Thursday, December 31, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-KNOWN DEFENSE 63.2
6-GREYSON AND JOHN 57.5
3-READY CAT 48.3
2-BRIGHT LIGHT 47.4
1-PLAY WITH PASSION 46.0 (off slow)
RACE 2
2-SILVER SPIRIT 86.3
6-THE BENCH RULES 74.9
5-AIR NASHOBA 60.1
3-SON OF A ROYAL 57.5
1-ITSGETTINHOTINHERE 55.6
RACE 3
5-COMANCHE RULER 79.6
3-BANDIDO TOO 68.1
1-LONDON LEGACY 64.3
6-WAKE UP NICK 63.2
4-I'M ZONIN 60.6
RACE 4
1-ALMOST REALITY 77.8
3-LILY KAI 73.7
8-OUT OFTHE ORDINARY 73.1
7-CALIFORNIA CURL 67.0
2-OMORFI KOPELLA 65.4
RACE 5
2-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 83.2
5-NOBLE KENT 82.0
6-ICE CREAM TRUCK 79.6
7-LUCKBOX SAM 77.2
4-DUKE OF DOOM 76.0
RACE 6
6-AVANTI BELLO 97.1
8-GRAZEN SKY 96.5
9-GOT EVEN 94.5
4-CAPTAIN TIM 88.8
3-LITTLE CURLIN 87.6
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-PATH OF DAVID 84.4
3-BULLY PULPIT 72.6
10-CANADA 67.5
11-TIZ A BILLY 60.6
5-AFLEET DOMINATION 59.6
RACE 8
4-SPIRIT WORLD 67.5
5-CAPTAIN CARCHY 67.0
9-ADAIR 64.8 (5 wide)
1-WHAT WE DOING 61.6
2-FINANCIAL 56.0
7-ATTACK 55.0
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-KNOWN DEFENSE 63.2
6-GREYSON AND JOHN 57.5
3-READY CAT 48.3
2-BRIGHT LIGHT 47.4
1-PLAY WITH PASSION 46.0 (off slow)
RACE 2
2-SILVER SPIRIT 86.3
6-THE BENCH RULES 74.9
5-AIR NASHOBA 60.1
3-SON OF A ROYAL 57.5
1-ITSGETTINHOTINHERE 55.6
RACE 3
5-COMANCHE RULER 79.6
3-BANDIDO TOO 68.1
1-LONDON LEGACY 64.3
6-WAKE UP NICK 63.2
4-I'M ZONIN 60.6
RACE 4
1-ALMOST REALITY 77.8
3-LILY KAI 73.7
8-OUT OFTHE ORDINARY 73.1
7-CALIFORNIA CURL 67.0
2-OMORFI KOPELLA 65.4
RACE 5
2-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 83.2
5-NOBLE KENT 82.0
6-ICE CREAM TRUCK 79.6
7-LUCKBOX SAM 77.2
4-DUKE OF DOOM 76.0
RACE 6
6-AVANTI BELLO 97.1
8-GRAZEN SKY 96.5
9-GOT EVEN 94.5
4-CAPTAIN TIM 88.8
3-LITTLE CURLIN 87.6
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-PATH OF DAVID 84.4
3-BULLY PULPIT 72.6
10-CANADA 67.5
11-TIZ A BILLY 60.6
5-AFLEET DOMINATION 59.6
RACE 8
4-SPIRIT WORLD 67.5
5-CAPTAIN CARCHY 67.0
9-ADAIR 64.8 (5 wide)
1-WHAT WE DOING 61.6
2-FINANCIAL 56.0
7-ATTACK 55.0
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system
Wednesday, December 30, 2015
SANTA ANITA PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $80,136.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-AND THEN SOME 45.6
5-TIMBER KING 44.7
6-MOTORING AROUND 43.3
4-I'M NOT BULLISH 38.3
2-PASSAU 31.9
RACE 2
1-CHICAGO ANGEL 60.1
6-KISS MY FACE 57.0
2-JUST BOOKIN 54.5
5-SEATALPHA 42.9
4-SAILOR'S CRY 36.6
RACE 3
4-SECRET APPEAL 73.1
6-EXPOSURE 69.8
2-MY SILVER CAT 65.9
1-RACING FOR CHASEN 57.0
7-SHAKEITUPBETTY 54.5
RACE 4
2-KADESHA 75.4
4-DIAMOND CUT 73.1
7-HOUSEMAKER 71.4
8-SHYSHEISNOT 69.2
3-ODISSEIA 68.1
RACE 5
1-CARLOT COWBOY 80.8
8-PAT THE BEAR 80.8
7-ULTIMATE LUCK 73.1
3-FORMALLY WILD 72.6
5-REDSTONE 66.4
RACE 6
2-TARA'S TANGO 95.8
5-SUNDAY RULES 90.0
3-STEALTH DRONE 87.5
1-KISS AT MIDNIGHT 83.8
6-DANCINTHENIGHTAWAY 81.4
RACE 7
8-PAULINA'S LOVE 99.8
1-HAVANNA BELLE 91.3
6-LADY ASANO 91.3
11-CHATI'S ON TOP 91.3
7-SPIRIT OF TEN 91.3
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
1-SHE'S A WARRIOR 67.2
3-AWARD IT 66.4
9-DREAMARCHER 64.3
5-CEEME RUN WILD 59.0
6-DEEDS NOT WORDS 49.5
2-SHE'S ON THE LINE 47.8
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $80,136.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-AND THEN SOME 45.6
5-TIMBER KING 44.7
6-MOTORING AROUND 43.3
4-I'M NOT BULLISH 38.3
2-PASSAU 31.9
RACE 2
1-CHICAGO ANGEL 60.1
6-KISS MY FACE 57.0
2-JUST BOOKIN 54.5
5-SEATALPHA 42.9
4-SAILOR'S CRY 36.6
RACE 3
4-SECRET APPEAL 73.1
6-EXPOSURE 69.8
2-MY SILVER CAT 65.9
1-RACING FOR CHASEN 57.0
7-SHAKEITUPBETTY 54.5
RACE 4
2-KADESHA 75.4
4-DIAMOND CUT 73.1
7-HOUSEMAKER 71.4
8-SHYSHEISNOT 69.2
3-ODISSEIA 68.1
RACE 5
1-CARLOT COWBOY 80.8
8-PAT THE BEAR 80.8
7-ULTIMATE LUCK 73.1
3-FORMALLY WILD 72.6
5-REDSTONE 66.4
RACE 6
2-TARA'S TANGO 95.8
5-SUNDAY RULES 90.0
3-STEALTH DRONE 87.5
1-KISS AT MIDNIGHT 83.8
6-DANCINTHENIGHTAWAY 81.4
RACE 7
8-PAULINA'S LOVE 99.8
1-HAVANNA BELLE 91.3
6-LADY ASANO 91.3
11-CHATI'S ON TOP 91.3
7-SPIRIT OF TEN 91.3
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
1-SHE'S A WARRIOR 67.2
3-AWARD IT 66.4
9-DREAMARCHER 64.3
5-CEEME RUN WILD 59.0
6-DEEDS NOT WORDS 49.5
2-SHE'S ON THE LINE 47.8
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, December 29, 2015
SANTA ANITA PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, December 28, 2015
SANTA ANITA PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,393 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,393 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, December 27, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-THE CUSTODIAN 73.1
5-VISIBILITY 67.0
3-PRINCE VALIANT 63.8
6-INEXCESS TIME 62.7
2-GARRAPATA BEACH 52.6
4-MR. COUNT ON ME 52.6
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-FAMILY MEETING 85.6
7-MIRAGE 70.9
2-SWEET QUEEN 68.1
9-NIKKI'S FINE TIME 68.1
8-SKYE DIAMONDS 64.3
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-STRIGHT AND STRONG 59.6
2-FEELING TALKATIVE 37.8
3-HEED TO SPEED 35.0
8-PRINCESS KENDRA 33.4
1-NAUGHTY HAUGHTY 23.1
1st time starters - 5
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
1-TROJAN NATION 74.9
3-UNINVITED 69.8
6-FRENCH GETAWAY 67.5
8-ARCHAEO 65.3
7-POLICE ESCORT 61.6
RACE 5
9-CITY OF VENGEANCE 92.6
11-OWNTOWN C. T. 91.9
6-GLOBAL MAGICIAN 90.7
4-TOO FAST TO PASS 90.0
1-BARREL OF LOVE 90.0
RACE 6
2-NORTHERN IOWA 79.6
4-EAGLE ROCK 76.6
10-SCIATICA 76.0
6-TIZ JOLIE 74.9
5-GEORGE'S MAIN MAN 68.1
RACE 7
3-LOGAN'S MOON 95.2
1-WOLF MAN ROCKET 88.8
10-DEAD EASY 85.0
4-DREAM TEAM 83.8
8-ROY H 81.9
RACE 8
7-STORMY LUCY 103.1
4-RUSTY SLIPPER 101.8
12-GLORY 94.5
3-ALEXIS TANGIER 93.9
11-GENDER AGENDA 93.2
1st time starters - 1
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-ETAILER 68.1
10-DEMONSLAYER 65.4
7-TRUE BRILLIANCE 65.4
2-PHANTOM HEAT 36.2
12-WARD'N JERRY 35.4 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 5, 3, 11, 9
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-THE CUSTODIAN 73.1
5-VISIBILITY 67.0
3-PRINCE VALIANT 63.8
6-INEXCESS TIME 62.7
2-GARRAPATA BEACH 52.6
4-MR. COUNT ON ME 52.6
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-FAMILY MEETING 85.6
7-MIRAGE 70.9
2-SWEET QUEEN 68.1
9-NIKKI'S FINE TIME 68.1
8-SKYE DIAMONDS 64.3
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-STRIGHT AND STRONG 59.6
2-FEELING TALKATIVE 37.8
3-HEED TO SPEED 35.0
8-PRINCESS KENDRA 33.4
1-NAUGHTY HAUGHTY 23.1
1st time starters - 5
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
1-TROJAN NATION 74.9
3-UNINVITED 69.8
6-FRENCH GETAWAY 67.5
8-ARCHAEO 65.3
7-POLICE ESCORT 61.6
RACE 5
9-CITY OF VENGEANCE 92.6
11-OWNTOWN C. T. 91.9
6-GLOBAL MAGICIAN 90.7
4-TOO FAST TO PASS 90.0
1-BARREL OF LOVE 90.0
RACE 6
2-NORTHERN IOWA 79.6
4-EAGLE ROCK 76.6
10-SCIATICA 76.0
6-TIZ JOLIE 74.9
5-GEORGE'S MAIN MAN 68.1
RACE 7
3-LOGAN'S MOON 95.2
1-WOLF MAN ROCKET 88.8
10-DEAD EASY 85.0
4-DREAM TEAM 83.8
8-ROY H 81.9
RACE 8
7-STORMY LUCY 103.1
4-RUSTY SLIPPER 101.8
12-GLORY 94.5
3-ALEXIS TANGIER 93.9
11-GENDER AGENDA 93.2
1st time starters - 1
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-ETAILER 68.1
10-DEMONSLAYER 65.4
7-TRUE BRILLIANCE 65.4
2-PHANTOM HEAT 36.2
12-WARD'N JERRY 35.4 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 5, 3, 11, 9
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, December 26, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-AIRFOIL 85.6
5-SACRED OVATION 85.0
2-GOLD CHASER 78.4
6-MOONLIGHT MEETING 74.3
1-EL NINO TERRIBLE 73.3
RACE 2 - (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
12-LITTLE MUSTARD 46.9
13-STAR EXPRESS 43.3
9-NUSRET 42.9
2-DEFIANT ONE 42.9
5-GAMBLER'S WISH 40.3
1st time starters - 3, 10, 7, 1, 11, 14
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
10-JOSIE THE E F FIVE 54.5
1-ESCAPEE 50.2
3-ANGEL LANE 43.8
11-CANDY BOSS 33.0
5-CUYATHY 31.5
1st time starters - 6, 2, 9, 7
RACE 4
7-ALERT BAY 112.9
12-NO SILENT 109.3
2-BIG CAZANOVA 107.3
9-HOLY LUTE 99.8
4-ROCKET HEAT 97.1
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
6-WEIRDHAIRCUT SETH 75.4
7-PRINCE OF ARABIA 63.8
9-MAD BUM 63.8
14-ERIC THE TROJAN 59.0
3-DANZING CANDY 56.0 (slow start)
5-OPPIDUM 56.0
1st time starters - 8, 4, 13, 11, 12, 10
RACE 6
10-OM 108.6
1-GROUND RULES 96.9
6-MISTER BRIGHTSIDE 95.8
8-IKE WALKER 93.1
2-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 92.6
7-ACCEPTANCE 92.6
RACE 7
3-CAVORTING 103.1
6-BEN'S DUCHESS 102.5
2-HOT CITY GIRL 101.8
7-RATTATAPTAP 93.2
10-FINEST CITY 92.6
RACE 8
4-RUNHAPPY 129.8
2-MARKING 103.1
3-WATERSHED 99.8
7-LORD NELSON 97.1
1-PAIN AND MISERY 91.9
RACE 9
10-UNUSUALLY GREEN 97.8
11-WHAT A VIEW 95.8
5-HUNT 91.3
14-KENJISSTORM 88.8
6-ITSINTHEPOST 88.1
3-CHINA GIRL LOVER 88.1
12-GRACHUS THE HUNTER 88.1
1st time starters - 13 (in the U.S.A., fgn.)
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-AIRFOIL 85.6
5-SACRED OVATION 85.0
2-GOLD CHASER 78.4
6-MOONLIGHT MEETING 74.3
1-EL NINO TERRIBLE 73.3
RACE 2 - (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
12-LITTLE MUSTARD 46.9
13-STAR EXPRESS 43.3
9-NUSRET 42.9
2-DEFIANT ONE 42.9
5-GAMBLER'S WISH 40.3
1st time starters - 3, 10, 7, 1, 11, 14
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
10-JOSIE THE E F FIVE 54.5
1-ESCAPEE 50.2
3-ANGEL LANE 43.8
11-CANDY BOSS 33.0
5-CUYATHY 31.5
1st time starters - 6, 2, 9, 7
RACE 4
7-ALERT BAY 112.9
12-NO SILENT 109.3
2-BIG CAZANOVA 107.3
9-HOLY LUTE 99.8
4-ROCKET HEAT 97.1
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
6-WEIRDHAIRCUT SETH 75.4
7-PRINCE OF ARABIA 63.8
9-MAD BUM 63.8
14-ERIC THE TROJAN 59.0
3-DANZING CANDY 56.0 (slow start)
5-OPPIDUM 56.0
1st time starters - 8, 4, 13, 11, 12, 10
RACE 6
10-OM 108.6
1-GROUND RULES 96.9
6-MISTER BRIGHTSIDE 95.8
8-IKE WALKER 93.1
2-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 92.6
7-ACCEPTANCE 92.6
RACE 7
3-CAVORTING 103.1
6-BEN'S DUCHESS 102.5
2-HOT CITY GIRL 101.8
7-RATTATAPTAP 93.2
10-FINEST CITY 92.6
RACE 8
4-RUNHAPPY 129.8
2-MARKING 103.1
3-WATERSHED 99.8
7-LORD NELSON 97.1
1-PAIN AND MISERY 91.9
RACE 9
10-UNUSUALLY GREEN 97.8
11-WHAT A VIEW 95.8
5-HUNT 91.3
14-KENJISSTORM 88.8
6-ITSINTHEPOST 88.1
3-CHINA GIRL LOVER 88.1
12-GRACHUS THE HUNTER 88.1
1st time starters - 13 (in the U.S.A., fgn.)
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, December 25, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, December 24, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE COURSE TODAY
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,366 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,366 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, December 20, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: THERE WILL NOT BE ANY PICKS OR HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY. I WILL RETURN ON DEC. 26 AT SANTA ANITA. HAVE A VERY NICE HOLIDAY SEASON.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: THERE WILL NOT BE ANY PICKS OR HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY. I WILL RETURN ON DEC. 26 AT SANTA ANITA. HAVE A VERY NICE HOLIDAY SEASON.
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, thoroughbred
Saturday, December 19, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $49,750.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-TWO STEPS OF GLORY 49.2
2-WILANNAMOON 27.5
3-TIZ INFORMED 16.3
5-GETTING ACQUAINTED 12.8 (off slow)
1st time starters - 6, 1
RACE 2
6-SWEETRAYOFSUNSHINE 77.2
1-HIDE MY HEART 71.4
4-SALLYANA 63.8
5-PAPASLILPRINCESS 62.7
3-LAROCCO 61.1
RACE 3
6-DUSTIN'S PASSION 85.0
9-CANT DO THE DANSE 82.0
4-MAHOGANY RUN 76.4
7-WINGS OF MOJAVE 76.0
3-CELEBRITY STATUS 68.6
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-ADIOS PRINCESS 57.0
7-KRISTIE'S HEART 48.3
10-JUST A GEM 33.4
1st time starters - 2, 5, 8, 3, 4, 1, 6
RACE 5
9-HANDSOME HARVEY JR 74.9
12-OKIE BLACKBIRD 71.4
1-SIR BARCLAY 70.9
10-ANTINANCO 67.0
11-DASHING ASH 63.8
8-FINALLYGOTABENTLEY 58.0
RACE 6
2-OKAAD 71.4
3-SYNDICATED 68.6
5-PERCY'S BLUFF 68.6
6-ROPER 66.4
8-BOUND FOR HEAVEN 60.1
RACE 7
6-WONDERFUL LIE 77.8
8-MADAM AAMOURA 77.8
4-DESERT MADAM 74.3
10-SHOW STEALER 73.4
2-HOLOGRAEME 71.6
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
5-MOR SPIRIT 101.1
4-TOEWS ON ICE 86.3
1-URLACHER 86.3
6-SORRYABOUTNOTHING 79.6
2-FRANK CONVERSATION 76.4
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-LYMEBYRD 72.0 (broke out, 3 wide)
12-GOT TOBE AWESOME 45.5
11-GAMBLER'S WISH 42.9
5-BLUE RIDGE MTN 39.0
1st time starters - 10, 9, 8, 6, 2, 3, 4
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $49,750.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-TWO STEPS OF GLORY 49.2
2-WILANNAMOON 27.5
3-TIZ INFORMED 16.3
5-GETTING ACQUAINTED 12.8 (off slow)
1st time starters - 6, 1
RACE 2
6-SWEETRAYOFSUNSHINE 77.2
1-HIDE MY HEART 71.4
4-SALLYANA 63.8
5-PAPASLILPRINCESS 62.7
3-LAROCCO 61.1
RACE 3
6-DUSTIN'S PASSION 85.0
9-CANT DO THE DANSE 82.0
4-MAHOGANY RUN 76.4
7-WINGS OF MOJAVE 76.0
3-CELEBRITY STATUS 68.6
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-ADIOS PRINCESS 57.0
7-KRISTIE'S HEART 48.3
10-JUST A GEM 33.4
1st time starters - 2, 5, 8, 3, 4, 1, 6
RACE 5
9-HANDSOME HARVEY JR 74.9
12-OKIE BLACKBIRD 71.4
1-SIR BARCLAY 70.9
10-ANTINANCO 67.0
11-DASHING ASH 63.8
8-FINALLYGOTABENTLEY 58.0
RACE 6
2-OKAAD 71.4
3-SYNDICATED 68.6
5-PERCY'S BLUFF 68.6
6-ROPER 66.4
8-BOUND FOR HEAVEN 60.1
RACE 7
6-WONDERFUL LIE 77.8
8-MADAM AAMOURA 77.8
4-DESERT MADAM 74.3
10-SHOW STEALER 73.4
2-HOLOGRAEME 71.6
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
5-MOR SPIRIT 101.1
4-TOEWS ON ICE 86.3
1-URLACHER 86.3
6-SORRYABOUTNOTHING 79.6
2-FRANK CONVERSATION 76.4
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-LYMEBYRD 72.0 (broke out, 3 wide)
12-GOT TOBE AWESOME 45.5
11-GAMBLER'S WISH 42.9
5-BLUE RIDGE MTN 39.0
1st time starters - 10, 9, 8, 6, 2, 3, 4
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, December 18, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $16,460.
RACE 1
5-AMBERELLA 59.3
1-ROCKIN RHYTHM 57.2
2-SUMMER VEIL 56.0
3-LUVURYAN 49.7
4-COURTING MISCHIEF 25.4
RACE 2
5-KRONWALL 59.0
3-STARSHIP EKATI 51.6
2-ITALIAN JUMPER 47.4
7-OUR NEW FLASH 44.2
4-DEL GROTTO 39.4 (off slow)
1st time starters - 6
RACE 3
6-YOKED 68.6
1-SELECTION 62.2
3-FEASIBILITY 60.1
7-MAGIC MOON 44.2
5-CAPE ROYAL 37.4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
6-GONE TO BALI 52.1
3-EXIT SIXTY SLEW 42.0
1-CORDIALITY 34.4
4-VRONSKY'S DEVKA 34.0
10-JUJU'S MOJO 32.0
RACE 5
4-BLACKFORD 68.6
1-QATAR'S PEARL 67.5
6-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 64.8
2-VALENTINE BOY 51.6
5-MIMITO BOY 46.9
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
10-WHO SAID LUCKY 62.2
12-HURRICAINE CALLIE 56.0
1-SPREAD THE JOY 46.4
4-DANCING SUNSET 45.5
7-SHARPEST ONE 42.0
1st time starters - 8, 6, 2, 3, 9, 11
RACE 7
7-ROCKIN DORITA 72.6
8-MISS LOUJEAN 72.6
6-FAST MAGOO 71.4
3-EASTER FEVER 69.5
5-FAB FOUR EVER 69.2
RACE 8
4-SWISS CHEESE 74.9
6-MR. ITKINS 70.9
2-ROYAL ALEXEI 69.8
3-MR. ZIPPERS 66.4
10-BACKSTREET BOSS 60.6
7-OUTTHINK'EM 56.0
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $16,460.
RACE 1
5-AMBERELLA 59.3
1-ROCKIN RHYTHM 57.2
2-SUMMER VEIL 56.0
3-LUVURYAN 49.7
4-COURTING MISCHIEF 25.4
RACE 2
5-KRONWALL 59.0
3-STARSHIP EKATI 51.6
2-ITALIAN JUMPER 47.4
7-OUR NEW FLASH 44.2
4-DEL GROTTO 39.4 (off slow)
1st time starters - 6
RACE 3
6-YOKED 68.6
1-SELECTION 62.2
3-FEASIBILITY 60.1
7-MAGIC MOON 44.2
5-CAPE ROYAL 37.4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
6-GONE TO BALI 52.1
3-EXIT SIXTY SLEW 42.0
1-CORDIALITY 34.4
4-VRONSKY'S DEVKA 34.0
10-JUJU'S MOJO 32.0
RACE 5
4-BLACKFORD 68.6
1-QATAR'S PEARL 67.5
6-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 64.8
2-VALENTINE BOY 51.6
5-MIMITO BOY 46.9
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
10-WHO SAID LUCKY 62.2
12-HURRICAINE CALLIE 56.0
1-SPREAD THE JOY 46.4
4-DANCING SUNSET 45.5
7-SHARPEST ONE 42.0
1st time starters - 8, 6, 2, 3, 9, 11
RACE 7
7-ROCKIN DORITA 72.6
8-MISS LOUJEAN 72.6
6-FAST MAGOO 71.4
3-EASTER FEVER 69.5
5-FAB FOUR EVER 69.2
RACE 8
4-SWISS CHEESE 74.9
6-MR. ITKINS 70.9
2-ROYAL ALEXEI 69.8
3-MR. ZIPPERS 66.4
10-BACKSTREET BOSS 60.6
7-OUTTHINK'EM 56.0
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system
Thursday, December 17, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-SECRET APPEAL 69.8
2-SCATCHMEIFYOUCAN 50.6
4-EBONY CAT 46.0
3-ANNISQUAM 41.6
5-LADY COMIC 41.1
RACE 2
3-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 75.4
5-THUNDERING GALE 68.7
4-MIDNIGHT LADY 61.6
2-INDIVIDUAL DESIGN 55.0
1-BOBBYLOUIE 54.0
RACE 3
3-PREORDAINED 71.4
7-KEEGERS 64.3
6-JUST LET IT SLIDE 64.3
2-SUNDAY PULPIT 63.2
1-COWTOWNMARY 60.6
RACE 4
3-ELEGANT STREET 78.3
1st time starters - 4, 5, 6, 1, 7, 2
RACE 5
6-MELANIE ROSE 67.0
8-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 55.0
4-OLEANDERPOLARBEAR 49.7
2-PATTI D'MARIE 48.8
1-SMART SUZZET 46.0
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-ONE BYE TWO 54.0
4-SOME CANN JOB 51.1
5-SOONER TIME 49.7
3-PRETTY ENUFF 49.2
2-OCTOFY 48.3
RACE 7
2-TOOMANYTOMATOES 74.3
5-MARGIE'S MINUTE 72.6
4-QUINNETTE 70.9
3-LIGHT STRIKER 70.3
1-SWISSARELLA 68.1
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-GONE WITH IT 53.0
8-MR. GAME SEVEN 46.9
9-ULUCKYDEVIL 46.0
10-H R EXPRESS 42.0
4-FINNERTY'S FOLLY 37.8
2-SOAP BOX 32.3
1st time starters - 6, 12, 2, 7
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-SECRET APPEAL 69.8
2-SCATCHMEIFYOUCAN 50.6
4-EBONY CAT 46.0
3-ANNISQUAM 41.6
5-LADY COMIC 41.1
RACE 2
3-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 75.4
5-THUNDERING GALE 68.7
4-MIDNIGHT LADY 61.6
2-INDIVIDUAL DESIGN 55.0
1-BOBBYLOUIE 54.0
RACE 3
3-PREORDAINED 71.4
7-KEEGERS 64.3
6-JUST LET IT SLIDE 64.3
2-SUNDAY PULPIT 63.2
1-COWTOWNMARY 60.6
RACE 4
3-ELEGANT STREET 78.3
1st time starters - 4, 5, 6, 1, 7, 2
RACE 5
6-MELANIE ROSE 67.0
8-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 55.0
4-OLEANDERPOLARBEAR 49.7
2-PATTI D'MARIE 48.8
1-SMART SUZZET 46.0
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-ONE BYE TWO 54.0
4-SOME CANN JOB 51.1
5-SOONER TIME 49.7
3-PRETTY ENUFF 49.2
2-OCTOFY 48.3
RACE 7
2-TOOMANYTOMATOES 74.3
5-MARGIE'S MINUTE 72.6
4-QUINNETTE 70.9
3-LIGHT STRIKER 70.3
1-SWISSARELLA 68.1
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-GONE WITH IT 53.0
8-MR. GAME SEVEN 46.9
9-ULUCKYDEVIL 46.0
10-H R EXPRESS 42.0
4-FINNERTY'S FOLLY 37.8
2-SOAP BOX 32.3
1st time starters - 6, 12, 2, 7
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, thoroughbred
Wednesday, December 16, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, December 15, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE TODAY
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,366 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,366 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, December 13, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-BROWNIE FINALE 64.8
3-DR. CRABBY 57.0
4-GUNSLINGER RULES 46.4
2-PANTHER CREEK 41.6
1-KNOWN DEFENSE 36.2
RACE 2
5-MISS STAR MAKER 82.6
2-HENNYTHELOVEPENNY 70.9
1-CUDDLE ALERT 67.0
4-UNUSUAL STYLE 59.8 (off Oct. 14)
3-MY SWEET AFLEET 57.6
RACE 3
2-SOUTHEAST ASIA 55.5
1-FOREST ROMANCE 55.5 (off Aug. 14)
5-FINANCIAL 52.1
4-RANGER SCHOOL 51.6
6-AWESOME OCEAN 48.3
3-ATTACK 48.3
RACE 4
5-PLAYER'S CHARM 76.0
3-SHINING HOPE 73.1
4-ON THE TURN 72.0
6-PIPPAPPY 69.2
2-INSPIRED WISDOM 64.3
1-EXEMPLAR 59.0
RACE 5
7-CLEM JUICE 61.8
2-MISS SWISS ROSE 61.6
6-MS. K J 54.5
3-ELISIVE MISTRESS 37.8
4-ROYAL CHAVELA 31.1
RACE 6
2-ROCKINATTEN 86.9
1-BOOMPA 69.2
4-BLACK TIE 64.8
3-BABY BLAKE 62.7
5-WHISKEY WILD 60.6
RACE 7
1-STORM COMIN THRU 91.9
2-HOWDY 86.3
3-TOLEDO EDDIE 81.4
5-ROMAN TIZZY 79.6
4-CITY STATE 78.4
RACE 8
10-LILY POD 86.3
1-VOCALIST 84.4
8-ON GOLDEN PAWN 77.2
9-CODACIOUS 75.3
2-MASTER THE BLUES 74.9
RACE 9
4-MOONIE 66.4
10-JUST GOT LUCKY 65.4
3-SLEWS'S CHARM 52.1
8-MAJOR RAGER 51.6
7-AMITIE POUR LA VIE 48.3
2-LACEY'S RAINBOW 46.4
1st time starters - 1, 5, 9
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-BROWNIE FINALE 64.8
3-DR. CRABBY 57.0
4-GUNSLINGER RULES 46.4
2-PANTHER CREEK 41.6
1-KNOWN DEFENSE 36.2
RACE 2
5-MISS STAR MAKER 82.6
2-HENNYTHELOVEPENNY 70.9
1-CUDDLE ALERT 67.0
4-UNUSUAL STYLE 59.8 (off Oct. 14)
3-MY SWEET AFLEET 57.6
RACE 3
2-SOUTHEAST ASIA 55.5
1-FOREST ROMANCE 55.5 (off Aug. 14)
5-FINANCIAL 52.1
4-RANGER SCHOOL 51.6
6-AWESOME OCEAN 48.3
3-ATTACK 48.3
RACE 4
5-PLAYER'S CHARM 76.0
3-SHINING HOPE 73.1
4-ON THE TURN 72.0
6-PIPPAPPY 69.2
2-INSPIRED WISDOM 64.3
1-EXEMPLAR 59.0
RACE 5
7-CLEM JUICE 61.8
2-MISS SWISS ROSE 61.6
6-MS. K J 54.5
3-ELISIVE MISTRESS 37.8
4-ROYAL CHAVELA 31.1
RACE 6
2-ROCKINATTEN 86.9
1-BOOMPA 69.2
4-BLACK TIE 64.8
3-BABY BLAKE 62.7
5-WHISKEY WILD 60.6
RACE 7
1-STORM COMIN THRU 91.9
2-HOWDY 86.3
3-TOLEDO EDDIE 81.4
5-ROMAN TIZZY 79.6
4-CITY STATE 78.4
RACE 8
10-LILY POD 86.3
1-VOCALIST 84.4
8-ON GOLDEN PAWN 77.2
9-CODACIOUS 75.3
2-MASTER THE BLUES 74.9
RACE 9
4-MOONIE 66.4
10-JUST GOT LUCKY 65.4
3-SLEWS'S CHARM 52.1
8-MAJOR RAGER 51.6
7-AMITIE POUR LA VIE 48.3
2-LACEY'S RAINBOW 46.4
1st time starters - 1, 5, 9
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, December 12, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-MISTAKEN IDENTITY 70.3
2-KNOCK EM FLAT 69.8
3-DRESS CODE 66.4
1-TIZ FUTURITY 65.3
4-WARREN'S CASPER 47.4
RACE 2
5-SACRED OVATION 86.9
6-FIGHTING ON 75.4
4-I BUY GOLD 74.3
3-LOVE DE CAR 70.3
1-I B MIKE 69.8
RACE 3
2-MIZ GRAYCEE 64.8
4-AUDRA 64.1
5-MISS BLISS 62.2
6-SWEETER THANCANDY 54.0
3-DARLING GRACE 49.2
1st time starters - 1
RACE 4
4-MYBABYKIM 65.4
5-WARREN'S CRACKER 56.5
1-SAYITRIGHT KAT 50.2
3-REALLY A PRINCESS 46.9
6-ITALIAN BABA 41.6
RACE 5
5-ACTION HERO 74.9
2-PICASSO'S MANDOLIN 69.9
3-THE BENCH RULES 65.9
4-CHANITO 65.4
6-COOL GREEN 59.8
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-PICO CHICK 62.5
3-ROOM ON THE BROOM 53.0
5-STORY OF HER LIFE 45.2
1-KELLIANNE CAN CAN 44.2
2-SEASIDE FANTASY 41.9
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
7-TOUGH IT OUT 74.0
6-FAMILY CODE 74.0
9-FOUND MONEY 73.5
8-GLORY BOUND 70.9
1-TURN YOUR EYES 67.6
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
3-STAYS IN VEGAS 81.3
1-TREASURING 74.0
2-STREET FANCY 73.4
4-PACIFIC HEAT 72.2
9-PRETTY N COOL 71.6
6-SURFSIDE TIARA 71.6
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-AVAUDREY 45.1
7-TWO STEPS OF GLORY 42.9
4-B K MISS 38.6 (squeezed, 3 wide)
9-SARNO'S B F F 37.8
10-REINAHERMOSA 36.2
1st time starters - 3, 11
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-MISTAKEN IDENTITY 70.3
2-KNOCK EM FLAT 69.8
3-DRESS CODE 66.4
1-TIZ FUTURITY 65.3
4-WARREN'S CASPER 47.4
RACE 2
5-SACRED OVATION 86.9
6-FIGHTING ON 75.4
4-I BUY GOLD 74.3
3-LOVE DE CAR 70.3
1-I B MIKE 69.8
RACE 3
2-MIZ GRAYCEE 64.8
4-AUDRA 64.1
5-MISS BLISS 62.2
6-SWEETER THANCANDY 54.0
3-DARLING GRACE 49.2
1st time starters - 1
RACE 4
4-MYBABYKIM 65.4
5-WARREN'S CRACKER 56.5
1-SAYITRIGHT KAT 50.2
3-REALLY A PRINCESS 46.9
6-ITALIAN BABA 41.6
RACE 5
5-ACTION HERO 74.9
2-PICASSO'S MANDOLIN 69.9
3-THE BENCH RULES 65.9
4-CHANITO 65.4
6-COOL GREEN 59.8
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-PICO CHICK 62.5
3-ROOM ON THE BROOM 53.0
5-STORY OF HER LIFE 45.2
1-KELLIANNE CAN CAN 44.2
2-SEASIDE FANTASY 41.9
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
7-TOUGH IT OUT 74.0
6-FAMILY CODE 74.0
9-FOUND MONEY 73.5
8-GLORY BOUND 70.9
1-TURN YOUR EYES 67.6
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
3-STAYS IN VEGAS 81.3
1-TREASURING 74.0
2-STREET FANCY 73.4
4-PACIFIC HEAT 72.2
9-PRETTY N COOL 71.6
6-SURFSIDE TIARA 71.6
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-AVAUDREY 45.1
7-TWO STEPS OF GLORY 42.9
4-B K MISS 38.6 (squeezed, 3 wide)
9-SARNO'S B F F 37.8
10-REINAHERMOSA 36.2
1st time starters - 3, 11
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, December 11, 2015
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-TULIRA CASTLE 96.5
5-IKE WALKER 90.7
3-DERBY GLASS 85.0
4-WARREN'S NICHOLAS 77.2
1-BLUEGRASS SIGHT 69.2
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-PRINCESS KENDRA 45.5
2-GOOD LOOKING 39.9
1st time starters - 5, 1, 4, 3
RACE 3
8-EMOTIONAL DRIVE 53.0
2-JAZZED 42.4
6-PARALYZING EYES 38.6
9-CHARGER GIRL 35.4 (off July 14)
4-LANA CAPRINA 30.0
1st time starters - 7, 5
RACE 4
1-TELL HER YES 73.1
3-GUESSED RIGHT 68.6
5-TATUM'S GOLD 62.7
4-TRAITEUSE 52.7
6-CAN CAN BABE 52.1
RACE 5
6-NATIVE TREASURE 90.0
1-BLUE ANCHOR 83.8
5-WRIGHTWOOD 81.4
2-GUY CODE 72.0
3-SLEEPWALKER 69.1
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-TWIRLING TIGER 74.9
6-NICARADALIC ROCKS 63.2
5-MISHEGAS 62.2
3-GREYSON AND JOHN 50.5
2-READY CAT 41.1
RACE 7
5-SEATTLE SERENADE 98.4
2-AMERICAN PRIDE 97.1
3-FEISTY'S CAUSE 86.3
1-QUICK AND SILVER 85.0
8-VEGAS STRIP 80.2
7-CHIEF LION 80.2
1st time starters - 4
RACE 8
8-HALF DOME DUDE 70.9
2-KINGSBURY 69.8
1-ALPINE LUCK 66.4
7-TRIBAL NOTE 61.1
5-ANILLO 59.6
3-TIME TO GO ROBO 52.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-TULIRA CASTLE 96.5
5-IKE WALKER 90.7
3-DERBY GLASS 85.0
4-WARREN'S NICHOLAS 77.2
1-BLUEGRASS SIGHT 69.2
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-PRINCESS KENDRA 45.5
2-GOOD LOOKING 39.9
1st time starters - 5, 1, 4, 3
RACE 3
8-EMOTIONAL DRIVE 53.0
2-JAZZED 42.4
6-PARALYZING EYES 38.6
9-CHARGER GIRL 35.4 (off July 14)
4-LANA CAPRINA 30.0
1st time starters - 7, 5
RACE 4
1-TELL HER YES 73.1
3-GUESSED RIGHT 68.6
5-TATUM'S GOLD 62.7
4-TRAITEUSE 52.7
6-CAN CAN BABE 52.1
RACE 5
6-NATIVE TREASURE 90.0
1-BLUE ANCHOR 83.8
5-WRIGHTWOOD 81.4
2-GUY CODE 72.0
3-SLEEPWALKER 69.1
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-TWIRLING TIGER 74.9
6-NICARADALIC ROCKS 63.2
5-MISHEGAS 62.2
3-GREYSON AND JOHN 50.5
2-READY CAT 41.1
RACE 7
5-SEATTLE SERENADE 98.4
2-AMERICAN PRIDE 97.1
3-FEISTY'S CAUSE 86.3
1-QUICK AND SILVER 85.0
8-VEGAS STRIP 80.2
7-CHIEF LION 80.2
1st time starters - 4
RACE 8
8-HALF DOME DUDE 70.9
2-KINGSBURY 69.8
1-ALPINE LUCK 66.4
7-TRIBAL NOTE 61.1
5-ANILLO 59.6
3-TIME TO GO ROBO 52.6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, December 10, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-RAZORBILL 78.4
5-SECRET LASS 69.2
6-MI AGAVE 68.1
3-TRIBAL FLASH 61.6
2-COLD BAY 45.1
RACE 2
6-WADE 67.5
5-ITSGETTINHOTINHERE 60.6
3-SON OF ROYAL 56.5
2-ACE DUCE 56.1
4-SILVER SUMMER 45.1
1st time starters - 1
RACE 3
2-XERXES 50.6
5-PAPA DE GATTO 44.2
4-FROG 40.7
6-SCUD 24.1
1-WATCH ME WINNING 18.9 (off slow)
RACE 4
1-DAY IN THE SUN 76.0
5-DYNAMITE RIDE 75.2
4-L'S CHOICE 65.9
3-BOOK THIRTY FOUR 62.2
2-ANTHONYSGOTGAME 60.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-AMERICAN LEAGUE 56.5
3-ALASKAN CRUISE 54.5
5-I'M NOT BULLISH 54.5
6-TIMBER KING 50.6
1-MEDIA MELEE 28.9 (off slow)
1st time starters - 2
RACE 6
6-VARTAN 70.3
4-QATAR'S PEARL 67.0
3-WARREN'S WESLEY 67.0
1-FORMALLY WILD 65.9
2-NORTHERN IOWA 65.4
RACE 7
1-ONE MORE ROLL 81.4
4-TANNERSMYMUSCLE 79.6
2-GUTSY RULER 77.2
3-CARTOONIST 74.9
6-SIGNATURE CAT 74.3
RACE 8
5-MAKENA 83.8
11-LONGSTOCKING 69.2
1-CARDINI 66.4
7-DREAM NAVIGATOR 62.9
8-SO SWEETITIZ 60.1
4-ROCKPORT DANCER 56.0
1st time starters - 3, 6, 2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-RAZORBILL 78.4
5-SECRET LASS 69.2
6-MI AGAVE 68.1
3-TRIBAL FLASH 61.6
2-COLD BAY 45.1
RACE 2
6-WADE 67.5
5-ITSGETTINHOTINHERE 60.6
3-SON OF ROYAL 56.5
2-ACE DUCE 56.1
4-SILVER SUMMER 45.1
1st time starters - 1
RACE 3
2-XERXES 50.6
5-PAPA DE GATTO 44.2
4-FROG 40.7
6-SCUD 24.1
1-WATCH ME WINNING 18.9 (off slow)
RACE 4
1-DAY IN THE SUN 76.0
5-DYNAMITE RIDE 75.2
4-L'S CHOICE 65.9
3-BOOK THIRTY FOUR 62.2
2-ANTHONYSGOTGAME 60.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-AMERICAN LEAGUE 56.5
3-ALASKAN CRUISE 54.5
5-I'M NOT BULLISH 54.5
6-TIMBER KING 50.6
1-MEDIA MELEE 28.9 (off slow)
1st time starters - 2
RACE 6
6-VARTAN 70.3
4-QATAR'S PEARL 67.0
3-WARREN'S WESLEY 67.0
1-FORMALLY WILD 65.9
2-NORTHERN IOWA 65.4
RACE 7
1-ONE MORE ROLL 81.4
4-TANNERSMYMUSCLE 79.6
2-GUTSY RULER 77.2
3-CARTOONIST 74.9
6-SIGNATURE CAT 74.3
RACE 8
5-MAKENA 83.8
11-LONGSTOCKING 69.2
1-CARDINI 66.4
7-DREAM NAVIGATOR 62.9
8-SO SWEETITIZ 60.1
4-ROCKPORT DANCER 56.0
1st time starters - 3, 6, 2
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, December 09, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, December 08, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE TODAY
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,359 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,359 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, December 06, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-LEXIE ARLEEN 69.2
5-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 63.8
2-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 59.6
6-ZEES CHRIS 43.8
3-TENILLE 42.4
4-PRETTYHOTPRINCESS 42.0
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-MRS. NORRIS 63.6
6-CEEME RUN WILD 60.9
5-EDGY GIRL 60.1
2-AQUACATE 52.5
3-MARTHA'S KID 27.5
1st time starters - 4
RACE 3
5-JUST BOOKIN 49.0
2-CITY BENCH 42.0
6-CHICAGO ANGEL 32.3
3-KELBAKER 23.5 (3 wide)
1-DIVA ON TRACK 11.4
4-PUNK FEVER 11.3
RACE 4
5-GOLDS VENICE 66.4
4-VEGAS BOUND 59.0
2-FIESTA EXPRESS 47.8
1-EXFANOFSIXTIES 31.2
3-WILDLY EXCESSIVE 30.0
RACE 5
5-LOVE FOREVER 75.4
4-BOOKWORM 74.3 (off Nov. 14)
3-PLAYER'S CHARM 73.7
1-JONNY'S CHOICE 72.6
2-DEVIL RISING 61.6
RACE 6
1-FLYIN FOR A LIVIN 65.4
2-MUDGE 60.1
3-SUMMERS DIGNITY 59.6
4-HIDDEN REALITY 57.2
6-WARREN'S TEA PARTY 33.4
5-HERO'S MARINE 33.4
RACE 7
4-BASMATI 93.2
3-JUANSAGAIN 83.2
1-ROYAL F J 73.5
2-EL NINO TERRIBLE 69.5
6-GUNS LOADED 61.6
RACE 8
2-AVANTI BELLO 98.4
6-GRAZEN SKY 92.6
7-DREAM TEAM 89.4
5-J SERINO 88.8
8-BIG TIRE 86.9
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-ACADEMIC AFFAIR 63.6
8-AFLEET DOMINATION 59.6
6-SUNNY TRUCE 45.6
7-WILLIAM CROTTY 38.8
4-DOMINIC'S WAY 32.8
5-HOW U BEAN 9.8
1st time starters - 1, 2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-LEXIE ARLEEN 69.2
5-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 63.8
2-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 59.6
6-ZEES CHRIS 43.8
3-TENILLE 42.4
4-PRETTYHOTPRINCESS 42.0
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-MRS. NORRIS 63.6
6-CEEME RUN WILD 60.9
5-EDGY GIRL 60.1
2-AQUACATE 52.5
3-MARTHA'S KID 27.5
1st time starters - 4
RACE 3
5-JUST BOOKIN 49.0
2-CITY BENCH 42.0
6-CHICAGO ANGEL 32.3
3-KELBAKER 23.5 (3 wide)
1-DIVA ON TRACK 11.4
4-PUNK FEVER 11.3
RACE 4
5-GOLDS VENICE 66.4
4-VEGAS BOUND 59.0
2-FIESTA EXPRESS 47.8
1-EXFANOFSIXTIES 31.2
3-WILDLY EXCESSIVE 30.0
RACE 5
5-LOVE FOREVER 75.4
4-BOOKWORM 74.3 (off Nov. 14)
3-PLAYER'S CHARM 73.7
1-JONNY'S CHOICE 72.6
2-DEVIL RISING 61.6
RACE 6
1-FLYIN FOR A LIVIN 65.4
2-MUDGE 60.1
3-SUMMERS DIGNITY 59.6
4-HIDDEN REALITY 57.2
6-WARREN'S TEA PARTY 33.4
5-HERO'S MARINE 33.4
RACE 7
4-BASMATI 93.2
3-JUANSAGAIN 83.2
1-ROYAL F J 73.5
2-EL NINO TERRIBLE 69.5
6-GUNS LOADED 61.6
RACE 8
2-AVANTI BELLO 98.4
6-GRAZEN SKY 92.6
7-DREAM TEAM 89.4
5-J SERINO 88.8
8-BIG TIRE 86.9
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-ACADEMIC AFFAIR 63.6
8-AFLEET DOMINATION 59.6
6-SUNNY TRUCE 45.6
7-WILLIAM CROTTY 38.8
4-DOMINIC'S WAY 32.8
5-HOW U BEAN 9.8
1st time starters - 1, 2
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, December 05, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-BIJOUX 59.8
3-WARREN'S PURRFECT 56.5
5-APPEALING LADY 52.6
1-GEISTREITER 52.6
2-RODEO DRIVE DIVA 41.6
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-OSSETRA 75.2
5-SEMPER FORTIS 72.2
4-FRAC CANDY 68.7
3-GLORY BOUND 66.4
1-GO LONG 40.3
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-SKYE DIAMONDS 61.1
5-CASINO FEVER 44.2
4-SHARPEST ONE 43.3
6-WHO SAID LUCKY 39.9 (reared at start)
1-AZURE DREAM 14.8
1st time starters - 2
RACE 4
4-COUGAR COUNTRY 76.0
3-ULTIMATE LUCK 73.7
2-SWISS CHEESE 73.7
1-COWTOWNMARY 61.6
5-BOUND FOR HEAVEN 60.1
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
7-UNINVITED 70.3
3-KIONNTAL 57.2
2-LET'S MEET IN RIO 54.6
1-WATCH MY DUST 54.0
4-LAOBAN 53.5 (off slow)
6-COACH Q 53.5
RACE 6
4-UPBEAT TEMPO 60.6
6-RED TORO 54.5
1-GAME PEGASUS 47.8
5-MR. PETE GOT EVEN 45.5
3-ILLYBILLY 44.6
RACE 7
5-PRIVILEGED ONE 68.1
4-CAUSE UR MY BABE 67.0
3-MY SILVER CAT 65.9
6-PRIVATE TERRACE 60.1
2-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 58.5
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
5-PATRIOTIC DIAMOND 64.8
3-ROO'S VALENTINE 57.2
2-AND IN THE END 50.6
7-JUST GOOGLE ME 47.6
4-LUCKY TO WIN 47.4
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-SMALL TOWN SHUFFLE 60.6
7-FIVE STAR JACK 47.4
8-SWISS MISSLE 45.5
2-STAR EXPRESS 44.2
3-BLUE COPPER 24.1
11-ZORRO'S STORM 21.3
1st time starters - 5, 10, 9, 6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-BIJOUX 59.8
3-WARREN'S PURRFECT 56.5
5-APPEALING LADY 52.6
1-GEISTREITER 52.6
2-RODEO DRIVE DIVA 41.6
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-OSSETRA 75.2
5-SEMPER FORTIS 72.2
4-FRAC CANDY 68.7
3-GLORY BOUND 66.4
1-GO LONG 40.3
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-SKYE DIAMONDS 61.1
5-CASINO FEVER 44.2
4-SHARPEST ONE 43.3
6-WHO SAID LUCKY 39.9 (reared at start)
1-AZURE DREAM 14.8
1st time starters - 2
RACE 4
4-COUGAR COUNTRY 76.0
3-ULTIMATE LUCK 73.7
2-SWISS CHEESE 73.7
1-COWTOWNMARY 61.6
5-BOUND FOR HEAVEN 60.1
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
7-UNINVITED 70.3
3-KIONNTAL 57.2
2-LET'S MEET IN RIO 54.6
1-WATCH MY DUST 54.0
4-LAOBAN 53.5 (off slow)
6-COACH Q 53.5
RACE 6
4-UPBEAT TEMPO 60.6
6-RED TORO 54.5
1-GAME PEGASUS 47.8
5-MR. PETE GOT EVEN 45.5
3-ILLYBILLY 44.6
RACE 7
5-PRIVILEGED ONE 68.1
4-CAUSE UR MY BABE 67.0
3-MY SILVER CAT 65.9
6-PRIVATE TERRACE 60.1
2-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 58.5
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
5-PATRIOTIC DIAMOND 64.8
3-ROO'S VALENTINE 57.2
2-AND IN THE END 50.6
7-JUST GOOGLE ME 47.6
4-LUCKY TO WIN 47.4
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-SMALL TOWN SHUFFLE 60.6
7-FIVE STAR JACK 47.4
8-SWISS MISSLE 45.5
2-STAR EXPRESS 44.2
3-BLUE COPPER 24.1
11-ZORRO'S STORM 21.3
1st time starters - 5, 10, 9, 6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, December 04, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-RED STICH 58.5
2-AIMING STRIGHT 54.0
6-STAR OF MUNSTER 43.8
5-STORY OF HER LIFE 42.4
4-VOODOO DOLL 36.2
RACE 2
4-BLOOMING HANNAH 58.5
1-AVO 52.6
6-MIDNIGHT LIEN 46.0
2-DAPHNE'S DAY 45.1
8-PARALYZING EYES 37.0
1st time starters - 9
RACE 3
6-BONUS SPIN 71.4
2-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 69.2
5-ALTAIRA 65.4
3-NAZARETH 60.1
1-STELLATA 58.5
RACE 4
6-TRAVEL BOUND 63.2
2-SELECTION 60.4
1-ALLTHELEAVESRBROWN 58.0
4-LUCKY SHOES TO WIN 55.5
9-DAKOTA DEACON 48.3
RACE 5
3-PREORDAINED 70.3
2-NEXT BOOK 67.0
9-HIGHLY CYNICAL 62.0
11-IDIDN'ASKFORTHIS 60.4
6-MR. ZIPPERS 49.7
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-IRON ROB 74.9
8-GATO DOLCE 39.1
1st time starters - 9, 1, 2, 4, 3, 7, 5
RACE 7
6-CARLOT COWBOY 78.4
7-RLENTLESS HEAT 71.4
4-INDIAN NATE 65.4
8-PLANET SUNSHINE 62.7
5-ATASCADERAN 45.1
RACE 8
5-MISS SWISS ROSE 60.6 (off May 14)
9-LOVE PHONE 60.6
1-SHALLOT 58.5
6-ITALIAN BABA 55.5
8-IRISH AND LUCKY 54.0
4-WINNINGINFASHION 49.2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-RED STICH 58.5
2-AIMING STRIGHT 54.0
6-STAR OF MUNSTER 43.8
5-STORY OF HER LIFE 42.4
4-VOODOO DOLL 36.2
RACE 2
4-BLOOMING HANNAH 58.5
1-AVO 52.6
6-MIDNIGHT LIEN 46.0
2-DAPHNE'S DAY 45.1
8-PARALYZING EYES 37.0
1st time starters - 9
RACE 3
6-BONUS SPIN 71.4
2-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 69.2
5-ALTAIRA 65.4
3-NAZARETH 60.1
1-STELLATA 58.5
RACE 4
6-TRAVEL BOUND 63.2
2-SELECTION 60.4
1-ALLTHELEAVESRBROWN 58.0
4-LUCKY SHOES TO WIN 55.5
9-DAKOTA DEACON 48.3
RACE 5
3-PREORDAINED 70.3
2-NEXT BOOK 67.0
9-HIGHLY CYNICAL 62.0
11-IDIDN'ASKFORTHIS 60.4
6-MR. ZIPPERS 49.7
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-IRON ROB 74.9
8-GATO DOLCE 39.1
1st time starters - 9, 1, 2, 4, 3, 7, 5
RACE 7
6-CARLOT COWBOY 78.4
7-RLENTLESS HEAT 71.4
4-INDIAN NATE 65.4
8-PLANET SUNSHINE 62.7
5-ATASCADERAN 45.1
RACE 8
5-MISS SWISS ROSE 60.6 (off May 14)
9-LOVE PHONE 60.6
1-SHALLOT 58.5
6-ITALIAN BABA 55.5
8-IRISH AND LUCKY 54.0
4-WINNINGINFASHION 49.2
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, December 03, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
8-OUR TROOPER 54.5
3-S M ROYAL IMAGE 46.4
5-SIBERNATION 45.5
6-SENOR PEGASUS 44.6
7-OUR NEW FLASH 35.0
1st time starters - 2
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-VRONSKY'S DEVKA 40.7
6-STREET GODDESS 37.4
5-PATIENCE LADY 21.9
1-JASE'S AUNTY AIMEE 20.3
2-NAUGHTY HAUGHTY 19.4 (off slow)
1st time starters - 7
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-REINAHERMOSA 30.4
6-JEN'S TRIBE 20.3 (off slow)
8-QUEEN GAMBLER 9.4
1st time starters - 1, 3, 5, 2, 7
RACE 4
5-FANCY SHOES 86.9
4-ATHENS 86.3
7-PREACHER ROE 83.8
1-WINGS OF MOJAVE 77.8
2-NOBLE KENT 74.3
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
10-SWIFT LADY 70.9 (3 wide)
4-UNBRIDLED SUMMER 69.2
9-DREAMY ART 67.0
11-LA GALY 61.6
8-AMBER LOUISE 51.0
1st time starters - 5, 6, 2
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-REMEMBER CLEMENT 40.7
10-GAMBLER'S WISH 38.2 (off slow, 3 wide)
6-CHEROKEE DYNASTY 37.4 (squeezed at start)
1-DIXIE CARAVAN 37.4
8-PHANTOM HEAT 27.5
1st time starters - 5, 7, 11
RACE 7
1-FINEST CITY 102.5
6-UNFORGETTABLE U 81.4
4-ACHIEVER'S LEGACY 74.3
3-WINDY FORECAST 73.7
5-ULTIMATE HOLIDAY 68.1
RACE 8
2-MR. ITKINS 76.6
8-JOHNNY REB 68.6
4-SOUL CRUSHER 63.2
11-DASHING ASH 63.2
9-CUT TO RUN 61.6
7-OKAAD 56.0
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
8-OUR TROOPER 54.5
3-S M ROYAL IMAGE 46.4
5-SIBERNATION 45.5
6-SENOR PEGASUS 44.6
7-OUR NEW FLASH 35.0
1st time starters - 2
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-VRONSKY'S DEVKA 40.7
6-STREET GODDESS 37.4
5-PATIENCE LADY 21.9
1-JASE'S AUNTY AIMEE 20.3
2-NAUGHTY HAUGHTY 19.4 (off slow)
1st time starters - 7
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-REINAHERMOSA 30.4
6-JEN'S TRIBE 20.3 (off slow)
8-QUEEN GAMBLER 9.4
1st time starters - 1, 3, 5, 2, 7
RACE 4
5-FANCY SHOES 86.9
4-ATHENS 86.3
7-PREACHER ROE 83.8
1-WINGS OF MOJAVE 77.8
2-NOBLE KENT 74.3
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
10-SWIFT LADY 70.9 (3 wide)
4-UNBRIDLED SUMMER 69.2
9-DREAMY ART 67.0
11-LA GALY 61.6
8-AMBER LOUISE 51.0
1st time starters - 5, 6, 2
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-REMEMBER CLEMENT 40.7
10-GAMBLER'S WISH 38.2 (off slow, 3 wide)
6-CHEROKEE DYNASTY 37.4 (squeezed at start)
1-DIXIE CARAVAN 37.4
8-PHANTOM HEAT 27.5
1st time starters - 5, 7, 11
RACE 7
1-FINEST CITY 102.5
6-UNFORGETTABLE U 81.4
4-ACHIEVER'S LEGACY 74.3
3-WINDY FORECAST 73.7
5-ULTIMATE HOLIDAY 68.1
RACE 8
2-MR. ITKINS 76.6
8-JOHNNY REB 68.6
4-SOUL CRUSHER 63.2
11-DASHING ASH 63.2
9-CUT TO RUN 61.6
7-OKAAD 56.0
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, December 02, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,359 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,359 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, December 01, 2015
LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,359 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,359 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, horse racing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, Santa Anita, selections, thoroughbred
