Sunday, March 31, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
3-FARAYYA 71.1
4-READYFORHERCLOSEUP 69.2
2-MILLE LUNA 64.7
5-CAMRYN KATE 58.0 (off June 12)
7-CAROLINA HONOR 33.0

1st time starters 1

RACE 2
6-UBELONGTOMEMISSY 86.3
5-NIGHT DANCE 61.1
4-WARREN'S LORIE S. 55.0
3-IT'S AINE 54.0
2-O HAPPY GRAY 50.2

RACE 3
9-WORLD RENOWNED 63.2
1-JUST BECAUSE 58.5
3-MAYAN EYES 45.5
5-DASHING ASH 30.8
8-OLY'S WIND 8.8 (off MAY 11)

1st time starters - 2, 4, 7, 6

RACE 4
2-FOXY BOSS 72.6
4-SMOOTH TALKER 69.8
6-SCOOTER BIRD 68.6
9-SHOWGIRL FORM 67.0 (steadied)
8-INDYGO F M A 63.2

RACE 5
5-TRES BORRACHOS 107.9
2-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 103.1
4-HOORAYFORHOLLYWOOD 99.8
3-LIAISON 95.2
1-GLADDING 82.3

RACE 6
5-CASSANDRA LYNNE 79.7
9-CATIENUS GOLD 72.3
4-BILBAO 72.0
2-TOLUCA 67.0
3-TWITCH 63.2
11-SELLERIA 63.2

RACE 7
1-ROSSI RESERVE 62.2
7-FIESTA EXPRESS 61.1
6-MEMO TO KATHY 53.5
2-PLAZARITA 52.1
5-WARRENS CHINA DOLL 49.7

RACE 8
4-SUMMER HIT 99.1
3-GOLDEN ITIZ 89.4
1-GAB POWER 88.8
6-KEY DECISION 86.3
5-STONEY FLEECE 82.6


1st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
7-MAGIC MAYA 62.2
8-GLORIOUS MEMORIES 50.2
9-MY YAMMY HEAT 47.4
4-BARROOM BABE 46.4
3-HELLO STORMY 42.9
2-WILLETTA 42.0

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Saturday, March 30, 2013

 

DUBAI WORLD CUP - MEYDAN RACECOURSE




























RACE 9 - DUBAI WORLD CUP - 1 1/4 MILES, 3YO & UP

11-AFRICAN STORY 147.0
5-CAPPONI 145.4 (off March 12)
4-HUNTER'S LIGHT 140.7
9-MEANDRE 137.5
8-ROYAL DELTA 137.3
12-ANIMAL KINGDOM 135.8
13-KASSIANO 132.8
2-RED CADEAUX 132.5
6-SIDE GLANCE 130.5
7-PLANTEUR 123.8
10-MONTEROSSO 121.5
1-TREASURE BEACH 115.7
3-DULLAHAN 112.9
























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SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $49,844.

RACE 1
5-BOB CONSULTATION 67.5
2-LUCKY COTTON 47.4 (off slow)
4-ETHNIC DANCE 44.2
6-SWISS SWORD 42.0 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 1, 7

RACE 2
1-DIAMONDSDIPLOMAT 95.2
2-FATHER OF SCIENCE 92.9 (off July 12)
6-ODEON 90.0
4-SMOKEY LONESOME 88.8
3-YOMYBATO 79.6 (off Aug. 12)

RACE 3
4-LITE THAT BABY UP 73.7
7-JAY'S FIRETRUCK 71.4
1-ONLY THE GOLD 68.6
8-DEREKSON 61.6
9-QUILLOTANO 60.6

RACE 4
8-CHILA ALI 55.0
10-CIRCULAR LOGIC 49.7
11-SWISS KEY 37.8
5-APALACHEE SONG 35.4
13-BLUEGRASS ELLIE 35.4

1st time starters - 7, 9, 1, 2

RACE 5
7-MAJOR AFFAIR 71.7
5-COLBURN 70.9

1st time starters - 8, 3, 4, 6, 2, 1

RACE 6
2-SWEET MARINI 101.1
9-DOINGHARDTIMEAGAIN 90.0
5-MARKS MINE 81.5
8-QIAONA 75.4
7-HAIL MARY 73.7

RACE 7
2-TALE OF A CHAMPION 90.7
4-DEACON SPEAKIN' 90.0
5-MCALLISTER BOYS 89.4
10-PATRIOT'S VOYAGE 88.8
3-LUMBERYARD JACK 88.1
8-MAYBE TUESDAY 88.1

RACE 8
6-INDIAN CLASSIC 86.3
2-FOLLINI 83.8
4-COULD BE TROUBLE 80.8
9-OMEGA STAR 77.8
11-FIGHTING HUSSAR 72.6

RACE 9
3-THE DIRECTOR 94.5 (off Jan. 12)
4-PRIZED BY BUCK 71.4
9-BANGED HIS EYE 69.2
11-SMOKENOMORE 65.9 (off May 11)
8-CRESTATORRE 61.6
1-PRIDDIS WILDCAT 60.6

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Friday, March 29, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
6-JESSE'S GIACOMO 62.2
7-ISLAND FROLIC 53.0
1-STRANGE LUCK 48.3
3-EXCLUSIVE STORY 46.9
5-TRICKSAREFORKIDS 46.9

RACE 2
3-ONDINE 76.0 (off Oct. 12)
4-CORLETT DRIVE 64.3
1-FINE ASSAY 57.0
6-GIMLET WITHA TWIST 47.4

1st time starters - 5, 2, 7

RACE 3
8-BLACK TUNIC 95.8
4-CAELIS 90.7 (off June 12)
5-CHOCKECHERYMARY 88.8
2-JOLLY DAYS 84.4
3-VIVA CARINA 82.6
1-MISS RADIANCE 82.6

RACE 4
1-PENNY MAKER 61.1
8-KINGSBURY 55.1
5-CHICO SUERTE 54.5
7-TIZ FUTURITY 48.3
4-LOUISTHEFIFTEENTH 46.0

RACE 5
7-CORNTHIAN MELODY 67.0
9-CHESTNUT MOON 67.0
2-ROUST 'EM BERTIE 64.3
3-PURE SMILES 62.2
10-SUNCADIA 61.5

1st time starters - 8

RACE 6
5-LANGFURS LIGHTNING 77.2
4-LAUGH AT LIFE 72.6
3-JUDGE CARR 66.4
9-NOBLE KENT 60.6 (off June 12)
2-WARREN'S JOE T. 58.6

RACE 7
3-GREELEY AWESOME 78.4
6-ROSENGOLD 77.6
2-MICELI 75.4
7-PROCUREMENT 73.7
8-CHINA PRINCE 73.7

RACE 8
1-KATY'S KITTY 74.9
7-FLASHY DELIGHT 74.3
2-BONITA STAR 74.3
10-BROOKLYN ROSE 74.3
3-GRAND CORREDORA 65.4

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Thursday, March 28, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
6-WILD MEDIA 94.5
4-FLY HIGH 87.5 (off June 12)
2-SOUTHERN SUNRISE 85.0 (off May 12)
3-CANELO 68.1 (off April 12)
1-FRENCH STORM 65.9 (off July 12)

RACE 2
4-CHURCH AVENUE 79.6
5-TIP YOUR HAT 73.1
1-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 70.3
2-HALFAPONDAROSA 68.6
7-ADDENDUM 66.4

RACE 3
2-SO PRETTY 43.3
7-PARALYZING EYES 26.5
4-TONY'S PINGUINI'S 26.1
8-MASS EFFECT 24.1
1-PRISSY MISS 12.8 (off April 12)

1st time starters - 6, 5, 3

RACE 4
5-COO CACHOO 95.7
9-IVANHO 90.0
6-DISTORT THIS 87.5
7-PASSING GAME 87.5
2-SHOWME YOURFRIENDS 86.3

RACE 5
3-ROYAL TIGER 96.5
2-INCLUDE THE CAT 90.7
4-SATURDAY NITE RIDE 90.7
6-EGG DROP 85.0
1-SWINGAWAY 80.2

RACE 6
6-STARSPANGLED HEAT 99.8
5-CARBONITE 97.1 (off Feb. 12)
4-DUBAI YOU X Y Z 96.5 (off June 12)
2-KOAST 90.7 (off Aug. 12)
7-CHOSEN MIRACLE 88.0

1st time starters - 1

RACE 7
3-LADY ROSAMOND 82.6
1-BLUSHING ANGEL 79.0
5-SPOOKY LADY 71.4
7-SWEET FACTORY 68.1
9-MISS ROBYN 63.2

RACE 8
4-ENGLISH RHYTHM 74.9
6-SUANCES VIXEN 70.3
10-TANQUERRAY 67.0
1-SWEET BAGUETTE 66.4
7-CUVEE EXCHANGE 63.1

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Tuesday, March 26, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,560 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, March 24, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
1-KING MAYA 83.2
2-CONGREGATIONALIST 67.0
6-GREEN DOLPHIN 49.7
3-PORCHETTO 36.6
5-V. C. ALI MAC 34.6

1st time starters - 7

RACE 2
8-JUST FISHIN 86.3
6-COPPER BAY 78.4
4-DYNAMIZE 69.8
3-SUMERIAN 65.4
1-CARAMS 59.0 (off Aug. 12)

RACE 3
1-HONOUR THE DEPUTY 79.0
2-NATIONAL 75.8
5-BEER MEISTER 73.1
3-MEMEN 69.8
6-ARCODORO 68.1

RACE 4
1-CHINESE PRAISE 72.6
7-WARREN'S DR. BOO 68.1
6-KURO 62.7
4-SECRET JACKPOT 59.0
5-VALEN 56.0

RACE 5
11-APPEALING 85.4
9-MUM'S TRUCKEE 83.2
3-MADRE LUNA 81.4
5-LEMON HERO 79.0
7-POSSIBLE 77.6 (off Oct. 12)

RACE 6
8-TEN TEQUILOAS 59.0
3-FEATHERS INTHE SKY 54.5
5-PRIMED AND READY 48.8
7-ONE FOR NOTHING 44.6
6-SHINING SON 37.0

1st time starters - 10, 9, 2

RACE 7
1-LADY OF SHAMROCK 101.1
3-QUIET OASIS 101.1 (off July 12)
6-TIZ FLIRTATIOUS 97.1
5-A JEALOUS WOMAN 96.5
4-SMARTY B 87.5

RACE 8
1-OBSESS 86.9
2-REAL CONUNDRUM 84.4
4-MASTER CHEF 83.8
3-RED DEFENSE 82.5
5-FREE TIME 82.0

RACE 9
12-HANSERELLA 73.1
10-ATTA GIRL ALMA 69.2
3-LAKESIDE BRIDE 67.0
9-TOO MANY RULES 66.4
8-TICKLE AGAIN 59.6

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Saturday, March 23, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $191,838.

RACE 1
5-AFLEET COWBOY 98.4 (off July 12)
1-HARD BILL 94.5
3-ERNIE OWL 80.8
6-FIRE IN THE WIND 80.2
4-IRON JOE T 77.8

RACE 2
1-MARKET QUOTE 82.0
5-LUCKYVIC 80.2 (off July 12)
2-TOP KISSER 79.0
6-LUXURIANCE 69.8
4-CAYTON 68.7


RACE 3
6-SPLENDID FORTUNE 90.0
4-CONKATE 81.4
2-TWELVE FOLDS 81.4
3-SCARY RIDE 79.6
1-MY BRITE CAROLINE 65.4

RACE 4
1-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 85.6
4-BABY BLAKE 76.6
2-CLOUD TOP 75.1 (off March 12)
6-NOME 71.4 (off April 12)
3-CRIMSON GIANT 65.9

RACE 5
8-ZEE BROS 89.4
7-MASTER APPEAL 86.9 (4 wide)
2-PURE LOYALTY 86.3
5-AIRFOIL 70.9 (4 wide)
6-TENKILLER KID 68.1 (off slow)

1st time starters - 1, 3

RACE 6
6-CHARM CATCHER 77.2
5-DEVIOUS CHIC 67.0
2-WEDNESDAY 65.2
1-DANCE TEAM 63.8 (off Sept. 12)
3-CHRISTMAS SECRET 58.5

1st time starters - 4, 8

RACE 7
6-CALIDOSCOPIO 112.9
5-RICHARD'S KID 101.1
4-OILISBLACKGOLD 100.4
8-DHAAMER 98.8 (off Aug. 12)
2-SKY KINGDOM 95.2

RACE 8
1-GOLDEN MEXICO 95.2 (off Jan. 12)
8-MR. BOSSY PANTS 90.7
3-DRIFT KING 88.1
4-LAMM 87.5
7-RED JAG 79.6

RACE 9
9-GOING BACK TO CALI 54.0
1-JAWBREAKER 53.0
3-AMULAY 49.7 (off slow)
7-TOP TIZZY 47.8
4-SING KITTY SING 30.4

1st time starters - 2, 6, 8

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Friday, March 22, 2013

 
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $43,178.

RACE 1
4-MILES HEIR 72.0
6-GLOBAL GLOW 71.4
1-BAY RUSH 64.3
3-HASTY TREND 60.4
2-SIDEPOCKET KID 58.5

RACE 2
3-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 102.5
1-CANONIZE 100.4
4-PHANTOM LOVER 97.8
2-ROYAL F J 86.9
5-MAJESTIC MOMENT 86.3

RACE 3
6-CANDY'S JEWEL 83.8
9-INDIAN GODS 83.8
4-RUSSEL'S RUN 70.3
10-SPORTS REPORT 68.8
8-SOUTHERN HEART 61.6

RACE 4
7-GIRL ON THE LAM 57.5
3-ELLE CEE DEE 53.5 (steadied)
6-LIL CHEYENNE 49.2
5-DISCREET DEE 48.8
2-SPOILEDANDENTITLED 42.4

1st time starters - 4, 1

RACE 5
7-CAVALLETTA 70.6
8-PURE BLUSH 69.3
4-BORN LUCKY 68.8
5-FLUXX 62.5 (off March 12)
1-SASSY BRUNETTE 61.0

RACE 6
4-LEOTHELION 80.2 (off Nov. 11)
1-IDONTROLLONSHABBOS 78.4
2-ET TU WALKER 74.3
9-CHASING THE HEAT 70.3
7-FLOWER POWER 68.6

RACE 7
5-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 100.8
2-SAINT LOUP 94.5
7-LIME RICKEY 90.7
1-TORUK MAKTO 88.8
3-RINTOO 83.2

RACE 8
9-BLAZEN ALL STAR 57.5
7-ALISSA G 49.5
6-PAY THE CUTIE 49.2
5-WARREN'S FANTASY 48.8
10-LA POMME D'AMOUR 47.4

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Thursday, March 21, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







NOTE: SUNDAY SIX TOP PICKS WON AGAIN


RACE 1
3-BIKINI BOTTOM 67.0
7-RICH IN TRADITION 54.5 (off Aug. 12)
1-DULCEMIA 41.1
4-SIMPLY SECRET 34.9
2-SWEET IRISH LASS 15.0

1st time starters - 6, 5

RACE 2
2-HIS ROYAL HIGHNESS 76.0
1-WORLD RENOWNED 67.8
5-I FEEL FREE 59.6
4-DESTINO 59.0 (off Sept. 12)
8-PATRIOTIC LION 49.7

RACE 3
3-SPACECOAST 74.9
6-PEPPY BOLLY 67.5
7-ONE FAST FROG 67.0
4-SWEET NECTAR 65.9
2-MAGESTIC STINGER 63.8

RACE 4
6-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 82.8
3-BRANDING 78.7
1-WITTGENSTEIN 72.6
7-MACHA 72.0
5-SWEET RED CAT 68.6

RACE 5
5-COURAGEOUSANDBOLD 70.9
3-ROLL YOUR EYES 70.3
6-INDYCAT 69.8
7-COTTON BELLE 65.9
4-MAGIC MAMA 60.1

RACE 6
1-BROKER BRETT 81.4
4-SOUL SAVER 79.1
5-LEFTY O'DOUL 77.2
7-RED MAN RUN 74.9
6-SILENT BIDDER 61.5 (off July 12 -good works))

RACE 7
4-GREAT WARRIOR 93.9
7-SEVEN BRIDGES 81.4
6-HALF STRIKE 80.8 (off Oct. 12)
3-CALL ME KELLY 80.2
8-JOY BOY 78.4 (off May 12)

RACE 8
5-LUCKY STUDENT 56.0
6-TRIBAL SPY 52.1
4-COCONUT CREAM PIE 51.6
7-ROCKIN COWGIRL 51.1
1-PUTTYBADSHARK 46.9

1st time starters - 8, 3

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Tuesday, March 19, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, March 18, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,555 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?

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Sunday, March 17, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






NOTE: SATURDAY 6 OF MY TOP PICKS WON THEIR RACES.

RACE 1
4-SWEETRAYOFSUNSHINE 79.6
2-MELANISTIC 76.0
5-JOLLEY GREEN BEAN 69.2 (off Oct. 11)
6-SWISS BLISS 60.4
3-AWE GOLLY MOLLY 58.0

RACE 2
7-WIND OF BOSPHORUS 82.0
5-LICO 79.1
11-I'M WIDE AWAKE 63.2
10-BLUE CHEROKEE 58.0
6-MAXX THE GIANT 56.3

1st time starters - 1, 8

RACE 3
6-FAST N FURIUS CAT 91.3
1-SIR ALLISON 85.6
4-SHAME ON ALEX 79.6
3-SMOKEN LEGACY 77.2
2-PLENNY OF HENNY 67.0

RACE 4
5-THE GRANS 65.4
9-JADE WITH ENVY 62.5
8-SIDEPOCKET RUN 61.4
3-LITTLE UNUSUAL 60.6
1-READY FOR LOVE 58.0

RACE 5
1-MEL'S GAME 104.5
2-AIN'T NO OTHER 100.6
5-MAUI MARK 97.2
4-COACH BOB 94.5
3-THIRTYFIRSTSTREET 75.2

RACE 6
2-ROCK ME BABY 94.5
3-KILAT 87.5
5-TRIBE 86.3
11-DIXIELAND BLUES 83.2
1-SIZZLIN' JOE 82.7 (off Aug. 12)

RACE 7
9-FOOTBRIDGE 102.5
8-SPIRITED TOUCH 82.0
1-CONSURGO 77.8
4-ALEANDER 74.9
2-PRINCE TELEMACHUS 68.6 (off Oct. 12)

RACE 8
7-CURVY CAT 90.0
6-BENCH GLORY 90.0
3-DANCINGTOTHESTARS 86.9
4-QUIZZICAL 86.9
8-MISS WELL MOLDED 82.0
2-MISS BECCA 82.0

RACE 9
8-INFLAMED SPIRIT 64.8
4-TRICE UP 60.1
2-FLEW FLICKER 56.5
7-ICE CREAM TRUCK 54.5
6-TIME FOR BEANIE 40.7
9-CUT TO THE FRONT 39.0

1st time starters - 3, 1

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Saturday, March 16, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





TODAYS PICK SIX CARRYOVER IS $44,924.

RACE 1
5-ROSSI RESERVE 62.2
2-MEMO TO KATHY 62.2
7-MICHAILASHEARTLITE 59.6
3-GOOD ACKTRESS 52.6
4-ENTABENI 47.4

RACE 2
3-DOUBLE ANTE 91.9
2-MISS PIPPA 80.8
6-MISS ELLANY 76.3 (off Sept. 12)
4-PRETTYPRICEYGIRL 76.0
1-ROXELANA 71.3

RACE 3
6-ZIA ZIA ZIA 79.6

1st time starters - 2, 3, 1, 4, 5

RACE 4
9-JOEANDBETTY'SBABY 67.5
8-HARD BUNS 62.7
3-PARIS AFFAIR 61.1
10-HEAT DU JOUR 61.1
2-HARD ROCKIN GIRL 59.6

1st time starters - 5

RACE 5
3-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 70.6
5-EULA B. 67.5
4-RACY ROSA 66.4
6-SUNLAND VINTAGE 61.1
2-SECRET OF SUCCESS 59.6
1-MISSDANG SALLY 59.6

RACE 6
7-BROWN IS BEIGE 80.8
1-QUEEN MERCURY 79.7
2-R DOUBLEDAY 74.5
6-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 74.3
4-LANIDA 73.1

RACE 7
3-JOYFUL VICTORY 102.5
2-BRUSHED BY A STAR 99.8
6-MORE CHOCOLATE 99.1
5-SNOW FALL 96.5
4-GREAT HOT 93.2

RACE 8
7-BRIGHT THOUGHT 101.1
2-INTERACTION 100.4
9-BOURBON BAY 97.8
1-SLIM SHADEY 95.8
8-ALL SQUARED AWAY 93.9

RACE 9
3-WARREN'S FLASHER 54.0
8-WARREN'S MY QUEEN 51.6
2-MY YAMMY HEAT 47.8
4-DAZE 43.3
7-LADY COMIC 42.9

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Friday, March 15, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
6-SHACKBAMALAMA 72.6
5-FIGHTING ON 50.2 (off slow)
2-MORENO'S MINE 49.2
4-WAY BEST 23.1

1st time starters - 1, 3

RACE 2
4-MANANDO 97.8
6-KID DREAMS 83.2
5-WAR ACADEMY 79.4
3-BROKERED 73.7
1-DIRTY SWAGG 73.1

RACE 3
2-IN A WINE TIZZY 81.4
5-WAITWAITDONTTELLME 71.4
10-LETHAL INTENT 63.2
7-TRIBAL DUDE 62.7
1-CATCANSCAT 62.2

RACE 4
4-MACIAS 83.8 (off Jan. 12)
1-NATIONAL 80.2
3-VAUNDELL 79.0
5-CHINESE PRAISE 70.9
2-CLASSY LION 70.3 (off Nov. 12)

RACE 5
5-WHAT A SPOT 72.8
11-MISS AMERICAN PIE 72.3
6-MALIBU HONEY 67.0
7-UPBEAT MOOD 65.9 (off Oct. 12)
4-DISKO DASKO 65.8 (off Oct. 12)

RACE 6
2-A DROP DEAD DIVA 74.3
5-COULD BE TROUBLE 70.9
8-SPRING GAL 63.8
4-OUT OF THIN AIR 59.0
3-BOLLER BOMB 59.0

RACE 7
8-STARSPANGLED HEAT 103.8
4-CHILOQUIN 103.6
3-A TOAST TO YOU 102.5
13-COACH BOB 100.4
5-D'PENDABLE 99.1 (off Jan. 12)

RACE 8
5-TIZ ANNA 54.5
12-PENROSE 48.8
13-OF ROYALTY 46.7
8-HEAVEN ON EARTH 46.4
10-SILKY LACE 45.5
6-NEKOMATA 45.5

1st time starters - 1


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Thursday, March 14, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $94,395.

RACE 1
7-ADRENALINE SHOT 58.0
6-WILD TONY 39.9
3-STREAMOFSTEAM 33.0
2-ARMY COMMANDER 25.4 (off Aug. 12)
1-KETTLE MAN 8.1

1st time starters - 4, 5

RACE 2
5-WIN MACHINE 48.3
3-TALK THE WALK 47.8
6-WARREN'S TYLER S. 44.6

1st time starters - 8, 7, 1, 4. 2

RACE 3
1-MIA ISABEL 79.0
2-THERMAL NERMAL 77.2
6-GITTEL 77.2
4-LIGHT OF LIFE 75.4
7-FOUR BETTER 74.3

RACE 4
2-ICONIC SPIRIT 73.7
8-BLACK WITCH 70.9
7-TEMPTRESS 66.4
5 ELEGANT IN SILK 59.6
3-HERO'S SPIRIT 51.1

RACE 5
5-CARRIE ROSE 78.4
8-LILLY'S PERFECT 78.4
2-VAN BRIT 76.6
9-EYES ON THE PRIZE 74.9
10-BONITA STAR 73.1

RACE 6
1-LUCKARACK 95.2
2-STONESIDE 88.1
5-COURTSIDE 88.1
8-CLOSE TO THE EDGE 87.5
3-DRIFT KING 85.6

RACE 7
2-THERE IS NO LIMIT 90.0
3-BEST PRESENT EVER 89.4
8-ESENTEPE 88.8 (off Sept. 12)
1-CREDITCARDROULETTE 85.1
7-SCHIAPARELLI 83.2

RACE 8
1-DECEPTION FREE 64.3
2-UNMARKED BILLS 63.8
5-WARREN'S BUGLER 55.0
10-GREEN TEAM 53.0
6-SI ES VERDAD 52.6

1st time starters - 9, 11, 3

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Wednesday, March 13, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,548 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?

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Sunday, March 10, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
8-POLITICAL MAN 58.5
5-TRICKY SHANE 56.5
1-DUKE STREET KING 56.0
6-FLEW FLICKER 52.1
4-IN TAYLOR'S HONOR 42.0

RACE 2
3-LET EM SHINE 98.4
2-NO CONTIGENCY 89.4
4-FIGHTING HUSSAR 83.8
1-THE WHOLE DEAL 77.8
5-SPECIAL JOE 76.6 (off Sept. 12)

RACE 3
4-NOBLE EXCHANGE 86.3 (off March 12)
2-INDIAN GODS 85.0
7-BEC'S FINALE 67.5 (off July 12)
5-CONGREGATIONALIST 65.9
6-DASHING ASH 38.6 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 1

RACE 4
7-DISTORT THIS 92.6
4-ZUBOFF 92.6
3-MOTOWN MEN 88.2
5-SILVER DRAGON 88.1
6-SWIFT EAGLE 86.9

RACE 5
2-BROADWAY NIKA 77.8
11-BANGED HIS EYE 70.3
1-TRAWEEK 61.1
3-MINISTER OF TRADE 57.5
5-VALEN 56.5

RACE 6
10-BRAVE ACT 65.2
12-REAL HEAT 53.5
9-GREAT FRIENDS RULE 53.0
1-BOBO 52.6
5-GALLANT CHARM 46.3

1st time starters - 4, 7, 2, 3

RACE 7
1-TIZ SNAZZY 78.4
5-I DON'T CARE WHO 72.0
8-MIND THE MASTER 69.2
4-WORLD RENOWNED 69.2
9-HARLINGTON NIGHT 68.1

RACE 8
5-TEDDY'S PROMISE 103.1
3-SHUMOOS 95.8
6-SUGARINTHEMORNING 88.1
4-DISTRACTING 85.6
8-QUIZZICAL 85.0

RACE 9
7-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 76.6
3-LATE NIGHT SKY 74.9
10-EAST SKY 71.4
11-PAPA LEV 67.0
4-ROCK OFF 63.8
9-ON HOLY GROUND 63.8


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Saturday, March 09, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
1-ONE FAST FROG 72.6
7-FLORACITA 70.9
6-SWEET BAGUETTE 68.6
5-AMY'S OUTBURST 65.4
2-NIGHT DANCE 62.2

RACE 2
3-SOLAR ROCKET 79.6
8-CRAGMONT 65.9
5-CHINESE PRAISE 65.9
7-USURP 65.4
4-HASTY TREND 63.2

RACE 3
4-MUCHOS BESOS 84.4
5-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 82.6
1-DONATO 80.8
2-BARON VON RED 73.7
6-SPIT BALL 72.0

RACE 4
6-MARINDA 88.8
2-APPEALING 85.4
1-SASSY SUANCES 84.4
4-DEMONSTEROUS 83.8
8-MADRE LUNA 83.8

RACE 5
7-RED TESLA 81.4 (off March 12)
1-RUSSEL'S RUN 71.4
5-CELEBRITY STATUS 66.4
8-JACO RED 66.1 (off July 12)

1st time starters - 9, 2, 4, 3, 10, 6

RACE 6
4-DEMOCRAT DUCK 70.3
3-LEMON DROP DREAM 68.6
12-PERFECT SET 65.4
9-KINGS GIANT 63.8
6-APOSTLE PAUL 60.1

1st time starters - 2

RACE 7
3-GOLDENCENTS 103.8
2-FLASHBACK 103.1
7-SALUTOS AMIGOS 99.8
6-TIZ A MINISTER 94.5
8-OMEGA STAR 90.0

RACE 8
2-SEOLAN 98.6
1-MAGNIFICENT SHIRL 85.6
12-SKY HIGH GAL 84.4
6-CIAO BELLA LUNA 83.2
7-SARACH 82.0

RACE 9
10-SWISS EMPEROR 64.8
9-PATRIOTIC LION 60.1
2-WARREN'S PAROLEE 58.8
8-MIDNIGHT RAVEN 52.5
7-SOLID SOUTH 52.0
6-SAN SAVINO 45.5

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Friday, March 08, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





RACE 1
2-LORD VRONSKY 82.6
5-CABO CHICO 76.0
4-SILENCIO GATO 59.6
1-KEY REVERSAL 59.0
3-LONE JUSTICE 55.0

RACE 2
7-CHARMING CHANDRA 49.2
1-SPEEDY VIXEN 49.2
2-GLORIOUS MEMORIES 46.9
5-AS USUAL 45.5
4-CHATURUNGA 38.6 (off Dec. 11)

1st time starters - 3

RACE 3
8-MY CINSATION 84.5
4-MUM'S TRUCKEE 83.2
5-LUXURIANCE 80.8
2-CHIMI DEE 73.7
11-MARY CONTRARY 72.3

RACE 4
7-IDONTROLLONSHABBOS 76.0
6-BUD'S PAL 73.1
4-OUR MAGIC COUPLE 73.1
5-TOLEDO EDDIE 72.6
1-WILLIE BROWN 72.0

RACE 5
6-FUNNY BELLE 82.0
3-SECRET COVE 77.2
2-BORN LUCKY 74.9
4-GEM OF SOUL 74.3
7-NICE MEIDEL 74.0

RACE 6
6-iTALIAN RULES 115.0
3-CASTLETOWN 104.5
5-SADDLERANCH 104.5 (off April 12)
2-AMERICAN ACT 99.8 (off May 12)
4-SEQUOIA WARRIOR 93.9

RACE 7
8-ROCK THIS WAY 83.8
6-GENIUS LEVEL 81.4
1-MR. MAKE BELIEVE 80.2
5-GOLD MEDALLION 77.2
4-PORFIDO 76.0

RACE 8
10-CHILA ALI 61.6
2-VICTORIA'S ON FIRE 57.0
8-BETTY PORTLOCK 44.6
12-SWISS KEY 42.0
3-LADY DELANEY 36.2

1st time starters - 11, 4, 1, 5, 9

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Thursday, March 07, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





RACE 1
1-KINGSBURY 55.0
4-SILK INDIAN 51.1
5-DOUBLEDEESONTHETEE 51.1
2-TEN TEQUILAS 48.3
3-INDIAN SPIRIT 48.3

RACE 2
2-FIESTA EXPRESS 61.6
6-ENTABENI 49.7
3-NEGRA TOMASA 44.2
1-WARREN'S GOLDIE 43.3
5-WARRENS CHINA DOLL 42.0

RACE 3
2-BILBAO 73.7
6-SO SHE DANCES 73.1
3-TOLUCA 70.3
12-ENGLISH RHYTHM 65.9
8-FLUXX 65.0

RACE 4
3-CHERRY ON THE CAKE 48.3
6-FABULOUS FASHION 44.4
7-SCAT PATTY 35.3 (off slow)
1-HELLO STORMY 34.2
2-TONY'S PINGUINI'S 25.1

1st time starters - 5, 4

RACE 5
7-CHESTNUT MOON 76.0
2-BELONGING 75.4
8-TROJENNA 75.4
1-FARAYYA 68.6
4-SWINGAWAY 67.6

1st time starters - 3, 5

RACE 6
2-CHURCH AVENUE 80.2
4-TORNADO ALLIE 69.2
8-REAL HOUSEWIFE 68.6
1-J AND S EXPRESS 67.5
5-SECRET GENIUS 61.1

RACE 7
4-I'M NOT GRAY 77.2
6-EXAMEN 73.7
5-MERINGUE PIE 72.0
7-SQUARE DANCER 66.4
3-ONE FIRM CAT 64.8

RACE 8
6-JOE HARDOON 55.5
3-JUST BECAUSE 55.5
8-RUN CHARLIE RUN 54.5
2-WARREN'S WESLEY 51.1 (off March 12)
4-SEEKING THE SHERIF 49.2 (off May 11)

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Wednesday, March 06, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, March 05, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,542 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?

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Sunday, March 03, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
2-UNUSUAL JAZZ 86.3
1-ALLEY HONDRO 83.2
5-OUR BOY BENJAMIN 74.3
4-UNUSUAL BEAM 73.7
6-TEAFATILLER 68.1

RACE 2
7-STREETS OF HEAVEN 86.9
1-ERNIE OWL 81.4
2-HONOUR THE DEPUTY 79.6
6-YES IT'S SNOWING 76.0
3-BLAKE 75.4 (off May 12)

RACE 3
5-UNBRIDLED WEE 64.8
1-DEVIOUS CHIC 63.9
7-JULIO'S GOLD 59.6

1st time starters - 4, 6, 2, 3, 8

RACE 4
1-LIME RICKEY 92.6 (off Sept. 12)
6-SHADOW RUNNER 88.1
4-BUENOS DIAS 85.6 (off Aug. 12)
5-DIAMONDSDIPLOMAT 83.8
2-ARRAIGNMENT 82.6

RACE 5
7-ARINYES LOVE 68.1
1-QUICK WAMPUM 67.5
4-BACKWOODS BELLE 58.5
5-CHA CHA LATTE 57.5
9-DEMOCRATIC SWEEP 55.5

RACE 6
2-CITY STATE 61.0
9-TRIBAL DUDE 60.4
8-PROSPECTOR'S TRICK 59.0
14-REAL HEAT 54.0
6-UNUSUAL LOVER 50.8

1st time starters - 5, 12, 10, 1, 3, 7, 11

RACE 7
6-PRIME NUMBER 89.4
2-CANDY WALTZ 87.5
3-WHIPSTOCK 86.3
5-FIELD REPORT 84.4
7-SHERIFF RYAN 74.3

RACE 8
9-FIRE WITH FIRE 91.9
7-HUNTSVILLE 91.9
5-MONEY TALKER 90.7
6-DREAMCATCHER 89.4
3-IVANHO 87.5

RACE 9
1-CAPTAIN HADLEY 62.2
13-DUKE STREET KING 58.5
8-SPORTS REPORT 57.0
4-BRO DEREK 47.8
7-ONE FOR NOTHING 47.8

1st time starters - 3

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Saturday, March 02, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





RACE 1
8-STORM FIGHTER 82.5
6-BIG SWIG 77.2
1-WARREN'S NICHOLAS 68.1
4-MAGNUM FORCE 68.1
7-ACKMAN 60.9

RACE 2
9-FOXY BOSS 82.0
6-WEDNESDAY 73.1
4-MOJO MISS 64.6
8-MAJESTIC MINISTER 63.2
3-NOW HOPE 55.0

1st time starters - 2, 7

RACE 3
4-VISIGODO 73.7
9-JAY'S FIRETRUCK 70.9
7-CAPTAIN BEAU 70.3
1-QUILLOTANO 68.6
2-PRIZED BY BUCK 64.3

RACE 4
8-J K'S MISCHIEF 69.8 (steadied)
2-TIZMETIZYOU 66.4
10-SUPER DEFENCE 62.7
9-MYSTERY ME 59.0
6-DEVINE SUCESS 52.6 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3, 1, 4, 7

RACE 5
6-TIGER DAY 95.0
7-HORIZON SKY 90.0
8-NATIVE TREASURE 85.1 (off Sept. 12)
1-ROSENGOLD 83.9
5-PROCUREMENT 76.6

RACE 6
5-BEHOLDER 106.6
2-FIFTYSHADESOFHAY 89.4
3-LADY ASANO 82.6
8-HEIR KITTY 82.0
6-SCARLET STRIKE 80.8

RACE 7
9-CIRCLE THE MOON 96.5
10-PLEASURE TO RIDE 94.5 (off Sept. 11)
4-JULES JOURNEY 91.9
2-YOU KNOW I KNOW 89.4
6-PRESS BARON 88.1

RACE 8
6-SIR BOND 98.4
5-ROUSING SERMON 97.1
8-ZACKN'MAT 92.6
10-OBSESS 87.5
9-AMERICAN BLEND 86.3
7-PATRIOT'S VOYAGE 86.3
3-GUIDOPANZINI 86.3

RACE 9
8-MR. COMMONS 109.3
2-FED BIZ 106.1
7-WILKINSON 98.4
6-FOREST MOUSE 98.3
3-SUGGESTIVE BOY 97.1

RACE 10
9-GAME ON DUDE 134.4
1-RON THE GREEK 122.3
4-CALLED TO SERVE 117.2
6-RICHARD'S KID 105.2
5-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 104.5

RACE 11
1-BENCH PRESS 70.9
5-STORM POWER 64.3 (off Sept. 12)
2-MORENO 53.5
13-MR. SEXY 14.5 (shuffled)

1st time starters - 6, 8, 12, 11, 9, 3, 4, 10

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Friday, March 01, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $44.521.

THE PICK FIVE CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $226,900.


RACE 1
2-ONE WORLD 79.6
1-VALENTINE BOY 73.1
4-ALWAYS THE SAME 72.0 (off March 12)
6-I RUN FOR FUN 72.0
5-SUN'S OUT 69.2

RACE 2
2-CANDY'S JEWEL 88.7
1-WILD MEDIA 88.1
5-OLIVER'S TALE 79.0 (off May 12)
6-INCLINE VILLAGE 72.6
3-MENTAL GIANT 63.2 (off Oct. 11)

1st time starters - 8, 4

RACE 3
1-GRAND GIANT 70.4
14-PENNY MAKER 68.8
8-MAXX THE GIANT 65.2
9-GENTLEMEN PETE 64.3
10-DR. SPIN 64.0

1st time starters - 3, 5, 4

RACE 4
9-ROLL YOUR EYES 70.3
6-LATIN LASHES 68.1
2-ROSSI RESERVE 64.8
4-RAISIN' CAIN 60.6
3-MAYA ANGELINA 59.6

RACE 5
10-PUFF PASTRY 76.6
9-HANSERELLA 71.4
5-LAKESIDE BRIDE 62.2 (off Aug. 12)
2-SIDEPOCKET RUN 58.5
6-LITTLE UNUSUAL 57.5

1st time starters - 7, 8

RACE 6
9-INDIAN CLASSIC 59.6 (off June 12, 4 wide)
6-WILD TONY 59.6
3-BOB CONSULTATION 58.6
1-GADZOOKS 34.2

1st time starters - 2, 5, 4, 7

RACE 7
4-SURFCUP 82.0
1-CHINA PRINCE 77.0
2-BACK TO BAKO 70.3
3-ALYDIDIT 69.2
6-CONDIMENT 67.0

RACE 8
6-PARTY BUS 51.0
4-APALACHEE SONG 48.8
2-MEDUSALINA 46.4
12-SWISS IN PARIS 39.0
9-SILENT STREAK 36.6
11-CIRCULAR LOGIC 35.4

1st time starters - 5, 7, 10

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