Saturday, February 13, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
5-ROMAN TIZZY 82.6
4-PROHIBITION 80.8
1-BOONE DOCKS 77.2
2-WRIGHTWOOD 76.6
6-YOU KNOW I KNOW 75.4

RACE 2
2-CALVERT STREET 47.4
4-DANO'S DREAM 44.2 (3 WIDE)
5-BLIX CURVE 39.4
9-ALAMO PINTADO 38.6
6-SAMMY WONDER STONE 34.2

1st time starters - 8

RACE 3
6-OBVIOUSLY 111.4
1-OM 111.4
3-YES YES YES 101.1
2-CAPE WOLFE 95.8
5-BOLO 86.9 (off July 15)

RACE 4
7-SWEETRAYOFSUNSHINE 82.6
5-CONQUEST FLATTERME 81.4
1-DESERT THIEF 79.6
4-BLUSHING ANGEL 79.0
3-WHEATFIELD 74.9

RACE 5
10-ALWAYS BELIEVE 73.7 (off slow, 3 wide)
5-WIFE APPROVED 67.0 (4 wide)
2-DANCING AVA 61.6
4-MINING DIAMONDS 17.2

1st time starters - 8, 9, 3, 7, 6, 1

RACE 6
5-I'LL WRAP IT UP 90.7
7-TRIPSKI 86.3
12-APOLLO TEN 84.5
11-ATTA BOY PETE 84.4
4-RAINBOW NORTH 83.2

RACE 7
2-CALCULATOR 103.1
11-SOUPER KNIGHT 93.9
4-NEW SUMMIT 89.4
1-SLEEPWALKER 88.8
10-J SERINO 86.9

RACE 8
6-LIVING THE LIFE 88.2
3-BIRDATTHEWIRE 88.1
7-YAHILWA 88.1
4-BIG BREAK 88.1
8-TARA'S TANGO 83.2

RACE 9
3-LOTTIE 88.8
10-TINDERELLA 72.6
7-LADY VALEUR 70.3
11-CANDY GENOVESA 65.4
6-AWARD IT 65.4
4-TAFFETA 63.5

1st time starters - 8

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Friday, February 12, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
3-ART OF WAR 60.9
2-APPEALING LADY 58.5
1-KATY'S PLUM 47.4
5-LINDY HOPPIN 44.2
4-COMEALONGWITHME 39.6

RACE 2
6-ACTION HERO 77.8
4-BIG DISCOVERY 77.2
2-CLICKJAB 74.9
3-ORION'S BELT 60.9
5-ELEGANT STREET 42.8

1st time starters - 1

RACE 3
6-I B MIKE 64.3
3-TRELAWNY 62.2
4-FEROCIOUS 61.6
1-SWISS SILVER 59.0
2-CLOSE TO THE EDGE 57.0

RACE 4
6-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 68.1
5-ROIANNA 65.4
3-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 60.6
8-THUNDERING GALE 60.1
7-LIL CHEYENNE 57.5

RACE 5
1-SILVER SUMMER 83.2
7-SEEDSANDSTEMSAGAIN 79.6
4-LORD OF CHAOS 79.0
5-VOW TO BE TOPS 74.3
8-HEAT 70.9

1st time starters - 3 (fgn.), 2

RACE 6
10-JUANSAGAIN 88.8
1-XERXES 76.0
7-SYNDICATED 74.9Y
8-EAGLE ROCK 70.9
5-GOLD CHASER 63.8
9-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 63.8

RACE 7
3-TWP TAPS 83.8
1-GRACIE REGAZZA 82.6
6-DEMONICA 80.8
2-SWISSARELLA 70.3
4-ENDURING ERIN 69.2

RACE 8
11-ICONA 46.9 (4 wide)
8-LUCKY CHERRY 42.4
10-VRONSKY'S DEVKA 41.6
7-BETTY'S JOY 39.0
5-DEATH VALLEY GIRL 38.6
3-EVENING AGAIN 31.1

1st time starters - 6, 2

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Thursday, February 11, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
6-JUSTONEMORETHING 88.1
3-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 77.8
5-TIZ JOLIE 76.6
2-ICE CREAM TRUCK 71.4
4-TRIBAL DESERT 69.2 (off Oct. 14)

RACE 2
1-BLUE LAW 59.6
3-MY OLE BUD 57.5
2-SHARPENER 53.5
5-DRYLIGHTNING 46.0
6-BISTRO LIGHTS 44.6

1st time starters - 8

RACE 3
6-THE BENCH RULES 82.0
5-SON OF A ROYAL 67.0
2-COOL GREEN 61.6
8-KEEPING THE FAITH 57.2
1-CHANITO 49.7

1st time starters - 3

RACE 4
5-REVENUE VIRGINIUS 86.3
7-AUDRA 74.9
2-WEST MID 72.6
1-UNUSUAL STYLE 68.4
6-ZANAB 61.6

RACE 5
1-HUNDI 90.0
3-ENTRECHAT 80.8
6-TALE OF PAPA NICK 80.8
5-WHISK 80.2
7-HENNYTHELOVEPENNY 76.6

RACE 6
4-ENCHANTING LADY 99.1
2-FINEST CITY 86.3
3-CODACIOUS 86.3
1-STEALTH DRONE 78.4
5-JOLENE 74.9
6-PICA 74.9

RACE 7
2-BERT'S MELODY 91.9
4-NITE DELITE 86.9
5-QUEENOFTHEPALACE 86.9
6-PERDONA 85.6
3-MOONS OVER ME 77.8
1-MISS GIFTED 77.8

RACE 8
1-EL NINO TERRIBLE 74.9
7-FORMALLY WILD 73.1
2-LUCKBOX SAM 68.1
4-CELEBRITY STATUS 67.5
5-QATAR'S PEARL 59.6
3-INDIAN NATE 46.9

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Wednesday, February 10, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, February 09, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,431 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, February 07, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
7-LYNNE'S LEGACY 57.0
11-ALL THAT HEAT 55.6
9-SPREAD THE JOY 51.6
10-CLARA'S DREAM 49.7
1-ALLSQUARE 47.4

1st time starters - 6, 12, 2

RACE 2
5-MOONLIGHT MEETING 79.0
6-LONDON LEGACY 74.9
1-COOPER'S STORM 73.7
4-WHERE Y'AT JOE JOE 73.7
2-MOMENTS NOTIZ 68.1

RACE 3
7-TROJAN NATION 74.9
8-CUPID 73.1
6-INHIBITION 70.3
4-CURLIN ROAD 62.1
1-FULL OF HOPE 49.2 (off slow)

1st time starters - 2, 5

RACE 4
4-PRECIOUS AUDREY 63.4
6-TRIBAL HEADDRESS 61.6
2-YODELSONG 54.0
3-KELLIANNE CAN CAN 54.0
8-NINE POINT NINE 51.6

RACE 5
6-HOBBITS HERO 95.8
8-IT IS LIVING WATER 92.6
3-CHINA GIRL LOVER 91.3
1-OLIGARCH 88.8
5-PERSUASIVE PAUL 88.8

RACE 6
4-PULLING G'S 103.1
2-SALUTOS AMIGOS 102.5
1-KOBE'S BACK 101.8
5-ROCKET HEAT 98.6
6-CAUTIOUS GIANT 91.9

RACE 7
2-EL HUERFANO 101.8
5-LIFE'S JOURNEY 94.5
10-SLIM SHADEY 93.9
3-CHIPS ALL IN 93.4
1-MCHEAT 93.2
9-A RED TIE DAY 93.2

RACE 8
11-MAD MANGO 47.8
12-DARLING GRACE 42.9
5-RACING HOPE 38.2
4-MAID EASY 35.8 (4 wide, off Dec. 14)
1-SEATALPHA 35.8
3-DREAM NAVIGATOR 35.0

1st time starters - 9, 10

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Saturday, February 06, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $40,671.

RACE 1
4-BOLITAR 80.8
3-PASSAU 76.6
2-CLASSICO 69.8
6-FRAC CANDY 66.4
1-TOUGH BUT NICE 64.8

RACE 2
6-GONE WITH IT 64.5
5-THORN LEGACY 59.6
1-UNBRIDLED ROCKET 57.5
7-MEDIA MELEE 47.8
3-THE SILENT ONE 45.5

1st time starters - 2 (pulled up), 12

RACE 3
12-SMART WIN 57.5
10-ALBEIT 56.0
7-ZIRA GOLD 56.0
5-MISS INJUSTICE 49.2
8-REBARULES AGAIN 40.3

1st time starters - 6, 4, 3, 14, 11

RACE 4
5-MOR SPIRIT 97.8
2-I WILL SCORE 90.2
7-UNCLE LINO 86.9
1-LET'S MEET IN RIO 82.6
3-DRESSED IN HERMES 82.5

RACE 5
6-SONGBIRD 106.6
3-STREET FANCY 79.0
2-LAND OVER SEA 78.4
1-SHE'S A WARRIOR 76.6
4-JADE PRINCESS 74.9

RACE 6
4-OPSEC 101.1
7-GRACHUS THE HUNTER 90.7
8-TUCO 90.0
11-CAPTAIN TIM 90.0
6-KENJISSTORM 88.8

RACE 7
5-HOPPERTUNITY 111.4
7-IMPERATIVE 107.9
2-DONWORTH 101.1
3-CYRUS ALEXANDER 100.4
4-HARD ACES 97.1

RACE 8
9-ABBEY VALE 119.0
7-FLAMBOYANT 110.7
8-HAY DUDE 105.9
5-POWER FOOT 104.5
4-SOUTHERN FRANCE 101.1
6-GANESH 101.1

RACE 9
1-STORM THE SHORE 69.8
5-MUCHO CHROME 65.9
6-OPPERTUNISTIC 55.5
3-CANDY PROMISES 55.0
9-JOURNEY BY SEA 46.0 (3 wide)
10-BULLISH ON STEVE 41.6

1st time starters - 12, 7, 2, 4, 11, 8

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Friday, February 05, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
4-DEEDS NOT WORDS 52.5
3-TRINITYS TURN 43.8
6-BLUE CHAT 43.8
2-OLOTTA SHAKEN 39.4
5-AND IN THE END 24.8

RACE 2
2-LAROCCO 64.3
7-PAPASLILPRINCESS 63.2
3-I'M NO PATSY 57.5
1-APARRI 56.5
6-SMOOTH TALKER 56.0

RACE 3
6-FUGACIOUS DANCER 83.8
3-MAKENA 79.0
4-CARADINI 68.6
1-CHOLENA 61.6
7-SILVER SPECTACLE 56.0

1st time starters - 5, 2

RACE 4
2-CAUSEWAY CAROLYN 91.3
8-JOURNEY ON 90.0
3-NANCY FROM NAIROBI 88.8
7-MIS DOUBLE D'ORO 86.3
6-EVO CAMPO 86.3

RACE 5
7-JUST KIDDING 98.4
4-HIGHWAY BOSS 94.5
3-VERRACO 93.9
6-MELATONIN 93.9
5-AVANTI BELLO 92.6

RACE 6
3-COMES THE DREAM 82.5
8-THANKSGIVING DAY 80.8
1-MR. CARTAGENA 77.2
5-COMMANDER KING 77.2
7-PLAYER'S CHARM 71.6

RACE 7
8-MOKAT 80.2
9-MIRAGE 73.1
1-GONE TO BALI 72.0
11-DECKED OUT 69.8
5-OPTIMISM AND HOPE 68.1

RACE 8
4-DAY OF FURY 96.5
9-CANT DO THE DANSE 86.3
6-DIVE DOWN 78.4
5-FORMALLY WILD 77.8
7-ULTIMATE LUCK 76.0
8-TIZ FUTURITY 74.3

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