Saturday, May 02, 2015
SANTA ANITA & KENTUCKY DERBY - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
CHURCHILL DOWNS
RACE 11 - KENTUCKY DERBY
8-DORTMUND 125.3
3-MATERIALITY 125.3
19-UPSTART 125.3
18-AMERICAN PHAROAH 123.8
10-FIRING LINE 115.7
9-BOLO 115.0
12-INTERNATIONAL STAR 113.6
15-FROSTED 112.2
2-CARPE DIEM 110.2
20-FAR RIGHT 104.5
4-TENCENDUR 103.1
16-WAR STORY 101.1
5-DANZIG MOON 99.1
17-MR. Z 98.4
14-KEEN ICE 93.9
1-OCHO OCHO OCHO 93.2
13-ITSAKNOCKOUT 89.4
21-FRAMMENTO 88.1
1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. fgn.)
SANTA ANITA
RACE 1
4-MEMPHIS 86.3
2-MAGNA WARRIOR 85.0
1-MY SLEW 79.6
8-SHAKAHARI 76.6
6-SIR BARCLAY 72.6
RACE 2
1-MISS LAFAYETTE 82.0
4-MISS BOOM BOOM 79.0
5-NICKELS WILD 78.4
7-STAR ACT 75.4
3-HUG AND A KISS 71.4
RACE 3
1-NORTHERN IOWA 85.6
6-SAINT DERMOT 83.8
2-DERBY GLASS 83.2
5-FORT CADY 74.9
8-FOLLOW ME CREV 73.1
RACE 4
1-HAAAY SEXY LADY 37.4
3-SPLENDID OUTCAST 37.4
2-MIDNIGHT DIME 35.4
7-STUNNING TASTE 26.8
5-CATALINA BONITA 24.4
1st time starters - 13, 14
RACE 5
6-RICHARD'S BOY 91.9
8-WIN THE SPACE 87.5
3-BENCH WARRANT 86.3
4-GUY CODE 85.6
7-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 83.2
RACE 6
1-GOOD SAMURAI 72.0 (off April 14)
10-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 67.5
8-I ROCK THE PARTY 64.3
4-CINEMATIC CAT 64.3
11-TAKEM BY SURPRISE 59.6
RACE 7
6-LARRY BIRDSTONE 83.2
3-INCLINE VILLAGE 76.0
1-DEAD EASY 76.0
8-BADASMYWIFELETSMEBE 73.7
4-HE WILL 73.4
RACE 8
2-IRON FIST 82.0 (off Sept. 14)
5-SOUTHERN LADY 73.1
9-HOOK 'EM KURT 70.9
6-GRAVITY FORCE 60.7 (off Oct. 13)
3-TRAVEL BOUND 57.0 (off slow, 3 wide)
1st time starters - 4, 8, 7, 11
RACE 9
2-NOWALKING 94.5
8-ARLINGTON HOUSE 93.2
9-ANXIOUS TIMES 90.0
7-BIG TIRE 88.8
1-LIMITED RESPONSE 81.4
RACE 10
2-FURY KAPCORI 113.6
5-CATCH A FLIGHT 109.3
9-MOTOWN MEN 105.9
1-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 105.9
7-BLUE TONE 98.4
RACE 11
9-SEEDSANDSTEMSAGAIN 78.4
7-UNUSUALY 74.3
8-PAY THE FINE 72.3
12-BRIMSTONED 70.9
11-SHANTY IRISH 68.6
3-SIR CAL 65.4
1st time starters - 6, 4
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
CHURCHILL DOWNS
RACE 11 - KENTUCKY DERBY
8-DORTMUND 125.3
3-MATERIALITY 125.3
19-UPSTART 125.3
18-AMERICAN PHAROAH 123.8
10-FIRING LINE 115.7
9-BOLO 115.0
12-INTERNATIONAL STAR 113.6
15-FROSTED 112.2
2-CARPE DIEM 110.2
20-FAR RIGHT 104.5
4-TENCENDUR 103.1
16-WAR STORY 101.1
5-DANZIG MOON 99.1
17-MR. Z 98.4
14-KEEN ICE 93.9
1-OCHO OCHO OCHO 93.2
13-ITSAKNOCKOUT 89.4
21-FRAMMENTO 88.1
1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. fgn.)
SANTA ANITA
RACE 1
4-MEMPHIS 86.3
2-MAGNA WARRIOR 85.0
1-MY SLEW 79.6
8-SHAKAHARI 76.6
6-SIR BARCLAY 72.6
RACE 2
1-MISS LAFAYETTE 82.0
4-MISS BOOM BOOM 79.0
5-NICKELS WILD 78.4
7-STAR ACT 75.4
3-HUG AND A KISS 71.4
RACE 3
1-NORTHERN IOWA 85.6
6-SAINT DERMOT 83.8
2-DERBY GLASS 83.2
5-FORT CADY 74.9
8-FOLLOW ME CREV 73.1
RACE 4
1-HAAAY SEXY LADY 37.4
3-SPLENDID OUTCAST 37.4
2-MIDNIGHT DIME 35.4
7-STUNNING TASTE 26.8
5-CATALINA BONITA 24.4
1st time starters - 13, 14
RACE 5
6-RICHARD'S BOY 91.9
8-WIN THE SPACE 87.5
3-BENCH WARRANT 86.3
4-GUY CODE 85.6
7-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 83.2
RACE 6
1-GOOD SAMURAI 72.0 (off April 14)
10-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 67.5
8-I ROCK THE PARTY 64.3
4-CINEMATIC CAT 64.3
11-TAKEM BY SURPRISE 59.6
RACE 7
6-LARRY BIRDSTONE 83.2
3-INCLINE VILLAGE 76.0
1-DEAD EASY 76.0
8-BADASMYWIFELETSMEBE 73.7
4-HE WILL 73.4
RACE 8
2-IRON FIST 82.0 (off Sept. 14)
5-SOUTHERN LADY 73.1
9-HOOK 'EM KURT 70.9
6-GRAVITY FORCE 60.7 (off Oct. 13)
3-TRAVEL BOUND 57.0 (off slow, 3 wide)
1st time starters - 4, 8, 7, 11
RACE 9
2-NOWALKING 94.5
8-ARLINGTON HOUSE 93.2
9-ANXIOUS TIMES 90.0
7-BIG TIRE 88.8
1-LIMITED RESPONSE 81.4
RACE 10
2-FURY KAPCORI 113.6
5-CATCH A FLIGHT 109.3
9-MOTOWN MEN 105.9
1-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 105.9
7-BLUE TONE 98.4
RACE 11
9-SEEDSANDSTEMSAGAIN 78.4
7-UNUSUALY 74.3
8-PAY THE FINE 72.3
12-BRIMSTONED 70.9
11-SHANTY IRISH 68.6
3-SIR CAL 65.4
1st time starters - 6, 4
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