Wednesday, October 09, 2013
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,739 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, October 03, 2013
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-BROKER BRETT 83.8
2-SECOND PROPOSAL 77.8
8-MI HIJO 62.2
6-MARINO MIZER 61.6 (squeezed at start)
4-STREET CHOIR 59.5 (off Nov. 12)
5-ANYTIME 59.5
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-MY LUCKY ROSE 46.0
10-FRANDONTJUDGE 36.2
1-SUNRISA SUNRISA 34.6
3-ADRIATIC LASS 31.9
11-VIOLATE 29.3
1st time starters - 2
RACE 3
7-TRELAWNY 98.4
1-CAMP VICTORY 96.5
6-MEGA HEAT 93.2
3-READY FOR MORE 89.4
4-STONEY FLEECE 88.8
RACE 4
4-MAJESTIC MOMENT 88.1
1-TAMARACK SMARTY 81.4
8-TUCKERS POINT 78.4
3-QUIET COMMAND 70.6
2-KINGMAN KID 70.3
RACE 5
4-TIZ ANNA 67.0
2-SCARY FAST 58.0
3-PSALM SIXTEEN 57.0
7-COCO DE CARCHY 56.5
8-LIL CHEYENNE 51.1
9-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 51.1
RACE 6
3-HEAT TRAP 91.9
4-SPRING BREEZE 91.9
5-LLANDUDNO 91.3
6-BRILLIANT MELODY 87.5
8-UNSEEN VISITOR 86.9
RACE 7
1-BLUE TONE 105.9
3-ROUSING SERMON 102.5
6-AMERICAN ACT 91.9
2-CIRCLE THE MOON 79.4
5-ROYAL F J 76.4
RACE 8
9-CLEMKADIDDLEHOPPER 46.9
6-FLYING OPEN 42.4
2-CANDY ANNIVERSARY 33.0
10-SONG OF THE TIMES 27.5
4-CHATTER UP 24.1
1st time starters - 11, 1, 3, 5 (pulled up)
Labels: bets, betting, Breeder's Cup, fairplex, Fairplex Park, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, September 26, 2013
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, Breeder's Cup, fairplex, Fairplex Park, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,721 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Breeder's Cup, fairplex, Fairplex Park, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, September 22, 2013
BARRETTS AT FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
9-BACKWOODS BELLE 72.6
10-INDY BEAUTY 71.4
11-SAVY SECRET 64.3
7-WARREN'S CREAMPUFF 63.2 (off Dec. 11)
8-SHAE N DENAE 62.2
RACE 2
2-FLOATTHRUTHEAIR 55.0
6-LADY ROLL ON 46.0
9-MADDOG MADDIE 44.2
11-ARA BEST 44.2
7-KLASSY MAUDE 26.5
1st time starters - 4, 5
RACE 3
6-SPRING BREEZE 91.3
3-JOYCE AND ME 88.1
1-WOEBEGON 68.1
4-SHE'S ALL YOURS 67.5
2-GRANNY CALLING 62.7
RACE 4
3-GOD OF WAR 86.3
8-TITIAN 82.0
4-FEAR THE BEARD 81.4
1-LOW GEAR POWER 73.1
5-A DAY AWAY 72.6
RACE 5
4-AMERICA RISING 64.3 (off Aug. 12)
8-HARD PLAY 54.0
6-SAINT LEO 41.6
9-GONNA PLAY 39.0
1-RIVERSMITH 37.8
RACE 6
10-ATTRACTA 58.5
4-MARIA LAKE 56.5
9-SEAN S 56.5
8-BOO WHO WHO 55.5
3-LANIDA 54.0
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 4f.)
4-EASY HIT 33.4
10-PUNXSUTAWNEY PHIL 32.3
11-HEAVENLY TRAIL 26.8 (bobbled)
5-PAPA'S TRASHED 25.8
6-MUCK N GRIND 19.7
1st time starters - 7, 8, 2, 1, 3, 9
RACE 8
8-BACKSTREET BOSS 68.1
1-SUPERSONIC HEAT 64.3
9-LOVMEISTER 59.0
6-WARREN'S OPERATOR 58.5
2-LOCALSUCESS 58.0
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
10-TWILIGHTINPRIDDIS 37.0
8-IVANA COME HOME 36.2
2-DEBT FREE ABBY 34.6
1-FULL OF SLEW 34.2
6-CHARLIE TIME 30.0 (off slow)
RACE 10
4-GREAT FRIENDS RULE 90.1
1-LAUGH AT LIFE 83.2
5-SPACE RUNNER 77.2
2-MAJOR TRUTH 74.3
3-TAHOE FLASH 68.1
RACE 11
6-OILISBLACKGOLD 103.8
7-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 101.1
1-ENDORSEMENT 97.8
4-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 94.5
3-EL COMMODORE 94.1
RACE 12
10-FRANNIE'SSPIRITTOO 64.3
12-PAREAU 40.4
4-MISS JUDGED 39.0
1-CHARGER GIRL 37.4
9-PARALYZING EYES 37.0
7-LADY ONE EIGHTY 33.0
Labels: Barretts, bets, betting, Del Mar, fairplex, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, September 21, 2013
BARRETTS AT FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $20,770.
RACE 1
5-SHENZHOU 63.8
3-EL TOVAR 53.5
6-MR. CAPPUCCINO 46.4
1-INDIAN MONKEY 40.3
4-WHAT A JOURNEY 24.1 (off Oct. 12)
1st time starters - 2, 8
RACE 2
7-BLAKE 71.4
3-ONLY THE GOLD 64.8
2-BUDS PAL 64.3
1-BAG'S OF FUN 58.5
5-WILDCAT ENERGY 57.0
8-HONOUR FAMILY 57.0
RACE 3
8-SENOR PEGASUS 64.8
2-WARREN'S TYLER S. 64.8
3-QUICK CIELO 60.6
6-GRANT 51.1
5-ATTEMPT 50.6
RACE 4
1-FASTER CAT 83.2
5-SMOKIN MOTION 68.6
3-MARK'S CAT 63.8
7-CRASPEDIA 58.5
8-KETTLE MAN 58.5
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-CLEMKADIDDLEHOPPER 52.1
9-HORSE LAUGH 44.2
8-ZOOKS 36.2
3-SONG OF THE TIMES 30.8
5-GOLDEN DYNAMO 29.3
1st time starters - 6 (lost jock, did not finish)
RACE 6
1-IRON JOE T 82.6
5-BEV N BUD 82.6
6-NIGHT TIDE 74.9
4-STREET CAR 70.9
2-HASTY TREND 61.6
RACE 7
8-COURAGEOUANDBOLD 69.8
4-HAIR ON FIRE 60.6
5-VICTORIA SHINES 59.6
1-CON CELESTI 58.0
7-JEANNE MARINI 55.5
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-BOLD FANTASY 73.1
6-EVEN ECHO 54.5
7-PAPA'S PAISLEY 52.1
4-MAXIMINUS 51.6
3-MR WILD KITTY 50.6
1st time starters - 8, 2
RACE 9
6-CHANGETHECHANNEL 85.6 (off Dec. 12)
3-CANDREA 83.2
7-RUBY PUMPS 79.0
4-LITTLE EMILY 76.4
2-CATHY'S CRUNCHES 73.1
5-TOOMANYTOMATOES 73.1
RACE 10
1-OWN IT 62.2
2-KNUCKLEBUSTER 59.6
12-EMERALD ASSETS 57.5
4-BABY BLAKE 52.1
9-EXPENSIVE PENS 44.6
RACE 11
3-TREE OF LIFE 85.0
7-TIZ FITTING 82.6
9-CURLY TOP 82.0
2-TOO FAST TO PASS 79.0
6-STORMDRIVER 78.4
RACE 12
7-SILVER GUN GIRL 70.9
2-FRIENDS WITH MACY 61.6
3-BRIGHT TOWN 53.5
8-JANES SHIP 48.3
10-I'M NO PATSY 46.4
9-RICH IN TRADITION 45.1
1st time starters - 1
Labels: Barretts, bets, betting, fairplex, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, September 20, 2013
BARRETTS AT FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
8-LOVE SALAH DANCER 47.8
11-BROKEN SKY 47.8
9-MADDOG MADDIE 44.2
1-THAT'S A BINGO 35.4
5-BIG G SECRET CRAB 35.0
1st time starters - 10
RACE 2
1-JAY'S FIRETRUCK 69.8
5-CAPTAIN BEAU 64.3
4-BLACK N BEAUTY 63.8
6-MAN CHESTER MAN 61.1
2-EL TANGO RAY 49.7
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-TACIT APPROVAL 58.5
5-GOODHUMORGIRL 37.4
3-DISCREET STAR 24.1 (4 wide)
1-YES 15.0
1st time starters - 2, 6, 4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 4f.)
5-L T RECKLESS 54.0
2-U R LUCKY 47.4 (3 wide)
10-HOT LITTLE THANG 12.8 (broke out)
4-ARTIE'S FANTASY 12.1 (off slow)
9-IRISH STREET 10.7
1st time starters - 6, 7, 8
RACE 5
7-MINISTER MACHINE 65.4
10-FALCON ROCK 63.8
3-LONE JUSTICE 62.2
9-SIR HAMILTON 54.0
1-TEASING BERNIE 50.2
5-MALIBU CANYON 50.2
2-REDO 50.2
RACE 6
3-METAXA 76.0
5-TORNADO ALLIE 72.6
8-LINDZ WINZ 69.8
1-WILD BELLA 59.6
7-UNKEPT RENDEZ VOUS 55.5
RACE 7
5-STRIKE EM' OUT 69.8
2-LETS GET FRISKY 69.8
6-FIRENDESIRE 64.8
3-CITIZEN JANE 59.6
7-J K'S MISCHIEF 58.0
4-BEAUTIFUL SPIRIT 58.0
RACE 8
3-WARRENS CHINA DOLL 74.9
9-PARTY BUS 68.8
10-WARREN'S PASSION 60.1
4-SMART SUZZET 52.6
6-PAIRODICE RIDGE 50.6
RACE 9
6-CONKATE 83.2
3-CURVY CAT 82.0
1-LADY ROSAMOND 79.0
2-EXPLOSIVE ARGUMENT 73.1
7-GIFTING 73.1
RACE 10
3-FLY HIGH 64.8
12-ALKARAY 59.6
8-DICKERY DO 54.5
5-WILL HE AMAZE 53.5
4-TIZ FUTURITY 52.6
11-ANCIENT STONE 51.1
1st time starters - 7
Labels: Barretts, bets, betting, Del Mar, fairplex, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, September 19, 2013
BARRETTS AT FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $80,304.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4f.)
2-MONSTRO NESS 49.7
6-SILVER N SASSY 42.9
1-SWISS SUGAR 37.4
4-FORTUNATE PATH 21.3
1st time starters - 5
RACE 2
2-CUVEES CHOICE 69.2
1-SHANGHAI VOYAGE 65.9
4-C'MON MARQUIS 55.5
3-DIRTY DEED 53.3
6-EASY CITY 43.3
RACE 3
6-CHOO CHOO CHARLIE 64.3
11-HARD PLAY 49.2
4-BULLET MOBILE 32.3
9-CALIENTE CAT 31.1
12-GRAY SATIN 27.2
1st time starters - 1, 2 (lost rider), 7, 5
RACE 4
2-HODGE 65.4
7-CAPTAIN SHAWN D 63.8
4-MAYAN EYES 57.5
3-MINISTER OF TRADE 45.5
6-A KINGS LIFE 37.4
RACE 5
9-MARV 63.8
7-SLIGHT EDGE 61.6
6-OUR SMOKIN HERO 59.6
4-DEWRAG 56.0
1-FORMAL JOKER 44.6
RACE 6
3-OUR MAGIC COUPLE 79.6
2-PROUD STEP 68.6
4-SHINING SON 65.4
1-MYFUNDSARELO 64.8
7-ROCKY BARBOA 64.8
RACE 7
4-KEEP MOVIN' 88.1
1-TAMARACK SMARTY 85.6
3-BIG WAGS 82.0
5-WOULD YOU 78.4
7-SO ELITE 74.6
RACE 8
1-TRIBAL MYSTIC 40.7
4-SAILORS BROTHER 37.0
7-ANYTHINGTOGETEVEN 32.7
5-HE'S A WIZARD 27.2
6-ASTUTELY 25.1
1st time starters - 9
Labels: Betfair, bets, Del Mar, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, thoroughbred
Wednesday, September 18, 2013
BARRETTS AT FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-CLEVER CAYENNE 68.1
4-BACKWOODS BELLE 65.9
6-RACHELS BELLE 62.2
2-ROCK U UP 47.8
7-SUMALEE 47.8
RACE 2
6-SPRING SARAH 56.5
1-GOLDEN GAB 55.5
5-WARREN'S LOVER 54.5
3-MARION'SALILWICKED 41.1
2-HOT LIST 39.9
RACE 3
4-LIVE THE FORTH 67.0
1-QUEEN OF THE HILL 63.2
2-RAMBLE ON ROSE 62.2
5-DECOY 58.0
3-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 53.5
RACE 4
6-HIDDEN PASSION 72.8
1-INNER GROOVE 71.4
4-BAS 69.2
2-LONG LEGGED LOVELY 61.6
3-FIESTA EXPRESS 61.6
RACE 5
3-THE GATEKEEPER 60.6
8-YANKEE MINISTER 48.3
5-GLOBAL COURT 39.9
6-ST. VALENTINO 35.0
4-STORM BID 34.6
RACE 6
8-MAGIC BEAM 93.2
4-CURRAHEE 89.4
1-GUTSHOT STRIGHT 74.9
2-BIG NOTE 73.7
5-HY HAND POKER 73.7
RACE 7
8-SOLID SOUTH 83.2
2-MAGNUM FORCE 80.8
7-TUCKERS POINT 77.2
4-NOBLE KENT 74.3
6-CARAMARU 70.9
RACE 8
3-APOLLO TEN 86.9
4-MOTOWN MEN 82.5
1-CHINA PRINCE 81.4
8-SURF N SKI 81.3
5-LORD VRONSKY 80.0
RACE 9
3-DRILL 101.1
10-KATE'S EVENT 94.5
8-BASMATI 90.1
2-CARBONITE 90.0
6-LUCKARACK 86.9
RACE 10
1-GALLANT CHARM 68.6
3-WARREN'S CLIFF S. 67.5
6-PUBLIC DEFENDER 58.0
12-STARRY SHARK 51.1
2-ON HOLY GROUND 50.2
8-CORANTO 44.6
Labels: Barretts, bets, betting, Del Mar, fairplex, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, September 17, 2013
BARRETTS AT FAIRPLEX PARK - SOME INFORMATION ABOUT MY SYSTEM
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: Barretts, bets, betting, Del Mar, fairplex, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, September 16, 2013
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,714 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: Barretts, bets, betting, Del Mar, fairplex, Fairplex Park, free, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, September 15, 2013
BARRETTS AT FAIRPLES PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-AUGSBURG 74.9
1-BANGED HIS EYE 63.2
7-DOCKWEILER 59.6
6-DRAMATIC ALLAN 46.0
3-MANDELIEU 43.3
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-Z Z WAY 68.6
2-CLOUDS CLEARING 47.8 (off slow)
1-TUPELO CUSH 44.2 (4 wide)
5-TIZOUTASIGHT 44.2
4-TOM KHA 34.6 (off slow)
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
5-ASCRIPTION 55.5
4-PAPA'S FLASHY GIRL 37.0
6-RAJA'S ROSE 33.0
1-ADRIATIC LASS 31.9
3-SWEET G 31.5
RACE 4
5-TEDDY THE BEAR 73.7
2-TOMMY'S TUNE 65.9
6-IMBLENDEDNOTSHAKEN 56.0
1-OUR FORTRESS 54.0
4-CLEVER CONCEPT 53.0
RACE 5
2-CHANGE OF PLAN 79.0
1-ONE FIRM CAT 73.1
6-HAZARDOUS 69.8
3-JUSTA GUSTA 67.0
5-HUNGER 61.6
RACE 6(all 2 yo. going 4f.)
8-PUNXSUTAWNEY PHIL 42.0
1-BUSHWACKED 39.4
6-TIME TO GO ROBO 36.6
2-DOUBLE NICKLE 28.9
10-IM JUAN'S BROTHER 24.1
1st time starters - 5, 3, 4
RACE 7
6-WILLING WARRIOR 62.7
1-ARTISTIC DESIGN 61.6
2-OH MEXICO 55.5
7-SUN CATCHER 53.5
4-GANNICUS 50.2
RACE 8
4-SIMPLY SHARP 77.6
1-TONES 71.4
3-AFLEET COWBOY 67.0
7-IRON JOE T 61.1
2-CRAGMONT 59.6
RACE 9
2-GITTEL 91.3
6-UBELONGTOMEMISSY 76.0
7-THE ONLY KEY 75.8
9-TEBOWING 74.9
3-TOWN BELLE 74.9
RACE 10
6-I EARNED IT BABY 79.6 (steadied)
1-GANGNAM GUY 74.9
5-HI FASHIONED 74.3
9-ECHO ZULU 67.5
10-WILLIE B AWESOME 64.8
1st time starters - 11
RACE 11
2-MIRACLE MERGER 51.6
6-HEAVEN'S BARGAIN 46.9
3-CLASSIC CANDY 42.9
9-SWEETPEACEFULDREAM 41.6
10-DULCEMIA 38.2
7-RSWEET SERENDIPITY 36.2
1st time starters - 1
Labels: Barretts, bets, betting, Del Mar, fairplex, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, September 14, 2013
BARRETTS AT FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: FRIDAY OUT OF THE NINE RACES HANDICAPPED ON MY SHEET 7 TOP PICKS WON. THIS INCLUDED THE PICK SIX WITH ALL TOP PICKS WINNING, PICK FOUR, PICK THREES, ETC.
RACE 1
3-ROYAL ENCOUNTER 85.6
6-DEPUTIFORMER 79.0
1-TIGER CAT 69.8
4-SURFER DAVE 61.1
5-SHAKERATTLENRULE 54.5
RACE 2
8-ARA BEST 49.2
4-BROKEN SKY 47.8
5-SURELYLU'S ANDANTE 31.1
1-TONY'S PINGUINI'S 24.1
2-BAMMIE LADY 15.5
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-TRIBAL TATTOO 60.1
5-LAROCCO 47.4
4-HOT BRIDE 41.1
2-PATTY WACK 38.6
1-EVENING NEWS 23.8
RACE 4
4-ARIZONA WILDCAT 60.1
3-NICHOLAS M 58.5
1-PREACHER'S BLUFF 54.5
7-OUR TROOPER 51.6
2-ATTEMPT 37.4
RACE 5
2-RALPHY GIRL 59.6
4-DANCE LITTLE ANGEL 53.5
3-BRITENESS 51.1
6-YALETOWN 47.8
5-SHARP BELLA 47.4
RACE 6
6-MINISTER MACHINE 71.4
1-ALPHONSO 69.2
5-SUNRISE LEGACY 64.8
3-ROBINDIP 61.6
2-MR.INN ZONE 51.6
RACE 7
5-BLAKE 73.1
1-USURP 70.3
4-KURO 63.2
3-DEFENSIVE MOVE 63.2
6-IT DOESN'T ADD UP 53.5
RACE 8
8-WOODYS WHARF 72.2
7-PLAYFUL HUMOR 71.4
1-SIDEPOCKET RUN 70.3
3-DOW DIVA 67.0
2-INTOXICATING MOVE 66.4
RACE 9
2-CANDY'S SUNRISE 83.2
1-TOLEDO EDDIE 81.4
3-RELENTLESS HEAT 80.2
6-MY SLEW 77.2
4-TOSS THE DICE 75.4
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-CITY BY THE BAY 72.6 (3 wide)
5-MEINERTZHAGENI 64.3
10-PERCHED 62.2
7-SIDE LETTER 59.6
9-WIRED FOR FUN 53.5
RACE 11
1-HAIR ON FIRE 69.8
7-KATEY PIE 55.0
2-U R MY CANDY GIRL 50.2
6-NEZI O'S GOLD 38.6
4-CHARGER GIRL 38.2
8-CHARLSIE'S SONG 37.0
Labels: Barretts, bets, betting, Del Mar, fairplex, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, September 13, 2013
BARRETTS AT FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (Arabians)
NO SELECTIONS
RACE 2
7-MADDOG MADDIE 43.8
1-STORMY PLEASURE 41.1
3-TAP TAP UR IT 33.0
6-JEANNE MARINI 28.9
4-WARREN'S OFF DUTY 13.0
RACE 3
8-DI CONTI 65.4
5-GRAND GAMBLER 54.5
2-STAR OF AMERICA 47.4
1-KARAISKAKIS 45.1
9-BULLET MOBILE 32.3
RACE 4 (all 2 yo going 4f.).)
6-ASCRIPTION 55.5
8-NANCY WAKE 55.0
9-SPRING DREAM 47.8
1-DAYLIGHTFULLY 25.1
3-CHELOKETTE 23.8
1st time starters - 4, 7, 5, 10
RACE 5
2-RUNAWAY WILDCAT 79.6
6-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 73.1
3-GALLANT GENT 72.6
1-GUIDOPANZINI 72.6
4-POSITION A 62.7
RACE 6
10-CONCERT MAN 60.6
1-GREEN DOLPHIN 55.5
4-BRYNEL 44.6
7-DANI'S BIRTHDAY 42.9
3-OLY'S WIND 40.3
RACE 7
8-LINDZ WINZ 61.1
4-GOTTA SKEDADDLE 58.5
1-BOO WHOO WHO 54.5
3-WRINKLE ROOM 52.1
6-METER ME GONE 49.7
RACE 8
7-HEZA GREAT FRIEND 62.7
2-KINGSBURY 62.2
10-PATRIOTIC LION 59.6
3-WARREN'S TYLER S. 55.5
4-JEFFERY'S PRIDE 46.4
1st time starters - 9
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
3-MISS SCATALICIOUS 77.2
6-BE PROUD 66.4
4-TAKE ONE 59.6
1-LOVE SMITTEN 53.5
5-ELEGANT TRICK 47.8
RACE 10
5-HERO'S MARINE 59.0
4-TOP KNOT 57.5
8-AWESOME GIFT 45.1
2-MUSIC AND ME 44.2
3-MS. SWEET FREEDOM 39.4
Labels: Barretts, bets, betting, fairplex, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, September 12, 2013
BARRETTS AT FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $18,305.
RACE 1 (Arabians)
NO SELECTIONS
RACE 2 (Arabians)
NO SELECTIONS
RACE 3
1-HARD PLAY 54.0
9-KARAISKAKIS 45.1
12-SECRET AGREEMENT 31.9
2-RIO VALLEY 26.8
3-MAUZZIE 26.1
11-FULL FARE 24.4
1st time starters - 7, 8, 4
RACE 4
5-RAISIN' CAIN 65.9
6-SHAE N DENAE 61.1
7-DEMOCRATIC SWEEP 57.5
2-ALONG FOR THE RIDE 56.5
1-LA TORERA 51.1
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-TOOKMEBYSURPRISE 49.7
9-FRANDONTJUDGE 39.0
8-CABBAGE 36.2
4-SUNRISA SUNRISA 34.6
6-ROUSSEAU 25.8
1st time starters - 7
RACE 6
5-LIVE THE FORTH 75.4
2-CONTROLLED CHAOS 73.7
6-CAT PIRATE 66.4
7-SUANCES PRIDE 65.4
3-CORI CELESTI 56.0
RACE 7
5-MI HIJO 73.7
6-I'LL FLY FOR YOU 62.7
3-I BUY GOLD 62.2
2-DISTINCTIVE COUGAR 54.0
7-BUD MATIC 48.8
1st time starters - 1, 4
RACE 8
6-MARGIES RULE 51.1
5-WILD NICOLE 47.8
4-PAIRODICE RIDGE 42.4
10-JAYA ROO 42.0
9-DIOCESAN POLICY 39.9
8-JUANA GALLOS 39.9
3-TORBEKA ROSE 39.9
RACE 9
6-MADOFFWITHTHEMONEY 86.9
1-SASSY SUANCES 82.0
8-J AND S EXPRESS 81.4
7-CATCH LORRAINE 80.8 (off March 12)
2-GOLDILOCKS PLANET 72.0
RACE 10
8-TRIBALICIOUS 67.0
11-GOLDEN GAB 59.0
2-CASUAL ENCOUNTER 58.5
4-AURELIA D 57.0
3-CHEROKEE CHEYENNE 54.0
1-CRAZY ABOUT HIM 53.5
Labels: Barretts, bets, betting, Del Mar, fairplex, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, September 11, 2013
BARRETTS AT FAIRPLEX PARK
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-LADY ROLL ON 46.4
7-FLOATTHRUTHEAIR 43.3
6-ROYAL WEEKEND 37.8
2-PARALYZING EYES 36.6
5-MISS JUDGED 33.4
1st time starters - 8
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-WARRENS BACKNTOWN 42.9
3-SAILORS BROTHER 41.1
4-WESTERN SHOWDOWN 33.0
1-WARRENSBROTHERBILL 22.2
1st time starters - 5
RACE 3
7-FALCON ROCK 72.0 (off Nov. 12)
5-BAY RUSH 69.2
3-COLOURSOFTHEGLEN 63.2
10-LE' HEAT 63.2
4-THERE GOES KEVIN 61.1
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-LOVELY INSTINCT 27.5
6-RITUAL HILLS 22.5 (steadied)
5-YVONS DIXIE MELODY 11.8 (off slow)
1-IRISH STREET 10.1
1st time starters - 7, 4, 3, 8
RACE 5
2-PEBBLE BEACH BABY 69.2
4-SULTRY SEASON 69.2
6-SWISS BLISS 58.5
3-SALLYANA 58.0
1-ANITA MARIE 56.5
RACE 6
8-SWISS SKI 74.3
5-POKER DAVE 66.4
9-PUT IT THERE 65.9
7-RAETODANDTY 65.4
2-SKYSPY 58.0
RACE 7
3-KATY'S STAR 59.6
5-VICTORIA SHINES 59.6
1-GIANNONATTI 54.5
7-SERIOUS 51.1
6-JESSE'S GIACOMO 51.1
RACE 8
6-ROSSI RESERVE 75.4
3-BROOKLYN ROSE 72.6
1-WILD IN THE SADDLE 71.4
2-SHE'S ALL YOURS 69.8
8-ADDENDUM 66.4
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
1-ECHO ZULU 72.0
3-BETTING MCCANN CAN 50.2
5-MR WILD KITTY 43.8 (3 wide)
2-BRIGHTON STAR 42.9
4-ROUNDUPTHELUTE 37.4 (off slow - 4 wide)
RACE 10
1-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 70.9
7-BIGBARI 67.5 (off Feb. 12)
6-BACKSTREET BOSS 61.6
12-ARTISTIC DESIGN 61.6
9-WISE BOSS 56.5
3-TALK THE WALK 55.5
Labels: Barretts, bets, betting, fairplex, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, September 10, 2013
BARRETTS AT FAIRPLEX PARK- SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: Barretts, bets, betting, Del Mar, fairplex, Fairplex Park, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, September 09, 2013
BARRETTS AT FAIRPLEX PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,707 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: Barretts, bets, betting, fairplex, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, September 08, 2013
BARRETTS AT FAIRPLEX - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4f.)
10-NANCY WAKE 55.0
5-SILVER N SASSY 45.5
12-TOOKMEBYSURPRISE 40.3
4-SWISS SUGAR 33.4
9-DAYLIGHTFULLY 33.4
1st time starters - 7, 6, 2, 3
RACE 2
7-CAJUN GENT 91.3
6-IAMTHEGANSTER 81.4
4-LINCECUM 74.9
9-PUT IT THERE 67.5
3-RUN'N ON RESIDUALS 63.2
2-ELUSIVE MOMENT 63.2
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-TAKEM BY SURPRISE 61.1
4-STEPPINGOOD 60.1
6-COMPULSIVE 46.4
7-TRIBAL MYSTIC 40.7
1-LUCA 40.3
RACE 4
5-TIZHARDTOGET 70.9
2-ILLICIT AFFAIR 63.8
3-RUN SOPHIA RUN 59.6
1-ROCKABYE LADY 58.0
4-SPEEDY VIXEN 57.0
1st time starters - 7
RACE 5
6-GENIUS 88.8
7-TOSS THE DICE 71.4
4-CRESTATORRE 69.2
5-CUNNING RIDE 65.9
2-SOUTH FLOYD 65.4
RACE 6
5-TEQUILAVILLE 62.7
4-NEZI O'S GOLD 41.1 (off July 12)
2-REST LAKE 40.7
7-KITSI 31.5
3-FULL OF SPICE 13.8
1st time starters - 6, 9, 1
RACE 7
2-WESTERN ROSES 82.0
5-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 77.8
6-MAN CHESTER MAN 65.4
9-BABY TATE 64.8
1-CAPTAIN BEAU 59.0
RACE 8
1-U R MY CANDY GIRL 52.1
4-SCARY FAST 48.8
9-THAMES VALLEY 47.4
5-SECRET SORORITY 46.0
3-LOVE SALAH DANCER 38.2
RACE 9
7-FEAR THE BEARD 79.6
6-KINGMAN KID 78.4
2-TAMARACK SMARTY 72.8
8-ARRAIGNMENT 67.0
1-HASTY TREND 61.6
RACE 10
1-STORMDRIVER 78.4
5-NAJRAN BREEZE 77.2
3-NORTH PACIFIC 76.6
2-ANILLO 73.1
4-EBONY GOLD 61.6
RACE 11
3-SOUL SAVER 52.6
10-CALIENTE CAT 45.5
2-RISESEASTSETSWEST 45.1
12-PATRIOTIC LION 43.8
5-CHANGE YOUR LUCK 42.4
1st time starters - 9, 4, 11
Labels: Barretts, bets, betting, fairplex, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, September 07, 2013
FAIRPLEX PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
8-HOLIDAY N NEWPORT 64.8
7-TEASING MOMENT 38.2
9-ROYAL WEEKEND 37.8
5-SHAMROCK BAY 35.4
3-BIG G SECRET CRAB 33.0
1st time starters - 1
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4f.)
1-BUSHWACKED 39.4
9-HE'S A WIZARD 27.2
6-PUNXSUTAWNEY PHIL 10.3
3-IM JUAN'S BROTHER 10.1 (off slow)
1st time starters - 4, 7, 2, 8
RACE 3
7-CHA CHA LATTE 62.2
8-POPULAR TRAMP 52.6
1-SUKARA 50.2
3-WARRENS CHINA DOLL 48.8
6-ATTRACTA 47.8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-TOO OBVIOUS 51.1
5-COME TO ALANNAH 50.2
2-SKY FOREVER 43.3
7-BETH'S MY BABE 37.4
4-SWEET LIPS POOH 35.4
RACE 5
5-MAGOO 94.5 (off Jan. 12)
6-CUVEES CHOICE 82.0
3-BERTRAN HILL 72.6 (off May 12)
7-ROBINDIP 71.4
1-SHANGHAI VOYAGE 64.3
RACE 6
6-CONCORDE WEST 65.4
12-GREEN DOLPHIN 55.5
10-HARD PLAY 54.0
1-EL TOVAR 48.3
7-ATOMIC RULE 42.4 (off Dec. 12)
8-LONESTAR J 42.4
1st time starters - 2
RACE 7
2-BIG G'S DANCE 80.8
7-SHAKERATTLENRULE 61.6
4-WARREN'S OPERATOR 54.5
3-OWN IT 51.6 (off Sept. 12)
8-DYNAGAIN 51.1
RACE 8
1-MR. CAPPUCCINO 47.8
5-DRAMATIC ALLAN 41.1
4-ARMY COMMANDER 35.8
11-TAYLOR'S JOURNEY 33.0
9-SENOR SNICKERS 26.1
1st time starters - 6, 3, 8, 7
RACE 9
3-FOREST PRINCE 88.1
6-LOOKN WILD 81.4
7-IT DOESNT ADD UP 76.6
8-NIGHT TIDE 74.9
5-STONE HOT 60.6
RACE 10
5-FIRST STRIKE 92.6
6-MAJESTIC STRIDE 89.4 (off Feb. 12)
1-D'PENDABLE 88.1
4-COO CACHOO 83.2
2-SYNDICATED 81.4
RACE 11
9-MARV 67.5
3-SLIGHT EDGE 55.0
12-TAYLOR MARINI 53.0
7-DEWRAG 51.1
11-RISESEASTSETSWEST 45.1
4-BULLET MIBILE 41.6
1st time starters - 8, 1
Labels: Barretts, bets, betting, fairplex, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred