Thursday, September 29, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

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Monday, September 26, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,633 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, September 25, 2016

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
1-BOUND FOR HEAVEN 60.1
5-NO BACHI 58.5
7-EDDIE COULD GO 58.5
6-STORMING CANDY 57.5
3-BLUE RIDGE MTN 35.4

RACE 2
3-PEPPERMINT KITTY 59.0
4-DESERT SMOKE 52.1
5-PUBLIC HOUSE 47.8
1-HOLIDAYINCAMBODIA 46.4
6-SUCESSFULPOCKET 34.6

RACE 3
5-LIZZY MARINI 69.2
4-L. A. MAGIC 67.5
6-IRISH AND LUCKY 60.1
7-EBONY CAT 57.5
8-SILK IN SILVER 52.6

RACE 4
6-ROUGH PASSAGE 85.6
4-IT BEHOOVES ME 82.0
2-ALLTHELEAVESRBROWN 72.0
3-SUPER INDIAN 71.4
1-TOUGH EMBLEM 68.6

RACE 5
3-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 87.5
6-MELANISTIC 74.3
1-BIG BREAK 72.0
2-HOLOGRAEME 71.6
4-ROO'S VALENTINE 65.4
5-LIGHT STRIKER 65.4

RACE 6
8-CHANGING KARMA 77.2
7-SWISS CHEESE 76.0
1-THUNDER BASIN 73.1
4-QUORUM OF JOY 67.0
6-WHAT WE DOING 64.3

RACE 7
4-PROHIBITION REPEAL 82.0
2-NEVER SAY TRY 74.9
5-SIGNATURE CAT 74.9
3-TIZ LOVE 69.8
7-ODIN 64.8

RACE 8
8-PRETENTIOUS 97.8
1-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 90.0
2-LUCKY J LANE 88.8
6-TOUGH IT OUT 85.0
7-ON DRAFT 85.0

RACE 9
6-RESISTANCEISFUTILE 67.0
9-WARREN MY BOY 60.1
2-OLIMPIO'S SCAT CAT 57.0
10-SILVER CHROME 54.5
3-JULIA'S SUMMER 46.0
8-SUPER SWISS 43.8

1st time starters - 5

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Saturday, September 24, 2016

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





RACE 1
6-JONNY'S CHOICE 88.1
3-ATASCADERAN 86.9
4-ULTIMATELUCK 85.6
1-SPIN FORTY 79.0
5-JACKSON SUNDOWN 73.1

RACE 2
7-OUTHINK'EM 62.7
2-IN CONTROL 60.6
1-NIGHT BADGER 59.6
8-MISTY'SVIEWTHEGOLD 55.5
5-BADASMYWIFELETSMEB 42.0

RACE 3
7-BELLA SIERRA 52.1
2-TRIXIE TOPPER 39.0

1st time starters - 3, 6, 4, 8, 5, 1

RACE 4
3-JEOFFIE 52.6
6-IMMUNITY IDOL 47.8
9-STYLISTIC 40.7
2-MADERA JUBILEE 40.3
5-STAR AT THE BAR 38.2

1st time starters - 1

RACE 5
1-BLACK BEAUTY 85.6
3-AVICII 83.2
4-TIM'S GO GIRL 76.6
6-PRAGMATICAL 74.9
8-SPICY BLONDE 70.9

RACE 6 all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-SALDAMENTE 76.6
7-BERNIN SENSATION 75.4
11-A. P. ZONA 45.1 (3 wide)
4-GENTRIFIED 40.7 (off slow,3 wide)
8-T. MONTANA 27.9

1st time starters - 3, 5, 12, 1, 2, 9

RACE 7
10-TOUGH SUNDAY 93.9
3-PULMARACK 93.2
9-GUTSY RULER 90.7
1-ANTHONYSGOTGAME 82.6
8-BLUE ANCHOR 80.8
6-MIDNIGHT OFFICER 80.8

RACE 8
7-ACCELERATE 103.8
8-BLACKJACKCAT 94.1
5-SEMPER FORTIS 90.0
3-CURLIN ROAD 86.3
4-CHRIS AND DAVE 86.3

RACE 9
3-MINEY MAKIN MIKE 61.6
7-STAR EXPRESS 54.6
5-HE'S A KNOCKOUT 53.0
6-MIMIS BIG BOY 49.2
1-CAVALRY 46.0
2-REGAL REIGN 45.2

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Friday, September 23, 2016

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-SIZZLIN SQUARE 52.1
3-MR. HALE 51.6 (3 wide)
2-MR. LOUIS 50.2
1-AMAZING LOVE 48.8
5-EICHEL 42.0

RACE 2
2-OPEN ENROLLEMENT 65.9
4-YAVRIG 61.1
3-ROYAL RED 51.6
7-GOOD LOOKING 47.4
6-RATERA 40.5

RACE 3
8-MOONIE 71.4
1-TOOLUCKYSUPERMOON 67.0
5-THAMES VALLEY 47.4
4-TWENTY FOUR BLACK 43.8
3-GIANIS 43.8

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
11-GOLDEN SILENCE 43.8
4-CHOCOLATE GODDESS 39.9
8-HIGHLY CLASSIFIED 31.1
3-AMERICAN RHIANNON 28.9
9-BLAZING MISS 18.0

1st time starters - 10, 6, 5, 1, 7, 12

RACE 5
4-INDIVIDUAL DESIGN 72.0
1-SHE'S FLUSH 71.0
2-PAPASLILPRINCESS 66.4
7-QUINNETTE 63.2
6-FRANDONTJUDGE 62.2

RACE 6(all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-LA VITESSE 58.0
10-DEMIGODDESS 44.2
5-FORTUNATE QUEEN 31.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 2, 3, 4, 6, 1, 8, 7

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-SAUSALITO SUNSET 54.0
6-YOUR'RE THE REASON 46.9
1-RESKY BUSINESS 45.5
2-RED APPLE 44.2
5-SO HERES THE THING 34.6

RACE 8
6-RUNBRORUN 57.1
5-LUCKY DAYS AHAED 51.1
8-FROSTED BOSS 46.9 (off Aug. 15)
7-BUG OFF 42.7 (off slow)
2-BIG GUY BENNY 30.4
1-LITTLE JOE M. 13.5

1st time starters - 9, 4, 3

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Thursday, September 22, 2016

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
4-STREET GODDESS 64.3
3-OCTOFY 60.1
5-SHARP HOLIDAY 59.6
6-DRAGON FLOWER 55.5
2-SOONER TIME 51.1
1-SUNSHINE LAURIE 51.1

RACE 2
7-U GO GAL 53.5
1-TUSCAN SUN 46.9
5-BLAZINGHOTPROSPECT 35.8 (broke slow)
2-SWEET LU 32.3
8-SUNSET SANDY 30.0

1st time starters - 4

RACE 3
3-SUN SPOTS 63.8 (off Nov. 15)
6-LUCKY TOMMY 61.1
2-ETAILER 59.0
5-FIVE STAR JACK 51.1
7-JET SEEKER 44.6

RACE 4
6-BOHEMIAN BLISS 44.2
8-PROWLING AROUND 43.8
4-PATIENCE LADY 42.4
7-PRINCESS ASHLYN 41.6
1-TURF CLUB QUEEN 40.7

1st time starters - 3, 5

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-TWO THIRTY FIVE 39.9 (3 wide)
5-JACK THE CLOSER 38.2
9-BLOWEMAWAY 30.0 (bumped, steadied at start)
4-VIGOROUSLY JUAN 29.7
7-FIRST CLASS BOY 24.4

1st time starters - 8, 1, 2

RACE 6
3-ALTAIRA 76.6
5-FAST MAGOO 73.7
1-ALLTHATNMORE 71.4
7-ROCK ALL DAY 64.8
6-WARREN'S CRACKER 60.6

RACE 7
4-STOLE MY 'ART 60.1
5-BACKSTREET LISA 58.8
3-MINT JULEP TAFFY 55.5
9-VERONICA BAY 50.6
8-TRULY PONTI 45.2

RACE 8
3-Y BUY GOLD 75.4
2-DIXIELAND BLUES 63.8
12-IN CONTROL 60.6
9-DEER DECARCHY 59.6
7-PEACENIK 58.5
5-AERIAL ARTIST 56.1
1-MOONLIGHT MEETING 55.0

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Wednesday, September 21, 2016

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, September 20, 2016

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,620 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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