Thursday, October 10, 2013
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTICE: I WILL NOT BE POSTING MY PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SANTA ANITA UNTIL THE BREEDERS CUP.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTICE: I WILL NOT BE POSTING MY PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SANTA ANITA UNTIL THE BREEDERS CUP.
Labels: bets, betting, Breeder's Cup, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, October 09, 2013
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,739 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,739 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, October 06, 2013
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $156,250.
TODAY THERE ARE 6 TWO YEAR OLD RACES - GOOD LUCK.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-VEGAS BOUND 53.5
4-MISS FAST EDDIE 47.4
10-SHE'S FLUSH 43.8
6-GRAMMY BIG MOUTH 41.1
1-ROYALY DUNN 41.1 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 3
RACE 2
2-DECLASSIFY 114.3
1-CYCLOMETER 97.8
6-MILE HIGH MAGIC 97.1
3-MAJESTIC STRIDE 86.3
4-SALUTOS AMIGOS 85.0
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-GOT SHADES 80.2
4-DIAMOND BACHELOR 79.6
6-STATION HOUSE 79.6
2-INDEXICAL 74.3
1-AOTEAROA 61.1
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
7-EVEN TO THE MOON 69.2
4-GRAZENETTE 61.1 (off slow)
8-ELECTRIC EDDIE 61.1
3-CHARISMA CODE 59.6
1-AJAC 56.6
1st time starters - 6
RACE 5
1-SNUGGLEY BEAR 67.9
5-MY SECRET AFFAIR 63.6
4-MR. CACTUS 52.1
6-GRAVITY FORCE 50.8
2-SILVER TORCH 46.3
1st time starters - 9, 3
RACE 6
6-JULIO'S GOLD 68.1
8-ACUTE 62.2
4-DADDY'S SONG 60.6
3-MARGIES RULE 60.1
5-SWISS BLISS 53.5
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-CLENOR 85.6
9-NESSO 73.1
7-MISS MACHIAVELLI 70.9
2-PLEASANT MISS 67.0
6-TIZ THE KEY 65.6
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
11-SUSANS EXPRESS 72.0 (steadied)
2-WILD MARINI 68.6
3-WHATSALLTHEDRAMA 65.9
7-ASCRIPTION 54.5
13-TOOKMEBYSUPRISE 52.6
RACE 9
10-EMPTY HEADED 82.0
9-THUNDER COLE 76.6
7-BRAVE ACT 76.0
11-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 76.0
3-ACCOMPLISH 73.1 (3 wide)
1-MR LEMON TREE 73.1
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $156,250.
TODAY THERE ARE 6 TWO YEAR OLD RACES - GOOD LUCK.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-VEGAS BOUND 53.5
4-MISS FAST EDDIE 47.4
10-SHE'S FLUSH 43.8
6-GRAMMY BIG MOUTH 41.1
1-ROYALY DUNN 41.1 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 3
RACE 2
2-DECLASSIFY 114.3
1-CYCLOMETER 97.8
6-MILE HIGH MAGIC 97.1
3-MAJESTIC STRIDE 86.3
4-SALUTOS AMIGOS 85.0
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-GOT SHADES 80.2
4-DIAMOND BACHELOR 79.6
6-STATION HOUSE 79.6
2-INDEXICAL 74.3
1-AOTEAROA 61.1
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
7-EVEN TO THE MOON 69.2
4-GRAZENETTE 61.1 (off slow)
8-ELECTRIC EDDIE 61.1
3-CHARISMA CODE 59.6
1-AJAC 56.6
1st time starters - 6
RACE 5
1-SNUGGLEY BEAR 67.9
5-MY SECRET AFFAIR 63.6
4-MR. CACTUS 52.1
6-GRAVITY FORCE 50.8
2-SILVER TORCH 46.3
1st time starters - 9, 3
RACE 6
6-JULIO'S GOLD 68.1
8-ACUTE 62.2
4-DADDY'S SONG 60.6
3-MARGIES RULE 60.1
5-SWISS BLISS 53.5
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-CLENOR 85.6
9-NESSO 73.1
7-MISS MACHIAVELLI 70.9
2-PLEASANT MISS 67.0
6-TIZ THE KEY 65.6
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
11-SUSANS EXPRESS 72.0 (steadied)
2-WILD MARINI 68.6
3-WHATSALLTHEDRAMA 65.9
7-ASCRIPTION 54.5
13-TOOKMEBYSUPRISE 52.6
RACE 9
10-EMPTY HEADED 82.0
9-THUNDER COLE 76.6
7-BRAVE ACT 76.0
11-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 76.0
3-ACCOMPLISH 73.1 (3 wide)
1-MR LEMON TREE 73.1
Labels: bets, betting, Breeder's Cup, fairplex, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, October 05, 2013
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $26,256.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-BATTLE JET 69.2 (broke out)
7-HEYYOUCAN 58.5
4-TOSHEEN 55.5
6-CAJUN HIPPIE 44.6
5-LUCA 44.6
RACE 2
7-MAGIC UNION 101.5
3-CHARM THE MAKER 96.5
1-MISS PIPPA 90.7
5-CUSTOMER BASE 87.5
4-DOUBLE ANTE 77.8
RACE 3
1-TAMA COUNTY 72.0
10-TIZ FUTURITY 63.8
3-SPIRITED TOUCH 61.6
2-TROUBLE X TWO 60.4
7-SIR SEARSUCKER 59.6
RACE 4
5-OBVIOUSLY 126.0
6-HE BE FIRE N ICE 104.5
7-BAROCCI 101.1
8-ENDORSEMENT 97.1
1-HUNTSVILLE 94.5
2-STARSPANGLED HEAT 94.5
RACE 5
7-DROVER CRAZY 88.1
6-AIRFOIL 82.6
8-FOREST BOY 82.0
3-CHIEF LION 82.0
9-WELL LAWYERED 79.6
1st time starters - 1, 4
RACE 6
7-HE'S A DANCE STAR 101.1
9-IVANHO 93.2
12-MR. BOSSY PANTS 90.0
8-DEPRECIABLE 90.0
11-SACRED OVATION 88.8
1-NEWFOUND GOLD 88.8
RACE 7
6-TEDDY'S PROMISE 99.1
3-SOCIALBUG 97.1
5-EXECUTIVEPRIVILEGE 95.8
4-CONKATE 90.0
7-GREAT HOT 90.0
RACE 8
7-KEY VISTA 101.1 (off Dec. 12)
4-MADEOFFWITHTHEMONEY 86.9
8-MIDNIGHT LADY 77.8
2-COTTON'S POINT 73.7
5-HIDETHEGOODSTUFF 72.6
12-YAWANNAGOKID 72.6
RACE 9
3-CENTRALINTELIGENCE 123.8
6-ROMAN THREAT 118.6
7-POINTS OFFTHEBENCH 113.6
8-GOLDENCENTS 109.3
5-TRINNIBERG 106.6
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
8-SIERRA ELECTRICA 64.8
10-EXOTIC BEHAVIOR 59.7
12-SAVINGS ACCOUNT 59.6
1-PRETTY STORM 59.0
7-CAL GAL 46.9 (bumped, 3 wide)
11-SUSHI EMPIRE 46.7
1st time starters - 4, 9, 13, 14
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $26,256.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-BATTLE JET 69.2 (broke out)
7-HEYYOUCAN 58.5
4-TOSHEEN 55.5
6-CAJUN HIPPIE 44.6
5-LUCA 44.6
RACE 2
7-MAGIC UNION 101.5
3-CHARM THE MAKER 96.5
1-MISS PIPPA 90.7
5-CUSTOMER BASE 87.5
4-DOUBLE ANTE 77.8
RACE 3
1-TAMA COUNTY 72.0
10-TIZ FUTURITY 63.8
3-SPIRITED TOUCH 61.6
2-TROUBLE X TWO 60.4
7-SIR SEARSUCKER 59.6
RACE 4
5-OBVIOUSLY 126.0
6-HE BE FIRE N ICE 104.5
7-BAROCCI 101.1
8-ENDORSEMENT 97.1
1-HUNTSVILLE 94.5
2-STARSPANGLED HEAT 94.5
RACE 5
7-DROVER CRAZY 88.1
6-AIRFOIL 82.6
8-FOREST BOY 82.0
3-CHIEF LION 82.0
9-WELL LAWYERED 79.6
1st time starters - 1, 4
RACE 6
7-HE'S A DANCE STAR 101.1
9-IVANHO 93.2
12-MR. BOSSY PANTS 90.0
8-DEPRECIABLE 90.0
11-SACRED OVATION 88.8
1-NEWFOUND GOLD 88.8
RACE 7
6-TEDDY'S PROMISE 99.1
3-SOCIALBUG 97.1
5-EXECUTIVEPRIVILEGE 95.8
4-CONKATE 90.0
7-GREAT HOT 90.0
RACE 8
7-KEY VISTA 101.1 (off Dec. 12)
4-MADEOFFWITHTHEMONEY 86.9
8-MIDNIGHT LADY 77.8
2-COTTON'S POINT 73.7
5-HIDETHEGOODSTUFF 72.6
12-YAWANNAGOKID 72.6
RACE 9
3-CENTRALINTELIGENCE 123.8
6-ROMAN THREAT 118.6
7-POINTS OFFTHEBENCH 113.6
8-GOLDENCENTS 109.3
5-TRINNIBERG 106.6
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
8-SIERRA ELECTRICA 64.8
10-EXOTIC BEHAVIOR 59.7
12-SAVINGS ACCOUNT 59.6
1-PRETTY STORM 59.0
7-CAL GAL 46.9 (bumped, 3 wide)
11-SUSHI EMPIRE 46.7
1st time starters - 4, 9, 13, 14
Labels: bets, betting, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, October 04, 2013
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-SHAND 70.9
4-TIZHARDTOGET 70.9
5-SHEZA EYEOPENER 53.0
6-ELUSIVE LUCI 51.1
7-PERFECT TANGO 49.7
1st time starters - 1
RACE 2
2-MINDS EYES 93.2
3-PURIM'S DANCER 90.0
5-A TIME TO LOVE 89.4
4-IN THE STARS 88.8
1-MAGICAL BAND 88.1
RACE 3
1-BEHIND THE BOSSMAN 52.6
2-MARKET NOTES 51.6
7-BURNING 43.8
6-SILENT RULER 32.6
5-KHAL DROGO 29.7
1st time starters - 4, 3, 8
RACE 4
4-SIEMPRE ESPERANZA 67.5
3-ELTONINADRESS 67.0
2-UNKEPT RENDEZ VOUS 57.5
5-LIA JULIANA 54.5
7-METER ME GONE 43.3
RACE 5
4-NOISE OF THE CROWD 82.0
11-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 77.8
1-KILTED TILT 77.2 (off Oct. 12)
3-SIDNEY'S DARLING 75.4
12-PEBBLE BEACH BOY 73.7
7-CATCH LORRAINE 73.7
RACE 6
7-LUCKY STUDENT 72.0
9-RUN SOPHIA RUN 56.0
3-KANA FLAVOR 54.5
5-ITALIAN HARMONY 41.1 (off Aug. 12)
4-CHUMASH 38.6 (off slow)
1st time starters - 2, 6, 1
RACE 7
6-POSHSKY 90.0
13-THIS ONE'S FOR MEL 83.8
5-CINCO DE MARIO 77.8
1-SINFULLY 77.8
3-VERY UNUSUAL 75.4
RACE 8
8-GENIUS 90.7
2-SARANGANI 77.8
9-AMP AND ADRENALIN 72.6
3-BIPARTISAN 72.6
4-TAP IT IN 71.4
12-PORCHETTO 69.8
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-SHAND 70.9
4-TIZHARDTOGET 70.9
5-SHEZA EYEOPENER 53.0
6-ELUSIVE LUCI 51.1
7-PERFECT TANGO 49.7
1st time starters - 1
RACE 2
2-MINDS EYES 93.2
3-PURIM'S DANCER 90.0
5-A TIME TO LOVE 89.4
4-IN THE STARS 88.8
1-MAGICAL BAND 88.1
RACE 3
1-BEHIND THE BOSSMAN 52.6
2-MARKET NOTES 51.6
7-BURNING 43.8
6-SILENT RULER 32.6
5-KHAL DROGO 29.7
1st time starters - 4, 3, 8
RACE 4
4-SIEMPRE ESPERANZA 67.5
3-ELTONINADRESS 67.0
2-UNKEPT RENDEZ VOUS 57.5
5-LIA JULIANA 54.5
7-METER ME GONE 43.3
RACE 5
4-NOISE OF THE CROWD 82.0
11-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 77.8
1-KILTED TILT 77.2 (off Oct. 12)
3-SIDNEY'S DARLING 75.4
12-PEBBLE BEACH BOY 73.7
7-CATCH LORRAINE 73.7
RACE 6
7-LUCKY STUDENT 72.0
9-RUN SOPHIA RUN 56.0
3-KANA FLAVOR 54.5
5-ITALIAN HARMONY 41.1 (off Aug. 12)
4-CHUMASH 38.6 (off slow)
1st time starters - 2, 6, 1
RACE 7
6-POSHSKY 90.0
13-THIS ONE'S FOR MEL 83.8
5-CINCO DE MARIO 77.8
1-SINFULLY 77.8
3-VERY UNUSUAL 75.4
RACE 8
8-GENIUS 90.7
2-SARANGANI 77.8
9-AMP AND ADRENALIN 72.6
3-BIPARTISAN 72.6
4-TAP IT IN 71.4
12-PORCHETTO 69.8
Labels: bets, betting, Breeder's Cup, fairplex, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, October 03, 2013
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-BROKER BRETT 83.8
2-SECOND PROPOSAL 77.8
8-MI HIJO 62.2
6-MARINO MIZER 61.6 (squeezed at start)
4-STREET CHOIR 59.5 (off Nov. 12)
5-ANYTIME 59.5
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-MY LUCKY ROSE 46.0
10-FRANDONTJUDGE 36.2
1-SUNRISA SUNRISA 34.6
3-ADRIATIC LASS 31.9
11-VIOLATE 29.3
1st time starters - 2
RACE 3
7-TRELAWNY 98.4
1-CAMP VICTORY 96.5
6-MEGA HEAT 93.2
3-READY FOR MORE 89.4
4-STONEY FLEECE 88.8
RACE 4
4-MAJESTIC MOMENT 88.1
1-TAMARACK SMARTY 81.4
8-TUCKERS POINT 78.4
3-QUIET COMMAND 70.6
2-KINGMAN KID 70.3
RACE 5
4-TIZ ANNA 67.0
2-SCARY FAST 58.0
3-PSALM SIXTEEN 57.0
7-COCO DE CARCHY 56.5
8-LIL CHEYENNE 51.1
9-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 51.1
RACE 6
3-HEAT TRAP 91.9
4-SPRING BREEZE 91.9
5-LLANDUDNO 91.3
6-BRILLIANT MELODY 87.5
8-UNSEEN VISITOR 86.9
RACE 7
1-BLUE TONE 105.9
3-ROUSING SERMON 102.5
6-AMERICAN ACT 91.9
2-CIRCLE THE MOON 79.4
5-ROYAL F J 76.4
RACE 8
9-CLEMKADIDDLEHOPPER 46.9
6-FLYING OPEN 42.4
2-CANDY ANNIVERSARY 33.0
10-SONG OF THE TIMES 27.5
4-CHATTER UP 24.1
1st time starters - 11, 1, 3, 5 (pulled up)
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-BROKER BRETT 83.8
2-SECOND PROPOSAL 77.8
8-MI HIJO 62.2
6-MARINO MIZER 61.6 (squeezed at start)
4-STREET CHOIR 59.5 (off Nov. 12)
5-ANYTIME 59.5
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-MY LUCKY ROSE 46.0
10-FRANDONTJUDGE 36.2
1-SUNRISA SUNRISA 34.6
3-ADRIATIC LASS 31.9
11-VIOLATE 29.3
1st time starters - 2
RACE 3
7-TRELAWNY 98.4
1-CAMP VICTORY 96.5
6-MEGA HEAT 93.2
3-READY FOR MORE 89.4
4-STONEY FLEECE 88.8
RACE 4
4-MAJESTIC MOMENT 88.1
1-TAMARACK SMARTY 81.4
8-TUCKERS POINT 78.4
3-QUIET COMMAND 70.6
2-KINGMAN KID 70.3
RACE 5
4-TIZ ANNA 67.0
2-SCARY FAST 58.0
3-PSALM SIXTEEN 57.0
7-COCO DE CARCHY 56.5
8-LIL CHEYENNE 51.1
9-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 51.1
RACE 6
3-HEAT TRAP 91.9
4-SPRING BREEZE 91.9
5-LLANDUDNO 91.3
6-BRILLIANT MELODY 87.5
8-UNSEEN VISITOR 86.9
RACE 7
1-BLUE TONE 105.9
3-ROUSING SERMON 102.5
6-AMERICAN ACT 91.9
2-CIRCLE THE MOON 79.4
5-ROYAL F J 76.4
RACE 8
9-CLEMKADIDDLEHOPPER 46.9
6-FLYING OPEN 42.4
2-CANDY ANNIVERSARY 33.0
10-SONG OF THE TIMES 27.5
4-CHATTER UP 24.1
1st time starters - 11, 1, 3, 5 (pulled up)
Labels: bets, betting, Breeder's Cup, fairplex, Fairplex Park, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, October 02, 2013
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, Breeder's Cup, fairplex, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
