Sunday, September 14, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
2-TIZ FUTURITY 76.0
3-CARAMURU 76.0
1-MY LAST TYCOON 64.8
4-WARREN'S CASPER 60.1
7-LUCKY COTTON 55.6

RACE 2
8-GISELE AT FONZ'S 46.0
10-INDIAN PROOF 45.1
4-HERE COMES BOBBIE 36.6
2-NO ICE CASTLES 22.5
3-LIL REEF 8.8
11-REACHINTHELIMIT 8.8

1st time starters - 6, 7, 9, 5, 1

RACE 3
3-OMAR LITTLE 65.9
2-OWN IT 63.8
7-DEHERE IS GONE 63.2
5-PATRIOTIC LION 53.0
4-BABY BLAKE 53.0

RACE 4
11-A B C ME AWESOME 50.2
6-THEATRICAL CAST 46.9
8-GEORGIA'S NIECE 31.5
5-TIZ BLISS 29.3
4-GOLD ORE 26.1

1st time starters - 10

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-RITZY TAGS 61.1
1-MISS GREEN POND 52.1 (slow start)
2-DON'T BLAME ME 49.7
6-MORNING COFFEE 45.5
4-FATEER 44.6 (slow start)

RACE 6
4-HE'S A BLING 88.1
10-DAY OF FURY 80.6
7-VEGAS STRIP 78.4
2-APERFECTDAYTOFLY 70.9
5-SHANIEL 70.3

1st time starters - 3, 6, 8

RACE 7
4-SACRED OVATION 75.4
8-HALF DOME DUDE 73.7
1-HAMILTONIAN 70.9
6-MEMPHIS 66.4
7-TRAWEEK 63.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-WAKE UP NICK 78.4
2-ROWDY DYLAN 73.7
5-ZENDAI 65.4
6-PERADVENTURE 58.5
8-COLORADO STRONG 53.0

RACE 9
6-CONCERT MAN 68.1
4-COTTON VALLEY 64.3
8-STAUFFENBERG 59.6
5-HIGHER MANDATE 59.6
9-BERLUSCONI 55.0

1st time starters - 2

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Saturday, September 13, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $59,132.

RACE 1
2-FAST MAGOO 66.4
5-SILVER SAILS 65.9
7-BENCH RULING 55.0
1-STREAMLINER 49.2
6-MARGIE'S MINUTE 33.8

1st time starters - 3

RACE 2
5-PLAZARITA 59.6
6-KID ROLLINS 49.2
2-MY B F F 44.6
3-SILIC'S VALLEY 44.2
4-LEONA PEGASUS 30.0

RACE 3
1-ICONIC SPIRIT 78.4
6-HOME MAID BROWNIE 73.7
2-CEE'S TIZZY BELLE 60.9
4-ART OF WAR 56.6
3-HIDDEN REALITY 49.5

RACE 4
3-SUMMEROFSIXTYTHREE 64.3
4-SPY GIRL 56.5
2-HERE'S BELLA 50.2

1st time starters - 5, 8, 6, 1, 7

RACE 5
4-L X SUNRISE 51.6
5-MADAME HEAT 50.2
3-FULL OF SPICE 49.7
1-YODELMESOMEMAGIC 42.4
8-AFLEET ECHO 38.6

RACE 6
4-MACHO SOX 75.8
3-TORTOLA 73.7
6-JACKSON SUNDOWN 73.7
5-PRINCE OF PARIS 70.9
2-CIMMARS DANCE 69.8

RACE 7
1-SIR KIP 77.8
4-OMAR 76.6
6-TRIBAL DESERT 76.0
5-RELENTLESS HEAT 73.1
2-TIME TO GO ROBO 71.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-INTO OBLIVION 79.6 (3 wide)
3-SHARLA RAE 58.0
9-SLEW'S CHARM 52.6
6-GLOBAL HART 38.2
8-AQUACITA 30.8 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 7, 1

RACE 9
11-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 84.4
12-G'NIGHT 77.8
7-KOCHEES 74.7
9-INDUSTRY LEADER 72.0
1-ROMAN TIZZY 72.0
3-POINT HAPPY 67.0 (off Sept. 13)

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Friday, September 12, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $19,857.

RACE 1
1-NINNAVEE 59.0
6-LIZZY TAILER 51.6 (3 wide)
3-PUTTYBADSHARK 51.1
4-HUGGER OF TREES 47.8
7-BIG G SECRET CRAB 45.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-ARIGATO 55.0 (3 wide)
2-TRUE IMAGE 37.8 (broke out)

1st time starters - 5, 4, 6, 1

RACE 3
5-SALT POWER 54.5
3-WARRENSBROTHERBILL 44.2
6-TRIBAL MYSTERY MAN 41.6
4-CHANGING GAME 35.8 (off slow)
2-EXPONENTIALLY 33.4

1st time starters - 1

RACE 4
2-BRANDON'S PRINCESS 58.5
7-SURELYLU'S ANDANTE 56.5
4-AMOUNTED 45.1
1-CRAZY ABOUT HIM 42.0
3-ROYALY DUNN 41.6

RACE 5
2-IT'S AINE 65.9
3-ZIVA THE DIVA 63.2
5-SPRING BREEZE 61.6
4-MISS AMERICAN PIE 54.0
6-GLORIOUS REBECCA 46.9

RACE 6
12-DON'TMESSWITHNESS 42.0
10-ABETS ABET 40.3
1-LIBBY 35.8
11-CLEVERLY TUNED 32.6
7-DON'T NEEDA REASON 31.5

1st time starters - 3, 5

RACE 7
7-NATAL 64.8
3-EDDIES CURL 60.1
4-BIRD IN LOVE 57.5
2-SWISS HEART 55.0
1-SHARED IMAGE 52.6

RACE 8
3-MAHALO ARTURO 62.7
10-RON'S BOY 57.0
7-SLICK CAPER 49.2
8-SHOP FOREVER 43.8
6-HALO RED 37.4
1-STORM HOLLOW 33.8

1st time starters - 2, 9

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Thursday, September 11, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-OUTTHINK'EM 38.2
1-WESTWARD 35.0
2-CARLY P. 15.8
5-BETTER LUCK 10.9

1st time starters - 4, 3

RACE 2
3-COUNTRY HERO 77.8
2-FASTER CAT 73.7
7-BIGBARI 68.1
4-CAPTAIN SHAWN D 67.0
8-RONDO HONDO 43.3

RACE 3
2-EL VAGURO 74.3
4-POWER CRAZED 67.0
5-DEPUTY STRIKER 64.2 (off July 13)
1-CANDY'S SHOES 60.4
6-PREORDAINED 40.3 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3

RACE 4
4-MI AGAVE 80.2
5-MARY HELEN'S STORM 71.4
6-MASON B 71.4
2-WARREN'S JEFF G. 63.2
3-HOME RUN PRIZE 53.3

RACE 5
6-SPECTACULAR PROOF 69.2
3-CHRISTMAS MIRAGE 61.6
2-FLYIN FOR A LIVIN 61.1
8-MIA LUCCIA 47.8
1-WARREN'S SUPER CAT 46.6

1st time starters - 7, 4

RACE 6
3-SENJEN 67.0
7-NEW HAVEN LINE 64.3
2-KEYED TO ROCK 61.1
5-COURAGEOUSANDBOLD 49.2
8-GIANIS 46.4

RACE 7
9-HARLINGTON'S ROSE 85.0
6-LUCKY S. J. 84.4
7-ON GOLDEN PAWN 82.0
1-BACKWOODS BELLE 79.0
3-BRILLIANT MELODY 77.8

RACE 8
9-BLAME IT ON TEKELA 52.1
5-BADASMYWIFELETSMEBE 46.0
7-RENEGADE COWBOY 45.1
6-RARE PUNCH 42.9
8-VOLUNTARY 39.4
3-A P PHANTOM 33.0 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 2

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Wednesday, September 10, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, September 09, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,005 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, September 07, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
3-HARLINGTON NIGHT 67.0
2-TIZ FUTURITY 64.3
6-INDYGO ANDY 56.6
4-MONASTIC 56.0
5-ANGEL CHARGE 47.6

RACE 2
7-ITALIAN HARMONY 61.1
3-WILDLY EXCESSIVE 43.3
8-WARREN'S FANTASY 40.7
5-SWISS PERFECTION 37.0
1-CASTLEDONOVAN LASS 34.2

RACE 3
4-THIS CAT'S AWESOME 57.0
1-WARREN'S COLE 57.0
3-AERIAL ARTIST 57.0
5-WHOLLY HUGHES 53.5
6-I'VE HAD ENOUGH 45.5

RACE 4
1-ROSA DIVINA 58.0
8-AVA'S BALLET 49.2
2-GALEHORN 46.3 (off Oct. 13)
5-LUSTROUS SUANCES 46.0
7-LITTLE LINDA 42.4

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-SOUTHERN ECHO 36.6
1-ZIPPINAROUNDTOWN 33.0
9-CORA ELIZABETH 31.5
3-FEISTY SWISS 20.9
2-FORTUNE'S DAUGHTER 19.7

1st time starters - 8, 10, 12, 11

RACE 6
2-FIGHTING ON 88.8
7-GREAT FRIENDS RULE 86.9
4-DEWRAG 82.6
6-RED N BLACK ATTACK 69.2
3-LUCA 68.1

RACE 7
8-VALLEY CAT 82.6
1-DEMONIC 82.6
9-LIFE'S JOURNEY 77.2
4-DERRINGER 74.0
6-JUST FISHIN 72.8

RACE 8
2-DOINGHARDTIMEAGAIN 96.4
6-TRES BELLE 87.5
3-MAKER OR BREAKER 83.2
4-TASTY TREAT 83.1
1-TRIBAL GAL 79.0

RACE 9
6-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 51.1
4-NO BACHI 46.9
11-END OF TIME 40.3
8-COYOTERO 39.9
10-EL DESPERADO 37.0
5-WARREN'S SUNNY BOY 35.8
3-EL REY MISTERIO 35.4

1st time starters - 7

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Saturday, September 06, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 71.4
4-PUTAHEXONHER 65.4
7-PARADA 61.1
3-MADAME FORBES 59.0
6-GELILA 58.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-ZINVOR 48.3
7-PRICE OF GLORY 30.0 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 7 horses, no selections

RACE 3
6-NICKELS WILD 83.1
5-PAPASLILPRINCESS 80.8
4-MELANISTIC 79.0
3-FRONT RANGE 77.2
2-TACIT APPROVAL 74.9

RACE 4
5-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 55.0
10-AVA'S BALLET 49.2
8-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 39.4
7-SUNDAY STROLL 37.4
1-JO'S APPROVAL 36.2

1st time starters - 4

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-PARTYIN 62.7
11-SO YOU SAY 46.9
5-YES SHE'S A DANCER 42.4
8-SHERRY CAGAN 29.3
7-SHEZA LUCKY STRIKE 28.9

1st time starters - 1, 10, 6, 9, 3

RACE 6
2-DELTA FLOWER 87.5
4-UZZIEL 85.6
1-SENZA FINA 79.0
7-CLASSY AVA 76.6
3-MISS SUPER QUICK 73.1

RACE 7
9-WHEN WE MET 97.8
5-NEWFOUND GOLD 88.8
8-GAL HAS TO LIKE IT 82.0
4-PREACHER'S BLUFF 81.4
6-GERMANY BAY 80.8

RACE 8
1-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 110.7
6-SOI PHET 107.3
2-MASOCHISTIC 102.9
8-SKY KINGDOM 101.1
5-ROCK ME BABY 100.4

RACE 9
12-CONCERT MAN 68.1
7-FAST MAST 54.0
2-ROYAL TALE 50.6
10-MONEY FAN 46.4
9-INTOCLASSYMISCHIEF 45.1
8-BAMUEL TOI 44.7

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