Friday, October 24, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
2-FAITH HOPE LOVE 73.7
1-PATRIOTIC BROTHER 67.5
5-WARREN'S CRACKER 64.3
4-PRINCESSKATIEBELLA 62.2
3-MORE STORMYWEATHER 60.1

RACE 2
6-GRANDSTAND 88.8
4-AMERICAN ACT 82.6
1-STONEY FLEECE 82.0
2-MAMBO MAN 76.6
5-GREELEY AWESOME 73.1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-DAD'S PRINCESS 77.8
1-REDSHIRT 63.2
6-OLIVIA'S GREATDANE 62.2
4-MISS MANDATE 58.5
8-I HEART YOU 50.2

RACE 4
4-GO BLACK TIE 69.2
2-STOLEN PROPERTY 67.5
5-SECRET WITNESS 65.9
6-COLE COLE 63.8
1-TAKE A RISK 61.1

RACE 5
10-SMOKEY'S LEGACY 72.6
7-APERFECTDAYTOFLY 69.2
6-BITTER HEAT 67.0
9-INSPIRED WISDOM 64.3
4-FORT CADY 62.2

1st time starters - 1, 2, 5

RACE 6
3-ACT 83.2
5-SNUGGLEY BEAR 72.8
2-LINDANTE 72.6
6-TAP DANCING 64.3
10-DEAD EASY 60.5

1st time starters - 8, 9, 7, 4

RACE 7
5-SONGFORJOHNMICHAEL 94.5
2-MY JEALOUS 93.2
3-VALLEY CAT 85.0
6-DEATH STAR 75.4
4-TIMELESS INDY 74.9

RACE 8
11-ARIGATO 55.0
3-AARON'S THUNDER 43.8
8-JET TRICK 41.1
6-MCSWISS 41.1
1-LUCKY SHOES TO WIN 38.2 (4 wide)
4-DONJI 33.0

1st time starters - 7, 9, 5, 2



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Thursday, October 23, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-HOLIDAY MAKER 62.2
2-YES SHE'S A DANCER 51.1
3-DESERT THIEF 44.6
4-GLOBAL HART 38.6
5-LADY DASH 37.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-DON'T BLAME ME 90.0
3-MAYBELLENE 69.8
1-DADDY'S DUO 62.7
5-ACHIEVER'S LEGACY 58.2
4-MORNING COFFEE 49.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-ALL STAR BUB 51.5
6-BULLWINKLE BABE 51.1
5-APPEALING LADY 48.8
7-ABETS ABET 42.8
2-RITZY TAGS 40.5

RACE 4
8-FLOWINWITHTHEBREEZE 39.6
5-COUNCIL TALK 34.4
7-GOOFY RAINBOW 22.5
4-SEEKING BLISS 11.2

1st time starters - 2, 3, 1, 6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/8 mile on turf)
1-MILTEE 63.2
5-WILLING TO TRAVEL 55.5
8-INCREASE 55.5
2-PRETENTIOUS 55.0
4-FILM FREAK 46.4

1st time starters - 9

RACE 6
2-BELONGING 75.4
3-GELILA 68.1
4-WILDY EXCESSIVE 65.4
7-HIGHLY RATED 64.3
1-SHEZA EYEOPENER 63.8

RACE 7
6-IRISH PRESENCE 91.9
2-SCOOTER BIRD 90.0
1-AGUAFRIA 86.3
3-PERFECTA 77.2
4-BUNAIRGEAD 68.1

RACE 8
3-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 83.8
6-WAITWAITDONTTELLME 72.6
2-WARREN'S COLE 71.4
8-CROWN OF ARAGORN 68.1
4-WARREN'S JEFF G. 64.3
5-PRIVATE BOUNTY 60.1




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Wednesday, October 22, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, October 21, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,043 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred

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Sunday, October 19, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
6-THREE BLONDES 76.0
8-SUSAN B GOOD 72.0
1-CEE'S TIZZY BELLE 70.3
5-BILGER'S SAPHIRE 65.4
2-HOT AND PLEASING 59.6

RACE 2
3-WHEN WE MET 91.3
4-SACRED OVATION 81.4
2-GAL HAS TO LIKE IT 80.8
5-W. GILES 76.6
1-VALDIRONE 76.0

RACE 3
2-HIGHER MANDATE 57.1
6-CERNOBBIO 47.8
3-WARREN'S SUNNY BOY 47.8
1-ILLYBILLY BOY 42.0
4-GREY IS BEST 34.2

RACE 4
2-SIZZLIN' JOE 86.3
3-BUYMEABOND 83.2
4-CRAVING CARATS 82.0
8-PROSPECTOR'S TRICK 79.6
5-JOMELO 78.4

RACE 5
6-PAPASLILPRINCESS 79.6
1-LOVE THE BREEDING 74.3
2-QUINNETTE 73.1
5-IT'S AINE 72.0
7-J AND S EXPRESS 65.9

RACE 6
5-STREET ICON 96.5
7-RED OUTLAW 93.2
8-HOME SCHOOL 91.9
2-FOREVER JUANITO 90.0
1-BOLITA BOYZ 88.1

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-WINDY FORECAST 70.9
8-SUVA HARBOR 70.9
9-GIRL DOWNSTAIRS 59.0
7-LA MEXICANA 17.4

1st time starters - 10, 2, 1, 5, 3, 6

RACE 8
2-GANGNAM GUY 93.2
1-EL TOVAR 89.4
3-LAW DOG 88.8
6-VALENTINE BOY 78.5
9-TURN ON THE PUMPS 78.4

RACE 9
1-JO'S APPROVAL 30.4
2-TURN ON 26.1
8-SOUTHERN OWAH 21.6 (off slow)
7-PUSH GIRL 21.6 (bumped)
3-PINK LACES 13.3
4-SHE'SMORETHANALADY 13.0

1st time starters - 5


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Saturday, October 18, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $37,607.

RACE 1
4-MARK OF THE AFFAIR 47.8
3-QUEEN MAD 47.8
6-YODELMESOMEMAGIC 44.6
2-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 37.8
1-TIZ BLISS 35.8

RACE 2
3-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 98.4
1-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 89.4
2-APOLLO TEN 84.4
5-HEIR OF STORM 78.4
4-FINALLYGOTABENTLEY 63.2

RACE 3
5-TAMMARANDO 91.9
4-BOOZER 91.3
2-SUPPER ABILITY 88.1
1-AIN'T NO OTHER 86.9
3-HEAT FLASH 67.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-WATDIFRENZDZITMAKE 39.2
9-SEATTLE MUSIC 34.0 (off slow)
1-GEM OF A GAL 30.0
7-MISTY WARRIOR 26.9
2-DELANEY'S JOY 26.1

RACE 5
7-BALLARD RULER 79.0 (off Aug. 13)
6-RED MAN RUN 74.9
4-INDUSTRY LEADER 70.3
1-ZNELLE 69.8
2-BOURNE HOT 68.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
11-PURE 81.6
12-MADAM AAMOURA 78.4
3-VOW ME OVER 70.9
1-BACKSTREET LISA 50.6
8-SATIN CINNAMON 49.7

1st time starters - 6, 9, 14

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
6-KANTUNE 76.6
3-BELIEVE TOO 72.0 (forced, drifted out)
9-FAME AND POWER 57.0
7-UNBLUNTED 55.0
2-GHOST OF NAVIGATOR 42.4 (off slow)

1st time starters - 10, 5, 1, 4

RACE 8
8-WINNINGINFASHION 82.8
5-TANGELO 82.6
4-CHILADA 80.2
1-CASEY'S CLEM 75.4
2-FRANDONTJUDGE 72.6

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-ROPER 54.5
11-SONIC FEVER 43.8 (bumped)
1-CONDITION 38.2
6-CARLY P. 21.6
2-TIZ ALL THAT 20.6

1st time starters - 7, 4, 5, 10, 9

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Friday, October 17, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-LIFE ON RIVIERA 68.1
4-ST. JOE BAY 48.8
3-MR. CHASE 35.7 (off slow)
5-MAGNA REX 23.5 (off slow, bumped)

1st time starters - 1, 6

RACE 2
4-RED N BLACK ATTACK 79.0
5-PRINCE OF PARIS 67.0
1-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 64.8
3-VAN FRAASSEN 63.2
2-PAPA'S PAISLEY 59.0

RACE 3
1-CRAVIN' THE HEAT 74.3
5-UP THE ALLEY 68.6
4-FLY TO FREEDOM 62.5
6-NEW NATURE 60.1
2-WARREN'S TRICIA R. 56.1

RACE 4
4-NIGHTTIMING 80.2
1-STAR ACT 75.4
2-NICEGIRLSFINISHLAST 75.4
3-SEEK A STAR 70.9
5-CHARM CATCHER 68.1

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
5-P CLUB 65.4
6-TEMPLE KEYS 47.4
8-FLEXIBLE 40.1
1-CAPTAIN CARCHY 31.6
2-HOWDY 30.8
7-QUIET THUNDER 30.8

RACE 6
7-LUST FOR LIFE 70.3
2-SHE'S FLUSH 70.3
4-MOSCATO GIRL 67.5
8-NOTHING TO HIDE 67.0
6-HANNA NO SIR 63.2

RACE 7
2-SHYSHEISNOT 84.0
3-TANQUERRAY 80.2
1-MARKET QUOTE 72.0
4-JENNWAY U WANT IT 72.0
8-KANA FLAVOR 69.2

RACE 8
11-BUNSKA 77.8
9-ACATEGORYFIVESTORM 61.1
7-A P PEPPER 60.6
8-SWISS HEART 57.5
3-BIRD IN LOVE 55.5
6-BRANDON'S PRINCESS 55.5
10-YODEL UP A STORM 55.0

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Thursday, October 16, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
4-COOLINGTON 64.3
1-THE TWELFTH MAN 59.0
2-BOSS CAT 54.0

1st time starters - 3, 6, 5

RACE 2
4-SURFCUP 95.8 (off July 13)
2-RANGI 93.9
1-BETTYS BAMBINO 91.9
3-FINAL STEP 91.3
6-JULES JOURNEY 87.5

RACE 3
6-KAFISTER 93.9
5-SENOR RAIN 80.2
2-AWESOME INDY 77.2
4-MCKENZIES WAY 73.1
3-OLIGARCH 67.8

RACE 4
1-NUMBER FIVE 88.8
3-TOSHEEN 80.2
4-FLAT GONE 79.6
5-MAGNA WARRIOR 79.6
6-SIR MACHO 73.1

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-NIASSA 59.6 (steadied)
7-HEAT THE ROCKS 57.0
4-PATSY G AND ME 51.6
2-HIGH INTENSITY 42.9
5-DIAMOND DEBBIE 39.4

1st time starters - 8

RACE 6
8-TRELAWNY 91.3
13-SIZZLIN' JOE 83.2
11-BUYMEABOND 83.2
7-LOS BAMBINOS 82.0
9-PROSPECTOR'S TRICK 79.6
4-FIGHTER SQUADRON 79.6

RACE 7
8-MY MONET 88.8
1-STEEL LADY 86.3
6-AIR OF ROYALTY 74.9
5-BONUS SPIN 74.3
7-MOVING DESERT 72.6

RACE 8
1-A B C ME AWESOME 51.6
9-INA MINA 48.8
4-INDIAN PROOF 42.0
7-STORED ATTAQ 36.6
2-LOVELY IN LAGUNA 35.4
6-GEORGIA'S NIECE 34.6

1st time starters - 8, 11, 12

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