Thursday, May 31, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
5-LATE NIGHT SKY 77.8
4-TRAWEEK 72.5
1-TAKE NO PRISONERS 70.9
6-TRUCIAL STATE 70.3
2-MAJOR MAGIC 53.5

RACE 2
4-NIGHT TIDE 81.4
6-PLENNY OF HENNY 73.5
5-YES IT'S SNOWING 65.9 (off Nov. 11)
3-CALL ME JONES 65.4
2-SILVER RATE 58.5

RACE 3
1-GNARLY DUDE 95.2
3-THINKING OF GIRLS 91.9
4-MALIBU KNIGHT 88.0
2-DOYOUSEEMECOMING 86.3
5-SABOR AMARGO 79.6

RACE 4
4-MO CHEESE 64.3
7-MAVICSA 63.8
2-AKEELA 63.2
6-IRENES JACKPOT 59.6
8-MEMO TO KATHY 55.5

RACE 5
10-VONN NEZ 61.6
7-PASSIONVILLE 60.1
2-ZANBO 59.0
9-SCIENTIFIC 57.5
8-SASSY AND SINGLE 55.0

RACE 6
2-MOONSTRUCK MAYA 73.7
5-HOUT BAY 68.4
4-HUNTINGTON HARBOUR 65.4
3-BONITA MONTANA 59.6
1-WARREN'S JAZZ WALK 59.0

RACE 7
8-CLESTIAL KITTEN 90.7
3-BWANA BABE 88.8
2-MISS RADIANCE 88.8
6-PLAZA DE INDIAS 88.1
5-ROSEHILL DEW 85.0

RACE 8
1-I FEEL FREE 58.5
5-FLYING JIB 48.8
7-SPENSIVE'S IMAGE 47.8
6-AWESOME YEAR 46.9
4-ZUBOFF 45.1

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Wednesday, May 30, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, May 29, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at Betfair Hollywood Park today

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2315 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, May 28, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
5-JACK O LYN 71.4
4-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 67.0
3-POP THE CORK 67.0
1-WARREN'S MARSHALL 62.2
7-ALREADY THERE 60.1

RACE 2
5-ROCK OFF 83.8
7-AQUA REVELATION 71.4
8-DREAMCATCHER 70.3
3-YOU KNOW I KNOW 69.3
9-TONUK MAKTO 60.1

1st time starters -1

RACE 3
3-PATRIOT'S VOYAGE 102.5
1-OILSBLACKGOLD 99.1
2-BLU JON 94.5
4-CALLED TO SERVE 90.7
5-KILLER BEAR 88.8

RACE 4
3-LAST MEMORIES 63.8 (off July 11)
8-WHAT A RUSH 63.2
2-MILES LONG GONE 62.7
6-MAGIC BEAM 61.1
1-BROTHER ERNIE 60.6 (off Oct. 11)

RACE 5
8-NO SILENT 85.6
1-YOMYBATO 79.0
9-MONEY TALKER 78.4
5-SHAMINO 77.2
3-CORINTHIAN'S SONG 75.4

RACE 6
1-PANTHER'S CLAW 71.1
4-KUMITE 70.3
7-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 64.8
2-SMART HOMBRE 64.3
3-STORMIN AHEAD 62.2

RACE 7
11-ANABAA PREMIIUM 84.3
6-CASTLETOWN 82.6
10-CURRAHEE 74.7
1-GONNA FLY NOW 69.2
5-HEDGER 58.0 (5 wide)

1st time starters - 2, 7, 9

RACE 8
7-ROMAN THREAT 117.2
3-SWAY AWAY 109.3
6-CAMP VICTORY 107.3
4-CENTRALINTELIGENCE 105.2
1-RAIL TRIP 100.5

RACE 9
8-NEREID 97.8
6-BELLE ROYALE 96.5
7-CITY TO CITY 92.6
1-CAPITAL PLAN 92.6
2-QUIET OASIS 91.9

RACE 10
5-ZENETT 55.0
12-SWISS CHARM 47.4
9-NUBIAN PRINCESS 46.9
6-POPPY FIELD 46.0
14-HEART OF A MADAM 44.2

1st time starters -1, 11

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Sunday, May 27, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $80,430.

RACE 1
6-AMBITIONESS 69.8
2-HALFAPONDAROSA 69.2
1-GRASP 67.0
4-QUEENIE MARINI 63.2
3-KISS MY SWISS 60.7

RACE 2
7-LIVING OUR DREAM 73.7
4-REAL ROCKPORT 65.4
3-YOU'LLALWAYSBEMINE 63.8
2-KATY'S KITTY 63.8
5-VIKKILEE 63.6

RACE 3
2-JAREDELLA 79.6
1-FLASHY DAME 72.6
3-MINER'S DAUGHTER 72.0 (off slow)
6-PERSONAL SUNSET 61.3
5-CREDITCARDROULETTE 58.0

RACE 4
5-FABLE HAVEN 69.8
2-SEA TO SKY 66.3
1-MY BEST BROTHER 65.9
6-WAR FACE 45.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 7, 3, 8, 4

RACE 5
3-SPARKLING STYLE 98.4
6-WITH A MIRACLE 91.9
2-MAYAKOBA MESA 83.2
5-PINK BLOSSOM 80.8
4-TWITTER PIE 74.3

RACE 6
9-CELESTIC NIGHT 97.6 (off Sept. 11)
8-DRESS CODE 97.1
6-DEWEY'S SPECIAL 93.2
10-STONESIDE 93.2
3-CAYAMBE 92.6 (off Aug. 11)

RACE 7
5-FIDDLERS AFLEET 101.1
7-MEGASTAR 90.2
2-CLASSIC LEGACY 90.0
3-MCKENZIES WAY 90.0
6-FIRST STRIKE 85.7

RACE 8
4-MIZDIRECTION 108.6
1-TERODA 101.1
7-BRIECAT 97.1
6-BROKEN DREAMS 90.7
5-BLOEMER GIRL 85.6

RACE 9
2-VALKYRIE MISSLE 106.6
1-ZEHNER'S ZENNA 93.9
9-BERTRAN HILL 87.5
6-STAR NICHOLAS 79.6
12-MY MAN SUMO 79.6
10-HASTY TREND 78.4
5-TITAN 78.4
3-HIDDEN BLESSING 78.4

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Saturday, May 26, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
6-NONSENSE 71.4
1-COLOURSOFTHEGLEN 70.9
2-HAMMURABI 61.1
3-MILES HEIR 57.5
4-QUILLOTANO 54.5

RACE 2 (all2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS - (eight 1st time starters)

RACE 3
1-ANNA YOU'RE UP 69.8
4-MS PIANIST 65.6
3-WARREN'S VENEDALUCY 63.8
5-MIA ISABEL 61.1
6-BABYNEEDSNEWSHOES 57.0

RACE 4
4-STREET ROCKET 79.0 (off April 11)
5-MIDNIGHT CON 59.0
1-JUST TRIPPING 50.2
6-SYMPHONIC CAT 47.8
11-PATRIOTIC LION 42.4

1st time starters - 10, 9, 7

RACE 5
1-REACH A DECISION 101.1
11-KINGPIN RYNO 94.5
7-VETER 92.9
10-TAKE A YARD 88.8
2-CAUSEITHERTZ 88.8

RACE 6
6-CYCLOMETER 105.2
7-SEQUOIA WARRIOR 102.5
4-JOHN SCOTT 96.5
2-INDUSTRY LEADER 91.9
5-DON PERICO 85.7

RACE 7
4-THIS MEANS WAR 72.0
5-TIZ A DAISY 69.2 (off slow)
7-DANCINGTOTHESTARS 66.4 (off Dec 10 - stumbled)
1-SEA JOHN'S SPIRIT 65.9
6-HEART'S MEMORY 62.2 (off Oct. 11)

1st time starters - 11, 13, 2, 9, 8, 12, 3

RACE 8
10-MR. COMMONS 110.0
1-COMPARI 99.1 (CORRECTED PICK)
9-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 98.4
7-BARNEY REBEL 98.4
3-CALIMONCO 93.9

RACE 9
1-ADAM SUANCES 84.4
11-WOODLAND FLOOD 82.6 (off June 11)
3-PEACENIK 81.4
5-PRIVATE BOUNTY 77.2
13-SIR HAMILTON 76.0

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Friday, May 25, 2012

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
6-I SENSE YOUR LUCK 68.6
1-ATTACK THE JACK 57.0
4-ARINYES LOVE 57.0
2-SON DE AMERICA 56.5
3-REAL DREAM 47.8

RACE 2
3-MISS OOPS 79.0
5-LIL MISS MACKY 72.0
2-WOODMAN'S LASS 63.8
1-FOLK DANCER 59.0
4-ROMAN CHARITY 53.0

RACE 3
4-SIZZLIN' JOE 75.4
1-NIGHT BADGER 74.3
2-D'OBSESSION 73.7
3-MEL'S GAME 56.5 (off slow)
7-JOLLY JOSEPH 54.0

1st time starters - 6, 5

RACE 4
2-CLOSE TO THE EDGE 98.4
3-LUCKARACK 97.8
1-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 90.7
7-PRIVILAGED 88.8
4-PALIO PRINCE 87.5

RACE 5
5-CHURCH AVENUE 89.4 (off Aug. 11)
1-MS. G. I. JANE 83.8
8-MONA STORM 82.0
6-HAKUCHI 75.4
4-HALFAPONDAROSA 75.4

RACE 6
1-NATALIE'S ACADEMY 50.6
6-DULCEMIA 49.2
5-AUNT GERT 42.4 (off July 11)
4-ALLSWELLONCEAGAIN 42.0
2-RICH IN TRADITION 40.3

1st time starters 8, 9, 7

RACE 7
8-CARRIE ROSE 84.4
6-UNUSUAL HOTTIE 76.6
3-ELANA MAR 75.4
4-DONNER WASSER 74.3
5-SHEWHOMUSTBEOBEYED 69.8

RACE 8
10-HIDDEN QUEST 58.5
2-THREE LITTLE BIRDS 51.1
6-NOBYJO 49.7
9-OUTTA SPLASH 48.8
8-NAVY SEAL SIX 48.3

1st time starters - 7

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Thursday, May 24, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
6-KIPTIDDY DO 31.9

1st time starters - 2, 3, 4, 5, 1, 7

RACE 2
3-MALIBU LOVE 58.0
2-HOLLY AND THE IVY 38.6 (off slow)
4-SWIFT ANTICIPATION 37.4
1-BLUE EYES INCLUDED 37.0
6-RED INTRIGUE 27.6

RACE 3
1-GOING FOR A SPIN 83.2
5-WARREN'S GOT GAME 82.0
4-TALKTOOMUCH 81.3
6-LINDA LOU 80.0
3-RICKETYRACKETYRUSS 76.0

RACE 4
8-STUPENDUS PRINCESS 48.8
4-KENTUCKY TALE 46.4
2-SHIMMERING STAR 33.8
6-LOVE MY GIRL 31.9
3-DOUBLE LIVERMORE 29.7

1st time starters - 5, 1, 7

RACE 5
8-MISSDEALORNODEAL 95.8
5-PICK AND PRAY 95.8
3-LOGICAL SINGLE 90.6
4-JET BLUE GIRL 90.0 (off Sept. 11)
6-NINTH INFANTRY 88.8 (off Oct. 11)

RACE 6
3-CAFFEINE HIGH 91.9
2-FLOATING FEATHER 91.3
7-THE BLACK 86.9
1-ON MY HONOR 84.4
4-VALENTINE BOY 79.0

RACE 7
3-ITALIAN RULES 111.4
2-LIVE SUNDAYS 108.6
4-RACING APTITUDE 103.1 (off Dec. 11)
6-INDIAN FIREWATER 97.1
1-SMART SPENDING 97.1
5-BENCH POINTS 97.1 (off Aug. 11)

RACE 8
2-ROMAINE 73.7
1-GOOD LITE 68.1
8-MARSHLAND 66.4 (off Nov. 11)
3-JEFFREY'S GROOVE 61.6
11-NISUS 59.0
4-BREAKMARK 59.0

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Tuesday, May 22, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, May 21, 2012

 
There is no racing at Betfair Hollywood Park today

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2310 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, May 20, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





RACE 1
1-SENOR RAIN 99.6
5-PUT IT THERE 85.6
3-CANULETMEDOWNEASY 85.6
4-NORM'S PASSION 85.6 (off Oct. 11)
2-LET'S GET CRACKIN 85.1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
7-AWESOME ANNIE 62.2
1-PANFILA 19.7

1st time starters - 3, 6, 4, 8, 2, 5

RACE 3
4-MY DIANE 74.3
3-TOCOI MISS 70.9 (off April 11)
2-RUNNING ISABELLA 58.0
5-BANANA SPLIT 57.0
6-WARREN'S GOLDIE 50.6

RACE 4
1-STREE CAR 86.3
5-FORMAT V. 81.4
4-ME SALTY 80.2
6-QUIETLY MINE 78.4
2-MANDATED BLISS 75.4

RACE 5
8-DANCE THEWAYYOUARE 56.0
7-HEARTLESS HONEY 54.0
3-SECRET GENIUS 51.6
9-MIRACLE MERGER 51.6
1-POPPY FIELD 46.5

1st time starters - 6

RACE 6
5-LAST STING 86.9
6-BYRONY 77.7
2-TRIVENI 76.6
3-ROMANTIC WISH 75.8
4-SLANE CASTLE 70.4

RACE 7
8-TREACHEROUS 77.8
3-TUMMEL 61.6
11-HAMMER THE BAY 60.6 (off Nov. 11)
9-WILLIE BROWN 59.0
1-ST. SINCERE 59.0 (off Nov. 11)

1st time starters - 6, 4, 10

RACE 8
1-HALO DOLLY 89.4
5-SUGARINTHEMORNING 86.3
4-CAMILLE C 77.8
3-SECRET COVE 76.0
2-PLATINUM MINE 67.5

RACE 9
10-VULCAN 84.4
5-LIME ROCK REVENGE 76.6
12-GIANT STEPS 76.0
8-BRADY BLUE EYES 73.7
9-DEVILS AFLEET 70.0

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Saturday, May 19, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK & PIMLICO PREAKNESS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





PIMLICO PREAKNESS

RACE 12
7-BODEMEISTER 120.1
9-I'LL HAVE ANOTHER 114.3
6-CREATIVE CAUSE 112.2
5-WENT THE DAY WELL 110.0
2-TEETH OF THE DOG 102.5
8-DADDY NOSE BEST 99.1
4-ZETTERHOLM 94.5
11-COZZETTI 93.9
1-TIGER WALK 92.6
10-OPTIMIZER 86.3
3-PRETENSION 83.2

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK

RACE 1
4-JUNIPER PASS 100.4
3-FIRE WITH FIRE 97.1
1-MAKE MUSIC FOR ME 89.4
2-HAIMISH HY 86.9
5-BEER MEISTER 75.3

RACE 2
7-FRANCONI 69.8
1-ERIC THE RAM 57.5
6-PARTIOTIC LION 46.4
8-VERY UNUSUAL 44.2
2-HELLO FRANKIE 42.0

1st time starters - 4

RACE 3
1-SISTER MOON 93.2
3-KILLER GRACES 82.6
5-DIJARVO 82.0
2-LADY FAIRBANKS 73.5
4-VIA VILLAGGIO 67.0

RACE 4
1-LIFT OUR LUCK 77.2 (off July 11)
6-KALK BAY 63.2 (off July 11)
2-SUNSHINE HIGH 62.2
4-LORENBRAY 57.5
7-GAME CHARMER 54.0

RACE 5
4-EUROGLIDE 95.8
5-SMOKEY LONESOME 95.8
6-RED DEFENSE 86.9
2-SARATOGA YANKEE 86.9
3-HURRICANE LAKE 86.3

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
4-BODAWAY 44.6 (steadied)
10-DECENT DUDE 42.4
9-RUN TO GROUND 40.3
2-PLAYFUL COUNCIL 28.9 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3, 8, 5, 6, 1, 7

RACE 7
7-BET ON VICTOR 106.6
3-SAHARA SKY 103.8
2-KORBAN 98.4 (off Aug. 11)
1-HOORAYFORHOLLYWOOD 92.6
4-SHRUG 90.7

RACE 8
6-MARINDA 77.2
2-GIVE MY REGARDS 72.0 (off slow)
7-LUCKYVIC 70.3
4-REVERED 64.8 (off Feb. 11 - bumped)
9-CANDY TROPHY 38.2

1st time starters - 3, 5, 1, 8

RACE 9
6-SMUG 94.5
3-MASSONE 94.5
5-TEMPLE'S DOOR 89.4 (off July 11)
7-CAT TALK 88.8
9-AKKADIAN 84.4
8-MAJOR ART 84.4

1st time starters - 4 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 10
6-ZAZU 105.9 (off Oct. 11)
1-INCLUDE ME OUT 102.5
7-ELLAFITZ 97.1
2-CAELIS 89.4
3-LOVE THEWAY YOUARE 84.4

RACE 11
9-TIZ BRITE MISS 56.0
12-SWISS CHARM 53.5
15-JENREN FITZ ME 49.2
14-QUEEN MERCURY 48.8
10-CHIMI DEE 46.9

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Friday, May 18, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





NOTE: SATURDAY I WILL POST THE ENTIRE BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK CARD AS WELL AS THE "PREAKNESS" RACE FROM PIMLICO RACE COURSE.


RACE 1
2-BEV N BUD 66.4
5-AMERICA RISING 61.1
6-NIGHT WIND 59.0
4-BERTRANDO FALLS 35.8 (off slow)

1st time starters - 1, 3

RACE 2
2-LOVE MY WAY 82.6
5-HOUT BAY 76.0
1-CANDY AND THUNDER 72.0
4-SO SHE DANCES 70.3
6-BELLOMA 65.9

RACE 3
4-TAP IT IN 75.4
7-ROCKET TRAIN 62.2
2-SOI PHET 60.6
6-GREAT RISING STAR 56.0
3-ROHERYN STRIDER 49.7

RACE 4
1-PURE STORM 81.4
3-ARRIVEDERCI CARO 80.2
2-DIAMOND DUCHESS 76.0
4-ENTABENI 72.6
5-BELLE GALLANTEY 70.3

RACE 5
6-ON HOLY GROUND 53.5
9-FIRST BLUE ANGEL 52.1
1-MR. NEWTON 51.1
3-DR. EVIL 50.6
5-MASTER RUDY 49.2

RACE 6
4-BARON VON RED 80.8
2-LEAD BLOCKER 80.2
8-FULL EFFECT 74.3
3-EASY GOING BOYKIE 73.1
7-CALL ME JONES 70.9

RACE 7
2-WOODMANS LUCK 84.4
3-CORNER OFFICE 78.4
1-REAL CONUNDRUM 73.7
4-ACCELERANT 73.4
5-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 68.1

RACE 8
2-KINTLA JOURNEY 63.8
7-WINTER BLOSSOM 61.6
10-MY LITTLE MORGAN 61.6
3-MOON STONE MADNESS 58.0
6-INDY BEAUTY 57.5

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Thursday, May 17, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
3-KIPTIDDY DO 27.9
4-SLEW'S WAY 22.5

1st time starters - 2, 5, 6, 7, 1

RACE 2
2-WARREN'S LOVER 63.8
1-MISSIE KY I YOU 61.0
6-WHOLE ENCHILADA 58.0
4-WARREN'S ASSASSIN 57.2
3-WARREN'S JAZZ WALK 55.0

RACE 3
4-BENCH BEAUTY 62.5
5-PLAZARITA 59.0
7-DUSTIN'S MAGIC 55.6
1-DERBY MEMO 50.2
2-RAGGIN WOOD 48.3

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
2-AWE' SOME KITTEN 55.5
7-LUCKY STUDENT 47.4
3-JILLY BAYLEE 45.1
4-ANGEL BE QUICK 30.8

1st time starters - 8, 1, 12, 5, 9, 6

RACE 5
6-SIZZLING GOLD 82.6
2-ABELLA 80.2
3-GOLDENTOUCH OF GIN 79.0
7-TASTY TREAT 75.4
8-DARLING DODIE 74.9

RACE 6
5-ROYAL IMPORT 81.4
7-COLUDA 77.8
1-NONSENSE 76.6
4-MAN CHESTER MAN 74.3
9-STEEL BLUE 70.3

RACE 7
6-DANDEREK 90.7
4-ANTIDOTE 89.4
1-AIN 88.2
3-JAIRZIHNO 88.2
2-RENEGADE STORM 86.9

RACE 8
1-VISIBLE MARQ 62.7
6-CHEEZY BREEZY 57.0
9-SIDEPOCKET KID 55.0
4-TIZ VICTORIOUS 54.0
3-BROKEN GLASS 52.6

1st time starters - 11

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Tuesday, May 15, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, May 14, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at Betfair Hollywood Park today

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2303 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, May 13, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $75,414.

RACE 1
5-MORGANOUSKA 77.2
1-SPICY BEAU 73.1
4-ISLE OF PRADO 65.9
2-IT'S SUPERMAN 55.5
3-ORBACH 40.7

RACE 2
2-LAURA'S PLEASURE 70.9
5-MISS AMBITION 53.0 (off Oct. 11)
3-ZIVA 52.6
1-BURLEYS LEAP 50.6
4-SILENT SUE 44.2

RACE 3
7-KOAST 97.1
4-ATTICUS JACK 96.5 (off Sept. 11)
2-RAUSCHENBERG 91.3
6-INDIAN WINTER 90.0
5-OFF THE WALL 90.0

RACE 4
4-QATAR'S PEARL 73.7
5-ANABAA PREMIUM 70.9
3-DEATH STAR 69.9
6-STRATIFY 68.1
1-MONTEGO BAY 52.0

RACE 5
8-NOFTY 83.2
1-LA MANO NERA 76.0
4-INTUITIVE NATURE 74.9
6-SHU BIZ DANNY 70.9
3-DANCE WITH GABLE 69.8

RACE 6
1-CLUTCH 64.3
4-LANGFURS LIGHTNING 64.2
5-SWISS GAME 55.5
8-KING'S RED JOURNEY 55.0
10-FULL'S KRIS S. 54.5

RACE 7
8-PORFIDO 94.5
4-DYNAMIC HOST 93.9
7-DHAAMER 92.6
9-FALCON ROCK 84.4
3-QUAINTLY 81.4

RACE 8
4-RANCHERO 94.5
1-MEMBER OFTHE TRIBE 79.6
6-STONE HOT 71.2
8-MEADOW ROAD 69.8
7-ALREADY THERE 64.1

RACE 9
8-CHAPEL CHICK 84.9
9-SHELLY BEACH 71.4 (off June 11)
3-WILD TRUFFLES 70.0 (off Oct. 11)
12-PERSONAL SUNSET 69.5
7-POURQUOI PAS 67.5 (bumped)
4-ELUSIVE COOKIES 67.0

1st time starters - 11, 2, 1

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Saturday, May 12, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





RACE 1
2-CHOCO ALE 73.7
5-ANNA YOU'RE UP 72.7
1-LEWKODONIA 59.6
4-WARREN'S MORGAN 57.0
3-ARINYES LOVE 55.0

RACE 2
6-MYTHICAL POWER 95.8 (off May 11)
2-CLUE ME IN 81.4
5-VALKYRIE MISSLE 80.8
3-BRUNO'S WAGER 75.4
4-SPARTAN JET 74.9 (off Sept. 11)

RACE 3
2-DRILL 104.5
1-GUN BOAT 102.5
3-AMERICAN ACT 99.8
4-BOOMPA 81.4

RACE 4
8-WARREN'S PERFORMER 52.1
3-LILY'S TIZ 51.6
2-RALPHY GIRL 48.3
1-TORRE ITALIANA 42.0
9-COURAGEOUSANDBOLD 37.8

1st time starters - 10, 4

RACE 5
2-CLEARANCE CLARENCE 84.4
1-DONATO 83.2
4-ARCODORO 74.3
7-GOTHIC SAMURAI 69.8
5-CAUSE 68.6

RACE 6
2-ROYAL MERIDIAN 95.8
3-NORTHERN IOWA 80.8
5-EATON HALL 76.6
7-SEA TO SKY 63.2

1st time starters - 6, 4, 1, 8

RACE 7
3-LAKE MARACAIBO 78.2
6-JOLLY DAYS 78.1
10-LADY TEN 73.1
5-PLAYFUL HUMOR 64.3
8-INSTANT ROYALITY 63.2

1st time starters - 7

RACE 8
2-OBSESS 112.2
4-OCTANE 112.2
1-PALIO PRINCE 93.2
7-L. A. WEEKEND 90.1 (off Aug. 11)
3-CLINTON 76.0

RACE 9
9-SILVER GUN GIRL 44.6
8-STRAWBERRY ROUTE 43.8
2-JM'S GOLDEN LEGACY 42.9
11-BENSANNA 42.0
12-ONE LUCKY LADY 33.0 (off Dec. 11)

1st time starters - 6

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Friday, May 11, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





RACE 1
5-WEGNER 73.1
4-QUAIL HILL 67.6
2-BLAKE 65.9
3-VICTORIASUGARDADDY 62.7
1-OSKAR HVAL 61.6

RACE 2
6-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 74.9
4-LIVING OUR DREAM 73.7
7-REAL ROCKPORT 73.7
5-REALLY ELEGANT 72.0
1-GOOD FRIDAY GAL 63.8

RACE 3
5-JONNY'S CHOICE 76.2
1-TURN ON THE PUMPS 72.0
6-SWIFT EAGLE 71.6
2-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 64.8
4-LETHAL INTENT 60.6

RACE 4
3-MAGICAL BAND 89.4
5-TREATHERLIKEALADY 77.8
2-TWITTER PIE 72.0
4-HELEONOR RUGBY 69.8
1-MY SELECTION 56.0

RACE 5
5-ENDURING PROMISE 74.3
8-BOREALIS WAY 74.3 (off Oct. 11)
7-BRINGON THE WAIN 68.4
4-HUNTSVILLE 58.0
9-JACO RED 36.6

1st time starters - 2, 10, 6, 1, 3

RACE 6
7-DEVOTED MAGIC 79.6
8-BRADY BLUE EYES 74.3
3-GENTLE ROMEO 68.1
4-AMERICAN WILDCAT 67.0
6-HAMMURABI 59.1

RACE 7
1-HE'S VERY RARE 93.2
5-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 85.6
3-THE UNUSUAL ONE 82.6
6-A LITTLE HOT SAUCE 80.8
8-WARRENSWILD THING 77.2

RACE 8
9-9-HIDDEN QUEST 58.5
10-IRON JOE T 56.5
8-FRANCONI 56.5 (off Feb. 11)
7-MARY'S APP 46.4
12-CLOCKER MOMENT 42.4

1st time starters - 1, 4

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Thursday, May 10, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





RACE 1
3-WARREN'S MARSHALL 53.5
4-YANKEE DAN 46.6
5-ADAM N RYAN 46.6
1-SUPER CANDY 40.5
2-RESPUESTA SOLIDA 29.6

RACE 2
2-WARREN'S HOPEFUL 62.7
5-MUSICAL GRACE 53.0
3-ROULETTE IT ROLL 51.6
1-SOLDIER BETTY 43.8
4-SUMALEE 43.8

RACE 3
6-CEE'S THE YEAR 62.2
5-WILDAKCELERATION 61.1
1-FRECKLES GALORE 56.5
2-LOVE AND FAITH 52.1
7-I'M ALWAYS HOPEFUL 45.1

RACE 4
7-MINISTER D'ORO 60.9
5-BEAU MAVERICK 60.6
2-WARREN'S KONG 59.3
1-MEGARIDE 59.0
8-JIM'S DECISION 58.0

RACE 5
8-GITTEL 83.4
4-CONJURE THE SPIRIT 76.0
7-LOVESTEALER 75.4
9-MIA ISABEL 73.7
6-STARSHIP FLARE 73.1

RACE 6
3-VALERIA 67.5
9-D'PRINCESS 59.0
5-HEART OF A MADAM 59.0
7-VAADKA LOGIC 55.0
4-PROPERO 42.0

1st time starters - 8, 2, 1, 10

RACE 7
1-ROCK AND GLORY 98.4
3-HEIDI MARIA 83.8
5-BELLA'S FANTASY 69.8
4-JINNY JUMP UP 66.4
2-SLANE CASTLE 64.8

RACE 8
2-GYPSY FRIDAY 70.3
6-ANGEL'S MOON 68.1
1-LUCKY VIC 65.2
4-SATURDAY NITE WISH 58.5
3-COMMANDER CLOUD 42.0

1st time starters - 5, 7, 9, 8, 10

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Tuesday, May 08, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK- SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, May 07, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at Betfair Hollywood Park today

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2297 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, May 06, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $58,358.


RACE 1
4-CONFUCIUS JUNIOR 80.2
1-MAKE US PROUD 74.6
6-PANTHER'S CLAW 74.3
3-BLAZING MARINO 67.0
5-MAGIC BEAM 62.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS - ALL 1ST TIMERS

RACE 3
6-ULTIMATE DECISION 92.6
5-COLUDA 82.6
4-E Z LED 82.6
2-BAY RUSH 82.6 (off Dec. 11)
1-SKY CAPE 82.5

RACE 4
2-MY DIANE 66.4
6-ALWAYS A CHANCE 59.6
4-RICSPRETENTIOUSGAL 58.1
7-DUSTIN'S MAGIC 57.5
5-WARREN'S SAMANTHA 51.6 (off Dec. 11)

RACE 5
7-BERTRAN HALL 90.7
5-HUNCH 88.8 (off June 11)
2-POSITION A 82.6
3-DRIFT KING 82.6
1-SPARTAN JET 77.2 (off Sept. 11)
4-HIDDEN BLESSING 77.2

RACE 6
3-MELISSA ROSE 93.9
9-ENDLESS FANCY 92.6
6-CHUKCHI SUNRISE 89.4
4-TRAPPER'S BOUNTY 88.1
8-MY BRITE CAROLINE 86.3

RACE 7
5-RISKY REWARD 88.8
6-MIDNIGHT CROONER 88.1
2-FRENEMY 86.4
3-SHAUN WASHINGTON 81.4
4-WAR POLITICS 77.2

RACE 8
5-IZZY RULES 105.9
6-RUMOR 103.8
2-PINK LOLLIPOPS 97.1
1-TEDDY'S PROMISE 95.2
4-CANDY'S PLEASURE 78.4 (off June 11)

RACE 9
12-SASSY AND SINGLE 63.2
5-UNBRIDLED AMBITION 61.6
6-VONN NEZ 60.6
3-ZANBO 57.7
9-WARREN'S MY QUEEN 57.5

1st time starters - 11

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Friday, May 04, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK & CHURCHILL DOWNS KENTUCKY OAKS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




CHURCHILL DOWNS - KENTUCKY OAKS

RACE 11
1-ON FIRE BABY 110.0
6-BROADWAY'S ALIBI 105.9
3-SUMMER APPLAUSE 105.2
13-AMIE'S DINI 103.1
9-BELIEVE YOU CAN 101.1
11-KARLOVY VARY 99.1
4-EDEN'S MOON 97.8
2-GRACE HALL 97.1
8-JEMIMA'S PEARL 96.5
5-HARD NOT TO LIKE 95.8
14-YARA 83.2
12-COLONIAL EMPRESS 79.0
10-AND WHY NOT 76.0
7-SACRISTY 74.0
AE 15-OAKS LILY 61.1


BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK

RACE 1
7-GRASP 67.0
6-THREE CUTIES 65.6
4-HUNTINGTON HARBOUR 62.2
2-TIZ THE ROUTE 55.5
3-FREEWAYRACER 53.5

RACE 2
1-INDY BEAUTY 65.9
5-MO CHEESE 64.8
4-MISS OOPS 64.3
8-IRENES JACKPOT 62.8
6-TRIBAL BEAUTY 57.0

RACE 3
8-STUPENDUS PRINCESS 52.1
4-LOVELY SOPHIA 51.6
10-EXCESSIVELY TRICK 50.2
7-KENTUCKY TALE 48.3 (off Feb. 11)
2-ZENETT 46.4

1st time starters - 11, 6, 3, 1

RACE 4
2-CAUSEITHERTZ 88.1 (off July 11)
5-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 83.4
3-YOMYBATO 80.2
8-ROCK OFF 77.0
7-GURNICK 56.5

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.), 4

RACE 5
1-TRIBAL DREAMS 76.6
9-FOREST SOUVENIR 72.6
3-FLOWER POWER 65.9
2-NO TEAM SPIRIT 65.4
4-POP THE CORK 62.7

RACE 6
2-SOLAR ROCKET 108.4
6-GNARLY DUDE 98.3
7-BOAT TRIP 90.0
5-ALIZA'S DREAM 86.3
4-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 85.0

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. fgn.)

RACE 7
1-RENEESGOTZIP 103.8
4-GLAMORISTA 99.8
3-SPECTACULAR SKY 97.1
2-VERSAILLES SONG 64.8
5-CUSTOMER BASE 61.8

RACE 8
7-MY DIVIDEND 78.1
10-CURRAHEE 75.4
3-AQUA REVELATION 65.9
6-LANGFURS LIGHTNING 65.9
8-MONEY TALKER 64.8

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Thursday, May 03, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
4-CALL ME JONES 81.5
2-MIGHTY MONSOON 74.5
1-A TOAST TO YOU 70.0
3-PLENNY OF HENNY 68.6
5-DECLAN 67.0

RACE 2
5-LISA LULU 74.9
4-LIL MISS MACKY 70.3
6-WINTER BLOSSOM 67.0
3-REAL ROCKPORT 62.3
1-KIDS TABLE 59.0

RACE 3
8-R VICARIOUS GIRL 63.2
2-POWERS LILSIS 62.7
3-SAINT CINDY 62.2
7-LADY LOHR 60.1
5-KATY'S KITTY 59.0

RACE 4
6-KE KUKUI 71.4
1-ROXANNE O 64.2
3-POTESTA 63.1
4-DUBAI CYCLONE 62.5
5-PERPETUA 50.5

RACE 5
2-BROWN IS BEIGE 82.6
6-SIZZLING GOLD 77.2
8-FIFTH AVE 74.9 (off July 11)
4-BLUE SAMURAI 73.7
1-SO TEMPTED 71.7

RACE 6
4-WARRENS VENEDALUCY 66.4
7-I SENSE YOUR LUCK 62.7
5-ONE MAGICAL GIRL 59.6
6-FLASHY RAE 50.6
2-HERE COMES BONNIE 45.1

RACE 7
6-BWANA BABE 88.2
5-GEM OF SOUL 87.5
2-SECRET COVE 86.9
3-LET'S GO CHEYENNE 86.9
7-ANNIVERSARY GIRL 85.0

1st time starters - 1 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
8-RUDE BOBBY 59.6
7-CHEERS TO BOOGIE 58.5
1-ROCKET TRAIN 58.2
12-ROHERYN STRIDER 58.2
2-DEL MAR JOHNNY 57.0

1st time starters - 5, 11 (pulled up is 1st race)

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Wednesday, May 02, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK & CHURCHILL DOWNS ON KENTUCKY DERBY WEEKEND

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.


NOTE: FRIDAY I WILL BE HANDICAPPING THE FULL BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK RACING CARD.

I WILL ALSO HANDICAP THE KENTUCKY OAKS FOR FRIDAY.

I WILL TRY AND HAVE THE KENTUCKY DERBY POSTED EARLY FOR THOSE WHO WANT TO BET THE SPECIAL DAILY DOUBLE FROM THE OAKS TO THE DERBY.

SATURDAY I WILL BE HANDICAPPING THE ENTIRE CHURCHILL DOWNS CARD BUT WILL NOT BE HANDICAPPING THE BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK RACING CARD.

SUNDAY I WILL BE BACK AT THE BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK FOR THE ENTIRE RACING CARD.

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Tuesday, May 01, 2012

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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