Thursday, August 27, 2015

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FREE

NOTE: AFTER 2 WEEKS OF TRYING TO REPAIR MY OLD COMPUTER I HAVE HAD TO BUY A NEW ONE. I HOPE TO HAVE MY PICKS AND SELECTIONS UP BY NET WEEK.

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Sunday, August 16, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




NOTE: NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY.

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Saturday, August 15, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-BELLAMY CONCERTO 74.9
8-CARSON CITY FIVE 67.5
5-ATTACK 65.4
6-MADIKWE 54.0
2-SAXON LORD 53.0

RACE 2
1-TANGELO 90.7
3-TIZ A KISS 90.6
6-HIKING 86.3
5-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 80.8
2-SHOW STEALER 79.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-AMERICAN LEAGUE 58.0
6-BIG FINISH 24.1 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 7, 8, 4, 3, 5, 1

RACE 4
9-ALL SQUARED AWAY 88.8
11-AMERICAN BLEND 81.4
12-ACCELERANT 78.4
8-BECKER'S GALAXY 76.6
2-DRESS CODE 74.9

RACE 5
9-PUBLIC POLICY 77.8
10-GO JEREMIAH 65.4
7-DIVE DOWN 65.4 (off Dec. 14)
4-ARTIC WARRIOR 65.4
11-ULTIMATE LUCK 60.6
12-JUSTONEMOERTHING 60.6

RACE 6
11-JULES JOURNEY 100.4
3-WEEWINNIN 99.8
5-SURFCUP 96.5
6-PATRIOTS RULE 92.6
1-TOOWINDYTOHAULROX 91.9
1st time starters - 8 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-PLANE LUCKY 60.6
1-SHARPEST ONE 49.2
8-MILES SISTER 46.4
9-MC HOTTIE 32.3

1st time starters - 4, 2, 6, 7, 10, 5

RACE 8
6-PRIZE EXHIBIT 104.5
4-SHARA RAE 98.4
8-SUNSET GLOW 97.1
2-PAULINA'S LOVE 92.6
3-RATTATAPTAP 91.3
5-HER EMMYNENCY 91.3

RACE 9
8-DISTINCTIVE B 98.4
2-RULE HE WILL 98.4
4-WHINE FOR WINE 97.1
10-PAPA TURF 93.9
12-TANNERSMYMUSCLE 93.9

RACE 10
6-ILLUMINANT 77.0
3-GIRL DOWNSTAIRS 72.6
2-SWEETER THANCANDY 68.1
1-TIZ JOSSELYN 68.1
13-BOAT DRINKS 65.4
12-PERDONA 65.4

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Friday, August 14, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY EVE.

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $58,279.

RACE 1
5-WARREN'S WESLEY 72.0
2-PEFIOLO 71.4
4-DOYOUKNOWSOMTHING 67.0
7-TEN CARAT ROCK 61.6
3-ITALIAN MIRAGE 61.6

RACE 2
6-HOT LIGHTNING 76.6
1-DERBY GLASS 76.6
5-FAR OUT KAILEE 76.0
4-CINMARS DANCE 71.4 (off Oct. 14)
3-MISTER BLUE 69.3

RACE 3
6-SPIRIT OF XIAN 90.7
4-CURLIN'S FOX 79.6
1-HAVANNA BELLE 78.4
5-SINGING KITTY 78.4

1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-CARLOS DANGEROUS 54.5
12-CAPTAIN AKERS 52.6
9-SCATASTIC 43.3
3-DANO'S DREAM 42.9
11-MIDVALE MAGIC 25.4 (off slow, 3 wide)

1st time starters - 4, 6, 10, 8

RACE 5
10-TICABOO 71.4
4-BILGER'S SAPPHIRE 69.8
2-PEGGY SUE'S LOOSE 69.2
5-LILY KAI 66.4
1-WARREN'S PURRFECT 64.8

1st time starters - 3

RACE 6
8-BANDIDO TOO 79.6
3-WHERE Y'AT JOE JOE 76.0
5-PAT THE BEAR 75.4
4-BLUEGRASS SIGHT 72.0
2-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 69.8

RACE 7
5-AWESOME RETURN 99.1
6-TEXAS RYANO 93.9
3-TERRYS TOM CAT 91.3
1-WANSTEAD GARDENS 90.0
7-KING OF JAZZ 87.5

RACE 8
3-SOUTHERN LOYALTY 74.3
4-PAPA'S PLAYBOY 52.1
8-I'M ZONIN 51.6
11-I'LL PLAY MY HAND 48.3
6-VAL DE METI 40.7

1st time starters - 5, 7

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Thursday, August 13, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-CANADIAN EXCHANGE 53.5
1-ALYESKA 53.5 (off slow)
6-JAZZED 50.6
2-ALTAIRA 47.4 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 7, 4, 5

RACE 2
5-LITTLE EMMA 74.0
6-SUMMER VEIL 68.1
7-LUVURYAN 67.5
4-TWINKLE TOES 60.6
3-QUEENOFHERCASTLE 56.6


RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
9-IMFLATOUTSWEET 69.2 (3 wide)
12-SHE'S ON THE LINE 57.0
5-STRIGHT N STRONG 56.5
1-SHEEZA MILKY WAY 55.0 (3 wide)
8-JOAN OF ARCH 48.3

1st time starters - 2, 10

RACE 4
8-ALPINE LUCK 82.0
6-JOHNS JOURNEY 80.8
9-SHAKAHARI 70.9
7-MIGHTY BROWN 69.8
4-LOVE DE CAR 63.2

RACE 5
3-INTOXICATING MOVE 87.5
4-FANTASTIC MIZZ 83.2
1-AGUSTINA DE ARAGON 82.6
5-TAYLOR LANE 77.2
8-ZANBO 76.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-SOONER TIME 65.9 (3 wide)
5-GYPSY'S RULE 58.5
7-AIMING STRIGHT 54.0
4-HEARTBREAK HONEY 53.5
8-SWISS AFFAIR 52.6

RACE 7
8-UNUSUALLY GREEN 88.1
6-RAINBOW NORTH 82.6
1-DURANGO FLIER 79.6
2-TIZ FUTURITY 78.4
9-TEMPLE KEYS 74.9
7-LOS GATOS 74.9

RACE 8
1-RELATIVE TIME 56.0
14-TRUE DEJA VU 45.1 (4 wide, off slow)
8-ROYAL GAMBLER 43.3
7-SON OF ELEANOR 32.3 (off Aug. 14)
3-LUCKY LOGAN 31.9

1st time starters - 9, 10, 12, 4

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Wednesday, August 12, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-WISH I UNDERSTOOD 55.0
6-MINT JULEP TAFFY 48.3
2-ONE PUTT PAR 39.0
1-RICH GIRL 35.0
3-MISS AMADOR 28.6

1st time starters - 5

RACE 2
3-CINDYS SECRET 77.2
6-DESERT STEEL 72.0
4-SKY FOREVER 70.9
7-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 66.3
5-CIN CITY LADY 66.1

RACE 3
5-MAGIC LILY 77.2
1-LUCKY STUDENT 77.0
2-SWEETRAYOFSUNSHINE 73.1 (off Aug. 14)
6-SEEKING SHAMROCKS 68.6
7-WINNING VISION 68.6

RACE 4
12-BELLA BREEZE 61.1
5-SCATCHMEIFYOUCAN 56.5
11-RUSH OF DAY 53.0 (off Nov. 14)
6-ELIMINATION ROUND 50.2
3-LET THE GIRL GO 46.4

1st time starters - 2, 4, 9

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-DRESSED IN HERMES 59.0 (4 wide)
2-RIDEO 53.0
1-HOLLYWOOD DON 47.8 (3 wide)
8-PATH OF DAVID 46.0
4-IRISH 44.2 (off slow)

1st time starters - 10, 7

RACE 6
7-YIANNIS 90.0
8-QUICK AND SILVER 88.8
1-BOLD FANTASY 82.6
3-FOREVER JUANITO 82.6
6-DIAMOND BACHELOR 78.4

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
7-PRETTY N COOL 104.5
6-UPTOWN TWIRL 76.6
5-ONE TRUE KISS 65.4
2-GOMO 61.1
1-RIGHT THERE 60.1

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
11-NUKE LALOOSH 54.5
7-HANDFUL OF STRIPES 51.5
5-INCREDIBLE LUCK 46.6
8-DEFIANT ONE 38.2
10-PHANTOM HEAT 32.6

1st time starters - 1, 2, 6, 3, 9

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Tuesday, August 11, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCKS

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Monday, August 10, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,282 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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