Thursday, July 30, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-ITZ A SAINT 83.2
6-WILD CAROLINE 77.2
2-LA CASADORA 71.4
3-GRAMMY TIMES SIX 71.4
4-KANA FLAVOR 70.0

RACE 2
4-POWER OF NINE 75.4
3-SHARED IMAGE 74.9
6-SUGAR SPICE 71.4
7-PRIMA GIANNA 62.2
2-RUNNINGWITHTHE LUTE 56.0
5-PRETTYHOTPRINCESS 56.0

RACE 3
6-ZANBO 85.6
2-AUGUSTINA DE ARAGON 82.0
5-VANLOSE STAIRWAY 77.6
11-AWESOME LOOKIN 76.6
10-FOREVER A FAN 76.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-UNBRIDLED ROCKET 39.9
4-INDY'S DYNNAMO 16.3
8-DIXIE WRITER 15.8
3-DANCININDYSPOTLITE 11.6

1st time starters - 2, 1, 7, 5, 9, 10

RACE 5
2-GANGNAM GUY 88.2
3-BENBA 85.6
7-TIZ FUTURITY 80.2
6-ONE NIGHT WONDER 80.2
9-RAINBOW NORTH 77.2

RACE 6
1-SHE'S REDDY 86.3
5-CASSANDRAS CHASE 77.8 (3 wide)
8-GIRL DOWNSTAIRS 67.0
9-BOAT DRINKS 67.0
4-DAD'S PRINCESS 59.8

RACE 7
4-POWER PED 104.5
6-DRAW TWO 99.8 (off June 14)
5-LEWIS VALE 99.1
3-PLAY HARD TO GET 91.3
2-LITTLE JERRY 88.8

1st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
8-EAGLE ROCK 64.8
5-BLACK TIE 63.2
2-NEXT BOOK 63.2
6-GENEROUS DON 59.3
11-BARBARY COAST 57.0
1-PIPPAPPY 57.0

1st time starters - 12




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Wednesday, July 29, 2015

 
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $562,765

RACE 1
7-OIL 93.2
3-HYE I'M JACK 76.0
1-HE WILL 74.3
5-BOOMPA 68.6
2-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 68.6

RACE 2
7-WHERE WAS EDDIE 71.2
4-NOOTEN 64.1
3-WORLDWIDE 57.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 2, 1, 5, 6

RACE 3
2-JIMMY BOUNCER 102.9 (off Oct. 14)
6-HORSE LAUGH 90.7
3-WELL MAYBE 89.4
1-SERBIAN SYCLONE 87.5
4-CLEVER ROYAL 86.9

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
11-WISH I UNDERSTOOD 55.0
9-TUMBLEWEEDPRINCESS 40.3
13-ONE PUTT PAR 39.9
6-RICH GIRL 36.6
7-ONE BYE TWO 30.8

1st time starters - 1, 4, 10, 2, 12

RACE 5 (all 2yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-LAND OVER SEA 58.0
7-WARM ENDOWMENT 55.0
1-SHE'S ON THE LINE 46.9
5-GOOD LOOKING 25.8

1st time starters - 4, 2, 8, 6

RACE 6
1-LUCKY STUDENT 83.2
3-BONUS SPIN 72.6
8-ANITA MARIE 66.4 (off Feb. 14)
7-LETS GET FRISKY 60.1
2-TOUGH ANNIE 58.5

RACE 7
3-KYANKES 71.4
2-SOUND CITY 68.6
9-SHOWCASE WINNER 68.1
10-BACKSTREET LISA 68.1
7-HOUSEMAKER 65.4
1-YES YES BARONESS 65.4

RACE 8
1-SHAKAHARI 74.9
5-SAINT ADALBERT 74.3
4-TEST RIDE 74.1
10-JIMMY'S DATE 73.7
9-NO EZ MONEY 70.9 (off Nov. 14)
2-GEORGES MAIN MAN 70.3

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Tuesday, July 28, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, July 27, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,269 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, July 26, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $104,269.

RACE 1
4-L X SUNRISE 67.0
6-HIDE MY HEART 65.9
5-GOLD JOURNEY 60.6
2-ILL TELL YOU WHAT 58.0
8-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 51.1

RACE 2
4-JAN'S SPIRIT 70.9
3-WILD HEART RUN 69.2
1-PRETTYPRECIOUSHEIR 65.9
2-HAAY SEXY LADY 54.0
5-SHALLOOT 53.5

RACE 3
6-VISIBILITY 77.2
3-L'S CHOICE 64.8
7-WOODY'S FOLLY 57.0
2-SAXON LORD 55.6
4-FAR OUT KAILEE 43.3

1st time starters - 1

RACE 4
10-NEWFOUND GOLD 86.9
4-BRANDO THE BIRDMAN 82.6
6-RUSH IN 80.2
8-I WILL FOLLOW 80.1
9-DASHING ASH 76.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-RARE CANDY 65.9 (4 wide)
14-LETITHAPPEN 47.8 (3 wide)
11-OSCEOLA POND 42.2 (5 wide)
4-PHANTOM HEAT 39.0
5-CLUDE 36.2

1st time starters - 3, 10, 2, 13, 12

RACE 6
5-MASOCHISTIC 122.3
6-APPEALING TALE 111.1
2-DISTINCTIV PASSION 109.3
1-KOBE'S BACK 103.1
4-WILD DUDE 101.8

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-TIZ A TOMMY TOWN 73.1
6-LADY CLOUD 49.7

1st time starters - 1, 3, 8, 4, 2, 5, 11, 10

RACE 8
9-G. G. RYDER 108.8
8-AWESOME RETURN 101.8
3-ROCK ME BABY 97.8
7-PATRIOTS RULE 95.2
2-AMBITIOUS BREW 93.9
11-SURFCUP 93.9

RACE 9
2-ALAMO 87.5
1-J SERINO 84.4
4-SLEEPWALKER 72.0
9-CLICKJAB 69.8
7-COLONIAL POWER 66.4 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 8, 5, 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.), 11

RACE 10
9-SPIRIT OF TEN 83.2
12-WONDERFUL LIFE 80.9
8-TEMEEKU 80.8 (off Nov. 14)
6-Q'VIVA 80.0
10-CHARMING STARLET 78.4
11-I'M NO PATSY 78.1

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Saturday, July 25, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-BRIMSTONED 70.9
1-STORMIN TRICK 63.2
4-LUCKY REALITY 58.5
7-SINDYS LUCK 58.5
5-SHOW AND TELL 58.5

RACE 2
1-BECKER'S GALAXY 89.4
10-FIT TO RULE 84.4
3-WARREN'S JOE T. 76.6
2-HITTHEROADRUNNING 74.0
11-ANTINANCO 73.7

RACE 3
3-SHEER PLEASURE 91.3
6-KISS AT MIDNIGHT 86.9
4-MISSY MOUSE 79.6
2-BIG BOOK 75.4
1-PATSY G AND ME 73.1

RACE 4
7-GREAT LOU 86.9
8-FIGHT THRU 85.0
6-BANDIDO TOO 79.6
4-A COLT FOLLOWING 75.4
1-IKE WALKER 74.9

RACE 5
2-SON OF WAR 93.2
1-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 92.6
11-IT IS LIVING WATER 90.7
4-LUCKBOX SAM 84.4
10-UNUSUAL TASTE 84.4

1st time starters - 9 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-AMERICAN LEAGUE 58.5
9-NUKE LALOOSH 55.5 (3 wide)
7-EXAGGERATOR 49.7
1-PATH OF DAVID 49.2 (bumped foe)

1st time starters - 10, 4, 3, 6, 12, 11

RACE 7
3-CHAULK O LATTEY 91.3
9-SWEET AS A ROSE 90.0
6-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 84.4
11-ZANBO 83.8
14-JOSEPHINE'S MOMENT 82.0

1st time starters - 8, 4 (both horses are fgn. and starting in U.S.A.)

RACE 8
6-CATCH A FLIGHT 116.4
3-HOOPERTUNITY 106.6
7-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 105.9
5-MAJESTIC CITY 104.5
2-APPEALING TALE 103.1

RACE 9
1-UNBLUNTED 91.9
3-TANNERSMYMUSCLE 91.3
5-K THIRTY EIGHT 90.7
7-PAPA TURF 90.7
2-MICKS MIRACLE 90.0

RACE 10
11-PLACE DES VOSGES 74.3
10-SCANDAL 73.7
13-GIRL DOWNSTAIRS 72.0
2-FOOLISH WAYS 67.5
5-CADET RONI 67.0
12-MARGARET REAY 63.4

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Friday, July 24, 2015

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $235,618.

RACE 1
3-BARBS ANGEL 61.3
2-JAZZED 60.1
9-BLONDY'S REWARD 58.5
1-RUSH DAY 51.1 (off Nov. 14)
6-FASHIONED GEM 49.2

1st time starters - 8, 10

RACE 2
3-MISSING GROOM 93.2
2-CHIEF OF STAFF 86.3
6-STORM COMIN THRU 83.2
5-WINGS OF MOJAVE 82.0
4-FORT CADY 74.3

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-CARLOS DANGEROUS 50.6
1-STAR EXPRESS 38.6
4-FAMILY CODE 33.8 (3 wide)
2-OH MERCY ME 33.8 (4 wide)
10-COUNTERPLAY 32.3

1st time starters - 6, 11

RACE 4
4-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 95.8
10-MR T BIRD 90.7 (off July 14)
2-LUCKY VIEWS 89.4
13-ANYTHINGSCOOKIN 89.4
11-FRIENDSWITH K MILL 88.1

RACE 5
1-SURFER MOON 83.8
9-TEN CARAT ROCK 74.3
7-PEFIOLO 73.1
2-SHEMP 66.4
5-WIN QUIETLY 64.8

RACE 6
3-SKY KINGDOM 107.3
5-BIG JOHN B 94.8
4-BAILOUTBOBBY 93.2
2-CAT BURGLAR 89.4
7-SOLID WAGER 87.5

RACE 7
6-WHICH MARKET 93.2
8-WICKED FINANCE 91.9
2-TERRYS TOM CAT 89.4
1-TIZ DYNAMIC 87.5
3-BENCH LIGHT 86.3

RACE 8
2-BELLA BREEZE 61.6
7-LET THE GIRL GO 55.5 (3 WIDE, BUMPED)
14-ELIMINATION ROUND 51.1
5-LADY REGINA 49.2
11-MATTER OF LUCK 39.9
12-STUNNING TASTE 38.6

1st time starters - 10, 6


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Thursday, July 23, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACE PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $52,158.

RACE 1
2-WISH I UNDERSTOOD 39.9
9-DON'T TELL JACKIE 36.6
6-FAST ESCAPE 35.8
3-VRONSKY'S DEVKA 31.1
8-MISS AMADOR 25.4 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 7, 4, 1

RACE 2
8-LEXIE ARLEEN 74.9
6-TWELVE FOLDS 65.4
7-NORASTONE 62.7
4-ROSEWHITENBLUE 60.6
3-GOOD STATS 57.5

RACE 3
7-RULE HE WILL 102.3
2-ROY H 91.9
12-LABOUR 88.8
10-ROCKET HEAT 88.1
5-TOSHEEN 79.0

RACE 4
1-ZARGA STAR 67.5
3-I'M ZONIN 58.5
11-GRAVITY FORCE 57.5
8-CASS IN STONE 53.5 (3 wide)
9-OUT OF MISCHIEF 53.5

RACE 5
10-BILGER'S SAPPHIRE 70.9
1-PEGGY SUE'S LOOSE 69.8 (off June 14)
11-ALMOST REALITY 69.2
8-JUST GOT LUCKY 68.6
5-TICABOO 65.9

RACE 6
8-WAR ACADEMY 95.2
6-OILGARCH 93.9
1-AIN'T NO OTHER 87.5
7-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 83.8
2-I BE MIKE 81.4
5-BARREL KNOT 81.4

RACE 7
9-DIAMOND STILETTOS 88.1
8-TANGELO 86.9
3-HALLJOY 86.3
6-LADY'S PLAN 79.6
2-KADESHA 76.6

RACE 8
10-TEASING MOMENT 62.7
6-I HEART YOU 62.7
3-FLYIN FOR A LIVIN 61.6
8-HOT AND PLEASING 61.6
4-QUICK NAVIGATOR 60.6
1-WEST COAST STORM 60.6

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