Sunday, April 26, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $80,129.

RACE 1
3-TEMPLAR 74.9
5-CONGRATS SEATTLE 64.8
6-TWO SIX WINS 61.6
4-AFLEET IN TIME 57.0
2-LITIGATION ROAD 56.5

RACE 2
5-ALPHA DOLL 64.3
3-STELLA MOON 38.6
6-L. A. MAGIC 37.9

1st time starters - 1, 2, 4

RACE 3
3-WANDERING HEART 73.1
6-LIRICA HEAT 62.7
7-WARREN'S PURRFECT 58.0
5-PRINCESS ASHLYN 49.2
1-IT GIRL 49.0

RACE 4
6-CHOCOLATE DELIGHT 69.2
3-MIDNIGHT LADY 68.1
2-SUMMERS DIGNITY 56.6
7-ZEES CHRIS 56.5
5-ADDENDUM 53.0

RACE 5
12-PROVENANCE 88.8 (off July 14)
5-CHATI'S ON TOP 86.9
6-AMELIATHEAVIATOR 81.4
4-ARTISTIC CHARM 79.6
11-DISSENSION 76.6

1st time starters - 8

RACE 6
4-OLD MAN LAKE 99.8
2-BRAVE ACT 95.2
7-ALPINE LUCK 85.6
8-HOWDY 84.4
5-ROMAR SUCCESS 80.8

RACE 7
8-BIRDLOVER 101.8
2-THEGIRLINTHATSONG 101.5
7-INDECISE 96.5
1-MOULIN DE MOUGIN 95.8
5-UZZIEL 95.2

RACE 8
1-BLAME IT ON TEKELA 63.2
5-FANCY SHOES 60.4
7-BURNING 58.0
9-DUALLY AFFIRMED 57.7
6-SALT OF THE EARTH 55.5

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Saturday, April 25, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
2-NO CONTINGENCY 74.3
6-TRAWEEK 67.5
1-JONNY'S CHOICE 66.7
5-BALLADEER 50.6
4-CLOUD HOPPER 50.2

RACE 2
2-WAR ACADEMY 104.5 (off July 14)
5-RAISED A SECRET 99.1
4-CAMINETTO 95.8 (off July 14)
1-KAFISTER 93.9
3-FOLLINI 85.6

RACE 3
1-LUST FOR LIFE 75.4
3-SMOOTH TALKER 69.2
7-FAST MOKA TOO 63.8
4-LUCKY STUDENT 61.6
2-SHY ROSA 60.6

RACE 4
4-SYNNIN 87.5
11-HOT MARKET 86.9
1-GANGNAM GUY 85.6
8-ODIN 82.6
5-DEEP PLAY 82.0

RACE 5
5-PREORDAINED 67.5
8-SOMETHINGABOUTNICK 60.1
2-RARE PUNCH 49.7
4-GO JEREMIAH 47.8
7-NORTH LAKE TAHOE 35.8

1st time starters - 3, 1, 9

RACE 6
3-DANETTE 69.8
7-YA YA GIRL 66.4
12-JAYCEE'S HUMOR 65.4 (off slow)
5-HOUSEMAKER 62.7
8-PAULINA'S LOVE 61.1

RACE 7
8-RULE HE WILL 97.1
3-FRENSHAM 90.7
1-K THIRTY EIGHT 85.0
5-TANNERSMYMUSCLE 81.4
7-ROLO TAMACI 75.4

RACE 8
1-BIG JOHN B 108.6
8-ABBEY VALE 106.6
2-POWER FOOT 104.5
7-QUICK SASABLANCA 91.9
5-PLAY HARD TO GET 91.9


RACE 9
3-OLYMPIC LADY 61.1 (off July 14, bumped)
5-JEAN EDWARD 59.0
7-WEST MID 48.8
4-FILLY ON FIRE 46.4 (off Sept. 14)
2-AWESOME LUCK 46.0
10-AIN'T SHE PRETTY 12.8 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 1, 8, 9, 6

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Friday, April 24, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
4-BENTLEY'S GONE 66.4
3-MY OLE BUD 59.8
2-DOYOUKNOWSOMETHING 59.6
5-INNER CITY 39.9 (off slow)
1-ROB'S GOLDEN TOUCH 32.3 (off slow, squeezed)

RACE 2
5-MY SWEET AFLEET 55.0 (off Aug. 14)
1-QUALITY CHIMES 50.0
6-JACKIE K 47.6
3-CHRISTIANAS MIRAGE 44.6
2-MACKENZIES MOMENT 38.2 (3 wide)

RACE 3
3-ZANBO 84.4
4-FANTISTIC MIZZ 80.2
5-TOPPERS SUNSHINE 80.2
6-FELINE FORUM 75.4
7-REDRESSTHEBALANCE 74.3

RACE 4
4-I HEART YOU 64.8
3-DEMOCRACY RULES 64.2
5-PRIVATE MARINA 59.0
2-VEGAS BOUND 55.5
6-TEASING MOMENT 46.1

RACE 5
8-TALE OF PAPA NICK 85.6
4-SIDEPOCKET RUN 84.4
2-FRANDONTJUDGE 82.6
3-GOUYEN 81.4
5-DESERT STEEL 77.2

RACE 6
4-AWE GEE 49.7
3-CHAMPION RISK 45.1
1-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 45.1
2-LADY DASH 43.8
6-AGUACITA 36.6

RACE 7
9-WARREN'S WESLEY 80.4
2-CEVARO 79.6
1-WINGS OF MOJAVE 76.0 (off April 14)
4-CITY STATE 75.9
3-RANSOM CANYON 75.4

RACE 8
1-DIVINE TALE 65.4
2-CUDDLE ALERT 54.5
4-PRETTYPRECIOUSHEIR 52.6
3-EUROCLYDON 48.8
9-WEST COAST STORM 48.3
5-BERNIER 46.9
7-MUDGE 45.1

1st time starters - 10

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Thursday, April 23, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Wednesday, April 22, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,185 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, April 19, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $91,899.

RACE 1
2-NEXT RIGHT 85.0
4-GOLD CHASER 80.8
5-ROCKET HEAT 79.0
1-SEEKING ASYLUM 75.4 (off April 14)
6-MARKET NOTES 65.4

RACE 2
2-TIZ A CLASSY LASS 84.4 (off Nov. 13)
1-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 79.0
6-THERMODYNAMICS 76.0
4-WATER ISSUES 74.9
7-FLAT FOOTED MAMA 67.0

RACE 3
6-QUEEN OF THE HILL 62.7
2-ADDENDUM 59.6
7-A P PEPPER 53.0
4-IRISH AND LUCKY 53.0
5-SUGAR SPICE 48.3 (off June 14)

RACE 4
1-SETTHEBIGBOYSFREE 62.2
2-HONEY FEVER 56.0
6-STERLING WAGER 54.0
8-RANGER SCHOOL 53.5
7-TIZTHESPIRIT 45.5

RACE 5
7-HEAD SOUTH 93.9
3-MY JEALOUS 92.6
2-BROTHER SOLDIER 80.8
1-SPUD SPIVENS 77.2
5-I EARNED IT BABY 70.9

RACE 6
3-EXPOSURE 66.4 (3 wide)
6-THIS IS WAR 65.9
9-DR. FAGER'S GAL 61.6 (off Aug. 14)
1-BETH'S BLING 53.5

1st time starters - 8, 7, 5, 4, 2

RACE 7
5-HOLY LUTE 105.9
6-PURE TACTICS 103.8
8-SWEET SWAP 99.1
7-U S CITIZEN 99.1
4-OUTSIDE NASHVILLE 97.0

RACE 8
6-FRENCH ALPS 85.6
7-MARLA HOOCH 72.0
1-TOOMANYTOMATOES 70.3
3-ARTICULATE 68.1
4-ROSEWHITENBLUE 67.6

RACE 9
1-CHARMING STARLET 77.8
8-SCUTI DE PATUTI 60.6
14-LIRICA HEAT 56.0
2-REDO IT 54.5
5-MISSY MOUSE 48.0
6-MS. K J 46.9 (came out)

1st time starters - 3, 4, 11, 10, 9, 13

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Saturday, April 18, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
6-DRESS CODE 83.2
1-JACKSON SUNDOWN 70.9
3-TRUCIAL STATE 69.8
5-EL VAGURO 68.6
4-RELENTLESS HEAT 68.1

RACE 2
7-COURAGEOUS CALL 86.9
3-BLUSHING ANGEL 76.0 (off April 13)
1-SHAKEITUPBETTY 75.4
4-BIG BREAK 74.9
6-PICA 73.7

RACE 3
2-SHOPPING SAVANNAH 70.9
8-J AND S EXPRESS 69.8
7-PEPPY BOLLY 68.1
4-MOSCATO GIRL 67.5
1-TWELVE FOLDS 67.0

RACE 4
2-PAPACOOLPAPACOOL 91.3
1-ANYTIME ANYPLACE 86.9
8-RIDE HARD KOWBOY 86.9
4-HERO TEN ALL 77.8
7-ERNEST SHACKLLETON 74.9

RACE 5
9-ENGLISH ART 76.6
3-BELIEVE TOO 65.4
7-DOMINGO CAT 57.5
4-TOP DRAWER 57.0
6-DR. VINCENTSTEIN 56.5

RACE 6
2-J SERINO 84.4
3-WAR DESTINY 79.6
11-SOUL CRUSHER 77.8 (off June 14)
9-ALAMO 73.7
8-BARBARY COAST 58.5


1st time starters - 1, 5, 10, 4

RACE 7
1-THREE HEARTS 95.2
6-DIVERSY HARBOR 93.9
3-FANTICOLA 92.6
8-HABIBI 85.6
4-QUEEN OF THE SAND 83.8

RACE 8
3-SECRET APPEAL 70.9
1-LADY KNOW 65.9
9-LYLA DELLA 59.0
7-TRIBAL YODLER 58.0 (off July 14)
4-SPY GIRL 50.6
11-KOHALA 50.6

RACE 9
2-DUALLY AFFIRMED 69.8
4-HAZARDOUS DREAMS 68.6
8-VILLAGE KITTEN 65.9
10-PASSINAFLASH 62.7
13-MAGIC TASTE 61.0
5-BLUE HARBOR 59.5

1st time starters - 7, 3

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Friday, April 17, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
5-NATIVE RIDE 83.8
6-WICKED FINANCE 82.6
1-ARCHITOP 66.4
2-MR. CARTAGENA 64.8
4-MALIBU WOOD 62.5

RACE 2
3-MOE CANDY 98.4
4-D'CHURCH 95.8
5-ATTACK 79.0
2-PAYTHEBANK 61.4
6-VOLUME 42.8 (broke in)

1st time starters - 1

RACE 3
3-PERFECT SET 87.5
1-SENOR RAIN 86.3
4-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 85.0
6-BIPARTISAN 85.0 (off Oct. 13)
2-VALENTINE BOY 83.2

RACE 4
1-ROKSANA 82.0
2-MISS MANDATE 77.2
6-MAJESTIC PRESENCE 73.1
4-ALL STAR BUB 68.6
3-ATOMICSEVENTYNINE 67.0

RACE 5
9-PROSPECTOR'S TRICK 90.0
8-DELTA RANGER 89.4
5-SINFULLY 89.4
4-FRIENDSWITH K MILL 87.5
3-HUNTSVILLE 85.6 (off Sept. 14)

RACE 6
1-BERT'S BABY 50.2
9-EASTER LILLIAN 39.4
10-TICABOO 28.9
4-CHARLOTTE R 22.2 (off June 14)

1st time starters - 14, 11, 6, 7 (DNF), 5, 2, 12, 8, 3

RACE 7
12-U S CITIZEN 102.5
8-FOREST CHATTER 101.8
13-AIN'T NO OTHER 97.8
9-INDEXICAL 96.5
4-BOBBY Z MAN 93.9

RACE 8
10-SPARKLING PEG 58.5
6-MOTHERNATURESPELL 55.5 (off Sept. 14)
11-JUST BOOKIN 46.9
9-GOLD JOURNEY 46.9
12-CODED MESSAGE 43.3
1-STUNNING TASTE 41.6

1st time starters - 2

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