTIENT 90.0
9-PUPPY MANNERS 87.6
8-ROYAL BANKER 80.8

RACE 9
7-CORINTHIAN MELODY 72.0
8-JOINT ATTEMPT 62.2
6-LIL CHYENNE 57.5
2-TEASING MOMENT 55.5
13-SUMMERS DIGNITY 49.7

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Friday, March 21, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $551,928.


RACE 1
5-MANGITA 83.8
2-MAGIC SPOT 79.6
6-TANQUERRAY 79.0
3-KRAZYPAPAYA 75.4
4-IRENES JACKPOT 72.6

RACE 2
3-ADDENDUM 78.4
2-CLEARLY CONFUSED 69.8
5-VINDICTED RULER 62.7
6-ZEES CHRIS 57.0
4-MY BRITE CAROLINE 46.0

RACE 3
3-AUTUMN VIEW 76.6
4-PROVENANCE 65.5
2-OUGHTTOBENAUGHTY 58.5
1-EPISTEMOLOGY 41.1 (off June 13)

1st time starters - 5, 6

RACE 4
6-L T RECKLESS 69.2 (off Sept. 13)
7-FULL'S DRESS CODE 67.0
4-JETBIRD 61.6
2-E EQUALSMCSQUARED 57.5
5-AMONG THE STARS 54.5

RACE 5
3-BETTYS BAMBINO 88.8
1-JET WARRIOR 86.9
7-LUZ ATTICUS 84.4
5-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 76.0
6-COLLATION 74.9

RACE 6
3-DI CONTI 70.3
7-ROAD READY 66.4
4-TRULEE SCRAPPIN 64.8
5-COO CACHOO 60.6
8-ALWAYS THE SAME 59.0

RACE 7
1-LIME RICKEY 95.2 (off June 13)
4-DEEP PLAY 91.3
2-BOYETT 88.8
3-WOODMANS LUCK 86.3
7-MAMBO MAN 80.8

RACE 8
2-ICE CREAM TRUCK 67.0
1-CHARBROILED 65.4
8-SLIGHT EDGE 61.1
4-DESTINO 58.5
5-COPOTE'S ROYALTY 42.0

1st time starters - 6

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Thursday, March 20, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $125,160.

RACE 1
7-SHEZA EYEOPENER 55.5
2-SILK IN SILVER 52.6
1-KID ROLLINS 50.5
6-AWESOME GIFT 45.5 (off Sept. 13)
4-PULIGNY 37.0 (came out)

RACE 2
7-ITSABEAUTIFULDAY 62.2
4-CLEVERLY BEVERLY 58.5
1-VISIONS OF CANDY 57.0
5-NONNA REESE 48.3 (off April 13)
2-WINE COUNTRY WANDA 40.3 (off slow)

RACE 3
1-HARLINGTON NIGHT 83.8
4-PULPITS EXPRESS 82.5
7-CANDY FOR DEBBIE 79.6
6-BIG KICK 78.4
3-MIND THE MASTER 75.8

RACE 4
6-RYDERROO 64.8
2-SWISS HEART 61.6
8-TICKLE AGAIN 55.5
4-BETTY BING BING 42.0
5-OUR GLITTER BALL 31.5

1st time starters - 3

RACE 5
2-HUGH KNEW 64.7
9-LAMAZONE 62.7
5-GISELE AT FONZ'S 54.1
11-SOAR HOME 46.3
12-VERONICA BAY 45.1

1st time starters - 6, 4, 1, 10

RACE 6
3-OMEGA STAR 98.4
2-KATE'S EVENT 90.0
6-SPIRIT RULES 90.0
5-HEIR OF STORM 89.4
4-WAR ACADEMY 80.8 (off April 13)

RACE 7
8-RANGI 99.1
2-THUNDER RODE 98.3
4-DOOR'S OPEN 97.2
6-LOS BAMBINOS 91.9
9-CELEBRITY STATUS 90.0 (off June 13)
3-INCLINE VILLAGE 90.0

RACE 8
7-CONTROLLER 46.0
8-ALICE ROADTRAIN 42.2
11-WARREN'S SALUTE 37.8
9-WILDY EXCESSIVE 36.6
5-RAJA'S ROSE 28.6
1-DIVINE JOSEPHINE 25.8

1st time starters - 12

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Wednesday, March 19, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, March 18, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,845 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, March 16, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
3-APOSTLE PAUL 80.8
1-AQUA REVELATION 79.6
5-WARRIOR'S RIDGE 69.3
6-HEAT FLASH 69.2
2-NEXT RIGHT 67.6

RACE 2
4-FAITH HOPE LOVE 76.0
2-SEATTLE CHARLIE 66.1
5-COURAGEOUS CALL 60.1
3-WASTED AT MIDNIGHT 57.5

1st time starters - 1

RACE 3
2-TEMPE 74.9
4-TWO BLUE HENS 69.2
5-MISS AMERICAN PIE 68.6
7-AWE'SOME KITTEN 66.4
6-HONEST DESIRE 61.6

RACE 4
5-THERMAL NERMAL 74.9
4-HOLIDAY N NEWPORT 66.4
6-MAGIC NUMBER 65.0
1-CITIZEN JANE 63.8
2-SHE'S A GO GIRL 58.5
3-SKY ANGEL 58.5

RACE 5
6-J AND S EXPRESS 76.0
4-ANYA AMASOVA 75.1
1-LETS GET FRISKY 74.5
8-HANSERELLA 72.6
9-MIDNIGHT LADY 70.3

RACE 6
4-DIVINE WAY 67.5
1-MARIA HOOCH 61.1
3-PAY THE DEBT 57.0
2-WARRENS PUPPY LOVE 56.0
9-WARRENS LIL MARGIE 55.5
8-SALSITA 55.5

RACE 7
6-EMOLLIENT 111.4
2-STORMY LUCY 97.1
1-MISS SERENDIPITY 96.5
3-EMOTIONAL KITTEN 95.8
5-NICKLES WILD 90.7

RACE 8
7-TRUE TEN 89.4
3-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 82.0
8-COOL SAMURAI 80.8
4-PAPA TURF 79.4
1-THE ADMIRAL 74.9

RACE 9
3-KILAT 101.1 (off June 13)
10-MR. BOSSY PANTS 93.9
9-CANDY'S SUNRISE 91.3
11-KOAST 88.1
6-CARBONITE 85.0

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Saturday, March 15, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $226,506.

RACE 1
4-J KAT 64.8
9-COMO MI PADRE 64.1
5-DISTELLERY 63.8
6-CRONUT 56.5
1-SUN SPOTS 41.6

1st time starters - 2, 8

RACE 2
6-MAXIMINUS 68.6
5-SAMS BLUE CAT 65.4
2-PAPA'S PAISLEY 64.3
3-HAPPY IDEA 64.3
1-MORNING LINE WIZ 64.3

RACE 3
6-MR. CACTUS 56.5
8-W. GILES 54.0
7-HEAVENELEVEN 43.8
5-WHITE FRONT FREDDY 42.0
2-BLACK TIE 35.0

1st time starters - 3, 4

RACE 4
5-CIAO BELLA LUNA 92.6
4-TRIBAL SPY 89.4
7-COULD BE TROUBLE 86.9
2-DANCINGTOTHESTARS 85.6
6-SUDDEN SUNDAY 80.2

RACE 5
2-BOSS OF ME 94.5
8-BRAVE ACT 86.9
7-TENKILLER KID 80.8
1-WONDERFUL UNION 80.2
5-CARAMURU 77.8

RACE 6
9-STAR ACT 77.8
11-BIRD IN LOVE 72.6 (5 wide)
6-DISREGARDED 70.3 (3 WIDE)
12-MARGOT MACHANCE 69.6
8-ANN'S GOLD 65.9

1st time starters - 5, 10

RACE 7
7-IOTAPA 108.6
5-LET FAITH ARISE 101.8
6-STANWYCK 99.1
1-FIFTYSHADESOFHAY 97.8
8-YAHILWA 95.8

RACE 8
2-DI GIORGIO 107.9
3-SI SAGE 105.9
7-PROCUREMENT 101.1
1-OUTSIDE NASHVILLE 98.4
4-HORIZONTALYSPEAKIN 97.1

RACE 9
3-WHINE FOR WINE 82.0
4-K THIRTY EIGHT 76.6
5-NEXT BOOK 60.6
10-NEUROSURGEON 49.2 (off Dec. 11)
1-NATURAL STRIDE 47.4 (off June 13)

1st time starters - 9, 7, 6

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Friday, March 14, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $58,626


RACE 1
4-WARREN'S TYLER S. 75.4
1-CUNEO 70.3
3-LOVE FOREVER 68.6
2-LUCKY COTTON 66.1
5-GREEN DOLPHIN 39.0

RACE 2
5-HARLINGTON'S ROSE 79.0
3-VERSYE 76.0 (off Sept. 13)
4-RUFF PROOF 68.1
1-SWISSARELLA 54.5
2-GLORIOUS REBECA 48.3

RACE 3
4-LOVE TALE 77.2
6-BORN LUCKY 73.1
8-READYFORTHECLOSEUP 72.6
9-ELEGANT IN SILK 70.3
5-SPICED LATTE 69.2
1-TEBOWING 69.2

RACE 4
4-GOYAN 64.8
1-I BUY GOLD 61.1
5-PRACTICAL 52.1 (off Aug. 13)
6-SILECTICO 30.0

1st time starters - 3, 2

RACE 5
13-AUTUMN VIEW 77.2
11-GOUYEN 68.9
12-SHAKEITUPBETTY 68.6
1-YANA 66.4
9-UNUSUAL STYLE 53.5
3-EXCLUSIVE GIRL 53.0

RACE 6
8-TROUBLE X TWO 73.7
5-CRUSHER 70.9
6-TRIBE 67.0
9-TIZ FUTURITY 65.4
1-ANCIENT STONE 56.5

RACE 7
7-A TOAST TO YOU 103.1
8-BROKERED 99.1
1-FOLLINI 99.1
6-ROYAL F J 88.8
2-HOTRADAMUS 85.3

RACE 8
7-CAROL'S LEGACY 76.0 (off Sept. 12)
5-PROFIRE 62.7
1-BOSQUE ANGEL 58.0
9-END OF TIME 58.0
6-SPECTACULARJOURNEY 57.0

1st time starters - 3

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Thursday, March 13, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-DIXIELAND BLUES 95.2
2-LUCKARACK 91.9
4-JONNY'S CHOICE 90.0
7-TRIPSKI 88.8
8-CAUSEITHERTZ 86.9 (off May 13)

RACE 2
4-CHERUBIM 92.6
5-PIMPERNEL 86.3
3-BEACH HUT 79.6
2-FOOTSTEPSINBRONZE 67.5
1-RUM POINT 47.8 (off Nov. 13)

RACE 3
6-BEAUTIFUL SPIRIT 68.1
5-LADY VIVIEN 62.2
3-SECRET GENIUS 56.5
7-QUEEN OF THE HILL 56.5
8-METAXA 56.0

RACE 4
7-MACAABRA 93.9
4-BIORHYTHM 88.1 (off Aug. 13)
1-WINDING WAY 86.9
5-TIZ MOLLY 85.6 (off July 13)
6-REDRESSTHEBALANCE 84.4 (off Aug. 13)

RACE 5
7-NEW NATRUE 61.1
8-CHAIN LIGHTNING 58.0
6-MOSCATO GIRL 53.5
10-FASHIONABLY RICH 49.2
2-MORE STORMYWEATHER 46.9

1st time starters - 11, 4

RACE 6
5-PRACTISING 79.6 (4 wide)
7-SWEET BLISS 74.9
4-ONE MORW 73.1
2-KUKALUKA 68.1
3-CAUSE IM A BIGSHOT 65.9 (off Nov.13)

RACE 7
6-INDYGO F M A 71.6
1-AMANDA 68.1
8-IN DAD'S HONOR 65.4
7-BELONGING 64.3
4-TIZ ZOE CEE 61.6

RACE 8
5-I'M TOPS 83.2 (off June 13)
2-ALWAYS A CHANCE 81.4
4-BLUSHING MARTHA 78.4
7-JULIO'S GOLD 76.6
3-CREDITCARDROULETTE 75.4

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Wednesday, March 12, 2014

 
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, March 11, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,845 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, March 09, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
2-KEYBOARD COURAGE 91.9
7-DUNMORE EAST 86.9
5-SENATOR BOB 83.2
6-HALF DOME DUDE 82.6
3-MY JEALOUS 82.0 (off June 13)

RACE 2
7-PRINCE OF PARIS 62.2
6-BLUEGRASS FOX TROT 59.0
2-EVEN ECHO 53.0
4-CLEAROFALLCHARGES 47.4
8-WARREN'S SALLYIZED 42.4

RACE 3
7-SWEET BOSS 87.5 (off May 13)
2-QUINNETTE 82.0
6-SAGEBRUSH QUEEN 78.4
1-YES SHE'S UNUSUAL 75.9
5-SEA JOHN'S SPIRIT 72.6

RACE 4
4-ALPHA BULLET 88.8
5-GALLANT CHARM 82.0
8-HANDSOME DENNIS 80.2
7-WARREN'S CLIFF S. 80.2
9-SHEER TALENT 79.0

RACE 5
3-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 88.1
8-MENSA HEAT 83.2
4-JOE CARL 79.6
1-MUCHOS BESOS 75.8
9-FIT TO RULE 73.1

RACE 6
3-NOOTEN 75.1
8-BOBBY Z MAN 65.9
9-CINEMATIC CAT 52.7
7-MISSING GROOM 48.9 (off Sept. 13, steadied)
2-SOUTHERN DIGS 37.6 (off Sept. 13)

1st time starters - 1, 12, 11, 14, 4

RACE 7
3-JUDY THE BEAUTY 119.3
2-WARM BREEZE 103.8
4-HEIR KITTY 99.1
5-MUNNINGS SISTER 97.8
1-KINZ FUNKY MONKEY 83.1

RACE 8
10 VIVA CARINA 93.2 (off April 13)
1-REMISE 88.9
4-PREMIER STEPS 88.1
2-OSCAR PARTY 87.5
3-BONNIE LESLEY 85.6

RACE 9
5-SWISS PEAK 48.3
9-DIABLITA 39.2
7-DESVIADO 30.4 (off Dec. 11, off slow)
6-TEN IN EXCESS 14.3 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 3, 10, 2, 4, 8, 1

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Saturday, March 08, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
1-FAITH HOPE LOVE 79.6
3-BEVERLY THE BOSS 69.2
2-DANCINGINTHESTREET 58.1
7-SHARED IMAGE 45.5
4-DAYLIGHT'S COMING 44.2 (off July 13)

1st time starters - 6, 5

RACE 2
1-SNUGGLEY BEAR 95.0
2-PANTERA ROJO 82.0
7-COWTOWNMARY 80.8
5-EXCESSIVE KID 76.6
8-BURY PACER 75.4

RACE 3
6-TRIBAL SMOKE 76.0
5-PASS THE PICO 76.0
1-SHERIFF RYAN 67.5 (off March 13)
11-DOUBLE IMAGE 67.0
10-QUICK CIELO 61.6

RACE 4
2-ROUGH PASSAGE 90.7
5-FEROCIOUS 76.0
6-RENO REBEL 74.9
9-ACT 69.8
10-GAMEBOY LUKE 62.2

1st time starters - 8, 3, 4, 1, 7

RACE 5
9-MIDNIGHT HAWK 101.1
7-KRISTO 97.8
4-CALIFORNIA CHROME 91.3
3-RPRETTYBOYFLOYD 85.6
2-UNSTOPPABLE COLBY 83.8

RACE 6
11-ON THE BACKSTREETS 85.7
7-NASHOBA'S GOLD 80.2 (came out)
13-FULL RANSOM 80.2
3-SUSHI EMPIRE 79.0
1-ANNIVERSARY KITTY 78.4

RACE 7
10-SHAKIN IT UP 119.3
6-WILD DUDE 116.4
1-SAHARA SKY 106.6
9-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 105.2
8-LET'S GET CRACKIN 105.2

RACE 8
6-WINNING PRIZE 113.6
5-ZA APPROVAL 111.4
2-REGALLY READY 110.0
9-SILENTIO 108.6
1-LOCHTE 107.9

RACE 9
2-MUCHO MACHO MAN 131.3
1-WILL TAKE CHARGE 129.8
7-GAME ON DUDE 111.4
3-BLINGO 103.8
4-IMPERATIVE 103.1

RACE 10
3-OLIVER'S TALE 102.5
4-GOT EVEN 101.1
2-CHIEF LION 93.9
10-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 91.3
8-AIRFOIL 89.4

RACE 11
12-PRESENCEOFAGENIUS 90.7
5-JULES JOURNEY 89.4
9-PROSPECTOR'S TRICK 88.1
10-FOOTBRIDGE 86.3
2-CERVARO 83.2


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Friday, March 07, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-WAR POLITICS 85.0
5-PASEO ALEGRO 75.4
2-LONDINIUM 74.9
4-MAJESTIC MOMENT 74.3
3-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 66.4

RACE 2
3-RPRETTYBOYFLOYD 87.5
5-VEGAS STRIP 82.6 (off slow, 3 wide)
7-BIG TIRE 82.0
4-DUBLIN UP 72.6
2-SUN OF MALIBU 69.8 (4 wide)

RACE 3
8-MISS WELL MOLDED 91.3
7-HIGHLY RATED 83.2
3-LIBOURNE ELIZA 82.6
4-GINGER TAP 79.6
5-RHAGORI 78.5

RACE 4
8-GREAT FRIENDS RULE 82.0
3-TOO FAST TO PASS 81.4
5-MONEY CANNON 80.2
7-LIMITED RESPONSE 77.8
6-NO CONTINGENCY 70.9

RACE 5
4-KATHLEEN ROSE 88.1
8-HIGH JINKS 86.3
2-PASSIONATE DIVA 80.2
5-HARD TO RESIST 79.6
1-WARREN'S FLASHER 75.4

RACE 6
8-APPEALING RESUME 86.9
6-OUR PURE CREATION 82.6
7-PICA 79.6
5-SMALL MOVES 77.2
1-CLEAR PEARL 75.8

RACE 7
4-INTOXICATING MOVE 85.6
6-BLAKE'S MAGIC 83.8
5-CALLOUS EFFECT 75.6
8-HEAVENS STAIRWAY 72.0
7-ROOM FOR ME 71.1

RACE 8
3-OLD PUEBLO 73.7
6-ROB'S PAL 68.6
8-TAKE A RISK 58.5
10-DESTINO 56.5
7-TALE OF POWER 54.5
5-DARK TIMBERS 54.5

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Thursday, March 06, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
6-SEEKING ASYLUM 62.7
2-FIFTEEN BLACK 57.5
5-CODE OF PLEASURE 55.0
1-DUBAI RULER 53.5

1st time starters 3, 4

RACE 2
3-CANDIZ 66.4
2-ONEANDONLYLOVEMAN 60.6
5-MARKET NOTES 59.0
1-TAKEM BY SUPRISE 56.0
4-BUSHWACKED 45.5

RACE 3
6-JUST DANCING 66.4
2-I'M NO PATSY 66.4
4-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 63.1
5-BACKINTHEACADEMY 61.4
1-HLAO ROO 54.6

RACE 4
6-NORTHERN FORCE 83.2 (off June 13)
4-SOUTHERN SUNRISE 76.6
2-CRIMSON GIANT 73.1
3-CHAT N' CUT 69.2
1-OH DADDY OH 68.1

RACE 5
3-KOZANI 73.7
8-BROADCASTER 71.8
5-NUMBER FIVE 70.3
6-DOTHRAKI 69.8
7-J KAT 65.2

1st time starters - 4, 1

RACE 6
5-MORE COMPLEXITY 54.3
1-DULCEMIA 54.5
6-COPPEROPOLIS 45.8
3-Q' VIVA 45.1
7-EMOTIONAL DRIVE 33.4

1st time starters - 8, 2

RACE 7
3-ARTIC NORTH 97.8
7-SPRING UP 95.8
2-EVER RIDER 95.0
4-NIAGRA FALLS 93.9
6-MONASTIC 90.0

RACE 8
1-YESTERDAY SINGS 57.5
10-WARRENSPOWEROFLOVE 51.1
9-MOONLIGHT STROLL 50.6
6-SHE'S FLUSH 47.4
5-VIOLATE 39.4
2-MON PETITE 33.4 (4 wide)









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Wednesday, March 05, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, March 04, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,839 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, March 02, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
5-MISS AMERICAN PIE 74.9 (off March 13)
2-TEMPE 70.9
4-CLEARLY CONFUSED 69.2
3-SHE'S A GO GIRL 56.5
1-VALARTA 48.3

RACE 2
5-FULL CONSENT 85.8
2-SQUARE DANCER 83.8
3-YANKEE REBEL 83.8
7-BOTCH 83.8
1-QUIET FORCE 82.6

RACE 3
6-TIME FOR ANGIE 74.3
4-LAROCCO 71.8
2-SOUTH SOUND 70.3
3-SENZA FINA 70.3
5-EXOTIC BEHAVIOR 66.4

RACE 4
1-JUDGE CARR 80.8
3-JUSTA GUSTA 79.0
2-SHARP RICHARD 77.1
5-D'OBSESSION 74.3
7-BILLY WIN 73.1

RACE 5
6-CANDY EYE 73.7
5-HUGH KNEW 65.3 (off Aug. 13)
3-KOOL KAT 54.6
1-LIVE FOR NOW 54.5
2-HONEY RIDE 53.5

RACE 6
6-JOINT ATTEMPT 62.7
2-RAVEN WILD 56.1
5-SKY ANGEL 53.5
4-LETHAL MISS 53.0
1-MIRACLE MERGER 50.6

RACE 7
4-TWIN SIX 91.3
3-COOK INLET 83.8
7-BLUEGRASS REWARD 83.8
6-HARLINGTON NIGHT 82.0
5-DESIGNER 78.4

RACE 8
8-PLANET SUNSHINE 95.2
5-SEEKING THE WEST 91.9
1-TIZ DYNAMIC 91.3
7-SHADOW RUNNER 89.4
3-BROTHER PETE 83.1

RACE 9
3-REMIND ME 67.0 (off March 13)
4-SLIGHT EDGE 60.6
9-DEHERE IS GONE 60.1
2-CHARBROILED 52.0 (steadied)
6-SLICK CAPER 36.6

1st time starters - 1

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Saturday, March 01, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $79,912.

RACE 1
2-DEKKO 72.6
5-TRULEE SCRAPPIN 71.4
1-COURTSIDE 68.1
6-ONE FIRM CAT 67.5
4-PASEO ALEGRO 67.0

RACE 2
4-SOCIALBUG 100.4
6-CARAQUISTA 86.3
2-SALLYANA 84.4
5-PEPPY BOLLY 81.4
1-QUIZZICAL 74.3

RACE 3
5-MANK 91.3
7-GRAND HUMOR 84.4
6-A RED TIE DAY 76.4
4-TARAN TARAN 71.1 (5 wide)
1-NEXT RIGHT 68.1

RACE 4
2-BOB CONSULTATION 89.4
9-KORBAN 84.4
3-MAJOR TRUTH 80.8
8-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 76.0
5-BOBO 75.4

RACE 5
3-PEACENIK 86.9
6-TOPPERS GHOST 81.4
5-SHE DIGS ME 81.4
7-FIRST STRIKE 79.6
4-ROAD READY 74.9

RACE 6
8-CHICAGO ANGEL 60.6
1-LOVELY INSTINCT 50.2
2-L X SUNRISE 43.8
3-BIG ROSIE BROWN 40.7
7-CONTROLLER 34.0

RACE 7
4-LIL BARBIE DOODLE 63.9
5-SERIOUS 59.0
8-VINDICATED RULER 57.0
7-WILLETTA 53.5 (off July 13)
2-SUMMERS DIGNITY 52.1

RACE 8
2-ANNIVERSARY KITTY 74.6
6-SWEET BLISS 74.3
1-ARTEMIS 73.7
7-BE PROUD 71.4
4-SWISS LAKE YODEELER 66.4

RACE 9
9-JOHNS JOURNEY 68.1
4-CLOSET E 67.0
8-SAMURAI ASSAULT 55.0
2-FUZZY LOGIC 50.6
6-MUCK N GRIND 46.9
1-WHITE FRONT FREDDY 46.0

1st time starters 3, 7

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