Saturday, May 23, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
3-OIL 82.0
2-AJAC 74.3
4-PLAYER'S CHARM 52.6
9-EAGLE ROCK 33.8 (off slow, bumped)
5-MR. CAPPUCCINO 31.9

1st time starters - 7, 6, 8, 1

RACE 2
2-KADESHA 69.2
5-CARRICK BAY 67.5
7-DIAMOND CUT 65.4
4-TRUE HISTORY 60.1
6-QUEENOFHERCASTLE 56.0

RACE 3
5-SUNDAY RULES 97.1
4-MEINERTZHAGENI 90.0
6-TRIBAL GAL 88.8
2-HARLINGTON'S ROSE 88.8
3-SIDEPOCKET RUN 79.5

RACE 4
3-JEAN EDWARD 61.6
7-AWESOME LUCK 59.6
10-AVO 30.8
9-MISS STAR MAKER 29.7
1-ANNISQUAM 28.3

1st time starters - 8, 6, 4, 5, 2

RACE 5
11-SURFER MOON 69.8
9-PREORDIANED 65.4
2-MAXIMINUS 62.7
4-SEEKING ASYLUM 62.2
10-TAKEN BY SURPRISE 59.6

RACE 6
1-MY MONET 102.8
2-WILD IN THE SADDLE 101.5
3-GO WEST MARIE 96.8
4-HEAT DU JOUR 87.5
5-CHATI'S ON TOP 87.5

RACE 7
3-SHEER PLEASURE 74.6
4-NIASSA 73.7
2-THERMODYNAMICS 71.6
6-LA FIERA 69.3
1-BARBARA BEATRICE 64.2

RACE 8
9-ROCKO'S WHEEL 102.1
6-CHIEF OF STAFF 95.0
4-ZINVOR 90.7
2-RICHARD'S BOY 88.9
5-GRAZEN SKY 86.3

RACE 9
9-MOTOWN MEN 110.7
6-SOI PHET 100.4 (off Dec. 14)
5-SHORT HEAT WAVE 93.9
3-TOLEDO EDDIE 93.2
10-JOY BOY 90.7

RACE 10
5-ACE DEUCE 79.0
7-THE CUSTODIAN 76.6
2-PROHIBITION REPEAL 76.0
10-BRIMSTONED 69.9
13-SIR CAL 67.6

1st time starters - 9

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Friday, May 22, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY EVE.

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
2-ADDENDUM 70.3
7-TOOMANYTOMATOES 65.4
5-MIDNIGHT LADY 64.3
3-WINNINGINFASHION 55.5
6-MONSTRO NESS 53.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
1-DUBDUBWATSON 68.1
5-SKEDADDLE BABE 40.7 (3 wide)
9-PHANTOM HEAT 29.3

1st time starters - 3, 7, 8, 2, 4, 6

RACE 3
6-WARRENSPOWEROFLOVE 53.5
3-DULCEMIA 49.7
1-ZEEKID 43.8
7-QUEEN KHALEESI 41.1
8-STUNNING TASTE 36.2

1st time starters - 4

RACE 4
1-I HEART YOU 60.1
8-PRIVATE MARINA 59.6
6-VEGAS BOUND 55.5
7-TEASING MOMENT 55.3
2-GREY GIRL GONE 47.6

RACE 5
2-MY JEALOUS 98.2
4-PROSPECTOR'S TRICK 91.9
10-EMPTY HEADED 91.3
5-EZIO 86.3
1-RANSOM CANYON 80.8

RACE 6
6-TEMPLAR 73.7
9-A COLT FOLLOWING 69.2
1-PAPA KADE 68.6
7-AFLEET IN TIME 65.4
3-HIGHWAY BOSS 62.7

RACE 7
8-HOME JOURNEY 103.8
5-BIRDLOVER 103.1
2-ALEXIS TANGIER 101.1 (off Oct. 14)
4-CAMRYN KATE 88.8
6-SAYES SO 88.8

RACE 8
7-BLAME IT ON TEKELA 63.8
6-FLEXIBLE 52.6
1-BLACK TIE 52.6
11-EMPIRE CAT 46.9
9-AARON AGAIN 46.0
8-SHARPENER 43.9

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Thursday, May 21, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
11-MISS GRIDLEY 40.7

1st time starters - 1 thru 8, 10 (no selections)

RACE 2
7-ZAN BO 86.3
1-SMART N DREAMY 85.6
6-FANTISTIC MIZZ 82.6
8-MAJESTIC MINISTER 79.6
3-TOPPERS SUNSHINE 76.6
5-REDRESSTHEBALANCE 76.6

RACE 3
4-ROCKET HEAT 83.2
8-PAPA TRUF 83.2
1-ULTIMATE LUCK 81.4
3-MR. COUNT ON ME 77.8
6-WILLY BE WILD 71.4

RACE 4
7-RAISED A SECRET 99.1
6-CAMINETTO 98.4
2-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 97.8
4-SEEKING THE SHERIF 93.2
1-HEAD SOUTH 93.2

RACE 5
2-MAGNA WARRIOR 87.5
7-SHAKAHARI 82.1
6-HOBBITS HERO 81.4 (off July 14)
9-GANGNAM GUY 79.6
5-MONSIEUR POWER 77.8

RACE 6
9-SOUTHERN LOYALTY 67.5
6-WYNHURST 64.8
8-BANDIDO TOO 62.7
4-UPTOWN RYTHEM 62.2
10-DOTHRAKI 60.2

1st time starters - 5, 1

RACE 7
9-TIZA CLASSY LASS 82.6
8-TANGELO 82.0
2-WON'T BE SHAKEN 73.1
3-CHAULK O LATTEY 71.6
10-WATER ISSUES 69.8

RACE 8
4-HYE I'M JACK 64.8
7-SOMETHINGABOUTNICK 60.1
11-BUCKLEBERRY GREY 59.3 (off April 13)
2-HONEY FEVER 47.8
5-TIZ ALL THAT 45.1
1- PAPA'S PLAYBOY 44.6

1st time starters - 8, 6


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Wednesday, May 20, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, May 19, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,196 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, May 17, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $80,137.

RACE 1
4-VALENTINE'S REWARD 57.0
3-FEEL THE CHARGE 49.2
2-CLASS DIVINE 29.7
5-DANA'S DELIGHT 27.6
1-PALM CANYON 22.2

RACE 2
4-LIGHT STRIKER 72.0
5-LA CASADORA 70.9
6-SHEZA EYEOPENER 67.0
1-SPIRIT OF TEN 65.4
3-ARTICULATE 64.3

RACE 3
8-L X SUNRISE 63.2
2-MS. K J 39.9
9-ROMAN WILD 38.2 (off May 14)
6-CORONADO CAT 36.6 (off slow, 3 wide)
7-ELUSIVE MISTRESS 21.9 (off Nov. 14)

1st time starters - 5

RACE 4
4-IT'S AINE 81.4
6-DISSENSION 76.6
2-SALSITA 74.3
5-TWO STEP FLOR 73.7 (off July 14)
7-ALWAYS A CHANCE 73.1

RACE 5
1-LUST FOR LIFE 76.0
8-FRANDONTJUDGE 72.6
6-PAY THE DEBT 70.3
5-SMOOTH TALKER 67.5
3-SENSATIONAL NIKKI 65.7

RACE 6
2-FOREST CHATTER 102.5
6-U S CITIZEN 97.8
7-INDEXICAL 96.5
8-HORIZONALYSPEAKIN 96.5
1-AIN'T NO OTHER 95.8

RACE 7
9-PEACENIK 76.6
5-SUPERCABRAS 59.0
7-TRIUNFO 58.5
8-LAND OF THE FREE 58.5
4-MAY WEATHER 57.5

RACE 8
8-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 94.5
5-BACK TO BAKO 90.7
6-TOSHEEN 89.4
7-GOLD CHASER 88.8
3-FORMALLY WILD 86.9

1st time starters - 2 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
6-BELLAMY CONCERTO 72.0
7-HOOK 'EM KURT 70.3
8-TOSSMEACUTIE 32.3

1st time starters - 10, 11, 4, 9, 3, 5, 2, 1

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Saturday, May 16, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - PIMLICO "PREAKNESS" - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








PIMLICO
RACE 13 - "THE PREAKNESS"
2-DORTMUND 123.8
1-AMERICAN PHAROAH 123.8
8-FIRING LINE 120.8
7-DIVINING ROD 107.9
4-DANZIG MOON 100.4
6-BODHISATTVA 95.8
3-MR. Z 94.5
5-TALE OF VERVE 77.8

SANTA ANITA
RACE 1
6-ERTE 52.1
1-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 52.0
5-WORTHY GRAPES 51.6
3-SUMMER VEIL 50.6
2-ILL TELL YOU WHAT 43.8

RACE 2
2-TARA'S 98.4
6-BEN'S DUCHESS 89.44
5-FANTASTIC STYLE 88.1
4-MOONS OVER ME 69.8
3-SUVA HARBOR 64.3

RACE 3
1-SYNNIN 88.8
8-ATTA BOY PETE 87.5
7-KNOW PLANS 86.9
2-BRAVE ACT 86.9
6-EL TOVAR 86.3

RACE 4
5-MARYCASEY 83.2
1-SKY MEGA 82.6
3-GRACIE RAGAZZA 77.2
6-D'YA KNOWWHATIMEAN 69.2
2-BLUSHING ANGEL 68.1

RACE 5
2-INK WELL 64.8
6-LUTE IT UP 56.5
11-STEPSUN 44.6
4-ILLYBILLY BOY 40.7
7-GEMMABETO 39.4

1st time starters - 5

RACE 6
5-PEPPY BOLLY 72.6
8-TWELVE FOLDS 70.3
4-LUCKY STUDENT 67.5
7-SUGAR SPICE 67.5
1-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 65.4

RACE 7
4-CHARMING STARLET 71.4
9-SCUTI DE PUTUTI 62.7
6-SILVER SPECTACLE 62.1
11-REDO IT 58.0
12-BIG MOVE 52.6

1st time starters - 1, 3, 8

RACE 8
3-CUDDLE ALERT 61.1
13-CHERISH 55.0 (off May 14)
12-FORBIDDEN COMMAND 46.9 (3 wide)
11-TICABOO 29.7
4-S'MORE FUNNY FEVER 24.1

1st time starters - 9, 2, 7, 6, 10

RACE 9
8-SHAPELY 85.6 (off Jun. 14)
7-BELLE OF THE FLEET 79.6
11-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 78.4
2-BIG BREAK 77.2
3-IMWITHTHEBLONDE 77.2

RACE 10
13-FANCY SHOES 85.8
2-I'LL WRAP IT UP 83.2
9-SIR MACHO 83.2
3-SMALL TOWN COP 79.6
14-FORT CADY 78.1

RACE 11
4-WILD CAROLINE 63.4 (off Nov. 14)
5-TURN ON 59.0
11-TRIBAL YODLER 59.0
10-GRAMMY TIMES SIX 59.0
14-SAY'S WHO 51.1





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Friday, May 15, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
1-RUNBRORUN 58.0
2-TUMBLEWEEDPRINCESS 41.6 (3 wide)
3-XINGONTOTHEBONE 34.6

1st time starters - 7, 5, 6, 4

RACE 2
3-AMERICAN ACT 82.6
2-BLACKFORD 80.2
4-FAST MAST 76.6
6-BIRD E HOUSE 72.0
5-JACKSON SUNDOWN 67.5

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
8-STAR EXPRESS 41.6 (4 wide)
2-JACKEEATTACKEE 15.0

1st time starters - 1, 3, 7, 6, 5, 4

RACE 4
8-WON'T BE SHAKEN 71.4
4-LOOKIN FOR MONEY 69.8
9-BUTTERCUP GOLD 67.5
6-BACKSTREET LISA 62.2
3-KISS AT MIDNIGHT 62.2

RACE 5
5-DRESS CODE 90.0
3-AMERICAN BLEND 84.4
6-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 80.8
4-CARLOT COWBOY 80.8
1-CANDY FOR DEBBIE 76.0

RACE 6
4-FAST TRACK 90.7
3-RUSH IN 86.3
7-MACHO SOX 84.4
1-LOS BAMBINOS 82.6
2-ALL SQUARED AWAY 82.6 (off June 13)

RACE 7
1-LIMITED RESPONSE 80.2
8-COOLINGTON 72.6
4-NO CONTINGENCY 69.8
2-SIR BARCLAY 69.8
3-SURF N SKI 69.2

RACE 8
6-HOUSEMAKER 64.3
5-BARBS ANGEL 63.2 (off Oct. 14)
1-PAMMY WHAMMY 61.1
9-CARNIVAL LIGHTS 56.0
8-LUVURYAN 54.0
11-CHRISTIANAS MIRAGE 54.0
12-FEEL THE CHARGE 53.3





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