Saturday, February 28, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $48,472.

RACE 1
3-BLUE LAW 79.0
11-NAKAMOTO 69.2
10-MILTON 63.2
7-SOUTHEAST ASIA 61.0
1-ROCKIN ROBIN 60.6

RACE 2
6-LUST FOR LIFE 69.8
7-PATRIOTIC BROTHER 62.7
2-PAY THE DEBT 60.6
1-HOTALING HEART 56.5
3-SHY ROSA 56.0

RACE 3
4-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 92.6
1-SACRED OVATION 91.9
5-OLIGARCH 84.4
6-ENDLESS CRUISE 73.7
2-MAJESTIC KITTEN 72.4

RACE 4
8-SMOOVE IT 89.4
12-ARTISTIC CHARM 89.4
11-ANNIVERSARY KITTY 83.8
7-HUMORISTICA 80.2
5-VANLOSE STAIRWAY 79.6 (off Sept. 14)

1st time starters - 10 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.) 14 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 5
6-MASOCHISTIC - 111.4 (off Sept. 14)
3-RENO REBEL 88.1
4-PROTOCOL 83.8
1-AIRFOIL 81.4
2-SPUD SPIVENS 77.8

RACE 6
2-THE MAN 88.8
4-WABEL 79.0
1-NOB HILL 74.9
7-FORCE 72.6
9-IDEAL 67.6

RACE 7
7-LUMINANCE 88.2 (5 wide, off July 14)
8-WILD AT HEART 84.4
4-MISS MANDATE 77.8
6-LADY ZUZU 74.6
2-ALL STAR BUB 73.1

RACE 8
6-LIGHT THE CITY 88.1
7-RATTATAPTAP 86.3
9-GLORY 84.4
3-ENCHANTING LADY 83.1 (off June 14)
8-STELLER WIND 80.2

RACE 9
4-SWEET SENSE 68.6 (off June 14)
6-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 58.0
13-DULCEMIA 54.5
3-CINDYS SECRET 52.1
11-PREVARICATOR 49.2
1-RUBY N DIAMONDS 43.8

1st time starters - 5

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Friday, February 27, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
3-HIDDEN ZENSATION 72.0
7-LOLO EL CANONERO 70.3
1-CASUAL ATTIRE 68.1
6-MATZOH BALL MAGIC 67.5
5-RUSTY ROAD 66.4

RACE 2
4-ROSEWHITENBLUE 77.8
6-TOOMANYTOMATOES 67.5
2-SHEZA EYEOPENER 63.2
3-LAMAZONE 63.2
7-SHOPPING SAVANNAH 60.9

RACE 3
7-HORIZONTALYSPEAKIN 92.6
8-WHICH MARKET 88.1
5-TE RAPA 86.9
3-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 86.4
4-DEPUTY STRIKER 84.6

RACE 4
2-GOLD LOCKET 45.5 (3 wide)
3-DIXIE DAME 40.7
8-TAMKA 38.2
10-CODED MESSAGE 37.8 (off slow)
1-DELANEY'S JOY 36.2

1st time starters - 4 (refused break), 5, 6

RACE 5
8-ACE DUCE 77.8
11-THE CUSTODIAN 74.9
7-CHACO 70.9
12-FORT CADY 68.1
1-PAPA Z 64.3
4-HEAVENELEVEN 58.0

1st time starters - 6, 13

RACE 6
4-CYRUS ALEXANDER 84.4
2-HARMONIC 81.4
3-ECKERSLEY 78.2
5-VERRACO 74.9
1-BATTLE OF EVERMORE 69.9

RACE 7
1-JOES BLAZING ARON 103.1
4-DIAMOND BACHELOR 103.1
7-AWESOME RETURN 95.2
9-PLAY HARD TO GET 90.0
2-ALAKAZAN ALAKAZAN 88.1

RACE 8
3-WIN WISH 66.4
9-RARE PUNCH 66.4
1-ARCTIC CODE 62.7
2-CHAPO 56.0
8-SURFER MOON 55.5
6-SPECTACULARJOURNEY 52.1 (off April 14)

1st time starters - 10

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Thursday, February 26, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
3-JUSTONEMORETHING 55.0
2-ONE MORE ROLL 52.6
1-POISON PULPIT 42.9
5-I'M POPEYE 42.9
4-DR. VINCENTSTEIN 40.3

RACE 2
5-THESHEETSGUY 90.0
3-MUCHOS BESOS 85.6
1-I DON'T CARE WHO 80.8
2-ICE CREAM TRUCK 78.8
6-PERFECT SET 74.9

RACE 3
3-ELEKTRUM 89.4 (off slow)
4-AQUAFRIA 86.9
6-COLONEL JOAN 86.9
2-DIAMOND STILETTOS 86.3
5-SPELLING AGAIN 84.4

RACE 4
5-I HEART YOU 50.6
7-LOB CITY 47.8
3-KYANKES 47.6
1-SWISS JET 42.4
2-VALENTINE'S REWARD 34.2

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
8-TAYLOR LANE 74.9
3-SEE THROUGH 65.4
2-KRISTINITE 63.8
4-KEEZHEEKONI 57.5
1-SEEK A STAR 56.0

RACE 6
6-MY JEALOUS 75.4
8-TRUCIAL STATE 74.3
5-QATAR'S PEARL 73.7
3-DRESS CODE 68.6
2-COOK INLET 61.1 (off Aug. 14)
4-CARAMURU 61.1

RACE 7
6-FANTASTIC STYLE 101.8
1-LONG HOT SUMMER 88.1 (off Aug. 14)
2-BAD JU JU 82.6
8-LADY LAKE 82.0
3-TALL AND SWEET 79.0

RACE 8
8-PRICE OF GLORY 50.6
7-SUNSHINE BANDIT 33.0
6-BERN 32.6

1st time starters - 5, 1, 4, 3, 2

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Wednesday, February 25, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, February 24, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,137 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, February 22, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
3-MAGNA WARRIOR 82.0
4-ECHO ZULU 74.9
5-W. GILES 71.4
1-OH BROTHER GO 64.8
6-MOSSO 63.2

RACE 2
5-FIFTYSHADESOFFUN 49.7
1-BERNIER 47.8
6-SHE'S DISCREET 45.5
8-PRIVATE MARINA 45.1
3-HONKY TONK DIVA 42.0

RACE 3
5-SPROUTS 67.5
3-A P PEPPER 61.1
4-SHE'S FLUSH 59.6
2-NORASTONE 59.0
1-INA MINA 57.5

RACE 4
8-WAR DESTINY 95.2
1-ALAMO 79.6
6-DEAD EASY 76.0
11-BELLAMY CONCERTO 74.9
10-J SERINO 74.5

1st time starters - 3, 9(hit rail, pulled up)

RACE 5
8-Z BESHA 63.8
10-PROFESSOR BERNS 58.5
5-CURLY ROAD 57.5 (3 wide)
12-MILHAUD 49.7
4-COMMUTE 35.0 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 1, 6, 3, 2, 7, 9

RACE 6
7-IANCOL 81.0
6-STORMY LIBERAL 78.4
3-DADDY D T 77.2
2-PAPACOOLPAPACOOL 74.9
8-BROUGHTON KITTEN 74.3

1st time starters - 1 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7
10-SHORT HEAT WAVE 96.5 (off July 14)
1-ARLINGTON HOUSE 90.0
9-GOLD CHASER 85.0
2-WARREN'S T. BAZE 83.2
5-SILENT RULER 76.0

RACE 8
6-HOME RUN KITTEN 103.8
3-U S CITIZEN 103.1
4-DISTINCTIV PASSION 102.3
7-HAY DUDE 101.1
1-SWEET SWAP 99.1

RACE 9
8-CAPTAIN G 59.6
3-EMPIRE CAT 49.7
9-BOSSMON 46.9
4-YOKED 38.8
10-RODEADO 38.6
6-BOREALIS BREEZE 37.8

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Saturday, February 21, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
4-URBAN HUNTER 90.0
3-SKIP TONY 85.6
5-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 83.2
6-CRUSHED IT 80.8
2-KAFISTER 79.6

RACE 2
9-CONGRATS SEATTLE 77.2
3-FABBER 60.6
11-CAPTAIN CARCHY 60.1
2-BETTER LUCK 56.5
1-CAL MCLISH 39.9

1st time starters - 12

RACE 3
5-WELL MAYBE 93.2
4-CONQUEST HARLANDAY 85.0
1-PAT THE BEAR 80.2
3-CHIEF OF STAFF 76.0
6-SWISS SILVER 63.8

RACE 4
4-WARREN'S GUSSIE 86.3
2-SPRAGUE RIVER 85.0
8-CHATI'S ON TOP 82.6
6-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 77.2
9-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 74.9
10-SUSAN B GOOD 74.9

RACE 5
8-TIZ MY CHERRIE 81.4
5-BETH'S BLING 63.2
4-CANADIAN EXCHANGE 51.1
2-KATY DRAMA 40.7

1st time starters - 11, 9, 12, 10, 1, 3, 7, 6

RACE 6
3-TRIBAL CHATTER79.0 (off July 14)
8-LADY ASANO 77.8
4-TEBOWING 76.0
9-LOVE BLIND 74.3
10-ALWAYS A CHANCE 72.0

RACE 7
3-MY MONET 86.9
6-MEINERTZHAGENI 83.2
2-PICA 82.0
5-COURAGEOUS CALL 81.4
7-SAYES SO 79.6

RACE 8
4-BETTYS BAMBINO 104.5
6-AMBITIOUS BREW 102.5
2-BOOZER 102.5
5-BIG BANE THEORY 96.5
7-SPIRIT RULES 94.4

RACE 9
4-HOWDY 79.6
12-GIMME DA LUTE 73.1
3-LUCKY REALITY 59.6
1-LAMBO LUXX 55.5
6-VODKA TEXTED YOU 55.0 (stumbled at start)
11-EIGHT SPOKES 46.4

1st time starters - 10, 5, 7, 2, 9, 14

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Friday, February 20, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $91,365.


RACE 1
5-A COLT FOLLOWING 68.1
7-STERLING WAGER 61.1
1-SELECTION 59.0
3-UNUSUALLY BIG 50.2
2-SOUTHEAST ASIA 46.9

RACE 2
5-APPEALING TALE 97.1
1-MAGIC MARK 88.1
2-FLY LEXIS FLY 77.8
4-ROUSING SERMON 73.7
3-CRIMSON GIANT 71.6

RACE 3
2-QUICK NAVIGATOR 71.4
7-MAJESTIC MINISTER 69.2
3-CACICA DULIMA 68.1
6-KANTINA KOWGIRL 66.6
5-CIN CITY LADY 59.0

RACE 4
3-JUST BOOKIN 44.6
1-YES YES BARONESS 36.2
8-STARRY CIELO 36.1
4-FAB FOUR EVER 30.8
2-OFFICE CHATTER 29.3 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 6, 5

RACE 5
2-TIGAH 96.5
7-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 88.8
6-EZIO 87.5
10-I DON'T CARE WHO 85.8
1-SIZZLIN' JOE 80.8

RACE 6
7-TASTE LIKE CANDY 88.8
6-MAGNIFICENT SHRIL 82.6
5-MY SWEET ADDICTION 80.6
2-WILD IN THE SADDLE 75.2
4-MELANISTIC 73.7

1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7
7-GAB POWER 94.5
1-BUYMEABOND 90.0
4-AVARE 90.0
10-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 87.6
5-ICE CREAM TRUCK - 86.9

RACE 8
5-FAITH PROOF 81.4
2-GOODHUMORGIRL 70.9
9-PEPPY BOLLY 67.0
1-FABULOUS FIT 65.4
10-MONSTRO NESS 64.8
4-SHARED IMAGE 63.2


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