Sunday, September 28, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-ITZ A SAINT 76.0
4-J AND S EXPRESS 76.0
7-NUEVA FORTUNA 76.0
3-QUINNETTE 65.9
6-SULTRY SEASON 65.4 (off Dec. 13)

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
9-MIDNIGHT CANDY 51.5
8-YES YES BARONESS 27.6 (off slow)
4-CORA ELIZABETH 26.9
7-GEM OF A GAL 26.9
2-GRACIE JEAN 84.8

RACE 3
7-BACK OFF BUDDY 92.6
3-CHERUBIM 88.1
6-KRISTO 83.2
5-STORM POWER 83.2
4-CHIEF LION 81.4

RACE 4
4-SILVER TORCH 94.4
9-NATIVE RIDE 75.9
14-WICKED FINANCE 74.9
8-MR. EXCAVATOR 71.4
12-MONSIEUR POWER 68.6
10-DISTINCTIVE B 68.6

RACE 5
4-ZIPPINGAROUNDTOWN 75.4
7-AWESOME INDY 73.7
8-TETON COUNTY 71.4
1-ROMAN TIZZY 71.4
3-CUZAN 68.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-DADDY'S DUO 55.5
10-BEACH PREMIER 45.5
9-SISTER HUBERT 42 9 (steadied)
8-DANA'S SISTER 39.4
7-ZIPPINAROUND TOWN 33.O

RACE 7
1-BIG JOHN B 109.3
9-IRISH SURF 107.9
7-BIG KICK 103.8
2-BENCH LIGHT 96.5
10-FINNEGANS WAKE 95.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-MEGYNS GOLD 68.6
6-REVENUE VIRGINIUS 64.8
8-MOON OVER ME 61.6
10-SHOW STEALER 47.8

1st time starters - 4, 5, 12, 1, 3, 2, 7, 11

RACE 9
13-GRAZENETTE 82.6
11-TANGELO 82.6
14-TIME AND TIDES 78.4
5-MARGOT MACHANCE 75.4
3-CHILDA 74.9
9-DISREGARDED 73.1
12-COLONEL JOAN 71.4
10-GUINEVERE'S FINALE 71.4

1st time starters - 6 in U.S.A. - fgn.)

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Friday, September 26, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-CONDITION 42.2
8-WESTWARD 36.6
3-WOORAM 35.4 (4 wide)
1-BETTER LUCK 30.8
9-LANNISTER 20.6 (bumped, 3 wide)

1st time starters - 5, 6, 4

RACE 2
9-HIDDEN ZENSATION 76.0
1-RED N BLACK 70.9
3-SIR BARCLAY 67.5
8-MOSSO 65.9
4-SUDDEN RUMOR 64.8

RACE 3
5-CONQUEST TWO STEP 96.4
4-HEAT FLASH 93.2
7-BETTYS BAMBINO 90.0
6-QUALITY PLAN 83.2
8-BOURNE HOT 81.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-KANTUNE 82.6
9-FAME AND POWER 73.1
11-MADIBA 72.0
8-PRETENTIOUS 62.7 (off slow, 3 wide)
3-SMUGGLER UNION 61.1 (5 wide)

1st time starters - 13, 7, 4, 12

RACE 5
4-BEHOLDER 117.2
2-IOTAPA 115.7
1-TIZ MIDNIGHT 104.5
3-YAHILWA 97.1
6-TIZ THE KEY 80.7

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
7-AMERICAN PHAROAH 110.0
10-CALCULATOR 92.8
1-TEXAS RED 84.4
4-DADDY D T 79.4
2-LORD NELSON 77.2

RACE 7
13-MISS SERENDIPITY 110.0
9-IRISH MISSION 102.5
14-QUEEN OF THE SAND 100.4
8-PARRANDA 99.8
1-COZZE UP LADY 99.1

RACE 8
4-SHARED BELIEF 126.8
6-MAJESTIC HARBOR 117.9
1-FED BIZ 114.3
8-IMPERATIVE 111.4
3-BIRD E HOUSE 103.8

RACE 9
4-ON THE BACKSTREETS 92.6
6-MEINERTZHAGENI 88.1
3-ALEXIS TANGIER 85.6
1-WONDERFULLY 83.2
8-STARS ABOVE ME 81.4

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
4-ANGELA RENEE 84.4
2-CONQUEST ECLIPSE 79.4
11-MAJESTIC PRESENCE 74.9
10-DAD'S PRINCESS 74.0
6-MAYBELLENE 72.6

RACE 11 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-PAPACOOLPAPACOOL 78.4
2-NAKAMOTO 72.8
6-MILTEE 63.0
9-DREAM IT DO IT 60.1
5-PAYTHEBANK 54.2
1-TIZ JOLIE 51.6

1st time starters - 3, 12



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Thursday, September 25, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-MADAM AAMOURA 72.2
5-REDSHIRT 63.2
6-HERE COMES CHLOE 62.2
7-LOOKIN FOR MONEY 47.1
2-PURE 45.1

RACE 2
4-SENATOR BOB 87.5
7-WILDCAT MOON 82.0
1-SACRED OVATION 79.6
2-GAL HAS TO LIKE IT 79.0
5-JOVITA'S TUFFY 64.8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-FLAT FOOTED MAMA 60.1
9-TATUM'S GOLD 50.6
4-DEFINITELYNOT 44.2
8-FILLY ON FIRE 43.3 (off slow)
5-HIGH INTENSITY 38.6

1st time starters - 2, 1, 7, 3

RACE 4
5-MORE COMPLEXITY 88.8
1-ZANBO 86.9
4-INTOXICATING MOVE 82.6
11-TAPPINGINTHERAIN 77.9
7-AS RULERS GO 77.2

RACE 5
1-EXPO AND FIG 74.9
13-GOLDEN CHALICE 61.1
6-MR. LEWIS C. 56.0
11-RARE PUNCH 52.6
7-ROYAL TALE 51.1

1st time starters - 2

RACE 6
7-SWISS HEART 64.3
6-NATAL 61.6
9-BETTY BING BING 58.0
3-MADAME FORBES 57.5
10-BIRD IN LOVE 55.5

RACE 7
11-FIGHTER SQUADRON 93.8
8-JOMELO 90.0
7-SHUN 88.2
9-DYSPROSIUM 81.4
2-RANSOM CANYON 78.4

RACE 8
4-INDIANAPOLIS 105.9
7-MY SLEW 101.1
9-STREET ICON 95.8
5-FREAKIN ROCKET 95.8 (off Aug. 13)
8-BULL DOZER 92.6

RACE 9
8-AMBITIOUS BREW 104.5
6-UNBRIDLED'S NOTE 99.8
2-PURE TACTICS 95.2
3-LIL BIT O'FUN 95.2
5-GALLANT SON 94.6
4-MR. SEXY 93.9

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Wednesday, September 24, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, September 22, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,018 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, September 21, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-EVERY MAY 65.4

1st time starters - 3, 1, 4, 5, 6

RACE 2
10-VALDIRONE 77.8
1-MONASTIC 73.3
3-COUNTRY HERO 72.0
2-FLY HIGH 68.6
8-SINGLE LAUNCH 65.4

RACE 3
2-CELEBRITY STATUS 100.4
5-FULL DANCER 82.5
4-RUSTY ROAD 77.8
1-SONG TO YOU 74.6
3-LOLO EL CANONERO 63.2

RACE 4 all 2 yo. going 6f.
3-SANDY'S SONG 69.8
2-YES SHE'S A DANCER 58.0
1-MOTHERNATURESPELL 55.0
5-SATIN CINNAMON 54.5
6-HOLY ASCENSION 45.5

1st time starters - 7, 8, 9, 10

RACE 5
4-IRISH PRESENCE 90.7
3-LEGACY 88.1
5-MY HAPPY FACE 87.5
1-ZILBER 62.7
2-SPRAGUE RIVER 59.3

RACE 6
3-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 59.6
9-DEER DECARCHY 54.5
5-HEAVENELEVEN 52.6
4-SLICK CAPER 48.3
10-WARRENSBROTHERBILL 41.6
7-GREY IS BEST 41.6

RACE 7
2-WARREN'S COLE 70.3
10-RED MAN RUN 69.8
4-TRIBAL SMOKE 69.2
1-ZOOM BAG 68.1
3-JUST CALL ME AL 67.0
7-W. GILES 67.0

RACE 8
9-MAGIC NUMBER 72.0
1-GELILA 70.3
3-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 64.8
10-CONTESSA B. 58.0
7-TIZ ZOE CEE 55.0

RACE 9
7-AFTERNOON WEDDING 58.5
9-LADY LOIS 34.6
1-SHE'S A GIVEN 34.2
4-PARALYZING EYES 345.2
8-COUNCIL TALK 33.8
10-MISS KIT KAT 33.8

1st time starters - 6

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Saturday, September 20, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







NOTE: FRIDAY 5 OF MY TOP PICKS WON ($5.80, 5.40, 8.60, 6.60, 9.40) AND 2 OF MY TOP 1ST TIME STARTERS WON ($6.60, 6.20). MY TOP PICK RAN 2ND IN THE LAST RACE.


RACE 1
1-HARLINGTON NIGHT 85.0
9-FLY BLUE 81.4
4-COUNTING DAYS 77.2
7-WARREN'S CLIFF S. 73.1
8-COLE COLE 66.4

RACE 2
6-SENOR RAIN 89.4
4-DEWRAG 83.2
1-LOS BAMBINOS 79.6
2-STORMIN LUTE 79.6
7-CITY CHAPEL 79.0

RACE 3
3-WHOODOO PIRATE 68.6
2-RUNNING WITH THE LUTE 63.2
6-NATAL 58.5
4-PAPA'S FLASHY GIRL 57.0
1-SWISSARELLA 53.5

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-WEDDING BLUSH 70.3
2-STEALTH DRONE 64.8
1-SINGING KITTY 61.1
6-DESERT THIEF 57.0
4-DO THE DANSE 51.1

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-ROPER 57.0
3-HOWDY 34.6 (3 wide)
2-SMOOVEN SQUARE 29.3
6-KLUSZEWSKI 14.3
1-TIZ ALL THAT 11.6 (off slow)

1st time starters - 8, 9, 7, 10, 4

RACE 6
3-MELANISTIC 80.8
1-ROOM FOR ME 78.4
4-TANQUERRAY 74.6
2-SWEET TESS 73.5
6-PRETTYPRICEYGIRL 70.4

RACE 7
2-HOME JOURNEY 86.9 (off June 13)
6-MY SWEET ADDICTION 83.8
3-POPALICIOUS 81.4
7-NOT TOO SHINY 78.3
4-SUDDEN SUNDAY 77.8
8-SENZA FINA 77.2

RACE 8
6-SEEKING THE SHERIF 100.4
5-DISTINCTIV PASSION 94.5 (off Dec. 13(
4-DRILL 86.3
1-REGALLY SOUL 91.9
3-SPIRIT RULES 91.3

RACE 9
9-RAINBOW NORTH 58.5
4-HEATED PRISM 47.4 (off Dec 11)
10-TRIBAL NOTE 37.8
7-CADDY CAIN 36.2
3-VICTORY PARADE 34.2
5-OUR NEW FLASH 33.4 (off Dec. 13)

1st time starters - 2, 8

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Friday, September 19, 2014

 

LOS ALAMITOS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-CLOUDY RIVER 37.4
3-SLAPSHOT MAN 35.0
6-PAPA KADE 30.0
7-TIZUNANIMOUS 26.8

1st time starters - 2, 8, 1, 4

RACE 2
2-SWISS FONDUE 62.7
3-MONEY TREE 59.0
4-DEAD EASY 56.0
7-MILIITANT 54.0
6-BOOM BOYS 51.6

1st time starters - 1, 8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-HOLIDAY MAGIC 58.5
5-MYRNA LOU 56.5
1-WACKETT 52.6
2-URGRACEISENOUGH 37.8
3-OH DEANN 37.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-SOUTH TEXAS 46.0
2-TRIBAL EXPRESS 28.6
1-CARLY P. 26.8
4-MOONIE 25.4 (off slow)
8-SIMPLY IN AWE 14.5

1st time starters - 5, 7, 6

RACE 5
2-WARREN'S JEFF G. 65.4
3-BENCH PRESS 60.6
1-YOUONLYLIVEONCE 60.1
4-LATE NIGHT SKY 49.2
6-PRIDE OF WILSHIRE 48.8

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-LADY DASH 32.6
12-MISTY WARRIOR 28.6
2-IMPERIAL BADGER 25.4
3-CHARMSTEALER 23.5
8-DON'T TELL ABBEY 18.9

1st time starters - 10, 11

RACE 7
3-ROSEWHITENBLUE 80.8
2-PRETTYHOTPRINCESS 74.3
1-TIM'S GO GIRL 69.8
6-DOCTOR GLYNIS 64.8
5-APPEALING RESUME 63.2

RACE 8
10-SUNDAY STROLL 55.5
4-SWISS PERFECTION 46.9
7-CADILLAC DESERT 42.4
6-COCABELLA MYST 40.3
8-ALISSA R N 37.0
9-MARK OF THE AFFAIR 36.6

1st time starters - 11

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