Saturday, February 18, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
7-PLAZARITA 54.0
2-GOLDEN NIP 52.1
1-MISS BOLD TOPPER 44.2
3-KEY ALLEGRO 35.8
5-ON LINE SWEETIE 30.4
8-WHOLE ENCHILADA 30.4

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
2-SMOKING G 84.4
4-CLOUD HOPPER 84.4
6-OUR BOY BENJAMIN 82.0
3-CORNER OFFICE 76.4
5-UNUSUAL HEATWAVE 75.8

RACE 3
4-OUR LAST MONTE 59.0
6-BRING IT 53.5 (off June 10)
10-CUT N' DEAL 39.0
13-DANCESWITHTHEWIND 36.2
7-OWN IT 35.8

1st time starters - 8, 1, 3, 2, 5

RACE 4
2-THE HUNT IS ON 70.9
3-PERSONALITARY 68.6
5-MEGARIDE 62.7
6-UZZIAH 60.9
4-TIGER TRYSTS 56.5

RACE 5
1-WHINSTON 62.7
6-GOPHARI 61.1

1st time starters - 7, 5, 8, 3, 4, 2

RACE 6
2-FLASHY DAME 83.8
4-HIDINGINPLAINSIGHT 79.6
7-CHESTNUT MOON 64.3
1-D'PRINCESS 59.6 (off July 11)

1st time starters - 8, 5, 3, 6, 9

RACE 7
10-LORD'S MINISTER 91.9
7-CIRCLE THE MOON 91.3
5-VALLEY CAT 89.4
6-KINGPIN RYNO 83.1
1-BUD I CRUSHED IT 82.0

RACE 8
2-ELLAFITZ 103.8
3-MISS MITTAGONG 91.3
6-GREAT HOT 87.5
5-KAYCE ACE 83.8
7-VISION IN GOLD 83.2

RACE 9
3-STONESIDE 93.2
9-SKY CAPE 90.0
5-GLOBAL STAGE 90.0
7-WINSOME CHARM 87.5
4-JAIRZIHNO 86.9

RACE 10
5-SHORT MEMO 88.8
10-MILES LONG GONE 81.4
2-DELTA FIX 80.2
8-BACK AT YOU 79.6 (off July 11)
1-WHAT A RUSH 76.6

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Friday, February 17, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
6-TUMMEL 63.1
3-DECLAN 60.4
5-TRUCIAL STATE 57.5
2-GABBRO GLITZ 46.6
4-A. P. CORSAIR 44.2

RACE 2
5-THREE VASES 88.1
2-SPIRIT RULES 83.2
1-EXOTIC SLEW 82.6
3-REAL CONUNDRUM 76.0
6-POINTS OFFTHEBENCH 74.9 (off Aug. 11)

RACE 3
3-PARTIOTIC LION 55.0
9-MR. NEWTON 51.1
7-THIEF RIVER 42.4
10-MASTER RUDY 39.9 (off Aug. 11)
8-SWISS GUARD 31.1

1st time starters - 6, 5, 1

RACE 4
7-TERODA 95.8
2-TALKTOOMUCH 90.7
4-CAYANNA 85.0
3-PICK AND PRAY 84.5
1-HARD TO RESIST 81.9

RACE 5
2-SIDEPOCKET KID 68.1
9-PLEASANT SOUL 62.2
1-CONFER 56.5
8-APPLY 55.1
5-MUCHO BRAVO 51.1

RACE 6
11-MACK'S GOLD BULLET 81.4
10-EDGEWICK ROAD 80.8
6-STORMIN PROUD PAPA 79.6
8-BRYAN DANIEL 77.8
7-PREFERRED MANDATE 76.6

RACE 7
8-CHOSEN MIRACLE 93.9
6-EL MIRAGE KING 91.9
3-MY SUMMER SLEW 90.7
4-MCKENZIES WAY 90.0
5-SANDOR 89.4

RACE 8
9-FOR YOU MY HEART 68.1
12-SI MAR'S DEAR 68.1
6-LUTESS 68.1
14-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 63.2
2-PORTFOLIO 61.1

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Thursday, February 16, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
4-NIFTY DREAM 40.7
7-BULLETGIRL 33.4
1-SPACECOAST 32.6
3-WARREN'S PASSION 28.2
8-DOCS GOLD FILLYNG 19.4

1st time starters - 2, 5, 6

RACE 2
4-CAVALLETTA 60.1
5-HANNAH G 57.6
1-CLEARLY CASUAL 49.2 (bumped at start)
3-NIGHT TELLER 47.8
2-CALL ME LUCY 42.4

RACE 3
4-BLUE TAMBOURINE 82.0
2-JAWS N' PAWS 76.6
1-SUBPOENA THE DRESS 70.9
8-MOSCOW MOVIE 70.3
6-LINE ONE 69.2

RACE 4
6-SARASOTA SUNSHINE 82.0
3-THERE IS NO LIMIT 80.8
7-BROWN IS BEIGE 78.4
4-SHE BE SMOKIN 76.2
2-PICTURE PERFECT 75.4

RACE 5
7-CLUE ME IN 80.2
3-THRICE THE VICE 69.8
6-FANDINO 67.8
5-MY MAN SUMO 65.4
8-BATTLE POINT 60.1

RACE 6
4-CALLED TO SERVE 82.2
6-CAT'S ENOUGH 80.8
1-LATE NIGHT SKY 78.4
5-VIBRATO JAZZ 73.1
7-DANGEROUS DUO 73.1

1st time starters - 2

RACE 7
2-HABIT FORMING 87.5
3-ALMOST A LADY 74.3
1-BELLOMA 72.6
4-VICKI VICTORIA 72.6
6-BACKWOODS BELLE 62.7

RACE 8
6-BELLAVINI 61.1
2-WILD BELLA 41.6
3-MIL ESTRELLAS 38.6
8-LIVE THE FORTH 35.4
4-GOLDEN MIRACLE 20.9

1st time starters - 1, 9, 5

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Wednesday, February 15, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, February 14, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2228 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, February 12, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $135,446.

RACE 1
2-ALREADY THERE 44.0
4-CONVICT LAKE 41.6
1-FLOWER POWER 37.8

1st time starters - 5, 6, 3

RACE 2
3-PRINCESS ARABELLA 91.9 (off slow)
1-SAGE D'ORO 78.2
4-STARSHIP FLARE 67.9
2-TAPAJO 64.8
5-BELLA'S FANTASY 54.0

RACE 3
6-WARREN'S CITY ART 58.5 (off May 11)
2-ALOKEE 54.5
4-BENSANNA 40.3
7-RANDOM LUCK 37.4 (off July 11)
1-PRIZED FASHION 34.6

1st time starters - 3

RACE 4
8-CAROUSEL 73.7
3-GENIALITY 67.0
1-LONG LEGGED LOVELY 62.5 (off Jan. 11)
5-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 62.0
9-WOODMAN'S LASS 61.1

RACE 5
6-LISA LULU 66.4
2-SIZZLING GOLD 63.8
9-CLASSY ATTRACTION 63.2
8-ALL THE LOVE 62.7
5-QUEENIE MARINI 59.6

RACE 6
1-LUCKYVIC 62.7
8-VONN NEZ 59.6
2-ANGEL'S MOON 57.0 (off July 11)
4-WARREN'S MY QUEEN 56.0
7-ABELLA 52.1

1st time starters - 9, 6, 3

RACE 7
6-MONA STORM 77.2
7-LUCKY TIMING 73.7 (off May 11)
4-LIL MISS MACKY 73.1
2-MAYA ANGELINA 72.4
1-MY BRITE CAROLINE 71.4

RACE 8
8-DIJARVO 92.9
7-PAINTED WOMAN 82.1
2-ROWDY GAL 81.4
5-INDIGO RIVER 81.4
4-VIONNET 76.6

RACE 9
6-PULPIT'S EXPRESS 84.4
4-SKIP TONY 74.3
13-ARATHORN 68.1
11-THE BIEN'S GIFT 63.8
8-GO TO THE PULPIT 60.1

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Saturday, February 11, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
4-BUYER'S REMORSE 85.6
6-POSITION A 84.4
5-MAUI MARK 82.0
1-SLAM SLEW 82.0
3-DIXIE TROUPER 81.4

RACE 2
1-A LITTLE HOT SAUCE 77.8
2-LAST STING 76.6
7-EL TANGO RAY 73.6
4-SIBERIAN RUSH 70.9
8-WARREN'S KONG 67.5

RACE 3
7-STIRRED UP 81.9
8-BODEMEISTER 81.9
4-UNMARKED BILLS 75.8
2-SEE TO SKY 71.0
6-FLEET EAGLE 67.5

RACE 4
6-ELUSIVE SCHEMES 82.0
2-ALL MY CHIPS 76.0
1-MORGANUSKA 71.4
8-MAKER 70.9
5-EL MERITO 70.3

RACE 5
4-LOVESTEALER 76.0
8-MUSIC THUNDER 75.3
2-CONJURE THE SPIRIT 73.6
1-WILLOW SWITCH 63.8
7-ASKRA 63.2 (off slow)

1st time starters - 6

RACE 6
10-WAR POLITICS 65.9
2-MR. PADRE 65.9
7-CHEEZY BREEZY 59.6
12-VISIBLE MARQ 57.7
8-HAVA CIGAR 54.5

RACE 7
5-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 93.2 (off June 11)
11-FARMER GILES 90.8
4-TEN DEVILS 90.0
7-ROMEO ROYALE 88.1
8-CRANKY JACK 87.5

RACE 8
9-PINK LOLLIPOPS 95.8
5-PINCELADA 88.8
8-MOONSTRUCK MAYA 83.8 (off June 11)
6-SPECTACULAR SKY 80.8
2-MISS SEA CUP 80.2

RACE 9
2-NORVSKY 107.9
8-BOURBON BAY 104.5
4-SANAGAS 102.5
6-THE USUAL Q. T. 98.4
7-SLIM SHADEY 98.4

RACE 10
7-SKY FOX 72.0
11-CANDY SWEETHEART 66.4
1-CRESTATORRE 64.8
5-SWISS EMPEROR 60.1
12-MY TOP CAT 55.5

1st time starters - 9, 4

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Friday, February 10, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
8-LIFE IS A ROCK 83.8
6-FLOATING FEATHER 83.8
5-BRONSTER 80.2
3-WICKED LANDLORD 77.8
7-THE FLYING WIZZER 73.7

RACE 2
5-MIDNIGHT CON 69.8
3-CONGRATS SKI 69.2

1st time starters - 2, 6, 1, 4

RACE 3
7-CANDY'S SUNRISE 75.8
2-DYLAN DONNELLY 73.1
1-TERAAD 69.3
8-RISKY REWARD 63.8
4-GURNICK 57.2

RACE 4
1-D'WILDBUNCH 65.4
4-JACK O LYN 64.8
2-RINO U 63.8
5-ITHOUGHTIPAIDYOU 60.1
6-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 58.0

RACE 5
4-WARNING SONG 105.2
7-MR. BOSSY PANTS 99.1
8-EL VINO 94.5
5-OAK KYE WHY 91.3
1-RIBAT 90.7

RACE 6
5-ORBACH 81.4
1-WEGNER 74.3
2-TIZ LIBERTY 73.1
3-DRESS CODE 72.0
4-MILES HEIR 66.4

RACE 7
5-SEAN S 86.9
3-MISS BECCA 83.2
11-MONA STORM 79.7
12-ARRIVEDERCI CARO 79.6
1-CACTUS FLYER 74.9

RACE 8
2-MON COUER 75.4
5-ALWAYS THE SAME 68.1
4-RUN CHARLIE RUN 62.7
3-TRAWEEK 54.5
9-BESPOKE SUIT 51.1

1st time starters - 7

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