Saturday, July 31, 2010

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-PLEASURE TO RIDE 100.4
3-WORTH REPEATING 99.1
2-MEGASTAR 93.9
1-GOTHIC SAMURAI 91.3
4-GOLDEN MEXICO 85.6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-BABY TATE 65.9
3-ASNO DEL CARAMELO 64.8
5-RIBAT 54.0
1-JOBURG STAR 49.2

1st time starters - 8, 7, 2

RACE 3
6-RULE THE STORM 90.7
1-DEXTERA 85.6
2-OPERETTA ITALIANO 83.8
5-APT TO BE AMAZING 82.0
4-PRYTANIA 80.8

RACE 4
4-U. C. MERCED TWO 101.1
9-AFLEET DEAL85.0
2-CONGA ROCK 77.8
1-TUDOR BLUE 76.6
3-MY MAN SUMO 76.0

RACE 5
7-ARTE VIVA 85.6
3-WESTWOOD PRIDE 80.2
2-HASTY 72.6
5-SANDY CHEEKS 72.6
6-PULPIT MAGIC 70.9

RACE 6
6-EXCELLENT NEWS 95.8
7-CAMILLE C 91.3
3-THISONEFORYOU 86.9
5-DOWNHILL DIVA 85.6
8-LA NEZ 82.6

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-CAYANNA 59.6
11-FAISCA 55.0
1-HOLLYWOOD AFFAIR 54.0
12-CLUBHOUSE RULES 42.0

1st time starters -3, 5, 4, 2, 6, 7, 9

RACE 8
5-SANGAREE 110.0
1-ENRICHED 107.2
2-ISLE OF GIANT'S 101.1
9-MYTHICAL POWER 99.8
6-RED EYE EXPRESS 99.1

RACE 9
3-HALO'S LAW 72.6
11-AREUTRUE 69.2
12-INTOTHEWILD 68.6
4-STATHY 61.6
7-COLE'S FAVORITE 61.1

RACE 10
2-LONG LEGGED LOVELY 54.0
9-REAL OBVIOUS 54.0
11-WARREN'S ROSE 52.6
1-NOSEGAY 51.6
8-SEDUCTIONIST 48.3
7-BEACH BOTTOM BAY 48.3

1st time starters - 4

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Friday, July 30, 2010

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $103,938.

RACE 1
6-OAK KYE WHY 97.1
2-CONNAGHER 90.7
5-DANA DYNAMO 84.4
4-WARRING HEART 79.6
3-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 76.6

RACE 2
4-UNIONIZE 93.2
8-QUOTED 92.6 (off Dec. 09)
11-WINTER CAMP 91.3
3-RAETODANDTY 89.4
9-BRADIUM 88.1
2-DREAM NOW 88.1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-MISSILETTE 48.4
11-LUCKY SIS 43.3
7-PLANET JANET 27.9
12-LEMON DROP RIDGE 27.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3, 9, 1, 10, 2, 6, 13, 14

RACE 4
5-CANDY COAT 79.6
4-TAXI FLEET 75.4
3-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 75.4
1-SMOOTH AND SAVVY 71.7
7-ONE VOTE 71.4

RACE 5
8-ABSOLUTLYPOSITIVLY 72.4
7-GOBBLER'S KNOB 72.0
3-FULL EFFECT 64.8
10-FRANCONI 59.6

1st time starters - 1, 9, 5, 6, 4, 2,

RACE 6
9-JUSTICE IS BRIEF 90.0 (off July 09)
7-WARREN'S JITTERBUG 78.4
4-CAITIE'S SECRET 78.4
1-ASHEE 77.1
2-POWEROFVOODOO 76.6

RACE 7
5-RICHARD'S KID 113.6
6-TEMPLE CITY 97.5
1-RENDEZVOUS 92.6
3-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 84.4
7-DELIGHTFUL KISS 84.4

RACE 8
2-NO STADIUM 79.0
10-CASA O 73.1
13-LEYVA MAN 69.8
3-ROYAL DREAM 63.2
5-BODY BUILDER 57.0

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Thursday, July 29, 2010

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-LIME ROCK REVENGE 57.5
2-GAB POWER 52.6
3-EL VALENTIN 51.6
5-RUNAWAY WILDCAT 50.6

RACE 2
5-SHADOW OF ILLINOIS 90.0
4-DANZING TRIBAL 88.1
1-BEST AFFAIR 88.1
6-MAUI MARK 88.1 (off July 09)

RACE 3
3-INDIARA 77.2
4-KAYSA DEEYA 62.2
1-LOST PROPHET 59.6
2-POCATELLO WILD KAT 58.1

RACE 4
6-FULL ON 77.8
7-DE CAR GUY 73.1
1-WITHIN REASON 70.9
2-QUARTA COROA 70.3

RACE 5
2-MELON UP 64.3
5-WARREN'S MOON 61.6
9-MARINO'S PROMISE 57.0
3-SIGN IN 54.0

1st time starters - 4, 7, 1

RACE 6
3-AUTOCUE 85.0
4-ROAR OF APPLAUSE 79.0
1-SUPER HARMONY 79.0
5-JOURNEYMAN 76.0

RACE 7
2-FUND RAISER 97.1
5-VIA VENETO 88.8
3-HEARTLESS VIXEN 87.5
4-HOLDING HER GROUND 73.7
1-SOFTLY SINGING 73.7
7-GUMPTION 73.1

RACE 8
9-HOMEWORK 48.3
10-DESPERATE MEASURES 47.4
5-TABLE FOR ONE 37.4
3-CHK CHK BOOM 37.0
7-TWISP 32.6

1st time starters - 4, 6, 12, 11

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Wednesday, July 28, 2010

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-CATHY'S CRUNCHIES 85.6
1-ALASKA MISS 63.8
5-GATOR AT FONZ'S 58.0
3-MISS NIKI C. 45.5
2-SEETHEIRLGO 43.8

RACE 2
3-CANTONA 78.7
1-PAPA LEV 75.4
7-CHECKMARK 74.9 (off Dec. 09)
2-MINISTER D'ORO 69.2
6-PRINCE OF GOTHAM 65.9

RACE 3
5-CAPITAL ACCOUNT 117.9
4-PATRIOTIC SOLDIER 90.7
1-EQUIPARADO 85.0
6-STACY'S HOPE 84.4
3-SPANIARD 83.2 (off Oct. 09)

RACE 4
5-LUV DRAGON 75.4
1-MINISTERS POWER 68.1
7-MILTY WAY 66.4
4-CALIFORNIA SOLDIER 62.0

RACE 5
3-MYTIGERSNOSISSY 77.8 (off July 09)
2-PRIDE OF WILSHIRE 66.4
10-MISTER JAZZ 65.9
1-OH NOW 55.5

1st time starters - 4, 9, 6, 5

RACE 6
4-ASCOT'S HIGHFLYER 86.9
9-MOVIE DUTY 81.4
5-FLASHY TRAVELER 74.7
2-WORD ASSOCIATION 73.7

RACE 7
8-RIVIERA COCKTAIL 109.3
6-GALLANT SON 108.6
9-FERNELEY 106.6 (off Dec. 09)
7-RED DOOR DRIVE 104.5
2-AGGIE ENGINEER 101.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
12-SWISS TART 53.5
13-OFFLEE WILD BOYS 50.2
3-TROUBLE RULES 35.8
4-SWISS HERO 31.9
1-TAHOE YODLER 31.5

1st time starters - 5, 10, 9, 2

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Tuesday, July 27, 2010

 

DEL MAR - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, July 26, 2010

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1718 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, July 25, 2010

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $184,880.

RACE 1
7-QUICK ENOUGH 95.2 (off April 09)
3-ALL MAN 94.5
4-HEWITTS 93.2
1-DARK AND DEEP 90.0
6-CAJUN GENT 88.1

RACE 2
3-CALLE VISTA 92.6
6-MADEL 91.3
7-TORO BONITO 88.1
2-TALKTOOMUCH 80.0
4-AMERICAS DREAMING 79.0

RACE 3
4-WINSOME CHARM 98.4
6-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 96.5
1-ASPERITY 95.8
5-ACHAK 93.9

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-PEDALTOTHEMEDAL 83.8
4-ROMANETTE 53.0

1st time starters - 6, 9, 3, 2, 1, 5, 8

RACE 5
3-SUANCES DE ESPANA 70.3
6-DONA MARY 69.2
5-HIT THE BRIX 67.0
7-HUMBLE MAGGIE GO 67.0

RACE 6
5-BOLD CHIEFTAIN 113.6
8-BRUCE'S DREAM 93.4
3-SWIFT WINDS 93.2
7-CAYAMBE 89.5

RACE 7
8-NEW BAY 97.8
4-GOLDEN WINNER 97.1
6-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 89.4
5-EL SCORPIO 88.8
7-AFLEET RULER 88.1

RACE 8
6-EVENING JEWEL 105.2
2-FORTUNIA 104.5
5-SWITCH 100.2
9-IT TIZ 93.9
1-CRISP 90.0

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-HE BE FIRE N ICE 48.6
4-MERLIN Z 48.3
5-STAKIN STEWART 40.3
9-MR. GENNARO 37.8
3-CLASSIC BOBBY 35.4

1st time starters - 6, 2, 7, 1, 10, 11

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Saturday, July 24, 2010

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.


ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-UKANDOIT 91.9
3-THOMAS BAINES 80.8
1-PINAL 80.8
4-FORMAT V. 77.8
5-KURO 74.7

RACE 2
6-MY BOY WALSH 83.8
4-CALL ME HONCHO 83.1
5-DETROIT DONNIE 83.1
3-QUILLOTANO 81.3

RACE 3
8-LAURA BEASLEY 79.0
7-CARRIE ROSE 71.4
2-FAVOLOSO 63.8
11-SECRET OATH 61.1

RACE 4
5-MS TREASURE HUNTER 55.7
2-DANCING TIGER 43.8

1st time starters - 3, 6, 7, 4, 1

RACE 5
8-SINGLE SHOT 57.5
9-UNUSUAL SOUL 49.2
7-DR. CHEN 48.3
4-SELF DEFENSE 47.4
2-OUR JUKE BOX HERO 47.4

1st time starters - 1A, 3, 6, 12

RACE 6
9-U R ALL THAT I AM 101.8
4-BURG BERG 95.8
3-RUINATION 93.9
10-LILLY FA POOTZ 93.2

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-JOBURG STAR 60.1
2-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 53.0

1st time starters - 6, 4, 7, 9, 8, 10, 1, 5

RACE 8
6-ENRICHED 116.4
4-ACCLAMATION 113.6
2-VICTOR'S CRY 112.2
5-LOUP BRETON 107.3
3-THE USUAL Q. T. 107.3

RACE 9
2-FLEET ROYALE 79.6
5-GOTHAM SPIRIT 70.3
10-TAMMY'S LUCK 62.7
11-CHURCH AVENUE 62.2
3-SO HOTTIE 61.1

RACE 10
3-OTTO VON VOOM 86.3
1-EZE DOES IT 82.0
10-SUFI DANCER 82.0
9-FANTASTIC PICK 79.0
7-SARAVAS WILD AGAIN 79.0
6-SIETE MACHOS 79.0

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Friday, July 23, 2010

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-HIDDEN ROMANCE 85.0
1-LULLABYTIME 79.0
4-PARTY WITH BRANDO 75.4
7-PATSY'S LIL BUDDY 74.9
6-WARRENS HIGHROLLER 71.4

RACE 2
4-GRACE UPON GRACE 85.0
5-DAYLIGHT STORM 83.8
6-FANDINO 78.3
1-IVORY FUDGE 76.0
2-PRECIOUS DUKE 73.7

RACE 3
2-JAWS N' PAWS 79.6
8-NINTH INFANTRY 78.4
6-SKY CHANT 76.0
5-IF YOU KNEW SUSIE 74.9
9-GLENDIVE 73.7

RACE 4
4-DAYS OF LIGHTNING 80.2
7-JOYFUL SUCCESS 79.6
8-PLANTSITE 77.2
5-GOOD BROTHER 74.9

RACE 5
7-MR. MONKEY JONES 96.5
9-BESTDRESSED 95.8
2-CHARM N CHUCK 95.2
6-STAR NICHOLAS 88.8
3-BEST MON 86.9

RACE 6
11-CAMP VICTORY 84.4
5-MR TOKYO 84.0
3-JUNIPER PASS 83.8
1-LUNADA BAY 82.6
6-KID EDWARD 82.0

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-DEO'S SECRET 62.2
11-HI HO YODELER 58.0
10-SWISS WILD CAT 54.5
12-SOCIAL EVENT 53.5
8-TRICK SKATE 51.1

RACE 8
7-BIG WAGS 63.8
8-SPINCO BOB 60.1
4-MY LAST TYCOON 58.5
9-TITUS AURELIUS 57.0
3-D'ORO DANCER 57.0

1st time starters - 6

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Thursday, July 22, 2010

 

DEL MAR- FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $164,722.

RACE 1
3-TWEEBSTER 84.4
2-RAUSCHENBERG 83.1
4-DISTORTED ECONOMY 81.9
5-SKY FOX 71.6
1-GROVE PARK 63.2

RACE 2
1-WARREN'S SWAP FOX 64.8
3-CRUZIN TOPLESS 63.6
4-PRECIOUS SONG 59.6
5-MARY STRONG 59.0

RACE 3
4-AMINA 91.3
8-SISTER DAWN 85.0
3-PINK DIAMOND 82.6
2-EL NADIA 82.5

RACE 4
8-HALOWEEN CANDY 73.7
1-HAUNTED HIGHWAY 63.8
2-LADY ADELLE 51.1
4-GENIO 46.9

1st time starters - 5

RACE 5
4-PORTO MARMAY 99.8
5-WAVELINE 94.5 (off June 09)
6-PASAR SILBANO 93.2
7-MISS MCCALL 91.9
2-TERRIFY 90.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-RIDE CANDY RIDE 50.6
3-COMMA TO THE TOP 50.2
6-LIQUID ASSET 43.8

1st time starters - 4, 1, 8, 7, 5

RACE 7
2-LOW GEAR POWER 98.9
7-TIZ TRUE 95.0
4-TRIPITAKA 93.2
1-JOB BOSS 89.4

RACE 8
6-SEXY MELODY 49.2
8-WARRENS MATCHMAKER 46.9
1-GREAT BERNARDINE 46.4
7-SEARFAVORITESECRET 43.3
5-GO LOURDES GO 39.4

1st time starters - 2, 4

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Wednesday, July 21, 2010

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-NORTH FORK 88.1 (off Feb. 09)
5-MARQUET REBEL 82.6
1-JOE CARL 82.0
4-HUNTER CREEK 80.8

RACE 2
2-SILENT SOUL 85.6
3-VALIANT EFFORT 83.1
6-CARBON HOOFPRINT 80.2
4-RACKETEER 79.6

RACE 3
1-SKY MARNI 86.9
5-MALUSITA 82.0
2-SQUEEZE ME TIGHT 72.0
6-BURNA DETTE 71.4

RACE 4
3-LISA LULU 60.6
6-MADDYABOUTYOU 59.0
4-TIZ SMOKE TIZ FIRE 53.5
8-RUBY LANE 49.0

1st time starters - 5

RACE 5
6-PREMIER CRU 93.9
1-KANAN DUME 89.4
3-DERIVE 86.9
4-LIONS STORY 83.2

RACE 6
7-BRAN JAMMAS 90.7
5-OUI SAY OUI 90.0
1-ZILLA 90.0
3-ENUMCLAW GIRL 88.2
8-RUFFLED FEATHERS 85.6
4-GRIPSHOLM CASTLE 85.6

RACE 7
2-ROMAN CHIC 79.6
3-MAMA BOUCHE 79.0
1-BLESSED 72.6 (off Dec. 09- entry)
7-MISS PEANUT 58.5

1st time starters - 5, 6, 10, 4, 11

RACE 8
3-TWIRLING CANDY 103.6
8-JUST MAGIC 95.7
6-MACIAS 90.0
7-DOMONATION 88.8
9-GALLANT GENT 88.2

RACE 9
2-WARRING HEART 82.6
3-TOTAL SUM 80.8
1-SPECTACULAR SLEW 79.6
5-LUCKY FITZ 78.4
10-THE WHAMMER 76.0

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-BIGMIKEISTHEMAN 46.4
1-GRAND MANEUVER 37.4 (entry)
3-UNBRIDLED SCORE 25.1
2-J J MINISTER 23.5

1st time starters - 10, 4, 5, 7

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Tuesday, July 20, 2010

 

DEL MAR - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, July 19, 2010

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1710 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, July 18, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

NOTE:
I WILL NOT BE POSTING MY PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THE LAST DAY AT HOLLYWOOD PARK SUNDAY. I WILL RETURN WITH MY PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR DEL MAR ON WED. JULY 21.

SEE YOU THEN
CTT

Saturday, July 17, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $107,485.

RACE 1
6-LUCY GOT LUCKY 82.6
5-MY AUNT FANNY 79.6
2-ACUTE VELOCITY 74.3
3-SOLDIER BETTY 72.0
1-SAINT CINDY 69.8

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-LUCKY SIS 42.0
1-SHE'SAWONTONTOMATO 37.0
7-FAISCA 28.6
5-BRAZZLE DAZZLE 20.9


1st time starters - 4, 3, 2, 8

RACE 3
5-WENDEN 90.0
1-FAIRWAY ROAD 70.9
4-YANKEE ROMANCE 70.9
6-THE GREAT ATLANTIC 64.8
2-DISLITLELLITEOMINE 63.8

RACE 4
4-FREE FLYING SOUL 106.6
3-EMMY DARLING 91.3
5-MADE FOR MAGIC 89.9
6-SWEET AUGUST MOON 89.4
2-MOON DE FRENCH 88.8

RACE 5
6-INTUITIVE NATURE 85.0
4-GALLATIN'S RUN 84.5 (off June 09)
1-SAMARTINO 76.6
3-KOOLNQUICK 70.4
8-LORO 60.0 (off slow)

1st time starters - 5, 2, 7

RACE 6
2-BULLFIGHTER 78.4
5-SKY SEARCHER 65.4
3-BEAUTEOUS MAXIMUS 63.2
7-SMOKENOMORE 60.6

RACE 7
1-ALWAYS IN STYLE 90.7
6-MY MALOOF ROCKER 87.5
2-OPERETTA ITALIANO 83.8
3-ENTABENI 83.2
5-ROLLERSKATES 79.6

RACE 8
5-GENTLE ROMEO 98.4
1-HIGH STANDARDS 95.2
7-PARTYWITHLARRYZ 90.0
9-SEA RASCAL 86.3
4-SELF INSURED 85.0

RACE 9
1-SIDNEY'S CANDY 110.0
2-ALPHIE'S BET 91.3
4-SKIPSHOT 88.8
3-SUMMER MOVIE 80.8

RACE 10
9-STORMY AMBITION 67.5
7-DECARCHY FEVER 55.5
11-SOUTHERN VICTORY 54.5
10-JESSE'S SOUL 52.6
3-BROOKLYN BUDDY 51.1
2-QUIETLY WAITING 50.6

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Friday, July 16, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-SEVEN POINT ONE 90.0
7-TALK CIRCUIT 80.8
3-TWO VIOLINS 73.7
1A-SATELLITE 72.6 (entry)

RACE 2
7-MANOFGOLD 58.5
6-ONEINAMILLIONYOU 58.0
3-BRIANVILLE 56.0
4-TIZEXCHANGE 48.8

RACE 3
2-SKIPPY DUE 79.6
1-MIND THE MINISTER 79.0
7-GOLD TRIM 76.6
6-SWIFT DEMAND 76.0

RACE 4
1-JACK'S WILD 88.1
3-POP'SHANDS ARE HOT 82.6
6-STALKING GOLD 82.0
5-TEAFATILLER 80.2
2-MIGUEL'S MASCOT 76.6

RACE 5
9-GOLD SCHLEIGER 74.3
7-AEROMON 72.0
4-OLYMPIC MAGIC 59.6
11-JUSTICE REIGNS 56.0

1st time starters - 10, 8, 5

RACE 6
2-WESTWOOD PRIDE 73.1
5-SHEEZA BEAST 70.9
6-MELBISHA 67.0
3-BACK NINE DOC 58.0

RACE 7
6-CAN'T TOPPER 85.0
5-PERFECT VINTAGE 85.0
4-MISSDEALORNODEAL 83.8
1-TORREY CLIFFS 75.4
8-VICTORY DANCER 74.0
2-WARREN'S GOT GAME 73.7

RACE 8
2-LODI RED 75.4
7-PAPA LEV 72.6
6-THERMAL WAVE 69.2
1-DONTMESROUNDWITJIM 65.9
8-TRIBAL NATION 55.0

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Wednesday, July 14, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-PREMIERE FLYER 82.0
3-AUTOCUE 79.6
2-SMOOTH AND SAVVY 77.2
6-SUPER HARMONY 74.9
4-FILM FORTUNE 74.3

RACE 2
7-GIRLWITHEGOLDHOOF 64.3
1-PRINCESS BEAU K 63.8
4-SHE'S NOT LION 45.5
5-READY FOR CROWDS 36.3

1st time starters - 2, 3

RACE 3
5-ONE TRACK MIND 102.5
1-NEVER 97.1
2-SPURRIER 95.2
4-DELIGHTFUL KISS 88.1
3-BLUE CHAGALL 83.2

RACE 4
7-GREELY'S GHOST 86.0
3-LYONS BARTON 82.8
5-COME IN ALMIGHTY 78.4
2-EZE DOES IT 76.6
6-GALLETA MONSTRUO 76.0

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-ROYAL ANCESTRY 43.8
8-TWISP 34.6

1st time starters - 5, 2, 7, 4, 1, 3

RACE 6
1-TIMEZONE 90.7
6-SWEET HANNI 79.4
4-KALOULA 73.1
2-HOLY FLAPPER 66.4

RACE 7
3-KAYLIE'S JOY 80.8
6-DREAMS AFLEET 77.8 (off Sept. 09)
2-A SASSY FUSAICHI 77.0
1-NINE TO DINE 60.1
4-HARD EIGHT 60.1

RACE 8
5-MARRYMEONEMORETIME 64.6
7-PLATINUM MINE 63.8
8-GIVEME ONEREASON 62.7 (off Dec. 09)
3-COME HOME LADY 55.5

1st time starters - 2, 1, 4, 6

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HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY. RACING WILL RESUME FRIDAY NIGHT.

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Tuesday, July 13, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK -SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

Monday, July 12, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1704 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, July 11, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $514,127.

I HAVE LISTED MY PICKS 5 DEEP TODAY DUE TO THE LARGE PICK SIX AND POSSIBLE SCRATCHES. GOOD LUCK.

RACE 1
4-RON BOB AND DAVE 94.5
2-HEWITTS 92.6
5-DOPPIO 89.4
1-DREAM NOW 83.8 (off Aug. 09)
3-UNCLE JEEP 83.2

RACE 2
3-CAMICORY 71.4
4-LEYVA MAN 68.1
6-OUTRAGEOUS FORTUNE 65.9
8-CANTONA 63.2
7-SWISS EMPEROR 59.0

RACE 3
2-MAYBE YES 73.1
5-STICK TO THE PLAN 71.4
1-SONGFOYA 65.9
4-HONOUR FAMILY 64.8
3-ARKHAM ASYLUM 62.7

RACE 4
4-KRIS SILVER 92.6
6-FIRE BREAK 92.6
1-HAMMURABI 87.5
2-MARGARITA SHOT 81.4
5-KNOCKOUT ARTIST 80.2

RACE 5
3-SHANTIKA'S DREAM 64.3
9-TEN'S SALTY SALLY 61.1
4-SIMPLY PUT 58.1
6-CELEBRATION 54.5
1-SO HOTTIE 54.5

RACE 6
4-NOSTALGIC BID 69.2
6-ROOS ON THE LOOSE 53.0
8-PEANUT BUTTER BOY 50.2
5-BOOMTOWN 46.0
1-BATTLE POINT 42.4

1st time starters - 2, 3

RACE 7
6-MENSA HEAT 93.2
1-OUR SHORTY 86.9
7-IMCO SPIRIT 79.0
4-MESA THUNDER 74.3
2-SCORED 72.6

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-DAWNIE MACHO 96.5
1-BELLEOFTHEBRIDLE 82.0
5-SHE'LL HEIR 62.7
7-SWISS WILD CAT 57.0
6-MICHAILASHEARTLITE 56.0

1st time starters - 4

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-STORMIN RAE 46.4
10-WOODMANS LUCK 44.2
1-TRIBAL WISH 38.2
6-MR. GENNARO 37.8
7-DESTINED JOURNEY 32.3 (off slow)

1st time starters - 8, 5, 9

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Saturday, July 10, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $99,168.

RACE 1
2-HOG'S HOLLOW 88.1
8-TWEEBSTER 79.6
5-SQUAD 79.6
1-DUCANE 79.0

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
8-ONE VOTE 83.8
4-MY MAN MURF 74.9
10-CHAVEZ RAVINE 73.7
3-CHANGING 69.8
1-JUST HEAT 69.8

RACE 3
3-MOVIE DUTY 79.0
4-GENUINE MAGIC 77.2 (off Aug. 08)
7-VICTORY DASH 67.5
1-MARY STRONG 60.6
2-SAANNEEN 58.5

RACE 4
1-DELAHOOSEE 83.2
6-APRIORITY 79.6
4-JAMES M. DEAN 33.4
2-GREENSPAN 30.4 (5 wide)

1st time starters - 5, 3, 7

RACE 5
5-VICTORIAN PRINCE 96.5
7-MR. KATZ 91.3
9-GREY STORM 90.0
1-SIR DAVE 86.3
8-NO DREAM 86.3

RACE 6
3-M ONE RIFLE 107.3
1-E Z'S GENTLEMAN 105.9
4-GAYECO 105.2
7-MY SUMMER SLEW 102.5
6-SANGAREE 99.8
5-BEST DRESSED 99.8

RACE 7
9-STREET CAR 93.2
11-AMAZOMBIE 91.9
8-UNIONIZE 91.9
4-RAETODANDTY 86.9
1-SEATTLE RULER 85.1

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
6-RAIL TRIP 122.3
4-RICHARD'S KID 111.4
2-COMPARI 99.5
7-TAP IT LIGHT 94.5
1-CIGAR MAN 93.2

RACE 9
6-SEA OF PLEASURE 83.8
1-CADILLAC 83.2
4-NEVADA WORRIER 81.4
5-MAJESTIC DIAMOND 79.6

RACE 10
14-JACOB'S LITTLE BRO 65.4
2-WILLIS 62.2
10-SWINGIN JIM 58.0
4-GOOCHIO 55.0

1st time starters - 7, 11

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Friday, July 09, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-MISS NICKI C. 37.0
7-CHK CHK BOOM 36.2
3-GOOD ACKTRESS 31.9
4-LAKE OSCEOLA 23.1

1st time starters - 6

RACE 2
2-COOL HALEIGH 85.6 (off May 09)
5-STANFORD DOLLY 84.4
3-MISSION VIEJO HALO 73.7
4-ELUSIVE MEMORIES 61.6
1-ASHEE 61.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-RIBAT 46.4
5-SECRET TAPIT 28.6
3-RIDE CANDY RIDE 28.2
6-TROUBLE RULES 22.5

1st time starters - 1, 7 (had 2 f. races ) 2, 8

RACE 4
7-TOTAL SUM 91.3
5-ISLAND RUN 72.6
3-WOLGAN VALLEY 67.0
1-FIRE IN THE WIND 60.6
2-LIMITED WILL 60.6

RACE 5
3-FOLK DANCER 85.6
7-SERIOUSLY 85.0
4-DOWNHILL DIVA 85.0
6-AMINA 85.0

RACE 6
2-LONE JUSTICE 74.9
7-BLUE JAY ATTACK 68.1
6-VALLEY CAT 61.1
8-FULL EFFECT 57.5

1st time starters - 1, 3, 9

RACE 7
2-WOOD ART 92.5
1-INITIAL IMPRESSION 90.0
3-SILVER HEAT 79.0
5-MAGIC LAUNCH 68.1

RACE 8
4-LOST PROPHET 61.6 (off Oct. 09)
9-WARREN'S MOON 59.6
7-SH SH SHAKIN' 59.0
1-REALLY ELEGANT 51.1
5-DANCING LAUREN 47.4

1st time starters - 8, 10, 11

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Thursday, July 08, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

NOTE:
THERE IS NO HORSE RACING TODAY AT HOLLYWOOD PARK. THE RACING FOR TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELED. RACING WILL RESUME TOMORROW NIGHT AT HOLLYWOOD PARK.

Wednesday, July 07, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK -SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.

Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

Tuesday, July 06, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1690 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, July 05, 2010

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-TUBA MAN 78.4
5-UNCLE GREG 72.0
6-KOOLNQUICK 58.0
3-ALLEY HONDRO 54.5

1st time starters - 1, 4

RACE 2
2-SUNNY PEACE 77.2
1-PARTY WITH BRANDO 76.6
4-ACUTE VELOCITY 73.7
6-BROOKE'S FANTASY 73.1

RACE 3
1-FUND RAISER 96.5
3-SILVER SWALLOW 92.6
4-CHERRYBLOSSOMMISS 85.0
5-GUMPTION 76.6
2-SALTY FRIES 75.4

RACE 4
1-SUPER HARMONY 80.8
5-JAMES PRIOR 77.8
4-DAY WITH DESI 76.6
2-SKIPPY DUE 76.0
3-SQUALLCREEK 75.8

RACE 5
9-LAURA BEASLEY 78.4
6-DONNER WASSER 68.6
2-SECRET OATH 64.0
1-FAVOLOSO 61.6

RACE 6
5-MAJOR SMOKE 75.4
8-AREUTRUE 74.3
7-SMOKENOMORE 69.8
1-BERNSIE'S BABY 62.7
9-DEPUTY FLYER 62.7

RACE 7
5-DIFERENTKINDAGREAT 105.9
2-RED EYE EXPRESS 94.5
4-TURF AND SKY 94.5
6-POKER DAVE 93.2
1-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 89.4

RACE 8
6-J P'S GUSTO 101.1
2-MARVIN'S MAGIC 63.2
4-RIVER'S CHAPEL 61.1
7-EDGEWICK ROAD 50.2
3-MINUTESANDTOUCHES 49.7

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 f. on turf)
7-CAYANNA 55.0
12-MISSILETTE 52.1
3-TORRE ITALIANA 12.8
9-JENNY JENNY EMILY 10.9

1st time starters - 2, 4, 5, 10, 1, 8, 11

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Sunday, July 04, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK- FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-HAVENS LAKE 71.4
5-WADA FALLS 68.6
7-DUMAANI'S GOLD 62.2
3-STROPPY 61.1

RACE 2
5-SAINT ISABELLE 82.0
4-BLUE TAMBOURINE 74.3
3-LIVE AND LOVE 73.7
7-FASHION TREND 72.9

RACE 3
3-SEA RASCAL 92.6
2-CAJUN GENT 87.5
5-BONFANTE 83.8
6-CAPT. SPARROW 77.8

RACE 4
5-REAL OBVIOUS 55.6
1-MADDYABOUTYOU 53.0
9-AFLEET BREEZE 52.6
7-LISA LULU 48.3

RACE 5
3-GRACE UPON GRACE 89.4
2-DAYLIGHT STORM 85.1
6-PINAL 78.5
4-FORMAT V. 75.4
5-GOOD BROTHER 74.3

RACE 6
6-TRUEST LEGEND 99.8 (off July 09)
5-GOLD STAR STATUS 95.2
11-STAR NICHOLAS 93.2
9-HARD BILL 90.7 (off July 09)
7-YANKEE STATION 90.0 (off Aug. 09)

RACE 7
2-COMPARI 105.9
1-RIVERIA COCKTAIL 104.5
5-GLOBAL HUNTER 102.5
8-RED DOOR DRIVE 101.8
3-HYADES 97.1

RACE 8
3-KAYCE ACE 85.0
4-AMERICAS DREAMING 84.4
5-DAMINI 76.0
6-HARD WAY TEN 70.4
2-PURE CLASS 69.8

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
8-AMERICAN WILDCAT 68.6
4-SWISS TART 55.5

1st time starters - 5, 2, 7, 6, 1, 3, 9

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Saturday, July 03, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-TOWSER 67.5
4-SKY SEARCHER 65.4
5-ITSALLABOUTCHARLIE 54.5
3-DEL AMR TRUCKEE 54.0

RACE 2
1-GOTMYMOJOWORKIN 91.3
4-U. C. MERCED TWO 87.5
8-SWISS SKI 86.3
9-INDIANSKI 82.0

RACE 3
1A-SPIRIT OF COCHISE 99.1
5-BUCK'S BRO 98.4
6-WHEN WE MET 91.9
2-USURP 91.3 (off Dec. 09)
4-LEANDROS 90.7

RACE 4
1-U R ALL THAT I AM 102.5
2-GOTTA HAVE HER 95.2
6-EXQUISITE 87.5
5-BURG BERG 87.5
4-SPRING STYLE 85.0

RACE 5
7-NO STADIUM 76.0
8-WARRENS WILD THING 73.1
10-DANA DYNAMO 73.1
9-STEEL BLUE 60.1

1st time starters - 2

RACE 6
4-KEVLAR KID 99.1
8-DEPUTY MAX 93.8
2-KILLER BEAR 92.6
7-FACE AND AN ACE 82.2
1-JAIRZIHNO 79.0

RACE 7
4-ROCKSTAR BEN 63.4
1-MY LAST TYCOON 58.0
5-KIM'S LEADING MAN 54.0
11-BOSTON BAKED BEAN 51.6
10-NED PAGE 50.6

RACE 8
5-CITY TO CITY 96.5
6-ANDINA 95.2
4-HARMONIOUS 88.8
2-ANTARES WORLD 85.0
7-CONNIPTION 85.0

RACE 9
6-PRECIOUS UNION 83.8
2-FANATICAL 74.9 (off Dec. 09)
5-L. A. DEVINE 73.7
3-PINK DIAMOND 73.3
1-FLEET STREAK 72.6

RACE 10
1-LONG LEGGED LOVELY 54.0
10-VERY VINTAGE 50.6
5-WARRENS MATCHMAKER 49.0
7-DIVA GONE WILD 46.4
4-HARMONY'S HOPE 44.6

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Friday, July 02, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TONIGHT IS $100,192.

RACE 1
1-TWODOLLARSTOWIN 68.6
2-SOLDIER BETTY 67.6
5-POKOMOKE 61.1
3-DONA MARY 60.6

RACE 2
6-PRETTY KINZIE 62.2
2-SHINE'N TIME 61.1
4-CENZIO 60.1
7-SWEET AND JAZZY 54.5

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
7-TABLE FOR ONE 50.6
6-NEGRA TOMASA 46.0
2-LESLIE RULES 42.9
5-MARVELETTE 13.5

1st time starters - 3, 4, 1, 8

RACE 4
3-SULUTION 71.4
6-SAMMARTINO 70.9
4-EMERALD ASSETS 58.8
1-SARBONNE 55.2

1st time starters - 2, 7

RACE 5
6-ISLE OF GIANT'S 90.7
1-TIZ TRUE 89.4
5-LEASE OF LIFE 88.2
4-BELO PURSE 84.4
2-JOB BOSS 83.1

RACE 6
1-SIPNZIN 55.5
8-FAITH COLLEEN 54.5
4-SWEET PATRICIA 53.0
10-CHOBE CHIKA 49.2

1st time starters - 6

RACE 7
3-MINUTE LIMIT 97.1
4-PORTO MARMAY 97.1
7-DOTSY JEAN 96.5
1-BONIFACIO 91.9

RACE 8
2-JOINT ADVENTURE 56.5 (off Sept. 09)
5-MISTY MISS JOANNA 51.1
6-MAKE IT MINE 48.8
1-SEARFAVORITESECRET 38.2
8-COMANDER'S CHARM 37.4

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Thursday, July 01, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horse.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
5-EL VALENTIN 37.0
2-LIQUID ASSET 26.5
8-GRAND MANEUVER 22.5

1st time starters - 7, 6, 4, 1, 3

RACE 2
3-PACK YOUR BAGS 94.5
1-DANZING TRIBAL 86.3
6-DETROIT DONNIE 84.4
5-NEVADA WORRIER 83.8
2-POP'SHANDS ARE HOT 80.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
9-BIGMIKEISTHEMAN 53.5
5-ON A HI 42.4
2-SWISS HERO 37.4
1-GEORGIA'S FRIEND 24.4

1st time starters - 8, 3, 4

RACE 4
2-CARRIE ROSE 64.8
3-FULLBRIDLED'S SIS 62.2
4-MISS PEANUT 57.0
6-TIZ A BUD GIRL 37.4 (off slow)

1st time starters - 5, 7, 1

RACE 5
4-YVETT'S PRIDE 88.1
1-LOW GEAR POWER 80.2 (off Sept. 09)
6-ADAM SUANCES 78.2
2-MY BOY WALSH 76.6
7-MR TOKYO 73.7

RACE 6
6-LYRICAL GODDESS 84.4
5-HARD EIGHT 71.4
11-GOTHAM SPIRIT 69.2
7-HIT THE BRIX 66.4

RACE 7
8-NICOLE H 85.6
2-IT TIZ 84.4
3-CRISIS OF SPIRIT 83.8
1-GLORY PRIDE 82.6
7-CRISP 81.0

RACE 8
1-STORMY AMBITION 66.4
2-SPEEDY MARINI 64.3
3-SINGLE SHOT 57.0
4-A PINT FOR MARY 50.2
5-FLEETING SUMMER 48.8
9-HOLLYWOOD MOGAL 48.8

1st time starters - 6, 11, 15

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