Friday, November 28, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $47,193.

RACE 1
1-WARRIOR'S RIDGE 74.9
2-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 70.9
3-BADASMYWIFELETSMEB 51.6
5-EXPONENTIALLY 46.4

1st time starters - 6, 4, 7

RACE 2
7-MR. ITKINS 79.6
8-CLICKJAB 77.8
5-GOLD CHASER 74.3
3-SNUGGLEY BEAR 73.7
2-TIZAPALOOZA 56.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 4

RACE 3
8-SIR MACHO 84.4
3-SILVER TORCH 77.2
2-SYNNIN 72.8
7-ANXIOUS TIMES 70.6
9-GALLANT CHARM 70.3

RACE 4
1-FRIENDLY BANTER 85.6
8-WOODMANS LUCK 84.4
4-SHUN 83.2
3-BLUEGRASS REWARD 82.0
2-SENOR RAIN 80.8

RACE 5
10-CHATI'S ON TOP 85.6
7-INTOXICATING MOVE 85.0
3-BARUTA 85.0
9-MARGOT MACHANCE 83.8
8-JADE WITH ENVY 80.2

RACE 6
7-JUDY IN DISGUISE 92.6
9-MEINERTZHAGENI 91.3
4-UZZIEL 83.8
8-KATHLEEN ROSE 83.1
5-WARM BREEZE 80.8

RACE 7
8-TOM'S TRIBUTE 114.3
6-KAIGUN 110.0
10-BIG BANE THEORY 105.9
5-PURE TACTICS 102.5
2-ZA APPROVAL 100.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
12-LIFE ON RIVIERA 68.1
10-INCREASE 58.0
2-CAPTAIN CARCHY 57.5
4-DONJI 53.0
3-JET TRICK 49.2

1st time starters - 6 (stumbled & lost jock), 7



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Thursday, November 27, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
3-MAY B 90.0
4-U S CITIZEN 85.0
5-KINGS ADVENTURE 80.8
2-WATCH IT BUSTER 69.2
1-INSPIRED WISDOM 65.4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-WINDY FORECAST 83.2
1-XOXO 70.9
6-STEALTH DRONE 67.5
7-HOLIDAY MAKER 62.2
5-DOCTOR SUSAN 62.2

RACE 3
5-BURNING 71.4
7-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 66.4
8-STORM THE CHANNEL 57.5
2-CURLIN IRON 55.5
9-CANOPUS 55.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
12-WHERE IS MY MIND AT 44.2
13-VICTORIA FALLS 40.3 (off slow)
14-COME AGAIN PLEASE 35.4 (3 wide)
5-IS THIS GEORGIA 32.6
2-VEGAS LUCK 31.1

1st time starters - 4, 1, 9

RACE 5
3-LADY ASANO 93.8
11-AGUAFRIA 85.6
5-ROYAL TEMPTRESS 85.6
1-STAR FIELD 85.6
2-BLINGISMYTHING 83.2

RACE 6
3-ALFA BIRD 87.6
6-NOWALKING 87.5
8-LITTLE CURLIN 77.0
1-NATIVE RIDE 71.4
5-ARLINGTON HOUSE 67.5 (off slow)

RACE 7
11-THE PIZZA MAN 107.3
2-HOLIDAY STAR 103.1
3-FINNEGANS WAKE 102.5
9-LITTLE JERRY 98.4
6-IRISH SURF 98.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
10-DREAM POLICE 68.1
12-SKY HEART 55.5
14-A COLT FOLLOWING 52.6
13-VERRACO 42.9
5-SUNBEAMSFROMHEAVEN 37.8 (slow start)
8-WOODY'S FOLLY 31.9 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 7, 6, 9, 2, 11, 1



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Wednesday, November 26, 2014

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, November 25, 2014

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,072 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, November 23, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $115,125.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-GUYFROMTHESKYFIVE 65.4
5-GUY CODE 27.9
3-TOMASINO 18.3 (off slow)

1st time starters - 6, 7, 4, 2

RACE 2
1-ZANBO 79.6
8-TANQUERRAY 79.0
7-LOVE BLIND 76.0
5-TEBOWING 76.0
6-BELONGING 73.1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
5-WHOYOUGONNACALL 51.1
8-LITIGATION ROAD 48.0
7-SLAPSHOT MAN 46.9
2-HOT LIGHTNING 40.1
1-SACRED TEMPLE 39.6

RACE 4
1-NIGHTTIMING 82.0
8-ENDURING ERIN 73.1
6-BACKINTHEACADEMY 71.4
4-CRAVIN' THE HEAT 65.6
7-LETHAL STORY 63.8

RACE 5
1-GRANDSTAND 91.9
6-ALPINE LUCK 82.6
7-MIND THE MASTER 75.4
3-TRIBAL DUDE 75.2
5-MOONLIT METEOR 68.7

RACE 6
5-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 99.8
2-APOLLO TEN 93.9
6-WHINE FOR WINE 91.9
7-EL NINO TERRIBLE 88.8
3-KRISTO 79.6
4-DERRINGER 79.6

RACE 7
4-DANCINGTHENIGHTAWAY 97.7
8-BACKWOODS BELLE 80.9
3-MOVING DESERT 71.4
1-HANSERELLA 70.9
7-SHE'S FLUSH 65.2

RACE 8
4-RED OUTLAW 103.1
6-BIG MACHER 102.5
5-SOI PHET 95.8
7-MAGIC MIKE 93.9
1-CELEBRITY STATUS 93.9

RACE 9
2-MICELI 87.5
6-EZIO 86.9
5-JOMELO 83.8
9-SIZZLIN' JOE 80.8
7-CRAVING CARATS 79.0
3-MAMBO MAN 73.1

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Saturday, November 22, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-TATUMS GOLD 71.4
3-PRINCESS BERTRANDO 67.0
1-EASTER FEVER 64.3
5-GRAND YODELER 63.2
4-DESERT THIEF 59.0

RACE 2
4-SHYSHEISNOT 80.8
1-DIAMINDA 78.4
3-PERFECTA 76.6
6-KADESHA 73.1
5-LUVLY RITA 68.6

RACE 3
6-CLOUD HOPPER 70.9
3-USBEK THUNDER 70.3
4-DEEP PLAY 65.4
1-CARDIO ROYALE 61.1
2-TRUCIAL STATE 61.1

RACE 4
4-AIR OF ROYALTY 93.8
8-MAHALO PRINCESS 88.8
3-LUCKY S. J. 82.7
10-MAGIC LILY 77.2
9-FAITH HOPE LOVE 76.8

RACE 5
8-SECRET COMMAND 80.8
3-TIZ FUTURITY 77.2
5-INTAXICATION 76.6
7-MAHALO ARTURO 72.0
1-RAISE THE HOOF 59.6

RACE 6
3-PERSUASIVE PAUL 93.9
7-LOS BAMBINOS 91.9
11-DRESS CODE 91.9
1-BENBA 86.3
10-BUYMEABOND 85.0

RACE 7
4-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 90.7
6-NICKLUS WAY 90.7
2-BIRD E HOUSE 89.4
5-GOTHAM NEWS 83.2
1-BAILOUTBOBBY 82.5

RACE 8
1-APPEALING CAT 95.2
9-LADY PIMPERNEL 95.2
11-SCOOTER BIRD 91.3
6-BEE BRAVE 86.9
10-LADY OF GOLD 85.6

RACE 9
1-FARINGDON CIRCLE 86.9
2-TAP DANCING 65.4
4-TIZ ADDICTEDTOLOVE 56.0
6-CLASSY CHICK 42.6

1st time starters - 8, 5, 7, 3

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Friday, November 21, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $42,533.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf))
6-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 63.2
4-MIDNIGHT CANDY 59.6
3-WATIFENDZITMAKE 56.6
2-RACING FOR CHASEN 43.8
5-TRIBAL EXPRESS 34.2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
5-CONQUEST SUPERSTEP 73.1
2-OLIVIA'S GREATDANE 63.2
1-BAYONET 58.0
6-SHOW STEALER 57.5
3-SCATTAGIRL 47.2 (off slow)

RACE 3
6-MEMPHIS 88.1
3-LUCKBOX SAM 86.9
1-WELL MEASURED 80.8
5-RELENTLESS HEAT 78.4
7-JUSTIFICATION 75.4

RACE 4
5-THREE BLONDES 70.9
2-BILGER'S SAPPHIRE 69.8
4-TEMEEKU 69.3
1-SIDEPOCKET RUN 68.6
9-CHARMING STARLET 63.6

1st time starters - 3, 8

RACE 5
4-I'M NO PATSY 61.6
3-CAYANNA 61.1
8-ROMANTIC WISH 57.2
9-SPIRIT OF TEN 55.1
5-GABBY'S PURIM 54.0
6-GIANIS 54.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-BENCH WARRANT 75.4
6-MISCHIEF CLEM 73.1
4-PEACENLUVPEACENLUV 71.4
3-BLUEGRASS SIGHT 68.6
2-INEXCESS TIME 68.6

RACE 7
4-SAM'S SISTER 97.7
7-BIORHYTHM 97.1
3-HEAT TRAP 96.5
2-MASTER THE BLUES 92.6
9-STARS ABOVE ME 90.7
8-LIANDUDNO 90.7

RACE 8
8-THESHEETSGUY 76.6
2-WARRIOR'S RIDGE 74.9
6-PLAY MAKER 63.8
3-DEAD EASY 58.0
5-CERNOBBIO 56.5
4-BROADCASTER 55.0

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Thursday, November 20, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
4-PRESIDING JUSTICE 87.5
6-ROCKED TWICE 79.6
1-VEGAS STREET 73.1
3-JEDI MIND TRICK 71.4
2-SHAKAHARI 70.9

RACE 2
1-SKI'S COPPER PENNY 57.0
6-HERE'S BELLA 55.5
7-QUEEN MAD 48.3
3-HOLLYWOOD ROYALTY 46.4
8-PRIVATE MARINA 45.5

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-GOLDS VENICE 67.0
2-LOOKIN FOR MONEY 46.4
7-SWISS JET 44.6
8-LADY DANGER 43.3
9-DANA'S DELIGHT 35.8

RACE 4
2-SIENA GRACE 80.3
1-PUSH GIRL 72.8
7-KOHALA 68.9
6-HUGH KNEW 67.5
3-SMOOTH TALKER 64.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-PIONEEROF THE WEST 81.4
1-CYRUS ALEXANDER 62.0
7-MADIBA 59.6
6-FOLLOW ME CREV 55.0
5-MILTON 47.1

RACE 6
8-COMIN'OFFTHEBENCH 74.9
3-Q'VIVA 72.0
5-ROCKIN GIRL 67.0
1-DENOTATION 66.4
2-WARREN'S CRACKER 64.8

RACE 7
7-TREND 93.2
2-SUPER ABILITY 90.7
5-BETTY'S BAMBINO 89.4
3-POWER PED 89.4
8-JULES JOURNEY 88.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-GOLD JOURNEY 53.0
6-SOUTH TEXAS 50.6
3-DIAMOND CUT 49.7 (3 wide)
1-ABETS ABET 48.8
4-CAPE'S ROCKETTE 41.1

1st time starters - 8, 2

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