Friday, May 31, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
4-JESSE'S GIACOMO 57.5
3-WELLINGTON BEAUTY 57.0
2-IT'S AN AINE 54.5
1-TRICKSAREFORKIDS 42.9
5-ELLA BEA AWESOME 35.0

RACE 2
3-MR T BIRD 89.4
2-EVER ALERT 76.6
4-WARREN'S BIG CAT 72.8
5-TWIN SIX 60.1
1-BUBBA FIZZ 51.1

RACE 3
5-SYNDICATED 78.0
1-MAXX THE GIANT 60.2
4-DI CONTI 49.7 (off Oct. 12)

1st time starters - 6, 2, 3

RACE 4
4-FLASHY DELIGHT 73.7
7-SANTABARBARABENDITA 72.6 (off Aug. 11)
8-WARREN'S MORGAN 70.9
6-MILE HIGH BUNK 68.1
1-ROSSI RESERVE 65.4

RACE 5
5-RUN'N ON RESIDUALS 89.4 (off Nov. 12)
3-TOLEDO EDDIE 88.8
4-DIXIELAND BLUES 88.1
7-DOOR'S OPEN 86.9
1-U'NARACK 82.0

RACE 6
7-HOLIDAY N NEWPORT 79.0
2-ANOTHER SKY 72.2
5-HERE'S TO ROSE 65.4
1-HOWDOYOUFINDTHERED 58.7
6-BRANDON'S PRINCESS 58.5

RACE 7
1-SASSY SUANCES 80.8
5-ROWDY GAL 79.5
3-TWELVE FOLDS 77.2
4-SWIMMIN INSUNSHINE 72.6
2-WARREN'S INTERNET 71.4

RACE 8
1-DOW DIVA 62.7
2-ROUST'EM BERTIE 60.1
5-COCONUT CREAM PIE 60.1
11-TAFFETA DISASTER 58.0
6-L L COOL JO 57.5

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, May 30, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
3-FIESTA EXPRESS 63.2
5-GOOD ACKTRESS 62.7
4-VAN BRIT 62.5
2-WARREN'S GOLDIE 51.6
1-CARRIE ROSE 42.8

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2f.)
3-WESTERN SHOWDOWN 46.4
5-BUSHWACKED 37.0
8-TRIUNFO 26.8
6-TIME TO BE A HERO 18.3

1st time starters - 1, 7, 2, 4

RACE 3
9-JUST BECAUSE 70.3
11-J MAN 54.5
10-TUX 52.6
3-MAYAN EYES 46.4
2-RONRO HONDO 39.9

RACE 4
3-HOLIDAY ROSE 77.8
7-HIDDEN PASSION 73.1
5-AUNT EMMA 60.1
4-BRITENESS 59.3
1-SELLERIA 58.2

RACE 5
4-UNBRIDLED GIANT 89.4
3-JOELITO 85.0
6-HORIZON SKY 83.8
7-UNO DOS ADIOS 81.3
1-SQUARE DANCER 74.9

RACE 6
4-ROSIES READY 67.5
3-NICKELS WILD 54.5
5-TAYRONA 41.1
1-SUNBAKED 28.2

1st time starters - 2, 8, 6, 7

RACE 7
3-CHIEF HAVOC 97.8
5-FIGHTING HUSSAR 94.5
7-CURLY TOP 93.2
1-BELVIN 92.1
2-I DON'T CARE WHO 83.2

RACE 8
2-CAVEMAN KENO 61.6
6-WILD TONY 58.5
7-ALSACE 45.1
5-STORMIN CITY 43.8
3-SUPER J. D. 38.2 (off Aug. 12)

1st time starters - 8, 11, 10, 1

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, May 29, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, May 28, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOO PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,619 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, May 27, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
1-CRESTATORRE 70.9
7-ME LIKEY MIKEY 67.9
5-IN HIGH REGARDS 61.3 (off Dec. 12)
6-CHIBITA 53.5
3-MAGIC CASTLE 52.6

RACE 2
4-HARD ROCKIN GIRL 49.7
15-BEAUTIFUL SPIRIT 46.9
7-MIZ WOUNDED KNEE 44.6 (off Sept. 12)
13-HELLO STORMY 39.4
1-GET GOIN TIZZY 28.2

1st time starters - 10, 12, 8, 9, 2, 5

RACE 3
3-POINTS OFFTHEBENCH 107.9
4-ITALIAN RULES 107.3
2-MASTER CHEF 95.2
1-CYCLOMETER 93.2
6-CHAPMAN'S PEAK 92.6

RACE 4
2-FAST BULLET 117.2 (off Dec. 12)
3-COMMA TO THE TOP 107.3
6-CENTRALINTELIGENCE 96.5
4-TIZ TEE TIME 94.5
7-APRIORITY 89.4

RACE 5
12-JUST FISHIN 86.9
10-IRISH SURF 84.0
5-CORINTHIAN'S SONG 79.6
3-MAMBO MAN 79.0
4-KIN 74.9

RACE 6
1-DOMONATION 85.6
6-APOLLO TEN 80.8
4-IRON JOE T 79.6
3-MENSA HEAT 76.0
2-AFLEET COWBOY 75.4

RACE 7
7-TAMARACK SMARTY 86.9
2-LATE NIGHT SKY 82.0
6-ARRAIGNMENT 80.8
5-MR. CANDY BAR 79.6
9-PASSING GAME 76.6

RACE 8
6-WALL DANCE 100.4
3-MUCHOS BESOS 98.4
5-SUPER ABILITY 98.4
4-TOP DRIVE 94.5
7-REAL CONUNDRUM 92.6

RACE 9
7-MARKETING MIX 110.0 (off Nov. 12)
6-LADY OF SHAMROCK 99.1
2-TIZ FLIRTATIOUS 98.4
5-HALO DOLLY 95.8
4-MY GI GI 87.5

RACE 10
2-DEVIOUS CHIC 58.0
14-ROSIES RASCAL 55.5
4-RICH IN TRADITION 55.5
6-TAP TAP UR IT 55.0 (off July 12)
12-RALPHY GIRL 50.6 (off May 12)

1st time starters - 10, 3, 7, 11, 9

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, May 26, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $113,928.

RACE 1
6-INNER GROOVE 69.2
3-LOVE MY WAY 66.7
1-MAGIC MAMA 65.9
5-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 64.3
2-LA TORERA 63.8

RACE 2
6-BENCH LIGHT 88.8
2-TURN ON THE PUMPS 80.8
8-RED MAN RUN 79.6
5-EAST SKY 79.0
4-ALL DE VICTORS 79.0

RACE 3
2-STREETS OF HEAVEN 93.2
1-GO TO THE PULPIT 89.4
3-BIG WAGS 86.9
6-ARCODORO 85.6
4-SCORPION TIME 80.8

RACE 4
9-DAYLIGHT STORM 101.1 (off Dec. 11)
6-PUT IT THERE 76.0
7-SLYCY 74.3
8-KURO 73.7
4-VALKYRIE MISSLE 72.6

RACE 5
10-IN A WINE TIZZY 74.9
2-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 73.1 (off May 12)
8-RED GLOBE 72.6
9-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 70.9
3-MOJAVE DESERT 65.4

RACE 6
7-HIS ROYAL HIGHNESS 86.9
8-ONE WORLD 70.9
9-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 67.0
1-I. B. DREAMIN' 67.0
3-WARREN'S WESLEY 65.9

RACE 7
6-SCHIAPARELLI 97.8
1-PURIM'S DANCER 94.5
5-CURVY CAT 86.3
2-GREATEST ESCAPE 86.3
4-CUSTOMER BASE 86.3 (off Oct. 12)

RACE 8
7-SWEET MARINI 98.4
2-ZUZU'S PETALS 74.9
4-SECRET GENIUS 71.4
1-TRIBAL PEACE 68.6
3-LUXURIANCE 68.1

RACE 9
11-SWISS EMPEROR 66.4
10-MILK MAN RAY 64.3
5-PATRIOTIC LION 63.1
12-ANCIENT STONE 62.7
1-BOB GRECO 58.0

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, May 25, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2f.)
8-DIVINE WAY 35.4
7-TIME FOR A MEMORY 33.4
3-AUDREY RULES 9.8

1st time starters - 1, 2, 5, 4, 6

RACE 2
2-WARRENS VENEDALUCY 63.2
3-HALFAPONDAROSA 60.1
1-ARINYES LOVE 58.5
4-PINCELADA 53.5
7-CHERRY ON THE CAKE 52.6

RACE 3
2-OBVIOUSLY 117.2
6-DRILL 95.2
5-RACING APTITUDE 95.2 (off Aug. 12)
3-BAROCCI 93.9
4-CHOSEN MIRACLE 92.8

RACE 4
2-SMOKIN' BERNIE 83.2
3-BLUE TONE 75.8
5-FLY HIGH 65.3
1-SAY OW 65.3
7-AFFLICATION 62.2

RACE 5
1-MIDNIGHT CROONER 90.0
6-MCALLISTER BOYS 86.3
8-UNUSUAL JAZZ 85.6
4-TIZ POINT 83.2 (off Sept. 12)
2-STONEY FLEECE 82.0

RACE 6
3-RAISED A SECRET 93.2
2-ASKINGFORTROUBLE 91.3 (off July 12)
6-MEMPHIS 80.8
7-CELEBRITY STATUS 78.4
8-RED TESLA 78.4

RACE 7
4-SIDEPOCKET RUN 61.6
5-MIA LADY 56.5 (off slow)
3-STYLISH IN BLACK 50.2
1-TICKLE AGAIN 47.4
6-SPOILEDANDENTITLED 42.0

1st time starters - 8, 7, 2

RACE 8
9-IVANHO 97.1
7-WILLYCONKER 97.1
4-CIRCLE THE MOON 95.2
5-EXTENSIVE 95.2 (off Sept. 11)
6-KEY DECISION 93.2

RACE 9
9-BROWN BOSS 61.1 (off Nov. 12)
13-WARREN'S PAROLEE 57.0
12-HEDGER 56.5
14-DESTINO 54.5
3-BERTRANDO GRANDE 46.3

1st time starters - 2, 5, 11, 4

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, May 24, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2f.)
6-ALPINE LUCK 47.8
5-RAISE THE HOOF 44.6 (3 wide)
2-WILLIE B AWESOME 39.0

1st time starters - 4, 3, 1

RACE 2
4-SCAT PATTY 77.2
5-METAXA 65.4
3-MUSICAL ARTS 62.7 (off Dec. 11)
2-CASSANDRA LYNNE 61.6
6-SUANCES LUCK 59.6

RACE 3
5-SAINT LEO 65.9
3-POINT HAPPY 60.6 (off Dec. 11)
4-SINGLE LAUNCH 54.5
6-PUERTO WILLIAMS 38.6
1-SOFOS QUICK LOGIC 21.6

1st time starters - 2, 8, 7

RACE 4
2-THISONESFORRICKY 79.5
6-LAKE MARACAIBO 77.6
4-ICONIC SPIRIT 74.3
1-UNBRIDLED WEE 74.3
3-SMOOTH TALKER 69.8

RACE 5
8-AIN 95.2
7-NIAGARA FALLS 88.8
3-SHADOW RUNNER 88.1
5-TRUCIAL STATE 83.4
4-VIBRATO JAZZ 82.0

RACE 6
9-R S WATSON 90.7
4-BIO PRO 78.8
7-ALREADY ROCKIN 74.3
10-SOLID SOUTH 71.4
1-ALYDIDIT 69.2

RACE 7
6-CONKATE 99.0
3-EGG DROP 92.6
7-NIHILIST 84.4
2-HIDINGINPLAINSIGHT 84.4
4-BEST PRESENT EVER 80.8

RACE 8
6-AQUA FEVER 81.4
9-BIG NOTE 81.3
7-MUSIC APPEAL 65.9
2-AFLEET DEAL 63.2
10-BLAKE 61.1

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, May 23, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-SPOOKY LADY 69.2
3-MAGESTIC STINGER 60.6
4-TRIBAL DRESS 60.6
5-SALLYANA 56.0
2-OUT OF THIN AIR 55.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2f.)
2-NINNAVEE 49.2

1st time starters - 5, 4, 6, 3, 1, 8, 7

RACE 3
8-TRIBAL CHATTER 74.5
6-HANSERELLA 68.1
1-LAKESIDE BRIDE 59.6
5-COCONUT CREAM PIE 54.5
2-CLASSIC JOURNEY 44.6

1st time starters - 3, 7

RACE 4
3-JOE CARL 89.4
5-CANDY FOR DEBBIE 74.9
2-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 74.3
6-BARON VON RED 73.7
4-WOULD YOU 73.7

RACE 5
13-MISS PIPPA 91.3
7-MISS WELL MOLDED 85.6
5-MARINDA 85.0
10-TOOMANYTOMATOES 84.4
12-FANTASTIC MIZZ 82.6

RACE 6
6-REAL HEAT 63.8
4-TRICKY JOURNEY 59.0
5-HEAT FLASH 54.5
8-STORM CAUTION 51.6 (off Jan. 12)
2-PANAYIOTIS 26.8

1st time starters - 3, 7

RACE 7
3-WINE STOCK 101.8
2-SOUTH FLOYD 83.8 (off Oct. 12)
4-TOO FAST TO PASS 74.9
5-DISARM 73.1
6-SHERER MAGIC 66.4

RACE 8
9-OUR BOY BENJAMIN 89.4
7-EVER ALERT 79.0
6-BIPARTISAN 79.0
2-JAY'S FIRETRUCK 75.4
3-SOI PHET 73.7

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, May 22, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOO PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,611 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, May 19, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
7-PLENNY OF HENNY 77.8
6-PRIVILAGED 77.8 (off Nov. 12)
8-CRAGMONT 77.2
5-RED DEFENSE 69.2
3-GUIDOPANZINI 65.4

RACE 2
3-DOUBLE ANTE 90.0
7-THE ONLY KEY 89.4
1-BYRONY 89.4
2-BECKY LOU 84.4
5-APPEALING 81.9

RACE 3
1-OUR LUCKY SON 76.0
2-SURF N SKI 62.2
5-GENTLEMEN PETE 58.6
3-SINFULLY 47.4 (off slow)
6-RISESEASTSETSWEST 46.0

RACE 4
2-WARREN'S MY QUEEN 46.0
4-CHARLSIE'S SONG 42.9
6-PAY THE CUTIE 42.0
1-LA POMME D'AMOUR 39.0
5-MAGIC TIZ 39.0

RACE 5
7-PEPPY BOLLY 88.8
6-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 86.9
4-CHIMI DEE 84.4
9-LETS GET FRISKY 82.1
2-ZANBO 81.3 (off Aug. 12)

RACE 6
4-TUMMEL 93.8
1-ROYAL MERIDIAN 92.6
3-INNOCENT MAN 92.6
6-COURTSIDE 91.3
2-GUTSHOT STRIGHT 90.7

RACE 7
3-COMPARI 98.4 (off May 12)
2-SWEET SWAP 95.2
4-CHILOQUIN 95.2
1-BOAT TRIP 93.2
5-AL INSTANTE 85.6 (off Aug. 12)

RACE 8
3-HAIL MARY 95.8
4-TRES BELLE 90.0
5-IOTAPA 88.8
2-CIAO BELLA LUNA 88.8
1-IRISH PRESENCE 67.5

RACE 9
2-DON'T LOSE FAITH 73.1
5-KELDY 44.9
9-TRIBAL SYN 34.4
3-JEANNE MARINI 19.9 (off Oct. 12)

1st time starters - 8, 10, 6, 4, 7, 11

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, May 18, 2013

 

PIMLICO - THE PREAKNESS STAKES 2013





















PIMLICO

RACE 12 - THE PREAKNESS STAKES

2-GOLDENCENTS 116.4
9-ITSMYLUCKYDAY 113.6
1-ORB 112.2
4-DEPARTING 109.3
8-GOVENOR CHARLIE 108.6
5-MYLUTE 104.5
6-OXBOW 102.5
7-WILL TAKE CHARGE 99.8
3-TITLETOWN FIVE 89.4

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-AWESOME PROMISE 70.9 (off Oct. 12)
6-FAR ROCKAWAY 52.6
3-BROTHER GREG 47.0
5-HARD PLAY 24.8 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 4, 2

RACE 2
3-NOBLE EXCHANGE 86.3
4-DERRINGER 80.8
5-ERIC THE RAM 70.3
2-ITSALWAYSSOMETHING 67.0
6-CENTENARIO DE ORO 66.4 (off Nov. 12)

RACE 3
7-WEDENSDAY 86.9
4-MY CINSATION 81.4
1-CORLETT DRIVE 80.9
8-DARLING DODIE 77.8
5-WILD IN THE SADDLE 69.8

RACE 4
4-SALT TEQUILLA LIME 83.2 (off Jan 12)
3-RIDINGWITHTHEDEVIL 75.4
1-GIFTING 62.2 (off slow)
5-TIZHARDTOGET 56.5 (squeezed start)
2-TRECA 52.6

RACE 5
1-TOP KISSER 93.2
4-BENCH GLORY 88.8
7-BUTTERFLY BEACH 87.5 (off Aug. 11)
5-CHOKECHERYMARY 82.6
6-DANCINGTOTHESTARS 79.4

RACE 6
2-SALTY FORECAST 60.6
5-SELLERIA 60.2
4-SPRING GAL 58.0
3-SECRET OF SUCCESS 55.5
1-ROCK U UP 54.5

RACE 7
1-YES IT'S SNOWING 96.4
2-MR. BOSSY PANTS 90.7
8-FREE TIME 83.2
9-DUNMORE EAST 81.3 (off Sept. 12)
5-BLUE JAY ATTACK 80.8

RACE 8
5-SPORTS REPORT 64.8
1-INSTINCTIVELY BOLD 64.6 (awkward start)
7-STORM CASTLE 53.0 (off slow)
9-REGALLY SOUL 51.6
11-DRAMATIC ALLAN 43.8

1st time starters - 3, 4

RACE 9
10-SWIFT EAGLE 98.4
2-SCORPION WARRIOR 98.4
6-HE BE FIRE N ICE 94.5
5-GREAT RISING STAR 90.8
8-MOTOWN MEN 90.7

RACE 10
4-LADY OF FIFTY 95.2
5-SISTER KATE 90.0
7-MAKER OR BREAKER 87.5
2-I DAZZLE 86.3
1-LADY ASPEN 83.2

RACE 11
12-SPEEDY VIXEN 57.0
3-GOODTOBEWILD 55.0
9-ONLY JOSIE KNOWS 47.8 (off Sept. 12)
6-MADDOG MADDIE 47.7
4-TEASING MOMENT 34.6 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 11

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, May 17, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
4-NIGHT DANCE 79.6
3-SWINGAWAY 77.2
5-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 58.0
2-BRITENESS 57.3
1-BLAZEN ALL STAR 51.6

RACE 2
6-WARREN'S MORGAN 72.0
4-MICHAILASHEARTLITE 57.0
2-PINCELADA 46.9
3-CHA DA BOOM 45.1 (off March 12)
8-BABS N MARTY 42.9

RACE 3
2-TOPIC 69.8
9-INDYGO F M A 68.1
8-DANCE TEAM 67.0
7-INTOXICATING MOVE 66.4
1-HAIR ON FIRE 65.4

RACE 4
5-CAPTAIN CORRIGAN 68.6
4-TUCKERS POINT 63.2
7-TENKILLER KID 60.1
3-BRANNAMAN 52.1
2-AFFIRMED ARCH 48.8

RACE 5
1-ET TU WALKER 91.3
4-LUCKARACK 86.9
3-THINKING OF GIRLS 86.3
8-MAJOR MAGIC 86.3
7-WINSOME CHARM 78.4 (off April 12)

RACE 6
1-CONGENIAL 103.1
4-ROUSING SERMON 98.4
7-JAYCITO 98.4
6-AMERICAN BLEND 95.8
9-SOUL CANDY 86.9

RACE 7
4-SWEET RED CAT 79.0
2-MACHA 76.0
1-FINE ASSAY 76.0
3-BONNIE LESLEY 72.0
5-WOODLANDSWAY 64.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
6-CALIFORNIA CHROME 55.0
3-BETTER BET 45.5
8-BUSHWACKED 19.7 (5 wide)

1st time starters - 9, 2, 7, 10, 4, 1, 5

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, May 16, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREEHORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
5-TUPELO CUSH 21.3
2-GREAT SELECTION 9.9 (broke out bit)

1st time starters - 4, 1, 3

RACE 2
6-LIMITED RESPONSE 90.0
4-HE'S NOT TOO SHABY 79.2
2-ONE FIRM CAT 78.4
5-LOVEMEISTER 76.2
1-LAUGH AT LIFE 75.4

RACE 3
5-BROOKLYN ROSE 77.8
6-MILE HIGH BUNK 74.9
8-J AND S EXPRESS 71.4
3-KATY'S KITTY 69.2
7-SUANCES FLOWER 66.4

RACE 4
1-MALIBU LOVE 53.0
8-WILLETTA 50.2
5-TORRE ITALIANA 45.5
7-WARREN'S FANTASY 44.2
6-MARGIES RULE 39.0

RACE 5
2-WARREN'S FLASHER 88.1
4-LIA JULIANA 74.9
1-MEDUSALINA 70.9
7-AKISS FORAROSE 68.6
3-GIA IS A BELLA 66.4

RACE 6
9-FRANNIE'SSPIRITTOO 47.7
3-PSALM SIXTEEN 44.6
7-PLAY MISTY FOR US 43.8
4-MAGIC MAYA 43.3
2-SPRING SARAH 42.4

RACE 7
2-TRIBAL GAL 85.1
6-MALIBU HONEY 80.2
7-ZIA ZIA ZIA 79.0
1-LLANDUDNO 76.6
4-BROKEN SWORD 74.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
5-SPROUTS 40.7
7-HARLINGTON'S ROSE 37.8
8-PATTY WACK 35.8
6-YODELMESOMEMAGIC 30.0 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 3, 4, 1, 10, 9, 2

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, May 15, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, May 14, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOO PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,605 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, May 12, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $119,916.

RACE 1
1-PURE BLUSH 62.0
4-WARREN'S LORIE S. 57.5
3-ROLANDA 54.6
2-CAVALLA 49.5
5-WARREN'S LOVER 45.6

RACE 2
1-CORINTHIAN MELODY 70.9
2-LUCKY STUDENT 58.6
3-SHEAPAROUX 58.6
5-SWIMMIN INSUNSHINE 56.5

1st time starters - 6, 4

RACE 3
4-LANIDA 79.6
6-LEMON HERO 76.0
1-DISTANT IMAGE 73.7
3-LIVE THE FORTH 70.9 (off Oct. 12)
2-DILLY'S DANCER 66.4 (off Aug. 12)

RACE 4
3-REAL DEAL APPEAL 60.6
8-TEN TEQUILAS 57.5
2-CHICO SUERTE 54.0
1-UNUSUAL FLASH 46.9
6-SOUTHERN HEART 45.5

RACE 5
6-FOUR BETTER 76.6
4-PRETTYPRICEYGIRL 75.4
3-LOVE TALE 73.1
2-VAN BRIT 70.3
8-SMART STRIKING 70.3

RACE 6
2-PATRIOTIC LION 67.0
4-JUST IRISH 58.5
6-CAVEMAN KENO 57.0
7-SPECTACULARJOURNEY 55.0
1-TUX 49.7

RACE 7
5-DHAAMER 103.8
2-DIAMONDSDIPLOMAT 90.0
1-LIME RICKEY 83.8
4-NIAGARA FALLS 76.6
3-LITTLE EMILY 70.9

RACE 8
8-VALKYRIE MISSILE 95.8 (off July 12)
4-GALLANT GENT 89.4 (off June 12)
3-AFLEET COWBOY 74.9
1-SLYCY 74.3
9-AGILITY 70.9

RACE 9
7-CAMRYN KATE 82.6
5-TIZMETIZYOU 75.5
1-ITSALLINTHEFAMILY 71.7
8-BLAKE'S MAGIC 70.3
9-BURNS TURN 69.9

1st time starters - 11, 10, 13

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, May 11, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
5-ONDINE 84.4
4-BLACK WITCH 82.6
3-BRANDING 74.3
1-CATRAGEOUS 72.0
2-SULTRY SEASON 55.0

RACE 2
6-CONCORDE WEST 77.9
4-BROKER BRETT 73.7
8-BROTHER PETE 69.2
3-INCLINE VILLAGE 64.7
5-MAXX THE GIANT 64.3

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3
1-LET EM SHINE 105.9
5-BROADWAY EMPIRE 104.5 (bumped at start)
2-BELVIN 85.0
3-TREASURY BILL 83.2
4-SCHERER MAGIC 73.1 (off Nov. 12)

RACE 4
3-MR. MAKE BELIEVE 88.8
7-OAK KYE WHY 84.4 (off Nov. 12)
1-SO ELITE 80.8
4-SLAMMER TIME 77.8
6-TIZ ARGENT 74.9

RACE 5
3-BROADWAY NIKA 70.9
4-CATQUEST 70.9
6-COLD BAY 68.1
7-VALEN 67.5
10-PRIME NUMBER 62.7

RACE 6
8-SCARLET STRIKE 83.8
1-LILBOURNE ELIZA 82.0
4-DISKO DASKO 81.4
5-SWEET RED CAT 75.4
7-CHARLIE EM 73.8

RACE 7
7-MAJOR AFFAIR 73.7
8-SYNDICATED 73.4
3-SPIRITED TOUCH 66.4
6-A RED TIE DAY 58.0 (off July 12)
4-SPECTRUS 57.0

1st time starters - 2, 5, 1

RACE 8
1-ROYAL F J 97.8
7-SIROCCO STRIKE 95.8
5-INNOCENT MAN 92.6
4-SHOWME YOURFRIENDS 90.7
2-NO SILENT 90.0

RACE 9
2-DARK TIMBERS 61.6
3-BILLY WIN 59.6
7-MY FIELD OF DREAMS 46.9 (off Aug. 12 - off slow)
9-MAYAN EYES 46.4
5-MR. CAPPUCCINO 44.2

1st time starters - 11, 10, 14, 8, 6

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, May 10, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
2-COOK INLET 89.4
4-HASTY TREND 76.6
3-ARCODORO 74.3
1-CORNER OFFICE 71.0
5-WORLD RENOWNED 61.4

RACE 2
2-RACY ROSA 67.5
5-ROSSI RESERVE 58.0
3-PLAZARITA 54.0
1-WARRENS CHINA DOLL 43.8
4-GLORIFIED 41.0

RACE 3
5-TRIBAL DUDE 65.9
7-SAINT LEO 65.9
9-ART OFFICIAL 61.8
4-FOLLINI 58.5
6-LUCKY COTTON 46.3

1st time starters - 8, 2, 1, 3

RACE 4
5-JESSE' GIACOMO 58.0
3-O HAPPY GRAY 55.0
4-GLORYANDPRAYER 48.8
6-ACUTE 44.6
1-WINK AND WISH 30.0

RACE 5
5-ZUBOFF 91.9
4-FAST N FURIUS CAT 90.0
1-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 85.6
2-U S CITIZEN 84.4 (off Aug. 12)
3-BOOMPA 70.6

RACE 6
3-CAST A DOUBT 84.4 (off April 12)
1-TIZAPLAYER 76.6
2-FRENCH STORM 63.8
7-BLUE CHEROKEE 56.0

1st time starters - 5, 4, 6

RACE 7
6-HALF STRIKE 95.8
3-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 94.5
5-CALL ME KELLY 91.3
4-GOD OF WAR 90.7
1-MIND THE MASTER 77.2

RACE 8
8-U'NARACK 76.8 (off Sept. 12)
7-TROY STORY 69.2
10-TRIAL SPIN 61.5
9-CATCANSCAT 59.6
5-MEYDAN MAGIC 59.4

1st timestarters - 6

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, May 09, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
5-BODAWAY 70.3
3-J J BE CHILLIN 59.0
1-WHILLY PINK 52.1
2-JUSTA GUSTA 52.1
4-LUZ ATTICUS 46.4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)

ALL 1ST TIME STARTERS - NO SELECTIONS

RACE 3
1-PURE LOYALTY 85.6
3-SQUARE DANCER 81.4
6-DEMOCRAT DUCK 78.4
5-HORIZON SKY 74.0
2-MICELI 72.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)

ALL 1ST TIME STARTERS - NO SELECTIONS

RACE 5
6-GRANNY CALLING 83.2
1-I"M TOPS 77.1
4-SO SHE DANCES 73.7
2-JOYCE AND ME 73.7
7-OBLIVION 72.0 (off July 12)

RACE 6
5-AWESOME INDY 105.9 (off May 11)
7-JOHNNY BE MINE 96.5
8-URBAN HUNTER 92.6
9-KILAT 90.0
3-NIGHT BADGER 88.1 (off July 12)

RACE 7
2-SISTER GLADY OH LA 82.0
3-ESENTEPE 80.6
5-PLAZA DE INDIAS 79.0
1-MISS RADIANCE 69.9
4-UNKEPT RENDEZ VOUS 68.7

RACE 8
8-KRAZYPAPAYA 66.4
4-DOW DIVA 64.3
3-ROUST'EM BERTIE 64.3
9-SIDEPOCKET RUN 61.6
5-KYLEE'S STAR 60.6

1st time starters - 1, 2

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, May 07, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, May 06, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOO PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,599 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, May 05, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
3-ONE WORLD 78.4
6-PRIME NUMBER 76.6
2-VALENTINE BOY 75.4
4-GREYLAINE 72.6
1-GREAT FRIENDS RULE 57.0

RACE 2
8-BEER MEISTER 77.2
6-QUINDICI MAN 71.0
3-STREET OF HEAVEN 69.2
7-OUR BOY BENJAMIN 68.1
2-GLOBAL GLOW 67.0

RACE 3
3-TEDDY'S PROMISE 108.6
6-MAGICAL BAND 95.8
7-HIDINGINPLAINSIGHT 87.5
2-SHUMOOS 81.4
5-JOURNALISTE 73.1
4-SCARY RIDE 73.1

RACE 4
1-R DOUBLEDAY 72.0
3-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 65.4
2-WARRENS VENEDALUCY 64.3 (off Sept. 12)
7-ARINYES LOVE 63.2
5-MAGIC MAMA 59.6

RACE 5
2-THE WHOLE DEAL 83.2
3-LAUGH AT LIFE 79.1
6-D J MANLOVE 73.4
4-ONE FIRM CAT 68.9
5-TOO FAST TO PASS 67.9

RACE 6
7-MI HIJO 96.4
4-DROVER CRAZY 74.5
5-OUR LUCKY SON 73.7

1st time starters - 10, 2, 1, 6, 11, 8, 9

RACE 7
6-MORENO 88.2
4-NIAGARA FALLS 80.2
7-PRINCE TELEMACHUS 79.9
8-INCENTIVIZE 74.9
5-APOSTLE PAUL 73.7

RACE 8
2-GALLANT FIELDS 99.8
6-BLACK N BEAUTY 95.8
1-ROYAL MERIDIAN 92.6
4-GOLDEN ITIZ 91.9
5-RELENTLESS HEAT 87.5
8-CASTAWAY 87.5

RACE 9
7-MY PAL ARIANA 54.6
2-TIZ ANNA 52.6
5-MEZZANOTTE 52.6
12-COMMANDER CLOUD 51.5
6-HEDY 50.2

1st time starters - 8, 4

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, May 04, 2013

 

CHURCHILL DOWNS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS FOR THE KENTUCKY DERBY





















CHURCHILL DOWNS

RACE 11 - KENTUCKY DERBY

8-GOLDEN CENTS 116.4
14-VERRAZANO 113.6
12-ITSMYLUCKYDAY 113.6
3-REVOLUTIONARY 112.9
16-ORB 112.2
11-LINES OF BATTLE 110.0
5-NORMANDY INVASION 107.3
17-WILL TAKE CHARGE 105.9
20-VYJACK 105.2
9-OVERANALYZE 104.5
19-JAVA'S WAR 103.8
6-MYLUTE 101.8
10-PALACE MALICE 101.1
15-CHARMING KITTEN 95.8
2-OXBOW 93.9
7-GIANT FINISH 93.9
13-FALLING SKY 93.9
4-GOLDEN SOUL 92.6
18-FRAC DADDY 79.0

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
1-MISS PIPPA 91.3
5-SPRING BLOOM 81.4
6-LA ZUBIA 73.7
3-MS PIANIST 72.6
4-CHESTNUT MOON 68.1

RACE 2
5-SPEEDY VIXEN 58.0
3-BEAUTIFUL SPIRIT 46.9 (off slow)
8-MARGIES RULE 38.2
6-SO PRETTY 37.4
4-MINT TWIST 33.4

1st time starters - 9, 7

RACE 3
1-WOEBEGON 85.6
6-POWER OF NINE 70.3
4-J AND S EXPRESS 68.1
5-TRIBALICIOUS 66.1
8-ADDENDUM 64.3

RACE 4
4-LAKE MARACAIBO 85.0 (off May 12)
7-PRINCESS OF PEARL 74.9
9-MOJO MISS 57.0
6-HARD ROCKIN GIRL 53.5
1-PERFECT PACKAGE 47.4

1st time starters - 2, 8

RACE 5
7-L. A. WEEKEND 110.0
2-CENTRALINTELIGENCE 108.6
5-ITALIAN RULES 105.2
6-COMMA TO THE TOP 103.8
3-AIN'T NO OTHER 97.8

RACE 6
7-MACHO DORADO 94.5
3-TOLEDO EDDIE 88.8
2-STONESIDE 86.3
8-DIAMOND OF BLUE 80.2
9-TOTAL BULL 72.6

RACE 7
9-GONNA FLY NOW 100.4
3-GENIUS 100.4 (off Dec. 11)
1-SCORPION WARRIOR 96.5
5-ERNIE OWL 94.5
6-WILD MEDIA 93.2

RACE 8
2-FASHION SECRET 75.4
11-ROSIES READY 64.3 (off Nov. 12)
5-HERE'S TO ROSE 57.0
7-TWO BLUE HENS 57.0

1st time starters - 10, 3, 1, 9, 6, 8, 13, 4, 12

RACE 9
4-MIDNIGHT CROONER 90.7
11-ARRAIGNMENT 88.8
6-SCORPION TIME 85.2
14-MR. MAKE BELIEVE 85.0
16-SO ELITE 82.0

RACE 10
7-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 109.3
3-GUILT TRIP 107.3
2-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 103.8
4-LIAISON 103.1
6-KETTLE CORN 102.5 (off Dec. 12)

RACE 11
6-END OF TIME 64.3
11-LICO 64.3
12-DESTINO 63.2
8-SOUL SAVER 52.1
2-OUR TROOPER 49.7

1st time starters - 4, 10

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Friday, May 03, 2013

 

CHURCHILL DOWNS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS FOR THE KENTUCKY 0AKS - G1 - PURSE $1,000,000

















CHURCHILL DOWNS

RACE 11 - KENTUCKY OAKS

8-DREAMING OF JULIA 115.7
4-UNLIMITED BUDGET 110.0
3-BEHOLDER 107.3
2-MIDNIGHT LUCKY 104.5
9-ROSE TO GOLD 101.8
1-SILSITA 99.1
11-CLOSE HATCHES 96.5
5-SEANEEN GIRL 96.5
6-PRINCESS OF SYLMAR 90.0
7-PURE FUN 86.3

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
1-NINNAVEE 32.0
4-TOM KHA 9.2

1st time starters - 3, 6, 2, 5, 7

RACE 2
3-BIPARTISAN 82.0
7-SOI PHET 73.1
1-AFFRETTANDO 63.6
2-ANYTHINGSCOOKIN 62.7
4-SANIBEL SID 62.2

RACE 3
1-THERMAL NERMAL 85.0
4-MELTARIB 81.4 (off April 12)
3-STREET SAVY 79.7
5-SECRET COVE 79.0
2-TOOMANYTOMATOES 79.0

RACE 4
6-GRAND CORREDORA 65.9
4-HIDDEN PASSION 64.8
8-AUNT EMMA 60.1
2-SASSY BRUNETTE 58.0
7-ZAMBRA MORA 53.0

RACE 5
9-BENCH LIGHT 88.8
6-TURN ON THE PUMPS 77.8
2-WAITWAITDONTTELLME 76.0
5-ALL DE VICTORS 76.0 (off Oct. 12)
4-WARRENS WILD THING 74.6

RACE 6
10-ITSAWAYSSOMETHING 68.6 (off slow)
3-SURF N SKI 68.1
6-WARREN'S TYLER S. 54.5
2-SWISS SWORD 48.8
8-SINGLE LAUNCH 45.5

1st time starters - 7

RACE 7
4-MANANDO 101.1
5-CHIEF HAVOC 92.6
6-HARLINGTON NIGHT 87.5
8-KID DREAMS 86.3
3-SAINT PRADO 77.8

RACE 8
9-AIRFOIL 86.3
7-TENKILLER KID 75.2
3-AFFLICTION 74.9
10-SAY OW 70.3
4-GREAT RISING STAR 69.8
5-ROCABAR 68.6

1st time starters - 1

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, May 02, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






NOTE: FRIDAY I WILL HANDICAP THE ENTIRE BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK CARD AND ALSO THE KENTUCKY OAKS RACE FROM CHURCHILL DOWNS.

SATURDAY I WILL HANDICAP THE ENTIRE BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK CARD AND THE KENTUCKY DERBY RACE FROM CHURCHILL DOWNS.


RACE 1
2-PARIS AFFAIR 55.0
5-PURE SMILES 49.5
6-SHAMEFULLY SINFUL 46.4
3-ON GOLDEN PAWN 24.1 (off slow)

1st time starters - 1, 4

RACE 2
6-MISS ROBYN 66.4
3-TRIBAL CUSTOM 61.1
1-MYNTZ CONNECTION 59.0
4-MAGESTIC STINGER 58.0
2-OUT OF THIN AIR 57.0

RACE 3
2-DYNAMIZE 65.9
9-MILK MAN RAY 65.9
4-ALMOST BETTER 61.6
3-HEDGER 54.5
1-BOB GRECO 53.5

1st time starters - 8

RACE 4
3-DAYLIGHT STORM 99.8 (off Dec. 11)
4-CRAGMONT 71.4
10-HALF DOME DUDE 68.6
6-TRAWEEK 68.1
7-IDONTROLLONSHABBOS 67.5

RACE 5
5-DUBAI YOU X Y Z 95.2
7-CAUSEITHERTZ 92.6
3-WILLYCONKER 91.9
1-WILKINSON 90.7
4-ASHTAR 88.1 (off Feb. 12)

RACE 6
3-SISTER ESPERANZA 70.3
8-GELILA 68.3 (off Oct. 12)
7-ITALIAN BABA 67.5
2-SAMURAI JESS 62.2
4-SCAT PATTY 61.1

RACE 7
3-MUCHOS BESOS 97.1
4-BLUEGRASS REWARD 93.2
5-REAL CONUNDRUM 84.4
8-KEYBOARD COURAGE 80.2
7-HAWKEDON 78.3

RACE 8
13-WARREN'S NICHOLAS 80.2
6-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 73.7
12-IN A WINE TIZZY 73.7
2-ACKMAN 71.1
11-UNUSUAL LOVER 70.3

1st time starters - 14, 1

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?