TIMS WHIMS

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

CHURCHILL DOWNS - KENTUCKY DERBY

RACE 12
14-CLASSIC EMPIRE 113.6
17-IRISH WAR CRY 113.6
16-TAPWRIT 107.9
2-THUNDER SNOW 107.5
7-GIRVIN 105.2
15-MCCRAKEN 104.5
5-ALWAYS DREAMING 103.8
10-GUNNEVERA 103.8
13-J BOYS ECHO 103.1
19-PRACTICAL JOKE 102.5
18-GORMLY 101.8
8-HENCE 100.4
6-STATE OF HONOR 100.4
20-PATCH 99.8
12-SONNETEER 98.4
11-BATTLE OF MIDWAY 97.8
9-IRAP 97.1
1-LOOKIN AT LEE 95.8
4-UNTRAPPED 95.2
3-FAST AND ACCURATE 91.9

Labels: bets, betting, Churchill Downs, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred

CHURCHILL DOWNS RACE 11
KENTUCKY OAKS - G1

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



4-PARADISE WOODS 123.0
10-MISS SKY WARRIOR 104.5
13-ABEL TASMAN 99.1
14-SALTY 96.5
7-FARRELL 92.6
3-MOPOTISM 89.4
11-TEQUILITA 86.9
6-VEXATIOUS 83.2
5-JORDAN'S HENNY 83.2
1-EVER SO CLEVER 82.0
8-SAILOR'S VALENTINE 81.4
15-SUMMER LUCK 81.4
9-WICKED LICK 80.2
2-LOCKDOWN 79.0
12-DADDYS LIL DARLING 75.4

Labels: bets, betting, Churchill Downs, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred

AFTER 11 YEARS OF POSTING MY BLOG ON SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA HORSE RACING, I HAVE DECIDED THAT I WILL NO LONGER BE POSTING ON A DAILY BASIS.

This was a very hard decision for me to make. I started posting my picks and selections in August of 2005 on the internet. It has always been free to the readers and I tried to keep it advertising free after a couple of years. My main goal was to help new players and to draw them into racing sport.

I have watched the decline of horse racing over the years and it is very sad to see. The quality of the horses is no longer there. The greed of the tracks in exotic betting has taken from the betting pools. Major races are moved so that they will not be in the pick six races. The major job is to "get a carryover" as that is where the tracks make the best and largest amount of money.

The win, place, and show pools have been depleted by various exotic pools. The smaller player is unable to bet the amount necessary in order to have a chance at winning.

When I watch on a daily basis and I see what some of the Jockey's are doing it is a disgrace to the sport. Pulling horses back, swinging very wide on the turns, taking a front runner to the back and the trying to make him close at the end. Taking a closer and pushing him to run out front for the race. The worst of all is when they are not going to be 1st or second they don't "ride the horse out". This hurts the players who bet a trifecta, super's, etc.

Entering horses just to "fill" races is now a regular event and often a race is used as a "prep" race with the betting public not knowing that there is no intention to try a win the race.

The stewards make more and more interesting calls on the races and seem to miss the obvious infractions that occur on a regular basis. They need to get rid of "did it cause him a position" rule. An infraction is all they should be looking for in the races. We need to get rid of the discretionary decision they are able to make. I HAVE WATCHED THIS DURING MY 59 YEARS OF RACE BETTING AND IT IS NOW AT IT'S WORST.

I WANT TO THANK MY WIFE WHO HAS HELPED ME EVERY DAY THAT I POSTED WITH THE PAPER WORK AND INFORMATION GATHERING AND GOING WITH ME TO WATCH THE RACES AT THE CASINOS OR TRACK. I WOULD NOT HAVE BEEN ABLE TO DO IT WITHOUT HER.

I WANT TO THANK YOU, THE READERS OF TIMS WHIMS. YOUR COMMENTS HAVE BEEN APPRECIATED, I HAVE MET SEVERAL OF YOU IN PERSON
AND HAVE BEEN ABLE TO HAVE A LOT OF FUN.

I MAY POST OCCASIONALLY IN THE FUTURE BUT NOT ON A REGULAR BASIS.

I WISH YOU THE BEST OF LUCK.

TIM (and my wife ANN)

Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred