Thursday, January 31, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SLECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
7-BIPARTISAN 83.8
3-SWISS EMPEROR 68.6
1-MONSTER HIGH 55.6
6-TRIBUNAL BLUES 52.1
12-RED MAN RUN 49.0

RACE 2
2-ROOL YOUR EYES 76.6
4-QUEEN MERCURY 73.1
1-ARINYES LOVE 68.1
5-QUICK WAMPUM 67.0
6-J AND S EXPRESS 61.1

RACE 3
5-MARCYJANE 69.2
3-UNBRIDLED AMBITION 64.3
6-PUFF PASTRY 64.0
1-LITTLE UNUSUAL 61.6
10-FACULOUS FASHION 58.0

1st time starters - 7, 2

RACE 4
4-SISTER ESPERANZA 61.6
2-TOO FIVE N' TEN 53.5
10-PSALM SIXTEEN 53.5
6-ROCKIN' HARD GALS 46.4
7-SO PRETTY 38.6

1st time starters - 1, 3, 9, 5

RACE 5
4-MISS LADY ELLEN 82.6
7-HORSESANDDIVORCES 82.0
8-SO SHE DANCES 73.7
9-VALERIA 73.1
11-SUANCES VIXEN 70.9

RACE 6
6-CODE WEST 90.0
5-SUPER NINETY NINE 82.5
4-PERSUASIVE PAUL 80.8
7-KOCHEES 76.2
1-APPEALING TALE 74.9

RACE 7
4-CAUSEITHERTZ 93.2
6-STARSPANGLED HEAT 90.7
7-MONEY TALKER 90.0
5-BASMATI 90.0
1-INNOCENT MAN 86.9

RACE 8
4-APALACHEE SONG 48.8
9-JANES SHIP 47.8
8-HALF MOON GAMBLER 38.6
2-SPRING SARAH 35.8
13-WARREN'S CHASER 35.0

1st time starters - 7

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Wednesday, January 30, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, January 28, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at SANTA ANITA today.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,510 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, January 27, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THERE WILL NOT BE ANY PICKS OR SELECTIONS POSTED FOR TODAY. I WILL RETURN WITH MY PICKS FOR SANTA ANITA ON THURSDAY.

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Saturday, January 26, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
8-SASSY SUANCES 80.2
2-LUXURIANCE 74.9
6-SUANCES FLOWER 72.6
5-WARREN'S INTERNET 71.1
3-SWEET BAGUETTE 67.0

RACE 2
1-SAN ONOFRE 74.9
8-BACK TO BAKO 74.3
5-THROUGH MY EYES 70.6
7-BRAVE ACT 62.7
4-STORM FIGHTER 55.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 6, 2, 3

RACE 3
3-BUCKLEBERRY GREY 78.4
2-CERVARO 71.4
4-WIND OF BOSPHORUS 70.9
10-I'M WIDE AWAKE 68.1
6-LEMON DROP DREAM 67.5

1st time starters - 5, 13

RACE 4
3-SCARLET STRIKE 82.6
6-HEIR KITTY 80.6
2-FIFTYSHADESOFHAY 80.2
1-ESCAPE ACT 71.6
4-SWITCH TO THE LEAD 59.3

RACE 5
3-TIZ FLIRTATIOUS 101.1
4-CHOKECHERYMARY 93.9
7-HALO DOLLY 91.9
8-DANCINGTOTHESTARS 87.5
6-MISS BECCA 82.5

RACE 6
6-UNUSUAL WAY 80.6
11-CLOUDY MOON 77.8
1-MARKS MINE 76.4
4-HOME JOURNEY 71.6
7-TILDE 67.6
9-QIAONA 67.6

RACE 7
11-WEEWINNIN 85.7
7-CHINA PRINCE 80.2
1-OMEGA STAR 78.2
6-FIGHTING HUSSAR 77.6
8-MONUMENT 75.4

RACE 8
8-KINDLE 104.8
5-BELLE OF THE HALL 94.5
2-DISTRACTING 93.2
4-TEDDY'S PROMISE 90.7
3-SUGARINTHEMORNING 88.1

RACE 9
6-JOHNN SCOTT 100.4
5-CIRCLE THE MOON 93.2
8-THIRTYFIRSTSTREET 91.9
7-STONEY FLEECE 91.9
4-HUNTSVILLE 88.8

RACE 10
5-HIDETHEGOODSTUFF 67.0
1-MARK OF A GEM 59.6
10-ATTA GIRL ALMA 51.1
7-ROCKIN COWGIRL 48.8
4-CAYTON 47.4 (off slow)

1st time starters - 2, 11, 8, 9, 3, 6

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Friday, January 25, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $55,831.

RACE 1
4-WON WON OH FIVE 91.9
6-TIZ DYNAMIC 86.9
2-YES IT'S SNOWING 73.4
1-CALL ME KELLY 72.0
3-ONLY THE GOLD 69.2

RACE 2
6-PRIME NUMBER 80.1
3-CONGREGATIONALIST 68.6
2-NATIVE PLAN 63.8
4-MILK MAN RAY 59.6
1-JOE HARDOON 55.0

1st time starters - 7

RACE 3
10-MISS ROBYN 74.9
6-CHARM CATCHER 73.7 (bobbled start)
3-PERFECTAMENTE 63.8
11-FRIENDS WITH MACY 56.5
7-CHRISTMAS SECRET 51.7

1st time starters - 4, 9, 2

RACE 4
6-SUGAR SPICE 68.1
5-TWIRLYBIRD 65.9
9-SUBTLE GREEK 63.8
10-EULA B. 62.7
1-R DOUBLEDAY 56.5

RACE 5
9-LIGHT OF LIFE 77.8
6-MISS COMMUNICATION 77.2
5-VALERIA 75.4
10-OUR HEAT 72.6
14-ENGLISH RHYTHM 71.4

RACE 6
1-SHUMOOS 98.4 (off Nov. 11)
3-ISMENE 91.3 (off Dec. 11)
4-QUIZZICAL 87.5
6-BELLOMA 83.8
2-MISS RADIANCE 79.6

RACE 7
6-MARLENADARLENA 87.5
11-CANDY TROPHY 86.9
5-MISS WELL MOLDED 86.3
14-VIVA CARINA 86.3
4-MARY FILDES 82.0

RACE 8
10-NONNA REESE 51.6
9-WARREN'S FANTASY 46.9
1-HUERA BONITA 46.4 (3 wide)
4-FIRENDESIRE 45.1
8-NEKOMATA 41.1
11-SHARP BELLA 40.7

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Thursday, January 24, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




NOTE: ON MONDAY'S RACING CARD MY TOP PICKS WON 6 RACES, AND FINISHED 2ND IN 2 OTHER RACES. MY SECOND PICKS WON TWO RACES.

RACE 1
5-SPOOKY LADY 72.0
6-PAT'S BACK 69.8
4-MAGESTIC STINGER 69.2
3-SALLYANA 65.9
1-SWISS BLISS 63.2

RACE 2
7-INDIAN GODS 91.3
1-WILD MEDIA 90.7
2-SCARLY CHARLY 90.7
5-MEL'S GAME 86.9
3-INCLINE VILLAGE 74.3

RACE 3
4-OMAR 73.1
1-MUCHOS BESOS 72.0
5-FREE TIME 72.0
2-CLINTON 69.8
7-CHASING THE HEAT 67.0

RACE 4
5-VALDIRONE 80.2
7-EMPTY HEADED 67.0
12-JUSTIFICATION 62.2
3-IN A WINE TIZZY 59.0
10-KILAT 38.2

1st time starters - 8, 2, 1, 4, 9

RACE 5
3-LADY KATFISH 68.1
4-JULIO'S GOLD 58.5
1-VICTORIA'S ON FIRE 57.0
6-CLEVERLY BEVERLY 46.9
7-WILD EXCESS 43.3

1st time starters - 2

RACE 6
5-RIGHTFUL IMAGE 80.8
6-CHICSDIGTHESHARK 80.2
9-OUR BOY BENJAMIN 78.4
1-CLOUD HOPPER 76.6
2-LITE THAT BABY UP 72.0

RACE 7
4-GLADDING 109.3
3-KATE'S EVENT 96.5
2-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 93.9
7-PHANTOM LOVER 91.3
5-JAVA MAN 88.8 (off Jan. 12)

RACE 8
7-SKY FOX 67.0
5-LETHAL INTENT 65.4
9-RUN CHARLIE RUN 59.6
3-SOLID SOUTH 58.1 (off March 12)
12-DECEPTION FREE 56.5

1st time starters - 6

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Wednesday, January 23, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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SANTA ANITA- SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at SANTA ANITA today.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,504 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, January 21, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $101,951.

RACE 1
1-MISS AMERICAN PIE 85.0
3-EXCLUSIVE STORY 58.5
4-GLORYANDPRAYER 50.6
5-BOLLER BOMB 50.6
2-JESSIE'S GIACOMO 45.1

RACE 2
3-REALLY MR GREELY 97.8
1-DISTINCTIV PASSION 95.8
2-DISARM 81.4
4-HEAR THE GHOST 70.9 (3 wide)
5-RESIST 50.2

RACE 3
1-TORUK MAKTO 90.7
7-VANTAGE POINT 87.0
4-COPPER BAY 82.6
5-GREAT RISING STAR 75.4
3-WORLD RENOWNED 65.1

RACE 4
7-VISIGODO 62.2
1-POLITICAL MAN 61.6
3-I FEEL FREE 60.6
12-MONSTER HIT 56.0
6-WILD SIDE STORY 48.5

RACE 5
7-MAX COOPER 77.0
9-BIG WAGS 73.1
8-MILES HEIR 72.6
5-LUCKY FITZ 65.4
2-CAHILL REPORT 65.4

RACE 6
1-CAYAMBE 95.2
4-TAMARACK SMARTY 85.0
7-MAHOGANY RIDGE 83.2
8-BLUE JAY ATTACK 80.8
2-RAETODANDTY 79.6

RACE 7
8-BEHOLDER 110.7
3-DAWN'S CHARM 86.3
2-BLUSHING ANGEL 83.2
4-LADY ROSAMOND 83.2
5-IMWITHTHEBLONDE 77.2

RACE 8
3-ZUBOFF 97.0
6-DIXIELAND BLUES 83.2
11-SENATOR BOB 81.4 (off Nov. 11)
8-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 81.4
4-CANDY'S SUNRISE 80.8

RACE 9
1-JUDGE CARR 66.4
5-COSMIC HEAT 56.0
7-TALK THE WALK 43.3
10-CUT TO THE FRONT 41.6 (off slow)
9-WHIMSICAL HEAT 39.4

1st time starters - 8, 4

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Sunday, January 20, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
7-ONE FOR NOTHING 48.8
1-FULL FARE 43.8 (off Sept. 12)
5-WIN MACHINE 16.3 (off Aug. 12)
2-TIME FOR BEANIE 11.4
8-JO CRUISE 11.2 (EASED)

1st time starters - 9, 6, 3

RACE 2
1-AIN'T NO OTHER 103.8
2-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 102.5
4-IRISH ART 99.1 (off April 12)
5-GREAT MILLS 98.4
3-GALLANT SON 85.0 (off Aug. 12)

RACE 3
2-NATIONAL 85.6
3-RUMMYSECRET WAR 76.0
9-FIST PUMP 75.4
7-HONOUR FAMILY 70.9
8-COLLEDIMEZZO 60.1

RACE 4
9-TOP KISSER 70.9
6-ST. MALO'S GATE 70.9
4-ANNALILI 65.9
7-LITTLE UNUSUAL 62.7
1-PASSIONVILLE 61.1

1st time starters - 5

RACE 5
4-ZIA ZIA ZIA 57.0 (4 wide)

1st time starters - NO SELECTIONS ON THE 9 HORSES

RACE 6
7-AIN 87.6 (off May 12)
5-BAY RUSH 84.0 (off May 12)
6-SLAMMER TIME 82.0
11-QUINDICI MAN 81.4
2-SEATTLE RULER 75.4

RACE 7
2-LADY OF FIFTY 101.1
3-BOOK REVIEW 89.4
1-OPEN WATER 86.3
6-MORE CHOCOLATE 85.7
5-UBELONGTOMEMISSY 82.6 (off Oct. 12)

RACE 8
3-INCLUDE THE CAT 91.3
7-VAN BRIT 87.5
4-GOING FOR A SPIN 86.9
1-EYES ON THE PRIZE 82.0
2-COSSET 80.8

RACE 9
7-KENICHI 91.9
9-BUDS PAL 85.6
12-PRIDDIS WILDCAT 80.8
6-SMOKEN LEGACY 72.6
13-BROADWAY NIKA 71.1
11-IDONTROLLONSHABBOS 70.9
10-DEAL' EM 70.0

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Saturday, January 19, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




NOTE: FRIDAY OUT OF THE 8 RACES RAN FIVE OF MY TOP PICKS WON, 2 SECOND PICKS WON AND 1 THIRD PICK WON.

RACE 1
3-PRETTYPRICEYGIRL 58.5
1-YA WANNA HUG 54.5
7-SPACECOAST 51.1
4-HELLO STORMY 48.3
9-BARELY BEEN KISSED 42.0

1st time starters - 8

RACE 2
7-DENZEL 84.4
3-SALUTOS AMIGOS 76.0
4-REMIND MEE 67.5
2-LET EM SHINE 60.1
1-DEAD EASY 59.6

1st time starters - 5, 6

RACE 3
10-DEMOCRATIC SWEEP 72.6
3-MY MISS MEGAN 59.0
4-VEGAS RULES 59.0
1-WILD IN THE SADDLE 55.0
2-QUEENIE MARINI 54.5

RACE 4
11-WOEBEGON 83.9
12-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 82.0
8-MS. G. I. JANE 75.4
3-THREE CUTIES 73.1
5-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 71.1

RACE 5
6-PRIVATE ZONE 112.9
5-COMMA TO THE TOP 105.9
7-JUSTIN PHILLIP 105.9
3-CANONIZE 105.9
2-DRILL 102.5

RACE 6
9-JUBLIANT GIRL 76.0
7-PUSSYCAT LIPS 74.1
5-MOULIN DE MOUGIN 72.0
6-EMMY'S HALL 71.4
2-MYNTZ CONNECTION 70.6

RACE 7
11-HOMBRE HUGHES 75.4
7-FULL EFFECT 73.1
10-QUILLOTANO 69.2
6-TRUCIAL STATE 68.1
4-LAST MEMORIES 67.0
5-UNUSUAL MYSTERY 67.0

RACE 8
6-A JEALOUS WOMAN 99.8
4-LADY TEN 93.9
3-IN THE STARS 88.8
1-CAMELIA ROSE 85.0
7-PLAZA DE INDIAS 84.4

RACE 9
8-TARGET ENGAGED 43.3
5-SENORITA CAUTELOSA 41.6
7-MEDUSALINA 40.3
6-KIPTIDDY DO 37.8
1-MISS FUN RUN 37.8

1st time starters - 2, 9

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Friday, January 18, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $59,161.

RACE 1
4-TIZ ANNA 53.0
3-MOM NANA PETRIE 51.6
2-SHARP BELLA 51.5
5-PAY THE CUTIE 39.0
1-LORD KITRA 38.8

RACE 2
3-SPRING BLOOM 79.6
4-ALWAYS A CHANCE 79.0
6-CHIMI DEE 73.7
5-PARTY WITH BRANDO 73.1
2-TANQUERRAY 73.1

RACE 3
2-FLASHY DELIGHT 63.2
3-WARREN'S MORGAN 57.5
7-CUPID'S BLING 55.5
1-MELANISTIC 52.6
8-CALIFORNIA ROLL 52.6

RACE 4
1-CURLY TOP 85.6
7-FOREST BOY 80.8
2-FOOTBRIDGE 79.0
11-MORENO 66.4
8-COASTAL BREEZE 61.6

1st time starters - 10

RACE 5
7-RICSPRETENTIOUSGAL 85.0
1-I DAZZLE 84.4
2-LONG FACE 84.4
5-SPARKLING STYLE 83.8
4-JOLLY DAYS 80.8

RACE 6
10-SOMENCHANTD EVENIN 67.0
1-FIESTA EXPRESS 65.9
13-WRINKLE ROOM 64.3
5-SHESKEY 63.8
4-CEE'S THE YEAR 60.1

RACE 7
3-PURIM'S DANCER 86.9
8-NOISE OF THE CROWD 85.1
7-HIDINGINPLAINSIGHT 84.4
2-CAYANNA 84.4
9-GEM OF SOUL 82.6

1st time starters - 10 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)


RACE 8
10-WHIPSTOCK 79.6
2-GOODBYE CHARLIE 66.4
8-UNMARKED BILLS 65.4
6-MAYAN EYES 62.7
9-MIDNIGHT RAVEN 59.6
7-DENNY THE GREAT 59.0

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Thursday, January 17, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
5-ANABAA PREMIUM 76.6
2-DONATO 72.6
3-MORGANOUSKA 72.6
4-ASSET PLAY 67.5
6-BRASS PLATE 60.4

RACE 2
5-TRICE UP 64.3
7-DEREKSON 56.0
4-TIZ FUTURITY 47.6
2-WARREN'S CLIFF S. 44.2
6-TRICKY SHANE 37.0

RACE 3
8-KATY'S KITTY 76.6
3-ROSSI RESERVE 73.7
2-SWEETRAYOFSUNSHINE 67.5
7-IRENES JACKPOT 60.6
4-TWEETIE PIE 60.6

RACE 4
6-BRO DEREK 52.6
2-ICE CREAM TRUCK 52.1 (wide on turn)
8-LOUISTHEFIFTEENTH 52.1
7-FLEW FLICKER 44.2
4-CAPTAIN HADLEY 42.8

RACE 5
4-THERE IS NO LIMIT 83.8
3-SO TEMPTED 79.6
6-NICE MEIDEL 75.9
5-CATIENUS GOLD 74.3
2-AMY'S OUTBURST 72.6

RACE 6
1-BROKER BRETT 80.2
5-JUST FISHIN 75.4
4-DYNAMIZE 74.3
7-EXULTANT 66.8
8-WORLD RENOWNED 55.0

1st time starters - 3

RACE 7
5-EBLOUISSANTE 97.1
1-DOUBLE ANTE 87.5
4-PINK BLOSSOM 76.6
3-FOLK DANCER 75.4
2-VIVA CARINA 74.3

RACE 8
6-CANDY'S JEWEL 86.9
9-PRIME NUMBER 75.1
4-MR T BIRD 73.7
1-SOUL SAVER 71.6
5-BIPARTISAN 67.5
7-HIS ROYAL HIGHNESS 67.5

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Wednesday, January 16, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at SANTA ANITA today.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,497 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, January 13, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $231,345.

RACE 1
8-BIO PRO 67.5
2-LETHAL INTENT 54.5
5-ON HOLY GROUND 47.4
4-STAR OF AMERICA 45.5
9-BAJA CAL 35.0

1st time starters - 7, 6

RACE 2
8-SUMMER HIT 101.6
7-MACHO DORADO 99.1
2-WALL DANCE 94.4
9-AMERICAN BLEND 93.8
1-GNARLY DUDE 93.2

RACE 3
1-DISTRACTING 85.7
3-CHARM THE MAKER 83.8
7-CANDREA 83.8
6-GREAT HOT 78.8
4-SNOW FALL 76.6
5-SWEETLY PEPPERED 76.6

RACE 4
4-BATTLED 62.7
1-MAJOR AFFAIR 57.5
3-RAVEN'S HONOR 50.6
5-ON THE FENCE 44.6 (off slow)
2-TIZ THE TRUTH 42.4

1st time starters - 8, 6, 7

RACE 5
4-EXCLUSIVE STORY 56.6
7-SULTRY SEASON 56.1
3-FRENCH CURLS 56.1
8-CAVALLA 52.5
5-SENSE OF A WOMAN 50.2

RACE 6
1-NICEGIRLSFNISHLAST 69.8
4-DEVIOUS CHIC 68.1
9-OCEAN'S OF MONEY 67.0
8-POSTER GIRL 61.6
7-MAJESTIC JEWEL 56.0

1st time starters - 2, 3, 5, 12, 11

RACE 7
4-ARRESTING OFFICER 76.0
6-HIDDEN BLESSING 74.9
7-CHINESE PRAISE 67.0
12-CAHILL REPORT 66.4
5-MARK OF A WARRIOR 65.4

RACE 8
7-JERANIMO 101.1
6-CHOSEN MIRACLE 99.1
4-SLIM SHADEY 90.7
5-FAST TRACK 90.6
1-TEMPLE'S DOOR 88.1

RACE 9
10-RADER THE RAT 64.3
7-DUKE STREET KING 63.8
5-GREAT FRIENDS RULE 48.8
3-GOT HEEM 47.8
2-COLLATION 44.4
4-SILK INDIAN 42.9

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Saturday, January 12, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $48,433.

RACE 1
7-ICONIC SPIRIT 78.4
2-TIZMETIZYOU 66.4 (steadied)
6-MEZZANOTTE 65.3
5-NOWHOPE 58.0
1-RHINESTONE DIVA 49.2

1st time starters - 3

RACE 2
5-RUN CAPTIVE RUN 48.8 (4 wide)
1-FIRENDESIRE 46.4
3-WARREN'S CHASER 36.6
7-APALACHEE SONG 30.8
2-SONG OF A WITCH 29.7

1st time starters - 8, 4, 6 (eased)

RACE 3
5-CASTLETOWN 102.5
7-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 102.5
2-CHAPMAN'S PEAK 102.5
3-CHILOQUIN 96.5
4-CYCLOMETER 95.8

RACE 4
1-BATTI MAN 94.4
3-MENSA HEAT 92.6
2-DRIFT KING 91.3
12-CAYAMBE 90.7
6-CHEROKEE HEAVEN 90.0

RACE 5
7-MISS FUN RUN 49.7 (off Dec. 12)
1-NO COMMITMENTS 45.1
11-MAZZY 41.6
2-JANES SHIP 41.1
4-LADY DELANEY 35.0

1st time starters - 10, 9, 5, 6

RACE 6
8-PERSUASIVE PAUL 87.6
10-WINE LIST 74.9
11-GENTLEMEN PETE 69.8
5-KINGS GIANT 57.0
9-WILD STUDENT 57.0

1st time starters - 12, 4

RACE 7
9-TRIBAL JEWEL 100.4
4-MILE HIGH MAGIC 98.8
5-GUILT TRIP 95.8
2-FLY LEXIS FLY 95.8
3-REGULUS 94.5

RACE 8
6-MAUI MARK 99.8
7-ROYAL F J 97.8
4-NO SILENT 97.8
9-SWEET SWAP 97.1
1-TRUEST LEGEND 93.2

RACE 9
4-ET TU WALKER 67.0
13-KEY REVERSAL 66.4
1-BROADWAY NIKA 63.8
7-GENERATIONS 63.8
9-CHASING THE HEAT 62.3

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Friday, January 11, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
2-OSCILLATOR 80.8
3-CURVEE EXCHANGE 74.3
4-ONE FAST FROG 72.6
1-MISDANG SALLY 69.2
5-SWEET NECTAR 53.0

RACE 2
9-I'M NOT GRAY 57.5
2-TRICKY SHANE 43.8
7-CAESAR SUNDAY 43.8
5-TRIBAL MONEY 40.7
1-MAJESTIC DESERT 35.8

1st time starters - 6

RACE 3
11-SWINGAWAY 76.0
6-MISS MALIBU 74.9
2-SATURDAY'S GIRL 73.7
9-BROMELIA 70.3
3-CORINTHIAN MELODY 65.4

1st time starters - 5, 8, 12

RACE 4
1-ROAR BABY ROAR 73.7
6-HOUT BAY 72.0
7-APPEALING RESUME 70.3
2-SIEMPRE ESPERANZA 69.2
4-TOWN BELLE 60.6

RACE 5
4-DOUBLEDOWN ON TEN 77.8
1-BULL TIME 61.6
7-SAN SAVINO 56.0
6-QUICK CENIZAS 46.0
2-MAYAN EYES 42.4

1st time starters - 3

RACE 6
2-HE'S NOT TOO SHABY 82.6
6-ROMAR SUCCESS 73.1
1-THE WHOLE DEAL 69.2
3-SACRED OVATION 68.1
4-HUNGER 66.4

RACE 7
7-UNUSUAL JAZZ 83.2
5-UNUSUAL BEAM 80.2
4-SYNCOBEAT 79.0
3-DON'T ROCK ME 72.6
6-TIZPAT 72.5

RACE 8
8-NIGHT TELLER 47.4
5-PASTORIA 45.5
3-MY YAMMY HEAT 45.5
10-PARALYZING EYES 34.6
6-MADELINEISPICKIN 33.8

1st time starters - 1, 4, 12

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Thursday, January 10, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
3-TIZ A MINISTER 80.8
2-GREELEY AWESOME 74.3
1-EBONY GOLD 56.1
6-LUZ ATTICUS 55.5
5-GENERALLY OURS 50.2

RACE 2
6-FIFTH COMMANDMENT 70.9
3-MAGIC MAMA 60.6
1-QUICK WAMPUM 63.8
5-J AND S EXPRESS 63.2
2-INDYCAT 58.5

RACE 3
6-VALLEY OF KINGS 70.3
3-PARLIAMENTARIAN 60.6 (3 wide)
8-RUSSEL'S RUN 58.0
1-JOE HARDOON 55.5 (3 wide)
7-M TWO FORTY 52.6

1st time starters - 5, 2

RACE 4
1-HARD BILL 97.1 (off May 11)
5-BET ON VICTOR 85.6
6-MAX COOPER 82.6
4-HALF DOME DUDE 82.0
2-VAUNDELL 72.0

RACE 5
8-FORBIDDEN CITY 93.9
10-BELLE PASSE 80.2
2-SONG GIRL 77.8
4-TOOMANYTOMATOES 76.6
6-BLUSHING MARTHA 73.1
5-MADOFFWITHTHEMONEY 73.1

RACE 6
5-TRIBAL CUSTOM 64.3
1-FUNNY GAL 60.6
8-ECONOMY OF MOTION 58.5
2-PINE WALK 58.0
4-BERT'S ALTARCATION 57.5

RACE 7
4-HOORAYFORHOLLYWOOD 107.5
8-RED SUN 100.4
7-AKKADIAN 97.8
2-MAKE MUSIC FOR ME 97.8
5-WILLYCONKER 96.5

RACE 8
1-UNUSUAL DARLING 64.3
3-PURE BLUSH 62.2
6-LADY SHAZZAM 56.0
10-LADY COMIC 50.5
2-MENDING WALL 50.2

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Wednesday, January 09, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

There is no racing at SANTA ANITA today.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,492 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, January 06, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




NOTE: SATURDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 5 RACES AND WERE 2ND IN 3 RACES.

RACE 1
1-SEBASRIAN FLYTE 101.8
3-SHAUN WASHINGTON 96.9
5-DREAMCATCHER 95.7
4-SURREY STAR 95.2
7-FIRE WITH FIRE 93.2

RACE 2
2-CAYAMBE 93.2
5-BATTI MAN 91.9
4-QUICK ENOUGH 88.1
6-MALIBU RUN 84.4
1-SOLAR ROCKET 83.8

RACE 3
2-RED RACHEL 54.5
6-KIPTIDDY DO 44.2
7-UNIFORMLY YOURS 40.3
3-SENORITA CAUTELOSA 39.0 (steadied)
4-BIG VARIETY 34.6

1st time starters - 11

RACE 4
10-POCKET PRINCE 75.4
12-MAGNUM FORCE 73.6
3-ASHLEY'S BAMBINO 72.6
5-TROY STORY 72.0
6-WARREN'S NICHOLAS 68.1

1st time starters - 2, 9

RACE 5
4-ALMOST A LADY 76.6
5-ARINYES LOVE 68.1
8-GEM IN THE ROUGH 67.0
6-TAKING FORM 66.4
9-CUPID'S BLING 62.2
10-TIP YOUR HAT 62.2

RACE 6
4-SMOKEY LONESOME 92.6
5-JIMMY SIMMS 90.0
3-JEBRICA 86.9
7-ROCK THIS WAY 86.9
2-DEACON SPEAKIN' 84.4

RACE 7
9-COO CACHOO 97.1
1-FLOATING FEATHER 96.5
3-LUCKARACK 95.2
5-SMOKING G 88.8
6-OBSESS 82.6

RACE 8
3-KINDLE 105.9
5-BROKEN DREAMS 101.8
6-MIZDIRECTION 101.1
2-BYRAMA 97.8
1-CURVY CAT 85.7

RACE 9
7-VONN NEZ 58.0
12-WARRENS UPTOWNGIRL 56.0
4-TIZ LOVELY 51.6
8-CALIFORNIA ROLL 48.8
13-FIVE TIMES 43.3

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Saturday, January 05, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $62,270.

RACE 1
8-DIAMOND FLUSH 50.2
9-SUPERCILIOUS 44.2
6-WARREN'S LORIE S. 43.3
5-MAGIC TIZ 41.1
1-WARREN'S FANTASY 40.5

RACE 2
1-CABALLO DEL CIELO 73.1
3-I'LL RUN THE SHOW 68.1
4-MORENO 58.0

1st time starters - 8, 5, 6, 9, 7

RACE 3
2-GOLDENCENTS 96.5
1-DEN'S LEGACY 86.9
6-MANADO 86.9
3-GREELEY AWESOME 74.3
5-DIRTY SWAGG 72.0

RACE 4
8-EXCHANGE STUDENT 79.9
2-MAGNIFICENT SHIRL 69.2 (4 wide)
13-KANOTWAIT 66.4
7-SOLAR ECLIPSE 66.1
9-SARACH 60.6

1st time starters - 1

RACE 5
4-BUDS PAL 86.9
8-TUMMEL 80.2
5-MUCHOS BESOS 76.6
1-OMAR 73.7
7-WILLIE BROWN 73.1

RACE 6
4-LAMM 94.5
2-PORFIDO 88.8
9-QUINDICI MAN 87.5
6-MAKE US PROUD 86.9
12-STORM IN BLAIRSDEN 78.4

RACE 7
6-COIL 110.7
1-JAYCITO 107.3
4-ULTIMATE EAGLE 107.3
5-JOHN SCOTT 104.5
3-TRES BORRACHOS 103.8

RACE 8
6-REACH A DECISION 95.8
9-CIRCLE THE MOON 90.0
11-POWER FOOT 87.5
5-KLISZ 83.8
2-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 83.8

RACE 9
9-SCARY RIDE 71.4
10-HIDDEN PASSION 64.3
4-PUMKIN PIE 62.7
6-BULL RUSH 60.1
13-SECRET GENIUS 57.0
5-SOMENCHANTD EVENIN 56.5

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Friday, January 04, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
1-MINER'S DAUGHTER 100.4
7-ELUSIVE JACKPOT 90.0
5-THISONESFORRICKY 65.9
2-NINA NICOLE 58.5

1st time starters - 3, 4, 8, 6

RACE 2
3-KENICHI 81.4
6-BEAU ROYALE 79.6
7-FIST PUMP 72.6
1-PRIDDIS WILDCAT 71.4
4-AWKWARD MONDAYS 67.5
8-CLASSIC CRUSADER 67.5

RACE 3
3-GRAND GIANT 76.0
6-MISDEED 72.6
9-COSMIC HEAT 69.2
12-LEMON DROP DREAM 67.5
5-I'M WIDE AWAKE 63.6

1st time starters - 4, 7, 8, 10

RACE 4
9-MISS DEREK 67.0
7-HAVING ABIG MIDDLE 63.6
6-BLACK WITCH 59.8
1-HUMMING BEETHOVEN 51.0
5-SPELLBOUND 50.6

RACE 5
3-RULED BY KISSES 68.6
11-SPIT BALL 64.3
2-CAREER STUDENT 63.8
13-DECEPTION FREE 62.7
9-MONSTER HIT 60.6

1st time starters - 10

RACE 6
6-CHURCH AVENUE 88.8
9-LUXURIANCE 80.8
7-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 79.5
11-SUANCES FLOWER 77.8
12-SHEZABIGBROAD 69.5

RACE 7
1-SHADOW RUNNER 93.2
3-A TOAST TO YOU 92.6
8-BUFFALO BILLY 84.4
5-YOU KNOW I KNOW 83.8
7-TIME LORD 82.6

RACE 8
4-DERBY GOLD 90.7
11-ISLAND SUNSET 86.9
2-MASTER CHEF 84.4
13-ALIZA'S DREAM 81.3
1-PULPIT'S EXPRESS 80.8

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Tuesday, January 01, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR TUESDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $76,959.

RACE 1
8-TENANGO 72.0
5-STAR DESTINY 57.5
2-I DON'T CARE WHO 47.8
4-RUN AWAY WITH ME 36.2
7-BUD MATIC 21.3

1st time starters - 3, 1, 6

RACE 2
1-JOE CARL 90.7
6-ANABAA PREMIUM 83.2
5-UNEXPECTED GIFT 80.2
2-SCORPION TIME 68.1
3-HONOUR THE DEPUTY 62.5

RACE 3
2-ALYDIDIT 62.7
9-JUDGE CARR 57.5
3-PRIME ISSUE 44.6
6-HEADLIGHTS ON 38.2
1-CRAZY COZZY 38.2

RACE 4
9-VAN BRIT 90.7
4-ELEGANT 89.4
2-EYES ON THE PRIZE 80.2
3-BONITA STAR 79.3
5-COSSET 76.6

RACE 5
9-ROSSI RESERVE 72.6
1-AKEELA 61.6
10-LIT DE BIT 60.1
8-WARREN'S SAMANTHA 53.0
5-WILD IN THE SADDLE 53.0

RACE 6
6-WINDS OF DUBAI 77.2
11-PRIDE OF SILVER 76.6
8-LAST MEMORIES 73.7
5-RIDE ALONG 73.1
12-CHICSDIGTHESHARK 73.1

RACE 7
2-SOPHIE'S SECRET 61.6
13-CAYTON 47.4
11-HEAT DU JOUR 46.4
9-ROCKIN COWGIRL 30.4
12-BLAZING DANCER 26.5

1st time starters - 10, 3, 1, 4, 6, 5, 14, 8, 7

RACE 8
1-HEIR KITTY 85.0
10-SKY HIGH GAL 82.6
2-SCARLET STRIKE 82.0
11-TRAVESURA 80.8
4-SECRET MOTIVE 74.3

RACE 9
14-RACY ROSA 60.1
13-SUGAR SPICE 51.6
12-HOLIDAY ROSE 50.2
3-YA WANNA HUG 50.2
11-HANSERELLA 45.5

1st time starters - 4, 6, 5, 2

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