Thursday, October 30, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $32,990.

RACE 1
5-FLAT GONE 80.2
1-COUNTING DAYS 79.6
4-CAT MEETING 79.4
3-RUSTY ROAD 76.6
2-EXPO AND FIG 75.4

RACE 2
7-NEWFOUND GOLD 85.0
4-XUANG FENG 79.0
3-MUCHOS BESOS 76.6
5-BOB CONSULTATION 72.0
6-PEACENIK 70.3

RACE 3
10-RASPBERRY ALA MODE 88.1
3-KINGS ADVENTURE 86.9
5-SYNCHROTRON 80.2
2-ATHENS 77.2
9-MALIBU COLONY 75.4

RACE 4
12-VAVOOM 72.0
6-COTTON VALLEY 63.2
11-FAST MAST 61.1
13-CANOPUS 57.5
10-BERLUSCONI 56.5

RACE 5
11-ROSSI RESERVE 70.9
2-JETBIRD 63.8
4-GLORIOUS REBECCA 58.0
9-BIG HONNEY BEE 57.5
3-PUTTYBADSHARK 55.5

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f. on turf)
14-INDIAN PRINCESS 57.0

1st time starters - NO SELECTIONS (13 1st timers)

RACE 7
8-INDIAN CLASSIC 79.0 (off Aug. 13)
2-PRESSURE TIME 68.6
9-MEMPHIS 68.1
10-EBONY GOLD 67.0
1-MAHALO ARTURO 65.4

RACE 8
6-STRYKER PHD 110.7
7-BLUE TONE 105.9
1-SOI PHET 97.8
2-SWEET SUNSHINE 96.5
8-REGALLY READY 95.4

RACE 9
8-TRIBAL SPY 96.5
10-COME TO HEEL 96.2 (off Sept. 13)
7-HEAT TRAP 94.5
1-GO WEST MARIE 91.9
5-HOME JOURNEY 90.0

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
12-KAT'S HURRICANE 49.7
14-REALLY A PRINCESS 46.0
9-ILL TELL YOU WHAT 35.8
13-POWERFUL GIRL 35.0
5-AMERICAN CHARM 30.4
2-GOLD JOURNEY 30.0

1st time starters - 8, 1, 6, 11

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Wednesday, October 29, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
7-TIZ JOLIE 45.6
1-SLAPSHOT MAN 41.0
3-WHOYOUGONNACALL 41.0
8-KINSALE SAILOR 34.9
2-CONDITION 33.0

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
2-WEST RIDING 95.8
1-YAHILWA 93.9
5-TASTE LIKE CANDY 90.7
4-MANGITA 90.7
3-FRONT RANGE 87.5

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f. on turf)
7-DIAMOND MAJESTY 69.5
2-DREAM POLICE 67.5
5-JIMBARAN BAY 53.6
3-MASTERS CIRCLE 43.6
6-SECRETO PRIMERO 40.7

1st time starters - 8, 9, 4, 1

RACE 4
5-SILK N SILVER 71.4
2-SIBERIAN WINTER 66.4
9-PUTAHEXONHER 64.8
4-MAGIC NUMBER 64.8
6-I'M NO PATSY 58.5

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-PARTYIN 62.7
3-DOCTOR SUSAN 44.6
5-FOREST TREES 42.4
10-BLOOMING HANNAH 33.4

1st time starters - 7, 6, 8, 2, 1, 9

RACE 6
1-SILVER TORCH 84.4
13-BABY SLAKE 81.9
5-JACKSON SUNDOWN 81.6
12-SIR MACHO 81.4
4-GALLANT CHARM 79.6

RACE 7
6-HOPPERTUNITY 101.1
4-KATE'S EVENT 95.8
9-DIAMOND BACHELOR 94.5
5-TANZANITE CAT 90.0
1-JUST FISHIN 84.9


RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-SIGNATURE CAT 91.3
5-KLUSZEWSKI 66.4
3-ZINVOR 56.0
9-SWISS SILVER 46.4
7-HOT LIGHTNING 41.6
4-ALL AROUND BROWN 38.2
11-MATTY'S TRIBAL 38.2

1st time starters - 8, 10, 1, 2, 13, 14



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Tuesday, October 28, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, October 27, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,048 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, October 26, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $166,604.

RACE 1
5-ROSEWHITENBLUE 77.8
1-WARREN'S ASSASSIN 66.4
4-ROMANTIC WISH 65.0
3-ELTONINADRESS 64.8
2-OSCILLATOR 58.0

RACE 2
1-SHE'S DESCREET 53.0
7-DESERT MADAM 46.4
9-HERE'S BELLA 44.6
5-SWISS PERFECTION 39.4
8-INDIAN PROOF 36.2

1st time starters - 10, 6, 2

RACE 3
6-CHICSDIGTHESHARK 91.9
2-FLY BLUE 86.3
3-BLUEGRASS REWARD 83.2
4-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 73.1
7-WELCOME HOME RYAN 72.6

RACE 4
3-DECISIVE EDGE 87.5
2-YES YES YES 81.4
14-J SERINO 77.8
9-WICKED FINANCE 77.2
7-PANTERA ROJO 76.0

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
6-PROSPECT PARK 81.4
5-BRONZE STAR 71.6
7-HAULER 68.6
3-MADIBA 67.6
2-PIONEEROF THE WEST 64.3

1st time starters - 1, 4

RACE 6
10-SMOOVE IT 82.6
3-DOCTOR GLYNIS 80.2
2-CHATI'S ON TOP 79.0
6-HANSERELLA 77.2
4-VEGAS RULES 75.4

RACE 7
3-PRESIDING JUSTICE 89.4
2-COMPULSIVE 82.0
1-HIDDEN ZENSATION 70.9
8-TWENTY PERCENT 65.4
5-MOSSO 65.4
10-ECHO ZULU 64.8

RACE 8
8-ARTEST 100.4
7-POWER PED 98.4
4-HEY DUDE 97.6 (off Nov. 13)
9-BOYETT 93.9
5-PURE TACTICS 87.6

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-SKY HEART 58.5
2-OH NEWMAN 56.5
3-BANDIDO TOO 54.0
10-LOVENSEEK 51.6
4-NO PROBLEM 51.1
8-GNARLY HARLY 49.4

1st time starters - 6, 9, 5

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Saturday, October 25, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $34,949.

RACE 1
5-BACKWOODS BELLE 82.0
1-MAHALO PRINCESS 77.2
3-LUST FOR LIFE 66.0
2-LINDZ WINZ 64.8
4-MISS AMERICAN PIE 64.8

RACE 2
4-SHEZA DISH 73.1
8-AFLEET ECHO 57.0
3-BETH'S MY BABE 52.1 (off Oct. 13)
7-SUNDAY STROLL 49.0
1-WARREN'S FANTASY 43.8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-MIDNIGHT CANDY 63.8
7-SHEZAPIRANHA 51.0
5-AWE GEE 48.8
1-DEVIL'S BEAUTY 48.5
4-RACING FOR CHASEN 41.0

RACE 4
10-SIDEPOCKET RUN 71.4
5-FAST MAGOO 66.8
9-FLYIN FOR A LIVIN 65.7
2-SUSAN B GOOD 60.7
1-TEMEEKU 59.6

1st time starters - 8

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
11-REMO 61.6

1st time starters - (11 first time starters, no selections)

RACE 6
7-ROYAL F J 90.7
1-BACK OFF BUDDY 87.5
3-CARLOT COWBOY 86.3
8-BRANDO THE BIRDMAN 84.5
5-CONQUEST TWO STEP 82.6

RACE 7
5-KILL SHOT 94.5 (off Nov. 13)
1-NIGHT BADGER 80.8
8-JUSTIFICATION 79.0
3-EDDIE'S FIRST 77.8
2-EDDIE'S TURN 74.9

RACE 8
5-LEXIE LOU 97.1
1-THEGIRLINTHATSONG 90.6
3-SHEZA SMOKE SHOW 88.8
8-ZINDAYA 88.1
7-ALEXIS TANGIER 87.5

RACE 9
5-TASHA'S COURAGE 61.6
8-THE TWELFTH MAN 60.1
4-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 60.1
14-BADASMYWIFELETSMEBE 54.0
1-LAY IT ON 47.4
12-OUR NEW FLASH 44.6
11-RARE PUNCH 43.3

1st time starters - 6

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Friday, October 24, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
2-FAITH HOPE LOVE 73.7
1-PATRIOTIC BROTHER 67.5
5-WARREN'S CRACKER 64.3
4-PRINCESSKATIEBELLA 62.2
3-MORE STORMYWEATHER 60.1

RACE 2
6-GRANDSTAND 88.8
4-AMERICAN ACT 82.6
1-STONEY FLEECE 82.0
2-MAMBO MAN 76.6
5-GREELEY AWESOME 73.1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-DAD'S PRINCESS 77.8
1-REDSHIRT 63.2
6-OLIVIA'S GREATDANE 62.2
4-MISS MANDATE 58.5
8-I HEART YOU 50.2

RACE 4
4-GO BLACK TIE 69.2
2-STOLEN PROPERTY 67.5
5-SECRET WITNESS 65.9
6-COLE COLE 63.8
1-TAKE A RISK 61.1

RACE 5
10-SMOKEY'S LEGACY 72.6
7-APERFECTDAYTOFLY 69.2
6-BITTER HEAT 67.0
9-INSPIRED WISDOM 64.3
4-FORT CADY 62.2

1st time starters - 1, 2, 5

RACE 6
3-ACT 83.2
5-SNUGGLEY BEAR 72.8
2-LINDANTE 72.6
6-TAP DANCING 64.3
10-DEAD EASY 60.5

1st time starters - 8, 9, 7, 4

RACE 7
5-SONGFORJOHNMICHAEL 94.5
2-MY JEALOUS 93.2
3-VALLEY CAT 85.0
6-DEATH STAR 75.4
4-TIMELESS INDY 74.9

RACE 8
11-ARIGATO 55.0
3-AARON'S THUNDER 43.8
8-JET TRICK 41.1
6-MCSWISS 41.1
1-LUCKY SHOES TO WIN 38.2 (4 wide)
4-DONJI 33.0

1st time starters - 7, 9, 5, 2



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Thursday, October 23, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-HOLIDAY MAKER 62.2
2-YES SHE'S A DANCER 51.1
3-DESERT THIEF 44.6
4-GLOBAL HART 38.6
5-LADY DASH 37.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-DON'T BLAME ME 90.0
3-MAYBELLENE 69.8
1-DADDY'S DUO 62.7
5-ACHIEVER'S LEGACY 58.2
4-MORNING COFFEE 49.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-ALL STAR BUB 51.5
6-BULLWINKLE BABE 51.1
5-APPEALING LADY 48.8
7-ABETS ABET 42.8
2-RITZY TAGS 40.5

RACE 4
8-FLOWINWITHTHEBREEZE 39.6
5-COUNCIL TALK 34.4
7-GOOFY RAINBOW 22.5
4-SEEKING BLISS 11.2

1st time starters - 2, 3, 1, 6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/8 mile on turf)
1-MILTEE 63.2
5-WILLING TO TRAVEL 55.5
8-INCREASE 55.5
2-PRETENTIOUS 55.0
4-FILM FREAK 46.4

1st time starters - 9

RACE 6
2-BELONGING 75.4
3-GELILA 68.1
4-WILDY EXCESSIVE 65.4
7-HIGHLY RATED 64.3
1-SHEZA EYEOPENER 63.8

RACE 7
6-IRISH PRESENCE 91.9
2-SCOOTER BIRD 90.0
1-AGUAFRIA 86.3
3-PERFECTA 77.2
4-BUNAIRGEAD 68.1

RACE 8
3-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 83.8
6-WAITWAITDONTTELLME 72.6
2-WARREN'S COLE 71.4
8-CROWN OF ARAGORN 68.1
4-WARREN'S JEFF G. 64.3
5-PRIVATE BOUNTY 60.1




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