Friday, July 29, 2016

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
7-SPINDLE 70.9
3-LA GALY 62.7
4-MRS. GUTY 60.1
2-SWEETWATER GAL 59.0
8-LADY CLOUD 54.0

1st time starters - 5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
1-MY CALIFORNIA 65.9
3-I'LL BE AROUND 60.6
5-YOU'RE LATE 54.5
2-CIOPPINO PASADINO 45.1
4-LOVE A HONEYBADGER 33.0

RACE 3
3-CHICAGO ANGEL 67.5
4-SIZZLING BEL 62.7
5-APPEALING LADY 62.2
2-WARREN'S PURRFECT 60.6
8-IT GIRL 58.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-YOU MISSED IT 70.3
3-ROOMS 50.6 (4 wide)
4-CALIFORNIASUMMER 50.6
2-DEMIGODDESS 42.8
9-PATTIN FOR A DANCE 23.5

1st time starters - 1, 7 (in U.S.A.-fgn.), 5, 6

RACE 5
2-JONNY'S CHOICE 82.6
7-NAHEM 73.1
5-MINISTER VIVENDI 73.1
9-MISDEED 66.4
10-ALLTHELEAVESRBROWN 62.7

RACE 6
11-GOLDEN LIGHT 83.2
8-ONZAWAY 76.6
14-MIDNIGHT SWINGER 76.0
10-C.C. ZIPP 74.9
3-OUT OFTHE ORDINARY 73.7
5-DOUBELIEVENMAGIC 73.4

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
2-AMODEI 53.0
8-YODELERS WAY 50.2
7-INFORMED SPIRIT 32.6 (off slow)

1st time starters - 5, 6, 4, 9, 1, 3

RACE 8
2-WITH A TWIST 85.6
8-SWISS SKIMMER 84.4
5-INTOXICATING MOVE 76.6
12-WEST COAST STORM 76.6
10-MERILORE 74.8
14-JENNYWAY U WANT IT 73.7


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Thursday, July 28, 2016

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
4-PROHIBITION REPEAL 74.3
1-CURLY ROAD 71.4
2-SAM SLICK 64.3
3-MIDNIGHT EDITION 61.6
6-DRAMATIC ANGEL 59.0

RACE 2
1-REVENUE VIRGINIUS 79.6
6-BAD JU JU 77.8
4-MATTER OF LUCK 77.2
5-WEDDING BLUSH 73.1
3-GIRL DOWNSTAIRS 63.2

RACE 3
1-ESPIRITO BUENO 86.9
10-ODIN 83.3
4-CONTEMPLATE 83.2
8-SILVER SUMMER 77.2
3-UNCLE CHATO 77.2

RACE 4
7-MAGICAL MYSTERY 79.6
3-ACCELERATE 79.4
8-CURLIN ROAD 78.4
9-OSO 72.6
6-TIZ NO BLUFF 72.6

RACE 5
9-OK DOLL 88.1
6-OPTIMISIM AND HOPE 65.4
7-PASCHALISTA 64.8
2-MY FOOLISH HEART 63.8
4-LATINA MO 62.0

RACE 6
5-U GO GAL 63.2
7-DIXIE DAME 59.6
12-STAND BY FOR NEWS 53.0
4-ROYAL FLUSH BABE 39.9
3-TRIBAL CACHE 39.9

1st time starters - 9, 6

RACE 7
4-LILY KAI 90.7
7-DRESSED TO A T 88.8
1-SCATTAGIRL 83.8
6-LIGHT STRIKER 82.2
3-SO GOOD TO GO 80.8

RACE 8
2-RIVER HOSS 64.8
7-JOHANN'S COMMAND 60.6
6-SIR MATADOR 55.5
8-MALIBU DUDE 48.8
5-MARTINI UP 34.2

1st time starters - 1, 9, 3, 10, 11, 4

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Wednesday, July 27, 2016

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
3-QUINNETTE 72.0
5-KRISTINITE 72.0
6-WAHINE WARRIOR 70.9
4-IPRAY 69.8
2-TOPPERS SUNSHINE 67.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
8-DOWNSIDE UP 39.9
2-WESTMONT 35.8 (steadied)
1-ENTER THE CODE 35.4 (4 wide)
4-AMAZING LOVE 28.9

1st time starters - 7, 3, 5, 6

RACE 3
3-BENDABLE 93.2
7-LILY POD 89.4
1-LUMINANCE 88.8
4-MY FIONA 86.9
5-DIABOLICAL DAME 82.0

RACE 4
2-WILDFIRE KID 93.8
13-SOUPER KNIGHT 92.8
8-ALL INDIANS 89.4
9-RANGI 88.8
3-SACRED OVATION 87.5

RACE 5
6-SHE'S A WARRIOR 81.4
8-SID THE SQUID 77.2
4-LEVELER 73.4
3-ESCALANTE 73.1
2-LITTLE DUME 70.3

RACE 6
5-LOB CITY 76.6
4-BROOKES ALL MINE 70.9
3-ARCOBALENO 67.0
6-PAPA MAMBO 66.4
7-WATCH THIS CAT 65.9

RACE 7
7-MRAZEK 102.5
10-TAMAN GUARD 93.9
5-TRIBAL FIGHTER 93.9
2-SMOKEY IMAGE 90.0
8-GOLD RUSH DANCER 84.4
4-TOUGH IT OUT 84.4

RACE 8
4-CANDY COWBOY 73.7 (off Oct. 14)
7-ALSTON 68.6
12-HE'S A KNOCKOUT 64.3
8-GAVINATION 62.7
9-RING COLLECTOR 59.8
3-MONEY MAKIN MIKE 57.0

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Tuesday, July 26, 2016

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.

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DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,572 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, July 24, 2016

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $167,938.

RACE 1
4-AIMING STRIGHT 75.4
5-BLACK BEAUTY 68.6
7-NAZARETH 63.2
3-SONG FOR JADE 58.0
2-ESMERALDA BELLE 50.6

RACE 2
5-CROWLEY'S LAW 99.8 (off Nov. 15)
2-FANTICOLA 98.4
3-SINGING KITTY 90.0
6-LA BERMA 89.4
4-FASNACLOICH 86.9

RACE 3
2-IDEAL 85.6
1-ATYPIQUE 76.6
5-STORM THE SHORE 67.0
3-WILD MISCHIEF 64.8
6-ABOVE BOARD 51.6 (off Nov 15)

RACE 4
5-HARD ACES 117.2
6-QUICK CASABLANCA 105.2
4-SEVE'S ROAD 88.2
2-ENERGIA FRIBBY 85.0
1-INFOBEDAD 57.7

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-MYSTIC KID 44.6 (3 wide)
2-BEANTOWN BOYS 42.9
8-THREE ECLIPSE 42.0
4-BOURQUE 39.9
5-SUPER ECHELON 38.2 (off slow)

1st time starters - 6, 1, 11

RACE 6
9-INCLINE VILLAGE 80.7
3-AIN'T NO OTHER 80.2
6-COUGAR COUNTRY 77.8
10-I BE MIKE 75.4
1-JUSTONEMORETHING 74.9

RACE 7
5-DREAM TEAM 97.1
8-FLY LEXIS FLY 92.6
4-L'S CHOICE 85.0
3-IT BEHOOVES ME 85.0
7-DEEP CONSIDERATION 80.6

RACE 8
8-SOI PHET 119.3
5-ALERT BAY 117.9
9-AVANTI BELLO 117.2
7-POSHSKY 109.3
3-BOOZER 101.1

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-DANGERFIELD 48.8

1st time starters - 6, 4, 1, 9, 5, 7, 2, 8

RACE 10
6-ZINVOR 105.9
8-MACRO ACCESS 101.1
10-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 99.1
1-STREET MOXIE 94.5
4-LUCKY J LANE 87.5
5-OPSEC 87.5

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Saturday, July 23, 2016

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
6-PAPA PAPA PAPA 86.9
3-KETOS 82.0
4-FELDINI 75.4
5-WESTWOOD'S WIZARD 63.2
1-BLUE NAVY BLUE 62.7

1st time starters - 2, 7

RACE 2
6-DUTCHESSA 78.4
3-Q'VIVA 74.3
1-EASTER FEVER 69.8
5-FOXY LOVER 64.3
4-AVICII 60.1

RACE 3
1-HOBBITS HERO 110.7
7-FUSAICHI SAMURAI 103.1
5-PRINCE OF ARABIA 91.9
2-RARE CANDY 90.6
8-BLACKJACKCAT 83.1

1st time starters - 4 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-ADORABLE 59.0
6-PRINCESS COCO 50.2
1-AUNTJENN 46.4
4-LIGHT OF THE MOON 42.2 (3 wide)
3-TAMMY'S WINDOW 31.5

1st time starters - 5, 7

RACE 5
4-ITSINTHEPOST 104.5
11-SKELTON PASS 101.1
7-BATTI MAN 96.5
9-CALCULATOR 96.3
6-TEXAS TWO STEP 95.4

RACE 6
8-SWISS MINISTER 83.1
6-CLASSICO 82.6
5-SORRYABOUTNOTHING 79.6
7-AMERICAN LEAGUE 73.7
1-G.A. BETTING 67.5

RACE 7
10-STAYS IN VEGAS 96.5
1-BELVOIR BAY 95.8
3-BE MINE 95.2
5-JADE PRINCESS 93.2
8-MIRAGE 84.4

RACE 8
4-MYHEARTISINTHECITY 70.9
10-KATY DRAMA 70.9
5-ISH 62.7
9-WARREN'S SUPER CAT 58.0
8-TOOLUCKYSUPERMOON 57.5

RACE 9
6-CALIFORNIA CHROME 122.3
2-DORTMUND 117.2
5-FOLLOW ME CREV 104.5
7-WIN THE SPACE 99.8
4-CRITTENDEN 79.0

RACE 10
9-SHAZARA 82.8
10-SASSY ASHLEY 77.8
4-GEORGIA BLUE 73.1
8-HOLIDAY MOVIE 70.4
7-LETHAL LEGACY 64.3

1st time starters - 6, 2

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Friday, July 22, 2016

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $68,515.

RACE 1
5-CHEROKEE IN ME 67.5
3-CUDDLE ALERT 62.7
6-SUMMER VEIL 62.2
2-VERONICA BAY 60.1
1-AMBERELLA 55.1

RACE 2
5-BLUE CHAT 49.2
1-JEOFFIE 44.2
4-TOO MUCH DRAMA 39.6
7-DADDY PLEASE 38.3
6-ASK ME I MIGHT 34.4

RACE 3
5-RADIO SILENT 85.0
4-DIRT IN YOUR FACE 85.0
3-ALL STAR PARADE 80.2
2-TOUGH EMBLEM 79.0
6-ARMORED CAR 75.4

RACE 4
12-MAGICAL TOUCH 93.2
4-SURFING THE MENU 83.9
8-MOONIE 82.0
6-SILVER MOJAVE 80.8
11-MATTER OF LUCK 78.5

RACE 5
4-TOO FAST TO PASS 90.7
3-AIRFOIL 90.7
2-DISTINCTIVE B 86.9
5-SECOND PROPOSAL 85.6
7-PRAY HARD 84.4

RACE 6
8-COMES THE DREAM 97.1
6-PRETENTIOUS 85.6
7-WILLING TO TRAVEL 85.0
2-LITTLE SCOTTY 82.6
5-MALKO 82.0

RACE 7
7-ENOLA GRAY 107.3
5-RUN FOR RETTS 79.6
6-FANTASY OF LUCK 78.4
3-THE SPECIAL JETTER 77.2
1-ROO'S VALENTINE 76.0

RACE 8
2-LORD OF CHAOS 79.0
3-THE BIG TRAIN 74.3
10-NATURAL STRIDE 69.8
11-WARD 'N JERRY 67.5
9-CAMINO DEL PARAISO 60.0
8-BIG HEARTED 58.5

1st time starters - 4, 7

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Thursday, July 21, 2016

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
4-FAR OUT KAILEE 79.0
6-SWEET SHOP 78.4
5-WARREN'S T. BAZE 64.8
3-GUNSLINGER 60.6
2-MELVILLE 58.0

RACE 2
1-STAR OF MUNSTER 84.4
3-WHERE'S THE D 80.1
5-BASIE BOOTS 74.3
6-PICO CHICK 71.4
4-GYPSY'S RULE 69.2

RACE 3
3-TE RAPA 94.5
1-TATTENHAM 87.5
7-NEVERADOUBT 86.9
2-MR T BIRD 85.0 (off Oct. 15)
4-WHICH MARKET 82.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
10-REWARD OF ROSES 32.6 (off slow)
8-TAMMY'S WINDOW 31.5

1st time starters - 5, 9, 2, 4, 6, 7, 1

RACE 5
14-GOLDEN LIGHT 83.2
7-SHEHASTHERITESTUFF 77.8
12-OUT OFTHE ORDINARY 74.3
6-CALIFORNIASUNSHINE 69.8
2-STARLITE STYLE 69.2

1st time starters - 9, 8

RACE 6
3-TRINITYS TURN 65.9
6-JOAN OF ARCH 62.2
4-CHALKING IT UP 59.0
2-PLASTERED 57.5
7-MARELL STREET 57.5

RACE 7
6-SUMMER LADY 83.2
2-LYNNE'S LEGACY 79.6
11-SAINT MAMIE 78.4
4-ALMOST REALITY 77.2
1-STOLE A KISS 74.3

RACE 8
2-MAGIC TASTE 65.9
1-SPEEDIN WITH EDDIE 57.0
7-FIVE STAR JACK 52.1 (off Dec. 15)
4-STAR EXPRESS 49.2
9-YET ANOTHER NATE 44.6
10-SQUASH 25.8

1st time starters - 6, 3, 8

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