Tuesday, January 31, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2216 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, January 29, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING PICKS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $239,519.

RACE 1
2-FLAWLESS JEWEL 57.5
6-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 50.6
4-GOLDEN NIP 36.6
3-WARRENS MATCHMAKER 32.4
5-TUSUN 30.8

RACE 2
4-SUMALEE 63.8
3-CHA DA BOOM 62.7
2-YOU CAN DREAM 60.1
1-FOLK DANCER 55.0
5-DUBAI MACAU GIRL 54.0

RACE 3
1-WARREN'S MORGAN 52.1
5-ANSEDE 48.3
3-SWEETSOUTHERNAMBAR 46.4
6-TERELLA 41.6
2-CALL ME TOUGH 24.1

1st time starters - 4 (had DNF - vanned off)

RACE 4
6-VALKYRIE MISSLE 87.5
1-VIA VERDE 82.0
3-HIDDEN BLESSING 79.0
2-CIRCLE DRIVE 67.5
4-COFFEE BOY 67.0

RACE 5
6-MY SLEW 72.6
3-OUR LAST MONTE 64.3
4-KING OF SWING 60.1
2-LINCECUM 58.5
1-JOBURG STAR 53.0 (off July 10)
5-SI ES VERDAD 53.0

RACE 6
8-TIGAH 104.2
9-MEGA HEAT 97.8
2-SURPLUS 96.5
11-SHRUG 91.9
4-UTOPIAN 90.0

RACE 7
2-ZACKN'MAT 85.0
1-BOAT TRIP 77.2
6-BRANNAMAN 67.0
5-QATAR'S PEARL 63.9
8-SEA TO SKY 56.5

1st time starters - 4, 3

RACE 8
6-UNZIP ME 99.8
1-GIVINE 95.2
9-TERODA 86.9
3-CATCHY TUNE 80.8
2-REMIT 79.0

RACE 9
9-CAPALATTE 69.2
8-BROOKLYN ROSE 69.2
6-COPARCENARY 66.4
5-SIEMPRE ESPERANZA 62.7
10-RUSSIAN BAYOU 55.5
1-BENECIA 55.5

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Saturday, January 28, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR SUNDAY IS $239,519.

RACE 1
5-CAPITAL ACCOUNT 109.3
1-LUCKARACK 97.8
3-SWAY AWAY 97.1 (off June 11)
2-DETAILS ARE SKETCHY 90.0
4-LIGHT UP THE SCORE 88.1

RACE 2
3-MADEOFTHERIGHTSTUF 82.5
8-GOODBYE CHARLIE 75.4
7-SIEMPRE MIO 75.4
2-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 63.2
6-ENDURING PROMISE 57.0

1st time starters - 9, 5

RACE 3
2-EDEN'S MOON 94.5
6-KILLER GRACES 85.6
7-CHARM THE MAKER 85.0
5-LADY OF SHAMROCK 83.8
4-WILLA B AWESOME 74.9

RACE 4
4-COMPARI 103.8
2-AIN'T NO OTHER 100.4
8-RED DEFENSE 95.2
3-TAMARAK SMARTY 93.2
6-MY SUMMER SLEW 84.4

RACE 5
2-BLUEGRASS REWARD 97.1
5-HOLLADAY ROAD 94.8
1-LEGAL SEPARATION 94.1
3-SPUD SPIVENS 93.9
6-MACHO DORADO 92.8

RACE 6
3-ANTARES WORLD 90.0
1-SECRET COVE 89.4
4-LA SOMBRE 88.2
9-HALO DOLLY 88.1
8-CALIFORNIA NECTAR 80.6

RACE 7
7-SAHARA SKY 97.8
1-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 95.8
4-JIM'S NO PREACHER 93.9
6-THINKING OF GIRLS 90.7
5-RUNFLATOUT 86.3

RACE 8
3-VAN BRIT 91.3
7-ENTABENI 83.2
4-CHARM THE CROWD 81.4
2-BONITA STAR 78.4
5-BLUE GRASS MUSIC 76.6

RACE 9
6-RUMOR 102.5
3-TEDDY'S PROMISE 101.8
2-BIG TIZ 97.1
7-SUGARINTHEMORNING 95.2
5-SHE'S CHEEKY 95.2

RACE 10
5-CHICKIE CHARMS 81.4
2-THE ROAN RANGER 77.8
13-ONLY THE GOLD 70.0
7-SMOKING G 65.9
6-OUR MERV 55.6

1st time starters - 8, 11, 1, 3, 14, 9, 12

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Friday, January 27, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA- FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $55,585.

RACE 1
6-ONE FAST FROG 64.3
2-MISSIE KY I YOU 62.2
3-CEE'S THE YEAR 57.0
4-PRETTY MUCH 51.1
7-REGINA S. 50.2

1st time starters - 1, 5

RACE 2
2-DYNAMIC HOST 101.5
6-SLIM SHADEY 100.4
4-FALCON ROCK 93.9
1-HIGHWAY BANDIT 91.3
5-HOG'S HOLLOW 85.6

RACE 3
5-CAT IN THE FOREST 88.8
6-GNARLY DUDE 82.0
3-PALIO PRINCE 80.8
7-EDGEWICK ROAD 79.6
8-RUNAWAY WILDCAT 77.8

RACE 4
6-NIHILIST 85.6
3-FLASHY DAME 82.6
7-LADY VIVIEN 70.3
5-BONNIE PARKER 53.5
4-MAGIC FIRE 20.3

1st time starters - 9, 1, 2, 8

RACE 5
7-SPRING BLOOM 65.9
8-SASSY AND SINGLE 63.6 (off slow)
2-SPEEDWAY MONKEY 60.1
10-WILLOW SWITCH 57.5
6-YA WANNA HUG 51.6

RACE 6
1-OH RIGHTY 81.4
6-FOREST SOUVENIR 79.0
4-HEY YUP 75.4
8-PUT IT THERE 70.9
2-NOME 60.6 (slow start)

RACE 7
2-MATTO MONDO 98.4
6-GOLDEN MEXICO 93.2
5-WHERE'S THE REMOTE 88.8
10-MUNY 88.2
8-SKY CAPE 88.1

RACE 8
13-IDONTROLLONSHABBOS 54.5
12-ROYAL ALEXANDER 52.6
3-TALE BE TOLD 52.1
4-MARY'S APP 49.2
8-SKY LARKIN 46.0

1st time starters - 11, 5, 1, 9

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Thursday, January 26, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
5-GITTEL 79.0
2-TEARDROPS ON FIRE 71.6
6-DUSTIN'S MAGIC 65.9 (off slow)
4-SCREAM QUEEN 62.5
1-BILBAO 56.6

RACE 2
5-LET'S GO CHEYENNE 82.6
1-JAREDELLA 81.4
3-PASSIONBABYPASSION 64.3
8-SOO STEAMY 62.7 (off slow)
4-LITTLE MISS MAMBO 53.5

RACE 3
2-CHILLING COMMAND 48.3
8-GAMBLING COWGIRL 40.7
1-SILVERPORT 35.8 (off July 11)
3-BOO WHO WHO 29.7
10-ARINYES LOVE 24.1

1st time starters - 4, 5, 9, 7, 11, 6

RACE 4
1-TENACIOUS THOMAS 93.2
2-BLING CHA BLING 82.6
5-UNUSUAL HEATWAVE 80.2
3-CHAMPIONS GATE 80.2
4-PLENNY OF HENNY 70.6

RACE 5
10-WARREN'S KONG 72.0
9-EMPEROR STONE 71.0
1-THE HUNT IS ON 65.9
6-TIGER TRYSTS 64.8
2-ALL MY CHIPS 64.8

RACE 6
7-CHARLIE COMPANY 76.0
8-VISIBLE MARQ 76.0
1-MIDNIGHT CON 68.1
5-TUMMEL 65.9
9-CONGRATS SKI 60.1

RACE 7
2-BWANA BABE 80.2
7-HEIDI MARIA 77.6
6-AMBITIONESS 76.6
4-MISS RADIANCE 74.9
1-SUMMER SONG 68.1

RACE 8
10-BABESSA 64.8
6-WARREN'S PERFORMER 54.5
1-ALOKEE 49.7
7-RAGS FOR BEN 47.8
8-CRESTON CUTIE 44.2

1st time starters - 5, 11, 9

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Wednesday, January 25, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, January 24, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2210 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, January 22, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
6-BEAUTIFUL STRIKE 67.5
3-SILVER STREET 60.1
2-CHA CHA LATTE 57.0
4-HELP ME HANNAH 53.5
5-TASTY TREAT 53.0

RACE 2
1-LUTESS 70.9
5-SHE'S VERY RARE 65.9
2-PIVOTAL QUEEN 60.1
4-MUSICAL GRACE 55.5 (off Nov. 10)
3-GOOD ACKTRESS 52.6

RACE 3
8-SILVER DRAGON 80.8
5-A LITTLE HOT SAUCE 70.3
6-ASHLEY'S BAMBINO 68.7
3-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 65.9
4-ST. VALENTINO 54.0

1st time starters - 1

RACE 4
1-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 85.0
5-PASSING GAME 82.6
6-GOT EVEN 82.0
3-COACH SICKIE 79.0
4-LET'S GET CRACKIN 62.7

RACE 5
5-FLUXX 67.0
9-PLAY MISTY FOR US 55.5
4-LEMON HERO 49.5
3-BELLA'S FANTASY 49.5
6-NIGHT TELLER 42.4

1st time starters - 7, 1

RACE 6
4-THE DIRECTOR 97.8
1-QUINTONS DESTINY 91.3
8-BARAJA DE ORO 73.7
2-TAYLOR SAID 68.1
3-MILES LONG GONE 63.4

RACE 7
8-PORFIDO 86.9
6-COLUDA 86.9
1-SIR BELL 85.0
3-FANTASTIC PICK 83.2
12-DOUBLE SHUFFLE 82.0

RACE 8
7-CAPITAL PLAN 97.1
3-BIG TIZ 92.1
8-TIZ FLIRTATIOUS 90.8
6-INCLUDE ME OUT 89.4
1-MAY DAY ROSE 87.5

RACE 9
4-JIM'S DECISION 69.2
14-SALTY ROBBIN 67.0
10-ROHERYN STRIDER 60.2
13-INDIAN KNIGHT 59.0
1-CRESTATORRE 57.0

1st time starters - 2

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Saturday, January 21, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $58,316.

RACE 1
2-MACK'S GOLD BULLET 83.2
3-BRYAN DANIEL 80.2
5-PREFERRED MANDATE 77.2
7-STORMIN PROUD PAPA 75.4
6-WARRENS HEARTTHROB 67.0

RACE 2
7-RALPHY GIRL 52.6
1-BABYNEEDSNEWSHOES 48.3
2-STRAWBERRY ROUTE 44.2
6-ANITA MARGARITA 43.8 (off slow)
5-GLO JACK 41.6

1st time starters - 3

RACE 3
8-WILD MIA 97.1
5-CELESTIAL KITTEN 87.5
6-IMPERIALISTIC DIVA 87.5
4-BURG BERG 86.3
2-PICK AND PRAY 79.0

RACE 4
7-DREAM CAUGHT 64.3
3-PATRIOTIC LION 63.8
11-OFFICER BAVETTA 60.1
12-RUN CHARLIE RUN 55.5
9-PULPIT'S EXPRESS 51.1

1st time starters - 10, 2, 4

RACE 5
3-LORD'S MINISTER 90.7
8-VALLEY CAT 90.0
2-JOY BOY 83.4
11-MOSCATO 80.7
10-STARSPANGLED HEAT 79.0

RACE 6
6-CANDY'S JEWEL 85.6
4-CASTAWAY 83.8
3-CALLED TO SERVE 82.6
7-UNMARKED BILLS 74.0
9-FLEET EAGLE 73.1

RACE 7
8-RAINGEAR 76.0
6-MILES HEIR 64.8
1-SKIMMING SKIPPER 63.2
5-ASPERITY 62.7
2-NITRO ACTIVE 60.9

RACE 8
2-AMAZOMBIE 120.8
5-FRUMIOUS 111.4
7-COURTSIDE 110.0
4-MENSA HEAT 108.6
8-EUROEARS 107.3

RACE 9
5-MR. PADRE 65.9
3-CHEEZY BREEZY 59.6
4-HAVA CIGAR 54.5
6-FLYING MARINE 54.5
9-GO TO THE PULPIT 53.5

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Friday, January 20, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
2-ARATHORN 69.8
3-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 58.8
4-YANKEE DAN 58.5
6-TIO VIC 58.2
1-THE BIEN'S GIFT 57.7

RACE 2
10-MCCARROLL 68.1
3-SIDEPOCKET KID 65.4
5-SPICY BEAU 62.2
2-CONFER 51.6
9-MUCHO BRAVO 51.1

RACE 3
10-SLEEP TIGHT 79.0
1-CHARM THE CROWD 75.4
5-FIVE SILVER STARS 74.9
3-PICTURE PERFECT 73.1
2-AYOUMILOVE 71.4
9-ALL THE LOVE 71.4

RACE 4
8-TERAAD 73.1
4-CORNER OFFICE 69.9
1-G'NIGHT 59.5
3-THE BLACK 54.0
6-PUFF PASTRY 53.0

1st time starters - 5

RACE 5
4-SPECTACULAR SLEW 79.6
5-CLEAR TO CANADA 79.0
6-HIGH SUCCESS 76.0
9-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 73.7
1-BRADY BLUE EYES 73.1
7-THRICE THE VICE 73.1

RACE 6
7-WE ARE ONE 77.8
1-VIKKILEE 71.4
5-SKINNY GENES 70.9
2-QUIET ADVICE 62.7
6-LISA LULU 61.1

RACE 7
4-ROCKINARZ RECUIT 85.6
1-EXOTIC SLEW 80.8
2-JOHNNY BE MINE 76.0
6-COACH BOB 72.6
5-JACK O LYN 70.9

RACE 8
6-MIDNIGHT CON 65.4
9-I FEEL FREE 63.2
8-WAR POLITICS 62.7
3-TAKE NO PRISONERS 47.8
7-ALREADY THERE 47.8

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Thursday, January 19, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



TODAYS PICK SIX CARRYOVER IS $107,326.

RACE 1
4-MAKER 73.1
3-BENCH THE JUDGE 71.4
6-THE HUNT IS ON 69.8
1-SHEM 68.7
5-MORGANOUSKA 63.8

RACE 2
1-AMAZINGLY 82.0
2-ALMOST A LADY 72.6
4-VICKI VICTORIA 67.0
5-CARIBAYA QUEEN 65.9
3-WARREN'S GOLDIE 60.6

RACE 3
6-MARYJEAN 54.5
2-I SENSE YOUR LUCK 54.0
1-ELEGANT EVE 51.6
3-JOYCE'S CHOICE 48.3
4-PURPLE STARDUSTER 46.9

RACE 4
4-ULTIMATE DECISION 78.4
2-EL TANGO RAY 74.3
5-MYHORSEOFCOURSE 66.4
3-CLEARANCE CLARENCE 64.3
1-ROCKIN HARBOR 62.7

RACE 5
5-LOVELY SOPHIA 60.5
6-PLAZARITA 60.0
1-VONN NEZ 59.0
2-WARREN'S MY QUEEN 57.5
4-THE GRANS 55.0

1st time starters - 8, 7

RACE 6
11-JAWS N' PAWS 76.0
5-FOR YOU MY HEART 76.0
9-SUBPOENA THE DRESS 72.6
1-RUSSIAN RIVER 69.8
10-LINE ONE 69.2 (off June 11)

RACE 7
1-REALLY ELEGANT 82.8
7-MELTARIB 78.4
6-SUNBURN 78.4
5-ARRIVEDERCI CARO 75.4
4-RUFFLED FEATHERS 71.4

RACE 8
5-BULL RING 79.0
3-FATHER PABST 76.6
8-RELENTLESS HEAT 72.6
9-SKY FOX 70.3
4-BARON VON RED 68.1

1st time starters - 1, 6, 7

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Wednesday, January 18, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, January 17, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2204 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, January 16, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



NOTE: SUNDAY 6 OF MY TOP PICKS WON.

RACE 1
2-PRETTY MUCH 63.2
6-SASSY SUANCES 62.7
5-LUCKYVIC 58.5
1-SCIENTIFIC 51.5
4-BUD AND BRANDY 48.8

1st time starters - 3

RACE 2
2-LIL MISS MACKY 72.0
3-RY CHEER 69.8
4-RIGHT SMART SECRET 55.0
6-ZIVA 53.0
5-HIGHLY COMPOSED 49.2

RACE 3
4-FRENEMY 83.8
6-CLOUD HOPPER 82.2
5-TREACHEROUS 80.4
3-CAT'S ENOUGH 63.8
1-QUICK N DIRTY 58.0

RACE 4
7-ANNIE LOU 50.2
6-MISS BOLD TOPPER 47.8
4-BLUE EYES INCLUDED 47.8
2-ARGUE MY CASE 46.9
3-GAME CHARMER 44.6

RACE 5
6-LOS BOMBEROS 91.9
1-MEMPHIS 89.4
4-RULE BY FORCE 86.9
7-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 82.0
3-ADAM SUANCES 78.3

RACE 6
4-WALL STREET WONDER 100.3
5-MR. BOSSY PANTS 98.4
6-LAMM 91.9
8-INUIT FISHER 88.8
2-WINSOME CHARM 85.7

RACE 7
9-AMERICAN ACT 73.5
6-JOHN BULLY'S BOB 69.8
7-OUR LUCKY SON 63.2
4-KOAST 53.5

1st time starters - 8, 10, 2, 1, 3, 5

RACE 8
4-JERANIMO 113.6
5-THE USUAL Q. T. 104.5
3-NORVSKY 103.8
6-IMPONENTE PURSE 93.2
1-SANDOR 90.0

RACE 9
8-CRESTON COWBOY 78.4
4-ME SALTY 70.9
3-BIGBARI 69.8
5-DISTINCTLY 69.2
6-TITAN 66.4

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Sunday, January 15, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $102,596.

RACE 1
6-KINGPIN RYNO 89.4 (off July 11)
2-ROCK OFF 76.0
3-DYNAMIZE 67.7 (off JUNE 11)
4-WORLD RENOWNED 65.4 (off Jan. 11)
1-VADER 51.6 (slow start)

1st time starters - 5, 7, 8

RACE 2
3-WARREN'S ASSASSIN 54.0
2-MANGO TART 53.5
6-FRANNIE 50.2
5-KVELL 49.7
7-HERE COMES BONNIE 34.2

RACE 3
8-MANDATED BLISS 91.9
2-GUTSHOT STRIGHT 90.0
4-FLOATING FEATHER 86.9
3-AVULSION 85.1 (off June 11)
6-EVENING ISLAND 77.8

RACE 4
2-RENEESGOTZIP 107.9
6-CANDREA 87.5
3-ROWDY GAL 86.8
1-MADE TO LOVE HER 83.2
4-PAINTED WOMAN 69.8

RACE 5
8-GLORIFIED 81.4
10-GENIALITY 74.2
9-CAROUSEL 72.0
6-WARREN'S HOPEFUL 69.8
7-PLATINUM MINE 66.4

RACE 6
2-WILD GRAY 79.0
5-MERLIN Z 78.4
7-ABSOLUTCAT 76.6
4-JEFFREY'S GROOVE 70.1 (off April 11)
3-DUPLO RAPIDO 67.5

RACE 7
10-OBSESS 100.3
7-OAK KYE WHY 97.8
2-HIGH TEST 89.1
9-INTUITIVE NATURE 88.1 (off March 11)
5-EL MIRAGE KING 85.0

RACE 8
6-VISION IN GOLD 105.2
5-ELLAFITZ 101.8
7-BRIECAT 96.5
1-DOWNHILL DIVA 92.6
4-KAYCE ACE 88.1 (off July 11)

RACE 9
8-NONREFUNDABLE 56.0
3-TIZ VICTORIOUS 55.0
2-HUSKY GLORY 52.1
5-DANCESWITHTHEWIND 46.4
6-KNUCKLEBUSTER 45.5
9-MY TOP CAT 45.5

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Saturday, January 14, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
1-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 58.0
4-ITHOUGHTIPAIDYOU 56.0
5-RINO U 55.5
2-LOCKHEART 52.6
7-SUPER CANDY 49.2

RACE 2
6-SUDDEN GHOST 63.8
1-SWEETSOUTHERNAMBAR 44.6
5-NIFTY DREAM 44.2
3-WARREN'S MORGAN 42.4
8-BOO WHO WHO 35.0

RACE 3
5-BALLISTIC BLONDE 72.0
2-ROMAN CHIC 70.9
1-PURE STORM 65.9
4-ZIPPIN E 58.5
7-SAINT CINDY 50.6

RACE 4
10-MAYOR MARV 93.9
4-SQUARE DEAL 85.6
2-STAR NICHOLAS 83.8
8-SLAM SLEW 81.4
6-HASTY TREND 80.2

RACE 5
3-QATAR'S PEARL 77.8
2-VIBRATO JAZZ 68.6
12-J MAN 67.0
6-ROCKET TRAIN 36.6

1st time starters - 9, 11, 5, 1, 4, 7

RACE 6
7-SPECTACULAR SKY 84.4
8-BLUE TAMBOURINE 83.8
1-IZZY RULES 82.6
6-ALL ON THE TABLE 75.4
3-HOUT BAY 74.9

RACE 7
5-CARBONITE 102.9
10-DETAILS R SKETCHY 98.4
2-CASPER'S TOUCH 92.6
3-CHOSEN MIRACLE 91.3
7-LET'S DO IT 90.2

RACE 8
1-PRAYER FOR RELIEF 106.6
8-TAPIZAR 97.1
2-BALLADRY 97.1
6-SPUD SPIVENS 93.9
5-IRISH ART 92.8

RACE 9
5-MON COUER 59.6
3-TRAWEEK 56.5
7-TEASING BERNIE 53.0
4-DAWNS GOLDENDANCER 43.8
6-SOLANA SOLEIL 42.4

1st time starters - 9, 2, 10, 11

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Friday, January 13, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $67,183.

RACE 1
2-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 69.2
5-KATY'S KITTY 65.4
1-GOOD FRIDAY GAL 64.8
4-PARTY WITH BRANDO 63.2
6-ATTAR OF ROSE 61.6

RACE 2
2-WOEBEGON 77.4
5-INDIGO RIVER 75.1
1-INDECISE 70.6
4-LASSO FROM EL PASSO 70.0
3-MY KENTUCKY ROSE 53.0

RACE 3
6-STAR DANCE M D 68.1
3-WILD REVENGE 67.0
2-ORBACH 67.0
1-KING COLA 61.4
4-FIFTH DIMENSION 61.4

RACE 4
1-JACK REACHER 69.8
11-JUST METEOR 66.8
2-ZOMBYSLAYERMRDARCY 53.5
4-ON I WIN 51.1
9-EAST SKY 50.6

1st time starters - 5

RACE 5
2-LOVESTEALER 78.3
7-SHE SPIRIT DI SU 68.4
10-MY SWEET CANDY 67.6
4-SPECIAL CHARM 64.8
12-BELLE GALLANTEY 64.6

RACE 6
5-TOP FEELING 93.4
2-BUYER'S REMORSE 83.2
7-ELUSIVE SCHEMES 82.0
8-JOYFUL SUCCESS 81.4
1-ROCKET ROAN 77.2

RACE 7
7-LONG LAKE KRISTA 89.4
4-CUTE N SASSY 88.0
3-WHISPER LOUISE 86.1
8-TALKTOOMUCH 84.4
1-MAKOMA 83.2

RACE 8
6-ALDADINO 67.0
8-CHEERS TO BOOGIE 65.9
13-REMEMBER MIKE 61.1
5-DEL MAR JOHNNY 59.6
12-FINE AND RARE 57.0
9-SWISS EMPEROR 57.0

1st time starters - 14

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Thursday, January 12, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
5-SUBTLE GREEK 62.2
6-HEY I'M SOBAA 61.6
7-TO THE TOP 51.1
3-GOLDENTOUCH OF GIN 48.3
1-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 48.1

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
5-SPIRIT RULES 96.1
4-SKY KINGDOM 89.4
1-SMART ELLIS 75.2
2-SIR ALLISON 74.0
3-ES LUNA 49.0

RACE 3
3-JAREDELLA 86.9
8-SHOO GEE 74.3
4-STORMY SLEW 72.6
5-ELUSIVE COOKIES 68.1
7-MADRE LUNA 61.6

1st time starters - 6

RACE 4
5-SUNSHINE HIGH 51.1
8-LARA ANTIPOVA 50.6
6-CRESTON CUTIE 46.9
1-OFFLEE CUTE 42.4
7-SHIMMERING STAR 39.9

RACE 5
4-HIS BOY ELROY 82.0
1-SYNCOBEAT 80.8
5-DOC CAN DANCE 73.7
6-WHAT A RUSH 73.7
2-PERSONALITARY 71.4

RACE 6
3-MEGASTAR 90.7
6-SMART SPENDING 86.3
1-TIZ ARGENT 81.9
5-THIRTYFIRSTSTREET 80.2
2-BELIEVE IN HOPE 79.0

RACE 7
4-ADMISSION 91.3
5-ADRIATIC MOON 90.6
1-ANTIDOTE 86.9
3-TIZ GIANNI 82.0
2-RENEGADE STORM 81.4

RACE 8
8-GIBSON HOME RUN 86.3
3-LT. HOPEFUL 85.6
7-MARK OF A WARRIOR 82.6
2-BRUNO'S WAGER 81.4
1-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 80.8

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Tuesday, January 10, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, January 09, 2012

 
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2197 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, January 08, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
3-BROOKLYN ROSE 67.5
5-MY BRITE CAROLINE 66.4
6-KIDS TABLE 64.8
2-LADY LOHR 60.6
4-BIG TSIMMIS 59.0

RACE 2
4-EDEN'S MOON 94.8
5-CONJURE THE SPIRIT 69.8
6-MUSIC THUNDER 69.2
2-BELLAVINI 56.1
7-CAVALLETTA 54.5

1st time starters - 1

RACE 3
7-FOR YOU MY HEART 76.0
4-JUDICIOUS 69.8
8-SI MAR'S DEAR 65.9
2-WARREN'S FLYER 62.7
6-MAGICALLYTOWN 61.6

RACE 4
7-JEOPARDY LADY 84.4
2-HAMEILDAEME 79.6
6-GLOWING SPIRIT 77.8
8-ROSEHILL DEW 74.9
4-SKINNY GENES 73.7
1-BELLINI BLISS 73.7
3-LILLY'S PERFECT 73.7

RACE 5
8-RED DOOR DRIVE 102.5
3-SEA RASCAL 100.4
9-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 97.1
2-MACHO DORADO 91.9
1-VALKYRIE MISSILE 90.0

RACE 6
11-SPRING BLOOM 75.4
13-SHE SPIRIT DI SU 68.4
10-MISS COMMUNICATION 60.6
14-RAMONA'S RIDE 59.0
7-CANDY AND THUNDER 56.5

1st time starters - 3, 12, 6, 2, 5

RACE 7
3-GATOR WARRIOR 83.8
1-ERBEIA 83.8
5-HURRICANE LAKE 81.3
8-JOKER FACE 75.8
2-REACH A DECISION 75.4

RACE 8
2-MR GRUFF 112.2
6-REGALLY READY 110.0
4-CARACORTADO 103.1
3-VICTORY PETE 100.4
1-CALIMONCO 94.8

RACE 9
9-TWELVE FOLDS 70.3
5-LADY NOW 59.6
4-YA WANNA HUG 46.9
6-RAGGIN WOOD 44.2
10-AUTUMN VIEW 22.5

1st time starters - 12, 7, 3, 11, 2, 13, 8

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Saturday, January 07, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
1-SILVER THREAT 62.7 (bumped)
6-SCREEM QUEEN 60.6
10-WILD DATE 45.1
3-ANSEDE 42.4
5-CANDY AND NUTS 41.6

1st time starters - 11

RACE 2
10-LETSGETITRIGHT 93.9
5-UNUSUAL JAZZ 91.9
8-MICHAEL THE MAN 88.1
6-KING LEDLEY 86.9
9-HIATUS 86.3

RACE 3
4-SECRET CIRCLE 100.2
6-HANDSOME MIKE 87.5
3-HIERRO 81.3
2-OUT OF BOUNDS 77.0
5-LONGVIEW DRIVE 76.6

RACE 4
3-TAKETHEMONEYANDRUN 65.9
10-L'ENCHANTERESSE 62.7
8-MY LITTLE MORGAN 60.6
1-SMOKEY LAKE 59.0
5-BENECIA 58.5

RACE 5
4-NICE MEIDEL 84.4
1-GOING FOR A SPIN 82.0
6-BROWN IS BEIGE 80.3
8-MIZZEN DONALD 77.8
9-BONITA STAR 77.0

RACE 6
4-CONSULADO 85.6
11-BOBBY FLAY 75.4
3-ONLY THE GOLD 75.4
5-CONGRATS SKI 67.0
7-ATTICLUDE 48.3

1st time starters - 8, 1, 2, 9, 6, 10

RACE 7
10-LA SOMBRE 83.2
13-MISS BECCA 83.2
8-MELTARIB 81.4
9-TRIBAL BEAUTY 77.9
11-EVASIVE CHARMER 76.0

RACE 8
6-TRES BORRACHOS 109.3
4-TWEEBSTER 102.5
8-MASSONE 101.8
3-JAVA MAN 90.0
7-UH OH BANGO 85.0

RACE 9
9-CANDY'S SUNRISE 80.8
13-THREE VASES 67.0
12-STORM CAUTION 62.2
2-WRITTEN RULE 58.3
4-OUTPERFORM 54.5

1st time starters - 6, 3, 11, 10, 8, 7

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Friday, January 06, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses



THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $75,361.

RACE 1
5-MY DIANE 65.9
1-BABESSA 65.4
3-MISSIE KY I YOU 63.8
4-LINDZ WINZ 46.0
6-TWO PER CENT 42.0

1st time starters - 2, 7, 8

RACE 2
5-GRAME CRACKERJACK 80.8
6-MILES HEIR 79.0
7-PICKAPOCKET 78.4
4-WARREN'S TONY R. 77.2
1-BRADY BLUE EYES 75.2

RACE 3
5-DANI'S SIS 51.6
11-WARREN'S PERFORMER 49.7
7-GOLDEN NIP 45.5
8-KEY ALLEGRO 45.1
2-SILVER LUNA 44.2

1st time starters - 1

RACE 4
2-SECRET COVE 91.9
3-THISISMYSTAGE 91.3
4-ANNIVERSARY GIRL 89.4
7-MADERA CASTANA 84.4
5-WILD ROSE 84.4

RACE 5
7-BRUNO'S WAGER 93.9
3-ITSSULTRYINTHECAPE 88.1
4-COAL REGION KID 79.0
5-LOOKING FOR CANDY 78.4
14-CLEAR TO CANADA 72.0

RACE 6
6-MAYA ANGELINA 86.3
7-SOLERINA 82.7
3-BELLA SWAN 81.4
4-LINDA LOU 78.4
13-FAST EYDIE 77.9

RACE 7
9-HOPE AND BELIEVE 91.3
5-D'PENDABLE 86.9
2-RED ACE 84.4
11-RUNFLATOUT 83.2
3-THUNDER OF ZION 83.2

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
7-TROPILUK 50.6
11-SKY LARKIN 50.6
3-ALWAYS THE SAME 37.8
4-THIEF RIVER 34.6
8-MR. NEWTON 26.1

1st time starters - 9, 1, 10, 2, 5

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Thursday, January 05, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses



RACE 1
7-PUT IT THERE 72.6
6-SIR ALLISON 65.4
3-VISIBLE MARQ 59.0
2-CRUXUS 55.0
1-IDONTROLLONSHABBOS 54.5

1st time starers -5

RACE 2
6-VALLEY CAT 88.1
2-LODI RED 86.9
3-LIBERAL ARTS 82.6
7-GATHERATTHEALTER 81.4
4-IT'S NOT UNUSUAL 79.6
5-JOY BOY 79.6

RACE 3
3-COOK INLET 83.2
8-SILVER DRAGON 83.2
7-FORDHAM ROAD 81.4
1-GREAT RISING STAR 80.8
6-DEPRECIABLE 61.1

RACE 4
7-DREAM CAUGHT 70.3
8-DAWNS GOLDENDANCER 67.8
3-GO TO THE PULPIT 57.0
5-FINEGAN AGAIN 48.8
10-BELLE'S BIG BOY 42.4

1st time starters - 6 (had 2f. race), 2, 9, 4

RACE 5
9-SWIRLS 82.0
1-LAST STING 79.0
6-COSSET 68.6
3-WOODMAN'S LASS 70.0
7-CAROUSEL 68.6

RACE 6
12-THE HUNT IS ON 79.0
4-MY T QUICK 73.1
9-NUCLEAR MISSLE 70.3
5-PANTHER'S CLAW 69.8
2-WARREN'S KONG 69.2

RACE 7
9-WILYCONKER 103.8
1-EL GATO MALO 98.4
2-CAMPARI 96.5
3-DETAILS R SKETCHY 91.5
4-SANDOR 90.0
7-LEROY'S DYNAMEAUX 90.0

RACE 8
9-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 77.2
2-DISH THE DIRT 77.2
7-CAPALATTE 64.8
12-IRRIDESCENT RED 62.7
6-NOTHING TO FEAR 62.2

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Wednesday, January 04, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, January 03, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2190 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, January 02, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses



RACE 1
6-BELLE GALLANTEY 56.5
5-SPICED LATTE 51.5
8-WARREN'S ASSASSIN 49.2
1-MALIBU LOVE 45.6
7-ELIVETTE 39.2

RACE 2
1-DO SOMETHIN 87.5
8-ADIOS PROBLEMAS 71.4
2-TEARDROPS ON FIRE 69.2
5-WARREN'S GOLDIE 63.8
3-SONG GIRL 62.2

RACE 3
8-ARRESTING OFFICER 82.6
1-PREFERRED MANDATE 81.4
9-WILD GRAY 79.6
6-CAT IN THE FOREST 77.8
4-LOS BOMBEROS 77.8

RACE 4
9-MADEOFTHERIGHTSTUF 90.9
12-SILVER DRAGON 82.0
2-DIXIELAND BLUES 77.2
4-MY SLEW 73.1
6-ONEBADBOY 67.0

1ST TIME STARTERS - 5, 3

RACE 5
2-SUBPOENA THE DRESS 75.4
6-LUTESS 74.9
3-SIZZLING GOLD 73.1
7-SHE'S VERY RARE 72.6
8-ANGEL OF MYSTERY 69.8

RACE 6
1-SURPLUS 96.5
6-GAB POWER 93.9
7-PRIDE OF SILVER 90.0
10-ACAFFELLA 89.4 (off Oct. 10)
5-SMOKIN' CAT 84.0

RACE 7
4-ARTE VIVA 95.8 (off Oct. 10)
1-KINDLE 92.6
2-DUST AND DIAMONDS 91.9
8-PICK AND PRAY 86.3
10-SALTY SARAH 79.0

RACE 8
10-UNZIP ME 103.8
2-GIVINE 96.5
1-MIZDIRECTION 96.5
9-SEPARATE FOREST 96.5
5-REMIT 91.3

RACE 9
10-TINGALEO 78.4
9-ST. JOEL 66.4
3-SIDEPOCKET KID 65.9
14-SPICY BEAU 61.6
7-ULTIMATE DECISION 60.9
8-MUCHO BRAVO 60.6

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Sunday, January 01, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $123,037.

RACE 1
2-RUSSIAN RIVER 88.8
6-REAL HOUSEWIFE 73.1
7-MONA STORM 72.6
5-FIVE SILVER STARS 68.4
1-YOU CAN DREAM 65.9

RACE 2
9-SHERIFF HUTTON 67.0
10-D'WILDBUNCH 63.2
5-RUN CHARLIE RUN 53.0
14-SKY LARKIN 50.6
12-TALE BE TOLD 50.2

1st time starters - 11

RACE 3
2-MUNY 98.4
7-MY SUMMER SLEW 91.9
6-MACIAS 83.8
1-EL ADELANTADO 82.6
3-RED SHARP HUMOR 80.2

RACE 4
12-JACK REACHER 76.0
8-INDIAN KNIGHT 71.4
6-JIM'S DECISION 69.8
5-ABSOLUTCAT 64.8
3-OWN IT 51.1

1st time starters - 7, 4

RACE 5
7-SAINT ISABELLE 107.3
6-RUMOR 96.5
8-BIG TIZ 96.5
1-BURG BERG 90.7
2-A JEALOUS WOMAN 90.1

1st time starters - 5 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 6
4-MISS SEA CUP 85.0
3-THERE IS NO LIMIT 83.8
10-TERODA 82.0
8-TRUE WAY OF GRACE 80.9
9-PRINCESS SUANCES 80.2

RACE 7
7-TALES OF TIGGER 79.0
5-BRYAN DANIEL 76.0
2-SIR ED 75.4
4-MENTIDOSO 70.9
3-MACK'S GOLD BULLET 70.3

RACE 8
6-MISS MITTAGONG 95.7
3-CITY TO CITY 93.9
2-CELESTIAL KITTEN 91.3
1-BAUBLE QUEEN 90.7
5-WHISPER LOUISE 89.4

RACE 9
2-OFFICER BAVETTA 63.8
6-SABE 51.1
13-HAVA CIGAR 50.2
3-WAR WIZZARD 46.9
7-ON A BURNER 35.4

1st time starters - 8, 4

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