Saturday, February 28, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-KAFFEINATOR 87.5
3-KERZNER 70.3
6-BUILT FOR THEDERBY 69.8
5-JAMES PRIOR 67.0
RACE 2
1-TURK 92.6
1st time starters - 2, 4, 6, 3, 5
RACE 3
8-TUSCAN EVENING 107.3
4-ASHTON GIRL 88.1
3-PRECIOUS UNION 86.9
2-BURNA DETTE 85.6
RACE 4
7-MASTERLY 93.2
3-STEADY DEMAND 92.6
5-RETURN OF THE KING 92.6
4-VALIANT EFFORT 86.3
1A-FIGHT ON 86.3
RACE 5
8-TOUGH APPLES 86.3
7-WELKEN 84.0
2-WONDEROUS EVENT 79.0
1-BOOTLEG ANNIE 79.0
RACE 6
4-WHEATON HALL 91.3
6-EXCEEDING 89.4 (off Dec. 08)
3-INDIAN WEAVER 88.8
7-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 84.4
RACE 7
3-ATA BENCHMARK 84.4
8-VITAL FORCE 84.4
7-UTAHN 80.8
1-SACRED MOUNTAIN 79.0
4-GOT FREE 79.0
RACE 8
5-BOLD CHIEFTAIN 115.0 (off Oct. 08)
6-LUCKY J. H. 109.3
2-MEDZENDEEKRON 105.9
4-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 103.8
RACE 9
5-THE PAMPLEMOUSSE 102.5
7-MR. HOT STUFF 101.8
12-TAKE THE POINTS 99.1
2-SMART BID 91.9
RACE 10
11-MULTITASKER 73.1
3-SHADOW QUEEN 65.9
6-DO THE UNUSUAL 58.5
1-JUICY LUCY 54.0
1st time starters - 4, 7, 10
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-KAFFEINATOR 87.5
3-KERZNER 70.3
6-BUILT FOR THEDERBY 69.8
5-JAMES PRIOR 67.0
RACE 2
1-TURK 92.6
1st time starters - 2, 4, 6, 3, 5
RACE 3
8-TUSCAN EVENING 107.3
4-ASHTON GIRL 88.1
3-PRECIOUS UNION 86.9
2-BURNA DETTE 85.6
RACE 4
7-MASTERLY 93.2
3-STEADY DEMAND 92.6
5-RETURN OF THE KING 92.6
4-VALIANT EFFORT 86.3
1A-FIGHT ON 86.3
RACE 5
8-TOUGH APPLES 86.3
7-WELKEN 84.0
2-WONDEROUS EVENT 79.0
1-BOOTLEG ANNIE 79.0
RACE 6
4-WHEATON HALL 91.3
6-EXCEEDING 89.4 (off Dec. 08)
3-INDIAN WEAVER 88.8
7-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 84.4
RACE 7
3-ATA BENCHMARK 84.4
8-VITAL FORCE 84.4
7-UTAHN 80.8
1-SACRED MOUNTAIN 79.0
4-GOT FREE 79.0
RACE 8
5-BOLD CHIEFTAIN 115.0 (off Oct. 08)
6-LUCKY J. H. 109.3
2-MEDZENDEEKRON 105.9
4-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 103.8
RACE 9
5-THE PAMPLEMOUSSE 102.5
7-MR. HOT STUFF 101.8
12-TAKE THE POINTS 99.1
2-SMART BID 91.9
RACE 10
11-MULTITASKER 73.1
3-SHADOW QUEEN 65.9
6-DO THE UNUSUAL 58.5
1-JUICY LUCY 54.0
1st time starters - 4, 7, 10
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, system, thoroughbred
Friday, February 27, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-BRENDOLYN 90.1
3-JEN'S NEW CHAPTER 77.7
2-SHEBANG 76.0
6-QUITE A STORMKAT 74.3
RACE 2
6-DANCES WITH TIGERS 84.4
3-RECESS 84.4
7-MUD SWEAT 'N TEARS 79.0
4-OUR ROAD SCHOLAR 76.0
RACE 3
5-SOGNATORE 86.3
6-ITSNOTJUSTAGAME 76.5
4-GRAND TURK 75.4
8-PORONUI 74.9
3-FIGEAC 73.5
RACE 4
7-CLOSING SPEED 70.9
8-STEVIE'S AFLEET 67.5
3-SLAMMIN KAT 66.4
6-MADELINE RUBY 57.5
1st time starters - 5, 1
RACE 5
5-UNCLE JEEP 69.9
8-JACK FLASH 57.0
2-NAUGHTY NINE 56.6
1-WINK AND NOD 56.1
RACE 6
3-KAPTAIN KORDOUGH 88.8
6-SPIRIT OF COCHISE 83.3
1-ENRICHED 81.0
5-RAISE THE RIVER 79.0
RACE 7
3-SAYIT 86.9 (off Aug. 08)
2-UNUSUAL SPIRIT 85.0
5-MASTERFUL MISS 83.8
1-INSPIRATION WITHIN 77.2
4-SLEEP TIGHT 72.0
RACE 8
2-WELL MONIED 78.4
7-MILLION SELLER 73.1
1A-SPANISH BUNNY 69.8 (entry)
8-SHOWBOATER 69.2
4-ALWAYS AUDITIONING 67.5
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-BRENDOLYN 90.1
3-JEN'S NEW CHAPTER 77.7
2-SHEBANG 76.0
6-QUITE A STORMKAT 74.3
RACE 2
6-DANCES WITH TIGERS 84.4
3-RECESS 84.4
7-MUD SWEAT 'N TEARS 79.0
4-OUR ROAD SCHOLAR 76.0
RACE 3
5-SOGNATORE 86.3
6-ITSNOTJUSTAGAME 76.5
4-GRAND TURK 75.4
8-PORONUI 74.9
3-FIGEAC 73.5
RACE 4
7-CLOSING SPEED 70.9
8-STEVIE'S AFLEET 67.5
3-SLAMMIN KAT 66.4
6-MADELINE RUBY 57.5
1st time starters - 5, 1
RACE 5
5-UNCLE JEEP 69.9
8-JACK FLASH 57.0
2-NAUGHTY NINE 56.6
1-WINK AND NOD 56.1
RACE 6
3-KAPTAIN KORDOUGH 88.8
6-SPIRIT OF COCHISE 83.3
1-ENRICHED 81.0
5-RAISE THE RIVER 79.0
RACE 7
3-SAYIT 86.9 (off Aug. 08)
2-UNUSUAL SPIRIT 85.0
5-MASTERFUL MISS 83.8
1-INSPIRATION WITHIN 77.2
4-SLEEP TIGHT 72.0
RACE 8
2-WELL MONIED 78.4
7-MILLION SELLER 73.1
1A-SPANISH BUNNY 69.8 (entry)
8-SHOWBOATER 69.2
4-ALWAYS AUDITIONING 67.5
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, February 26, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $704,945.
RACE 1
3-BLUSHING BEAR CAT 60.9
5-ZAYA 57.7
1-BRAHMS BABE 57.0
2-REBEL CREEK 53.0
RACE 2
1-ONE UNION 98.9
3-KRUGER PARK 97.8
2-VEGA'S LORD 91.3
4-RAILROAD 91.3
RACE 3
1-VAGUE NOTION 68.6
5-JUST HEAT 65.9
2-CAPT. PIKE 58.0
3-DEFENSE KING 57.5
1st time starters - 8
RACE 4
1-HERR MOZART 85.0
7-AFRICAN GRAY 83.8
2-UNBRIDLED ROMAN 82.6
5-ADVICE 82.0 (off Oct. 08)
6-ACTIVE DUTY 81.4
RACE 5
5-COLD RULER 73.1
2-HAUGHTY TOPPER 70.3
7-EDDIE THE HAT 63.8
6-COLE'S FAVORITE 63.2
RACE 6
10-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 83.2
6-SPENDAMILLIONBUX 61.1
2-PATRIOTIC SOLDIER 59.0
8-PAPOOSE LA MOOSE 55.5
1st time starters - 9, 7, 4, 1, 3
RACE 7
7-MIDSHIPS 103.1 (off Nov. 08)
6-YOU GOT ME ROCKING 97.8 (off Oct. 08)
4-ICEMANCOMETH 95.9
2-SLAM DUNK 95.0
RACE 8
8-PACIFIC HALO 87.5
11-KICKEN CAPER 70.4 (off Dec. 07)
5-JUDGE KENT 70.3
13-MINNIE'S BOY 65.4
4-GOLD STOCK 61.6
10-WINTERSCOPE 61.1
1st time starters - 1
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $704,945.
RACE 1
3-BLUSHING BEAR CAT 60.9
5-ZAYA 57.7
1-BRAHMS BABE 57.0
2-REBEL CREEK 53.0
RACE 2
1-ONE UNION 98.9
3-KRUGER PARK 97.8
2-VEGA'S LORD 91.3
4-RAILROAD 91.3
RACE 3
1-VAGUE NOTION 68.6
5-JUST HEAT 65.9
2-CAPT. PIKE 58.0
3-DEFENSE KING 57.5
1st time starters - 8
RACE 4
1-HERR MOZART 85.0
7-AFRICAN GRAY 83.8
2-UNBRIDLED ROMAN 82.6
5-ADVICE 82.0 (off Oct. 08)
6-ACTIVE DUTY 81.4
RACE 5
5-COLD RULER 73.1
2-HAUGHTY TOPPER 70.3
7-EDDIE THE HAT 63.8
6-COLE'S FAVORITE 63.2
RACE 6
10-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 83.2
6-SPENDAMILLIONBUX 61.1
2-PATRIOTIC SOLDIER 59.0
8-PAPOOSE LA MOOSE 55.5
1st time starters - 9, 7, 4, 1, 3
RACE 7
7-MIDSHIPS 103.1 (off Nov. 08)
6-YOU GOT ME ROCKING 97.8 (off Oct. 08)
4-ICEMANCOMETH 95.9
2-SLAM DUNK 95.0
RACE 8
8-PACIFIC HALO 87.5
11-KICKEN CAPER 70.4 (off Dec. 07)
5-JUDGE KENT 70.3
13-MINNIE'S BOY 65.4
4-GOLD STOCK 61.6
10-WINTERSCOPE 61.1
1st time starters - 1
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, pick six, pick-6, picks, racetrack, Santa Anita, thoroughbred
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $169,419.
RACE 1
6-PARKO 92.6
4-PUSH SEND 78.2
5-MASSIVE ATTACK 65.9
1-COURAGEOUS CAPTAIN 64.8
RACE 2
1-SPEEDSKI 75.5
6-HANNAH'S MOMENT 70.9
2-COME BACK GIRL 60.6
4-WEAREHAVING FUNYET 58.5
RACE 3
1-MY CITY BY THE BAY 99.1
9-KEWEN 95.2
6-HEADACHE 87.4
2-TAXI FLEET 86.9
1st time starters- 5 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 4
1-MORTON OWEN 71.6
5-PERSONALITY KID 70.9
6-ONLY BE CAUSE 67.3
3-TAKE FROM THE RICH 64.3
RACE 5
3-MOSCOW RISING 79.0
5-IF NOT FOR YOU 77.2
6-BACKSTROKE 74.2
7-LACEY LEILAH 71.5
RACE 6
4-SARAH'S MELODY 54.5
9-WARREN'S RUBY 41.6
5-JUSTWANNAHAVEFUN 36.2
1-BEAUDACIOUS LADY 35.4
1st time starters - 2, 7, 6, 3
RACE 7
5-REAL FANCY RUNNER 82.0
9-AIR FAIR 81.4
2-STARLARKS 77.6
3-GOT TOBE RIO 74.5
8-PLAY NINE 74.5
RACE 8
3-RIVER SPEY 74.9
10-L'AZIZA 58.0
11-PADDLIN MUD 54.5
8-SILENT SMOKE 53.5
9-LOVE SONG MELLODY 52.1
1st time starters - 14
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $169,419.
RACE 1
6-PARKO 92.6
4-PUSH SEND 78.2
5-MASSIVE ATTACK 65.9
1-COURAGEOUS CAPTAIN 64.8
RACE 2
1-SPEEDSKI 75.5
6-HANNAH'S MOMENT 70.9
2-COME BACK GIRL 60.6
4-WEAREHAVING FUNYET 58.5
RACE 3
1-MY CITY BY THE BAY 99.1
9-KEWEN 95.2
6-HEADACHE 87.4
2-TAXI FLEET 86.9
1st time starters- 5 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 4
1-MORTON OWEN 71.6
5-PERSONALITY KID 70.9
6-ONLY BE CAUSE 67.3
3-TAKE FROM THE RICH 64.3
RACE 5
3-MOSCOW RISING 79.0
5-IF NOT FOR YOU 77.2
6-BACKSTROKE 74.2
7-LACEY LEILAH 71.5
RACE 6
4-SARAH'S MELODY 54.5
9-WARREN'S RUBY 41.6
5-JUSTWANNAHAVEFUN 36.2
1-BEAUDACIOUS LADY 35.4
1st time starters - 2, 7, 6, 3
RACE 7
5-REAL FANCY RUNNER 82.0
9-AIR FAIR 81.4
2-STARLARKS 77.6
3-GOT TOBE RIO 74.5
8-PLAY NINE 74.5
RACE 8
3-RIVER SPEY 74.9
10-L'AZIZA 58.0
11-PADDLIN MUD 54.5
8-SILENT SMOKE 53.5
9-LOVE SONG MELLODY 52.1
1st time starters - 14
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, selections, thoroughbred
Monday, February 23, 2009
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1210 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1210 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, February 22, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-EXOTIC STORY 85.0
2-YOU IS WHAT YOU IS 80.2
4-KHUN DAN 80.2
5-MAGNA CUM LAUDE 74.9
RACE 2
5-LADY LUMBERJACK 86.9
4-WHITE LAMB 68.1
6-GUIDED WAVE 62.7
8-SMART TIFFANY 61.6
1st time starters - 2, 7, 1
RACE 3
3-JOE CARL 77.2
5-HE'S REALLY BIG 74.9
6-TAP TAP I WIN 73.1
2-AQUICKSTING 69.8
RACE 4
1-WHARF CAT 90.7
7-RIBALD 84.4 (off July 08)
8-SANGAREE 80.2 (off Jan. 08)
9-LUNAR HUMOR 72.6
1st time starters - 4, 5
RACE 5
12-COINTREAU 90.7 (off April 08)
9-COMMON TRUST 88.1
7-SWISS SKI 86.3
3-ROUGE SCHOLAR 76.0
RACE 6
1-SANTAMONICACANYON 94.5
6-JUSTDONTCALLMEJERI 91.9
10-DEL CONTE 91.9 (off Sept 08)
9-J P JAMMER 90.0
RACE 7
1-YODELADY O 82.6
7-MOONLIGHT TIZZY 76.6
5-HUDLER 76.0
2-CHALULA ONE 74.9
3-SPANISH ICE 74.3
4-COSTA MARTA 73.7
RACE 8
7-ZAMBEZI SUN 120.9
10-MARSH SIDE 109.3
1-CHAMPS ELYSEES 107.3
4-ARTISTE ROYAL 107.2
RACE 9
8-ASHEE 60.1
3-KENTUCKY NECTAR 58.0
9-TRIPPED FUSE 56.5
5-CAPTIVATING LYRICS 55.5
4-LANIE'S WAY 51.6 (off Aug. 08)
1st time starters - 6, 10, 2, 12
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-EXOTIC STORY 85.0
2-YOU IS WHAT YOU IS 80.2
4-KHUN DAN 80.2
5-MAGNA CUM LAUDE 74.9
RACE 2
5-LADY LUMBERJACK 86.9
4-WHITE LAMB 68.1
6-GUIDED WAVE 62.7
8-SMART TIFFANY 61.6
1st time starters - 2, 7, 1
RACE 3
3-JOE CARL 77.2
5-HE'S REALLY BIG 74.9
6-TAP TAP I WIN 73.1
2-AQUICKSTING 69.8
RACE 4
1-WHARF CAT 90.7
7-RIBALD 84.4 (off July 08)
8-SANGAREE 80.2 (off Jan. 08)
9-LUNAR HUMOR 72.6
1st time starters - 4, 5
RACE 5
12-COINTREAU 90.7 (off April 08)
9-COMMON TRUST 88.1
7-SWISS SKI 86.3
3-ROUGE SCHOLAR 76.0
RACE 6
1-SANTAMONICACANYON 94.5
6-JUSTDONTCALLMEJERI 91.9
10-DEL CONTE 91.9 (off Sept 08)
9-J P JAMMER 90.0
RACE 7
1-YODELADY O 82.6
7-MOONLIGHT TIZZY 76.6
5-HUDLER 76.0
2-CHALULA ONE 74.9
3-SPANISH ICE 74.3
4-COSTA MARTA 73.7
RACE 8
7-ZAMBEZI SUN 120.9
10-MARSH SIDE 109.3
1-CHAMPS ELYSEES 107.3
4-ARTISTE ROYAL 107.2
RACE 9
8-ASHEE 60.1
3-KENTUCKY NECTAR 58.0
9-TRIPPED FUSE 56.5
5-CAPTIVATING LYRICS 55.5
4-LANIE'S WAY 51.6 (off Aug. 08)
1st time starters - 6, 10, 2, 12
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, February 21, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $102,704.
RACE 1
6-PRIZE PLAY 85.0
5-MAGNIFIC 82.6 (off Aug08)
4-GOLDROAD 81.4
2-DEACON'S CAT 80.2
RACE 2
4-PAT THE COOL CAT 83.2
10-BACHELORETTE ONE 81.4
7-JEN'S NEW CHAPTER 80.2
5-WOOD ART 77.8
RACE 3
3-FUNNY ME 91.9
5-KALOOKAN EVENT 81.4
2-SLOKKIE 77.2
4-C. T. ZEE 73.7
RACE 4
5-GEORGIE BOY 110.7
6-MUTADDA 105.9
4-PAST THE POINT 99.8
1-STAR NICHOLAS 97.8
RACE 5
10-INTERMISSION 97.6
1-NATURAL TOUCH 88.1
9-TACO WILLY 87.0
3-ONE CHIN AGAIN 86.4
RACE 6
2-SHELBYDELL 76.6
1-DESPERATE 72.0
4-THELMA ROSE 70.9
6-WINNINGDANCER 66.4
RACE 7
3-JAN'S RULING ANGEL 96.3
9-YODELEN DAN 89.4
8-RUSSIAN LIQUOR 89.4
4-KING OF THE GREEN 88.1
RACE 8
8-PARTY HARD 73.1
1-GOLD SCHLEIGER 62.2
3-STEEL BLUE 51.1
4-ZENSATIONAL 50.6 (off Aug. 08)
1st time starters - 7, 9, 2, 6, 5, 10
RACE 9
2-CHRISTIANA'S HEAT 92.6
5-WAVELINE 89.4
8-ONEBADKITTY 85.2
3-BEL AIR SIZZLE 84.4
1-SWISS DIVA 84.4 (off Feb. 08)
RACE 10
6-THE BENGAL BUS 88.8
3-SQUIRE TRELAWNY 85.6
2-CAPI AND MAX 82.0
9-SOLO PERFORMANCE 77.8
14-NOBLE COURAGE 74.9
5-AREUTRUE 74.3
4-BIG ED 74.3
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $102,704.
RACE 1
6-PRIZE PLAY 85.0
5-MAGNIFIC 82.6 (off Aug08)
4-GOLDROAD 81.4
2-DEACON'S CAT 80.2
RACE 2
4-PAT THE COOL CAT 83.2
10-BACHELORETTE ONE 81.4
7-JEN'S NEW CHAPTER 80.2
5-WOOD ART 77.8
RACE 3
3-FUNNY ME 91.9
5-KALOOKAN EVENT 81.4
2-SLOKKIE 77.2
4-C. T. ZEE 73.7
RACE 4
5-GEORGIE BOY 110.7
6-MUTADDA 105.9
4-PAST THE POINT 99.8
1-STAR NICHOLAS 97.8
RACE 5
10-INTERMISSION 97.6
1-NATURAL TOUCH 88.1
9-TACO WILLY 87.0
3-ONE CHIN AGAIN 86.4
RACE 6
2-SHELBYDELL 76.6
1-DESPERATE 72.0
4-THELMA ROSE 70.9
6-WINNINGDANCER 66.4
RACE 7
3-JAN'S RULING ANGEL 96.3
9-YODELEN DAN 89.4
8-RUSSIAN LIQUOR 89.4
4-KING OF THE GREEN 88.1
RACE 8
8-PARTY HARD 73.1
1-GOLD SCHLEIGER 62.2
3-STEEL BLUE 51.1
4-ZENSATIONAL 50.6 (off Aug. 08)
1st time starters - 7, 9, 2, 6, 5, 10
RACE 9
2-CHRISTIANA'S HEAT 92.6
5-WAVELINE 89.4
8-ONEBADKITTY 85.2
3-BEL AIR SIZZLE 84.4
1-SWISS DIVA 84.4 (off Feb. 08)
RACE 10
6-THE BENGAL BUS 88.8
3-SQUIRE TRELAWNY 85.6
2-CAPI AND MAX 82.0
9-SOLO PERFORMANCE 77.8
14-NOBLE COURAGE 74.9
5-AREUTRUE 74.3
4-BIG ED 74.3
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, February 20, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-ONE VOTE 71.4
9-BELONGS TO GOTHAM 70.9
7-ROCKIN THE CITY 40.3
1st time starters - 8, 4, 1, 3, 5
RACE 2
3-RAIL TRIP 110.7
5-BOOYAH 92.6
1-DIXIE MEISTER 90.0 (off Sept. 08)
4-RACKETEER 82.6
2-ROCKET LEGS 82.0
RACE 3
2-DOHNSTER 85.2
10-DYNAMIC HOST 82.6
6-OUR MAN LUKE 70.9
1A-METEORE 70.6 (entry)
4-CONGAREE PARK 69.8
RACE 4
1-BEWITCHING BARTOK 91.9
4-MAKE MINE VODKA 82.6
3-IDAHO JOE 80.8
2-MY FRIEND LUIS 79.6
RACE 5
3-BETTYBOOMBOOM 82.0
7-MELODY MAKIN 76.0
6-SKY MARNI 74.3
2-GREY BABE 67.0
5-CRAZY TRICIA 66.4
RACE 6
7-DAPPER GENE 82.6
4-BLACK FEATHER 74.9
1-CAPTAIN KALI 67.0
3-HOLD FAST 62.1
1st time starters - 8, 12, 11, 10, 6
RACE 7
3-DEVOTED MAGIC 101.1
1-ONETIMEATBANDCAMP 95.8
4-ITS IN GOD'S HANDS 95.2
2-GOTTHATFEELING 87.5 (off May 07)
RACE 8
4-ELUSIVE CHIEF 75.4
5-STRAY CAT 75.4
11-HIGH AND MIGHTY 66.4 (off Aug. 08)
12-THE EMERALD KING 65.9
10-DEGREKO 60.7
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-ONE VOTE 71.4
9-BELONGS TO GOTHAM 70.9
7-ROCKIN THE CITY 40.3
1st time starters - 8, 4, 1, 3, 5
RACE 2
3-RAIL TRIP 110.7
5-BOOYAH 92.6
1-DIXIE MEISTER 90.0 (off Sept. 08)
4-RACKETEER 82.6
2-ROCKET LEGS 82.0
RACE 3
2-DOHNSTER 85.2
10-DYNAMIC HOST 82.6
6-OUR MAN LUKE 70.9
1A-METEORE 70.6 (entry)
4-CONGAREE PARK 69.8
RACE 4
1-BEWITCHING BARTOK 91.9
4-MAKE MINE VODKA 82.6
3-IDAHO JOE 80.8
2-MY FRIEND LUIS 79.6
RACE 5
3-BETTYBOOMBOOM 82.0
7-MELODY MAKIN 76.0
6-SKY MARNI 74.3
2-GREY BABE 67.0
5-CRAZY TRICIA 66.4
RACE 6
7-DAPPER GENE 82.6
4-BLACK FEATHER 74.9
1-CAPTAIN KALI 67.0
3-HOLD FAST 62.1
1st time starters - 8, 12, 11, 10, 6
RACE 7
3-DEVOTED MAGIC 101.1
1-ONETIMEATBANDCAMP 95.8
4-ITS IN GOD'S HANDS 95.2
2-GOTTHATFEELING 87.5 (off May 07)
RACE 8
4-ELUSIVE CHIEF 75.4
5-STRAY CAT 75.4
11-HIGH AND MIGHTY 66.4 (off Aug. 08)
12-THE EMERALD KING 65.9
10-DEGREKO 60.7
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, February 19, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-NO SAINT BUT SWEET 77.8
3-THIRD DAWN 76.6
5-SAINT CINDY 74.9
1-TASTY TEMPTATION 70.3
RACE 2
4-MASCOTA SPA 73.1
7-GOOD SHOT MALLY 67.5
6-KYLIE'S WAY 67.5
2-ENLIGHTENED LADY 61.1
8-KIAMIKA 61.1
RACE 3
1-MR. HOLMES 67.0
8-PEMBA AT U. T. K. 54.0
4-MAMOONYA 53.5
5-WARREN'S PEANUT 47.8
1st time starters - 2, 7
RACE 4
2-UNUSUAL SMOKE 95.7
4-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 91.3
6-ATA BENCHMARK 91.3
1-JUANCA 91.3
RACE 5
1-THOROUGHLY 90.0 (off May 07)
8-MAGIC MIKE 79.6
3-LARDOG 72.0
9-STORMY GAME 69.8
6-WARRENS FLYIN HIGH 69.8
4-TRIBAL DEAL 69.8
RACE 6
7-LAVENDER TOUCH 92.5
3-MIDNIGHT CRUSH 90.0
5-KICKEN VIXEN 80.3
8-JUNIOR'S ACES 59.0
1st time starters - 1A, 1
RACE 7
2-NIMA'S PAD 101.1
5-ELYSIUM FIELDS 99.1 (off March 08)
3-LOWTHER STREET 87.5
4-POOL PLAY 84.4
1-A BIG TO'DO 83.8
7-ROYAL SEAL 83.2
RACE 8
1-WHITE LACE JIMMY 65.4
5-MARQUET REBEL 60.0
8-LAHCOTAH 53.6
6-FAIR THE STORM 53.0
7-DOWNTOWN BANKER 42.0
1st time starters - 9, 2
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-NO SAINT BUT SWEET 77.8
3-THIRD DAWN 76.6
5-SAINT CINDY 74.9
1-TASTY TEMPTATION 70.3
RACE 2
4-MASCOTA SPA 73.1
7-GOOD SHOT MALLY 67.5
6-KYLIE'S WAY 67.5
2-ENLIGHTENED LADY 61.1
8-KIAMIKA 61.1
RACE 3
1-MR. HOLMES 67.0
8-PEMBA AT U. T. K. 54.0
4-MAMOONYA 53.5
5-WARREN'S PEANUT 47.8
1st time starters - 2, 7
RACE 4
2-UNUSUAL SMOKE 95.7
4-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 91.3
6-ATA BENCHMARK 91.3
1-JUANCA 91.3
RACE 5
1-THOROUGHLY 90.0 (off May 07)
8-MAGIC MIKE 79.6
3-LARDOG 72.0
9-STORMY GAME 69.8
6-WARRENS FLYIN HIGH 69.8
4-TRIBAL DEAL 69.8
RACE 6
7-LAVENDER TOUCH 92.5
3-MIDNIGHT CRUSH 90.0
5-KICKEN VIXEN 80.3
8-JUNIOR'S ACES 59.0
1st time starters - 1A, 1
RACE 7
2-NIMA'S PAD 101.1
5-ELYSIUM FIELDS 99.1 (off March 08)
3-LOWTHER STREET 87.5
4-POOL PLAY 84.4
1-A BIG TO'DO 83.8
7-ROYAL SEAL 83.2
RACE 8
1-WHITE LACE JIMMY 65.4
5-MARQUET REBEL 60.0
8-LAHCOTAH 53.6
6-FAIR THE STORM 53.0
7-DOWNTOWN BANKER 42.0
1st time starters - 9, 2
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system
Wednesday, February 18, 2009
SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, February 17, 2009
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1210 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1210 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horses, pick-6, picks, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, February 14, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
8-EDDIE THE HAT 73.7
2-BENEZIT 69.2
4-ONLY BE CAUSE 63.8
1-PRINCE NOVETTI 55.0
1st time starters - 6, 5
RACE 2
7-UNCLE JEEP 83.8
2-OMEGA MINISTER 75.4
3-COASTAL SOUVENIR 74.3
6-LITURGICAL 74.3
RACE 3
1-SIX PACK MAN 69.8
4-SENOR AFORTUNADO 68.1
3-CAPTAIN CHARISMA 66.4
9-DON'S EARLY FLIGHT 60.1
6-OLYMPIC FORCE 60.1 (off March 08)
1st time starters - 8, 2
RACE 4
5-AGGIE ENGINEER 103.1
6-MEDZENDEEKRON 100.4
2-HARALDO 95.2
1-MALT MAGIC 93.2
RACE 5
7-L. A. DEVINE 82.0
2-WIGGLE AND A WINK 80.2
3-G'S HEAVENLY UNION 74.9
10-BLACK MAGIC MAMA 73.7
1st time starters - 13, 5
RACE 6
7-ZAYA 67.5
2-HARD WOMAN 63.8
8-MRS. ROCHA 63.8
3-BLUSHING BEAR CAT 61.6
RACE 7
8-CARMEL COFFEE 92.6
7-CROWN OF DIAMONDS 91.9
1-WE WILL ROCK YOU 85.0
5-GLORIOUSLY 83.8
6-ROSANGELA 83.2 (off Sept. 08)
RACE 8
2-LET'SPICKUPTHEPACE 79.0
7-BOWIE AT SARATOGA 70.9
1-ELEGANT CAD 70.3
5-TAVERN 65.9
RACE 9
1-BRIECAT 107.3
11-LEAH'S SECRET 105.9
12-MODEL 99.1
7-BSHARPSONATA 98.1
10-VISIT 97.5
RACE 10
6-MYSTIFICATION 74.3
10-COMICAL ALIBI 64.3
7-UNUSUAL JUSTIN 60.6
1-WHIZER 60.1
1st time starters - 5, 8
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
8-EDDIE THE HAT 73.7
2-BENEZIT 69.2
4-ONLY BE CAUSE 63.8
1-PRINCE NOVETTI 55.0
1st time starters - 6, 5
RACE 2
7-UNCLE JEEP 83.8
2-OMEGA MINISTER 75.4
3-COASTAL SOUVENIR 74.3
6-LITURGICAL 74.3
RACE 3
1-SIX PACK MAN 69.8
4-SENOR AFORTUNADO 68.1
3-CAPTAIN CHARISMA 66.4
9-DON'S EARLY FLIGHT 60.1
6-OLYMPIC FORCE 60.1 (off March 08)
1st time starters - 8, 2
RACE 4
5-AGGIE ENGINEER 103.1
6-MEDZENDEEKRON 100.4
2-HARALDO 95.2
1-MALT MAGIC 93.2
RACE 5
7-L. A. DEVINE 82.0
2-WIGGLE AND A WINK 80.2
3-G'S HEAVENLY UNION 74.9
10-BLACK MAGIC MAMA 73.7
1st time starters - 13, 5
RACE 6
7-ZAYA 67.5
2-HARD WOMAN 63.8
8-MRS. ROCHA 63.8
3-BLUSHING BEAR CAT 61.6
RACE 7
8-CARMEL COFFEE 92.6
7-CROWN OF DIAMONDS 91.9
1-WE WILL ROCK YOU 85.0
5-GLORIOUSLY 83.8
6-ROSANGELA 83.2 (off Sept. 08)
RACE 8
2-LET'SPICKUPTHEPACE 79.0
7-BOWIE AT SARATOGA 70.9
1-ELEGANT CAD 70.3
5-TAVERN 65.9
RACE 9
1-BRIECAT 107.3
11-LEAH'S SECRET 105.9
12-MODEL 99.1
7-BSHARPSONATA 98.1
10-VISIT 97.5
RACE 10
6-MYSTIFICATION 74.3
10-COMICAL ALIBI 64.3
7-UNUSUAL JUSTIN 60.6
1-WHIZER 60.1
1st time starters - 5, 8
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, February 13, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $353,751.
RACE 1
2-GALE IN THE VALE 64.8 (off March 08)
3-SO HOTTIE 61.6
1-LIL TROUBLEMAKER 46.5
6-CROOKED SMILE 43.8
1st time starters - 5, 4
RACE 2
1-TURK 92.6
4-MYTHICAL POWER 70.9
3-BRIDGING 65.4
5-PLEASURE TO RIDE 55.0
1st time starters - 2, 6
RACE 3
7-ASPERITY 99.8
4-MR NAPPER TANDY 99.1
1-VICTORIAN PRINCE 93.8
2-MEN'S MAGAZINE 91.9
3-CEE BARGARA 91.3
RACE 4
8-SOUTH COAST 89.4
5-BOULE D'OR 85.6
1-PROUD HERITAGE 79.0
9-RAISE THE HEAT 76.6
RACE 5
1-TIE 58.5
7-VOODOO'S VISION 58.0
9-BETTERTHANFICTION 57.0
6-THUNDER BABYDOLL 54.5
1st time starters - 3, 2, 4
RACE 6
1-RHUMBA ALONG 91.3
9-SANQUINE 85.6
10-FUNNY ME 83.8
8-CRAIG'S STORM 82.8
2-SQUALLCREEK 82.6
3-WOODLAND FLOOD 82.6
RACE 7
7-THUNDER AND ICE 83.1
4-THEODORA 78.2
1-CYPRUS LADY 77.6
2-FOOLS PARADISE 74.3 (off Sept. 08)
6-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 73.4
RACE 8
11-MICKEY ROCKS 72.0
3-BRUIN BENCH 65.4
8-NUMBER ONE EDITION 65.4
4-YOU WOOD 64.3
5-WOLFGANG 61.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $353,751.
RACE 1
2-GALE IN THE VALE 64.8 (off March 08)
3-SO HOTTIE 61.6
1-LIL TROUBLEMAKER 46.5
6-CROOKED SMILE 43.8
1st time starters - 5, 4
RACE 2
1-TURK 92.6
4-MYTHICAL POWER 70.9
3-BRIDGING 65.4
5-PLEASURE TO RIDE 55.0
1st time starters - 2, 6
RACE 3
7-ASPERITY 99.8
4-MR NAPPER TANDY 99.1
1-VICTORIAN PRINCE 93.8
2-MEN'S MAGAZINE 91.9
3-CEE BARGARA 91.3
RACE 4
8-SOUTH COAST 89.4
5-BOULE D'OR 85.6
1-PROUD HERITAGE 79.0
9-RAISE THE HEAT 76.6
RACE 5
1-TIE 58.5
7-VOODOO'S VISION 58.0
9-BETTERTHANFICTION 57.0
6-THUNDER BABYDOLL 54.5
1st time starters - 3, 2, 4
RACE 6
1-RHUMBA ALONG 91.3
9-SANQUINE 85.6
10-FUNNY ME 83.8
8-CRAIG'S STORM 82.8
2-SQUALLCREEK 82.6
3-WOODLAND FLOOD 82.6
RACE 7
7-THUNDER AND ICE 83.1
4-THEODORA 78.2
1-CYPRUS LADY 77.6
2-FOOLS PARADISE 74.3 (off Sept. 08)
6-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 73.4
RACE 8
11-MICKEY ROCKS 72.0
3-BRUIN BENCH 65.4
8-NUMBER ONE EDITION 65.4
4-YOU WOOD 64.3
5-WOLFGANG 61.6
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, February 12, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $90,411.
RACE 1
2-IMFOREAL 73.7
3-SPANISH BUNNY 69.0
4-CATSALOT 68.1
5-RUNAWAY STARLET 59.3
RACE 2
3-TOMMY'S LUCK 91.9
1-PROFESSNL COURTESY 86.9
6-BAD BIG AL 82.6
5-DOC ON THE ROCK 76.0
RACE 3
1-COBBLER'S REEF 79.0 (entry - off Sept. 08)
7-SOLO PIANO 78.4
2-TEE OFF 74.9
3-WICKED DELIGHT 73.7
RACE 4
5-STYLIN DEPUTY 67.5
2-SAUGATUCK RIVER 59.6
7-SNOOTY GAL 53.5
4-CLEVER CAITLYN 50.0
1st time starters - 8
RACE 5
5-SHES A REAL KEEPER 86.9
4-WONDROUS EVENT 86.3
8-GRACE ANATOMY 82.0
7-GENERAL CONSENSUS 74.3 (off April 08)
RACE 6
7-SWINGIN JIM 55.5
6-HAMMURABI 55.0
1-ROUGE RIVER 54.5 (off Sept. 08)
5-MAGIC COPPER 50.6
8-E STREET FEDERICI 49.7 (off Sept. 08)
1st time starters - 4, 9, 3
RACE 7
7-DEPUTY FLYER 97.8
5-RIVER ECHO 94.5
6-BUCK'S BRO 88.8
2-RUSSIAN LIQUOR 87.5
RACE 8
7-OUR ANASTACIA 68.1
5-MISS ANZIAYAN 67.0
8-LIKELY A STAR 67.0
3-SAUCEY OFFICER 66.5
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $90,411.
RACE 1
2-IMFOREAL 73.7
3-SPANISH BUNNY 69.0
4-CATSALOT 68.1
5-RUNAWAY STARLET 59.3
RACE 2
3-TOMMY'S LUCK 91.9
1-PROFESSNL COURTESY 86.9
6-BAD BIG AL 82.6
5-DOC ON THE ROCK 76.0
RACE 3
1-COBBLER'S REEF 79.0 (entry - off Sept. 08)
7-SOLO PIANO 78.4
2-TEE OFF 74.9
3-WICKED DELIGHT 73.7
RACE 4
5-STYLIN DEPUTY 67.5
2-SAUGATUCK RIVER 59.6
7-SNOOTY GAL 53.5
4-CLEVER CAITLYN 50.0
1st time starters - 8
RACE 5
5-SHES A REAL KEEPER 86.9
4-WONDROUS EVENT 86.3
8-GRACE ANATOMY 82.0
7-GENERAL CONSENSUS 74.3 (off April 08)
RACE 6
7-SWINGIN JIM 55.5
6-HAMMURABI 55.0
1-ROUGE RIVER 54.5 (off Sept. 08)
5-MAGIC COPPER 50.6
8-E STREET FEDERICI 49.7 (off Sept. 08)
1st time starters - 4, 9, 3
RACE 7
7-DEPUTY FLYER 97.8
5-RIVER ECHO 94.5
6-BUCK'S BRO 88.8
2-RUSSIAN LIQUOR 87.5
RACE 8
7-OUR ANASTACIA 68.1
5-MISS ANZIAYAN 67.0
8-LIKELY A STAR 67.0
3-SAUCEY OFFICER 66.5
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-PROUD GARRISON 76.0
6-CHICKS RULE 74.9 (off May 08)
4-SNOW ON CHRISTMAS 69.2
7-SAM'S QUEEN 66.5
RACE 2
2-COSMIC QUEEN 91.9 (off Aug. 08)
1-MUSIC MAGIC 90.7 (off Oct. 08)
3-EMPRESSIVE LADY 76.0
6-SHANTIKA'S DREAM 74.9
RACE 3
4-MOSSAD 93.2
6-MIGUEL H 88.1
8-VITAL FORCE 83.2
9-ELUSIVE PLEASURE 78.4
RACE 4
4-PACIFIC HALO 92.6
6-CAJUN GENT 80.2
1-JOB BOSS 70.9
2-COME IN ALMIGHTY 70.5
RACE 5
4-FILTER 78.3
5-SUZIQCUTIE 76.2
1-PERFECT HOSTESS 74.9
3-LOVEHI 74.6
RACE 6
4-SOLDIER BETTY 67.5
8-KIND LADY 67.5
9-LIL LEGAL LINDA 58.5
7-ELLIE L. 55.5
RACE 7
4-EXQUISITE 90.7
7-BRUSHED GOLD 86.3
6-RESTLESS SOUL 81.4
1-CAPRICE 80.8
3-FOREST MELODY 80.8
RACE 8
6-SECRET POTION 55.0
10-L'AZIZA 53.0
5-QUEEN MISSY 49.7
11-SILENT SMOKE 47.4
1st time starters - 3, 7, 9
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-PROUD GARRISON 76.0
6-CHICKS RULE 74.9 (off May 08)
4-SNOW ON CHRISTMAS 69.2
7-SAM'S QUEEN 66.5
RACE 2
2-COSMIC QUEEN 91.9 (off Aug. 08)
1-MUSIC MAGIC 90.7 (off Oct. 08)
3-EMPRESSIVE LADY 76.0
6-SHANTIKA'S DREAM 74.9
RACE 3
4-MOSSAD 93.2
6-MIGUEL H 88.1
8-VITAL FORCE 83.2
9-ELUSIVE PLEASURE 78.4
RACE 4
4-PACIFIC HALO 92.6
6-CAJUN GENT 80.2
1-JOB BOSS 70.9
2-COME IN ALMIGHTY 70.5
RACE 5
4-FILTER 78.3
5-SUZIQCUTIE 76.2
1-PERFECT HOSTESS 74.9
3-LOVEHI 74.6
RACE 6
4-SOLDIER BETTY 67.5
8-KIND LADY 67.5
9-LIL LEGAL LINDA 58.5
7-ELLIE L. 55.5
RACE 7
4-EXQUISITE 90.7
7-BRUSHED GOLD 86.3
6-RESTLESS SOUL 81.4
1-CAPRICE 80.8
3-FOREST MELODY 80.8
RACE 8
6-SECRET POTION 55.0
10-L'AZIZA 53.0
5-QUEEN MISSY 49.7
11-SILENT SMOKE 47.4
1st time starters - 3, 7, 9
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, February 09, 2009
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1207 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1207 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, selections
Sunday, February 08, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-DEEP POCKETS 86.9
8-LEAVIN IN A LIMO 69.2
5-CHIMI'S NUGGET 68.6
9-SECOND HAND LION 63.2
1st time starters - 7
RACE 2
4-FANTASY FREE 91.3
5-TURN TO THE KING 90.0
6-KHUN DAN 85.0
3-GUTS 83.2
1-CHANGE YOUR MASK 82.6
RACE 3
4-LIT'SGOODLOOKNGRAY 105.6
10-RATHOR 102.3
2-POCOSIN'S GAME BOY95.8
9-WINE ON THE PORCH 95.2
1-RED ARROW 95.2
RACE 4
3-KULINSKI ROSE 88.8
8-ALE'S PRIDE 82.0
5-MAGIC LAUNCH 77.8
6-SAMANTHA'S RULE 62.8 (off June 08)
1st time starters - 4, 2
RACE 5
5-ASIAN EYES 82.6
3-JULIA M 76.6
6-CHEESE FACE 72.0 (off Sept. 07)
7-NICOLE'S IMAGE 65.4
RACE 6
3-KAFFEINATOR 78.8
10-JUDGE KENT 74.3
1-STREET ROYALE 73.7
4-BENJY'S PRIDE 65.9
6-FORTUNATE VICTORY 65.9
RACE 7
8-LUCKY HONEY 103.6
6-STORM BRAVE 95.8
1-CORONEL MOLDES 93.9
2-DONEITAGAIN 92.6
RACE 8
8-TIAGO 115.0 (off Oct. 08)
9-CHAMPS ELYSEES 104.8
10-WELL ARMED 102.5
1-DAKOTA PHONE 99.1
RACE 9
6-MO CHEESE 70.3
2-SHADOW QUEEN 61.1
5-DONA MARY 60.6
10-CATIFORNYA DREAMIN 57.0
1st time starters - 12, 11, 1
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-DEEP POCKETS 86.9
8-LEAVIN IN A LIMO 69.2
5-CHIMI'S NUGGET 68.6
9-SECOND HAND LION 63.2
1st time starters - 7
RACE 2
4-FANTASY FREE 91.3
5-TURN TO THE KING 90.0
6-KHUN DAN 85.0
3-GUTS 83.2
1-CHANGE YOUR MASK 82.6
RACE 3
4-LIT'SGOODLOOKNGRAY 105.6
10-RATHOR 102.3
2-POCOSIN'S GAME BOY95.8
9-WINE ON THE PORCH 95.2
1-RED ARROW 95.2
RACE 4
3-KULINSKI ROSE 88.8
8-ALE'S PRIDE 82.0
5-MAGIC LAUNCH 77.8
6-SAMANTHA'S RULE 62.8 (off June 08)
1st time starters - 4, 2
RACE 5
5-ASIAN EYES 82.6
3-JULIA M 76.6
6-CHEESE FACE 72.0 (off Sept. 07)
7-NICOLE'S IMAGE 65.4
RACE 6
3-KAFFEINATOR 78.8
10-JUDGE KENT 74.3
1-STREET ROYALE 73.7
4-BENJY'S PRIDE 65.9
6-FORTUNATE VICTORY 65.9
RACE 7
8-LUCKY HONEY 103.6
6-STORM BRAVE 95.8
1-CORONEL MOLDES 93.9
2-DONEITAGAIN 92.6
RACE 8
8-TIAGO 115.0 (off Oct. 08)
9-CHAMPS ELYSEES 104.8
10-WELL ARMED 102.5
1-DAKOTA PHONE 99.1
RACE 9
6-MO CHEESE 70.3
2-SHADOW QUEEN 61.1
5-DONA MARY 60.6
10-CATIFORNYA DREAMIN 57.0
1st time starters - 12, 11, 1
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, thoroughbred
Saturday, February 07, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $85,768.
RACE 1
4-MILLENNIUM LAKES 84.6
5-SNOWMASTER 84.0
2-DYNAMIC HOST 82.6
3-HERR MOZART 79.6
RACE 2
6-A LIL DUMAANI 96.5
5-RILEY TUCKER 87.5 (off May 08)
1-BELAFONTE 84.4
3-TIZTIME 79.6
RACE 3
9-KEWEN 95.2
10-SWEET LIGHTS 93.2
6-BESTDRESSED 84.9
2-UKIAH 83.9
14-BE REALISTIC 83.2
RACE 4
6-TEMERITY 60.6
7-VANQUEST 60.6
4-MORE THAN CLASS 47.8
11-CRACK THEPAT 43.3
1st time starters - 10, 5, 8, 1, 3, 2, 9
RACE 5
6-CATO MAJOR 70.3
9-AUNT PINK 67.9
8-GOOD SHOT MALLY 67.0
10-KYLIE'S WAY 65.9
RACE 6
5-STARDOM BOUND 100.5 (off Oct. 08)
7-TORO BONITO 86.9
1-NAVIGATOR 85.6
9-PINKARELLA 85.6
RACE 7
3-GLOBAL HUNTER 106.6 (off Oct. 08)
9-MATTO MONDO 103.1
2-FEMELEY 101.1
8-BECRUX 99.8
4-MONTERY JAZZ 98.5
RACE 8
2-PIONEEROF THE NILE 90.7
4-I WANT REVENGE 90.7
8-SHAFTED 88.8
1-BITTEL ROAD 85.0
3-PAPA CLEM 84.4
RACE 9
5-GIO PONTI 111.5
7-NOWNOWNOW 106.6
9-WISHFUL TOMCAT 105.9
13-SLEW'S TIZNOW 103.8
RACE 10
6-SAILBOAT SAM 79.0
2-THORNMARK 77.8
12-KICKIN CAPER 77.2 (off Dec. 07)
4-THE EMERALD KING 71.4
1-HOLD THIS 70.9
1st time starters - 5, 13
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $85,768.
RACE 1
4-MILLENNIUM LAKES 84.6
5-SNOWMASTER 84.0
2-DYNAMIC HOST 82.6
3-HERR MOZART 79.6
RACE 2
6-A LIL DUMAANI 96.5
5-RILEY TUCKER 87.5 (off May 08)
1-BELAFONTE 84.4
3-TIZTIME 79.6
RACE 3
9-KEWEN 95.2
10-SWEET LIGHTS 93.2
6-BESTDRESSED 84.9
2-UKIAH 83.9
14-BE REALISTIC 83.2
RACE 4
6-TEMERITY 60.6
7-VANQUEST 60.6
4-MORE THAN CLASS 47.8
11-CRACK THEPAT 43.3
1st time starters - 10, 5, 8, 1, 3, 2, 9
RACE 5
6-CATO MAJOR 70.3
9-AUNT PINK 67.9
8-GOOD SHOT MALLY 67.0
10-KYLIE'S WAY 65.9
RACE 6
5-STARDOM BOUND 100.5 (off Oct. 08)
7-TORO BONITO 86.9
1-NAVIGATOR 85.6
9-PINKARELLA 85.6
RACE 7
3-GLOBAL HUNTER 106.6 (off Oct. 08)
9-MATTO MONDO 103.1
2-FEMELEY 101.1
8-BECRUX 99.8
4-MONTERY JAZZ 98.5
RACE 8
2-PIONEEROF THE NILE 90.7
4-I WANT REVENGE 90.7
8-SHAFTED 88.8
1-BITTEL ROAD 85.0
3-PAPA CLEM 84.4
RACE 9
5-GIO PONTI 111.5
7-NOWNOWNOW 106.6
9-WISHFUL TOMCAT 105.9
13-SLEW'S TIZNOW 103.8
RACE 10
6-SAILBOAT SAM 79.0
2-THORNMARK 77.8
12-KICKIN CAPER 77.2 (off Dec. 07)
4-THE EMERALD KING 71.4
1-HOLD THIS 70.9
1st time starters - 5, 13
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system
Friday, February 06, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-IN DADDYS HONOR 85.0
6-THREAT 82.6
3-LUCKY STRIKE 76.6
2-HOMEMADE BREW 74.3
RACE 2
5-SILENT STALK 77.2
1st time starters - 8, 1, 2, 6, 4, 3, 7
RACE 3
6-DEACON'S CAT 87.0
3-B'S LUCKY STRIKE 86.9
9-PRIZE PLAY 86.9
1-EAGLE STRIKE 83.8
RACE 4
6-MARENOSTRUM 99.8
8-GREGORIAN BAY 91.3
1-HEROI DO BAFRA 88.2
2-KALOOKAN EVENT 88.1
3-SOUL CITY SLEW 87.6
RACE 5
6-GABBY'S GOLDEN GAL 81.4 (off June 08)
5-WELL MONIED 77.2 (off Oct. 08)
9-SLAMMIN KAT 75.5 (off slow)
7-MAGIC ROBERTA 70.3
1st time starters - 4
RACE 6
1-WINK AT THE GIRLS 85.6
9-HUNTER CREEK 84.4
10-LUNCH TIME 81.4
3-SCOTT'S SPIRIT 79.0
RACE 7
2-CICCINA 90.0
5-FLASHOVER 83.2
8-NORTH RODEO 82.0
6-WITCHY MEETING 81.4 (off March 08)
4-UNWORLDLY HEAT 80.2
RACE 8
2-J B WINE 70.9
12-CRACKED CODE 63.2
8-PEMBA AT U. T. K. 54.5
11-EGO 52.1
1st time starters - 10, 9, 1, 7
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-IN DADDYS HONOR 85.0
6-THREAT 82.6
3-LUCKY STRIKE 76.6
2-HOMEMADE BREW 74.3
RACE 2
5-SILENT STALK 77.2
1st time starters - 8, 1, 2, 6, 4, 3, 7
RACE 3
6-DEACON'S CAT 87.0
3-B'S LUCKY STRIKE 86.9
9-PRIZE PLAY 86.9
1-EAGLE STRIKE 83.8
RACE 4
6-MARENOSTRUM 99.8
8-GREGORIAN BAY 91.3
1-HEROI DO BAFRA 88.2
2-KALOOKAN EVENT 88.1
3-SOUL CITY SLEW 87.6
RACE 5
6-GABBY'S GOLDEN GAL 81.4 (off June 08)
5-WELL MONIED 77.2 (off Oct. 08)
9-SLAMMIN KAT 75.5 (off slow)
7-MAGIC ROBERTA 70.3
1st time starters - 4
RACE 6
1-WINK AT THE GIRLS 85.6
9-HUNTER CREEK 84.4
10-LUNCH TIME 81.4
3-SCOTT'S SPIRIT 79.0
RACE 7
2-CICCINA 90.0
5-FLASHOVER 83.2
8-NORTH RODEO 82.0
6-WITCHY MEETING 81.4 (off March 08)
4-UNWORLDLY HEAT 80.2
RACE 8
2-J B WINE 70.9
12-CRACKED CODE 63.2
8-PEMBA AT U. T. K. 54.5
11-EGO 52.1
1st time starters - 10, 9, 1, 7
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, February 05, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $84,478.
RACE 1
7-DONA AMELIA 88.1
2-THAT'S HOT 86.3
1-PERSAIN HONEY 86.3
4-JEN'S NEW CHAPTER 85.0
5-BRENDOLYN 84.4
RACE 2
3-SONG AND A WAGER 69.9
6-HAWAIIAN AFLEET 69.8
4-LOVELY OLIVIA 69.2
1-MARK SET GO 65.9
RACE 3
5-KING CITY KITTY 88.1
8-QUICK COMMANDER 84.9
6-VIXANA 84.4
4-INSPIRED STORM 84.4
1st time starters - 9 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 4
1-CLOSING SPEED 68.1
7-ELEGANT MISS 67.2
5-EXECUTIVE SWEET 55.5
3-JILONA 53.0
1st time starters - 4, 6, 2
RACE 5
7-SKY MARNI 61.6
5-FIST CONDITION 39.9
9-ASKQUESTIONSLATER 38.2
8-STORMY RUNAWAY 26.1
1st time starters - 11, 13, 4, 6, 2, 1, 3, 10, 12
RACE 6
3-JAYLO'S MARK 82.0
8-MELODY MAKIN 78.4
5-NINE TO DINE 71.4
6-STEP LIGHTLY 70.9
RACE 7
6-LAKE MEZA 89.4
4-POWER BLITZ 88.8
2-THRONE OF POWER 87.5
5-FIRE WOOD 83.8
RACE 8
6-IT'S PARTYTIME 56.5
12-SHAWNIE ORA 52.1
10-JEANN D' ARC 49.2
3-TAN TAN 37.4
2-CONNIE D 37.0
1st time starters - 8, 13, 7, 4, 5
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $84,478.
RACE 1
7-DONA AMELIA 88.1
2-THAT'S HOT 86.3
1-PERSAIN HONEY 86.3
4-JEN'S NEW CHAPTER 85.0
5-BRENDOLYN 84.4
RACE 2
3-SONG AND A WAGER 69.9
6-HAWAIIAN AFLEET 69.8
4-LOVELY OLIVIA 69.2
1-MARK SET GO 65.9
RACE 3
5-KING CITY KITTY 88.1
8-QUICK COMMANDER 84.9
6-VIXANA 84.4
4-INSPIRED STORM 84.4
1st time starters - 9 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 4
1-CLOSING SPEED 68.1
7-ELEGANT MISS 67.2
5-EXECUTIVE SWEET 55.5
3-JILONA 53.0
1st time starters - 4, 6, 2
RACE 5
7-SKY MARNI 61.6
5-FIST CONDITION 39.9
9-ASKQUESTIONSLATER 38.2
8-STORMY RUNAWAY 26.1
1st time starters - 11, 13, 4, 6, 2, 1, 3, 10, 12
RACE 6
3-JAYLO'S MARK 82.0
8-MELODY MAKIN 78.4
5-NINE TO DINE 71.4
6-STEP LIGHTLY 70.9
RACE 7
6-LAKE MEZA 89.4
4-POWER BLITZ 88.8
2-THRONE OF POWER 87.5
5-FIRE WOOD 83.8
RACE 8
6-IT'S PARTYTIME 56.5
12-SHAWNIE ORA 52.1
10-JEANN D' ARC 49.2
3-TAN TAN 37.4
2-CONNIE D 37.0
1st time starters - 8, 13, 7, 4, 5
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, selections, thoroughbred
Wednesday, February 04, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-SKIPPY DUE 89.4
3-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 86.9
6-FRANKELSTEIN 82.0
4-NEW EXPORT 75.2
RACE 2
5-DAVE'S REVENGE 83.4
1-APRIL PRIDE 82.6
3-BURG BERG 81.9
2-VIKKILEE 76.6
RACE 3
14-L'AZIZA 61.1
5-XTRAORDINARY 60.6
11-TALLAHSOCEAN 51.1 (off June 08)
12-SWEET LITTLE GIRL 44.6
1st time starters - 3, 9
RACE 4
9-BROUGHT IT 82.0
4-SHEBANG 78.9
1-RESPECTTHEOFFICER 73.5
7-PINDARIC 72.4
RACE 5
7-FLIP THE PENNY 92.6
3-WINESHINE 82.6
10-MONARCHO POLO 76.6
9-FAMILLIAR STRANGER 73.7
8-SORCERERS SPELL 73.1
RACE 6
4-CYPRUS LADY 86.9
2-DIZZY UP GIRL 86.3
6-MY MALOOF ROCKER 82.6
1-SAVANNAH PEACH 81.4
RACE 7
4-SPINNING YARNS 90.7
6-QUEENOFALLDIAMONDS 88.9
3-CARMEL COFFEE 86.9
5-DIVINE LEGACY 84.4
RACE 8
2-LASER POINT 71.4
9-ONE VOTE 66.4
4-ASTI 66.4
12-RENZO SEAN 57.0
1st time starters - 1
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-SKIPPY DUE 89.4
3-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 86.9
6-FRANKELSTEIN 82.0
4-NEW EXPORT 75.2
RACE 2
5-DAVE'S REVENGE 83.4
1-APRIL PRIDE 82.6
3-BURG BERG 81.9
2-VIKKILEE 76.6
RACE 3
14-L'AZIZA 61.1
5-XTRAORDINARY 60.6
11-TALLAHSOCEAN 51.1 (off June 08)
12-SWEET LITTLE GIRL 44.6
1st time starters - 3, 9
RACE 4
9-BROUGHT IT 82.0
4-SHEBANG 78.9
1-RESPECTTHEOFFICER 73.5
7-PINDARIC 72.4
RACE 5
7-FLIP THE PENNY 92.6
3-WINESHINE 82.6
10-MONARCHO POLO 76.6
9-FAMILLIAR STRANGER 73.7
8-SORCERERS SPELL 73.1
RACE 6
4-CYPRUS LADY 86.9
2-DIZZY UP GIRL 86.3
6-MY MALOOF ROCKER 82.6
1-SAVANNAH PEACH 81.4
RACE 7
4-SPINNING YARNS 90.7
6-QUEENOFALLDIAMONDS 88.9
3-CARMEL COFFEE 86.9
5-DIVINE LEGACY 84.4
RACE 8
2-LASER POINT 71.4
9-ONE VOTE 66.4
4-ASTI 66.4
12-RENZO SEAN 57.0
1st time starters - 1
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, racetrack, Santa Anita, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, February 03, 2009
SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Monday, February 02, 2009
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1200 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1200 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horses, pick-6, picks, Santa Anita, selections, thoroughbred
Sunday, February 01, 2009
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-MUD SWEAT AND TEARS 83.2
2-DANCES WITH TIGERS 79.6
7-STROPPY 68.6
5-CAPE DIVER 67.5
RACE 2
6-KORBAN 76.6
7-DOHNSTER 74.9
3-DONTMESROUNDWITJIM 71.4
1-DANA DYNAMO 64.8
1st time starters - 5, 4, 1A
RACE 3
3-SYNNIN AND GRINNIN 101.8
5-FOXY DANSEUR 99.8
2-COCO BELLE 94.5
4-MOONSHINE ALICE 91.3
RACE 4
2-ICEMANCOMETH 101.5
5-WILD DIPLOMAT 96.5
3-SENSATIONAL SCORE 94.5
1-LOCKFORD 91.9
RACE 5
6-TURK 93.2
4-LIFE GOES ON 78.4
7-BIG SHOT SYD 73.7
3-OSCAR BOUND 71.4
RACE 6
1-NEW FANDAN 95.8
10-FIERY TRIPPI 84.4
2-CATASTAIRE 83.8
7-EXUMA 82.0
9-MASTER DANIEL 81.4
RACE 7
1-NATURAL TOUCH 90.7
10-BEWITCHING BARTOK 88.8
7-BULLYA 85.0
4-STORMIN AWAY 83.2
RACE 8
4-DOUGHNUT 91.3
11-REAL FANCY RUNNER 83.2
12-MISS SILVER BROOK 82.0
5-READY STEADY GONE 79.6
RACE 9
2-NO THINKIN ALLOWED 73.1
5-UNUSUAL JUSTIN 65.4
1-SENOR AFORTUNADO 64.3
6-DELICATO 62.7
3-FRACTIOUS CHILD 62.2
1st time starters - 11
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-MUD SWEAT AND TEARS 83.2
2-DANCES WITH TIGERS 79.6
7-STROPPY 68.6
5-CAPE DIVER 67.5
RACE 2
6-KORBAN 76.6
7-DOHNSTER 74.9
3-DONTMESROUNDWITJIM 71.4
1-DANA DYNAMO 64.8
1st time starters - 5, 4, 1A
RACE 3
3-SYNNIN AND GRINNIN 101.8
5-FOXY DANSEUR 99.8
2-COCO BELLE 94.5
4-MOONSHINE ALICE 91.3
RACE 4
2-ICEMANCOMETH 101.5
5-WILD DIPLOMAT 96.5
3-SENSATIONAL SCORE 94.5
1-LOCKFORD 91.9
RACE 5
6-TURK 93.2
4-LIFE GOES ON 78.4
7-BIG SHOT SYD 73.7
3-OSCAR BOUND 71.4
RACE 6
1-NEW FANDAN 95.8
10-FIERY TRIPPI 84.4
2-CATASTAIRE 83.8
7-EXUMA 82.0
9-MASTER DANIEL 81.4
RACE 7
1-NATURAL TOUCH 90.7
10-BEWITCHING BARTOK 88.8
7-BULLYA 85.0
4-STORMIN AWAY 83.2
RACE 8
4-DOUGHNUT 91.3
11-REAL FANCY RUNNER 83.2
12-MISS SILVER BROOK 82.0
5-READY STEADY GONE 79.6
RACE 9
2-NO THINKIN ALLOWED 73.1
5-UNUSUAL JUSTIN 65.4
1-SENOR AFORTUNADO 64.3
6-DELICATO 62.7
3-FRACTIOUS CHILD 62.2
1st time starters - 11
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
