Sunday, April 20, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
4-WINE COUNTRY WANDA 65.4
2-NEW NATURE 50.6
5-SHE'S FLUSH 43.3
1-STEPINMOON 32.3
3-CHASING HOPE 31.1

RACE 2
1-ASKINGFORTROUBLE 90.7 (off July 12)
4-MARY HELEN'S STORM 67.0
5-CUNEO 65.9
2-LOVMEISTER 63.2
6-WARREN'S TYLER S. 58.5

RACE 3
5-HEAR THE GHOST 106.1
1-STONEY FLEECE 95.8
4-ABBEY VALE 95.2 (off slow, 5 wide)
2-AMERICAN ACT 83.2
7-EMPTY HEADED 83.2

RACE 4
2-FAITH HOPE LOVE 79.0
5-SPY GIRL 65.4
1-CHAIN LIGHTNING 57.5

1st time starters - 4, 7, 8, 3, 6, 9

RACE 5
12-SOAR HOME 70.1`
9-SECRET APPEAL 68.1 (3 wide)
11-NAZARETH 67.5
7-NOT A LOVE SONG 66.4
4-PAPA'S DANCING 63.6

1st time starters - 5, 6

RACE 6
4-GOOD SAMURAI 73.7
8-SEEKING ASYLUM 72.6
7-HAPPY IDEA 69.8
2-SAMS BLUE CAT 63.8
6-TAKEM BY SUPRISE 57.0

RACE 7
8-RANGI 99.8
1-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 94.5
7-STORMBERG 91.9 (off March 13)
4-ROYAL F J 88.8
9-A TOAST TO YOU 86.9

RACE 8
3-BEHOLDER 122.3
4-MAGIC UNION 86.3
2-MOULIN DE MOUGIN 84.4
1-LEGACY 82.6
5-EBLOUISSANTE 80.8

RACE 9
6-BENCH LIGHT 91.3
10-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 88.1
1-MR. CANDY BAR 83.8
4-ACCELERANT 82.6
3-HAWK'S EYES 81.4
5-PROUD BOSS 79.0

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Saturday, April 19, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
2-HALF STRIKE 83.8
5-VALLEY CAT 83.2
4-CANDY FOR DEBBIE 79.0
1-HARLINGTON NIGHT 73.1
3-TIMELESS INDY 62.7

RACE 2
5-BOOZER 97.1
2-VALDIRONE 87.5
4-LUZ ATTICUS 81.4
1-LOVE RULES ALL 80.9
6-BACK TO BAKO 71.4

RACE 3
1-YAHILWA 93.9
3-ONNA BUGEISHA 87.5
6-SAGEBRUSH QUEEN 79.4
2-PROUD VIXEN 76.0
7-PASSIONATE DIVA 74.6

RACE 4
5-RONDA ROCKS 83.8
7-KERRILYN 82.0
8-OUR LITTLE HEN 79.6
6-QUINNETTE 75.4
1-LILLY'S PERFECT 74.3

RACE 5
1-SILK IN SILVER 71.4
3-LAKE MARACAIBO 69.2
2-BELONGING 66.7
5-A P PEPPER 66.4
6-RUFF PROOF 62.5

RACE 6
1-LORD LOCHINVAR 85.2
8-AQUA REVELATION 82.0
2-HEAT FLASH 79.6
6-BIG MEDICINE MAN 70.3
3-BILLY MAC 50.2

1st time starters - 5, 7, 3, 9

RACE 7
5-PRACTICAL 79.0
9-MIDNIGHT STORM 64.3
2-SHAKAHARI 46.4 (off July 13)

1st time starters - 7, 1, 6, 4, 8, 3

RACE 8
6-ENTERPRISING 97.8
5-DIAMOND BACHELOR 90.0
7-HOME RUN KITTEN 88.8
4-EXCESSIVE KID 85.0
1-LIFES JOURNEY 73.7

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
2-GLITTER OF SILVER 85.0 (off Oct. 13)
9-PLAY MAKER 76.6
4-CINEMATIC CAT 68.6
8-GOSPEL MUSIC 59.0
6-BART THE BARRISTER 55.5
7-DARK TIMBERS 55.5

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Friday, April 18, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Thursday, April 17, 2014

 

SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,872 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, April 13, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
6-MUCHOS BESOS 85.6
3-BLUEGRASS REWARD 82.0
1-CARAMURU 78.4
4-PRIME ISSUE 75.2
5-WE HAVE LIFT OFF 69.8

RACE 2
7-FANTASTIC MIZZ 84.4
1-REDRESSTHEBALANCE 84.4
4-MELTARIB 81.4
2-ZIPPING MY WAY 78.1
6-MY LIL SHAMROCK 73.4

RACE 3
6-QUEEN OF THE HILL 62.2
7-SECOND TIME 61.3
5-MARY CONTRARY 57.0
2-FIRENDESIRE 54.5
1-I'M TOPS 51.0

RACE 4
3-STORMY LUCY 98.4
7-CUSTOMER BASE 93.2
2-MISS SERENDIPTY 91.3
8-TOPIC 87.5
5-FLORAL ROMANCE 80.8

RACE 5
1-OILISBLACKGOLD 107.3 (off July 13
3-CAT BURGLAR 103.8
7-OMEGA STAR 92.6
6-GOVENOR CHARLIE 91.9
2-ALL SAINT 86.9 (off May 12)

RACE 6
8-MONUMENT 90.7
1-OLIVER'S TALE 88.8
5-KOCHEES 85.6
6-YANKEE REBEL 84.4
3-THIS ONE'S FOR MEL 83.8

RACE 7
6-REMIND MEE 81.4
1-BENCH PRESS 80.2
9-HEAD SOUTH 78.4
12-CHARBROILED 76.6
10-ROMAR SUCCESS 75.4 (off Nov. 12)

RACE 8
5-SWEET SWAP 104.5
8-LAKERVILLE 101.1
3-CHILOQUIN 100.3
6-ZIMMER 97.8
10-ARTEST 95.2

RACE 9
3-KID ROLLINS 58.5
5-A LITTLE LUCKIER 56.1
7-SHEZA EYEOPENER 56.0
8-ITSABEAUTIFULDAY 54.5
6-CLEVERLY BEVERLY 45.6
9-AWESOME GIFT 45.5

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Saturday, April 12, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS 54,472.

RACE 1
4-TIME FOR ANGIE 71.4
2-DIVINE WAY 53.5
5-RED BARRIS 50.6
6-PASSION BUCKET 49.2
1-FRANDONTJUDGE 42.0

RACE 2
2-PENNIES FROM DENNY 68.1 (off Aug. 13)
6-DREAM BABY 53.5
1-ITALIAN BABA 53.1 (off June 13)
7-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 46.9
8-GLORYANDPRAYER 44.6

RACE 3
9-STAR ACT 78.4
1-DISREGARDED 67.5
5-SEDONA GAL 66.4
2-LETHAL STORY 59.6
4-LA PEQUENA GIGI 59.3

1st time starters - 7, 8

RACE 4
4-ICE CREAM TRUCK 67.5
9-TANCRED 65.9
2-PROFIRE 59.0
5-SPECTACULARJOURNEY 56.0
7-SOUL SAVER 52.1

1st time starters - 1

RACE 5
4-BIORHYTHM 101.1
5-SKY HIGH GAL 93.2
6-TRIBAL SPY 92.6
1-CIAO BELLA LUNA 91.3
2-MACAABRA 90.7

RACE 6
8-TOP FORTITUDE 101.1 (3 wide)
2-FEROCIOUS 91.3
4-PAPA TURF 90.7
9-TRUE TEN 90.7
6-CHELIOS 89.4

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7
10-INTOXICATING MOVE 85.0
6-BLAKE'S MAGIC 82.0
3-LETS GET FRISKY 75.5
1-MOSCATO GIRL 72.3
7-GRAMMY TIMES SIX 72.0

RACE 8
6-WILD DUDE 113.6
7-BIG MACHER 105.2
2-WINE POLICE 99.1
4-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 96.5
8-CYCLOMETER 95.2

RACE 9
5-TROY STORY 74.3 (off June 13)
8-UNBRIDLED LOYALTY 71.7
9-DISTILLERY 68.1
6-COWTOWNMARY 67.8
7-J KAT 67.0
4-GO JEREMIAH 66.3

1st time starters - 3

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Friday, April 11, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
3-GRAND HUMOR 80.8
4-BAD BEHAVIOR 78.4
6-OUR LUCKY SON 67.5
2-SUPERBOOT 64.2
5-COMO MI PADRE 58.0

1st time starters - 7

RACE 2
5-JOINT ATTEMPT 61.1
4 GRAY MADAM 59.6
1-UNKEPT RENDEZ VOUS 49.2
6-TEASING MOMENT 45.5
3-SENJEN 42.4

RACE 3
6-CORNTHIAN MELODY 68.6
4-SNEEZY BEEZY 66.4
8-FAST MOKA TOO 64.8
3-NUEVA FORTUNA 64.8
5-TRULY BEAUTIFUL 61.6

RACE 4
6-HARNESS MENTALITY 76.3
7-ELUSIVE 75.4
1-WARREN'S CLIFF S. 74.9
4-DREAMALOT 70.3
3-LUCKBOX SAM 67.7

RACE 5
7-CHAUTAUQUA CREEK 62.7 (off April 13, slow start)
3-DULCEMIA 48.3
2-SECRET SORORITY 39.0
1-HOT OUTTA THE OVEN 34.2
5-GEORGIAS NIECE 32.3

1st time starters - 4

RACE 6
1-SWEET BOSS 77.8
4-LIL SWISS ECHO 74.3
5-HANSERELLA 72.6
9-ANNIVERSARY KITTY 70.9
8-SWEETEST SECRET 70.9

RACE 7
1-L T RECKLESS 85.6
8-SATIRICAL 84.4
9-TASTE LIKE CANDY 77.8
5-UZZIEL 77.8
7-MORNING FIX 73.7

RACE 8
4-JENNYWAY U WANT IT 72.0
5-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 70.3
7-MORE COMPLEXITY 66.4
2-EXCLUSIVE 65.4
9-SKI'S COPPER PENNY 63.2
3-KANTINA KOWGIRL 62.7

1st time starters - 14, 6, 10




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Thursday, April 10, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finishfinish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-EL PITUCON 79.0 (off Nov. 12)
2-NEWFOUND GOLD 78.4
4-ROAD READY 76.0
3-TRUCIAL STATE 69.2 (off Sept. 13)
5-SPACE RUNNER 56.5

RACE 2
6-COURAGEOUS CAT 72.0
2-DANCINGINTHESTREET 66.4
5-MUM 50.2
1-TIZ CHAMP 48.5 (off Dec. 12)
3-BEV'S SUMMER SONG 28.6

1st time starters - 4

RACE 3
6-SEEKING THE WEST 88.8
5-FOOTBRIDGE 83.2
1-WOODMANS LUCK 82.0
2-HONDURAN 80.2
4-PERFECT SET 74.0

RACE 4
1-BETTY BING BING 53.0
5-NEW NATURE 52.1
7-QUEEN MAD 46.0
8-ALICE ROADTRAIN 44.2
2-WILD OPTIMISM 37.0

RACE 5
5-SPICED LATTE 82.6
6-SMART N DREAMY 78.4
1-ELEGANT 77.8 (off July 13)
7-ENGLICH RHYTHM 76.0
3-AMBITIONESS 72.0

RACE 6
6-STORM BID 55.0 (off Sept. 13)
8-SLIGHT EDGE 53.5
5-SILECTICO 33.0
7-NEUROSURGEON 26.8
3-NANNO TUNGA 17.4

RACE 7
9-J AND S EXPRESS 79.6
5-TIZ A KISS 77.8 (off Sept. 13)
8-MIDNIGHT LADY 77.8
7-MARK OF A GEM 76.0
2-NOISE OF THE CROWD 73.7

RACE 8
8-WARRENSGOLDENYEARS 69.2
6-CLOSET E 65.4
7-CODE OF PLEASURE 57.5
2-EVEN ECHO 54.5
11-BLUEGRASS FOX TROT 53.0
1-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 48.0





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