Tuesday, October 31, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.

Monday, October 30, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure. This is for listing purposes only.

Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened twice that I know of in over 420 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, October 29, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SLECTIONS FOR SUN.

Sat. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick (entry) won (5.00) 3rd pick 2nd (6.20) entry 4th, top pick 4th for superfectas. Race 2- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick won (5.20) 2nd pick 3rd (2.80). Race 3- Top Pick won (3.40) Daily Double (11.20) 3rd pick 2nd (4.80) 4th pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (7.10). Race 4- Top Pick won (2.80) Daily Double (5.00) Pick-3 (38.60) 3rd pick 2nd (2.60)Top pick keyed- Ex (3.80). Race 5- 2nd pick won (7.00) 3rd pick 2nd (7.00) 4th pick 3rd (4.80) picks boxed- Ex (21.90) Trifecta (112.90). Race 6- 2 picks scratched, top pick 2nd (2.80) 2nd pick 4th. Race 7- 3rd pick won (26.40). Race 8- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick 3rd (3.60) top pick 4th. Race 9- Top pick won (9.40) 2nd pick 4th. Race 10- top pick 3rd (2.10) 4th pick 4th. Race 11- 2nd pick won (12.80) top pick 3rd (3.20).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
8-SILVERS SURPRISE 79.6
7-LATTE 76.6
1-UNBRIDLED TROUBLE 75.4
3-TRANSCENDING 65.4
6-TRULY QUIET 65.4

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 2
1-DOPPIO 94.4
7-WITNESS THIS 88.1
10-LITE MAN 86.9
4-HOT MELODY 86.9

RACE 3
1-ATTACK ALERT 114.3
3-EPIC COMMANDER 88.1
12-SENATOR MATTY 88.1
9-INDIVIDUAL KNIGHT 79.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-FUTURE SEARCH 50.6
2-STEAL JUSTICE 46.4
7-UNUSUAL MEN 34.6
11-MR. BOND 32.6

1st time starters - 3, 12, 1

RACE 5
1-CAPECLOAKANDDAGGER 106.3
4-SOLID FUEL 93.2
10-TRAFFIC UPDATE 89.4
8-SUMMER GUIDE 89.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
13-BERTIE BOY 82.0
12-KING AT PLAY 73.7
2-PLENTY JADE 73.1
4-SIDEPOCKET CAT 55.5

1st time starters - 8, 3, 1, 7, 9

RACE 7
4-REBEL REBEL 116.4
1-JUNGLE PRINCE 107.9
5-BUCKLAND MANOR 105.9
7-OSIDY 103.8

RACE 8
3-SECRET RIDGE 99.1
5-WEEKEND TIGER 99.1
1-PT'S GREY EAGLE 98.4
11-RISING RATE 95.2

RACE 9
8-CLINET 107.9
4-SINGALONG 100.4
7-BERBATIM 99.1
2-BEAUTYANDTHEBEAST 97.8

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
9-STRIP N CARSON 48.8
13-WARREN'S QUEEN 48.8
2-BLAZZEN JO B 48.3
4-SWEET FOREVER 46.0


.

Saturday, October 28, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

Fri. recap- Race 1-( only 3 horses had run before) 2nd pick won (16.60) top 1st timer 2nd (6.00) 2nd 1st timer 3rd (4.20) top pick 4th, Top 2 picks with top 2 1st time starrers boxed- Ex (29.90) Trifecta (108.60). Race 2- (only 1 horse had run before) Top 1st timer won (3.00) 2nd 1st timer 2nd (4.20) Ex (8.10) only pick 3rd (4.20) boxed- Trifecta (88.50) 3rd 1st timer 4th, Superfecta (379.00). Race 3- 3rd pick 4th. Race 4- Top Pick won (6.60) 2nd pick 3rd (2.80). Race 5- 2nd pick won (8.60) top pick 2nd (7.00) boxed- Ex (29.30) 4th pick 3rd (3.40) picks boxed- Trifecta (135.20). Race 6- Top Pick won (8.00) 4th pick 2nd (3.60) top pick keyed- Ex (13.70). Race 7-1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (7.00) top pick 2nd (2.40) boxed- Ex (6.70). Race 8- 3rd pick won (11.40) 2nd pick 2nd (4.60). Top 3 picks boxed- Ex (28.20)

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-MARQUIS FORM 80.3
1-HELD OVER AGAIN 78.9 (entry)
1A-ROYAL IMPRESSION 71.4 (entry)
8-LEAD STEALER 70.6
4-HIGH EENA 66.1

1st time starters - 9, 5

RACE 2
1-WIND WATER 105.9
7-YODELADYTOO 99.8
5-MOM IS READY 93.9
4-EVANSTON 87.5

RACE 3
3-PHAR TO WIN 90.7
6-TONCO 83.2
1-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 79.6
4-JOHNNY HIGH BRITE 76.6

RACE 4
2-SOMETHINABOUTLAURA 105.9
3-GETBACK TIME 90.0
7-YEARLY ATTITUDE 85.6
5-HEY HEY RENEE 85.0

RACE 5
2-MOSCOW BURNING 97.1
6-SPECIAL HEATHER 85.6
5-FORTUNATE EVENT 85.0
3-JANZIG MOON 80.2

RACE 6
1-AREYOUTALKINTOME 107.3
6-DEBONAIR JOE 100.5
5-OLD MAN RIVER 98.5
7-SLEW'S PRINCE 95.3

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
4-SUPER IMAGE 88.1
3-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 86.8
1-FREESGOOD 83.2
2-SWISS SKI 80.2

RACE 8
12-DRAKE'S VICTORY 105.9
3-SUPER STRUT 104.5
5-EL DON 101.1
7-K C NITE MAYR 100.5

RACE 9
9-TEXCESS 97.1
5-KING MOBAY 97.1
2-ROBADOR 97.1
8-TOP THIS AND THAT 95.8
7-AMERICAN ALL STAR 95.8

RACE 10
5-CAMBIOCORSA 114.3
3-ALLSWELLTHATNSWELL 111.8
2-VIKI'S HONOR 107.7
6-LEAVE ME ALONE 104.3

RACE 11 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
6-KISS THE COOKE 77.6
7-ROMANCE IS DIANE 76.0
10-EXCESSIVE TALE 69.8
3-MISS MELISSA 69.3

Friday, October 27, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thur. recap- Race 1- 2 picks scratched, Top pick won (3.80) 2nd pick 4th. Race 2 Top Pick won (5.40) 4th pick 2nd (4.20) 2nd pick 3rd (2.20) 3rd pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (10.60)Trifecta (23.30). Race 3- 3rd pick won (4.20) 2nd pick 3rd (3.20). Race 4- 2nd 1st timer won (25.60) top pick 2nd (3.20) 2nd pick 3rd (3.60) top 2 picks boxed with top 2 1st timers- Ex (45.80) Trifecta (260.00). Race 5- top pick 3rd (2.80). Race 6- Top Pick won (5.20) 2nd pick 2nd (5.20) Ex (12.80). Race 7- Top Pick won (11.80) Daily Double (45.80) 4th pick 3rd (3.80). Race 8- 3rd 1st timer won (17.00) 4th pick 2nd (11.00) 3rd pick 3rd (7.80) top pick 4th, picks boxed with 1st timer- Ex (86.50) Trifecta (849.70) Superfecta (5,072.70).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER OF $75,074 FOR FRIDAY.

RACE 1
6-VALLEY STORM 76.6
4-REDENTORE 22.8
7-CHIHUAHUA STAR 20.6

1st time starters - 3, 5, 2, 1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-GOWITHYOURHEART 26.5

1st time starters - 3, 1, 6, 2, 4, 7, 5

RACE 3
9-MAMSELLE ARIES 77.9
4-SILBER 76.0
6-MARMITA CHULA 75.3
1-MYSTICAL CAPER 74.6

RACE 4
3-TUG O' WAR 72.0
2-PLAN FOR FUN 70.9
8-TIZ PHILIP 49.2
5-HOPINGANDWISHING 48.8

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
10-MOUJANE 70.3
4-SUPER FREAKY 69.4
9-GOUT DE TERROIR 67.5
3-PINK POLKADOTS 67.0

1st time starters - 8

RACE 6
9-ESPRESSO LOVE 90.0
6-DESERT SMOKE 75.4
4-CHARM'EM 70.9
1-NEIMAN THE SAINT 66.4

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
5-SPENDITALLBABY 71.4
6-HUCKING HOT 67.0
2-DOWN THE WELL 66.4
4-VALBENNY 61.9

RACE 8
4-SYLVAN HILL 78.4
2-REDSTONE ARSENAL 73.1
9-NORTH AMERICA 65.9
13-BROTHER BROTHER 59.6

1st time starters - 5, 12

Thursday, October 26, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (43.40) 3rd pick 2nd (7.20) top pick 3rd (2.10) picks boxed- Ex (113.00) Trifecta (25.00). Race 2- Top Pick won (3.40) 2nd pick 2nd (3.60) Ex (6.00) only 1st timer in U.S.A. 3rd (2.40) Trifecta (16.80) 3rd pick 4th. Race 3- 2 picks scratched, 2nd pick won (4.20) top pick 2nd (2.40) boxed- Ex (3.90). Race 4- 2nd pick won (12.60) 3rd pick 3rd (4.00). Race 5- 2nd pick won (9.60) only 1st time starter 2nd (5.60) top pick 3rd (2.60) 3rd pick 4th, top 3 picks boxed with 1st timer- Ex (23.20) Trifecta (76.50) Superfecta (149.00). Race 6- 2 picks scratched, top pick 2nd (4.00) 2nd pick 4th. Race 7- Top pick won (5.20) 3rd pick 2nd (7.60) 4th pick 3rd (3.00) 2nd pick 4th, Top Pick keyed or boxed to picks- Ex (15.40) Trifecta (59.90) Superfecta (304.00). Race 8- 2nd pick won (4.00) 3rd pick 3rd (3.20).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-REDNESS 62.2
6-FLEET CAROLINE 56.0
4-KISSIN PARTY 51.3
5-ALI MAC 41.1

RACE 2
2-QUIET FLYER 72.8
5-RENA DE SONORA 70.3
1-CLASS EDITION 65.4
6-WELL MAM 54.5

RACE 3
5-I.B. A RUNAWAY 87.5
2-JAN'S RULING ANGEL 85.0
1-FIREBIRD SWEET 80.2
4-WEFT 73.1

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
11-OUTSIDE LOOKING IN 60.6
12-LUIS'S ESPECIAL 60.1
4-SIBERZAR 52.6
6-CHARLOS 50.2

1st time starters - 9, 3, 10, 5, 1, 2, 13

RACE 5
1-RED OPAL 94.5
6-GLAMOUR CAT 81.5
10-RICH SENSE 77.6
5-VATCHESVENDETTA 76.0

RACE 6
1-AWESOME GEM 103.8
2-ARMWNIAN SUMMER 99.8
9-PRECISE ALLOY 96.5
6-MUDWEISER 93.4

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1mile on turf)
5-WHATSTHESCRIPT 93.1
7-STREET LIGHTS 80.8
3-VARSITY BLUES 78.9
4-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 71.4

RACE 8
10-NO WHERE MAN 56.0
4-MAGDALENO 50.2
7-MR. ATTRACTION 40.7
9-SLEWS THE BELIEVER 35.4

1st time starters - 1, 3, 2, 5, 13, 11

Wednesday, October 25, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-GINNY'S SUNSHINE 101.8
6-TICE 87.5
5-NICKYPALMER 84.4
2-KING PALM 82.6

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
1-RIVER SAVAGE 101.1
6-BABE HALL 89.4
3-GALLOPING ANGEL 81.9
5-DEW DROP 77.1

1st time starters - (in U.S.A. - fgn.) 4, 2

RACE 3
4-SARATOGA'S MAGIC 89.4
8-JOHN HENNESSY 82.0
2-A CONTROLLED CRASH 80.2
1-READY MORE 76.0

RACE 4
5-FANTASMIN 88.2
6-NORWAY HOUSE 86.3
4-CARELESS CANDIDATE 83.8
2-TAKE A CHANCE 83.2

RACE 5
4-DEE DEE'S PRINCESS 65.4
3-ROAMANCE IS FLY 60.2
5-HAPPY CELYNA 59.6
7-KAURI CLIFFS 48.8

1st time starters - 8

RACE 6
3-VELVET MOONLITE 93.8
1-SWAN CREEK 80.1
10-SMOOTH SIS 79.0
8-ARABIC DANCER 79.0

RACE 7
3-FLETCHERS COVE 85.6
9-DA SVEDONYA 85.0
2-NEVER EVER 85.0
8-OFF THE RICHTER 82.6

RACE 8
8-EMOTION 59.0
7-KEY KIME PIE 58.5
3-NEWWYN 50.6
4-YOUR HIGHNESS LEIA 48.3

Tuesday, October 24, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, October 22, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

Sat. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (12.00) 3rd pick 2nd (4.00). Race 2- 3rd pick won (30.20) top pick 2nd (2.40) 2nd pick 3rd (3.00) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (31.40) Trifecta (109.00)4th pick 4th, 4 picks boxed- Superfecta (566.20). Race 3- 3rd pick won (11.00) 2nd pick 2nd (2.40) top pick 3rd (2.40) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (12.40) Trifecta (22.20). Race 4-2nd pick won (5.60) 3rd pick 4th. Race 5- 2nd pick won (5.60). Race 6-(only 3 picks, rest 1st timers) 2nd 1st timer won (25.40) top 1st timer 2nd (6.00) boxed- Ex (65.70)Top pick 3rd (3.40) 2nd pick 4th, Top two picks boxed with top 2 1st timers- Trifecta (326.70) Superfecta (666.60). Race 7- 3rd pick won (7.60) 2nd pick 3rd (3.60) top pick 4th. Race 8-top pick 2nd (4.00) 2nd pick 3rd (3.60). Race 9- Top pick 2nd (2.80) 4th pick 3rd (2.40). Race 10- 3rd 1st timer won (63.40) 3rd pick 2nd (4.40) 1st timer 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER TODAY OF $145,580. (Good Luck)

RACE 1
3-HAVASU 92.6
6-DIXIE COURAGE 80.2
5-WICKERSHAM 74.9
2-TYROLEAN EMPRESS 55.0

RACE 2
6-LITTLE SIERRA 61.6
5-ELIGANT WAGER 58.5
2-MEET THE HEAT 58.5
3-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 57.0
1-HONEELUV DROP 57.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-DILEMMA 86.3
4-PRIME RULER 81.4
6-CAPED FOR FLIGHT 77.2
5-MR. NEGOTIATOR 76.0

RACE 4
7-PIETY 90.6
3-FALCON SCOTT 88.8
2-GET OFF THE SUGAR 88.1
6-SPUNKY HARRY 86.9

RACE 5
3-SHE LOOKS FAMOUS 61.6
1-ST WAGER 55.0
5-SLEW O'PLATINUM 54.4
2-WARRENS SUMMER 53.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
5-FREE BIRD FLY 82.6
3-SMOKIN ANNE 80.2
1-LOOK DEEP 57.5 (entry)
2-LA MISTERIOSA 54.0

1st time starters - 4, 9, 8, 6, 7

RACE 7
2-HIDDEN BEAUTY 77.8
3-KREEKER 76.0
12-O K TOPLESS 70.3
6-COURT SEEKER 64.8
13-VENEDA LUCY 64.8

RACE 8
3-SELVATICA 111.4
5-SEAFREE 107.3
6-DOWNTHEDUSTYROAD 90.7
4-MAZELLA 90.7

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
4-STREET NIMBER 68.9
7-FAST CORREDOR 65.9
8-L. A. BOY 63.8
9-NEWSWORTHY 60.1

Thursday, October 19, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA- HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. recap- Race 1- Top Pick won (4.40) 3rd pick 2nd (3.80) top pick keyed- Ex (8.60). Race 2- Top Pick won (7.20) Daily Double (21.60) 2nd pick 2nd (2.60) Ex (10.50) 4trh pick 4th. Race 3- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick 3rd (4.00). Race 4- 2nd pick won (4.20) top pick 2nd (2.60) top 2 picks boxed- Ex 4.30) 1st timer 3rd (4.00) Trifecta (39.10) 4th pick 4th. Race 5- Top pick 2nd (3.80). Race 6- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (6.20) top pick 2nd (4.00) 2nd pick 3rd (2.80) 3 picks boxed- Ex (13.90) Trifecta (40.30). Race 7- 2nd pick won (5.20) top pick 3rd (2.20) 3rd pick 4th. Race 8- 1st timer 1st (18.20) top pick 2nd (3.40) 2nd pick (entry) 3rd(2.80)3 Picks with 1st timer boxed- Ex (28.60) Trifecta (104.80) Superfecta (448.80)

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-RESPECTED 76.0
1-MIGHTY CLEVER 74.9
2-PIECES OF PARADISE 66.4
3-GOLDEN PLAYGIRL 46.0

1st time starters - 5, 4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-STELLA'S POSADA 66.0
4-CHILEIAN GOLD 64.6
2-INEXCESSABEAU 53.0
3-JOHN THE MAITRE D 52.6

RACE 3
6-REVEALED 101.1
5-WILD STORM 94.5
1-CONVEYOR'S ANGEL 87.5
4-FOUR LEGGED TAXI 80.3

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
10-PEAK IN A HURRY 43.8
8-BACKYARD PARTY 41.1
2-CLASSY DISH 38.2
7-TOPPERS MOMENT 37.5

RACE 5
8-GREG THE CLOSER 86.3
3-BLACKJACK GAMBLER 82.6
6-DERBY DIABLO 79.1
4-EXCHANGE OFFER 72.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-TEE DEE 60.6
5-TORIKINS 55.0
6-DAR C. ALLTHEWAY 54.5
7-STEVE'S LIL GIRL 49.7

RACE 7
1-SHOOTIST 85.0
2-DOWNTOWN SANGER 79.6
4-CUT TRAIL 78.4
7-HOT GRIP 76.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
10-KICKIN BACK 50.2
6-ZIELONKO 48.3
5-REBEL CAUSE 47.8
4-PRINCE CARSON 46.9

1st time starters - 8, 9, 2, 1

Wednesday, October 18, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-STEVIE D 75.4
2-LITTLEBITOFZIP 72.0
3-HANDSOME LOVER 67.5
5-CHIEF CONSTABLE 67.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-SUPER HARMONY 50.0
5-A TOAST TO TANNER 47.1
3-MACAPULE 35.3
6-DOMORON AGAIN 33.4

RACE 3
12-CAPE KENNEDY 90.7
8-SURE THING EVA 82.1
3-ISLAND LAUNCH 80.3
6-SENTIMENTAL DAZE 80.1

RACE 4
2-RED NECK GAL 59.0
8-STAGE FEVER 57.5
9-CANYOUHEARMENOWDAD 42.4
1-KIDDO ROCKS 39.0

1st time starters - 6, 10, 11, 5

RACE 5
3-TWO TRAILS 87.5
6-DADSALITTLEUNUSAL 85.0
8-A FIRM STORM 81.4
2-PARTY CRASHER 76.0
9-CITY STORMER 76.0

RACE 6
3-ANNIE'S IRISH KING 83.2
1-UNDER HOUSE ARREST 81.4
2-MYSTERIOUS CAT 74.3
6-MUD LIGHT 70.9

RACE 7
3-WINNING TACTICS 93.9
6-I'LL PREY FOR YOU 90.7
4-COCHA BAMBA 86.3
2-JAMIE 84.4

RACE 8
7-TRUITTE 76.6
1-THE BIG ONE 70.4 (entry)
1A-SEISMIC THUNDER 67.5
2B-LARGO 67.3 (entry)

1st time starters - 3, 5, 4, 6

Tuesday, October 17, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ABOUT MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.

Saturday, October 14, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

Fri. recap- Race 1- Top pick won (2.80) top 1st timer 3rd (4.40) 3rd pick 4th. Race 2- 3rd pick won (15.40) top pick 2nd (2.80) 4th pick 3rd (2.60) picks boxed- Ex (19.70). Race 3- 2nd pick won (6.20) top pick 2nd (2.20) 3rd pick 3rd (3.20) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (6.40) Trifecta (24.90). Race 4-(only 1 horse had run before) 1st timers 1st (5.60) 2nd (5.40) 3rd (2.60) only pick 4th. Ex (14.10) Trifecta (41.60). Race 5 Top pick won (4.60) 4th pick 2nd (8.20) 2nd pick 3rd (3.00) top pick keyed- Ex (17.30) Trifecta (60.10). Race 6- 1 pick scratched, Top pick won (5.80) Daily Double (16.20). Race 7- top pick 3rd (4.00) 3rd pick 4th. Race 9- 4th pick won (10.80) 2nd 1st timer 2nd (8.20) top 1st timer 3rd (5.80) Ex (31.50) Trifecta (264.60).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-TOMMY TOMORROW 43.8
1-STRINGTOWN SLEW 30.6
4-VALIDAR 20.9
7-KEG STAND 18.0

1st time starters - 3

RACE 2
8-TEN DOWNING STREET 89.4
6-MARGARITALOSFLORES 88.8
1A-JITTERBUG BALL 85.6 (entry)
7-PECAN NUT 84.3

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-CRAFTY TIGER 61.1
5-RED CHILTEPIN 48.8
2-AGENCY 31.5
7-EARLY POLLY 24.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-ANGEL EYED 68.9
5-KISSIN PARTY 68.4
2-RUNWAY ROSIE 57.5
7-SMOOCH 48.9

1st time starters - 6, 4, 9, 1

RACE 5
7-TURNBOLT 108.6
6-TROTAMONDO 104.6
4-CAUSE TO BELIEVE 101.1
1-RECORD 98.4

RACE 6
2-GHOST ACTOR 94.5
9-SKYROS 93.2
1-HOTEL HALL 92.5
7-TAKE A CHANCE 91.9

RACE 7
3-ARTAXMAN 88.8
7-TOP ONE 87.5
2-CHARM'EM 79.0
4-GOLDEN WAGER 69.8

RACE 8
1-A. P. WARRIOR 107.3
6-REFINERY 97.0
5-OBRIGADO 95.2
4-POTENTIAL 92.0

1st time starters - 2 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
4-CAT OF FIFTY SEVEN 86.3
7-IMPOSER 76.0
1-KEY MAKER 71.4
8-OPIMIAN 67.5
6-COACH TED 67.5

Thursday, October 12, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. recap- Race 1- Top pick won (6.40) 3rd pick 2nd (3.40) 2nd pick 3rd (2.20) Top pick keyed to next 2 picks- Ex (10.80) Trifecta (23.70). Race 2- 3rd pick won (9.80) top pick 2nd (2.40) 4th pick 3rd (3.40) 2nd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (11.40) Trifecta (46.50). Race 3- 4th pick won (9.00) top pick 3rd (4.00). Race 4- 3rd pick 2nd (6.00). Race 5- Top pick won (4.20) 3rd pick 2nd (3.80) top pick keyed to next 2 picks- Ex (7.10). Race 6-Top pick won (3.40) Daily Double (6.20) 4th pick 2nd (8.80) 3rd pick 3rd (2.80) top pick keyed- Ex (10.70) Trifecta (49.00). Race 7- 4th pick 2nd (4.20) Race 8- 2nd pick 2nd (3.80) 3rd pick 3rd (3.40) 4th pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5- BENSON ROAD 76.6
4-ACCRUE-65.9
3-BIGUM 61.4
2-TICE 61.1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-BETTERLUCKYTHANGOOD 60.1
3-MARVELOUS MARCIA 55.6
1-COOL ALL OVER 54.4
5-WAILEA GIRL 39.5

RACE 3
1-SUGAR DOLL 83.8
6-PLATA QUEMADA 83.2
2-ROMANESQUE 82.6
5-LAKE MARINA 68.7

RACE 4
3-GHURRA 92.6
6-GALLOPING ANGEL 91.9
5-TRADE ONLY 89.4
4-MISSATACAMA 85.0

1st time starters in U. S. A. (fgn.) - 2, 1

RACE 5
7-GETNHOTNHERE 73.1
4-GEE HONEY 70.3
1-SIZZLING SARAH 69.8
5-ONE MILE BELLE 68.6

RACE 6
3-BLUE CAY 85.0
2-MISS BOBBIE QUICK 77.8
5-CLASS EDITION 71.4
1-VATCHESVENDETTA 69.2
7-SENORITA SEASON 69.2

RACE 7
1-TRUE AND TRUE 96.5
4-NOSSA CANCAO 95.2
5-REBEL CREEK 94.5
7-STYLISH WILDCAT 92.0

RACE 8
8-ANOTHER COMIC 64.8
1-SNEAKY ANNIE 62.7
2-RACY ACK 62.2
6-MOG 60.6

Wednesday, October 11, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-TRAFFIC UPDATE 90.0
4-GOOD GOLD 85.0
3-SPRIGGZEE 82.6
2-FINAL FINALE 73.7

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-STREET LIGHTS 86.9
2-TURQUOISE N GOLD 80.8
3-SUPER IMAGE 79.0
4-SELIMAN 64.3

RACE 3
2-WAR GAEL 71.6
3-SMOOTH TALK 69.8
5-UNBRIDLED HARMONY 67.0
4-SOCIAL SLEWPY 65.9

RACE 4
6-STEAL YOUR THUNDER 96.5
2-IN EXCELSIS 87.5
7-DEVIL'S BAY 85.6
1-BARBARIAN 84.6

RACE 5
4-DELIVERING SPEED 95.1
7-VERKADE 86.3
6-EPIC COMMANDER 83.2
3-DE LA COSTA 83.2

RACE 6
5-CELESTIAL BEING 97.8
1-BETTERSWEETMOMENT 93.9
6-ROCKET KITTY 80.2
2-DIXIE COURAGE 70.9

RACE 7
6-SET ALIGHT 102.2
2-CUMMISKEY 101.8
1-SHIMBY 101.1
4-NEW EXPORT 97.1

RACE 8
7-WINEWOMENANDSONG 79.4
5-MANHATTAN EXPRESS 74.6
3-DOMINGO JUAN 72.0
2-TOMMYLAND 65.9

Monday, October 09, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MON.

Sun. Recap- Race 1- Top pick won (4.00) 2nd pick 2nd (2.80) Ex (6.20) 4th pick 3rd (3.20) 3rd pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Trifecta (32.40). Race 2- Top pick won (3.20) Daily Double (6.80) 3rd pick 2nd (4.20) 4th pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (7.10). Race 3- The 3 1st timers ran 1st (6.60) 2nd (5.40) 3rd (3.60) Ex (14.00) Trifecta (53.80) top pick 4th. Race 4- 3rd pick won (9.40) top pick 3rd (4.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 5- 3rd pick 2nd (5.40) 2nd pick 3rd (2.80). Race 6- 4th pick won (21.60) 2nd pick 2nd (11.00) 3rd pick 3rd (5.60) picks boxed- Ex (132.70) Trifecta (771.40). Race 7- Top pick won (8.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 8- top pick 2nd (4.40) 4th pick 3rd (5.40). Race 9- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick 2nd (5.40) 3rd pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-TUG O' WAR 74.9
5-GREAT ISSUE 64.3
3-HOPINGANDWISHING 57.0
1-HOT OFF THE BENCH 56.1

RACE 2
6-ARGENTINISMA 95.7
1- GLASSY 88.0
2-RED OPAL 87.5
4-SHE'S NOBLE 77.6
3-COTORRA 77.2

RACE 3
4-DR. SINATRA 72.0
6-BRITE SHADOW 61.6
1-ROYAL IMPRESSION 60.1 (entry)

1st time starters - 1A (entry), 5, 3, 2

RACE 4
6-LEAD STEALER 59.6 (off slow)
8-GULF 59.0
2-INNABOUTAWEEK 58.5
1-GOLDEN SMOKE 53.0

1st time starters - 12

RACE 5
8-IVY LEAGUE GENIUS 69.2
1-LOVE ME MORE 64.8
9-FIVE TIMES A CAT 62.7
3-I'MALADYTAK 61.6

RACE 6
11-LOCKITUP 83.3
10-MORE ANGELS 81.5
7-BERTERA 78.5
8-EVENING ESCORT 77.2

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-DAISY'S TRIBE 57.0
3-BARTOK'S BLING 43.8
8-THAINTY 30.4

1st time starters - 4, 7, 10, 9, 5, 1, 6

RACE 8
4-WHILLY 110.0
12-UNFURL THE FLAG 107.9
5-QUASIMODO 103.1
8-HE'S THE RAGE 101.8

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
6-FUSEOUT 70.9
7-DIAMOND MINER 52.1
4-MOSLEY 50.2
11-C D O'SULLIVAN 49.7

1st time starters - 1

Friday, October 06, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thur. recap- Race 1- 4th pick won (7.40) 3rd pick 2nd (3.40) top pick 3rd (2.10) 2nd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (11.40) Trifecta (20.80). Race 2- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (9.20) top pick 2nd (2.40) 3 picks boxed- Ex (11.10). Race 3- 3rd pick won (3.00) 2nd pick 2nd (3.00) 4th pick 3rd (2.80) picks boxed- Ex (5.30) Trifecta (32.20). Race 4- 3rd pick won (21.80) 2nd pick 2nd (4.60) top pick 3rd (2.40) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (46.60) Trifecta (99.20) 4th pick 4th- Superfecta (643.30). Race 5- 3rd 1st timer won (215.40) 3rd pick 3rd (3.40). Race 6- Top pick won (4.20) 3rd pick 3rd (3.60). Race 7- 3rd pick won (12.20) 2nd pick 2nd (6.20) top pick 3rd (7.00) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (37.50) Trifecta (347.20). Race 8- Top pick won (4.00) 2nd pick 2nd (3.20) Ex (4.50) 4th pick 3rd (2.20) top pick keyed- Trifecta (11.30).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
5-STREET NUMBER 79.4
6-SOLDIER 67.0
2-FRANK THE BARBER 63.6
1-LONELY HIGHWAY 63.2

1st time starters - 3

RACE 2
4-NORWAY HOUSE 85.6
5-ROYAL CLASSIC 73.1
1-CAT ROBBER 68.1
2-OCH TAMALE 64.8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
7-TOPPER'S MOVIN' 63.2
1-SOLID BRASS CAT 63.1
3-EXCESSIVE TALE 61.4
6-THEORY 41.4

RACE 4
2-SARATOGA'S MAGIC 87.5
8-JOLLY SPIRIT 84.4
7-POPSA YANKEE 77.8
5-READY MORE 77.1

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-MIZ PARADIS 52.6
4-SCHUSKY'S ECHO 49.7
3-DIXIE DIXIE DIXIE 48.3
2-SCARLET 'N CREAM 36.1

1st time starers - 8

RACE 6
6-CELTIC FABLE 91.9
5-SWIFT WINDS 79.1
7-EL SALSERO 76.2
8-ENERGY CZAR 75.6

RACE 7
1-PADDY MURPHY 104.5
3-FITZ FLAG 91.4
6-SUNSHINE ALPINE 88.8
2-SMOOCHER 82.6

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-BE MYSTERIOUS 47.8
9-TARA'S TORMENTA 40.3
7-SHEZALUCKYPENNY 33.0
4-TRULY MADERA 21.2

1st time starters - 5, 3, 2

Wednesday, October 04, 2006

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-TIZZY'S TUNE 88.8
1-SILVERS SURPRISE 75.5
4-LATTE 73.1
3-TRULY QUIET 70.9

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-VICE ADMIRAL 65.9
7-QUTSIDE LOOKING IN 60.1
3-TAP IT LIGHT 53.5
1-SIDEPOCKET CAT 53.0

1st time starters - 6

RACE 3
4-MOM IS READY 97.8
7-MOMOTOMBO 90.0
5-BOOCFUSS 87.4
6-EVANSTON 86.3

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-SAVANNAH LIGHTNING 47.8
8-DIXIE MUSIC ROLL 46.5
4-TOP EMBLEM 40.7
2-LUNA'S HALF MOON 29.3

1st time starters - 3, 7, 5

RACE 5
3-GHOST ACTOR 101.8
5-STRATAGEM 97.8
9-IMITATION 95.8
2-DYNOUT 87.5

RACE 6
6-GUITAR MAN 64.8
7-JET STRIP BILLY 60.6
5-INEXCESSABEAU 60.6
2-SORTA GOLD 57.0

RACE 7
1-DREAM'S 106.6
4-CHARM THE GIANT 103.1
2-REVEALED 99.1
5-SINGHALESE 98.5

RACE 8
7-TWIN TURBO 86.9
5-MAGDALENO 76.6
8-CHAMP OF GOLD 54.7
11-BATTLE RED 47.4

1st time starters - 10, 2, 3, 12

Tuesday, October 03, 2006

 

OAK TREE - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT OAK TREE TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at the racebook I go to as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day????

I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. How you bet the picks is the key. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Program number does not match horses name.This has happened twice that I know of in over 400 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have? GOOD LUCK.

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