Friday, June 30, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.
Thur. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (11.60) 3rd pick 2nd (5.60) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (23.40) Q (24.20) 2nd 1st timer 3rd (6.60) trifecta (217.80). Race 2- 3rd pick won (5.00) 2nd pick 3rd (3.60). Race 3- 3rd pick won (10.40) top pick 2nd (4.00) 2nd pick 3rd (2.20) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (20.10) Q (19.80), no trifecta. Race 4- 4th pick won (29.40) 2nd pick 2nd (5.40) top pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (53.00) Q (56.60). Race 5- 2 picks scratched, Top pick won (7.00) 2nd pick 2nd (2.60) Ex (8.20) Q (7.60). Race 6- 2nd pick won (10.00) top pick 2nd (4.20) boxed Ex (19.80) Q (15.60). Race 8-3rd pick 2nd (8.80) 2nd pick 3rd (5.60).
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THERE WILL NOT BE A FRIDAY RECAP DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING- 7:05 P.M. POST
RACE 1
7-WICKERSHAM 56.5
4-LADY CANYON 50.2
11-I'M CONVINCED 41.6
3-TOUGH COMPANY 27.2
1st time starters - 1, 6, 5, 9, 2, 10, 12
RACE 2
3-GRAFTON 99.8
5-GENERAL FOX 98.4
6-COURTNALL 93.8
7-WILD SHAMAN 92.6
RACE 3
11-LACEYONTOP 48.3
6-LOBSTER ONTUESDAYS 41.6
13-AMIGA MIA 39.4
12-BACHELORETTE ONE 34.2
RACE 4
4-SENHOR CATI 86.9
8-SEA MY HALO 76.3
11-RILEY'S LIFE 75.3
9-EPIC COMMANDER 73.7
RACE 5
10-WALKONKAYDEEAVENUE 75.4
6-TUTTA BELLA 75.2
3-HUMIDITY74.3
5-TRIPLE STRAND 73.1
RACE 6
6-SNEAKY DIP 77.8
4-LOOKING FORWARD 66.4
10-RUN GOLDIE RUN 58.0
9-DEL MAR LEE 56.5
RACE 7
6-WEE JINKY 82.6
3-HIT IT SKIP 82.6
4-REQUEST GIVEN 80.8
2-AWESOME JARED 76.0
RACE 8
12-HIGHLY GALLANT 72.0
6-DERBY DIABLO 60.1
8-PARADISE COVE 59.1
11-FANATICAL 57.0
1st time starters - 4, 14
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THERE WILL NOT BE A FRIDAY RECAP DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING- 7:05 P.M. POST
RACE 1
7-WICKERSHAM 56.5
4-LADY CANYON 50.2
11-I'M CONVINCED 41.6
3-TOUGH COMPANY 27.2
1st time starters - 1, 6, 5, 9, 2, 10, 12
RACE 2
3-GRAFTON 99.8
5-GENERAL FOX 98.4
6-COURTNALL 93.8
7-WILD SHAMAN 92.6
RACE 3
11-LACEYONTOP 48.3
6-LOBSTER ONTUESDAYS 41.6
13-AMIGA MIA 39.4
12-BACHELORETTE ONE 34.2
RACE 4
4-SENHOR CATI 86.9
8-SEA MY HALO 76.3
11-RILEY'S LIFE 75.3
9-EPIC COMMANDER 73.7
RACE 5
10-WALKONKAYDEEAVENUE 75.4
6-TUTTA BELLA 75.2
3-HUMIDITY74.3
5-TRIPLE STRAND 73.1
RACE 6
6-SNEAKY DIP 77.8
4-LOOKING FORWARD 66.4
10-RUN GOLDIE RUN 58.0
9-DEL MAR LEE 56.5
RACE 7
6-WEE JINKY 82.6
3-HIT IT SKIP 82.6
4-REQUEST GIVEN 80.8
2-AWESOME JARED 76.0
RACE 8
12-HIGHLY GALLANT 72.0
6-DERBY DIABLO 60.1
8-PARADISE COVE 59.1
11-FANATICAL 57.0
1st time starters - 4, 14
Thursday, June 29, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-POP ICON 73.1
2-BACKUS 67.2
3-DIAMOND MINER 57.5
6-JAYGREG 51.0
1st time starters - 5, 4
RACE 2
7-I'VE DECIDED 90.7
1-BRAZEN N' BOLD 76.0
3-SLOW N EASY 75.5
2-TOMMYLAND 73.7
RACE 3
1-HE'S THE RAGE 107.3
4-POWER BOY 101.8
5-ATTACK FORCE 96.5
2-CHIPS ARE DOWN 95.8
RACE 4 (all 2yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-WARREN'S FREEHOUSE 38.2
6-GOLDEN ROUTE 35.8
7-SHE'S A GOLDDIGGER 27.2
1-GOLD CHANT 26.5
1st time starters or 2 f. race - 2, 8, 4, 10
RACE 5
5-INDY WEEKEND 103.1
10-LIGHTNING HIT 93.9
13-PARKHIMONBROADWAY 91.9
4-BRANSFIELD 82.6
6-FULL IN 82.6
RACE 6
2-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 54.5
6-OBASSABA 51.6
7-INDIAN SLIPPER 51.6
4-C R VICTORY BABE 49.7
RACE 7
6-RIVER SAVAGE 97.1
7-DEW DROP 95.0
3-SMOOVE 91.3
8-FEEL RIDGE 82.6
RACE 8
8-STRICTLY LEGIT 73.1
5-MIADUEBELLE 63.2
1-HOME TOUR 62.8
3-PHINADANZ 59.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-POP ICON 73.1
2-BACKUS 67.2
3-DIAMOND MINER 57.5
6-JAYGREG 51.0
1st time starters - 5, 4
RACE 2
7-I'VE DECIDED 90.7
1-BRAZEN N' BOLD 76.0
3-SLOW N EASY 75.5
2-TOMMYLAND 73.7
RACE 3
1-HE'S THE RAGE 107.3
4-POWER BOY 101.8
5-ATTACK FORCE 96.5
2-CHIPS ARE DOWN 95.8
RACE 4 (all 2yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-WARREN'S FREEHOUSE 38.2
6-GOLDEN ROUTE 35.8
7-SHE'S A GOLDDIGGER 27.2
1-GOLD CHANT 26.5
1st time starters or 2 f. race - 2, 8, 4, 10
RACE 5
5-INDY WEEKEND 103.1
10-LIGHTNING HIT 93.9
13-PARKHIMONBROADWAY 91.9
4-BRANSFIELD 82.6
6-FULL IN 82.6
RACE 6
2-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 54.5
6-OBASSABA 51.6
7-INDIAN SLIPPER 51.6
4-C R VICTORY BABE 49.7
RACE 7
6-RIVER SAVAGE 97.1
7-DEW DROP 95.0
3-SMOOVE 91.3
8-FEEL RIDGE 82.6
RACE 8
8-STRICTLY LEGIT 73.1
5-MIADUEBELLE 63.2
1-HOME TOUR 62.8
3-PHINADANZ 59.6
Wednesday, June 28, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - A NEW TRACK SURFACE
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Hollywood Park has announced that the track will replace it's main track surface at the end of this meet (July 16) with a synthetic surface known as Cushion Track. It consists of silica sand mixed with synthetic fibers, elastic fiber, and granulated rubber. The entire material is coated with a blend of wax. The material is made by Equestrian surfaces of Burnley England.
The new surface will meet the California Horse Racing Board requirement that all tracks with more than four weeks of consecutive Thoroughbred racing have a synthetic surface installed by Dec. 31, 2007.
The Hollywood Park project will begin a few days after the end of the current meet and must be completed by the end of August. Hollywood park will be able to resume training when stables return from the Del Mar meet on Sept. 6, 2006. Hollywood Parks next meet is Nov. 1, 2006 and lasts for 36 days.
The track plans to remove the top 12 inches of it's current surface and install an extensive drainage system. This will include 4 1/2 miles of pipe, a porous rock base and nine inches of of Cushion Track. Work may be done in the evenings if necessary as Hollywood Park has a lighting system for it's night racing programs.
This type of surface has been used in England for more than ten years and is very popular there. Many believe synthetic surfaces are safer than conventional dirt surfaces and provide less concussion for horses and reducing injuries.
Hollywood Park has announced that the track will replace it's main track surface at the end of this meet (July 16) with a synthetic surface known as Cushion Track. It consists of silica sand mixed with synthetic fibers, elastic fiber, and granulated rubber. The entire material is coated with a blend of wax. The material is made by Equestrian surfaces of Burnley England.
The new surface will meet the California Horse Racing Board requirement that all tracks with more than four weeks of consecutive Thoroughbred racing have a synthetic surface installed by Dec. 31, 2007.
The Hollywood Park project will begin a few days after the end of the current meet and must be completed by the end of August. Hollywood park will be able to resume training when stables return from the Del Mar meet on Sept. 6, 2006. Hollywood Parks next meet is Nov. 1, 2006 and lasts for 36 days.
The track plans to remove the top 12 inches of it's current surface and install an extensive drainage system. This will include 4 1/2 miles of pipe, a porous rock base and nine inches of of Cushion Track. Work may be done in the evenings if necessary as Hollywood Park has a lighting system for it's night racing programs.
This type of surface has been used in England for more than ten years and is very popular there. Many believe synthetic surfaces are safer than conventional dirt surfaces and provide less concussion for horses and reducing injuries.
Tuesday, June 27, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ABOUT MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago.The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.
Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago.The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.
Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
Monday, June 26, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at the racebook I go to as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout, and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. How you bet the picks is the key. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened twice that I know of in over 290 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have? GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at the racebook I go to as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout, and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. How you bet the picks is the key. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened twice that I know of in over 290 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have? GOOD LUCK.
Saturday, June 24, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.
THERE WILL NOT BE A FRIDAY RECAP DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
7-BELONG TO PARFAIT 74.3
6-LAZER PARK 68.1
1-LOLLAPALOOZA 67.5
5-DIXIE COURAGE 61.1
RACE 2
9-GLASSY 88.1
2-THE WAGES OF SIN 80.8
1-ALL AGLOW 80.0
5-ONE CHARMING DEVIL 75.3
RACE 3
1-LORD ALBION 93.9
3-CROWNED DANCER 87.5
4-MAKE MINE VODKA 86.9
6-INDIAN WEAVER 84.4
RACE 4 (all 2yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-HOLY LARK 45.1 (slow start)
8-CUTTING FORCE 38.2
5-MASTER MARK 36.6
4-FAST CORREDOR 36.2
1st time starters - 6, 10, 3, 2, 1, 7
RACE 5
4-CIELO BLINCOE 76.0
9-COMACHO 75.5
1-HOT CONTEST 75.5
6-BULL MOOSE 74.9
RACE 6
5-SUBWAY SING 91.9
9-BOSTON GOLD 86.3 (off Aug. 05)
2-SWEET FITZ 85.6
1-MISS MAESTRO 83.2
RACE 7
7-TEXAS KITTY 81.4
2-HAVASU 76.0
8-POLAR KID 55.5
1-FAIRE LA BISE 54.0
1st time starters - 5
RACE 8
1-MOSCOW BURNING 102.5
3-LIVE LIFE 99.8
9-ETERNAL MELODY 99.1
6-DREAM LADY 96.5
7-DALICIA 96.5
RACE 9
1-HONOLULU BABY 68.6
11-TAMARA STAR 58.0
12-ROSEMARY C 44.6
13-LADY CANYON 41.1
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
7-BELONG TO PARFAIT 74.3
6-LAZER PARK 68.1
1-LOLLAPALOOZA 67.5
5-DIXIE COURAGE 61.1
RACE 2
9-GLASSY 88.1
2-THE WAGES OF SIN 80.8
1-ALL AGLOW 80.0
5-ONE CHARMING DEVIL 75.3
RACE 3
1-LORD ALBION 93.9
3-CROWNED DANCER 87.5
4-MAKE MINE VODKA 86.9
6-INDIAN WEAVER 84.4
RACE 4 (all 2yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-HOLY LARK 45.1 (slow start)
8-CUTTING FORCE 38.2
5-MASTER MARK 36.6
4-FAST CORREDOR 36.2
1st time starters - 6, 10, 3, 2, 1, 7
RACE 5
4-CIELO BLINCOE 76.0
9-COMACHO 75.5
1-HOT CONTEST 75.5
6-BULL MOOSE 74.9
RACE 6
5-SUBWAY SING 91.9
9-BOSTON GOLD 86.3 (off Aug. 05)
2-SWEET FITZ 85.6
1-MISS MAESTRO 83.2
RACE 7
7-TEXAS KITTY 81.4
2-HAVASU 76.0
8-POLAR KID 55.5
1-FAIRE LA BISE 54.0
1st time starters - 5
RACE 8
1-MOSCOW BURNING 102.5
3-LIVE LIFE 99.8
9-ETERNAL MELODY 99.1
6-DREAM LADY 96.5
7-DALICIA 96.5
RACE 9
1-HONOLULU BABY 68.6
11-TAMARA STAR 58.0
12-ROSEMARY C 44.6
13-LADY CANYON 41.1
Friday, June 23, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.
Thur. recap- Race 1- 3rd pick won (7.40) 4th pick 2nd (12.60) 2nd pick 3rd (2.10) picks boxed (Ex (30.60) Q (38.20) no trifecta. Race 2- 4th pick won (4.20) top pick 2nd (3.00) 3rd pick 4th, Ex (4.70) Q (5.00) 50/1 ran 3rd. Race 3- 3rd pick won (9.80) top pick 3rd (3.20) 2nd pick 4th, 12/1 ran 2nd. Race 4- all 2yo. going 5f.- 2nd 1st timer won (8.00) top pick 2nd (8.40) top 1st timer 3rd (2.60) 3rd 1st timer 4th, top pick boxed with top 3 1st timers- Ex (21.30) Q (34.60) Trifecta (70.00) Superfecta (195.20). Race 5-2nd pick won (3.80) 3rd pick 3rd (3.20) 4th pick 4th. Race 6-1 1st timer scratched, 2nd pick 2nd (3.00) top pick 3rd (2.80). Race 7- 2nd pick won (18.20) top pick 2nd (6.40) top 2 picks boxed- Ex (50.50) Q 51.40). Race 8- 3rd 1st timer won (19.20) 3rd pick 2nd (7.00) top pick 4th, Ex (53.50) Q 44.40).
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with the horses.
THERE WILL NOT BE A FRIDAY RECAP DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING - POST 7:05 P.M.
RACE 1
4-ESPRESSO LOVE 97.8
2-CHOBIGMOE 77.2
3-POLITICAL MANEUVER 74.9
7-SIXTH STREET JOE 74.3
1st time starters - 6
RACE 2
7-AWESOME BEGINNING 78.2
3-SIP ONE FOR MOM 77.1
5-SILK KERCHIEF 76.6
6-OL' RAZZLE DAZZLE 76.6
RACE 3
3-COUSIN JOE 80.8
9-HANDSOME MICHAEL K 69.8
2-HIGH EENA 66.4
12-WAR GAEL 63.2
8-CADILLAC LARRY 63.2
1st time starters - 11
RACE 4
6-UGOTADOWHATUGOTADO 89.4
4-ADANCE 87.5
7-O K TOPLESS 79.0
8-OUR FREE BEE 76.0
RACE 5
2-WITNESS THIS 102.5
8-SEA HARBOR 99.1
4-SOLID FUEL 92.6
3-HOLE IN THE HEAD 91.9
RACE 6
13-ORO DE OLE' 70.3
6-LITE NELLY 57.5
2-LOIS BEAU GENIUS 55.5
8-SOUND AND VISION 54.0
1st time starters - 4
RACE 7
1-HOLDTHEHELM 103.1
11-HATIF 96.5
2-DARK SORCERER 93.2
15-DELL PLACE 90.7
RACE 8
1-I'VE DECIDED 90.0
6-VITALI 78.4
10-READY TO FLIRT 75.4
7-SABALUCIOUS 75.4
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with the horses.
THERE WILL NOT BE A FRIDAY RECAP DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING - POST 7:05 P.M.
RACE 1
4-ESPRESSO LOVE 97.8
2-CHOBIGMOE 77.2
3-POLITICAL MANEUVER 74.9
7-SIXTH STREET JOE 74.3
1st time starters - 6
RACE 2
7-AWESOME BEGINNING 78.2
3-SIP ONE FOR MOM 77.1
5-SILK KERCHIEF 76.6
6-OL' RAZZLE DAZZLE 76.6
RACE 3
3-COUSIN JOE 80.8
9-HANDSOME MICHAEL K 69.8
2-HIGH EENA 66.4
12-WAR GAEL 63.2
8-CADILLAC LARRY 63.2
1st time starters - 11
RACE 4
6-UGOTADOWHATUGOTADO 89.4
4-ADANCE 87.5
7-O K TOPLESS 79.0
8-OUR FREE BEE 76.0
RACE 5
2-WITNESS THIS 102.5
8-SEA HARBOR 99.1
4-SOLID FUEL 92.6
3-HOLE IN THE HEAD 91.9
RACE 6
13-ORO DE OLE' 70.3
6-LITE NELLY 57.5
2-LOIS BEAU GENIUS 55.5
8-SOUND AND VISION 54.0
1st time starters - 4
RACE 7
1-HOLDTHEHELM 103.1
11-HATIF 96.5
2-DARK SORCERER 93.2
15-DELL PLACE 90.7
RACE 8
1-I'VE DECIDED 90.0
6-VITALI 78.4
10-READY TO FLIRT 75.4
7-SABALUCIOUS 75.4
Wednesday, June 21, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-LESLIE LILL 82.0
2-LADY KAMALA 80.8
1-JULEP CUP 76.6
6-MALLERY GIRL 53.0
RACE 2
3-GUEST 71.4
1-VALIANT BLUES 65.4
2-SWEET SID 62.2
4-EARLY ANNA 59.8
RACE 3
8-CONCEPTUAL 81.4
1-SILVER BEACH 74.9
4-SI CHIMI 65.3
5-UNDERHILL 58.2
RACE 4
5-HEIRLOOM ROSE 69.8
3-MS MELANGE 68.1
2-LOOKING FORWARD 61.1
6-SWISS PLEASE 58.5
RACE 5 (all 2yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-WON MORE PENNY 54.5
6-MAKING HASTE 44.6
3-HELLO BOLLY 43.3
4-BEAUTYONTHELOOSE 42.4
1st time starters - 2, 7
RACE 6
4-THE MISSILE CAME 83.8
1-DOUBLE PARKED 81.4
6-WILBURS MR. ED 77.8
3-FIGHTINTHECAT 76.6
RACE 7
1-HELLO FAME 104.5
5-ONE UNION 90.0
4-NEVER SURRENDER 88.8
2-TOP MONEY 86.9
RACE 8
11-OLYMPIAN MEDAL 54.5
10-TOUCH THE WOOD 54.5
1-SWIFT WINDS 52.1
3-ENGINEER 48.8
7-TOO MUCH GEORGE 48.8
1st time starters - 8, 2
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-LESLIE LILL 82.0
2-LADY KAMALA 80.8
1-JULEP CUP 76.6
6-MALLERY GIRL 53.0
RACE 2
3-GUEST 71.4
1-VALIANT BLUES 65.4
2-SWEET SID 62.2
4-EARLY ANNA 59.8
RACE 3
8-CONCEPTUAL 81.4
1-SILVER BEACH 74.9
4-SI CHIMI 65.3
5-UNDERHILL 58.2
RACE 4
5-HEIRLOOM ROSE 69.8
3-MS MELANGE 68.1
2-LOOKING FORWARD 61.1
6-SWISS PLEASE 58.5
RACE 5 (all 2yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-WON MORE PENNY 54.5
6-MAKING HASTE 44.6
3-HELLO BOLLY 43.3
4-BEAUTYONTHELOOSE 42.4
1st time starters - 2, 7
RACE 6
4-THE MISSILE CAME 83.8
1-DOUBLE PARKED 81.4
6-WILBURS MR. ED 77.8
3-FIGHTINTHECAT 76.6
RACE 7
1-HELLO FAME 104.5
5-ONE UNION 90.0
4-NEVER SURRENDER 88.8
2-TOP MONEY 86.9
RACE 8
11-OLYMPIAN MEDAL 54.5
10-TOUCH THE WOOD 54.5
1-SWIFT WINDS 52.1
3-ENGINEER 48.8
7-TOO MUCH GEORGE 48.8
1st time starters - 8, 2
Tuesday, June 20, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago.The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago.The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
Saturday, June 17, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.
NO RECAP FRIDAY DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-SKI SEATTLE 68.1
6-MAXXI ARTE 67.5
1-FOLLOW YOUR BLISS 67.5
5-HEMET HUMOR 61.5
1st time starters - 7, 2, 3
RACE 2
5-SIX NUMBERS 93.9
1-DANTHEBLUEGRASSMAN 91.3
3-RUFUSTHEROADRUNNER 86.3
4-STALKING TIGER 81.4
7-ENDED 81.4
RACE 3
9-EVALUATE 95.2
8-GOLD MAKER 90.0
7-CITY SWAGGER 82.0
4-NATIVE TELL 76.0
1st time starters - 1, 3, 6, 5
RACE 4
2-POINT DETERMINED 112.9
4-A. P. WARRIOR 109.3
1-CAUSE TO BELIEVE 103.1
6-RECORD 99.1
RACE 5
5-PEEK A BOOTRANDO 95.2
12-WHO'S KIDDING WHO 90.0
6-LOS SOLANO 89.4
10-PERSISTENT 86.9
RACE 6
6-SPELLBINDER 115.0
3-SUPER FROLIC 113.6
5-MELANYHASTHEPAPERS 108.0
4-PREACHINATTHEBAR 108.0
RACE 7
5-ZAPPA 87.5
4-JUDGMENT DAY 87.5
8-WEEKEND TIGER 76.0
3-NORTH FLEET STREET 70.9
1st time starters - 11
RACE 8
8-STRATAGEM 99.1
5-NATURAL PHENOMENON 92.6
2-MYSTO'S 85.6
3-WALTER RINGER 80.8
RACE 9
5-CORSARIO 104.3
3-UKIAH 101.8
4-MARGARITALOSFLORES 93.2
6-I'LL PREY FOR YOU 91.3
RACE 10
8-WAYWARD STORM 85.0
10-CLASSY LOVER 73.7
6-MEXICO EXCESS 71.8
9-FLYING BEARCAT 69.2
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-SKI SEATTLE 68.1
6-MAXXI ARTE 67.5
1-FOLLOW YOUR BLISS 67.5
5-HEMET HUMOR 61.5
1st time starters - 7, 2, 3
RACE 2
5-SIX NUMBERS 93.9
1-DANTHEBLUEGRASSMAN 91.3
3-RUFUSTHEROADRUNNER 86.3
4-STALKING TIGER 81.4
7-ENDED 81.4
RACE 3
9-EVALUATE 95.2
8-GOLD MAKER 90.0
7-CITY SWAGGER 82.0
4-NATIVE TELL 76.0
1st time starters - 1, 3, 6, 5
RACE 4
2-POINT DETERMINED 112.9
4-A. P. WARRIOR 109.3
1-CAUSE TO BELIEVE 103.1
6-RECORD 99.1
RACE 5
5-PEEK A BOOTRANDO 95.2
12-WHO'S KIDDING WHO 90.0
6-LOS SOLANO 89.4
10-PERSISTENT 86.9
RACE 6
6-SPELLBINDER 115.0
3-SUPER FROLIC 113.6
5-MELANYHASTHEPAPERS 108.0
4-PREACHINATTHEBAR 108.0
RACE 7
5-ZAPPA 87.5
4-JUDGMENT DAY 87.5
8-WEEKEND TIGER 76.0
3-NORTH FLEET STREET 70.9
1st time starters - 11
RACE 8
8-STRATAGEM 99.1
5-NATURAL PHENOMENON 92.6
2-MYSTO'S 85.6
3-WALTER RINGER 80.8
RACE 9
5-CORSARIO 104.3
3-UKIAH 101.8
4-MARGARITALOSFLORES 93.2
6-I'LL PREY FOR YOU 91.3
RACE 10
8-WAYWARD STORM 85.0
10-CLASSY LOVER 73.7
6-MEXICO EXCESS 71.8
9-FLYING BEARCAT 69.2
Thursday, June 15, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.
Wed. recap- Race 1- 4th pick "tied" won (25.80) top pick 2nd (2.80)3rd pick 3rd (5.20) picks boxed- Ex (30.50) Q (26.40) Trifecta (292.50) 2nd pick 4th. Race 2- Top pick won (4.60) 4th pick 2nd (16.00) 2nd pick 3rd (4.40) top pick keyed- Ex (29.20) Q (20.50) Trifecta (81.60). Race 3- All four horses were 1st time starters-1st (22.80) 2nd (6.00) 3rd (2.20) Ex (75.50) Q (59.00) Trifecta (250.20), our top pick was ahead by 3 in the stretch and broke down before the wire, winner was d'qd and placed 6th. Race 4- 3rd pick won (7.40) 2nd pick 2nd (3.20) top pick 3rd (2.20) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (9.40) Q (8.40) no trifecta. Race 5- Top pick won (4.20) 2nd pick 2nd (5.20) Ex (11.10) Q (14.60) 3rd pick 3rd (3.20) trifecta (36.60) 2nd 1st timer 4th, superfecta (417.20). Race 6- 3rd pick won (15.40). Race 7- Top pick won (9.00) 2nd pick 2nd (3.40) Ex (14.40) Q (18.20) 4th pick 3rd (6.60) top pick keyed- Trifecta (141.60). Race 8- 1 pick scratched, top pick 2nd (3.40) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40).
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-HOME TOUR 59.6
4-DARLIN QUEEN 54.5
2-PLAYFUL BLINT 54.0
5-HILSEY 51.6
RACE 2
3-PRINCESS ZOZO 89.5
5-LAKE MARINA 59.6
2-SO ORIGINAL 56.0
4-DRINA'S THUNDER 52.6
RACE 3 (all 2yo. going 5f.)
8-KATALSTA 55.0
3-SUISSE MOVEMENT 50.6
2-HANALEI HONEY 33.0
6-MORE THAN ENOUGH 32.6
1st time starters - 9, 5, 10
RACE 4
4-SNEAKY DIP 76.6
7-MARCIAMARCIAMARCIA 68.1
6-SARAH'S HART 59.0
5-LITTLE SIERRA 56.0
RACE 5
5-THREE POINTS 93.8
3-WEE JINKY 83.8
7-CITY STORMER 77.4
6-TOP ONE 74.0
RACE 6 (all 2yo. going 5f.)
3-KIMMY POTTER 60.1
2-LA MANDONNA 57.0
6-SHE'S INCLUDED 20.3
1st time starters - 8, 5, 4, 7, 1, 9, 10
RACE 7
5-QUITEN BOY 90.0
6-ONE ON THE HOUSE 88.1
2-RED STATE 85.0
4-SHOOTIST 82.6
RACE 8 (all 2yo. going 5f.)
9-TORIKINS 54.0
10-SWEET FOREVER 53.0
6-RAGING 52.1
2-OVERDUE EXPRESS 34.6
1st time starters - 7, 5, 8
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-HOME TOUR 59.6
4-DARLIN QUEEN 54.5
2-PLAYFUL BLINT 54.0
5-HILSEY 51.6
RACE 2
3-PRINCESS ZOZO 89.5
5-LAKE MARINA 59.6
2-SO ORIGINAL 56.0
4-DRINA'S THUNDER 52.6
RACE 3 (all 2yo. going 5f.)
8-KATALSTA 55.0
3-SUISSE MOVEMENT 50.6
2-HANALEI HONEY 33.0
6-MORE THAN ENOUGH 32.6
1st time starters - 9, 5, 10
RACE 4
4-SNEAKY DIP 76.6
7-MARCIAMARCIAMARCIA 68.1
6-SARAH'S HART 59.0
5-LITTLE SIERRA 56.0
RACE 5
5-THREE POINTS 93.8
3-WEE JINKY 83.8
7-CITY STORMER 77.4
6-TOP ONE 74.0
RACE 6 (all 2yo. going 5f.)
3-KIMMY POTTER 60.1
2-LA MANDONNA 57.0
6-SHE'S INCLUDED 20.3
1st time starters - 8, 5, 4, 7, 1, 9, 10
RACE 7
5-QUITEN BOY 90.0
6-ONE ON THE HOUSE 88.1
2-RED STATE 85.0
4-SHOOTIST 82.6
RACE 8 (all 2yo. going 5f.)
9-TORIKINS 54.0
10-SWEET FOREVER 53.0
6-RAGING 52.1
2-OVERDUE EXPRESS 34.6
1st time starters - 7, 5, 8
Wednesday, June 14, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-HEIRLOOM ROSE 68.6
6-SWISS PLEASE 64.8
4-NAUTICAL MEETING 56.5
5-GOTCHA NOW 52.6
3-PRIZESSIN 52.6
RACE 2
6-CROWNED DANCER 89.4
7-VALID AGAIN 75.5
3-SABALUCIOUS 74.3
4-SOUVENIR 72.6
RACE 3
4-ALYSSA'S TIME 35.0
9-OLD SKIRT 31.1
5-STORMY SOUL 13.3
10-DODGER DIVA 6.5
1st time starters - 7, 2, 1, 3, 8, 11, 6,
RACE 4
1-FAST AND FURIOUS 103.1
3-EASTERN SAND 101.8
5-WILD BUDDY 99.1
2-ACE BLUE 97.8
RACE 5
10-PRACTICAL CAT 65.9
4-DERBY DIABLO 58.0
3-BOMBERO 57.5
6-KING OF ROHAN 48.8
1st time starters - 11, 8, 2, 1, 7
RACE 6
7-MORE ANGELS 78.4
3-ANDOVER THE CASH 73.1
6-CHATI VALLEY 72.0
10-ASK KATHY 70.9
RACE 7
7-PREMIUM SALTINE (off nov 05)
3-PURE AS GOLD 109.3
5-CHIPS ARE DOWN 95.8
6-ATTACK FORCE 95.2
RACE 8
4-MY FIRST BIG KISS 78.4
2-MADE IN CALIFORNIA 69.8
5-A CONTROLLED CRASH 64.3
7-DIXIE'S RULER 58.5
1st time starters - 6
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-HEIRLOOM ROSE 68.6
6-SWISS PLEASE 64.8
4-NAUTICAL MEETING 56.5
5-GOTCHA NOW 52.6
3-PRIZESSIN 52.6
RACE 2
6-CROWNED DANCER 89.4
7-VALID AGAIN 75.5
3-SABALUCIOUS 74.3
4-SOUVENIR 72.6
RACE 3
4-ALYSSA'S TIME 35.0
9-OLD SKIRT 31.1
5-STORMY SOUL 13.3
10-DODGER DIVA 6.5
1st time starters - 7, 2, 1, 3, 8, 11, 6,
RACE 4
1-FAST AND FURIOUS 103.1
3-EASTERN SAND 101.8
5-WILD BUDDY 99.1
2-ACE BLUE 97.8
RACE 5
10-PRACTICAL CAT 65.9
4-DERBY DIABLO 58.0
3-BOMBERO 57.5
6-KING OF ROHAN 48.8
1st time starters - 11, 8, 2, 1, 7
RACE 6
7-MORE ANGELS 78.4
3-ANDOVER THE CASH 73.1
6-CHATI VALLEY 72.0
10-ASK KATHY 70.9
RACE 7
7-PREMIUM SALTINE (off nov 05)
3-PURE AS GOLD 109.3
5-CHIPS ARE DOWN 95.8
6-ATTACK FORCE 95.2
RACE 8
4-MY FIRST BIG KISS 78.4
2-MADE IN CALIFORNIA 69.8
5-A CONTROLLED CRASH 64.3
7-DIXIE'S RULER 58.5
1st time starters - 6
Tuesday, June 13, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ABOUT MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago.The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors. A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago.The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors. A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
Monday, June 12, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
Sun. recap-We had a good day Sun.- Race 1- Top pick won (10.00) 3rd pick 3rd (3.80) 2nd pick 4th. Race 2- Top pick won (6.60) Daily Double (29.60) 3rd pick 2nd (4.20) only 1st timer 4th. Top pick keyed- Ex (10.10) Q (12.20). Race 3- 3rd pick won (8.00) top pick 2nd (2.80) 2nd pick 3rd (3.80) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (10.00) Q (9.00) Trifecta (41.10) only 1st timer 4th. Race 4- 3rd pick won (5.80) 4th pick 3rd (3.40) 2nd pick 4th. Race 5- 3rd pick won (8.20) 2nd pick 2nd (4.20) only 1st timer in U.S.A. 3rd (3.20) Ex (13.40) Q (13.60) Trifecta (61.00). Race 6- Top pick won (7.80) 1st timer 2nd (6.80) 2nd pick 3rd (3.20) top 1st timer 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (20.80) Q (25.20) Superfecta (166.70). Race 7- Top pick won (13.00) Daily Double (80.40) 2nd pick 3rd (3.20) 3rd pick 4th. Race 8- 3rd pick won (16.40) top pick 2nd (3.00) 2nd pick 4th, top 3 picks boxed- Ex (22.60) Q (21.80). Race 9- 4th pick won (29.80) top pick 2nd (5.00) picks boxed- Ex (87.20) Q 44.20).
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at the racebook I go to as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout, and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. How you bet the picks is the key. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened twice that I know of in over 280 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have? GOOD LUCK.
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at the racebook I go to as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout, and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. How you bet the picks is the key. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened twice that I know of in over 280 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have? GOOD LUCK.
Saturday, June 10, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.
THERE IS NO HOLLYWOOD RECAP FOR FRI. DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING.
THE "BELMONT STAKES" IS POSTED AFTER HOLLYWOOD PARK.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-UARTAPHONEME 45.1
3-CUTTING FORCE 38.2
5-MASTER MARK 30.4
7-POINT THUNDER 15.3 (off slow)
1st time starters - 8, 6, 2
RACE 2
3-DIGNIFIED DONOVAN 109.5
1-GO COYOTE JOE 102.8
5-PARAQUEDISTA 98.2
2-RUN TO THE BORDER 97.8
RACE 3
1-POP ICON 82.0
4-DIAMOND MINER 65.9
5-SLEW'S JAZZ MAN 57.3
6-PRESSTHEPACE 54.0
1st time starters - 3, 7, 2
RACE 4
5-PINDARIC 89.4
4-CHELCEE'S HOPE 86.3
2-FORTUNATE EVENT 85.6
1-TUFF MUFFIN 83.2
RACE 5
2-POPOKI 82.0
4-LOWER SHORE 78.4
1-SIZZLING FARGO 74.9
9-GOLIVEWITHUKY 74.3
RACE 6
8-LAVA MAN 129.0
5-KING'S DRAMA 116.4
3-RED FORT 115.0
4-T. H. APPROVAL 112.9
RACE 7
1-QUARTERLY REPORT 91.9
6-MEETMEINTHEWOODS 91.3
9-SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN 90.7
8-GETBACK TIME 87.5
7-TYROLEAN EMPRESS 87.5
RACE 8
6-LUCERA 78.4
7-QUALITY STUFF 66.0
9-ONE BIG GIGGLE (off slow)
1st time starters - 4, 1, 5, 8, 3, 2
RACE 9
5-CAPTAIN SQUIRE 111.5
1-LUCKY J. H. 110.0
7-YES HE'S A PISTOL 101.8
8- PRIMERICA 99.8
RACE 10
9-FANATICAL 59.0
2-JOYS LAST ONE 58.0
15-PURPLE SLURPLE 57.5
11-LITE NELLY 54.0
1st time starters - 3, 14
THE "BELMONT STAKES" IS POSTED AFTER HOLLYWOOD PARK.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-UARTAPHONEME 45.1
3-CUTTING FORCE 38.2
5-MASTER MARK 30.4
7-POINT THUNDER 15.3 (off slow)
1st time starters - 8, 6, 2
RACE 2
3-DIGNIFIED DONOVAN 109.5
1-GO COYOTE JOE 102.8
5-PARAQUEDISTA 98.2
2-RUN TO THE BORDER 97.8
RACE 3
1-POP ICON 82.0
4-DIAMOND MINER 65.9
5-SLEW'S JAZZ MAN 57.3
6-PRESSTHEPACE 54.0
1st time starters - 3, 7, 2
RACE 4
5-PINDARIC 89.4
4-CHELCEE'S HOPE 86.3
2-FORTUNATE EVENT 85.6
1-TUFF MUFFIN 83.2
RACE 5
2-POPOKI 82.0
4-LOWER SHORE 78.4
1-SIZZLING FARGO 74.9
9-GOLIVEWITHUKY 74.3
RACE 6
8-LAVA MAN 129.0
5-KING'S DRAMA 116.4
3-RED FORT 115.0
4-T. H. APPROVAL 112.9
RACE 7
1-QUARTERLY REPORT 91.9
6-MEETMEINTHEWOODS 91.3
9-SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN 90.7
8-GETBACK TIME 87.5
7-TYROLEAN EMPRESS 87.5
RACE 8
6-LUCERA 78.4
7-QUALITY STUFF 66.0
9-ONE BIG GIGGLE (off slow)
1st time starters - 4, 1, 5, 8, 3, 2
RACE 9
5-CAPTAIN SQUIRE 111.5
1-LUCKY J. H. 110.0
7-YES HE'S A PISTOL 101.8
8- PRIMERICA 99.8
RACE 10
9-FANATICAL 59.0
2-JOYS LAST ONE 58.0
15-PURPLE SLURPLE 57.5
11-LITE NELLY 54.0
1st time starters - 3, 14
Friday, June 09, 2006
SPECIAL - BELMONT STAKES - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
BELMONT PARK - RACE 11 (1 1/2 miles - none of the horses have ran this distance)
4-BOB AND JOHN 115.72
2-SUNRIVER 114.29
9-BLUEGRASS CAT 112.86
5-HIGH FINANCE 111.45
11-STEPPENWOLFER 109.34
8-JAZIL 107.95
12 SACRED LIGHT 106.56
7-DEPUTY GLITTERS 105.9
3-HEMINGWAY'S KEY 99.78
6-OH SO AWESOME 99.7
10-DOUBLE DARE 98.45
1-PLATINUM COUPLE 83.18
BELMONT PARK - RACE 11 (1 1/2 miles - none of the horses have ran this distance)
4-BOB AND JOHN 115.72
2-SUNRIVER 114.29
9-BLUEGRASS CAT 112.86
5-HIGH FINANCE 111.45
11-STEPPENWOLFER 109.34
8-JAZIL 107.95
12 SACRED LIGHT 106.56
7-DEPUTY GLITTERS 105.9
3-HEMINGWAY'S KEY 99.78
6-OH SO AWESOME 99.7
10-DOUBLE DARE 98.45
1-PLATINUM COUPLE 83.18
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.
Thur. recap- Race 1- Top pick won (2.80) top 1st timer 2nd (2.60) 2nd 1st timer 3rd (2.10) top pick keyed- Ex (2.70) Q (4.00) Trifecta (9.50). Race 2- 4th pick won (13.40) 3rd pick 2nd (3.60) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40) picks boxed- Ex (26.20) Q (26.60) Trifecta (86.50). Race 3 Top pick won (3.60) 4th pick 2nd (4.60) 3rd pick 3rd (2.80) 2nd pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (8.50) Q (15.00) Trifecta (27.70). Race 4- 4th 1st timer won "favorite" (9.00) top pick 2nd (4.20) 1st timer 3rd (7.40) 2nd pick 4th, Ex (17.10) Q (18.20) Trifecta (207.10). Race 5- 4th pick won (16.80) 2nd pick 2nd (5.60) top pick 3rd (3.00) 3rd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (17.10) Q (18.20) Trifecta (145.70). Race 6- top pick 2nd (6.00) 4th pick 3rd (3.00). Race 7-1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (14.40) 2nd pick 2nd (4.20) 3 picks boxed- Ex (29.70) Q (32.20). Race 8- Top pick won (4.80) 2nd pick 2nd (7.30) Q (7.40) 4th pick 4th.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THERE WILL NOT BE A FRIDAY RECAP DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING - 7:05 p.m.
SATURDAY I WILL POST THE PICKS FOR THE "BELMONT STAKES" IN ADDITION TO HOLLYWOOD PARK.
RACE 1
5-ULTIMATE SUMMER 83.2
6-KOURI JILL 70.8
1-NINE TO MIDNIGHT 61.1
4-LADY'S ROYAL SLEW 49.7
RACE 2
1-ATTACK ALERT 100.4
7-HAVANA 93.2 (ran 2nd 6/6/06)
5- REALLY SUSPECT 73.1
6-AGGRESSIVE 71.4
RACE 3
6-ACCRUE 77.2
8-TURF TIME 76.6
7-GETONEFORTHEGIPPER 70.4
4-SEIZE COMMAND 66.4
2-LIVE FAST 66.4
RACE 4
1-SILVER HAWK LADY 80.8
2-AXIOMATIC 80.2
3-RUDE BEHAVIOR 68.6
6-MYSTICAL CAPER 67.5
RACE 5
1-UDRIGA 95.2
9-RED OPAL 88.1
4-DRAMATIC CHANCE 87.5
7-GOTTA GO GAL 80.4
RACE 6
8-BIG JOE HILL 68.1
2-OLYMPIC STRIDE 56.5
3-SMOOTH TALK 56.0
12-CINDERELLA KID 54.5
RACE 7
3-BALAVISTA 98.4
2-GENERAL FOX 94.5
5-BUSHWACKER 94.5
6-OCEAN GRAND 89.4
RACE 8
5-HARBOR'S HALO 57.5
6-RUSH TO JUSTICE 53.5
4-MISS LOLA LA DARE 46.4
3-SKEETER CAT 38.2 (off slow)
1st time starters - 2, 8, 7, 1
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THERE WILL NOT BE A FRIDAY RECAP DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING - 7:05 p.m.
SATURDAY I WILL POST THE PICKS FOR THE "BELMONT STAKES" IN ADDITION TO HOLLYWOOD PARK.
RACE 1
5-ULTIMATE SUMMER 83.2
6-KOURI JILL 70.8
1-NINE TO MIDNIGHT 61.1
4-LADY'S ROYAL SLEW 49.7
RACE 2
1-ATTACK ALERT 100.4
7-HAVANA 93.2 (ran 2nd 6/6/06)
5- REALLY SUSPECT 73.1
6-AGGRESSIVE 71.4
RACE 3
6-ACCRUE 77.2
8-TURF TIME 76.6
7-GETONEFORTHEGIPPER 70.4
4-SEIZE COMMAND 66.4
2-LIVE FAST 66.4
RACE 4
1-SILVER HAWK LADY 80.8
2-AXIOMATIC 80.2
3-RUDE BEHAVIOR 68.6
6-MYSTICAL CAPER 67.5
RACE 5
1-UDRIGA 95.2
9-RED OPAL 88.1
4-DRAMATIC CHANCE 87.5
7-GOTTA GO GAL 80.4
RACE 6
8-BIG JOE HILL 68.1
2-OLYMPIC STRIDE 56.5
3-SMOOTH TALK 56.0
12-CINDERELLA KID 54.5
RACE 7
3-BALAVISTA 98.4
2-GENERAL FOX 94.5
5-BUSHWACKER 94.5
6-OCEAN GRAND 89.4
RACE 8
5-HARBOR'S HALO 57.5
6-RUSH TO JUSTICE 53.5
4-MISS LOLA LA DARE 46.4
3-SKEETER CAT 38.2 (off slow)
1st time starters - 2, 8, 7, 1
Wednesday, June 07, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2yo. going 5f.)
6-ROCKELLA 42.4
4-SAMM'S EVENT 30.4
3-SHE'S A GOLDIGGER 27.2
2-XINQUINQUIRA 25.8
RACE 2
4-LADY KAMALA 85.0
2-DEMI MARIE 70.9
5-DANCING BACI 40.3
6-IMPERIAL TOWER 37.4
RACE 3
6-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 51.1
5-SWEET SID 47.8
4-FOXY DAISY 46.9
1-THUNDER RANSOM 42.9
RACE 4
2-LIGHTNING HIT 89.4
4-WEE JINKY 85.0
6-FILM FORTUNE 83.1
3-ICY RIDGE 80.8
RACE 5
9-YODA 59.0
6-BEE A LION 48.8
10-TRICKY VIVIANA 45.5
8-TAMERLANE SPICE 45.1
1st time starters - 5, 3, 4, 2
RACE 6
6-GOING HOME 70.9
10-LUCKY STAB 70.3
3-MS MELANGE 69.2
8-VIRGINIA CITY 66.4
RACE 7
5-CABO'S DAWN 95.2
11-BLIND HARRY 91.3
4-KARN 85.0
7-PACHIRO 84.6
RACE 8
7-REBELLIOUS 59.0
10-WYNN'S FINAL OFFER 50.6
9-OBASSABA 49.7
8-LOBSTER ONTUESDAYS 48.8
1st time starters - 6, 1, 4
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2yo. going 5f.)
6-ROCKELLA 42.4
4-SAMM'S EVENT 30.4
3-SHE'S A GOLDIGGER 27.2
2-XINQUINQUIRA 25.8
RACE 2
4-LADY KAMALA 85.0
2-DEMI MARIE 70.9
5-DANCING BACI 40.3
6-IMPERIAL TOWER 37.4
RACE 3
6-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 51.1
5-SWEET SID 47.8
4-FOXY DAISY 46.9
1-THUNDER RANSOM 42.9
RACE 4
2-LIGHTNING HIT 89.4
4-WEE JINKY 85.0
6-FILM FORTUNE 83.1
3-ICY RIDGE 80.8
RACE 5
9-YODA 59.0
6-BEE A LION 48.8
10-TRICKY VIVIANA 45.5
8-TAMERLANE SPICE 45.1
1st time starters - 5, 3, 4, 2
RACE 6
6-GOING HOME 70.9
10-LUCKY STAB 70.3
3-MS MELANGE 69.2
8-VIRGINIA CITY 66.4
RACE 7
5-CABO'S DAWN 95.2
11-BLIND HARRY 91.3
4-KARN 85.0
7-PACHIRO 84.6
RACE 8
7-REBELLIOUS 59.0
10-WYNN'S FINAL OFFER 50.6
9-OBASSABA 49.7
8-LOBSTER ONTUESDAYS 48.8
1st time starters - 6, 1, 4
Tuesday, June 06, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago.
The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors. A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago.
The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors. A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
Monday, June 05, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED.
Sun. recap - Just a brief recap- Out of the top picks we had 3 wins and 4 seconds, 1 daily double. If you boxed the 4 picks in the sixth race you hit the Superfecta for $1,898.80, Trifecta $179.70, Ex $45.70, Q $70.40.
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at the racebook I go to as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout, and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. How you bet the picks is the key. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened twice that I know of in over 265 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have? GOOD LUCK.
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at the racebook I go to as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout, and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. How you bet the picks is the key. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened twice that I know of in over 265 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have? GOOD LUCK.
Saturday, June 03, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.
No Fri. recap due to late night racing- Note we had our top pick win the last race (17.00) and also had the Superfecta (2,246.60) and trifecta (508.30) with top pick keyed to next 3 picks.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-PHILLY BULLDOG 86.9
4-DOUBLE PARKED 76.6
2-FIGHTINTHECAT69.8
1-PAY HOUSTON 62.7
RACE 2
8-ZAPPA 90.7
5-DIAMOND SUCKER 77.8
3-ESPRESSO LOVE 77.2
7-RAPID SILVER 73.1
1st time starters - 6, 4
RACE 3
2-STAR PARADE 117.2
1-PROPOSED 106.6
3-SOMETHINABOUTLAURA 99.8
4-FREAKIN STREAKIN 91.9
RACE 4
5-SANDRA'S ROSE 97.1
2-COSTUME DESIGNER 89.4
1-POLYFIRST 88.8
6-DANCLARE 87.5
RACE 5
10-HAVANA 90.7
4-VITALI 87.5
16-CHIEF TRADER 84.4
9-SLOW N EASY 74.9
RACE 6
11-BLAZING BARTOK 93.2
4-TIZ A GEM 88.1
3-SWEET GAZELLE 85.6
7-VELVETY SMOOTH 79.0
RACE 7
3-FORGIVABLE BOB 72.6
11-ORO DE OLE' 68.1
12-ENERGY CZAR 57.5
10-WAR GAEL 54.5
RACE 8
6-NOSTALGIE 100.4
1-SUBWAY SING 93.2
2-MELODIOUS 92.5
7-MY DANCEN DIVA 90.7
RACE 9
2-CRONENBOLD 98.5
3-GOOD GOLD 97.8
4-RUNS IN THE FAMILY 93.2
8-PRINCE OF GOLD 91.9
RACE 10
4-MISS TOPPER 77.4
11-TUTTA BELLA 77.4
13-SWISS SONGBIRD 54.1
10-BRITNEY HEAT 53.5
1st time starters - 3, 9, 7, 6, 1
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-PHILLY BULLDOG 86.9
4-DOUBLE PARKED 76.6
2-FIGHTINTHECAT69.8
1-PAY HOUSTON 62.7
RACE 2
8-ZAPPA 90.7
5-DIAMOND SUCKER 77.8
3-ESPRESSO LOVE 77.2
7-RAPID SILVER 73.1
1st time starters - 6, 4
RACE 3
2-STAR PARADE 117.2
1-PROPOSED 106.6
3-SOMETHINABOUTLAURA 99.8
4-FREAKIN STREAKIN 91.9
RACE 4
5-SANDRA'S ROSE 97.1
2-COSTUME DESIGNER 89.4
1-POLYFIRST 88.8
6-DANCLARE 87.5
RACE 5
10-HAVANA 90.7
4-VITALI 87.5
16-CHIEF TRADER 84.4
9-SLOW N EASY 74.9
RACE 6
11-BLAZING BARTOK 93.2
4-TIZ A GEM 88.1
3-SWEET GAZELLE 85.6
7-VELVETY SMOOTH 79.0
RACE 7
3-FORGIVABLE BOB 72.6
11-ORO DE OLE' 68.1
12-ENERGY CZAR 57.5
10-WAR GAEL 54.5
RACE 8
6-NOSTALGIE 100.4
1-SUBWAY SING 93.2
2-MELODIOUS 92.5
7-MY DANCEN DIVA 90.7
RACE 9
2-CRONENBOLD 98.5
3-GOOD GOLD 97.8
4-RUNS IN THE FAMILY 93.2
8-PRINCE OF GOLD 91.9
RACE 10
4-MISS TOPPER 77.4
11-TUTTA BELLA 77.4
13-SWISS SONGBIRD 54.1
10-BRITNEY HEAT 53.5
1st time starters - 3, 9, 7, 6, 1
Friday, June 02, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.
Thur. recap- Race 1- top 1st timer won (3.20) only pick 2nd (2.80) 3rd 1st timer 3rd (2.10) top 1st timer keyed- Ex (4.50) Q (7.20) Trifecta (13.00). Race 2- Top pick won (4.00) 2nd pick 2nd (2.80) Ex (5.70) Q (6.40) 1st timer 3rd (3.60) Trifecta (37.30). Race 3- Top pick won (6.40) Daily Double (13.80). 3rd pick 3rd (4.00). Race 4- 3rd pick 2nd (5.40) only 1st timer 4th. Race 5- 2nd pick won (6.40) 3rd pick 2nd (4.40) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (17.40) Q (26.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 6- 3rd pick won (12.60) 4th pick 2nd (7.60) 2nd pick 3rd (2.20) picks boxed- Ex (47.80) Q (42.00) Trifecta (162.00). Race 7- Top pick 4th. Race 8- 2nd pick 2nd (3.40) 4th pick 3rd (5.40) Note: won by horse who paid (122.60).
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-TENASH 97.8
3-URBAN KING 96.5
6-MIGHTY MYSTERIOUS 96.5
4-FIRE WOOD 89.4
RACE 2
3-BOMBERO 69.2
4-MR. THATCHER 56.5
12-PROUD JOE 50.6
7-ENGINEER 42.4
1st time starters - 11, 6, 9
RACE 3
1-IZA RECKLESS 63.8
5-LA CHOLA 54.0
3-ANTIFREEZETTE 53.5
8-STRIKING COBRA 53.0
RACE 4
11-SEA BATTLE 58.0
9-BLUE SILENCE 51.6
8-UNUSALLY CHIC 45.6 (off oct. 05)
6-B THERE 30.0
1st time starters - 5, 10, 3, 4, 7
RACE 5
3-BULLET TRAIN 70.9
6-THE RYE MAN 63.2
2-EL SALVADOR 61.6
1-HELMSMASTER 60.6
RACE 6
1-SPRINGSTREETBALLET 52.6
5-UNBEATABLE EAST 42.2
13-PEY THE PRIZE 39.9
9-KAURI CLIFFS 37.8
1st time starters - 11
RACE 7
8-MR. WOLVERINE 104.5
7-SAINT CHRISJON 94.5
1-WILD SHAMAN 93.7
6-REFUSAL 89.4
RACE 8
4-INVESTINGOLD 48.8 (off April o5)
3-OLYMPIAN MEDAL 46.0
7-TOO MUCH GEORGE 40.7
13-PIGGYBANKPROSPECT 38.8
1st time starters - 12, 2, 8
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-TENASH 97.8
3-URBAN KING 96.5
6-MIGHTY MYSTERIOUS 96.5
4-FIRE WOOD 89.4
RACE 2
3-BOMBERO 69.2
4-MR. THATCHER 56.5
12-PROUD JOE 50.6
7-ENGINEER 42.4
1st time starters - 11, 6, 9
RACE 3
1-IZA RECKLESS 63.8
5-LA CHOLA 54.0
3-ANTIFREEZETTE 53.5
8-STRIKING COBRA 53.0
RACE 4
11-SEA BATTLE 58.0
9-BLUE SILENCE 51.6
8-UNUSALLY CHIC 45.6 (off oct. 05)
6-B THERE 30.0
1st time starters - 5, 10, 3, 4, 7
RACE 5
3-BULLET TRAIN 70.9
6-THE RYE MAN 63.2
2-EL SALVADOR 61.6
1-HELMSMASTER 60.6
RACE 6
1-SPRINGSTREETBALLET 52.6
5-UNBEATABLE EAST 42.2
13-PEY THE PRIZE 39.9
9-KAURI CLIFFS 37.8
1st time starters - 11
RACE 7
8-MR. WOLVERINE 104.5
7-SAINT CHRISJON 94.5
1-WILD SHAMAN 93.7
6-REFUSAL 89.4
RACE 8
4-INVESTINGOLD 48.8 (off April o5)
3-OLYMPIAN MEDAL 46.0
7-TOO MUCH GEORGE 40.7
13-PIGGYBANKPROSPECT 38.8
1st time starters - 12, 2, 8
Thursday, June 01, 2006
HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.
Wed. recap- Race 1-Top pick won (4.40) 3rd pick 2nd (2.60) 4th pick 3rd (no show) 2nd pick stumbled & pulled up., Top pick keyed- Ex (4.30) Q (4.40). Race 2- 2nd pick won (7.00) 4th pick 2nd (8.60) top pick 3rd (2.40) 3rd pick 4th, boxed- Ex (28.30) Q (28.80) Trifecta (67.50). Race 3- Top pick won (6.00) 3rd pick 2nd (3.80) 2nd pick 3rd (2.20) Top pick keyed- Ex (11.50) Q (11.60) no trifecta. Race 4- 3rd pick won (10.40) 4th pick 2nd (18.80) top pick 3rd (2.60) picks boxed- Ex (62.20) Q (69.60) Trifecta (175.20) 1st time starter 4th, Superfecta (1,146.70). Race 5- 3rd pick 2nd (7.40) 2nd pick 3rd (2.80). Race 6- 3rd pick won (10.00) top pick 2nd (6.00) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (31.50) Q (33.40) 4th pick 4th. Race 7- Top pick won (3.40) 4th pick 3rd (2.80) 3rd pick 4th. Race 8- 2nd pick 2nd (5.20) 4th pick 3rd (7.20).
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2yo. going 5f.)
4-WARREN ROAD 50.6
1st time starters or 2f. race - 2, 1, 3, 5, 6
RACE 2 (all 2yo. going 5 f.)
2-SWEET FREEDOM 48.3
8-JOHN THE MAITRE D 39.9
1-ZAPALATOR 32.6
9-GAIL FORCE WAGER 30.8
1st time starters or 2f. race - 5, 7, 4, 3
RACE 3
5-SINGALONG 93.9
3-TRADE ONLY 93.9
6-GLASSY 88.1
4-NEUILLY 86.3
RACE 4
9-SILVER AND BLACK 73.7
1-REMEMBER ME 67.5
3-HANDSOME LOVER 64.3
7-ATOZOE 61.8
1st time starters - 2
RACE 5
1-FIVE STAR CAT 78.4
2-KELLY CARSON 77.8
7-JULEP CUP 73.1
5-PRINCESS MCLEAN 70.3
RACE 6
9-CHARMING AFLEET 89.4
8-MANDALAY TRICK 80.8
4-SCHWINDLER 80.2
10-LOOKING FORWARD 58.5
RACE 7
10-MORE ANGELS 83.4
9-ROSY LEA 81.4
3-MAN HUNTER 80.2
2-MALINCHE 79.4
RACE 8 (all 2yo. going 5 f.)
3-OPEN MY EYES 42.0
5-MASTER MARK 38.6
4-WARREN'S PRINCE 29.3
7-CRAFTY TIGER 28.2
1st time starters - 6, 2, 1
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2yo. going 5f.)
4-WARREN ROAD 50.6
1st time starters or 2f. race - 2, 1, 3, 5, 6
RACE 2 (all 2yo. going 5 f.)
2-SWEET FREEDOM 48.3
8-JOHN THE MAITRE D 39.9
1-ZAPALATOR 32.6
9-GAIL FORCE WAGER 30.8
1st time starters or 2f. race - 5, 7, 4, 3
RACE 3
5-SINGALONG 93.9
3-TRADE ONLY 93.9
6-GLASSY 88.1
4-NEUILLY 86.3
RACE 4
9-SILVER AND BLACK 73.7
1-REMEMBER ME 67.5
3-HANDSOME LOVER 64.3
7-ATOZOE 61.8
1st time starters - 2
RACE 5
1-FIVE STAR CAT 78.4
2-KELLY CARSON 77.8
7-JULEP CUP 73.1
5-PRINCESS MCLEAN 70.3
RACE 6
9-CHARMING AFLEET 89.4
8-MANDALAY TRICK 80.8
4-SCHWINDLER 80.2
10-LOOKING FORWARD 58.5
RACE 7
10-MORE ANGELS 83.4
9-ROSY LEA 81.4
3-MAN HUNTER 80.2
2-MALINCHE 79.4
RACE 8 (all 2yo. going 5 f.)
3-OPEN MY EYES 42.0
5-MASTER MARK 38.6
4-WARREN'S PRINCE 29.3
7-CRAFTY TIGER 28.2
1st time starters - 6, 2, 1
