Friday, April 15, 2016
LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $12,900.
RACE 1
1-ENTEEBBE 75.4
3-TWOSOME 65.9
2-SCATTAGIRL 50.2 (off Aug. 15)
6-MOTHER FLOWER 47.4 (off slow)
4-GOLDEN LIGHT 46.6
RACE 2
9-MR. ITKINS 66.4
10-ATASCADERAN 60.1
8-INDIAN MONKEY 59.0
3-MIGHTY BROWN 56.5 (off Sept. 15)
2-IN CONTROL 52.6
RACE 3
6-SELECTION 59.0
5-GAVINATION 55.0
9-JULIA'S SUMMER 41.6
11-TOMMY WEAVER 38.3
8-GRANNY'S BLING 33.6
RACE 4
9-AIKAU 63.8
4-WHAT WE DOING 62.2
7-CHEAP O CHARLIE 57.5
5-DRYLIGHTNING 48.8
10-SORCERER'S WILDCAT 42.9 (off Sept. 15)
1st time starters - 8
RACE 5
1-CELEBRITY STATUS 80.2
6-DERBY GLASS 79.0
4-RAMBLING HOUSE 69.8
7-LITIGATION ROAD 56.0
2-TRASH TALKIN 26.5
RACE 6
4-COWTOWNMARY 81.4
9-VARTAN 77.8
2-ATTACK 66.4
1-SWISS SILVER 59.6
5-COYOTE FLY 48.3
RACE 7
10-MINISTER'SADVENTURE 75.4
12-LUCKY STUDENT 71.4
7-MISS LOUJEAN 70.3
11-ROSARITA 70.3
3-SEEKING SHAMROCKS 68.6 (off Aug. 15)
1-JUST GOT LUCKY 64.8
RACE 8
7-MOST NORTORIOUS 45.1
4-SIVALI 43.8
2-BLUE RIDGE MTN 40.7
1-INCENTICE PLAN 39.4
12-DRAMATIC ANGEL 34.6
8-RICOHET RED 22.5
1st time starters - 9, 6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $12,900.
RACE 1
1-ENTEEBBE 75.4
3-TWOSOME 65.9
2-SCATTAGIRL 50.2 (off Aug. 15)
6-MOTHER FLOWER 47.4 (off slow)
4-GOLDEN LIGHT 46.6
RACE 2
9-MR. ITKINS 66.4
10-ATASCADERAN 60.1
8-INDIAN MONKEY 59.0
3-MIGHTY BROWN 56.5 (off Sept. 15)
2-IN CONTROL 52.6
RACE 3
6-SELECTION 59.0
5-GAVINATION 55.0
9-JULIA'S SUMMER 41.6
11-TOMMY WEAVER 38.3
8-GRANNY'S BLING 33.6
RACE 4
9-AIKAU 63.8
4-WHAT WE DOING 62.2
7-CHEAP O CHARLIE 57.5
5-DRYLIGHTNING 48.8
10-SORCERER'S WILDCAT 42.9 (off Sept. 15)
1st time starters - 8
RACE 5
1-CELEBRITY STATUS 80.2
6-DERBY GLASS 79.0
4-RAMBLING HOUSE 69.8
7-LITIGATION ROAD 56.0
2-TRASH TALKIN 26.5
RACE 6
4-COWTOWNMARY 81.4
9-VARTAN 77.8
2-ATTACK 66.4
1-SWISS SILVER 59.6
5-COYOTE FLY 48.3
RACE 7
10-MINISTER'SADVENTURE 75.4
12-LUCKY STUDENT 71.4
7-MISS LOUJEAN 70.3
11-ROSARITA 70.3
3-SEEKING SHAMROCKS 68.6 (off Aug. 15)
1-JUST GOT LUCKY 64.8
RACE 8
7-MOST NORTORIOUS 45.1
4-SIVALI 43.8
2-BLUE RIDGE MTN 40.7
1-INCENTICE PLAN 39.4
12-DRAMATIC ANGEL 34.6
8-RICOHET RED 22.5
1st time starters - 9, 6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, July 15, 2015
DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, July 14, 2015
DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,256 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,256 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, June 23, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,237 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,237 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, Oak Tree, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, April 28, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,190 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,190 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, October 03, 2014
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-LAMAZONE 64.8
3-AFLEET ECHO 56.5
4-ANN'S GOLD 55.0
5-DIAMOND FLUSH 54.0
1-ITALIAN HARMONY 54.0
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-LIFE ON RIVIERA 69.2
3-SEBASTIAN'S HEART 54.0 (3 wide)
1-SKY HEART 37.8 (slow start, 4 wide)
6-DYNAMITE RIDE 33.8
4-CONGRATS SEATTLE 33.8
1st time starters - 2, 5
RACE 3
6-PONTCHATRAIN 104.8
2-LIANDUDNO 86.3
3-INDECISE 81.3
7-FANTICOLA 79.6
4-MORNING FIX 75.8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-NOT ENOUGH EDDIE 72.6
3-MISCHIEF CLEM 71.4
1-GLOBAL MAGICIAN 69.8
5-CARDIAC 65.9
4-NAOMI'SGIFT 44.2
RACE 5
2-IN EXCESSIVENESS 80.2
5-POWERFUL 79.0
9-GALLANT CHARM 79.0
6-CINMARS DANCE 77.8
4-CRUX 76.6
RACE 6
6-LADY BUGATTI 77.8
2-LARIA 76.0
8-SILVER SAILS 72.0
7-DOODETTA 69.2
3-GO GET EM BABE 63.2
1st time starters - 9, 5, 1
RACE 7
4-KUKALUKA 79.6
6-LOAN SAVANT 76.0
9-GEORGE'S PEACH 74.9
2-UNUSUAL STYLE 73.7
5-CARRICK BAY 70.3
11-GABBY'S PURIM 70.3
RACE 8
7-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 103.8
8-KATE'S EVENT 99.8
3-YARD LINE 95.8
2-SWEET SUNSHINE 95.2
5-ALPHA BULLET 91.9
RACE 9
10-MOM'S WINNER 79.6
5-Q'VIVA 75.6
3-FLY TO FREEDOM 74.9
12-HUGH KNEW 72.6
7-LETHAL STORY 72.6
11-CRAVIN' THE HEAT 69.8
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-LAMAZONE 64.8
3-AFLEET ECHO 56.5
4-ANN'S GOLD 55.0
5-DIAMOND FLUSH 54.0
1-ITALIAN HARMONY 54.0
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-LIFE ON RIVIERA 69.2
3-SEBASTIAN'S HEART 54.0 (3 wide)
1-SKY HEART 37.8 (slow start, 4 wide)
6-DYNAMITE RIDE 33.8
4-CONGRATS SEATTLE 33.8
1st time starters - 2, 5
RACE 3
6-PONTCHATRAIN 104.8
2-LIANDUDNO 86.3
3-INDECISE 81.3
7-FANTICOLA 79.6
4-MORNING FIX 75.8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-NOT ENOUGH EDDIE 72.6
3-MISCHIEF CLEM 71.4
1-GLOBAL MAGICIAN 69.8
5-CARDIAC 65.9
4-NAOMI'SGIFT 44.2
RACE 5
2-IN EXCESSIVENESS 80.2
5-POWERFUL 79.0
9-GALLANT CHARM 79.0
6-CINMARS DANCE 77.8
4-CRUX 76.6
RACE 6
6-LADY BUGATTI 77.8
2-LARIA 76.0
8-SILVER SAILS 72.0
7-DOODETTA 69.2
3-GO GET EM BABE 63.2
1st time starters - 9, 5, 1
RACE 7
4-KUKALUKA 79.6
6-LOAN SAVANT 76.0
9-GEORGE'S PEACH 74.9
2-UNUSUAL STYLE 73.7
5-CARRICK BAY 70.3
11-GABBY'S PURIM 70.3
RACE 8
7-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 103.8
8-KATE'S EVENT 99.8
3-YARD LINE 95.8
2-SWEET SUNSHINE 95.2
5-ALPHA BULLET 91.9
RACE 9
10-MOM'S WINNER 79.6
5-Q'VIVA 75.6
3-FLY TO FREEDOM 74.9
12-HUGH KNEW 72.6
7-LETHAL STORY 72.6
11-CRAVIN' THE HEAT 69.8
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, July 09, 2014
LOS ALAMITOS - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, June 19, 2014
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
3-YES SHE'S A DANCER 52.6
1st time starters - 4, 2, 5, 1
RACE 2
5-SUDDEN RUMOR 66.4
3-JULIET'S TIZZY 61.6
4-ANTINANCO 58.5
2-ELEVEN ZIP 56.0
6-JACK DIZ 39.4 (steadied, 3 wide)
RACE 3
5-ANOTHER SKY 81.4
2-REMARKABLE MOON 79.6
4-WARREN'S TOSEBUD 77.8
6-SCOOTER BIRD 76.6
1-PERFECTA 68.1
RACE 4
5-MAGIC MARK 102.5
4-HONDURAN 99.1
2-TIZ DYNAMIC 95.2
1-BIG CAZANOVA 93.9
3-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 92.6
RACE 5
4-SUPERBOOT 73.1
2-WARRIOR'S RIDGE 69.2
6-AERIAL DANCER 64.3
1-SUN SPOTS 52.1
8-SONGFORJOHNMICHAEL 49.4 (off Nov. 13)
1st time starters - 7
RACE 6
6-QUEEN OF THE HILL 86.3
3-FLY TO FREEDOM 77.8
5-PAY THE DEBT 73.1
1-SAY'S WHO 70.9
2-LITTLE BUT LUCKY 70.3
RACE 7
7-DANCER HUMOR 79.6
6-WARREN'S CLIFF S. 79.6
4-GLITER OF SILVER 79.6
1-PUBLIC INTEREST 78.4
3-MAXX THE GIANT 77.2
RACE 8
3-NONNA REESE 56.0
6-POINT ENDURANCE 43.3
8-RUN ROSIE RUN 39.0
5-THAMES VALLEY 30.0
2-TROPICAL MOON 27.5
1-WARRENS GOLDNUGGET 22.8
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
3-YES SHE'S A DANCER 52.6
1st time starters - 4, 2, 5, 1
RACE 2
5-SUDDEN RUMOR 66.4
3-JULIET'S TIZZY 61.6
4-ANTINANCO 58.5
2-ELEVEN ZIP 56.0
6-JACK DIZ 39.4 (steadied, 3 wide)
RACE 3
5-ANOTHER SKY 81.4
2-REMARKABLE MOON 79.6
4-WARREN'S TOSEBUD 77.8
6-SCOOTER BIRD 76.6
1-PERFECTA 68.1
RACE 4
5-MAGIC MARK 102.5
4-HONDURAN 99.1
2-TIZ DYNAMIC 95.2
1-BIG CAZANOVA 93.9
3-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 92.6
RACE 5
4-SUPERBOOT 73.1
2-WARRIOR'S RIDGE 69.2
6-AERIAL DANCER 64.3
1-SUN SPOTS 52.1
8-SONGFORJOHNMICHAEL 49.4 (off Nov. 13)
1st time starters - 7
RACE 6
6-QUEEN OF THE HILL 86.3
3-FLY TO FREEDOM 77.8
5-PAY THE DEBT 73.1
1-SAY'S WHO 70.9
2-LITTLE BUT LUCKY 70.3
RACE 7
7-DANCER HUMOR 79.6
6-WARREN'S CLIFF S. 79.6
4-GLITER OF SILVER 79.6
1-PUBLIC INTEREST 78.4
3-MAXX THE GIANT 77.2
RACE 8
3-NONNA REESE 56.0
6-POINT ENDURANCE 43.3
8-RUN ROSIE RUN 39.0
5-THAMES VALLEY 30.0
2-TROPICAL MOON 27.5
1-WARRENS GOLDNUGGET 22.8
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, October 05, 2013
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $26,256.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-BATTLE JET 69.2 (broke out)
7-HEYYOUCAN 58.5
4-TOSHEEN 55.5
6-CAJUN HIPPIE 44.6
5-LUCA 44.6
RACE 2
7-MAGIC UNION 101.5
3-CHARM THE MAKER 96.5
1-MISS PIPPA 90.7
5-CUSTOMER BASE 87.5
4-DOUBLE ANTE 77.8
RACE 3
1-TAMA COUNTY 72.0
10-TIZ FUTURITY 63.8
3-SPIRITED TOUCH 61.6
2-TROUBLE X TWO 60.4
7-SIR SEARSUCKER 59.6
RACE 4
5-OBVIOUSLY 126.0
6-HE BE FIRE N ICE 104.5
7-BAROCCI 101.1
8-ENDORSEMENT 97.1
1-HUNTSVILLE 94.5
2-STARSPANGLED HEAT 94.5
RACE 5
7-DROVER CRAZY 88.1
6-AIRFOIL 82.6
8-FOREST BOY 82.0
3-CHIEF LION 82.0
9-WELL LAWYERED 79.6
1st time starters - 1, 4
RACE 6
7-HE'S A DANCE STAR 101.1
9-IVANHO 93.2
12-MR. BOSSY PANTS 90.0
8-DEPRECIABLE 90.0
11-SACRED OVATION 88.8
1-NEWFOUND GOLD 88.8
RACE 7
6-TEDDY'S PROMISE 99.1
3-SOCIALBUG 97.1
5-EXECUTIVEPRIVILEGE 95.8
4-CONKATE 90.0
7-GREAT HOT 90.0
RACE 8
7-KEY VISTA 101.1 (off Dec. 12)
4-MADEOFFWITHTHEMONEY 86.9
8-MIDNIGHT LADY 77.8
2-COTTON'S POINT 73.7
5-HIDETHEGOODSTUFF 72.6
12-YAWANNAGOKID 72.6
RACE 9
3-CENTRALINTELIGENCE 123.8
6-ROMAN THREAT 118.6
7-POINTS OFFTHEBENCH 113.6
8-GOLDENCENTS 109.3
5-TRINNIBERG 106.6
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
8-SIERRA ELECTRICA 64.8
10-EXOTIC BEHAVIOR 59.7
12-SAVINGS ACCOUNT 59.6
1-PRETTY STORM 59.0
7-CAL GAL 46.9 (bumped, 3 wide)
11-SUSHI EMPIRE 46.7
1st time starters - 4, 9, 13, 14
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $26,256.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-BATTLE JET 69.2 (broke out)
7-HEYYOUCAN 58.5
4-TOSHEEN 55.5
6-CAJUN HIPPIE 44.6
5-LUCA 44.6
RACE 2
7-MAGIC UNION 101.5
3-CHARM THE MAKER 96.5
1-MISS PIPPA 90.7
5-CUSTOMER BASE 87.5
4-DOUBLE ANTE 77.8
RACE 3
1-TAMA COUNTY 72.0
10-TIZ FUTURITY 63.8
3-SPIRITED TOUCH 61.6
2-TROUBLE X TWO 60.4
7-SIR SEARSUCKER 59.6
RACE 4
5-OBVIOUSLY 126.0
6-HE BE FIRE N ICE 104.5
7-BAROCCI 101.1
8-ENDORSEMENT 97.1
1-HUNTSVILLE 94.5
2-STARSPANGLED HEAT 94.5
RACE 5
7-DROVER CRAZY 88.1
6-AIRFOIL 82.6
8-FOREST BOY 82.0
3-CHIEF LION 82.0
9-WELL LAWYERED 79.6
1st time starters - 1, 4
RACE 6
7-HE'S A DANCE STAR 101.1
9-IVANHO 93.2
12-MR. BOSSY PANTS 90.0
8-DEPRECIABLE 90.0
11-SACRED OVATION 88.8
1-NEWFOUND GOLD 88.8
RACE 7
6-TEDDY'S PROMISE 99.1
3-SOCIALBUG 97.1
5-EXECUTIVEPRIVILEGE 95.8
4-CONKATE 90.0
7-GREAT HOT 90.0
RACE 8
7-KEY VISTA 101.1 (off Dec. 12)
4-MADEOFFWITHTHEMONEY 86.9
8-MIDNIGHT LADY 77.8
2-COTTON'S POINT 73.7
5-HIDETHEGOODSTUFF 72.6
12-YAWANNAGOKID 72.6
RACE 9
3-CENTRALINTELIGENCE 123.8
6-ROMAN THREAT 118.6
7-POINTS OFFTHEBENCH 113.6
8-GOLDENCENTS 109.3
5-TRINNIBERG 106.6
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
8-SIERRA ELECTRICA 64.8
10-EXOTIC BEHAVIOR 59.7
12-SAVINGS ACCOUNT 59.6
1-PRETTY STORM 59.0
7-CAL GAL 46.9 (bumped, 3 wide)
11-SUSHI EMPIRE 46.7
1st time starters - 4, 9, 13, 14
Labels: bets, betting, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, September 26, 2013
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, Breeder's Cup, fairplex, Fairplex Park, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, June 04, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOO PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,625 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,625 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, March 05, 2013
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,542 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,542 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, June 19, 2012
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - RETURN TO FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS
After a 3 day rogue cyber attack on my computer we have the system back up and running again.
My normal picks and selections will be posted starting Thursday for Betfair Hollywood park.
My normal picks and selections will be posted starting Thursday for Betfair Hollywood park.
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, April 03, 2012
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2266 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2266 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, January 27, 2012
SANTA ANITA- FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $55,585.
RACE 1
6-ONE FAST FROG 64.3
2-MISSIE KY I YOU 62.2
3-CEE'S THE YEAR 57.0
4-PRETTY MUCH 51.1
7-REGINA S. 50.2
1st time starters - 1, 5
RACE 2
2-DYNAMIC HOST 101.5
6-SLIM SHADEY 100.4
4-FALCON ROCK 93.9
1-HIGHWAY BANDIT 91.3
5-HOG'S HOLLOW 85.6
RACE 3
5-CAT IN THE FOREST 88.8
6-GNARLY DUDE 82.0
3-PALIO PRINCE 80.8
7-EDGEWICK ROAD 79.6
8-RUNAWAY WILDCAT 77.8
RACE 4
6-NIHILIST 85.6
3-FLASHY DAME 82.6
7-LADY VIVIEN 70.3
5-BONNIE PARKER 53.5
4-MAGIC FIRE 20.3
1st time starters - 9, 1, 2, 8
RACE 5
7-SPRING BLOOM 65.9
8-SASSY AND SINGLE 63.6 (off slow)
2-SPEEDWAY MONKEY 60.1
10-WILLOW SWITCH 57.5
6-YA WANNA HUG 51.6
RACE 6
1-OH RIGHTY 81.4
6-FOREST SOUVENIR 79.0
4-HEY YUP 75.4
8-PUT IT THERE 70.9
2-NOME 60.6 (slow start)
RACE 7
2-MATTO MONDO 98.4
6-GOLDEN MEXICO 93.2
5-WHERE'S THE REMOTE 88.8
10-MUNY 88.2
8-SKY CAPE 88.1
RACE 8
13-IDONTROLLONSHABBOS 54.5
12-ROYAL ALEXANDER 52.6
3-TALE BE TOLD 52.1
4-MARY'S APP 49.2
8-SKY LARKIN 46.0
1st time starters - 11, 5, 1, 9
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $55,585.
RACE 1
6-ONE FAST FROG 64.3
2-MISSIE KY I YOU 62.2
3-CEE'S THE YEAR 57.0
4-PRETTY MUCH 51.1
7-REGINA S. 50.2
1st time starters - 1, 5
RACE 2
2-DYNAMIC HOST 101.5
6-SLIM SHADEY 100.4
4-FALCON ROCK 93.9
1-HIGHWAY BANDIT 91.3
5-HOG'S HOLLOW 85.6
RACE 3
5-CAT IN THE FOREST 88.8
6-GNARLY DUDE 82.0
3-PALIO PRINCE 80.8
7-EDGEWICK ROAD 79.6
8-RUNAWAY WILDCAT 77.8
RACE 4
6-NIHILIST 85.6
3-FLASHY DAME 82.6
7-LADY VIVIEN 70.3
5-BONNIE PARKER 53.5
4-MAGIC FIRE 20.3
1st time starters - 9, 1, 2, 8
RACE 5
7-SPRING BLOOM 65.9
8-SASSY AND SINGLE 63.6 (off slow)
2-SPEEDWAY MONKEY 60.1
10-WILLOW SWITCH 57.5
6-YA WANNA HUG 51.6
RACE 6
1-OH RIGHTY 81.4
6-FOREST SOUVENIR 79.0
4-HEY YUP 75.4
8-PUT IT THERE 70.9
2-NOME 60.6 (slow start)
RACE 7
2-MATTO MONDO 98.4
6-GOLDEN MEXICO 93.2
5-WHERE'S THE REMOTE 88.8
10-MUNY 88.2
8-SKY CAPE 88.1
RACE 8
13-IDONTROLLONSHABBOS 54.5
12-ROYAL ALEXANDER 52.6
3-TALE BE TOLD 52.1
4-MARY'S APP 49.2
8-SKY LARKIN 46.0
1st time starters - 11, 5, 1, 9
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, January 03, 2012
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2190 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2190 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, system, thoroughbred
Friday, November 04, 2011
SANTA ANITA - CHURCHILL DOWNS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: THURSDAY OUT OF THE 8 RACES I HAD 5 TOP HORSES WIN WITH 2 SECONDS & 1 TOP 1ST TIMER WIN. NOT A BAD DAY.
TODAY I WILL POST THE 10TH RACE FROM CHURCHILL AND THE ENTIRE SANTA ANITA CARD. THIS WILL LET YOU PLAY THE SPECIAL DAILY DOUBLE FROM THE LADIES CLASSIC TO SATURDAYS CLASSIC.
CHURCHILL DOWNS
RACE 10
8-PLUM PRETTY 114.3
6-ROYAL DELTA 106.6
3-IT'S TRICKY 105.9
2-PACHATTACK 105.2
7-ULTRA BLEND 105.2
1-MISS MATCH 101.1
SANTA ANITA
RACE 1
7-JEFFERY'S PRIDE 49.7
2-ELLO GUV 45.1
8-CHAPITO 41.6
5-CAPTAIN MAGIC 40.7
4-LEVEL UP 38.2
10-I FEEL FREE 38.2
1st time starters - 6
RACE 2
10-EXCLAMATION 88.1
8-MAN CHESTER MAN 82.6
2-DRESS CODE 80.0
7-CAFE CON LECHE 73.1
6-RUMMYSECRET WAR 72.0
RACE 3
8-INITIAL IMPRESSION 86.9
3-HAMEILDAME 84.4
2-BELLA ROJA 76.6
6-DALIAN 74.9
1-PARTY WITH BRANDO 69.8
RACE 4
3-WARREN'S LADY 47.8
10-BENSANNA 42.9
12-WHOLE ENCHILADA 42.9
13-JM'S GOLDEN LEGACY 42.0
8-FOREVER ISMAY 38.2
1st time starters - 1, 2, 11, 5
RACE 5
7-BATTLE FORCE 69.8
2-FLEET EAGLE 69.2
3-MIDNIGHT CON 66.1
4-RUDE BOBBY 60.6
6-UNUSUAL HEATWAVE 60.6
1st time starters - 1, 8
RACE 6
14-INCLUDE ME OUT 85.0
3-MELISSA ROSE 83.8
6-BENCH GLORY 75.4
12-TRUE WAY OF GRACE 74.9
2-KINDLE 74.3
RACE 7
11-FIRST STRIKE 83.2
3-HURRICANE LAKE 82.6
7-PALIO PRINCE 80.9
10-QUINTONS DESTINY 76.0
8-STAR DANCE M D 71.1
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: THURSDAY OUT OF THE 8 RACES I HAD 5 TOP HORSES WIN WITH 2 SECONDS & 1 TOP 1ST TIMER WIN. NOT A BAD DAY.
TODAY I WILL POST THE 10TH RACE FROM CHURCHILL AND THE ENTIRE SANTA ANITA CARD. THIS WILL LET YOU PLAY THE SPECIAL DAILY DOUBLE FROM THE LADIES CLASSIC TO SATURDAYS CLASSIC.
CHURCHILL DOWNS
RACE 10
8-PLUM PRETTY 114.3
6-ROYAL DELTA 106.6
3-IT'S TRICKY 105.9
2-PACHATTACK 105.2
7-ULTRA BLEND 105.2
1-MISS MATCH 101.1
SANTA ANITA
RACE 1
7-JEFFERY'S PRIDE 49.7
2-ELLO GUV 45.1
8-CHAPITO 41.6
5-CAPTAIN MAGIC 40.7
4-LEVEL UP 38.2
10-I FEEL FREE 38.2
1st time starters - 6
RACE 2
10-EXCLAMATION 88.1
8-MAN CHESTER MAN 82.6
2-DRESS CODE 80.0
7-CAFE CON LECHE 73.1
6-RUMMYSECRET WAR 72.0
RACE 3
8-INITIAL IMPRESSION 86.9
3-HAMEILDAME 84.4
2-BELLA ROJA 76.6
6-DALIAN 74.9
1-PARTY WITH BRANDO 69.8
RACE 4
3-WARREN'S LADY 47.8
10-BENSANNA 42.9
12-WHOLE ENCHILADA 42.9
13-JM'S GOLDEN LEGACY 42.0
8-FOREVER ISMAY 38.2
1st time starters - 1, 2, 11, 5
RACE 5
7-BATTLE FORCE 69.8
2-FLEET EAGLE 69.2
3-MIDNIGHT CON 66.1
4-RUDE BOBBY 60.6
6-UNUSUAL HEATWAVE 60.6
1st time starters - 1, 8
RACE 6
14-INCLUDE ME OUT 85.0
3-MELISSA ROSE 83.8
6-BENCH GLORY 75.4
12-TRUE WAY OF GRACE 74.9
2-KINDLE 74.3
RACE 7
11-FIRST STRIKE 83.2
3-HURRICANE LAKE 82.6
7-PALIO PRINCE 80.9
10-QUINTONS DESTINY 76.0
8-STAR DANCE M D 71.1
Labels: bets, betting, Churchill Downs, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, November 03, 2011
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-MUNY 103.1
7-QUIETLY MINE 87.5
3-KELLY LEAK 85.6
1-OAK KYE WHY 83.1
5-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 82.6
RACE 2
5-FRISCO KID 81.4
6-FINE AND RARE 74.3
8-GHOST RIDE 63.6
2-STREET TITAN 62.2
7-ROCKIN HARBOR 60.6
RACE 3
7-PHANTOM LOVER 106.8
8-WHIPSTOCK 100.8
9-GREAT RISING STAR 77.8
11-HY LIME TIME 71.4
10-SILVER DRAGON 70.9
RACE 4
8-ELUSIVE MOMENT 83.8
4-LORD AVALON 83.2
7-CLUE ME IN 79.6
3-DERIVE 77.2
5-JOYFUL SUCCESS 71.4
RACE 5
1-RIBAT 87.0
5-PRIVATE BOUNTY 83.9
2-IMPERIAL PRIDE 82.1
8-UNUSUAL JAZZ 80.8
9-EMPEROR STONE 80.2
RACE 6
7-HOT CITIZEN 65.4
2-CAPALATTE 60.1
4-MISS PEANUT 59.0
5-MISS ADDY KISS 56.5
10-SOLDIER BETTY 55.5
RACE 7
6-SO BELLE 83.8
8-LAST STING 83.8
7-GLORIFIED 83.2
5-CAYANNA 77.2
1-PRINCESS SUANCES 75.4
3-RUFFLED FEATHERS 75.4
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
13-MUSTACHE CHARLIE 55.0
1-SOLANA SOLEIL 46.4
6-RIO GOOD 45.1
3-LIGHTNING MCQUE 39.4
4-DESTINO 9.7
1st time starters - 11, 2, 10, 9, 8, 7, 12
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-MUNY 103.1
7-QUIETLY MINE 87.5
3-KELLY LEAK 85.6
1-OAK KYE WHY 83.1
5-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 82.6
RACE 2
5-FRISCO KID 81.4
6-FINE AND RARE 74.3
8-GHOST RIDE 63.6
2-STREET TITAN 62.2
7-ROCKIN HARBOR 60.6
RACE 3
7-PHANTOM LOVER 106.8
8-WHIPSTOCK 100.8
9-GREAT RISING STAR 77.8
11-HY LIME TIME 71.4
10-SILVER DRAGON 70.9
RACE 4
8-ELUSIVE MOMENT 83.8
4-LORD AVALON 83.2
7-CLUE ME IN 79.6
3-DERIVE 77.2
5-JOYFUL SUCCESS 71.4
RACE 5
1-RIBAT 87.0
5-PRIVATE BOUNTY 83.9
2-IMPERIAL PRIDE 82.1
8-UNUSUAL JAZZ 80.8
9-EMPEROR STONE 80.2
RACE 6
7-HOT CITIZEN 65.4
2-CAPALATTE 60.1
4-MISS PEANUT 59.0
5-MISS ADDY KISS 56.5
10-SOLDIER BETTY 55.5
RACE 7
6-SO BELLE 83.8
8-LAST STING 83.8
7-GLORIFIED 83.2
5-CAYANNA 77.2
1-PRINCESS SUANCES 75.4
3-RUFFLED FEATHERS 75.4
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
13-MUSTACHE CHARLIE 55.0
1-SOLANA SOLEIL 46.4
6-RIO GOOD 45.1
3-LIGHTNING MCQUE 39.4
4-DESTINO 9.7
1st time starters - 11, 2, 10, 9, 8, 7, 12
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, November 02, 2011
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, November 01, 2011
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2136 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2136 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
