Sunday, August 28, 2016

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









NOTE: SATURDAY IF YOU ONLY PLAYED MY TOP PICK IN EACH RACE YOU HAD NINE WINNERS IN A ROW. RACES 1 THRU 9. THE ONLY RACE WHERE THE TOP PICK DID NOT WIN WAS THE TENTH AND FINAL RACE.

RACE 1
2-LUCKY VIEWS 82.0
8-ROMAN TIZZY 81.4
6-JONNY'S CHOICE 80.8
7-TIZ JOLIE 75.5
5-MR. CARTAGENA 72.6

RACE 2
1-TWO SIX WINS 76.6
6-LOOK TWICE 72.0
4-LOUDEN'S GRAY 68.1
2-NUECES 67.5
7-STORMIN TRICK 56.0

RACE 3
3-SALSITA 93.9
7-ZIP N BAYOU 83.8
5-LUNAR EMPRESS 83.2
2-SHAZARA 82.0
4-FRIULIAN 74.3

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)

1st time starters - ALL 10 HORSES ARE 1ST TIMERS - NO SELECTIONS

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-PRINCESS ROI 57.0
9-DREAMY GAL 52.1 (off slow, steadied)
12-TIZ SEEKING A WIN 50.2 (squeezed, steadied at start)
7-R SUNDAY SURPRISE 49.7
11-BISSOU BISSOU 40.7

1st time starters - 10, 3, 8, 2, 6, 5

RACE 6
5-INFINITE MAGIC 88.1
8-FREDDIES DREAM 87.5
3-WHICH MARKET 83.2
4-INDYGO BO 83.2
9-RYE PATCH 82.0
7-BIRD E HOUSE 82.0

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
3-JEWELED 56.0 (off slow, bumped)
7-DEMIGODDESS 53.5
6-MY ALCHEMIST 43.8

1st time starters - 1, 4, 10, 8, 11, 5, 2

RACE 8
1-ENOLA GRAY 106.6
7-BELLAMENTARY 93.9
3-KAY KAY 85.0
4-NINE POINT NINE 84.4
5-SHE'S A WARRIOR 83.8

RACE 9
4-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 94.8
9-STORM COMIN THRU 91.9
6-PREACHER ROE 89.4
3-PRIME ISSUE 89.4
8-LADIES MAN 86.3
7-ACCELERANT 86.3

RACE 10
6-TINDERELLA 71.4
3-COMPLIMENTARY 70.9
2-LOOKINFORADANGER 69.2
5-TIZ ADORE 66.4
7-SASSY ASHLEY 64.8
9-PYSCHO SISTER 60.6

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Saturday, August 27, 2016

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $84,078.

RACE 1
5-TOMASINO 72.6
1-BOOMPA 68.6
6-EXEMPLER 65.9
8-FANS ON THE RUN 62.2
3-WHERE'S BUBBA 62.2

RACE 2
1-ABOVE BOARD 68.6
12-MONEY MAKIN MIKE 63.2
11-WOODIE B AWESOME 62.2
7-HE'S A KNOCKOUT 61.1
6-LATEST CRAZE 59.6

RACE 3
5-MASOCHISTIC 119.3
1-OUTSIDE NASHVILLE 101.2
4-INDEXICAL 99.8
3-VYJACK 98.1
2-CAUTIOUS GIANT 94.5

RACE 4
3-THUNDER BASIN 73.1
1-DREAM IT DO IT 70.3
5-CONCORSO 68.1
6-VARTAN 65.4
8-REDNECK CRAZY 61.6

RACE 5
8-LEVELER 88.8
6-C. C. ZIPP 81.4
9-EXUBERANTE 76.6
10-ONZAWAY 74.3
1-VICTORIA FALLS 66.4

1st time starters - 4, 3, 2

RACE 6
8-SKYE DIAMONDS 75.4
7-PICO CHICK 73.7
2-AMBER LOUISE 73.5
3-KRISTIE'S HEART 68.1
9-PASSIONATE EMOTION 68.1

RACE 7
3-NODIAC 86.9
8-DO THE DANCE 86.9
13-OK DOLL 85.6
6-SUTTON'S SMILE 85.0
12-CRIMSON AND GOLD 83.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-MISS SUNSET 71.4
2-YOU'RE LATE 63.8
1-DIXIE CHICK ROCKS 61.6
6-ROCKETANN 42.0
4-I'LL BE AROUND 39.9

1st time starters - 5

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1-LOVELY LINDA 55.5
7-PRINCESS NICOLE 45.1

1st time starters - 8 FIRST TIMERS - NO SELECTIONS

RACE 10
8-MATRICULATE 90.0
11-LINDANTE 87.5
2-TURN ON THE PUMPS 82.6 (off June 15)
7-AMERICAN ARISTOCAT 81.4
6-LORD OF CHAOS 80.8
5-ANATOLIAN HEAT 80.8

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Friday, August 26, 2016

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
3-RIM DITCH 60.1
8-WESTMONT 50.2
5-CAAN ME 35.4 (steadied)
4-PACIFIC SONG 35.0
1-MIKEYS GLORY 34.6 (3 WIDE)

1st time starters - 6

RACE 2
4-FOREVER JUANITO 97.8
1-PAPACOOLPAPACOOL 95.8
5-PLAY HARD TO GET 92.6
2-A RED TIE DAY 87.5
3-POSHSKY 86.9

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-WHAT'SONTHEAGENA 68.6

1st time starters - 7, 2, 1, 4, 3, 5

RACE 4
1-SWISS MINISTER 89.4
5-EL KOREANO 82.0
6-NUSRET 78.4
4-PETE'S PLAYCALL 75.4
3-JES JAA 74.3

RACE 5
3-UNTOUCHABLE U 81.4
2-DAMA FINA 67.5
7-YELLOW BONNET 58.0 (3 wide)
8-BREATHE 55.5
5-ESCAPEE 36.2

1st time starters - 1, 4, 6

RACE 6
9-WILDFIRE KID 97.8
3-RANGI 93.9
4-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 93.2
1-JAZZY JOSH 86.3
6-ZURI CHOP 83.8

RACE 7
9-WHO'S OUT 101.6
10-ACCELERATE 101.1
4-SPANISH HOMBRE 88.2
2-TAMAN GUARD 88.1
11-MISHEGAS 86.9

RACE 8
10-BUZZER BEATER 62.7
5-YAVRIG 60.6
6-IF YOU BELIEVE 56.0
8-TANGER 49.7
1-SUNDAR CREEK 45.5 (4 wide)
4-PAM'S JOY 44.2

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Thursday, August 25, 2016

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $59,871.

RACE 1
3-PEARL DE VERE 88.8
5-LONGSTOCKING 87.5
2-TRYST 86.3
1-AIR OF ROYALTY 86.3 (off Jan. 15)
8-STURDY ONE 83.2

RACE 2
6-CARLOS DANGEROUS 78.4
4-HANDSOME HANK 74.3
1-LAST ONE STANDING 69.8
2-SUAVEMENTE 60.9
3-PROUD ZONING 49.7

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
4-LIL MISS SAPHIRE 54.5
6-GOSEECAL 32.3

1st time starters - 5, 1, 7, 2, 3

RACE 4
5-SILENT MOVIES 77.2
10-WHAT'S UP GUS 76.6
4-OSO 74.8
8-STORM THE SHORE 70.9
12-MAGIK PEPPER 60.6

1st time starters - 7

RACE 5
6-ENDURING ERIN 86.3
1-MRS. NORRIS 85.0
3-LIGHT STRIKER 83.2
2-GRACIE RAGAZZA 82.6
4-SAVANNAH SKY 80.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-TERM OF ART 53.5 (3 wide)
6-YODELERS WAY 49.5
5-DUDE'S DUDE 41.4
1-PLUM DANDY 39.4
7-THIRTY PEPPERONIS 36.6

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 7
8-EASY GRADER 83.2
1-WHISK 82.0
2-COVER SONG 78.4
6-MADAME MOUSSE 78.4
7-MISS LOUJEAN 72.6

RACE 8
8-TOUGH EMBLEM 69.8
6-BIG DISCOVERY 69.2
7-LAMU 65.4
9-MOTORING AROUND 63.8
1-CLAUDE 63.8
10-STEEL PLANK 61.6

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Wednesday, August 24, 2016

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
6-DESERT MADAM 91.9
2-FRUITY 85.6
3-MARGIE'S MINUTE 85.0
1-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 84.4
4-PLASTERED 76.6

RACE 2
1-MAGIC TASTE 75.4
7-SILVER CHROME 53.5
3-RUNBRORUN 47.8 (off May 15)
4-SPLENDID CAUSE 40.7
6-FOOTLOOS INDY LANE 37.4

1st time starters - 8, 2, 5

RACE 3
6-NEVER SAY TRY 91.9 (4 wide)
7-EDDIE'S TURN 91.9 (off Nov. 14)
5-EIGHT SPOKES 86.9
2-SIGNATURE CAT 79.6
1-FAMILY CODE 79.6

RACE 4(all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
6-MOONLIGHT BLUE 32.0
1-UCANTHANKMELATER 30.0
5-TREADWELL 27.6 (3 wide)
4-CASE THE MONEY 25.8
2-ICEBERG SLIM 23.2

RACE 5
5-SOI PHET 115.0
1-KRISTO 105.2
2-GRAZEN SKY 98.4
6-FIRING LINE 98.4
7-THE GOMPER 90.8

RACE 6
4-LORI'S ATTITUDE 77.8
8-VIVACIOUS BEAUTY 65.2
11-MRS. GUTY 59.0
9-BELLA SIERRA 52.7
3-PREVAILING 47.8

1st time starters - 2, 7, 5, 1, 6

RACE 7
8-AVANTI BELLO 111.4
6-LIEUTENANT COLONEL 108.6
1-CONQUEST COBRA 107.3
2-MAGIC MARK 96.5
5-SMART TRANSITION 93.2

RACE 8
2-SIDEPOCKET RUN 82.6
9-REVENUE VIRGINIUS 77.2
7-TIM'S GO GIRL 77.2
8-AUDRA 76.6
4-HENNYTHELOVEPENNY 74.9
10-DESERT THIEF 70.9

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Tuesday, August 23, 2016

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

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Monday, August 22, 2016

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,601 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, August 21, 2016

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




NOTE: THERE WILL BE NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY'S CARD. I WILL BE BACK WEDNESDAY.

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