Sunday, May 31, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
5-FOLLOW ME CREV 77.2
1-ERNEST SHACKLETON 75.4
3-JAZZY JOSH 67.0
4-DYNAMITE RIDE 64.3
2-TEMPLAR 63.5

RACE 2
4-GOLD JOURNEY 53.5
5-BERNIER 44.2
6-CODED MESSAGE 41.1
1-CLASSY CHICK 36.6
7-LANA CAPRINA 29.7 (off Aug. 14)

RACE 3
1-HOLY LUTE 112.2
2-OLIVER'S TALE 107.3
3-COUNTY LINEMAN 103.1
5-PURE TACTICS 101.1
4-BOBBY Z MAN 95.8

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
9-RICKLES 37.4
10-PHANTOM HEAT 29.3

1st time starters - (12 horses are 1st timers - no selections)

RACE 5
3-NO CONTINGENCY 75.4
1-CITY CHAPEL 74.3
2-SURF N SKI 71.4
5-TRAWEEK 69.8
8-RELENTLESS HEAT 68.1

RACE 6
5-ANXIOUS TIMES 98.5
6-BIG TIRE 91.9
7-FRIENDSWITH K MILL 85.0
2-I EARNED IT BABY 82.0
1-SUCESS RATE 79.4

RACE 7
6-CRUCERO 85.0
1-CERVARO 79.6
8-SMALL TOWN COP 79.6
4-WARREN'S WESLEY 76.6
3-LASSIE'S REWARD 70.9

RACE 8
1-BATTI MAN 108.6
5-BOYETT 104.5 (off Oct. 14)
2-YOU KNOW I KNOW 103.1
3-FIVE PALMS 102.3
4-APPEALING TALE 91.3

RACE 9
8-ALAMO 85.7
4-J SERINO 82.1
9-ROY H 79.6 (3 wide)
5-SEATTLE BOOM 44.2 (4 wide)
1-TIRPITZ 39.4 (off slow)
3-FEYNMAN 33.8 (off slow)

1st time starters - 7, 6, 2



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Saturday, May 30, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $59,349.

RACE 1
1-BELIEVE TOO 65.4
6-RAINSFORD 58.0
5-TOP DRAWER 58.0
2-PRICE OF GLORY 54.0
3-BLUEGRASS SIGHT 51.1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)

1st time starters - ALL 8 HORSES - NO SELECTIONS

RACE 3
7-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 85.0
8-ARTISTIC CHARM 82.5
3-SWEET AS A ROSE 82.0 (off Aug. 14)
5-YANA 77.6
6-LAROCCO 76.6

RACE 4
2-WIN WISH 51.6
4-GO JEREEMIAH 47.8
3-ALL AROUND BROWN 44.6
5-HALLUCINATOR 42.9
7-ZARGA STAR 42.0 (4 wide)

RACE 5
2-SPANISH QUEEN 97.8
5-SHARIA RAE 97.8
7-CONSUMER CREDIT 90.0
4-FEATHERED 88.1
6-MRS MCDOUGAL 83.8

RACE 6
4-FOREST BLUE 90.7
3-TRIED AND TRUE 90.7
7-BRONZE STAR 88.2
1-SPIN FORTY 85.6
6-BENTLEY'S GONE 78.1

RACE 7
7-SHEMP 84.4
5-IT IS LIVING WATER 82.7 (off Aug. 14)
2-DEAD EASY 81.4
3-NEXT RIGHT 79.7
9-BADASMYWIFELETSMEB 76.0
1-BABY BLAKE 76.0

RACE 8
7-MORENO 120.1
8-CATCH A FLIGHT 114.3
9-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 110.0
4-HARD ACES 99.8
1-BIG CAZANOVA 99.8
2-BAILOUTBOBBY 99.8

RACE 9
11-SEEDSANDSTEMSAGAIN 79.6
12-PAY THE FINE 75.4
10-NOOTEN 70.3
4-STORMIN TRICK 70.0
5-SHANTY IRISH 69.2
3-REAL BIG DEAL 63.1

1st time starters - 2, 9, 13

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Friday, May 29, 2015

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY EVE.

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
3-SHY ROSA 72.0
1-J AND S EXPRESS 70.9
2-RICH IN TRADITION 60.6
6-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 58.5
5-NOTHING TO HIDE 55.0

RACE 2
5-BOLO 100.4
4-SKY PREACHER 90.0
2-ROYAL ALBERT HALL 86.9
1-HERO TEN ALL 76.6
3-BLUE HARBOR 72.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
2-PULPIT RULES 16.1
8-SHEILA'S ANGEL 10.9 (off slow)
1-SOME CAAN JOB 10.3 (bumped at start)

1st time starters - 4, 5, 6, 3, 7

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
3-SAMBAMZAJAMMIN 56.0
5-SHARPEST ONE 14.5

1st time starters - 6, 7, 8, 1, 2, 4

RACE 5
9-YA YA GIRL 67.0
4-KATY DRAMA 65.4
2-BELLA BREEZE 62.1
5-SHOWCASE WINNER 57.0
6-CANADIAN EXCHANGE 52.1

1st time starters - 7, 3

RACE 6
3-QUICK NAVIGATOR 66.4
1-KRISTINITE 59.6
6-DEL MAR DIXIE 59.6
2-WARRENS GOLDNUGGET 55.0
7-ITALIAN BABA 52.6

RACE 7
6-JADE WITH ENVY 86.3
7-PREVARICATOR 83.8
8-CHOKECHERYMARY 80.8
1-NICEGIRLSFINISHLAST 79.0
4-SORESCA 77.2

RACE 8
4-MUDGE 48.3
2-SHALLOT 40.7
8-TRAVEL FREE 35.4 (off July 14)
3-PRECIOUS CAROLINE 34.2
7-LIZZY MARINI 33.0
6-KENNY'S GIRL 10.5 (off Aug. 14)

1st time starters - 5



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Thursday, May 28, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Wednesday, May 27, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,201 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Monday, May 25, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
6-ALPINE LUCK 83.2
3-FINALLYGOTABENTLEY 72.0
1-THE CLEANERS 69.8
5-COMO MI PADRE 68.1
2-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 68.1

RACE 2
1-TIZ ADDICTEDTOLOVE 80.2
3-JAYCEE'S HUMOR 68.6
7-SCANDAL 68.1
4-HARRIET TUBMAN 64.3
5-SHE'S REDDY 58.0 (off Oct. 14)

RACE 3
5-DISTINCTIV PASSION 109.3
6-SAN ONOFRE 107.9
4-WILD DUDE 107.3
2-WAR ACADEMY 96.8

RACE 4
5-KNOCK EM FLAT 93.9
3-LIFE IS A JOY 88.1
6-I DON'T CARE WHO 83.2
2-HELLO FRANKIE 73.1
7-NICKLAUS WAY 68.1

RACE 5
6-VOLUME 85.6
7-ROSICKY 85.6
8-WIN THE SPACE 85.6
11-IRON FIST 80.6
2-NOB HILL 78.4

1st time starters - 4, 1

RACE 6
12-PROVENANCE 85.6
4-DIVINA COMEDIA 84.4
3-SPELLING AGAIN 80.8
10-ENTRECHAT 79.6
1-CURLIN'S FOX 79.6

RACE 7
2-FLAT GONE 77.2
7-SECRET COMMAND 75.4 (off Nov. 14)
12-PUBLIC POLICY 73.7
9-WARREN'S T. BAZE 70.9
11-CURLIN IRON 70.9


RACE 8
9-HARD NOT TO LIKE 99.8
8-DANZA CAVALLO 99.8
4-FANTICOLA 97.8
5-SMOOVE IT 97.8
3-BLINGISMYTHING 97.1

1st time starters - 6 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
2-SOUL CRUSHER 73.7
6-SHOW AND TELL 57.5
10-TIZTHESPIRIT 53.5
12-LADIES MAN 48.8
5-MR. PETE GOT EVEN 47.4
1-ARTIC WARRIOR 47.4

1st time starters - 7

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Sunday, May 24, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $127,455.

RACE 1
1-DR. FAGER'S GAL 79.0
5-ALL STAR BUB 72.6
2-MISS MANDATE 68.6
4-GUILD 68.6
3-L.A. MAGIC 57.5

RACE 2
3-WHEN WE MET 89.4
1-BLUEGRASS REWARD 80.8
2-FAST MAST 75.4
5-FIT TO RULE 74.9
4-TRUCIAL STATE 65.9

RACE 3
5-ASHLEYLUVSSUGAR 110.7
1-DIVINE OATH 99.1
3-GANESH 95.2
2-CRUCERO 86.3

1st time starters - 4 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 4
3-BARBS ANGEL 63.2
6-JAZZED 56.5
7-STELLA MOON 53.0
10-EXPOSURE 43.8
9-CRYSTAL HARBOR 40.3

1st time starters - 11

RACE 5
2-TIZ JOSSELYN 62.2
8-GIRL DOWNSTAIRS 46.0 (off Oct. 14)
9-DESTROYER ESCORT 45.5 (off slow)
6-CADET RONI 43.3
1-MISS GREEN POND 42.0 (off Sept. 14)

1st time starters - 7, 5, 3, 4

RACE 6
5-BRANDO THE BIRDMAN 88.1
6-RANULF 84.4
2-SHAME ON ALEX 82.6
9-BOB CONSULTATION 77.2
3-JONNY'S CHOICE 76.0

RACE 7
11-ULTRA SHARP 76.6
7-LARRY BIRDSTONE 75.4
4-NAKAMOTO 65.9
3-STELLAR ACT 64.8
2-LOVENSEEK 61.0 (off Oct. 14)

1st time starters - 8, 5, 6

RACE 8
6-RULE HE WILL 96.5
9-TANNERSMYMUSCLE 89.4
2-FIELD REPORT 82.6
5-GUTSY RULER 79.6
8-GUY CODE 79.6

RACE 9
3-ARCHITOP 87.5
14-PAYTHEBANK 79.6
6-AIR POCKET 77.6
2-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 77.0
7-MALIBU WOOD 73.7
9-DARWIN'S DILEMMA 71.6

1st time starters - 5


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Saturday, May 23, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
3-OIL 82.0
2-AJAC 74.3
4-PLAYER'S CHARM 52.6
9-EAGLE ROCK 33.8 (off slow, bumped)
5-MR. CAPPUCCINO 31.9

1st time starters - 7, 6, 8, 1

RACE 2
2-KADESHA 69.2
5-CARRICK BAY 67.5
7-DIAMOND CUT 65.4
4-TRUE HISTORY 60.1
6-QUEENOFHERCASTLE 56.0

RACE 3
5-SUNDAY RULES 97.1
4-MEINERTZHAGENI 90.0
6-TRIBAL GAL 88.8
2-HARLINGTON'S ROSE 88.8
3-SIDEPOCKET RUN 79.5

RACE 4
3-JEAN EDWARD 61.6
7-AWESOME LUCK 59.6
10-AVO 30.8
9-MISS STAR MAKER 29.7
1-ANNISQUAM 28.3

1st time starters - 8, 6, 4, 5, 2

RACE 5
11-SURFER MOON 69.8
9-PREORDIANED 65.4
2-MAXIMINUS 62.7
4-SEEKING ASYLUM 62.2
10-TAKEN BY SURPRISE 59.6

RACE 6
1-MY MONET 102.8
2-WILD IN THE SADDLE 101.5
3-GO WEST MARIE 96.8
4-HEAT DU JOUR 87.5
5-CHATI'S ON TOP 87.5

RACE 7
3-SHEER PLEASURE 74.6
4-NIASSA 73.7
2-THERMODYNAMICS 71.6
6-LA FIERA 69.3
1-BARBARA BEATRICE 64.2

RACE 8
9-ROCKO'S WHEEL 102.1
6-CHIEF OF STAFF 95.0
4-ZINVOR 90.7
2-RICHARD'S BOY 88.9
5-GRAZEN SKY 86.3

RACE 9
9-MOTOWN MEN 110.7
6-SOI PHET 100.4 (off Dec. 14)
5-SHORT HEAT WAVE 93.9
3-TOLEDO EDDIE 93.2
10-JOY BOY 90.7

RACE 10
5-ACE DEUCE 79.0
7-THE CUSTODIAN 76.6
2-PROHIBITION REPEAL 76.0
10-BRIMSTONED 69.9
13-SIR CAL 67.6

1st time starters - 9

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Friday, May 22, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY EVE.

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
2-ADDENDUM 70.3
7-TOOMANYTOMATOES 65.4
5-MIDNIGHT LADY 64.3
3-WINNINGINFASHION 55.5
6-MONSTRO NESS 53.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
1-DUBDUBWATSON 68.1
5-SKEDADDLE BABE 40.7 (3 wide)
9-PHANTOM HEAT 29.3

1st time starters - 3, 7, 8, 2, 4, 6

RACE 3
6-WARRENSPOWEROFLOVE 53.5
3-DULCEMIA 49.7
1-ZEEKID 43.8
7-QUEEN KHALEESI 41.1
8-STUNNING TASTE 36.2

1st time starters - 4

RACE 4
1-I HEART YOU 60.1
8-PRIVATE MARINA 59.6
6-VEGAS BOUND 55.5
7-TEASING MOMENT 55.3
2-GREY GIRL GONE 47.6

RACE 5
2-MY JEALOUS 98.2
4-PROSPECTOR'S TRICK 91.9
10-EMPTY HEADED 91.3
5-EZIO 86.3
1-RANSOM CANYON 80.8

RACE 6
6-TEMPLAR 73.7
9-A COLT FOLLOWING 69.2
1-PAPA KADE 68.6
7-AFLEET IN TIME 65.4
3-HIGHWAY BOSS 62.7

RACE 7
8-HOME JOURNEY 103.8
5-BIRDLOVER 103.1
2-ALEXIS TANGIER 101.1 (off Oct. 14)
4-CAMRYN KATE 88.8
6-SAYES SO 88.8

RACE 8
7-BLAME IT ON TEKELA 63.8
6-FLEXIBLE 52.6
1-BLACK TIE 52.6
11-EMPIRE CAT 46.9
9-AARON AGAIN 46.0
8-SHARPENER 43.9

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Thursday, May 21, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
11-MISS GRIDLEY 40.7

1st time starters - 1 thru 8, 10 (no selections)

RACE 2
7-ZAN BO 86.3
1-SMART N DREAMY 85.6
6-FANTISTIC MIZZ 82.6
8-MAJESTIC MINISTER 79.6
3-TOPPERS SUNSHINE 76.6
5-REDRESSTHEBALANCE 76.6

RACE 3
4-ROCKET HEAT 83.2
8-PAPA TRUF 83.2
1-ULTIMATE LUCK 81.4
3-MR. COUNT ON ME 77.8
6-WILLY BE WILD 71.4

RACE 4
7-RAISED A SECRET 99.1
6-CAMINETTO 98.4
2-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 97.8
4-SEEKING THE SHERIF 93.2
1-HEAD SOUTH 93.2

RACE 5
2-MAGNA WARRIOR 87.5
7-SHAKAHARI 82.1
6-HOBBITS HERO 81.4 (off July 14)
9-GANGNAM GUY 79.6
5-MONSIEUR POWER 77.8

RACE 6
9-SOUTHERN LOYALTY 67.5
6-WYNHURST 64.8
8-BANDIDO TOO 62.7
4-UPTOWN RYTHEM 62.2
10-DOTHRAKI 60.2

1st time starters - 5, 1

RACE 7
9-TIZA CLASSY LASS 82.6
8-TANGELO 82.0
2-WON'T BE SHAKEN 73.1
3-CHAULK O LATTEY 71.6
10-WATER ISSUES 69.8

RACE 8
4-HYE I'M JACK 64.8
7-SOMETHINGABOUTNICK 60.1
11-BUCKLEBERRY GREY 59.3 (off April 13)
2-HONEY FEVER 47.8
5-TIZ ALL THAT 45.1
1- PAPA'S PLAYBOY 44.6

1st time starters - 8, 6


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Wednesday, May 20, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, May 19, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,196 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, May 17, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $80,137.

RACE 1
4-VALENTINE'S REWARD 57.0
3-FEEL THE CHARGE 49.2
2-CLASS DIVINE 29.7
5-DANA'S DELIGHT 27.6
1-PALM CANYON 22.2

RACE 2
4-LIGHT STRIKER 72.0
5-LA CASADORA 70.9
6-SHEZA EYEOPENER 67.0
1-SPIRIT OF TEN 65.4
3-ARTICULATE 64.3

RACE 3
8-L X SUNRISE 63.2
2-MS. K J 39.9
9-ROMAN WILD 38.2 (off May 14)
6-CORONADO CAT 36.6 (off slow, 3 wide)
7-ELUSIVE MISTRESS 21.9 (off Nov. 14)

1st time starters - 5

RACE 4
4-IT'S AINE 81.4
6-DISSENSION 76.6
2-SALSITA 74.3
5-TWO STEP FLOR 73.7 (off July 14)
7-ALWAYS A CHANCE 73.1

RACE 5
1-LUST FOR LIFE 76.0
8-FRANDONTJUDGE 72.6
6-PAY THE DEBT 70.3
5-SMOOTH TALKER 67.5
3-SENSATIONAL NIKKI 65.7

RACE 6
2-FOREST CHATTER 102.5
6-U S CITIZEN 97.8
7-INDEXICAL 96.5
8-HORIZONALYSPEAKIN 96.5
1-AIN'T NO OTHER 95.8

RACE 7
9-PEACENIK 76.6
5-SUPERCABRAS 59.0
7-TRIUNFO 58.5
8-LAND OF THE FREE 58.5
4-MAY WEATHER 57.5

RACE 8
8-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 94.5
5-BACK TO BAKO 90.7
6-TOSHEEN 89.4
7-GOLD CHASER 88.8
3-FORMALLY WILD 86.9

1st time starters - 2 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
6-BELLAMY CONCERTO 72.0
7-HOOK 'EM KURT 70.3
8-TOSSMEACUTIE 32.3

1st time starters - 10, 11, 4, 9, 3, 5, 2, 1

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Saturday, May 16, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - PIMLICO "PREAKNESS" - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








PIMLICO
RACE 13 - "THE PREAKNESS"
2-DORTMUND 123.8
1-AMERICAN PHAROAH 123.8
8-FIRING LINE 120.8
7-DIVINING ROD 107.9
4-DANZIG MOON 100.4
6-BODHISATTVA 95.8
3-MR. Z 94.5
5-TALE OF VERVE 77.8

SANTA ANITA
RACE 1
6-ERTE 52.1
1-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 52.0
5-WORTHY GRAPES 51.6
3-SUMMER VEIL 50.6
2-ILL TELL YOU WHAT 43.8

RACE 2
2-TARA'S 98.4
6-BEN'S DUCHESS 89.44
5-FANTASTIC STYLE 88.1
4-MOONS OVER ME 69.8
3-SUVA HARBOR 64.3

RACE 3
1-SYNNIN 88.8
8-ATTA BOY PETE 87.5
7-KNOW PLANS 86.9
2-BRAVE ACT 86.9
6-EL TOVAR 86.3

RACE 4
5-MARYCASEY 83.2
1-SKY MEGA 82.6
3-GRACIE RAGAZZA 77.2
6-D'YA KNOWWHATIMEAN 69.2
2-BLUSHING ANGEL 68.1

RACE 5
2-INK WELL 64.8
6-LUTE IT UP 56.5
11-STEPSUN 44.6
4-ILLYBILLY BOY 40.7
7-GEMMABETO 39.4

1st time starters - 5

RACE 6
5-PEPPY BOLLY 72.6
8-TWELVE FOLDS 70.3
4-LUCKY STUDENT 67.5
7-SUGAR SPICE 67.5
1-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 65.4

RACE 7
4-CHARMING STARLET 71.4
9-SCUTI DE PUTUTI 62.7
6-SILVER SPECTACLE 62.1
11-REDO IT 58.0
12-BIG MOVE 52.6

1st time starters - 1, 3, 8

RACE 8
3-CUDDLE ALERT 61.1
13-CHERISH 55.0 (off May 14)
12-FORBIDDEN COMMAND 46.9 (3 wide)
11-TICABOO 29.7
4-S'MORE FUNNY FEVER 24.1

1st time starters - 9, 2, 7, 6, 10

RACE 9
8-SHAPELY 85.6 (off Jun. 14)
7-BELLE OF THE FLEET 79.6
11-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 78.4
2-BIG BREAK 77.2
3-IMWITHTHEBLONDE 77.2

RACE 10
13-FANCY SHOES 85.8
2-I'LL WRAP IT UP 83.2
9-SIR MACHO 83.2
3-SMALL TOWN COP 79.6
14-FORT CADY 78.1

RACE 11
4-WILD CAROLINE 63.4 (off Nov. 14)
5-TURN ON 59.0
11-TRIBAL YODLER 59.0
10-GRAMMY TIMES SIX 59.0
14-SAY'S WHO 51.1





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Friday, May 15, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
1-RUNBRORUN 58.0
2-TUMBLEWEEDPRINCESS 41.6 (3 wide)
3-XINGONTOTHEBONE 34.6

1st time starters - 7, 5, 6, 4

RACE 2
3-AMERICAN ACT 82.6
2-BLACKFORD 80.2
4-FAST MAST 76.6
6-BIRD E HOUSE 72.0
5-JACKSON SUNDOWN 67.5

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
8-STAR EXPRESS 41.6 (4 wide)
2-JACKEEATTACKEE 15.0

1st time starters - 1, 3, 7, 6, 5, 4

RACE 4
8-WON'T BE SHAKEN 71.4
4-LOOKIN FOR MONEY 69.8
9-BUTTERCUP GOLD 67.5
6-BACKSTREET LISA 62.2
3-KISS AT MIDNIGHT 62.2

RACE 5
5-DRESS CODE 90.0
3-AMERICAN BLEND 84.4
6-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 80.8
4-CARLOT COWBOY 80.8
1-CANDY FOR DEBBIE 76.0

RACE 6
4-FAST TRACK 90.7
3-RUSH IN 86.3
7-MACHO SOX 84.4
1-LOS BAMBINOS 82.6
2-ALL SQUARED AWAY 82.6 (off June 13)

RACE 7
1-LIMITED RESPONSE 80.2
8-COOLINGTON 72.6
4-NO CONTINGENCY 69.8
2-SIR BARCLAY 69.8
3-SURF N SKI 69.2

RACE 8
6-HOUSEMAKER 64.3
5-BARBS ANGEL 63.2 (off Oct. 14)
1-PAMMY WHAMMY 61.1
9-CARNIVAL LIGHTS 56.0
8-LUVURYAN 54.0
11-CHRISTIANAS MIRAGE 54.0
12-FEEL THE CHARGE 53.3





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Thursday, May 14, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $129,769.

RACE 1
1-WANDERING HEART 72.6
5-KISS MY FACE 63.8
3-HIGH INTENSITY 47.8
4-WEST MID 40.5
2-PIXIE DUSTUP 33.4 (off slow, 4 wide)

RACE 2
6-BLIND DREAMS 45.1
1-BERNIER 42.4
3-CODED MESSAGE 40.7
5-SPLENDID OUTCAST 36.6
2-WARRIOR THATCHER 35.8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
7-ESMERALDA BELLE 38.6
1-PRINCESS PIPPA 27.5
8-PULPIT RULES 15.0 (broke out, hopped, off slow)

1st time starters - 6, 3, 4, 5, 2, 9

RACE 4
6-SINFULLY 92.6
7-MISTAKEN INDENITY 92.6
4-HAWKEDON 89.4
5-ROYAL F J 88.1
2-MOBILIZED 85.6

RACE 5
1-SHOPPING SAVANNAH 69.2
3-DEMOCRACY RULES 68.1
4-GARNISHED WAGES 67.0
5-IN DAD'S HONOR 42.8
2-WILDY EXCESSIVE 41.1

RACE 6
13-SOMETHING UNUSUAL 94.5
10-EDDIE'S FIRST 91.9
14-BACK TO BAKO 90.7
9-TOSHEEN 89.4
11-FORMALLY WILD 86.9

1st time starters - 12 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7
3-QUEEN OF THE HILL 64.3
8-NORASTONE 61.1
6-RICH IN TRADITION 55.5
4-BLUE BLIZZARD 54.0
5-NOTHING TO HIDE 53.5

RACE 8
6-NATIVE RIDE 85.0
4-MILTEE 64.3
5-PYROTECHNICS 62.7 (off July 14)
9-UNUSUALLY BIG 61.1
8-VILLAGE KITTEN 60.6
7-ARCHIE BUNKER 59.0

1st time starters - 10


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Wednesday, May 13, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA -SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, May 12, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,190 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, May 10, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
2-KYANKES 62.2
3-MOTHERNATURESPELL 59.8
6-MINSTER'SADVENTURE 59.6 (4 wide)
5-SUMMER LADY 57.5 (3 wide)
1-QUEENOFHERCASTLE 54.6

RACE 2
1-JAN'S SPIRIT 69.5
5-STEALTH DRONE 66.4
2-SWEET SILVER 59.6
6-YES YES BARONESS 56.0
4-DESERT WILLOW 50.6

RACE 3
2-DI GIORGIO 104.5 (off March 14)
6-CHINA PRINCE 103.6 (off June 14)
8-BOBBY Z MAN 101.1
4-DROVER CRAZY 100.3 (off July 14)
5-APPEALING TALE 95.7

RACE 4
2-ATTACK 77.2
6-OLMSTEAD 62.7
3-DOYOUKNOWSOMETHING 57.5
4-VISIBLITY 54.5
1-TIZTHESPIRIT 49.0

RACE 5
1-ROCK SHANDY 82.2
5-BLUE HARBOR 80.8
3-CARDIAC 72.6
4-OM 69.9
2-PERFECT TEMPTATION 68.1

RACE 6
9-SOUL CRUSHER 73.7
1-HYE I'M JACK 60.1
6-THE B G WAY 56.5
3-CAT FROM IRAQ 53.5
4-KEEGERS 51.6

1st time starters - 5

RACE 7
1-YIANNIS 94.5
4-FOREST BLUE 91.9
6-SERBIAN SYCLONE 88.8
7-KENTUCKIAN 88.1
2-THE MAN 86.9

RACE 8
1-MOANIN 91.3
2-DIAMOND STILETTOS 86.3
6-ONE MORE 83.9
8-FULL RANSOM 79.6
9-MEETING WATERS 78.4

RACE 9
13-ON THE KEY 79.6
1-FONZ 73.1
8-RELENTLESS HEAT 70.9
7-TRUCIAL STATE 70.3
12-BIXLEY 70.3 (off July 14)
2-BUFFALO 68.1
10-TITLED NOBILITY 64.8


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Saturday, May 09, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIC CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $53,710

RACE 1
7-LONDON LEGACY 83.2
6-NARDO 59.6

1st time starters - 5, 4, 3, 1, 2

RACE 2
7-EMYVALE COURT 79.0
11-KATY DRAMA 62.2
9-EXPLICABLE 59.0
4-SWEETER THANCANDY 54.5 (off Nov. 14)
10-ELEMENTAR 43.3 (off Oct. 14)

1st time starters - 6, 2, 1, 8, 5 (stumbled, lost jock), 3

RACE 3
1-RAMBLING HOUSE 71.4
8-CHESTER B 64.3
3-WARREN'S CASPER 63.8
5-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 62.2
6-PEFIOLO 61.6

RACE 4
1-CINDY'S SECRET 77.8
4-SILVER MOJAVE 76.8 (off Aug. 14)
9-Q' VIVA 76.6
3-VANLOSE STAIRWAY 68.6
11-KRISTINITE 68.6

RACE 5
1-WARREN'S VENEDA 110.7
2-GAS TOTAL 92.6
4-MY SWEET ADDICTION 89.4
5-LEGACY 77.8

RACE 6
9-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 98.4
7-GRAZEN'S HOPE 94.5
4-PLANET SUNSHINE 93.9
11-OLIGARCH 91.9
1-I'M NOT GRAY 88.8

RACE 7
12-I B MIKE 89.4
9-SUCCESS RATE 89.4
8-CHERUBIM 87.5
14-JEDI MIND TRICK 87.5
5-PAT THE BEAR 83.8

1st time starters - 11 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
5-TALCO 103.8
7-HOME RUN KITTEN 101.8
3-WINNING PRIZE 101.1
4-GABRIEL CHARLES 98.4
2-WAR ACADEMY 97.2

1st time starters - 8 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
5-GO JEREMIAH 50.2
3-ZIRONDELLE 47.4
4-PRACTICAL 45.5
11-SHOW AND TELL 43.8 (5 wide)
9-SMOOVEN SQUARE 41.6
10-SURE VICTORY 41.1 (off June 13)

1st time starters - 7



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Friday, May 08, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
1-PHANTOM HEAT 29.3

1st timers - no selections (six horses)

RACE 2
6-KEEZHEEKONI 82.0
2-NAZARETH 70.1
5-COMIN'OFFTHEBENCH 69.8
4-WARREN'S DIXI BELL 67.5
1-BEYOND LUCKY 60.1

RACE 3
4-FOOTSTEPSINBRONZE 98.4 (off Aug. 14)
1-PATRIOTS RULE 96.5
6-BENCH LIGHT 95.8
5-TWENTYTWENTYVISION 93.9
7-CALM PACIFIC 90.7

RACE 4
2-GOVENOR CHARLIE 105.2 (off April 14)
1-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 100.4 (off Nov. 14)
6-BAILOUTBOBBY 97.1
5-YOU KNOW I KNOW 95.2
3-BATTI MAN 89.4

RACE 5
7-LADYSGOTGAME 59.0
5-VALENTINE'S REWARD 56.0
2-IVANA BEAT YOU 54.6
1-ELIMINATION ROUND 52.5
4-MUCHO BLESSINGS 49.0 (off Aug. 14)

RACE 6
2-GREAT LOU 88.1
1-HOT LIGHTNING 79.0
3-HIGHWAY BOSS 64.8
4-SIGNATURE CAT 64.8
6-BELIEVE TOO 64.3

RACE 7
7-TOOWINDYTOHAULROX 96.3
9-DECISIVE EDGE 91.3
2-WANSTEAD GARDENS 88.8
1-GRACHUS THE HUNTER 82.0
4-DONTMESSWITHKITTEN 80.2

1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
1-GOLD JOURNEY 50.2
9-IPRAY 46.4
3-MUDGE 44.6
10-WARREN'S SALUTE 42.4
5-SLEW KEYTY 36.6
6-CRYSTAL HARBOR 33.0 (off slow)

1st time starters - 8


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Thursday, May 07, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
6-TIMELESS INDY 86.9
1-BOB CONSULTATION 77.8
5-TRELAWNY 65.9
2-DESTINO 62.7
4-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 61.6

RACE 2
1-KING OF JAZZ 61.6
6-SELECTION 68.6
7-PAYTHEBANK 68.1
3-MR. CARTAGENA 66.4
5-TOP FLOOR 62.7

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS - ALL 1ST TIME STARTERS

RACE 4
7-MISS DOUBLE D'ORO 81.9
2-HAVANNA BELLE 79.6
6-LOOKIN FOR MONEY 70.3
1-SHOW STEALER 69.8
3-FROSTY FRIDAY 68.6

RACE 5
6-DANETTE 77.2
8-HARD NIGHT'S DAY 71.4
9-CONQUEST CURLGIRL 67.6
1-FOOLISH WAYS 61.4
2-SWEET PROMISES 59.6

RACE 6
4-JADE WITH ENVY 75.4
6-TOOMANYTOMATOES 73.6
1-LOVE BLIND 73.1
3-PREVARICATOR 72.0
5-SORESCA 70.3

RACE 7
6-MEDICINE GAL 78.4
10-PEPPY BOLLY 77.8
4-ZUZU'S PETALS 77.2
2-CODACIOUS 73.7
3-JENNA'S FAITH 73.7

RACE 8
5-DIXIE DAME 50.6
9-DEL MAR DIXIE 46.1
2-HONKY TONK DIVA 42.4
3-RED CARRERA 38.2
4-WARRIOR THATCHER 36.6
8-FRANNIE'SSPIRITTOO 32.4
7-CHICAGO ANGEL 32.4


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Wednesday, May 06, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, May 05, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,190 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, May 03, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
4-J AND S EXPRESS 69.8
3-MONSTRO NESS 60.1
6-NORASTONE 60.1
1-NOTHING TO HIDE 55.5
5-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 47.4

RACE 2
1-BELLE OF THE FLEET 74.9
6-PRETTYHOTPRINCESS 74.3 (off Sept. 14)
5-SEA JOHN'S SPIRIT 71.4
2-LAROCCO 69.2
4-MYNTZ CONNECTION 65.9 (off June 13)

RACE 3
2-NEVER ENDS 82.0
7-TWO TAPS 71.4 (off slow, 3 wide)
3-HALF PAST MIDNIGHT 55.0 (steadied)

1st time starters - 6, 5, 4, 1

RACE 4
6-LUCKY VIEWS 88.1
3-TURN ON THE PUMPS 86.9
4-DURANGO FLIER 83.2
5-UNUSUALLY GREEN 82.0
10-BLACKFORD 81.4

RACE 5
4-JAZZED 46.0 (off slow)
8-POCKETFULLOFGREEN 41.1
6-CHARLOTTE R 36.2
1-NOT TONIGHT 22.5
2-PUNK FEVER 21.6

1st time starters - 7, 3, 5

RACE 6
9-EZIO 97.1
5-PERSUASIVE PAUL 92.9
3-SIZZLIN' JOE 88.8
2-FAST TRACK 86.3
4-BUYMEABOND 80.8

RACE 7
4-MY MONET 92.6
2-GRANDOISE TACTICS 91.9
1-VALIENT EMILIA 88.1
5-HONEY RIDE 83.8
6-BACKINTHEACADEMY 78.4

RACE 8
9-SPIRIT OF XIAN 99.1
2-SPANISH QUEEN 95.8
8-ENTRECHAT 92.6
6-PRIZE EXHIBIT 84.4
10-SINGING KITTY 81.4

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Saturday, May 02, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA & KENTUCKY DERBY - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








CHURCHILL DOWNS

RACE 11 - KENTUCKY DERBY
8-DORTMUND 125.3
3-MATERIALITY 125.3
19-UPSTART 125.3
18-AMERICAN PHAROAH 123.8
10-FIRING LINE 115.7
9-BOLO 115.0
12-INTERNATIONAL STAR 113.6
15-FROSTED 112.2
2-CARPE DIEM 110.2
20-FAR RIGHT 104.5
4-TENCENDUR 103.1
16-WAR STORY 101.1
5-DANZIG MOON 99.1
17-MR. Z 98.4
14-KEEN ICE 93.9
1-OCHO OCHO OCHO 93.2
13-ITSAKNOCKOUT 89.4
21-FRAMMENTO 88.1

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. fgn.)

SANTA ANITA
RACE 1
4-MEMPHIS 86.3
2-MAGNA WARRIOR 85.0
1-MY SLEW 79.6
8-SHAKAHARI 76.6
6-SIR BARCLAY 72.6

RACE 2
1-MISS LAFAYETTE 82.0
4-MISS BOOM BOOM 79.0
5-NICKELS WILD 78.4
7-STAR ACT 75.4
3-HUG AND A KISS 71.4

RACE 3
1-NORTHERN IOWA 85.6
6-SAINT DERMOT 83.8
2-DERBY GLASS 83.2
5-FORT CADY 74.9
8-FOLLOW ME CREV 73.1

RACE 4
1-HAAAY SEXY LADY 37.4
3-SPLENDID OUTCAST 37.4
2-MIDNIGHT DIME 35.4
7-STUNNING TASTE 26.8
5-CATALINA BONITA 24.4

1st time starters - 13, 14

RACE 5
6-RICHARD'S BOY 91.9
8-WIN THE SPACE 87.5
3-BENCH WARRANT 86.3
4-GUY CODE 85.6
7-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 83.2

RACE 6
1-GOOD SAMURAI 72.0 (off April 14)
10-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 67.5
8-I ROCK THE PARTY 64.3
4-CINEMATIC CAT 64.3
11-TAKEM BY SURPRISE 59.6

RACE 7
6-LARRY BIRDSTONE 83.2
3-INCLINE VILLAGE 76.0
1-DEAD EASY 76.0
8-BADASMYWIFELETSMEBE 73.7
4-HE WILL 73.4

RACE 8
2-IRON FIST 82.0 (off Sept. 14)
5-SOUTHERN LADY 73.1
9-HOOK 'EM KURT 70.9
6-GRAVITY FORCE 60.7 (off Oct. 13)
3-TRAVEL BOUND 57.0 (off slow, 3 wide)

1st time starters - 4, 8, 7, 11

RACE 9
2-NOWALKING 94.5
8-ARLINGTON HOUSE 93.2
9-ANXIOUS TIMES 90.0
7-BIG TIRE 88.8
1-LIMITED RESPONSE 81.4

RACE 10
2-FURY KAPCORI 113.6
5-CATCH A FLIGHT 109.3
9-MOTOWN MEN 105.9
1-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 105.9
7-BLUE TONE 98.4

RACE 11
9-SEEDSANDSTEMSAGAIN 78.4
7-UNUSUALY 74.3
8-PAY THE FINE 72.3
12-BRIMSTONED 70.9
11-SHANTY IRISH 68.6
3-SIR CAL 65.4

1st time starters - 6, 4


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Friday, May 01, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY AND "THE OAKS"

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $41,375.

RACE 1
1-OIL 81.4
5-PLAYER'S CHARM 42.9
6-ULTIMATE LUCK 42.4
3-TONY TEQUILA 38.2
2-PAPA'S PLAYBOY 23.3

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
5-SHE'S A BIG WINNER 85.0
1-AVENGE 84.4
3-MIO ME 75.4
6-SUVA HARBOR 67.0
2-MOONS OVER ME 65.4

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)

NO SELECTIONS - ALL 1ST TIME STARTERS

RACE 4
4-4-LUCKY J LANE 98.4
7-HORIZONALYSPEAKIN 95.8
2-TOLEDO EDDIE 91.3
6-SOMETHING UNUSUAL 90.0
5-WEEWINNNIN 88.1

RACE 5
7-AJAC 77.8
5-BOOK THIRTY FOUR 69.2
4-STORMIN TRICK 67.0
3-FIGHT THRU 59.8
2-OVER PAR 57.2

RACE 6
2-NICEGIRLSFINISHLAST 78.4
3-NAZARETH 70.9
7-CARRICK BAY 70.3
5-KANTINA KOWGIRL 67.6
1-WARRENS GOLDNUGGET 66.4

RACE 7
6-ENDLESS CRUISE 77.8
2-SURF N SKI 76.6
5-FINALLYGOTABENTLEY 70.9
3-CELTIC MOON 66.4
8-THE CLEANERS 65.4 (off July 14)

RACE 8
5-VOW ME OVER 70.3
3-MORNING COFFEE 68.6
8-PANKHURST 61.1
6-BELLE ET BETE 57.5
7-BAD JU JU 56.0

RACE 9
7-THE GOLD MONKEY 64.3 (off June 14)
1-WIN WISH 59.0
2-SECURE DIVDEND 57.0
4-HIT A HOMERUN 56.0
9-CURLIN IRON 52.6 (off Nov. 14)
5-ARTIC WARRIOR 46.0 (off Jan. 14)

CHURCHILL DOWNS - RACE 11, "KENTUCKY OAKS"

12-STELLAR WIND 105.9
8-I'M A CHATTERBOX 104.5
5-CONDO COMMANDO 100.4
7-LOVELY MARIA 97.8
13-BIRDATTHEWIRE 95.2
3-INCLUDE BETTY 93.9
4-ESKENFORMONEY 93.2
1-FOREVER UNBRIDLED 91.3
2-SHOOK UP 91.3
6-ANGELA RENEE 88.8
10-OCEANWAVE 86.9
14-PUCA 82.6
11-SARAH SIS 82.0
9-MONEY'SONCHARLOTTE 81.4
15-PEACE AND WAR 73.7


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