Sunday, December 22, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY. THIS WILL BE THE LAST AND FINAL DAY FOR HOLLYWOOD PARK.
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $122,406.
RACE 1
3-WICKED FINANCE 88.1
5-AQUA REVELATION 82.0
7-MAXX THE GIANT 79.0
6-APOSTLE PAUL 76.6
8-CITRON KID 69.8
RACE 2
8-HUGGER OF TREES 63.8
1-MIRACLE MERGER 59.0
3-WILLETTA 56.5
6-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 53.0
7-VALARTA 47.8
RACE 3
7-HIGHLY RATED 78.4
4-TANQUERRAY 78.4
6-ENGLISH RHYTHM 78.4
2-BACKINTHEACADEMY 76.4
1-LOVE TALE 74.3
RACE 4
3-BOSS OF ME 66.4
10-CAPTAIN SALT 57.5
5-SLIGHT EDGE 54.5
6-WISTFULLEE MINE 51.1
9-HANDSOME DENNIS 50.2
RACE 5
7-JET BLUE GIRL 76.0
1-MIA ISABEL 68.1
5-ONE MAGICAL GIRL 63.2
9-HANDFUL OF PEARLS 63.2
3-JUST AFTER SUNSET 62.7
RACE 6
13-GRADUATOR 66.4 (off Oct. 12)
10-MOON RIDE 58.5
14-FRANNIE'SSPIRITTOO 50.2
6-RICH IN TRADITION 47.8
8-SECRET MEMO 46.0
RACE 7
8-DIXIELAND BLUES 88.8
7-KORBAN 85.7
2-MAJOR MAGIC 83.5
3-RELENTLESS HEAT 80.2
4-GAL HAS TO LIKE IT 77.4
RACE 8(all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-QUEEN MAD 49.7 (off slow)
2-MIA LUCCIA 46.0
5-SOAR HOME 23.5 (steadied)
1st time starters - 6, 8, 7, 4, 3
RACE 9
4-PULPIT'S EXPRESS 90.0
1-DEEP PLAY 86.9 (off July 12)
6-VOLKONSKY 80.2
8-ASHLEY'S BAMBINO 79.0
2-FULL INSTINCT 74.6
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
4-MASS TRANSIT 77.8
2-PRAY HARD 75.4
9-AOTEAROA 73.4
11-LIFE IS A JOY 72.0
8-CALIFORNIA CHROME 68.1
RACE 11
9-DANDEREK 95.8
12-INSIDEONDOUTSIDE 91.3
5-WOODMANS LUCK 90.0
11-DEPRECIABLE 88.8
1-TOMMY DANZIGGER 85.8
4-ANYTHINGSCOOKIN 85.0
8-MR. CANDY BAR 85.0
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $122,406.
RACE 1
3-WICKED FINANCE 88.1
5-AQUA REVELATION 82.0
7-MAXX THE GIANT 79.0
6-APOSTLE PAUL 76.6
8-CITRON KID 69.8
RACE 2
8-HUGGER OF TREES 63.8
1-MIRACLE MERGER 59.0
3-WILLETTA 56.5
6-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 53.0
7-VALARTA 47.8
RACE 3
7-HIGHLY RATED 78.4
4-TANQUERRAY 78.4
6-ENGLISH RHYTHM 78.4
2-BACKINTHEACADEMY 76.4
1-LOVE TALE 74.3
RACE 4
3-BOSS OF ME 66.4
10-CAPTAIN SALT 57.5
5-SLIGHT EDGE 54.5
6-WISTFULLEE MINE 51.1
9-HANDSOME DENNIS 50.2
RACE 5
7-JET BLUE GIRL 76.0
1-MIA ISABEL 68.1
5-ONE MAGICAL GIRL 63.2
9-HANDFUL OF PEARLS 63.2
3-JUST AFTER SUNSET 62.7
RACE 6
13-GRADUATOR 66.4 (off Oct. 12)
10-MOON RIDE 58.5
14-FRANNIE'SSPIRITTOO 50.2
6-RICH IN TRADITION 47.8
8-SECRET MEMO 46.0
RACE 7
8-DIXIELAND BLUES 88.8
7-KORBAN 85.7
2-MAJOR MAGIC 83.5
3-RELENTLESS HEAT 80.2
4-GAL HAS TO LIKE IT 77.4
RACE 8(all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-QUEEN MAD 49.7 (off slow)
2-MIA LUCCIA 46.0
5-SOAR HOME 23.5 (steadied)
1st time starters - 6, 8, 7, 4, 3
RACE 9
4-PULPIT'S EXPRESS 90.0
1-DEEP PLAY 86.9 (off July 12)
6-VOLKONSKY 80.2
8-ASHLEY'S BAMBINO 79.0
2-FULL INSTINCT 74.6
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
4-MASS TRANSIT 77.8
2-PRAY HARD 75.4
9-AOTEAROA 73.4
11-LIFE IS A JOY 72.0
8-CALIFORNIA CHROME 68.1
RACE 11
9-DANDEREK 95.8
12-INSIDEONDOUTSIDE 91.3
5-WOODMANS LUCK 90.0
11-DEPRECIABLE 88.8
1-TOMMY DANZIGGER 85.8
4-ANYTHINGSCOOKIN 85.0
8-MR. CANDY BAR 85.0
Labels: Betfair, bets, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, December 21, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-JOVITA'S TUFFY 83.2
3-PERSUASIVE PAUL 79.6
4-SQUARE DANCER 76.0
1-SINFULLY 75.4
2-IMPERATIVE 73.1
RACE 2
6-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 83.2
3-MUCHOS BESOS 80.2
4-FIRE IN THE WIND 74.9
2-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 73.1
5-MENSA HEAT 72.0
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
4-ABIDE IN ME 69.8
6-DANCINGINTHESTREET 66.4
8-CONSECRATE 61.6
2-BLAMEITONTHECAT 54.0
7-KITTEN DE PERE 50.2
RACE 4
8-KATIE'S GARDEN 83.8
2-MY LOOLOO 72.0
6-TIZ MIDNIGHT 69.2
9-SWISS HEART 65.9
4-LEGACY 59.6
RACE 5
2-TOO FAST TO PASS 83.9
8-JUDGE CARR 82.1
6-AERIAL ARTIST 77.2
10-BOTCH 75.1
4-KAFISTER 73.9
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-VEGAS BOUND 53.5
11-PRETTY STORM 43.8
3-ELEGANT TRICK 39.0
6-ANOTHER VICTORIA 36.2
12-RUSHOMATIC 33.0
1st time starters - 4, 8, 5
RACE 7
1-SENSATIONALIZE 83.8
6-FOXY BOSS 80.8
8-KELDY 80.8
4-LEVEL HEADED 79.6
2-SOMETHINGABOUTHER 79.0
RACE 8
7-COST OF FREEDOM 80.2
8-CHANGE OF PLAN 74.9
4-GUIDOPANZINI 74.9
9-ALWAYS THE SAME 61.1
2-BLUEGRASS REWARD 60.1
RACE 9
10-PROTOCOL 95.1
4-ANKENY HILL 92.6
1-KOCHEES 90.0
2-U S CITIZEN 89.4
5-BROKERED 86.3
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
4-GLOBAL HOTTIE 84.4
7-SWISS LAKE YODELER 80.2
5-SHYSHEISNOT 70.3
8-SPROUTS 69.8
3-CASEY'S CLEM 67.5
RACE 11 (all 2 yo. going 6f. on turf)
2-CAPERS N WINE 54.6
5-MOSCATO GIRL 54.1
1-WRITER FEVER 49.9
7-BROWSING 47.4
3-MORE COMPLEXITY 39.5
1st time starters - 10, 11
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-JOVITA'S TUFFY 83.2
3-PERSUASIVE PAUL 79.6
4-SQUARE DANCER 76.0
1-SINFULLY 75.4
2-IMPERATIVE 73.1
RACE 2
6-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 83.2
3-MUCHOS BESOS 80.2
4-FIRE IN THE WIND 74.9
2-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 73.1
5-MENSA HEAT 72.0
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
4-ABIDE IN ME 69.8
6-DANCINGINTHESTREET 66.4
8-CONSECRATE 61.6
2-BLAMEITONTHECAT 54.0
7-KITTEN DE PERE 50.2
RACE 4
8-KATIE'S GARDEN 83.8
2-MY LOOLOO 72.0
6-TIZ MIDNIGHT 69.2
9-SWISS HEART 65.9
4-LEGACY 59.6
RACE 5
2-TOO FAST TO PASS 83.9
8-JUDGE CARR 82.1
6-AERIAL ARTIST 77.2
10-BOTCH 75.1
4-KAFISTER 73.9
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-VEGAS BOUND 53.5
11-PRETTY STORM 43.8
3-ELEGANT TRICK 39.0
6-ANOTHER VICTORIA 36.2
12-RUSHOMATIC 33.0
1st time starters - 4, 8, 5
RACE 7
1-SENSATIONALIZE 83.8
6-FOXY BOSS 80.8
8-KELDY 80.8
4-LEVEL HEADED 79.6
2-SOMETHINGABOUTHER 79.0
RACE 8
7-COST OF FREEDOM 80.2
8-CHANGE OF PLAN 74.9
4-GUIDOPANZINI 74.9
9-ALWAYS THE SAME 61.1
2-BLUEGRASS REWARD 60.1
RACE 9
10-PROTOCOL 95.1
4-ANKENY HILL 92.6
1-KOCHEES 90.0
2-U S CITIZEN 89.4
5-BROKERED 86.3
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
4-GLOBAL HOTTIE 84.4
7-SWISS LAKE YODELER 80.2
5-SHYSHEISNOT 70.3
8-SPROUTS 69.8
3-CASEY'S CLEM 67.5
RACE 11 (all 2 yo. going 6f. on turf)
2-CAPERS N WINE 54.6
5-MOSCATO GIRL 54.1
1-WRITER FEVER 49.9
7-BROWSING 47.4
3-MORE COMPLEXITY 39.5
1st time starters - 10, 11
Labels: Betfair, bets, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, December 20, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $79,599.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f. on turf)
5-SERGEANT O'ROURKE 75.6
1-BOSSERETTE 70.9
3-SPRAGUE RIVER 64.7
6-D'YA KNOWWHATIMEAN 63.6
4-SOUTH SOUND 61.1
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-FOR EMMA 68.6
5-GOLDEN CELESTIAL 46.0
2-HOT BRIDE 39.9
3-ROYALY DUNN 38.2
4-TIME FOR ANGIE 37.4
RACE 3
4-PEBBLE BEACH BABY 77.9
5-JULIO'S GOLD 74.5
3-GOLDILOCKS PLANET 70.3
2-MIDNIGHT LADY 68.9
1-SULTRY SEASON 66.8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-RAMBLING HOUSE 47.4 (3 wide)
7-EXPONENTIALLY 41.6
6-ILLYBILLY BOY 39.4
5-SHORT SWORD 29.7
8-NO LONGER BLUE 22.8 (slow start)
1st time starters - 10, 2, 3, 4
RACE 5
4-GALLANT CHARM 85.8
10-LONDINUM 81.6
8-RANSOM CANYON 79.0
2-SCORCHER 72.0
1-WARREN'S JEFF G. 68.6
RACE 6
5-TURN ON THE BRITES 77.2
1-CONGREGATIONALIST 69.8
11-PROUD STEP 69.8
2-D J MANLOVE 69.8
9-QUICK CENIZAS 68.6
RACE 7
10-TANGERINE TICKLE 80.2
7-OSCIILLATOR 79.6
9-J AND S EXPRESS 79.0
6-FLATTER THECOWGIRL 77.2
2-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 74.3
RACE 8
12 AMERICA RISING 64.8
14-BURLISTER 64.8
5-CORANTO 56.5
2-DESTINO 53.5
13-STARRY SHARK 52.1
1st time starters - 10, 1, 8, 9
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $79,599.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f. on turf)
5-SERGEANT O'ROURKE 75.6
1-BOSSERETTE 70.9
3-SPRAGUE RIVER 64.7
6-D'YA KNOWWHATIMEAN 63.6
4-SOUTH SOUND 61.1
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-FOR EMMA 68.6
5-GOLDEN CELESTIAL 46.0
2-HOT BRIDE 39.9
3-ROYALY DUNN 38.2
4-TIME FOR ANGIE 37.4
RACE 3
4-PEBBLE BEACH BABY 77.9
5-JULIO'S GOLD 74.5
3-GOLDILOCKS PLANET 70.3
2-MIDNIGHT LADY 68.9
1-SULTRY SEASON 66.8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-RAMBLING HOUSE 47.4 (3 wide)
7-EXPONENTIALLY 41.6
6-ILLYBILLY BOY 39.4
5-SHORT SWORD 29.7
8-NO LONGER BLUE 22.8 (slow start)
1st time starters - 10, 2, 3, 4
RACE 5
4-GALLANT CHARM 85.8
10-LONDINUM 81.6
8-RANSOM CANYON 79.0
2-SCORCHER 72.0
1-WARREN'S JEFF G. 68.6
RACE 6
5-TURN ON THE BRITES 77.2
1-CONGREGATIONALIST 69.8
11-PROUD STEP 69.8
2-D J MANLOVE 69.8
9-QUICK CENIZAS 68.6
RACE 7
10-TANGERINE TICKLE 80.2
7-OSCIILLATOR 79.6
9-J AND S EXPRESS 79.0
6-FLATTER THECOWGIRL 77.2
2-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 74.3
RACE 8
12 AMERICA RISING 64.8
14-BURLISTER 64.8
5-CORANTO 56.5
2-DESTINO 53.5
13-STARRY SHARK 52.1
1st time starters - 10, 1, 8, 9
Labels: Betfair, bets, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, thoroughbred
Thursday, December 19, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, thoroughbred
Wednesday, December 18, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,777 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,777 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: Betfair, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, December 15, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-WARREN'S CRACKER 69.2
2-COCONUT CREAM PIE 64.3
4-LIL SWISS ECHO 63.6
1-BRIDLE PLAN 61.1
7-SIDEPOCKET RUN 60.1
5-LITTLE UNUSUAL 60.1
RACE 2
2-KEY VISTA 102.5
5-PEARL DE VERE 85.6
1-MECHAYA 78.4
6-PEPPY BOLLY 77.8
4-SMALL MOVES 77.2
RACE 3
6-BRO'S BRO 86.9
3-FREE TIME 80.8
1-SHOER HUGH 74.9
2-MR. ORNERY 74.9
7-CANDY'S SUNRISE 73.7
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-STEPPINGOOD 46.9
1-REPS AND WARRANTS 44.2 (off slow)
4-ZACKOS MY MAN 33.8 (angled in)
2-FOURTH GENERATION 31.5 (3 widw)
3-AWESOME T 29.0 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 8
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile on turf)
2-HARBAUGH 71.4
1-GOLDEN DYNAMO 70.4
8-LIEUTENANT SEANY O 61.1
5-STOP THE CLOCK 60.1
3-BEAUTIFUL MINE 59.6
RACE 6
6-SUGAR HIGH KAYLIN 49.7
1-RICH IN TRADITION 47.8
13-GRADUATOR 46.9 (off Oct. 12)
14-CIRCULAR LOGIC 41.1
8-MUSIC AND ME 39.4
1st time starters - 3, 11, 7
RACE 7
8-KILTED TILT 77.8
2-AKISS FORAROSE 74.9
5-TWO BLUE HENS 72.8
7-REAL BRIGHT BOOTS 63.2
3-HORSESANDDIVORCES 60.1
RACE 8
2-TEDDY'S PROMISE 103.8
4-RUMOR 100.4
5-THERE IS NO LIMIT 92.6
3-JUDY IN DISGUISE 88.8
7-MINDS EYES 87.5
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f. on turf)
2-BOURNE HOT 73.1
8-GELDAUTOMAT 64.3
10-CLOSET E 62.6
6-SAMS BLUE CAT 50.2 (came out)
7-FROSTED BOSS 22.8 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 4, 11, 1, 3, 9
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-WARREN'S CRACKER 69.2
2-COCONUT CREAM PIE 64.3
4-LIL SWISS ECHO 63.6
1-BRIDLE PLAN 61.1
7-SIDEPOCKET RUN 60.1
5-LITTLE UNUSUAL 60.1
RACE 2
2-KEY VISTA 102.5
5-PEARL DE VERE 85.6
1-MECHAYA 78.4
6-PEPPY BOLLY 77.8
4-SMALL MOVES 77.2
RACE 3
6-BRO'S BRO 86.9
3-FREE TIME 80.8
1-SHOER HUGH 74.9
2-MR. ORNERY 74.9
7-CANDY'S SUNRISE 73.7
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-STEPPINGOOD 46.9
1-REPS AND WARRANTS 44.2 (off slow)
4-ZACKOS MY MAN 33.8 (angled in)
2-FOURTH GENERATION 31.5 (3 widw)
3-AWESOME T 29.0 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 8
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile on turf)
2-HARBAUGH 71.4
1-GOLDEN DYNAMO 70.4
8-LIEUTENANT SEANY O 61.1
5-STOP THE CLOCK 60.1
3-BEAUTIFUL MINE 59.6
RACE 6
6-SUGAR HIGH KAYLIN 49.7
1-RICH IN TRADITION 47.8
13-GRADUATOR 46.9 (off Oct. 12)
14-CIRCULAR LOGIC 41.1
8-MUSIC AND ME 39.4
1st time starters - 3, 11, 7
RACE 7
8-KILTED TILT 77.8
2-AKISS FORAROSE 74.9
5-TWO BLUE HENS 72.8
7-REAL BRIGHT BOOTS 63.2
3-HORSESANDDIVORCES 60.1
RACE 8
2-TEDDY'S PROMISE 103.8
4-RUMOR 100.4
5-THERE IS NO LIMIT 92.6
3-JUDY IN DISGUISE 88.8
7-MINDS EYES 87.5
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f. on turf)
2-BOURNE HOT 73.1
8-GELDAUTOMAT 64.3
10-CLOSET E 62.6
6-SAMS BLUE CAT 50.2 (came out)
7-FROSTED BOSS 22.8 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 4, 11, 1, 3, 9
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, thoroughbred
Saturday, December 14, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICXKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-HOTRADAMUS 97.1
5-SILVER DRAGON 97.1
6-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 92.6
4-ROYAL F J 91.9
3-TRIPSKI 90.0
RACE 2
3-J K'S MISCHIEF 65.4
4-TRIBAL DRESS 65.4
5-PAT'S BACK 61.6
6-SHE'S A GO GIRL 58.5
8-BEST BY FAR 55.0
RACE 3
6-LUCAYAN 99.1
5-TEMERAINE 99.1
1-ARTIC NORTH 90.7
3-SEGWAY 88.8
4-HUNTSVILLE 88.1
RACE 4
1-TRAWEEK 84.4
3-DUNMORE EAST 84.4
7-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 83.8
2-ZUBOFF 82.0
8-CITY CHAPEL 79.0
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f. on turf)
3-SHEZA SMOKE SHOW 64.8 (3 wide)
4-MIDNIGHT DREAM 62.1
10-SALSITA 60.1
2-AMONG THE STARS 55.1 (3 wide)
11-SIERRA ELECTRICA 53.5
1st time starters - 6, 12, 7, 5
RACE 6
2-STREET STATUS 70.9
1-ICE CREAM TRUCK 62.7
15-SLIGHT EDGE 54.5
16-STARRY SHARK 52.1
5-DECEPTION FREE 50.2
1st time starters - 8
RACE 7
6-SOI PHET 103.8
8-ROUSING SERMON 103.8
5-DRILL 103.1
9-HEAR THE GHOST 102.5
4-SETSUKO 100.4 (off March 12)
RACE 8
2-SPRING UP 90.7
6-BOYETTE 89.4
9-SUMERIAN 88.8
4-MIDNIGHT CASANOVA 87.0
1-VALTARI 86.3
RACE 9
6-SHARED BELIEF 111.4
5-TAP IT RICH 85.6
13-KOBE'S BACK 85.6
1-ELECTRIC EDDIE 84.4
2-TAMARANDO 83.8
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
4-INHERIT THE THRONE 47.4
10-PAPA'S FLASHY GIRL 43.2
8-SWEET LIPS POOH 40.7
9-CHILADA 39.9
5-KANTINA KOWGIRL 39.9
11-UNUSUAL STYLE 33.8
1st time starters - 3, 2, 1
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-HOTRADAMUS 97.1
5-SILVER DRAGON 97.1
6-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 92.6
4-ROYAL F J 91.9
3-TRIPSKI 90.0
RACE 2
3-J K'S MISCHIEF 65.4
4-TRIBAL DRESS 65.4
5-PAT'S BACK 61.6
6-SHE'S A GO GIRL 58.5
8-BEST BY FAR 55.0
RACE 3
6-LUCAYAN 99.1
5-TEMERAINE 99.1
1-ARTIC NORTH 90.7
3-SEGWAY 88.8
4-HUNTSVILLE 88.1
RACE 4
1-TRAWEEK 84.4
3-DUNMORE EAST 84.4
7-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 83.8
2-ZUBOFF 82.0
8-CITY CHAPEL 79.0
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f. on turf)
3-SHEZA SMOKE SHOW 64.8 (3 wide)
4-MIDNIGHT DREAM 62.1
10-SALSITA 60.1
2-AMONG THE STARS 55.1 (3 wide)
11-SIERRA ELECTRICA 53.5
1st time starters - 6, 12, 7, 5
RACE 6
2-STREET STATUS 70.9
1-ICE CREAM TRUCK 62.7
15-SLIGHT EDGE 54.5
16-STARRY SHARK 52.1
5-DECEPTION FREE 50.2
1st time starters - 8
RACE 7
6-SOI PHET 103.8
8-ROUSING SERMON 103.8
5-DRILL 103.1
9-HEAR THE GHOST 102.5
4-SETSUKO 100.4 (off March 12)
RACE 8
2-SPRING UP 90.7
6-BOYETTE 89.4
9-SUMERIAN 88.8
4-MIDNIGHT CASANOVA 87.0
1-VALTARI 86.3
RACE 9
6-SHARED BELIEF 111.4
5-TAP IT RICH 85.6
13-KOBE'S BACK 85.6
1-ELECTRIC EDDIE 84.4
2-TAMARANDO 83.8
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
4-INHERIT THE THRONE 47.4
10-PAPA'S FLASHY GIRL 43.2
8-SWEET LIPS POOH 40.7
9-CHILADA 39.9
5-KANTINA KOWGIRL 39.9
11-UNUSUAL STYLE 33.8
1st time starters - 3, 2, 1
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, December 13, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-CHIEF LION 90.6
1-INCLINE VILLAGE 83.2
7-WARRIOR'S RIDGE 77.8 (off Aug. 12)
3-THE CLEANERS 77.2
5-EXPO ANF FIG 76.6
1st time starters - 4
RACE 2
3-MADOFFWITHTHEMONEY 73.1
5-ADDENDUM 72.6
4-ZEES CHRIS 70.3
1-SPRING BREEZE 67.5
2-WOEBEGON 59.0
RACE 3
7-GREAT FRIENDS RULE 91.9
1-ANKENY HILL 85.6
5-SUMMER EXCLUSIVE 85.0
4-OLD MAN LAKE 83.2
3-PERSUASIVE PAUL 80.2
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 7 1/2 f.)
6-SNUGGLEY BEAR 77.2
2-ARKENSTONE 61.8
4-ROUGH PASSAGE 59.6 (off slow)
8-MIDNIGHT MAYHEM 51.1
7-GO BLACK TIE 48.8
1st time starters - 5, 3
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
2-PUBLIC POLICY 69.8
5-NOOTEN 65.9
3-ANYTHINGTOGETEVEN 64.0
4-MAUCO 60.6
8-HYE I'M JACK 55.0
RACE 6
1-AMANDA 48.0
6-LOVELY IN LAGUNA 45.1
10-CHARGER GIRL 40.3
3-SHEZA EYEOPENER 39.0
11-VISIONS OF CANDY 38.2
RACE 7
2-POWER FOOT 97.8
6-OLYMPIC BLUE 92.6
7-HORIZONTALYSPEAKIN 91.9
4-MONASTIC 90.0
1-HOLLADAY ROAD 87.5
3-EMPTY HEADED 87.5
RACE 8
4-SANDYS DIAMOND 86.9
16-BLUEGRASS REWARD 82.6
6-ROYAL ENCOUNTER 79.0
2-TWIN SIX 77.2
10-MOMENT OF WEAKNESS 76.6
13-ONLY THE GOLD 75.4
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-CHIEF LION 90.6
1-INCLINE VILLAGE 83.2
7-WARRIOR'S RIDGE 77.8 (off Aug. 12)
3-THE CLEANERS 77.2
5-EXPO ANF FIG 76.6
1st time starters - 4
RACE 2
3-MADOFFWITHTHEMONEY 73.1
5-ADDENDUM 72.6
4-ZEES CHRIS 70.3
1-SPRING BREEZE 67.5
2-WOEBEGON 59.0
RACE 3
7-GREAT FRIENDS RULE 91.9
1-ANKENY HILL 85.6
5-SUMMER EXCLUSIVE 85.0
4-OLD MAN LAKE 83.2
3-PERSUASIVE PAUL 80.2
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 7 1/2 f.)
6-SNUGGLEY BEAR 77.2
2-ARKENSTONE 61.8
4-ROUGH PASSAGE 59.6 (off slow)
8-MIDNIGHT MAYHEM 51.1
7-GO BLACK TIE 48.8
1st time starters - 5, 3
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
2-PUBLIC POLICY 69.8
5-NOOTEN 65.9
3-ANYTHINGTOGETEVEN 64.0
4-MAUCO 60.6
8-HYE I'M JACK 55.0
RACE 6
1-AMANDA 48.0
6-LOVELY IN LAGUNA 45.1
10-CHARGER GIRL 40.3
3-SHEZA EYEOPENER 39.0
11-VISIONS OF CANDY 38.2
RACE 7
2-POWER FOOT 97.8
6-OLYMPIC BLUE 92.6
7-HORIZONTALYSPEAKIN 91.9
4-MONASTIC 90.0
1-HOLLADAY ROAD 87.5
3-EMPTY HEADED 87.5
RACE 8
4-SANDYS DIAMOND 86.9
16-BLUEGRASS REWARD 82.6
6-ROYAL ENCOUNTER 79.0
2-TWIN SIX 77.2
10-MOMENT OF WEAKNESS 76.6
13-ONLY THE GOLD 75.4
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, December 12, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-ONLY JOSIE KNOWS 79.0
5-WITH A MIRACLE 75.4
6-APPEALING RESUME 74.3
1-SISTER GLADY OL LA 73.7
4-TRIBAL CHATTER 67.0
RACE 2
2-MIKEY T 78.4
6-GENTLEMEN PETE 67.0
4-STREET CHOIR 66.4
7-WONDERFUL UNION 61.1
1-AWESOME PROSPECT 50.2
RACE 3
3-CINCO DE MARIO 84.4
4-CRIMSON GIANT 71.1
5-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 69.8
1-DI CONTI 65.7
7-NOME 63.8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 7 1/2 f.)
4-FRIENDSWITH K MILL 59.6
3-OH BROTHER GO 42.9
1-SIR MACHO 42.0
7-SHOWMEISTER 42.0
2-CACTUS SHINES 40.3
1st time starters - 6
RACE 5
7-DREAMNOFATTICUS 75.0
1-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 72.4
9-HIGH ON FINAL 71.7
2-MR LEMON TREE 69.0
12-APACHE AMBUSH 63.8
1st time starters - 4, 5, 10
RACE 6
6-ENGLISH CROSSING 79.4
3-MELANISTIC 75.4
1-RATHBAUN 74.9
5-UBELONGTOMEMISSY 73.4
2-WARREN'S FLASHER 68.1
RACE 7
2-INDECISE 93.2
8-MISS WELL MOLDED 89.4
5-FANTASTIC MIZZ 88.8
4-RICSPRETENTIOUSGAL 87.0
1-SILVER HUSTLER 82.6
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-TOO OBVIOUS 53.0
8-TIME LINDA GOTEVEN 44.6
10-CAPERS N WINE 44.2
3-MUDGE 42.0
11-MIRACULOUS MINDY 40.7
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-ONLY JOSIE KNOWS 79.0
5-WITH A MIRACLE 75.4
6-APPEALING RESUME 74.3
1-SISTER GLADY OL LA 73.7
4-TRIBAL CHATTER 67.0
RACE 2
2-MIKEY T 78.4
6-GENTLEMEN PETE 67.0
4-STREET CHOIR 66.4
7-WONDERFUL UNION 61.1
1-AWESOME PROSPECT 50.2
RACE 3
3-CINCO DE MARIO 84.4
4-CRIMSON GIANT 71.1
5-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 69.8
1-DI CONTI 65.7
7-NOME 63.8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 7 1/2 f.)
4-FRIENDSWITH K MILL 59.6
3-OH BROTHER GO 42.9
1-SIR MACHO 42.0
7-SHOWMEISTER 42.0
2-CACTUS SHINES 40.3
1st time starters - 6
RACE 5
7-DREAMNOFATTICUS 75.0
1-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 72.4
9-HIGH ON FINAL 71.7
2-MR LEMON TREE 69.0
12-APACHE AMBUSH 63.8
1st time starters - 4, 5, 10
RACE 6
6-ENGLISH CROSSING 79.4
3-MELANISTIC 75.4
1-RATHBAUN 74.9
5-UBELONGTOMEMISSY 73.4
2-WARREN'S FLASHER 68.1
RACE 7
2-INDECISE 93.2
8-MISS WELL MOLDED 89.4
5-FANTASTIC MIZZ 88.8
4-RICSPRETENTIOUSGAL 87.0
1-SILVER HUSTLER 82.6
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-TOO OBVIOUS 53.0
8-TIME LINDA GOTEVEN 44.6
10-CAPERS N WINE 44.2
3-MUDGE 42.0
11-MIRACULOUS MINDY 40.7
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, December 11, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, December 10, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,771 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,771 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, December 08, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $87,443.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going6 1/2 f.)
3-ARTEMIS 65.9 (slow start - 4 wide)
2-LADY BUGATTI 55.5
6-FASHION PLATE 52.6 (forced out)
5-COCO NOIR 33.8
1st time starters - 1, 4
RACE 2
3-AMAZING HEARTED 97.8
4-GAB POWER 94.0
5-FIRST STRIKE 88.8
1-SHADOW RUNNER 88.1
6-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 86.9
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-ROCKED TWICE 65.9
1-PAPA'S PAISLEY 58.0
2-FULMERIZED 49.2
5-COMMON CONFUSION 47.8
6-VEGAS STREET 18.9 (off slow)
1st time starters - 4
RACE 4
3-CHIPS ALL IN 102.5
2-NO SILENT 101.8
1-BOAT TRIP 99.8
5-UNBRIDLED'S NOTE 97.8
4-JOHNNY'S CHOICE 79.0
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-EXOTIC BEHAVIOR 62.3
5-PERCHED 51.6
6-SENZA FINA 44.9
1st time starters - 2, 3, 1, 8, 7
RACE 6
5-BLAZEN ALL STAR 76.6
4-PEBBLE BEACH BABY 70.3
1-BAS 68.8
6-TEBOWING 68.1
3-ANITA MARIE 67.5
RACE 7
4-MISS LOUJEAN 58.5
2-WIRED FOR FUN 54.5
1-MAGIC SPOT 47.4
8-MIA LUCCIA 40.7
1st time starters - 3, 7, 5, 6
RACE 8
2-THIS MEANS WAR 80.2 (off Aug. 12)
1-BRIGHT TOWN 79.7
8-BACKWOODS BELLE 79.7
6-MADRE LUNA 79.0
3-MISS CHARMING 77.2
RACE 9
7-APPEAING TALE 93.9
3-IMPERIAL FORTUNE 90.7
4-PLANET SUNSHINE 89.4
2-NORTHERN IOWA 85.6
8-RAISED A SECRET 85.0
RACE 10
10-ELTONINADRESS 72.0
4-ENGLISH PUDDIN 63.2
2-PAWN SHOP 60.1
8-GHOST N YOUR HEART 58.6
7-LONG LEGGED LOVELY 54.5
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $87,443.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going6 1/2 f.)
3-ARTEMIS 65.9 (slow start - 4 wide)
2-LADY BUGATTI 55.5
6-FASHION PLATE 52.6 (forced out)
5-COCO NOIR 33.8
1st time starters - 1, 4
RACE 2
3-AMAZING HEARTED 97.8
4-GAB POWER 94.0
5-FIRST STRIKE 88.8
1-SHADOW RUNNER 88.1
6-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 86.9
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-ROCKED TWICE 65.9
1-PAPA'S PAISLEY 58.0
2-FULMERIZED 49.2
5-COMMON CONFUSION 47.8
6-VEGAS STREET 18.9 (off slow)
1st time starters - 4
RACE 4
3-CHIPS ALL IN 102.5
2-NO SILENT 101.8
1-BOAT TRIP 99.8
5-UNBRIDLED'S NOTE 97.8
4-JOHNNY'S CHOICE 79.0
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-EXOTIC BEHAVIOR 62.3
5-PERCHED 51.6
6-SENZA FINA 44.9
1st time starters - 2, 3, 1, 8, 7
RACE 6
5-BLAZEN ALL STAR 76.6
4-PEBBLE BEACH BABY 70.3
1-BAS 68.8
6-TEBOWING 68.1
3-ANITA MARIE 67.5
RACE 7
4-MISS LOUJEAN 58.5
2-WIRED FOR FUN 54.5
1-MAGIC SPOT 47.4
8-MIA LUCCIA 40.7
1st time starters - 3, 7, 5, 6
RACE 8
2-THIS MEANS WAR 80.2 (off Aug. 12)
1-BRIGHT TOWN 79.7
8-BACKWOODS BELLE 79.7
6-MADRE LUNA 79.0
3-MISS CHARMING 77.2
RACE 9
7-APPEAING TALE 93.9
3-IMPERIAL FORTUNE 90.7
4-PLANET SUNSHINE 89.4
2-NORTHERN IOWA 85.6
8-RAISED A SECRET 85.0
RACE 10
10-ELTONINADRESS 72.0
4-ENGLISH PUDDIN 63.2
2-PAWN SHOP 60.1
8-GHOST N YOUR HEART 58.6
7-LONG LEGGED LOVELY 54.5
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, thoroughbred
Saturday, December 07, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-GALLANT CHARM 77.8
4-WARREN'S JOE T. 77.2
1-PERFECT JERSEY 62.2
6-HARDLINER 61.1
7-PUBLIC DEFENDER 61.1
RACE 2 (all 1st time starts going 6f.)
5-MELATONIN 90.0
8-RELATIVE TIME 66.7 (came out)
6-CONFISIO 51.1
1st time starters - 1, 7, 2, 9, 4, 3
RACE 3
3-WINDING WAY 101.8
1-BLUES AND SILVERS 91.3
4-GOLDEN PRODUCTION 91.3
2-LIANDUDNO 88.8
5-KINZ FUNKY MONKEY 88.1
RACE 4
3-CASSANDRA LYNNE 65.9
11-KATEY PIE 58.0
1-WARREN'S JUDY 53.0
4-FIRENDESIRE 52.6
9-SWISS BLISS 47.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles on turf)
7-I'LL WRAP IT UP 81.4
8-MIRAGLO 79.6
6-PANTERA ROJO 71.4
3-BIG MEDICINE MAN 66.4
1-TOOMUCHINFORMATION 61.5
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/6 miles)
2-TASTE LIKE CANDY 91.9
5-UNTAPABLE 86.9
8-ROSALIND 80.8
6-ARETHUSA 75.4
3-BE PROUD 73.1
RACE 7
6-QUINNETTE 82.2
8-KRAZYPAPAYA 82.2
7-AKISS FORAROSE 74.3
2-KATHLEEN ROSE 73.1
3-MARINA DEL HEAT 69.2
RACE 8
3-FIFTYSHADESOFHAY 97.8
2-WARREN'S VENEDA 97.1
1MAGIC UNION 93.2
10-CUSTOMER BASE 89.4
9-CHARM THE MAKER 85.6
RACE 9
1-PERFECT MAGIC MAN 59.6
9-WESTERN SEEKER 54.5
7-CHANGE YOUR LUCK 54.5
6-TRANDO'S TREMOR 53.0
10-DESTINO 52.6
12-TUX 51.6
2-BRINGON THE WAIN 50.2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-GALLANT CHARM 77.8
4-WARREN'S JOE T. 77.2
1-PERFECT JERSEY 62.2
6-HARDLINER 61.1
7-PUBLIC DEFENDER 61.1
RACE 2 (all 1st time starts going 6f.)
5-MELATONIN 90.0
8-RELATIVE TIME 66.7 (came out)
6-CONFISIO 51.1
1st time starters - 1, 7, 2, 9, 4, 3
RACE 3
3-WINDING WAY 101.8
1-BLUES AND SILVERS 91.3
4-GOLDEN PRODUCTION 91.3
2-LIANDUDNO 88.8
5-KINZ FUNKY MONKEY 88.1
RACE 4
3-CASSANDRA LYNNE 65.9
11-KATEY PIE 58.0
1-WARREN'S JUDY 53.0
4-FIRENDESIRE 52.6
9-SWISS BLISS 47.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles on turf)
7-I'LL WRAP IT UP 81.4
8-MIRAGLO 79.6
6-PANTERA ROJO 71.4
3-BIG MEDICINE MAN 66.4
1-TOOMUCHINFORMATION 61.5
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/6 miles)
2-TASTE LIKE CANDY 91.9
5-UNTAPABLE 86.9
8-ROSALIND 80.8
6-ARETHUSA 75.4
3-BE PROUD 73.1
RACE 7
6-QUINNETTE 82.2
8-KRAZYPAPAYA 82.2
7-AKISS FORAROSE 74.3
2-KATHLEEN ROSE 73.1
3-MARINA DEL HEAT 69.2
RACE 8
3-FIFTYSHADESOFHAY 97.8
2-WARREN'S VENEDA 97.1
1MAGIC UNION 93.2
10-CUSTOMER BASE 89.4
9-CHARM THE MAKER 85.6
RACE 9
1-PERFECT MAGIC MAN 59.6
9-WESTERN SEEKER 54.5
7-CHANGE YOUR LUCK 54.5
6-TRANDO'S TREMOR 53.0
10-DESTINO 52.6
12-TUX 51.6
2-BRINGON THE WAIN 50.2
Labels: Betfair, bets, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system
Friday, December 06, 2013
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-CHANGE OF PLAN 79.0
5-BOB CONSULATION 73.1
4-ZIPPINGAROUNDTOWN 64.8
7-HAZARDOUS 64.3
2-ROCKY BARBOA 60.1
RACE 2
5-CITIZEN JANE 62.7
2-TRIBAL RAIN 60.6
7-CLEARLY CONFUSED 56.0
1-WARREN'S ASSASSIN 52.6
6-MAGIC MAYA 49.7
4-HOLIDAY N NEWPORT 49.7
RACE 3
11-CHOCOLATIER 75.4
4-TIZ FUTURITY 64.8
9-TENKILLER KID 63.2
6-GOLD TIE PLEASE 62.2
10-CRUSHER 56.0
RACE 4
2-STONEY FLEECE 91.9
1-WILLYCONKER 88.8
4-LUMBERYARD JACK 87.5
7-HAWK'S EYES 81.4
5-EXTENSIVE 80.8
RACE 5 (all 2yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-DEVIL'S BACKBONE 51.6
12-SWISSARELLA 44.6
6-CACICA DULIMA 42.9
4-PRETTY STORM 42.9
5-MISS FAST EDDIE 39.0
1st time starters - 3, 8
RACE 6
3-SWISS HEART 70.9
6-HANSERELLA 69.2
4-SAGEBRUSH QUEEN 63.2
2-RYDERROO 56.5
1-TEACHER TEACHER 55.0
RACE 7
7-TE RAPA 101.1
6-DUBAI YOU X Y Z 97.8
2-CODE OF CONDUCT 95.8
1-EL COMMODORE 93.9
5-EMPTY HEADED 91.9
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-RED BARRIS 42.9
7-CHILADA 38.6
6-GOODHUMORGIRL 37.8
4-RUSHOMATIC 33.0
10-LOVELY INSTINCT 33.0
1st time starters - 11, 5
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-CHANGE OF PLAN 79.0
5-BOB CONSULATION 73.1
4-ZIPPINGAROUNDTOWN 64.8
7-HAZARDOUS 64.3
2-ROCKY BARBOA 60.1
RACE 2
5-CITIZEN JANE 62.7
2-TRIBAL RAIN 60.6
7-CLEARLY CONFUSED 56.0
1-WARREN'S ASSASSIN 52.6
6-MAGIC MAYA 49.7
4-HOLIDAY N NEWPORT 49.7
RACE 3
11-CHOCOLATIER 75.4
4-TIZ FUTURITY 64.8
9-TENKILLER KID 63.2
6-GOLD TIE PLEASE 62.2
10-CRUSHER 56.0
RACE 4
2-STONEY FLEECE 91.9
1-WILLYCONKER 88.8
4-LUMBERYARD JACK 87.5
7-HAWK'S EYES 81.4
5-EXTENSIVE 80.8
RACE 5 (all 2yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-DEVIL'S BACKBONE 51.6
12-SWISSARELLA 44.6
6-CACICA DULIMA 42.9
4-PRETTY STORM 42.9
5-MISS FAST EDDIE 39.0
1st time starters - 3, 8
RACE 6
3-SWISS HEART 70.9
6-HANSERELLA 69.2
4-SAGEBRUSH QUEEN 63.2
2-RYDERROO 56.5
1-TEACHER TEACHER 55.0
RACE 7
7-TE RAPA 101.1
6-DUBAI YOU X Y Z 97.8
2-CODE OF CONDUCT 95.8
1-EL COMMODORE 93.9
5-EMPTY HEADED 91.9
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-RED BARRIS 42.9
7-CHILADA 38.6
6-GOODHUMORGIRL 37.8
4-RUSHOMATIC 33.0
10-LOVELY INSTINCT 33.0
1st time starters - 11, 5
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, December 04, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, December 03, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,766 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,766 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, December 01, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-OH DADDY OH 74.9
1-HEYYOUCAN 68.1
7-HARBAUGH 68.1
4-ONEANDONLYLOVEMAN 65.9
2-HORSE LAUGH 62.3
RACE 2
4-MAGESTIC STINGER 79.6
5-PEBBLE BEACH BABY 71.4
2-MIDNIGHT LADY 71.4
3-J K'S MISCHIEF 64.5
6-COCO DE CARCHY 63.8
RACE 3
7-BIG WAGS 91.9
3-HALF DOME DUDE 87.5
2-WOULD YOU 85.6
1-CHASING THE HEAT 84.4
6-MAGIC BEAM 83.2
RACE 4
8-WICKED FINANCE 88.2
3-WELL LAWYERED 87.0
2-SNAPS 85.0
4-MAXX THE GIANT 83.8
7-JUST FISHIN 82.6
1st time starters - 5
RACE 5
3-KING MAYA 83.2
10-ZIP CAT 80.8
9-STREET CAR 76.6
6-PRIVATE BOUNTY 75.4
11-JUSTA GUSTA 64.3
RACE 6
5-SEEK AGAIN 100.4
4-JACK MILTON 99.1
6-ADMIRAL KITTEN 98.4
9-ROOKIE SENSATION 96.5
3-GERVINHO 95.2
RACE 7
4-PROVEN WARRIOR 77.8
8-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 76.6
5-BATTLED 75.4
3-FOREST BOY 69.8
6-HANDSOME DENNIS 53.5
1st time starters - 2, 1
RACE 8
8-BETTER LUCKY 111.4
7-PIANIST 107.9
1-EGG DROP 107.9
5-TIZ FLIRTATIOUS 107.3
6-DAYATTHESPA 105.2
RACE 9
5-WILD DUDE 103.1
9-BIG MACHER 98.4
4-FIVE PALMS 97.8
11-GOT EVEN 97.1
2-AMBITIOUS BREW 93.9
RACE 10
4-MOONLIT METEOR 83.8
11-SIZZLIN' JOE 73.1
1-RANSOM CANYON 70.3
2-COPPER BAY 65.9
12-RULE BREAKER 65.4
5-WILL HE AMAZE 62.0
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-OH DADDY OH 74.9
1-HEYYOUCAN 68.1
7-HARBAUGH 68.1
4-ONEANDONLYLOVEMAN 65.9
2-HORSE LAUGH 62.3
RACE 2
4-MAGESTIC STINGER 79.6
5-PEBBLE BEACH BABY 71.4
2-MIDNIGHT LADY 71.4
3-J K'S MISCHIEF 64.5
6-COCO DE CARCHY 63.8
RACE 3
7-BIG WAGS 91.9
3-HALF DOME DUDE 87.5
2-WOULD YOU 85.6
1-CHASING THE HEAT 84.4
6-MAGIC BEAM 83.2
RACE 4
8-WICKED FINANCE 88.2
3-WELL LAWYERED 87.0
2-SNAPS 85.0
4-MAXX THE GIANT 83.8
7-JUST FISHIN 82.6
1st time starters - 5
RACE 5
3-KING MAYA 83.2
10-ZIP CAT 80.8
9-STREET CAR 76.6
6-PRIVATE BOUNTY 75.4
11-JUSTA GUSTA 64.3
RACE 6
5-SEEK AGAIN 100.4
4-JACK MILTON 99.1
6-ADMIRAL KITTEN 98.4
9-ROOKIE SENSATION 96.5
3-GERVINHO 95.2
RACE 7
4-PROVEN WARRIOR 77.8
8-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 76.6
5-BATTLED 75.4
3-FOREST BOY 69.8
6-HANDSOME DENNIS 53.5
1st time starters - 2, 1
RACE 8
8-BETTER LUCKY 111.4
7-PIANIST 107.9
1-EGG DROP 107.9
5-TIZ FLIRTATIOUS 107.3
6-DAYATTHESPA 105.2
RACE 9
5-WILD DUDE 103.1
9-BIG MACHER 98.4
4-FIVE PALMS 97.8
11-GOT EVEN 97.1
2-AMBITIOUS BREW 93.9
RACE 10
4-MOONLIT METEOR 83.8
11-SIZZLIN' JOE 73.1
1-RANSOM CANYON 70.3
2-COPPER BAY 65.9
12-RULE BREAKER 65.4
5-WILL HE AMAZE 62.0
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, November 30, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-DESIGNER 91.9 (off April 12)
2-CONGREGATIONALIST 73.7
6-PROUD BOSS 73.7
7-WARREN'STYLER S. 66.4
3-TRIBE 64.0
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
6-PABLO DEL MONTE 97.1
5-AOTEAROA 79.6
4-GLOBAL VIEW 68.7
1-ROYAL BANKER 68.4
2-ONTOLOGY 62.7
RACE 3
1-MONEY CANNON 87.5
5-TOO FAST TO PASS 80.2
2-DERRINGER 78.4
7-TAHOE FLASH 76.0
6-ONE FIRM CAT 73.7
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-CLENOR 81.4
6-FULL RANSOM 77.2
4-LOVE IN THE DESERT 77.2
5-NESSO 76.0
1-SAVINGS ACCOUNT 73.7
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-THIS CAT'S AWESOME 64.3
2-BRANDO THE BIRDMAN 60.1
1-EVEN TO THE MOON 59.0
7-SCAMALOT 43.8
6-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 42.9
1st time starters - 3, 4, 5
RACE 6
8-TURN ON THE PUMPS 85.0
5-BROWN BOSS 80.8
3-VOLKONSKY 78.4
7-SOUL CANDY 77.2
9-APOLLO TEN 77.0
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-PRAY HARD 74.9
1-MAUCO 53.0
4-CINEMATIC CAT 41.6
8-PRINCE OF PARIS 30.8 (5 wide)
1st time starters - 6, 2, 5, 7
RACE 8
5-HE'S A DANCE STAR 95.2
2-BROKERED 90.7
7-WILLYCONKER 86.9
1-U S CITIZEN 86.3
6-INSIDEONDOUTSIDE 85.0
RACE 9
8-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 98.4
4-DANDEREK 95.8
1-COOK INLET 91.9
3-GILLIGAN 83.1
7-SENATOR BOB 77.8
RACE 10
11-GRAND GAMBLER 53.5
3-MARY HELEN'S STORM 51.6
5-AMERICA RISING 51.6
9-MAGIC DADDY 50.6
2-SOUL SAVER 50.6
1st time starters - 13
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-DESIGNER 91.9 (off April 12)
2-CONGREGATIONALIST 73.7
6-PROUD BOSS 73.7
7-WARREN'STYLER S. 66.4
3-TRIBE 64.0
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
6-PABLO DEL MONTE 97.1
5-AOTEAROA 79.6
4-GLOBAL VIEW 68.7
1-ROYAL BANKER 68.4
2-ONTOLOGY 62.7
RACE 3
1-MONEY CANNON 87.5
5-TOO FAST TO PASS 80.2
2-DERRINGER 78.4
7-TAHOE FLASH 76.0
6-ONE FIRM CAT 73.7
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-CLENOR 81.4
6-FULL RANSOM 77.2
4-LOVE IN THE DESERT 77.2
5-NESSO 76.0
1-SAVINGS ACCOUNT 73.7
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-THIS CAT'S AWESOME 64.3
2-BRANDO THE BIRDMAN 60.1
1-EVEN TO THE MOON 59.0
7-SCAMALOT 43.8
6-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 42.9
1st time starters - 3, 4, 5
RACE 6
8-TURN ON THE PUMPS 85.0
5-BROWN BOSS 80.8
3-VOLKONSKY 78.4
7-SOUL CANDY 77.2
9-APOLLO TEN 77.0
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-PRAY HARD 74.9
1-MAUCO 53.0
4-CINEMATIC CAT 41.6
8-PRINCE OF PARIS 30.8 (5 wide)
1st time starters - 6, 2, 5, 7
RACE 8
5-HE'S A DANCE STAR 95.2
2-BROKERED 90.7
7-WILLYCONKER 86.9
1-U S CITIZEN 86.3
6-INSIDEONDOUTSIDE 85.0
RACE 9
8-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 98.4
4-DANDEREK 95.8
1-COOK INLET 91.9
3-GILLIGAN 83.1
7-SENATOR BOB 77.8
RACE 10
11-GRAND GAMBLER 53.5
3-MARY HELEN'S STORM 51.6
5-AMERICA RISING 51.6
9-MAGIC DADDY 50.6
2-SOUL SAVER 50.6
1st time starters - 13
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, November 29, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
7-CHARISMA CODE 54.0
1-REGAL RANDY 40.7 (forced in - start)
4-MOSSO 38.2
6-HEAD SOUTH 24.8 (broke stride)
2-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 10.9
1st time starters - 5, 3
RACE 2
4-JUDGE CARR 80.2
6-TURN ON THE BRITES 77.8
7-HOLLYWOOD HEIST 63.2 (off June 12)
5-TRIBAL SMOKE 62.7
2-TALE BE TOLD 62.7
RACE 3
8-MR. BOSSY PANTS 95.2
5-DIXIELAND BLUES 88.8
3-TRELAWNY 86.9
6-KOAST 85.0
1-REGALLY SOUL 79.7
RACE 4
10-KEVIN'S KOOL KAT 52.1
9-GLAD'S GALS 44.7
3-PERFECT TANGO 44.7
2-SPEEDY VIXEN 44.6
6-NEZI O'S GOLD 43.8
RACE 5
9-JOURNEY ON 88.1
8-ZANBO 88.1
5-SENSATIONALIZE 83.2
4-FOXY BOSS 80.8
2-PASSIONATE DIVA 80.2
RACE 6
8-MUCHOS BESOS 90.0
6-TRULEE SCRAPPIN 82.6
4-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 82.6
3-HURRY HOME CLOVER 81.4
5-SANDY'S DIAMOND 78.4
RACE 7
8-WINNING PRIZE 112.9
7-SILENTIO 100.4
2-SUMMER FRONT 100.4
6-BRIGHT THOUGHT 99.1
5-BIO PRO 96.5
RACE 8
5-ATTA BOY PETE 97.8
3-AMERICAN ACT 91.9
2-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 89.4
4-HEIR KITTY 77.8
1-SAY OW 61.6
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles on turf)
5-ELITE EIGHT 69.2
9-GALEHORN 64.3
10-PRACTISING 60.6
8-KAZAM 59.0
2-MADAME HEAT 55.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
7-CHARISMA CODE 54.0
1-REGAL RANDY 40.7 (forced in - start)
4-MOSSO 38.2
6-HEAD SOUTH 24.8 (broke stride)
2-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 10.9
1st time starters - 5, 3
RACE 2
4-JUDGE CARR 80.2
6-TURN ON THE BRITES 77.8
7-HOLLYWOOD HEIST 63.2 (off June 12)
5-TRIBAL SMOKE 62.7
2-TALE BE TOLD 62.7
RACE 3
8-MR. BOSSY PANTS 95.2
5-DIXIELAND BLUES 88.8
3-TRELAWNY 86.9
6-KOAST 85.0
1-REGALLY SOUL 79.7
RACE 4
10-KEVIN'S KOOL KAT 52.1
9-GLAD'S GALS 44.7
3-PERFECT TANGO 44.7
2-SPEEDY VIXEN 44.6
6-NEZI O'S GOLD 43.8
RACE 5
9-JOURNEY ON 88.1
8-ZANBO 88.1
5-SENSATIONALIZE 83.2
4-FOXY BOSS 80.8
2-PASSIONATE DIVA 80.2
RACE 6
8-MUCHOS BESOS 90.0
6-TRULEE SCRAPPIN 82.6
4-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 82.6
3-HURRY HOME CLOVER 81.4
5-SANDY'S DIAMOND 78.4
RACE 7
8-WINNING PRIZE 112.9
7-SILENTIO 100.4
2-SUMMER FRONT 100.4
6-BRIGHT THOUGHT 99.1
5-BIO PRO 96.5
RACE 8
5-ATTA BOY PETE 97.8
3-AMERICAN ACT 91.9
2-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 89.4
4-HEIR KITTY 77.8
1-SAY OW 61.6
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles on turf)
5-ELITE EIGHT 69.2
9-GALEHORN 64.3
10-PRACTISING 60.6
8-KAZAM 59.0
2-MADAME HEAT 55.6
Labels: Betfair, bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, November 28, 2013
BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-INNER GROOVE 57.5
2-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 51.6
6-LIA JULIANA 51.6
1-SUNLAND VINTAGE 51.6
3-BROWN IS BEIGE 51.1
RACE 2
2-DREAMY BLUES 76.6
3-SEA JOHN'S SPIRIT 65.9 (off April 12)
8-HUMOR ME 53.5
7-SHANDY 52.0
6-LYLA DELLA 39.9
1st time starters - 5, 4, 1
RACE 3
9-ALL ON THE TABLE 82.0
5-TANGERINE TICKLE 77.2
8-WITH A MIRACLE 76.8
2-CREDITCARDROULETTE 71.4
10-BLUSHING MARTHA 71.4
RACE 4
6-COLOR OF COURAGE 102.5 (off July 11)
4-MAJESTIC STRIDE 100.4
5-CHOSEN MIRACLE 89.4
1-ANILLO 82.0
2-HANDSOME MIKE 77.2
RACE 5
1-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 71.4
11-RED GLOBE 69.8
7-THUNDER COLE 68.6
2-HURRYHANK 68.1
4-LITTLE UNUSUAL 64.3
5-GENTLEMEN PETE 64.3
1st time starters - 6
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-IN DAD'S HONOR 50.2
1-TOO OBVIOUS 46.0
7-VEGAS BOUND 42.0
2-CURVY KITTEN 23.8
1st time starters - 6, 8, 10, 4, 3, 9
RACE 7
6-FURY KAPCORI 101.5
10-CHINA PRINCE 88.8
9-AVARE 87.5
4-DRY SUMMER 84.4
8-PROCUREMENT 84.4
RACE 8
10-SHAND 65.4
4-PRINCESS OF PEARL 62.8
2-ELUSIVE LUCI 59.1
7-MOON RIDE 58.5
11-PERFECTAMENTE 56.0
1st time starters - 5, 3
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-INNER GROOVE 57.5
2-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 51.6
6-LIA JULIANA 51.6
1-SUNLAND VINTAGE 51.6
3-BROWN IS BEIGE 51.1
RACE 2
2-DREAMY BLUES 76.6
3-SEA JOHN'S SPIRIT 65.9 (off April 12)
8-HUMOR ME 53.5
7-SHANDY 52.0
6-LYLA DELLA 39.9
1st time starters - 5, 4, 1
RACE 3
9-ALL ON THE TABLE 82.0
5-TANGERINE TICKLE 77.2
8-WITH A MIRACLE 76.8
2-CREDITCARDROULETTE 71.4
10-BLUSHING MARTHA 71.4
RACE 4
6-COLOR OF COURAGE 102.5 (off July 11)
4-MAJESTIC STRIDE 100.4
5-CHOSEN MIRACLE 89.4
1-ANILLO 82.0
2-HANDSOME MIKE 77.2
RACE 5
1-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 71.4
11-RED GLOBE 69.8
7-THUNDER COLE 68.6
2-HURRYHANK 68.1
4-LITTLE UNUSUAL 64.3
5-GENTLEMEN PETE 64.3
1st time starters - 6
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-IN DAD'S HONOR 50.2
1-TOO OBVIOUS 46.0
7-VEGAS BOUND 42.0
2-CURVY KITTEN 23.8
1st time starters - 6, 8, 10, 4, 3, 9
RACE 7
6-FURY KAPCORI 101.5
10-CHINA PRINCE 88.8
9-AVARE 87.5
4-DRY SUMMER 84.4
8-PROCUREMENT 84.4
RACE 8
10-SHAND 65.4
4-PRINCESS OF PEARL 62.8
2-ELUSIVE LUCI 59.1
7-MOON RIDE 58.5
11-PERFECTAMENTE 56.0
1st time starters - 5, 3
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