Sunday, June 26, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
1-PRINCE VALIANT 81.4
2-WADE 80.2
5-OUTTHINK'EM 70.9
3-AIKAU 61.6
4-TWO SIX WINS 57.0 (off Sept. 15)

RACE 2
4-IPRAY 71.4
1-CUDDLE ALERT 67.0
5-QUINNETTE 65.9
3-LIRICA HEAT 64.2
6-GUESSED RIGHT 63.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
3-SO HERES THE THING 29.7
6-KIMCHEE 24.4
4-CHOCOLATE GODDESS 16.1 (4 wide)
2-CINDY'S RING 12.8

1st time starters - 1, 5

RACE 4
4-CHRIS AND DAVE 83.2
1-QUE CHISTOSO 68.1
3-LAST ONE STANDING 64.2
6-GO LONG 63.2
5-TWO THE PUNCH 60.6

RACE 5
5-SENSITIVELY 110.0
2-SHH SHE'S OURS 94.5
3-LUMINANCE 87.5 (off May 15)
1-AVENGE 84.4

1st time starters - 4 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 6
5-BIG BREAK 77.2
2-GRACIE RAGAZZA 66.4
6-AVICII 64.2
1-WATCH THIS CAT 63.1
3-MY SWEET AFLEET 60.6

RACE 7
5-SURFING THE MENU 70.3
7-PLUS PERFECT 66.4
4-ISH 65.4
3-DAPHNE'S DAY 57.0
6-DREAM NAVIGATOR 57.0

RACE 8
3-SOI PHET 107.9
4-AVANTI BELLO 101.8
2-SONGFORJOHNMICHAEL 99.8
1-HOWDY 98.4
5-EL HUERFANO 95.8

RACE 9
5-CANDY PROMISES 69.2
3-HANK THE TANK 67.5 (off Aug. 15)
2-FELDINI 62.7
7-GABO'S MACONDO 44.4 (off Nov. 15)
8-BRILLIANT LIGHT 39.0 (3 wide, steadied)

1st time starters - 6, 1, 4




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Saturday, June 25, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
5-CHRISY JACKSON 61.1 (off slow, 4 wide)
3-WHAT A STORMKAT 54.0
1-FLAMING VIXEN 49.2
7-UNCLE STEVE'S GIRL 35.0 (3 wide, off Oct. 15)
2-ASK ME I MIGHT 33.4

1st time starters - 6, 8

RACE 2
2-ANGEL LANE 68.6
1-ADIOS PRINCESS 64.3
6-OCTOFY 56.0
3-PRINCESS KENDRA 54.0
5-GOLDEN BAYERS 39.4

RACE 3
1-CONCORD'S STAR 84.4
4-CONCORSO 79.6
3-PETE'S PLAY CALL 76.6
5-BASINCA 71.4
6-MIDNIGHT EDITION 60.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
9-FIRST CLASS BOY 32.6

1st time starters - NO SELECTIONS (11 horses)

RACE 5
3-FOREST BLUE 98.4
6-VICTORY CALL 98.4
5-JAZZY TIMES 93.9
2-GOLDEN ATLANTIC 93.9 (off Oct. 15)
4-WESTBROOK 88.8

RACE 6
7-TAMAN GUARD 80.2
6-PULLA TRAIN 79.0
2-SAM SLICK 78.4
5-ESPIRITO BUENO 76.6
1-HYE I'M JACK 73.1 (off Nov. 15)

RACE 7
7-GIANT EXPECTATIONS 92.6
2-WESTFEST 80.6
5-TIZ NO BLUFF 76.6 (off slow)
4-SUPER TOUCH 70.9
6-OSO 69.2

1st time starters - 3

RACE 8
2-KOBE'S BACK 113.6
6-SUBTLE INDIAN 112.9
5-AMBITIOUS BREW 106.0
8-COASTLINE 105.2
3-CAUTIOUS GIANT 103.1

RACE 9
7-MELATONIN 122.3
6-HOPPERTUNITY 115.7
3-HARD ACES 113.6
2-SECOND SUMMER 110.0
4-LIEUTENANT COLONEL 108.6
8-IMPERATIVE 104.5



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Friday, June 24, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
6-AIDAN'S HOPE 64.8
7-LUCKY TOMMY 46.0
3-SUPERB OWL 42.9
5-LUCKY DOUBLE 37.4
1-JULIA'S SUMMER 36.2

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
1-ARROGATE 105.2
2-FUSAICHI SAMURAI 98.4
5-CHIEF OF STAFF 97.8
3-PRETENTIOUS 80.0
4-AFLEET DOMINATION 72.6

RACE 3
6-SUAVEMENTE 75.4
5-NICARADALIC ROCKS 73.1
2-SWISS MINISTER 72.6
3-FANS ON THE RUN 67.5
7-CAPTAIN AKERS 61.1

RACE 4
1-ACCELERANT 80.8
7-DUSTIN'S PASSION 77.8
8-BILTMORE BOOGIE 77.2
6-JUSTIFICATION 69.2
3-NORTHERN IOWA 62.2

RACE 5
6-SWISS SILVER 73.1
4-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 68.1
9-CARULLI 63.6
7-ANGELS JOURNEY 62.2
2-BADASMYWIFELETSMEB 56.1

RACE 6
4-MAI TAI 67.5 (3 wide)
2-HOTSY DOTSY 60.1
7-BRIATIC GAL 58.5
1-MALWARE 42.4 (3 wide)
6-TINIAN 40.3 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3, 5

RACE 7
2-WIFE APPROVED 72.6
7-SPICY CLONDE 68.1
4-STIR FRY 66.4
1-SHE'S MEMORABLE 59.6
5-GYPSY'S RULE 59.1

RACE 8
7-MICHIEVOUS BULL 65.9
4-JOHANN'S COMMAND 60.6
8-SPEEDIN WITH EDDIE 43.3
5-SUMMER CHAT 40.7
2-FOOTLOOS INDY LANE 37.0 (off Sept. 14)
3-GAME PIECE 32.3

1st time starters 1

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Thursday, June 23, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $64,204.

RACE 1
7-WARD BOSS 65.6
5-ALSTON 65.4
6-MONEY MAKIN MIKE 63.2 (off Oct. 15)
2-CHIEF DAN 61.1
4-BIG DISCOVERY 59.0

RACE 2
1-LUCKY STUDENT 73.1
3-MISS LOUJEAN 72.4
2-QUEENOFHERCASTLE 65.4
5-FANTASY OF LUCK 50.6
4-FAITH PACER 50.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
3-YOU MISSED IT 67.5

1st time starters - 4, 2, 6, 5, 1

RACE 4
6-TURF CLUB QUEEN 54.0
3-TOOLUCKYSUPERMOON 52.6
1-LADY PRISCILLA 35.8
8-MADERA JUBILEE 31.9
2-AZADEH 31.1

RACE 5
6-INDIVIDUAL DESIGN 68.6
4-LAROCCO 60.9
5-CHICAGO ANGEL 57.2
7-VERONICA BAY 54.0
3-CHIA LOVE 53.5

RACE 6
6-BROTHER SOLDIER 79.0
1-HAWK'S EYES 76.0
4-I B MIKE 74.9
7-MAGNA WARRIOR 72.0
2-GIANT EGO 68.1

RACE 7
3-DIRT IN YOUR FACE 85.6
5-J SERINO 82.0
2-TOUGH EMBLEM 70.9
1-BROKEN UP 67.5
4-ARMORED CAR 60.9

RACE 8
5-PATIENCE LADY 50.6
1-WARREN'S HONEY BEE 50.2
3-TRULY PONTI 43.8
6-MUM'S FOREST 28.9 (off May 15)
2-PAPA'S LADY 27.5
4-SONG FOR JADE 24.8

1st time starters - 8

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Wednesday, June 22, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, June 21, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,544 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, June 19, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
5-ALL STAR PARADE 87.6
2-BRONZINO 87.5
1-NEW SUMMIT 85.0
8-SECRETO PRIMERO 83.1
6-SEA CAT 82.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
3-FLY TO MARS 39.0
7-I'D BE SAD AN BLUE 36.6
1-GRASS AND CACTUS 35.8

1st time starters - 4, 2, 5, 6

RACE 3
8-SINGING KITTY 98.4
4-LONG HOT SUMMER 97.1
7-MY YEAR IS A DAY 88.8
6-OFF THE ROAD 87.6
2-FASNACLOICH 86.9
3-HIJRA 86.9
1-GRANDMA'S HANDS 86.9

RACE 4
5-AUDACIOUS ANGEL 82.6
4-HOLIDAY MOVIE 67.5
6-ALWAYS DANGEROUS 67.0
7-SWEETWATER GAL 59.0 (off slow, 3 wide)
1-REALLY GEM 57.8

1st time starters - 3, 2

RACE 5
5-SPANISH HOMBRE 73.7
8-STORM THE SHORE 67.5 (off Oct. 15)
1-YES MASTER 62.2 (off Sept. 15)
4-ALASKAN CRUISE 56.5
2-CEE THE PREACHER 54.0

1st time starters - 6, 3

RACE 6
3-NOT NOW CAROLYN 77.2
1-COVER SONG 77.0
7-MRS. NORRIS 76.0
8-PATRIOTIC DIAMOND 74.9
9-SWEET QUEEN 73.7 (off Dec. 15)

RACE 7
3-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 85.0
6-COUGAR COUNTRY 79.0
2-NO CONTINGENCY 76.6
5-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 76.0
4-JUSTONEMORETHING 75.4

RACE 8
6-BE MINE 94.5
4-DECKED OUT 93.2
3-STAYS IN VEGAS 92.6
7-JEREMY'S LEGACY 90.0
1-LADY VALEUR 90.0

RACE 9
2-CHANITO 56.5
5-CHEAP O CHARLIE 51.6
7-MY SON JOHN 50.2
9-DIG FOR GOLD 44.6 (off slow, 4 wide)
10-VIA FERMATO 43.3 (off slow)
4-DINNER AT TRANI'S 43.3

1st time starters - 13, 11, 12


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Saturday, June 18, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
7-BEDEVILED 81.6
8-NAME FOR BLAME 78.2
3-SILENT MOVIES 74.9
5-TIZZING 70.9
2-RUN THE SHOW 67.5

RACE 2
6-RIZZI'S HONORS 65.4
4-LA GALY 63.2
7-MR. GUTY 59.6
3-PRINCESS ASHLYN 45.8
2-TANGLED UP IN JU 45.5

1st time starters - 5

RACE 3
5-OUT OF PATIENCE 100.2
6-COMES THE DREAM 95.8
9-OLD MAN LAKE 91.5
8-IT BEHOOVES ME 87.0
12-PERSUASIVE PAUL 84.4

RACE 4
3-KARMA KING 103.1
4-SOUPER KNIGHT 97.8
5-HEAD SOUTH 93.9 (off July 15)
6-BIG TIRE 89.4
1-HEIR OF STORM 80.8

RACE 5
3-VINZ CLORTHO 95.2
1-ACCELERATE 83.2
2-IDEAL 81.4
4-UNINVITED 77.8
8-SENSE OF GLORY 70.3

1st time starters - 6

RACE 6
6-ARCATURE 97.1
2-PRINCE OF ARABIA 93.9
8-UNDENIBLE U 92.6
9-LITTLE SCOTTY 92.6
10-RALIS 91.3

RACE 7
1-TENGAS RANSOM 77.2
7-LOVELY ANZI 55.5
9-LOST DUTCHMAN 54.0 (off Dec. 15)
6-GIO MIO 42.4
4-SQUASH 18.3

1st time starters - 5, 2, 3, 8, 10

RACE 8
4-SONGBIRD 105.2
5-COPPA 89.5
1-THAT'S A LADY 86.3
7-SUTTON'S SMILE 76.4
2-BELLAMENTARY 74.9

RACE 9
5-GOLDEN LIGHT 70.9
11-STARLITE STYLE 67.5
4-WARM ENDOWMENT 64.8
14-LETHAL LEGACY 63.8
9-STARRING ROLE 57.5
1-REBARULES AGAIN 55.6

1st time starters - 8, 3, 12

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