Saturday, May 31, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
2-BENCH LIGHT 99.8
1-TONES 90.7
5-SWIFT EAGLE 88.1
4-HOG'S HOLLOW 86.9
6-HAWKEDON 84.4

RACE 2
3-BOB CONSULTATION 90.7
6-MASTER CHEF 86.3
4-WHINE FOR WINE 74.9
5-CRIMSON GIANT 69.2
9-PUBLIC POLICY 67.0

RACE 3
3-MAYIE 52.6
1-HOLLYWOOD PRODUCER 37.8
12-SCREAMIN EARLINE 35.0
9-ROMAN WILD 35.0
8-RUN ROSIE RUN 35.0

1st time starters - 13, 11

RACE 4
9-MONASTIC 94.5
3-SIZZLIN' JOE 90.7
1-HEAT FLASH 88.1
4-APOSTLE PAUL 85.0
5-DREAMY KID 82.6

RACE 5
13-DANCINGINTHESTREET 67.5
6-ALEXIS TANGIER 62.7 (4 wide)
4-SUNSET STRIP 59.6 (off Aug. 13)
1-VERDULA 46.4 (off March 12)
10-REDHEADED MUSE 28.6

1st time starters - 11, 8, 5, 3, 12

RACE 6
6-WOODYS WHARF 64.3 (off Nov. 13)
4-EXCLUSIVE GIRL 63.1
5-SCENE QUEEN 62.2
8-LETHAL STORY 58.0
11-LAMAZONE 56.5

RACE 7
2-FURY KAPCORI 117.2
6-STORM FIGHTER 110.7
1-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 106.6
3-SKY KINGDOM 101.1
4-MAJESTIC CITY 100.4
5-HANDSOME MIKE 100.4

RACE 8
8-ROOM SERVICE 95.8
2-NASHOBA'S GOLD 85.6
3-LITTLE JOURNEY 82.0
7-DIVERSY HARBOR 80.8
4-SWEET BLUES 79.0

RACE 9
7-MY JEALOUS 91.3
6-NEWFOUND GOLD 86.3
10-CARBONITE 81.4
5-LOVMEISTER 79.6
2-SENATOR BOB 73.1
4-OBSESS 71.4

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Friday, May 30, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $407,077.

RACE 1
1-ELTONINADRESS 67.5
5-ZEES CHRIS 66.4
4-ACUTE 65.9
3-SUMMERS DIGNITY 64.8
2-SUNFLARE 63.6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS - ALL 1ST TIME STARTERS

RACE 3
4-MIDNIGHT MAYHEM 52.1
6-STAUFFENBERG 50.6
3-END OF TIME 45.1
8-YODELING HONEY 41.0
5-TAKIT TOTHE LIMIT 30.8 (3 wide)

RACE 4
5-GIA IS A BELLA 76.0 (off June 13)
6-BELONGING 73.1
4-GELIA 69.8 (off Sept. 13)
3-TEASING MOMENT 66.4
2-CITIZEN JANE 61.6

RACE 5
5-FANNY BRICE 76.0
1-I'M NO PATSY 66.4
8-SERIOUS 64.8
2-SPOOKY LADY 61.1
6-TRIBAL PEACE 57.0 (off Nov. 13)

RACE 6
8-NICKELS WILD 88.1
5-WARREN'S ROSEBUD 83.2
4-WINNING RHYTHM 82.6 (off Oct. 13)
6-HIJRA 81.3
10-BACKINTHEACADEMY 79.0

RACE 7
1-MISS RADIANCE 86.9
2-SAGEBRUSH QUEEN 83.2
5-LEMON DE ORO 73.1
4-ANTIQUITY 72.6 (off Sept. 13)
6-SENZA FINA 70.3

RACE 8
4-TRIBAL DUDE 78.4 (off June 13)
5-WARRIOR'S RIDGE 67.0
3-RED GLOBE 63.2
9-AGENTINE 59.0
1-NAVARRE 58.5
6-SUPERBOOT 58.0

1st time starters - 10, 7




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Thursday, May 29, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Wednesday, May 28, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,911 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Monday, May 26, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $94,643.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
3-DESERT STEEL 41.4
2-ABETS ABET 30.8 (steadied)
8-SATURDAY YODLER 29.3

1st time starters - 4, 7, 5, 6, 1

RACE 2
4-WILD DUDE 115.7
2-CYCLOMETER 97.1
1-WINE POLICE 97.1
5-COLOR OF COURAGE 94.5 (off Nov. 13)
3-SUPER NINETY NINE 87.5

RACE 3
7-CANDY'S SUNRISE 94.5
8-KOAST 88.1
9-BLUEGRASS REWARD 79.6
4-DEWRAG 73.4 (off Oct. 13)
5-COLLATION 70.3

RACE 4
7-VICTORY PARADE 42.4 (off slow)
8-TIME FOR A J 41.1
2-SHOP FOREVER 33.0 (off slow)
1-NO ICE CASTLES 23.1

1st time starters - 4, 3, 5, 6

RACE 5
1-POSHSKY 93.1
6-VOLKONSKY 91.9
5-BENBA 88.1
10-PULPIT'S EXPRESS 87.5
2-DERAPTOR 81.4

RACE 6
2-MAVERICKS GUN 88.1
1-STORMIN LUTE 83.8 (off Aug. 13)
4-I BUY GOLD 72.0
5-DIRTY SWAGG 71.4
7-GOYAN 71.4

RACE 7
8-EMOLLIENT 105.2
7-PARRANDA 103.8
3-STORMY LUCY 99.8
2-EMOTIONAL KITTEN 97.1
5-PREMIER STEPS 97.1

RACE 8
7-SAY'S WHO 56.5
11-SWISS PERFECTION 47.4
2-AFLEET ECHO 40.3 (off slow, bumped)
6-BENICA GEM 13.0 (steadied)
9-BACKSEAT BLONDE 12.3

1st time starters - 4, 5, 3, 12, 8, 1

RACE 9
8-COMEALONGWITHME 73.7
9-HUMMING BEETHOVEN 72.0
11-BIRD IN LOVE 66.4
4-GRATIFICATION 64.8
3-SEE THROUGH 63.2 (off Oct. 13)
1-QUICK NAVIGATOR 60.1 (off Aug. 13)

1st time starters - 7, 5, 12, 2

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Sunday, May 25, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-CUNEO 80.8
3-NO CONTINGENCY 79.0
4-VALENTINE BOY 75.4
5-TOPPER'S GHOST 69.2
2-AWESOME INDY 65.4

RACE 2
3-TIGAH 101.1
6-POLYTECHNICEN 92.6
2-DRY SUMMER 90.0
1-AMERICAN ACT 88.1
5-GREELY AWESOME 80.2

RACE 3
2-SUDDEN RUMOR 62.2
6-HEAVENELEVEN 59.6
5-GOSPEL MUSIC 58.8
4-COMO MI PADRE 58.0
1-SURFER MOON 55.6

RACE 4
4-ICONIC SPIRIT 79.0
5-GRAZENETTE 78.4
2-SHAPELY 74.3
6-KOOL KAT 72.0
7-LIVE FOR NOW 68.1

RACE 5
5-ROBERT E. LEE 68.1
3-TAELYNS PRINCE 65.7 (off Oct. 13)
1-AERIAL DANCER 64.3
6-SUPERLOOPER 63.2
2-RELATIVE TIME 60.1

1st time starters - 8, 7

RACE 6
7-SWISS HEART 57.0
3-BETTY BING BING 56.0
2-NONNA REESE 52.6
6-MY WISH COME TRUE 47.8
4-CHARGER GIRL 38.6

1st time starters - 1

RACE 7
4-TOP KISSER 106.3
1-TRIBAL SPY 100.4
6-SKY HIGH GAL 98.4
2-BIORHYTHM 98.4
3-QIAONA 96.5

RACE 8
5-MERINGUE PIE 72.6
8-WARREN'S CASPER 67.5
2-TAKE A RISK 65.3
1-TIZ FUTURITY 64.8
7-NEW ORDER 56.0

RACE 9
7-MOULIN DE MOUGIN 91.9
8-MY LIL SHAMROCK 91.9
3-BEE BRAVE 90.7
2-OSCAR PARTY 87.5
10-LADY ASANO 83.2

1st time starters - 1, 4 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

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Saturday, May 24, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-CLOSE TO THE EDGE 84.4
6-XUANG FENG 79.6
2-FORIN SEA 73.1 (off Sept. 13)
7-DOUBLE IMAGE 64.3
4-HAMILTONIAN 63.8

RACE 2
4-BIG NOTE 100.4
5-SNOWDAY 99.8 (off Sept. 13)
1-RANGI 97.8
3-STORMBHERG 91.9
2-ROYAL F J 90.0

RACE 3
7-ONNA BUGEISHA 89.4
1-SEANS SILVERDANCER 85.0
6-BUCKINGHAM BULL 81.4
2-PROUD VIXEN 75.4
3-MELANISTIC 68.6

RACE 4
3-WARREN'S TRICIA R. 58.0
6-SPOILEDANDENTITLED 54.0
9-DESERT MADAM 45.5 (off slow)
7-CLEVER EXPANSION 42.0
1-PRINCESSKATIEBELLA 39.1

1st time starters - 8

RACE 5
8-FRONT RANGE 87.0
1-MAGIC SPOT 86.3
7-CAUSE IM A BIGSHOT 76.6
6-LOAN SAVANT 76.0
2-VANLOSE STAIRWAY 73.1

RACE 6
9-YARD LINE 101.1
4-J SERINO 91.3
5-BIG CAZANOVA 81.9
3-MIDNIGHT STORM 72.2
10-TALENT SHOW 60.6 (off slow)

1st time starters -8

RACE 7
6-FIRE WITH FIRE 106.6
8-JOELITO 104.5
1-SOI PHET 102.8
2-QUICK CASABLANCA 97.8
7-SEGWAY 97.8

RACE 8
3-WINNINGINFASHION 65.4
8-BRANDON'S PRINCESS 61.1
6-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 56.0
2-IT'S AINE 53.0
4-CLASSIC JOURNEY 52.6
9-PENNIES FROM DENNY 52.6

RACE 9
5-IT IS LIVING WATER 84.4
9-WICKED HEAT 74.2
11-DURANGO FLIER 72.6
8-PYROTECHNICS 60.1
7-KNOW PLANS 59.0
1-CHATTERING GAMBLER 58.0

1st time starters - 10

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Friday, May 23, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
2-TIZ JOLIE 37.0
3-LA MEXICANA 10.3

1st time starters - 5, 8, 7, 4, 6, 1

RACE 2
6-ICE CREAM TRUCK 69.2
3-SALT OF THE EARTH 54.0
5-CACHE WANTED 50.2
7-CHATTERING CLASS 46.0
2-GIANT COWBOY 24.1

1st time starters - 1

RACE 3
6-SMART N DREAMY 85.6
1-ELEGANT 85.0
3-HEAT DU JOUR 82.0
4-SWEETEST SECRET 73.7
2-COMMANDER CLOUD 67.5

RACE 4
4-MISS AMERICAN PIE 68.1
3-HALO LA 60.6
5-SIZZLING LASSIE 58.5
6-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 56.5
2-PLAZARITA 47.8 (off Nov. 13)

RACE 5
5-COULD BE TROUBLE 88.8
4-INTOXICATING MOVE 86.3
3-FANTASTIC MIZZ 82.6
1-BURNS TURN 82.0
2-BOLLER BOMB 79.6

RACE 6
1-HEAR THE GHOST 99.1
5-TIZ DYNAMIC 95.2
2-AIRFOIL 90.0
4-FOOTBRIDGE 85.0
3-PUPPY MANNERS 79.6

RACE 7
2-UPBEATMOOD 92.6
1-BARUTA 91.9
3-HEAT TRAP 90.0 (off Oct. 13)
8-MARK OF A GEM 90.0
9-YES SHE'S UNUSUAL 89.4

RACE 8
6-A P PEPPER 61.1
5-ROOM FOR ME 61.1
4-TIZ ZOE CEE 58.5
8-WARREN'S LIL MARGIE 54.0
7-SWISSARELLA 53.5
3-CORINTHIAN MELODY 49.2

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Thursday, May 22, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
4-YES SHE'S A DANCER 39.0
5-NO MAYBE BABY 26.1

1st time starters - 7, 3, 6, 2, 1

RACE 2
2-QUAY FACTOR 82.7 (bumped)
6-LAKOTA ROAD 74.9
3-HANSERELLA 70.9
1-SHARED IMAGE 62.2
5-EUROCLYDON 60.5

RACE 3
6-KATE'S EVENT 90.7
2-GLADDING 85.6 (off Sept. 13)
1-GIANT EGO 85.0
5-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 78.9
3-TRES BORRACHOS 75.4 (off Aug. 13)

RACE 4
5-THIS CAT'S AWESOME 67.0
4-STADPARK 55.5
7-DARK TIMBERS 55.5
1-BROADCASTER 53.0
2-TIZBUDSFORMENLIMO 38.2

1st time starters - 3, 8

RACE 5
1-REGIFT 45.5
2-CHARISSA 35.4
6-STEPINMOON 30.4
4-HERE COMES BOBBIE 26.5
5-CHAIN LIGHTNING 21.6

1st time starters - 8, 7

RACE 6
7-JULIO'S GOLD 71.4
5-MAHALO PRINCESS 71.4
4-ADDENDUM 68.1
6-SECRET GENIUS 67.0
3-VALARTA 66.4

RACE 7
2-QUEEN OF THE HILL 95.2
5-SEA JOHN'S SPIRIT 70.9
1-PAY THE DEBT 68.6
3-VERSYE 68.1
4-LITTLE BUT LUCKY 64.3

RACE 8
1-SERENE MELODY 82.6
2-STAR ACT 74.3
3-BURNING ARCH 69.9
5-SHEZA DISH 69.8
7-SWEET AS A ROSE 65.4
4-VENETIAN 60.6 (off Sept. 13)

1st time starters - 6

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Wednesday, May 21, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, May 20, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,904 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, May 18, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
4-4-TIZ THE KEY 88.8
7-REMARKABLE MOON 86.3
3-LIL SWISS ECHO 80.8
5-SCOOTER BIRD 80.2
6-AMNESIA 73.1

RACE 3
6-ROUGH PASSAGE 86.3
5-VEGAS STRIP 82.6
3-SOUL CRUSHER 73.7
1-SHAKAHARI 70.9

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 4
2-MY MONET 92.6
7-SWEETRAYOFSUNSHINE 79.0
4-QUINNETTE 71.0
1-RUFF PROOF 68.1
5-IN DAD'S HONOR 66.4

RACE 5
8-ADVISORY 86.9
6-MYSTERIOUS PROMISE 86.4
7-GALLANT CHARM 82.6
1-STREET MAVEN 79.6
3-INDYGO ANDY 77.2

RACE 6
5-L X SUNRISE 50.6
7-QUEEN MAD 44.2
4-IPOLITA 39.0
2-BROADWAY BELLA 34.9
3-IRISH AND LUCKY 22.2 (off slow)

1st time starters - 6, 1, 8

RACE 7
8-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 88.1
7-BOBBY FLAY 85.0
4-MR. CANDY BAR 83.8
6-ACCELERANT 83.2
5-SHARP RICHARD 79.0

RACE 8
1-LET FAITH ARISE 108.6
8-SPELLBOUND 101.1
4-YAHILWA 91.9
2-LEGACY 90.7
9-WARREN'S VENEDA 90.0

RACE 9
11-HOME RUN KITTEN 92.6
6-KRISTO 90.6
10-GAREN 83.4
1-LIFE'S JOURNEY 80.2
12-KOZANI 80.2

RACE 10
12-UP THE ALLEY 59.6
11-ITSABEAUTIFULDAY 57.0
1-WINE COUNTRY WANDA 52.0
8-READY FOR LOVE 51.5
5-DIRTY BLONDE 50.6

1st time starters - 9

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Saturday, May 17, 2014

 

PIMLICO - PIMLICO PREAKNESS - G1 PURSE $1,500,000.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.










RACE 12 - PREAKNESS

3-CALIFORNIA CHROME 127.5
8-SOCIAL INCLUSION 120.8
2-GENERAL A ROD 112.2
5-BAYERN 109.3
1-DYNAMIC IMPACT 108.6
10-RIDE ON CURLIN 107.3
7-KID CRUZ 101.8
4-RING WEEKEND 98.4
9-PABLO DEL MONTE 95.2
6-RIA ANTONIA 84.4

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SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $52,534

RACE 1
6-L T RECKLESS 80.8
1-MISS SWISS ROSE 60.6
2-RED BARRIS 54.5
4-PARADA 47.4
3-PASSION BUCKET 46.0

RACE 2
3-PASS THE PICO 89.4
10-BENCH PRESS 70.9
2-WINE STOCK 67.8
5-SHINING SON 67.5
8-CINCO DE MARIO 67.3

RACE 3
4-SEEKING THE WEST 90.0
2-MIDNITE VIEW 89.4
3-HONDURAN 88.1
5-KOCHEES 78.0
1-DEATH STAR 69.9

RACE 4
1-WINNING PRIZE 120.8
2-OBVIOUSLY 115.7 (off Nov. 13)
4-SILENTIO 112.2
6-SMART ELLIS 101.8 (off April 13)
7-TIGAH 99.1

RACE 5
3-EXPLAIN 99.8
2-TOO FAST TO PASS 91.9
10-CARLOT COWBOY 87.5
1-GAL HAS TO LIKE IT 86.9
6-COURTSIDE 86.3

RACE 6
9-INCLINE VILLAGE 93.9
4-BACK TO BAKO 90.0
1-BOOMPA 83.8
6-REMIND MEE 78.4
8-NUMBER FIVE 77.8

RACE 7
9-DESTINO 61.6
6-SLEWISSURFING 60.1
13-FIFTEEN BLACK 57.0
8-VICTORY PARADE 43.8 (off March 13)
3-COMPULSIVE 41.6 (off Nov. 13)

1st time starters - 1, 5, 7 (pulled up, dnf.)

RACE 8
1-INDIAN GODS 78.4 (off April 13)
9-MISDEED 77.8
6-ROB'S PAL 76.0
7-PUBLIC INTEREST 76.0
2-STAUFFENBERG 54.5

RACE 9
1-D'YA KNOWWHATIMEAN 80.8
2-MIDNIGHT DREAM 78.4
7-DELTA FLOWER 76.6
8-TIME AND TIDES 69.2
4-SATIRICAL 68.1

RACE 10
1-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 73.7
5-EXCLUSIVE GIRL 67.5
10-Q' VIVA 64.3
6-BEA'S BENCH 52.6 (squeezed at start)
12-INHERIT THE THRONE 42.0

1st time starters - 11, 3, 7, 9

RACE 11
1-FIGHT THE POWER 85.6
3-GLITTER OF SILVER 81.4
8-NO EZ MONEY 80.2
9-FLY BOY ROY 77.2
13-TANCRED 75.4
12-ROMAR SUCCESS 74.9

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Friday, May 16, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
6-PLAYER'S CHARM 36.0 (came out)

1st time starters - 1, 2, 5, 7, 4, 3

RACE 2
3-DECLASSIFY 113.6
4-SEEKING THE SHERIF 107.9
1-HOLY LUTE 95.8 (off Dec. 13)
2-OMEGA STAR 91.9
5-SPUD SPIVENS 66.4

RACE 3
1-DRESS CODE 88.8
3-PRIME ISSUE 81.4
4-BLUEGRASS REWARD 81.4
2-TWO IS TO MANY 81.4
6-TEAKS NORTH 80.7

RACE 4
6-REDRESSTHEBALANCE 85.6
2-SPICED LATTE 84.4
5-PLAZA DE INDIAS 83.2 (off Oct. 13)
4-LOVE TALE 82.6
3-FLASHY DAME 81.4

RACE 5
1-RYDERROO 63.2
6-NOT A LOVE SONG 60.6
7-GRACIE RAGAZZA 53.5 (off Aug. 13)
4-RUBY HEAT 40.7 (off Sept. 13, squeezed start)
3-CHAIN LIGHTNING 33.8

1st time starters - 5, 2

RACE 6
2-MUCHOS BESOS 78.4
4-CARBONITE 76.0
6-HALF DOME DUDE 74.9
9-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 70.9
10-SENATOR BOB 69.2

RACE 7
8-MY SLEW 98.4 (off Nov. 13)
2-BOOZER 91.9
5-STAR ROCKER 91.3
7-HEAT FLASH 86.3
6-LUZ ATTICUS 85.0

RACE 8
10-RICH IN TRADITION 49.7
6-ITALIAN HARMONY 42.0 (off Aug. 12)
7-JANES SHIP 39.0
8-TUSUN 35.8 (off March 12)
2-DOHENY 29.7 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 4, 1, 9, 5



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Thursday, May 15, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS ANDHANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









Santa Anita Park has cancelled live racing due to severe heat on Thursday, May 15.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
5-CARLY P. 20.6
4-TAKE BACK SPRING 18.9 (bumped)
7-CITY RIDE 14.8 (bumped)
6-WACKY MISS 11.6 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 9, 2, 10, 3, 8, 1

RACE 2
1-KATE'S EVENT 91.9
4-GLADDING 84.4 (off Sept. 13)
2-GIANT EGO 80.8
6-TRES BORRACHOS 76.6 (off Aug. 13)
3-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 75.9

RACE 3
1-SHEZA DISH 76.4
4-STAR ACT 76.0
3-ICONIC SPIRIT 70.5
6-SWEET AS A ROSE 64.8
7-VENETIAN 56.5 (off Sept. 13)

1st time starters - 2

RACE 4
6-GOSPEL MUSIC 63.8
4-STADTPARK 55.5
2-ANTINACO 54.0 (3 wide)
3-TIZBUDSFORMENLIMO 38.2
7-SAMATT 20.9 (steadied)

1st time starters - 5, 1

RACE 5
5-COULD BE TROUBLE 89.4
3-FANTASTIC MIZZ 85.0
6-BURNS TURN 82.0
7-SMART N DREAMY 81.9
1-BOLLER BOMB 81.4

RACE 6
7-WONDERFUL LIE 82.0
6-SWEERAYOFSUNSHINE 79.6
2-QUINNETTE 70.4
1-RUFF PROOF 68.1
3-IN DAD'S HONOR 65.4

RACE 7
2-TIZ THE KEY 86.3
3-REMARKABLE MOON 86.3
9-LIL SWISS ECHO 83.2
4-SCOOTER BIRD 80.2
5-FLEET OF GOLD 74.8

RACE 8
2-NONNA REESE 52.6
1-DIRTY BLONDE 49.2
6-READY FOR LOVE 42.8
5-MOM'S WINNER 40.7
4-VERONICA BAY 39.9

1st time starters - 8








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Wednesday, May 14, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, May 13, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,897 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, May 11, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
2-ICE CREAM TRUCK 69.2
5-GOYAN 64.8
3-ANGEL CHARGE 51.6
1-DICKERY DO 40.9
4-END OF TIME 30.4

RACE 2
5-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 102.9
3-SAFETY BELT 102.5
1-CHILOQUIN 102.5
4-TREND 100.3 (off Oct. 13)
2-COUNTY LINEMAN 99.1

RACE 3
1-FRIENDSWITH K MILL 93.9
5-PAPA TURF 85.6
4-ARKENSTONE 79.0
2-RUM POINT 69.3
3-LOLO CANONERO 55.0 (steadied)

RACE 4
8-EDDIE'S FIRST 76.6
4-SMART JOURNEY 71.4
5-AFTERMARKETSLAM 60.6
7-COMPLETE EVERYDAY 28.9 (off slow)

1st time starters - 1, 6, 3, 2

RACE 5
4-FANNY BRICE 67.5
6-CITIZEN JANE 58.5
2-HUGGER OF TREES 56.5
1-TRIBAL YODLER 56.5
5-NEW NATURE 55.0

RACE 6
5-MENSA HEAT 88.1
6-COO CACHOO 80.2
2-LONDINIUM 77.2
4-ANCIENT STONE 69.2
7-DEKKO 66.4

RACE 7
6-NAZARETH 69.8
8-LA PEQUENA GIGI 62.7
4-EDITOR'S CUT 54.5
2-ANN'S GOLD 51.1
7-KRISTINITE 47.6 (off June 13)

1st time starters - 5, 1, 3

RACE 8
3-MAKER OR BREAKER 98.4 (off Sept. 13)
1-TIZMETIZYOU 90.0
2-VELVET MESQUITE 87.5
5-TIZ MOLLY 77.2
4-BIG HONEY BEE 71.4

RACE 9
9-TROY STORY 77.2
5-IT IS LIVING WATER 76.0
7-MR LEMON TREE 75.4
2-DIABLO CABALLERO 70.3
4-MYWAYORTHECAUSEWAY 66.8 (off Feb. 13)
8-PRESSURE TIME 66.4

1st time starters - 3

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Saturday, May 10, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
3-SILK IN SILVER 64.3
4-KID ROLLINS 59.6
2-CORINTHIAN MELODY 56.6
6-MIRACLE MERGER 56.0
7-WILD NICOLE 48.8

RACE 2
1-TIZ DYNAMAMIC 94.5
2-JULES JOURNEY 93.9
4-SEGWAY 93.2
6-WILLYCONKER 91.9
3-DREAMY KID 79.6

RACE 3
7-PLANET SUNSHINE 95.8
5-GOT EVEN 95.2
4-VALLEY CAT 93.2
3-TIMELESS INDY 90.7
2-BIG KICK 90.7

RACE 4
5-GREEN TAG 74.9
2-GAMEBOY LUKE 68.9
8-RED GLOBE 65.2
1-NAVARRE 62.1
7-DISTINCTIVE B 44.9 (off slow)

1st time starters - 6, 4

RACE 5
7-HIGHER MANDATE 62.7 (off Oct. 13)
8-SOUL SAVER 54.5
5-CUT TO RUN 50.1
3-VOLUNTARY 47.4
2-TIME FOR A J 31.9

1st time starters - 9

RACE 6
2-KERRILYNN 83.8
4-TOPPERS SUNSHINE 83.8
6-THERMAL NERMAL 79.6
3-HEAT DU JOUR 76.6
1-LE FASCINATOR 74.9

RACE 7
3-KOBE'S BACK 101.1
1-FEROCIOUS 90.7
4-CHELIOS 85.0
5-TWENTY PERCENT 77.2
6-PUPPY MANNERS 76.0

1st time starters - 2

RACE 8
7-QUEEN OF THE HILL 96.4
4-VEGAS RULES 76.6
8-YES SHE'S UNUSUAL 74.5
1-SWEET BOSS 71.7
5-COPPEROPOLIS 68.9

RACE 9
5-CLASSY AVA 73.7
8-WASTED AT MIDNIGHT 69.2
2-DANCINGINTHESTREET 67.5
1-SOUTHERN SUNSHINE 67.0 (off Sept. 13)
7-SEE THROUGH 63.2 (off Oct. 13)

1st time starters - 9, 3, 4, 10

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Friday, May 09, 2014

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)

NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
2-GRAZENETTE 67.5 (off Oct. 13)
6-FRENSHAM 67.0
5-PROSPECTOR ALLEY 65.9
4-KNOW PLANS 55.1
3-CINEMATIC CAT 54.8

RACE 3
4-DANCER HUMOR 73.7
2-DREAMALOT 72.6
3-WARREN'S CLIFF S. 69.2
5-DR. SPIN 68.6
1-BENBA 61.1

RACE 4
3-SUFER MOON 63.8
6-COWTOWNMARY 55.0
4-SPOONER BORN 30.8
2-KANUCK KOWBOY 8.8 (off slow)

1st time starters - 7, 5, 1

RACE 5
3-HOLLANITA 69.2
7-SUMMERS DIGNITY 68.6
2-ELTONINADRESS 67.6
6-SKY ANGEL 62.7
8-MARY CONTRARY 59.8

RACE 6
2-FIT TO RULE 93.9
1-TWIN SIX 88.1
8-COOK INLET 83.8
3-CLOUD HOPPER 74.9
5-TUCKERS POINT 74.3

RACE 7
7-LAKOTA ROAD 79.6
3-BLAKE'S MAGIC 78.8
10-HANSERELLA 76.0
5-BACKINTHEACADEMY 73.7
4-A P PEPPER 61.6

RACE 8
4-CHAUTAUQUA CREEK 61.3
5-VERONICA BAY 52.1
2-NONNA REESE 48.8
8-SHE'S FLUSH 43.8
9-HOT OUTTA THE OVEN 39.9

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Thursday, May 08, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)

ALL 1st TIME STARTERS - NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
6-THIS CAT'S AWESOME 63.2
3-JULIET'S TIZZY 57.5
5-SECRET WISHES 46.6
4-CACHE WANTED 44.2
2-SOFOS QUICK LOGIC 33.4

RACE 3
4-BIG NOTE 100.4
1-LUCKARACK 94.5
5-THE CLEANERS 89.4
7-ROYAL F J 89.4
6-A TOAST TO YOU 88.8
3-CIRCA'SGOLDENNGEAR 88.8

RACE 4
4-RUNAWAY QUE 68.6
3-COLTON'S FIRST 65.4
6-COUSIN RICKY 63.2
5-BUSHWACKED 57.5
2-IMAGE OF JOPLIN 53.0

RACE 5
8-PEGGY SUE'S LOOSE 73.7 (off Nov. 13)
10-LETHAL STORY 66.4
3-UNUSUAL STYLE 65.9
11-Q'VIVA 64.3
4-JENNYWAY U WANT IT 64.2

1st time starters - 5

RACE 6
9-LILLY'S PERFECT 70.9
5-GRAY MADAM 68.6
7-BORN LUCKY 68.1
4-ACUTE 67.5
6-TEBOWING 62.5

RACE 7
5-MANGITA 82.6
2-IRENES JACKPOT 82.0
7-TIZ A KISS 81.4
3-WATER ISSUES 80.2
6-VAN DIEN AVENUE 74.9

RACE 8
11-TASHA'S COURAGE 67.0
3-FLEW FLICKER 62.2 (off March 13)
2-OUR TROOPER 59.0 (off Sept. 13)
6-SUPERBOOT 57.5
4-DARK TIMBERS 56.5

1st time starters - 8, 1


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Wednesday, May 07, 2014

 

SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, May 06, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,888 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, May 04, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-DUBLIN UP 96.9
3-BIG CAZANOVA 85.6
2-PANTERA ROJO 75.4
4-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 68.7
6-LARRY BIRDSTONE 65.3 (off slow)

RACE 2
6-SING WITH BLING 70.3
7-CRUX 65.9
1-MAGNA WARRIOR 65.9
2-BAYVIEW DRIVE 61.1
4-CHASINTHEACES 52.1 (off Jan. 13)

1st time starters - 5

RACE 3
1-MY JEALOUS 91.3
2-SENATOR BOB 81.4
6-NOME 75.4
11-ROAD READY 73.1
3-XUANG FENG 72.0

RACE 4
1-NASHOBA'S GOLD 88.1
5-DIVERSY HARBOR 87.5
4-HONEY RIDE 86.4
7-ARETHUSA 79.9
3-ONE MORE 77.8

RACE 5
7-MADAME FORBES 65.9
5-L X SUNRISE 56.5
11-YUR TEASING ME 52.1
3-TIZ BUT A DREAM 51.5
10-WARRENS GOLDNUGGET 32.6

RACE 6
2-FIGHTING ON 86.9
5-GRAND HUMOR 85.1
9-FLY BOY ROY 79.1
7-BOBBY Z MAN 77.2
13-REDISTRIBUTE 73.4

RACE 7
10-AIRFOIL 93.9
5-RAISED A SECRET 93.2
2-RENO REBEL 91.9
9-THUNDER RODE 91.9
7-GOT EVEN 89.4

RACE 8
2-OAK KYE WHY 92.6
10-SMART PROMOTION 91.9
3-SWIFT EAGLE 90.7
8-POLYTECHNICIEN 88.1
1-CAUSEITHERTZ 84.4
9-BLUEGRASS REWARD 84.4

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Saturday, May 03, 2014

 

KENTUCKY DERBY - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS FOR THE KENTCKY DERBY SATURDAY

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.














CHURCHILL DOWNS KENTUCKY DERBY
RACE 11


5-CALIFORNIA CHROME 127.5
4-DANZA 118.6
13-CHITU 118.6
10-WILDCAT RED 115.7
8-GENERAL A ROD 112.2
1-VICAR'S IN TROUBLE 112.2
6-SAMRATT 111.4
19-RIDE ON CURLIN 107.3
20-WICKED STRONG 106.6
12-DANCE WITH FATE 106.6
14-MEDAL COUNT 106.6
18-CANDY BOY 105.9
15-TAPITURE 105.9
16-INTENSE HOLIDAY 105.9
3-UNCLE SIGH 103.1
9-VINCEREMOS 96.5
7-WE MISS ARTIE 93.2
17-COMMANDING CURVE 92.6
2-HARRY'S HOLIDAY 82.0

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SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
6-REAL BRIGHT BOOTS 64.8
7-NUEVA FORTUNA 59.6
8-PENNIES FROM DENNY 59.6
2-SERIOUS 59.0
5-TRULY BEAUTIFUL 58.0
9-CITIZEN JANE 58.0

RACE 2
11-PUTTYBADSHARK 57.0
10-RICH IN TRADITION 55.5
2-MAYIE 52.6
9-GISELE AT FONZ'S 51.6
12-SWISS PEAK 38.6

1st time starters - 7

RACE 3
2-MY MONET 70.9
3-MOSCATO GIRL 68.6
6-ON GOLDEN PAWN 68.1 (off July 13)
8-MORE STORMYWEATHER 66.4
5-FANNY BRICE 65.4

RACE 4
3-FOREVER JUANITO 83.2
5-ROYAL BANKER 79.6
7-KARMA KING 76.0
1-SCHOOLOFHARDROCKS 73.1
4-RAISE THE HOOF 66.4

RACE 5
7-BRAVE ACT 85.0
8-WONDERFUL UNION 80.2
1-CLOSET E 73.1
5-EXCLUDE 71.0
3-TANCRED 70.4

RACE 6
11-PRIVATE MARINA 53.0
8-SWISS PERFECTION 52.6
7-WIRED FOR FUN 50.6
2-SAY'S WHO 50.0
3-BERT'S MELODY 49.2

1st time starters - 10, 6, 9, 1

RACE 7
6-MACIAS 95.8
5-CANDY'S SUNRISE 94.5
11-STAR ROCKER 84.4 (off Aug. 13)
4-SHOWME YOURFRIENDS 80.2
2-VALENTINE BOY 79.6

RACE 8
4-SATICOY 106.6 (off Jan. 13)
10-CHICSDIGTHESHARK 92.6
11-MASTER CHEF 86.9
1-MEMPHIS 79.6
2-CRIMSON GIANT 76.0

RACE 9
7-HOG'S HOLLOW 93.9
5-AVARE 86.9
3-DEEP PLAY 86.3
1-HAWKEDON 82.6
6-MAJOR TRUTH 82.6

RACE 10
7-FURY KAPCORI 119.3
5-MAJESTIC CITY 102.8
1-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 95.8
3-AMERICAN BLEND 95.2
6-BATTI MAN 89.4

RACE 11
13-YUR TEASING ME 82.8
6-ANOTHER SKY 73.1
8-SOAR HOME 70.3
7-SCENE QUEEN 59.0
1-LAMAZONE 55.0
5-KISSIN LUCKY LIPS 51.5

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Friday, May 02, 2014

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THE KENTUCKY OAKS FRIDAY

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.














CHURCHILL DOWNS

RACE 11 - KENTUCKY OAKS GRADE I

13-UNTAPABLE 115.7
11-MY MISS SOPHIA 99.1
9-UNBRIDLED FOREVER 99.1
3-SUGAR SHOCK 97.1
7-FASHION PLATE 95.2
6-KISS MOON 90.0
4-ROSALIND 88.1
12-GOT LUCKY 87.5
2-RIA ANTONIA 86.9
8-AURELIA'S BELLE 85.6
5-THANK YOU MARYLOU 81.4
1-PLEASE EXPLAIN 80.2
10-MY MISS SOPHIA 74.9


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SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
5-MAHALO PRINCESS 66.4
4-J LOUIE 65.4
2-FIRENDESIRE 62.7
6-GRANNY CALLING 56.0
1-SIZZLING LASSIE 52.6

RACE 2
2-FORT WAGNER 84.4
1-HOBBITS HERO 77.6
5-PAPA'S PAISLEY 70.4
4-GO BLACK TIE 67.0
7-PRINCE OF PARIS 63.8

RACE 3
3-YARD LINE 90.8
2-PRETTYBOYFLOYED 90.0
1-A RED TIE DAY 77.6
5-HOLD EVERYTHING 68.6
4-MISSING GROOM 64.3

RACE 4
3-ON THE BACKSTREETS 91.3
5-SAINTLY JOAN 85.0
2-SUSHI EMPIRE 83.2
4-LA SORELLA 76.6
6-BELLE OF THE FLEET 72.0

RACE 5
3-TWELVE FOLDS 86.9
4-APPEALING RESUME 85.0
2-CLEARLY CONFUSED 83.8
6-MISS RADIANCE 82.6 (off July 13)
5-COURAGEOUS CALL 76.0

RACE 6
3-SWISS HEART 63.2
8-EUROCLYDON 62.7
6-HANNA NO SIR 56.5
9-BETTY BING BING 50.2
7-LADY REGINA 46.0

1st time starters - 5

RACE 7
1-PASS THE PICO 88.1
10-WILL TRUE UP 78.3 (off May 13)
7-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 71.4
4-SHEER TALENT 70.1
3-TENKILLER KID 68.6

RACE 8
6-LILBOURNE ELIZA 83.2
3-MOM NANA PETRIE 82.0
5-DIAMINDA 79.0
9-WARREN'S FLASHER 77.2
8-PUTAHEXONHER 76.6

RACE 9
1-GOYAN 63.8
11-VAN FRAASSEN 63.2
12-PUERTO WILLIAMS 59.0
6-CODE OF PLEASURE 55.5
4-COAST GUARD PATROL 50.6
8-MIDNIGHT MAYHEM 48.8

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Thursday, May 01, 2014

 
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
ALL 1ST TIME STARTERS - NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
5-ROMAN TIZZY 67.5
1-WICKED HEAT 60.6
4-STENOA 59.0
3-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 47.4
2-HEAVENELEVEN 44.2

RACE 3
7-CHRISTOPHER STREET 95.8
5-AFFRETANDO 89.4
2-BOYETT 87.5
3-TEAKS NORTH 87.0
4-CHINA GIRL LOVER 80.2

RACE 4
7-OLD PUEBLO 71.0
8-TIZ FUTURITY 67.0
2-LUCKBOX SAM 63.2
5-SHACKBAMALAMA 62.7
3-NORTHERN FORCE 62.0

RACE 5
3-THISONESFORRICKY 85.0
4-SHEZA DISH 78.4
6-KOOL KAT 76.0
5-LIVE FOR NOW 73.7
1-SHAPELY 71.4

RACE 6
6-RHAGORI 94.5
1-KATHLEEN ROSE 91.9
5-SCARLET STRIKE 85.0
2-CHARLIE EM 83.2
7-ONE TIME ONLY 82.0

RACE 7
7-PAY THE BEBT 79.6
4-FRISCO FOG 75.4
6-OUR GLITTER BALL 72.6
1-CAUSE UR MY BABE 70.3
5-IN DAD'S HONOR 67.5

RACE 8
7-INCLUDE THE CAT 84.0
6-ELEGANT 82.6
4-HIGHLY RATED 81.4
2-FLASHY DAME 81.4
5-ENGLISH RHYTHM 74.9

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