Tuesday, May 24, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,521 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, May 22, 2016

 

SANYA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
4-A COLT FOLLOWING 85.6
7-BROADWAY NIKA 85.0
1-OUT OF PATIENCE 85.0
3-DAY IN THE SUN 83.2
5-SAINT DERMOT 83.2

RACE 2
7-IT'SALLYOURSBABY 55.5 (off July 15)
9-DIXIE DAME 51.1
5-TOOLUCKYSUPERMOON 51.1
3-WATCH ME NOW 50.2
8-EVENING AGAIN 46.9

RACE 3
1-ALWAZABRIDESMAID 93.2
3-SHH SHE'S OURS 91.3
2-GLORYZAPPER 90.0 (off Oct. 15)
5-REVENUE VIRGINIUS 83.2
4-ULTIMATE HOLIDAY 70.9

RACE 4
4-INDIVIDUAL DESIGN 69.2
2-DOLLEMMA 68.1
3-IPRAY 67.5
1-BIJOUX 63.8
5-GUESSED RIGHT 61.6

RACE 5
4-REE O KERR 56.0
6-ARCH KISSER 55.0
5-BIG GUY BENNY 45.1
3-SUPERB OWL 42.9
1-RED CAR MAC 41.6 (steadied)

1st time starters - 8, 2

RACE 6
4-ACCELERATE 82.6
3-IDEAL 73.1 (off Feb. 15)
7-VINZ CLORTHO 72.0

1st time starters - 2, 1, 5 (in U.S.A. - fgn.), 6

RACE 7
5-AGUSTINA DE ARAGON 92.6
7-WEST COAST STORM 86.9
2-SWEET 83.2
4-RUE DE CRY 83.2
1-ZIP N BAYOU 80.8

RACE 8
9-ALEXITA 65.9
6-SPARKLING PEG 63.8
5-L.A. MAGIC 62.7
8-PUSH GIRL 61.1 (off Jan. 15)
10-STELLATA 59.0

RACE 9
6-FOLLOW ME CREV 110.0
7-HARD ACES 107.3
4-POINT PIPER 105.9
2-LIEUTENANT COLONEL 102.5
3-SECOND SUMMER 100.4

RACE 10
8-BEHEST 87.5
10-BLAKE'S MAGIC 83.8 (off Nov. 14)
1-PEARL DE VERE 81.4
3-MOONIE 78.4
7-SWEET PROFIT 76.2
6-FILLY ON FIRE 72.3

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Saturday, May 21, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA & PIMLICO PREAKNESS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
8-ALL THAT HEAT 46.9
3-HIJIKI 46.0 (off slow, off Sept. 15)
6-WARM ENDOWMENT 45.5
5-GOLIATH'S GIRL 42.9
7-PACIFIC SWELL 29.7 (off Sept. 15)

1st time starters - 2, 1

RACE 2
3-BOOMPA 75.4
1-LADIES MAN 72.0
2-SWISS SILVER 70.3
8-GO FIRST 68.1 (off Aug. 15)
7-FEYNMAN 64.8

RACE 3
5-NAVY HYMN 83.2
3-CLASSICO 76.6
6-LOYALIST 70.9
4-WEIRDHAICUT SETH 67.0
7-BASINCA 65.9

RACE 4
6-REBARULES AGAIN 63.8
3-UNUSUALLY TALENTED 61.0
7-GOLDEN LIGHT 60.0
2-PRINCESS ASHLYN 39.4
1-PRESIDENTIAL AIR 22.8

1st time starters - 8, 4, 5

RACE 5
1-MISS STAR MAKER 82.6
6-DESERT MADAM 82.0
3-MINISTER'SADVENTURE 72.6
5-QUINNETTE 72.6
7-SHE HUMS 69.9

RACE 6
6-RADIO SILENT 86.9
8-DIRT IN YOUR FACE 85.6
5-BRONZINO 82.5
9-PIONEEROF THE WEST 80.8
1-FAR OUT KAILEE 73.1

RACE 7
9-CARDIAC 96.5
5-MALKO 82.5
7-PRETENTIOUS 82.0
3-SEVE'S ROAD 76.6
2-COWBOY 76.6

RACE 8
5-RUTILE 86.3 (5 wide, steadied, off March 15)
4-COPPA 85.6 (off slow, off Nov. 15)
1-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 85.6
11-WONDERFUL LIE 83.8
9-WEST MID 80.8

RACE 9
7-SUBTLE INDIAN 110.7
1-WILD DUDE 105.2
4-COASTLINE 103.1
3-CAUTIOUS GIANT 101.8
6-DREAM SATURDAY 101.8 (off Aug. 15)

RACE 10
8-HOME JOURNEY 109.3 (off Nov. 15)
3-VELVET MESQUITE 103.1
6-MINKS APRISE 96.4
2-SO SWEETITIZ 94.5
9-AVENGE 94.5 (off June 15)

RACE 11
4-SPIRIT WORLD 72.6
3-WAREN MY BOY 52.1
7-DEFIANT ONE 46.4
11-AJAC 42.4
9-HOOSIER ROAD 42.0

1st time starters - 10, 2, 8 (clipped heels, lost jock)


PIMLICO
RACE 13 - PREAKNESS

3-NYQUIST 119.3
5-EXAGGERATOR 117.9
11-STRADIVARI 116.4
2-UNCLE LINO 102.5
7-COLLECTED 102.5
9-ABIDING STAR 98.4
1-CHERRY WINE 94.5
10-FELLOWSHIP 93.2
8-LAOBAN 91.3
4-AWESOME SPEED 90.7
6-LANI 83.2







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Friday, May 20, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
4-EICHEL 40.3

1st time starters - 2, 6, 5, 3, 7, 1

RACE 2
2-SHAZARA 77.8
5-CARADINI 70.9
6-THAT'S A LADY 62.7
4-CRIMSON AND GOLD 61.4
3-HOLIDAY MOVIE 60.6

RACE 3
1-TE RAPA 96.5
3-WHICH MARKET 96.5 (off July 15)
2-TRIFECTA 93.9
6-BUYMEABOND 85.6
5-BATTI MAN 82.2

RACE 4
2-GUST 67.5
1-AGENT NINE T NINE 60.1 (4 wide)
4-TANGLED UP IN JU 55.5 (off Sept. 15)
7-SPACE CADET 51.1

1st time starters - 3, 6, 5

RACE 5
5-HAY DUDE 102.5
3-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 99.8
2-YES YES YES 92.6
1-U S CITZEN 91.3
4-COUNTY LINEMAN 86.9

RACE 6
5-BIG BOOK 90.7 (off Sept. 15)
7-SAVANNAH SKY 81.4
9-SWISSARELLA 81.4
10-GRACIE RAGAZZA 77.8
3-MELANISTIC 75.4

RACE 7
1-LADY VALEUR 87.5
7-SUTTON'S SMILE 78.4
3-WISHFUL WINKING 73.7
6-DO THE DANCE 67.0
5-FRIULIAN 64.8

1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
5-CONQUEST SO TRUE 73.7
7-EDGY GIRL 69.6
4-SURFING THE MENU 68.6
3-BRITE ECHO 62.2
6-WIFE APPROVED 58.5
1-SCARLET EMERALD 57.5 (off Sept. 15)

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Thursday, May 19, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
5-FORTHE LOVOF PATTY 40.7
6-LOFTY CAUSE 25.1

1st time starters - 7, 4, 2, 9, 8, 3

RACE 2
5-TRIBAL JEWEL 93.9
1-FLY LEXIS FLY 93.9
6-ROMAN TIZZY 86.3
3-BODHISATTVA 72.8
4-SPIN FORTY 69.8

RACE 3
1-TRINITY'S TURN 55.5
5-GOLDRUSHCAT 51.1
2-FLASHY GOLD 48.8
3-DRAGON EYES 47.1
9-LIZZY'S TIZZY 46.9

RACE 4
1-DIS SMART CAT 83.2
4-SPICY BLONDE 73.7
5-SPIRITUAL 73.7
6-PASCHALISTA 70.3
3-TINDERETTE 64.3

RACE 5
8-CITY OF VENGEANCE 95.8
5-ZINVOR 95.2
3-HE'S VERY RARE 93.2
6-MIRAGLO 92.6 (off June 15)
2-ROY H 92.5

1st time starters - 10 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 6
1-SEEKING SHAMROCKS 70.9
7-AUDRA 70.3
9-VOCALIST 66.4
3-MISSY MOUSE 65.9
4-MUDGE 61.6

RACE 7
2-SENSITIVELY 105.9
1-BEN'S DUCHESS 86.3
5-FAST AND FOXY 85.0
4-DR. FAGER'S GAL 82.0
3-LIGHT ONE 77.2

RACE 8
6-INFINITE LOOP 80.2
1-PAPA JOEY 79.6
3-NAT'S NATION 72.6
2-LORD OF CHAOS 69.8
7-NATURAL STRIDE 68.6
8-SPEEDIN WITH EDDIE 62.2

1st time starters - 4, 10, 9

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Wednesday, May 18, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, May 17, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,515 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, May 15, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
1-TRYST 88.1
6-EVERLOVIN WOMAN 57.0
5-SUGARY 56.5 (off slow)
4-ROCKPORT BABE 51.6 (off slow, 3 wide)
3-ESCALANTE 46.4

RACE 2
3-DESERT DYNAM0 106.6
1-DOYOUKNOWSOMETHING 101.1
4-BACCELO 93.2
5-MADIBA 93.2
2-WIN THE SPACE 88.8 (off Nov. 15)

RACE 3
8-MISCHIEVOUS BULL 70.3
4-SUPER TOUCH 64.3
2-STORM THE SHORE 61.6
6-JES JAA 57.5
3-BEAUMARCHAIS 57.0

1st time starters - 5

RACE 4
5-SEEDSANDSTEMSAGAIN 95.2
7-EIGHT SPOKES 79.1
4-UNCLE CHATO 79.0
3-SILVER SUMMER 77.2
9-MR. COUNT ON ME 76.8

RACE 5
10-BILTMORE BOOGIE 80.3 (off Aug. 15)
9-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 72.8
6-TRIPSKI 69.8
8-SENATOR BOB 68.9
4-CHANGING KARMA 66.3

RACE 6
5-HOBBITS HERO 106.6
4-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 104.5
3-CHINA GIRL LOVER 100.4
8-PERSUASIVE PAUL 93.2
6-SKY PREACHER 90.7

1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7
7-ULTRA SHARP 88.1
5-BOONE DOCKS 86.9
3-DEEP CONSIDERATION 83.8
8-ARMORED CAR 82.0
2-GRAMSSON 70.3

RACE 8
3-FOREVER DARLING 85.0
7-LUCKY FOLIE 84.4 (off Nov. 15)
8-BELLAMENTARY 83.2
6-KISS N SCAT 82.6
4-EVERQUEEN 78.4

RACE 9
3-LA BOHEME 82.0
9-EXUBERANTE 77.2
2-LYNNE'S LEGACY 74.9
12-TINDERELLA 74.3
7-CANDY GENOVESA 59.6
4-FIRELIGHT 59.3

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