Saturday, December 20, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
5-ANILLO 71.4
1-ANYTIME MAGIC 68.1
3-GENO'S BAMBINO 66.4
4-DEER DECARCHY 61.1
2-TRUCIAL STATE 57.0

RACE 2
5-CRAVING CARATS 89.4
6-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 87.5
2-RUNAWAY WILDCAT 80.2
7-FROM HERE TO THERE 76.0
1-WARREN'S CASPER 62.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-ZIPPINAROUNDTOWN 39.4
4-SAINT NATA 32.3
2-TIZN'T 30.0
6-IS THIS GEORGIA 29.2
7-SHE'S A HUGGER 24.3

RACE 4
8-ROLO TAMACI 69.2
6-FORT CADY 62.7
7-FRIDAY HARBOR 57.5
1-ANZEAU 51.6
3-ODIN 44.2 (lugged out)

1st time starters - 2

RACE 5
1-AMERICAN PRIDE 96.5
6-PRIME ISSUE 95.8
4-EL NINO TERRIBLE 88.9
3-BIG KICK 86.3
5-BACCELO 85.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-EBONY PRINCESS 43.3
1-I AM GOING GLOBAL 14.5

1st time starters - 8, 5, 3, 4, 2, 6

RACE 7
8-PEARL DE VERE 90.0
5-SWEET MARINI 89.4
1-POPALICIOUS 87.5
4-MAGIC LILY 83.2
7-FREE MONEY 74.3

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
3-DORTMUND 108.6
4-MR. Z 94.5
5-FIRING LINE 89.5
2-NO PROBLEM 76.4
1-BENCH WARRANT 65.5

RACE 9
2-YOUR BERTRANDO 59.6
10-PLAY MAKER 58.5
7-BADASMYWIFELETSMEB 54.5
3-EXPONENTIALLY 50.6
8-AMERICAN STYLE 49.2

1st time starters - 5

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Friday, December 19, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $18,466.

RACE 1
5-KATY'S PLUM 62.7
1-ANN'S GOLD 55.0
2-WARRENS GOLDNUGGET 39.9
3-WARREN'S FANTASY 33.4
4-HONKY TONK DIVA 33.4

RACE 2
2-SALSITA 67.0
1-HOTALING HEART 60.6
3-NORASTONE 55.0
5-SWEET PIZAZZ 51.6
4-SUNDAY STROLL 49.7

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-EMPIRE CAT 42.9
3-VISITATION 33.8
5-SPRING FOR IT 26.1
1-WINGS ANGEL 23.5 (off slow)
6-SOONER THAN LATER 13.0

1st time starters - 2

RACE 4 (all2 yo. going 6f.)
6-PATSY G AND ME 52.6
4-SCUTI DE PATUTI 31.5
2-SHALLOT 30.4 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 1, 3, 5

RACE 5
5-HIGH PROFIT 53.5
4-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 51.5
3-AGUACITA 49.7
1-RACING FOR CHASEN 47.8
6-WATDIFRENZDZITMAKE 44.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-SLEW'S CHARM 56.0
4-STIPEND 54.0
5-SHE GOT AWAY 41.6 (steadied)

1st time starters - 3, 7, 6, 2

RACE 7
5-LUCKBOX SAM 93.2
2-MACHO SOX 82.0
6-WRIGHTWOOD 81.4
4-HELLO FRANKIE 76.0
1-GOODISON PARK 73.1

RACE 8
5-SHARED IMAGE 56.0
4-SUDDEN QUEST 55.0
6-SLEWBIE DOO 48.8
3-EGYPTAIN FEMME 46.9
7-BIRD IN LOVE 46.4
1-GIANIS 45.1


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Thursday, December 18, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
1-ECHO ZULU 69.8
2-PAPA'S PAISLEY 67.5
3-HEYYOUCAN 56.5
5-POSITRON 52.6
4-BRACKENDALE 49.7

RACE 2
1-FAITH PROOF 81.4
4-ROSEWHITENBLUE 75.4
3-HANDFUL OF PEARLS 67.0
5-WARREN'S GUSSIE 62.2
2-AWE'SOME KITTEN 60.1

RACE 3
3-LUCK LASTS 63.8
6-MOSSO 62.7
5-JUST CALL ME AL 61.1
2-NO MA'AM 57.5
4-END OF TIME 47.4

RACE 4
6-FORBIDDEN CITY 64.8
1-IT'S AINE 63.2
5-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 54.0
2-PROMISCUOUSSUSNCES 52.1
3-MY DEVILISH DIVA 48.8

RACE 5
2-ATASCADERAN 80.2
1-ACCELERANT 76.6
4-UNMATCHED FORCE 74.3
5-ODEON 71.4
6-DREAMY KID 68.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-TOUGH SUNDAY 55.5
6-DR. SUER 54.5
1-SWISS SILVER 54.0
2-PRICE OF GLORY 50.6
3-SWISS BREW 34.6

1st time starters - 5, 8, 9, 7

RACE 7
1-ACUTE 62.2
4-GELIA 59.6
2-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 58.0
6-WILDY EXCESSIVE 57.0
3-TIZ BUT A DREAM 52.1

RACE 8
4-DOUBLEDEESONTHETEE 72.0
6-WARREN'S TYLER S. 65.9
5-COLE COLE 59.0
3-GO BLACK TIE 56.5
9-TAMA COUNTY 52.1
8-TIZOUTTASIGHT 47.8


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Wednesday, December 17, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, December 16, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,090 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, December 14, 2014

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-DR. VINCENTSTEIN 58.0
3-ONE MORE ROLL 54.5
5-WILDCAT SAILOR 53.0
1-EDDIE COULD GO 49.2
4-OUTHINK'EM 46.4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-SLAPSHOT MAN 49.2
8-MANILA CUSTOMER 48.3 (came out)
3-DONJI 40.3
6-BERN 33.4
4-TIZ ALL THAT 31.1

1st time starters - 5, 1

RACE 3
5-LASSIE'S REWARD 64.8
4-RUSTY ROAD 64.3
2-FONZ 61.6
3-TAKE A RISK 60.1
1-EBONY GOLD 59.1

RACE 4
8-TRUCO LATINO 68.6
10-CALIENTE CAT 68.1
11-ANILLO 62.7
4-AERIAL ARTIST 62.7
1-NO TEAM SPIRIT 60.6

RACE 5
8-VEGAS BOUND 64.8
1-LUCKYVIC 59.0
5-SIXY EDDIE 55.0
2-GALEHORN 52.1
6-AMINA PERFECT 52.1

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-CORNBREAD RED 71.0
6-DYNAMITE RIDE 65.9
3-GUY CODE 65.3
2-AFLEET IN TIME 54.0
7-WHOYOUGONNACALL 53.5

RACE 7
8-LUCKY S. J. 76.0
2-MAHALO PRINCESS 73.1
5-SWEETEST SECRET 71.4
1-INA MINA 69.2
9-MON PETITE 65.9

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-ACCEPTANCE 77.6
4-MISCHIEF CLEM 74.3
1-KLUSZEWSKI 60.4
6-PULMARACK 57.0
5-P CLUB 55.0

RACE 9
8-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 70.3
4-INDIAN MONKEY 57.0
3-SENOR PEGASUS 42.0
6-HEAVENELEVEN 39.4
9-WHAT WE DOING 35.0

1st time starters - 5

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Saturday, December 13, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
5-WHEN WE MET91.9
6-COURTSIDE 89.4
4-W. GILES 80.2
1-HAZARDOUS 70.9 (off Dec. 13)
3-BOB CONSULTATION 70.3

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-COLLATERAL 41.6
4-CLEM JUICE 36.6
1-SWEET UNION 35.4 (5 wide)
9-CAYMUS KAT 26.1
6-SINGAPORE BID 25.1 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3
2-MON MOUSSE 74.3
5-HOLD EVERYTHING 73.7
7-QATAR'S PEARL 70.4
6-BERLUSCONI 67.5
1-CARAMURU 65.9

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-NATLIE'S WONDER 62.2
5-FROGGY FRESH 47.4
8-HOLY ASCENSION 42.4
3-CHARMSTEALER 26.5
2-FORTUNE'S DAUGHTER 25.4

1st time starters - 9, 6, 4

RACE 5
2-SUICIDE CURVES 58.0
6-GOOD PROOF 54.5
8-EBO'S LOVE 49.7
1-WRINKLE ROOM 48.8
4-ROMANTIC WISH 46.9

RACE 6
8-APOLLO TEN 95.2
7-LUCKBOX SAM 91.3
3-MCKENZIES WAY 80.8
2-FIGHTER SQUADRON 79.4
6-SHEER TALENT 76.6

RACE 7
3-ROMAN TIZZY 80.2
5-NIGHT BADGER 80.2
7-VALDIRONE 79.0
6-JOHNS JOURNEY 76.6
8-URBAN HUNTER 76.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
6-TAKE CHARGE BRANDI 88.1
2-DON'T BLAME ME 83.8
4-FEATHERED 81.4
3-DANETTE 80.2
5-MAJESTIC PRESENCE 79.0

RACE 9
7-SOUTHERN OWAH 41.1
4-BOLD DECISION 34.6
9-IRISH AND LUCKY 24.1
8-TOONZ 21.6

1st time starters - 6, 3, 1, 5, 2, 10, 11


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Friday, December 12, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: NO HORSE RACING PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR TODAY DUE TO STORM ( POWER OUTAGES, HIGH WINDS, CANCELED AIR FLIGHTS). HOPE TO BE BACK SATURDAY.

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