Thursday, April 02, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
4-PRETTYPRECIOUSHEIR 58.5
1-MIZ PENELOPE 58.0
5-JACKIE K 41.6
2-STUNNING TASTE 34.2
6-QUALITY CHIMES 30.4 (steadied)

1st time starters - 3

RACE 2
7-DOMINO JOHNSON 65.6
1-SENOR PEGASUS 57.5
5-WARREN'S SALLYIZIED 49.2 (off Sept. 14)
4-OUR TROOPER 47.4 (off May 14)
3-TIZTHESPIRIT 35.8 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3
5-ENDLESS CRUISE 76.6
2-SHEER TALENT 75.4
8-CINEMATIC CAT 72.6
3-PRESIDING JUSTICE 71.4
4-DESTINO 68.6

RACE 4
8-GANGNAM GUY 81.3
2-BADASMYWIFELETSMEB 77.2
4-MISDEED 74.9
7-SMART JOURNEY 68.9
6-RANSOM CANYON 64.3

RACE 5
8-VALLEY CAT 88.8
6-TITLED NOBILITY 77.2
5-TWO IS TO MANY 76.6 (off Aug. 14)
7-LIMITED RESPONSE 74.6
1-ACCELERANT 74.3

RACE 6
2-LITTLE CURLIN 94.5
3-WANSTEAD GARDENS 90.7
8-UNUSUAL FLEET 88.8
7-WHICH MARKET 85.0
6-CERVARO 82.0

RACE 7
5-PAPA KADE 67.0
2-CHESTER B 66.4
6-TWO SIX WINS 65.9
9-EMPOWERING FORCE 65.9
7-TIZ JOLIE 62.7

RACE 8
3-WAR DESTINY 89.4
2-BELLAMY CONCERTO 76.0
7-RELATIVE TIME 65.4
9-MIRAGLO 60.6 (off Dec. 13)
5-RED TORO 60.0 (off July 14)
8-BARBARY COAST 59.0 (off slow, steadied)

1st time starters - 6, 10, 1

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Wednesday, April 01, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, March 31, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,166 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, March 29, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
2-TIMELESS INDY 85.6
4-TRAWEEK 70.9
6-INDUSTRY LEADER 68.1
7-SCORPION WARRIOR 61.1 (off July 14)
3-ZIPPINGAROUNDTOWN 58.0

RACE 2
2-SIR BARCLAY 76.0
5-SUDDEN RUMOR 73.1
4-PAPA'S PAISLEY 70.3
3-DYNAMO DIXIE 64.8
6-COOLINGTON 61.1

RACE 3
3-DERBY GLASS 79.6
7-LARRY BIRDSTONE 78.4
5-BULA BULA 73.1
1-BENTLEY'S GONE 66.4
4-INK WELL 41.4

RACE 4
6-LUCKY VIEWS 84.4
3-NORTHERN IOWA 82.0
1-SAINT DERMOT 79.6
5-SILENT RULER 79.0
4-BRAVE ACT 72.6

RACE 5
6-Q' VIVA 72.0
2-KANTINA KOWGIRL 69.2
1-CINDYS SECRET 60.6
5-JAN'S SPIRIT 59.0
3-SIDEPOCKET RUN 57.5
4-MANGO REWARD 57.5

RACE 6
3-DIXIE DAME 53.0
2-SWEET SILVER 43.8
7-POWERFUL GIRL 42.0
8-RED CARRERA 34.5
4-SPARKLING PEG 30.0 (off slow)
1-BRAZILIAN BARBEQUE 30.0 (off Aug.14)

1st time starters - 9, 6

RACE 7
11-MANGITA 78.4
4-SORENSTAM 76.0 (off Jan. 14)
10-FABLE 75.4
3-NICKLES WILD 69.9
8-THEWANDAOFU 68.1

1st time starters - 2 (in U.S.A.- fgn.), 7

RACE 8
2-MAJESTIC CITY 98.4
3-BLUE TONE 96.5
9-ROUSING SERMON 95.2
7-YOU KNOW I KNOW 93.9
1-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 88.1

1st time starters - 6 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
10-YOUNG AND HUNGRY 88.8
8-BEST TWO MINUTES 77.2
2-TIZZING 75.4
9-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 74.3 (steadied)
4-FOREVERLY 70.9
7-TOP FLOOR 64.3 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 6, 3

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Saturday, March 28, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
4-SEE THROUGH 61.4
7-KRISTINITE 55.1
2-CHRISTIANAS MIRAGE 49.0
6-BEVISIONED 48.8
5-TWINKLE TOES 42.4

RACE 2
3-ABETS ABET 51.1
6-RACING FOR CHASEN 48.3
2-TAKE BACK SPRING 41.0
4-WON'T BE SHAKEN 38.6
1-CRUSINGTHEHARBOR 37.0

RACE 3
7-STERLING WAGER 57.0
8-COACH JOHN 56.0
6-GRANDSON AT LAST 54.5
3-DOMINGO CAT 51.6
9-PLAYERS CHARM 48.8 (off Aug. 14)

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 4
8-AMELIATHEAVIATOR 81.4
1-ANNIVERSARY KITTY 81.4
6-SAYES SO 79.1
3-FANTASTIC MIZZ 77.2
4-SPELLING AGAIN 76.6

RACE 5
8-CODACIOUS 70.3
7-JEAN EDWARD 62.2
2-WEST MID 55.5 (3 wide)
10-STIPEND 41.1
11-TWENTYFIVE TO LIFE 39.0

1st time starters - 6, 9, 5, 3, 1

RACE 6
7-FRENSHAM 99.1
2-I B MIKE 88.8
1-CHASINTHEACES 87.5
6-KILL SHOT 87.5
12-KAFISTER 86.9

1st time starters - 11 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7
8-GRANDIOSE TACTICS 90.0
4-HANDFULL 83.8
2-JADE WITH ENVY 78.4
3-TOPPERS SUNSHINE 77.8
5-LOVE BLIND 73.1

RACE 8
4-BRONZO 110.2
5-ARLINGTON HOUSE 99.5
2-DECISIVE EDGE 92.6
1-HELM 89.4
8-SKY KINGDOM 86.9

RACE 9
11-SOLOMON NORTHUP 72.6
13-PAYTHEBANK 68.1
4-CHANITO 67.0
2-NAKAMOTO 67.0
3-ROCKIN ROBIN 65.4

1st time starters - 1

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Friday, March 27, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
3-LUST FOR LIFE 73.1
4-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 70.9
6-SWEETEST SECRET 59.0
5-KOHALA 46.4
2-TRIBAL PEACE 46.0

RACE 2
2-L X SUNRISE 58.0
5-PREVARICATOR 49.7
7-BERNIER 47.4
1-MIDNIGHT LIEN 33.8 (off slow, 3 wide)
6-SWEET TABOO 31.5

1st time starters - 3

RACE 3
8-BOOK THIRTY FOUR 75.4
1-HOWDY 71.0
3-PROHIBITION REPEAL 71.0
4-AIR NASHOBA 61.4
6-AJAC 54.0

RACE 4
5-TIGAH 96.5
4-DR ACTION 85.0
3-SIZZLIN' JOE 84.4
7-JOMELO 79.0
8-MR LEXIS 76.0

RACE 5
7-SHOPPING SAVANNAH 75.4
3-LA CASADORA 68.1
2-PROUD VIXEN 62.7
1-SHY ROSA 61.1
8-ARTICULATE 61.1

RACE 6
7-LUCKY J LANE 97.8
9-OPSEC 95.8
5-ABBEY VALE 95.2 (off April 14)
1-AWESOME RETURN 94.5
4-JULES JOURNEY 87.5

RACE 7
4-HEAD SOUTH 91.3
6-OFF THE DEEP END 90.7 (off Aug. 14)
2-BRANDO THE BIRDMAN 80.2
1-MYTHICAL STORM 73.1 (off July 14)
3-MAUZZIE 68.1

RACE 8
6-CURRENCY EXCHANGE 69.8
11-UPTOWN RYTHEM 69.2
2-VICIOUS 63.6
9-DORTHRAKI 62.2
3-BIG HAT CHARLIE 54.0
8-UNDERWRITE 53.0 (lunged start)

1st time starters - 4, 1

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Wednesday, March 25, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
5-I'M POPEYE 64.3
2-ENGLISH ART 57.5
1-GREAT LOU 53.5
6-BELIEVE TOO 51.6
4-OUTHINK'EM 49.2
3-TOP ESTATE 49.2

RACE 2
4-FORT CADY 63.1
1-LUTE IT UP 48.5
3-COWBOYS DON'T CRY 45.2
6-VODKA TEXTED YOU 45.1
5-RANGER SCHOOL 43.3

RACE 3
4-NEXT RIGHT 72.6
7-RARE PUNCH 62.7
8-HONEY FEVER 60.1 (off June 13, slow start)
6-RAHY'S SHADOW 47.4
3-ALFIERO 45.5

1st time starters - 5

RACE 4
2-QUEEN OF THE HILL 67.0 (off July 14)
5-NOTHING TO HIDE 56.5
4-MONSTRO NESS 52.1
3-MAHALO PRINCESS 51.1
7-ZEES CHRIS 51.1

RACE 5
5-GOLD CHASER 84.4
4-BROTHER SOLDIER 77.8
3-SURFING ANGEL 73.1
6-ROCKET HEAT 72.6
7-MR. ITKINS 69.8

RACE 6
4-FIVE PALMS 105.9 (off Dec. 13)
5-RAISED A SECRET 105.9 (off Aug. 14)
1-PULLING G'S 95.8
2-SOLID WAGER 95.2
7-AIRFOIL 81.4

1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7
2-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 79.6
4-LITTLE BUT LUCKY 76.2 (off June 14)
7-GOUYEN 75.4
8-IT'S AINE 70.0
6-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 69.2

RACE 8
3-DULCEMIA 54.0
8-REALLY A PRINCESS 45.5
4-RACING HOPE 38.2
6-SATURDAY YODELER 34.6
2-TICABOO 29.7 (3 wide, off Aug. 14)

1st time starters - 7, 5


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SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, March 23, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,160 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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