Wednesday, September 27, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-ROBADAR 108.8
6-MUCH FASTER 98.5 (off Aug. 05)
5-POTENTIAL 98.5
1-SYMPHONY SID 91.9
2-UNRIVALED 91.9

RACE 2
3-BERTIE BOY 53.0
5-MYSTIC WOOD 31.9

1st time starters 6, 1A (entry), 1 (entry), 2, 4

RACE 3
3-ARTAXMAN 85.0
5-SONNY JONES 76.0
2-CLAN CHIEF 64.3
1-MICKY'S DOLL 62.7

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-WARREN'S QUEEN 47.4
2-GOLDEN ROUTE 44.4
7-STAR BEHRER 33.6
1-MOST EXPENSIVE 32.0

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
6-SOUL CITY SLEW 90.0
12-POLITICAL MANEUVER 89.4
5-HAVANA TIZZY 88.1
3-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 81.4
4-SI CHIMI 81.4

RACE 6
8-MON'S THE MAN 97.1
11-THEIR HE GOES 86.9
2-RHODINE'S KID 76.0
6-MIURA BULL 70.9

1st time starters - 3, 7, 10

RACE 7
6-CAPECLOAKANDDAGGER 98.5
8-TWICE AS BAD 83.8
7-ROCKIN' RIZZI 83.2
2-PERSISTENT 80.8

RACE 8
11-CAMBIOCORSA 113.6
9-HELLO LUCKY 100.3
7-REVEALED 97.1
6-PRIVATE BANKING 93.1

RACE 9
2-NORTH AMERICA 72.6
11-STAR OF MADRAAR 68.6
4-DIAMOND MINER 66.0
8-SOCIAL SLEWPY 60.0

1st time starters - 3

Tuesday, September 26, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT OAK TREE TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at the racebook I go to as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. How you bet the picks is the key. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened twice that I know of in over 395 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have? GOOD LUCK.

Monday, September 25, 2006

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MON.

Sun. recap- Race 3- 4th pick 2nd (7.80) 3rd pick 4th. Race 4- Top Pick won (2.60) 3rd pick 2nd (7.20) 2nd pick 3rd (2.20) Top Pick keyed with next 2 picks- Ex (7.20) Q (14.40) Trifecta (18.30). Race 5- 4th pick won (5.40) top pick 2nd (4.20) 3rd pick 3rd (2.60) picks boxed- Ex (13.00) Q (11.00) Trifecta (38.40). Race 6- Top pick won (12.00) 4th pick 2nd (3.80) 3rd pick 3rd (4.40) top pick keyed- Ex (18.90) Q (17.20) Trifecta (139.90). Race 7- Top pick won (4.60) Daily Double (29.40) 2nd pick 2nd (4.40) Ex (8.40) Q (11.00). Race 8- 2nd pick won (5.80) 3rd pick 3rd (4.20) 4th pick 4th. Race 9- 2nd pick won (12.20) top 1st timer 2nd (20.80) 3rd pick 3rd (3.80) picks plus top 1st timer- Ex (146.90) Q (207.80) Trifecta (939.80). Race 10- 2 picks scratched, 2nd pick 2nd (3.60) top pick 3rd (2.20). Race 11- 2nd pick 3rd (2.80) 4th pick 4th. Race 12- 3rd pick 2nd (5.40) 2nd pick 4th. Race 13- 2nd pick won (9.60) 4th pick 2nd (8.20) top pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (31.60) Q (35.20).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 3
7-MARY SWANSON 56.5
10-RAPID LADY 56.0
8-RIO ROSIE 51.6
9-CLASSY OLE 49.2
6-DARLIN QUEEN 49.2

RACE 4
6-WILDBERRY ROAD 84.4
3-ENDED 77.8
5-ZYPHER COVE 73.1
7-SUNNYS BUDDY 67.0

RACE 5
4-MAJESTIC AMERICAN 59.6
5-ZIG TOWN 50.6
10-LITTLE BIT FLAKEY 46.1
1-TACTICAL YODELER 46.0

RACE 6
10-GHOSTLY GIRL 69.8
7-GRANDSTAND QUEEN 65.4
3-PRECOCIOUS RENE 63.2
2-LINDA'S IMAGE 62.2

RACE 7
2-RETURN OF THE KING 87.5
9-SENDERO 77.8
8-VICTIM OF LOVE 73.1
3-HOT OFF THE BENCH 69.8

RACE 8
5-ADAMANT 80.8
8-SABALUCIOUS 80.8
1-LI BIEN 77.8
3-SEA OF SILVER 76.6

RACE 9
3-LA MANDONNA 43.8
7-HAPPYHOUR ATHEBRIG 32.0
6-SERENA'S FUTURE 31.9
2-BABY'S GOT HEART 26.5

1st time starters - 1, 9, 10, 5, 4, 8

RACE 10
5-WALTER RINGER 85.6
6-GO COYOTE JOE 83.8
8-CARELESS CANDIDATE 81.4
10-SLOW N EASY 80.8

RACE 11
1-SELVATICA 108.9
6-YODELADYTOO 103.8
8-INDIAN BREEZE 95.9
4-NOSSA CANCAO 94.5

RACE 12
10-KISSTHESTARGOODBY 51.1
3-C D O'SULLIVAN 50.2
1-ALWAYS SAY YES 47.8
2-AZTEC CHIEF 46.0

Sunday, September 24, 2006

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

Sat. recap- Race 3- Top pick won (6.80) 2nd pick 2nd (2.60) 4th pick 3rd (3.40) 3rd pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (8.30) Q (7.80) Trifecta (37.20) Superfecta (171.60). Race 4- 4th pick 3rd (3.80) 2nd pick 4th. Race 5- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick 2nd (4.40) top pick 3rd (2.10) 3rd pick 4th. Race 6- 1 pick scratched, Top pick won (3.60) 3rd pick 2nd (4.40) 2nd pick 4th, top pick keyed to 2 picks- Ex (6.20) Q (9.00). Race 7- Top pick won (6.40) Daily Double (9.00) 2nd pick 2nd (3.00) Ex (6.90) Q (5.80). Race 8- 3rd pick won (6.60) top pick "entry" 2nd and 3rd (2.60) (2.40) 4th pick 4th for trifecta (26.10). Race 9-4th pick 2nd (6.80) 3rd pick 4th. Race 10-Top Pick won (5.40) 3rd pick 2nd (6.60) 4th pick 3rd (3.40) top pick keyed- Ex (14.50) Q (22.00) Trifecta (61.50). Race 11- Top pick won (5.00) Daily Double (20.20) 4th pick 2nd (6.20) top pick keyed- Ex (16.40) Q (25.20). Race 12- 2nd pick 2nd (5.00) 4th pick 4th. Race 13- Top 1st timer won (15.80) 2nd pick 2nd (4.00) top pick 3rd (2.20) Top 1st timer keyed or boxed with top 2 picks- Ex (33.10) Q (28.20) Trifecta (67.10).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 3
3-RASHARD LAMAR 81.4
1-SEND ME A COPY 80.2
2-MANHATTAN EXPRESS 74.3
5-BOUND FOR VICTORY 68.6

RACE 4
4-MY FIRST BIG KISS 72.0
10-FREEDOM EVENT 59.6
5-EL MERO MERO 51.1
3-HOUSTON REALITY 42.0

1st time starters - 6, 8

RACE 5
3-SURE THING EVA 80.2
2-ON EDGE 79.6
5-ENERGY CZAR 76.0
9-A CONTROLLED CRASH 73.1

RACE 6
5-EASY OBSESSION 74.6
2-ELLA ELLA 68.1
3-GENERALS WARDANCER 66.4
7-LADY LE BELLE 65.9

RACE 7
8-TALKING TO JOHN 76.6
1-SCOFIELD HONOUR 61.1
4-UNBRIDLED GROOM 59.6
6-DELEGATE IT 59.0
3-ARMANDO 59.0

RACE 8
4-STRATAGEM 93.9
7-KING MOBAY 90.7
2-MIGHTY MYSTERIOUS 90.0
6-HOTEL HALL 83.8

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-FUTURE SEARCH 58.0
5-LORD ELIJAH 55.0
9-STRENGTH 52.6
3-PRINCE CARSON 48.3

1st time starters - 7, 6

RACE 10
1-CAPTAIN SQUIRE 110.0
6-PUBLICATION 107.3
7-THOR'S ECHO 105.2
2-JET WEST 101.1

RACE 11
7-MR. CHING 97.8
1-CINEMA STAR 93.2
9-RUFUSTHEROADRUNNER 93.2
6-BRITT'S JULES 91.3

RACE 12
3-STORMIN AWAY 104.5
5-ME MY MINE 100.4
2-TOP THIS AND THAT 96.5
10-COOPERATION 96.5

RACE 13
2-WITH IRIS 78.4
7-MYSTO'S 77.2
9-INTELLIGENT MALE 76.0
8-YODELTILYOURBLUE 73.7

Saturday, September 23, 2006

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

Fri. recap- Race 2- Top pick won (3.40) 2nd pick 3rd (2.20) 4th pick 4th. Race 3- Top pick 2nd (4.00) 3rd pick 3rd (3.40). Race 4- 4th pick 2nd (5.60) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40) top pick 4th. Race 5- 4th pick won (14.60) 2nd pick 2nd (4.60) picks boxed- Ex (30.10) Q (25.20). Race 6- 3rd pick won (5.40) 4th pick 4th. Race 7- 1 pick scratched, Top pick won (6.40) Daily Double (8.00)3rd pick 2nd (4.60) top pick keyed- Ex (17.30) Q (19.00). Race 9- Top pick won (4.40) Pick-3 (15.60) Daily Double (21.00) 4th pick 2nd (10.60) Top pick keyed- Ex (22.90) Q (35.80). Race 10- 2nd pick won (4.40) 3rd pick 2nd (3.20) top pick 3rd (2.20) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (10.40) Q (11.40) Trifecta (19.10). Race 11- Top pick won (7.80) 4th pick 3rd (3.00). Race 12- 3rd pick won (5.60) top pick 2nd (2.80) 4th pick 3rd (2.20) Ex (6.50) Q (6.00) trifecta (13.90) Race 13-
2nd 1st timer won (20.40) 2nd pick 2nd (2.60) top pick 3rd (2.40) 1st timer 4th, 2nd 1st timer boxed with top 2 picks- Ex (23.00) Q (12.20) Trifecta (66.70).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 3
6-RIVER JOURNEY 59.6
5-BEAU BRIO 56.0
7-CAN'T SAY NO 46.4
2-TRES DIABLOS 45.5

RACE 4
2-ROYAL CLASSIC 79.0
6-LITTLEBITOFZIP 78.4
3-ABNEGATE 77.2
5-STRIKING VISION 68.1

RACE 5
5-PRECISE ALLOY 97.8
1-KING MOBAY 96.5
3-GOOD GOLD 89.4
2-TAKE A CHANCE 87.5

RACE 6
6-TIZAWOOD 87.5
5-HIGHDOLLARGIRL 70.3
8-ALL JOY 68.6
10-PRETTILI 63.2

RACE 7
3-TWIN DANCER 75.4
1-TRADITIONAL FLYER 72.6
10-PHILBERT 70.9
9-BIG HORN TOM 53.0

RACE 8
1A-ALL AGLOW 83.2
6-NICKY SANTORO 82.0
2-TASHA'S DELIGHT 79.9
3-SUBWAY SING 78.9

RACE 9
4-SECOND LOOK 79.6
8-LADY TARA 74.3
7-RENA DE SONORA 69.8
2-SIZZLING SARAH 68.6

RACE 10
6-DIXIELAND HEATER 67.9
7-WISENHEIMER 62.2
2-CERTAIN ACT 60.1
5-STEELEON SEASON 60.1

RACE 11
5-HAVASU 88.8
4-KELLY CARSON 79.0
3-WILDOUT 72.6
1-FEEL THE RUSH 71.4

RACE 12
2-GIMME S'MOR 94.5
3-QUEBEC CITIZEN 93.2
7-REFINERY 92.6
5-TWO TRAILS 90.7

RACE 13
7-MOG 59.6
5-RACY ACK 59.0
11-MIMITHEMIDGET 50.6
9-SACHARA 41.1

1st time starters - 3, 4, 8

Wednesday, September 20, 2006

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 2
4-MELANCHOLY LADY 68.6
7-MRS. TIZ 42.9
8-TARTAN TAMMY 32.6
2-KAURI CLIFFS 31.5

1st time starters - 6, 3

RACE 3
4-GOLDEN WAGER 68.6
6-SCADU 63.2
1-HOPINGANDWISHING 63.2
3-ALWAYS ROYAL 53.5

RACE 4
12-WINGS OF COURAGE 62.2
2-CAPT. WILSON 61.1
3-FAMILY OPERATOR 54.5
4-ECHOING RIDGE 53.5

RACE 5
5-BRADFORD 86.9
7-AGGRESSIVE 84.4
4-IRISH HONOR 80.2
3-BEAU 77.8

RACE 6
10-SCOFIELD HONOUR 59.6
9-ARMANDO 54.5
4-HIGHBOOM 54.5
2-IZZY THERE 54.0

RACE 7
6-PRECOCIOUS RENE 63.2
5-PEARLS 'N' SATIN 47.4
8-RHYTHM LANE 46.9
3-HUNCH NO TRUMP 46.0

RACE 8
3-VIRGO GENIUS 62.2
7-CONCERT MASTER 58.5
6-HIGH FLAG 58.0
8-LORD C. J. 56.5
2-SAMMY'S JAMMIES 56.5

RACE 9
4-JOLLY SPIRIT 90.0
6-CAT OF FIFTY SEVEN 88.1
5-SIGNORETTO SIG 79.0
3-ISLAND LAUNCH 78.4

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
2-KIMMY POTTER 68.1
3-MISS MELISSA 67.5
5-SPENDITALLBABY 64.2
7-SWISS ROSE 60.1

RACE 11 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
6-ELEGANT PRIDE 41.6
8-MACAPULE 37.8
2-BALANCE THE SCORE 33.4
3-MASTER MARK 30.8

Tuesday, September 19, 2006

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

Mon. recap- Race 3- 4th pick won (6.60) top pick 2nd (2.60) 2nd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (6.60) Q (5.80). Race 4- Top pick won (2.80) 2nd pick 3rd (2.20) 4th pick 4th. Race 5- Top pick won (6.20) Daily Double (8.20) 4th pick 2nd (4.20) 3rd pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (9.30) Q (10.40). Race 6- 2nd 1st time starter won (42.40), top pick bolted in 1st turn to outside. Race 7- 3rd pick won (34.80) top pick 4th. Race 8- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (8.20) 2nd pick 2nd (5.60) top pick 3rd (2.60) 3 picks boxed- Ex (21.20) Q (30.80) Trifecta (74.50). Race 9- 3rd pick 2nd (6.20) 4th pick 3rd (4.00) top pick broke thru gate before start. Race 10- 2nd pick won (7.00) top pick 3rd (2.10) 3rd pick 4th. Race 11- 3rd pick won (21.80).

THERE WILL BE A LARGE PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR WED. AT FAIRPLEX PARK.

THERE IS NO RACING AT FAIRPLEX PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, September 17, 2006

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

Sat. recap- Race 3- (only 3 horses had run before) Top pick won (2.60) 2nd 1st timer 2nd (9.60) 3rd pick 3rd (2.10) 1st timer 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (11.50) Q (24.60) Trifecta (58.10) Superfecta (380.80). Race 4- Top pick won (2.80) Daily Double (260.00 -This is correct) 2nd pick 2nd (3.00) Ex (5.80) Q (9.00) 3rd pick 3rd (2.80) trifecta in order- (23.40) 4th pick 4th, Superfecta in order- (47.10). Race 5-(only 3 horses had run before) 2nd pick won (8.00) 2nd 1st timer 2nd (8.40) top 1st timer 3rd (8.40) Top pick 4th, top 2 picks and top 2 1st timers boxed- Ex (37.00) Q (46.00) Trifecta (85.60) Superfecta (374.90). Race 6- Top pick won (7.20) 3rd pick 4th. Race 7- 4th pick won (7.80) 3rd pick 2nd (7.80) top pick 3rd (2.20) 2nd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex 23.60) Q (31.40) Trifecta (46.70) no superfecta offered. Race 8- Top pick won (3.20) 3rd pick 2nd (4.80) 2nd pick 3rd (3.00) Top pick keyed with next two picks- Ex (8.10) Q (11.80) Trifecta (27.80). Race 9- top pick 2nd (3.60). Race 10- top pick 2nd (2.40) 3rd pick 3rd (2.80). Race 11- 2nd pick won (15.40) 3rd pick 2nd (4.60) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (51.40) Q (40.40). Race 12- 4th pick won (60.40) 2nd pick 2nd (3.40) top pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (98.80) Q (50.00). Race 13- top 1st timer 2nd (5.80) top pick 3rd (3.00) 3rd pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 3
8-LAZYJENANDTINYTIM 56.5
6-RIO HOPE 47.4
4-GONE FAMOUS 42.0
7-SMOKED DUCK 30.0

1st time starters - 2, 5, 1, 3

RACE 4
4-RUDE BEHAVIOR 70.3
1-V'VILLE LADY 56.0
5-QUIET FLYER 54.6
2-WELL MAM 51.6

RACE 5
2-ENERGY CZAR 70.9
9-GETTIN READY 68.6
6-DIVINE ADDITION 59.0
8-INNABOUTAWEEK 57.5

1st time starters - 3

RACE 6
2-BUMPER CROP 68.1
5-SUNNYS BUDDY 65.9
4-CARRY JIG 64.8
1-VICTIM OF LOVE 63.2

RACE 7
1-I AM 48.8
7-CADILLAC LARRY 47.4
8-HIGHGUNNER 45.1
3-TRUE LEGACY 40.7

RACE 8
7-I B BAD 84.4
1-WESTERN DROUILLY 76.0
4-BLACKJACK GAMBLER 75.4
5-GREY MISTY 73.7

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-SUNSHINE RIDGE 73.1
4-EVIDENT 25.1

1st time starters - 9, 8, 7, 2, 1, 5, 10, 3

RACE 10
10-NEVER EVER 86.3
7-DIXIE COURAGE 82.0
11-MYSTICAL CAPER 82.0
3-QUARTERLY REPORT 81.4

RACE 11
1-AMERICAN INFLUENCE 90.7
5-CONSIGNER 85.6
3-DIAMOND MINER 68.1
9-MR SMOOTH OPERATOR 58.0

1st time starters - 4, 8, 10

RACE 12 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-CHIEF'S MAGIC 95.8
6-MARKED WARRIOR 77.8
9-ZONING IN 73.7
3-PAWNEE 66.4

RACE 13
8-WITH IRIS 72.0
5-ALY'S FEVER 72.0
6-RAYON 65.9
9-HOT CONTEST 63.8

Wednesday, September 13, 2006

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 3
4-FAMARAPTOR 51.6
5-AFLEET SPY 41.1
3-DUNSTER 38.2
7-SMOKSTER JOE 35.0

1st time starters - 8, 1, 2

RACE 4
10-BANISH THE BLUES 60.6
11-LIPS LIKE SUGAR 59.6
2-RIO ROSIE 54.0
8-STAR PASSERS BEST 50.2

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-VIBRANT TOPPER 60.6
6-MARKMEGOOD 42.9
10-JONA'S PROSPECTOR 29.7
1-AIR ACROBAT 28.9

1st time starters - 2, 8, 9

RACE 6
7-GOTTA GO GAL 82.0
3-GEE HONEY 79.0
4-JEWELS OF BAGDAD 74.9
6-HOLLY'S GOLD 74.9 (off Sept. 05)

RACE 7
5-C R VICTORY BABE 46.9
8-INDY'S ANNA 43.8
4-AFLEET MYSTY 41.6
9-OLE' FOR MIA 39.5

1st time starters - 1, 11

RACE 8
1-HOT OFF THE BENCH 75.5
7-WINEWOMENANDSONG 68.6
9-UNBRIDLED GROOM 59.6
6-IZZY THERE 58.5

RACE 9
1-MENUHIN 76.4
6-GONG 75.5
8-VALID AGAIN 70.3
4-IAMATOWERTOO 63.2

RACE 10 ( all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. )
9-DIAMOND DAVE 79.0
8-SPARK OF DUBAI 76.0
6-STELLA'S POSADA 68.1
4-YES TALK TO ME 67.0

RACE 11
10-BLOOD RED BAY 98.5
11-KISSTHESTARGOODBY 58.5
6-RIDE ALY RIDE 49.7
5-CANYOUHEARMENOWDAD 39.9

1st time starters - 3

Tuesday, September 12, 2006

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Mon. recap- Race 3- Top pick won (2.80) Top 1st timer 2nd (3.60) 2nd pick 3rd (2.10) 3rd pick 4th. Top pick keyed with next 2 picks and top 1st timer- Ex (5.80) Q (10.00) Trifecta (12.30) Superfecta (84.40). Race 4- 2nd pick won (7.60) top pick 3rd (2.60). Race 5- 3rd pick 2nd (4.20) 2nd pick 3rd (4.40) top pick bolted to outside rail on 1st turn. Race 6- Top pick won (4.00) 4th pick 2nd (4.60) 3rd pick 3rd (2.40) 2nd pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (12.70) Q (12.20) Trifecta (29.50) Superfecta (67.40). Top pick 2nd (2.80) 2nd pick 3rd (8.40). Race 8- Top pick won (4.20) 4th pick 2nd (5.80) top pick keyed- Ex (18.70) Q (19.20). Race 9- 3rd pick won (9.80) 2nd pick 2nd (2.60) 4th pick 3rd (2.40) top pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (9.90) Q (7.00) Trifecta (31.80) no Super offered. Race 10- Top pick won (9.20) 2nd pick 2nd (4.40) Ex (16.90) Q (16.20). Race 11- Top pick won (2.60) Daily Double (14.00) 3rd pick 2nd (2.60) 4th pick 3rd (4.40) top pick keyed trifrcta (19.90).

THERE IS NO RACING AT FAIRPLEX PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at the racebook I go to as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. How you bet the picks is the key. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened twice that I know of in over 380 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have? GOOD LUCK.

Monday, September 11, 2006

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MON.

Sun. recap- Race 3- 2nd pick won (5.20) top pick 4th. Race 4- 2nd pick 2nd (4.00) top pick 3rd (2.80). Race 5- Top pick won (3.20) 4th pick 2nd (6.00) 3rd pick 3rd (2.40) Top pick keyed- Ex (14.20) Q (17.60). Race 6- Top pick won (5.40) Daily double (12.40) 3rd pick 3rd (2.40) 2nd pick 4th. Race 7- 3rd pick won (9.80) 2nd pick 3rd (2.80). Race 8- 4th pick 3rd (4.20) 2nd pick 4th. Race 9- top pick 2nd (3.40) 2nd pick 3rd (3.20). Race 10- 3rd pick won (7.20). Race 11- 4th pick won (14.80) 3rd pick 2nd (12.40) 2nd pick 3rd (3.00) top 4 picks boxed- Ex (91.70) Q (89.20) Trifecta (388.20). Race 12- 2nd pick won (4.80) 4th pick 2nd (5.80) top pick 3rd (2.40) 3rd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (11.90) Q (15.40) Trifecta (38.00) Superfecta (119.00). Race 13- 2nd pick won (4.00) 4th pick 2nd (3.80) 3rd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (6.80) Q (10.80).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 3
7-CATBLEWBYU 62.7
3-MY HONNEY'S TRIPPIN 28.6
6-ELEGANT EDITION 27.9
8-JAZZY JACQLIN 12.3

1ST TIME STARTERS - 4, 2, 1

RACE 4
8-DAYWOOD 60.6
4-NOBLE KINSMAN 58.8 (off May 05)
6-CASPERIUS SEE 58.5 (off Sept. 04)
5-KALOOKAN STAR 54.0
7-GO WILD WILLIE 54.0

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 5
2-ROCKIN' RIZZI 93.2
8-AGGRESSIVE 86.9
6-ADAMANT 82.6
5-GREAT ACTION 82.0

RACE 6
4-CLASSY COED 67.5
2-TAMERLANE SPICE 57.0
3-LIGHTHOUSE ROAD 52.6
5-WICKEDLY WILD 39.4

RACE 7
1-RIVER JOURNEY 63.2
7-EL MERO MERO 52.6
3-HOUSTON REALITY 47.8
6-WILD BEGINNINGS 41.6

1st time starters - 5, 4, 8

RACE 8
8-ATTRIBUTION 74.3
7-FIND MY HALTER 65.9
6-SPORTS TOUR 62.7
4-CAMACHO 57.6

RACE 9
5-SCHWINDLER 88.1
2-KELLY CARSON 79.6
7-ALL AGLOW 72.6
6-HEIRLOOM ROSE 70.9

RACE 10
8-PLUG ME IN 95.8
3-GIMME S'MOR 93.2
2-SEVEN NATION ARMY 88.9
6-FERNDALE SAL 77.2

RACE 11
2-GOING HOME 61.1
7-SIPHON'S CHARM 42.4
10-MY NANA LAVANA 41.1
6-BRITE COUNTESS 40.8

Sunday, September 10, 2006

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

Sat. recap- Race 4- Top pick 2nd (5.40) 4th pick 3rd (3.00). Race 5- 2nd pick 2nd (5.80) 4th pick 3rd (5.40) top pick 4th. Race 6- 2nd pick won (4.00) top pick 3rd (2.80) 3rd & 4th picks D.H. for 4th. Race 7-3rd pick won (9.40) 2nd pick 2nd (4.40) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (16.90) Q (19.40). Race 8- Top pick won (4.00) 4th pick 2nd (6.60) 2nd pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (12.20) Q (20.00). Race 9- top pick 2nd (3.60) 4th pick 3rd (2.80). Race 10- 3rd pick won (12.80) top 1st time starter 2nd (4.60) top 3 picks with top 1st timer- Ex (26.10) Q (22.00) 2nd 1st timer 4th. Race 11- top pick 2nd (3.00) 4th pick 3rd (3.40). Race 12- 2nd pick won (8.00) top pick 2nd (2.80) top 2 boxed- Ex (10.70) Q (8.80). Race 13- 3rd pick won (12.20) only 1st timer 2nd (13.00) 4th pick 3rd (3.20) top pick 4th, Picks with only 1st timer- Ex (63.70) Q (94.80) Trifecta (270.70) Superfecta (777.80).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 3
5-RAPID LADY 74.9
2-HIDDEN BEAUTY 72.6 (off Sept. 05)
4-MY STARS 70.9
7-EDEN SIMONE 63.8

RACE 4
3-KREEKER 76.0
6-EASY OBSESSION 70.3
1-MAEMY 68.1
5-CLASS EDITION 63.4

RACE 5
4-ALLSWELLTHATNSWELL 109.3
3-FORTUNATE EVENT 83.2
2-OFF THE RICHTER 71.6
5-I CAN SEE 68.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-KIMMY POTTER 57.5
3-PARINAZ 52.1
4-INCREDIBLE 48.8
5-RYAN'S INHERITANCE 46.9

1st time starters - 6, 2

RACE 7
6-EPIC FLING 63.8
5-VITALI 63.2
2-TWIN DANCER 62.2
4-TWINFUL 60.2

RACE 8
1-TRINNI 57.5
3-JUNE'S PRINCE 57.0
2-OUR HOUDINI 56.5 (off July 05)
8-SCOFIELD HONOUR 55.0

RACE 9
9-DARK REGENT 58.8
4-BROTHER BROTHER 57.0
2-NORTH FLEET STREET 54.5
5-DIXIE BREW 54.5

1st time starters - 6

RACE 10
2-DELIVERING SPEED 93.9
7-GREY MISTY 87.5
5-RETURN OF THE KING 80.2
1-BLACKJACK GAMBLER 78.9

RACE 11
2-MANHATTAN EXPRESS 81.4
9-BEAU 77.8
8-MYSTO'S 77.2
3-SABALUCIOUS 75.4
4-MAMMOTH POWER 75.4

RACE 12
7-RED STATE 97.1
6-WEEKEND TIGER 93.2
8-SUNSET PLACE 81.4
1-FOREST PHANTOM 74.9

RACE 13 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
10-ASCOREINGLADY 63.8
4-C. C.'S DEELITE 48.8
7-STAR BEHRER 38.2
2-CLASSY DISH 37.8

1st time starters - 1

Saturday, September 09, 2006

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

Fri. recap- Race 3- 3rd pick won (14.60) 2nd pick 2nd (17.00) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (54.40) Q (46.60). Race 4- 3rd pick won (5.80) top pick 2nd (3.40) 2nd pick 3rd (4.20) picks boxed- Ex (14.10) Q (11.80) Trifecta (88.90). Race 6- 2nd pick won (3.00) 3rd pick 2nd (8.80) top pick 3rd (3.40) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (22.00) Q (37.20) Trifecta (111.60). Race 6- Top pick won (3.80) 2nd pick 2nd (Ex 8.20) Q (9.60) 4th pick 3rd (2.60) top pick keyed- Trifecta (16.60). Race 7- Top pick won (3.20) Daily Double (7.40) 2nd pick 2nd (3.00) Ex (5.40) Q (7.00) 4th pick 3rd (6.00) top pick keyed- trifecta (44.80). Race 8- Top pick won (4.40) Pick-3 (11.40) Daily Double (9.80) 2nd pick 2nd (2.80) Ex (4.70) Q (5.00) 3rd pick 4th. Race 9- Top pick won (4.80) Pick-3 (14.90) Daily double (15.20) 3rd pick 3rd (2.80) 4th pick 4th. Race 10- 1 pick scratched, top pick 2nd (2.20) 2nd pick 3rd (2.10) 3rd pick 4th. Race 11- 4th pick won (9.80) 2nd pick 2nd (3.80) top pick 3rd (2.20) 3rd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (17.00) Q (19.00) Trifecta (43.20) Superfecta (304.20). Race 12- 2 picks scratched, Top pick won (3.20) 2nd pick 4th. Race 13- 3rd pick won (5.00) 4th pick 2nd (4.20) picks boxed- Ex (12.00) Q (12.40).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 4
3-TANKTOPS FLIPFLOPS 58.0
2-CRUZIN WITH CARA 57.0
8-WILD VEGAS 50.6
6-OBASSABA 48.80

RACE 5
1-MASHIKO 76.0
6-REQUESTO 75.4
5-SHI'AHS DEVIL 74.3
8-BUMPER CROP 67.5

RACE 6
1-SLOW N EASY 84.4
3-GOOD GOLD 83.8
5-R STRIKER 79.6
4-EMPEROROFTHERACES 78.4
2-AXIOMATIC 78.4

RACE 7
6-HIGHDOLLAR GIRL 82.0
5-AMIGA MIA 75.4
1-REBELLIOUS 68.6
7-RED NECK LADY 61.6

RACE 8
5-IRISH HONOR 77.2
7-RILEY'S LIFE 64.8
4-JUST MY GAME 63.8
2-RASHARD LAMAR 62.7

RACE 9
7-TALKING TO JOHN 76.6
11-UNCLE JOHNNY 74.3
3-WEST SARATOGA 68.6
4-HIGH Z 66.0

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-FREE SAMMY 58.0
6-PRINCE CARSON 46.4
7-LIT'SGOODLOOKNGRAY 43.8
3-RIVER REBEL 43.6

1st time starters - 8, 9, 1

RACE 11
4-MANDALAY TRICK 61.6
3-LAZER PARK 57.5
7-HONEELUV DROP 56.0
9-VENEDA LUCY 56.0

RACE 12
4-STORMIN AWAY 112.2
8-ME MY MINE 98.4
5-APALACHEE TIGER 92.8
3-ROYAL PRICE 92.1

RACE 13
8-GAYLE'S GALA 63.0
7-RANA 55.0
4-GIRLY GIRL 54..5
1-HAPPY CELYNA 54.5

1st time starters - 5

Friday, September 08, 2006

 

FAIRPLEX - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 3
5-DIXIE'S RULER 63.8
8-DIVINE ADDICTION 52.1
3-SHERMANTHETANK 40.7
4-PRESENTABLE 35.0

1st time starters - 2, 6

RACE 4
9-GRANDSTAND QUEEN 64.3
2-CHRONIX TYCHONIC 56.0
4-SILVER SPECTRE 55.0
1-ANEARLYFIL 47.0

RACE 5
3-FAMILY OPERATOR 63.8
6-FEAR THE STORM 61.6
4-MAJESTIC AVENUE 52.6 (off July 05)
2-PIGGYBANKPROSPECT 49.2

1st time starters - 7, 1

RACE 6
7-LADY KAMALA 72.6
4-GHOSTLY GIRL 62.2
6-MISS BUONA SERA 61.1
1-PRECOCIOUS RENE 56.0

RACE 7
8-RISEN RIVER 64.3
3-FREEDOM EVENT 56.0
1-ROADHOUSE BANDIT 50.6
6-INOITWHENICIT 46.9

1st time starters - 9, 4

RACE 8
9-SIGNORETTO SIG 78.4
4-NORTH AMERICA 69.2
2-ZIG TOWN 63.8
8-LUCKY PERFORMER 55.0

RACE 9
1-MAMBO DANCER 84.4
9-OPENING ACT 68.1
7-TOMMYLAND 66.0
2-UNAMEDTHEGAME 64.8

RACE 10
7-ESPRESSO LOVE 93.9
3-OPIMIAN 70.3
2-R SPRING AFFAIR 66.5
1-CLARENCE BEEKS 62.9

RACE 11 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-SOLID BRASS CAT 67.5
9-TOPPER'S MOVIN 61.1
6-DIXIE DIXIE DIXIE 51.6
4-GOOD N MUDDY 37.0

1st time starters - 3, 2, 10, 7

RACE 12
8-PADDY MURPHY 108.0
7-SAILORS SUNSET 98.5
1-RED STATE 97.8
2-HOLLYWOOD HOOD 92.6

1st time starters - 5

RACE 13
9-LADY GOLD SLEW 97.1
10-ATSASHANARAY 55.0
4-SLINKEE STAGE CAT 53.0
3-YOUR HIGHNESS LEIA 42.0

Thursday, September 07, 2006

 

FAIRPLEX PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

Del Mar's Wed. recap- Race 1- Top pick 2nd (4.60) 3rd pick 4th. Race 2- 1 pick scratched, Top pick won (9.80) 2nd pick 2nd (4.00) Ex (12.10) Q (15.20) 3rd pick 3rd (no show) Trifecta in order (39.50) my 3 picks with only other horse in race - Superfecta (35.60). Race 3- 2nd pick won (5.60) 4th pick 3rd (4.00) 3rd pick 4th. Race 4- 3rd pick won (9.60) 2nd pick 3rd (6.60). Race 5- oly 1st timer scratched, 2nd pick won (7.60) top pick 2nd (2.80) top 2 picks boxed- Ex (9.70) Q (6.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 6- 3rd pick won (7.20) 2nd 1st timer 2nd (23.20) top 1st timer 3rd (7.20) 2nd pick 4th, top 3 picks with only two 1st timers- Ex (120.30) Q (207.80) Trifecta (1,016.00) Superfecta (6,068.20). Race 7- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (12.00) 2nd pick 3rd (4.00) top pick eased out of race on 1st turn. Race 8-2nd pick 2nd (3.00) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00). Race 9-1 pick and only 1st timer scratched, Top pick won (10.60) 3rd pick 2nd (4.00)top pick keyed or top 3 picks boxed- Ex (19.80) Q (22.00).Race 10- 3rd pick 3rd (4.20).

THERE IS NO RACING AT FAIRPLEX TODAY. FIRST POST FRI. IS 12:00 P.M. (pacific).
Fairplex Park is a 5/8 mile oval track with what might be considered tight turns. The Jockey Martin Pedroza tends to do very well at the meet. It appears that post positions do not play a major role in the outcome of the races. Many bettors think the inside posts would be advantageous with the tight turns but the results do not show this to be a factor. Many racing fans, jockeys and trainers take a break from betting and racing during the Fairplex Park meet in Southern California. I will attempt to use my system as I have in the past at this track with good results. I plan on posting my selections on a daily basis during the meet. This track requires a little more luck to be part of the handicapping process and results.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 26 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.

Wednesday, September 06, 2006

 

DEL MAR - CLOSING DAY HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
8-SENIOR DISCOUNT 82.0
7-REDSTONE ARSENAL 76.0
4-ENERGY CZAR 72.0
2-FIGHTING WONDER 71.6

RACE 2
2-BRADFORD 91.3
4-SUNDAY NAP 90.7
3-CATOUTTATHEBAG 88.1
7-FANTASTIC EVENT 87.5

RACE 3
5-DYNOUT 99.1
8-BLUE STELLER 91.3
6-DARK SORCERER 85.0
10-URBAN KING 85.0

RACE 4
6-NEWWYN 59.0
3-LYPHARD'S DANCER 46.4
1-POPSICLE GAL 46.0
4-LIBERTY CASH 46.0

1st time starters - 5, 9

RACE 5
4-CAPTAIN SQUIRE 108.0
9-AREYOUTALKINTOME 102.5
5-PROUD CARDENAL 102.5
7-OLD MAN RIVER 97.8

1st time starters - 2 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
9-KISSIN PARTY 59.6
10-WAILEA GIRL 53.5
8-TONJA'S WORLD 53.0
1-CAME TRUE 42.4

1st time starters - 7, 6, 3

RACE 7
7-RUN TO THE BORDER 97.8
5-CARANO 91.3
2-HOLDTHEHELM 88.8
4-IMITATION 88.1

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
1-PRIME RULER 95.2
7-GREAT HUNTER 90.7
4-STORMELLO 89.4
2-LUCKY THIRTEEN 81.4

RACE 9
5-VIKKI'S HONOR 97.1
9-HELLO LUCKY 95.2
4-TRUE AND TRUE 92.0
12-YODELADYTOO 90.7
6-FOUR LEGGED TAXI 90.0 (off Sept. 05)

1st time starters - 2 (in U.S.A. fgn.)

RACE 10
4-SKI SEATTLE 76.0
10-YOURS TRULY 76.0
3-POINCIANA 70.9
1-RATHSALLAGH 70.3

Monday, September 04, 2006

 

DEL MAR HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MON.

Sun. recap- We had a very good day with 6 of our top picks winners. Race 1- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (41.00) top pick 2nd (2.40) 3 picks boxed- Ex (41.70) Q (21.20). Race 2- 1 pick scratched, top pick won (5.20) 2nd pick 2nd (3.80) Ex (8.80) Q (9.20) 3rd pick 3rd (2.20) trifecta in order (15.90). Race 3- Top pick won (5.00) Daily Double (14.40) 3rd pick 2nd (4.00) 1st timer 3rd (8.40) top 1st timer 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (10.50) Q (12.40) Trifecta (170.50) Superfecta (1,709.60). Race 4- Top pick won (26.40) Pick-3 (165.50) Daily Double (77.40) 2nd pick 2nd (7.40) Ex (71.70) Q (76.20) 4th pick 3rd (3.80) top pick keyed or boxed- Trifecta (442.20). Race 5- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick 2nd (5.00). Race 6- 1 pick scratched, Top pick won (7.00) top 1st timer 2nd (3.60) 2nd pick 3rd (3.00) 2nd 1st timer 4th, Top pick keyed or boxed with 2nd pick and top 2 1st timers- Ex (15.50) Q (13.80) Trifecta (33.80) Superfecta (88.70). Race 7- Top pick won (4.40) 4th pick 2nd (6.40) 2nd pick 3rd (3.20) Top pick keyed or boxed- Ex (16.60) Q (24.40) Trifecta (55.70). Race 8- 4th pick won (15.20). Race 9- 1 pick scratched, Top pick won (4.60) 1st timer 4th. Race 10- 2nd pick won (7.60) top pick 3rd (2.80).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1A-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 95.2 (entry)
1-STREET LIGHTS 82.0 (entry)
3-ZONING IN 74.9
2-HOT ROD 63.8
4-SELIMAN 53.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-SPECIFIC RULE 39.9
7-MONASTERY SCANDAL 15.5
8-PAZ TIEMPO 10.3
12-DON'T JINX IT 9.2

1st time starters - 2, 4, 10, 11, 3, 6, 9

RACE 3
5-PREACHINATTHEBAR 101.8
1-SKIPASLEW 97.1
4-SINISTER MINISTER 93.9
3-SOUTHERN AFRICA 93.2

RACE 4
5-CHARM THE GIANT 104.5
2-DREAM'S 102.5
7-CONVEYOR'S ANGEL 90.7
3-CARINI 88.2

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
9-GOBBLER'S KNOB 61.1
5-SWISS SKI 59.6
8-DAKOTA PADRE 53.5
7-HALF FAMOUS 48.8

1st time starters - 4, 1, 3

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
9-MALT MAGIC 78.4
1-BELKNAP 65.9
6-HEADED FOR HOME 64.8
4-ENTOURAGE 62.7
10-BLACK HILLS 62.7

RACE 7
2-BIG PROMISE 91.3
5-NIQUITA 90.0
3-TUFF MUFFIN 86.9
6-GREAT OPINIONS 86.9

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
4-JUMP ON IN 107.3
1-MISTICAL PLAN 90.0
7-UNTOUCHED TALENT 85.0
5-FILLIE BY THE BAY 84.4

RACE 9
3-DEPUTY BUCK 102.5
7-WINNING TACTICS 94.5
5-TAPPED 90.7
4-ICE LEMON AND RUM 86.9

RACE 10
8-DEFIANTLY 81.4
3-BIG JOE HILL 74.9
12-CALIFORNIASTOMING 67.5
10-PRINCE OTIS 63.8

Sunday, September 03, 2006

 

DEL MAR - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

Sat. recap- Race 1- 3rd pick won (6.00) 2nd pick 2nd (2.80) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (9.20) Q (6.80). Race 2- 4th pick won (7.80) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00) top pick 4th. Race 3- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (7.00) top pick 4th. Race 4-3rd pick won (10.80) 2nd pick 2nd (3.80) top pick 4th, top 3 picks boxed- Ex (22.70) Q (22.40) no tri offered. Race 5- 2nd 1st timer won (16.80) our oly pick 2nd (2.80) 1st timer 3rd (3.80) top 1st timer 4th, only pick and top 2 1st timers boxed- Ex (28.90) Q (20.20) . Race 6- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (5.00) 3rd pick 2nd (5.20) top pick 3rd (5.60) my 3 picks boxed- Ex (13.10) Q (15.80) Trifecta (91.80). Race 7- Top pick won (25.60) top 1st timer "entry" 3rd & 4th (3.20). Race 8- 2nd pick won (13.80) 4th pick 4th. Race 9- 3rd pick won (5.20) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40). Race 9- top pick 2nd (4.80) 4th pick 3rd (7.40).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR TODAY OF $245,045.

RACE 1
7-MOSCOW BURNING 99.8
3-VIKKI'S HONOR 96.5
2-JILL'S SKY 81.4
5-SIP ONE FOR MOM 80.8

RACE 2
4-LADY TARA 75.4
6-MAEMY 71.4
3-RENA DE SONORA 67.0
5-SILVER HAWK LADY 65.9

RACE 3 (all 2yo. going 6 f.)
3-SALSA CALIENTE 58.5
9-KATALSTA 51.6
7-KIMMY POTTER 48.3
5-CANTABILE 46.4

1st time starters - 1, 8, 2, 6, 4

RACE 4
2-BRENDOLYN 86.9
6-DEL MAR CAT 77.8
3-LAKE MARINA 77.8
5-GOLDEN SILK 75.4

RACE 5
8-HER RED 81.4
6-TUG O' WAR 74.9
9-YOUNG LUCK 67.0
5-MICKY'S DOLL 60.1

RACE 6
2-THEIR HE GOES 86.3
9-EL BAMBINO HUEY 75.4
4-MIURA BULL 73.7
5-SILVER WIND 56.5

1st time starters - 1, 7, 3

RACE 7
7-WINDY 96.5
4-HAVASU 93.2
5-UDRIGA 88.8
3-DA SVEDONYA 88.1

RACE 8
9-POINT DETERMINED 120.7
7-NONSENSICAL 106.1
10-PORTO SANTO 101.8
4-GET FUNKY 97.1

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-COLONEL CHICK 86.3
9-DILEMMA 85.0
8-PAWNEE 73.7
6-AUTOMOBILE 70.3

1st time starters - 10, 3, 5

RACE 10
9-SYLVAN HILL 81.4
1-JOLLY SPIRIT 72.0
8-KINOKO MAN 71.4
7-MAJESTIC AMERICAN 68.1

1st time starters - 12

Saturday, September 02, 2006

 

DEL MAR - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

NO RECAP FOR FRI. DUE TO LATE RACING.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-HELMSGOLD 71.4
6-ITSCHELSEAGIRL 67.8
1-SARAH'S HART 65.4
5-FLOWER HILL 59.8

RACE 2
1-LORD MUSSI 103.8 (off Oct. 05)
4-MR. CHAIRMAN 84.4
5-BARBARIAN 78.4
3-BACKUS 78.4

RACE 3
1-BRITE RED STATE 68.1
8-BUTTERFLY DREAMS 64.8
6-DAKOTA LASS 60.6
2-DEE DEE'S PRINCESS 54.5

RACE 4
5-BROTHER DEREK 119.3
2-BOB AND JOHN 110.0
4-CINDAGO 107.3
3-MR. KATZ 97.8

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-EDWARDIAN 70.9

1st time starters - 3, 4, 5, 7, 1A, 9, 8, 2, 10

RACE 6
2-RAN FOR THE DOUGH 92.5
6-SPECIAL HEATHER 89.4
9-LADY TRUFFLES 86.3
7-STAR VOYAGER 80.8

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-CASH INCLUDED 59.0
3-QUICK LITTLE MISS 40.7
6-SWEET SWEET SPIRIT 21.3

1st time starters - 1A (entry), 1, 8, 2 (entry), 2B, 5, 7, 9

RACE 8
4-STAR PARADE 117.9
11-MEA DOMINA 108.0
3-POLYFIRST 101.8
9-SHINING ENERGY 100.4

RACE 9
1-GOLD BRIDLE 98.4
7-CHESTER'S CHOICE 94.5
4-KING MOBAY 86.9
3-MADE CENTS 85.7

RACE 10
2-AWESOME GEM-96.5
9-FIREBIRD SWEET 86.3
1-TUMBAGA 82.6
7-PARTY CRASHER 76.4

Friday, September 01, 2006

 

DEL MAR - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thur. recap- Race 1- 1 pick scratched, Top pick won (11.40) 3rd pick 3rd (2.80). Race 2- top pick 2nd (3.40) 4th pick 3rd (3.40) 3rd pick 4th. Race 3- 3rd pick won (6.40) 2nd pick 2nd (3.20) 4th pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (10.60) Q (9.00). Race 4- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick 2nd (2.10) top pick 3rd (2.10) 3rd pick 4th. Race 5- Top 1st timer won (14.40) top pick 2nd (3.40) 4th pick 3rd (2.60) top 1st timer keyed or boxed with picks- Ex (22.40) Q (49.40) Trifecta (64.40). Race 6- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick 3rd (3.00) 4th pick 4th. Race 7- 3rd pick won (9.40) 2nd pick 2nd (2.60) 4th pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (12.00) Q (6.60) Trifecta (26.80). Race 8- 1 pick scratched, Top pick won (6.00) 3rd pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THERE WILL NOT BE A RECAP FRIDAY DUE TO LATE START-3:30 P.M. (pacific)

RACE 1
2-GLOBAL TRADER 93.2
5-DOMINGO JUAN 73.1
6-SENATOR MATTY 69.8
4-HOT CONTEST 68.6

RACE 2
1-TRUE AND TRUE 97.8 (entry)
3-STYLISH WILDCAT 96.5
2-SWEET AMBITION 92.5
6-GATHERING STORM 85.0

RACE 3
4-TAMARA STAR 67.5
6-O BEE NAKI 66.4
1-SLEW'S PRAYER 63.2
13-TRICKY VIVIANA 57.5

RACE 4
4-DIXIE COURAGE 88.1
5-QUALITY STUFF 84.4
8-JAMAICAN MUSIC 74.9
2-IVY LEAGUE GENIUS 74.9

RACE 5
1-RUN FOR DESSERT 90.8
4-SUGAR DOLL 90.0
7-WILDOUT 85.0
6-ROMANESQUE 77.8

RACE 6
4-BARTOK OF SIAM 79.0
9-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 76.6
6-BUDDYANDROWDY 74.3
2-HIGH EENA 73.1

RACE 7
6-POLITICAL WEB 93.2
3-GETBACK TIME 92.6
4-SWEET WAY 85.0
8-QUIET KIM 84.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-STRIP N CARSON 48.3
3-KALADY 45.1
10-PROFITBOX 42.4
6-RAGING 42.0

1st time starters - 9

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?